2006 WAC Predictions
Here are the 2006 WAC predictions courtesy of
Marc
Lawrence. If you are looking for a quality handicapper
this fall then try picking up one of his
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I’ll bet you didn’t know in the last four years the WAC owns the 2nd
best win percentage of all conferences in bowl games (8-6). In
addition, the top three teams in the league own 140 victories since
2001, the 4th best mark of top-trio teams in all other conferences
in the land (better than the Big 10). Things aren’t as wacky in the
WAC as you might have imagined.
Here is my take on the WAC CONFERENCE for 2006. Enjoy…
BOISE STATE
The biggest question surrounding this program is, ‘Was Dan the man,
or is it the magical blue-smurf turf’ that has accounted for Boise
State’s lofty status in Division 1-A football this decade? (Boise’s
63 wins is topped by only three other teams this decade) Gone is
head coach Dan Hawkins, the new Colorado mentor. In his stead is
Chris Peterson, former Broncos’ OC, and a finalist for the Frank
Broyles award (recognizing the nation’s top assistant coach) in 2002
and 2004. Peterson will enjoy the luxury of having 18 returning
starters at his disposal, including star QB Jared Zabransky, a
senior who has started 25 straight games (20-5). Don’t buck these
Broncos.
PLAY ON: vs. Fresno State (11/1)
FRESNO STATE
Anyone. Anytime. Anywhere. That is Pat Hill’s philosophy when it
comes to squaring off against the opposition. In his nine years with
the Bulldogs Hill has take on 44 non-conference opponents, only 15
at home (he’s 26-12 ATS those games, including 7-0 ATS with
revenge). He lost 4-year starting QB Paul Pinegar and all-WAC DE
Garrett McIntyre to the NFL draft, meaning there are some serious
holes to plug in 2006. Their 7-game bowl streak is the longest of
any West Coast team. Even minus McIntyre, we especially like the
fact this defense has improved each of the last three years. They’re
also 46-10 SU from November out under Hill, and that’s against
Anyone. Anytime. Anywhere.
PLAY ON: vs. Oregon (9/9)
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HAWAII
From an empty cupboard to Overstock.com, Warriors’ head coach June Jones
is happy to be logging on in 2006. Last year Hawaii featured a mere nine
returning starters and, as a result, missed out on a bowl bid for the
first time in four years. This season the Grass Skirts return a
walloping 61 lettermen, including 15 starters from last year’s 5-7
edition. In addition, eight home games should virtually guarantee a
return to the post-season. Junior QB Colt Brennan is back after
establishing 11 school records while leading the nation in total
offensive yards last season. It looks to be bombs away in Pearl Harbor
in ’06.
PLAY ON: vs. Nevada (10/7)
IDAHO
Like the Prodigal Son, Dennis Erickson has returned home. It all began
in Moscow (Idaho, that is) for Erickson back in 1982 when he took the
reins of the then Division 1-AA Vandals. Twenty-four years later,
Erickson brings 17 years (and a glossy 145-56-1 SU & 80-59-4 ATS record)
of college football, and six years of NFL head coaching experience, to
his old home. Ironically, he’ll open the 2006 season against former UI
coach John L. Sullivan when his team travels to Michigan State. In
addition, he’ll also take on two former employers when he visits Oregon
State and Washington State in PAC 10 action. Who says you can never
return home?
PLAY AGAINST: vs. Michigan State (9/2)
LOUISIANA TECH
It seems you just can’t teach an old dog new tricks. The Bulldogs were
hitting on all cylinders at season’s end last year with wins in five of
their final six games. Unfortunately blowout losses in their first two
non-conference road games left them unappealing to bowl scouts. In seven
years behind head coach Jack Bicknell, La Tech has tackled 31 bowl
teams, 24 BCS opponents and 20 teams residing in the Top 15. It will be
nothing different in 2006 when they open the season on the road in four
of their first five games against the likes of Nebraska, Texas A&M,
Clemson and Boise State. Some dogs never learn.
PLAY AGAINST: vs. Clemson (9/30)
NEVADA
Back for his 3rd term at Nevada, Chris Ault (177-73-1 career) captured
his 8th conference championship with the Wolf Pack last year. Not only
did they lead the nation in Time of Possession (33:12), they extended
the nation’s longest active scoring streak to 304 games. This is
definitely a program on the rise and it shows. They return 14 starters
from last year’s championship squad, plus a starter in 2004, offensive
lineman (J.J. Milan), who sat out last year with an injury. If they get
by their initial four games (all versus bowlers) they can literally
write another bowl bid in 2006. Rest assured they’ll come out on the
attack.
PLAY ON: vs. Colorado State (9/16)
NEW MEXICO STATE
Yikes. The Aggies foray into the WAC last year was a total disaster as
they not only failed to win game throughout the entire season, but also
went 0-8 ATS in conference play. It has Hal Mumme scratching his head
wondering what went wrong. For starters, his ‘air-raid’ offense simply
couldn’t overcome the nation’s worst defense. That needs to be addressed
in a major way. The new signal caller will be 6’ 6” QB Chase Holbrook, a
transfer from SE Louisiana, who came in with Mumme last year. Keep this
thought in mind: teams that were winless the previous season are 14-3-2
ATS at home against a foe off a SU underdog win since 1982. We’ll be
watching.
PASS
SAN JOSE STATE
Veteran head coach Dick Tomey did an admirable job in his first year
with the Spartans last season, winning both of their final two games of
the season while improving the offense and the defense. He’ll look to
build on the season-ending victories behind eight returning starters on
offense and the benefit of seven home games in 2006. More than that,
though, is Tomey’s Marine-like approach to defense. Last year’s unit
allowed 112 fewer points than the team he inherited, making San Jose one
of eleven teams to yield 110 or fewer points in 2005. The defensive line
was gutted, making his approach even more challenging in ’06.
PASS
UTAH STATE
When does playing seven road games in the same season prove to be an
advantage? When you’re doing it for the 3rd time in four years. FYI:
teams playing in their 7th road game of the year are 57-76-4 ATS,
including 27-52-3 ATS without revenge. Second year head coach Brent Guy,
a former defensive coordinator at Arizona State, welcomes back a
compliment of offensive skill people. Better yet, Guy played 20 freshmen
in 2005, 12 of whom started at least one game, He will need to find a
go-to running back, however, as a player other than a RB lead the team
in rushing nine of eleven games last season. Bret’s our guy.
PLAY ON: vs. Louisiana Tech (10/21)
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