Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-23-20 | Wizards v. Cavs -2 | 124-112 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Cleveland Cavaliers -2 This is a very favorable spot for the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight. They come in on two days’ rest, so they will be fresh and ready to go tonight. They should be able to handle the Washington Wizards at home. The Wizards are coming off an overtime loss at Miami last night. Washington will now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and its 3rd game in 4 days. The Wizards will not have much left in the tank after that overtime defeat. Washington is 1-10 ATS in road games after allowing 130 points or more over the last two seasons. The Wizards are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Cavaliers are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games vs. a team with a winning percentage of less than 40%. Take the Cavaliers Thursday. |
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01-22-20 | Jazz v. Warriors +8.5 | 129-96 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
15* Jazz/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State +8.5 It’s a great time to ‘buy low’ on the Golden State Warriors. They have lost 11 of their last 12 games overall. But they are getting healthier now and as a result they have gone 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. And now they are catching too many points at home tonight. Conversely, it’s a great time to ’sell high’ on the Utah Jazz. They have won 17 of their last 19 games overall and have gone 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall. You are now clearly paying a tax to back the Jazz as 8.5-point road favorites here. And keep in mind that 15 of those 17 wins came against teams with losing records so they have feasted on a soft schedule. The Warriors recently got D’Angelo Russell back from injury and now they will get both Draymond Green (8.4 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 5.6 APG) and Glenn Robinson III (12.3 PPG, 4.8 RPG) back from injury tonight. The Warriors will give the Jazz a run for their money in this one. After all, they’ve taken the Bucks, Clippers, Nuggets and Blazers to the wire during their 5-2 ATS run. Golden State is 11-3 ATS when revenging a road loss this season. They only lost 109-113 and 106-114 at Utah in both meetings this season. The Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. Golden State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games as a home underdog. Bet the Warriors Wednesday. |
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01-22-20 | 76ers v. Raptors -7 | Top | 95-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
20* 76ers/Raptors ESPN No-Brainer on Toronto -7 The Raptors have been without five key players this season that have impacted them, especially in the last few weeks. Siakam has missed 11 games, VanVleet 10, Lowry 10, Gasol 12 and Powell 11. It’s amazing the Raptors have been able to compile a 29-14 record with all these injuries. But the Raptors revenge got everyone back healthy about four games ago. It’s no coincidence they have gone 4-0 while winning those four games by an average of 13.3 points per game. And three of those four games were on the road. This is a dangerous Raptors team moving forward now that they are healthy. The 76ers have also won four straight without Joel Embiid and remain without him. But the four wins came against the Nets (twice), Knicks and Bulls and they all went down to the wire in the 4th quarter. Now this is a big step up in class for the 76ers, and they won’t be able to hang with the healthy Raptors without Embiid. The home team is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The 76ers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight road games. The Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home meetings with Philadelphia. Toronto is 22-7 ATS in its last 29 games on one days’ rest. The Raptors are 19-5 ATS in their last 24 home games vs. division opponents. Take the Raptors Wednesday. |
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01-22-20 | Thunder v. Magic -1.5 | 120-114 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Orlando Magic -1.5 This is a big letdown spot for the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight. They came back from 15 points down to beat the Rockets on Monday, 112-107. That’s a rivalry game for them with the swapping of Chris Paul and Russell Westbrook in the offseason. The Thunder won’t be nearly as motivated to face the Magic tonight. And they are dealing with a lot of injuries right now that will make matters worse for them. Terrance Ferguson and Abdel Nader are out, while Steven Adams and Nerlens Noel are both questionable. The Magic are playing their best basketball of the season right now as they are 7-4 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. They are coming off a 23-point road win at Charlotte. Nikola Vucevic will have his way in the paint against the Thunder if Adams is unable to go. Plays against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKC) - a good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), after making 12 or more 3-pointers last game are 29-8 (78.4%) ATS over the last five seasons. Plays on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Orlando) - after allowing 85 points or less are 38-11 (77.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. Roll with the Magic Wednesday. |
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01-21-20 | Clippers v. Mavs -1.5 | Top | 110-107 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
20* Clippers/Mavs NBA TV No-Brainer on Dallas -1.5 Kristaps Porzingis has missed the last 10 games for the Mavericks. There’s a great chance he returns tonight. The timing makes sense as the Mavericks come in on three days’ rest after last playing on Friday, giving Porzingis a few extra days to heal. The Mavericks have been playing well without him in going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall. And now they want revenge from a 99-114 loss to the Clippers in their first meeting this season. The Mavericks have gone 31-12 SU in their last 43 home meetings with the Clippers. Los Angeles will remain without Paul George tonight. The Clippers haven’t exactly been juggernauts on the road this season. They are 11-9 SU but 9-11 ATS. And while they’ve won five of their last six coming in, the five wins have all come against teams with losing records in the Knicks (by 3), Warriors (by 9), Cavaliers, Magic and Pelicans (by 3). The Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall. Dallas is 17-5 ATS off a home game this season. Los Angeles is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games off a win. The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last five home meetings with the Clippers. Bet the Mavericks Tuesday. |
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01-20-20 | Warriors +6.5 v. Blazers | 124-129 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
15* Warriors/Blazers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State +6.5 The Golden State Warriors have been much more competitive here of late. They have recent losses to the Bucks and Clippers by single digits as double-digit dogs. They upset the Magic last time out as 6-point dogs and they took the Nuggets to overtime as dog. I think the Warriors can hang with a depleted Portland Trail Blazers team that is missing Nurkic, Hood, Collins, Labissiere, McCollum and Ariza. These injuries are a big reason the Blazers are just 4-10 SU & 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall. And it’s a tired Blazers team that hasn’t has two consecutive days off since Christmas, making matters worse. The Warriors are 20-9 ATS in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last two seasons. The Blazers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Portland is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games off a loss. Take the Warriors Monday. |
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01-20-20 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies -2.5 | Top | 126-116 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
20* Pelicans/Grizzlies TNT No-Brainer on Memphis -2.5 The Memphis Grizzlies are 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. They are playing their best basketball of the season as they’ve upset the likes of the Clippers by 26 on the road as well as the Spurs by 13 and the Rockets by 11 at home during this stretch. It’s going to be a great atmosphere on Martin Luther King Day in this home game against the New Orleans Pelicans tonight. No city celebrates MLK day quite like Memphis does as it means a lot more to their community than most with his assassination taking place in Memphis. The Pelicans are also playing well, but this is a very tough spot for them. They are coming off an OT win against the Jazz followed by a 3-point loss to the Clippers at home. They won’t have much left in the tank for the Grizzlies, who are playing on two days’ rest and just their 2nd game in 6 days. Memphis is 8-0 ATS off two straight games where they made at least 50% of their shots over the last two seasons. The Pelicans, who ranks 29th in scoring defense at 117.7 points per game, won’t be able to cool off the Grizzlies tonight. Bet the Grizzlies Monday. |
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01-20-20 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 230 | 112-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Thunder/Rockets UNDER 230 There is definitely some bad blood between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets due to the teams swapping Russell Westbrook and Chris Paul in the offseason. That bad blood shows more with the effort on the defensive end than anything. The Thunder and Rockets have played twice this season already, so they are very familiar with one another. And both games went UNDER this 230-point total with a 116-112 final in the first meeting for 228 combined points and a 113-92 final in the 2nd meeting for 205 combined points. In fact, 13 of the last 14 meetings between the Thunder and Rockets have resulted in 229 or fewer combined points. That makes for a 13-1 system backing the UNDER pertaining to tonight’s 230-point total. Roll with the UNDER in this game Monday. |
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01-20-20 | Magic v. Hornets +4.5 | 106-83 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday UPSET SHOCKER on Charlotte Hornets +4.5 The Charlotte Hornets are highly motivated for a victory tonight. They have lost six straight coming in against a brutal schedule with home games against the Pacers and Raptors, as well as four road games against the Jazz, Nuggets, Blazers & Suns. Not to mention, the Hornets had road games against the Cavs and Mavericks in the two games prior where they pulled off two upsets. They get a break in their schedule here hosting the Orlando Magic and coming in on four days’ rest having last played on January 15th. The Magic are in a very tough spot. They will be playing their 6th straight road game tonight and their 4th road game in 6 days. They are without starting PG D.J. Augustin right now while the Hornets are fully healthy. I really believe the wrong team is favored in this matchup. The Hornets simply own the Magic. Charlotte is 13-2 SU & 12-3 ATS in its last 15 meetings with Orlando. The Hornets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a losing record. Take the Hornets Monday. |
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01-19-20 | Heat v. Spurs +1.5 | Top | 102-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on San Antonio Spurs +1.5 I love the spot for the San Antonio Spurs tonight. They want revenge from a 100-106 loss at Miami just a few days ago on January 15th. Now they get their chance at revenge just four days later at home this time around. Adding to the Spurs’ motivation is the fact that they are coming off a 120-121 home loss to the Hawks in which they blew a 15-point lead in the 4th quarter. They had been playing some great basketball prior to those two games in going 9-4 ATS in their previous 13 games. San Antonio is 32-8 ATS when revenging a road loss over the last two season. The Spurs are 9-1 ATS in home games off two or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons. The Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as road favorites. San Antonio is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games off a loss. The Spurs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as home underdogs. Roll with the Spurs Sunday. |
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01-18-20 | Kings +9.5 v. Jazz | Top | 101-123 | Loss | -104 | 19 h 57 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Sacramento Kings +9.5 The Utah Jazz had their 10-game winning streak come to an end with a 132-138 (OT) loss at New Orleans on Thursday. I always like fading teams that have their long winning streaks come to an end because it’s the kind of loss that seems to beat them twice. They take a breathe of air and don’t play well in the next game out. While it is impressive that the Jazz have won 15 of their last 17 games overall, keep in mind it has come against one of the easiest schedules in the NBA. In fact, 14 of those 15 wins came against teams with losing records. Now they are way overvalued and it’s time to ’sell high’ on them. The Jazz would have to beat the Kings by double-digits to beat us now, which is asking way too much. Especially since the Kings are almost back to 100% health with only Richaun Holmes still sidelined. They get Bogdan Bogdanovic back from an injury Saturday and recently got back Marvin Bagley and a few others. The Kings will be a dangerous team moving forward. The Jazz have to be a tired team as they haven’t had two days off in a row since over New Year’s Eve. And they are coming off a three-game road trip. The Kings will be playing just their 4th game in 11 days and will be by far the fresher team tonight. Plays against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Utah) - a hot team having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 27-7 (79.4%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Kings are 15-5 ATS when playing 4 or fewer games in 10 days over the last two seasons. Sacramento is 24-9 ATS after losing three of its last four games over the last two seasons. The Kings are 12-3 ATS in road games off a loss by 6 points or less over the last two years. Sacramento is 7-1 ATS in its last eight road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage above 60%. The Kings are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games as underdogs. Sacramento is 13-5-2 ATS in its last 20 meetings in Utah. Take the Kings Saturday. |
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01-18-20 | 76ers -3.5 v. Knicks | 90-87 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 26 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia 76ers -3.5 I know the Philadelphia 76ers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight after beating the Bulls 100-89 last night. But the line has been adjusted too much for it as the 76ers are only 3.5-point favorites over the lowly New York Knicks tonight. The 76ers shouldn’t be all that tired anyway considering they have had a lot of time off in January. In fact, it will be just the 8th game in 18 days in the month of January for the 76ers. They should have enough left in the tank to make easy work of the Knicks tonight. The Knicks have some injury problems right now as they are missing RJ Barrett and Reggie Bullock and Dennis Smith Jr. are questionable. They did just get back Marcus Morris, but it didn’t matter in a 98-121 home loss to the Suns on Thursday. The Knicks are now just 1-7 SU & 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall with each of their last five losses coming by 12 points or more and by an average of 23 points per game. The 76ers have owned the Knicks going 10-0 SU in the last 10 meetings with all 10 wins by 3 points or more and nine by 5 points or more. Philadelphia is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Roll with the 76ers Saturday. |
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01-17-20 | Cavs v. Grizzlies -8 | 109-113 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Memphis Grizzlies -8 No team is playing better than the Memphis Grizzlies right now. They are 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall with all six wins coming by 7 points or more and by an average of 14 points per game. That includes wins over the Clippers (by 26), Spurs (by 13) and Rockets (by 11). Now the Grizzlies are rested with two days off since last defeating the Rockets on Tuesday. They should be able to handle their business against a Cleveland Cavaliers team that is coming off two straight losses by 29 and 25 points. The Cavaliers will be playing their 5th straight road game in this difficult spot. Memphis is 10-2 ATS after scoring 110 points or more in four straight games this season. The Cavaliers are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games off an ATS loss. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Memphis) - revenging a loss where opponent scores 100 or more points, off a home win by 10 points or more are 72-39 (64.9%) ATS over the last five seasons. Roll with the Grizzlies Friday. |
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01-17-20 | Wolves v. Pacers UNDER 216.5 | 114-116 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Timberwolves/Pacers UNDER 216.5 This is one of my favorite situations to bet an UNDER in the NBA. It’s a home-and-home situation between the Timberwolves and Pacers. So they are very familiar with each other playing the same opponent in back-to-back games, which always favors defense. Indiana beat Minnesota 104-99 on the road on Wednesday for 203 combined points. That total was set at 217.5, and oddsmakers have hardly adjusted dropping this total just one point to 216.5. It’s now enough for an adjustment, especially when you consider the Pacers actually shot 51.8% in that first game and still only scored 104 points. Indiana is 40-21 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last two seasons. The Pacers are 24-6 UNDER in home games with a total of 210 to 219.5 over the last two years. The UNDER is 9-2 in Timberwolves last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage above 60%. Take the UNDER in this game Friday. |
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01-17-20 | Bulls v. 76ers -7 | Top | 89-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
20* Bulls/76ers ESPN No-Brainer on Philadelphia -7 The Philadelphia 76ers are 19-2 at home this season and winning by 9.8 points per game. They have been a good bet at home even without Joel Embiid. They won by 11 over the Nets and also by 11 over the Celtics in their last two home games without Embiid. Now the 76ers should be able to cover this 7-point spread against the Chicago Bulls at home tonight. With this game being played on National TV on ESPN, they won’t take the Bulls lightly. The 76ers are 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings with the Bulls, including 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three home meetings winning by 16, 19 and 14 points. The Bulls are just 2-7 SU & 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games overall with their only wins coming against the Pistons and Wizards, two of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference. Six of those seven losses came by 7 points or more. The Bulls are 11-27 ATS in their last 38 games following a win. Chicago is 0-5-1 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning record. Philadelphia is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than 40%. Bet the 76ers Friday. |
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01-16-20 | Jazz v. Pelicans +5 | 132-138 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on New Orleans Pelicans +5 Two red hot teams square off tonight when the Utah Jazz visit the New Orleans Pelicans. But only one of these hot teams is getting too much respect from oddsmakers, and that’s the Jazz as the 5-point road favorite. The Jazz are playing great with 10 straight wins and 15 of their last 16 overall. But with that success comes expectations from oddsmakers that are tough to live up to. But keep in mind that 14 of those 15 wins came against teams with losing records, so they have been feasting on an easy schedule. The Pelicans are 8-2 SU & 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Their only losses came on the road to the Lakers and Celtics and at home to the Jazz. Well, that was a 126-128 loss to the Jazz on January 6th, so now the Pelicans are going to be highly motivated for a win in the rematch tonight just 10 days later. Plays against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Utah) - a hot team having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 26-7 (78.8%) ATS over the last five seasons. New Orleans gets Brandon Ingram and Derrick Favors back from injury tonight and JJ Redick could be back as well. Roll with the Pelicans Thursday. |
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01-15-20 | Nets v. 76ers -7 | Top | 106-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Philadelphia 76ers -7 The Philadelphia 76ers are coming off two straight road losses to the Indiana Pacers and Dallas Mavericks. They return home highly motivated for a victory tonight and pretty rested as this will be just their 6th game in 15 days. I know the 76ers are without Joel Embiid, but they won their last home game 109-98 over the Boston Celtics as 1-point favorites without him. The 76ers are now 18-2 at home this season and winning by 9.7 points per game. Philadelphia is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in then last five meetings while winning by 22 points in each of their last two home meetings with Brooklyn. It’s a bad spot for the Brooklyn Nets. They are coming off a 107-118 home loss to Utah last night and will now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. The Nets are just 2-8 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Nets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games playing on zero rest. Brooklyn is 0-6 ATS in its last six games as a road underdog. Philadelphia is 30-16 ATS in home games revenging a loss over the last three seasons. Bet the 76ers Wednesday. |
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01-14-20 | Rockets v. Grizzlies +5.5 | Top | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
20* Rockets/Grizzlies NBA TV No-Brainer on Memphis +5.5 The Memphis Grizzlies are playing their best basketball of the season. They are 12-6 SU & 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games overall. They have won five straight coming in including road upsets of the Clippers and Suns. The Houston Rockets are just 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. They lost at New Orleans by 15, at Golden State by 12 as 11-point favorites, at Oklahoma City by 21 as 1-3-point favorites and failed to cover in a win at Atlanta as 7.5-point favorites. Now the Rockets will be without Russell Westbrook tonight due to a rest day. Memphis is 15-5 ATS in home games when revenging a same-season loss over the last two seasons. The Rockets are 12-28-1 ATS in their last 41 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Bet the Grizzlies Tuesday. |
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01-14-20 | Suns -3 v. Hawks | 110-123 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Phoenix Suns -3 The Phoenix Suns have gotten healthy and are starting to play like they did to start the season. The Suns are 5-3 in their last eight games overall. They have pulled road upsets over the Kings and Blazers during this stretch. Now the Suns go on the road and fave a hapless Atlanta Hawks team that is just 2-15 SU in its last 17 games overall. The Hawks have lost four straight with some bad losses by 10 at Washington and by 22 at Brooklyn in their last two games. Injuries are really taking their toll on the Hawks With Fernando, Parker and Len out while both Hunter and Young are questionable. The Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Hawks are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Atlanta and 30-14 ATS in their last 44 meetings overall. Take the Suns Tuesday. |
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01-13-20 | Cavs +14 v. Lakers | 99-128 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
15* Cavs/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Cleveland +14 Cleveland head coach John Beilein recently held a team meeting to apologize for using the word thug when he meant to say slug in a film session. It’s obvious his players have his back with the way they have performed their last two games. Indeed, the Cavaliers went on the road and beat the Pistons outright as 7.5-point dogs in the first game following the meeting. And then they went on the road Saturday and upset the Nuggets 111-103 as 12.5-point dogs. Now they are catching 14 points to the Lakers, which is simply too much. The Lakers have six players on their injury report right now. Both Anthony Davis and Danny Green are questionable tonight, while Lebron James and Avery Bradley are probable. I just can’t see the Lakers being too motivated to face the Cavaliers tonight and that’s going to make it tough to cover this massive 14-point spread. Especially since it’s a letdown spot off back-to-back road wins at Dallas and Oklahoma City. The Lakers are 10-31 ATS in their last 41 home games after scoring 105 points or more in three straight games. Plays on road underdogs (Cleveland) off a road win, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 54-21 (72%) ATS over the last five seasons. Roll with the Cavaliers Monday. |
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01-13-20 | Hornets +9.5 v. Blazers | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Charlotte Hornets +9.5 The Portland Trail Blazers have to win by double-digits to beat us tonight. That’s asking too much for a struggling Portland team that is 2-8 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. This number is adjusted too much for the Hornets playing a back-to-back here. They covered in a 92-100 loss at Phoenix last night. And this is a young Hornets team that doesn’t get affected as much as most teams would in these back-to-back situations. The Hornets are 3-1 ATS in their last four road games with upset wins over both the Mavericks and Cavaliers. Charlotte is 24-12 ATS off two or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons. The Hornets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games. Take the Hornets Monday. |
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01-12-20 | Clippers v. Nuggets +1 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Denver Nuggets +1 The Denver Nuggets are coming off a bad home loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers as 12.5-point favorites. But you could see that letdown coming with the Clippers on deck today. Now, the Nuggets will come back highly motivated for a win at home here tonight. And I’m not concerned about the back-to-back for them. They are one of the deepest teams in the NBA, plus they had two days off before that Cleveland game. The Clippers have struggled to put away some bad teams lately. They are 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall. They lost 114-140 at home to the Grizzlies as 10-point favorites, only beat the Knicks by 3 as 10-point home favorites and only beat the Warriors by 9 as 14.5-point home favorites. And the Clippers are likely to be without Paul George again tonight. The Clippers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a win. The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Denver as well. Take the Nuggets Sunday. |
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01-11-20 | Pelicans v. Celtics -9.5 | Top | 105-140 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston Celtics -9.5 It’s safe to say the Boston Celtics will be highly motivated for a victory Saturday. They are riding a season-high three-game losing streak coming in. They will take out their frustration on the New Orleans Pelicans tonight with a blowout victory. This is a tough spot for the Pelicans. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days after beating the Knicks on the road last night. This 6 in 9 days is as tough as it gets in the NBA. I think they run out of gas tonight, especially since they will be without two starters in Jrue Holiday and Derrick Favors. Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Boston) - after failing to cover three of their last four ATS against an opponent that covered four of their last five ATS are 51-20 (71.8%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Celtics have won their last two meetings with the Pelicans by 13 at home and by 17 on the road. Bet the Celtics Saturday. |
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01-10-20 | Lakers v. Mavs -2 | Top | 129-114 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
20* Lakers/Mavs ESPN No-Brainer on Dallas -2 The Dallas Mavericks just lost to the Lakers 95-108 on the road on December 29th. They have now lost two of three meetings to the Lakers, including an overtime loss where the Lakers tied it at the buzzer at the end of regulation. The Mavericks want revenge and to tie the season series at 2-2 tonight. The good news for the Mavericks is that they won’t have to go up against Anthony Davis tonight due to a tailbone injury suffered against the Knicks last time out. The Lakers are only a shell of themselves without Davis, who leads them in scoring (27.1 PPG), rebounding (9.4 RPG) and blocks (2.6 BPG). The Mavericks are a perfect 9-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite this season, coming back to win by 11.2 points per game. Dallas is 8-0 ATS off a home loss this season. The Lakers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Mavericks Friday. |
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01-10-20 | Pelicans -4 v. Knicks | 123-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
15* Pelicans/Knicks ESPN ANNIHILATOR on New Orleans -4 The New Orleans Pelicans are playing their best basketball of the season. They are 6-2 SU & 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games overall with their only losses coming on the road to the Lakers by 10 as 10-point dogs and at home to the Jazz by 2 as 4-point dogs. They have road wins over the Blazers, Nuggets and Kings during this stretch as well as home wins over the Pacers, Rockets and Bulls. The New York Knicks are 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall. They are coming off a 24-point loss at Utah that followed up a 30-point loss at the Lakers. This is a tired team that will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days now after playing in altitude. It’s a very difficult spot for the Knicks. They are coming off a four-game road trip, and I like to fade teams returning home from a long road trip. Making matters worse is that the Knicks will be without their best player in Julius Randle (18.5 PPG, 9.1 RPG) and could be without leading scorer Marcus Morris (19.1 PPG) again as well. New York is 1-9 ATS in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last two seasons. It is losing by 15.2 points per game in this spot. The Pelicans are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. Take the Pelicans Friday. |
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01-09-20 | Rockets v. Thunder +4 | Top | 92-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
20* Rockets/Thunder TNT No-Brainer on Oklahoma City +4 The Houston Rockets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a hard-fought 122-115 win in Atlanta last night. Six players logged at least 30 minutes for the Rockets last night, so this is a very tough situation for them. Chris Paul wants revenge on his former team after the Rockets traded him away in the offseason to make room for Russell Westbrook. And you know the Thunder will rally around him. They nearly upset the Rockets in a 112-116 road loss as 10-point dogs in their first meeting. And now they get the Rockets at home this time around. Plus, the Thunder are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They have gone 10-2 SU in their last 12 games overall which includes upset wins over Dallas, Toronto, San Antonio, the Clippers and the Nets. The Thunder are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Oklahoma City is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 games overall. The Thunder are 47-22-3 ATS in their last 72 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of more than 60%. Oklahoma City is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games playing on one days’ rest. The Thunder are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Take the Thunder Thursday. |
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01-08-20 | Raptors v. Hornets +3 | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Charlotte Hornets +3 The Toronto Raptors will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight. They just went to the wire with the Blazers at home last night in a 99-101 loss. And now they have to try and get back up off the mat to face the Hornets tonight. It has been a struggle here of late for the Raptors due to all their injuries. They are missing four key players in Pascal Siakam, Marc Gasol, Fred VanVleet and Norman Powell. Siakam and VanVleet are their two best players. It’s no wonder their have gone just 3-5 SU in their last eight games overall. And being short-handed makes these back-to-back situations even more difficult. The Hornets have pulled two impressive road upsets over the Mavericks and Cavaliers in two of their last three games coming in. They did lose to the Pacers at home after letting that game get away from them in the 4th quarter. But that will have them coming back determined tonight to beat the Raptors. The home team has won four of the last five meetings. The Hornets are 11-2 ATS after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games this season. Take the Hornets Wednesday. |
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01-08-20 | Heat v. Pacers -1 | Top | 122-108 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -1 This is yet another case of the Indiana Pacers being underrated as only 1-point home favorites over the Miami Heat tonight. The Pacers are 15-4 at home this season and should be a bigger favorite tonight. The Heat also have a great home-court advantage as they are 17-1 at home, but they are not home here. Miami is just 9-9 on the road this season. Their last two road games were very ugly as they lost at Washington by 18 as 14-point favorites and lost by 20 at Orlando. Indiana wants revenge from a 112-113 road loss at Miami as 5-point dogs on December 27th in the first and only meeting thus far. The Pacers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 home meetings with the Heat. The Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings overall with Miami. The Heat are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as home favorites. Indiana is 34-18 ATS when revenging a road loss over the last three seasons. Bet the Pacers Wednesday. |
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01-07-20 | Knicks +13.5 v. Lakers | 87-117 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
15* Knicks/Lakers NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on New York +13.5 The New York Knicks are quietly playing their best basketball of the season right now. They are 6-6 SU & 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games overall. They have only lost twice by more than 8 points in those 12 games, so they have been extremely competitive. The Knicks just took the Clippers to the wire at Staples Center on Sunday in a 132-135 loss as 10-point dogs. Now they are catching 13.5 points to the Lakers with no travel and I expect them to take LeBron and company to the wire in this game tonight. The Lakers are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. In fact, the Lakers haven’t beaten anyone by more than 13 points in their last 12 games overall, making for a 12-0 system backing the Knicks pertaining to this 13.5-point spread. The Knicks are 8-0 ATS in road games after playing a road game this season. The Lakers are 1-10 ATS against Atlantic Division opponents over the last two seasons. Plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (New York) - a well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 47-15 (75.8%) ATS over the last five seasons. Roll with the Knicks Tuesday. |
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01-06-20 | Bucks v. Spurs +7.5 | 104-126 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on San Antonio Spurs +7.5 I love the spot for the San Antonio Spurs tonight. This is a home-and-home situation with the Milwaukee Bucks. After losing 118-127 in Milwaukee on Saturday, the Spurs now only have to wait two days for revenge and are catching 7.5 points at home in the rematch. I expect them to take the Bucks to the wire and possibly pull off the upset. The Spurs have been a great team to back following a loss, which shows the resiliency of this team and the coaching of Popovich. The Spurs are now 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games following a loss. San Antonio is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games as a home underdog as well. San Antonio is 35-14 ATS when revenging a loss over the last two seasons. The Spurs are 25-6 ATS when revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 points or more over the last two years. San Antonio is 30-7 ATS revenging a road loss over the last two seasons. It is coming back to win by 7.8 points per game in this spot. Roll with the Spurs Monday. |
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01-06-20 | Jazz -3 v. Pelicans | 128-126 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Utah Jazz -3 The Utah Jazz are playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now. They are 10-1 in their last 11 games overall with their only loss coming by 3 points at Miami. They have covered seven straight coming in and I believe they make it seven in a row tonight. The Pelicans are also playing well in going 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. But they could be without their best player tonight in Jrue Holiday, who is questionable with an elbow injury. And it’s a bad spot for them playing their 3rd game in 4 days after a back-to-back at the Lakers and Kings on Friday and Saturday. The Jazz own the Pelicans, going 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. More impressively, the Jazz are 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six trips to New Orleans winning by 10, 21, 17, 24, 33 and 12 points. They have won those six games by an average of 19.5 points per game. The Jazz are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Pelicans are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games playing on one days’ rest. New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its last eight home games. The Jazz are 15-5-3 ATS in the last 23 meetings, including 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 meetings in New Orleans. Take the Jazz Monday. |
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01-05-20 | Blazers v. Heat -5.5 | 111-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Miami Heat -5.5 The Miami Heat are coming off a bad 20-point loss at Orlando. But it was the 2nd of a back-to-back after a win over the Raptors the previous night. It was a clearly letdown spot and a bad spot given the rest advantage for Orlando. Now the Heat return home highly motivated for a win. And the Heat have had one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA this season. They are 16-1 SU & 11-5-1 ATS at home while outscoring opponents by 11.6 points per game. They should have no problem covering this short 5.5-point spread against the Blazers. The Blazers have been one of the most disappointing teams in the NBA this season. They are 15-21 overall and 7-12 on the road and were desperate enough to sign Carmelo Anthony off the streets. It hasn’t gotten any better with Anthony as the Blazers are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall with their only win coming against a G-League team in Washington. All five losses came by 6 points or more, including losses to the Knicks, Suns and Pelicans. The Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning record. Portland is 1-5 ATS in its last six road games. Miami is 13-4-1 ATS in its last 18 home games. The heat are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS loss. Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games off a loss by more than 10 points. Take the Heat Sunday. |
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01-04-20 | Grizzlies +10.5 v. Clippers | 140-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Memphis Grizzlies +10.5 The Memphis Grizzlies have some great young talent and it’s starting to show now that they are healthy. The Grizzlies are 7-6 SU & 8-4-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall. They will give the Clippers a run for their money today. Helping out the Grizzlies is the fact that the Clippers are not healthy. They are down two starters today in Paul George and Patrick Beverly. They will miss George’s scoring as he has picked up right where he left off last season in OKC. And Beverly is a pest defensively that will be missed guarding Rookie of the Year favorite JA Morant. Plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (Memphis) - a well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 44-15 (74.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Clippers are 3-12 ATS off two consecutive covers as a favorite over the last two seasons. The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games off a loss. Memphis is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six games as a road underdog. The Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games off a win. Roll with the Grizzlies Saturday. |
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01-03-20 | Pelicans +10.5 v. Lakers | Top | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
20* Pelicans/Lakers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on New Orleans +10.5 The New Orleans Pelicans are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. They have three straight wins over three of the better teams in the NBA in the Pacers, Rockets and Nuggets. Now the Pelicans want to avenge their 110-114 home loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on November 27th in their first and only meeting this season. There are a lot of former Lakers on this Pelicans team, so they will always be motivated to face their former team, especially this season. The Lakers are 5-4 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall. They have just one win by more than 10 points during this stretch, and that was a 13-point win. They will have a hard time covering this big number tonight against a Pelicans team that is playing very well. Plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (New Orleans) - a well rested team playing 6 or fewer games in 14 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 44-15 (74.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Lakers are 7-21 ATS vs. teams that are outscored by 3-plus points per game over the last two seasons. Bet the Pelicans Friday. |
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01-02-20 | Thunder v. Spurs -2 | Top | 109-103 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on San Antonio Spurs -2 The San Antonio Spurs would actually be in the playoffs if the season ended today. They are playing well over the last month in going 7-4 SU & 6-4-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall dating back to December 3rd. It’s a rested team that has had a lot of time off over the past month. The Oklahoma City Thunder are also playing well in going 7-1 in their last eight games overall. But now they are starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers here as only 2-point road dogs. And it’s definitely a potential letdown spot off three straight narrow wins over the Hornets, Raptors and Mavericks by a combined 8 points. The Spurs are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five home meetings with the Thunder. San Antonio is 21-9 ATS at home with a line of +3 to -3 over the last three seasons. The Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Spurs Thursday. |
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01-02-20 | Raptors v. Heat -5 | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
15* Raptors/Heat NBA TV ANNIHILATOR on Miami -5 The Miami Heat had won five straight including wins over Philadelphia (twice), Indiana and Utah. Then they laid an egg on Monday and lost outright as a 14-point favorite against Washington’s G-League team. It’s safe to say the Heat are going to come back highly motivated for a win at home tonight over the Toronto Raptors after getting that wake-up call. And they will be fresh and ready to go coming in on two days’ rest. The Heat are 15-1 at home this season and winning by nearly 12 points per game. The Raptors are in a much tougher spot here. They will be playing their 4th game in 6 days and are already playing short-handed. The Raptors remain without their best player in Pacal Siakam, starter Marc Gasol and key reserve Norman Powell. I don’t think they will be able to hang with Miami tonight without these three. Plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Toronto) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points in their last three games against an opponent that was beaten by 24 or more points against the spread in their last three are 41-16 (71.9%) ATS over the last five seasons. Miami is 11-0 ATS in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more in two straight games over the last two seasons. They are winning by 15.0 points per game in this spot. Roll with the Heat Thursday. |
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12-31-19 | 76ers v. Pacers +2 | 97-115 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Indiana Pacers +2 The Indiana Pacers have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA. They are 14-3 at home this season. And they come into this game highly motivated for a victory off back-to-back road losses to Miami and New Orleans. Plus, they are fresh and ready to go on two days’ rest and will get Malcolm Brogdon back from injury tonight. The Philadelphia 76ers have been awful on the road this season. They are just 7-10 in road games. They did beat the Pacers at home 119-116 in their lone meeting this season, but now it’s revenge time for Indiana at home this time around. Plays against road teams (Philadelphia) - off a road cover where they lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 54-18 (75%) ATS since 1996. The 76ers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as road favorites. Bet the Pacers Tuesday. |
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12-30-19 | Heat -8.5 v. Wizards | 105-123 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Miami Heat -8.5 The Miami Heat have won five straight to improve to 24-8 on the season. They are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA. Now they should make easy work of the Washington Wizards on the road tonight. The Wizards stand little to no chance of even being competitive tonight with all of their injuries. They are without Rui Hachimura, Mo Wagner, Davis Bertans and Thomas Bryant and they could be without Bradley Beal, who is questionable. The Heat are 12-2 ATS in road games after playing three consecutive home games over the last three seasons. Miami is 16-5-1 ATS in its last 22 games vs. a team with a losing record. Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last six home games. Take the Heat Monday. |
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12-29-19 | Rockets v. Pelicans +4 | 112-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on New Orleans Pelicans +4 The New Orleans Pelicans are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games with three upset wins and a 120-98 blowout of Indiana yesterday. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, but that blowout allowed them to rest their starters late. The Houston Rockets will also be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. They beat the Nets 108-98 at home last night. Now they have to travel, while the Pelicans get to stay at home. That’s a huge advantage. The Rockets will sit Russell Westbrook today and they could be without Clint Cappela, who is questionable. The Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games playing on zero rest. Roll with the Pelicans Sunday. |
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12-28-19 | Magic +11.5 v. Bucks | 100-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +11.5 Both the Magic and Bucks are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. But the situation is much better for the Magic. They will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, while the Bucks will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and their 5th game in 8 days. Giannis Antetokounmpo is questionable to play tonight with a back injury after sitting out last night against the Hawks. Eric Bledsoe remains out for the Bucks. This line indicates Giannis will play, but it would be a huge bonus if he didn’t. The Magic will be motivated for revenge after losing twice already to the Bucks this season. They only lost 101-110 at Milwaukee on December 9th a few weeks ago as 13-point dogs. And I think they can stay within single-digits in their 3rd meeting as well. The Magic are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 Saturday games. Orlando is 4-0-2 ATS in its last six games playing on zero rest. The Magic are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a win. Roll with the Magic Saturday. |
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12-28-19 | 76ers v. Heat -1 | 116-117 | Push | 0 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Miami Heat -1 We are getting the Miami Heat cheap at home tonight. The Heat are 14-1 at home this season with their only loss coming to the Lakers by 3 points. They are outscoring opponents by 12.6 points per game at home this year. The Philadelphia 76ers are just 7-9 on the road this season and actually getting outscored on the road. While both teams are playing a back-to-back, the situation is worse for the 76ers because they have to travel from Orlando to Miami, while the Heat get to stay at home after beating the Pacers last night. The 76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Heat are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games. Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last seven Saturday games. Take the Heat Saturday. |
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12-28-19 | Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 217 | Top | 113-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Raptors/Celtics UNDER 217 I love the UNDER in this game between the Raptors and Celtics. I love it because of the situation. These teams just played each other on Christmas Day a couple days ago, so they are very familiar with one another. And it’s their 3rd meeting already this season as well. I have a hard time believing both teams will shoot as well as they did in that meeting. The Celtics won 118-102 for 220 combined points. The Celtics shot 50% from the field, while the Raptors shot 47.5%. The familiarity will help out the defenses in this one and lead to a lower-scoring game than that game was on Christmas Day. Toronto is 11-2 UNDER off a loss against a division rival over the last three seasons. The Raptors are 17-6 UNDER after allowing 105 points or more in four straight games over the last three seasons. The UNDER is 6-0-1 in Raptors last seven games off an ATS loss. The UNDER is 7-1 in Raptors last eight Saturday games. The UNDER is 6-1 in Celtics last seven games playing on zero rest. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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12-27-19 | 76ers v. Magic +3 | Top | 97-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
20* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Orlando Magic +3 This is a great spot to fade the Philadelphia 76ers. They are coming off a huge upset win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Christmas Day. That makes this a prime letdown spot for the 76ers now. Plus, they’ll be playing their 5th game in 8 days. Meanwhile, the Orlando Magic come in on three days’ rest and will be playing just their 2nd game in 7 days. Not to mention, they are highly motivated for a win after dropping five of their last seven. And the Magic are finally near full strength now in the health department, which will make them dangerous moving forward. Home-court advantage has been huge int his series. The home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine meetings. The Magic have won three straight home meetings with the 76ers outright and I think they get the job done outright again given the favorable spot for them tonight. Plays against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Philadelphia) - a good shooting team (45.5%-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5%-43.5%), after a game where they made 12 or more 3-point shots are 28-8 (77.8%) ATS over the last five seasons. Philadelphia is 6-19 ATS off two or more consecutive ATS wins over the last two seasons. The 76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite. Orlando is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Bet the Magic Friday. |
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12-27-19 | Cavs +13.5 v. Celtics | 117-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
15* Cavs/Celtics NBA TV Early ANNIHILATOR on Cleveland +13.5 The Cleveland Cavaliers are playing their best basketball of the season. They have won three straight games coming in and are now ready to give the Celtics a run for their money tonight. The Cavaliers are rested and ready to go coming in on three days’ rest. The same cannot be said for the Celtics. Boston is coming off a huge win over Toronto on Christmas Day on the road. That makes this a letdown spot for them, especially since they’ve already beaten the Cavs twice this season. I like the value with the Cavs given the spot and playing with double-revenge catching a whopping 13.5 points. Plays against any team (Boston) - off two consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 43-15 (74.1%) ATS over the last five seasons. Plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (Cleveland) - a rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 43-15 (74.1%) ATS over the last five seasons. Boston is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 home games off three straight games where they made 50% of their shots or more. Take the Cavaliers Friday. |
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12-26-19 | Spurs v. Mavs -5.5 | Top | 98-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
20* Spurs/Mavs TNT No-Brainer on Dallas -5.5 Luka Doncic returned to practice on Tuesday and is likely to make his return from an ankle injury tonight. Playing without Doncic, the Mavs came together as a team and showed they are more than just a one trick pony. It will help them moving forward. In the game they lost Doncic in the opening minutes against Miami, the Mavs took the Heat to overtime and only lost 118-122. They came back and upset Milwaukee on the road as 10-point dogs in their next game. They only lost to Boston by 6 at home, pulled the 117-98 upset win as 8.5-point dogs at Philadelphia, and blew a 30-point lead at Toronto in a 107-110 loss as 3.5-point dogs. That loss to Toronto wouldn’t have sat well with them over Christmas. Look for them to come back home highly motivated for a victory tonight against the San Antonio Spurs. And they’ll be fresh and ready to go on three days’ rest. Dallas is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings in this series. The Spurs are coming off a win over the Grizzlies, they have exactly two winning streaks of two games or more all season. The Spurs are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games following a win, and 4-18 ATS in their last 22 games following a win dating back to last year. The Mavericks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Dallas is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games vs. a team with a losing record. Take the Mavericks Thursday. |
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12-26-19 | Knicks +7.5 v. Nets | 94-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on New York Knicks +7.5 The New York Knicks and Brooklyn Nets do not like each other based on their close proximity. The Knicks want revenge from two losses to the Nets by 4 and 2 points in their first two meetings this season. I expect this game to go down to the wire as well, so getting 7.5 points is a great value. The Knicks have played their best basketball of the season over the last couple weeks. They are 3-4 SU & 4-3 ATS in their last seven games overall. They upset both the Kings as 8.5-point dogs and Warriors as 4.5-point dogs on the road, while also crushing the Hawks by 23 as 2.5-point home favorites. They only lost by 6 at Denver as well. Their only blowout losses during this stretch came to Milwaukee and Miami, two of the best teams in the NBA. The Knicks have certainly held their own against the Nets. New York is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, including 4-1 ATS in its last five trips to Brooklyn. The Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last five Thursday games. Roll with the Knicks Thursday. |
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12-25-19 | Pelicans +10 v. Nuggets | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 35 h 42 m | Show |
20* Pelicans/Nuggets ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on New Orleans +10 After losing 13 straight games, the New Orleans Pelicans are finally starting to show some life and play up to their potential. They have won two of their last three with upset wins at Minnesota as 3-point dogs and at Portland as 6-point dogs. I think it’s a good time to ‘buy low’ on the Pelicans now after losing 14 of their last 16. They are catching double-digits here against the Denver Nuggets when they shouldn’t be. They’ll give the Nuggets a run for their money on Christmas Night, especially now that they are fully healthy outside Zion Williamson. It’s also a good time to ‘sell high’ on the Nuggets, who have won seven straight coming in. But only two of those wins came by double-digits. And this is a tired Nuggets team playing their 3rd game in 4 days and their 12th game in 21 days. The Pelicans will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days Wednesday. Plays on road underdogs (New Orleans) - off a road win, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 49-19 (72.1%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. They haven’t lost any of their last seven meetings with the Nuggets by double-digits, making for a 7-0 system backing them pertaining to this 10-point spread. The Nuggets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games as a favorite. Roll with the Pelicans Wednesday. |
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12-25-19 | Clippers v. Lakers UNDER 223 | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 32 h 12 m | Show | |
15* Clippers/Lakers ABC Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 223 Two of the best teams in the NBA square off at Staples Center on Christmas Day when the Los Angeles Lakers take on the Los Angeles Clippers. I expect this game to be played close to the vest as these teams are quickly becoming two of the biggest rivals in the NBA. You can bet both teams will be laying it all on the line defensively to get a win in this matchup. And both teams have such great records this year largely because they are playing defense. The Clippers are 5th in the NBA in defensive efficiency, while the Lakers are 8th in defensive efficiency. Lebron James (back) and Anthony Davis (knee) are both banged up right now for the Lakers. Both are questionable to play Wednesday, though chances are they’ll both suit up. I’m expecting a result similar to their first meeting this season when the Clippers won 112-102 for 214 combined points. It’s going to be a defensive battle. Plays on the UNDER on home teams where the total is 220 or higher (LA Lakers) - after failing to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games, a well rested team playing just their 2nd game in 5 days are 26-4 (86.7%) since 1996. The Lakers are 19-5 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite over the last two seasons. The Clippers are 21-5 UNDER In road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two years. The UNDER is 13-6-1 in the last 20 meetings. The UNDER is 35-16-1 in Lakers last 52 home games. Take the UNDER in this game Tuesday. |
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12-25-19 | Celtics -2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 118-102 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show |
20* Celtics/Raptors ESPN Early ANNIHILATOR on Boston -2.5 The Toronto Raptors are in a world of hurt right now injury-wise. They are playing without their best player in Pascal Siakam along with fellow starter Marc Gasol and Norman Powell. They don’t stand a chance of beating the Celtics without these three Wednesday. The Raptors just pulled a 30-point comeback win over Dallas at home on Sunday before going into overtime in a loss to Indiana on Monday. It’s safe to say this is a tired, short-handed team now playing their 3rd game in 4 days. They won’t have much left in the tank for the Celtics tonight. Meanwhile, Boston comes in on two days’ rest after last playing on Sunday. They are also playing just their 4th game in 13 days. They are coming off two straight blowout home wins over Detroit by 21 and Charlotte by 26. This team is playing well right now and the Raptors won’t be able to slow them down given the spot. Plays against underdogs (Toronto) - off a cover where they lost straight up as a dog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 65-20 (76.5%) ATS since 1996. Plays on any team (Boston) - off two straight wins by 10 or more against an opponent that has scored 110 points or more in four straight games are 28-9 (75.7%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Celtics are 12-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games as a favorite. The Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall. Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last five games vs. a team with a winning percentage above 60%. Bet the Celtics Tuesday. |
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12-23-19 | Rockets v. Kings +6 | 113-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Sacramento Kings +6 The Sacramento Kings have lost three straight road games coming in. They return home here highly motivated for a victory to get a win before Christmas. Look for them to likely pull the upset at home over the Houston Rockets. While we’re ‘buying low’ on the Kings off three straight losses, we’re ‘selling high’ on the Rockets off three straight wins. They went on the road and upset the Clippers before beating a banged-up Suns team on the road as 9-point favorites. Now they will be playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, which makes this a tough spot for them. Sacramento is 17-6 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less over the last two seasons. The Kings are 14-4 ATS off two or more consecutive road losses over the last three years. Sacramento is 10-1 ATS vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 3-plus points per game this season. The Kings are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record. Sacramento is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games as an underdog. The Kings pulled the 119-118 upset at Houston as 12-point road dogs in their first meeting this season, and they are upset-minded again tonight. Take the Kings Monday. |
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12-23-19 | Jazz v. Heat -4 | 104-107 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Miami Heat -4 The Miami Heat are showing great value as only 4-point home favorites over the Utah Jazz tonight. The Heat are 12-1 SU & 10-2-1 ATS at home this season and winning by 14.2 points per game on average. The Jazz are just 7-8 SU & 5-9-1 ATS on the road this season. Utah is without starting PG Mike Conley as he just can’t seem to get healthy. And I think the Jazz are overvalued due to their five-game winning streak against some bad teams in Minnesota, Golden State, Orlando, Atlanta and Charlotte. All five of those games went down to the wire, too. Miami comes in on two days’ rest after last playing on Friday. And the Heat have the next three days off as well. They are looking to put forth a big effort here knowing they get that time off, plus they are fresh. The Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win. The Heat are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games. Miami is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games as a home favorite. Roll with the Heat Monday. |
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12-22-19 | Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 | 89-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Pacers/Bucks UNDER 219.5 Two of the top defensive teams in the NBA square off tonight when the Indiana Pacers visit the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks rank 1st in the NBA in defensive efficiency, while the Pacers are 7th. That has been key to both of their successes this season. It’s no surprise the UNDER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings. The Bucks and Pacers have combined for 219 or fewer points in each of their last eight meetings, making for a perfect 8-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 219.5-point total. Milwaukee beat Indiana 102-83 in their first meeting this season for just 185 combined points. And the Bucks aren’t at full strength right now as they will be without PG Eric Bledsoe and his 15 PPG and likely Wesley Mathews as well. Jeremy Lamb and Domantas Sabonis are questionable for Indiana. The UNDER is 7-2 in Pacers last nine games overall. The UNDER is 28-9-1 in Pacers last 38 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than 60%. The UNDER is 4-0 in Pacers last four road games. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday. |
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12-21-19 | Kings -105 v. Grizzlies | 115-119 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Sacramento Kings PK It’s a bad spot for both the Sacramento Kings and Memphis Grizzlies tonight. Both teams played last night in road losses to the Pacers and Cavs, respectively. But it’s clearly a worse spot for the Grizzlies, and the Kings are the better team in this matchup, so getting them at a pick ‘em is a great value. Sacramento had two days off prior to that game at Indiana. So the Kings will only be playing their 2nd game in 4 days here. Memphis will be playing its 3rd game in 4 days and its 6th game in 9 days, which is one of the toughest situations in the NBA. I trust the Kings will have more in the tank than the Grizzlies as a result. The Kings are 10-2 ATS vs. good offensive teams that score 110-plus points per game this season. Sacramento is 10-2 ATS off a non-conference game this season. The Kings are 8-0 ATS off two or more consecutive road losses over the last two years. Sacramento is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games off a loss. The Kings are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games. The Grizzlies are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games playing on zero days’ rest. Bet the Kings Saturday. |
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12-20-19 | Knicks +10 v. Heat | 114-129 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on New York Knicks +10 The New York Knicks are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall. They upset both Golden State and Sacramento on the road, and covered in a 6-point loss at 10-point dogs at Denver. They also crushed Atlanta 143-120 at home last time out. The Miami Heat return home from a three-game road trip here. The Heat are in a letdown spot off their upset win at Philadelphia as 9-point dogs last time out. They won’t take the Knicks nearly as seriously as they took the 76ers in that huge showdown Wednesday night. The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. New York is 5-0 ATS in its last five Friday games. The Heat are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Friday games. Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last five games as a favorite. Take the Knicks Friday. |
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12-20-19 | Pistons v. Celtics -9 | 93-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Celtics -9 The Boston Celtics should make easy work of the Detroit Pistons tonight. The Pistons will be without Blake Griffin (16.3 PPG), Luke Kennard (15.8 PPG) and Christian Wood (9.1 PPG). They have zero chance of making this game competitive with the Celtics without these three guys. The Celtics have lost two of their last three coming in, so they won’t be taking the Pistons lightly. But Boston is also rested and ready to go as this will be just their 2nd game in 8 days. The Celtics are 10-1 at home this season, while the Pistons are 4-9 on the road. The Celtics are 22-5 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last three seasons, including 15-2 ATS off an upset win as a road dog over the last three years. Detroit is 3-14 ATS vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by at least 6 points per game over the last two seasons. The Pistons are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog. Bet the Celtics Friday. |
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12-19-19 | Rockets v. Clippers -5 | Top | 122-117 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
20* Rockets/Clippers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -5 It’s the grudge match tonight between the Clippers and Rockets. They have split the first two meetings this season with the home team winning reach. But the Clippers are just now at full strength finally, and I think they will make easy work of the Rockets at home tonight. The Clippers are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games overall with their only losses coming on the road. The Clippers are 14-1 SU & 10-4-1 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by 13.4 points per game. This is a short number for them to be laying at home tonight. The Rockets are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. They have struggled to put away some bad teams. They lost outright to the Pistons as 7.5-point home favorites and outright to the Kings as 12-point favorites. They also failed to cover as 11.5-point home favorites over the Suns and 10-point home favorites over the Spurs. They also let the Cavs take them to the wire as 11.5-point favorites. The Clippers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite. Six of their last seven wins have come by double-digits. Los Angeles is 4-0 ATS in its last four games as a home favorite. Bet the Clippers Thursday. |
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12-19-19 | Nets v. Spurs -3 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday No-Doubt Rout on San Antonio Spurs -3 The Spurs have turned the corner finally and are playing their best basketball of the season. They have gone 4-3 in their last seven games overall with upset wins over the likes of the Clippers and Rockets. And they only lost by 2 to the Rockets as 10-point road dogs last time out. Now the Spurs come in on two days’ rest and will be hosting the Brooklyn Nets. The Nets will be playing their 4th game in 6 days as this will be a tough spot for them. Not to mention, they needed overtime to put away the Pelicans on Tuesday. The Spurs are 21-3 SU in their last 24 home meetings with the Nets. San Antonio is 25-9-1 ATS in its last 35 meetings with Brooklyn, including 6-1 ATS in the last seven home meetings. San Antonio is 21-9 ATS at home with a line of +3 to -3 over the last three seasons. The Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last four Thursday games. The Spurs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games off a loss. Roll with the Spurs Thursday. |
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12-18-19 | Celtics -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
20* Celtics/Mavs ESPN GAME OF THE MONTH on Boston -2.5 I love the spot for the Boston Celtics tonight. The Celtics are coming off two straight tough losses to the Pacers and 76ers in a back-to-back situation. Now they’ve had a whopping five days off to rest and recover after last playing on December 12th. It’s safe to say we will get a big effort from the Celtics tonight. The Mavericks are in a massive letdown spot. They are coming off a shocking 120-116 upset win at Milwaukee as 10-point underdogs on Monday. It’s like the Bucks didn’t take them seriously without Luka Doncic and the Mavericks took advantage. But they’re going to feel the loss of Doncic sooner rather than later, including tonight. You simply don’t replace a player of Doncic’s caliber. He has been neck-and-neck with Giannis as the favorite to win the MVP up to this point. Doncic averages 29.3 points, 9.6 rebounds and 8.9 assists per game. He means everything to the Mavericks. Plays against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Dallas) - a good team outscoring opponents by 6 or more points per game, after allowing 105 points or more three straight games are 30-5 (85.7%) ATS since 1996. Boston is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Celtics are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 trips to Dallas. Bet the Celtics Wednesday. |
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12-17-19 | Lakers v. Pacers +4.5 | Top | 102-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
20* Lakers/Pacers NBA TV No-Brainer on Indiana +4.5 The Lakers will be playing their seventh road game in their last eight contests. They are starting to show signs of wearing down. They failed to cover in a 3-point win at Miami on Friday and also failed to cover in a 5-point win at Atlanta on Sunday. I think their winning streak comes to an end Tuesday. The Indiana Pacers are playing almost as well as the Lakers right now. They are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games overall and should not be catching points at home to Los Angeles tonight. They have gone 6-1 SU at home during this stretch with their only loss to the Clippers. The Lakers are dealing with some injuries right now as Kyle Kuzma is expected to sit out, while Anthony Davis is questionable with an ankle injury suffered against the Hawks. And this is the ultimate lookahead spot as the Lakers have the Bucks on deck Thursday on TNT. I expect them to be overlooking the Pacers and looking ahead to that game against Milwaukee. The Lakers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a road favorite. The Pacers are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games playing on one days’ rest. Bet the Pacers Tuesday. |
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12-16-19 | Spurs +10 v. Rockets | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on San Antonio Spurs +10 The Houston Rockets are getting too much respect from oddsmakers here as 10-point home favorites over the San Antonio Spurs. This team is not playing well enough right now to warrant laying this big of a number. The Rockets are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, which includes upset losses to both the Kings and Pistons. It’s a good time to ‘buy low’ on the Spurs, who have been one of the worst covering teams in the NBA this season at 6-18-1 ATS in their 25 games. The Spurs have won four of their last six coming in over the Clippers, Rockets, Kings and Suns. They have stepped up in class and shown they can hang. Plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (San Antonio) - a rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 44-17 (72.1%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a favorite. Roll with the Spurs Monday. |
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12-16-19 | Cavs +12.5 v. Raptors | 113-133 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Cleveland Cavaliers +12.5 The Toronto Raptors have been struggling here of late without Fred VanVleet, and he’s doubtful again tonight. They Raptors are 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Their only two wins came by a single point over the Bills as 6-point road favorites and by 8 over the Nets as 6.5-point home favorites. The Cleveland Cavaliers have shown they can step up in class here of late and compete. They only lost by 6 as 11.5-point home dogs to the Rockets, went on the road and upset the Spurs by 8 as 12-point dogs, and barely failed to cover at Milwaukee. Now they are catching 12.5-points here to the Raptors, which is too much. Toronto is 6-18 ATS in its last 24 home games vs. teams that allow 48% shooting or higher. The Cavaliers are 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings. Cleveland is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 trips to Toronto. Take the Cavaliers Monday. |
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12-15-19 | Lakers v. Hawks +12 | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Hawks +12 There’s no doubt you’re paying a premium now to back the 23-3 Los Angeles Lakers. They have covered five of their last six and are now laying double-digits on the road to the Atlanta Hawks. This is a game the Hawks will give them a run for their money tonight. It’s a bad spot for the Lakers. They are coming off a win in Miami, and there’s a lot of distractions that come along with playing in Miami. Teams often times come out flat in their next game. And the Lakers will be playing their 3rd straight road game here and are in the midst of a stretch of eight of their last nine on the road. The Hawks have failed to cover three in a row, and it’s a good time to ‘buy low’ on them. They’ll show up for the Lakers today. Kyle Kuzma is out and Lebron James is questionable for the Lakers. The Hawks are fully healthy outside the suspension to John Collins. The Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Hawks are 44-19 ATS in their last 63 games off a double-digit home loss. Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Roll with the Hawks Sunday. |
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12-14-19 | Thunder v. Nuggets -6.5 | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Denver Nuggets -6.5 The Denver Nuggets are currently undervalued because they went 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS over a six-game stretch where five of six games were on the road. I cashed them in when they returned home as 8-point favorites in a 15-point win over the Blazers. I think the Nuggets remain undervalued here as only 6.5-point home favorites over the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Pepsi Center has been a house of horrors for opponents as Denver had the best home-court advantage in the NBA last year. The Nuggets are 9-3 at home this season as well. Few teams have owned the Thunder like the Nuggets have. Indeed, the Nuggets are 8-1 SU & 9-0 ATS in their last nine meetings with the Thunder. They won all four meetings last year with OKC all by 7 points or more. And that was when the Thunder were actually good with Paul George and Russell Westbrook. Take the Nuggets Saturday. |
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12-14-19 | Pistons +7 v. Rockets | Top | 115-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +7 This is a very tough spot for the Houston Rockets. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. They have to travel from Orlando back to Houston overnight and won’t have a whole lot left in the. Tank for the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons had yesterday off and will be fresh for this one. Making matters worse for the Rockets is that they were already without Eric Gordon, but now they will be without Russell Westbrook tonight, plus Tyson Chandler is questionable. The Pistons are fully healthy outside of Reggie Jackson. Plays against any team (Houston) - a tired team playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 76-39 (66.1%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Pistons are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. Bet the Pistons Saturday. |
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12-13-19 | Rockets v. Magic +6.5 | Top | 130-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Orlando Magic +6.5 The Houstons Rockets barely survived the lowly Cleveland Cavaliers on the road Wednesday in a 116-110 win as 11.5-point favorites. Now the Rockets are laying 6.5 points on the road to the Orlando Magic and they shouldn’t be. I’ll take the value with the Magic at home tonight. The Rockets have failed to cover three straight and four of their last five. They have some key injuries right now as they are playing without two of their best guards in Eric Gordon and Austin Rivers. They can’t be trusted to lay points on the road here against an Orlando Magic team that is playing well right now. Indeed, the Magic have won four of their last six with their only losses coming to the Bucks and Lakers, which are arguably the two best teams in the NBA. They were competitive in both games as each loss came by single-digits. The Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. Orlando is 23-9 ATS after covering four of their last five against the spread over the last three seasons. The Rockets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as road favorites. The Magic are 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetings, including 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Orlando. Bet the Magic Friday. |
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12-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -6 | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
15* Blazers/Nuggets TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Denver -6 The Denver Nuggets are highly motivated for a victory tonight. They have lost five of their last six coming in and it’s understandable considering they played five of their last six on the road. Now they are back in the Pepsi Center where they have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA. We know we’re going to get a big effort from the Nuggets here, which is a big factor when handicapping the NBA. The Nuggets had the best home record in the NBA last season and are 8-3 at home this year. They should be able to handle the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. The Blazers have been hit hard by injuries this season as they remain without Jusuf Nurkic, Zach Collins and Rodney Hood. Injuries prompted them to sign Carmelo Anthony. The Blazers are just 10-15 this season, including 5-9 on the road. They are nowhere near as good as they were last season when they made a deep run in the playoffs. Plays against underdogs (Portland) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a team with a winning record are 71-35 (67%) ATS since 1996. The Blazers are 1-6-2 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team that wins more than 60% of their games. Portland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 road games. Denver is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Bet the Nuggets Thursday. |
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12-12-19 | Mavs v. Pistons +6 | 122-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +6 The Dallas Mavericks are starting to get way too much respect from oddsmakers after going 10-2 SU & 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Now they’re being asked to go on the road and lay 6 points to a solid Detroit Pistons team that is as healthy as they have been all season now. The Pistons are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with their only loss coming to arguably the best team in the NBA in the Milwaukee Bucks. They beat San Antonio by 34 at home and Cleveland by 33 on the road. They also upset Indiana by 7 at home and won at New Orleans. I really like the way this team is playing right now. The Pistons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and have consistently had one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA over the past few seasons. The Mavericks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games playing on three or more days’ rest. That break actually wasn’t good for them as it halted the momentum they had. The Pistons are 15-4 ATS in home games after having won three of their last four games over the past three seasons. They are winning by 11.2 points per game in this spot. Roll with the Pistons Thursday. |
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12-11-19 | Hornets +9.5 v. Nets | 113-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Charlotte Hornets +9.5 The Brooklyn Nets are starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers. They are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall. It’s time to ’sell high’ on them tonight as 9.5-point favorites. It’s their highest favorite role all season, and only the 2nd time in 24 games that they’ve been favored by more than 4.5 points. This number had been adjusted for the Hornets playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. But this is a young team that won’t be affected as much by this situation. And I think what will energize the Hornets tonight is playing with double-revenge, two losses to Brooklyn since November 20th. It will be their 3rd meeting in three weeks, and I look for the Hornets to put their best foot forward tonight. Charlotte is 8-1 ATS after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games this season. The Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games when playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. Take the Hornets Wednesday. |
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12-11-19 | Clippers v. Raptors UNDER 221.5 | Top | 112-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
20* Clippers/Raptors ESPN No-Brainer on UNDER 221.5 The defensive intensity in this game tonight is going to stellar. Kawhi Leonard returns to Toronto for the first time since leaving in free agency for the Clippers. Both teams will want this game very badly, and I expect it to show on the defensive end. We actually saw it in the first meeting this season in Los Angeles. The Clippers pulled away late to win 98-88 as 9.5-point favorites. That game saw just 186 combined points with a 220.5-point total, and now they’ve set the total too high again here at 221.5. Both teams rank in the Top 7 in the NBA in defensive efficiency. Plays on the UNDER on any team (LA Clippers) - in a game involving two good teams that win between 60% and 75% of their games in December games are 62-18 (77.5%) over the last five seasons. The Clippers are 20-5 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons. The UNDER is 8-1 in Clippers last nine games off an ATS win. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday. |
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12-10-19 | Nuggets v. 76ers -4 | Top | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
20* Nuggets/76ers TNT No-Brainer on Philadelphia -4 The Philadelphia 76ers are 12-0 at home this season and winning by 13.2 points pre game. Getting them as only 4-point home favorites over the struggling Denver Nuggets is a gift from oddsmakers tonight. We’ll take advantage. The Nuggets are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall with their only win coming against the Knicks. They have lost three road games to the Kings, Celtics and Nets during this stretch, so I don’t see how they are going to hang with the 76ers tonight. Philadelphia wants revenge from a 97-100 road loss at Denver in their first meeting this season. The 76ers blew a 15-point halftime lead and have not forgotten. Philadelphia is 28-14 ATS in home games when revenging a loss over the last three seasons. The home team has won four straight in this series. The 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings with the Nuggets. Denver is 0-5-1 ATS in its last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Philadelphia is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Bet the 76ers Tuesday. |
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12-09-19 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -3 | 110-102 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
15* Grizzlies/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State -3 The Golden State Warriors now have both D’Angelo Russell and Draymond Green back healthy. They are playing some more competitive basketball as a result and should be able to handle the lowly Memphis Grizzlies at home tonight. This is a good spot for the Warriors, who come in on two days’ rest and will be fresh and ready to go. The Warriors beat the Grizzlies 114-95 on the road on November 19th. It should be more of the same at home this time around. The Grizzlies are dealing with some injuries right now to Kyle Anderson and Brandon Clark. It’s a Grizzlies team playing some really poor basketball right now. They have gone 1-9 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Grizzlies are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games as a road underdog. The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings with the Grizzlies and 4-1 ATS in their last five home meetings against Memphis. Take the Warriors Monday. |
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12-09-19 | Raptors -5.5 v. Bulls | 93-92 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Toronto Raptors -5.5 The Toronto Raptors have lost three straight for the first time all season. The three losses came to the Heat, Rockets and 76ers, who are three of the best teams in the NBA. Now they’ll be highly motivated and should get back on track with a win and cover against the lowly Chicago Bulls tonight. The Bulls are in a tough spot as they are coming off an overtime loss to the Heat in Miami last night. They’ll now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. The Raptors will also be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, but they had two days off prior to playing the 76ers last night and will have more left in the tank than the Bulls. The Raptors simply own the Bulls with 10 straight wins over Chicago in this series. The Raptors are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five trips to Chicago winning by 24, 23, 39, 24 and 9 points. They have won those five games by an average of 23.8 points per game. Plays on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Toronto) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points in their last three games against an opponent that went under the total by 54 or more points in their last 10 games are 41-13 (75.9%) ATS since 1996. The Raptors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Bulls are 9-24 ATS in their last 33 home games. Chicago is 6-23 ATS in its last 29 games as a home underdog. The Bulls are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games after covering three of their last four ATS. Roll with the Raptors Monday. |
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12-08-19 | Bulls v. Heat -7 | 105-110 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Miami Heat -7 The Miami Heat have been one of the most underrated teams in the NBA this season. They are 16-6 SU & 14-7-1 ATS in all games this year. They have been unstoppable at home, going 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS while winning by 17.1 points per game on average. The Chicago Bulls have been overrated all season. They are 8-15 SU & 10-13 ATS in their 23 games this year. The Bulls are coming off an ugly upset home loss to the Warriors and should be double-digit road dogs here to the Miami Heat. Chicago is 15-30 ATS in road games with a total of 210 to 219.5 over the last three seasons. The Bulls spent last night in South Beach, so you can only imagine what they got into. The Heat improve to 10-0 at home this season with another blowout win over the Bulls. Roll with the Heat Sunday. |
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12-08-19 | Hawks v. Hornets -2.5 | 122-107 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Charlotte Hornets -2.5 The Charlotte Hornets need to be favored by more than 2.5 points at home against the Atlanta Hawks tonight. We’ll take advantage and side with the Hornets, who have been undervalued basically all season and consistently lack the respect they deserve from oddsmakers. The Hawks are 1-11 SU In their last 12 games overall with their only win coming at home against the lowly Golden State Warriors. The Hawks are missing some key players right now as John Collins remains suspended and De’Andre Hunter is out. Meanwhile, the Hornets are fully healthy. The Hawks are 0-8 ATS after having lost two of their last three games this season. Atlanta is 2-10 ATS vs. poor defensive teams that allow 110 or more points per game this season. Take the Hornets Sunday. |
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12-07-19 | Grizzlies v. Jazz UNDER 219 | 112-126 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
15* Grizzlies/Jazz NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 219 I really like this UNDER tonight between the Grizzlies and Jazz. These teams are very familiar with one another as this will be their 3rd meeting in three weeks. And familiarity almost always favors the defenses because they know what to expect from the offenses. Not to mention, the first two meetings in this series went UNDER the total with combined scores of 213 points on November 15th and 197 points on November 29th. Now, oddsmakers have somehow set this total way higher than it should be at 219 points in the 3rd meeting. This has always been a low-scoring series. In fact, the Jazz and Grizzlies haven’t combined for more than 218 points in any of their last 44 meetings. That makes for a perfect 44-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 219-point total. Take the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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12-07-19 | Pelicans +9.5 v. Mavs | Top | 84-130 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
20* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on New Orleans Pelicans +9.5 I really like the spot for the New Orleans Pelicans today. They will be playing with double-revenge after losing the first two meetings with the Mavericks this season. They’ll be motivated for a win, while the Mavericks will take them lightly and that will make it difficult for them to win by double-digits, which is what it would take to beat us. It’s a great time to ‘buy low’ on the Pelicans, who have lost seven straight coming in while going 1-5-1 ATS in the process. It’s time to ’sell high’ on the Mavericks, who are 9-1 SU & 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. This line is inflated due to these recent results from both teams. Plays against any team (Dallas) - off two consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 40-14 (74.1%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Pelicans are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games off a home loss. The Mavericks are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games playing on two days’ rest. Bet the Pelicans Saturday. |
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12-06-19 | Nuggets v. Celtics -3.5 | Top | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
20* Nuggets/Celtics ESPN No-Brainer on Boston -3.5 The Boston Celtics want revenge from a 92-96 road loss at Denver on November 22nd exactly two weeks ago. Now they get to face the Nuggets at home this time around. And it’s a Nuggets team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back following a road win over the Knicks last night. The Celtics will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days here and are coming off a 112-93 home win over the Heat. The Celtics improved to 8-0 SU & 5-3 ATS at home this season where they are outscoring opponents by 8.4 points per game. This is a short number to be laying with the Celtics at home tonight given the rest advantage and revenge. Plays against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Denver) - off a road win when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 62-30 (67.4%) ATS over the last five seasons. Denver is 6-20 ATS in road games off a win by 10 points or more over the last three seasons. The Celtics are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Celtics Friday. |
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12-06-19 | Magic v. Cavs +4 | 93-87 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Cavaliers +4 The Cleveland Cavaliers are highly motivated for a win after dropping four straight coming in. One of those losses was a 104-116 home loss to the Magic on November 27th, so they will be out for revenge just over a week later here in the rematch. The Cavaliers are rested and ready to go tonight. They will be playing just their 2nd game in 7 days. Meanwhile, the Magic will be playing 3rd game in 4 days and are overvalued off two straight wins over Washington and Phoenix. Plays against road favorites (Orlando) - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, in December games are 55-26 (67.9%) ATS over the last five seasons. Plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Cleveland) off four or more consecutive losses, in December games are 43-18 (70.5%) ATS over the last five seasons. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 6-1 SU in the last seven meetings. Cleveland is 18-8-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings. The Cavaliers are 54-29 ATS in their last 73 games when playing just their 2nd game in 7 days. Cleveland is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on two days’ rest. Take the Cavaliers Friday. |
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12-06-19 | Nets v. Hornets +3 | 111-104 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Charlotte Hornets +3 The Charlotte Hornets have certainly been more competitive than most prognosticators anticipated coming into the season. They are 9-14 SU & 12-11 ATS in their 23 games this season. They have won three of their last five coming in with their only losses coming on the road to Milwaukee and at home to Phoenix by 5 after the Suns closed on a 10-0 run. The Brooklyn Nets are getting too much respect from oddsmakers here as road favorites. They are getting that respect due to going 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last six games overall. But their six wins have come against the Hornets, Kings, Knicks, Cavs, Celtics and Hawks. The Nets beat the Hornets 101-91 at home on November 20th. Now the Hornets want revenge at home this time around just over two weeks later. The Hornets are 6-2 SU in their last eight home meetings with the Nets with one of those losses coming by 2 points. Brooklyn is 15-30 ATS in its last 45 road games off three or more consecutive ATS wins. The Nets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games off a win by more than 10 points. The Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. Charlotte is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games as a home dog of 0.5 to 4.5 points. Roll with the Hornets Friday. |
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12-05-19 | Rockets v. Raptors -1 | 119-109 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
15* Rockets/Raptors NBA TV ANNIHILATOR on Toronto -1 The Toronto Raptors are coming off their first home loss of the season. The Miami Heat beat them in overtime. The Raptors are now 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS at home this season and outscoring opponents by 12.7 points per game. Look for them to bounce back at home tonight against the Houston Rockets. The Rockets are in a tough spot off a double-overtime loss at San Antonio Tuesday. Now they have to travel to Toronto and face a motivated Raptors team here tonight. It’s a Raptors team that has been underrated all season at 15-5 SU & 13-7 ATS. Plays against underdogs (Houston) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 26-5 (83.9%) ATS over the last five seasons. Houston is 3-12 ATS off a combined score of 245 points or more over the last two seasons. The Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5 points. Toronto is 25-5 ATS in its last 30 games playing on one days’ rest. The Raptors are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home meetings with the Rockets. Take the Raptors Thursday. |
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12-04-19 | Lakers v. Jazz -2.5 | Top | 121-96 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Utah Jazz -2.5 This is the worst spot the Lakers have been in this entire season. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 8th game in 13 days. After playing in altitude last night in Denver, they now have to play in altitude again tonight in Utah. The Lakers won’t have much left in the tank. The Utah Jazz come in highly motivated for a win after losing four of five on their five-game road trip. Now they’re back home where they are 8-1 on the season with one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA. They will take advantage of this tired Lakers team tonight and get a win and cover. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine meetings. The Jazz are 8-0 SU in their last eight home meetings with the Lakers. Take the Jazz Wednesday. |
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12-04-19 | Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 226 | Top | 127-103 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Bucks/Pistons UNDER 226 The Milwaukee Bucks and Detroit Pistons just played less than two weeks ago. The Bucks won 104-90 at home as 13-point favorites. That game saw just 194 combined points, and now oddsmakers are setting the total at 226 in the rematch. This total is way too high to say the least. The Pistons won’t have much left in the tank playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. They were also playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days the last time they faced the Bucks and managed just 90 points on 40.7% shooting. The Pistons have been dynamite defensively over their last games in allowing just 98.4 points per game on 42.8% shooting. The Bucks have held four of their last six opponents to 102 points or fewer and remain a very good defensive team. Detroit is 15-3 UNDER when playing its 3rd game in 4 days over the last two seasons. The UNDER is 35-16-1 in Pistons last 52 games playing on zero days’ rest. Plays on the UNDER on any team (Detroit) - off a blowout win by 30 or more against an opponent that led its last game by 15 or more at the half are 53-13 (80.3%) since 1996. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday. |
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12-03-19 | Lakers v. Nuggets -2 | Top | 105-96 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
20* Lakers/Nuggets NBA No-Brainer on Denver -2 The Denver Nuggets had won 10 of 11 before suffering an upset loss at Sacramento on Saturday. I believe they were overlooking the Kings and looking ahead to this huge showdown with the Lakers, which is understandable. Now they’ve had two days off to get over that loss and get ready for the Lakers. The Lakers are coming off a 100-114 home loss to the Mavericks to end their 10-game winning streak. I like fading teams the game after their long winning streak comes to an end because there just always seems to be a hangover effect. And this is a tired Lakers team playing their 7th game in 12 days and have to travel to Utah tomorrow night. Home-court advantage has been huge int his series as the home team is 8-1 SU & 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. The Nuggets are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five home meetings with the Lakers winning all five games by 9 points or more and by an average of 18.8 points per game. Bet the Nuggets Tuesday. |
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12-03-19 | Magic v. Wizards -2 | 127-120 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Washington Wizards -2 Despite being just 6-12 SU this season, the Washington Wizards are 11-7 ATS and have been an undervalued commodity this season. And it’s worth noting they have played a road-heavy schedule with 11 road games compared to seven home games. The Wizards are back home here off a brutal four-game road trip at Denver, Phoenix, LA Lakers and LA Clippers. It’s safe to say they are battle-tested. And now I expect them to handle their business at home against the Orlando Magic tonight. They want revenge from a 121-125 loss at Orlando two weeks ago in their first meeting this season. The Magic have lost four of their last six with their only wins coming against Cleveland and Golden State. Orlando is dealing with some injuries right now with Nikola Vucevic, Al-Farouq Aminu and Michael Carter-Williams all out tonight. The home team is 8-2 SU in the last 10 meetings. The Wizards have won five straight home meetings with the Magic. Washington is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 home meetings with the Magic. Orlando is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games following a win. The Wizards are 21-10 ATS in home games when revenging a loss over the last two seasons. Take the Wizards Tuesday. |
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12-02-19 | Bulls +5.5 v. Kings | 113-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
15* Bulls/Kings NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on Chicago +5.5 It’s time to ‘buy low’ on the Chicago Bulls tonight as road underdogs to the Sacramento Kings. They have lost seven of their last nine games overall. But they are coming in on two days’ rest and will be primed for a big effort today against a Kings team that is very beatable. It’s also time to ‘sell high’ on the Kings, who are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall and starting to become overvalued because of it. They are coming off a huge upset home win over the Denver Nuggets, which also makes them primed for a letdown here against the Bulls. Keep in mind during this 12-1 ATS run the Kings were underdogs in all but three games, and they were never favored by more than 3 points. So they are now laying their biggest number since October 30th at home against the Hornets. And they have been mostly dogs during this stretch because they are still missing De’Aaron Fox and Marvin Bagley III. They are far from full strength. Take the Bulls Monday. |
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12-01-19 | Thunder v. Pelicans -2.5 | 107-104 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on New Orleans Pelicans -2.5 I love the situation for the New Orleans Pelicans today. This is a home-and-home situation. The Thunder just beat the Pelicans 109-104 at home on Friday. Now these teams play in a rematch at New Orleans just two days later. The Pelicans will be highly motivated for revenge in this one. The Thunder are just 1-7 on the road this season and giving up 110.4 points per game. The Pelicans have played their best basketball at home and nearly upset the Lakers are 6.5-point home dogs in their last home game. They should have no problem covering this short 2.5-point spread tonight. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings with all six wins coming by 4 points or more. The Thunder are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 Sunday games. The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. Roll with the Pelicans Sunday. |
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11-30-19 | Hornets +13.5 v. Bucks | 96-137 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Charlotte Hornets +13.5 The Milwaukee Bucks are 16-3 this season, but they have been struggling to cover these big spreads they are asked to lay night in and night out. That has been the case here of late especially as the Bucks are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Milwaukee only won 119-110 at Cleveland as 11.5-point favorites last night. They only won 111-102 as 14.5-point home favorites over Atlanta the game before. They only won 122-118 as 8.5-point home favorites over Utah, 137-129 as 14-point home favorites over Portland and 135-127 as 11-point favorites over Atlanta in their previous three games. They did cover by one in a 14-point win over Detroit as a 13-point favorite in a 1-5 ATS stretch over their last six. Charlotte has rarely lost by this kind of margin. In fact, in their last 12 games, the Hornets have only been beaten twice by more than 10 points. They are coming off two straight upset wins and they certainly believe they can hang with the Bucks tonight. Milwaukee is 36-59 ATS in its last 95 games as a favorite of 10 points or more. The Hornets are 8-0 ATS in their last eight vs. NBA Central Division opponents. Charlotte is 4-0 ATS in its last four games playing on zero days’ rest. Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win. The Hornets are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Bet the Hornets Saturday. |
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11-29-19 | Jazz v. Grizzlies UNDER 220 | 103-94 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Jazz/Grizzlies UNDER 220 I think there’s great value with this UNDER tonight. The Jazz and Grizzlies just met on November 15th with the Grizzlies winning 107-106 at home for 213 combined points. These teams are now very familiar with one another and will be playing just two weeks later. That favors the defenses. This has always been a low-scoring series. In fact, the Jazz and Grizzlies haven’t combined for more than 218 points in any of the last 43 meetings. That makes for a perfect 43-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 220-point total. Memphis is 15-3 UNDER in home games off two or more consecutive overs over the last three seasons. The UNDER is 24-9 in Jazz last 33 vs. Western Conference opponents. The UNDER is 22-7 in the last 29 meetings in Memphis. Take the UNDER in this game Friday. |
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11-29-19 | Hornets v. Pistons -7.5 | Top | 110-107 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Pistons -7.5 I love the spot for the Detroit Pistons tonight. This is a home-and-home situation after these two teams played in Charlotte on Wednesday. The Hornets won that game 102-101 in thrilling fashion. Now the Pistons will want their revenge at home tonight and will clearly be the more motivated team. I believe it leads to a blowout win in Detroit’s favor. The Pistons have been great at home here of late. They beat the Hawks 128-103 as 6-point favorites and topped the Magic 103-88 as 5-point favorites in their two most recent home games. They are 5-3 SU & 5-3 ATS at home this season. The Hornets are just 3-7 on the road this season and getting outscored by 9.8 points per game. In their last four road games, the Hornets are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS losing by 17 at Miami, by 7 at Washington, by 10 at Brooklyn and by 36 at Toronto. The Hornets are 7-25 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last three seasons. The Hornets will be playing their 9th game in 15 days, while the Pistons will be playing just their 7th game in 19 days. The Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Bet the Pistons Friday. |
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11-27-19 | Thunder v. Blazers -2.5 | 119-136 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Portland Trail Blazers -2.5 The Portland Trail Blazers just got back Damian Lillard from injury. They promptly went on the road and crushed the Bulls 117-94 as 1-point favorites. Now they are back home following a tough six-game road trip and in need of wins. The Blazers should be able to handle their business against a tired Oklahoma City Thunder team that has played four straight grueling nail biters. They lost three straight to the Clippers and Lakers (twice) before barely escaping with a 100-97 win at Golden State on Monday. They’ll now be playing their 4th road game in their last five contests. The Blazers own the Thunder, going 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in the last six meetings. And this is a Thunder team that isn’t nearly as good as the one they’ve been up against over the past few seasons. They no longer have Russell Westbrook and Paul George. Portland is 33-16-3 ATS in its last 52 games off a win by more than 10 points. Oklahoma City is 16-36 ATS in its last 52 games off a road win by 3 points or less. The Thunder are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a losing record. Take the Blazers Wednesday. |
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11-27-19 | Jazz v. Pacers -1.5 | Top | 102-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -1.5 The Indiana Pacers have been flying under the radar over the past month. They are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games overall with their only losses coming to Houston, Milwaukee and Charlotte (by 2). They are getting no respect at home tonight as only 1.5-point favorites over the Utah Jazz. The Pacers are as healthy as they’ve been all season as they have everyone but Victor Oladipo healthy now. It’s a big reason why they are playing so well. And the Pacers will certainly have fresh legs as this will be just their 3rd game in 9 days. Indiana has had Utah’s number in recent seasons. The Pacers are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. They won by 33 at Utah and by 27 at home against the Jazz in their two meetings last year. Plays against underdogs (Utah) - off a road cover where they lost SU as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 58-17 (77.3%) ATS since 1996. Indiana is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 home games vs. Western Conference opponents. Bet the Pacers Wednesday. |
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11-26-19 | Clippers v. Mavs +2.5 | 114-99 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
15* Clippers/Mavs NBA TV ANNIIHILATOR on Dallas +2.5 The Dallas Mavericks are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall with all five wins coming by 7 points or more. And it’s not like they are beating up on cupcakes as they topped the defending champion Raptors 110-102 at home and went on the road and upset the Rockets 137-123 as 5.5-point dogs. Now, the Mavericks will host one of the favorites to win the title in the Los Angeles Clippers, and I think they’ll be up to the challenge. The Clippers have also won five straight, but they’ve been much less impressive with wins by 2, 3 and 3 points. And all five wins came at home. The Clippers are just 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS on the road this season where they are giving up 119.2 points per game. They have benefited from a very easy home-heavy schedule with 12 games at home compared to just five on the road. Home-court advantage has been huge int his series as the home team is 9-0 SU & 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. The Mavericks are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four home meetings with the Clippers. Roll with the Mavericks Tuesday. |
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11-25-19 | Grizzlies +9.5 v. Pacers | 114-126 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Memphis Grizzlies +9.5 I like the value we are getting on the Memphis Grizzlies today. The Pacers would have to win by double-digits to beat us, and I don’t see that happening. The Pacers aren’t a good enough team to be laying double-digits to almost anyone. It’s a good time to ’sell high’ on Indiana, which has won nine of its last 12 games coming in. It’s a good time to ‘buy low’ on the Grizzlies, who have lost three straight coming in. But they barely lost 108-109 to the Lakers as 8-point dogs last time out. And now the Grizzlies will be playing just their 2nd game in 6 days tonight. Plays on road underdogs (Memphis) - off three or more consecutive losses, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 81-46 (63.8%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Grizzlies are 16-6 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Roll with the Grizzlies Monday. |
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11-25-19 | Magic v. Pistons -4.5 | Top | 88-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Pistons -4.5 The Detroit Pistons are as healthy as they’ve been all season. The only key player they are missing now is Reggie Jackson. They should be a good bet in the short term because they are undervalued now after a 5-11 SU & 5-9-2 ATS start this season. Injuries have taken their toll on the Orlando Magic. They are playing without arguably their two best players in Aaron Gordon and Nikola Vucevic, and they are also without PG Michael Carter-Williams. They lost by 16 in Toronto and by 5 in Indiana in their last two games coming in. It’s going to get worse before it gets better for the Pacers until Gordon and Vucevic return. The Magic are 0-6 SU & 2-4 ATS on the road this season. The Pistons are 37-13 SU & 28-18-4 ATS in their last 50 home meetings with the Magic. The home team is 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings in this series. Take the Pistons Monday. |
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11-24-19 | Kings v. Wizards -3.5 | Top | 113-106 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
20* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Wizards -3.5 The Washington Wizards continue to lack the respect they deserve from oddsmakers as only 3.5-point home favorites against the injury-ravaged Sacramento Kings tonight. The Wizards are 10-3 ATS this season and have been one of the best covering teams in the league. The Wizards come in playing their best basketball of the season, going 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall. They only lost by 7 at Boston as 7.5-point dogs and by 4 at Orlando as 5.5-point dogs. They beat Minnesota by 21 on the road as 5.5-point dogs, topped the Spurs by 6 at home as 2-point dogs and covered in a 7-point win over the Hornets as 6-point home favorites. The Kings are coming off a bad 19-point loss at Brooklyn and things are going to get worse before they get better due to their injuries. They are playing without De’Aaron Fox, Marvin Bagley, Bogdan Bogdanovic and Trevor Ariza right now. The Wizards are 5-1 SU & 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings with the Kings. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 10-2 SU & 10-1-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Bet the Wizards Sunday. |
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11-23-19 | Pelicans +7.5 v. Jazz | Top | 120-128 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on New Orleans Pelicans +7.5 The New Orleans Pelicans have gotten healthy finally and are starting to play their best basketball of the season as a result. They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall, and they should not be catching 7.5 points to the Utah Jazz given the awful spot for Utah. Indeed, the Jazz will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after needing some late game heroics to beat a bad Golden State team 113-109 as 16-point favorites last night. The Jazz won’t have much left in the tank for the Pelicans, who play at one of the fastest paces in the NBA and will test a Jazz team playing their 3rd game in 4 days. Home-court advantage has meant nothing in this series. The road team is 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings. The Pelicans pulled the upset in each of their last two trips to Utah, and they haven’t lost by more than 8 points in any of their last six trips to Salt Lake City. Plays on road underdogs (New Orleans) - a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 48-15 (76.2%) ATS over the last five seasons. Plays on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (New Orleans) - off a road win, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 28-8 (77.8%) ATS over the last five seasons. Take the Pelicans Saturday. |
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11-23-19 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +7.5 | 109-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Memphis Grizzlies +7.5 The Memphis Grizzlies are coming off an ugly blowout home loss to the Golden State Warriors, failing to cover the spread by 25.5 points. The betting public wants nothing to do with them now, and this is a great time to ‘buy low’ on the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have had three days off to stew over that loss, and now they’ll be fresh, motivated and ready to go with Lebron James and company coming to town tonight. They will certainly be up for this game, and it’s understandable they thought they could just show up and beat the Warriors. The Lakers are in an awful spot. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a grueling, 130-127 shootout win over the Oklahoma City Thunder on the road last night. Now they have to travel all the way to Memphis and will be playing on tired legs. The Lakers are already overvalued after winning 13 of their last 14 games overall, and we’ll gladly ’sell high’ on them in this flat spot. Plays on home underdogs (Memphis) - revenging a road loss by 10 points or Moree, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 35-10 (77.8%) ATS since 1996. The Lakers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Take the Grizzlies Saturday. |
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11-23-19 | Spurs v. Knicks +2.5 | 111-104 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on New York Knicks +2.5 The San Antonio Spurs are a complete dumpster fire. They have gone 0-8 SU & 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and are now a league-worst 2-13-1 ATS on the season. It’s not going to get any better for them tonight. The Spurs will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days, which is one of the toughest situations in the NBA. They lost 104-115 on the road to the 76ers last night and will be playing their 4th straight road game. Simply put, the Spurs are running on fumes right now. The Knicks have finally gotten healthy and are playing their best basketball of the season coming in. The Knicks are 2-2 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall. They upset the Mavericks as 7.5-point home dogs and blew out the Cavs by 18 as 5.5-point home favorites. They only lost by a single point to the Hornets, and they gave Philadelphia a battle on the road in a 104-109 road loss as 13-point dogs last time out. Now the Knicks come in on two days’ rest having last played on Wednesday and will be fresh and ready to go. The Spurs will have nothing left in the tank and will lose their 9th straight game tonight. Roll with the Knicks Saturday. |
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11-22-19 | Rockets v. Clippers -5 | Top | 119-122 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
20* Rockets/Clippers ESPN 2-0 Parlay SWEEPER on Los Angeles -5/UNDER 229 Reasons for Clippers: The Clippers want revenge from a 93-102 road loss at Houston on November 13th just nine days ago. Look for them to have their revenge as they get the Rockets at home this time around, plus they have Paul George now with a few games under his belt and feeling confident in his role. The Clippers are 9-1 SU & 6-3 ATS at home this season. They are outscoring opponents by 10.7 points per game at home. It will be a great atmosphere for the Clippers here Friday night. The Rockets are overvalued after going 8-1 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last eight games overall against suspect competition. I faded them with success in their 95-105 loss at Denver on Wednesday, and I’m fading them again tonight. Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Houston) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points in their last three games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 70-32 (68.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Clippers are 15-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last two seasons. Bet the Clippers Friday. Reasons for UNDER: These teams are obviously very familiar with one another having played just nine days ago. Familiarity breeds low-scoring games. And that game saw just 195 combined points, and now we have a total of 229, which is 34 points higher. There’s clearly a ton of value with the UNDER. The Clippers are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA now with their ability to switch on the perimeter with Patrick Beverly, Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. Those guys have tremendous wing spans and they are going to give James Harden and Russell Westbrook problems. The Rockets have been very good defensively, too. The UNDER is 9-2 in Rockets last 11 games overall. They have allowed 108 or fewer points in seven of their last nine games. They are missing Eric Gordon on offense and that has certainly hurt their floor spacing on that end. Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA Clippers) - after going under the total by 18 or more points in their last three games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-10 (75%) since 1996. Houston is 10-1 UNDER in road games vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 6-plus points per game over the last three seasons. The UNDER is 20-6 in Rockets last 26 road games, including 7-0 in November road games. The UNDER is 8-2 in Clippers last 10 home games. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday. |
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11-22-19 | Rockets v. Clippers UNDER 229 | Top | 119-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
20* Rockets/Clippers ESPN 2-0 Parlay SWEEPER on Los Angeles -5/UNDER 229 Reasons for Clippers: The Clippers want revenge from a 93-102 road loss at Houston on November 13th just nine days ago. Look for them to have their revenge as they get the Rockets at home this time around, plus they have Paul George now with a few games under his belt and feeling confident in his role. The Clippers are 9-1 SU & 6-3 ATS at home this season. They are outscoring opponents by 10.7 points per game at home. It will be a great atmosphere for the Clippers here Friday night. The Rockets are overvalued after going 8-1 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last eight games overall against suspect competition. I faded them with success in their 95-105 loss at Denver on Wednesday, and I’m fading them again tonight. Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Houston) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points in their last three games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 70-32 (68.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Clippers are 15-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last two seasons. Bet the Clippers Friday. Reasons for UNDER: These teams are obviously very familiar with one another having played just nine days ago. Familiarity breeds low-scoring games. And that game saw just 195 combined points, and now we have a total of 229, which is 34 points higher. There’s clearly a ton of value with the UNDER. The Clippers are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA now with their ability to switch on the perimeter with Patrick Beverly, Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. Those guys have tremendous wing spans and they are going to give James Harden and Russell Westbrook problems. The Rockets have been very good defensively, too. The UNDER is 9-2 in Rockets last 11 games overall. They have allowed 108 or fewer points in seven of their last nine games. They are missing Eric Gordon on offense and that has certainly hurt their floor spacing on that end. Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA Clippers) - after going under the total by 18 or more points in their last three games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-10 (75%) since 1996. Houston is 10-1 UNDER in road games vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 6-plus points per game over the last three seasons. The UNDER is 20-6 in Rockets last 26 road games, including 7-0 in November road games. The UNDER is 8-2 in Clippers last 10 home games. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday. |