Tuesday's Free NCAAB Pick: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -4.5

I'll take my chances with Georgia Tech as a 4.5-point home favorite against rival Georgia. The Yellow Jackets come into this game with a 5-3 mark, but there's nothing to be ashamed about with their 3 losses, as they have all come against what looks to be NCAA Tournament teams in Utah, Marquette and Iowa. All of those were also played on the road or at a neutral site. 

I think the perception for some is that getting points in a rivalry game is the way to go, but that's not been the case in this series. The favorite has covered 7 of the last 9 meetings. Georgia is also just 1-6 ATS last 7 in true road games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs a team with a winning record. Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 at home. Give me the Yellow Jackets -4.5! 

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9* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Duke Blue Devils -2

I'll take my chances with Duke as a mere 2-point favorite against Iowa in their showdown at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday. This is a good but not great Hawkeyes team and I just feel that they are getting a little too much respect here. Iowa is 6-1, but their two best wins are against Seton Hall and Clemson, who look like at best teams that will be on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament. The one above-average team they faced was TCU and they lost that game 66-79. 

I just don't think the Hawkeyes are good enough defensively to slow down this Duke offensive attack. I also think the Blue Devils will be able to get a lot of 2nd chances on offense with how good they are on the offensive glass (#2 in the country in Off. Reb%). Duke is also very good defensively at defending the 3-point shot and without the deep ball falling in at a high rate, I just don't know how the Hawkeyes keep pace in this one. Give me Duke -2! 

10* NCAAB Big Ten PLAY OF THE MONTH: Wisconsin Badgers -1

I'll take my chances with Wisconsin as a mere 1-point home favorite against Maryland. I think this is a good spot here to fade the Terps. Maryland comes into this game 8-0 and fresh off a 71-66 win at home over No. 16 ranked Illinois. That win jumped the Terps from No. 22 in the polls all the way up to No. 13. 

No question this team is better than expected, but winning on the road in the Big Ten is no easy task, especially against a quality team like Wisconsin. Keep in mind that Maryland's only true road game this season was against Louisville, who has yet to win a game this season at 0-8. 

I also think Badgers team isn't getting enough respect for their 6-2 start. Wisconsin's only two losses are by 1-point in OT against Kansas on a neutral floor and by 3 at home to Wake Forest. A game where they led by 5 with less than 5 minutes to play and were right there despite shooting just 43% from the field and allowing the Deacons to shoot 54%. Badgers also have quality wins over Stanford, Dayton, USC and Marquette. Give me Wisconsin -1! 

8* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Nuggets/Mavs UNDER 225

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 225 in Tuesday's TNT matchup between the Nuggets and Mavs. This will be the 3rd meeting between these two teams in less than 3 weeks, so there's plenty of familiarity between the two. These are also two of the slowest teams in the NBA. Dallas is tied with the Mavs for dead last in the league in pace, averaging just 98.1 possessions per game. The Nuggets are 24th at just 100.4. 

The Mavs figure to especially look to slow this game down, as they will be playing on no rest after last night's 130-111 win over the Suns. We have also seen the UNDER cash in 6 of the Nuggets 8 home games this season. We should also see a strong effort defensively from both teams with this being a nationally televised game on TNT. Give me the UNDER 225!