20* SHARP PLAY on Bucs

Bet the Bucs (+2.5) as a small home dog against the Cowboys in Monday's NFL Wild Card matchup. I just don't trust Dallas to go on the road and take out Tom Brady and the Bucs. I know it's been a disappointing season for Tampa Bay and they are only in the playoffs because the rest of the NFC South was awful, but it doesn't matter how you get to the playoffs. It's a whole new season once you get there. 

The biggest thing that was holding back TB this season is they just couldn't get anything going on offense. The lack of a running game forced Brady to throw it just about every snap (set NFL record for pass attempts in a season). It felt like they started to get some things figured out down the stretch. Dallas has some good players on defense, but I think that unit is way overrated. I'm pretty confident in Brady moving the ball on them. I can't say the same about Dak and the Cowboys offense against this Tampa Bay defense. Bucs aren't going to let Dallas get the running game going and Dak has been prone to giving the ball away. Give me the Bucs +2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Giants

Bet the Giants (+3) as a small road dog against the Vikings in Sunday's Wild Card action. I just don't trust this Minnesota team at all. The Vikings had one of the luckiest seasons I can remember in terms of winning close games they shouldn't have. I don't trust Kirk Cousins in big games and the defense is one of the worst in the league. The Giants should have won at Minnesota in Week 16 when these two teams faced off. Vikings pulled out a 27-24 win, despite getting outgained 445 to 353. New York was a dreadful 3 of 11 on 3rd downs in that game and were -2 in the turnover department. Two areas I think they can improve on in the rematch. Give me New York +3! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Saints -3½ +100

Bet the Saints (-3.5) as a small home favorite against the Panthers in Sunday's NFL action. New Orleans comes in having won 3 straight, including back-to-back road wins over Cleveland and Philadelphia. The defense for the Saints has been outstanding down the stretch run, giving up 20 or fewer points in each of their last 7 games. Even with nothing to play for, I like them to show up and give a big effort here at home in Week 18. I can't say the same for Carolina, who is in a really tough spot coming off last week's crushing loss to the Bucs. A game that was for the NFC South title. This is a massive flat spot for the Panthers. Play the Saints -3.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Commanders -2 -110

Bet the Commanders (-2) as a slim home favorite against the Browns in Sunday's NFL action. Washington currently hold the third and final wild card spot in the NFC, but are just 1/2-game up on the Seahawks, Packers and Lions. This is essentially a playoff game for the Commanders. Browns have nothing but pride to play for after they were eliminated from the playoffs with last week's loss to the Saints. I just don't see Cleveland being very motivated for this road matchup against Washington and this Browns offense has just not performed well at all since Watson took over at quarterback. Play the Commanders -2!

20* SHARP PLAY on Alabama -6½ -110

Bet Alabama (-6.5) laying less than a touchdown against Kansas State in Saturday's Sugar Bowl. This to me is a complete mismatch. It would be one thing if Alabama had a bunch of players opt out of this game, but the only guys who left the team are backups who didn't get a ton of playing time. For all those guys to decide to play and not opt out to prepare for the NFL draft, speaks to how serious the Crimson Tide are taking this game. It feels like Alabama is out to make a statement that they should have been in the 4-team playoff, despite their two losses. If that's what they want, I don't think there's anything K-State can do to stop them. Wildcats just don't have the offensive fire-power to keep this close. Play Alabama -6.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on UCLA -5 -110

Bet UCLA (-5) laying less than a touchdown against Pittsburgh in Friday's Sun Bowl. I look for the Bruins to make easy work of the Panthers in this one. UCLA didn't have any significant opt-outs or players leave in the transfer portal, which tells me they are 100% locked in for this game. Bruins are a program on the rise under Chip Kelly and have a chance here to get to 10-wins. They have one of the best offenses in the country. I just don't see Pitt being able to keep pace. Panthers saw starting quarterback Kedon Slovis transfer to BYU. Quite a big dropoff from him to expected starter Nick Patti. Pitt also won't have star running back Isreal Abanikanda, plus two key pieces up front on the offensive line. Play UCLA -5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Minnesota -10 -110

Bet the Gophers (-10) as a double-digit favorites against Syracuse in Thursday's Pinstripe Bowl. Syracuse is a bet of a mess going into this game. They lost both their offensive and defensive coordinators to other teams. Star running back Sean Tucker also opted out to prepare for the draft. Without Tucker, who really was the one consistent on offense for Syracuse, I have had a hard time seeing the Orange moving the ball against a very good Minnesota defense. I also don't like the matchup for Syracuse's defense, which is built more to stop the run than the pass. Orange have struggled against physical running teams, so I don't see them offering up much resistance on that side of the ball either. It all adds up to a lopsided affair. Play Minnesota -10! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Texas Tech +4 -110

Bet Texas Tech (+4) as a short dog against Ole Miss in the Texas Bowl in Wednesday's college football bowl action. While this is technically a neutral site matchup, it's going to feel like a home game for the Red Raiders with the game being played in their home state. I also think there's a lot of motivation for these Power 5 programs when they get matched up with a team from the SEC. This is also a pretty good Texas Tech team, who can light you up on the offensive side of the ball. Ole Miss had their struggles against the better offenses they faced and I think the Rebels run-first offensive approach plays will struggle against a stingy Red Raiders defense. Play Texas Tech +4! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Coastal Carolina +7½ -110

Bet Coastal Carolina (+7.5) as more than a touchdown dog against East Carolina in Tuesday's Birmingham Bowl. This is just too many points for the Chanticleers to be catching in this one. Coastal Carolina's star quarterback Grayson McCall is playing in this game, despite the fact that he's announced he will be transferring to a new school for next season. That says a lot about how close this team is and how important it is for them to start what they finished. ECU is a quality team, but should not be laying this kind of number. Play the Chanticleers +7.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on New Mexico State +4 -110

Bet New Mexico State (+4) catching more than a field goal against Bowling Green in the Quick Lane Bowl. What an impressive job by first year head coach Jerry Kill to get this Aggies team to the postseason. New Mexico hasn't been to a bowl game since 2018 and had not finished better than 3-10 in the 4 years following. Kill got this team to 6-6 and did so by knocking off Toledo 42-35 as a 14.5-point road dog in the second to last game of the season. I don't see this team having much trouble against the Falcons. Bowling Green plays in the MAC, which is the worst of all the FBS conferences. They should not be laying more than a field goal in this game. Play New Mexico State +4! 

20* SHARP PLAY on San Diego State -6½ -110

Bet the Aztecs (-6.5) as a decently priced favorite against Middle Tennessee in the Hawaii Bowl Saturday night. San Diego State will have no problem winning this game by at least a touchdown. The Aztecs have one of the best defenses in the Group of 5 and are facing an overrated Middle Tennessee offense. The Blue Raiders put up a respectable 29.2 ppg, but played an easy schedule. They actually underperformed against expectations, as their opponents for the season gave up an average score of 30.4 ppg. Blue Raiders can't run the ball or pass protect and Middle Tennessee quarterback Chase Cunningham has struggled. The Aztecs may find it tough to run on this Blue Raiders defense, but I like them to move the ball. This was a much improved offense once quarterback Jalen Mayden took over in Week 6. He at least gives them the ability to throw the ball. He's also a guy that can make plays with his feet. He finished with over 200 yards and 3 scores on the ground. Play the Aztecs -6.5!

20* SHARP PLAY on Western Kentucky +4½ -110

Bet the Hilltoppers (+4.5) as a decently priced dog against S Alabama in the New Orleans Bowl. This line felt right when South Alabama opened at -1. Now there's too much value to pass up with WKU at 4.5. This game figures to be close the whole way. Sure the Hilltoppers are missing some guys, but they'll have their star quarterback in Austin Reed and stud wide out Malachi Corley. I know this South Alabama defense is good, but WKU put up 400 passing yards on the likes of Troy, who is exceptional on defense. I trust the Hilltoppers more when it comes to putting up points. Play WKU +4.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Liberty +5 -110

Bet Liberty (+5) as a decently priced dog against Toledo in the Boca Raton Bowl on Tuesday. I just think the line here is a bit of an overreaction to the Flames losing head coach Hugh Freeze. Sure Freeze was great in his tenure with Liberty, but there has to be a lot of optimism this program can keep it going under new head coach Jamey Chadwell, who did big things at Coastal Carolina. I'm also not so sure what people see in this Toledo team that makes them think they should be favored by more than a field goal. Are people forgetting the Rockets play in the MAC. One of the worst FBS Conferences. Play Liberty +5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Chiefs -14 -110

Bet the Chiefs (-14) as a huge road favorite against the Texans in Sunday's NFL action. This might seem like a few too many for Kansas City to be laying, given the Chiefs barely held on for a 34-28 road win at Denver last week as a 8.5-point favorite and the Texans barely lost at Dallas 23-27 as a 17-point dog. Thing is, that was a big flat spot for Chiefs coming off their gut-wrenching loss at Cincinnati. Houston isn't going to catch KC off guard in this one. Look for Mahomes and the Chiefs offense to have their way in this one. Play Kansas City -14! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Miami-OH +10½ -105

Bet the RedHawks (+10.5) as a double-digit dog against UAB in the Bahamas Bowl. There's just too much value with Miami (OH) at this price. There doesn't figure to be a ton of points scored in this one with these being two of the slowest paced teams in the country. UAB is also going to be down their biggest offensive threat in star running back Dewayne McBride. Blazers are also working under an interim head coach in this game, as they went out and hired Trent Dilfer to be their new head coach. Double-digit dogs have been a strong investment in bowl season and this is one where I think the dog has a legit shot to pull off the upset. Play Miami (OH) +10.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Seahawks +3½ -115

Bet the Seahawks (+3.5) against the 49ers on Thursday Night Football to kickoff Week 15 of NFL action. We are getting too much value here with Seattle as a 3.5-point dog. Everyone is talking about Brock Purdy and the 49ers right now. Thing is, one game doesn't make a career. The jury on Purdy is still up in the air. This will be his first road start in one of the toughest places to play for opposing QBs. He's also dealing with a rib injury that he's had just 3 days to rest up. Deebo Samuel is also out of the lineup. I expect a much closer game than expected. Play Seattle +3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Giants +7 +100

Bet the Giants (+7) as a touchdown dog at home against the Eagles. This is just way too many points to pass up with New York. The Giants are going to be extremely motivated here, as they have to feel a bit disrespected being a 7-point dog at home with a 7-4-1 record. Philly is also a bit overvalued in the market off their 35-10 blowout win over the Titans. Eagles are just 3-8 ATS as a road favorite with Jalen Hurts. New York is also 7-1 ATS as a dog this season. Play the Giants +7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Navy -2½ -110

Bet Navy (-2.5) as a small favorite against Army in Saturday's college football action. I don't think the Midshipmen are getting enough respect in this game. Navy is not as bad as their 4-7 record would lead you to believe. I thought this team improved a lot from the start of the year. Army has a better record at 5-6, but their 5 wins are against Villanova, Colgate, ULM, UConn and UMass. It's also worth noting that everyone is betting Army and yet this line has flopped from Navy going from +1 to -2.5. Play the Midshipmen -2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Falcons +1 -110

Bet the Falcons (+1) at basically a pick'em at home against the Steelers in Sunday's NFL action. I just think this is a great spot to sell-high on Pittsburgh after their 24-17 win and cover at Indianapolis on Monday Night Football in Week 12. Sure the defense has been improved since T.J. Watt returned to the lineup, but the offense is still one of the worst in the league. I just don't think an offense as bad as the Steelers should be getting this much respect on the road. Atlanta is a sneaky good bet at home. The Falcons are 4-2 SU and 4-2 ATS at home this year, where they are scoring 26.3 ppg. Both losses came by a field goal or less. Steelers are just 2-10 ATS last 12 after a game where they covered the spread. Play the Falcons +1

15* SHARP PLAY on Southern Miss -3 -110

Bet Southern Miss (-3) as a slim road favorite against Louisiana Monroe in Saturday's college football action. The Golden Eagles are the only team with something to play for, as they sit at 5-6. Needing a win here to get bowl eligible. ULM's shot at reaching bowl eligibility was put to rest in last week's 16-34 loss at Troy. Southern Miss failed to win in their last game, but covered as a 7.5-point dog. Golden Eagles are 6-0 ATS last 3 seasons off a cover where they lost the game outright. Play Southern Miss -3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Memphis +4½ -105

Bet Memphis (+4.5) as a small road dog against SMU in Saturday's college football action. I like the value with the Tigers catching over a field goal in this one. Memphis comes into this game off back-to-back wins and covers. Tigers are 31-12 ATS in road games in the month of November. Tulsa comes in off a 24-59 blowout loss at Tulane. Golden Hurricane are just 9-24 ATS last 33 after a road loss by 28 or more points. Play Memphis +4.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Boise State -17 -110

Bet Boise State (-17) as a big home favorite against Utah State in Friday's college football action. Most are going to just assume that Boise State won't show up for this game, as they already have a spot locked up in next week's MWC title game against Fresno State. Thing is, they are also playing for a bigger bowl, as a win here coupled with a win over the Bulldogs would make them 10-3 as a conference champ. Broncos have really dominated their conference rivals at home this year, where they are 3-0 and have won all 3 by at least 20 points, including a 22-point win over San Diego State and 20-point win over Fresno State. Utah State has been playing better of late, but are in for a long day. Play Boise State -17! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Bears +3 -115

Bet the Bears (+3) catching a field goal on the road against the Falcons in Sunday's NFL action. I really like what I've seen out of this Bears team the last month or so, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Chicago has figured out how to get the best out of Justin Fields, as he's using his legs to generate a ton of offense. Bears have rushed for at least 240 yards in 5 straight games. No reason to think they won't get over 200 in this one, especially after watching Atlanta give up 232 rushing yards last week to the Panthers. As for a struggling Bears defense, I think the Falcons run-heavy offense is a great matchup for them, as it's more the passing defense that has been the problem of late. Play Chicago +3! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Oklahoma -7 -110

Bet Oklahoma (-7) as a touchdown favorite at home against in-state rival Oklahoma State in Saturday's college football action. I know it hasn't exactly been pretty for the Sooners in 2022, as they are just 5-5 and still in need of one more win to become bowl eligible. With a road game at Texas Tech on deck in the finale, this feels like one Oklahoma has to have. I think they get it and end up winning this one going away. Oklahoma State was able to squeak out a 20-14 win at home vs ISU last week, but that's now 3 straight games where the offense has scored 20 or fewer points. That's just not going to cut it against this high-powered Oklahoma offense. Play the Sooners -7! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Duke +7½ -110

Bet Duke (+7.5) catching more than a touchdown on the road against Pitt in Saturday's college football action. No way should the Blue Devils be catching this many points in this matchup. Duke is having one of the bigger surprise seasons of any team in the country. Expectations couldn't have been much lower coming into this season, as the Blue Devils were coming off a 3-win season in 2021 and replacing their long-time great head coach David Cutcliffe. They have more than doubled that win total, as they come into this game 7-3. They have won 3 straight and are 7-3 ATS on the year. Pitt is a good team, but I feel they are overvalued off their 37-7 win at Virginia. Panthers are still just 4-6 ATS. Duke should not only cover this number, I give them a legit shot here to win this game outright. Play the Blue Devils +7.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Titans +3 +100

Bet the Titans (+3) as a small road dog against the Packers in Thursday's NFL action. I just think people are overreacting to Green Bay's OT win against the Cowboys last week. Sure they won, but they also trailed by 14 points in the 4th quarter of that game and Dallas head coach Mike McCarthy did all he could to throw that game for the Cowboys. I still think this GB offense is broken and are really dependent on the run. That's a problem in this matchup, as Tennessee is one of the best in the league against the run. I also think the Titans pass rush will be able to get to Rodgers and limit the explosive plays in the pass game. Play Tennessee +3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on SMU +3½ -110

Bet SMU (+3.5) catching more than a field goal on the road against Tulane in Thursday's college football action. Easy play here on the Mustangs. SMU is rolling coming into this game having won 4 of their last 5 and covering in each of their last 4. Their only loss coming by a mere 2-points to Cincinnati. As for Tulane, the Green Wave are coming off an ugly 31-38 loss at home to UCF, where they let the Knights rush for over 340 yards. I just don't see Tulane being able to keep pace offensively with the Mustangs, who are scoring over 40 ppg and averaging 6.5 yards/play. Play SMU +3.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Florida State -7 -115

Bet Florida State (-7) as a touchdown favorite on the road against Syracuse in Saturday's college football action. These two teams are headed in opposite directions. The Seminoles come in off back-to-back blowout wins, beating Georgia Tech 41-16 and Miami 45-3. As for the Orange, things have unravelled quickly. Syracuse has now lost 3 straight after their perfect 6-0 start. It was a great story early on, but that strong start has really caused the Orange to be overvalued down the stretch. FSU is the better team in all areas and should win this game going away. Play the Seminoles -7! 

15* SHARP PLAY on TCU +7½ -110

Bet TCU (+7.5) as a more than a touchdown underdog against Texas in Saturday's college football action. The line here doesn't make a lot of sense, which is a bit concerning, but there's no way I'm passing up on the Horned Frogs at this price. TCU comes into this game undefeated and ranked No. 4 in the country. Sure they have had caught a lot of breaks along the way and had to rally in a number of their wins, but there's something to be said about a team that can find a way to win games. TCU is not going to go down without a fight and this not an elite Texas team by any means. Longhorns may win here, just not by more than a touchdown. Play TCU +7.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on New Mexico +21½ -110

Bet New Mexico (+21.5) as a huge road dog against Air Force in Saturday's college football action. The Lobos are not a good football team, but their 3-5 ATS mark is very misleading. Three different times this season New Mexico's offense has a turnover late in the game that the defense returned for a touchdown to cause them to not cover. It has them way undervalued right now in the betting market. There's simply too much value with them at this price. New Mexico has a decent run defense and their DC knows how to defend the triple-option. There's also a total in the high 30's for this game, which makes the three touchdown spread that much more valuable. Play New Mexico +21.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Northwestern +18 -110

Bet Northwestern (+18) as a big road dog against Minnesota in Saturday's college football action. No way should the Gophers be laying more than 3 scores against the Wildcats. Gophers have been a major disappointment this year and it's shown in their betting results. Minnesota is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Home teams who have been beaten by the spread by 49 or more points in their last 5 games are just 19-50 (27.5%) ATS in Weeks 10 thru 13 over the last 5 seasons. Play Northwestern +18! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Illinois -6½ -110

Bet Illinois (-6.5) laying less than a touchdown at home against Purdue in Saturday's college football action. I like the Fighting Illini to bounce back from last week's surprising 15-23 loss at Michigan State as a big 16-point favorite. Illinois certainly won the boxscore against the Spartans, outgaining Michigan State 441-294. I expect them to do the same against Purdue. The Boilermakers offense struggled to get anything going against Iowa's stingy defense last week and now face an even better Illinois defense. We also saw a bad Hawkeyes offense have their way with the Boilermakers defense. Illini has the edge here on both sides of the ball and should easily win here by 7 or more. Play Illinois -6.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on UL-Lafayette -3½ -105

Bet the Ragin' Cajuns (-3.5) to cover at home against Georgia Southern. Lafayette has covered 4 of their 5 home games (1-3 ATS on the road) and I just think they have the big edge in this one with both teams on just 4 days of rest. It's hard on defenses to play well with so little time to prepare and recover and Georgia Southern was in a dogfight last week with S Alabama. Ragin' Cajuns are also the better defenses team and it's not close. Lafayette is giving up just 21.7 ppg and 5.1 yards/play. Georgia Southern is allowing 31.2 ppg and 6.7 yards/play. Play the Ragin' Cajuns -3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bears +4½ -110

Bet the Bears (4.5) as a decently priced home dog against the Dolphins in Sunday's Week 9 NFL action. With Justin Fields and the offense seeming to figure things out, this Chicago team is going to be a sneaky good bet the rest of the way. This team has put up monster offensive numbers the last two weeks against a couple of really good defenses in the Bucs and Cowboys. They should continue that against what I think is an overrated Dolphins defense. I also think playing at home really helps them in this matchup, as the sloppy and poor conditions of Soldier Field should keep Hill and Waddle from running all over their defense. I wouldn't be shocked at all if Chicago won this game outright. Play the Bears +4.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Vanderbilt +7 -110

Bet the Commodores (+7) as a touchdown dog at home against South Carolina in Saturday's college football action. South Carolina is simply getting way too much respect from the books and the media. We saw that last week when the Gamecocks were somehow ranked in the Top 25 and laying 3.5-points to Missouri, who they proceeded to lose to 10-23. Now they have to go on the road against a Vandy team that is better than people think and ready to go coming off of their bye week. Commodores are just 1-5 in their last 6 but 4 of those have come on the road and the other two were against ranked teams in Wake Forest and Ole Miss at home. Play Vanderbilt +7! 

15* SHARP PLAY on James Madison +7½ -110

James Madison (+7.5) is worth a look catching over a touchdown on the road against Louisville in Saturday's college football action. This is the perfect spot to fade the Cardinals. Louisville just played and beat a Top 10 opponent last week in Wake Forest and have their biggest game of the season looming on deck next week against undefeated and No. 4 ranked Clemson. It will be tough for Louisville to show up ready to play and that's a recipe for disaster against a talented and what should be a very motivated James Madison team. Play the Dukes +7.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on SMU -3 -110

Bet SMU (-3) as a slim home favorite against Houston in Saturday's college basketball action. Houston comes in having won their last 3, but one of those was a fluke 33-32 win at Memphis, where they got an onside kick and turned a double-digit deficit into a win in the final minutes of regulation. The other two were against a couple of bad teams in Navy and USF. I just think it's created some real value here with the Mustangs only laying a field goal on their home field, especially in a prime time spot under the lights in Dallas. Play SMU -3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on South Florida -3½ -102

Bet USF (-3.5) as a short road favorite against Temple in Saturday's college football action. This is a great buy-low spot on the Bulls, who have played an absolute gauntlet of schedule to start the year. USF is just 1-7, yet those 7 losses have come against the likes of BYU, Florida, Louisville, E Carolina, Cincinnati, Tulane and Houston. On top of that, 5 of the 7 have been on the road. Temple is the worst team they have faced all season outside of their game against FCS foe Howard in Week 2. I just think the Bulls poor record has them way undervalued against a team they should easily beat by at least a touchdown. Play USF -3.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on North Carolina -7 -110

Bet North Carolina (-7) as a touchdown favorite on the road against Virginia. UNC is a team that I think doesn't get the hype they deserve. Sure the defense is bad, but the offense is elite behind one of the best signal callers in the country. Tar Heels are scoring 41.8 ppg and putting up on average 12.7 more points than what their opponents allow. It's the exact opposite for Virginia, who has one of the worst offenses in the country. Cavaliers are scoring 16.9 ppg vs teams that allow 22.7 ppg. I just don't see Virginia being able to do enough offensively to keep this game close. Bet North Carolina -7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Kent State -6½ -110

Bet Kent State (-6.5) as less than a touchdown favorite at home against Ball State in Tuesday's college football action. I just don't see the Cardinals being able to slow down this Kent State offense. The Golden Flashes are one of the best rushing teams in the country and this offense has put up some incredible numbers in their 3 home games this year, as they are averaging 42.3 ppg, 582 ypg and 7.9 yards/play. I just don't see Ball State being able to keep pace. The Cardinals are only scoring 16.7 ppg on 363 ypg in road game this season. Ball State is also giving up 36.3 ppg and 461 ypg in road games. Play Kent State -6.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Jets +2½ -108

Bet the Jets (+2.5) as a short home dog against the Patriots in Sunday's NFL action. No one wants to give this New York team any love. The Jets come in having won and covered 4 straight, yet are a home dog to a New England team that just got blown out at home by the Bears, giving up 33 points and nearly 400 yards to an anemic Chicago offense. Yes, the Jets lost a huge piece to their early season success in rookie running back Breece Hall, but they quickly went out and traded for James Robinson, who quietly has over 2,100 yards and 18 TDs in his first 3 seasons in the NFL (35 games). Play the Jets +2.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Missouri +4 -110

Bet Missouri (+4) as a small road dog against South Carolina in Saturday's college football action. I really like the Tigers in this spot. I also feel like it's the perfect time to fade South Carolina, who is all the sudden ranked in the Top 25. I'm not sure what the Gamecocks have done to guarner this much respect. They have 3 cupcake non-conference wins over Georgia State, Charlotte and S Carolina State. Their two conference wins are against a Kentucky team that didn't have their starting quarterback and a Texas A&M team that's in shambles. Play Missouri +4! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Nebraska +7½ -110

Bet Nebraska (+7.5) as a big home dog against Illinois in Saturday's college football action. The Fighting Illini have simply went from being one of the best betting values on the board to being way over-priced. Just last time out, Illinois was a 4.5-point home dog to Minnesota. Now they are laying more than a touchdown on the road against a hungry Nebraska team that is coming off a bye week. If the Cornhuskers can take care of the football, I think they got a legit shot here to win outright. Play Nebraska +7.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Wake Forest -3 -110

Bet Wake Forest (-3) as a short road favorite against Louisville in Saturday's college football action. The Demon Deacons continue to get no love from the books. Wake Forest is 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. They have covered each of their last 4 games. Louisville is off a couple of wins and covers against Virginia and Pitt, but this team has failed to deliver against the upper-tier of the ACC. I don't see today being any different. Cardinals simply won't be able to keep pace offensively against this juggernaut of a WF offense. Play the Demon Deacons -3! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Miami-FL -2½ -110

Bet Miami (-2.5) as a short road favorite against Virginia in Saturday's college football action. This is the time to buy-low on the Hurricanes. Miami just lost 21-45 as a 10-point home favorite to Duke last week and have now failed to cover 6 straight. This is still a decent football team and one that should be able to beat a Cavaliers team that can't score. Virginia has not scored more than 20 points in a game since putting up 34 in their opener against FCS foe Richmond. Play Miami -2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on BYU -3 -110

Bet BYU (-3) to cover as a slim home favorite against East Carolina in Friday's college football action. This just feels like a great buy-low spot on the Cougars. BYU has lost 3 in a row and failed to cover each of their last 6 games. The Pirates on the other hand are fresh off a 34-13 win at home against UCF as a 6-point dog. Thing with BYU is 3 of their 4 losses have come away from home with the only exception being against a SEC team in Arkansas. This has all the makings of a get right game for the Cougars at home in a prime time spot. Play BYU -3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Patriots -8 -110

Bet the Patriots (-8) as a big home favorite against the Bears on Monday Night Football. Don't love laying a big number like this in a prime time game, but I just don't see how New England doesn't win here by double-digits. The Bears are lucky to even be a 2-4 football team. Chicago has one of the worst offenses I have seen, especially in today's NFL. The Bears have a mere 63 completed passes in 6 games. That's fewer than Mac Jones has (64) and Jones has missed 3 games. I look for Belichick and that Patriots defense to make life a living hell for Fields and that Bears offense. Play the Patriots -8! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Arizona State +3 -110

Bet Arizona State (+3) as a short road dog against Stanford in Saturday's college football action. We will look to fade Stanford after their big upset win on the road against Notre Dame. I just don't think this Cardinal team is any good. The offense has not scored more than 28 points against a single FBS opponent and prior to holding a bad Notre Dame offense to just 14 points Stanford had allowed 38.5 ppg over their previous 4, all 4 coming against Pac-12 foes. Cardinal are giving up 7.3 yards/play in conference games. Play the Sun Devils +3! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Northern Illinois -2½ -110

Bet Northern Illinois (-2.5) as a slim road favorite against Ohio in Saturday's college football action. This line might seem off, as you have a 2-5 Huskies team laying points on the road against a 4-3 Bobcats team. Thing is, Northern Illinois' record is a bit misleading. Huskies only loss by more than 10 points came against the best team in the MAC in Toledo. We have seen this team lose by just 3 at Tulsa, 10 to Vandy and by 8 on the road at Kentucky. Ohio lost by 36 at Penn State and by 33 at Iowa State, scoring just 10 points in both of those defeats. Their 4 wins have come against the likes of FAU, Fordham, Akron and W Michigan. Play Northern Illinois -2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on South Alabama -3 -110

Bet South Alabama (-3) to cover the short number at home against Troy in Thursday's college football action. Really good matchup here in the Sun Belt. Troy is 5-2 riding a 4-game winning streak. Only two losses on the road vs Ole Miss and App State. South Alabama is 5-1 with their only loss coming 31-32 at UCLA, who currently ranked No. 9 in the country. This to me is just too good a price to pass up on the Jaguars at home. Play South Alabama -3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Packers -7½ -105

Bet the Packers (-7.5) as a big home favorite against the Jets in Sunday's NFL action. Great spot here to buy-low on Green Bay after last week's 22-27 upset loss to the Giants as a 8.5-point favorite and sell high on the Jets after their shocking 40-17 win at home over the Dolphins as a 3-point home favorite. Big thing to note with New York's win over Miami, is the Dolphins were down to their 3rd string QB, which greatly impacted the outcome of that game. You also got to factor in just how good Aaron Rodgers and company are after a loss. Play the Packers -7.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Washington State +4 -110

Bet Washington State (+4) as a short road dog against Oregon State in Saturday's college football action. Love the value we are getting with Cougars catching more than a field goal, as I really like Washington State to win this game outright. The Cougars are 4-2 with their only two losses coming at home to Oregon by a score of 41-44 and on the road at USC. Oregon State isn't as good as what they are getting credit for. Their mere 3-point win over Fresno State looks less and less impressive the more we see the Bulldogs play and the Beavers should have lost at Stanford last week. Play Washington State +4! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Alabama -7 -110

Bet Alabama (-7) as a touchdown favorite on the road against Tennessee in Saturday's college football action. Everyone is jumping on the Vols bandwagon and taking the points in this one, as there's a lot being made about the uncertainty of Alabama quarterback Bryce Young and the struggles the Crimson Tide have had on the road of late. I just think it all is setting up for Alabama to go into Knoxville and lay it on Tennessee Saturday afternoon. Not saying the Vols aren't a good team, but their 3 best wins are against LSU, Florida and Pitt. Only one of those, last week's 40-13 win at LSU, did they dominate. Play Alabama -7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bears PK -110

Bet the Bears (PK) as a pick'em at home against the Commanders on Thursday Night Football in the NFL. As limited as the Bears are offensively with Justin Fields at quarterback, this team has competed in the majority of their games. Even with no threat of a passing game, I trust Chicago's offense a lot more playing at home on 3 days rest against a bad Washington defense than I do with the Commanders offense against a stingy Bears defense. Play the Bears -110! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Titans -1½ -110

Bet the Titans (-1.5) as a small road favorite against the Commanders in Sunday's Week 5 NFL action. This is more a fade of Washington than it is a play on Tennessee. The Commanders are a bad football team right now. The defense isn't the same without Chase Young on the field and the offense has struggled just to get first downs. Carson Wentz is not the answer and it doesn't help Washington can't run the football. I've been impressed with the Titans the last couple of weeks, beating the Raiders at home 24-22 and going on the road and beating the Colts 24-17. Derrick Henry is starting to get going and this is still one of the better coached teams in the league. Play the Titans -1.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Maryland -3 -110

Bet Maryland (-3) at home against Purdue in Saturday's college football action. The Terps are 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS. They have covered each of their last 4 games. Their only loss on the season is a 7-point defeat at Michigan as a 17-point dog. For whatever reason, no one wants to give this Maryland team any respect. Purdue is a good team and off an impressive 20-10 win at Minnesota as a double-digit dog, but road underdogs off a conference win as a dog of 6 or more vs an opponent off a conference win by 10 or more are just 32-75 (30%) ATS going all the way back to 1992. Play Maryland -3! 

15* SHARP PLAY on TCU -6½ -110

Bet TCU (-6.5) as a near touchdown favorite on the road against Kansas in Saturday's Top 25 matchup out of the Big 12. Kansas was fortunate to stay undefeated with last week's 14-11 win over ISU. Jayhawks could only muster 215 total yards of offense in that game and I'm not sure Iowa State could have played any worse. I just think reality is about to set in on Kansas' improbable start to the season. TCU might just be the best team in the Big 12. They have been an absolute juggernaut on offense and pretty good on the defensive side of the ball. KU won't be able to keep up. Play the Horned Frogs -6.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on LSU +3 -110

Bet LSU (+3) as a small home dog against Tennessee in Saturday's college football action. The Tigers aren't getting enough respect on their home field in this one. LSU is a play away from being 5-0. The Tigers already have a big win at home as a dog, as they knocked off a very good Mississippi State team 31-16 as a 3-point home dog a few weeks back. Tennessee is 4-0, but their two best wins are against what I think are mediocre teams in Pitt and Florida. They were a bit fortunate in both of those wins, beating the Panthers 34-27 and the Gators 38-33. New LSU head coach Brian Kelly is 38-21 (64%) ATS as an underdog as a head coach. Bet LSU +3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Broncos -3 -115

The Colts (-3) is worth a look as a short home favorite against the Colts on Thursday Night Football. Neither of these teams are what we thought coming into the year. However, I don't see the Colts turning this thing around. They can't run the ball or protect Matt Ryan and now they are without the engine that makes their offense run in Jonathan Taylor. You also got to give Denver a big edge here at home in a game that's being played on just 3 days of rest. Maybe this is the game Russell Wilson and this Denver team changes the narrative on them. Play the Broncos -3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on SMU +3 -110

SMU (+3) is worth a look catching a field goal on the road against UCF in Wednesday's college football action. I'm not so sure the right team is favored in this one. UCF is 3-1, but haven't really played anyone. Their best win is a 27-10 win over Georgia Tech, who just fired their head coach. Their lone loss was at home to a Louisville team that has not played close to expectations in 2022. As for SMU, no one was really talking about this team as a threat in the ACC, but they look like they could be. While they are 2-2, their two losses have come against what looks to be two of the most improved Power 5 teams this year in Maryland and TCU. The Terps only loss is a 7-point setback at No. 4 Michigan and the Horned Frogs are 4-0 having just destroyed Oklahoma last week. I just think SMU is better on both side of the ball. Play the Mustangs +3! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Bears +3 -115

The Bears (+3) are worth a look as a field goal underdog on the road against the Giants in Sunday's NFL action. What a matchup we have here, as we are somehow going to go into Week 5 with one of these two teams at 3-1. I don't think either of these teams are any good, but I have to take the points with Chicago in this one. The Giants just haven't impressed me and they are down to scraps at wide receiver. This to me is going to come down to which team can run the ball and I have a lot more confidence in Chicago in that department. Play the Bears +3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Central Michigan +7½ -110

Central Michigan (+7.5) is worth a look as a more than a touchdown dog on the road against Toledo in Saturday's college football action. The Chippewas are just 1-3 coming into this game, but two of those losses have come on the road against Oklahoma State and Penn State. Because of their poor record, Central Michigan has come into the season undervalued and stayed undervalued. Chippewas are 3-1 ATS. It's the exact opposite for Toledo. The Rockets were overhyped coming in and are just 1-3 ATS to start the year. Also a tough spot for Toledo after back-to-back road games at Ohio State and San Diego State. Play Central Michigan +7.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on UCLA +3½ -110

UCLA (+3.5) is worth a look catching a field goal and a hook at home against Washington. No one is giving the Bruins any love in this game because of their soft schedule, but I not only think they cover, I like them to win here outright. Washington has quickly become a big public play after their 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS start to 2022. They just rolled Michigan St and Stanford at home in their last two games, but both of those teams appear to be down this year, especially on the defensive side. This will be Washington's first true road game and their first real test offensively against a UCLA defense that is giving up just 18 ppg and 301 ypg. Play UCLA +3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bengals -4 -110

The Bengals (-4) are worth a look as a home favorite against the Dolphins in Thursday's NFL action. The betting public is going to be quick to grab the points with the 3-0 Dolphins against the 1-2 Bengals, but this is an awful spot for Miami. The Dolphins are coming off a huge upset win against the Bills in a game that went right down to the wire and was played in over 100 degree heat index. I also think Miami might be a little overvalued here. They needed a huge comeback against the Ravens in Week 2 and were thoroughly outplayed by the Bills in the boxscore last week. Play the Bengals -4! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Ravens -3 +100

The Ravens (-3) are worth a look as a slim road favorite against the Patriots in Sunday's NFL action. New England is simply getting too much respect in this one. Sure the Patriots are coming off a win against the Steelers, but that's not saying a whole lot. Pittsburgh is way down this year. New England is going to be able to put some points on the board at home against a leaky Ravens defense, I just don't see them being able to keep pace with what Lamar Jackson and that Baltimore offense is going to put. Play the Ravens -3! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Florida Atlantic +17½ -110

FAU (+17.5) is worth a look as a decently priced road dog against the Boilermakers in Saturday's college football action. I think we are getting some decent value with the Owls in this one. FAU is being undervalued coming off last week's ugly 14-40 loss to UCF. On the flip side, this is a really tough spot for Purdue, who suffered yet another heart-breaking loss last week at Syracuse, giving up a 25-yard TD with 7 second left to lose 29-32 to the Orange. They also have a massive game on deck against undefeated Minnesota. Look for FAU to hang around and keep this within the number. Play the Owls +17.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Texas -6½ -110

Texas (-6.5) is worth a look laying less than a touchdown on the road against Texas Tech. I think we are getting some great value here with the Longhorns. This is not your same Texas team from previous year. Longhorns should be 3-0, as they had Alabama on the ropes in a 19-20 loss to the Crimson Tide. They could have easily came out flat last week at home against UTSA and they won that game 41-20, covering as 13.5-point favorite. It just feels like the injury to starting quarterback Quinn Ewers has the Longhorns way undervalued right now. Texas is the better team across the board in this matchup. Play the Longhorns -6.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on TCU -1½ -110

TCU (-1.5) is worth a look as a slim road favorite against SMU in Saturday's college football action. I think we are getting some great value here with the Horned Frogs laying less than a field goal in this matchup. The Mustangs just lost 27-34 on the road to Maryland, who I don't have rated nearly as high as I do TCU. The Horned Frogs are a much improved team in 2022 and have a huge edge here playing on no rest. I also think people assume they won't be locked in because they got Oklahoma on deck, but this is a team still trying to prove its worth. I don't see SMU's defense being able to get enough stops for them to sniff a win. Play TCU -1.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Colts -3 -110

The Colts (-3) are worth a look as a short road favorite against the Jaguars in Sunday's NFL action. Indy is coming off a surprising 20-20 tie in Week 1 against the Texans. Just looking at the score, 20 points against a Houston team that isn't expected to be very good is pretty underwhelming. However, the Colts greatly underperformed in that game offensively, as they put up 517 total yards. They were a dismal 2-5 in the red zone. This is a very good offense and I look for them to have no trouble here moving the ball against a Jaguars team that gave up 28 to the Commanders in Week 1. Jacksonville played well in Week 1 against Washington and are going to be improved, but they are not on the same level as Indy. Play the Colts -3! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Washington -3 -110

Washington (-3) is worth a look laying just a field goal at home against Michigan State in Saturday's college football action. The betting public will be left scratching their heads seeing No. 11 Michigan State getting points against an unranked Washington team. Huskies were one of the biggest disappointments in the country last year. Even though they have looked much better in their 2-0 start, there's still some unknown given they have played two cupcakes in Kent State and Portland State. I'm one that thinks Washington is a different team in 2022 and being way undervalued here against a Spartans team that isn't quite as good as what people think and their ranking suggests. Play Washington -3! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Kansas +9 -110

Kansas (+9) is worth a look as a decently priced road dog against Houston. This is your Jayhawks team from years past where they are lucky to win a non-conference game or two and get rolled against Power 5 opponents. Kansas is no longer a pushover and they showed it last week in a 55-42 win at West Virginia as a 14-point dog. Houston is 1-1 and I think one of the more overrated teams in the country. People were thinking this team could be this year's Cincinnati team. They just aren't that good and shouldn't be giving more than a touchdown in this one. Play Kansas +9! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Seahawks +7 -115

The Seahawks (+7) are worth a look as a touchdown dog at home on Monday Night Football against the Broncos. Love the value here with Seattle. I think we got a matchup here of an overrated Denver team facing an underrated Seattle team. Not only that, the Seahawks get a huge edge here playing at home in a prime time game. Everyone is expecting Russell Wilson to light up his old team, but I think there's just as good a chance he struggles. Play the Seahawks +7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bears +7 -115

The Bears (+7) are worth a look as a touchdown dog at home against the 49ers. I just feel like there's a few too many unknowns with San Francisco quarterback Trey Lance for them to be laying this big of a number on the road. Chicago might not be a playoff team, but I don't think they are as completely outmatched here as the media is making it seem. Bears will be out to prove something in Week 1 and if Lance isn't right, I could see Chicago pulling off the upset. Play the Bears +7! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Army +3 -110

Army (+3) is worth a look as a short home dog against UTSA in Saturday's college football action. The Roadrunners are getting a lot of love for their near upset win over Houston in a Week 1, but this is going to be a real tough spot for UTSA to bounce back. It had to take a lot out of the Roadrunners both physically and emotionally in that 3OT setback to Houston. A game they have to feel like they let slip away after taking a 21-7 lead into the 4th quarter. On top of that, they have just a few days here to prepare for the triple-option attack of Army. I like the Black Knights to win this one at home. Play Army +3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on North Carolina -7 -110

The Tar Heels (-7) are worth a look as a mere touchdown favorite on the road against Georgia State. Yes, UNC had a scare last week on the road against App State, as they had to hold on for a 63-61 win. It was as bad a 4th quarter defensively as the Tar Heels could play, as they gave up 40 points. People forget they had a 41-21 lead going into the 4th quarter. Georgia State is going to put up some points, but not at the rate that App State was able to and I don't see the Panthers being able to slow down this juggernaut Tar Heels offense. Look for UNC to win this one by double-digits rather easily. Play the Tar Heels -7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Florida State +3½ -110

The Seminoles (+3.5) are worth a look as a small road dog against LSU in Sunday's college football action. Love the value here with Florida State catching a field goal and a hook, as I think they got a great shot at winning this game outright. 

LSU made a splash hire at head coach with Brian Kelly and I think people just assume the Tigers are going to rebound from a very disappointing 2 seasons. I like the hire, but there's a lot that Kelly needs to fix on both sides and he's installing new schemes on both sides of the ball. 

Florida State is a team that I think people are sleeping on. The Seminoles had that horrific start to last season, but got better and better as the season went on. Now in year 3 under Mike Norvell, FSU could be ready to explode. They got 16 returning starters, including a very underrated dual threat QB in Jordan Travis. Play the Seminoles +3.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Utah State +42 -110

The Aggies (+42) are worth a look as a massive road dog against No. 1 Alabama in Saturday's Week 1 college football action. The betting public is going to lay it with the Crimson Tide no matter the cost and the books know it. This line has been jacked way up to where there's simply too much value to pass up with Utah State. Don't be shocked if Alabama jumps out to a big lead early and then pulls their starters with a massive game against Texas on deck next week. Backdoor is going to be wide open for the Aggies to keep this within the number. Play Utah State +42! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Arkansas -6½ -110

The Razorbacks (-6.5) are worth a look laying less than a touchdown at home against Cincinnati. This line might seem a bit off to some, as the Bearcats are coming off a season where they made the CFB Playoffs. Thing is, Cincinnati lost a TON from that team and while they recruit well, they don't recruit to the level that they can lose that much talent and not regress. They are also facing an Arkansas team that had one of the biggest turnarounds in the country last year and look to be even stronger in 2022. Play the Razorbacks -6.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Appalachian State -1 -110

The Mountaineers (-1) are worth a look as a slim home favorite against the Tar Heels in Saturday's college football action. A lot of people will probably question how is UNC a dog in this one, but it's more than deserving if you ask me. Appalachian State has won at least 9 games in every season going back to 2015. They have routinely proven that they can hang with the big boys. Back in 2018 they lost in OT on the road at No. 10 Penn State to open the season. Last year they lost 23-25 on the road at then No. 22 Miami. Mountaineers have 12 starters back. That includes starting QB, Chase Brice, who threw for over 3,300 yards and 27 TDs last season. UNC won their opener 56-24 over Florida A&M. A solid win, but I was not impressed with the defense at all. Play Appalachian State -1! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Old Dominion +7 -110

The Monarchs (+7) are worth a look as a home dog against the Hokies in Friday's MLB action. Old Dominion is going to be no pushover in 2022. The Monarchs bring back 17 starters from a team that made a bowl game last year. This is also a team that got better as the season progressed, winning 5 straight to close out the regular-season after a 1-6 start. Va Tech to me is a team in a bit of rebuilding mode playing in the first year of a new head coach (Brent Pry - previously DC at Penn St). Only 11 starters return for the Hokies with just 4 on the offensive side of the ball. Play Old Dominion +7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Purdue +3½ -110

The Boilermakers (+3.5) are worth a look as a small home dog against the Nittany Lions in Thursday's NCAAF action. Purdue has thrived in the roll of a home underdog and it seems like the public perception is that the Nittany Lions are just going to bounce back after last year's disappointment. I also think people are down a little on Purdue given the losses of their best offensive (WR, David Bell) and defensive (DE, George Karlaftis) player on both side of the ball. I don't see the Boilermakers taking a step back. They get back 14 starter, including one of the Big Ten's best signal callers in Adan O'Connell. Give me the Boilermakers +3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bengals +4 -110

The Bengals (+4) are worth a look as a dog against the Rams in the Super Bowl. LA may have the more talented team from top to bottom, but Cincinnati has the edge at quarterback with Joe Burrow. I also think that the Bengals defense doesn't get near enough respect. I not only think Cincinnati keeps this close enough to cover, I got them winning outright. Play the Bengals +4! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bengals +7 +100

The Bengals (+7) are worth a look as a touchdown dog on the road against the Chiefs in Sunday's AFC Championship Game. These two teams played in Week 17 and the Bengals won outright 34-31. KC's secondary had no answer for Burrow and Chase in that game. While I could see KC adjusting their scheme to prevent Chase from having a big game, they don't have enough cover guys to stop all the Bengals' weapons. I got this one going right down to the wire. Play the Bengals +7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Titans -3 -110

The Titans (-3) are worth a look as a slim home favorite against the Bengals in Saturday's NFL action. Joe Burrow has been great and is going to be a problem in the AFC for years to come, but I don't think his time is now. Not against a rested Tennessee team that has got all their horses back for a playoff push. Titans also have a vastly underrated defense. One that I think could exploit a bad Bengals offensive line and keep this Cincinnati offensive show in check. Play the Titans -3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Eagles +8½ -110

The Eagles (+8.5) are worth a look getting more than a TD against the Bucs in Sunday's early NFC Wild Card matchup. Mother Nature is going to play a big role in this game, as there's going to be winds north of 20 mph throughout. It's going to force both teams to run the football more than they would like and with the wind blowing straight down the field, one team is going to be handcuffed every quarter. You also got to look at the lack of weapons that Brady has right now. He's lost Brown and Godwin. He also doesn't have his top two backs in Fournette and Jones. If the Bucs run defense isn't on point, the Eagles may very well win this game. Play Philadelphia +8.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Raiders +5½ -110

The Raiders (+5.5) are worth a look in Saturday's AFC Wild Card matchup with the Bengals. Las Vegas needed some breaks to get to the postseason, but now that they are here I think they could make some noise. Cincinnati did win the regular-season meeting between these two teams 32-13, but it was a 16-13 game until the Bengals made it 22-13 with just 5 minutes to go in the 4th quarter. Total yards was basically the same with Cin just +10 (288 to 278). This line should be closer to a field goal. Play the Raiders +5.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Georgia -2½ -104

Georgia (-2.5) is worth a look as a slim favorite against Alabama in Monday's National Championship Game. The betting public is going to be all over the Crimson Tide after what happened when these two teams just played in the SEC Championship Game. Alabama won that game going away 41-24. The big thing that everyone overlooks with that result, is what was at stake. Alabama needed to win to make the playoffs, where the Bulldogs were in the playoffs no matter what. It's a big reason why everyone was sleeping on Georgia in their semifinal matchup with Michigan. Play Georgia -2.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Texans +10½ -110

The Texans (+10.5) are worth a look as a double-digit home dog against the Titans. Everyone is going to just assume that Tennessee is going to dominate this game. The Titans have to win to keep the No. 1 seed in the AFC, where Houston has nothing to pride to play for in the finale of a really frustrating season that was really derailed before it ever started with Watson not being able to play. I expect a big effort here from the Texans and wouldn't be shocked at all if this was a one score game in the 4th quarter. Play Houston +10.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Kansas State -6½ -110

The Wildcats (-6.5) are worth a look in Tuesday's Texas Bowl matchup against LSU. The Tigers aren't in great spot going into their bowl game. They are transitioning into a new era after bringing in Brian Kelly from Notre Dame to be the new head coach. They also have major quarterback questions with Max Johnson going into the transfer portal and Myles Brennan not expected to play either.You also got other players who have entered the portal and some key defensive guys opting out. Play Kansas State -6.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Steelers +3½ -110

We clearly got a great price on the Steelers (+3.5) in this one, but this is still a recommond play at the current line. This is an easy fade of the Browns, who were officially eliminated from postseason play with the Chargers win on Sunday. So on one side you have a team that has zero motivation and on the other a Steelers team that needs to win to keep their playoff hopes alive. Play Pittsburgh! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Saints +2½ -105

The Saints (+2.5) are worth a look as a short home dog against the Dolphins on Monday Night Football. Most are going to just assume New Orleans is dead in the water because they have to start Ian Book at quarterback. I don't got a lot of trust in Book, but this Saints defense just shutout Tom Brady. They can do it again against a pretty average Miami offense. Book and the Saints running game does enough to get the win. Play New Orleans +2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Nevada +7 -110

Nevada (+7) is worth a look here as a touchdown dog against Westering Michigan in Monday's Quick Lane Bowl. It looks like a bit of a miss for the Wolf Pack with all the coaches and players that won't be suiting up, but this line move just is too much. This is still a pretty sub-par team in Western Michigan and I just don't think they should be laying this many points. Nevada isn't going to just throw in the towel. Play the Wolf Pack +7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on San Diego State -2½ -110

San Diego State (-2.5) is worth a look as a short favorite against UTSA in the Frisco Bowl on Tuesday. This line has flipped from the Roadrunners being favored to the Aztecs and for good reason. UTSA has had several key guys opt out of playing, including stud running back Sincere McCormick. Look for that San Diego State defense to be the difference without McCormick to shoulder the load for the Roadrunners. Aztecs are also extremely motivated here to get their 12th win. Play San Diego State -2.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Lions +13 -110

The Lions (+13) are worth a look as a big home dog against the Cardinals in Sunday's NFL action. I know Detroit followed up their first win of the season with an absolute dud last week against the Broncos, but that was to be expected. The Lions celebrated that first win like they had just won the Super Bowl. Look for the focus to be back here against one of the NFC's best in Arizona and I'm just not sold on the Cardinals being as good as what people think. Play the Lions +13! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Liberty -9½ -110

Liberty (-9.5) is worth a look as a big favorite against Eastern Michigan in the LendingTree Bowl on Saturday. The Eagles don't belong on the same field as the Flames. I look for Liberty's stud QB, Malik Willis to have a field day against this Eastern Michigan defense. I don't see the Eagles being able to keep pace. Play the Flames -9.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Middle Tennessee State +10½ +100

Middle Tennessee (+10.5) is worth a look here as a double-digit dog against the Rockets. Toledo definitely looked better down the stretch, but no way should by laying this kind of number. No one is giving the Blue Raiders a shot in this game and I think we see them come out with a chip on their shoulder. The Middle Tennessee defense is better than people think this Toledo defense isn't anything special. Give me the Blue Raiders +10.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Cowboys -4½ -110

The Cowboys (-4.5) are worth a look laying less than a touchdown on the road against the Football Team. Washington is being way overvalued right now after winning their last 4. Yes, the defense has played better, but a lot of that is who they have played. The Cowboys are finally getting healthy and this just feels like a statement spot for Dallas in a division game they really need to have. Play the Cowboys -4.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Jackson State -7 -110

*All FCS picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*