Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-01-14 | Miami Heat -5 v. New York Knicks | 106-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
4* Major *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Heat -5
Bottom Line: Playing on any team that is looking for revenge for an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 points or more and is also coming off a home loss has resulted in a 23-5 ATS record since 1996. The Heat are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. |
|||||||
02-01-14 | Milwaukee Bucks +13 v. Memphis Grizzlies | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Bucks +13
Bottom Line: Milwaukee is terrible, but this is a great spot to back the Bucks catching big points against a team that rarely blows anyone out. The Grizzlies are a defensive team that plays mostly in the halfcourt, and that will especially be the case tonight with Mike Conley likely to sit this one out. The Bucks have been able to stick with teams that aren't explosive offensively. We saw them play the Grizzlies to a 77-82 game last month to earn a cover. The Grizzlies are a off a revenge win against the T-Wolves and have a big one at OKC Monday so they won't be giving Milwaukee their full focus. The Grizzlies are on a 10-24 ATS slide as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1996. Playing against February double-digit favorites that have gone under the total by 54 points or more in their last 10 games has resulted in a 27-7 ATS record since 1996. Double-digit road dogs that have lost 8 or more of their last 10 games are 47-19 ATS the last 5 seasons when they're matched up with a team that has won 8 or more of their last 10 games. Lastly, double-digit road dogs in the second half of the season off a double-digit road loss are 69-29 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Milwaukee. |
|||||||
02-01-14 | Akron v. Kent State +1.5 | Top | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Kent State +1.5
Bottom Line: Kent State has been an outstanding underdog investment at 15-5 ATS in the role the last 2 seasons, and it will have no problem getting up for this game following an ugly loss to Northern Illinois. The Golden Flashes are 6-0 ATS the last 2 seasons off an upset loss, winning by an average of 2.2 points in this spot. The Golden Flashes are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after being held to less than 50 points in their previous game. Akron knocked Kent State out of last season's MAC tourney and went on to make the Big Dance, and the Golden Flashes will be out for payback. |
|||||||
02-01-14 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State -8 | 75-81 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on Iowa State -8
Bottom Line: ISU is an impressive 32-17 ATS in home lined games under coach Fred Hoiberg, including 25-14 ATS as a home fave or pickem and 9-2 ATS in home February games. This last trend shows that the Cyclones are taking care of business at home in the heart of Big 12 play. They have won those 11 February contests by an average of 10.4 points. |
|||||||
02-01-14 | Memphis v. SMU -2 | 72-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
4* Major AAC Game of the Week on SMU -2
Bottom Line: SMU is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite this season. The Mustangs are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games versus Memphis. The Mustangs got caught looking ahead to this matchup and took a bad loss to USF. Now, they'll be even hungrier as they look to end a 2-game skid in the series. |
|||||||
01-31-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Utah Jazz +5 | Top | 95-90 | Push | 0 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Western Conference Game of the Week on Jazz +5
Bottom Line: Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more consecutive home wins and playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 50-26 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams are losing straight up on average but only by 2.9 points. Additionally, January home dogs off a home win are 56-22 ATS the last 5 seasons (8-3 ATS this season). Also, home dogs playing 3 or less games in 10 days that failed to cover the spread last game are 75-38 ATS since 1996. Pound Utah. |
|||||||
01-31-14 | Manhattan +2.5 v. Iona | Top | 73-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MAAC Game of the Month (ESPNU) on Manhattan +2.5
Bottom Line: Iona lives and dies by the 3-point shot with 44% of its field goal attempts coming from beyond the arc this season. I expect it to die by it tonight as it goes up against a Manhattan team that defends the 3 very well, especially on the road where it has limited opponents to just 31.8%. The Jaspers are 6-0 ATS under Steve Masiello in contests 15 games or more in versus good 3-point shooting teams that make 37% of their attempts or more. Iona is a weak rebounding team, and that also puts it at a disadvantage tonight. The Jaspers are 8-0 ATS under Masiello in road games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game. The road team is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings, and the Jaspers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iona. Pound Manhattan. |
|||||||
01-31-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Brooklyn Nets +5.5 | 120-95 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nets +5.5
Bottom Line: Oklahoma City will be looking for revenge for a 95-93 home loss to the Nets earlier this month, but Brooklyn will be equally motivated following a 1-point loss to Toronto that snapped a 5-game win streak. Consider that playing against teams that are seeking revenge for a home defeat to an opponent has resulted in a 58-26 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team that is off an upset defeat to a division foe. This system is off to a 4-1 ATS start this season. Bet the Nets. |
|||||||
01-30-14 | Purdue +12 v. Michigan | 66-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
4* Major Big Ten *SUREFIRE* on Purdue +12
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Michigan Wolverines following a huge win over rival Michigan State to take over sole possession of first in the Big Ten standings. The Purdue Boilermakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Boilermakers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings overall and 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings at Michigan. The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Plays 15 games or more into the season on teams like Purdue that average 74-78 ppg has resulted in a 38-14 ATS record since 1997 if they have been held to 65 points or less in 3 straight games and are playing a team that allows 63-67 ppg. This system is 4-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. |
|||||||
01-30-14 | Pacific v. BYU -13 | Top | 78-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Week on BYU -13
Bottom Line: Fading the Pacific Tigers as a road dog of 12.5 to 15.0 points has resulted in a perfect 10-0 ATS record the last 17 years. The Tigers have lost these contests by 20.3 points on average. Backing the BYU Cougars at home against marginal winning teams (51% to 60% win rate) has resulted in a perfect 6-0 ATS record the last 2 seasons. The Cougs have won these contests by 25.2 points on average. Pound BYU. |
|||||||
01-30-14 | Phoenix Suns v. Indiana Pacers -11.5 | 102-94 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers -11.5
Bottom Line: Playing home favorites that are playing their 2nd game in 5 days has resulted in a 29-10 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are matched up against a team playing 4th game in 5 days. Not only does Indiana have a significant advantage in terms of rest, it will be extremely determined because it was embarrassed in Phoenix last week. |
|||||||
01-30-14 | Florida Intl. v. Marshall -4 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major C-USA *BLOOD BATH* on Marshall -4
Bottom Line: Expect the FIU Golden Panthers to struggle as they step out on the road for the first time since Jan. 11. The Golden Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Marshall Thundering Herd were smacked at Louisiana Tech last game, but they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 20 points and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game. |
|||||||
01-30-14 | Florida v. Mississippi State +13.5 | 62-51 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major SEC *SUREFIRE* on Mississippi State +13.5
Bottom Line: The Florida Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win of more than 20 points, 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Playing against double-digit favorites off a blowout win of 20 points or more in conference play has resulted in a 70-36 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team that's off a double-digit loss in conference play. |
|||||||
01-29-14 | Arizona State v. California -6 | 89-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
4* Major Pac-12 Bailout (ESPNU) on Cal -6
Bottom Line: Cal is 10-0 at home this season with an average winning margin of 19.1 points in these games. The total line is significant as it is a good indicator of what the books expect to happen. According to a total of 144, oddsmakers have Cal winning this game 75-69. Since ASU averages 76.6 ppg, clearly the books expect Cal to be able to slow the Sun Devils down with a defense that is allowing just 58.8 ppg at home. The Golden Bears are 18-3 ATS in home games when the total is 140 to 144.5 under Mike Montgomery. They have won these games by an average of 15.1 points. |
|||||||
01-29-14 | Washington Wizards +9 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 103-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Wizards +9
Bottom Line: We were on Washington +8.5 last night and watched the Wizards upset Golden State. I normally look to stay away from teams playing without rest, but the Wizards had two days off prior to last night's contest so I think they'll still have plenty left in the take to keep this one within the number. The Clippers cruised 113-97 in Washington last month but Chris Paul was huge in that game with 38 points and 12 assists. John Wall had 24 points and 12 assists and should really be able to take it to the Clippers tonight without having to expend as much energy on the defensive end against Paul. The Wizards are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games. They are 21-7 ATS when out for revenge for a home loss over the last 2 seasons and 11-3 ATS this season when out for revenge for a loss where they gave up 100 or more points. |
|||||||
01-29-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Sacramento Kings +5 | Top | 99-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +5
Bottom Line: The Kings have been tough at home against good teams. They have home wins over Miami and Portland and just took the Pacers to OT Friday. The numbers really show how good Sacramento has been at home against good teams. It is on a 9-0 ATS run in home games versus teams that sport winning road marks, and it is on a 5-0 ATS run at home versus teams that have a road winning percentage greater than .600. Pound Sacramento. |
|||||||
01-29-14 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee -8 | Top | 70-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
5* SEC Game of the Week on Tennessee -8
Bottom Line: It's bounce back time for Tennessee following Saturday's embarrassing loss at Florida. The Volunteers are 12-4 ATS under coach Cuonzo Martin off a loss to a conference opponent. They are also 9-2 ATS under Martin after a double-digit defeat. Pound Tennessee. |
|||||||
01-28-14 | Washington Wizards +8.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 88-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy *BEST BET* Bailout on Wizards +8.5
Bottom Line: The Wizards will be the more focused team tonight as they look for revenge for a 112-96 home loss to Golden State earlier this month. The Wizards are 30-15 ATS under coach Wittman when out for revenge for a home loss, losing these contests by only 3.0 points on average. Washington is also on a 27-11 ATS run the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a loss where it allowed 100 points or more. It has lost these contests by only 0.7 points on average. The Wizards are off a 3-point loss at Utah, but they have had 2 days to recover from that defeat, and they are on a 23-8 ATS run in road games off a close road loss of 3 points or less. Pound the Wizards. |
|||||||
01-28-14 | Virginia v. Notre Dame +4 | Top | 68-53 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Notre Dame +4
Bottom Line: Home teams that average 74-78 ppg but were held to 60 points or less last game, in games that occur 15 games or more into the season, are 30-8 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that allows 63 ppg or less. Virginia has been rolling, but it's also been at home for 3 straight games. The Cavs are on a 2-10 ATS skid when they hit the road after 2 or more consecutive wins at home. Pound the Irish. |
|||||||
01-28-14 | San Antonio Spurs +1.5 v. Houston Rockets | 90-97 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
4* Major Divisional Dominator on Spurs +1.5
Bottom Line: The Spurs haven't lost consecutive games all season. They are 10-0 following their losses, winning these games by an average of 14.8 points. They will be very motivated tonight after a poor showing against the Heat Sunday. They will be even more incensed by losses to Houston in the season's first 2 matchups. Bet San Antonio. |
|||||||
01-28-14 | Boston Celtics v. New York Knicks -6 | 88-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Divisional Dominator on Knicks -6
Bottom Line: The Knicks have regained their confidence following back-to-back wins, and they'll be hungry tonight after losing the season's first 2 matchups. The Knicks were absolutely humialated 114-73 by Boston at MSG last month, and they'll be out for some serious revenge as a result. Teams playing with double revenge are 118-71 ATS since 1996 if they are up against a team that is off a home loss where it was held to less than 80 points. This system tightens up to 20-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, Boston is 1-10 in its last 11 road games with the losses coming by 12.6 points. |
|||||||
01-27-14 | Villanova v. Georgetown +6.5 | Top | 65-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Georgetown +6.5
Bottom Line: Playing against January favorites that have won 80% or more of their games has resulted in a 111-82 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that has won 51% to 60% of their games. Nova is 2-10 ATS when playing a 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons and 18-33 ATS in road games after covering the number in 3 of their last 4 games since 1997. Georgetown is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 home meeting against the Wildcats. Pound the Hoyas. |
|||||||
01-27-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Milwaukee Bucks +10 | Top | 114-86 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks +10
Bottom Line: This is the final game of a 7-game road trip for the Clippers, and they will have played these games in an 11-day period. That's a lot of games and a lot of travel in not very many days. You better believe these Southern California are looking forward to getting out of the cold when they return home following this game. They'll be looking forward to getting off the road so much that they won't be focused on the task at hand, thinking they can beat the worst team in the NBA in their sleep. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover. They are also on a 48-73 ATS slide in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Home teams 42 games or more in that shoot 33-36.5% from 3-point range and average 14.5-16.5 turnover per game are 27-10 ATS the last 3 seasons when they are taking on a team that allows 33-36.5% shooting from 3-point range and forces 14.5-16.5 turnovers per game. The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Pound the Bucks. |
|||||||
01-27-14 | Phoenix Suns v. Philadelphia 76ers +6 | 124-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on 76ers +6
Bottom Line: The Suns won in Cleveland yesterday, but they had lost 3 straight and 4 of 5 on the road prior with the win coming by a single point. I don't think they'll have enough legs left to cover this number after playing yesterday. The 76ers have lost their last 3 home games, but 2 of those were against Miami and Oklahoma City. Nevertheless, they'll be motivated to get back in the win column. They've lost their last 2 overall and are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games following back-to-back losses. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win. |
|||||||
01-26-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Golden State Warriors -4.5 | Top | 88-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -4.5
Bottom Line: Playing favorites that are holding opponents to 43.5-45.5% shooting on the season has resulted in a 39-17 ATS record since 1996 if they are up against a team allowing 45.5-47.5% shooting on the season and if both teams have +3 to +5.5 average rebounding advantage per game. Teams fitting this scenario have won by an average of 8.9 points. Golden State is indeed the better defensive team, and it will be out to prove just how good it can be defensively following a stretch of 4 poor defensive efforts in 5 games. It should be able to slow down a Portland team that will be playing its 7th game in 10 days. The Blazers put up 110 and 115 points, respectively, in their last two games, but they are 1-8 ATS this season after scoring 110 points or more in 2 straight games. The Warriors have allowed their last 2 opponents to reach the century mark, but they are 8-2 ATS this season after allowing 100 points or more 2 in straight games, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 in this spot. Pound Golden State. |
|||||||
01-26-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Boston Celtics +4.5 | 85-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
4* Major Divisional Dominator (ESPN) on Celtics +4.5
Bottom Line: After a really poor showing last time out versus an OKC team that was playing without Kevin Durant, I expect Boston to come storming back. The Celtics lost the first meeting in Brooklyn, and they'll be motivated to make sure the return of Pierce and Garnett doesn't go as planned. This time Boston will benefit from having Rondo on the floor. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 divisional games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 following a loss. The Celtics are also a too good to ignore 13-1 ATS in Sunday home games the last 3 seasons. The Nets are just 4-15 ATS on Sunday the last 3 seasons and 15-32-1 ATS in their last 48 road games versus a team with a losing home record. The Celtics are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 home games versus a team with a losing road record. |
|||||||
01-26-14 | Minnesota v. Nebraska +1 | Top | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Week on Nebraska +1
Bottom Line: The Huskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. They are 17-6 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pickem since 1997 and 14-2 ATS off a loss against a conference opponent over the last 2 seasons. Nebraska beat Ohio State in its last home game and played Michigan to a 1-point game in the home contest before that. The Huskers also defeat Minnesota the last time they hosted the Gophers. Pound Nebraska. |
|||||||
01-25-14 | Washington Wizards v. Utah Jazz +1 | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +1
Bottom Line: This is a rough spot for Washington, which will be playing its 2nd road games in as many nights and its 3rd game in 4 days. The Jazz have had 3 full days off so they should be the more energetic team in this one. Utah took a double-digit loss at home to Minnesota last game, but it has still won 5 of 7 at home. The Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Jazz are 3-0 in their last 3 versus Washington and 6-1 in their last 7 at home in the series. Pound Utah. |
|||||||
01-25-14 | Southern Mississippi v. East Carolina +8.5 | 60-46 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
4* Major C-USA Game of the Week on East Carolina +8.5
Bottom Line: Playing against a favorite that's off a win of 10 points or more over a conference opponent has resulted in a 98-60 ATS record the last 5 seasons provided they have a win percentage of 80% or higher and are playing a team with a win percentage of 51-60%. So. Miss is a soft 17-33 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams like ECU that average 77.0 ppg or more since 1997, and the Golden Eagles fall to 5-15 ATS in this situation when the game takes place 15 games or more into the season. Lastly, head coach Jeff Lebo's squads are 7-0 ATS lifetime after failing to cover in 6 or 7 of their last 8. His teams have won by an average of 5.5 points in this spot. |
|||||||
01-25-14 | Connecticut v. Rutgers +6.5 | 82-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
4* Major AAC Game of the Week on Rutgers +6.5
Bottom Line: UConn is off a blowout win over Temple, but it is 28-49 ATS in road games off a home win of 10 points or more since 1997, winning by just 3.2 points in this spot. It is also 20-40 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games since 1997, winning by 2.3 points in this spot. The Scarlet Knights have been very competitive at home where they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4. |
|||||||
01-25-14 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss -11.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Year on Ole Miss -11.5
Bottom Line: Mississippi State has won two straight in the series, and that's not sitting well with rival Ole Miss. The Bulldogs won the season's first meeting by 4 points at home and they're catching double digits here? That's because they've been awful on the road, losing each of their 3 true road games this season by an average of 20 points. It's also worth mentioning that they lost by 18 at Ole Miss last season. When oddsmakers have installed Mississippi State as a double-digit dog, it's been for good reason. The Bulldogs are just 4-14 ATS under coach Ray when catching 10 points or more and have lost by an average of 21.0 points in these contests. The Bulldogs have won their last 2, but they are 0-6 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 13.2 points in this spot. Pound Ole Miss. |
|||||||
01-24-14 | Washington Wizards +4 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +4
Bottom Line: Road teams like Washington that average 98-102 ppg and are off a loss of 6 points or less are 46-19 ATS the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team like Phoenix that gives up 98-102 ppg. The Wizards are 17-6 ATS under coach Wittman in road games off a home loss. They are 9-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game. The Suns are on a sorry 45-74 ATS slide after 2 straight wins of 10 points or more. I think Phoenix will still be patting itself on the back after knocking off Indiana. Plus, I don't see it having an answer for John Wall. Pound Washington. |
|||||||
01-24-14 | Memphis Grizzlies +6 v. Houston Rockets | 88-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major Divisional Dominator on Grizzlies +6
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are the more rested team heading into this contest having not played since Monday. They will also be the hungrier side because they have lost the season's first two battles. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning record. |
|||||||
01-24-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Boston Celtics +7.5 | 101-83 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7.5
Bottom Line: Now is the time to go against the Thunder. They've won 5 in a row SU and ATS and are coming off back-to-back huge wins over Portland and San Antonio. They are catching all kinds of hype right now and are laying too big of a number on the road as a result. OKC is 2-11 ATS under coach Brooks after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games. The Thunder have lost by 0.3 points on average in these contests. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Celtics will be very motivated here because of the embarrassing loss they took in OKC earlier this month. |
|||||||
01-24-14 | Charlotte Bobcats v. New York Knicks -3.5 | 96-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Knicks -3.5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are off a big win over the Clippers but are 7-20 ATS the last 2 seasons following an upset win, losing by an average of 6.8 points in this spot. The Knicks have lost 5 in a row, but I expect them to get up for the Bobcats in this revenge spot. Charlotte won last week 108-98, but the Knicks are 28-13 ATS under coach Woodson when out for revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 points or more. |
|||||||
01-23-14 | Denver Nuggets +7.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +7.5
Bottom Line: Portland has played over half of its games, and that sets up two strong trends tonight. Denver is 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that outscore opponents by 3.0 ppg or more. It has defeated these teams by 10.5 points on average. The Nuggets are also 8-0 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that average 103.0 ppg or more, and they have defeated these teams by an average of 7.8 points. Portland is explosive offensively, but so is Denver. I don't see a Portland team that ranks near the bottom of the NBA in scoring defense getting enough stops to cover this number, especially since it will be the more fatigued team. Denver has had 3 days of rest and is 25-9-2 ATS in its last 36 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. This is Portland's 3rd game in 4 days and 5th in 7 days. Pound Denver. |
|||||||
01-23-14 | Utah v. Arizona State -4.5 | 75-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Arizona State -4.5
Bottom Line: ASU has lost its last 2, but they came on the road to Arizona and UCLA, the 2 most talented teams in the league. Now the Sun Devils are back home where they are 9-1 on the season, and I expect them to bounce back strong. Under the direction of Herb Sendek, ASU is 31-15 ATS off 2 straight losses against conference foes. This system tightens up to a very impressive 9-1 ATS is both losses were by double digits. Pound ASU. |
|||||||
01-23-14 | Florida v. Alabama +5.5 | 68-62 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
4* Major SEC *SUREFIRE* (ESPN2) on Alabama +5.5
Bottom Line: This is a look-ahead spot for Florida, who has a big revenge game against Tennessee Saturday. This is a big revenge game for Alabama, who has lost 7 straight to the Gators. Alabama has been very competitive at home this season where it is 8-2 with the losses coming by just 5 and 3 points, respectively, to very good Wichita State and Xavier teams. The Gators are 1-10 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. |
|||||||
01-22-14 | Oregon State v. Washington State +2.5 | Top | 66-55 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Week on Washington State +2.5
Bottom Line: Look for Washington State to bounce back at home after a pair of rough outings on the road. The Cougars are 12-4 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses under coach Bone, and they have won these games by an average of 8.6 points. Additionally, Oregon State is off a huge win over Oregon, and it has been a poor play following a win. The Beavers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a victory. Pound Washington State. |
|||||||
01-22-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs -6 | 111-105 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs -6
Bottom Line: I don't see an OKC team that is playing its 5th game in 7 days having enough left in the tank down the stretch to cover this number against a rested San Antonio squad. Not only will the Spurs be fresher, but they will also be hungrier because they have dropped the first two meetings of the season and were embarrassed by 13 points at home in the most recent matchup. The Spurs are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record. The favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. |
|||||||
01-22-14 | Sacramento Kings v. Houston Rockets -10 | Top | 98-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Rockets -10
Bottom Line: Houston has been caught overlooking Sacramento twice this season, but it won't happen again. Home teams that are out for revenge for 2 upset losses to an opponent and are also off a home win are 17-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Kings will definitely be the more fatigued team tonight as this is the final game of a 6-game road trip. Sacramento is 17-42 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons. The Kings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. Pound Houston. |
|||||||
01-21-14 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Utah Jazz +3.5 | 112-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Jazz +3.5
Bottom Line: The Timberwolves have been wildly inconsistent this season, going 5-13 in games immediately following victories. They are are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a win and 17-37-3 ATS in their last 57 games following a win of more than 10 points. They are also a soft 11-26 ATS in their last 37 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a cover. The Jazz are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 10 points, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on 2 days' rest. The Jazz have won 5 of 6 overall versus Minnesota and 7 straight at home in the series. Grab the points. |
|||||||
01-21-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Oklahoma City Thunder -6 | Top | 97-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder -6
Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Portland, which is playing a 4th road game in 5 days. So not only will OKC be the fresher side, it will be the hungrier side as it looks to avenge losses in the season's first two meetings. The Thunder are on a 46-27 ATS run when out for revenge for an upset loss to an opponent. This trend is 26-13 ATS the last 3 seasons with an 8.7-point average margin of victory. OKC is also 47-31 ATS under coach Brooks when playing with double revenge. Portland is 5-15 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Thunder. |
|||||||
01-21-14 | Indiana +12 v. Michigan State | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
4* Major ESPN PRIME TIME PUNISHER on Indiana +12
Bottom Line: Playing against favorites of 10 or more points that have won 10 or more consecutive games has resulted in a 151-109 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Indiana is off a pathetic performance against Northwestern, and it was embarrassed at home by Michigan State in the first meeting so it will be lacking no focus or motivation. The Hoosiers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Michigan State. Grab the points. |
|||||||
01-20-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 102-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Warriors pk
Bottom Line: Indiana is the best defensive team in the league, but the "D" hasn't been as tight on the road where it is allowing 5.7 more ppg. The Pacers are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in their last 3 road games, and I expect this trend to continue as they go up against a Golden State squad that ranks No. 4 in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. The Warriors are capable of a very strong defensive performance against an Indiana team that is offensively challenged at times. The Warriors are the far superior offensive team, and ultimately I believe their offense will be the difference. Indiana is on a 21-38 ATS slide in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. The home team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings, including 3-0 ATS in the last 3. Looking back further, the home team is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings. Pound the Warriors. |
|||||||
01-20-14 | St Peter's v. Marist -4 | Top | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Marist -4
Bottom Line: This line opened at -3, which is significant because St. Peter's is 0-7 ATS in games when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. It has lost these games by 8.9 points on average. Marist had won 4 in a row at home before getting upset by Rider Saturday, but it is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games following an ATS loss. Marist is also 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings with St. Peter's. Pound the Red Foxes. |
|||||||
01-19-14 | Sacramento Kings +8.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | Top | 93-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +8.5
Bottom Line: Playing on road teams like the Kings that average 98-102 ppg and are off a loss of 6 points or less has resulted in a 45-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are matched up against a team like the Thunder that allows 98-102 ppg. The Kings will be the more motivated side as they are off a loss and will be looking to snap a 7-game losing streak against the Thunder. Sac played the Thunder to a 2-point game at home in the first meeting, and that performance will provide it with the confidence needed to give them a game tonight. OKC is off a pair of big wins over the Rockets and Warriors and has big games against Portland and San Antonio up next so I believe it will get caught looking ahead. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Sacramento. |
|||||||
01-18-14 | Golden State Warriors v. New Orleans Pelicans +4 | 97-87 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Pelicans +4
Bottom Line: The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 at home versus teams with a winning road mark so they have shown they can compete on their home floor against some of the best teams in the league. New Orleans is 11-0 ATS after 2 consecutive division games over the last 3 seasons and 11-1 ATS this season after allowing 100 points or more in 3 straight games. Golden State is 1-8 ATS after a combined score of 215 points or more this season. New Orleans is the more rested team, and it will be lacking no motivation as it seeks revenge for losing the season's first 2 matchups with Golden State. The Warriors go back home after this and have a big game against Indiana Monday so this is a look-ahead spot as well. |
|||||||
01-18-14 | Utah Jazz v. Minnesota Timberwolves -10 | Top | 72-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on T-Wolves -10
Bottom Line: The Jazz are just 1-14 ATS under coach Corbin in road games following a road win, losing these contests by 10.9 points on average. They have lost by an average of 21.5 the last 2 times they've been in this spot. Minnesota has lost 3 in a row overall and 5 straight to the Jazz so it will be ready to run up the score tonight. Pound Minnesota. |
|||||||
01-18-14 | Detroit Pistons +5.5 v. Washington Wizards | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Super System Smoker on Pistons +5.5
Bottom Line: Playing road teams that average 98-102 ppg, and have allowed 100 points or more in 2 straight games, has resulted in a 75-25 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are playing a team that allows 98-102 ppg. Off 3 consecutive satisfying wins (2 over Chicago, 1 over Miami), I look for Washington to suffer a letdown. The Pistons will be motivated by last night's ugly loss to Utah as well as losses in their last 2 meetings with Washington. |
|||||||
01-18-14 | Texas Tech v. TCU +2.5 | 60-49 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on TCU +2.5
Bottom Line: Texas Tech is 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in true road games this season, and I look for its road woes to continue as it suffers a letdown following a big win over Baylor. The Red Raiders are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 road games. They are also 4-13 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 9.9 points in this spot. |
|||||||
01-18-14 | UCLA v. Utah +2 | Top | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Month on Utah +2
Bottom Line: Utah is 13-1 at home on the season with the lone loss coming by just 2 points in OT to a very good Oregon team. The Utes have been an unbelievable home dog or pickem under coach Krystkowiak, going 17-6 ATS in the role. They are 9-2 ATS under him as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pickem, winning these contests by 5.1 points on average. Utah is 6-0 ATS under Krystkowiak in home games occurring 15 games or more into the season versus good shooting teams that make 45% of their shots or better. This is also a very tough spot for UCLA playing a 2nd road game in 3 days. Pound Utah. |
|||||||
01-17-14 | Golden State Warriors +1.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | 121-127 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Warriors +1.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder won by double-digits in Houston last night but this will be its third game in 4 nights, and they likely won't have enough left in the tank to handle the Warriors. The Thunder are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a cover and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points. Golden State is on a 47-29 ATS run as a road underdog, a 19-8 ATS run when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days and a 29-16 ATS run in road games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent. |
|||||||
01-17-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. San Antonio Spurs -6 | 109-100 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Spurs -6
Bottom Line: Plays on any team like San Antonio that averages 102.0 ppg or more has resulted in a 93-60 ATS records the last 5 seasons provided they have scored 100 points or more in 4 consecutive games and are facing a team that allows 102.0 ppg or more. Playing January home teams that are off a home win where they did not cover has resulted in a 55-24 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system is 24-10 ATS the last 3 seasons and 4-1 ATS this season. The numbers are in our favor, and the Spurs will be lacking no incentive as they look to end a 3-game skid in the series. |
|||||||
01-17-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. New York Knicks +4 | 109-95 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +4
Bottom Line: New York is 24-8 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more since 1996. The Knicks are 24-11 ATS in the 2nd game of a back-to-back under coach Woodson as well as 18-5 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days under their current coach. Look for New York to respond following last night's ugly loss to the Pacers. |
|||||||
01-17-14 | Miami Heat -10 v. Philadelphia 76ers | Top | 101-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Heat -10
Bottom Line: This should be one of Miami's most motivated spots of the season following 3 consecutive defeats. Furthermore, the Heat lost in Philly earlier this season so they will be revenge-minded. Plays on any team off an upset loss to a division foe, provided it has a .600-.750 win percentage and is playing a losing team, has resulted in a 32-8 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system is 3-0 ATS this season. Additionally, plays on road teams that average 103.0 ppg or more and trailed in their previous game by 20 points or more at the half has resulted in a 36-11 ATS record since 1996. This system is 4-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Miami is 8-0 ATS after having lost 3 of its last 4 games over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 20.9 points in this spot. Pound Miami. |
|||||||
01-16-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder +2.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder fit perfectly into one of my most dominant systems. Playing against home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent and off a road win of 3 points or less has resulted in a 16-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons. Houston finds itself in a tough spot playing its 2nd game in as many nights and its 5th in 7 days. Consider that Houston is 9-29 ATS in home games when playing a 5th game in 7 days since 1996. OKC will be the much fresher team as this is just its 2nd game in 5 days. Fresh legs will make all the difference. Pound the Thunder. |
|||||||
01-16-14 | Providence v. St John's -3.5 | Top | 84-83 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big East *BEST BET* on St. John's -3.5
Bottom Line: St. John's will want this game more as it seeks its first conference win and looks to avenge last season's 3-point loss at Providence. The Friars are off a big win over Georgetown but have lost the momentum from that victory with a 7-day break. The key tonight is turnovers, and St. John's doesn't figure to give it away enough for Providence to stay in the game. The Red Storm is 10-1 ATS under Lavin in home games that take place 15 games or more into the schedule versus teams like Providence that force 14 turnovers per game or less. Providence is 3-12 ATS in road games the last 2 seasons versus good ball handling teams like St. John's that commit 14 turnovers or less per game. The Friars are also 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a cover, 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games versus a team with a winning record and 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. |
|||||||
01-15-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 | Top | 82-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Bucks +5.5
Bottom Line: Now's the time to get behind the Bucks, who have lost 6 straight and in a roundabout way were called out by coach Larry Drew following Monday's 22-point loss in Toronto. "They played a much more physical game than we did and we just didn't respond to it," Bucks coach Larry Drew said. I fully expect the Bucks to respond with a physical game tonight. Memphis just played last night and beat Oklahoma City so it will riding high on the horse, and I expect it to complete overlook the NBA-worst Bucks. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Pound Milwaukee. |
|||||||
01-15-14 | Mississippi State v. Alabama -11 | 61-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Alabama -11
Bottom Line: Mississippi State is 11-4 while Alabama is 7-8 and the Bulldogs are getting 11 points. It looks like the books are absolutely begging for action on Miss. St. but I won't bite. The Bulldogs are a dismal 4-13 ATS as a double-digit dog under coach Rick Ray, losing these games by an average of 21.1 points. Bama has won 5 straight at home in the series with 2 of the last 3 victories coming by 14 and 17 points. |
|||||||
01-15-14 | TCU +21 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 50-82 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on TCU +21
Bottom Line: With a big showdown at Kansas Saturday, this is a prime look-ahead spot for Oklahoma State. The Cowboys are 0-7 ATS 15 or more games in against teams that have a win percentage of .600 to .800 over the last 2 seasons. The Cowboys are also 1-9 ATS under coach Ford after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games. |
|||||||
01-15-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Boston Celtics +4.5 | 83-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +4.5
Bottom Line: The home team is a commanding 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings and Boston's home court has especially held up as it has won 10 in a row at home against the Raptors. In terms of the spread, Boston is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 home games versus Toronto. |
|||||||
01-15-14 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Philadelphia 76ers -115 | 92-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on 76ers -115
Bottom Line: The Bobcats have struggled on the road where they are 1-6 in their last 7. They have also struggled in Philadelphia where they are 0-5 in their last 5. Charlotte won't have enough left in the tank following last night's game in New York to get the job done against a 76ers squad that has had 3 days of rest. |
|||||||
01-14-14 | New York Knicks v. Charlotte Bobcats -109 | Top | 98-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats -109
Bottom Line: Home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games are 35-12 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that has covered the number in 6 or 7 of its last 8 games. Charlotte has played the Knicks tough recently, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings and covering the spread in 4 of the last 5 matchups. The Bobcats are in excellent position to take down the Knicks again considering they have 2 days of rest and preparation on their side while New York just played an overtime contest last night. Pound Charlotte. |
|||||||
01-14-14 | Wisconsin v. Indiana +4.5 | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Indiana +4.5
Bottom Line: Coach Tom Crean's squads are 22-9 ATS lifetime as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pickem. The Hoosiers are 10-2 ATS in home games following a cover the last 2 seasons. Wisconsin is just 3-13 ATS when playing against teams with a 60-80% win percentage the last 2 seasons. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Grab the points. |
|||||||
01-13-14 | Kansas +1.5 v. Iowa State | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
4* Major ESPN Big Monday *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Kansas +1.5
Bottom Line: Iowa State will have a tough time tonight with DeAndre Kane likely unable to go after suffering an ankle injury late against Oklahoma. The Cyclones don't have a lot of depth, and he is the player they can afford to lose the least as he's their best all-around player and primary ball handler. He has 92 assists on the season, 39 more than the next-closest Cyclone. The Jayhawks are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 Big 12 games and 16-1 in their last 17 versus Iowa State. |
|||||||
01-13-14 | Denver Nuggets v. Utah Jazz +4.5 | Top | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4.5
Bottom Line: Playing against any team that is looking for revenge for a double-digit home loss to an opponent has resulted in a 39-14 ATS record since 1996 if the team we are playing against is off a cover as a double-digit favorite. This system has gone 9-2 ATS the last 5 seasons. Denver has lost 3 of 4 on the road while Utah has won 4 of 5 at home. Pound the undervalued Utah Jazz. |
|||||||
01-12-14 | Wisc-Green Bay v. Wisc-Milwaukee +5.5 | Top | 93-86 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Wisconsin-Milwaukee +5.5
Bottom Line: The Phoenix are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games versus teams that have a winning home record. Wisconsin-Green Bay is also 0-7 ATS in road games after a win of 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 1.7 points in this spot. Wisconsin-Milwaukee lost all 3 of last season's meetings by double-digits so it will be out for blood this afternoon. Pound the Panthers. |
|||||||
01-11-14 | Orlando Magic +12 v. Denver Nuggets | 94-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Super System Smoker on Magic +12
Bottom Line: Road underdogs of 10 points or more off a road loss of 20 points or more are 73-35 ATS since 1996 if they carry a win percentage of 25-40% and are playing a team with a winning record. Teams fitting this scenario have been underdogs of 12.4 points on average but have lost by only 9.2 points on average. This system is 4-1 ATS this season. |
|||||||
01-11-14 | Charlotte Bobcats +5 v. Chicago Bulls | 97-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Bobcats +5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 versus Central division opponents, 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a defeat of more than 10 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings at Chicago. Chicago is 16-34 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. |
|||||||
01-11-14 | New York Knicks v. Philadelphia 76ers +5 | Top | 102-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on 76ers +5
Bottom Line: Look for the Knicks to come out flat following their big win over Miami. The Knicks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a win, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus Atlantic division foes. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue. |
|||||||
01-11-14 | Santa Clara v. Pacific -5 | Top | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* Blowout on Pacific -5
Bottom Line: Pacific has lost its first 4 conference contests. It has also lost its last 2 against Santa Clara. I believe these things will inspire the Tigers to put forth one of their best efforts of the season. Santa Clara is in a huge letdown spot following a win at St. Mary's and a terrible situational spot playing its 2nd road game in 3 days. The Tigers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Pacific is 15-5 ATS on Saturday over the last 2 seasons, including 6-1 ATS in its last 7 Saturday games. It is also on a 17-7 ATS run when laying points and a 63-35 ATS run in home games after playing a home game. The Broncos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Saturday games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a win and 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Pound Pacific. |
|||||||
01-10-14 | Orlando Magic +7.5 v. Sacramento Kings | Top | 83-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Night Feast on Magic +7.5
Bottom Line: Road underdogs that are off back-to-back double-digit defeats are 47-16 ATS since 1996 if they are up against a team that has combined with its opponents for 215 points or more in two straight games. This system is 4-1 ATS this season and 18-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Sacramento is being overvalued because it beat Portland 123-119 in its last game while the Magic lost to Portland 110-94 in their last game. Portland's win over the Magic was in response to its loss in Sacramento so I'm not buying that the Kings should be laying this many points, especially since they defeated the Magic by just 5 points in the first meeting in a game where they shot out of their minds from 3-point range (12 of 23). The Kings have been favored 10 times at home this season, and they are 0-10 ATS in those games. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-10-14 | Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks +4 | 81-72 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
4* Major Central Division *SUREFIRE* on Bucks +4
Bottom Line: Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games are 67-36 ATS since 1996 when they are up against a team that has covered the number in 6 or 7 or their last 8 games. This system is a sweet 25-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, the underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Bet the Bucks. |
|||||||
01-09-14 | Michigan v. Nebraska +4.5 | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Nebraska +4.5
Bottom Line: Nebraska is 7-0 at home this season, and I expect it to defend its home court tonight following a pair of road losses to open conference play. The Huskers are 32-15 ATS in home games off 2 straight losses against conference opponents since 1997, winning by an average of 4.3 points in this spot. The Wolverines are a soft 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games while the Cornhuskers are a strong 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. Pound Nebraska. |
|||||||
01-09-14 | Miami Heat v. New York Knicks +8.5 | Top | 92-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +8.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are playing their best basketball of the season, and they have no problem getting up for the Heat. The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, a stretch that is very significant. Consider that New York is 11-1 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. The Knicks are also 10-1 ATS in home games under coach Woodson after covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Knicks have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with all of the wins coming by double digits and the loss coming by only 6 points. Pound New York. |
|||||||
01-08-14 | Boise State +6.5 v. San Diego State | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Boise State +6.5
Bottom Line: San Diego State is being overvalued following its big win at Kansas. Each of the last 4 meetings between these two have been decided by 6 points or less. Also, Boise State has lost by just 3 total points in its last 2 visits to SDSU. The Broncos are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 versus Mountain West foes while the Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 versus the Mountain West. |
|||||||
01-08-14 | Boston Celtics +10.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Celtics +10.5
Bottom Line: Playing against favorites of 10 or more points that allowed 85 points or less last game has resulted in a 94-48 ATS record since 1996 if they are up against a team that allowed 110 points or more last game. This system is already 1-0 ATS this season and 9-2 ATS the last 3 seasons. Playing road underdogs of 10 or more points that are off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more has resulted in a 72-34 ATS record since 1996 if they have a .250 to .400 win percentage and are playing a winning team. This system is already 3-0 ATS this season. |
|||||||
01-08-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Brooklyn Nets +6.5 | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Non-Conference *SUREFIRE* on Nets +6.5
Bottom Line: Playing January home underdogs that are off a home win has resulted in a 49-20 ATS record the last 5 seasons. The Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing with 1 day of rest, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a cover and 18-7 ATS in their last 25 versus the Pacific division. The Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a cover and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings at the Nets. This is an extremely fatigued spot for the Warriors, and I can't see them covering this large of a number on the road against a Brooklyn squad that is playing with a lot of confidence right now. |
|||||||
01-08-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Atlanta Hawks +5 | Top | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Hawks +5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing with no rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 total more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Hawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games when playing on 1 days' rest. Atlanta was taken down by Indiana in last year's playoffs so it will be out for some serious revenge. The Pacers have lost 11 straight regular-season meetings in the ATL and are just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings there. Pound the Hawks. |
|||||||
01-08-14 | Wake Forest v. Virginia -11 | Top | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Month on Virginia -11
Bottom Line: Playing Wednesday home favorites of 10 or more points that hold opponents to an average of 57.0 ppg or less has resulted in a 33-12 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting this scenario have won by 19.5 points on average. Plus, the Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS under coach Bennett as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points, winning these games by an average of 22.8 points. |
|||||||
01-07-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Utah Jazz +7 | Top | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +7
Bottom Line: The home team has had a significant edge in this series, and I expect this trend to continue. The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings, including 2-0 ATS this season. The Jazz will be extremely motivated because they have lost each of the first two meetings. They will also be extremely fresh and well prepared because they haven't played since the 3rd. OKC has had a much more hectic schedule this month as it will be playing for the 3rd time in 4 days. The lack of rest is magnified by not having Westbrook available. Pound the Jazz. |
|||||||
01-07-14 | NC State +5.5 v. Notre Dame | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
4* Major ACC *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on NC State +5.5
Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Notre Dame, which is coming off a gigantic win over Duke. This is a bounce-back spot for NC State following a double-digit loss at Pitt. The Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Notre Dame has been fortunate to shoot well the past two games because it has given up a lot of points. The Irish are 8-25 ATS under Brey after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games. Notre Dame will have a tough time scoring the basketball against an NC State defense that has been phenomenal on the road, holding opponents to 35.2% shooting overall and 19.1% from beyond the arc. |
|||||||
01-07-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Milwaukee Bucks +9 | 101-80 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Oddsmaker Error on Bucks +9
Bottom Line: Milwaukee has had the Warriors' number. It is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. It is also 4-0 at home during this span. In terms of the spread, the Warriors are 0-5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. While Golden State would like to put an end to its struggles against the Bucks, it will have a difficult time doing so in what is a fatigued spot. This is the Warriors 4th road game in 6 days. The Bucks, meanwhile, have 2 full days of rest on their side. |
|||||||
01-05-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 | 82-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Central Division *SUREFIRE* on Cavs +8.5
Bottom Line: This is a look-ahead spot for Indiana, which has a pair of double-digit wins over Cleveland already this season, including one earlier this week. The Pacers will be much more concerned with their next opponent, a Toronto squad that defeated them New Year's Day. Whether Irving is able to go or not, this is a great spot to back the Cavs who are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning record. The Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a day of rest. |
|||||||
01-05-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Washington Wizards +3.5 | Top | 112-96 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +3.5
Bottom Line: Washington has an excellent opportunity to pull off the small upset at home against the road-weary Warriors. The Wizards are 18-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 1.3 points. Washington is also 20-8 ATS as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons and 13-3 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Wizards. |
|||||||
01-04-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder +2 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | Top | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder +2
Bottom Line: OKC is 8-0 ATS under coach Scott off an upset loss of 10 points or more, winning by an average of 19.5 points in this spot. The Thunder are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Pound OKC. |
|||||||
01-04-14 | Drake v. Bradley +4.5 | 57-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
4* Major MVC Line Mistake on Bradley +4.5
Bottom Line: The Braves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games off a defeat of 15 or more points. Bradley has lost to Drake at home by more than 4.5 points just one time in the last 8 meetings. |
|||||||
01-04-14 | Harvard v. Rice +12 | 69-54 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Major Sandwich Game *SUREFIRE* on Rice +12
Bottom Line: This is a classic sandwich game for Harvard following a win over B.C. and with Connecticut up next. This situation becomes even tougher for the Crimson because they defeated Rice by 30 last season, making it very easy for them to look ahead. The Owls will be out for revenge and also motivated by losses in their last two games. The Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. |
|||||||
01-04-14 | Pacific +15.5 v. Gonzaga | 64-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Major WCC *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacific +15.5
Bottom Line: The Bulldogs are overvalued frequently because of the amount of attention they receive from bettors. They have been especially overvalued on Saturday's, the biggest NCAAB betting day of the week. Gonzaga is 4-13 ATS on Saturday over the last 2 seasons, including 0-6 ATS in its last 6 Saturday games. Pacific is 15-4 ATS on Saturday the last 2 seasons. |
|||||||
01-04-14 | Arkansas State v. Texas State +3 | Top | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year on Texas State +3
Bottom Line: Arkansas State is 1-8 ATS as a road favorite or pickem over the last 3 seasons, losing these games by 3.3 points on average. It is also 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning pct. of 20% to 40% over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average of 9.5 points. Pound Texas State. |
|||||||
01-03-14 | Utah Jazz v. Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Lakers -3.5
Bottom Line: D'Antoni's teams are 16-5 ATS lifetime after 6 or more consecutive losses. Plus, the Lakers are 16-5 ATS after a blowout loss of 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Jazz are 6-16 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. The Jazz are just 5-14 on the road, and their road issues will continue against an LA squad hungry to end a lengthy skid. |
|||||||
01-03-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Denver Nuggets -3.5 | 108-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Major Western Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets -3.5
Bottom Line: Look for the Nuggets to get off the snide against a Memphis team they have defeated 10 times in their last 11 home matchups. The Grizzlies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win. The Nuggets are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Grizzlies are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Denver. |
|||||||
01-03-14 | New York Knicks v. Houston Rockets -11.5 | 100-102 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Rockets -11.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks stunned San Antonio last night, but I don't expect an encore performance from them. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. They Knicks are 1-12 ATS in the last 13 meetings, including 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Houston. |
|||||||
01-03-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Atlanta Hawks +3 | Top | 101-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Hawks +3
Bottom Line: Look for the Warriors to crash and burn tonight. After an emotional win over Miami and playing a third road game in four nights, the Warriors will have little left in the tank. Atlanta has had two days to prepare, and it hasn't forgotten the 115-93 beating it took the last time it hosted Golden State. The Hawks will be motivated to say the least. Atlanta is 5-0 in its last 5 home games, winning them by 13.6 points on average. Pound the Hawks. |
|||||||
01-03-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Washington Wizards -2.5 | 101-88 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Major Eastern Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Wizards -2.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Toronto following a big-time victory over the Pacers. The Wizards are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss ATS and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus Eastern Conference foes. |
|||||||
01-02-14 | Charlotte Bobcats +11.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers | 104-134 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Bobcats +11.5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 road games. The Trail Blazers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. |
|||||||
01-02-14 | Memphis Grizzlies +6 v. Phoenix Suns | 99-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Grizzlies +6
Bottom Line: Phoenix was crushed by 19 at Memphis in the first meeting, and playing against home teams that are looking for revenge for a double-digit defeat has resulted in a 31-9 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they carry a win percentage of 60-75% and are taking on a team with a losing record. |
|||||||
01-02-14 | New York Knicks +11 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +11
Bottom Line: The Knicks were brutally embarrassed at MSG by the Spurs in November, but New York is 25-8 ATS when out for revenge for a home blowout loss of 20 points or more since 1996, winning by an average of 3.4 points in these contests. Pound New York. |
|||||||
01-02-14 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +10.5 | Top | 76-49 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Northwestern +10.5
Bottom Line: Northwestern is off a 1-point loss to DePaul, which is worth mentioning because it has responded to go 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons following a close loss of 3 points or less, winning by an average of 12.5 points in these games. Pound the Wildcats. |