01-23-15 |
Toronto Raptors v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 194 |
Top |
91-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA "TOTAL" BLOWOUT on Raptors/76ers OVER 194 Bottom Line: Toronto has had no trouble controlling the pace against poor teams. The Raptors are 12-3 OVER the last 2 seasons versus teams that have a win percentage of 25% or less. We have seen an average of 208.0 total points scored in these games. The OVER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these teams with 6 of the meetings totaling 199 points or more. We've seen an average of 207.6 total points scored in these 7 matchups. Pound the OVER.
|
01-22-15 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Chicago Bulls +6.5 |
|
81-104 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +6.5 Bottom Line: It's gut check time for the Bulls. Look for them to put forth an outstanding effort tonight in a highly motivated spot. The Bulls haven't lost 3 consecutive games all season. They are 11-5 following a loss and 3-0 following 2 straight losses. They are an impressive 50-33 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games under Tom Thibodeau. Grab the points.
|
01-21-15 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Minnesota Timberwolves +8.5 |
Top |
98-75 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA WESTERN CONF. GAME OF THE WEEK on T-Wolves +8.5 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Dallas following Monday's big win at Memphis. The Mavs have a matchup with Chicago on Friday and are very likely already peeking ahead to that one mentally. It will be hard for Dallas to get up for the lowly T-Wolves, but it won't be hard for Minnesota to get up for this one. It's finally home after a week on the road, and it will be out for revenge for a 131-117 November loss in Dallas. The Mavericks are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing record and 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games versus Western Conference opponents. The Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus Western Conference foes. Pound Minnesota.
|
01-20-15 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Denver Nuggets +8.5 |
Top |
109-99 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +8.5 Bottom Line: Look for Denver to come storming back at home following last night's brutal 122-79 loss at Golden State. The Nuggets have been a strong play at home in recent seasons against good teams, going 25-12 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams that are outscoring their opponents by 3.0 PPG or more. Denver has defeated these teams by an average of 3.4 points. The Spurs are off a dominant 89-69 win over Utah, but they are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 10 points. Pound Denver.
|
01-19-15 |
New Orleans Pelicans v. New York Knicks +7 |
Top |
92-99 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 42 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLK DAY *BEST BET* on Knicks +7
Bottom Line: The Knicks have been awful, but I'm not hesitating to back them catching a good number in a favorable spot. The Pelicans are on a 10-22 ATS slide as a road favorite. They are off a big upset win in Toronto yesterday but are 0-7 ATS this season when checking in off an upset victory. They have lost these 7 by a whopping 16.3 points on average. New Orleans is also 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. Additionally, home underdogs that are playing for the 3rd time or fewer in a 10-day span are 79-41 ATS since 1996 if they failed to cover the spread last game. Pound NY.
|
01-18-15 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Orlando Magic UNDER 211 |
|
127-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA "TOTAL" DOMINATOR on Thunder/Magic UNDER 211 Bottom Line: Playing the UNDER on any team (OKC) that is off 2 or more consecutive overs has resulted in a 108-60 record the last 5 seasons when they are matched up against a team that is off 4 or more consecutive overs. Additionally, when the total is 210 or higher, playing the UNDER on road teams that are off an upset win of 10 points or more at home has resulted in a 29-7 record since 1996. Lastly, the UNDER is 11-1 in OKCs last 12 games after scoring more than 125 points in its previous game.
|
01-17-15 |
Portland Trailblazers +2.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
|
98-102 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Trailblazers +2.5 Bottom Line: Plays on underdogs that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent that is off 2 or more consecutive road wins has resulted in a 75-34 ATS record the last 5 seasons. The Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing without a day of rest and 11-2 ATS the last 3 seasons in Saturday road games. The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning percentage above 60% and 3-11-1 ATS in their 14 home games against the Blazers.
|
01-16-15 |
Golden State Warriors v. Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 |
Top |
115-127 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY ESPN GAME OF THE MONTH on Thunder +2.5 Bottom Line: It's gut check time for the Thunder, and I expect them to respond. They have been really good at home where they are 4-0 in their last 4 and 9-2 in their last 11. 1 of the 2 losses came by 2 points and the other came in OT so based on this number, the Thunder are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 home games. Now that's a trend I'll gladly get behind. Golden State is 0-2 in its last 2 and 1-3 in its last 4 on the road. Also, since the Super Sonics moved to Oklahoma City and became the Thunder, they are 10-2 at home versus Golden State. Pound OKC.
|
01-16-15 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Toronto Raptors +1 |
|
110-89 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Raptors +1 Bottom Line: Atlanta is getting too much respect on the road because it has won its last 10 games while going 9-0-1 ATS in these contests. I believe the streak comes to an end tonight as it has not been able to figure out the Raptors. Toronto has won the season's first 2 meetings and is 3-0 in the last 3. The 3 wins came by 10, 7 and 11 points. The Raptors are also 3-0 in their last 3 home games versus the Hawks with the wins coming by 12.7 points on average. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the Hawks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
01-16-15 |
Brooklyn Nets +10 v. Washington Wizards |
|
102-80 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR BOUNCE BACK *BLOOD BATH* on Nets +10 Bottom Line: I like the Nets to bounce back strong tonight. They are 11-2 ATS after 2 straight losses of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons and have won by an average of 8.7 points in this situation.
|
01-15-15 |
Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 v. Houston Rockets |
|
101-112 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Thunder +1.5 Bottom Line: The fresher team has a huge advantage, and the Thunder will be the much fresher team tonight. OKC has had the last 5 days off while the Rockets played in Orlando last night and are playing their 13th game in 19 days. They were on the road 6 of their last 8 games, which adds to the fatigue. The Thunder lost by 4 at home when these teams met earlier this season but Westbrook and Durant weren't available for that one. With both active here and with OKC much fresher, I like the Thunder to have their revenge. Playing on teams when the line is +3 to -3 that will be playing just 3 times or less in 10 days and are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent has resulted in a 51-20 ATS record since 1996.
|
01-14-15 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Denver Nuggets -2.5 |
|
107-114 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nuggets -2.5 Bottom Line: This is a favorable spot for Denver, which has had the last 4 days off to rest up and prepare for this contest. The Mavs, meanwhile, are off a tough OT game in Sacramento last night and now head to the thin Denver air with tired legs. The Mavericks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 versus Western Conference foes and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Nuggets are 30-11 ATS in their last 41 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 27-10-2 ATS in their last 39 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest.
|
01-14-15 |
Washington Wizards v. Chicago Bulls -5.5 |
Top |
105-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls -5.5 Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Bulls, who were defeated 102-86 at Washington last week. The Bulls are 19-7 ATS when out for revenge for a double-digit defeat since the start of last season. Additionally, playing home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a double-digit road loss has produced a 121-73 (62.4%) ATS record the last 19 years, provided both teams carry win percentages of 60-75%. Pound Chicago.
|
01-14-15 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Brooklyn Nets +7 |
|
103-92 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nets +7 Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are being overvalued here considering their road struggles. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9. The Nets have lost their last 6 but were competitive in all of those until they were dealt a double-digit defeat by Houston last game. However, the Nets are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a loss of more than 10 points.
|
01-13-15 |
Golden State Warriors v. Utah Jazz +8 |
Top |
116-105 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +8 Bottom Line: The Jazz are being undervalued at home where they have been extremely competitive. They've won or lost by less than 8 points in 7 straight at home. The Warriors haven't played a road game since Christmas so they'll finally be outside their comfort zone. They've lost or won by less than 8 points in each of their last 5 on the road. Pound Utah.
|
01-13-15 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Washington Wizards -1 |
|
93-101 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Wizards -1 Bottom Line: The Spurs are off an easy double digit win and cover in Minnesota but are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points. Washington was kicked by Atlanta last game but is 3-0-1 ATS in its last 4 games following an ATS loss. Additionally, the favorite is 20-5-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings.
|
01-12-15 |
New Orleans Pelicans v. Boston Celtics +5 |
|
100-108 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +5 Bottom Line: The Pelicans are off a double-digit win over Memphis while the Celtics are off a double-digit loss to Toronto. However, the Pelicans are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a win of more than 10 points while the Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Additionally, playing against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have covered the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, provided they have a win percentage of 45-55% on the season, has resulted in a 66-33 (67%) ATS record over the last 5 seasons. Also, in a game involving teams with +/- 3.0 ppg differential, playing against a favorite off a double-digit win has resulted in a 132-84 (61%) ATS record the last 5 seasons.
|
01-10-15 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls OVER 195 |
Top |
87-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bucks/Bulls OVER 195 Bottom Line: Milwaukee has finished under the total in 9 straight, which has forced oddsmakers to overadjust the line due to the amount of action the under is getting in Milwaukee games. This provides us with an excellent overs opportunity tonight. Milwaukee's unders run has been directly correlated with how well it has defended, but this will be its 4th game in 5 days and defense is the first thing to go in fatigued spots. The over is 18-6 in the Bulls' last 24 home games, including 5-0 in their last 5 versus teams with a winning road record. The over is 14-4 the last 2 seasons in Milwaukee's games as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points. We've seen 210.4 total points scored on average in these contests. Pound the over.
|
01-09-15 |
Cleveland Cavaliers +12.5 v. Golden State Warriors |
Top |
94-112 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on Cavs +12.5 Bottom Line: The Cavs have struggled with LeBron James out nursing injuries, but there is still a ton of talent on the roster, and I expect them to show up against the best team in the NBA with the bright ESPN lights on. Playing against home teams that are outscoring opponents by 9.0 PPG or more on the season has resulted in a 30-9 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are up against an opponent that allowed 105 points or more last game. Pound Cleveland.
|
01-09-15 |
Phoenix Suns v. San Antonio Spurs -5 |
|
95-100 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Spurs -5 Bottom Line: The Spurs are off an ugly loss at home to Detroit where they blew an 18-point advantage and even led by 3 points with 10 seconds left and couldn't close the deal. All that actually bodes well for us here. San Antonio is 17-6 ATS off an upset loss at home the last 3 seasons and has won these games by 9.8 points on average.
|
01-09-15 |
Utah Jazz v. Oklahoma City Thunder -11.5 |
|
94-99 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Thunder -11.5 Bottom Line: Playing against underdogs that beat the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game has resulted in a 26-6 ATS record the last 5 seasons, provided they have a win percentage of 25-40% on the season. Utah upset Chicago on the road in its last game but is 2-11 ATS the last 3 seasons in road games following a road win.
|
01-08-15 |
Charlotte Hornets v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 199.5 |
|
103-95 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Hornets/Raptors UNDER 199.5 Bottom Line: Toronto was horrible defensively in its last 2 games and will be looking to tighten the screws here. The Raptors have had the last 3 days off to get fresh and prepare for the Hornets, and I expect them to put forth an outstanding defensive effort tonight. Toronto is 19-7 UNDER since 1996 in home games after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games. The UNDER is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings between these teams in Toronto.
|
01-07-15 |
Phoenix Suns v. Minnesota Timberwolves +8.5 |
|
113-111 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Timberwolves +8.5 Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Phoenix, which played a hard fought game in Milwaukee last night and has big games against the Spurs and Grizzlies on deck. I don't see the Suns giving the lowly T-Wolves their complete focus. The Suns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Bet Minnesota.
|
01-05-15 |
Washington Wizards v. New Orleans Pelicans OVER 200 |
Top |
92-85 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA "Total" BLOWOUT on Wizards/Pelicans OVER 200 Bottom Line: These teams have come in under 200 points in each of the last 9 meetings so it's clear the books are begging for action on the under. However, they have good reason for posting such a high number as the Washington defense is really struggling (gave up over 52% shooting in each of its last 3 games) and it's up against a New Orleans team that is averaging over 108 ppg at home. Washington is 17-7 OVER the last 2 seasons in road games after finishing under the total in its last game. The OVER iis 10-4 in the Pelicans' last 14 home games and 11-4 in their last 15 versus the East.
|
01-04-15 |
Sacramento Kings +4 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
95-114 |
Loss |
-104 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +4 Bottom Line: The Kings will be hungry as they seek revenge for a home loss to Detroit last month. Playing underdogs that are out for revenge for an upset loss at home has resulted in a 33-10 ATS record the last 5 seasons, provided the team they are seeking revenge against is off 2 or more consecutive road wins. Bet Sacramento.
|
01-02-15 |
Detroit Pistons v. New York Knicks +3 |
|
97-81 |
Loss |
-106 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +3 Bottom Line: Detroit is being overvalued following 3 straight wins. It is just 1-8 ATS as a favorite this season. The Knicks lost ugly to the Blazers and Clippers in their last 2 but are 26-9 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses of 10 points or more since 1996. The Knicks are 8-0 in their last 8 home games versus the Pistons.
|
12-30-14 |
Phoenix Suns v. New Orleans Pelicans -1.5 |
|
106-110 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans -1.5 Bottom Line: This is a challenging spot for Phoenix, which will be playing a 3rd road game in 5 days and this one comes after a long cross-country trip from LA. The Suns also have a big revenge game in Oklahoma City tomorrow so they could be peeking ahead to that one. New Orleans has had the last 2 days off so it should be the fresher team. It should also be the hungrier side as it tries to end 4-game losing streak to the Suns. The Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning record and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record.
|
12-29-14 |
Sacramento Kings v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 204.5 |
Top |
99-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA "TOTAL" DOMINATOR on Kings/Nets UNDER 204.5 Bottom Line: Playing the UNDER on a team that has finished over the total in at least its last 2 games has resulted in a 108-58 (65%) record the last 5 seasons if that team is playing an opponent that has finished over the total in at least its last 4 games. Additionally, playing the UNDER on a road team when the total is 200 or higher has resulted in a 72-38 (66%) record since 1996 if the road team averages 102 PPG or more and is playing a team that averages 92-98 PPG, and if the road team allowed 55 points or more in the 1st half in its last 2 games. Pound the UNDER.
|
12-28-14 |
Toronto Raptors v. Denver Nuggets +2.5 |
|
116-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +2.5 Bottom Line: Tough spot for Toronto playing without rest in high altitude. The difficulty of this spot is magnified by the fact it is off a big win and has a bigger game on deck. The Nuggets are 29-10 ATS in their last 39 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Denver is 14-4 ATS at home the last 3 seasons versus very good teams that outscore their opponents by 6 PPG or more, and it has defeated these teams by an average of 1.4 points.
|
12-27-14 |
Indiana Pacers v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 191 |
|
110-85 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Pacers/Nets UNDER 191 Bottom Line: Lionel Hollins is a defensive-minded coach and can't be happy with yesterday's performance in Boston. The Nets got the win but allowed the Celtics to score 107 points on 51.7% shooting. Hollins has been able to make the proper adjustments and motivate his team following poor defensive game. The Nets are 8-0 under his watch after allowing 105 points or more and are holding opponents to only 94.0 in this spot.
|
12-26-14 |
Charlotte Hornets +6.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
Top |
75-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Hornets +6.5 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from OKC following a big Christmas Day win in San Antonio. The Hornets are playing their best basketball of the season, and they'll be more rested and more prepared for this contest. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a win, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus teams with a losing record and 4-0 ATS in their 4 road games. Charlotte is 10-1 ATS in December road games under coach Clifford. Pound the Hornets.
|
12-25-14 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Miami Heat +5.5 |
Top |
91-101 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY CHRISTMAS *BEST BET* on Heat +5.5 Bottom Line: This line is inflated due to a combination of Cleveland's back-to-back blowout wins and covers and Miami's ugly loss to the 76ers. This will be an emotional game for LeBron James as he returns to the place he won 2 Championships. He struggled mightily in the season opener in his return to Cleveland and I believe his emotions will also get the better of him in this one. I also expect a big effort from the Heat as they look to show LeBron that he would have been better off staying in South Beach. At the end of regulation, Cleveland has won by more than 5.5 points in just 3 of 11 road games this season. Miami has been a great bounce-back team this season at 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following a loss. Pound the Heat.
|
12-23-14 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +14 v. Cleveland Cavaliers |
Top |
104-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on T-Wolves +14 Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game of the Cavs, which are off a big blowout win over Memphis and have a Christmas day showdown at Miami on deck. I don't see them giving the lowly T-Wolves their full attention tonight. Playing against home favorites after a game where they shot 60% or better has resulted in a 26-6 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Additionally, Tuesday night double-digit dogs that have a win percentage of 25% or worse on the season are 104-59 ATS since 1996. Pound Minnesota.
|
12-22-14 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Houston Rockets -3.5 |
Top |
95-110 |
Win
|
102 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA Pre All-Star Break GAME OF THE YEAR on Rockets -3.5 Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Rockets, who were bounced by Portland in six games in last season's playoffs. What stings even worse is how they lost. It looked like Houston was going to force a Game 7, then Damian Lillard nailed a three-pointer as time expired. You just don't forget losses like that, and this is the first meeting since. Houston will be ready. The Rockets have been a much better play than Portland when facing quality competition. The Rockets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games versus a team with a winning percentage above 60% while the Blazers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games versus a team with a winning percentage above 60%. The Rockets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Houston.
|
12-21-14 |
Indiana Pacers v. Minnesota Timberwolves +3 |
|
100-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on T-Wolves +3 Bottom Line: When the line is +3 to -3, playing a team that has allowed 105 points or more in 2 straight games has resulted in a 28-7 ATS record since 1996, provided their opponent is off a game where 165 points or less were scored. This system is a perfect 4-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, teams off 2 straight double-digit defeats are 46-18 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are playing a team that is off a game where both it and its opponent scored 90 points or less. Grab the points.
|
12-20-14 |
Indiana Pacers +4 v. Denver Nuggets |
Top |
73-76 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 60 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers +4 Bottom Line: Playing road teams that are out for revenge for a home blowout loss of 20 points or more to an opponent, provided that opponent checks in off a home win, has resulted in a 41-12 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Off a big win over the Clippers last night, Denver will have a tough time getting past a more motivated and better rested Indiana squad. Pound the Pacers.
|
12-19-14 |
Chicago Bulls +6.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
Top |
103-97 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on Bulls +6.5 Bottom Line: Memphis is being overvalued following back-to-back big wins over Golden State and San Antonio. The Bulls have been outstanding on the road where they are 11-4, and they are an incredible 17-5 ATS in Friday night road game over the last three seasons. Playing underdogs that are outscoring opponents by 3 PPG or more on the season and are matched up against a team that is coming off a close win of 3 points or less has resulted in a 46-21 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound the Bulls.
|
12-17-14 |
Houston Rockets v. Denver Nuggets +1.5 |
Top |
115-111 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 37 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +1.5 Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Nuggets, who were defeated by double digits in Houston Saturday. I expect home court to make the difference as the home team is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings overall, including 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 at home. These 4 wins came by an average of 12.0 points. Pound the Nuggets.
|
12-17-14 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Detroit Pistons +6.5 |
|
117-106 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *PUBLIC MASSACRE* on Pistons +6.5 Bottom Line: The public doesn't want any part of a Pistons team that is 5-20 on the season, but this is a good spot for them. The Mavs played in New York last night while the Pistons had the night off so I expect Detroit to be the fresher side. The Mavs will also be tempted to peak ahead to their next opponents - San Antonio. The Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing without a day of rest.
|
12-16-14 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Sacramento Kings +7.5 |
Top |
104-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK on Kings +7.5 Bottom Line: The Kings are 17-4 ATS the last 3 seasons following a stretch of 8 or more losses in a 10-game span. They are also on a 32-16 ATS run as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9.0 points. Playing against favorites in a game involving teams with a +/- 3.0 PPG scoring differential, provide they are off a blowout win of 15 points or more, has resulted in a 73-35 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound Sacramento.
|
12-15-14 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Phoenix Suns -5 |
|
96-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Suns -5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Milwaukee as it hits the road following a big upset win over the Clippers. The Bucks are 4-14 ATS off an upset victory over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 12.3 points in this spot. The Suns have owned the Bucks at home to the tune of 16-1 since 1997. The Suns have won these games by an average score of 110 to 100. Bet Phoenix.
|
12-14-14 |
Utah Jazz +11 v. Washington Wizards |
|
84-93 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +11 Bottom Line: Off a big win over the Clippers, it's going to be tough for Washington give the Jazz its full attention. I expect enough of a letdown from the Wizards for Utah to be able to keep this one within a generous number. Double digit dogs off 2 or more consecutive OVERS are 43-15 ATS the last 5 seasons, provided they average 92-98 ppg and are playing a team that allows 92-98 ppg. Additionally, Utah is 11-0 ATS the last 3 seasons in road games after 2 or more consecutive OVERS. Bet the Jazz.
|
12-12-14 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Washington Wizards +2.5 |
Top |
96-104 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on Wizards +2.5 Bottom Line: The Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games versus teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage greater than .600. Playing against road favorites that have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games, provided they have a win percentage of 75% or better and are playing a winning team, has resulted in a 63-27 (70%) ATS record since 1996. Pound Washington.
|
12-11-14 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 204.5 |
|
94-103 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA on TNT "Total" DOMINATOR on Cavs/Thunder UNDER 204.5 Bottom Line: The Under is 6-0-1 in Cavaliers' last 7 games when playing on 1 days' rest, 3-0-1 in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400, 5-0-1 in their last 6 versus NBA Northwest opponents and 6-0 in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. The Under is 6-1 in Thunder's last 7 home games and 22-8 in their last 30 overall. The Under is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings, including 4-1-1 in the last 6 in OKC.
|
12-10-14 |
Boston Celtics v. Charlotte Hornets -2.5 |
Top |
87-96 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY EASTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK on Hornets -2.5 Bottom Line: The Hornets have the edge at home against a Boston team that has lost 5 of its 1st 7 road games. Charlotte has been resting comfortably at home all month and has had 4 full days to prepare for the Celtics. Boston is playing for the 3rd time in 4 days with its most recent one going to double OT so it will be showing some fatigue. The Celtics have been awful on defense this season, especially on the road where they are giving up 110.3 ppg. They are 15-26 ATS after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 Wednesday games and 18-8 ATS in their last 26 versus NBA Atlantic division foes. Pound Charlotte.
|
12-09-14 |
Sacramento Kings v. Los Angeles Lakers -2.5 |
|
95-98 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Lakers -2.5 Bottom Line: Sacramento's ball movement has suffered without Cousins in the post, and that has corresponded to losses. The Kings have dropped 4 of 6 since Cousins went down with an illness, and I don't like their chances here. The Lakers are on a 19-4 ATS run versus teams that average 20 or fewer assists per game. The Lakers have won 5 straight at home in the series.
|
12-09-14 |
Miami Heat +4.5 v. Phoenix Suns |
Top |
103-97 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Heat +4.5 Bottom Line: Fatigue will be an issue for Phoenix, which is playing a 4th game in 5 days and went to OT last night in LA. Playing against home teams that have lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games and are playing a 4th game in 5 days has resulted in a 139-86 ATS record since 1996. This system has gone 15-6 ATS the last 3 seasons. Pound the Heat.
|
12-08-14 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Indiana Pacers |
|
108-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers -110 Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Hawks playing a second game of a back-to-back versus a team that has had the last 2 days off. Playing against underdogs that allow 99 ppg or more on the season but have allowed 85 points or less their last 2 games has resulted in a 28-7 ATS record the last 18 seasons, including a perfect 8-0 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound the Pacers.
|
12-07-14 |
Denver Nuggets +5.5 v. Atlanta Hawks |
|
84-96 |
Loss |
-103 |
5 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +5.5 Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to Denver's 30-point loss in Washington combined with Atlanta's 23-point win in Brooklyn. Prior to that, Denver had been playing outstanding basketball, and I expect it to come storming back against a team it's had a great deal of success against. Based on a number of +5.5, the Nuggets are 6-2 SU and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 meetings with Atlanta. Playing against home teams that led by 20 points or more at halftime of their previous game has resulted in a 99-56 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Playing on road teams off a blowout loss of 15 points or more, provided they average 103 ppg or more on the season, has resulted in a 124-71 ATS record the last 18 seasons.
|
12-06-14 |
New Orleans Pelicans +9.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers |
|
100-120 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 23 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans +9.5 Bottom Line: Look for the Pelicans to come storming back following Thursday's ugly 27-points loss to Golden State. The Pelicans are 33-16-3 ATS in their last 52 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Clippers have been overvalued at home a lot lately, especially when rested. They are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Pound the Pelicans.
|
12-05-14 |
Houston Rockets v. Minnesota Timberwolves +7 |
Top |
114-112 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on Timberwolves +7 Bottom Line: Look for Houston to get caught looking ahead tonight. The Rockets are prime for a letdown following a win over Memphis and with a tough game against Phoenix on deck tomorrow. They have already defeated the Timberwolves by double-digits this season so they will be thinking they can just show up and win. Minnesota, however, just lost to the worst team in the league, and I'm expecting an inspired effort in the aftermath of that. The Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 1 days' rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing record. Pound Minnesota.
|
12-04-14 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. New York Knicks +7 |
|
90-87 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +7 Bottom Line: Even bad teams tend to get up for national TV spots, and I fully expect the Knicks to get up for LeBron and company tonight. The Knicks are an impressive 15-5 ATS in their last 20 Thursday TNT games. The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. The Cavs have only 1 win of more than 6 points on the road this season. Grab the points.
|
12-03-14 |
Toronto Raptors v. Utah Jazz +4 |
Top |
123-104 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4 Bottom Line: This is a difficult spot for Toronto, which is playing its 2nd road game in as many nights and it's 3rd in 4 days. It has a big showdown with Cleveland on deck so it will be easy to peek ahead to that one since it handled Utah easily at home last month. The Jazz will be the fresher team having had yesterday off. They'll also be the more motivated squad as they look to end a 6-game slide and avenge that earlier loss in Toronto. The Raptors are 4-11 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Pound Utah.
|
12-02-14 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Denver Nuggets +3.5 |
|
105-103 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets +3.5 Bottom Line: Denver has lost the season's first 2 meetings with Portland handily, but that was before it started its current 8-2 run. I like the Nuggets to have their revenge tonight at home. The Nuggets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games, 43-21-1 ATS in their last 65 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. The underdog is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
|
12-02-14 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Detroit Pistons -1.5 |
|
106-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Pistons -1.5 Bottom Line: Following a big upset win over Toronto, expect the Lakers to suffer a letdown as they hit the road for the first time since Nov. 21. Detroit has underachieved to this point given the level of talent it has on the roster. After playing 6 straight games against teams with winning records, and losing all 6, the Pistons will be going after a win tonight with all they've got. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
|
12-02-14 |
Boston Celtics +7.5 v. Atlanta Hawks |
Top |
105-109 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +7.5 Bottom Line: The Hawks are the more rested team having had the last 2 days off while the Celtics just had yesterday off. Fresh legs have done Atlanta no good against the number as it is 6-25 ATS in its last 31 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Boston has shown the ability to score the basketball, and that makes it an attractive dog here. Playing underdogs that average 103 or more ppg that are taking on a team that has scored 100 points or more in 3 straight games has resulted in a 96-45 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound Boston.
|
12-01-14 |
Denver Nuggets v. Utah Jazz +3 |
Top |
103-101 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +3 Bottom Line: Look for the Jazz to bounce back at home following Saturday's 112-96 loss to the Clippers. The Jazz are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on 1 days' rest. The Nuggets are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 versus the Western Conference and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 versus the NBA Northwest division. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Utah.
|
11-30-14 |
Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets +3.5 |
|
102-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 0 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Nets +3.5 Bottom Line: I'm not hesitating to fade the Bulls following Friday's win in Boston as they are 0-7 ATS this season off a road win, losing these contests by an average of 4.2 points. The Nets will be the fresher side as they have had the last 3 days off. Playing home teams off a road win over a division opponent that are playing only their 2nd game in 5 days has resulted in a 36-14 ATS record the last 5 seasons.
|
11-29-14 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Utah Jazz +6 |
Top |
112-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +6 Bottom Line: I'm not hesitating to grab the points with the Jazz as I expect them to take the Clippers right down to the wire. LA has played 5 road games the last 7 days, and I think it runs out of gas against a Utah squad that has had the last 2 days off. The Jazz have won or lost by fewer than 6 points in 34 of their last 36 home games against the Clippers. Pound Utah.
|
11-29-14 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Philadelphia 76ers +12.5 |
|
110-103 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA SUPER SYSTEM *SUREFIRE* on 76ers +12.5 Bottom Line: The 76ers will have no trouble getting up for this game. They are still searching for their first win of the season and were humiliated by Dallas earlier this month. Philly has shown improvement with their last 3 losses coming by 10 points or less, and it should be feeling good physically after having the last 2 days off. I see Dallas having a hard time getting up for this one after yesterday's big win in Toronto. Playing against double-digit road favorites that are outscoring opponent by an average of 9.0 ppg or more on the season has resulted in a 51-22 ATS record since 1996. This system is already 1-0 this season and 6-1 the last 3 seasons.
|
11-28-14 |
Golden State Warriors v. Charlotte Hornets +9 |
|
106-101 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Hornets +9 Bottom Line: Playing against road teams with a good defense that has held opponents to an average of 41% shooting or worse on the season, provided they have held each of their last 3 opponents to 42% or worse, has resulted in a 74-34 ATS record since 1996. This system shows the way good defensive teams tend to be overvalued on the road.
|
11-26-14 |
Golden State Warriors v. Orlando Magic +9 |
|
111-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Magic +9 Bottom Line: I expect the Warriors to show some fatigue tonight. They are playing their 2nd road game in as many nights and their 3rd in 4 nights. The Magic had yesterday off and should be the fresher side. They are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on 1 day of rest and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games versus teams with a winning record. The Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Orlando, and the home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
|
11-26-14 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5 |
Top |
103-86 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Timberwolves +1.5 Bottom Line: Heavy legs will be an issue for the Bucks as they hit the road, where they are 3-5, after playing at home last night. Minnesota will be very fresh having had the last 3 days off. The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a losing home record while the Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a losing road record. The Timberwolves are an outstanding 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 versus NBA Central division foes, and they've had plenty of success against Milwaukee, going 23-11 SU & 22-10-2 ATS in the last 34 meetings. The Wolves have won 4 straight in the series and should be able to make it 5 in a row in this advantageous scheduling spot. Pound Minnesota.
|
11-25-14 |
Sacramento Kings v. New Orleans Pelicans UNDER 203.5 |
Top |
99-89 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA "TOTAL" DOMINATOR on Kings/Pelicans UNDER 203.5 Bottom Line: We saw 206 points scored when these teams met last week, but I expect defensive adjustments to be made and this one to come in comfortably under the number. Eric Gordon scored 17 points in that contest but won't be available here. The Kings aren't an overly aggressive defensive team. They prefer to pack it in and force opponents to wind down the shot clock. That bodes very well for us as their approach slows down the game and prevents easy transition opportunities for the opposition. The numbers support this too as the Kings are 17-5 UNDER after 4 straight games of forcing 14 turnovers or less under coach Malone. Rebounding is a big part of unders plays. The Kings are one of the best in the league on the boards and that limits second chance opportunities for their opponents. When the total is 200 or higher for a Tuesday game, playing the UNDER on a team like Sacramento that outrebounds its opponents by an average of 3.0 per game or more has resulted in a 61-29 record over the last 5 seasons. Pound the UNDER.
|
11-24-14 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 199.5 |
|
114-104 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA "TOTAL" DOMINATOR on Blazers/76ers OVER 199.5 Bottom Line: Portland has been playing well defensively, but it will have a difficult time digging in at the defensive end after playing yesterday. It will also be hard for Portland to get up for the lowly 76ers, and defense is typically what suffers most in unmotivated spots. Philly is is 32-16 OVER in home games following a game that went under the total over the last 3 seasons. It is 25-12 OVER in home games played in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Blazers are 14-3 OVER in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins under coach Stotts.
|
11-23-14 |
Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers +2 |
|
101-94 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Lakers +2 Bottom Line: The Nuggets aren't the same team outside of Denver, going 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. They are just 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 versus the Western Conference and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The Lakers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a losing road record.
|
11-23-14 |
Golden State Warriors v. Oklahoma City Thunder +8.5 |
|
91-86 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Thunder +8.5 Bottom Line: It will be tough for the Warriors to get up for an OKC team that doesn't have Durant or Westbrook on the court. The Thunder have been competitive at home where they don't have a single loss by more than 7 points. OKC is 60-38 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points under coach Brooks and 23-8 ATS under Brooks after having lost 8 or more of its last 10 games.
|
11-23-14 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Boston Celtics +6 |
Top |
94-88 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +6 Bottom Line: Now's the time to fade Portland. The Blazers are on a 12-26 ATS slide after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite. The Celtics are 9-1 in the last 10 home meetings in the series. Pound Bean Town.
|
11-22-14 |
Washington Wizards v. Milwaukee Bucks +3 |
Top |
111-100 |
Loss |
-102 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks +3 Bottom Line: This will be a tough encore for Washington after upsetting Cleveland last night. The Wizards are on a 5-16 ATS slide in road games off an upset win of 10 points or more at home. Kidd has shown he can make proper adjustments and motivate his teams after they take it on the chin. His teams are 13-3 ATS off a road loss of 10 points or more. Pound Milwaukee.
|
11-22-14 |
Toronto Raptors v. Cleveland Cavaliers -3 |
|
110-93 |
Loss |
-104 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Cavs -3 Bottom Line: LeBron James and company will be extremely motivated after losing a 3rd straight last night. The Raptors kicked Milwaukee last night, but they are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a win of more than 10 points and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without rest. The Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Raptors.
|
11-21-14 |
Phoenix Suns v. Philadelphia 76ers +9.5 |
|
122-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *ODDSMAKER ERROR* on 76ers +9.5 Bottom Line: The 76ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Suns are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing record. Plays on any team off 2 straight double digits losses that is up against a team that is off a game where both it and its opponents scored 90 points or less has resulted in a 46-17 ATS record the last 5 seasons.
|
11-20-14 |
Chicago Bulls v. Sacramento Kings -1 |
|
88-103 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Kings -1 Bottom Line: The Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Kings and have been obliterated by scores of 121-79 and 99-70 in their last 2 visits to Sacramento. The Bulls are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a cover while the Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS defeat. The Kings have cooled off following a hot start, but their cool off coincided with a 4-game road trip. And, it's not like they've played poorly. They played Memphis to a 1-point game on the road. This is their final home game before 4 more on the road so they'll be looking to finish their 3-game home stand with a winning record. Bet the Kings.
|
11-19-14 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Brooklyn Nets -6 |
|
122-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA DOUBLE DIGIT *BLOOD BATH* on Nets -6 Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Bucks playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back on the road against a highly motivated team. Brooklyn is 10-0 ATS the last 3 seasons after 2 straight losses of 10 points or more and has won these 10 by 12.4 points on average.
|
11-19-14 |
Phoenix Suns v. Detroit Pistons +3 |
Top |
88-86 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK on Pistons +3 Bottom Line: The Pistons are showing exceptional value in the home underdog role as this has been a matchup dominated by the home team. The home squad is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings with an average winning margin of 11.0 points. Pound the Pistons.
|
11-19-14 |
Charlotte Hornets +2.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
86-88 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA BOUNCE-BACK *PUNISHER* on Hornets +2.5 Bottom Line: The Pacers have been a bad play off a big win. They are only 9-24 ATS in their last 33 games following a victory. The Hornets were hammered by Dallas last game but are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss of more than 10 points.
|
11-18-14 |
New Orleans Pelicans +3 v. Sacramento Kings |
|
106-100 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans +3 Bottom Line: Playing underdogs that are outscoring opponents by 3.0 ppg or more on the season and are matched up with a team that is off a close win of 3 points or less has resulted in a 45-21 ATS record the last five seasons. Bet New Orleans.
|
11-17-14 |
Denver Nuggets +12.5 v. Cleveland Cavaliers |
Top |
106-97 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +12.5 Bottom Line: This is a look-ahead spot for Cleveland, which already has a comfortable win over Denver and has the reigning champs up next. Not only is this a revenge spot for Denver, it's a bounce-back spot after yesterday's 16-point loss at New York. Playing double-digit road dogs off a loss of 15 points or more that are up against a team that has posted a combined score of 215 points or more in 2 straight games has resulted in a 27-6 ATS record since 1996. Pound the Nuggets.
|
11-16-14 |
Denver Nuggets v. New York Knicks -1 |
|
93-109 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Knicks -1 Bottom Line: The Knicks will leave it all on the floor to end their 7-game losing streak. This is their last home game before they hit the road for 2 straight and 5 of 6, and they don't want to bring a losing streak on the road with them. The home team has had the edge in this matchup, going 4-0 in their last 4 and 9-1 in the last 10. Expect this trend to continue.
|
11-15-14 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +11.5 v. Dallas Mavericks |
|
117-131 |
Loss |
-106 |
13 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Super System *SUREFIRE* on T-wolves +11.5 Bottom Line: The T-wolves fit neatly into a system that has performed exceedingly well. Consider that plays on road teams that average 98-102 ppg have resulted in a 73-32 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are playing a team that allows 98-102 ppg and if they've allowed 100 points or more in 2 straight games. Additionally, the Mavericks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game. The road team is 35-16 ATS in the last 51 meetings, and the Timberwolves are 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings in Dallas.
|
11-15-14 |
Orlando Magic v. Washington Wizards -8.5 |
Top |
93-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 0 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Wizards -8.5 Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Orlando, which will be playing for the 4th time in 5 days and the 8th time in 12 days. Washington had 3 days of rest prior to its last game and 2 days of rest prior to this one. It gets 3 more days off after this game so it has no reason to hold anything back. The Wizards won in Orlando by 7 points earlier this season, but that win was the 2nd game of a road back-to-back. This is a much better spot. The Wizards are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the Magic with these wins coming by an average of 9.6 points. The Wizards are also 5-0 in their last 5 home games against the Magic with these victories coming by 14.4 points on average. Pound Washington.
|
11-14-14 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Boston Celtics +6 |
|
122-121 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +6 Bottom Line: Cleveland is getting too much respect from odds makers. The Cavs really have only 1 quality win on the season, an OT win in Chicago. The Celtics also have a win in Chicago and didn't need extra time to pull it off. Rose wasn't playing when the Celtics beat the Bulls, but this line is still off the mark. Everyone seems to be giving this Cavs team their best shot, and I expect no different tonight. Playing underdogs that average 103 ppg or more that are up against a team that has scored 100 points or more in 3 straight games has resulted in a 94-51 ATS record the last 5 seasons.
|
11-14-14 |
Denver Nuggets +3.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
Top |
108-87 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Nuggets +3.5 Bottom Line: Indiana beat Miami in its last game, but it is a very poor 9-23 ATS in its last 32 games following a win. The Pacers are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 home games, 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games versus teams with a losing record and 12-31 ATS in their last 43 games when playing on 1 day of rest. Denver is coming off a pair of double-digit defeats to Portland. However, road teams off 2 straight double-digit defeats are 26-6 ATS the last 5 seasons if their opponent is coming off a game where both it and its foe scored 90 points or less. This system is 15-2 ATS the last 3 seasons. Pound Denver.
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11-13-14 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 208.5 |
|
99-107 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA "Total" Bailout on Nets/Warriors UNDER 208.5 Bottom Line: The Golden State defense wasn't nearly good enough last game against San Antonio, and I expect the Warriors to do something about it. They are 11-2 UNDER the last 2 seasons in home games after allowing 110 points or more last game and have held opponents to an average of just 93.5 points in this spot. Golden State is also 13-2 UNDER the last 2 seasons after a home game where both it and its opponent scored 100 points or more. We have seen only 199.1 total points scored on average in this situation. Bet the UNDER.
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11-12-14 |
Detroit Pistons +7 v. Washington Wizards |
Top |
103-107 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 36 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +7 Bottom Line: The Pistons are off to a slow start, but they are a talented team and it's only a matter of time before they start clicking. They'll be confident here as they go up against a Washington team they have had a great deal of success against, and I'm not hesitating to take them getting a big number. They are 18-5 in the last 23 meetings. The Pistons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record while the Wizards are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 home games versus a team with a losing road record. The Wizards are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. Pound the Pistons.
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11-11-14 |
Orlando Magic +11 v. Toronto Raptors |
|
100-104 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Magic +11 Bottom Line: Orlando won't have Toronto's full attention tonight. The Raptors have won 8 straight in the series, including a 13-point win Nov. 1 and will be looking ahead to Thursday's showdown with the Bulls as a result. Double-digit dog off 2 or more consecutive overs that average 92-98 ppg and are playing a team that allows 92-98 ppg are 41-15 ATS the last 5 seasons.
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11-10-14 |
Atlanta Hawks v. New York Knicks +1.5 |
|
91-85 |
Loss |
-102 |
11 h 52 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +1.5 Bottom Line: The Knicks lost in Atlanta by 7 points Saturday, but we are catching a good number at home in the rematch. This line is factoring in fatigue for the Knicks, who are playing their 5th game in 7 days, but I don't see it being an issue this early in the season. History supports my opinion. When the line is +3 to -3, teams playing a 5th game in 7 days in the month of November are 64-26 (71%) ATS since 1996. The home team is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings, and the Knicks have won 26 of 34 at home against the Hawks dating back to 1996.
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11-09-14 |
Charlotte Hornets v. Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 |
|
92-107 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 33 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Lakers +3.5 Bottom Line: This is a good spot for the Lakers to pick up their first win of the season. They have had four days to rest their bodies and prepare for the Hornets. I expect LA to be very determined. The underdog is 15-3 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
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11-09-14 |
Golden State Warriors v. Phoenix Suns +1 |
|
95-107 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
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4* Major Pacific Division *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Suns +1 Bottom Line: The Warriors are 5-0 SU and ATS on the season and are being overvalued by odds makers because of it. Playing against road teams in Sunday that have beaten the spread by 42 points or more in their last 5 games has resulted in a 20-6 ATS record over the last 5 seasons. The Suns won both home meetings in last season's series, and the home side is 6-1 ATS in the last 7.
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11-08-14 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Los Angeles Clippers -4 |
|
102-106 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
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4* MAJOR NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Clippers -4 Bottom Line: The Clippers have yet to cover a spread this season, but now is the time to back them. Consider that teams with a win percentage of 51-60% that have failed to cover the spread in 5 or more consecutive games are an impressive 71-37 ATS the last 18 years. Doc Rivers wasn't at all happy with how his team performed at Golden State last time out, and he made it well known. The Clippers respect their head coach, and I expect them to answer the bell.
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11-07-14 |
Dallas Mavericks -3.5 v. Utah Jazz |
|
105-82 |
Win
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100 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Mavs -3.5 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Utah following Wednesday's buzzer-beating win over the Cavs. Dallas took it on the chin in Portland last night and will be chomping at the bit to get back on the floor against a Utah team it defeated 120-102 Oct. 30. Playing against November home dogs off a close home win of 3 points or less has produced a perfect 11-0 ATS record the last 5 seasons.
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11-07-14 |
Sacramento Kings v. Phoenix Suns -5 |
Top |
114-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Suns -5 Bottom Line: The Kings crushed Denver Wednesday but are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Suns lost by double digits to Memphis the same night but are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Suns are 10-1 ATS at home when the total is between 205 and 209.5 under Hornacek, and they have won these games by 11.0 points on average.
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11-07-14 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Oklahoma City Thunder +7.5 |
|
91-89 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
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4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder +7.5 Bottom Line: No Durant or Westbrook, but the Thunder still have enough fire power to keep this one within this generous number. The Thunder are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600.
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11-06-14 |
San Antonio Spurs +4 v. Houston Rockets |
|
81-98 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA on TNT *BEST BET* on Spurs +4 Bottom Line: The Spurs played last night but had 4 days off prior and are playing just their 4th game of the season so fatigue shouldn't be an issue. The Rockets are playing their 6th game overall and 3rd in 4 days so I don't see an advantage for them in terms of fresh legs. Because Houston is undefeated and because it swept the season series last season, I expect the defending champs to get up for this one. The Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without rest. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
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11-05-14 |
New York Knicks v. Detroit Pistons -4 |
|
95-98 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 50 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons -4 Bottom Line: I like the Pistons to finally break into the win column tonight. They've had 3 days to prepare for this game while the Knicks are being asked to play their 2nd game in as many nights. The Knicks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home. The favorite is a perfect 10-0 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
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11-04-14 |
Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 215 |
Top |
112-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 12 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Suns/Lakers UNDER 215 Bottom Line: The Lakers have gone over the total in each of their last 3 games with at least 218 total points scored in each. And, these teams combined for 218 total points when they met last week. Yet, odds makers have set a total 3 points lower, which means they're begging for action on the over. We won't bite. When the total is 210 or higher, playing the UNDER on teams like the Lakers that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent and are off a road loss of 20 points or more has resulted in an 83-43 (66%) record since 1996. Pound the UNDER.
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11-04-14 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Portland Trail Blazers +3 |
|
82-101 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *PUNISHER* on Blazers +3 Bottom Line: Excluding pushes, Portland is 85-56 ATS over its last 141 games as a home underdog of 6 points or less and has only lost by an average of 0.4 points in these contests. The Blazers were 31-10 at home in the regular season last season so they aren't used to losing at home. Sunday's home loss to the Warriors should provide all the motivation they need. Grab the points.
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11-03-14 |
Sacramento Kings v. Denver Nuggets -7 |
|
110-105 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nuggets -7 Bottom Line: Following consecutive big wins over the Blazers and Clippers, expect a letdown from the Kings in Denver tonight. The Kings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win while the Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss. Sacramento is also on a 65-91 ATS slide in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. The Kings are 3-8-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Bet Denver.
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11-03-14 |
Houston Rockets v. Philadelphia 76ers +9.5 |
Top |
104-93 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 50 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on 76ers +9.5 Bottom Line: I like the 76ers at home catching nearly double digits against a Houston team that's riding high from a 3-0 start. With the Heat, Spurs and Warriors this week, the Rockets will have a tough time focusing on the task at hand. Besides, home court has been huge in this matchup with the home side going 6-0 ATS in the last 6. Pound Philly.
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11-02-14 |
Golden State Warriors v. Portland Trail Blazers -3.5 |
Top |
95-90 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 3 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Trailblazers -3.5 Bottom Line: It looks like the Warriors will again be without David Lee, and it finally hurts them here. Lee will be missed against a Portland team that will expose the Warriors down low with Aldridge, Lopez and Kaman. Bogut is a good interior defender, but he can't handle all these guys on his own, which is basically what is being asked of him tonight. The Blazers should also be the fresher team as they had yesterday off while the Warriors played last night and traveled. Pound Portland.
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11-02-14 |
Charlotte Bobcats +4 v. New York Knicks |
|
93-96 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 33 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Hornets +4 Bottom Line: The Knicks are getting a little too much respect following their win over Cleveland. New York is on a 3-14 ATS slide at home in the first half of the season while the Hornets are on an 11-2 ATS run in first half of the season road games. Charlotte is coming off a loss in Memphis last night but is on a 27-14 ATS run following defeat and 4-1 ATS in its last five after being held to less than 75 points. The Knicks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 days' rest. The Hornets are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New York.
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