01-08-17 |
Giants v. Packers -5 |
|
13-38 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* Giants/Packers NFC *CA$H COW* on Green Bay -5
The Key: The Green Bay Packers have a huge edge on offense in this game. They have scored at least 30 points in 4 consecutive games and are clicking at the right time. Aaron Rodgers has 18 touchdowns and no interceptions over his last 7 games. The Giants do have the better defense, but their offense is so bad that I don't think they can take advantage of the Packers' defense. After all, they've failed to reach 200 passing yards in 5 of their last 6 games. The Giants get too much respect for what they've done in the playoffs in the past, but this is a different team, and Ben McAdoo is not nearly the coach that Tom Coughlin was before him, or Mike McCarthy on the other sideline. The Packers beat the Giants 23-16 at home earlier this season and outgained them by 185 yards. Rodgers had no problem against their defense, leading the Packers to over 400 yards of offense. The Giants are just 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Green Bay.
|
01-08-17 |
Northwestern v. Nebraska +1 |
|
74-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Nebraska Cornhuskers +1
The Key: The Nebraska Cornhuskers continue getting no respect from oddsmakers. They are dogs again today despite the fact that they are 3-0 in the Big Ten with a win at Indiana as 13.5-point dogs, a win at Maryland as 7.5-point dogs and a home win over Iowa as 3-point favorites. Northwestern hasn't exactly shown well so far, beating Penn State, but losing at short-handed Michigan State by 9 and at home to Minnesota as 3.5-point favorites. The Wildcats are just 1-2 in true road games with that lone win at Penn State. Fans of the Huskers are excited about this team and will be out in full force Sunday. The Huskers are 44-18 ATS in their last 62 home games with a line of +3 to -3. Take Nebraska.
|
01-07-17 |
Lions v. Seahawks -8 |
Top |
6-26 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* Lions/Seahawks NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Seattle -8
The Key: Matthew Stafford is 1-24 in his career on the road against a team that finished the season with a winning record. He simply has to do too much for the Lions, who are below-average at basically every other position on the field, especially defensively. They have allowed 73 points and over 800 yards of total offense in back-to-back losses to the Packers and Cowboys. The Lions are 0-5 against playoff teams this season, and 9-2 against everyone else. They have trailed in the 4th quarter in 15 of 16 games this year. I look for a big effort from the Seahawks here, who are 9-0 in their last 9 playoff home games. They are 7-1 at home this season. Anything short of a double-digit victory for the home side would be a shocker. Take Seattle.
|
01-07-17 |
Raptors -2 v. Bulls |
|
118-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Toronto Raptors -2
The Key: The Chicago Bulls are coming off their biggest win of the season, a 106-94 road win at Cleveland. But keep him mind that Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love both sat out that game. Still, they are feeling good about themselves for beating Lebron James. I think they have a letdown here in their next game against the Toronto Raptors, who may well be the best team in the East. They are 24-11 on the season, but they will be focused here after dropping 3 of their last 5 games coming in. Chicago is 4-14 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 3 years. The Raptors are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 vs. Eastern Conference. The Bulls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Take Toronto.
|
01-07-17 |
Maryland +8 v. Michigan |
|
77-70 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Maryland/Michigan Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Maryland +8
The Key: The Maryland Terrapins come in undervalued today after a poor 65-67 home loss to the Nebraska Cornhuskers. They led that game by double-digits late and managed to blow it. But the Huskers are 3-0 in the Big Ten this season, including a road win at Indiana as well. I think Michigan can't be laying 8 points here to the Terrapins in what is a very evenly-matched game, and I actually think the Terrapins are the better team. Michigan lost 83-86 at Iowa, then needed a big comeback to beat Penn State 72-69 as 11.5-point home favorites to open conference play. The Wolverines are 1-7 ATS versus good defensive teams who allow 42% or less shooting this season. The Wolverines are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. They have not done well when stepping up in class. Take Maryland.
|
01-06-17 |
Cavs v. Nets +13.5 |
Top |
116-108 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Brooklyn Nets +13.5
The Key: The Brooklyn Nets will be amped up to face the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers tonight. And they catch the Cavs at a good time as they are as banged-up as they have been all season. Both Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love sat out last game and are questionable to return tonight. Lebron James is dealing with an ankle injury, and JR Smith remains out. It's no wonder they lost at home to the Bulls 94-106 last time out. Now they're being asked to go on the road and beat the Nets by 14-plus points to cover this number. The Nets upset the Cavs 104-95 as 9.5-point home dogs in the last meeting in Brooklyn. The Cavs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games after four straight games where they forced 14 or fewer turnovers. The Cavaliers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home. Cleveland is 16-33-2 ATS in its last 51 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Nets are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Take Brooklyn.
|
01-05-17 |
Pacific v. San Diego +1 |
|
56-53 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* Thursday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on San Diego +1
The Key: San Diego is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games overall. The Toreros had won 5 straight before losing their last two games, but those were understandable. They only lost 74-80 at San Francisco as 10.5-point road dogs and 60-72 at St. Mary's as 22-point road dogs. Pacific has not played well at all on the road this season. The Tigers are 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in all road games this season, losing by an average of 14.6 points per game. San Diego beat Pacific 54-43 as identical 1-point home dogs last year. The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. The Toreros are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take San Diego.
|
01-05-17 |
Jazz v. Raptors -4.5 |
Top |
93-101 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto Raptors -4.5
The Key: The Toronto Raptors just finished a brutal road trip in which they lost three of their final four games, including two to the Warriors and Spurs. Now they'll be hungry to get back in the win column as they return home to face the Utah Jazz tonight. The Raptors are 11-5 at home this season and outscoring their opponents by nearly 12 points per game. The Jazz are still without starting point guard George Hill and will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days here after losing to the Celtics 104-115 on Tuesday. The Raptors are 6-1 SU and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings with the Jazz. Look for the one-sided nature of this series to continue Thursday night. Take Toronto.
|
01-04-17 |
Heat v. Kings -8 |
|
107-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings -8
The Key: The Miami Heat are in a very tough situation here. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They have now lost 6 in a row and are starting to wear down. They have been crushed by injuries too as Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow and Josh McRoberts will miss tonight's game. Not to mention, James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Tyler Johnson and Goran Dragic are all dealing with injuries right now. The Kings played last night as well, but they had two days off before that game and will be the fresher team by far. They won 120-113 in Denver last night. And that makes them fit into a nice trend this season in which they've gone 7-0 ATS in their following game after allowing 110 points or more this year. Take Sacramento.
|
01-04-17 |
Louisville v. Notre Dame -1 |
Top |
70-77 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* Louisville/Notre Dame ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Notre Dame -1
The Key: The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are a perfect 9-0 at home this season. Their only two losses this season came on neutral courts against two of the best teams in the land in Villanova (66-74) and Purdue (81-86). Louisville has only played one true road game this season, which was a lackluster 79-70 win over Grand Canyon. Notre Dame is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in its last 5 home meetings with Louisville. The Cardinals are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games. The Fighting Irish are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games. Take Notre Dame.
|
01-03-17 |
Jazz v. Celtics -5.5 |
Top |
104-115 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston Celtics -5.5
The Key: The Utah Jazz are in a tough situation here as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. They were tied with the Nets on the road last night at the end of 3 quarters before outscoring them 31-19 in the 4th to pull away for a 12-point win. Now they won't have much left in the tank to face the Boston Celtics, who haven't played since Friday, giving them 3 days off in between games. The Jazz are 10-23 ATS in their last 33 games as road underdogs. The Jazz are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Celtics are 7-2-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings, including 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 home meetings. Take Boston.
|
01-03-17 |
Bowling Green v. Akron -9.5 |
|
84-89 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Akron -9.5
The Key: Akron has really had Bowling Green's number. The Zips have won 16 straight meetings in this series. Five of their last 6 wins have come by 10 points or more, too, including 14, 25 and 15-point wins in their 3 meetings last season. The Zips are 10-3 this season with their only losses all coming in their 3 true road games at Gonzaga, Creighton and Youngstown State. Bowling Green is 0-5 in true road games this season with losses to the likes of Oakland, South Dakota, San Jose State and Evansville, as well as a 29-point blowout loss at Cincinnati. Akron is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 conference home games. The Zips are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. The Falcons are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Zips are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home meetings with the Falcons. Take Akron.
|
01-02-17 |
Wizards +9.5 v. Rockets |
|
91-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Wizards +9.5
The Key: The Houston Rockets have won 15 of their last 17 games overall, and as a result backers are paying a premium to bet on them moving forward. They failed to cover as 12.5-point favorites in a 7-point home win over the Knicks last time out, and now they're being asked to lay 9.5 points to the Washington Wizards. The Wizards will stay within the number tonight and have a chance to win this game in the closing minutes. They have turned the corner but don't get any respect from oddsmakers. The Wizards are 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. They have scored at least 105 points in 8 of those 9 games, so they have the firepower to keep up with the Rockets. A whopping 9 straight meetings between the Wizards and Rockets have been decided by 8 points or fewer. The road team has won 5 straight meetings outright, and the road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take Washington.
|
01-02-17 |
USC -7 v. Penn State |
Top |
52-49 |
Loss |
-125 |
5 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* USC/Penn State Rose Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on USC -7
The Key: The USC Trojans come into this game playing as well as anyone in the country. They have won 8 straight with 7 of those victories coming by at least 13 points. They have outgained 9 straight opponents, Sam Darnold is one of the best quarterbacks in the land, and the defense has really stepped up. Penn State has overachieved this season. It was a good story, but this team doesn't have the horses to matchup with an athletic, talented team like USC. And the Big Ten is clearly overrated as we just saw their top two teams in Ohio State and Michigan get beat 31-0 by Clemson and by Florida State, respectively. And I don't believe Penn State is as good as either Ohio State or Michigan, and USC is every bit as good if not better than Clemson and Florida State. The Trojans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Take USC.
|
01-01-17 |
Raiders +2 v. Broncos |
Top |
6-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* AFC West Game of the Month on Oakland Raiders +2
The Key: The Oakland Raiders have a lot to play for this week. They need to win to clinch the No. 2 seed and a first-round bye. They also have an outside shot at getting the No. 1 seed if they win, but that would require a Patriots loss. Either way, they want this victory. Few backup quarterbacks can step into a situation and be as successful as Matt McGloin is going to be for the Raiders. That's because he has one of the best offensive lines in the NFL, perhaps the best duo at receiver in the league in Cooper and Crabtree, and plenty of help from the running game. He has started in this league before and will be up to the challenge. While the Raiders want this game badly, the Broncos could care less. They were just eliminated from the playoffs last week with their ugly 33-10 loss to the Chiefs. That came a week after another ugly 16-3 home loss to the Patriots. They won their Super Bowl last year, and the offseason can't get here soon enough for these players. The Broncos are going to be sitting some key starters on defense due to injury in S T.J. Ward, DE Derek Wolfe, LB Demarcus Ware and LB Brandon Marshall. That's only going to make McGloin's job even easier. The Raiders rushed for 218 yards in their 30-20 win over the Broncos earlier this season. They should find plenty of success on the ground against a Denver defense that gives up 135 rushing yards per game and 4.4 per carry on the season. Oakland is 9-1 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. The Raiders are 9-1 ATS in all games where the line is +3 to -3 this season. The Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Oakland.
|
01-01-17 |
Chiefs -4 v. Chargers |
|
37-27 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Chiefs/Chargers AFC West *CA$H COW* on Kansas City -4
The Key: Now that this line has dropped back down to -4, I like the price we are getting with the Kansas City Chiefs here. They need to win this game and have the Raiders lose to the Broncos to get the No. 2 seed in the AFC. They will be motivated to hold up their end of the bargain, just as they were last week when they beat the Broncos 33-10. It was probably their most complete performance of the season as they outgained the Broncos by 238 yards in the victory. Their offense is rolling behind Tyreke Hill and Travis Kelce, and their defense is suffocating. The Chargers just want this season to be over. They have lost four straight while going 0-4 ATS coming in, including handing the Browns their first win of the season last week. The Chiefs own the Chargers, winning 5 straight meetings in this series, including a 33-3 road victory in their last trip to San Diego. The Chargers are dealing with more injuries to starters than any other team in the NFL right now. They just don't have enough proven, healthy bodies to offer any kind of resistance here. The Chiefs are 7-0 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. San Diego is 0-8 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of its last 6 games over the last 3 seasons. Kansas City is 8-0 ATS in road games vs. bad defensive teams that give up 24 or more points per game over the last 2 years. The Chargers are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 home games. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take Kansas City.
|
01-01-17 |
Cardinals v. Rams OVER 40.5 |
|
44-6 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NFL *Total* Annihilator on Cardinals/Rams OVER 40.5
The Key: I like backing the OVER in games between teams with nothing to play for, as is the case here with the Cardinals and Rams. And this is one of the lowest totals of the week at only 40.5, so there is plenty of line value here. The Cardinals have been giving up a ton of points the last few weeks. They have allowed 32.7 points per game in their last 6 contests. They have given up 30 or more points in 5 of their last 8 games overall. I think Jared Goff will be in line for his best game of the season here. But Arizona's offense is clicking, scoring a combined 75 points the last two weeks. ANd the Rams haven't exactly been stout defensively. They have allowed at least 22 points in 5 straight games and an average of 32.6 points per game during this stretch. Given these numbers, it's clearly that the books have set this number too low here today. The OVER is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games overall. The OVER is 14-3 in Cardinals last 17 road games, including a perfect 7-0 this season. Take the OVER.
|
01-01-17 |
Penn State v. Rutgers -1.5 |
|
60-47 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NCAAB Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Rutgers -1.5
The Key: The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are vastly improved this season with an 11-3 record to this point. They have gone 8-0 at home this season with an average margin of victory of 18.4 PPG. Penn State is just 8-6 this season and just lost its Big Ten home opener to Northwestern by 10. The Nittany Lions are 0-6 ATS after allowing 85 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Scarlet Knights are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. This is a generous price for the Scarlet Knights here as only 1.5-point home favorites in their conference opener. Take Rutgers.
|
12-31-16 |
Clippers v. Thunder -5.5 |
|
88-114 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5
The Key: The effects of missing Blake Griffin and Chris Paul are starting to show for the Clippers. They are 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Now they're in a brutal situation as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. Making matters worse is that they got in a shootout with the Rockets last night, who put up 140 points on them. That makes this back-to-back even tougher. The Thunder had yesterday off and will be hungry to bounce back from a bad loss in Memphis on Thursday in which Russell Westbrook was ejected. The Clippers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Thunder are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. The Thunder are 27-10-2 ATS in their last 39 Saturday games. Take Oklahoma City.
|
12-31-16 |
Washington +14.5 v. Alabama |
Top |
7-24 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* Washington/Alabama Playoff *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington +14.5
The Key: Chris Petersen is one of the best head coaches in the country that nobody talks about. He has been a great bet in the underdogs role. Petersen is 6-0 ATS as a dog with two or more weeks to get ready for an opponent. He will give the Huskies their best chance to beat the Alabama Crimson Tide. The Huskies rank in the Top 10 in the country in both offensive and defensive efficiency. They are the best team that the Crimson Tide will have played. This is too many points in a game that I think goes right down to the wire. Take Washington.
|
12-31-16 |
Louisville v. Indiana +3 |
|
77-62 |
Loss |
-107 |
2 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* Louisville/Indiana NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Indiana +3
The Key: The Indiana Hoosiers will be hungry to bounce back from an ugly 83-87 home loss to the Nebraska Cornhuskers on Wednesday. They were clearly caught looking ahead to this game against Louisville. In their previous two losses this season, they bounced back to win by 33 and 37 points, respectively. This will essentially be a home game for the Hoosiers inside Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Louisville is 0-7 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games following a conference game. The Hoosiers are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS loss. Indiana is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games following a straight up loss. The Hoosiers are 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5. Take Indiana.
|
12-30-16 |
Texas +8.5 v. Kansas State |
|
62-65 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Friday NCAAB Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Texas +8.5
The Key: The Texas Longhorns are coming off a bad 58-63 home loss to Kent State as 12.5-point favorites. Maybe they were looking ahead to their Big 12 opener, but either way that result has provided some extra line value here with the Longhorns. We've seen Texas beat Alabama by 9 and UAB by 36 this season, while also narrowly losing to Michigan 50-53 on the road and Arkansas 74-77 on a neutral court. The Longhorns have faced a much tougher schedule than Kansas State, which is getting too much respect from oddsmakers due to its 11-1 start. The Wildcats lost to Maryland on a neutral court in their toughest game this year. They have been favored in every game this season and double-digit favorites in all but two games, which just shows how easy their schedule has been. Three of the last 4 meetings have been decided by 4 points or less. The Longhorns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. Texas is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 vs. Big 12 opponents. Kansas State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 vs. Big 12 opponents. The Longhorns are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games following two consecutive home games. Take Texas.
|
12-30-16 |
Nets +8 v. Wizards |
|
95-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 4 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Brooklyn Nets +8
The Key: It's time to fade the Washington Wizards, who are 8-3 SU & 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Now they find themselves laying a big number here against the Brooklyn Nets. You can count on three fingers how many times the Wizards have won a game by more than 7 points this season. That's right, in their 31 games, they have only won by 8 or more 3 times. The Nets are playing well right now themselves as they beat the Hornets 120-118 as 7-point dogs and then only lost 99-101 at Chicago as 9.5-point dogs in their last two games. Washington is 10-26 ATS off a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Star SG Bradley Beal is doubtful to play for the Wizards tonight. The Nets are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Brooklyn is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on 1 days rest. The Nets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Take Brooklyn.
|
12-30-16 |
South Alabama +14 v. Air Force |
Top |
21-45 |
Loss |
-103 |
12 h 29 m |
Show
|
7* Friday NCAAF Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on South Alabama +14
The Key: The Sun Belt has shown extremely well in these bowl games. They are 4-1 as a conference. Appalachian State beat Toledo as underdogs, Arkansas State topped UCF 31-13 as dogs, Idaho won 61-50 over Colorado as 15-point dogs and Troy beat Ohio 28-23 and covered as 4.5-point favorites. The only loss was LA-Lafayette as 6.5-point dogs in a 7-point loss to Southern Miss. I think South Alabama is getting way too many points here against Air Force. The Jaguars have pulled some huge upsets already this season. They beat Mississippi State 21-20 as 28-point road dogs, and they also upset San Diego State 42-24 as 19.5-point home dogs. They are fully capable of beating Air Force here, let alone staying within two touchdowns. Air Force is 0-6 ATS vs. poor rushing defenses that allow 4.75 or more yards per carry over the last 2 seasons. I think the extra time to prepare will have the Jaguars ready for the Falcons' triple-option. Take South Alabama.
|
12-29-16 |
Oklahoma State v. Colorado -2.5 |
|
38-8 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Oklahoma State/Colorado Bowl *CA$H COW* on Colorado -2.5
The Key: The Colorado Buffaloes managed to win 10 games this season despite playing the 8th-most difficult schedule in the country. Their 3 losses were to Washington, USC and Michigan, 3 of the top teams in the country. I think they handle this Oklahoma State team that is overrated due to finishing tied for 2nd in the down Big 12. The Cowboys only played the 61st-most difficult schedule this season. Colorado's pass defense is one of the best in the nation, making this a very good matchup for them because the Cowboys like to sling it around. I'll back the better defense and the more physical Buffaloes who are ecstatic to be playing in the Alamo Bowl. Take Colorado.
|
12-29-16 |
Raptors v. Suns +9 |
Top |
91-99 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Phoenix Suns +9
The Key: The Toronto Raptors are in a bad spot here. They will be playing their 4th straight road game, the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. And they are coming off a 111-121 loss to Golden State last night. They rallied from 25 down in the first quarter and got within 5 in the 4th, using a ton of energy to make that comeback. Now they won't be nearly as excited to face the Suns tonight on the road. The Suns are also playing the 2nd of a back-to-back off a loss to the Spurs last night. But this is one of the deepest teams in the NBA and they can handle these back-to-backs better than most. All they have to do is stay within single-digits for us to get the cover, and I don't think that's asking too much given the tough spot for the Raptors. Phoenix is 15-4 ATS in home games off a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 years. The Suns are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS loss. The Suns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Raptors. Take Phoenix.
|
12-29-16 |
Pepperdine +25 v. Gonzaga |
|
62-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Pepperdine +25
The Key: I think we are getting some great value here with Pepperdine. The Waves have lost 7 straight while going 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games, so we will certainly be buying low on them. Gonzaga is 12-0 on the season and you are paying a premium to back the Bulldogs now. Just last year Pepperdine gave Gonzaga a fight in the WCC Tournament, only losing 66-69. Six of the last seven meetings have been decided by 18 points or less, with the lone exception a 26-point defeat. Bets against home teams as a favorite or PK who outscore opponents by 8-plus PPG against a team that gets outscored by 3.5 to 8 PPG, after scoring 95 points or more are 70-34 ATS since 1997. Take Pepperdine.
|
12-28-16 |
Wolves v. Nuggets -3.5 |
|
103-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Denver Nuggets -3.5
The Key: The Denver Nuggets just recently got fully healthy and are playing up to their full potential because of it. They are 4-2 in their last 6 games overall with three double-digit home victories. They blew an 8-point lead in the final two minutes to Atlanta, otherwise they'd be 5-1 during this stretch. This is a pretty short number when you consider the Minnesota Timberwolves are 5-10 SU & 5-10 ATS on the road this season. The Nuggets score 112.6 points per game at home, while the T'Wolves give up 107.2 points per game on the road. Minnesota is 3-14 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take Denver.
|
12-28-16 |
Indiana v. Utah -6 |
Top |
24-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* Indiana/Utah Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Utah -6
The Key: The Utah Utes have been a great bowl bet for years. They have gone 15-4 in their last 19 bowl games overall. They are 9-1 under Kyle Whittingham alone. The Utes have beat up on the Big Ten as well, going 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six matchups with that conference. Indiana barely made a bowl game at 6-6 after beating Purdue 26-24 in the season finale despite being 21-point favorites. The Hoosiers lost their head coach in Kevin Wilson, and there is clearly some distractions around the program because of it. Utah went 8-4 this season with its 4 losses coming by a total of 19 points. The Utes were one of the best teams in the Pac-12 this year. Take Utah.
|
12-28-16 |
Houston v. Connecticut +3.5 |
|
62-46 |
Loss |
-108 |
2 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Houston/UConn AAC *CA$H COW* on UConn +3.5
The Key: The UConn Huskies are starting to play better after a slow start to the season. They have won three of their last five with their only losses coming on the road to Ohio State by 4 and at home to Auburn in overtime. I think they get back on track today against a Houston team that has only played two true road games all season. The Cougars lost 65-84 at LSU as 4.5-point favorites and 72-84 at Arkansas as 5.5-point dogs. They won't be getting their first road win today, either. The Cougars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Huskies are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as a home underdog. Take UConn.
|
12-27-16 |
Baylor +7.5 v. Boise State |
Top |
31-12 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 40 m |
Show
|
7* Baylor/Boise Cactus Bowl *BAILOUT* on Baylor +7.5
The Key: We are getting extra points here with Baylor because they have lost 6 straight games coming into the bowl season. There were getting extra points in their finale against West Virginia as well, covering as 17-point dogs in an impressive 3-point road loss. Boise State is once again laying too many points as it has been all season. The Broncos are just 3-9 ATS in their 12 lined games this year. The Bears will be the more talented team on the field in the Cactus Bowl. They boast the nation's No. 5 ranked offense at 543 yards per game. They can run the football as well as almost anyone, and Boise State allows 180 rushing yards per game despite playing such a soft schedule. Boise is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games vs. good rushing teams that average 4.8 or more yards per carry. Baylor averages 250 rushing yards per game and 5.1 per carry. Take Baylor.
|
12-27-16 |
Rutgers +19.5 v. Wisconsin |
|
52-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Rutgers +19.5
The Key: Oddsmakers continue to give Rutgers no respect despite the fact that they are one of the most improved teams in the country this season. They are 11-2 with their only two losses coming in true road games at Miami by 12 as 14.5-point dogs and at Seton Hall by 11 as 8.5-point dogs. I think they easily stay within this 19.5-point spread of the Wisconsin Badgers, who don't play the type of style that caters to blowouts. Wisconsin had beaten worse teams than Rutgers by less than 19.5 points at home this season. They beat Chicago State by 18 and Wisconsin-Green Bay by 14. The Badgers are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or greater. Take Rutgers.
|
12-26-16 |
Lions +6.5 v. Cowboys |
|
21-42 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* DET/DAL NFC *CA$H COW* on Detroit +6.5
The Key: The Detroit Lions will be the more motivated team tonight. Win and they're in the playoffs as at least a wild card. But if they lose this game, they would need to beat the Packers next week to get in. I think they'd rather take care of their business now. The Dallas Cowboys literally have nothing to play for in this game. They have already clinched the No. 1 seed in the NFC after events that took place over the weekend. They will be playing their starters, but they won't be playing with the chip on their shoulders that they have for most of the season. And the Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall as they have been overvalued due to their fast start to the year. Last week's 6-17 loss at New York was the first time the Lions have lost a game by more than a touchdown since midway through last season. Matthew Stafford should be able to find plenty of success against a Dallas defense that allows 68.4% completions and 265 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks. The Lions are 27-12 ATS in their last 39 road games off a loss by 10 points or more. Detroit is 9-1 ATS vs. teams who complete 64% of their passes or better over the last 2 seasons. Jason Garrett is 11-26 ATS as a home favorite as the coach of Dallas. Take Detroit.
|
12-26-16 |
Grizzlies v. Magic +2.5 |
|
102-112 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Orlando Magic +2.5
The Key: These teams just played earlier this month with Memphis erasing a double-digit lead in the 4th quarter to beat the Magic 95-94 at home. The Magic have not forgotten, and they've played much better since that defeat. They've gone 7-6 SU & 8-5 ATS in their 13 games since. The home team has won 4 straight meetings between these teams now. The Magic won 119-107 at home last year against the Grizzlies. Orlando is 13-3 ATS versus good defensive teams who allow a shooting percentage of 43% or less over the last 3 seasons. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. The Magic are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. The Magic are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take Orlando.
|
12-26-16 |
Maryland v. Boston College +2 |
Top |
30-36 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* Maryland/BC Quick Lane Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston College +2
The Key: Boston College pulled the 17-14 upset at Wake Forest to punch its ticket to the postseason in the season finale. The Eagles are very excited to be here after winning their final 2 games. Their offense isn't great but was improved this year, and they had the 12th-ranked defense in the country according to our rankings. Maryland doesn't do any one thing well and was a bad team this year. Of the Terrapins' six wins, four have been against teams outside the Top 100, and hteir best win by far was against a 3-9 Michigan State team. The Terrapins have no passing game and can only run the football on offense. Well, that makes this a great matchup for the Eagles, who give up just 107 rushing yards per game and 3.3 per carry. The Terrapins give up 218 rushing yards per game and 4.9 per carry this season. Maryland is 0-6 ATS off a conference win over the last 3 seasons. The Terrapins are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win. The Eagles are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Take Boston College.
|
12-25-16 |
Broncos +3.5 v. Chiefs |
Top |
10-33 |
Loss |
-115 |
43 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* DEN/KC AFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on Broncos +3.5
The Key: The Chiefs are nowhere near as good as their 10-4 record. They have been outgained by an average of 88 yards per game in their last 7 contests. They rank 29th in the NFL in yardage differential this season. They have been winning with smoke and mirrors, but they have lost two of their recent home games to the Titans and Buccaneers. The Chiefs are only 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The road team has won 5 of the last 6 meetings between the Broncos and Chiefs while going a perfect 6-0 against the spread. Denver clearly should have won the first meeting this season as it outgained KC by 191 yards. Now the Broncos will have their revenge and keep their season alive in the rematch on the road at Arrowhead Stadium, which hasn't been as friendly to the Chiefs as most believe. Take Denver.
|
12-25-16 |
Bulls +9 v. Spurs |
|
100-119 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* Bulls/Spurs Christmas Day *CA$H COW* on Chicago +9
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs aren't putting teams away at home this season. They are only outscoring their opponents by 3.0 points per game on average at home. The Chicago Bulls are the type of team that plays well against good teams, and poorly against bad teams. That is indicated by the fact that they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600. They are also 18-8 ATS against teams who have at least a +3 PPG differential on the season over the last 2 years. The Bulls have covered 4 of their last 5 meetings with the Spurs, including an outright upset in their first meeting this season. Take Chicago.
|
12-24-16 |
Redskins -3 v. Bears |
Top |
41-21 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Redskins -3
The Key: I always look to back teams off a bad loss and fade teams off an emotional game. In this case, we have the perfect situation. The Redskins are coming off a bad home loss to the Panthers in which they lost by 11 as 7-point favorites. Now everyone is writing them off, but we've seen them bounce back before. They won four straight following their 0-2 start, and they have only lost two games in a row twice all season. Those were to the Steelers/Cowboys and Cowboys/Cardinals, so it's understandable. They aren't going to lose to the lowly 3-11 Bears this week as the Redskins need to win out to have any chance of making the playoffs. The Bears will be deflated following back-to-back heartbreaking losses to the Lions (by 3) and Packers (by 3). They fought back from a 17-point deficit to tie it against the Packers last week, only to lose on a last-second field goal. I don't think these players will be able to get back up off the mat from that crushing defeat against their biggest rivals. I fully expect a no-show from the Bears here. Washington is 7-1 ATS vs. teams who complete 61% or more of their passes this season. The Redskins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Washington is a perfect 6-0 straight up in its last 6 meetings with Chicago. The Redskins are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 trips to Chicago. Take Washington.
|
12-23-16 |
Warriors v. Pistons +6.5 |
|
119-113 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +6.5
The Key: This is a great spot to fade the Golden State Warriors. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a come-from-behind 117-101 victory over the Nets last night. They were down 11 points at halftime and had to exert a ton of effort in the 2nd half to get the win. Now they have a huge game on deck against Cleveland on Christmas Day, and you know they're going to want revenge against the defending champs. I fully expect them to have a flat effort here as they look ahead to that game. Expect the Pistons to put their best foot forward to try and end a 4-game losing streak, which has them undervalued. And the Pistons beat the Warriors 113-95 as 7-point home dogs last year. The Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Take Detroit.
|
12-23-16 |
Providence v. Boston College +9.5 |
|
67-79 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* Providence/BC ESPNU *CA$H COW* on Boston College +9.5
The Key: Boston College and Providence are huge rivals. I love getting nearly double-digit points here with the home team as the Eagles will be amped up for this game. And Providence has only played one true road game all season, which was a 67-72 loss at Ohio State. Home court has been a deciding factor in this series as the home team is 6-0 straight up in the last 6 meetings. The Friars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5. The Eagles are 5-3 at home this season with all 3 losses coming by 8 points or fewer. Take Boston College.
|
12-23-16 |
Eastern Michigan +6 v. Old Dominion |
Top |
20-24 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* Eastern Michigan/Old Dominion NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Eastern Michigan +6
The Key: It's safe to say that the Eastern Michigan Eagles are happy to be going bowling. After all, they haven't been to a bowl game in 29 years. The Eagles haven't been handed anything this year. They've earned it with a pair of wins over conference championship participants in Ohio (MAC) and Wyoming (Mountain West). The Eagles are led by three-time MAC Offensive Player of the Week Brogan Roback, who guided an offense that set school records for total offense (5,447), passing offense (3,549) and total points (396). The offensive line has allowed the 12th-fewest sacks in the national and the second-fewest tackles for loss. There is another motivational angle that favors the Eagles. They want revenge from a 38-34 loss to Old Dominion last season, and they are far and away better than they were last season. The Eagles are 7-0 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders this season. The Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The Monarchs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Take Eastern Michigan.
|
12-22-16 |
Giants -1.5 v. Eagles |
|
19-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* NY/PHI NFC East *CA$H COW* on New York Giants -1.5
The Key: The New York Giants have won 8 of their last 9 games with their only loss coming on the road to the Steelers, who are one of the best teams in the NFL. They are on a mission to make the playoffs and can clinch their spot in the postseason with a win today. That would allow them to rest their starters in Week 17, which would be huge for them to get healthy. The Eagles have lost 6 of their last 7 because of their awful defense, which has allowed at least 26 in six of those games. The Giants are 3rd in the NFL in scoring defense and have held their last 2 opponents in the Cowboys and Lions to an average of 6.5 points per game. I'll back the more motivated team here in the Giants with the much superior defense. Take New York.
|
12-22-16 |
Warriors v. Nets +15.5 |
|
117-101 |
Loss |
-102 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Brooklyn Nets +15.5
The Key: The Golden State Warriors come in overvalued off 5 straight victories, including two blowout home wins over the Jazz and Blazers. But they have struggled on the road recently, going 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games with their largest victory coming by 8 points. The Nets are fully healthy now and will be amped up to face the Warriors at home. All they have to do is stay within 15 points to cover this massive spread, and I think they are more than capable of that. The Warriors are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Nets are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. The Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 trips to Brooklyn. Take Brooklyn.
|
12-22-16 |
George Washington +14.5 v. Miami (Fla) |
Top |
64-72 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* Thursday NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on George Washington +14.5
The Key: Miami has been one of the most overvalued teams in the country. The Hurricanes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall, time and time again failing to cover big numbers. They won by 12 over Rutgers as 14.5-point favorites, won by 17 as 19-point favorites over Wofford and won by 20 as 20.5-point favorites over Florida Atlantic in their three most recent non-covers. Now they're laying 14.5 points to a George Washington team that won the NIT last year and is better than this line would suggest. Three of the Colonials' 4 losses this season have come by 8 points or less. The only exception was 19-point loss to a very good Florida State team. The Colonials are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Hurricanes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Take George Washington.
|
12-21-16 |
Thunder -2 v. Pelicans |
|
121-110 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder -2
The Key: This is a good spot to back the Oklahoma City Thunder, who will be hungry for a win after losing 3 of their last 4 games coming in. They will be playing just their 4th game in 9 days here and will be ready to go. The same cannot be said for the Pelicans, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 8th game in 12 days after a win in Philadelphia last night. The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Pelicans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Thunder are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings in New Orleans. Take Oklahoma City.
|
12-21-16 |
Kentucky v. Louisville +2 |
Top |
70-73 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* Kentucky/Louisville ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Louisville +2
The Key: Kentucky is coming off a 103-100 win over North Carolina on Saturday in what was one of the best college basketball games you could ever witness. Malik Monk scored 47 points, including the game-winner for the Wildcats. Off such an huge win like that, I can only think the Wildcats will suffer an emotional letdown here. They will still get up to play Louisville, but I think the Cardinals will want this one more, especially after losing four straight to the Wildcats in this series. All four losses have come by 8 points or less, including a 73-75 road loss last year, so they've been right there with a chance to win. I look for the Cardinals to get over the hump here and get the victory. They are 7-0 SU & 6-0 ATS at home this season, winning by an average of nearly 27 points per game. Take Louisville.
|
12-20-16 |
North Dakota v. Iowa -11 |
|
73-84 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Iowa -11
The Key: The Iowa Hawkeyes got off to a terrible start this season, but they're now starting to play up to their potential and remain under-priced here as only 11-point home favorites over North Dakota. The Hawkeyes are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games, beating Stetson by 27 as 20-point favorites, Iowa State by 14 as 6-point dogs and Northern Iowa by 23 as 2.5-point dogs. They have covered the spread by a combined 45.5 points in their last 2 games just to show how undervalued they are right now. These teams have a common opponent in Northern Iowa, and North Dakota lost at UNI 70-78 on December 10th, while Iowa obviously beat them by 23 on a neutral. Iowa is 6-0 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams who allow 42% shooting or less over the last 2 seasons. North Dakota is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games after allowing 85 points or more. The Hawkeyes are 29-14-1 ATS in their last 44 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take Iowa.
|
12-20-16 |
Spurs +1 v. Rockets |
Top |
102-100 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on San Antonio Spurs +1
The Key: The Houston Rockets have won 10 in a row and are starting to get a lot of love from oddsmakers. But they just lost starting center Clint Capela, who averages 12 points, 8 boards and nearly 2 blocks per game, to a broken leg. Look for the Spurs to capitalize on his absence and for LaMarcus Aldridge and Pau Gasol to dominate inside. The Spurs will get a ton of layups in this game with no resistance since Capela is no longer in there. San Antonio has won 4 of its last 5 meetings with Houston. The Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on 2 days rest. Take San Antonio.
|
12-20-16 |
Memphis +7 v. Western Kentucky |
|
31-51 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* Memphis/WKU ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Memphis +7
The Key: The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers lost head coach Jeff Brohm to Purdue. He is a bigger loss than most head coaches because he calls the plays on offense. And the Hilltoppers have had one of the best offenses in the country since he took over. They are sure to suffer a little bit on that side of the ball with Brohm's departure. I don't think these WKU players are going to be all that motivated to win this bowl game because their season is already a success after winning Conference USA. Memphis went 8-4 this season against a tougher schedule than what WKU faced. The Tigers beat the likes of Houston and Temple, which are two better wins than anything WKU has. And the Tigers can match the Hilltoppers score for score with an offense that averages 39.5 points per game and played even better down the stretch, scoring 51, 42, 34 and 48 points in their final 4 games, respectively. The Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. C-USA foes. The Hilltoppers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Take Memphis.
|
12-19-16 |
Mavs v. Nuggets -8 |
|
107-117 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Denver Nuggets -8
The Key: The Denver Nuggets are finally fully healthy and playing up to their potential now. They have won their last two games by double-digits over both Portland (132-120) and New York (127-114). I think they make it 3 straight double-digits wins against a Dallas Mavericks team in a bad spot tonight. The Mavs will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 7th game in 11 days. They have plenty of injuries and are short-handed, making this spot even tougher. Plus they have to play in the altitude in Denver tonight, only worsening matters further. I don't expect much of an effort from them here tonight. The Nuggets are 38-16-1 ATS in their last 55 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Denver is 19-6-1 ATS in its last 26 games after scoring more than 125 points in its previous game. Take Denver.
|
12-19-16 |
Stanford v. SMU -7 |
|
49-72 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Stanford/SMU ESPN 2 *CA$H COW* on SMU -7
The Key: The SMU Mustangs have one of the more underrated home-court advantages in the country. They have gone 7-0 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 21.9 points per game along the way. That includes a recent 74-59 win over TCU, which is better than this Stanford outfit. Stanford has only played one true road game all season. It has been owned by the better teams it has faced like SMU, losing by 14 to Miami, by 15 to St. Mary's and by 15 to Kansas. The Cardinal are 3-11 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the past 3 seasons. The Cardinal are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog. Stanford is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games as a road dog of 7.0 to 12.5 points. The Mustangs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Take SMU.
|
12-19-16 |
Panthers v. Redskins OVER 50 |
Top |
26-15 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* Panthers/Redskins NFC *TOTAL* Annihilator on OVER 50
The Key: I don't expect much defense to be played in this contest between the Washington Redskins and Carolina Panthers tonight. These are two of the worst defenses in the NFL. The Panthers are giving up 25.9 points per game overall and 32.5 points per game on the road. The Redskins are allowing 24.4 points per game overall and 24.8 points per game at home. But these are more than capable offenses as the Redskins are averaging 27.5 points per game at home and the Panthers are scoring 23.9 points per game overall. There are key injuries on both defenses as the Redskins are going to be without LB Will Compton and S Su'a Cravens, while the Redskins are without DE Charles Johnson and could be without LB Luke Kuechly again. The OVER is 8-0 in Redskins last 8 home games. The OVER is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 road games. The OVER is 13-3 in Panthers last 16 vs. a team with a winning record. Take the OVER.
|
12-18-16 |
Nets v. 76ers -2.5 |
|
107-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Philadelphia 76ers -2.5
The Key: I like this spot for the 76ers, who will only be playing their 4th game in 10 days. They are rested and just returned Nerlens Noel to the lineup last time out against the Lakers, though he only played 8 minutes and voiced his frustration. After he and coach Brett Brown hashed things out, I expect a big performance from Noel here. He and Joel Embiid will dominate the paint in what will be a sign of things to come for years moving forward. This is a very winnable game for the 76ers against the Brooklyn Nets, who are just 7-18 on the season, including 1-11 in road games. They are giving up a ridiculous 118.5 points per game on the road this year. The Nets are 6-14-2 ATS in their last 22 road games. The 76ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. The 76ers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss. Take Philadelphia.
|
12-18-16 |
Gonzaga v. Tennessee +10.5 |
|
86-76 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* Gonzaga/Tennessee NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Tennessee +10.5
The Key: This will basically be a home game for the Tennessee Vols as it will be played in Nashville. The Vols come in playing their best ball of the season, going 5-1 in their last 6 games overall with their only loss coming at North Carolina 71-73 as 19.5-point dogs. That effort alone showed their potential. But they also have a 23-point win over Georgia Tech during this stretch, and four of the five wins have come by 14 points or more. Gonzaga is getting a lot of love because of its 10-0 record this season, but it has yet to play a true road game, and this will be the closest thing to it that the Bulldogs have faced all year. Gonzaga is 15-33 ATS in its last 48 road games off 2 straight home wins by 10 points or more. The Bulldogs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. SEC opponents. The Volunteers are 24-7-1 ATS in their last 32 games as a home underdog. Tennessee is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games after scoring more than 90 points in its previous game. Take Tennessee.
|
12-18-16 |
Lions v. Giants -4 |
Top |
6-17 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* NFC Game of the Month on New York Giants -4
The Key: Matthew Stafford has a bum finger on his throwing hand that is going to limit what he's able to do against the Giants this week. It's not going to help having such cold weather in the Meadowlands, either. Stafford threw two interceptions against the Bears after injuring his finger last week. He needs to be at full strength for the Lions to have any chance of moving the football on a Giants defense that only allows 18.8 points per game this year. I look for Stafford to struggle, and the Lions don't have a running game to bail him out. The Giants are 6-1 at home this season and will take care of business on their home turf Sunday. Stafford has exactly one career road win over a team that finished with a winning record. The Lions will get exposed for the frauds that they are this week. Take New York.
|
12-17-16 |
Lakers +16 v. Cavs |
|
108-119 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles Lakers +16
The Key: The Lakers finally ended an 8-game losing streak that prompted Luke Walton to call his players 'soft' heading into the Philadelphia game last night. His players responded well with a 100-89 road win over the 76ers. Now the Lakers will be amped up for a showdown with the defending champion Cavaliers, who are laying too many points here with this 16-point spread. The Lakers are as healthy as they have been all season, and they have the depth to play well again despite this being the 2nd of a back-to-back. Cleveland is 2-12 ATS after covering 5 or 6 of its last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Bets on underdogs who have failed to cover 12 or more of their last 15 against opponent who covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread coming in are 81-38 ATS since 1996. Take Los Angeles.
|
12-17-16 |
North Carolina v. Kentucky -1 |
|
100-103 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* UNC/Kentucky NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Kentucky -1
The Key: Kentucky is 9-1 this season with its only loss to UCLA, which may be the best team in the country. I think the Wildcats are the better team here against North Carolina, which comes in playing suspect basketball. The Tar Heels lost 67-76 at Indiana a few weeks ago. And their last two home games have been lackluster. They only beat Davidson 83-74 as 16.5-point favorites, and needed a big second-half comeback to beat Tennessee 73-71 as 19.5-point favorites. They have been without guard Joel Berry II the past two games, which explains part of the struggles, and he's questionable to return against Kentucky here. The Wildcats are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall. Kentucky is 19-7 in its last 26 vs a team with a winning record. The Wildcats are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. Take Kentucky.
|
12-17-16 |
Texas-San Antonio v. New Mexico -7.5 |
Top |
20-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* UTSA/New Mexico NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on New Mexico -7.5
The Key: The New Mexico Lobos will be playing in their hometown bowl for a second consecutive season. After falling just short in a 37-45 loss to Arizona last year, they will be hungry to earn their first bowl win since 2007 Saturday. That's why I'm not concerned about any lack of motivation playing in this bowl game again. Bob Davie has done as good a coaching job as anyone in the country. He got them to their first bowl since 2007 last year, and now the Lobos have a chance to win 9 games. Davie has this Lobos' offense hitting on all cylinders with 37.8 points per game and a FBS-best 361 rushing yards per game. The Lobos have a big-play offense with two running backs in Teriyon Gipson (1,209 yards, 12 TD) and Tyrone Owens (1,084 yards, 7 TD) who both average over 8.0 yards per carr on the season. UTSA's offense is only averaging 376 yards per game and 5.4 yards per play this season. They don't have the firepower to keep up with the Lobos in this one. New Mexico is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games off an upset win over a conference opponent as a home dog. The Lobos come in confident after throttling Wyoming 56-35 as 3-point dogs in their season finale. They put up 690 total yards on the Cowboys, who went on to play in the MWC Championship Game. The Roadrunners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Take New Mexico.
|
12-16-16 |
Long Beach State -4.5 v. Oregon State |
|
71-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* Long Beach/Oregon State NCAAB *BAILOUT* on Long Beach State -4.5
The Key: The Oregon State Beavers are one of the worst power-5 teams in college basketball this season. They lost Gary Payton Jr. from last year's roster, who was their best player. Now they are without their best player on this year's roster in coach's son Tres Tinkle. The Beavers are 3-7 on the season with their three wins coming against Prairie View A&M, UTSA and Southern Oregon. They just lost at home to Savannah State 90-93 as 19-point favorites to really show you how far they've fallen. Savannah State has been getting blown out by everyone. Long Beach has played the toughest schedule in the country with games against Wichita State, UNC, Louisville, UCLA, Washington, Kansas and Texas already. They only lost 65-71 at Texas last time out and are battle-tested. This is a break in the schedule here against the Beavers, one the 49ers will take advantage of. Oregon State is 2-15 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons. The Beavers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. The 49ers are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Take Long Beach State.
|
12-16-16 |
Bucks v. Bulls -5 |
Top |
95-69 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *Situational* Game of the Month on Chicago Bulls -5
The Key: I like this situation here for the Chicago Bulls. They lost 97-108 in Milwaukee last night. Fortunately, they only have to wait 24 hours for their chance at revenge. And they get the Bucks at home tonight. Look for a hungry effort from them to get the win and cover here. The Bucks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Milwaukee is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 road games. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home meetings with the Bucks. Take Chicago.
|
12-15-16 |
Rams +16 v. Seahawks |
Top |
3-24 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* LA/SEA NFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles Rams +16
The Key: Betting underdogs of this size in the NFL has been a very profitable move over the long haul. I especially like doing it when we're talking about division games. Even the worst teams get up for these division games, and I think the Rams will bring their best effort tonight. They have a new coach in John Fassel and a better outlook now with Jeff Fisher gone. The Rams have actually owned the Seahawks recently. They've won 4 of the last 5 meetings outright as underdogs. They won both meetings last year, and they won 9-3 at home this year over the Seahawks. The Rams have the defense that will keep them in this game for 4 quarters. I expect Jared Goff and Todd Gurley to make just enough plays to keep them competitive throughout. Take Los Angeles.
|
12-15-16 |
Pacers v. Pelicans -2.5 |
|
95-102 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans -2.5
The Key: The Pelicans are in a great situation here. They are getting healthier and nearly beat the Warriors on Tuesday at home. Now I expect them to beat a gassed Indiana Pacers team here tonight. The Pacers are on the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They lost in Miami last night, and they'll lose in New Orleans tonight. The Pacers are just 3-9 SU & 3-9 ATS on the road this year. They are allowing 113.6 PPG away from home on the season. Indiana is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 Thursday games. Take New Orleans.
|
12-15-16 |
UCF v. George Washington -3 |
|
59-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Thursday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on George Washington -3
The Key: UCF just lost its best player in BJ Taylor. He is the Knights' leading scorer (16.0 PPG) and assist (5.0 APG) man this season, so his loss is huge. The Knights have been without him their last two games. They beat lowly MD-East Shore, but lost 49-58 at home to Pennsylvania as 10-point favorites last time out. George Washington is playing very well going 4-1 in its last 5 games overall. The Colonials beat Harvard 77-74 as 3-point road dogs. They also won 66-63 at Temple as 9-point dogs. Their only loss came to a very good Florida State team in which they were playing their 2nd game in 2 days, while the Seminoles were not. Take George Washington.
|
12-14-16 |
Pistons v. Mavs +5.5 |
Top |
95-85 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas Mavericks +5.5
The Key: The Dallas Mavericks are getting healthier and starting to play a lot more competitive basketball. They are coming off a 20-point home win over the Denver Nuggets. They have gone 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games overall. They are lacking respect from oddsmakers tonight once again as 5.5-point dogs. Detroit should not be favored in this game after losing 79-97 to the 76ers last time out. The Pistons also shouldn't be favored considering they are 5-9 SU & 5-9 ATS on the road this season. The Mavs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Take Dallas.
|
12-14-16 |
St. Louis +11 v. Southern Illinois |
|
55-70 |
Loss |
-103 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Saint Louis +11
The Key: It was going to take some time for Saint Louis to gel in Travis Ford's first season on the job. And it didn't help that they played a brutal schedule to open the season and currently sit with a 3-6 record because of it. They have losses to the likes of BYU, Alabama, Kansas State and Wichita State. But that has them battle tested, and now they take a big step down in class against 5-5 Southern Illinois, which just lost 73-79 at home to Sam Houston State. The Salukis only have two wins this season by this margin, and those were against Missouri Southern State and SIU Edwardsville. This is a team that also lost at home to Wright State earlier this season. Southern Illinois is 2-10 ATS off a home loss over the last 3 seasons. The Billikens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. The Salukis are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Saint Louis.
|
12-13-16 |
Thunder +1.5 v. Blazers |
|
95-114 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* Thunder/Blazers ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Oklahoma City +1.5
The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers put a lot into their game against the Clippers last night. They wound up losing 120-121 in an absolute shootout. Now the Blazers are gassed as they will be playing their 5th game in 7 days here. That fatigue has clealry shown as the Blazers have lost 4 straight coming in. The Thunder are rested and will be playing just their 3rd game in 8 days. And the Thunder are playing very well, going 7-1 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Blazers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. Take Oklahoma City.
|
12-13-16 |
Tennessee Tech +16 v. Tennessee |
Top |
68-74 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* Tuesday NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tennessee Tech +16
The Key: I don't expect Tennessee to show up for this game at all. The Volunteers are coming off a crushing 71-73 loss at North Carolina on Sunday after blowing a big lead in the second half. After playing a national power like the Tar Heels just two days ago, the Vols will come out flat here tonight against Tennessee Tech. Tennessee Tech has only lost one game by more than 15 points this season despite their 4-7 overall record. The Vols are getting too much respect from oddsmakers now after covering five straight and playing UNC tough. Tennessee is 5-19 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Tennessee Tech only lost 58-61 as 13-point dogs in its last trip to Tennessee. Take Tennessee Tech.
|
12-12-16 |
Ravens v. Patriots UNDER 45 |
Top |
23-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
72 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* BAL/NE AFC *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 45
The Key: The Baltimore Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in total defense (296.1 YPG) and 1st in rushing defense (73.8 YPG). They have what it takes to hold this New England offense in check, especially since they're without Rob Gronkowski and Danny Amendola. New England's defense has been superb all season, giving up just 17.2 PPG overall and 16.3 PPG at home. The cold weather in New England will also play a role in keeping this game UNDER the number Monday night. The Ravens have failed to top 19 points in 6 games this season, which is half of them. The Ravens are 20-5 UNDER in their last 25 off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. The UNDER is 4-1-1 in Ravens last 6 games overall. The UNDER is 7-2 in Ravens last 9 December games. The UNDER is 7-3 in Patriots last 10 games overall. Take the UNDER.
|
12-12-16 |
Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 212 |
|
100-122 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Monday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Bucks/Raptors UNDER 212
The Key: Just looking at the head-to-head history between the Bucks and Raptors shows that the books have inflated this 212-point total. Each of the last 13 meetings between Toronto and Milwaukee have seen 210 or fewer combined points. That equates to a 13-0 angle backing the UNDER in this game. You have to go all the way back to 2013 to find the last time they combined for more than 212 points. Take the UNDER.
|
12-11-16 |
Celtics v. Thunder UNDER 207 |
|
96-99 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Celtics/Thunder UNDER 207
The Key: The Celtics are without Isaiah Thomas right now and it really makes them a much less efficient offensive team. That was evident last time out as they scored just 94 points on 37.3% shooting against the Raptors. It does make the Celtics a better defensive team without him in there because elite PG defender Marcus Smart has to play more minutes. The Celtics only allowed 87 points and 37% shooting to the Magic and 101 points and 41.5% shooting to the Raptors in their last two games without Thomas. Smart should make things difficult for Russell Westbrook, just at Patrick Beverly did on Friday when the Rockets beat the Thunder 102-99. The UNDER is 22-7 in Celtics last 29 games playing on 1 days rest. The UNDER is 12-5 in Celtics last 17 overall. The UNDER is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 vs. Western Conference. The UNDER is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 overall. Take the UNDER.
|
12-11-16 |
Northern Illinois +15 v. Minnesota |
|
56-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Northern Illinois +15
The Key: This is all about scheduling for me. Minnesota should not be a 15-point favorite over Northern Illinois considering the disadvantage it has on its hands with the schedule coming in. Minnesota just played Georgia Southern on Friday, meaning it has had only one day to get ready for Northern Illinois. The Golden Gophers will also be playing their 4th game in a span of 9 days here. Northern Illinois hasn't played since November 30th, having 10 days off in between games. The Huskies will certainly be prepared to face Minnesota. They are capable of hanging with the Gophers even without this scheduling advantage. They are just 4-4 this season, but their 4 losses have come by 2, 4, 5 and 11 points. Minnesota only beat lowly New Jersey Tech by 6 as 18-point favorites on December 6th. The Huskies are a much better outfit than New Jersey Tech. Northern Illinois is 72-45 ATS in its last 127 games as a dog of 10 points or more. The Huskies are 34-12 ATS int heir last 46 road games after scoring 55 points or fewer. Take Northern Illinois.
|
12-11-16 |
Falcons v. Rams +6.5 |
|
42-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
45 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* Falcons/Rams NFC *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles +6.5
The Key: Back-to-back blowout road losses have the betting public wanting nothing to do with the Rams. But they played in two tough environments against two great teams in the Saints and Patriots. Now they return home where they have been much more competitive this season. The Rams are only getting outscored by 3.0 points per game at home this year. Their defense has held opponents to just 15.0 points and 273.7 yards per game at home. And I think Jared Goff is primed for his best game yet against an Atlanta defense that allows 25.7 points and 392 yards per game on the road this year. And the Falcons are missing two of their best defensive players in CB Desmont Trufant and DE Adrian Clayborn. Offensively, they could be without both LT Jake Matthews and WR Mohamed Sanu, and WR Julio Jones is a game-time decision. He has a leg injury where he was visibly hobbled and ineffective against the Chiefs last week. It's hard to see him at 100% health a week later even if he plays. Jeff Fisher is 14-4 ATS off a loss by 14 points or more as the coach of the Rams. Dan Quinn is 3-12 ATS as a favorite as the coach of Atlanta. Quinn is 0-6 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less as the coach of the Falcons. The Rams are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take Los Angeles.
|
12-11-16 |
Broncos v. Titans -1 |
Top |
10-13 |
Win
|
100 |
42 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Game of the Year on Tennessee Titans -1
The Key: Just imagine how excited the Tennessee Titans were over their bye last week. They haven't been in contention this late in the season for a long time as they are in a three-way tie for the AFC South lead with the Colts and Texans. They have had a bounce to their step all week leading up to this game, and they are primed for a huge performance at home against the Denver Broncos. The Titans have been the best team in the AFC South in my opinion. They have actually scored 11 more offensive touchdowns than they've given up to opposing offenses this year. Marcus Mariota has thrown at least two touchdown passes in 8 consecutive games. That's impressive when you consider the Titans are known for running the football, as they rank 3rd in the NFL in rushing at 141.5 yards per game. They will be able to exploit the weakness of the Broncos' D, which is their 28th-ranked run defense allowing 122.8 rushing yards per game and 4.2 per carry. The Broncos defense has to be fatigued after playing a combined 157 snaps over the past 2 weeks, which has to be some kind of NFL record. Their offense continues to put them in bad spots week after week. The Broncos have been outgained in 4 of their last 5 games. I just think the rest and motivational edges here for the Titans should warrant them being more than 1-point favorites. They essentially just have to win the game to cover this week, and win they will do. Take Tennessee.
|
12-11-16 |
Bengals v. Browns +5.5 |
|
23-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
42 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Cleveland Browns +5.5
The Key: This is the Cleveland Browns' best chance to get a win this season. They got a much-needed bye last week to recover. Now they'll come back motivated to get that first win of the season against a division rival in the Cincinnati Bengals. And the Bengals are in no shape to be laying 5.5 points on the road here. They are without AJ Green and Giovani Bernard, arguably their two best weapons on offense. The fact that they handled the Eagles at home last week has only added to the line value here, but the Eagles didn't show up for that game. The Browns will show up this week, and they should have some new life now after the bye and with a new starting QB in Robert Griffin III, who started the season under center before getting hurt in his first game. Bets under underdogs or pick after 7 or more consecutive losses in the second half of the season are 96-54 ATS since 1983. Bets on underdogs or pick revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 points or more who are also winless on the season are 43-16 ATS since 1983. Take Cleveland, and don't hesitate to sprinkle in a little money line bet for part of it.
|
12-10-16 |
Michigan v. UCLA -8.5 |
|
84-102 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* Michigan/UCLA ESPN 2 National TV *Annihilator* on UCLA -8.5
The Key: UCLA has been the most impressive team in the country in my opinion during its 9-0 start. The Bruins are scoring 97.0 points per game and their talent can match anyone in the nation. That was evident in a 97-92 win at Kentucky as 10.5-point dogs last Saturday. Normally this would be a letdown spot after such a big win, but not with a team like Michigan visiting Pauley Pavilion. And the Bruins have had a full week to prepare for the Wolverines, which is a huge advantage. Michigan just beat a down Texas team 53-50 as 10-point home favorites on Tuesday and hasn't had as much time to prepare. The Bruins are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall as they've been undervalued all season. Michigan is 0-7 ATS after allowing 30 points or less in the first half of 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. The Wolverines are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points. The Bruins are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Bruins are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. Take UCLA.
|
12-10-16 |
Blazers -1 v. Pacers |
Top |
111-118 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Portland Trail Blazers -1
The Key: We'll fade the Indiana Pacers tonight because they are a very tired team. They are coming off a 5-game road trip that concluded with a 103-111 loss at Dallas last night. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days now. After blowing a big lead at Memphis on Thursday to lose by 2, the Blazers will come back hungry here for a win. Indiana is 3-13 ATS after scoring 100 points or more in 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Pacers are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 0 days rest. The Blazers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, winning by 22, 9, 13 and 10 points. They are 5-0 straight up in the last 5 meetings as well. Take Portland.
|
12-10-16 |
Bucks v. Wizards -4 |
|
105-110 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Washington Wizards -4
The Key: John Wall called out his teammates for their lack of effort following a 116-124 home loss to Orlando on Tuesday in which Wall scored 52 points, yet they still lost. These players seemed to respond well, allowing a season-low 85 points to the Nuggets on Thursday in a 92-85 victory. I look for them to build some momentum here with another win and cover as 4-point favorites over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks are in a much tougher spot as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a 110-114 home loss to Atlanta last night. The Bucks have only played 7 road games all season and have gone 3-4, scoring just 94.7 points per game on the highway this year. Milwaukee is 4-16 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of its last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. The bucks are 7-21 ATS after playing a game as a favorite over the last 2 years. The Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Wizards have won 7 of their last 9 meetings with the Bucks, including 4 straight home meetings all by an average of 14.5 points per game. Take Washington.
|
12-09-16 |
Raptors v. Celtics -1.5 |
Top |
101-94 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Celtics -1.5
The Key: We're going to fade the Toronto Raptors tonight in this tough spot for them. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 8 days. They just beat the Timberwolves 124-110 at home last night. But now they have to go on the road and take on a very tough Boston Celtics team that is coming off a 117-87 road win at Orlando despite playing without Isaiah Thomas. They will likely be without Thomas again, and that's the reason they are only 1.5-point favorites here, which has only added to the value. Bets against any team in a game involving two teams who score at least 102 points per game, after scoring 110 points or more in 4 straight games are 36-12 ATS since 1996. The Raptors are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 trips to Boston. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Boston.
|
12-08-16 |
Spurs v. Bulls +4.5 |
|
91-95 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* Spurs/Bulls TNT National TV *Annihilator* on Chicago Bulls +4.5
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs are getting way too much credit from oddsmakers because of their 13-0 road record this season. But the Bulls are the value play here because they have lost 3 straight coming in and will be hungry for a victory and to end this Spurs streak. The Bulls have actually won their last 2 home meetings with the Spurs outright as underdogs, winning 92-89 as 4.5-point dogs last year, and 104-81 as 5.5-point dogs the year before. The Spurs are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 Thursday games. The Bulls are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 Thursday games. The Bulls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take Chicago.
|
12-08-16 |
Raiders v. Chiefs UNDER 46 |
Top |
13-21 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* AFC West Total of the Year on Raiders/Chiefs UNDER 46
The Key: I think points will be hard to come by in this game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Oakland Raiders. First place is on the line in the AFC West, so the intensity will be high. And this is their 2nd meeting of the season, so the familiarity is clearly there. They combined for 36 points in their first meeting and a similar result can be expected in the rematch. They have combined for 44 or fewer points in 4 of the last 5 meetings as well. Temperatures are going to be around 10 degrees for kickoff with wind chills below zero. That's not exactly ideal scoring conditions, either. The Chiefs are 7-0 UNDER In home games vs. bad defensive teams who allow 24 or more points per game over the last 3 seasons. Oakland is 9-1 UNDER in its last 10 road games off 4 or more consecutive overs. The UNDER is 36-15 in Chiefs last 51 home games. The UNDER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Kansas City. Take the UNDER.
|
12-08-16 |
Vanderbilt v. Middle Tennessee -2 |
|
48-71 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* Thursday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Middle Tennessee -2
The Key: Middle Tennessee is one of the most underrated teams in the country. This is a squad that went 25-10 last year and upset No. 2 Michigan State in the NCAA Tournament. They brought back their top two scorers from that team in Giddy Potts and Reggie Upshaw. Now they're off to an 8-1 start this season which includes wins over Toledo (twice), Evansville and a 77-62 road win at Ole Miss, which was their most impressive win yet. Vanderbilt is in a rebuilding phase in the 1st year of Bryce Drew after losing its two best players to the NBA. The Commodores are 5-4 this season with losses to Marquette, Bucknell, Butler and Minnesota. The Commodores are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. The Blue Raiders are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Middle Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5 to 6.5 points. Take Middle Tennessee.
|
12-07-16 |
Heat v. Hawks -8.5 |
Top |
95-103 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta Hawks -8.5
The Key: There's a good reason the Atlanta Hawks are favored by 8.5 tonight despite losing 7 straight and 10 of their last 11 overall. It's because they will be hungry for a victory to end the skid, and they are fully healthy now, which wasn't the case during the losing streak. And also because the Miami Heat are not healthy and in a tough spot. The Heat are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here after losing at home to the Knicks 103-114 last night. They are expected to be without several key players in Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Luke Babbitt, James Johnson, Dion Waiters and Chris Bosh. The Hawks are 30-15 ATS in their last 45 home games following 5 or more straight losses. Take Atlanta.
|
12-07-16 |
George Washington v. Temple -8.5 |
|
66-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Temple -8.5
The Key: The Temple Owls have been one of the most impressive teams in the country in the early going. They are 6-2 on the season with their two losses coming by a combined 8 points. They have outright wins as underdogs over Florida State as 10-point dogs, West Virginia as 12.5-point dogs and St. Joe's as 1.5-point dogs. George Washington is clearly down this season as it lost a lot of talent from last year. The Colonials are just 5-4 SU & 1-6 ATS on the season. They just lost to Florida State by 21 points in their last game, giving these teams a common opponent. And the Colonials are tired right now as this will be their 3rd game in 5 days. The Owls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. TheOwls are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Take Temple.
|
12-07-16 |
Celtics v. Magic |
|
117-87 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston Celtics PK
The Key: The Orlando Magic will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here and their 5th game in 7 days. That's one of the toughest situations you will find in the NBA. The Boston Celtics should take advantage here despite likely being without the services of Isaiah Thomas. The Magic won't have anything left in the tank here, especially after playing in a 124-116 shootout in Washington last night. The Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. Orlando is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 Wednesday games. Take Boston.
|
12-06-16 |
Spurs v. Wolves +4.5 |
Top |
105-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after their 97-96 win in Milwaukee last night kept their road record a perfect 12-0 on the season. But I believe that perfect record comes to an end tonight against the Minnesota Timberwolves, who have had 2 days off since beating the Hornets in overtime on Saturday. I'll take these young rested Timberwolves against the veteran Spurs on no rest every time. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a team with a winning percentage below .500. Take Minnesota.
|
12-06-16 |
Green Bay +7 v. Central Michigan |
|
97-107 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Wisconsin-Green Bay +7
The Key: Wisconsin-Green Bay and Central Michigan just played less than two weeks ago on November 26th. The Chippewas won 89-77 as 5-point road underdogs over the Phoenix. Now it's time for the Phoenix to return the favor and win on Central Michigan's home court as 7-point dogs in the rematch. The Chippewas made 14-of-36 from 3-point range in the first meeting, and that's not going to happen again. The Phoenix will make the proper adjustments here and will clearly be the more hungry team. Green Bay is 50-23 ATS in its last 73 when revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 points or more. Green Bay is 6-0 ATS in road games vs. teams who average 12 or fewer assists per game over the last 2 seasons. The Phoenix are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. The Chippewas are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Take Green Bay.
|
12-06-16 |
Princeton v. California -2 |
|
51-62 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
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6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on California -2
The Key: There is a huge talent gap here between California and Princeton. The Golden Bears should be much bigger than 2-point favorites in this game as a result. But the reason they aren't is because despite the fact that they are 6-1 straight up, they are just 1-6 ATS this season. So bettors have been burnt by them all season. However, they were a double-digit favorite in 6 of those 7 games, and this 2-point spread is by far the smallest price on the Golden Bears yet this season. It's time to back them while they are undervalued. Princeton already has road losses to BYU, Lehigh and VCU and won't be able to compete with Cal here, either. The Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Take California.
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12-05-16 |
Wisc-Milwaukee v. Montana State -8 |
|
83-78 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
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6* Monday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Montana State -8
The Key: The Montana State Bobcats are a team on the rise as they are in their 3rd year under Brian Fish. They returned 3 starters from last year, including sophomore sensation Tyler Hall, who averaged 19.2 points as a freshman. Hall has picked up where he left off with 22.6 points per game this season. Zach Green (12.8 PPG, 5.8 RPG) and Quinton Everett (9.9 PPG) are the other returning starters. Harald Frey (11.0 PPG, 4.8 APG) was a big catch for Fish this offseason. The Bobcats boast elite shooters as they are averaging 11 made 3-pointers per game at a 39.8% clip. Montana State is 5-0 at home this season. Wisconsin-Milwaukee had to break in 5 new starters this year and is clearly down. It is just 1-5 on the road this year, losing to Memphis by 14, DePaul by 18, East Tennessee State by 24 and South Dakota State by 23. Wisconsin-Milwaukee is coming off a 69-75 loss at Montana on Saturday and has only had one day to prepare for Montana State. The Bobcats have had three days off since a loss to Utah on Thursday. The Bobcats' only three losses this season have all come on the road, but they were competitive in each one as they lost by 4 at Washington State as 10-point dogs, by 5 at Rice as 10.5-point dogs and by 8 at Utah as 17-point dogs. The Bobcats are 8-1 ATS after allowing 85 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Milwaukee is 3-14 ATS versus good 3-point shooting teams who make 37% or more of their attempts over the last 3 years. Take Montana State.
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12-05-16 |
Colts v. Jets +1.5 |
Top |
41-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
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7* IND/NYJ AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +1.5
The Key: The biggest reason for the Colts having a better record to this point than the Jets is that they have played an easier schedule. They have played the 6th-easiest slate of games this season, while the Jets have played the 5th-hardest. I think we see the Jets rise to the occasion here on Monday Night Football as this may be the last time we get max effort out of them because they are on such a big stage. The Colts have been outgained in 7 of their last 8 games overall and just aren't a very good team, mainly because of their defense that ranks 30th in the league. And that defense has some huge injuries right now as LB Robert Mathis, S Clayton Geathers and CB Patrick Robinson are all expected to miss this game. Not to mention CB Vontae Davis is questionable with a groin injury that has made him ineffective in recent weeks. The Jets' defensive line has a huge advantage against the Colts' offensive line, which has given up 36 sacks this season. The Jets have been a great late-season bet as they are 10-1-2 ATS in their last 13 December games. Take New York.
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12-05-16 |
Celtics +5.5 v. Rockets |
|
106-107 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
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6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston Celtics +5.5
The Key: This is a great situation to fade the Houston Rockets. They are coming off a 4-1 road trip and this will be their first game back home. Players get distracted with duties at home in their first game back from a long road trip. We saw that last night with the Clippers losing outright to the Pacers as 12.5-point favorites (we had the Pacers) as they returned from a long trip themselves. I think the Celtics win this game outright as they catch the Rockets in a flat spot, especially off back-to-back road wins over the Warriors and Nuggets. The road team is 4-1 SU in the last 5 meetings, including a 111-95 Celtics win as 4.5-point dogs in Houston last season. The Celtics are 18-4 ATS in road games vs. teams who score at least 103 points per game over the last 3 seasons. The Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days rest. Take Boston.
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12-04-16 |
Pacers +12.5 v. Clippers |
|
111-102 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
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6* Pacers/Clippers NBA *BAILOUT* on Indiana +12.5
The Key: I always like fading teams off a long road trip in their first game back home. The Los Angeles Clippers just completed a 6-game road trip with back-to-back wins over the Cavs and Pelicans on consecutive nights. Now they've only been home for one day, and players usually have a bunch of family priorities when they get back from these long trips. Their focus isn't on basketball. The Clippers are going to need to be focused to cover this huge 12.5-point spread against the Pacers. The Pacers will be fresh and ready to go as they're working on 3 days rest right now having last played on Wednesday. Indiana is 21-7 ATS when playing 4 or fewer games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons. The Pacers are 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. The Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Los Angeles. Take Indiana.
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12-04-16 |
Bowling Green +20 v. Cincinnati |
|
56-85 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
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6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Bowling Green +20
The Key: This is a perfect situation to fade the Cincinnati Bearcats. I expect them to be flat in this spot Sunday against Bowling Green. They went on the road and beat Iowa State in overtime on Thursday night. They play Butler this coming weekend in their next game. They could care less about blowing out Bowling Green tonight with this game being in between both of those two huge contests. I look for the Falcons to take them right down to the wire. The Falcons are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after playing their previous 2 games at home. They haven't lost by more than 16 points this season. Take Bowling Green.
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12-04-16 |
Redskins v. Cardinals -2.5 |
|
23-31 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 51 m |
Show
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6* Redskins/Cardinals NFC *CA$H COW* on Arizona -2.5
The Key: The Arizona Cardinals are the definition of a team that is better than their 4-6-1 record. The Cardinals actually rank 1st in the NFL in yardage differential while outgaining their opponents by 75.1 yards per game on average. They are 4th in yards per play differential as well, bolstered by their league-best defensive yards per play of just 4.7 allowed. The Cardinals will be giving it their all here as this is their last chance to turn their season around. They may need to run the table to make the playoffs. They are 2 games behind Washington for the final wild card spot in the NFC, and conveniently they play the Redskins here. You'll see some fire from this team Sunday as I expect a blowout. And this is a great matchup for the Cardinals because they are No. 1 in total defense and No. 2 against the pass, allowing just 195.1 passing yards per game. Washington is a pass-heavy team, and Kirk Cousins will have one of his worst performances of the season Sunday. Arizona is 41-22 ATS in its last 63 home games off 2 or more consecutive losses. Bruce Arians is 6-0 ATS against NFC East opponents as the coach of the Cardinals. Take Arizona.
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12-04-16 |
Rams +13.5 v. Patriots |
Top |
10-26 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
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7* NFL Dog of the Year on Los Angeles Rams +13.5
The Key: The fact that the Los Angeles Rams got blown out by the Saints on the road last week has added value to this line. The betting public wants nothing to do with them after that blowout. But they will show up Sunday to face a team the caliber of the Patriots. And the Patriots just aren't the normal Patriots right now. They are without Rob Gronkowski because of a season-ending injury, and Tom Brady missed a lot of practice this week with a knee injury. The Patriots were lucky to win 22-17 over the Jets last week, and they lost their last home game to the Seahawks. They aren't going to win this game by 2 touchdowns, so they shouldn't be 13.5-point favorites in their current state. After all, the Patriots are just 11-25-1 ATS in their last 37 games as double-digit favorites. And Jeff Fisher has been dominant in the underdog role. Fisher is 14-3 ATS off a loss by 14 points or more as the coach of the Rams, and they're coming back to actually win these games 18.9 to 16.1 on average. Take Los Angeles.
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12-04-16 |
Lions v. Saints OVER 52 |
|
28-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
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6* Sunday NFL *Total* Annihilator on Lions/Saints OVER 52
The Key: Expect a good old fashioned shootout in the Superdome Sunday when the New Orleans Saints host the Detroit Lions. The Saints boast the league's No. 1 ranked offense that just put up 49 points on a good Rams defense last week. They still have one of the worst defenses in the NFL, and the Lions have faced the easiest opposing offenses of anyone thus far, so their defensive numbers aren't as bad as they will be in the coming weeks. The Over is 9-2 in Saints last 11 home games. They are combining with their opponents to average 64.7 points per game at home this season. The OVER is 34-14-3 in Lions last 51 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. The OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings, which included a 35-27 road victory by Detroit last season and 62 combined points. Take the OVER.
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12-03-16 |
Suns +16 v. Warriors |
|
109-138 |
Loss |
-102 |
11 h 59 m |
Show
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6* Suns/Warriors NBA *BAILOUT* on Phoenix +16
The Key: The Phoenix Suns are once again catching too many points against the Golden State Warriors. The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Warriors, losing all 4 meetings by 8, 7, 6 and 13 points. They have already faced the Warriors twice this season, so it's not like Golden State is going to be all that motivated to beat them for a 3rd time. And it's going to take a motivated Warriors team to cover this massive 16-point spread. The Suns are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Take Phoenix.
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12-03-16 |
Gonzaga -4.5 v. Arizona |
|
69-62 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
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6* Gonzaga/Arizona ESPN *CA$H COW* on Gonzaga -4.5
The Key: Gonzaga wants this one badly. Arizona has beaten Gonzaga in all 3 meetings each of the past 3 seasons, including a 68-63 win in the 2014 NCAA Tournament. "Like I said, we've got something for them. Send a message Saturday," Gonzaga guard Josh Perkins said after a 97-63 home victory over Mississippi Valley State improved the Bulldogs to 7-0 on Thursday night. "We feel like we owe them some payback. It's been some years building up. Saturday's a time for us to get back at them." There chances at revenge are good. Arizona is expected to have only seven available scholarship players after the team's latest injury. Starting point guard Parker Jackson-Cartwright suffered a high ankle sprain Wednesday in a win over Texas Southern, with coach Sean Miller saying the junior would be out for a "considerable" period of time. Arizona previously lost two players to torn ACLs, an incoming freshman turned pro and sophomore guard Allonzo Trier, the team's top returning scorer at 14.8 points per game, hasn't played yet because of unspecified eligibility issues. It's no surprise the Wildcats are struggling early with narrow wins over Michigan State, CS-Bakersfield and Santa Clara, as well as a loss to Butler. Take Gonzaga.
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12-03-16 |
UL-Lafayette v. UL-Monroe +6.5 |
|
30-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 14 m |
Show
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6* Saturday NCAAF *UPSET SPECIAL* on Louisiana-Monroe +6.5
The Key: This has been a very closely-contested in-state rivalry. Six of the last 7 meetings between UL-Monroe and UL-Lafayette have been decided by a touchdown or less. Monroe has played pretty well at home this year, beating both South Alabama and Texas State, while only losing to Idaho by 3. That's an Idaho team that is 5-2 in Sen Belt play this year. The Warhawks have been running the ball well in conference play as they average 204.3 rushing yards per game. Lafayette is in a prime letdown spot in this game. It beat Arkansas State 24-19 at home last week, handing the Red Wolves their first conference loss of the season. But the Rajin' Cajuns were thoroughly outplayed in that game as they were outgained by 229 yards. They shouldn't be laying nearly a touchdown on the road to the Warhawks a week later in this clear letdown spot, especially considering the Warhawks have had 2 full weeks to prepare for this game after last playing on November 19. The underdog is 16-2-1 ATS in the last 19 meetings. Take Louisiana-Monroe.
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12-03-16 |
Oklahoma State +11 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
20-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 44 m |
Show
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7* Okie State/Oklahoma Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma State +11
The Key: This is a much more evenly-matched game than this spread would indicate, and thus I find value on the double-digit underdog in this rivalry game with the Big 12 title at stake. Oklahoma State is outscoring teams by 13.2 PPG this season and Oklahoma by 14.8 PPG. The Sooners can't be trusted to cover this big number because they have their worst defense in years. They allow 30.5 points, 443 yards per game and 5.9 yards per play this season. Two of the three meetings between these teams between 2012 and 2014 went to overtime, and the other was decided by 9 points. But the Cowboys will be out for revenge from their 58-23 loss to the Sooners last year. That was closer than the score as the Sooners only outgained the Cowboys by 67 yards. The Cowboys have actually played their best on the road this season as they won 44-20 at Kansas, 43-37 at Kansas State and 31-6 at TCU. They were dogs in those latter two games. The Cowboys are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after rushing for more than 200 yards in their previous game. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take Oklahoma State.
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12-03-16 |
Temple v. Navy UNDER 61 |
|
34-10 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 14 m |
Show
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6* Temple/Navy AAC Championship *CA$H COW* on UNDER 61
The Key: Navy has been putting up video game-type numbers offensively of late against very suspect defenses, which has inflated this total. They scored 75 on SMU just last week to cover the over themselves. But now they'll be up against one of the best defenses they've faced all year. Temple only gives up 17.8 points and 273 yards per game. And the Owls are elite at stopping the run, giving up only 128 rushing yards per game and 3.6 per carry. I don't expect either team to get to 30 points in this game as it's played on the ground as both teams prefer to run the football. Temple averages 42 rushes compared to 27 passes per game. There will be plenty of punts in this game, something that Navy hasn't been accustomed to doing in recent weeks. Navy is 26-10 UNDER in its last 36 vs. teams who possess the ball for 32 or more minutes per game. The UNDER is 4-0 in Owls last 4 games overall. The UNDER is 7-2 in Owls last 9 games vs. a team with a winning record. Each of the last 6 meetings between these teams have seen 60 or fewer combined points and an average of 53 points per game. There is clearly value with the UNDER in this contest. Take the UNDER.v
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