06-06-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat -5 |
Top |
92-88 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Finals *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -5 Bottom Line: The Spurs haven't played a game since May 27, which will make it very difficult to match the intensity of a Miami team that's just 2 days removed from the East Finals. I believe 2 days of rest will be plenty for LeBron and company as the Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days' rest. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NBA Finals games. Miami is 4-0 in its last 4 games versus the Spurs and won each of the 3 home games during this stretch by an average of 19.0 points.
|
06-03-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat -7 |
Top |
76-99 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference Finals Game of the Year on Heat -7 Bottom Line: The Heat haven't lost consecutive games since early January. They are 9-0 in their last 9 games following a defeat and have won these games by an average of 19.6 points. Plus, the home team has been dominant in this season's 9 meetings. It is 7-2, and the 7 wins have come by an average of 10.0 points. Pound the Heat.
|
06-01-13 |
Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 183 |
|
77-91 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Heat/Pacers UNDER 183 Bottom Line: We saw only 169 total points scored in Game 5, and I expect another low-scoring affair tonight. Given what's at stack for both teams, the defensive intensity will be off the charts. The Heat are 20-8 UNDER in road games following a game where they allowed 80 points or less under coach Spoelstra. They feed off of strong defensive performances. And, the Pacers were the top defensive team in the NBA during the regular season. Throwing out the Game 3 aberration, they have held the Heat to an average of 86 points in game at Bankers Life Fieldhouse this season.
|
06-01-13 |
Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers +2.5 |
Top |
77-91 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +2.5 Bottom Line: The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win while the Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss. The Pacers are also 14-5 ATS this season after a loss by 10 points or more. Indiana is 3-1 in home games versus the Heat this season. Pound the Pacers.
|
05-30-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat UNDER 185.5 |
|
79-90 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Pacers/Heat UNDER 185.5 Bottom Line: These teams have finished over the total in each of the first 4 games of the series, but now's the time to pounce on the under. You want to play the UNDER in a playoff series that's tied if you have a good team (win percentage of 60-75%) playing a team with a winning record. This system has produced a 56-28 mark the last 5 seasons. You also want to take the UNDER when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in a playoff series that is tied in a matchup between teams with winning records. Doing so has produced a 38-20 record the last 5 seasons. We've seen an average of only 181.5 total points scored with this system.
|
05-30-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat -7.5 |
Top |
79-90 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -7.5 Bottom Line: The Heat are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss. They won these games by an average of 20.6 points with all 8 wins coming by at least 10 points. Pound the Heat in this bounce back spot.
|
05-28-13 |
Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers +3 |
|
92-99 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 51 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Pacers +3 Bottom Line: You want to take good teams that outscore their opponents by 3.0 points or more per game if they are checking in off a loss of 15 points or more because doing so has produced a 125-83 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting these parameters have won by an average of 5.4 points. The Pacers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a loss of more than 10 points.
|
05-28-13 |
Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 185.5 |
Top |
92-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Heat/Pacers Under 185.5 Bottom Line: The Pacers are the top defensive team in the NBA, and they aren't at all pleased with their performance on the defensive end in Game 3. They allowed the Heat to shoot 54.5% from the field, but that was clearly an aberration as they have held opponents to 41.4% shooting at home this season. Miami is no slouch defensive either as it has held foes to 43.0% shooting on the road this season. Miami is 40-25 UNDER after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 58-37 UNDER after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game since 1996.
|
05-27-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Memphis Grizzlies -3 |
Top |
93-86 |
Loss |
-102 |
12 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Grizzlies -3 Bottom Line: Memphis won't go quietly into the night. It feels like it could be up 2-1 in this series, and it will go after Game 4 with all its got. You want to take home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are coming off a home loss as long as both they and their opponent carry win percentages of 60-75%. Doing so has produced a 45-18 ATS mark since 1996. This system is 6-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. Memphis is 17-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season and 14-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.
|
05-26-13 |
Miami Heat -115 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
114-96 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major Game 3 *SUREFIRE* on Heat -115 Bottom Line: The Heat fell in Game 1, but look what they've done lately following losses. They are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss and have won these games by margins of 29, 17, 20, 15, 19, 10 and 37 points. 6 of these victories came on the road! Also, Miami is 9-0 in its last 9 road games. Gotta back the defending champs in this bounce back spot.
|
05-26-13 |
Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 182.5 |
Top |
114-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Pacers UNDER 182.5 Bottom Line: The first 2 games of the series have gone over, but I fully believe that will change tonight. The Heat allowed Miami to shoot 50% from the field in Game 2. We're talking about a team that ranked 6th in the league during the regular season in field goal percentage defense, holding foes to 44%. I'm confident Miami will up the defensive intensity tonight. Plus, there's a good chance Indiana's solid shooting will decline as it averages just 43.9% from the field on the season. The Pacers were the best defensive team in the NBA during the regular season, limiting opponents to 42% shooting. They are at their best defensively at home where they are allowing only 89.6 ppg on 41.1% shooting. You want to take the under on all teams that have winning records when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in a playoff series that is tied. That's because doing so has produced a 38-18 result the last 5 seasons.
|
05-25-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Memphis Grizzlies -5.5 |
Top |
104-93 |
Loss |
-104 |
31 h 20 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Grizzlies -5.5 Bottom Line: The books are begging for the money to come in on the Spurs based on the line. San Antonio won the first two games of the series and lost by just 3 and 2 points, respectively, in Memphis during the regular season. Yet, they are catching 5.5 points? I'm not going to take the bait. The Grizzlies gotta get this one or they can kiss their season goodbye so we should see their best effort of the series here. Plus, they have been awesome at home in these playoffs, going 5-0 SU and ATS with these 5 wins coming by 11.6 points on average. All 5 came by at least 6 points. Pound Memphis.
|
05-24-13 |
Indiana Pacers +7.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
97-93 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +7.5 Bottom Line: This is too many points to be giving the best defensive team in the NBA. This series determines which team gets to play for an NBA championship so the Pacers aren't going to close up shop just because they came out on the short end of the stick in Game 1. I expect them to come out even harder tonight. They won 2 of 3 against Miami during the regular season and had the Heat in a 2-1 hole in last year's playoffs so they won't be lacking any confidence. Indiana has been resilient all season. It's 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games following a loss, 18-7 ATS this season following a road loss and 23-13 ATS this season after 1 or more consecutive losses. Also, the underdog is 29-14-1 ATS in the last 44 meetings.
|
05-22-13 |
Indiana Pacers +8 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
102-103 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +8 Bottom Line: The Pacers will be lacking no confidence when they hit the floor tonight. They took 2 of 3 from Miami during the regular season and were up 2-1 on the Heat in last year's playoffs. Indiana's size and athleticism has given Miami problems, and this is a lot of points to be giving the best defensive team in the NBA. We saw how flat Miami came out in Game 1 of its last series after having a week off, and I don't believe they'll be ready for the defensive intensity of the Pacers tonight.
|
05-21-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 182.5 |
|
89-93 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Grizzlies/Spurs UNDER 182.5 Bottom Line: We saw 188 total points scored in Game 1, but the Spurs shot 52.6% from the floor and connected on 14 of 29 3-point attempts. The Grizzlies are far too good defensively to allow San Antonio to go off like that again. Memphis is 17-4 UNDER this season following a game where it was held to 85 points or less. It is also on a 28-13 UNDERS run when out for revenge against a team that held them to 85 points or fewer. San Antonio is 16-7 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more this season.
|
05-21-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies +5.5 v. San Antonio Spurs |
Top |
89-93 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Game of the Year on Grizzlies +5.5 Bottom Line: You want to fade home teams that check in off 2 straight double-digit wins if they're up against an opponent that was held to 85 points or less in its last game. Doing so has produced a 40-17 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Memphis has covered the spread in 10 straight before its Game 1 defeat, but it is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following a game where it did not cover. The Grizzlies are also on a 53-34 ATS run where looking for revenge for a double-digit defeat to a foe. Memphis has bounced back strong following each of its previous postseason defeats, and I believe this trend will continue.
|
05-19-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies +4.5 v. San Antonio Spurs |
Top |
83-105 |
Loss |
-103 |
5 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Grizzlies +4.5 Bottom Line: 3 of the 4 regular-season meetings between these teams were decided by 4 points or fewer so I'll gladly take the 4.5 points here. The Grizzlies have been a covering machine because of how locked in they've been at the defensive end. They are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games overall, including 5-0 ATS on the road during this run. They are also 5-0 ATS as an underdog during this span. Pound Memphis.
|
05-18-13 |
New York Knicks v. Indiana Pacers OVER 178.5 |
Top |
99-106 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Knicks/Pacers OVER 178.5 Bottom Line: These two teams have shot the ball poorly the last 3 games and we've seen them play to the under in 3 straight as a result. I expect them to buck the trend tonight. The Knicks showed signs of coming out of their shooting slump in Game 5, and I expect them to have their best shooting game since Game 2 tonight. The Knicks know they need to play fast to get good shots. Playing uptempo was the recipe for success all season, and they'll make a concerted effort to push the ball. The Pacers have been strong offensively all season at home where they average 97.9 points. They are 6-2 OVER in their last 8 home games and 13-3 OVER in their last 16 games following a game where they failed to cover the spread.
|
05-16-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Golden State Warriors +1.5 |
|
94-82 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Warriors +1.5 Bottom Line: The Spurs are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games when playing on just 1 day of rest while the Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on 1 day of rest. The Spurs are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win while the Warriors are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games following a S.U. loss. Also, the Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Spurs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Golden State, and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
05-16-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. New York Knicks OVER 179 |
|
75-85 |
Loss |
-107 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Pacers/Knicks OVER 179 Bottom Line: The first two games of this series went over the total. Both of those games were played in New York. After a pair of low-scoring games in Indiana, I expect to see a little more offense as the series shifts back to MSG. The Knicks have been far better offensively at home, and that has been evident in this series. They averaged 46.3% shooting in the first two games but only 35.4% shooting in the last two. I also expect the Knicks to make a strong effort to push the basketball tonight. A faster pace favors the over. You want to play the over on teams like New York that are coming off a road loss of 10 points or more if they are playing their 4th game or fewer in 10 days if the total is 179.5 or less. That's because doing so has produced an 82-38 mark since 1996. This system is a perfect 5-0 the last 3 seasons.
|
05-16-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. New York Knicks -5 |
Top |
75-85 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks -5 Bottom Line: The Knicks are back at MSG where they are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games. I look for them to extend this series against an Indiana squad that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 road games. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the Pacers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New York.
|
05-15-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5 |
|
88-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Thunder -4.5 Bottom Line: The Thunder have found ways to lose the last three games, but I believe they'll find a way to win this one at home to extend the series. The reigning Western Conference champs have a lot of pride and aren't about to bow out easily. The Thunder are 20-9 ATS in home when looking for revenge for a road loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons and 11-3 ATS this season in home games when looking for a revenge for a loss to an opponent that dropped 100 points or more on them.
|
05-15-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Miami Heat OVER 181 |
|
91-94 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Major "Total" DOMINATOR on Bulls/Heat OVER 181 Bottom Line: 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams have finished over the posted total for this game. Miami is 13-5 OVER this season when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points and we've seen an average of 190.4 points scored in these games. Game 4 came in way under the number as the Bulls shot just 25.7%. I expect them to shoot much better tonight as all the pressure is off. Down 3-1 no one expects them to win. Now they can relax and knock in their shots.
|
05-15-13 |
Chicago Bulls +14.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
91-94 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +14.5 Bottom Line: The Bulls were humiliated in Game 4, and I believe they'll respond in a big way. I don't think they'll have enough to extend this series, but I like them to give Miami a game. You want to play underdogs of 10 points or more that were held to 80 points or less in their last game that are matched up against an opponent that is coming off a game where the combined score was 160 points or fewer. Teams fitting these parameters are 24-4 ATS since 1996, and a perfect 3-0 ATS the last 5 seasons.
|
05-14-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. San Antonio Spurs -7 |
|
91-109 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Spurs -7 Bottom Line: The Spurs are yet to play well at home in this series, but I don't see that trend continuing. The Spurs are 38-7 at home on the season and have won 30 of their last 31 at home versus Golden State. Under coach Popovich, the Spurs are an impressive 54-29 ATS following an upset loss of 10 points or more. They have won by an average of 8.0 points in this situation so I feel very comfortable laying the 7.
|
05-14-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 194.5 |
Top |
91-109 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Total of the Year on Warriors/Spurs OVER 194.5 Bottom Line: The over is showing tremendous value tonight considering the total was 204.5 in Game 2. I know we've seen 194 total points or less in the last 3 games, but these are good offensive teams and they won't continue to miss open shots. The biggest reason I like the over here is because the Warriors really struggle defensively on the road where they give up 103.5 points on average. Their defensive struggles on the road are nothing new. They are a big reason why these teams have combined for at least 196 points in 13 of their last 15 meetings in San Antonio.
|
05-14-13 |
New York Knicks +5.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
82-93 |
Loss |
-104 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Knicks +5.5 Bottom Line: I expect the Knicks to bounce back tonight. They have lost consecutive games only once since March 18. The Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
|
05-13-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
Top |
97-103 |
Loss |
-107 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder +4.5 Bottom Line: I'm not hesitating to pull the trigger on a Thunder squad that is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 road games and 9-2 ATS in its last 11 road games verses teams that have winning records. The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two, and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. I expect Kevin Durant to be the best player on the floor tonight, and for the Thunder to come out on top.
|
05-13-13 |
Miami Heat v. Chicago Bulls +7.5 |
|
88-65 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Bulls +7.5 Bottom Line: This is a do-or-die game for Chicago, which knows it needs this game to have a shot at winning the series. Chicago is an awesome 24-8 ATS following a home loss under Thibodeau, including 13-4 ATS in this situation this season. The Bulls are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit home defeat.
|
05-13-13 |
Miami Heat v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 186 |
|
88-65 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Heat/Bulls UNDER 186 Bottom Line: The Chicago defense has been lacking the past two games as its allowed Miami to shoot 50% or higher in each. You can bet a Bulls team that has had two days to recoup will put forth maximum effort at the defensive end tonight. Chicago is on a 30-15 UNDERS streak following 2 consecutive games where its allowed foes to shoot 50% or higher. Also, Miami is on a 34-16 UNDERS streak following 2 consecutive games where it shot 50% or higher from the field.
|
05-12-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Golden State Warriors OVER 198 |
|
87-97 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
4* Major "Total" DOMINATOR on Spurs/Warriors OVER 198 Bottom Line: The last two games of this series have gone under, but San Antonio shot 39.3% in Game 2 and Golden State shot the same percentage in Game 3. These teams just don't have bad shooting nights very often. The Spurs are shooting 48% on the season, and the Warriors are shooting 46%. We've typically seen high-scoring games between these two at Golden State, where the Warriors have had success in making it an uptempo game. I think they'll do a better job of controlling the tempo in this one and for the game to finish over the total as a result. The Over is 15-6-1 in the last 22 meetings between these teams at Golden State.
|
05-12-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Golden State Warriors +2 |
Top |
87-97 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Warriors +2 Bottom Line: I like the Warriors to come storming back in Game 4 even if Curry isn't able to go. Golden State is 8-1 ATS in all playoff games this season, and there's no way it will shoot as poorly as it did in Game 3. The Warriors have shot nearly 47% at home on the season. The Spurs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win while the Warriors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss. The Warriors have still won 2 of 3 at home against the Spurs this season.
|
05-11-13 |
New York Knicks v. Indiana Pacers -4 |
Top |
71-82 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers -4 Bottom Line: I'll gladly lay this small number with the home team tonight. The home side is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings with the wins coming by 8, 12, 5, 34, 10 and 26 points. The Pacers are a perfect 3-0 in their last 3 at home versus New York and have won each of these by 5 points or more.
|
05-11-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder +5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
|
81-87 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *POWER PLAY* on Thunder +5 Bottom Line: The Thunder aren't getting the respect they deserve on the road where they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. They are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA (ranked #2 in field goal % defense during the regular season) and won 2 of 3 in Houston without Westbrook in round 1. The Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Memphis, and the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
|
05-10-13 |
San Antonio Spurs +2.5 v. Golden State Warriors |
Top |
102-92 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Best Bet *BAILOUT* on Spurs +2.5 Bottom Line: Look for the Spurs to bounce back at Golden State where they've won 7 of their last 9. I'll gladly take the bucket-and-a-half here as one of those was an overtime defeat. The other one came in a game in which The Big Three (Duncan, Parker, Ginobli) and Leonard did not participate. You want to wager on teams that are looking for revenge for a home defeat when the line is +3 to -3 as long as they are playing 3 of fewer games in 10 days. That's because doing so has produced a 43-19 ATS mark the last 17 years.
|
05-10-13 |
Miami Heat v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 187 |
|
104-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Heat/Bulls UNDER 187 Bottom Line: 193 total points were scored in Game 2, but the Bulls uncharacteristically allowed Miami to score 115 points on 60% shooting. We're talking about a team that ranked 3rd in scoring defense (92.9 ppg allowed) and 9th in field goal % defense (44.3% allowed) during the regular season. Chicago will bring the "D" tonight. However, I expect the Bulls to remain offensively challenged with Hinrich and Deng expected to miss another game. Miami is on a 72-35 UNDERS run after a game where it made 55% of its shots or better. It is also on a 66-35 UNDERS run off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. Chicago is 18-5 UNDER since Thibodeau took over when looking for revenge for a double-digit road loss. Plus, the UNDER is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Chicago.
|
05-08-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 205 |
|
100-91 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Warriors/Spurs UNDER 205 Bottom Line: Game 1 flew way over the total even at the end of regulation as both teams went nuts from 3-point range. However, I expect a much better defensive performance from both sides tonight. They had combined for 197 total points or fewer in each of the 3 previous matchups in San Antonio. You want to play the UNDER on home teams that have a winning record on the season and have gone over the total by 42 combined points or more in their last 5 games as long as the total is 200 to 209.5 points. Doing so has produced a 72-30 record the last 5 seasons, including 12-4 this season.
|
05-08-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Miami Heat -12.5 |
Top |
78-115 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -12.5 Bottom Line: Look for the Heat to come storming back after a flat performance in Game 1. The Heat are 6-0 SU & ATS in their last 6 games following defeat, winning by an average of 18.3 points in this spot. All 6 of these wins came by 15 points or more except 1.
|
05-07-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies +2.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
Top |
99-93 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Parlay of the Year on Knicks -6/Grizzlies +2.5 Bottom Line: The Knicks lost Game 1, but I fully expect them to come storming back in Game 2. The Pacers have struggled on the road throughout the season and had lost 3 in a row in New York by double digits before winning Game 1.
The Grizzlies blew and excellent opportunity to steal away OKC's home-court advantage but don't expect them to feel defeated heading into Game 2. They won their first round series after falling into an 0-2 hole. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games and haven't lost by more than 2 points during this span.
|
05-07-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. New York Knicks -6 |
Top |
79-105 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Parlay of the Year on Knicks -6/Grizzlies +2.5 Bottom Line: The Knicks lost Game 1, but I fully expect them to come storming back in Game 2. The Pacers have struggled on the road throughout the season and had lost 3 in a row in New York by double digits before winning Game 1.
The Grizzlies blew and excellent opportunity to steal away OKC's home-court advantage but don't expect them to feel defeated heading into Game 2. They won their first round series after falling into an 0-2 hole. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games and haven't lost by more than 2 points during this span.
|
05-06-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. San Antonio Spurs -9 |
|
127-129 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Spurs -9 Bottom Line: The Spurs are the fresher, more experienced and deeper team. They have won 29 straight at home against the Warriors with the majority of those wins coming by double digits. They are 14-4 in their last 18 home games versus Golden State. Also, the favorite is 19-6-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings.
|
05-06-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Miami Heat -11.5 |
|
93-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Heat -11.5 Bottom Line: The beat-up Bulls have had just one day of rest following a grueling series with the Nets. That puts them at a disadvantage against the defending champs, who have had a week off. With Deng out and Hinrich at less than 100 percent, the Bulls will have a tough time generating any offense. The Bulls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.
|
05-05-13 |
INDIANA GM1 v. NEW YORK GM1 -5.5 |
Top |
102-95 |
Loss |
-101 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy *PUNISHER* on Knicks -5.5 Bottom Line: The home team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings, winning by an average of 13.8 points. The Knicks are 3-0 in their last 3 at home versus Indiana, winning these by 10, 12 and 15 points. Indiana lost its first two road games in Atlanta badly before pulling out Game 6. The Knicks are far superior to the Hawks and should take care of business at MSG in Game 1.
|
05-05-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
91-93 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 5 m |
Show
|
4* Major *SUREFIRE* on Grizzlies +3.5 Bottom Line: OKC has won by more than 3 points just once in its last 5 games. Plus, it lost 2 of 3 to Memphis during the regular season. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
|
05-04-13 |
CHICAGO GM7 v. BROOKLYN GM7 UNDER 181.5 |
Top |
99-93 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Week on Bulls/Nets UNDER 181.5 Bottom Line: You want to bet the Under in a playoff series that's tied as doing so has produced an 82-48 mark the last 5 seasons. You also want to take the Under in a playoff series that is tied if the total is between 180 and 189.5 points as doing so has produced a 100-58 result since 1996. Defensive intensity will be at a series-high in this winning take all Game 7.
|
05-03-13 |
OKLAHOMA CITY GM6 +1.5 v. HOUSTON GM6 |
|
103-94 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Thunder +1.5 Bottom Line: The Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Also, the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. OKC closes out the series tonight.
|
05-03-13 |
LA CLIPPERS GM6 +6 v. MEMPHIS GM6 |
Top |
105-118 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy on Clippers +6 Bottom Line: The Clippers won't go quietly as this is a team that felt it had a serious shot to contend in the West. I don't see them losing by more than 6 points in this win-or-go-home contest. The Clippers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit defeat at home.
|
05-03-13 |
INDIANA GM6 v. ATLANTA GM6 -1.5 |
|
81-73 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hawks -1.5 Bottom Line: The home team is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings. The Hawks are 13-0 in their last 13 at home versus the Pacers.
|
05-03-13 |
NEW YORK GM6 -2 v. BOSTON GM6 |
|
88-80 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Knicks -2 Bottom Line: Despite losses in the last 2 games, the Knicks are still 6-2 in the last 8 meetings with 3 wins at Boston during this span. Knicks close out the series tonight.
|
05-02-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 184 |
Top |
95-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Nets/Bulls UNDER 184 Bottom Line: When these teams are fresh, they typically bring the defense. The Nets are 19-7 UNDER this season when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. The Bulls are 13-5 UNDER this season when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. With Chicago looking to close the series out tonight, and Brooklyn trying to live to see another day, I expect an intense, defensive battle. Nothing motivates the Bulls to play defense like a poor defensive performance. They are 20-7 UNDER after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons, 30-13 UNDER when out for revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 or more points over the last 3 seasons and 11-2 UNDER after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Pound the UNDER!
|
05-01-13 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Indiana Pacers -7 |
Top |
83-106 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNSIHER* on Pacers -7 Bottom Line: The home team is 4-0 in this series and has won these games by at least 11 points. The home team is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings with 6 of these wins coming by 9 points or more. The home side is also 13-1 in the last 14 meetings with 11 of these wins coming by 9 points or more. Look for home court to prevail again.
|
04-30-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Clippers -5 |
|
103-93 |
Loss |
-108 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *Crunch Time Bailout* on Clippers -5 Bottom Line: Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are looking for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 112-67 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this system have been favored by 5.7 points on average but have won by 8.1 on average. This system is 28-13 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, the Clippers are 18-6 ATS when out for revenge for 2 straight losses to an opponent. L.A. is 6-0 in its last 6 at home and has won these by an average of 15.7 points.
|
04-30-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 213 |
|
100-107 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 0 m |
Show
|
4* Major "Total" Blowout on Warriors/Nuggets UNDER 213 Bottom Line: After 3 consecutive Overs, I expect this one to come in well Under the total as Denver really picks up the "D" in an attempt to stave off elimination. Plays Under on home teams when the total is greater than or equal to 210 are 27-5 since 1996 if they are out for revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 or more points and their opponent is off an upset win by 10 points or more. This system is a perfect 3-0 the last 3 seasons. Also, Plays Under on road teams when the total is greater than or equal to 210 are 25-5 since 1996 if they are off an upset win of 10 points or more. This system is 4-0 the last 3 seasons.
|
04-30-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. Denver Nuggets -7.5 |
Top |
100-107 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Opening Round Game of the Year on Nuggets -7.5 Bottom Line: I love Denver tonight at home where it is 24-1 in its last 25. Denver has taken care of business at home all season, even against quality competition. It is 17-6 ATS this season in home games when playing against a team with a winning record and has won these contests by 8.9 points on average. The Nuggets are also 54-37 ATS under coach Karl as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points and have won these games by an average of 9.9 points. They are 41-26 ATS under Karl in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that scored 110 points or more on them and 58-38 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more. The Warriors are just 4-15 ATS under Jackson in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Pound Denver.
|
04-29-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Houston Rockets +1.5 |
|
103-105 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Rockets +1.5 Bottom Line: The home team is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Plus, Houston is 11-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
|
04-29-13 |
Indiana Pacers +1.5 v. Atlanta Hawks |
Top |
91-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +1.5 Bottom Line: The Hawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win. The Pacers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
|
04-29-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 180.5 |
|
91-110 |
Loss |
-103 |
6 h 24 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Bulls/Nets UNDER 180.5 Bottom Line: The Under is 30-14-1 in the Bulls' last 45 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 6-1 in their last 7 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. The Under is 5-2 in the Nets' last 7 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
|
04-29-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets -5.5 |
|
91-110 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *POWER PLAY* on Nets -5.5 Bottom Line: The Bulls are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a game in which they covered the spread.
|
04-28-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 212.5 |
|
101-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Nuggets/Warriors UNDER 212.5 Bottom Line: Denver is 17-6 UNDER when out for revenge for a close loss of 3 points or less to an opponent. We have seen just 200.2 total points scored on average in these contests.
|
04-28-13 |
Denver Nuggets -1.5 v. Golden State Warriors |
Top |
101-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets -1.5 Bottom Line: The Nuggets are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games when playing on 1 day of rest, 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a loss, 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games versus a team with a winning record and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Golden State is 8-18 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.
|
04-28-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Lakers +11.5 |
|
103-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Lakers +11.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Spurs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a win and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games when playing on 1 day of rest.
|
04-28-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 189.5 |
|
103-82 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Spurs/Lakers UNDER 189.5 Bottom Line: The UNDER is 8-2 in the Spurs' last 10 road games. The UNDER is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings between these teams, including 9-3 in the last 12 in L.A.
|
04-28-13 |
Miami Heat v. Milwaukee Bucks +9 |
|
88-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bucks +9 Bottom Line: The Heat have had 3-0 leads in the first round the last 2 years - Philadelphia in 2011 and the Knicks in 2012 - but lost Game 4 each time. Milwaukee is on a 114-79 ATS run following 3 or more consecutive defeats.
|
04-28-13 |
New York Knicks v. Boston Celtics +2.5 |
|
90-97 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 37 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Celtics +2.5 Bottom Line: The Celtics won't roll over. This veteran team has way too much pride. Boston is 10-1 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival the last 3 seasons. Teams headed up by Mike Woodson are 3-14 ATS in road playoff games.
|
04-28-13 |
New York Knicks v. Boston Celtics OVER 180.5 |
|
90-97 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Knicks/Celtics OVER 180.5 Bottom Line: Plays on the OVER on any team (NY in this case) that held its last opponent to 80 points or less and is up against a team that has scored 90 points or fewer in 4 straight games are 75-36 since 1996.
|
04-27-13 |
INDIANA GM3 v. ATLANTA GM3 -2 |
Top |
69-90 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks -2 Bottom Line: The Pacers are 0-11 in their last 11 games in Atlanta with these defeats coming by nearly 11 points on average. All of these losses came by at least 3 points. The home team has won 6 straight and 11 of the last 12 meetings. Pound the Hawks!
|
04-26-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Lakers +5.5 |
|
120-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 60 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Lakers +5.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers are 6-0 in their last 6 and 13-1 in their last 14 home games. The Spurs are 0-7 in their last 7 on the road. Even with all of LA's injury issues, I like its chances of keeping this one within the number.
|
04-26-13 |
New York Knicks v. Boston Celtics -2.5 |
|
90-76 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *POWER PLAY* on Celtics -2.5 Bottom Line: The Celtics are 14-4 in their last 18 home games and 13-2 in their last 15 home games versus the Knicks. The Knicks are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game while the Celtics are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
|
04-26-13 |
New York Knicks v. Boston Celtics OVER 183.5 |
Top |
90-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Knicks/Celtics OVER 183.5 Bottom Line: The Over is 7-3 in the Celtics' last 10 home games and 10-4 in their last 14 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game. Plays Over on any team (NY in this case) after a blowout win by 15 points or more that is matched up against an opponent that has scored 80 points or less 2 straight games are 10-2 the last 5 seasons.
|
04-25-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 |
|
82-94 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Grizzlies -4.5 Bottom Line: Memphis has dropped the first two games of the series, but I expect it to get back in the series tonight at home where it is 14-1 in its last 15 games. The Grizzlies are an outstanding 25-12 ATS following 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. They are 45-24 ATS when looking for revenge for a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons. They are also 26-11 ATS in their last 37 home games versus a team with a winning road record.
|
04-25-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 179.5 |
Top |
82-94 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Clippers/Grizzlies UNDER 179.5 Bottom Line: The Under is 4-0 in Memphis' last 4 home games, and we've see just 156, 178 and 169 total points scored in the last 3 of these. The Under is also 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Memphis. We haven't seen more than 178 total points scored in these with three of them at 172 or less. Memphis is at its best defensively at home and should get enough stops to send this one comfortably under the number.
|
04-25-13 |
Miami Heat v. Milwaukee Bucks +7.5 |
|
104-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
4* Major Game 3 *SUREFIRE* on Bucks +7.5 Bottom Line: The Bucks will put forth their best effort of the series tonight in front of their home fans. They won't be lacking any confidence as they have a 19-point win over the Heat in Milwaukee this season. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss, 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 1 day of rest.
|
04-24-13 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 187 |
Top |
98-113 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs First Round Total of the Year on Hawks/Pacers UNDER 187 Bottom Line: These two combined for 197 points in Game 1, but Atlanta shot 50.0 percent from the field, and the Pacers were 30 of 34 from the foul line. I don't see the Hawks shooting the ball as well in Game 2 versus the NBA's top defensive team. I also don't see the Pacers living at the foul line the way they did in Game 1. They only average 24 trips per game. The Hawks have been a terrific unders bet in the first round of the playoffs, going under the number in 12 of their last 16 conference quarterfinal games. They have also been known to ratchet things up defensively following a blowout defeat, going 6-2 Under in their last 8 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Road teams when total is between 180 and 189.5 points that are playing 6 or less games in 14 days and have failed to cover the spread in at least 8 of their last 10 games are 57-26 since 1996. Pound the Under!
|
04-23-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. Denver Nuggets -8 |
Top |
131-117 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Nuggets -8 Bottom Line: The Nuggets won Game 1 at home despite not playing very well. I expect a stronger performance from them here against a Golden State squad that will be without All-Star forward David Lee. The Nuggets have won 24 straight at home and are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games. They are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games versus Golden State. Pound Denver.
|
04-23-13 |
Boston Celtics +7 v. New York Knicks |
|
71-87 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7 Bottom Line: The Celtics blew an excellent opportunity in Game 1 by laying an egg in the 4th quarter, but I expect this veteran squad to bounce back strong. The C's have won or lost by less than 7 points in 22 of their last 27 on the road in this matchup. Take the points in what should be a close contest.
|
04-23-13 |
Boston Celtics v. New York Knicks OVER 185.5 |
|
71-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Celtics/Knicks OVER 185.5 Bottom Line: Neither team played very well offensively in Game 1, but that should change tonight. Plays "Over" on all teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (NY in this case) that are off a win against a division rival, a well rested team playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, are 259-173 since 1996. That's a long-term 60% system. The total was 185.2 on average in these contests, but we have seen teams combine for 189.1 points on average. I expect this game to be very physical as well, which means plenty of trips to the foul line for both teams. Points being scored with no time running off the clock in an over-lovers dream.
|
04-23-13 |
Milwaukee Bucks +14.5 v. Miami Heat |
|
86-98 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
4* Major Game 2 *SUREFIRE* on Bucks +14.5 Bottom Line: The Heat rolled in Game 1, but the odds are stacked against them winning by 15+ tonight. That's because the Bucks have lost to Miami by more than 13 points just 2 times in the last 16 meetings. We'll bet the Bucks behind this 14-2 trend.
|
04-22-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies +5.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers |
|
91-93 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Grizzlies +5.5 Bottom Line: The Grizzlies have lost their last two against the Clippers but are 30-16 ATS when playing with double revenge the last 3 seasons. Also, Memphis is 16-5 ATS lifetime under coach Hollins when out for revenge for a loss of 20 points or more to a foe. It has won by an average of 4.0 points in this situation.
|
04-22-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 181.5 |
|
91-93 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Total Dominator on Grizzlies/Clippers UNDER 181.5 Bottom Line: Memphis is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA so it will be out to prove that tonight after letting LA get whatever it wanted in Game 1. Memphis' defense is a big reason why it is 17-4 UNDER in its last 21 versus Western Conference foes. It's also worth mentioning that the Grizzlies are 11-3 UNDER this season when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent.
|
04-22-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 183.5 |
|
90-82 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Total Dominator on Bulls/Nets UNDER 183.5 Bottom Line: Look for the Bulls to pick up the "D" following a poor defensive effort in Game 1 and for this one to come in under the total because of it. They are 29-14-1 UNDER in their last 44 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 8-3 UNDER in their last 11 games following a loss of more than 10 points.
|
04-22-13 |
Chicago Bulls +5 v. Brooklyn Nets |
Top |
90-82 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +5 Bottom Line: Chicago bounces back in Game 2. The Bulls won 3 of 4 with the Nets during the regular season. They split in Brooklyn, but the loss came by just 4 points. The Bulls have lost to the Nets by more than 4 points only twice in the last 12 meetings. Pound Chicago!
|
04-21-13 |
Milwaukee Bucks +13.5 v. Miami Heat |
|
87-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
53 h 16 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME POWER PLAY* on Bucks +13.5 Bottom Line: The defending champs are being overvalued in their series opener with the Bucks. Milwaukee has lost to Miami by more than 13 points just 1 time in the last 15 meetings. We'll bet the Bucks behind this 14-1 trend.
|
04-21-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. San Antonio Spurs -8.5 |
Top |
79-91 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Spurs -8.5 Bottom Line: The Spurs lost their regular-season finale at home, but you won't catch me fading them here. They are 10-1 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons and have won by an average of 12.1 points in this situation. San Antonio is also 10-1 ATS at home the last 2 seasons in games played in the 2nd half of the schedule versus teams that have won between 51-60% of their games. They have defeated these teams by 14.2 points on average. Pound the Spurs.
|
04-20-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies +5 v. Los Angeles Clippers |
|
91-112 |
Loss |
-105 |
33 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Grizzlies +5 Bottom Line: The Clippers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Grizzlies are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Also, the road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Grizzlies have lost to the Clippers by more than 4 points just 3 times in the last 12 meetings.
|
04-20-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets -4.5 |
Top |
89-106 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nets -4.5 Bottom Line: Playing favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that check in off 2 or more consecutive home wins in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of 51% to 60% are 45-21 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting these parameters have been favored by 5.4 points on average but have won by 7.7 points on average. This line is a little soft. Bet Brooklyn.
|
04-20-13 |
Boston Celtics +7 v. New York Knicks |
|
78-85 |
Push |
0 |
26 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Major Early *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7 Bottom Line: The road team has been the play between these two as it is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Plus, the Celtics are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings at New York.
|
04-17-13 |
Houston Rockets +2.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
95-99 |
Loss |
-101 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Rockets +2.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers rose to the occasion with a win and cover versus San Antonio in their first game without Kobe but are an awful 8-22 ATS under coach D'Antoni following an ATS win. They have lost in this situation by an average of 1.5 points. Houston still has a chance to earn the sixth seed but could also drop to the eighth position with a loss so it definitely wants to take care of business here to avoid Oklahoma City in the first round. The Lakers will struggle tonight without Kobe against a motivated team.
|
04-17-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. San Antonio Spurs -8.5 |
Top |
108-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs -8.5 Bottom Line: All indications are the Spurs will play their big guns as they look to gain some momentum before the playoffs. They should have little trouble with an overmatched Minnesota squad as they are 16-0 in their last 16 at home in the series, winning those by 13.2 points on average.
|
04-16-13 |
Toronto Raptors +6 v. Atlanta Hawks |
Top |
113-96 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Raptors +6 Bottom Line: The Hawks have been overvalued at home all season and that remains the case here. They are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games versus teams with a losing road record. The Hawks are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win. The Raptors are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 with a pair of wins over Chicago and a win over Brooklyn. They're clearly looking to finish the season strong. Pound Toronto.
|
04-15-13 |
New York Knicks v. Charlotte Bobcats -107 |
Top |
95-106 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bobcats pk Bottom Line: The Knicks have wrapped up the #2 seed in the East and are now content with calling off the dogs until the postseason begins. Carmelo Anthony, among other key players, is expected to sit this one out. The Bobcats are trying to build some momentum for next season and definitely want to notch their 20th win of the season. While the road has been hard on them all year, they have won 6 of their last 8 at home. The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus Atlantic division opponents. Also, the Knicks are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
|
04-14-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 196.5 |
Top |
86-91 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Spurs/Lakers OVER 196.5 Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to the Kobe Bryant injury as these two have combined for 213, 218 and 203 total points in 3 of the last 4 meetings. The Lakers are 4-0 OVER in their last 4 and have scored at least 100 points in 9 of their last 11 games. The Spurs have given up an average of 98.5 in their last 4 games. I like L.A. to score enough to push this one over even without Bryant.
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04-13-13 |
Phoenix Suns +5 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
Top |
93-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 25 m |
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5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Suns +5 Bottom Line: The Suns will be out for some serious revenge for a 31-point home loss they were handed by Minnesota last month, and they should from having the last 2 days off. Minnesota, meanwhile, will have taking the floor for the second time in as many nights and the fourth time in five days. History shows you should play against home favorites that have lost 4 of their last 5 games if they are in the second game of a back-to-back because doing so has turned in a 50-22 ATS result the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting these parameters have laid an average of 5.0 points, but they have won by only 1.3 points on average.
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04-12-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Portland Trail Blazers +10 |
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106-90 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 57 m |
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4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Trailblazers +10 Bottom Line: Home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games that are matched up against a team that has covered the number in at least 6 of their last 8 are 38-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Blazers are clearly being undervalued because of their losing streak and have a good opportunity to earn a cover against a fatigued OKC squad that is playing its 3rd road game in 4 days.
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04-12-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. New Orleans Hornets +9 |
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96-93 |
Win
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100 |
8 h 57 m |
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4* Major on Hornets +9 Bottom Line: The Hornets have lost 2 straight to the Clippers since winning the first meeting of the season, but they are 34-20 ATS the last 2 seasons when playing with double revenge.
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04-12-13 |
Milwaukee Bucks +6.5 v. Atlanta Hawks |
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104-109 |
Win
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100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
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4* Major on Bucks +6.5 Bottom Line: The Hawks can't be trusted laying this many points at home where they are 14-23 ATS on the season and 0-5 ATS in their last 5. Also, Atlanta is a soft 36-55 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.
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04-12-13 |
New York Knicks v. Cleveland Cavaliers +5 |
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101-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 28 m |
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4* Major on Cavs +5 Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Knicks, who just lost a tough overtime game in Chicago last night. They'll have a very tough time bouncing back here against a much fresher Cleveland club. NY is a soft 2-14 ATS in road games after having won 6 or 7 of its last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.
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04-12-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Indiana Pacers -5.5 |
Top |
117-109 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 58 m |
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5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Year on Pacers -5.5 Bottom Line: With an opportunity to lock up the No. 3 seed in the East, I fully expect the Pacers to have their revenge against the Nets. The Nets have won this season's two prior meetings but you want to fade underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have won 2 consecutive games against an opponent if they check in off an upset win in division play. That's because teams fitting these parameters are just 8-54 SU & 17-44-1 ATS the last 17 seasons. The Pacers have had 2 full days to gear up for this one. They are at home where they are 30-9 on the season, and they are the fresher, more motivated side. Pound the Pacers!
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04-11-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Golden State Warriors +4 |
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116-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 43 m |
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4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Warriors +4 Bottom Line: Golden State isn't getting the respect it deserves at home where it is 27-12 on the season, especially since the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Warriors won the season's prior home meeting by 5 points and lost by just 3 points the previous time they hosted the Thunder. The Warriors are also 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus teams that have a road winning percentage greater than .600.
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04-11-13 |
New York Knicks v. Chicago Bulls +5 |
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111-118 |
Win
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100 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +5 Bottom Line: Bulls have won 4 straight against the Knicks by 4 or more, including all 3 meetings this season, and aren't about to lay down here after an ugly home loss to Toronto. Nothing has ignited the Bulls like losing on their home floor. They are 22-8 ATS all-time under Tom Thibodeau following a home defeat, winning in these spots by an average of 10.0 points.
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04-11-13 |
New York Knicks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 191 |
Top |
111-118 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Knicks/Bulls UNDER 191 Bottom Line: After a stretch where the Bulls held 4 straight opponents to 94 points or less, they have given up 99+ the last 2 games and lost them both as a result. They gave up 101 at home to Toronto last game which is uncharacteristic considering the Bulls have allowed an average of only 90.3 at home this season. Their recent losses actually play in our favor as Chicago is 19-6 UNDER since Tom Thibodeau took over at home if its enters with losses in 2 of its last 3 games. The Bulls have held their opponent to 88.0 points on average in these spots. We've seen total scores of 178 and 184 in the last two matchups between these teams in the United Center, and I expect another low-scoring one tonight in a game that should have a playoff feel.
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