Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-18-23 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State -3 | Top | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CBB Rivalry Dominator. The first Bedlam meeting takes place tonight in Stillwater as Oklahoma St. looks to snap a three-game losing streak including the last two taking place on the road. The Cowboys are 6-2 at home which included five straight wins prior to No. 7 Texas coming to town in their last home game. They rely on one of the best defenses in the country as the Cowboys are ranked No. 3 in opponents shooting percentage and No. 29 in points allowed. Just one team, Baylor, has scored more than 69 points on the Cowboys in five Big 12 games thus far while no Big 12 team has scored more than 60 in Stillwater as they held West Virginia and Texas to just 36 combined field goals. Oklahoma is coming off a win over West Virginia to improve to 2-3 in the conference but that was just a one-point victory thanks to the Mountaineers going just 8-16 from the free throw line. The other win was on the road which came at 0-6 Texas Tech and that took overtime to accomplish which happens to be its only true road win on the season. They too have a good defense but that success is limited to home games as the Sooners are allowing 70.6 ppg on the road. 10* (714) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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01-18-23 | Pacers +4.5 v. Thunder | Top | 106-126 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We are going contrarian here as Indiana comes into Wednesday on a four-game losing streak but all of those losses came against teams with .500 or better records and it has been a tough schedule of late. 16 of their last 20 games have come against teams .500 or better where the Pacers have gone 6-10 but in the four games against teams with a losing record, they are a perfect 4-0. Indiana has not been good on the road with an 8-13 record but that damage has been against the better teams as they come in 5-1 ATS on the highway against teams with a losing record. Oklahoma City has been on a roll as it has won three straight games, all on the road as an underdog, and has now covered six straight games. The Thunder were underdogs in five of those games and the lone time they were a favorite was against Dallas which was without Luka Doncic in that one. The Thunder are a respectable 13-9 at home and while they are a perfect 6-0 ATS against losing teams, they are just 5-8 ATS against teams with a winning record. These teams are nearly identical on both sides of the ball and that favors the underdog. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points averaging 114 or more ppg on the season, after allowing 120 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 29-17 ATS (63 percent) since 1996. 10* (537) Indiana Pacers |
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01-18-23 | Pittsburgh v. Louisville +10 | Top | 75-54 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our ACC Game of the Month. Louisville stinks so hold your nose here but the Cardinals are catching another big number at home that has been inflated. They had covered five straight games until Saturday when it lost to North Carolina but that was a tough spot with the Tar Heels coming off a loss against Virginia. Louisville lost to Syracuse and Wake Forest in its previous two home games by a combined nine points and has covered three of its last four games at home when catching more than seven points. The Cardinals are 0-7 in the ACC which is an auto fade for most but the line reflects that record. Pittsburgh was a good early story in the ACC after a 4-0 start which included wins against North Carolina and Virginia but lost its next two games before bouncing back Saturday at Georgia Tech. This is a definite lookahead situation with a three-game homestand upcoming against Florida St., Wake Forest and Miami and the last time Pittsburgh was close to laying this kind of number, it was at home against 7-11 North Florida. The Panthers have been covering still as they are 12-1 ATS over their last 13 games which is another factor in the line being priced where it is. 10* (676) Louisville Cardinals |
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01-18-23 | Auburn v. LSU +5 | Top | 67-49 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the LSU TIGERS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. LSU could not be in a better spot here as it is coming off a 40-point loss at Alabama which was its fourth straight defeat following a 12-2 start to the season. Three of those were on the road however and the lone home loss against Florida has been their only home defeat where they are 9-1 which includes an impressive win over Arkansas that opened SEC play. The atmosphere in Baton Rouge has not been great with no students on campus in a month but they will be at full capacity tonight. This is the first of two straight home games, the only instance this season where LSU plays two straight SEC home games so it needs to take advantage. Auburn is on a three-game winning streak following a six-point win at home against Mississippi St. where it is 10-0 this season and has won 28 straight games at home. The road has been a different story as the Tigers are 2-2 including 1-1 in the conference. They lost by 12 points at Georgia and the win came at Mississippi by nine points but they were laying just one point there last Tuesday and the Rebels are not on the same level as LSU yet they are laying over two buckets more tonight and that is too much in this spot. 10* (688) LSU Tigers |
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01-18-23 | Bradley v. Indiana State -1.5 | Top | 78-67 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA ST. SYCAMORES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. We played against Indiana St. in its last game on Sunday as it lost at Missouri St. and has now dropped two straight conference games after a 6-2 start in the MVC. The offense has dried up over the last two games with just 61 and 62 points scored and this from an offense that was averaging 80.8 ppg in its previous 17 games. The Sycamores are 7-2 at home and are hitting a half-game out of first place behind Southern Illinois and Belmont which both won last night to break up the first place tie. Three of their six losses have come by three points or less so the 13-6 record could be even better. Bradley lost at Drake on Saturday which snapped its two-game winning streak but both of those games were at home where it is a perfect 10-0 this season. Things have been different outside the Carver Center where the Braves have gone 2-7. Bradley has lost four straight games away from home and has gone 0-5 against the number in its last four games away from Peoria. They possess a very good defense but again, that is due to the home success as the Braves allow 53.6 ppg at home compared to giving up over 12 ppg more on the road which includes a season high 86 points against Drake. 10* (690) Indiana St. Sycamores |
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01-17-23 | 76ers v. Clippers +1.5 | Top | 120-110 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Clippers have won two of their last three games following a six-game losing streak and are back to a game over .500 which puts them at No. 6 in the Western Conference. Four of those recent losses came on the road and they remain home where they are 13-10 and this is the final home game before a stretch of 10 of the next 11 games taking place on the road. Kawhi Leonard missed a couple games to start the new year and after being limited in his first game back, he has caught fire by averaging 29 ppg over his last four games to go along with 7.5 rpg and 4.0 apg. The Sixers have been playing exceptional with 15 wins over their last 19 games and have moved to No. 4 in the Eastern Conference but remain six games behind first place Boston. They have opened 2-0 on this current five-game roadtrip but both of those wins came by one point each and on the season, Philadelphia is just 10-9 on the highway compared to 17-7 at home. The Sixers are ranked outside the top ten in both offensive and defensive shooting percentage and while they have gone 9-2 ATS at home against winning teams, they are just 3-5 ATS on the road. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an road win scoring 110 or more points, when playing their 3rd game in four days. This situation is 53-26 ATS (67.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (526) Los Angeles Clippers |
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01-17-23 | Clemson v. Wake Forest -2.5 | Top | 77-87 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CBB Revenge Dominator. Clemson is coming off a monster win at home against Duke as the eight-point victory resulted in the fans storming the court. But it was not a typical monster win as Duke is not Duke this season as it is once again unranked so while a good one, it was not a major upset. Speaking of rankings, the Tigers are ranked No. 19 in the country after being unranked last week so the voters clearly have given them too much credit for that victory. They now hit the road in a big letdown spot where they are a solid 3-1 but one of those was against 1-6 Georgia Tech and the other two were against Virginia Tech and Pittsburgh, both impressive, but by 3 and 1 point respectively. Wake Forest is riding a three-game winning streak, granted they were nothing special coming against Louisville, Florida St. and Boston College but two of those were on the road which makes them a little better. The Demon Deacons are 5-2 in the conference, which is two games behind Clemson for first place and they are in a great spot here as they are a perfect 9-0 at home that also includes a Duke win as well as quality wins against Georgia and Virginia Tech and overall, two of the five losses have been by a bucket. This is also a revenge game for Wake Forest which lost by 20 points in Clemson in its ACC opener so there are many motivational factors here in what is going to be a crazy environment. 10* (658) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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01-17-23 | Texas v. Iowa State -2.5 | Top | 67-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Iowa St. is coming off a tough two-point loss at Kansas on Saturday which snapped its six-game winning streak and it will be out for some retribution. The Cyclones are tied with Kansas St. and Texas for second place in the Big 12 at 4-1 and they are now 15-3 overall with all three losses coming against upcoming NCAA Tournament teams. All three losses have come away from home as Iowa St. is 9-0 at home and while a lot of those have been cupcake wins, it does include a 15-point win over a very solid Baylor team and all but one of those victories has been by double digits. The have a stout defense as Iowa St. has held its first five conference opponents to 70 points or less for the first time in Big 12 history. Texas enters tonight on a three game winning streak and the 15-2 start marks its best 17-game start to a season since 2009. It has not been easy of late however as the Longhorns last two wins came against TCU and Texas Tech by four and two points respectively and both of those were at home. They are a perfect 2-0 on the road with the wins coming by a point against 2-3 Oklahoma and a 10-point win against 1-4 Oklahoma St. The team has rallied around each other since the dismissal of head coach Chris Beard, who has since been fired, but this will be toughest test of the season away from home with the best opponent being Illinois on a neutral floor which resulted in a seven-point loss. 10* (640) Iowa St. Cyclones |
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01-17-23 | Kansas v. Kansas State +2.5 | Top | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS ST. WILDCATS for our Big 12 Game of the Month. Kansas has won 10 straight games following a two-point win over Iowa St. on Saturday as it added another close victory to the slate. Four of the last five wins have come by 2, 3, 4 and 2 points so the Jayhawks have been both fortunate and clutch but the latter is what makes good teams great. That being said, they are going into a hornets nest tonight. Kansas is 3-0 on the road with two blowout wins were against West Virginia, which is 0-5 in the Big 12, and Missouri, which is fading after an overachieving 12-1 start. They do nothing special as the Jayhawks are ranked No. 40 or worse in all eight major statistical categories. Kansas St. had won nine straight games before getting torched at TCU by 14 points on Saturday to fall to 4-1 in the conference, good for a second place tie with Texas and Iowa St. The Wildcats are 15-2 overall, with the other loss coming at Butler which was not a very good loss as they had their worst defensive game of the season, allowing the Bulldogs to shoot 54.9 percent from the floor. Both losses were on the road and Kansas St. is 9-0 at home and while this is the biggest test here on the season, they will be ready for this rivalry game coming off that defeat. Kansas has owned this series with wins in nine of the last 10 meetings including seven straight but this is the first top 15 matchup between the two teams since 2013. 10* (632) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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01-17-23 | Houston v. Tulane +10 | Top | 80-60 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Houston remains the No. 1 team in the country as it has won eight straight games to improve to 17-1 including 5-0 in the AAC. The one win last week was not a great one as the Cougars won by six points at home as a 23.5-point favorite and they hit the road where they are 3-0, covering all three of those games and they are laying a big number in what is a tough spot. They possess of the best defenses in the nation as they are No. 1 on points allowed and No. 2 in both opponents shooting percentage and opponents three-point shooting percentage but has a big test at hand here. Typically, this would be a game to look past but Tulane is off to a great start as it sits in solo second place in the AAC with a 5-1 record that includes five straight wins. The lone blemish came at Cincinnati in the conference opener and the offense has picked it up during this winning streak which has helped the Green Wave cover all five of those games. Tulane has the highest scoring offense in the AAC averaging 87.8 ppg in conference play and 81.9 ppg on the season and they have gone over 90 points five times which is more than the last two seasons combined. The game is already sold out and this is a rare time as Tulane has not hosted a No. 1 team since 2008 so this is a massive game for the program as they look to improve upon their 8-1 record at home. 10* (636) Tulane Green Wave |
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01-16-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Western Kentucky +4.5 | Top | 76-62 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS for our CBB Monday Enforcer. We played against Florida Atlantic on Saturday and we lost by the hook in a game North Texas was leading late and we are going against the Owls again Monday in a letdown spot with an overinflated line. Florida Atlantic has won 15 straight games and has started 6-0 in C-USA and after a blowout win over Florida International to open conference action, the last five wins have come by a total of 18 points. The Owls are 5-1 on the road this season and this is just their third road game since December 4th as seven of their last nine games have been played at home. Western Kentucky is a team that can end this streak as it comes in with some momentum riding a three-game winning streak which came on the heels of a five-game losing skid that included some brutal losses. The Hilltoppers are 5-2 at home with the two losses coming against North Texas and Rice by a combined seven points and the five wins came by an average of 22 ppg. Western Kentucky is 3-3 in C-USA, trailing the Owls by three games, and it could be a lot closer as the three conference losses have been by a total of 12 points. This has been a winning program for years as Western Kentucky is one of 17 programs in the nation to have won at least 19 games in each of the last five seasons so this not a game they will be intimidated by. 10* (882) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
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01-15-23 | Thunder v. Nets -5 | Top | 112-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Brooklyn was on a roll as it had won 18 of 20 games and then the bad news came with Kevin Durant getting hurt who is now out of the line up for at least a month. The first game without him did not go well as the Nets lost at home to the Celtics by 11 points on Thursday and are now 3.5 games behind Boston in the Eastern Conference. This is a pivotal home game as they head out on a five-game roadtrip following this one and while they have played well on the road, taking care of the home floor against the non-elite teams is paramount. The Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing straight up record. Oklahoma City has won two straight games, both as an underdog, as it defeated Philadelphia and Chicago to make it four wins over its last five games. The Thunder have climbed back to three games under .500 which puts them in the No. 12 spot in the Western Conference, three and a half games out of the final playoff spot. Despite the two recent wins, the Thunder are only 7-14 on the road and while they are a very potent 11=4 ATS on the road against teams above .500, six of those covers have been while getting double digits where they are a percent 6-0 ATS on the season. Oklahoma City is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games after having won four or five of their last six games. Here, we play against underdogs coming off an upset win as an underdog going up against an opponent off a home loss. This situation is 136-86 ATS (61.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (568) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-15-23 | Indiana State v. Missouri State | Top | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSOURI ST. BEARS for our MVC Game of the Month. This is a get right game for Missouri St. as it has dropped two straight games including a 10-point loss at Illinois St. on Wednesday but that game was decided in overtime. The Bears are now 4-3 in the Missouri Valley Conference and return home where they are 5-2 which includes three straight wins and covers, winning those games by 15.7 ppg. This is a very balanced team with some great depth as a total of 11 different Bears have scored in double digits this season. Missouri St. is ranked No. 36 in the country in scoring defense, allowing just 62.9 ppg this season including 62.4 ppg in conference games. Indiana St. has been the surprise of the conference as it is 13-5 overall including a 6-1 record in the MVC after suffering its first loss of the season on Wednesday at home against Southern Illinois. The Sycamores hit the road where they are 4-2 but the last two wins came against two of the fourth worst teams in the conference and the two losses were suspect ones at Duquesne and Southern Indiana. The offense was exposed in the last game against the Salukis and they will have another very tough assignment here. Here, we play on home teams as a favorite or pickem with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 coming off a road loss by 10 points or more, playing a winning team. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (848) Missouri St. Bears |
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01-14-23 | Mavs v. Blazers -1.5 | Top | 119-136 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We played against Portland on Thursday as it lost to Cleveland for its fifth straight loss to fall three games under .500 and after sitting around the bottom of the Western Conference playoff standings, the Blazers are now 3.5 games out of the final playoff spot. They failed to cover any of those five games as well and now they come in as a favorite despite this run which is an indication that Damian Lillard could get back on the floor tonight. The last two losses came at home where Portland is now 9-8 on the season. The Mavericks opened this current five-game roadtrip with a pair of losses against the Thunder and the Clippers but bounced back with a win at the Lakers on Thursday but that took overtime and now it heads to Portland for a pair of back-to-back games to conclude the trek. Dallas is 8-13 on the road while going 7-14 against the number and this includes a 3-9 ATS nark on the road against teams with a losing record. The offense has been the issue and they are also one of the worst free throw shooting teams in the league. Here, we play on favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a home loss. This situation is 206-140 ATS (59.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (560) Portland Trail Blazers |
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01-14-23 | San Diego v. Loyola Marymount -7.5 | Top | 84-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT LIONS for our WCC Game of the Year. Loyola-Marymount has dropped two straight games following a 12-5 start but those came against two of the top teams in the West Coast Conference and now it returns home in need of a big win before facing Gonzaga next week. The Lions are now 2-3 in the conference and come into Saturday 7-2 at home while outscoring opponents by 13 ppg. They possess a great offense that averages over 75 ppg and now faces one of the worst defenses in the country. This has the potential for a huge blowout. San Diego is coming off a win over Pepperdine at home on Thursday which was its third straight home game and this is the first trip on the road since last month and in a bad spot on top of its. The Toreros are 2-5 away from home this season and while they do get credit for blowing out San Francisco by 12 points as 10-point underdogs, that was an outlier. The defense as mentioned is ranked No. 342 in points allowed, No. 352 in opponents shooting percentage and No. 362 in opponents three-point shooting percentage. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season averaging between 74 and 78 ppg and after allowing 85 points or more going up against teams allowing between 67 and 74 ppg. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (810) Loyola-Marymount Lions |
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01-14-23 | Arizona State v. Oregon State +8.5 | Top | 74-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Arizona St. is coming off a big win at Oregon on Thursday by 17 points as an underdog and is now seeing a 12-point swing in a letdown spot. The Sun Devils have won three straight games to improve to 5-1 in the Pac 12 as they trail UCLA by one game with the lone loss coming against rival Arizona. They are now 3-2 on the road and this is the first instance this season where they are playing consecutive road games and in a span with only day of rest in-between. Oregon St. got beat by Arizona Thursday by 12 points to make it four straight losses but the previous three were all on the road. The Beavers are 0-8 this season away from home but are a solid 7-2 at home which does include an impressive conference win against Washington. Both teams possess above average defenses and play at slower paces which can favor the underdog in spots like these. They allowed 86 points against Arizona but this matchup is completely opposite of that fast paced team. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season averaging between 63 and 67 ppg and after trailing their last two games by 10 or more points at the half going up against teams allowing between 63 and 67 ppg. This situation is 52-22 ATS (70.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (698) Oregon St. Beavers |
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01-14-23 | North Texas +4 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 62-66 | Push | 0 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CBB Revenge Dominator. North Texas has won four straight games to move to 5-1 in C-USA with that lone loss coming at home against Florida Atlantic so there is revenge in play today. The Mean Green are 4-1 on the road so winning in enemy territory is not an issue and they have one of the best defenses in the country and that aspect of the game travels well. They are No. 3 in scoring defense and No. 15 in opponent shooting defense so catching any points is a bonus. North Texas is 14-3 with the last two losses coming by two possessions. Florida Atlantic has won 14 straight games and has started 5-0 in C-USA and after a blowout win over Florida International to open conference action, the last four wins have come by a total of 14 points. The Owls are 10-0 at home so this is not an easy place for opponents success but these are the two top teams in the conference and Florida Atlantic handed the Mean Green their only home loss of the season. The Owls also have a great defense so we should expect a low scoring game similar to that first meeting. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off two consecutive wins by five points or less over a conference rival. This situation is 51-20 ATS (71.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (635) North Texas Mean Green |
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01-14-23 | Georgia v. Ole Miss -4.5 | Top | 62-58 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI REBELS for our CBB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Georgia is coming off a win over Mississippi St. as a home underdog and has nor won five of its last six games while covering six of its last seven games including three straight. Only one of the recent six games was a true road game which was a loss at Florida and on the season, the Bulldogs are 0-3 on the road and getting outscored by more than what they are getting today. They do possess a strong defense to go along with one of the better rebounding margins in the country but have a tough matchup here. Mississippi is coming off a loss against Auburn to fall to 0-4 in the SEC but those have come against some tough opponents. It has played a tough schedule that is ranked No. 6 in the country and with a combined opponent record of 162-86, they have taken on eight teams with a current NET ranking in the top-100. The Rebels are averaging 12.6 offensive rpg, which has made them one of the best in the country in earning second chances on the glass, currently ranking No. 41 in the nation. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games going up against an opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games. This situation is 80-46 ATS (63.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (626) Mississippi Rebels |
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01-13-23 | VCU +7.5 v. Dayton | Top | 63-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the VCU RAMS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. This is a contrarian play with Dayton coming off seven straight wins, all by double digits and by an average of 21.7 ppg. The Flyers have started 4-0 in the Atlantic 10 and bring in a 9-0 home record but have their toughest matchup coming into town and the line is taking their recent run into account more than the opponent. They are very strong on defense and play at a slower pace as they are No. 9 in the country in points allowed and No. 4 in shooting percentage allowed but a lot of that is due to the opponents as they have played a schedule ranked No. 213 in the country. VCU comes in with an identical 12-5 record as it has won seven of its last eight games. The Rams got off to a 0-3 start on the road but won their first road game last time out over Loyola-Chicago by 14 points so they have that confidence on their side even though they also take a step up in competition. While not as good as Dayton on the defensive side of the floor, they are still very solid as they are No. 31 in defensive efficiency so with both defenses likely to dictate the flow of this game, a sizable underdog is very attractive. Here, we play on road teams as an underdog or pickem off a road win by 10 points or more going up against an opponent off a road win by 20 points or more. This situation is 81-41 ATS (66.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (881) VCU Rams |
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01-13-23 | Warriors -8 v. Spurs | Top | 144-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. We are going against the grain here with one of the worst road teams in the league but the situation sets up ideally. The eight-game homestand started great for the Warriors as they won the first five games but it ended with a flop as they lost the last three game which included a pair of bad losses against Detroit and Orlando. They are back to full strength as Steph Curry is back in the lineup after missing close to a month of action and he showed some rust in his first game back against Phoenix. The offense remains one of the best in the league and Golden St. has a great matchup against a horrible defense that is last in the league in points allowing, shooting percentage allowed and three-point shooting percentage allowed. The Spurs have lost three straight games but they have been competitive with five straight covers while getting the cash in seven of their last eight games but there were only two outright wins over that eight-game stretch. They are 8-14 at home which is not horrible for one of the worst teams in the league but they are in a very bad situation here against a team out to prove something and ready for another big run. San Antonio has an offense that is better than its defense but it is still bottom half of the league whose leading scorers are Keldon Johnson and Devin Vassell. Here, we play on road favorites (coming off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (535) Golden St. Warriors |
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01-12-23 | Cavs -2.5 v. Blazers | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. We played against Cleveland on Tuesday as it lost in Utah by a bucket to fall to 1-2 on this current five-game roadtrip but we are backing them here in a good bounce back spot. The Cavaliers are now in the No. 5 spot in the Eastern Conference, five games behind Boston and is just a game out of the No. 4 spot where they can take advantage of their excellent home court advantage. They have struggled on the road but when coming off a loss, Cleveland is riding a 60 percent winning clip and bring in the best defense in the NBA going up against a potentially banged up team as Damian Lillard is questionable with an ankle injury. Additionally, they get Ricky Rubio back in the lineup so his season debut. Portland has lost four straight games to fall two games under .500 including a bad home loss against Orlando last time out. The Blazers are now 3.5 games out of the final playoff position in the Western Conference. They had won four straight home games prior to the Orlando loss but those were all against losing teams and have won only two of five games as a home underdog. The Blazers are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games playing on one day of rest. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off a road loss. This situation is 32-12 ATS (72.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (527) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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01-12-23 | Colorado v. USC -3.5 | Top | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our Pac 12 Game of the Month. Colorado has won two straight and seven of its last eight games and has moved to 3-3 in the Pac 12 after a 0-2 start. The issue with the Buffaloes is taking them out of Boulder in the high altitude where they are 8-1 compared to 1-3 on the road which includes a bad loss at California in their last road game as a double-digit favorite. The Buffaloes have posted a 39.7 percent defensive field goal percentage in nine home games, but that number jumps to 43.1 percent in the eight games away from home which includes four neutral site games. USC has dropped two straight games following a seven-game winning streak and this is the first time back home since December 18 when it knocked off a very good Auburn team. The Trojans got off to a 3-0 start in Pac-12 play, winning road games at two places where Colorado lost against Washington and California. USC is 7-1 at home which includes seven straight wins after a season opening loss against Florida Gulf Coast and will be fired up after a tough defeat against rival UCLA in their last game. Here, we play against road teams in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams allowing between 63 and 67 ppg, after a combined score of 125 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 30-12 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (828) USC Trojans |
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01-10-23 | Cavs v. Jazz +3.5 | Top | 114-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Utah has run into a lull as it has dropped two straight and seven of its last eight games to fall three games under .500 on the season and the Jazz are now three games out of the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Five of those seven losses came on the road and while the other two were at home, they were by a combined five points. This is the start of a stretch of six of the next seven games at home where they are 12-7 and outscoring opponents by close to five ppg. The Jazz are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Cleveland has bounced back from a three-game losing skid with wins in three of its last four games including a win at depleted Phoenix last time out. The Cavaliers own one of the best home records in the NBA as they are 18-4 but are just 8-11 on the road while covering only six of those games. Cleveland has been the pleasant surprise in the Eastern Conference as it is just three games out of first place but has struggled with consistent covers as it has gone 1-6 in its last seven games following a spread win. The Cavaliers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play on underdogs averaging between 114 and 118 ppg and after allowing 120 points or more in two straight games going up against teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 32-13 ATS (71.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (570) Utah Jazz |
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01-10-23 | Seton Hall v. Georgetown +9.5 | Top | 66-51 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGETOWN HOYAS for our CBB Tuesday Ultimate Underdog. Georgetown has lost seven straight games including six straight in the Big East and going back, it has dropped 26 consecutive conference games following a 22-point loss at Marquette on Saturday. The streak has to end sometime and this could be that spot but we are getting a generous line at home for some leeway. The Hoyas failed to cover six of those seven games and the adjustment has been put into this line in what looks to be a higher scoring game based on the total set and that can favor a home underdog of this many points. The Hoyas are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game. Seton Hall is coming off a win over Butler on Saturday to improve to 2-4 in the conference but that was at home where it is 8-4 but now hits the road where it is just 1-4 which includes three straight losses. The Pirates have been underdogs in all five road games by at least seven points and now the line has completely flipped which is another huge overreaction. Offensively, the Pirates have struggled as they are No. 229 in scoring and their three-point shooting has been a downfall where they are ranked No. 316 in the country. The Pirates are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. This situation is 42-9 ATS (82.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (640) Georgetown Hoyas |
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01-09-23 | Bucks -1 v. Knicks | Top | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
This is a ply on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Milwaukee is coming off an awful loss against Charlotte on Saturday as it lost by 29 points in a game that was basically over after the first 12 minutes as Charlotte scored 51 first-quarter points which tied the NBA record for most points in an opening quarter. Giannis Antetokounmpo was held to just nine points which was a season low so we can expect a bounce back from him here. The Bucks are now in third place in the Eastern Conference, two and a half games behind Boston, after their recent 3-6 nine-game run and this is the start of a four-game roadtrip where they are 9-9 on the season. The Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss. The Knicks are in the midst of another streak as they have won four straight games which followed a four-game losing skid coming after an eight-game winning streak. The recent run includes two straight wins at home with the last real quality win coming against Cleveland back in early December. They are 4-11 against teams ranked within the top 10 which is tied for the third fewest wins against the top ten among teams ranked in the top 20. New York is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 home games when playing against a team with a winning record. Here, we play on favorites coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 81-46 ATS (63.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (553) Milwaukee Bucks |
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01-08-23 | Hawks v. Clippers -3.5 | Top | 112-108 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Clippers have lost five straight games and now sit just one game over .500 which is good for No. 6 in the Western Conference. Four of those losses were on the road and they are back home where they are 11-8 and catching a short number. The defense remains the strength as Los Angeles is No. 4 in points allowed and No. 6 in opponent shooting percentage and the numbers increase significantly on its home floor where it allows 104.9 ppg compared to 114.7 ppg on the road. The Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing straight up record. Atlanta is coming off a loss to the Lakers on Friday and have dropped five of its last six games to fall three games under .500 and it currently on the outside looking in on the playoffs in the Eastern Conference, two and a half games out of the final playoff spot. The Hawks have an identical 11-8 home record but they have struggled on the road where they are 7-13 which also matches their record against the number. They have played an overall weak schedule and come in with a 7-12 record against teams ranked within the top 16. The Hawks are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Here, we play against road underdogs with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) Los Angeles Clippers |
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01-07-23 | Magic v. Warriors -6.5 | Top | 115-101 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The Warriors are coming off a bad home loss against Detroit on Wednesday and while the absence of Steph Curry is a huge one, it had not deterred them recently previous to that game. Golden St. had won five straight games prior to that which included victories over Memphis, Portland and Utah and now it catches its second straight home game against one of the worst teams from the Eastern Conference. The Warriors have been the epitome of home court matters as the host is 33-6 in its 39 games this season and you have to go back a long way to find a defending NBA champion that has started the season 3-16 on the road which includes a one point loss at Orlando earlier in the season. The Magic put together a solid 8-1 run in December but have lost four of their last five games and this is their first game outside the central time zone since November 1 when they played a pair of games at Dallas and Oklahoma City. Orlando starts a five-game west coast swing here where it comes in 4-13 away from home and hits the wrong place at the wrong time to start it off. The defense remains the liability where they are bottom tier and have allowed 121.4 ppg over their last five games. Here, we play on teams revenging a straight up loss as a favorite of seven points or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 47-18 ATS (72.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (530) Golden St. Warriors |
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01-07-23 | Creighton v. Connecticut -6.5 | Top | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT HUSKIES for our CBB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Connecticut finally found a small speedbump in the schedule which was inevitable as it hit the road following a 14-0 start and lost games at Xavier and Providence by double-digits and now returns home out to prove something. The Huskies have rolled through their home schedule at 9-0 and has won those games by an average of nearly 26 ppg and while it has been filled with a bunch of cupcakes, it does include solid wins over Oklahoma St. and Villanova. Connecticut has dropped four straight against the number as the markets have had to some adjusting and that is the case here based on the recent roadtrip and the recent resurgence of Creighton. The Bluejays have won three straight games after a six-game losing streak and while five of those were away from home, the one home loss was a head scratcher against Nebraska by 10 points as a 14-point favorite. The recent three-game run has not exactly come against murderers row as they were against Butler, DePaul and Seton Hall which all have started under .500 in Big Easy play through five games. Creighton is 0-2 on the road and while it played Texas tough, it was blown out at Marquette as just a four-point underdog. 10* (608) Connecticut Huskies |
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01-06-23 | Pistons v. Spurs -1 | Top | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Friday Supreme Annihilator. The Spurs have lost three straight games, the last two on the road against the Nets and Knicks and are back home in a rare spot. There have not been many winnable games for San Antonio this season as this is just the second time all season it has been favored which resulted in a win and cover and the Spurs have had success of late as they are 4-0 in their last four games when getting five or fewer points so they have fared well in the marginal games as well. The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Detroit is coming off a win over Golden St. on Wednesday and it has alternated wins and losses over its last six games and this has been a common theme this season. Detroit has not been able to put together consecutive solid efforts this season as it is 2-16 this season following a cover in its previous game while winning just one of 10 games following an outright victory. The Pistons have had to deal with the season ending injury to Cade Cunningham and now they are without Marvin Bagley III for at least a month and a half. The Pistons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Here, we play on teams allowing a shooting percentage of 50 percent or higher, averaging 48 or fewer rpg on the season. This situation is 41-20 ATS (67.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (510) San Antonio Spurs |
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01-06-23 | Nets -4 v. Pelicans | Top | 108-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Brooklyn had its 12-game winning streak snapped with a loss at Chicago on Wednesday and looks to regroup against a shorthanded Pelicans team. The Nets are now tied with Milwaukee for second place in the Eastern Conference, a game and a half behind Boston and the majority of this recent success has come on the road. Brooklyn has won seven of its last eight games on the highway after a 5-7 start while the offense has really picked it up as the Nets are averaging 123.2 ppg over their last 13 games. Brooklyn is 24-9 ATS in its last 33 road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread. New Orleans snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over the Rockets on Wednesday and the Pelicans have won five of its last seven games to remain in third place in the Western Conference, one game behind first place Denver and Memphis. They improved to 17-4 at home which is the third best home record in the NBA from a percentage standpoint but this is not the spot to add to it. New Orleans is without Zion Williamson for a few weeks and while the Pelicans brought it together in the first game he missed, that usually tends to happen in the first game a star is out and on top of that, it was against Houston. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset loss as a favorite going up against an opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 58-25 ATS (69.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (513) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-06-23 | Detroit v. Wright State -3.5 | Top | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the WRIGHT ST. RAIDERS for our CBB Friday Star Attraction. Wright St. opened the season by losing its first three Horizon League games but got into the win column on Monday with a non-cover victory over IUPUI which can build some momentum going forward. The Raiders are back home following playing five of their previous six games on the road and their 3-3 record at home in nothing good but that is keeping this line short. The shortcomings have come on the defensive side but on offense, the Raiders are shooting 50 percent on the season which is No. 11 in the nation while their 78.2 ppg is good for No. 63 in the country. Detroit is 6-9 overall with a 2-2 Horizon League record and coming off a loss at home to Milwaukee and the Titans have lost four of their last five games going back to mid-December. That was their first home loss of the season where they are now 4-1 but they are 2-8 away from home on the season while getting outscored by over 10 ppg. They do play at a fast pace and while Detroit is No. 81 in adjusted offensive efficiency, it is ranked No. 311 in offensive shooting percentage and things are even worse on the other side where the Titans are No. 334 in adjusted defensive efficiency while sitting No. 302 in defensive shooting percentage. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season averaging between 74 and 78 ppg and after a combined score of 165 points or more going up against teams allowing between 67 and 74 ppg. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (880) Wright St. Raiders |
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01-05-23 | USC +12.5 v. UCLA | Top | 58-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our CBB Thursday Ultimate Underdog. USC had its seven-game winning streak snapped at Washington St. on Sunday as it lost by 10 points with a possible lookahead to this rivalry game. The Trojans are now getting a line more than 10 points higher which seems to be a very aggressive overreaction as its two other losses during an 11-2 stretch came against Wisconsin by five points and against Tennessee in overtime, both on a neutral floor. The defense has been the strength as USC is allowing opponents to shoot just 38.2 percent from the floor which is No. 17 in the country and that shortening of the game heavily favors a big underdog. UCLA has won 10 straight games including a sweep in Washington to improve to 4-0 in the Pac 12 that also includes wins over Stanford and Oregon in early December. The Bruins are a perfect 8-0 at home but has not been tested with the exception of that Oregon victory and that was actually one of their worst games of the season. The Ducks outshot UCLA 49 percent to 40.6 percent and that offense will be tested again here. Here, we play against favorites of 10 or more points in the second half of the season after three or more consecutive unders, averaging 76 or more ppg going up against teams averaging between 67 and 74 ppg. This situation is 93-51 ATS (64.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (821) USC Trojans |
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01-05-23 | Cincinnati v. Wichita State +3 | Top | 70-61 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the WICHITA ST. SHOCKERS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. Wichita St. has lost two straight games following a 10-point loss against East Carolina and a 10-point loss against Central Florida to open 0-2 in the AAC. The Shockers are 7-7 with three of those other losses coming against major conference teams Missouri, Kansas St. and Oklahoma St. which are a combined 34-8. Two of those came at home where Wichita St. is 5-4 and going back, the Shockers have gone five straight games without a cover which is adding value to this number. Cincinnati had a four-game winning streak snapped with a loss at Temple on Sunday which was just its second road game of the season and its first since November 16 which resulted in a 13-point loss at Northern Kentucky. The Bearcats were rolled by Arizona and Ohio St. on a neutral floor and their only victory away from home was against 2-13 Louisville at the Maui Invitational. It is strength against strength as Cincinnati is powered by a potent offense but faces a defense that is ranked No. 9 in the country in opponent shooting percentage. Here, we play on underdogs coming off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival going up against an opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 135-77 ATS (63.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (818) Wichita St. Shockers |
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01-05-23 | Celtics -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 124-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Nonconference Game of the Month. Boston is coming off its worst loss of the season, and by a lot, as it lost in Oklahoma City by 33 points on Tuesday which was its second straight loss and it has been a bit of a rough stretch going back as the Celtics are 5-7 over their last 12 games. After allowing close to 60 percent shooting from the floor against the Thunder, Boston now sits just one game ahead of Milwaukee and Brooklyn for first place in the Eastern Conference and will look to close out this roadtrip 2-2 with a game at San Antonio on Saturday to conclude the trek. The defense overall has not been great but after allowing 48 percent or higher shooting in six of its last six games, Boston will put the pressure on tonight. Dallas has won seven straight games and is turning the corner after a slow start where it hovered right around .500 for most of the season. The Mavericks are six games over .500 and have moved into the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference, just two and a half games behind Denver and Memphis for first place. Luka Doncic has taken over as he has averaged 41.7 ppg during this winning streak including three 50-point or higher games and his 34.3 pp are nearly double of the Mavericks second leading scorer so it is clear who Boston has to key on. Here, we play on road favorites off a road loss by 10 points or more going up against an opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) since 1996. 10* (579) Boston Celtics |
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01-04-23 | Missouri v. Arkansas -7 | Top | 68-74 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our SEC Game of the Month. Arkansas is coming off a loss at LSU last week to open 0-1 in the SEC and the Razorbacks are now 11-2 and head back home to bounce back before another tough road game upcoming at Auburn. Arkansas is 7-0 at home and while it has been a tame schedule, it has been a dominating one as the Razorbacks have won those seven games by an average of 20 ppg. The pace of this game should be a fast one and that will favor Arkansas at home especially in a game it needs to rebound in. The Razorbacks had covered three straight games prior to this most recent loss. Missouri has exceeded expectations as it is 12-1 following an upset win at home against Kentucky by 14 points as a three-point underdog. The Tigers have won three straight games following its lone loss of the season which came against Kansas by 28 points. They are 1-0 on the road with the win coming at Wichita St. in overtime and the Shockers are not on the same level as the Razorbacks and their recent 6-2 ATS run including three straight is playing into this number. Here, we play against road teams as an underdog or pickem off a home win scoring 85 or more points, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of .800 or better. This situation is 51-26 ATS (66.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (714) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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01-04-23 | Nets v. Bulls +5 | Top | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Brooklyn is the hottest team in the NBA as it has won 12 straight games and 16 of its last 17 after a slow start to the season to improve to 25-12. That run, along with some recent struggled by Milwaukee and Boston, have put the Nets into the No. 2 spot in the Eastern Conference, a half-game behind the Celtics and one game ahead of the Bucks. This does include seven straight wins on the road after a 5-7 start but roll into a tough spot here and are favored by nearly the same number they were favored by two games ago against Charlotte, which is six games worse than the Bulls. Chicago is coming off a brutal loss against Cleveland in overtime where it blew a 21-point lead, allowed a game-tying bucket at the end of regulation and was outscored 15-4 in the extra five minutes. The story was Donovan Mitchell and his 71 points and 11 assists which outshined a strong performance from DeMar DeRozan who put up 44 points in the losing effort and has averaged 29.6 ppg over his last nine games. That made it two straight losses for the Bulls which came after a 5-1 run and they look to regroup at home where they are just 9-9 but have been solid in this situation overall, going 7-2 ATS as underdogs of five or more points. Here, we play against road teams covering eight or more of their last 10 games and playing six or less games in 14 days. This situation is 42-18 ATS (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (566) Chicago Bulls |
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01-04-23 | Thunder v. Magic -1.5 | Top | 115-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Orlando has lost three straight games all in blowout fashion but two of those had different circumstances as the loss in Detroit was overshadowed by a brawl that saw players get ejected and they were shorthanded in the last game against Washington. The Magic are getting seven players back that missed the game against the Wizards and are in a good situation to stop the three-game slide. Prior to that, Orlando was on an 8-2 run which was its best stretch of the season and it is now 5-2 in its last seven home games to move to 9-11 overall at home. Oklahoma City snapped a two-game losing streak with a 33-point win over Boston last night as a big second quarter put the game out of reach early. The Thunder are now 11-9 at home but hit the road where they are 5-12 and while they have a winning record against the number, most of those covers have come as big underdogs. They have played eight games against teams with a losing record compared to 25 games against winning teams so the schedule has been brutal but while they are 5-0 ATS at home against losing teams, they are 0-3 ATS on the highway. Oklahoma City is 1-3 in the second of back-to-back games this season. Here, we play against underdogs off an upset win as an underdog going up against an opponent off a home loss. This situation is 135-85 ATS (61.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (558) Orlando Magic |
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01-04-23 | Western Carolina +8 v. East Tennessee State | Top | 71-60 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN CAROLINA CATAMOUNTS as part of our CBB Wednesday Three Pack. Western Carolina has started to play well hitting the heart of the Southern Conference as it has won four of its last five games including a 1-1 conference record following a 12-point win over Furman as an 11-point home underdog. That positive momentum can carry over into this game which is the start of three of the next four games taking place on the road. The Catamounts are 2-4 on the road and have covered four of the six games, all as underdogs, and two of the outright losses came against Georgia and Maryland which were more than expected. East Tennessee St. is off to a 2-0 start in the conference following road wins at VMI and Wofford which snapped a five-game losing streak and the Buccaneers and overvalued here. They have been favored eight times this season and this is the second biggest line they have laid despite going 2-6 ATS in those games including 1-5 ATS at home including four outright losses. East Tennessee St. is just 3-4 at home with not facing a single quality opponent to make up those defeats. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a road win against a conference rival going up against an opponent off an upset win as an underdog of 10 or more. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (659) Western Carolina Catamounts |
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01-04-23 | NC-Wilmington v. Elon +10 | Top | 81-66 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the ELON PHOENIX as part of our CBB Wednesday Three Pack. Two teams with nearly opposite records square off in the CAA as UNC-Wilmington heads to Elon with a 12-3 record that includes 11 consecutive wins so there is no surprise that it is putting this big of a number down. The Seahawks have gone 10-1 ATS in those games which is also a reason for the big line and this includes a 2-0 straight up and ATS mark in the conference against newcomers Monmouth and Hampton. This is no doubt a solid team that shared the CAA regular season title a season ago but they are in a tough spot here. Elon is 2-13 but it has played better than the record shows as the Phoenix have lost four of the last six games by six points or less. The schedule has been difficult of late as they have played their last five games on the road with this being their first home game since December 11 and they were a respectable 3-2 in those recent five road games. Elon is 2-3 at home with two of the three losses coming by four points each and it will be up to the offense to get back on track at home after scoring 50 and 52 points in the last two games. Here, we play against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points with a winning percentage of .800 or better having covered six or seven of their last eight against the spread. This situation is 102-61 ATS (62.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (688) Elon Phoenix |
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01-04-23 | Tulsa +13.5 v. Tulane | Top | 77-93 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE as part of our CBB Wednesday Three Pack. Tulsa is the worst ATS team in the country as it is 1-12 against the number which includes 10 straight losses. This includes a pair of ATS losses as double-digit underdogs but those games were against Oklahoma St. and Houston which are a combined 23-6. The Golden Hurricane are 0-4 on the road and are getting a huge number here based on the start to the season as not being able to cover and now the markets have overadjusted. This is a big spot to get some confidence going with two of the next three games against undefeated AAC teams. Tulane has split its first two conference games including an upset win against Memphis as a four-point underdog and now we are seeing a massive line switch by 17 points and it is just simply too much. The Green Wave are a solid 6-1 at home but it is a skewed record that has been inflated with cupcakes. Tulane has been favored by double-digits four times against some really bad teams and have failed to cover any of those and Tulsa is arguably the best of the bunch that it is laying these numbers to. This is a letdown spot on top of it. Here, we play on underdogs after a blowout loss by 20 points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 75 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 163-107 ATS (60.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (695) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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01-03-23 | Kings v. Jazz -2.5 | Top | 117-115 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Utah has dropped four straight games to fall a game under .500 and it has fallen completely out of the Western Conference playoff standings, sitting a game and a half behind Phoenix and Golden St. for eighth and ninth place. The Jazz lost three of those on the road and after the most recent loss against Miami at home, they are now 12-6 at home and close a two-game homestand before hitting the road for three more games. The offense has been the strength overall as they are No. 4 in scoring with 117.3 ppg and that increases to 121.5 ppg at home. Utah is 15-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Sacramento had its two-game winning streak snapped with a 10-point loss at Memphis on Sunday. The Kings fell to 8-9 on the road and sitting four games over .500, they are No. 5 in the Western Conference, four games out of first place. It has been a surprisingly good season thanks to a potent scoring offense that is averaging 118 ppg and it is a reverse split like that of Utah as the scoring offense drops to 113.4 ppg on the road. The Kings are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a home loss. This situation is 204-136 ATS (60 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (552) Utah Jazz |
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01-03-23 | Virginia -5.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 65-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS as part of our CBB Tuesday Three Pack. Pittsburgh is coming off a big upset win over North Carolina to improve to 10-4 on the season including a 3-0 record in the ACC with all three wins coming as underdogs. After opening the season 1-3-1 against the numbers, the Panthers have covered nine straight games which is a streak to go against with value hitting the other side. Pittsburgh is 7-1 at home that includes six straight wins following a 25-point loss against West Virginia and now has its second straight tough test here. The Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Virginia opened the season 9-0 but suffered a pair of consecutive losses against Houston and Miami, which are a combined 27-2, before bouncing back with two straight wins including a victory at Georgia Tech on Saturday to improve to 2-1 in the ACC. The defense has led the way of late, allowing only 52.3 ppg in their last four wins while allowing 32.8 percent shooting or less in three of those. Virginia is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 road games against teams allowing 42 percent or better shooting from the floor. Here, we play on favorites after two straight wins by 15 points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 75 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 81-37 ATS (68.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (633) Virginia Cavaliers |
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01-03-23 | Ohio v. Buffalo +1.5 | Top | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BULLS as part of our CBB Tuesday Three Pack. Ohio and Buffalo open conference play on Tuesday with the Bobcats bringing in a three-game winning streak to their MAC opener. Those victories were by 19, 19 and 16 points while easily covering those games and we are seeing value on the other side based on this run. Ohio hits the road where it is 2-4 that includes two straight wins on the highway where they are getting outscored by close to seven ppg. The offense has picked it up during this recent stretch, averaging 85.3 ppg and while facing a below average defense, it will be hard pressed to keep that going here. Buffalo enters the game with Ohio with a 6-7 record and is coming off loss at Michigan St. on Friday and is back home where it is 5-1 which includes four straight victories. The Bulls are second in the MAC averaging 78.8 ppg while shooting 46.6 percent from the floor with both of those are significantly better at home. The fast pace has skewed the defensive numbers and even more so with their three road games taking up part of that where they have allowed 89.7 ppg and that average drops by over 14 ppg. Here, we play on favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 off a road loss by 10 points or more, playing a winning team. This situation is 58-24 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (604) Buffalo Bulls |
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01-03-23 | Mississippi State +10 v. Tennessee | Top | 53-87 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS as part of our CBB Tuesday Three Pack. After opening the season 11-0, Mississippi St. has dropped its last two games including a loss to Alabama last week in its conference opener. The Bulldogs hit the road where they are 1-0 and are catching a massive number which is significant here based on this matchup. These are two of the best defenses in the country squaring off and this game has the lowest total of any game on the Tuesday schedule so a low scoring game greatly gives the big underdog an advantage. Mississippi St. is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after two or more consecutive losses. Tennessee opened SEC action with a four-point win at Mississippi last week to make it two straight wins to improve to 11-2 on the season. The Volunteers are 6-0 at home and have completely dominated here by outscoring opponents by 37.4 ppg but have not even been close to tested by a quality opponent. They have the best shooting defense in the country and by an even bigger margin in those home games and while the Bulldogs are no offensive juggernaut, this is the best they have seen. Here, we play on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games. This situation is 39-12 ATS (76.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (617) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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01-01-23 | USC v. Washington State -1 | Top | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Last week, Washington St. won its opening game at the Diamond Head Classic but followed that up with a pair of losses against Hawaii and Utah St. before returning home to resume Pac 12 play where it lost to UCLA by one point on Friday. The Cougars are now 0-3 in the conference with one of the other losses coming at home against Utah by just two points so they are a couple possessions away from having a winning record and now are now laying a short number at home with the public all over the road team. One major factor the public is against the Cougars is that they are 0-12 against the Trojans since January of 2016 but the last two meetings in Pullman were decided by just one bucket. USC is coming off a win at Washington on Friday and has opened Pac 12 play 3-0 for the second consecutive season and for only the second time since the 2002 season, when it began 5-0. USC has won seven consecutive games for the first time since beginning last season 13-0 but are in a tough spot with its second road game in three days and having a game against rival UCLA on deck. Like the Cougars, the Trojans possess a solid defense but one advantage the Cougars will possess on offense is its three-point shooting. Washington St. is 40-23 ATS in its last 63 home games after a loss by six points or less. 10* (810) Washington St. Cougars |
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12-31-22 | Cavs -2.5 v. Bulls | Top | 103-102 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Cleveland is coming off its third straight loss on Thursday as it fell to Indiana by nine points as a short favorite. The Cavaliers are No. 4 in the Eastern Conference, four games behind Boston and are in the midst of a nine-game stretch where seven of those games are on the road with this being the first game of a home-and-home with Chicago. The defense is coming off its fourth worst performance of the season as it allowed 126 points, the most it has given up since November 18, a span of 22 games and seeing that the Cavaliers possess the best scoring defense in the league, they will be out for some retribution. Cleveland is 13-5 against teams ranked outside the top 16. Chicago has won two straight games and five of its last six following a four-game slide to get back to three games under .500. The Bulls are one of six teams within two and a half games of each other vying for the final three playoff spots in the conference and they remain home where they are just one game over .500. In their last game against Detroit, the Bulls shot 57.6 percent from the floor which is just the tenth time they have eclipsed 50 percent shooting and they have gone 3-6 in the previous nine follow up games. Here, we play on road favorites off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 51-22 ATS (69.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (509) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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12-31-22 | West Virginia v. Kansas State -1 | Top | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS ST. WILDCATS as part of our CBB Saturday Three Pack. Kansas St. has won five straight games to improve to 11-1 on the season and opens Big 12 action at home where it is 7-0 and outscoring opponents by over 21 ppg. The Wildcats failed to make the postseason a year ago after it was eliminated in the first round of the big 12 Tournament with a loss against West Virginia which sets up a revenge spot on Saturday. West Virginia has won four straight games, all at home, and hit the road for just the third time this season after splitting its first two true road games. The Mountaineers rolled over Pittsburgh as a road favorite but then lost at Xavier by 10 points as a small underdog and this is only the fourth time is has gotten points all season, going 1-2 in those games and heads to its toughest environment yet. Here, we play against road teams as an underdog or pickem averaging 76 or more ppg going up against teams allowing 63 or fewer ppg, after three straight wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 130-78 ATS (62.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (770) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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12-31-22 | Cal-Riverside v. Long Beach State -2 | Top | 73-72 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the LONG BEACH ST. 49ERS as part of our CBB Saturday Three Pack. Long Beach St. dropped its Big West Conference opener against UC San Diego in overtime on Thursday which snapped a two-game winning streak and sent the 49ers back under .500 for the season. They are now 3-2 at home and are 0-3 ATS in the three lined games at The Walter Pyramid and now they go from a nine-point favorite to a chalk by just a bucket in a great bounce back spot. UC Riverside easily defeated CSU Bakersfield in its conference opener at home and has now won two straight games and hits the road for the first time in two weeks. The Highlanders are 2-4 on the road compared to 6-1 at home and in neutral court games and this presents a letdown spot following a pair of double-digit victories. Here, we play against underdogs in a game involving two teams allowing between 67 and 74 ppg, after two straight wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 124-80 ATS (60.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (762) Long Beach St. 49ers |
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12-31-22 | Loyola Marymount v. Pacific +4.5 | Top | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the PACIFIC TIGERS as part of our CBB Saturday Three Pack. Loyola-Marymount has been one of the surprise teams in the West Coast Conference as it is off to an 11-4 start following a 20-point conference opening won at Portland on Thursday. The Lions have won and covered three straight games and are now favorites on the road as they come in with a 2-2 record on the highway. Pacific has struggled at home this season, going just 3-7 in its 10 home games following a 20-point loss to BYU last time out. The Tigers have failed to cover each of their last three games and are now getting value as they are getting just a bucket less than they were against the Cougars. Here, we play on underdogs in a game involving two teams allowing between 67 and 74 ppg, after scoring 50 points or less. This situation is 135-77 ATS (63.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (754) Pacific Tigers |
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12-30-22 | Heat v. Nuggets -4 | Top | 119-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. We played against Denver on Wednesday and caught a big fourth quarter rally from the Kings as the Nuggets lost by a point, squandering a 19-point lead in the process. They have been one of the better teams in the league coming off a defeat as they are 8-3 following a loss and look to get it back following an 8-1 run previous to that Sacramento loss. Denver is back home where it is 12-3 including six straight wins and after short stint in first place in the Western Conference, the Nuggets are now tied with New Orleans for the top spot, one game up on Memphis. This is a good matchup at home where they can dictate the pace of the game and controlling that is the key. Miami is coming off a win over the Lakers on Wednesday which was its second straight victory to get back over .500 on the season and this is the start of a five-game roadtrip looking to better its most recent trip on the highway where it went 4-0 but those were against some pretty below average competition. The Heat are 7-9 on the road overall which includes a 2-5 record against teams with a winning record and yet they continue to be overpriced. Miami has been favored in 10 of its last 11 games and while it comes in as an underdog here, it is a short price and this line has already dipped by a bucket despite the Heat having the worst ATS record in the NBA at 12-22-1. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points shooting 46 percent or better on the season, after three straight games allowing 47 percent or higher shooting. This situation is 62-30 ATS (67.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (576) Denver Nuggets |
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12-29-22 | Knicks -4.5 v. Spurs | Top | 115-122 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. The Knicks were rolling along with eight straight wins but have since lost four in a row including an improbable loss against Dallas in overtime on Tuesday. Going into that game, teams that led by nine or more points with 35 or fewer seconds remaining were 13,884-0 but that record is now 13,884-1 as the Knicks blew it and had to watch Luka Doncic score a career-high 60 points and grab a career-high 21 rebounds to go with 10 assists in the 126-121 loss. The Knicks have to get up off the floor and not only bounce back from that but get rid of this losing streak that has seen them drop down to a tie for the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference yet are just one game out of ninth place in the jumbled bottom half of the conference. It was another instance where the Knicks could not get past one of the top teams in the NBA as they are now 3-11 against the top ten which is the third most losses in the league against the top ten but they are 15-6 against the rest of the league. New York is 10-7 on the road and it is a perfect 3-0 straight up and ATS when favored on the highway. The Spurs were in a tailspin with a 1-16 run but then won three in a row before its recent 2-5 slide including a 16-point loss at Oklahoma City on Tuesday. The Spurs did win their most recent home game against Utah as they had their second best defensive performance of the season by allowing just 40.2 percent shooting but they still have the worst defense in the league, allowing 50.4 percent shooting and could not catch the Knicks at a worst time. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a game where they failed to cover the spread going up against an opponent after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. This situation is 42-17 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (559) New York Knicks |
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12-29-22 | Florida Atlantic v. North Texas -2 | Top | 50-46 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN as part of our CBB Thursday Three Pack. Two of the top teams in C-USA square off in an early conference battle. North Texas has won five straight games including the last four coming away from home and it returns to UNT Coliseum where it is 4-0 and while this is the biggest home test so far this season, the Mean Green easily passed the first one against Fresno St. They pride themselves with their defense as they are ranked No. 2 in the country in scoring, allowing more than 60 points only once, and No. 16 in shooting defense and can shut down this potent offense tonight. North Texas is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games against teams shooting 45 percent or better from the floor. Florida Atlantic has won 10 straight games since suffering its only loss at Mississippi and while this includes a big win at Florida, the Gators are not the team we expected them to be. The last nine wins have come against no one as the Owls have either faced non-Division I teams or been favored in every game by at least six points. Despite playing a pair of SEC teams, the Owls have played a schedule ranked No. 277 which shows how bad the rest of the schedule has been. Here, we play against road teams as an underdog or pickem averaging 76 or more ppg and after three straight wins by 10 points or more going up against teams allowing 63 or fewer ppg. This situation is 130-77 ATS (62.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (720) North Texas Mean Green |
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12-29-22 | Rice v. Western Kentucky -5.5 | Top | 81-78 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS as part of our CBB Thursday Three Pack. Western Kentucky is coming off a pair of losses against two major conference teams on the road at Louisville and South Carolina and the Hilltoppers were favored in both so it is bounce back time in their conference opener. They have gone 0-4 ATS over their last four games which is keeping a leash on this number and they are back home where they are 4-0 and this has been one of the best home environments in the country as Western Kentucky is 75-18 (.806) at Diddle Arena under head coach Rick Stansbury. This is a very experienced team with plenty of scoring options as there are six Hilltoppers with significant Division I experience that now total 4,610 Division I points. Rice is off to a surprising 9-3 start but eight of those wins have come at home against absolutely no one with the best victory being Western Michigan with Georgia Southern being a close second. The Owls have played a schedule ranked No. 307 and it is only that high because of one game at Texas and while that was considered a quality loss in overtime as 24-point underdogs, that was the first game for the Longhorns following the suspension of head coach Chris Beard. Rice is 1-3 on the road overall with the other two losses coming at Pepperdine and Middle Tennessee St. by 39 and 35 points respectively. Another horrible road spot for Rice tonight. 10* (680) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
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12-29-22 | Providence v. Butler -1.5 | Top | 72-52 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUTLER BULLDOGS as part of our CBB Thursday Three Pack. Butler got off to an 8-3 start but has lost two straight games to open conference play and they were not close as they lost by 22 points against Connecticut and 22 points against Creighton and now with a week off, it is time to get back on track. There has been a common theme with those five losses as the Bulldogs were underdogs in all five of those games and the wins also have a theme where they were favored in all eight victories, going 7-1 against the number. Butler is 6-1 at home with the lone loss coming against the No. 2 Huskies and it is in a good spot as it has gone 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games after two or more consecutive losses. This is a very balanced team as the Bulldogs five starters are each averaging double figures in scoring and they now have more depth with Jalen Thomas and Ali Ali back in the rotation after each missing the first 11 games. Providence has opened 2-0 in the Big East Conference following a four-point win at Seton Hall and a five-point home win against Marquette in overtime. The Friars have won five straight games while covering all five of those and are now catching another short price on the road. They have been solid on offense but the defense has kept games closer than they probably should have been and will be facing one of the best shooting teams in the conference. 10* (670) Butler Bulldogs |
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12-28-22 | Nuggets v. Kings +3 | Top | 126-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Sacramento will be out for some immediate revenge following a seven-point loss to Denver last night as it blew a 20-point lead and was outscored 34-23 in the fourth quarter. It was the second straight loss for the Kings as they fell to 17-15 and they remain in the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference. Sacramento is now 9-7 at home which includes just a 1-3 start on this current six-game homestand and this is an important time to turn things around as they are in a stretch of 15 of 19 games taking place at home. Sacramento is ranked No. 3 in total offense and No. 4 in shooting offense and is coming off its lowest point total over its last six games despite shooting a solid 48.8 percent from the floor. The Kings have covered three of four games this season when playing on back-to-back nights and this is the first instance of a home-and-home in consecutive nights. Denver has won five straight games and eight of its last nine to maintain a one game lead over New Orleans for first place in the Western Conference. The Nuggets are now 10-8 on the road which is very good but not close to their 12-3 home record and the victory last night snapped a 1-3 road skid. Like the Kings, the offense is the strength as they are No. 7 overall and No. 2 in shooting and also like the Kings, they struggle on the defensive side of the floor and they could once again be without Aaron Gordon who missed last night and is questionable tonight with a shoulder injury. Denver is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 games after three straight games where they made 47 percent of their shots or better. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 coming off an road win scoring 110 or more points, when playing their 3rd game in four days. This situation is 52-25 ATS (67.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (548) Sacramento Kings |
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12-28-22 | Illinois State v. Illinois-Chicago -2 | Top | 51-55 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS-CHICAGO FLAMES as part of our CBB Wednesday Three Pack. Illinois-Chicago is 8-5 which included wins in three straight games while covering four in a row before heading to Northwestern prior to the holiday break and the Flames were destroyed by 38 points to the surprising Wildcats so the time off came at a perfect time. The Flames have a very strong defense which was not on display in that last game as they allowed Northwestern to shoot 51.4 percent from the floor which was only the fourth time all season they have allowed an opponent to shoot higher than 47 percent from the floor and they have a good matchup here against a poor offensive team. The Flames are 4-2 at home which is not great but both losses came when they were underdogs and Illinois-Chicago is 6-0 ATS as a favorite this season. After a 2-6 start to the season, the Redbirds have turned things around to win four of their last five games as they head back into MVC play where they are 1-1. Illinois St. won all four of those games at home but going back, it has lost five straight games away from home and comes into a tough spot playing a team back home coming off a 38-point road loss that has been stewing for a while. The Redbirds are ranked No. 193 or worse in all six shooting and scoring categories on both sides of the ball. Illinois St. is 0-6 ATS in road games after a game where they made 78 percent of their free throws or better this season. 10* (634) Illinois-Chicago Flames |
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12-28-22 | Missouri State v. Northern Iowa -1 | Top | 79-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS as part of our CBB Wednesday Three Pack. Missouri St. is off to a 5-7 start including 1-1 in the MVC and a slow start was expected with so many key pieces lost from last season. The Bears snapped a four-game losing streak with a blowout win over Central Michigan before the holiday break and now they hit the road where they are just 1-3, the lone victory coming as their only game as a road favorite. Their strength is defense but likely does not have enough offense to keep up here as they are ranked No. 324 in scoring and No. 245 in shooting. Additionally, Missouri St. is ranked No. 361 in free throw shooting at 58.7 percent and that dips even lower to 56.1 percent away from home. It has also been a slow start for Northern Iowa as it is also off to a 5-7 and 1-1 start but it is coming off consecutive wins for the first time this season and both were impressive double-digit victories over Towson and St. Bonaventure. The Panthers are just 4-3 at home but two of those losses came by three points and the other one as a significant home underdog against projected MAC champion Toledo. While Missouri St. possesses a solid defense, Northern Iowa is not far behind and it faces one of the worst offenses in the country. Sophomore guard Bowen Born has stepped up in a big way for the Panthers following the AJ Green departure as he leads conference in scoring at 19.3 ppg. 10* (636) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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12-28-22 | Villanova +12.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the VILLANOVA WILDCATS as part of our CBB Wednesday Three Pack. When Villanova lost to Temple in its second game of the season, you knew something was not right. Flash forward to a 2-5 start and things definitely were not right but the Wildcats have righted the ship as they have won five straight games including a victory to open Big East play following an impressive 15-point win over a solid St. Johns team. This has no doubt coincided with five-star freshman and top-five projected NBA Draft Pick Cam Whitmore making his debut. One hidden edge is that Villanova is No. 1 in the country in free throw percentage. Connecticut is off to a 13-0 start and has shown to be an early season National Championship frontrunner. This team is athletic, deep and loaded at every position and it is the cohesiveness that is most impressive. The Huskies are going to find their share of roadblocks along the way and this could definitely be one of those but more than nothing else, a closer than expected game is what we are looking for. This line is completely inflated with Connecticut off to an 11-1-1 ATS start to the season as not many will want to step in front of this train but at this price, we gladly will. Here, we play against home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points with a winning percentage of .800 or higher having covered six or seven of their last eight games against the spread. This situation is 68-38 ATS (64.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (611) Villanova Wildcats |
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12-27-22 | Suns v. Grizzlies -6.5 | Top | 125-108 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. Both Phoenix and Memphis are coming off losses on Christmas and we expect the Grizzlies to be the team to rebound as they head back home where they are 13-2 and are actually getting some value here. Memphis won in Phoenix last week by 25 points as a three-point favorite but we are seeing a small line shift based on venue change and it will be out to bounce back from that 1-3 roadtrip that has sent it into third place in the Western Conference, one game behind Denver for first. Desmond Bane is back in the lineup after missing a month and after a solid debut, he struggled from the floor on Sunday against the Warriors as he was just 2-13 shooting. The Suns have lost three straight games and are now three games back in the Western Conference and are going to have to patiently wait to get fully healthy again as they finally got Chris Paul back but are again down their best player. Phoenix got Devin Booker back on Sunday but he lasted only four minutes as he suffered another injury, this time a groin injury and he will be out on Tuesday. The Suns are just 5-10 on the road including 1-5 over their last six games on the highway including losses in all three games when getting points while covering only one of those. The offense definitely has taken a hot with Booker back on the bench and they will struggle again against this defense after scoring just 100 points in the meeting last week. Here, we play against teams off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog going up against an opponent off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite. This situation is 56-24 ATS (70 percent) since 1996. 10* (526) Memphis Grizzlies |
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12-27-22 | Seton Hall +7.5 v. Marquette | Top | 69-83 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the SETON HALL PIRATES for our CBB Tuesday Star Attraction. This is an important stretch for Seton Hall. Including the game at Xavier a week ago prior to the holiday break, the Pirates are in a stretch where five of seven games are on the road and after a 0-2 start in the Big East, this game alone is huge. Prior to the rest, Seton Hall lost to Providence and Xavier by four and three points respectively and going back, three of its last four losses have come by five points or less. The Pirates are still a game over .500 and the strength they bring is their defense as they are ranked No. 35 in defensive efficiency and have one of the best perimeter defenses around, ranking No. 15 in three-point shooting defense. In the last game at Xavier, Seton Hall held the Musketeers, one of the top offensive teams in the country, to their lowest three-point shooting percentage this season at 25 percent and their second-lowest point total of the season with 73 points. Marquette has opened 1-1 in the conference and in eight games against teams from major conferences, the line the Golden Eagles are laying here is tied for the highest with the other being against Georgia Tech and Seton Hall is rated much higher than the Yellow Jackets. Marquette is 7-1 at home including 2-1 against those major conference teams and while that includes a win over Creighton, the Bluejays have been in a major slump. The Golden Eagles have a very solid offense and will be facing a test here and we can see this game playing out just like the game against Xavier for Seton Hall as the game is shortened which significantly favors the sizeable underdog. 10* (601) Seton Hall Pirates |
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12-27-22 | Lakers +4.5 v. Magic | Top | 129-110 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Tuesday Ultimate Underdog. The Lakers have lost four straight games and eight of their last 11 and while this would typically be a contrarian play by playing against a Los Angeles team, it is contrarian by playing them here. They have failed to cover five straight games and the injury bug has hit once again with Anthony Davis once again on the shelf for at least a couple weeks so basically it has been LeBron James as the only production from the starting five. Los Angeles has fallen into No. 13 in the Western Conference with a lot to make up to get back into the playoff mix. The Lakers are ranked No. 7 in scoring offense and No. 9 in shooting offense and that has still held true during this losing skid and now faces a below average defense. Orlando is still well out of the playoff picture in the Eastern Conference but it has narrowed the gap after an awful start as the Magic have gone 8-1 over their last nine games with the lone loss coming against Atlanta by just one points after nearly coming back from a late 13-point deficit. The Magic have covered 10 straight games and that is part of the contrarian aspect along with the straight up victories as the value is starting to turn with this being their third straight game as favorites and only the fifth time all season they have laid points. Orlando is now 9-9 at home and the Lakers visit will always bring extra energy for the home team but the Magic are in a tough spot. Here, we play on underdogs allowing 114 or more ppg on the season, after three straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 1996. 10* (515) Los Angeles Lakers |
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12-26-22 | Pacers v. Pelicans -6 | Top | 93-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Monday Star Attraction. New Orleans has put a halt to a four-game losing streak with a pair of wins at home against San Antonio and on the road at Oklahoma City and it heads back home for the start of a three-game homestand. It is 13-4 at home this season which includes an 8-1 run the last nine games and it has been dominant by outscoring opponents by eight ppg in those 17 games while covering six of nine games against teams with a winning record. The Pelicans are one game behind Denver for first place in the Western Conference and the recent two-game winning streak is even more encouraging considering they were without Zion Williamson in those games because of an illness but he will be back in the lineup tonight. Indiana is coming off a pair of upset road wins the last two games which puts it into a go against situation. The Pacers improved to 17-16 on the season which has them in a tie with Atlanta for No. 7 in the Eastern Conference yet prior to the recent winning streak, they went 3-8 over their previous 11 games. The Pacers have not been able to put any sort of winning streak together as they have gone 1-6 in their last seven games following a win and it has not been pretty for the most part, losing those games by an average of 11 ppg. They do own an impressive six wins over teams ranked within the top ten but this is not the spot for that to continue. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 coming off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 57-22 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (512) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-23-22 | Pacers v. Heat -6.5 | Top | 111-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT as part of our NBA Friday Three Pack. Miami had its four-game winning streak come to an end on Tuesday with a 10-point home loss against Chicago to fall back to .500 on the season. The Heat were without Jimmy Butler because of a stomach issue but he will be back tonight which will help the offense that has been inconsistent the entire season and they will also be facing a below average defense. Miami is 9-7 at home which is nothing spectacular and while it is an average 7-7-1 ATS following a loss, this is a much better situation than when coming off a win where the Heat are 3-13 ATS. They are the worst ATS team in the league but are catching value here as they were favored by 3.5 points at Indiana in their last meeting less than two weeks ago so the line difference based on venue shift is way off. Indiana snapped a two-game losing streak with a big win at Boston on Wednesday as it got a huge game from Tyrese Haliburton as he scored 33 points but is questionable tonight with a wrist injury so he might not be close to 100 percent if he goes. The Pacers have not been able to put ant sort of winning streak together as they have gone 0-6 in their last six games following a win and it has not been pretty for the most part, losing those games by an average of 11 ppg. Playing at a quick pace is the plan here but not a good plan against this team. Here, we play on favorites coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 80-44 ATS (64.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (570) Miami Heat |
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12-23-22 | Bucks +2.5 v. Nets | Top | 100-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS as part of our NBA Friday Three Pack. Milwaukee is coming off a loss at Cleveland on Wednesday to snap a two-game winning streak and the Bucks have gone just 3-3 over their last six games. But the one thing they do not do is lose consecutively as they are 7-1 this season following a loss and this is the first of two straight games against the top of the Eastern Conference with Boston on deck Christmas Day. Milwaukee is now a half game ahead of the Celtics for first place in the conference and while there is a ton of basketball left, these early games do go a long way. The Bucks defense remains the strength as they are No. 2 in opponent shooting and No. 3 in points allowed and can challenge this Nets team that has been overachieving because of the opposition they have faced which has not been very good. Brooklyn is playing its best basketball of the season as it has won seven straight and 11 of its last 12 with a home loss against Boston being the lone blemish. Taking a look at this recent 12-game run shows the Nets have played hardly anyone with wins over Portland and Indiana being the only victories against teams that are currently in a playoff spot and they are both in the No. 8 spot in their respective conferences. The offense remains the best shooting team in the league but this is their biggest test. Here, we play against favorites after scoring 120 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 48-21 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (559) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-23-22 | Raptors v. Cavs -4 | Top | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS as part of our NBA Friday Three Pack. Toronto came through for us on Wednesday as it won in New York to snap the Knicks eight-game winning streak but we are fading the Raptors as they are facing one of the top defenses in the league and will not be able to get the same 52-point game from Pascal Siakam that they got against the Knicks. Toronto is just 4-12 on the road and while it was in a great contrarian spot in its last game, it is time to fade the Raptors on the road on another short price. The Raptors are four games under .500 and have no offensive consistency as they are one of the worst shooting teams in the league at No. 28 overall and No. 30 from long range. Cleveland is coming off a big win against Milwaukee to make it five straight wins and after a little bit of a lull, the Cavaliers are creeping up in the Eastern Conference as they are now in the No. 3 spot, one game behind Milwaukee for first place. Cleveland is ranked No. 1 in the league in points allowed and No. 5 in defensive shooting and we know who they will be keying in on here. The offense is slowly improving and the Cavaliers are now No. 7 in shooting as they have shot 47 percent or better in six of their last seven games and will be going up against the No. 29 ranked shooting defense so they are again projected to go well above 50 percent tonight. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging two straight losses going up against an opponent off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. This situation is 60-24 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (564) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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12-23-22 | Iona -8 v. Seattle University | Top | 83-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the IONA GAELS for our CBB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Iona is coming off a bad loss in the first round of the Diamond Head Classic as it fell to SMU by four points as a 9.5-point favorite and the Gaels are now laying fewer points today against a worst team. This was the second straight loss for Iona as it lost at New Mexico by eight points before heading to Hawaii but that was not a shocker as the Lobos are off to a 12-0 start to the season. The Gaels opened 7-2 with solid wins over St. Louis, St. Bonaventure and Princeton and they will be out for a big bounce back here and want to close the tournament strong before heading into MAAC play where they are the heavy favorite to win the conference. Seattle is also coming off a loss as it fell to Utah St. 84-56 and is not in a good spot in the second game of the tournament. The Redhawks are off to an 8-3 start which looks good on paper but underneath that record tells a different story. Seattle has won only one game season when not favored and that was a win at Portland as a 3.5-point underdog. In the other three games as underdogs, which were all losses, the Redhawks were not competitive as they lost by 11, 15 and 28 points. They are 5-0 at home against cupcakes which has inflated the record and overall, the Redhawks have played the No. 285 ranked schedule in the country. Here, we play on neutral court teams averaging between 74 and 78 ppg going up against teams allowing between 67 and 74, after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more. This situation is 31-6 ATS (83.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (879) Iona Gaels |
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12-22-22 | Southern Miss v. UNLV -8 | Top | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 21 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the UNLV RUNNIN' REBELS for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Southern Mississippi is off to a very surprising 11-1 start but a win at Vanderbilt is its only notable win and the last three victories have come as favorites of 13.5 points or more and now they go into a place at the wrong time. Three of those victories have come against non-Division I teams while four others have comes against teams ranked in the 300 range as the overall schedule is ranked No. 323 in the nation so this is easily its first real test of the season. The Golden Eagles overall numbers are excellent but it is due to the schedule they have played and every strength they have goes up against every strength UNLV has on the other side. UNLV opened the season 10-0 but lost last time out against a very good San Francisco team by a bucket as a six-point chalk and are only laying a couple points more against a team not nearly as strong as the Dons. The Rebels have not played the toughest of schedules either but it is ranked 100 spots higher and this is a get right game before MWC season gets underway. They are now 5-1 at home and outscoring opponents by over 20 ppg and bring in a top 50 defense in both scoring and shooting and can lock this Golden Eagles offense down. One key stat not to overlook is the fact that Southern Mississippi in ranked No. 303 in free throw shooting. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points averaging 76 or more ppg and after three straight wins by 10 points or more going up against teams allowing 63 or fewer ppg. This situation is 68-31 ATS (68.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (858) UNLV Runnin' Rebels |
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12-22-22 | Spurs v. Pelicans -7.5 | Top | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. New Orleans has lost four straight games since ascending to the top of the Western Conference and bad news came across Wednesday. Zion Williamson has been declared out for this game with an illness which puts New Orleans now out with its two stars as the Pelicans also will be without Brandon Ingram for at least two more games. Williamson has averaged 28.6 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 6.0 apg and 1.5 spg in the 11 games with Ingram out so his absence will be big but even when he was in the lineup, the Pelicans have been slumping. That being said, the line has dropped significantly and the New Orleans roster is still better than San Antonio even with those two out and there are plenty of options to step in, namely Jonas Valanciunas and CJ McCollum. This is a typical spot where a superstar goes out and others pick it up in the first game of the absence. San Antonio opened the season pretty strong by going 5-2 but then lost 16 of its next 17 games before finally getting into the win column with three straight victories. The Spurs then lost two more but came back with an upset win over Houston, if you can call it that, by 19 points as a 4.5-point underdog. Now they are getting only three more points. Not nearly enough. They are a respectable 5-8 on the road but three of those came during that early run. Here, we play on favorites coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 79-44 ATS (64.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (552) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-22-22 | Wright State -1.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 88-80 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the WRIGHT ST. RAIDERS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. Wright St. is coming off a 52-point win over Northwestern Ohio but that cupcake victory was needed for the Raiders after having lost four straight games coming into that. A favorite in the Horizon League, they started 0-2 and then had another pair of losses in nonconference play against Western Kentucky and Akron, two very good teams and both on the road, and while they now hit the road again, they have a great matchup here to keep the momentum going before getting back into conference action next week. This is one of the best shooting offenses at No. 15 in the country going up against one of the worst defenses in the nation as the Raiders look to finally get back to over .500. Miami Ohio is coming off an upset win over an excellent Bellarmine team on the road as a 7.5-point underdog and it has now won four of its last six games. Two of the others came against two awful teams and the other against a non-Division I team. Two of the RedHawks five wins have come against said non-Division I teams so that Bellarmine win was a shock and now they come back down to earth. They are ranked No. 328 in scoring defense and No. 345 in shooting defense and while the offense is better, it is not nearly good enough to keep up. Here, we play on road teams as a favorite or pickem with a +3.5 to +8 ppg scoring differential and after scoring 95 points or more going up against teams with a +/- 3.5 ppg scoring differential. This situation is 63-25 ATS (71.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (821) Wright St. Raiders |
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12-21-22 | Denver v. Oregon State -7.5 | Top | 52-57 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS for our CBB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Oregon St. has won two straight games following a 1-6 run to get it back to .500 on the season and it closes out its three-game homestand in solid spot to get back over .500 after starting the season 3-0. The Beavers have already doubled their win total from all of last season so the improvements are already showing and there will be no lack of motivation here as they will want to roll into Pac 12 action on a inning streak with three straight conference road games on deck. Oregon St. is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games after having won two of their last three games. Denver is off to a solid 9-4 start but it has beaten no one as its best win is a victory at Idaho St. by a point as a 3.5-point underdog. Overall, the Pioneers have played a schedule ranked No. 360 out of 363 division I teams and have played just one team from a major conference which resulted in a 23-point loss at UCLA and while Oregon St. is not on the same level as the Bruins, we are not asking them to win by 23 points so this is still la big step up in class for Denver. The Pioneers lost at Nebraska-Omaha by 17 points as a slight favorite on Monday and is in a tough travel spot. Here, we play against underdogs averaging 53 or less shots per game on the season, after two straight games making 50 percent of their shots or better. This situation is 48-23 ATS (67.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (748) Oregon St. Beavers |
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12-21-22 | Raptors +1.5 v. Knicks | Top | 113-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Month. Here, we have two teams heading in complete opposite directions and the short number is putting the majority on the Knicks. New York has won eight straight games including a 38-point blowout against Golden St. last night to move to 18-13 on the season and the Knicks are currently in the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference. This was the first victory for New York over the Warriors at home since 2013 so that was certainly a statement victory which spells a letdown tonight. This is typically not a good situational spot for the Knicks as they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Toronto meanwhile has lost six straight games and has the complete opposite record of the Knicks at 13-18 as the Raptors have fallen completely out of the playoff picture as they are now 2.5 games out of the final spot in the Eastern Conference. Four of those six losses came by four points or less which includes an overtime loss against Philadelphia on Monday so this skid could be a complete flip if the bounces went differently. The Raptors are only 3-12 on the road so looking at the broad numbers makes New York the easy side here but a line like this is what makes this a great contrarian spot. Here, we play on road underdogs off a close loss by three points or less to a division rival going up against an opponent after two consecutive covers as a favorite. This situation is 24-6 ATS (80 percent) since 1996. 10* (539) Toronto Raptors |
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12-21-22 | Texas-Arlington v. California -4 | Top | 51-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. California is the only team remaining in all of Division I that has yet to win a game and it comes into Wednesday as the favorite which is putting the public on the Mavericks. The Golden Bears are 0-12 and having no wins is clearly not a good thing but they have played a very tough schedule and they are in a great scheduling situation here. They are coming off a road loss at Santa Clara on Sunday and return home where they are 0-7 which includes four losses as slight favorites and here they are again in their final nonconference game before Pac Ten action resumes next week. California is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in two straight games. We played on UT-Arlington as our free play for Monday as it went into San Francisco and defeated the Dons by five points as a 15-point underdog which snapped a three-game losing streak. That could provide momentum heading into tonight or it could bring a letdown and we are banking on the latter. The Mavericks have covered three of their last four games and it was their defense that got the job done the other night and they now face one of the worst offenses in the country so it looks inevitable that they are going to smother another opponent but the short travel turnaround could pose an issue after having nine days off prior to the last game. 10* (700) California Golden Bears |
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12-20-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets +1.5 | Top | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Denver is coming off a win over Charlotte on Sunday to make it four wins in its last five games and with the victory, the Nuggets improved to 18-11 on the season, which has them tied with the Suns for the No. 2 spot in the Western Conference. They trail Memphis by one game so a win here gets Denver into a first place tie and tonight the Nuggets are getting points at home for the first time this season. They are 9-3 at home with the three losses coming by a total of six points including the last two where they shot 50 percent or better from the floor and the first defeat came with no Nikola Jokic in the lineup. He is listed on the injury report along with Jamal Murray, which is the likely reason this line is what it is, but both are listed as probable and are good to go. Memphis had its seven-game winning streak snapped with a loss at Oklahoma City on Saturday and in those seven victories, six were at home while the other one was at Detroit. The Grizzlies are 13-2 at home but just 6-8 on the road where they are anywhere between 3-9-2 and 3-11 ATS and even if this game flips back to Denver being favored, that is fine as Memphis is 0-4 ATS as a road underdog. Their defense remains No. 3 in efficiency but this will be a test facing the No. 3 ranked team in offensive efficiency as they are 2-5 this season against teams ranked in the top six in that category. Two contrarian situations favor Denver tonight. First, we play against road teams covering eight or more of their last 10 against the spread, playing six or less games in 14 days. This situation is 39-17 ATS (69.6 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play on teams failing to cover six or seven of their last eight games against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 131-83 ATS (61.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) Denver Nuggets |
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12-20-22 | Fresno State -5.5 v. CS Bakersfield | Top | 56-48 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS as part of our CBB Tuesday Three-Pack. Fresno St. opened the season 1-5 before a pair of much needed wins but it has lost two straight coming into this game, both as favorites, and this is the final tune-up before Mountain West Conference opens up at the end of the month. Those early five losses came against some very good teams where they were underdogs in all of those with the exception of one-game where it was favored by a point against San Francisco. Fresno St. has been really close to a much better record as every loss have come by single digits as the defense has been really good as the Bulldogs are No. 54 in points allowed and has a great matchup here facing one of the worst offenses in the country. CSU Bakersfield is just 4-6 with two of those wins coming against non-Division I teams but what really stands out has been the losses. The Roadrunners have lost three straight which came against Dartmouth, San Jose St. and Abilene Christian. The schedule has been a challenge based on playing a lot away from home but in three home games, they are 2-1 with the two wins coming against those aforementioned non-Division I teams. This is a bad spot with a team with no proven win and with low expectations coming into the season that has been pegged near the bottom of the Big West Conference. Here, we play against home teams as an underdog or pickem after scoring 60 points or less in three straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season. This situation is 100-59 ATS (62.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (643) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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12-20-22 | Illinois-Chicago +16 v. Northwestern | Top | 54-92 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS-CHICAGO FLAMES as part of our CBB Tuesday Three-Pack. Northwestern is off to a surprising 8-2 start considering the Wildcats have been picked to finish No. 13 in the 14-team Big Ten Conference. They do have a quality win at Michigan St. but nothing else except for that as the rest of the schedule has been soft. Northwestern has relied on a very strong defense that is No. 7 in points allowed and No. 3 in opponent shooting but the issue in games like this is the fact the offense is putrid as the Wildcats are No. 313 in scoring and No. 355 in shooting. Trying to cover a number this high against a very good team makes it difficult because of that as the Wildcats have laid double-digits four times, going 1-3 ATS with the only cover coming against Chicago St. which is ranked No. 327 in the country. Illinois-Chicago is 8-4 which includes wins in three straight games while covering four in a row. The Flames also have a very strong defense which means this looks like a low scoring game which is evidenced by the fact this is the sixth lowest total on the entire card tomorrow of 42 games in total. The schedule has not been great but in 11 lined games, the Flames have been underdogs in five of those and have covered both when getting double digits. Here, we play against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points shooting 73 percent or better from the free throw line and allowing a shooting percentage of 33 percent or less going up against teams shooting between 65 and 69 percent from the free throw line. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (631) Illinois-Chicago Flames |
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12-20-22 | Air Force v. Northern Colorado -1.5 | Top | 67-65 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN COLORADO BEARS as part of our CBB Tuesday Three-Pack. Northern Colorado comes in two and a half games worse than Air Force as it is just 5-6 including a 1-2 record at home and the line flipped early going to the Bears being the favorite and it makes sense and we are on it. The Bears were on a 4-1 run before going to Colorado on Saturday and losing by 11 points but covered the 15.5 points and that game ended a stretch of six straight games away from home. This is their first home game in 29 days and Northern Colorado wants to get some retribution on its home floor after losing to non-Division I Colorado Christian by a point. The defense has been awful of late but that was all on the road and now face a team not accustomed yet to feel it on the road. Air Force is 8-4 thanks to possessing one of the softest home schedules in the country where the Falcons are 8-2 that includes five straight covers and six straight overall and that is bringing the public into play. They have shot great over this stretch but all of the good ones were at home and in the two games they have been on the road, where they are 0-2, they have shot just 40 percent. The shooting defense has been solid as well but all at home again and while they have allowed only 50 percent shooting once, that was in one of the road games. Here, we play against road teams after beating the spread by more than six points in three consecutive games going up against an opponent after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 56-24 ATS (70 percent) since 1997. 10* (618) Northern Colorado Bears |
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12-19-22 | North Dakota v. St. Thomas -7 | Top | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. THOMAS TOMMIES for our CBB Monday Supreme Annihilator. North Dakota is coming off a non-Division I victory over North Central-MN which snapped a four-game losing streak that included three road losses all of which were by double-digits. Those defeats dropped the Fighting Hawks to 2-4 on the road and they hit the highway for their conference opener Tuesday. They will be in for a struggle this season as two of their six wins came against non-Division I teams and they have been underdogs in 10 of their 11 lined games. This is a game St. Thomas has had circled since last season as it went 4-14 in the Summit League which was its first season at this college level and now coming off a disaster of that that, it knows it is better and wants to get out strong. The Tommies were picked No. 8 in the preseason poll but there was not much separation between them and the No. 4 spot so this team could surprise as they are already just one win shy of their total from all of last season. Head coach Johnny Tauer has two of his three double-digits scorers back from year one in Riley Miller and Parker Bjorklund and both are in double-digits again joined by freshman guard Andrew Rohde to head an offense that is No. 93 in total offense and No. 59 in shooting offense. Additionally, St. Thomas is one of the best free throw shooting teams in the country (No. 12) against one of the worst (No. 322). Here, we play against road teams as an underdog or pickem in a game involving two teams shooting 36.5 percent or better from long range, after a game where they made 50 percent of their three-point shots or better. This situation is 62-32 ATS (66 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (816) St. Thomas Tommies |
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12-19-22 | Magic v. Hawks -7.5 | Top | 125-126 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Month. This is a ripe spot for Orlando to get blown out as the Magic are coming off another win at Boston to sweep the back-to-back on the road, both coming as double-digit underdogs. That made it six straight wins for Orlando with the first four coming at home where it was an underdog in all of those as well. The two wins in Boston moved the Magic to just 3-11 on the road which makes this an awful spot staying on the road for a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. Orlando is 0-4 in the second game of a back-to-back this season and now after covering seven straight games, we are getting value based on that as the last five road games, they were getting 10 or more points. It has been a rough stretch for Atlanta as it has gone 4-8 over its last 12 games but did snap a two-game slide with a blowout win at Charlotte on Friday. Sitting at 15-15, the Hawks are in the No. 8 spot in the Eastern Conference and while injuries have been a slight issue, Trae Young is back healthy and playing well as he is close to averaging a double-double with 27.0 ppg and 9.9 apg and his assist numbers have surged and has helped the rest of the roster. One of the recent losses was an 11-point loss at Orlando two games back so immediate revenge is in store and Atlanta is 27-14 ATS in its last 41 home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss of 10 points or more, playing only their 2nd game in five days. This situation is 62-33 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) Atlanta Hawks |
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12-18-22 | Nets v. Pistons +7 | Top | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Brooklyn is rolling along with five straight wins including the first three of this four-game roadtrip and going back it has won nine of its last 10 games but this is a very common trip up spot. The Nets are now 8-7 on the road with the scoring differential just about dead even at +0.4 ppg with a big reason being its poor perimeter defense. They are allowing opponents to shoot 38 percent from long range which is slightly above the season average allowed that checks in at No. 29 in the NBA. Detroit has certainly had its share of problems this season at 8-23 overall but the Pistons do have a winning record against the number because of inflated numbers like this one. The Pistons are coming off a loss to Sacramento on Friday to make it four losses over their last five games as they still possess the top ranked schedule played in the NBA which has obviously played a role in the overall record but this is an excellent spot against a team not fully focused here. The Pistons are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after two consecutive covers as a favorite, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 48-21 ATS (69.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (568) Detroit Pistons |
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12-16-22 | Knicks v. Bulls -2 | Top | 114-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The Knicks have won five straight games including at win at Chicago on Wednesday in overtime to improve to 15-13 on the season which has out them into sixth place in the Eastern Conference. The victory against the Bulls was just their fourth against a top 16 team this season which is the second fewest for a top 16 team, ahead of only the Clippers who have three victories against this group. Additionally, New York has 10 losses against the top 16 which is the most in the top half of the NBA and while that is tied with the Bulls, Chicago has double the amount of wins. The Knicks have won three straight road games but the other two came against Detroit and Charlotte which are a combined 15-43 on the season. Chicago has lost two straight games with the first coming in Atlanta in overtime as well on a last second shot. This is a great spot to bounce back to remain above .500 at home. And they have a solid edge in offense as their efficiency in No. 3 in the league over the last three games and they go up against a Knicks defense that is middle of the road in defensive efficiency. Here, we play on favorites coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 79-41 ATS (65.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (544) Chicago Bulls |
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12-14-22 | Wolves +6.5 v. Clippers | Top | 88-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES as part of our NBA Wednesday Three Pack. The Clippers are coming off a 20-point win over Boston and while we were on the wrong side of that, we are fading Los Angeles here in what is close to an 11-point line shift and no matter good the Celtics may be, they are not separated by this many points against a competent that sits right around the .500 mark. The Clippers got the best game of the season from Kawhi Leonard as he scored 25 points to go along with nine rebounds and six assists and they need this the rest of the season to make any long playoff run but that is something that cannot be counted on yet. The Clippers are just 8-6 at home and could be in for a lookahead spot here with Phoenix on deck tomorrow. Minnesota has lost two straight games, both in Portland to from a game over .500 to a game under .500 which came after a mini run of 3-1 as it still plays in the absence of Karl-Anthony Towns. The Timberwolves are a respectable 6-7 on the road and like the Warriors, they are a top ten team overall in shooting on both sides of the floor which makes them dangerous any night and especially in betting aspects of getting a number this big. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 coming off a home win scoring 110 or more points, playing a losing team. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (519) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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12-14-22 | Warriors -1 v. Pacers | Top | 119-125 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS as part of our NBA Wednesday Three Pack. We played against Golden St. last night as it was able to build an early lead but that did not last long as it fell behind as many as 26 points in the 16-point loss against Milwaukee. The road struggles are evident as the Warriors fell to 2-12 on the highway and this is a good spot to bounce back in the midst of this six-game roadtrip that gets tougher after this. Despite a .500 record, the Warriors are a top ten team in both offensive and defensive shooting , effective field goal percentage and three-point shooting. Indiana has lost its first two games of this three-game homestand and has lost six of its last eight games as the overachieving start has started to catch up. This is no great home court advantage like the Warriors have gone against for most of the season as the Pacers are 8-6 with half of those wins coming against Orlando (twice), Detroit and Washington. While the Warriors are top ten in the aforementioned shooting rankings, the Pacers are ranked in the bottom half of the league in all of those with the exception of offensive three-point shooting. Here, we play on road teams after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 90 points or less. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (501) Golden St. Warriors |
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12-14-22 | Hawks -2.5 v. Magic | Top | 124-135 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Three Pack. Atlanta is coming off a 25-point loss at Memphis on Monday to make it four losses over the last five games. After a great start to the season where the Hawks opened 10-6, they have lost eight of their last 10 games with the inconsistency of Trae Young being in the lineup being a big issue with that. He missed the last game against the Grizzlies with a back issue and comes into this game questionable but will likely be in the lineup in the start of a get right stretch of six straight games against teams with a losing record. Orlando has turned a corner with wins in three straight games, all at home and all as an underdog of at least 6.5 points but this corner cannot last very long. The return of some key injured players have started to show some bright signs recently but prior to this run, the Magic lost nine straight games which included a home loss by 17 points against Atlanta where they were getting 6.5 points. Now they are getting just 2.5 points and they are 1-4 ATS this season when getting three of fewer points with the lone win and cover coming against 7-20 Charlotte. Here, we play on favorites with a scoring differential of +/- 3 ppg going up teams with a scoring differential between -3 and -7 ppg, after a loss by 15 points or more. This situation is 38-14 ATS (73.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (503) Atlanta Hawks |
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12-13-22 | Texas-San Antonio +23.5 v. Utah | Top | 70-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTSA ROADRUNNERS for our CBB Tuesday Ultimate Underdog. UTSA comes into Tuesday after falling to undefeated New Mexico on the road this past Saturday to fall to 5-4 on the season and while facing its biggest test of the season, it is also getting the most points it has seen. The Roadrunners got off to a slow start against the Lobos but hung in and kept it very respectable in a very tough environment and we expect the same here against an opponent in a tough spot. The offense had had their struggles this season and will be facing a tough defense but the Roadrunners do have some edges on the other side as they have a very strong perimeter defense that can combat the outside shooting of the Utes. The Roadrunners are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Utah comes into the game riding a four-game winning streak that has been highlighted by an 81-66 win of then-number-four Arizona at the Huntsman Center. The Utes are now 8-2 and while one of the losses was a quality one against Mississippi St. by just three points on a neutral floor, the other came against San Houston St. by 10 points at home so focus could be an issue again. A big reason for that is the fact Utah travels to rival BYU in its next game and will be out for revenge following an 11-point loss to the Cougars at home so they have had that game circled. The Utes have covered five straight games so this line is inflated due to that as we have this line well below that based on the most recent power ratings. A low scoring game is expected which favors the underdog especially one that is this big. 10* (619) UTSA Roadrunners |
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12-13-22 | Warriors v. Bucks -4.5 | Top | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This situation is MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. We played against Milwaukee on Sunday as it went into Houston and lost outright as a 10-point favorite and now it is back home in the second part of the proverbial sandwich where the Bucks won at Dallas Friday and has the Rockets in-between the two games which possibly caused the letdown, lookahead situation. The loss kept the Bucks a game and a half behind Boston for first place in the Eastern Conference and they head into Tuesday where they are 12-3 at home and look to get back on track following a 7-1 previous to Sunday. The Bucks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing road record. Golden St. snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Boston on Saturday as it avoided a Celtics pursuit of getting revenge from the NBA Finals from last season. The Warriors moved back to a game over .500 on the season which has been a major disappointment following their championship last year. Golden St. improved to 12-2 at home but now hit the road where it has been a disaster with a 2-11 record with the only wins coming against Houston and Minnesota on the highway and it has lost two straight since that most recent win against the Timberwolves. The Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Here, we play on home teams after two or more consecutive unders, that have a scoring differential between +3 to +7 ppg going up against teams with a scoring differential of +/- 3 ppg. This situation is 87-40 ATS (68.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (568) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-12-22 | Celtics -3.5 v. Clippers | Top | 93-113 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Nonconference Game of the Month. Boston opened this roadtrip with three wins including a solid 27-point win over then-Western Conference leading Phoenix where it built a 45-point lead but suffered a loss at Golden St. on Saturday by 16 points which was its worst defeat of the season. The Celtics are now 21-6 and after the previous five losses, they won four of their follow up games and by an average of 11.5 ppg and are in another good spot to bounce back from the most recent loss. Boston remains in first place in the Eastern Conference as the offense still is tops in the league in scoring, three point shooting and free throw shooting while sitting No. 4 in overall shooting. The Clippers return home from a four-game east coast roadtrip where it went 2-2 and they are 15-13 overall showing nothing special along the way. They are just 7-6 at home and are still barely ranked in the top 20 in the power rankings as their schedule has been very easy, ranked No. 28 in the league as their wins have come against the poor teams in the NBA. Los Angeles is 13-5 against teams ranked outside the top 16 and just 2-8 against the top 16 that includes a 1-5 record against the top 10, one of only three teams in the entire league that has only one win against a top ten team, their being a two-point win against Cleveland. The Clippers do have a tough defense but the offense does not have enough to keep up. Here, we play on road favorites coming off a road loss by 10 points or more going up against an opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 39-12 ATS (76.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (563) Boston Celtics |
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12-12-22 | Creighton -2.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the CREIGHTON BLUEJAYS for our CBB Monday Enforcer. After a 6-0 start to the season, the Bluejays have lost four straight games and have fallen outside the top 25. The four losses were not bad ones as they were against Arizona, Texas, Nebraska and BYU, all of which have winning records so no real harm there especially when three of those were by five points or less and all away from home. Creighton is still ranked No. 27 in the latest ratings as the schedule has been a difficult one which is ranked No. 52 in the country and it was shorthanded last game with Ryan Kalkbrenner sitting out which was confirmed just one hour before the game so they had to change on the fly and it clearly did not work out and he should be good to go Monday. Arizona St. is 9-1 to open the season which does include a win over Michigan but there has not been much besides that with a schedule that is ranked No. 185. The Sun Devils are a quality team with a defense that has led the way, allowing 34.4 percent shooting from the floor which is No. 4 in the country, including 25.8 percent shooting allowed from long range which is No. 8. This is a good thing because the offense has struggled despite the soft schedule as Arizona St. is bottom third in the nation in overall shooting and shooting from behind the arc. Creighton finally gets that bounce back win after three straight failed efforts. 10* (811) Creighton Bluejays |
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12-11-22 | Mississippi State v. Minnesota +8 | Top | 69-51 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Minnesota is coming off a home loss against Michigan and while it was by 15 points, we have to look at the value here as the Golden Gophers are now getting double that amount tonight which seems way off considering Michigan and Mississippi St. are separated by just a half-point in the power rankings. Minnesota is now 4-5 on the season following four straight losses and bettors are steering clear of the Gophers so the linesmakers hands are tied when setting this number and despite the inflated line, Minnesota is a go against for the majority. Mississippi St. is off to an 8-0 start but it is in a very tricky spot here as the Bulldogs are plying their first true road game of the season and over its last two games on a neutral floor, it resulted in a pair of wins by just three points against Marquette and Utah. Overall, the Bulldogs have played the No. 346 schedule in the country out of 363 teams so while they possess the No. 1 ranked scoring defense in the nation, that is totally skewed and despite the strength of schedule, the offense has been below average in all major statistical categories so if we are expecting a low scoring game, the total is the lowest on the entire Sunday board, that favors the underdog and especially a big one at home. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 28-3 ATS (90.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (788) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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12-11-22 | Bucks v. Rockets +10 | Top | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. We played against Houston on Friday as it lost at San Antonio in the first game that it has been favored in all season and now heads back home where it is significantly better than it is on the road. The Rockets have been better overall, going 4-4 over their last eight games which includes three straight home wins where they are now 4-5 on the season as opposed to 3-13 on the highway so they have played a very heavy road schedule. This is part of the reason Houston has played the No. 3 ranked schedule in the league and they are catching a huge number at home where they are 4-1 ATS against teams with a winning record including an outright win over Philadelphia in its last game at home. The Rockets will be out for revenge following a 20-point loss in Milwaukee in the first meeting this season which is tied for their biggest loss of the season. Milwaukee is coming off a one-point win at Dallas on Friday to make it four straight wins and victories in seven of its last eight games. That puts the Bucks in a tough situation here as coming off that win and having a game on deck at home against Golden St. leads them into a tough sandwich spot. The runs along with the Celtics loss last night puts Milwaukee now one game behind Boston in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks are 7-3 on the road and they have actually been outscored overall on those 10 road games despite being four games over .500. The Bucks are just 2-5 ATS as favorites of more than seven points. Here, we play on teams coming off an upset loss as a favorite going up against an opponent off a road win by three points or less. This situation is 52-22 ATS (70.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) Houston Rockets |
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12-10-22 | Wolves v. Blazers -5 | Top | 118-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Portland is coming off a brutal home loss against Denver on Thursday as it went down on a last second three-pointer from Jamal Murray which snapped a modest two-game winning streak. The Blazers fell to 5-6 at home as they are one of only three teams in the Western Conference that possess a losing home record with San Antonio and Houston being the others. That being said, they are in a great spot here coming off that loss and facing a team on a back-to-back. Portland is ranked No. 4 in the league in three-point shooting going up against the Timberwolves perimeter defense that is No. 25 in long range shooting allowed which sets up Damian Lillard to have another huge game similar to his outburst against the Nuggets. Minnesota has won two straight games following a 10-point win at Utah last night. This is the Timberwolves fourth time this season playing back-to-back games and while having gone 1-2 against the number in the first three instances and this is the first of the season where both consecutive games have come on the road. The offense has been on a roll but the defense has been dreadful as the Timberwolves have allowed 123 ppg over their last six games. Here, we play on teams coming off a loss by three points or less to a division rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 100 or more points. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (536) Portland Trail Blazers |
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12-10-22 | Boise State v. St. Louis -5.5 | Top | 57-52 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BILLIKENS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. St. Louis is coming off a bad loss and looks to regroup as it heads back home where it is 5-0 on the season and is in a great situation for a big bounce back. After losing by 22 points at Iona, Boise St. and Drake offer two of their few remaining chances at wins that will display in the NET rankings, which came out this week. That loss to the Gaels dropped the Billikens way down the power rankings to No. 81 so these are the types of games they can ill afford to give up before conference play gets going. The Billikens have been at their best in this spot as they are among the better offensive teams in the country at home. They face a strong defense but one that has yet to see an environment like this. The Billikens have had injury issues early this season but are expected to be fully healthy as they begin their three-game homestand. Boise St. has won six straight games following a 1-2 start and it hits the highway for its first true road game of the season. It has already notched three wins against Power Five opponents, which is the most ever for the Broncos in a single season so that is a concern but they will be facing their first team going through some adversity. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points averaging between 67 and 74 ppg and after two straight wins by 10 points or more going up against teams allowing between 67 and 74 ppg. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (716) St. Louis Billikens |
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12-10-22 | Arizona v. Indiana | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA WILDCATS for our CBB Saturday Star Attraction. Two of the best shooting teams in the country square off in Las Vegas. The Wildcats have size, play an up tempo style and are battle-tested this season with wins over Cincinnati, San Diego St. and Creighton all of which came on a neutral floor at the Maui Invitational. Arizona enters the game with the second-best offense and the best effective field goal percentage in the country and the Indiana defense, which has been extremely solid, has not been tested like this. The Wildcats are balanced inside and out and having the fastest paced team in the country is even more potent as their bigs run the floor better than any team in the nation. The Hoosiers are playing away from home for the just the second time in close to three weeks and that one trek resulted in a 15-point loss at Rutgers. Indiana does have the better overall numbers on the defensive side as it has only allowed one opponent to score more than a point per possession in a game this season which was against Xavier as the Hoosiers escaped that with a two-point win. The only other solid win was a 12-point win over North Carolina but the Tar Heels have gone from No. 1 to unranked so that victory has lost a lot of its luster. Here, we play against underdogs shooting 52 percent or better on the season. This situation is 83-48 ATS (63.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (711) Arizona Wildcats |
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12-10-22 | San Diego State -1 v. St. Mary's | Top | 61-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CBB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Following a pair of losses against Arizona and Arkansas, San Diego St. has rebounded with three straight wins but you have to go all the way back to November 21 to find the last time the Aztecs have covered a game, a span of five straight contests. They are laying a short number here and while they are the designated road team, this is on a neutral court in Phoenix with this being another opportunity for a quality win similar to the last time they covered against Ohio St. which was also on a neutral floor. St. Mary's snapped a three-game losing streak with a win over Missouri St. by 20 points so that bounce back is out of the way and that was arguably their best win of the season as the Gaels have lost to all three opponents that are ranked within the top 100. They have relied on a strong defense but have a test here against a San Diego St. team that is coming off an awful performance against Troy were it won but managed a season low 60 points. Offensively, they have struggled throughout the season as they have shot over 50 percent only once and faces a defense that has allowed 50 percent or higher shooting only once. Here, we play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pickem coming off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .800. This situation is 73-36 ATS (67 percent) since 1997. 10* (637) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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12-09-22 | Arkansas State v. Air Force -6.5 | Top | 55-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. After a 1-3 start that included a pair of four-point losses including one in overtime at home against Texas A&M-Commerce, Air Force has won five of its last six games including five straight victories at home where the home court advantage is typically pretty sizable. This is a very young teams with 17 of the 20 players on the roster being underclassmen which led to the rough start but now they are coming together especially on the defensive end. Air Force is ranked No. 5 in the nation in three-point shooting defense at 24.0 percent and No. 36 in scoring defense at 61.2 ppg. This is the last game for the Falcons for nine days because of finals which puts some extra importance on this game as well as the fact they will be out for revenge following a 21-point loss at Arkansas St. last season. Arkansas St. stays on the road following a loss at Central Arkansas on Tuesday to fall to 0-3 on the highway and 5-4 overall with that overall record being skewed. Three of those wins came against non-Division I teams Bethel, Lyon and Harding by 25, 24 and 31 points respectively so those have skewed their overall numbers and even the other victories have been suspect. The Red Wolves also have defeated Mississippi Valley St. which is the lowest ranked team in the country at No. 363 and Tennessee Martin which checks in at No. 307 and their own ranking of No. 266 seems inflated with a schedule played ranked No. 350 in the nation. 10* (888) Air Force Falcons |
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12-09-22 | Wizards v. Pacers -4.5 | Top | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. Indiana was on a decent roll where it was on a 9-2 run before heading out on a seven-game roadtrip where it ended up going 2-5 to fall to 13-12 on the season. The Pacers are now back home for the start of a four-game homestand and while they have been playing over their heads based on their power ranking that is in the bottom third of the league, this is a good spot to get back into the win column to get some of that momentum back. They have a mismatch advantage in the backcourt tonight as Tyrese Haliburton, Benedict Mathurin and Buddy Hield are averaging 54.7 ppg to go along with a lot of depth from the bench. Indiana is 7-4 at home and the Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. One reason for the backcourt disadvantage for Washington is that Bradely Beal is on the shelf again as he is out with a hamstring injury and as mentioned in other scenarios, teams initially tend to step up when a star player goes down but this is now the third game with him out and his absence has been felt as the thin backcourt does not have a reliable scorer to make up for his production. The Wizards have lost four straight games and seven of their last eight to crawl back under .500 for the season and the road has not been kind of late as they have dropped six straight games on the highway. The Wizards are 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a loss as a favorite, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog. This situation is 139-82 ATS (62.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (506) Indiana Pacers |
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12-08-22 | Rockets v. Spurs +2.5 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 21 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. The Spurs have lost 11 straight games and 16 of their last 17 games with 14 of those against potential and current playoff positioned teams and the other three of those against the resurgent Lakers so while losing like this is certainly not good, it has been a brutal stretch. The lone win came against Milwaukee in a fluke and now San Antonio finally catches a break and gets a team on its own level. They have played the No. 8 ranked schedule in the NBA and have faced only four teams at home with a losing record, covering only one but two of the losses were against the Lakers and the other was against Charlotte which was way back in the season opener. Houston has been playing better as it has won four of its last seven games including an overtime win in its last game against Philadelphia and also included an improbable road win at Phoenix three games back. That being said, the recent stretch is a reason along with the Spurs struggles that the Rockets are favorites on the road for the first time this season and for the first time overall as they have gotten points in all 24 games heading into Thursday. That is an automatic play against situation and one that also falls into a contrarian spot as no one will be betting on the 1-16 run of the Spurs. Here, we play on teams allowing 50 percent shooting or worse on the season and averaging 48 or fewer rpg on the season. This situation is 33-14 ATS (70.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (578) San Antonio Spurs |
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12-08-22 | Iowa State v. Iowa -4 | Top | 56-75 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our CBB Nonconference Game of the Month. The Cyclones lost a ton from last season, most notably their two best backcourt players and leading scorers Izaiah Brockington and Tyrese Hunter who averaged a combined 28.3 ppg, 10.6 rpg and 6.6 apg. Iowa St. has been picked to finish No. 8 in the 10-team Big 12 but has gotten off to a 7-1 start that includes big wins over Villanova and North Carolina. But those were big at the time as Villanova is down under new head coach Kyle Neptune and North Carolina is currently on a four-game winning streak. The Cyclones followed that up by getting hammered against Connecticut and now hit the road for their first true road game. Iowa opened the season 5-0 before a loss against a very good and underrated TCU team and then after a blowout win over Georgia Tech, the Hawkeyes lost by 12 points against Duke, a team that is starting to come around after a pair of early loses, at MSG on Tuesday. The Hawkeyes return home in this rivalry where they are 4-0 and will be out for some big time revenge following a 20-point loss in Ames last season almost to the day. This is a very efficient team that does not give the opponent easy opportunities as Iowa is No. 1 in the country in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.93) and second in fewest turnovers per game. They have one of the top scoring offenses in the country at No. 21 and they have four players that are hitting 50 percent or better from the floor. 10* (876) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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12-07-22 | Celtics v. Suns +2 | Top | 125-98 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS as part of our NBA Wednesday Three Pack. We played against Boston in its last game and once again, the Celtics stepped up late as it turned a close game against Toronto into a runaway thanks to a 35-18 edge in the third quarter before Toronto made it respectable at the end. The Celtics possess the best record in the NBA at 20-5 and still hold a two-game lead over Milwaukee in the Eastern Conference. Boston has won two straight games after a win over Brooklyn on Sunday prior to the Raptors win which closed a 5-1 homestand. The Celtics are a perfect 9-0 against teams outside the top 16 but 11-5 against teams within that and while still good, it is just 4-2 on the road against those top 16 teams with this being the biggest test of the season. The Suns are still atop the highly competitive top portion of the Western Conference at 16-8 and after a 7-1 run, they are coming off a 19-point loss at Dallas on Monday which was their worst loss of the season. Of those eight defeats, five have come by two points or less so a few bounces their way and they could be right with the Celtics for the best record in the league. Phoenix is 12-2 at home with the two losses coming by three points combined and it is getting points here which it should not be based on the power rankings and the fact they are at home. The Suns are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a loss. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road win scoring 110 or more points, playing their 3rd game in four days. This situation is 51-24 ATS (68 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (574) Phoenix Suns |
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12-07-22 | Connecticut v. Florida +4.5 | Top | 75-54 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS for our CBB Wednesday Signature Enforcer. Florida had a rough go of it at the Phil Knight Legacy Tournament in Portland as it lost two of three games against Xavier and West Virginia but came home and throttled Florida A&M and Stetson by 40 and 38 points respectively and while we normally take cupcake games like that with a grain of salt, these were big for the Gators and they needed some confidence and momentum back before a brutal stretch coming up starting on Wednesday. They are 4-1 at home and while the one loss was a bad one against Florida Atlantic, the Owls have turned out to be a solid team at 7-1. They match up well here against a team that has been a mismatch for most opponents. Connecticut is 9-0 and has turned into a sleeper national title team at +1800, tied for fifth with Purdue and it comes in ranked in the same position at No. 5 after entering the season unranked. The Huskies do have a good win over Alabama on a neutral floor which has been the only game they have been an underdog in all season which is telling but they do have others on that same floor against Oregon and Iowa St. They have played the No. 140 schedule in the country which is not horrible but they have yet to face a true road game until tonight and it comes against an opponent in need of a quality win over a quality opponent. A big public team should go down here. 10* (706) Florida Gators |
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12-07-22 | Pacers v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES as part of our NBA Wednesday Three Pack. Indiana concludes its seven-game roadtrip tonight in Minnesota and it has not been a good one as the Pacers are 2-4 through the first six games but they are coming off a big upset on Monday as they went into Golden St. and came away with an eight-point win as an 11-point underdog. Indiana is now 6-7 on the road which is respectable for a team not expected to do much but has been outscored by five ppg overall and half of those wins came against bottom-feeding teams in the league. On the season, the Pacers are 4-6 against the much tougher Western Conference and they have a ranking of just No. 24 in the NBA as they are one of only two teams ranked in the bottom third of the league that have a winning record. Minnesota has split its first two games in the absence of Karl-Anthony Towns and looks to bounce back from a home loss against Oklahoma City last time out. The Timberwolves have lost two straight games at home where they are just 6-7 on the season and they have been a money-burning 2-6 ATS over their last eight games but are in a good spot here with their high-powered offense going up against an Indiana team that is ranked No. 17 in defensive efficiency and allow the eighth-most points in the league. Also, they are facing a Pacers team with two of their top three scorers questionable for tonight. The Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last six games playing on three or more days of rest. Here, we play on favorites coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 78-41 ATS (65.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (562) Minnesota Timberwolves |