This is a play on the TCU HORNED FROGS for our CFB Bowl Game of the Year. TCU is the surprise of the college football season and it continues to get no respect. Despite a 12-0 record, the Horned Frogs were underdogs in the Big 12 Championship because no one wants to bet on this team and while they lost, it took overtime in a game they outgained the Wildcats by 65 yards and were more impressive last week. Many thought of it to be a mismatch against Michigan even with its high-powered offense but they scored 51 points and put up 488 yards against one of the best defenses in the country which showed the Horned Frogs do belong. They obviously have another big test here against one of the best defenses in the country but possess one of the best offensive minds in college football in head coach Sonny Dykes who worked with the late, great Mike Leach at Texas Tech and turned around offenses in his stops before heading to TCU. In the last two games, the Georgia defense has given up 850 yards passing and it has been middle of the road all season at No. 52 overall. Georgia no doubt has a power offense of its own and the fact TCU allowed 45 points against Michigan is a concern but overall, the Horned Frogs held some very solid defenses from the Big 12 in check. The Horned Frogs had more wins over ranked opponents (6) than Georgia (4) and while the teams cannot dictate who they play in not giving Georgia the same amount off opportunities, the fact that they won those games tells a lot for TCU. Power rankings call for Georgia being a touchdown favorite here which shows an inflated line which was also the case against Michigan that unfortunately we did not take advantage of. One overlooked factor here is that Georgia had the advantage of playing the SEC Championship and the CFP Semifinals at Mercedes-Benz Stadium which is not too far from campus so there was hardly any travel and that has been the case for most of this season. Eight games were played away from Athens including four neutral sites that were all close by and the furthest trip was to Missouri and we all saw what almost happened there. This is not an end all be all aspect but counts some. 10* (287) TCU Horned Frogs

This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our CFB Rose Bowl Winner. Utah will be out for some retribution following a loss in the Rose Bowl last season, falling by a field goal to Ohio St. and it has a good matchup here to do so. Penn St. and Utah both do a fantastic job of getting pressure on the quarterback, stopping the run and creating turnovers but it is Utah that has played the tougher schedule and is better equipped to handle it here. Utah is one of five Power 5 teams that rank in the top 20 in both total offense and defense and led the Pac 12 in both categories. The offense is balanced led by underrated quarterback Cam Rising who threw for 2,939 yards and 25 touchdowns and just seven interceptions while completing 66.2 percent of his passes. The Utes will be without leading rusher Tavion Thomas but they have great depth and will be fine with Ja'Quinden Jackson and Micah Bernard. Over the last two games, Jackson rushed for 222 yards on 9.7 ypc and five touchdowns while Bernard rushed for 179 yards on 7.8 ypc and two touchdowns. One huge asset the Nittany Lions have is a strong rushing defense that is ranked No. 14 in the country despite allowing a whopping 418 rushing yards against Michigan. That is key because Penn St. faced some horrible rushing teams besides that. It was a great season for Penn St. with its only losses coming against Michigan and Ohio St. and it backed into the Rose Bowl because those two teams both qualified for the CFP. The Nittany Lions possess a very balanced offense led by veteran quarterback Sean Clifford who numbers rival those of Rising but faced some poor defenses down the stretch. Utah is ranked No. 20 in total defense with a strong rushing defense of its own as it is ranked No. 16 against the run. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg and after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg. This situation is 99-54 ATS (64.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (283) Utah Utes

This is a play on the ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE for our CFB Nonconference Game of the Month. Not too often will you hear Alabama and line value uttered in the same sentence but that is the case in the Sugar Bowl. The Crimson Tide have been favored by double-digits in all but one game this season which was a true road game at Tennessee where they were favored by nine points. Now they are favored less than that on a neutral field in a game where they will be playing with a chip on their shoulder and with no opt outs, they are here to win and win big. Alabama is out to prove something after missing out on the College Football Playoff, which it did not deserve a spot, but it did in its own mind and that is motivation enough. The Crimson Tide offense is at full strength after averaging 40.8 ppg during the regular season, good for No. 4 in the nation. The Wildcats are a respectable No. 53 in the country in total defense at 365.8 ypg and in the two games they faced a high-powered offense against TCU, they allowed 38 and 28 points, and in the two other games they points, those were against two offenses not on the same level as Alabama. The Kansas St. offense has been on a roll of late as the Wildcats have scored 30 or more points in five of its last six games but facing Big 12 defenses will do that. Obviously, one of those wins came against TCU but the Horned Frogs do not have a very good defense despite being the No. 3 team in the country and the best defense Kansas St. has faced over this six-game stretch is ranked No. 50. Alabama checks in at No. 15 and is ranked in the top 30 in all major defensive categories. Kansas St. has a great running back in Deuce Vaughn as he has 1,425 yards on the ground and a cause for concern is that the Crimson Tide allowed 318 yards rushing against Auburn but we can categorize that as an aberration as just four other teams managed to go over 100 yards on the ground against their defense this season. Alabama has big edges on both sides of the ball and we will gladly lay the short price. 10* (272) Alabama Crimson Tide

This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Wyoming is in a very tough spot as it has one of the worst offenses in the country as it is ranked No. 118 in total offense and No. 112 in scoring offense and is now down a ton in the Arizona Bowl. The Cowboys leading rusher Titus Swen, who had 1,039 yards on the ground entered the transfer portal as did leading receiver Josh Cobbs, who had just 407 yards which shows how bad the passing game has been. With Swen on the move, there is a ton of pressure on quarterback Andrew Peasley who was pretty bad as he threw for just 1,388 yards with nine touchdowns and eight interceptions while barely completing over half of his passes. They will be facing one of the worst defenses in the country against the pass but that will not matter here as Wyoming scored just 31 points total over their last three games. The Bobcats would struggle against a good offense but certainly not here. Ohio had one of the best offenses in the country as it was led by MAC Offensive Player of the Year quarterback Kurtis Rourke but he sustained a season ending injury late in the year so that offense will definitely not be as prolific. CJ Harris has played two games and was pretty good so that experience and extra preparation time will benefit him going up against a very good Wyoming defense. But that defense is also down some key players as it best corner Cameron Stone and edge rusher Oluwaseyi Omotosho, who was second on the team with 6.5 sacks, both entered the transfer portal. We can expect a big game from running back Sieh Bangura, the MAC Freshman of the Year, as he led the team with 940 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns. We are catching a small line because of the Rourke absence but Ohio is in great shape for its first 10-win season since 2011. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after gaining 250 or less total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (266) Ohio Bobcats

This is a play on the UCLA BRUINS for our CFB Friday Afternoon Dominator. The transfer portal has affected these two teams in different ways with UCLA players showing the classy way to go out. Pittsburgh and UCLA had the leading rushers in their respective conferences with Israel Abanikanda leading the ACC with 1,431 yards and Zach Charbonnet leading the Pac 12 with 1,359 yards but only Charbonnet will be present on Friday as Abanikanda opted out to get ready for the NFL Draft. That is a big loss for the Panthers who will also be without starting quarterback Kedon Clovis who entered the transfer portal and is off to BYU leaving Pittsburgh with a makeshift offense. This is not good news for an offense that was average to begin with and now it will be Nick Patti and/or Nate Yarnell making the start at quarterback after throwing for just 258 yards combined on only 32 passing attempts. The UCLA defense is not very good and would have been vulnerable against a full Panthers offense but should be able to keep the Panthers in check. The defense did have its moments against some average offenses and that is what we can classify Pittsburgh at this point. Conversely, the UCLA offense is in fine shape with Charbonnet and do everything quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson playing despite both going to be taken in the NFL Draft and respect for them to play with their teammates in what was a great season. The Bruins finished No. 3 in the country in total offense and what made it so lethal was the balance as they were the only team in the country to have at least 2,900 yards rushing and 3,100 yards passing. Thompson-Robinson was exceptional as he accumulated 3,514 total yards and 39 touchdowns both through the air and on the ground and while facing a solid defense, that unit also lost players that have opted out including all-American tackle and NFL prospect Calijah Kancey. There will be plenty of motivation for the Bruins as they seek their first 10-win season since 2014, the same year they had their last bowl victory. 10* (262) UCLA Bruins

This is a play on the FLORIDA ST. SEMINOLES for our CFB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. We typically do not lay big numbers in bowl games but this will be an exception. Both teams should have plenty of motivation here as Oklahoma will want to avoid a losing season for the first time since 1998 so there will be pride while on the other side, the Seminoles will be out its first 10-win season since 2016 and looks to set the tone for 2023 which could be a special one given the talent that they are returning and bringing in via the transfer portal and recruiting class. These were two of the best rushing teams in the country during the regular season but they will be totally different heading into the bowl game. The Sooners would have had a significant edge against a pretty bad Florida St. rushing defense but star running back Eric Gray, who rushed for 1,364 yards, opted out of the game as did both starting tackles leaving the ball in the hands of quarterback Dillon Gabriel who did have a decent season but now has no running game to rely on and he will be missing his deep threat receiver Theo Wease who also opted out. He faces a Seminoles passing defense that allowed just 158.9 ypg which as No. 3 in the country. on the other side, the Seminoles finished just ahead of Oklahoma in rushing offense at No. 12 with 217.8 ypg and the difference here is that everyone will be playing. Their four leading rushers all eclipsed 4.9 ypc and together they combined for 26 touchdowns. Oklahoma ranked No. 107 in rushing defense, giving up at least 203 rushing yards five times and to no surprise, they lost all five of those games. The Sooners are just 1-6 when allowing more than 14 points this season and that will not be an issue for Florida St. to surpass that number. Pride can only go so far as the Sooners are severely undermanned in this matchup and what looks good on paper could potentially turn into a blowout. 10* (256) Florida St. Seminoles

This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Mississippi opened the season 7-0 and got itself into the top ten but then the schedule stiffened and the Rebels folded. They lost four of their last five games with the only win over that stretch coming against a bad Texas A&M team. That was the story this season as they beat just one Power 5 team that qualified for a bowl game all season which was Kentucky and went 0-4 in their other meetings with Power 5 bowl teams. Their rushing attack has been lethal as they average 261.6 ypg which is the most in the country from a non-option running team so the Red Raiders will have their hands full. But they possess a very underrated defense that was the best one to take the field in years as this season, Texas Tech is ranked No. 45 in EPA per play and No. 33 in success rate. Even more impressive is the fact they allowed 29.5 ppg which is nothing great but it is the fewest it has allowed in over a decade. The Red Raiders closed the season with three straight wins, two coming against bowl teams, part of four victories they have against bowl teams overall. The results are a bit surprising with this being the first season with head coach Joey McGuire and some low expectations coming in but they overachieved to finish 7-5 and will be amped up to carry some momentum into next season. One thing that has not changed is the offense that goes fast and is one of the best in the country. The Red Raiders average the most offensive plays in the country while their 44.2 passing attempts per game is the third most in the nation. That has led to the No. 13 ranked passing offense which will find success as the Rebels defense is ranked No. 98 in pass success rate which is a better indicator than the raw yards allowed. Despite some gaudy passing numbers, the running game is very effective and can keep defenses off balance as Texas Tech is averaging a solid 152.1 ypg on the ground. 10* (252) Texas Tech Red Raiders

This is a play on the DUKE BLUE DEVILS for our CFB Wednesday Afternoon Dominator. Central Florida opened this game as the favorite but the line has flipped with the Knights coming in banged up and shorthanded. UCF lost two of its last three games including a defeat in the AAC Championship and this is not the destination it was expecting just a few short weeks ago. Knights quarterback John Rhys Plumlee is not on the injury list but dealt with a hamstring injury down the stretch and that hurts the offense besides the passing game as he led UCF in rushing during the regular season with 841 yards. He could be limited against a Duke defense that finished No. 24 in the country in yards allowed per game and 18th in rush play success rate. While the running game could be hampered, the passing attack is hurt as top receiver Ryan O'Keefe is entering the transfer portal and will not play. The weakness of the Blue Devils defense is against the pass but they catch a break here. Duke is coming off an 8-4 season and while there were not many quality wins, the fact it was able to get to eight wins was a huge achievement for a team picked to finish near the bottom of the ACC. The Blue Devils won four of their last five games with the only loss coming to Pittsburgh by two points. They have a dynamic offense that is very balanced as Duke ranked No. 3 in the conference in rushing with 184.8 ypg and No. 6 in passing with 236.4 ypg while also averaging 33.1 ppg. The offensive line is responsible for a lot of the success, especially on the ground as they are ranked No. 4 in stuff rate, No. 9 in line yards, and No. 31 in the country in rush play success rate. The Knights passing defense is a big weakness, ranked No. 81 in coverage rate while allowing 268 passing ypg over its last nine games taking Navy out of the equation. Over the last three games, the Knights allowed 267 ypg rushing so this unit has been gashed all over the place and has been very inconsistent. 10* (246) Duke Blue Devils

This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Oklahoma St. was a favorite in the Big 12 coming into the season and after a 5-0 start, things were looking good. The Cowboys then suffered a loss in overtime against TCU which put them in a tailspin and while they did respond with a win against Texas, the closed the season on a 1-4 run with the only win coming against bottom feeder Iowa St. despite getting outgained by 89 yards and posting just 244 yards of total offense. The Cowboys averaged just 13.6 ppg over that five-game closing stretch and now have to go into the bowl game without starting quarterback Spencer Sanders who entered the transfer portal. Backups Gunner Gundy and Garret Rangel were not good when pressed into play as they completed 52 percent of their passes while throwing five touchdowns and seven interceptions so it is a significant drop off. They will not be facing one of the best defenses it has seen all season. The Badgers dropped their regular season finale against Minnesota to finish 6-6but it was a good rally following the firing of head coach Paul Chryst and there is motivation for Wisconsin to end the season with a win for interim head coach Jim Leonard who is a player favorite and did not get the permanent head coaching position. The offense struggled this season and will also have to play with a backup quarterback as starter Graham Mertz also entered the transfer portal but the drop off is not as significant even though there is little experience as they are not a passing team to begin with, ranking No. 22 in the country in running percentage. Leading rusher Braelon Allen is questionable after missing the last game but Wisconsin goes up against an Oklahoma St. defense ranked No. 100 in opponent yards per play. On the other side, Wisconsin ranked 12th in the nation in opponent yards per play when facing FBS opponents while allowing more than 24 points only once in its last seven games. 10* (244) Wisconsin Badgers

This is a play on the UTAH ST. AGGIES for our CFB Tuesday Afternoon Dominator. A pair of underwhelming teams square off in Dallas and that typically favors the underdog, especially one that is getting a significant amount of points. Utah St. had its three-game winning streak snapped in a fluky loss at Boise St. to close the regular season as it was down by just five points midway through the fourth quarter before the Broncos scored on a 91-yard touchdown run and then on a 48-yard interception return for a score to close the game. It was an excellent run to close the season after the Aggies opened 1-4 and while the top level stats show weaknesses, digging deeper does show some edges in key areas. They possess an underrated defense where it is ranked No. 22 in Stuff Rate and No. 32 in Passing Success Rate so it can slow this Memphis offense down whose own top level numbers are inflated. Memphis also finished 6-6 and closed the season with a loss against SMU which snapped its own two-game winning streak. The Tigers beat the teams it should have but struggled against the rest of the slate as they went 1-6 against bowl teams. The Tigers passing game is solid but as mentioned, they will be facing a strong pass defense. Memphis does not run the ball well at all and it is ranked No. 84 in ERA per rush and No. 104 in line yards and that goes right up against the Utah St. strength along the line of scrimmage. Their defense is overrated as while they are No. 63 in total defense, they are No. 77 in EPA per play and No. 88 in Success Rate and the passing defense is a real weakness as the tigers are No. 95 in EPA per pass and No. 109 in Passing Success Rate and Utah St. can take advantage. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that have been outscored by opponents by seven or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 76-38 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (239) Utah St. Aggies

This is a play on the NEW MEXICO ST. AGGIES for our CFB Monday Enforcer. Bowling Green closed the season winning four of its last six games to earn a trip to a bowl game for the first time since 2005 but this is not a good team. The Falcons are ranked No. 97 or worse in six of the eight statistical categories including No. 105 in total offense and No. 106 in total defense and in its 12 games, Bowling Green has been outgained nine times. Despite a 5-3 MAC record, the offense scored 17 or fewer points five times and the Falcons will be facing a pretty strong defense. Quarterback Matt McDonald is coming off one of his worst games of the season and has been inconsistent throughout and keeping him clean will be a problem as he has been sacked three times or more in each of the last seven games. While this game is being played closer to home for Bowling Green, any advantage of having a home crowd on its side is minimal as there will be no one at this game. New Mexico St. had to play a non-scheduled game against Valparaiso of the FCS to get a special bowl waiver since two of its victories were against FCS teams but nonetheless, the Aggies are bowling for the first time since 2017 as head coach Jerry Kill has done an outstanding job in his first season, taking a program to the postseason that had not finished better than 3-10 since 2018, going 8-30 over that stretch. They have played a softer schedule but face an opponent right at their level and getting a favorable number. The Aggies are ranked No. 37 in the country in Points Per Opportunity which is based on getting inside the opponents 40-yard line and the Bowling Green defense has struggled defending that as it is ranked No. 100 in defensive Points Per Opportunity. Here, we play against teams after allowing 37 points or more last game going up against an opponent after two straight wins by 28 or more points. This situation is 131-69 ATS (65.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (235) New Mexico St. Aggies

This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. BLUE RAIDERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Two fairly even teams square off on Christmas Eve in Hawaii and we are getting value in this line with the Blue Raiders. Middle Tennessee St. closed the season with three straight wins to finish 7-5 and while those came against some weak competition, it matches up well here. The offense was middle of the pack as the passing game led the way. Quarterback Chase Cunningham completed 67.4 percent of his passes for 2,920 yards with 19 touchdowns and nine interceptions to lead a passing attack that is ranked No. 31 in the country. Now while they face a San Diego St. defense that has only allowed 206.6 ypg which was good for No. 35, those came mostly against teams in the MWC that had no semblance of a passing game with five teams ranked in the bottom 15 in the country in passing offense. A passing game that has an edge even though the stats do not state that from the top line is even better when that teams is a significant underdog. San Diego St. also finished the season 7-5 with just two solid wins against Toledo and San Jose St. as the other four FBS wins came against teams a combined 12-37. The offense was one of the worst in the country as the Aztecs averaged 321.8 ypg and 21.3 ppg, No. 117 and No. 109 in the country respectively and while it did improve over the second half of the season with a quarterback change, it was not overwhelming. Jalen Mayden, who is a converted safety, completed 62.3 percent of his passes for 1,721 yards with 10 touchdowns and seven interceptions so he did not light it up and actually regressed after teams got film on him. He was sacked 15 times in seven games and will be facing a solid Middle Tennessee St. defensive line that registered 34 sacks and while the defense was next to last in passing defense, there is not much worry here and the strength of the San Diego St. offense will be negated by the Blue Raiders No. 27 ranked rushing defense. 10* (233) Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Wake Forest was a ranked team in late October but it closed the season with losses in four of its last five games to finish the regular season 7-5. It will be out to close the season strong and the roster is fully on board as it is just a little more intact with no optouts and quarterback Sam Hartman is the key piece as he easily could have to get ready for the NFL Draft but chose the noble move to end his five-year career here and play in the final bowl game. Wake Forest has the No. 10 ranked passing offense and will be facing a strong Missouri defense but it will be down heading into this game. The defense was shredded many times this season but those were against alite offenses and that will not be the case here. Missouri has momentum in its favor, having won its last two games to clinch a bowl berth but it struggled for the most part against good teams, going 1-4 against FBS teams with a winning record. Missouri was not hit too hard with the transfer portal but did lose top receiver Dominic Lovett which will hurt an already anemic passing offense and the Tigers will also be missing some key pieces on the defensive line. While dual-threat quarterback Brady Cook will be difficult to contain, if this game turns into a shootout, his throwing ability will not be able to keep up. The Missouri defense struggles when facing off against elite slot receivers and Wake Forest has two of the best in the ACC in Taylor Morin and Ke'Shawn Williams. Here, we play on teams after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games. This situation is 55-22 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (231) Wake Forest Demon Deacons

This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Air Force comes into Thursday following four straight victories to close the regular season and finished in a three-way tie for second place in the MWC Mountain Division. A win over Baylor would give the Falcons a 10-win season for the second consecutive year and the fifth time over the last 16 seasons which is saying something for a service academy program. Air Force is 9-3 with the three losses coming against Wyoming, Utah St. and Boise St., all bowl teams, all by one possession and two of those being true road games. The solid record shows in the stats as the Falcons possess the top ranked rushing game in the country as they cause fits for most teams and will do so here against a team that fired its defensive coordinator at the end of the regular season. The flexbone offense has three productive backs so defenses cannot key on one particular player while getting confused by the numerous counters and fakes. Baylor has lost three straight games, albeit all against ranked teams, so it comes in with little momentum and after high expectations coming into the season, it has been a disappointing one at 6-6. The Bears have an above average offense led by quarterback Blake Shapen who has been wildly inconsistent especially down the stretch. Over his last four games, he has three touchdowns and five interceptions and none of those games came against a defense ranked in the top 50. Now, Baylor goes up against the top ranked defense in the country and the Falcons are great at both levels as they are No. 1 against the pass and No. 3 against the run and while this can be attributed to facing the fewest snaps by far, they are still No. 13 in yards per play allowed. Because of leading the country in time of possession, the defense is fresh throughout the game which leads to its great success. 10* (227) Air Force Falcons

This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. South Alabama is coming off its best season since entering the FBS in 2012 as it posted its best winning percentage after going 10-2 with the two losses coming by a combined five points against UCLA and Troy so it is no surprise the Jaguars come in as the favorite. Half of its wins came by one possession so things could have gone worse as the Jaguars have the No. 12 ranked Luck Factor Rating so deep analytics can tell a different story. They have a good but not great offense as they are ranked No. 40 or worse in all categories and while facing a below average defense, the Hilltoppers improved immensely on that side of the ball over the second half of the season. The Hilltoppers closed the season with wins in three of their last four games with the only loss at Auburn and they won the yardage battle in all of those contests. Western Kentucky was on the other side of the Luck Factor Ratings as they have been unfortunate coming in ranked No. 117. South Alabama comes in with a with a very solid defense but the one liability is the passing defense where it allows 215.8 ypg which is ranked No. 52 and while not horrible, it has a horrible matchup. The Hilltoppers bring in the No. 2 ranked passing offense and they are fortunate to be at full strength. They are led by transfer quarterback Austin Reed who was named C-USA Newcomer of the Year after throwing for 4,249 yards and 36 touchdowns, which are ranked No. 2 and No 4 in the country respectively. They are fortunate as Reed initially entered the transfer portal in hoping to go to Louisville but has since reversed course and will be playing with a chip on his shoulder. The rushing offense is not as good but the passing game has done enough to bring in the No. 10 ranked total offense and No. 18 ranked scoring offense. The Jaguars earlier faced Georgia Southern who came in with the No. 6 ranked passing offense and they were lit up by quarterback Kyle Vantrease yet escaped with a 14-point come-from-behind win. 10* (226) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. San Jose St. comes in as a relatively short favorite hear which is based on its 0-6 ATS stretch to close the season as the public rides those streaks while those are the ones we go against. San Jose St. comes in with two key edges in the quarterback matchup and the defensive advantage. Quarterback Chevan Cordeiro, an All-Mountain West second-team selection has thrown for 2,885 yards with 20 touchdowns and just four interceptions. The offense overall has not been great but it has been efficient as the Spartans are No. 4 in the country in turnover margin as they have only turned the ball over six times all season while the defense has grabbed 18 takeaways. Corderio has led an offense that is No. 34 in passing and while facing a tough passing defense, he should be just fine here. The Spartans are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games against teams with a winning record. Eastern Michigan brings in a similar offense overall but it is way down the ranks in both rushing and passing so it does not flourish in any one area. The Eagles are No. 86 in passing offense and No. 74 in rushing offense and they have a bad matchup here. Defensively, the Spartans are No. 25 overall and No. 22 in points allowed as they are a great pressure team and have the ability to get into the opponent backfield. San Jose St. in ranked No. 5 with 36 sacks on the season, led by defensive linemen Viliami Fehoko and Cade Hall which will be playing on Sunday in the near future, and the Eagles are ranked No. 85 in pass protection after giving up 30 sacks. Expect San Jose St. to be under pressure all day with quarterback Taylor Powell under duress. The Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games. This situation is 55-21 ATS (72.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (222) San Jose St. Spartans

This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our CFB Monday Enforcer. In their first season under of head coach Jim Mora, the Huskies are back in a bowl for the first time since 2015 and have a chance for their first winning season since 2010. There is a ton of motivation for this program but this is not a good matchup. We played against Connecticut in its final game of the regular season and while it won the overall yardage battle, Army controlled the game with its rushing attack as it gained 320 yards on 5.5 ypc. Connecticut is ranked No. 88 in rushing defense and while the Marshall running game is a difference scheme than that of the Black Knights, it is still a powerful one. The Thundering Herd are No. 21 in rushing offense led by Khalan Labon and his 1,423 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns while freshman quarterback Cam Fancher has done a solid job taking over for an injured Henri Colombi and has led a balanced attack where he has also utilize his legs. On the other side, the Huskies rely solely on their running game as they are a solid No. 32 in rushing offense but have no passing game to speak of and that is a problem here. The Thundering Herd have the No. 5 rushing defense in the country so Connecticut will have a hard time getting anything going on the ground and relying on freshman quarterback Zion Turner is a problem as he has not been as effective as his counterpart as he has thrown for only 1,242 yards on the entire season while throwing just nine touchdowns and seven interceptions. It has been a nice story for the Huskies but playing a soft Independent schedule helped as they are ranked just No. 132 in the current ratings and are ranked below many teams with losing records. This will be a boring game with a lot of running on both sides with Marshall having the ability to control the line of scrimmage from start to finish. 10* (220) Marshall Thundering Herd

This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Fresno St. had a rough start to the season as it opened 1-4 due to the loss of starting quarterback Jake Haener but his return brought a resurgence as the Bulldogs closed the season with six straight wins as the defense also picked it up late. Haener has thrown for 2,616 yards on 72.6 percent completions while throwing 18 touchdowns and only three picks and has an ideal matchup here. This line has done a big flip but justifiably so with the Cougars taking a big hit with absences. Washington St. is down some key players and personnel heading into its bowl game. Wide receivers De'Zhaun Stribling and Donovan Ollie and middle linebackers Francisco Mauigoa and Travion Brown went into the transfer portal. But the biggest one is outside linebacker Daiyan Henley, an All-Pac-12 first-team selection, opted out of the LA Bowl to declare for the NFL draft. Additionally, defensive coordinator Brian Ward left for Arizona St. early this month while offensive coordinator Eric Morris left the team to take over the head coaching job at North Texas. The transfer portal has done a number on a bunch of teams and Washington St. has been one of the most affected and scrambling in an early bowl game makes it more demanding. The Cougars had won three straight games before getting pummeled by Washington in the Apple Cup to close the regular season. Here, we play on teams after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after a loss by 17 or more points. This situation is 54-25 ATS (68.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (211) Fresno St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our ACC Game of the Month. Clemson came up small for us last week in a 31-30 loss against South Carolina as the passing game was non-existent with just 99 yards through the air which negated another great game from the rushing attack. With that defeat, the Tigers are out of the CFP picture but they would have been out nevertheless as they did not get any needed help from other teams last week. Now, the goal is to regain the ACC Championship title that they held for six consecutive years before Pittsburgh won it in 2021. While the offense struggled through the air, the Tigers rushed for 237 yards against the Gamecocks, the fourth time in the last five games they have surpassed 200 rushing yards. They face a North Carolina defense that is very bad at all levels that will get lit up here. Quarterback D.J. Uiagalelei was just 8-29 through the air but head coach Dabo Swinney gave him the vote of confidence as he will start this week. The secondary gave up over 350 yards passing to South Carolina and that is concerning with Drake Maye and the high-powered Tar Heels offense on deck and we should see a better effort in this rebound spot. Defensive coordinator Wes Goodwin knows getting his group back with the right mindset will be key, and early on he has liked the way the unit has responded. Since claiming the ACC Coastal Division title three weeks ago, and knowing the ACC championship matchup with Clemson was forthcoming, North Carolina lost its final two games of the regular season so that is not the momentum it wants coming into this game. there is not a whole lot to say about this team as it is very transparent with a great offense and an awful defense and both matchups are not in their favor this week especially against a Clemson team out for blood after having its 40-game home winning streak come to an end. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging 4.8 or more ypc and after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game going up against teams allowing between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc. This situation is 34-13 ATS (72.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (321) Clemson Tigers

This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Tulane captured the AAC regular season championship with its victory at Cincinnati last Saturday, snapping the Bearcats 32-game home winning streak, and closed the season with a perfect 5-0 record on the road. They return home where the Green Wave get to host the championship game in looking to add to their 5-2 record at Yulman Stadium. One loss came against Southern Mississippi by three points despite outgaining the Golden Eagles 198 total yards with the difference being allowing an interception return for a touchdown late in the fourth quarter. The other defeat came against these Knights 38-31 in a game Tulane never led so there will be plenty of motivation in addition to its first ever AAC Championship. Head coach Willie Fritz has led the Green Wave to only their second double-digit win campaign in program history that runs 118 seasons so this has been a special one and the fear of him leaving is gone as it was announced Tuesday that he will be around amid rumors he was leaving for Georgia Tech. Tulane is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games against teams averaging 31 or more ppg. Central Florida was in the championship game no matter the result of the Tulane/Cincinnati game as it defeated both and it limped in to end the regular season with a loss against Navy and then a seven-point win against South Florida as a 19.5-point favorite. Going through the motions was probably inevitable and while the Knights come in riding a three-game road winning streak, all of those wins were by one possession and this is a tough travel spot with this being their fourth road game in five weeks. They will expect to see a better defensive effort from Tulane this time around as they put up 336 yards rushing in the first meeting but 67 of those yards came on one play. Central Florida 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games after scoring 42 points or more last game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points revenging an upset loss against opponent as a home favorite, off a win by seven points or less over a conference rival. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1992. 10* (314) Tulane Green Wave

This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. Boise St. came away with a win last week against Utah St. in one of the craziest endings of the season that got the Broncos the cover and they bring in a three-game winning streak into the championship game. They rolled to an 8-0 record in the conference with all four home wins coming by at least 19 points. Boise St. is 5-1 at home with the lone loss coming against BYU that was decided on an acrobatic catch by the Cougars and played into their victory. Offensively, the Broncos are ranked No. 28 in rushing offense and racked up a season high 316 yards on the ground in the regular season meeting and should go off again against a Fresno St. rushing defense ranked No. 95 that allows 4.9 ypc on the road. The Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Fresno St. comes in on a heater as it has won seven straight games to win the MWC West Division by two games over San Diego St. and San Jose St. The Bulldogs went 3-3 on the road with the three wins coming within the conference against teams that finished 3-21 in the MVC. The best news for Fresno St. is that is has a healthy Jake Haener at quarterback as he missed four games but the bad news is the defense they will be facing. Haener faced just two defenses that were ranked inside the top 40 and those resulted in a loss to Oregon St. and a narrow midseason win over San Diego St. were he totaled only four touchdowns and had two of his three interceptions on the season. Boise St. enters with the No. 7 ranked total defense and No. 9 ranked total defense and the Broncos are ranked in the top 5 in four passing defense statistics so they can shut him down. He did not play in the 40-20 loss early in the season. The Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a road loss against opponent by 14 points or more, off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 38-13 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (316) Boise St. Broncos

This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our Pac 12 Championship Winner. Utah has a shot to make it to back-to-back Rose Bowl games which would be the first team since Stanford did it in 2013 and 2014 but it will not be easy with this matchup. Last season, the Utes had a big mismatch with Oregon which it also dominated during the regular season and while they have already defeated USC this season, that game was at home and it was far from a domination in a one-point victory. Utah backed into this game as it went down to the fourth tiebreaker between them, Washington and Oregon and it had the edge in conference strength of schedule of the three. The Utes finished 6-0 at home but only 3-3 away from home with all three of those wins coming in the Pac 12 against teams that had losing conference records. This is no doubt an all-around great team as they are ranked in the top 20 on both sides of the ball but the difference here will be its defense will not be able to stop the USC offense similar to where it allowed 556 yards in the regular season meeting at that was at home. The Trojans had a couple scares along the way with one possession wins at Arizona, Oregon St. and UCLA but they won the yardage battle in all of those true road games and the Utah game was the lone game they were outgained this season and that was by only six total yards. This offense has been humming as USC has scored 38 or more points in six straight games while accumulating over 500 yards five times, averaging 551.3 ypg over that stretch and there is no reason for that to end especially against a defense that is has already schooled. Quarterback Caleb Williams has come into his own as he has averaged 353.6 ypg with 20 touchdowns over the last six games after averaging 265.0 ypg with 14 touchdowns in his first six games and he has tossed only three interceptions all season long. The Trojans are back and a win gets them into the CFP as long as there is no Ohio St. bias. 10* (306) USC Trojans

This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. This is the lone game on Saturday that features a matchup of both teams needing to win to become bowl eligible. Appalachian St. had a promising start to the season as it opened 5-3 but it has lost two of its last three games and is now in must win mode. The Mountaineers do have six wins but they need seven victories to become bowl eligible since two of their wins have come against FCS teams and they are out to extend their streak of seven straight seasons of being bowl eligible. They are coming off a dominating performance last week against Old Dominion as they amassed 498 total yards, the most against a conference opponent this season and their 207 rushing yards made it five times this year they have gone over 200 yards rushing and that is bad news for a Georgia Southern defense that is ranked No. 130 in rushing defense. Georgia Southern was looking like a bowl shoe in as it was 5-3 with three home games over its final four contests but it has dropped its last three games and now it is do or die for the Eagles. There is plenty of motivation on this side as well however this team has been fraudulent for most of the season. An early season over Nebraska looked good at the time but that is no longer the case and Georgia Southern has now been outgained in eight straight games as the defense continues to be an issue. In addition to the poor rushing defense, the Eagles are ranked No. 129 overall and No. 108 in points allowed and while the offense has shown good flashes, they will be facing a tough Mountaineers defense that is ranked No. 28 overall and No. 49 in scoring. They have been led by quarterback Kyle Vantrease who leads the No. 8 ranked passing offense but he has completed just 61 percent of his passes while throwing 13 interceptions. 10* (173) Appalachian St. Mountaineers

This is a play on the UTEP MINERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. With 15 starters returning this season, the Miners were out for a big season after going 7-6 last year as they were out to put together consecutive winning seasons for the first time in 17 years. It has come down to the final game of the regular season for the Miners as they are 5-6 and need a victory to become bowl eligible. The bad news is they are massive underdogs which does not give them much of a chance but the matchup could be on their side here against what we think is an overvalued UTSA team. UTEP took out FIU last week which snapped a two-game losing streak and it looks to win consecutive games for the second time this season. The strength of the offense is the running game as the Miners are ranked No. 58 and have added another dimension in backup quarterback Calvin Brownholtz who was part of a season high 335 yards rushing last week. That will be the key here as a big underdog is always appealing when controlling the running game and eating clock. UTSA enters its final regular season game with a 9-2 record including a perfect 7-0 record in C-USA and is gearing up for the championship game and a second straight double-digit win season. The two losses this season have come against Houston and Texas so there have been no bad losses and while the Roadrunners are riding an eight-game winning streak, the last three games have come against teams playing their backup quarterback so the last two games that were combined victories of 92-14 are slightly skewed because of that. They are solid on offense, ranked No. 13 overall and No. 14 in scoring and while taking nothing away from that, playing a schedule ranked No. 114 in the country has helped. This will be the second straight season the Roadrunners will be hosting the C-USA Championship after clinching that feat last week so there is definitely the letdown factor as well. 10* (223) UTEP Miners

This is play on the BUFFALO BULLS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Unfortunately, Buffalo is a team that got a tough break due to the winter storm last weekend as its game against 1-9 Akron was cancelled and it originally forced Buffalo to win this game against Kent St. to become bowl eligible. The good news is that it was announced on Wednesday that the game has been rescheduled for Friday, December 2 so they now have two shots once again and as we all know with the MAC, anything can happen and if Buffalo had played and won, this game would not be as important but now it is and the Bulls do not want to wait for a week to capture a bowl bid. It was not that long ago that the Bulls sat atop the MAC East Division but they have lost their last two games including a 45-24 loss at first place Ohio that sealed their fate. Kent St. lost at home against Eastern Michigan last week which pushed the Golden Flashes to 4-7 and their season ends on Saturday and the chance to play in back-to-back bowl games for the first time in program history is gone. Kent St. has outgained only two FBS opponents this season and now it has to close out the season with nothing to play for and might have to do so without quarterback Collin Schlee as he left the last game against the Eagles with an injuries and will be a gametime decision. It is likely he does not go so he does not get worse with nothing on the line. This will deter the offense that is ranked No. 41 overall and Devin Kargman showed he is not ready for primetime as he went just 7-19 for 91 yards last week in relief. Whichever quarterback goes, it will not matter with the motivated Bulls getting back to the postseason after missing out last season after a run of three straight bowl games under then head coach Lance Leipold. 10* (172) Buffalo Bulls

This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our College Football Game of the Year. South Carolina is coming off its most complete game of the season as it pulled off one of the biggest upsets of the season, rolling over Tennessee 63-38 as it outgained the Volunteers 606-507 but that defensive effort is a little concerning heading into the season finale against rival Clemson. The Gamecocks improved to 7-4 on the season and while this is a big rivalry, there is little chance that they are going to replicate that game from this past Saturday. The previous six wins were all garbage victories as they defeated 4-7 Georgia St., 3-9 Charlotte and South Carolina St. of the FCS in nonconference action while the three SEC wins were against fading Kentucky, 5-6 Vanderbilt and 4-7 Texas A&M. South Carolina has been a road underdog of a touchdown or more twice this season and failed to cover both of those games, losing at Florida and Arkansas by a combined 36 points. Clemson dominated Miami last week 40-10 as it outgained the Hurricanes 447-98 and held Miami to only six first downs in a dominating victory for its second straight following that debacle at Notre Dame. This is the third straight home game for the Tigers where they are 6-0 and have outgained opponents by 134 ypg and could not be catching their rival at a better time. Clemson can actually thank South Carolina with that win over Tennessee as the Tigers will make a move up in the CFP rankings and keep its outside shot to making it into the playoffs alive and now it comes down to style points as a blowout win here and one against North Carolina in the ACC Championship will now look a whole lot better. They obviously need help but losses by TCU and USC over the next two weeks could put them in prime position as they are currently tied with the Trojans at No. 5 at +2000 so they are far from done. The 40-game home winning streak is extended with what looks like a great blowout spot. Here, we play against road teams off an upset win as a home underdog of seven points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 53-22 ATS (70.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (158) Clemson Tigers

This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Florida and Florida St. enter this rivalry game the opposite of what many thought they would be before the season started. The Gators opened the season with a very impressive win over Utah which has looked better and better as the season has progressed based on the Utes success. They followed that up with a bad loss at Kentucky while the next three defeats against Tennessee, LSU and Georgia were no surprise but many will be eyeing what happened last week as Vanderbilt took out Florida by a touchdown as a 13.5-point underdog. The public sees that and will avoid the Gators and the books have made the adjustments to the line based on that but Florida outgained the Commodores by 162 total yards as it was hurt by two turnovers, one of which was a fumble that was recovered in the endzone for a Vanderbilt touchdown and they were just 4-15 on third down. In a rivalry like this, they will come to play to improve their bowl position. Florida St. meanwhile had low expectations and after a 4-0 start, heads started turning but then the Seminoles lost three straight games and the here we go again rumblings surfaced. But Florida St. recovered and has won four straight games to build some great momentum going forward to end the season and going into next year. However, those wins came against a bad Georgia Tech teams, an even worse Miami team, a Syracuse team that has fallen off the planet and last week a 5-6 Louisiana team from the Sun Belt Conference, not exactly a solid stretch of victories. The numbers are great as Florida St. is ranked No. 16 in total offense, No. 23 in scoring offense, No. 11 in total defense and No. 13 in scoring defense but this has come against a schedule ranked ahead of only Michigan and Washington of teams ranked in the Top 20. Here, we play against home teams in the second half of the season averaging between 230 and 275 passing ypg and after allowing 4.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game going up against teams allowing between 230 and 275 passing ypg. This situation is 41-17 ATS (70.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (135) Florida Gators

This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS for our CFB Friday Afternoon Dominator. We won with Baylor last week against TCU even though it lost on a last second field goal and while that could typically provide a letdown going forward, not in this matchup. Texas always has a bullseye on its back and the Bears will be out to snap a two-game slide before heading into their bowl game. Baylor had won three straight games prior to last week where it put up a clunker against Kansas St. with its worst offensive performance of the season with just 306 yards and three points and some will argue that the Wildcats are a more complete team than TCU. The Baylor defense has struggled against the more finesse teams as it is a physical unit which matches up well against the Longhorns. Based on the line last week, Baylor would have roughly been a touchdown underdog had the game been at TCU and now the Bears are getting a bigger number at Texas? Sorry, that is plain wrong and it is based on name and name alone. The Bears are 4-1 ATS as underdogs this season and this is the biggest line they have seen all season. Texas is coming off one of its most complete efforts of the season as it rolled over Kansas, whose season has taken a downward spiral over the second half of the season, and the Longhorns are now 2-2 over their last four games following a three-game winning streak. Prior to the Kansas game, Texas was outgained in four straight games and have been outgained in six of their last 10 games. All four of their losses this season have been by one possession so they have been competitive throughout and have avoided the big blowout that seems to hit them at least once over the last few seasons. That being said, a season that could have been has turned into another average one and they are looking forward to another fresh start next year with Arch Manning coming to Austin. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points averaging between 5.6 and 6.2 yppl and after gaining 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against teams allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl. This situation is 42-19 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (115) Baylor Bears

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BEARCATS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. One thing that both Tulane and Cincinnati have in common is both of their losses came against Central Florida so should the Knights defeat South Florida as close to a three-touchdown favorite on Saturday, they are in the AAC Championship as they own the tiebreaker meaning the loser of this game is out. Tulane has had a very special season that no one saw coming as it is 9-2 with both losses coming at home and the Green Wave bring in a 4-0 road record so something has to give with Cincinnati being 5-0 at home. Tulane defeated Kansas St. on the highway early in the season and that has turned into a very impressive win but two of the other two wins came at South Florida and Tulsa, both of which are staying home for the postseason, with the fourth coming at Houston in overtime where they were outgained by 110 total yards. The Green Wave will have a challenge here and the first road loss of the season seems inevitable for a team that has not been in a situation like this in a long time. The Bearcats other loss came at Arkansas in their season opener so they have won nine of ten games with the four-point loss against the Knights being the only blemish. The season has not been as good as last season but it is better than expected with so much lost from that special year and they are on another mission with a New Year's Six bowl berth at stake. The five home wins have extended the Cincinnati home winning streak to 32 games and with a short line, a win likely means a cover. They have dominated here by outscoring opponents by 20 ppg with a couple close calls involved and overall, the defense has once again led the way as the Bearcats are No. 22 in both total defense and scoring defense and with quarterback Ben Bryant questionable, the defense will really have to step up which we totally expect. Here, we play on home teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better coming off a double digit road win, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 63-30 ATS (67.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (164) Cincinnati Bearcats

This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. The Egg Bowl takes center stage on Thanksgiving night but the teams are not in the forefront as we head into the game but it is the coaches. The rumor mill, albeit from very substantial sources, have indicated that Mississippi head coach Lane Kiffin will be taking the head coaching job at Auburn as early as Friday and while he dismissed it and even addressed the team squashing the hearsay, his terminology was vague as he said he has not accepted any job and even Auburn said they have not hired a coach. Maybe not officially, but either way, this is a big distraction for a team that has gone in the wrong direction after a 7-0 start and a top seven ranking as the Rebels have lost three of their last four games including a blowout at Arkansas last week where the final score does not show the Razorbacks dominance. This was one of the most overrated teams in the country as the Rebels best win is arguably in their season opener against Troy and their four SEC wins came against three fraud teams in Kentucky, Auburn and Texas A&M that looked good coming into the season but clearly are not, and Vanderbilt. Mississippi St. is coming off a blowout win over East Tennessee St. which is a stupid scheduling spot but that is here nor there. The Bulldogs became bowl eligible well before that and of their four losses, three came on the road against Alabama, LSU and Kentucky with the loss against the Wildcats admittedly a bad one, and the home loss came against Georgia and while a game worse than the Rebels, they are arguably the better team as they possess the lone top 30 win of these two teams and have played a schedule ranked No. 17 compared to No. 43 for the Rebels. The stats are very close overall and going back to the coaching angle, there is a rumor on this side that Mike Leach is going to retire so there is a huge coach motivation advantage on the Mississippi St. side. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 77-36 ATS (68.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (111) Mississippi St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. We lost with Oregon last week as it blew a great chance to take charge in the Pac 12 and a possible spot in the playoffs but still controls its own destiny to make a trip to the Pac 12 Championship. The winner here will face USC if the Trojans do not implode so there will be no letdown from that loss last week with what is still on the line. The Ducks outgained the Huskies by 70 yards but gave the game away on a questionable fourth down call in their own territory that led to the game-winning Washington field goal. Oregon piled up 592 yards of offense and while facing a strong defense here, it should have no issues once again with this spread attack that is ranked No. 2 in total offense and No. 4 in scoring offense and the running game got back on track with 312 yards last week. Quarterback Bo Nix had another solid game and has been outstanding with 2,775 yards passing with 24 touchdowns and five interceptions and two of his worst games came against Arizona and California of all teams but those were on the road. Utah has won four straight games that started win a huge one-point win over USC and three of those four wins came at home. The Utes are 2-2 on the road with the best win coming at Washington St. which is just 3-4 in the conference while the other came against Arizona St. which is staying home this bowl season. This is no doubt a very solid team but not on the same level from the Rose Bowl team from last season. Utah is No. 22 or better in total offense and defense and scoring offense and defense but are heading into a tough spot. The Utes defeated Oregon twice last season by a combined score of 76-17 and the Ducks have not forgotten those losses. 10* (394) Oregon Ducks

This is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. It has been an up and down season for Arkansas as it opened the season with three straight win, then lost three straight, bounced back with a pair of win and has since lost its last two games, both coming at home. This is a rare three-game homestand late in the season and the Razorbacks have to take advantage after a pair of tough losses against Liberty and LSU by a combined five points. Three of their five losses have come by a field goal or less and were in a bad spot last week against the Tigers as they had a season low 249 yards and 10 points having to play a hot team without their quarterback but KJ Jefferson will be back this week to knock off a Mississippi team that beat them by a point last season in triple overtime on a missed two-point conversion. The Razorbacks offense is a lot better that was on display last week in atypical cold temps without their leader and over, they are ranked No. 23 in total offense and face a defense that has regressed a lot over the second half of the season. Mississippi is coming off a tough home loss against Alabama and it was very capable of winning that game and it will be tough to recover from that. This was one of the most overrated teams in the country before it was eventually hammered at LSU 45-20 three games back and one look at the resume will show that. The Rebels best win is arguably in their season opener against Troy and that is a legit argument and their four SEC wins came against three fraud teams in Kentucky, Auburn and Texas A&M that looked good coming into the season but clearly are not, and Vanderbilt. The wins and stats are skewed and their schedule rank of No. 53 is second lowest in the SEC, only ahead of South Carolina by four spots. The fraud comes out again here. 10* (400) Arkansas Razorbacks

This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES for our CFB Big 12 Game of the Month. Raise your hand if you saw this one coming because we certainly did not. With two games left in the season, Iowa St. is sitting in last place in the Big 12 Conference at 1-6 after a 3-0 nonconference start so the Cyclones have to win out to become bowl eligible and with TCU on deck on the road, it is not looking good. First things first, they have to take care of business in their final home game of the season and it is a great spot to get right with a very favorable line. Iowa St. has outgained its opponent in four of its six losses and five of those losses have come by one possession so while losing, there has been some bad luck involved as opposed to bad play. The Cyclones defense is still one of the best in the country as they are ranked No. 10 overall and No. 10 in scoring and this includes No. 11 in passing defense and No. 12 in rushing defense so they are solid all around and can sloe down this Texas Tech offense. Iowa St. is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. We won with Texas Tech last week as it defeated Kansas 43-28 to move to 5-5 so it has to win one of its final two games, the finale coming against Oklahoma at home, to make it to a bowl game. The Red Raiders improved to 5-1 at home with the win over the Jayhawks but they hit the road where they are 0-4 with all four losses by double-digits and while those were all against winning teams, they were all against teams ranked No. 45 or better in the Sagarin ratings and Iowa St. is well within that group despite the losing record. The offense has led the way this season as it is No. 18 overall and No. 31 in scoring and will not be efficient here. The defense has been the big letdown at No. 81 in total defense and the No. 83 ranked Iowa St. offense will have a solid opportunity as the last time it faced a defense this bad, it hung 34 points on West Virginia. Texas Tech is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. 10* (320) Iowa St. Cyclones

This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. TCU remains No. 4 in the latest CFP rankings sitting at 10-0 and hit the road for the final time and are only laying a field goal or less to Baylor. The line opened at -2 and has been bet up which is no surprise with close to 70 percent of tickets and money on the Horned Frogs and come gameday, the public will be all over them. TCU has outgained all but one opponent this season but of late, it has been hardly dominant, outgaining the last three by 84 yards or less. This is a great story for a team that came into the season with a win total set at 6.5 and since playing Colorado and Tarleton St. to open the season, the Horned Frogs have not been favored by more than nine points and that is a telling sign compared to the other top ranked teams that are laying over two touchdowns and much more on a weekly basis. The offense has been great but will be facing a very formidable defense here and its own defense is below with its best category being rushing where it is a pedestrian No. 44 in the country. This is the ripe spot for that small upset. Baylor had won three straight games prior to last week where it put up a clunker against Kansas St. with its worst offensive performance of the season with just 306 yards and three points and some will argue that the Wildcats are a more complete team than TCU. The Bears will be seething after that and will no doubt want to put an end to this Cinderella story especially in their final home game of the season. The defense will be the focal point in performing well and it needs to be noted that last week against Texas, a defense that is right in line with Baylor, held the Horned Frogs to season lows in points and yards. As for the offense, the Bears are No. 34 overall and No. 25 in scoring and can no doubt get back on track here. 10* (398) Baylor Bears

This is a play on the ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Michigan has rolled through its schedule with nine of ten wins coming by double-digits but has not played anyone with the exception of Penn St. which played the Wolverines tough for a half before getting rolled in the second half. The nonconference schedule of games against Colorado St., Hawaii and Connecticut was an absolute joke and think that is going to come back to haunt them at some point. They were favored by only a touchdown in that game and are now well over that here which is based on the Illinois recent run. One big factor in this game is the total which is currently 41.5 as of Wednesday and that suggests a low scoring game which always favors the underdog, let alone one getting this many points. The Michigan rushing offense is ranked No. 4 in the country as it has run over everyone but this is a very tough spot as the lowest total yardage output of the season came against Iowa, one of the best defenses in the country and now faces an even better one here. Illinois is coming off a pair of disappointing losses against Michigan St. and Purdue and the loss against the Spartans was especially disheartening as they outgained by 147 total yards and it felt the sting as it could not recover last week. While the Wolverines have the top ranked defense in the country, both overall and in scoring, Illinois is ranked No. 2 and No. 3 in the nation respectively in those categories and will bank on that to keep this game close. We can see that happening as an ugly game is just what the Illini want and keep this close. Michigan has the Ohio St. game on deck and escaping with a win is all it needs as it is comfortably in a CFP spot where style points will not matter. 10* (343) Illinois Fighting Illini

This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our AAC Game of the Month. Tulane had its five-game losing streak snapped with a 38-81 loss at home against Central Florida and it is now tied atop the AAC at 5-1 with the Knights and Cincinnati so this is a must win to get a chance to go to the AAC Championship with their season finale next week at the Bearcats. The only other loss this season came against Southern Mississippi at home by three points despite outgaining the Golden Eagles by 198 total yards as it was done in by an interception returned for a touchdown midway through the fourth quarter. The Green Wave have those two losses at home and with this being the last home game of the season on Senior Night on national TV, they will be out to get it done. This is an excellent matchup as while they face a top ranked offense, the defense has led the way as they are No. 20 overall and No. 18 in scoring and the effort last week will be fresh in their head. The Tulane offense is slightly behind at No. 49 overall and No. 37 in scoring and can get the job done here against a porous defense. SMU has won three straight games and the Mustangs have covered four in a row which is an auto play against given the right situation and this is definitely it. The offense has had two of its top three season performances over their last two games but this is the best defense it has seen over that stretch and the only other top ranked defense it has faced was against Cincinnati and was held to 24 points. The Mustangs have been outgained is five of their last seven games and that is due to the defense that has been a sieve. SMU is ranked No. 120 in total defense and No. 117 is scoring defense and Tulane can have its way here. Revenge is a factor after Tulane lost at SMU last season 55-26 and was outgained by close to 200 yards. Here, we play against road underdogs after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13. This situation is 38-11 ATS (77.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (314) Tulane Green Wave

This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. It has been a disappointing season for Kent St. even though it started very similar to last season but the recent results have not been the same. In 2021, after a 1-3 nonconference start, the losses against Texas A&M, Iowa and Maryland, the Golden Flashes righted the ship, going 6-2 in the conference and went to the MAC Championship for the first time since 2012. They started this season 1-3 1-3 in nonconference action with losses against Washington, Oklahoma and Georgia but the MAC results have seen them go just 3-3 with two of those losses coming by just one possession and while they have no chance in the MAC East Division, they have a lot to play for as they have to win their final two games to become bowl eligible. They are coming off a big 40-6 win at Bowling Green last week and now Kent St. hosts its final home game of the season before travelling to Buffalo to close out the regular season. Comparing the offenses and defenses in this matchup, the Golden Flashes have one significant edge which is in the running game as they are ranked No. 19 in the nation, averaging 210.3 ypg and face a poor rushing defense here. Kent St. is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games after allowing nine points or less last game. Eastern Michigan defeated Akron in its last game to become bowl eligible but it was just a six-point victory over the worst team in the conference and one of the worse in the country. The Eagles nonconference was unlike that of Kent St. and while it includes a win over Arizona St., that was when the Sun Devils has quit on their coach while another came against Eastern Kentucky of the FCS by one possession and the third came against 1-9 Massachusetts by one possession as well. Two of their three conference losses were by 19 and 29 points and while they played Toledo tough in a 27-24 loss, they were outgained by 157 total yards. Eastern Michigan is ranked No. 104 in total offense and while the defense is better, it is not by much and that rushing defense is ranked No. 89 in the nation. Eastern Michigan is 4-20 ATS in its last 24 games after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc and after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game going up against teams allowing between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (306) Kent St. Golden Flashes

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Washington defeated Oregon St. on a late field goal to improve to 4-2 in the Pac Ten and 7-2 overall but now finds itself in a tough spot facing one of the hottest teams in the country. The Huskies are just 1-2 on the road and those losses both came when favored and this is the first time this season that they have gotten points which shows the slate they have faced. The passing attack is the best in the country but it is a very unbalanced offense as Washington is ranked No. 99 in rushing offense. The defense allows 26.9 ppg which is just No. 75 in the country and the one offense it has faced that is potent was UCLA and they allowed 500 yards. Oregon has reeled off eight straight wins following its loss against Georgia in the season opener where it could muster only three points and 313 yards of offense. Since then, the Ducks have scored at least 41 points in every game and has gone over 500 yards six times. The run has put the Ducks at No. 6 in the CFP rankings with the loss against the Bulldogs obviously not being a bad one as they are the top ranked of the three 8-1 teams from the Pac 12. Quarterback Bo Nix has been outstanding with 2,495 yards passing and 22 touchdowns and just five interceptions while rushing for 457 yards and 13 touchdowns. There is one key stat that is skewed as Oregon is ranked No. 117 in passing defense but a lot of those yards have come because of teams needing to play catch up and yards piled up in garbage time. Ony a backdoor cover by Washington St. back in September has prevented Oregon from being on a perfect 8-0 ATS run which shows the dominance it has put forth. Here, we play on home favorites averaging 440 or more ypg and after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games going up against teams allowing between 330 and 390 ypg. This situation is 71-27 ATS (72.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (194) Oregon Ducks

This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Kansas has been the story on the Big 12 Conference and it made it into the AP Poll for the first time since 2009 and became bowl eligible with a win over Oklahoma St. last week for the first time since 2008. With that demon having left the building, we can see a letdown this week. The offense has led the way as the Jayhawks are No. 36 overall and No. 15 in scoring with quarterback Jalon Daniels being a big part of that but he remains out after missing the last four games but Jason Bean has performed well in relief yet he has been on the wrong side of their three losses. The defense was the big problem in those games and has been all season as Kansas is No. 113 in total defense including No. 121 in passing defense which falls right into the Texas Tech wheelhouse. Kansas is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after gaining 350 or more rushing yards last game. Texas Tech has lost two straight games and four of its last five following a 3-1 so it needs to more wins to make it to a bowl game and this is essentially a must win with remaining games at Iowa St. and at home against Oklahoma. The Red Raiders held their own against TCU last week as they lost by just 10 points on the road and was outgained by only 83 yards. The home team has dominated their games this season, going 8-1 including Texas Tech going 4-1 at home. The Red Raiders are ranked No. 11 in passing offense and while quarterback Behren Morton was forced to leave last week against TCU and is questionable this week but this is not as there is experience behind him that has seen plenty of time. Texas Tech is 6-0 ATS in its last six games coming off a road loss. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a home win against a conference rival going up against an opponent off two consecutive losses by 10 points or more to conference rivals. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (158) Texas Tech Red Raiders

This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Georgia is coming off a comminating performance against then CFP No. 1 Tennessee as it allowed fewer than 300 total yards against one of the best offenses in the country but its own offense was not very good as the Bulldogs had a season low 387 yards and a second lowest 27 points. That was against a pretty average defense at home, granted in some wet weather, and now it hits the highway for only its third road game against a much better defense. Georgia has not played a true game since October 1st and narrowly escaped at Missouri and is now a heavy favorite in a very tough spot. Add to the fact this is a night game in the SEC that Georgia has yet to encounter and we all know how these home field edges can make a huge difference. While they stifled the Tennessee offense, they will be seeing a different Air Raid attack here and will be unlikely to even come close to the seven sacks registered last week. Mississippi St. had a scare last week but was able to take out Auburn in overtime to avoid a third straight loss and moved to 3-3 in the SEC and 6-3 overall. The home team is a perfect 6-0 in the Bulldogs six conference games this season and while we cannot call the outright upset here to keep that undefeated run alive, this is just too many points in a situation like this. Known for its offense, Mississippi St. has not been great but the passing game is on point as it is ranked No. 9 in the country behind Will Rogers who has thrown for 2,544 yards with 23 touchdowns and just four interceptions. As mentioned though, the other side will play a pivotal role as Mississippi St. is ranked No. 46 in total defense and No. 49 in scoring defense and it is going to apply a kind of pressure to Stetson Bennett that he has yet to see so another below average effort from the Bulldogs offense is in the cards. Maybe not the upset but a close one is expected. 10* (214) Mississippi St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our Sun Belt Game of the Year. South Alabama is coming off a pair of road wins including against Georgia Southern last week as it rallied from a two-touchdown third quarter deficit to improve to 7-2 overall including 4-1 in the Sun Belt Conference but is not in the best shape to make it to the championship game as it trails Troy by a half-game and that one conference loss came against the Trojans. The Jaguars lost that game by only four points as they were stifled by a strong defense and the other loss was by only one point at UCLA. Both sides of the ball have played above average and should name the score here and there is some added incentive as this is a big revenge game for South Alabama as it lost at Texas St. last season by two points in four overtimes as a road favorite. The Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a losing record. Texas St. has lost three straight games to fall to 3-6 so it needs to win out to be considered for a bowl game which is very unlikely at this point even though those final two games are at home but the Bobcats will have a tough time competing here. A lot of that is due to their horrible road play as they are 0-5 while getting outgained by an average of 114 ypg in those games. They are coming off a tough loss last week against UL-Monroe as they opened up a 21-0 lead but gave all of that back and had a chance to win but missed a 38-yard field goal to end the game that would have won it. The offense has been up and down, mostly the latter, as the Bobcats are No. 121 overall and No. 104 in scoring and this is not a good matchup against a very strong defense that has dominated lesser opponents. Texas St. has been outgained in seven of eight games against FBS teams. The Bobcats are 1-4 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (176) South Alabama Jaguars

This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Navy is coming off a 10-point loss at Cincinnati, the first of four games away from home to close the season which is not ideal as it needs three wins to become bowl eligible. The running game is not the best it has been but it is still very dependable as it is ranked No. 9 in rushing offense and while facing a solid rushing defense here, Notre Dame has struggled at times. The Midshipmen possess an above average defense, ranked No. 49 overall which shortens the games and keeps the offense on the field. Navy is 6-0 ATS in its last six games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 and it makes logical sense because it is so good at ball possession while being a sizable underdog against those top teams which is the case here. Additionally it has covered all four games this season as a double-digit underdog for the same reasoning. The Irish are coming off a big upset as they exposed Clemson last week in a 35-14 victory. It has been three straight wins for Notre Dame thanks to some solid defense that has depended on turnovers but the offense has averaged just 359.8 ypg over its last four games. Notre Dame has been a mystery all season as many are aware of already and there is one pattern that cannot be overlooked. The Irish have taken points four times this season and covered all of those, winning three of those outright over North Carolina, Syracuse and Clemson and in the five games they have laid points, they have covered only once as a 3.5-point favorite against BYU while losing two of those outright against Marshall and Stanford at home no less. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs that are an excellent ball control team averaging 32 or more minutes in time of possession. This situation is 72-34 ATS (67.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (134) Navy Midshipmen

This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our MWC Game of the Month. This could very well have been a contrarian play with Fresno St. having won four straight games and UNLV losing four straight games but we are going with the current momentum in this one as the Bulldogs are finally playing to their potential. They went 10-3 last season and returned 15 starters but got off to a horrible start as following a win over Cal Poly of the FCS, the Bulldogs lost to Oregon St. by three points and then got blown out by USC prior to their bye week. Fresno St. then went to Connecticut and lost as a 22.5-point favorite and then got destroyed at Boise St. before starting its current four-game winning streak. The Bulldogs are a win away from bowl eligibility but more importantly, they control their own destiny at 4-1 in the MWC West Division and have two wins over the only remaining contenders so win out and they are in the championship game. They welcomed back quarterback Jake Haener two games back and all he has done is throw for 722 yards with seven touchdowns and only two interceptions. The defense can dominate here as Fresno St. is ranked No. 49 overall and No. 43 in points allowed and will be facing a below average offense. UNLV opened the season 4-1 but the biggest win came against North Texas and it has been downhill since as mentioned with its four consecutive defeats. There as been a consistency with the Rebels are the favorite has won all nine games involving UNLV so the Rebels have won the games they were supposed to and lost the games they were supposed to as well. Their offense has been pretty bad as they are ranked No. 101 overall and No. 82 in scoring and they have averaged only 11.3 ppg over the last four games. The defense has played better than expected but it is still not very good, ranking No. 67 overall and No. 84 in points allowed and they should get scorched here. Here, we play on road teams averaging between 5.6 to 6.2 yppl and after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game going up against teams allowing between 4.8 to 5.6 yppl. This situation is 56-22 ATS (71.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (123) Fresno St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the UL-LAFAYETTE RAGIN' CAJUNS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. This is the classic matchup of strength against strength and weakness against weakness. Louisiana is coming off a brutal loss and an even more brutal bad beat for bettors as the Cajuns had a 17-0 lead heading into the final play of the third quarter but allowed Troy to tie it up with 2:41 left and then instead of kicking a game-winning field goal with 10 seconds left, the Trojans scored on a 22-yard touchdown run for the win and cover. It was the second straight loss for Louisiana as it fell to 4-5 so it needs to win two of its final three games to become bowl eligible and this is a must win as it has Florida St. on deck on the road. The final two games are on the road so this is the final home game of the season so Senior Night takes place in Lafayette. The strength of the Cajuns is their defense as they are ranked No. 33 overall and No. 36 in points allowed and on the season, they have given up 23 points or less in seven of their nine games. The offense has been the letdown as they are just No. 94 overall and No. 85 in scoring but face a very bad defense. Louisiana is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 games off a home loss against a conference opponent. Georgia Southern is also coming off a loss as it fell at home against South Alabama and it dropped to 2-3 in the Sun Belt Conference East Division which eliminated it from a chance at the championship game. The Eagles have now been outgained in six straight games and while the offense has done its job, the defense has not. They are ranked No. 18 in total offense but faces the strength of their opponent while the defense is No. 129 overall so that is where the Cajuns will have success. Georgia Southern needs just one more win to become bowl eligible and will likely get one of those over its last two games which take place at home. Here, we play against teams averaging 400 or more total ypg on offense, after allowing 6.25 or more yards per play in four consecutive games. This situation is 67-32 ATS (67.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (118) UL-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns

This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. The season is on the line for Western Michigan after losing to Bowling Green last week as while we played against the Broncos in that game, they covered by a point no thanks to a meaningless field goal and that was a bad matchup for their offense as seen by their nine points scored but they have a much better one here. Sitting at 3-6, Western Michigan has to win out to become bowl eligible which it can do with two of its last three games at home and the one road game at 3-6 Central Michigan. Granted, it is just 1-3 at home and has yet to defeat a team from the FBS but one loss came against the SEC and the other two losses occurred despite getting outgained by only 164 total yards as turnovers did them in at a -4 margin. The offense has been pretty offensive as the Broncos are ranked No. 120 overall and No. 118 in scoring but catch a good matchup against a bad defense. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Unlike the Broncos, the Northern Illinois season is done as it has dropped two straight games to fall to 2-7 so there will be no bowl game for the Huskies. A lot was expected after going 9-5 last season and having 18 starters back while being ranked No. 8 in returning production but it has been a disaster although it could have been better as four of their losses have been by one possession but the defense has been a massive letdown. Northern Illinois is ranked No. 85 in total defense and No. 118 in scoring defense. Making matter worse, the Huskies were down to their third string quarterback last game in freshman Nevan Cremascoli and he was not good. They could get one of the top two guys back here but it should not matter and this line is not indicative of the situations at hand as it basically comes down to the Broncos just having to win to cover. The Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. 10* (108) Western Michigan Broncos

This is a play on the MIAMI REDHAWKS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Ohio defeated Buffalo last week, which came into the game first place in the MAC East Division, but the Bobcats victory put them into a tie with the Bulls and Falcons at 4-1 and they hold one of the tiebreakers and have a meeting with Bowling Green in their season finale. Ohio has won four straight games and has covered five straight but four of those outright wins were at home and it enters Tuesday just 1-3 on the road and while two came against power five teams, the other was against 3-6 Kent St. where it was outgained by 286 total yards and allowed a whopping 736 yards to the Golden Flashes. The defense has shown promise of late but the Bobcats are still ranked No. 127 in total defense and No. 115 in scoring defense and that should give Miami life here. The Bobcats are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. While Miami is likely out of the chase in the MAC East, it kept its season alive with a win over Akron last Saturday which gives it a little extra time for this home matchup. The RedHawks improved to 4-5 overall so they avoided having to win out over their last three games to become bowl eligible even though they have two winnable games to close out the season. Six of their nine games have been away from home and they have gone 2-4 in those games but two of those losses were against Kentucky and Cincinnati and the other two were against first place Buffalo and Bowling Green by four points apiece so this team has played a lot better than its record shows. The defense is good enough to win games as they are No. 36 overall and No. 31 in points allowed and will be a factor here. The RedHawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (104) Miami RedHawks

This is a play on the JAMES MADISON DUKES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Louisville rolled over Wake Forest last week 48-21 but it was not because it dominated the Demon Deacons but because it benefitted from eight turnovers gained that included two interceptions returned for touchdowns. The Cardinals improved to 5-3 with the victory as they have won three straight games but they have been fairly average on both sides of the ball, ranked No. 55 in total offense and No. 50 in total defense. This is not a good spot coming off three straight conference wins with a game at Clemson on deck. The Cardinals are 4-14-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. James Madison opened the season 5-0 in its first season at the FBS level and got into the AP poll at No. 25 but it has dropped its last two games as a double-digit favorite despite winning the combined overall yardage in those games. The Dukes are ranked in the top 20 in both total offense and total defense so they have edges on both sides and while the schedule has come into play, this team is loaded and the transition into the upper tier of college football has not affected them at all after being a dominant program at the FCS level. The Dukes are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams averaging 6.1 or more yards per play, after gaining 3.75 or less yards per play in their previous game. This situation is 30-5 ATS (85.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (337) James Madison Dukes

This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS as part of our CFB Saturday Afternoon Three Pack. This is the marquee game of the week as Tennessee was expected to be good but it has proven to be one of the top teams in the nation that included a win against Alabama. There have been a couple other close calls along the way but it is impossible to ignore the fact the Volunteers possess the top ranked offense in the country, both overall and in scoring. This is obviously going to be a tough road environment but they got a good scheduling time slot and while they have played only two road games, one of those was a 40-13 win at LSU, a team that has showed how good it is of late. The Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Georgia is rolling again after a couple of hiccups a month ago against Kent St. and Missouri and it has still been the most dominant team in the country, outgaining opponents by close to 270 ypg but has played no one since its opener against Oregon. The two best opponents since then have been Florida and Auburn, the former sitting at 4-4 and the latter coming off just firing their coach. The Bulldogs are the most complete team in the country but now face their toughest opponent by far. Georgia is 3-15 ATS in its last 18 home games against teams averaging 275 or more passing ypg. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last three games going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (399) Tennessee Volunteers

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS as part of our CFB Saturday Afternoon Three Pack. Oklahoma St. started off 5-0 and the preseason prediction of a Big XII Championship were in full focus but an overtime loss at TCU after blowing a big lead cut into that but last week was the real dagger as the Cowboys lost at Kansas St. 48-0, the first time they have been shutout in close to 13 years. They came in ranked No. 3 in scoring offense in the country but were held to less half of their season average on offense as they managed only 217 total yards. This is a good bounce back spot with a good number and Oklahoma St. is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 games after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games. The magical season for Kansas has abruptly come to an end as it opened 5-0 and made it into the AP Poll for the first time since 2009 but has since lost three straight games. The Jayhawks have been outgained in five of their seven games against FBS opponents and the offense has decreased its production over the last three games as the absence of quarterback Jalon Daniels has hindered the offense and he is out at least two more weeks. One thing that has not changed is the defense that is ranked No. 113 overall and No. 102 in scoring and faces a fired up offense here. Kansas is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games after two or more consecutive straight up losses. Here, we play on road teams averaging 425 or more total ypg, after gaining 3.75 or less yards per play in their previous game. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (341) Oklahoma St. Cowboys

This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our C-USA Game of the Year. UAB is 4-4 on the season and has been all over the place but a return home is just what it needs. The home team is 8-0 in its eight games and the four road losses they have sustained have all been by one possession and the Blazers won the yardage battle in half of those games. At home, all four victories have been by at least two touchdowns and while this is the toughest opponent of the bunch, the line is indicative of that as is the fact UAB has failed to cover its last three games. The Blazers have a big edge on offense as they are No. 33 overall including No. 5 in rushing in the country. UAB is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games coming off a loss against a conference rival and 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games off an upset loss as a favorite. UTSA has won five straight games but covered only one of those against Middle Tennessee St. and while it brings in a very solid offense, it goes up against a Blazers defense that is once again stout. The other side here is the problem as the Roadrunners are ranked No. 105 in total defense and No. 92 in scoring defense which gives the Blazers offense that advantage. UTSA has dominated in its last two road games but those were against FIU and Middle Tennessee St. The Roadrunners are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yards per play in their previous game going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 111-53 ATS (67.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (410) UAB Blazers

This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS as part of our CFB Saturday Afternoon Three Pack. Oklahoma looked as though it may not have missed head coach Lincoln Riley jumping ship to USC as it opened 3-0 but that was against weak opposition and the Sooners then lost three straight games when they faced teams with a pulse. They have bounced back with a pair of wins but those were against Kansas which was missing its starting quarterback, and Iowa St. that has one of the worst offenses in the conference. Now they again face a quality opponent with a defense that is one of the worst in recent years as the Sooners are No. 114 overall. The Sooners are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Baylor is also 5-3 on the season but has played much better than that as after getting outgained by BYU in their second game of the season, the Bears have won the yardage battle in six straight games including a pair of losses against Oklahoma St. and West Virginia with turnovers being the difference. they have the offense that can take advantage of this porous defense as they are ranked No. 27 overall and No. 15 in scoring while their defense is also in the top 30 overall and can shut down the Sooners rushing game. The Bears are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play against home teams after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13. This situation is 48-18 ATS (72.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (359) Baylor Bears

This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. After a 1-4 start, Army has won two straight games to move to 3-4 which is a very disappointing start after going 9-4 last season. Over the last three years, Army has improved in the final rankings, finishing No. 89 in 2019, No. 66 in 2020 and No. 43 in 2021 and the 2022 version was supposed to be even better but the defense has fallen short. After finishing No. 15 in total defense last season, the Black Knights are No. 92 overall and No. 93 in scoring defense but facing a similar attack should produce better results. Army is 19-10 ATS in its last 29 games away from home after playing a game at home. Air Force is coming off a 19-14 home loss against Boise St. which was its third loss this season as a favorite. The Falcons have failed to cover three of their last four games which includes a 13-10 win over Navy which is a very similar matchup as the one they have here with the Midshipmen similar to Army in their schemes and the knowledge known how to defend. The possess the No. 1 rushing offense in the country and facing the No. 2 rushing offense this week so while they also have the knowledge that Army has, the fact they are laying over a touchdown is too much. The Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs averaging 225 or more rushing ypg, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in four straight games. This situation is 25-3 ATS (89.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (322) Army Black Knights

This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Oregon St. is ranked for the first time since 2013 as it comes in at No. 23 in the AP Poll following three straight wins but those have come against teams that are a combined 3-13 in the Pac 12. The Beavers two losses came against two of the best teams in the conference in USC and Utah, the latter coming on the road by 26 points and their two road wins were against Fresno St. and Stanford by a combined four points. They are ranked in the top 50 in six of the eight major statistical categories on both sides but are not ranked higher than No. 30 in any of those so while consistent, they do nothing real outstanding and while the offense has an edge on the Washington defense, is will have a big disadvantage going up against the Huskies offense. Oregon St. is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 road games after allowing nine points or less last game. Washington was ranked as high as No. 15 in the country early in the season but a loss at UCLA at the end of September knocked it out and that was followed a bad loss at Arizona St. but the Huskies have rebounded with a pair of wins albeit against some poor opposition. They have some momentum back and return home where they are 5-0 on the season and have played here only once since late September so they will be fired up to be back and facing a ranked team. Washington is 0-4 ATS in its last four games so we are catching some value because of that and on the season, it has covered four of its five home games. the defense has been a disappointment for this normally stout unit but have made up for it with an offense that is No. 7 overall and No. 10 in scoring as quarterback Michael Penix, Jr. has been outstanding, throwing for 2,934 yards with 22 touchdowns and four interceptions. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win against a conference rival going up against an opponent off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 87-42 ATS (67.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (320) Washington Huskies

This is a play on the COASTAL CAROLINA CHANTICLEERS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Coastal Carolina was coming off a tough stretch where it snuck out close wins over Georgia Southern and UL-Monroe as a double-digit favorite and then lost to Old Dominion by 28 points, also as a double-digit favorite. The Chanticleers bounced back with an impressive road win at Marshall last week as a slight underdog and they come back this week as a small home underdog which has out heads shaking and this has been their wheelhouse as they are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as home underdogs. Quarterback Grayson McCall has followed up his record-setting season by completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 2,061 yards with 19 touchdowns and only one interception and this has been done with less talent than last year. It is not just him however as it is a balanced attack as the running game is potent with C.J. Beasley and Reece White combining for 891 yards on 5.7 ypc. There will be some added motivation here as Coastal Carolina lost at Appalachian St. by three points last season which cost it a trip to the Sun Belt Championship. Appalachian St. is 5-3 on the season with tough losses against North Carolina and James Madison while also losing ugly to Texas St. The Mountaineers do have a big win at Texas A&M but it has become less impressive by the week with the Aggies struggles. The schedule has been in their favor as six of their eight games have been at home including five of their last six and travel on a short week for this one. The numbers favor Appalachian St. overall but the aforementioned schedule has had a lot to with that. Both teams are coming off solid defensive efforts and that has favored Coastal Carolina going forward based on the past as the Mountaineers are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game while the Chanticleers are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better off a double digit road win, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 62-28 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (314) Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

This is a play on the BOWLING GREEN FALCONS for our MAC Game of the Month. Bowling Green has won two straight games to move to 4-4 on the season as it has already matched its season win total from last year. Last season, Bowling Green was one of the most inexperienced teams in the country as it played numerous underclassmen so it can be excused but this season, the Falcons have the most experienced team in the nation as far as returning production and that is starting to show. The Falcons opened the season with a pair of losses, one at 7-1 UCLA and the other being a bad one against Eastern Kentucky of the FCS by two points in overtime. The other two losses since then were against Mississippi St. and a resurgent Buffalo team. They have outgained three of their last four opponents and while the defense has not been great, Bowling Green faces a very poor offense and it is 23-10 ATS in its last 33 games after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. Western Michigan kept its slim bowl hopes alive with an upset win at Miami to move to 3-5 following a pair of blowout losses. The only other victory over an FBS team came against Ball St. in the second game of the season with the third win coming against New Hampshire which happened to be the only game the Broncos won the yardage battle. Take that game out, and they are getting outgained by an average of 100.9 ypg against FBS opponents. The season comes as no surprise as they lost a lot from last season and their returning production on offense was one of the worst in the country. They are ranked No. 119 in total offense and No. 112 in scoring offense and they have scored 16 points or less in five of their eight games. Western Michigan is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games against teams allowing a completion percentage of 62 or worse. Here, we play against road underdogs off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of six or more points going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 59-23 ATS (72 percent) since 1992. 10* (308) Bowling Green Falcons

This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Buffalo has won five straight games after a 0-3 start that included a bad loss against Holy Cross of the FCS and overall, the Bulls are 6-0-1 ATS against teams from the FBS. They have covered four of their last five games by double-digits which is a big reason they come in as a road favorite. Buffalo does nothing special on either side of the ball as it is ranked No. 58 or lower in all major statistical categories on offense and defense. The Bulls lead the MAC East Division with a 4-0 record but extending that will be difficult here as they face another hot team that can overtake them in the standings with a victory. Buffalo is now 3-2 on the road but one of those victories came against 1-7 Massachusetts and now will be facing a team that is also looking for revenge after Buffalo scored 17 points in the fourth quarter to win 27-26 at home last season. Not to be outdone, Ohio has turned it around as well as it has won three games in a row and four of its last five after a 1-2 start and the Bobcats have covered four straight games and the only outright loss over that stretch came in overtime at Kent St. The defense was atrocious early in the season but they have picked up their game of late as they have allowed only 31 points over the last two games which has moved them to 3-1 in the MAC East Division and they can leapfrog the Bulls because of the head-to-head tiebreaker. Digging deeper into the analytical numbers, Ohio is ranked No. 68 in EPA on offense and No. 117 on defense while Buffalo is ranked No. 67 in EPA on offense and No. 114 on defense so the numbers are nearly identical and with the Bobcats coming in with a 4-0 record at home, they have the edge as home underdogs. Here, we play against road teams off an upset win as a home underdog of seven or more points, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 51-21 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (304) Ohio Bobcats

This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Fresno St. has won two straight games following a four-game losing streak and it is another team that can still run the table. The Bulldogs opened Mountain West Conference play with a loss to Boise St. but bounced back with victories over San Jose St. and New Mexico. Fresno St. is tied atop the West Division with San Jose St. and San Diego St., and a victory over the Aztecs would give Fresno St. a tiebreaker edge over both teams. This team came into the season as the favorite in the MWC West Division and the Bulldogs are still in good position to represent the conference in the conference championship game. Quarterback Jake Haener has been out with a high ankle sprain and it likely out again but there is still a possibility he returns and while Logan Fife has struggled overall as his replacement, he is coming off a good game against New Mexico and while the Lobos are trash, so is the defense he will be facing this week as the last two games have skewed everything. San Diego St. is coming off a pair of wins to move over .500 for the first time this season but those wins came against Hawaii and Nevada which are the two lowest ranked teams in the MWC and it is not even close and the Aztecs did not look good in either win. They outgained the two doormats by a combined 165 total yards which is surely a positive but those two games should have seen bigger yardage differentials as this is not a very good team which was known coming into the season. They were outgained in four of their first five games with the only advantage being their game against Idaho St. of the FCS. San Diego St. did defeat Nevada on the road last week and in the previous road game against a team with a pulse, it had only 114 total yards against Boise St. The offense is ranked No. 123 overall and No. 116 in scoring and scoring only 39 points against Hawaii and Nevada is not good. This is an excellent situation for Fresno St. as we play on conference home favorites that won as a conference road favorite by 13 or more points playing a team off back-to-back wins as a conference favorite. This situation is 55-20 ATS (73.3 percent) the last 75 occurrences. 10* (170) Fresno St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. South Carolina has won four straight games but it has been fortunate along the way with some deceiving victories. The Gamecocks started the streak with a blowout win by 36 points over Charlotte which just fired their coach and then came up with another blowout against South Carolina St. of the FCS. South Carolina then defeated Kentucky by 10 points on the road which looks impressive but the Wildcats were without starting quarterback Will Levis and last week, it was another upset against Texas A&M by six points but they were outgained by 112 yards as they jumped out to a 17-0 start thanks to returning the opening kickoff for a touchdown and then turning two Aggies turnovers into 10 more points. The special teams and defense have bolstered their scoring average as the offense is ranked No. 83 in the country overall as a strength coming into the season was supposed to be from transfer quarterback Spencer Rattler from Oklahoma but he has underwhelmed by throwing for only 1,465 yards with five touchdowns and eight interceptions while getting sacked 15 times. The Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win. The Tigers moved to 3-4 on the season with a tougher than expected win over Vanderbilt last week as the offense sputtered but the defense once again kept them in it. They are ranked No. 22 in total defense and both units have performed well at No. 32 against the pass and No. 46 against the run and they will be facing a below average offense once again. After allowing 40 points to Kansas St. in their second game of the season, they have given up just 19.6 ppg over their last five games. Missouri is 0-3 on the road but two of those losses came at Florida and at Auburn by a combined 10 points and it outgained the Gators and Tigers by 73 and 95 total yards respectively. The worst effort over that stretch was allowing 26 points and that came against Georgia which shows the high level that the Missouri defense has been playing. The public wants nothing to do with the Tigers this week and that is just how we like it. The Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. 10* (127) Missouri Tigers

This is a play on the CENTRAL FLORIDA KNIGHTS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Central Florida had a four-game winning streak snapped with a 34-13 loss at East Carolina last week but the game was a lot closer than that final score indicates as the Knights were outgained by only 32 yards but were -4 in turnovers and no team can overcome that. They are now 2-1 in the AAC which is good for a tie for third place and UFC can still run the table and it starts this week against Cincinnati. Last week, quarterback John Rhys Plumlee went 25-37 for 298 yards but he threw three interceptions which killed drives and the Knights are now No. 6 in total offense and No. 20 in scoring offense and while facing a tough defense, they can bounce back at home before hitting the road for a pair of tough games against Memphis and first place Tulane. The defense was not horrible against the Pirates but the points allowed were due to those turnovers and prior to that, they allowed an average of 14 ppg and now face a decent but far from powerful offense. The Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Cincinnati opened the season with a loss at Arkansas but has reeled off six straight wins including opening 3-0 in the conference but it has not been dominating. The Bearcats defeated SMU on its homecoming as a failed two-point conversion late in the game ended up being the difference and they benefitted from knocking out Mustangs quarterback Tanner Mordecai. They are ranked No. 17 in total defense but even that is a bit skewed as their two dominating games came against Miami Ohio and Kennesaw St. of the FCS and they have allowed 24 or more points in three of their last four games and will be tested here. Offensively, Cincinnati is ranked No. 45 overall and while it is No. 24 in coring, a lot of that is due to the defense setting up short fields and as mentioned, will be facing a strong defense that is a bit underrated. While they have been winning, they have not been covering at a high rate and they are underdogs for the first time since that Arkansas game for a reason. The Bearcats are 2-1 on the road but going back, they are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five road games. 10* (146) Central Florida Knights

This is a play on the MIAMI HURRICANES for our ACC Game of the Year. Miami is coming off one of its worst games in recent history as it was blown out by Duke 45-21 as a 10-point favorite but committed a school record eight turnovers which completely wiped out any chance for the offense to get going as it was outgained by only nine yards. The Hurricanes were up 21-17 late in the third quarter when it all imploded as they were outscored 28-0 the rest of the way and they will be out for blood this week and laying a short price against one of the lowest ranked teams in the conference. Following a blowout win to open the season, Miami has failed to cover each of its last six games and by an average of over two touchdowns with miscues all over the place that has brought it down. Quarterback Tyler Van Dyke left the game last week with a shoulder injury and backup Jake Garcia was trash but to his credit, he was forced into action with no practice time with the starters but he was able to work all week with them this week. The Hurricanes have outgained five of seven opponents and their numbers overall are very solid as they are ranked No. 33 in total offense and No. 34 in total defense so while their record is playing into this spread, the statistics are not. Virginia was fortunate to beat Georgia Tech last week as Yellow Jackets quarterback Jeff Sims went down and the offense went down with him as backup Zack Gibson could not move the offense, going 10-25 for 99 yards and Georgia Tech mustered just 202 total yards of offense. The Cavaliers also come in at 3-4 but they are a much worse 3-4 than Miami as they have been blown out in three of their losses while getting outgained by an average of 112.3 ypg. Virginia is ranked No. 90 in total offense and No. 123 in scoring offense and did nothing much against one of the worst defenses in the ACC last week. the defense has played at a higher level as the Cavaliers are ranked No. 38 overall and No. 43 in points allowed but do not have a ball hawking secondary that has only five interceptions on the season. Here, we play against home teams in the second half of the season averaging between 230 and 275 passing ypg and after allowing 4.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game going up against teams allowing between 230 and 275 passing ypg. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1992. 10* (143) Miami Hurricanes

This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our CFB Friday Night Lights Winner. This has not been classic BYU football over the last few weeks as the Cougars have lost three straight games but it has come against some tough competition. They lost to Notre Dame, which is not having a good season but it is still Notre Dame with a load of talent, Arkansas from the SEC and Liberty, which is 7-1, the only loss coming by a point against Wake Forest. Overall, BYU has played a schedule ranked No. 32 and has gone 1-3 against top 30 teams while going 3-1 against teams ranked outside the top 30 and that is where East Carolina falls. The key number here is 0-6 and that pertains to the 0-6 ATS run that BYU is on which creates value and we can look back to two home games against Wyoming and Utah St. where they were favored by more than three touchdowns and while those two teams are ranked lower than East Carolina, the power ranking point spread differentials between them and the Pirates are seven and 12 points. The Cougars are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. East Carolina has won two straight games, taking out Memphis and UCF and now is in a bad scheduling spot as it goes out of conference right in the middle of the heated AAC race with games against Cincinnati and Houston on deck so this is the classic sandwich spot. The Pirates are 5-3 including a 3-2 record in the conference and this is just the third road game of the season after playing six of their first eight games at home. They have an edge with their offense but they scored only nine points against Tulane in their last road game and we can see this offense having a tough time on the road again. East Carolina is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better and 10-27 ATS in its last 37 games after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. While this is a game for East Carolina to become bowl eligible, BYU is the more desperate team in need to right the ship. 10* (112) BYU Cougars

This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Both Utah and Washington St. are coming off their bye week and they are sitting in the top and bottom half of the Pac 12 respectively. Washington St. is part of a group of six teams that have just one conference victory so it is not looking very good for a shot at the Pac 12 Championship but the schedule is in its favor down the stretch to get to five wins with a possible six with a victory here. It will not be easy but we are more concerned about the cover and this is a very good number. As a comparison, two home games back, the Cougars were getting 6.5 points against first place Oregon and are getting a bigger number here based on their two straight losses. Those were both on the road and they are 3-1 at home with the lone loss coming against that Ducks team by just three points. The Washington St. offense has been a letdown as it is ranked No. 89 overall and No. 95 in scoring but the splits are the reason as it averages 32.8 ppg at home compared to 13.7 ppg on the road. It will be facing a defense that has underachieved and they can have success here. Washington St. is 22-9 ATS in its last 31 home games after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game. Utah is coming off a big win over USC to improve to 3-1 in the conference but it has not been overly dominant as the Utes are only +31.3 ypg in Pac 12 games. The aforementioned defense has been the problem as they have allowed 42 points in back-to-back games against USC and UCLA and while Washington St, does not possess the same potent offense, it is more than capable. The Utes have relied on their offense that is currently No. 20 in the nation overall and No. 11 in scoring but will be squaring off against a Cougars defense that has allowed only 20.7 ppg which is No. 27 in the country. Utah has won only one of three road games with that coming against 2-5 Arizona St. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games, with eight offensive starters returning. This situation is 54-19 ATS (74 percent) since 1992. 10* (108) Washington St. Cougars

This is a play on the KANSAS ST. WILDCATS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. This is a great spot to play on Kansas St. and play against TCU based on scheduling from both sides. The Wildcats are 5-1 on the season including three straight Big 12 victories and the winner of this game will take over sole possession of first place in the conference and remain the lone undefeated team in the Big 12. The lone loss for Kansas St. was a shocker as it fell at home by a touchdown to Tulane as a two-touchdown favorite with a lookahead to Oklahoma likely being a main reason for not showing up. After a low start, the offense has picked it up in conference action and it is backed by a strong running game that is ranked No. 7 in rushing offense with 244.8 ypg led by Nebraska transfer quarterback Adrian Martinez who is second on the team with 546 rushing yards. Defensively, the Wildcats are ranked No. 14 in scoring defense and is solid on both levels that can slow down the TCU offense. TCU comes in with a 6-0 record including a similar 3-0 record in the conference and while this is another big game, the recent run has taken a lot out of the Horned Frogs. They took out rival SMU at the end of September, winning the yardage battle by just 11 yards then followed that up with the blowout over Oklahoma. They were then the target on College Game Day in Kansas for the first time as they escaped with a seven-point win despite getting outgained by 88 yards and then last week, it took a big comeback to defeat Oklahoma St. in double-overtime. TCU is No. 3 in the country in both total offense and scoring offense with two games skewing those numbers, the game against the Sooners and another against Tarleton St. The weakness is the defense as they are ranked No. 89 overall and No. 70 in scoring and while the passing numbers allowed are inflated because of teams needing to pass, the rushing defense is only No. 53 while allowing 4.4 ypc. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging between 5.6 and 6.2 yppl going up and after gaining 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against teams allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (317) Kansas St. Wildcats

This is a play on the LSU TIGERS for our SEC Game of the Year. We have seen a line flip here as Mississippi opened as a slight favorite but LSU money came in early and the Tigers are now a slight chalk and it has remained steady despite more money coming in on the Rebels. LSU rolled over Florida last week in a game that was not as close as the 10-point final deficit indicates to improve to 5-2 overall and 3-1 in the SEC and can move into a tie for first place in the SEC West with Alabama with a victory here. Two games back, the Tigers lost to Tennessee 40-13 as they were outgained by 147 yards but as we saw last week, the Volunteers are the real deal so that loss does not look as bad. They have been steady on both sides of the ball and while nothing stands out, balance is the key and they possess that on both offense and defense. The only unit ranked higher than No. 51 in the rushing defense where they are No. 69 and it is that low because of that Tennessee game. Mississippi has quietly gotten off to a 7-0 start including a 2-0 record on the road but those victories came against Georgia Tech and Vanderbilt, two of the worst offenses in their respective conferences. The offense has rolled through almost every game with the exception of games against Troy and Kentucky with the similarities being those two teams possess above average defenses and it faces another one this week. The Rebels have outgained every opponent but the caveat to that is the fact they have played the No. 70 schedule in the nation which has been the easiest of all teams in the SEC while LSU has played the No. 27 ranked slate. The number is now telling us something as the Rebels, despite being ranked No. 7 and facing an unranked team, are underdogs showing this is the toughest test thus far. While we would prefer a night game in Death Valley, a late afternoon start is just fine. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 34 or more ppg and after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 ppg. This situation is 31-7 ATS (81.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (384) LSU Tigers

This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Old Dominion is a team that is hard to figure out right now as it is 3-3 and leads the SBC East with a 2-0 record that includes a very impressive win at Coastal Carolina last week by 28 points as an 11.5-point underdog. The other conference win came against 2-5 Arkansas St. by just a field goal and the numbers have not been in their favor. One positive aspect is the fact the offense has improved its production every game, opening with 245 yards against Virginia Tech and capping it last week with 525 yards against the Chanticleers but that game was the first time all season that the Monarchs won the yardage battle as they are getting outgained by 95 ypg against an overall weak schedule. The issue has been the defense as Old Dominion is ranked No. 118 in total defense including No. 118 against the and No. 100 against the run and it is coming off a game where the defense was on the field for 80 snaps against Coastal Carolina and a repeat close to that would not be surprising. The Monarchs are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing. Georgia Southern is a pass first offense which cuts down its time of possession but the Eagles are No. 2 in the country in offensive snaps so keeping that Monarchs defense on the field should not be a problem. The Eagles are coming off big win over James Madison last week to improve to 4-3 and picked up their first conference win after losing their first two SBC games by a single possession. Georgia Southern in ranked No. 3 in passing offense as it has thrown for at least 359 yards in four of seven games including a massive 578 yards passing last week. The offense is led by quarterback Kyle Vantrease, a transfer from Buffalo, after throwing for 1,861 yards in split time last season and he has had immediate success in this spread attack as he has been around the block for five seasons and has a plethora of receivers to throw to that are experienced and fast. The defense has struggled but have faced some very potent offenses along the way and get their first break in a while against a pedestrian offense. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 450 total yards. 10* (351) Georgia Southern Eagles

This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Rice is off to a surprising 3-3 start to the season with two impressive wins over Louisiana and UAB as a double-digit underdog. The Owls were blown out by USC in their opener but the other two losses against Houston and Florida Atlantic were quality defeats as both were by one possession. All of this has led to a perfect 5-0 ATS run and that is clearly played into this line as they are road favorites for only the third time since late 2015, a span of 37 games. They rolled over McNeese St. from the FCS but in In five games against FBS opponents, Rice has been outgained four times despite a defense that has been pretty solid sitting No. 45 overall but No. 81 in scoring defense and that latter ranking is due to turnovers from the offense that has affected the defensive numbers. They have needed that defense to keep things close as the Owls are No. 102 in total offense and No. 74 in scoring offense and while they are facing a poor defense, they do not have a big edge in either rushing or passing. Louisiana Tech got rolled by North Texas last week to fall to 2-4 with the other three losses coming against South Alabama, Clemson and Missouri and while the second of the Tigers here are not very good, they are still a Power Five team while South Alabama and Clemson are a combined 12-1. The Bulldogs were a disappointing 3-9 last season and new head coach Sonny Cumbie brought in a new wide open offense that has not clicked yet because they have missed out on the clutch situations to score. They have the No. 20 ranked passing offense and while they have struggled running the ball, it should open up here as Rice is ranked No. 92 in rushing defense and it has been outrushed in all five FBS games. This line is a big overreaction and while the Bulldogs are not great, they should not be underdogs here. The home team is a combined 12-0 in games involving these two teams. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are getting outscored by opponents by 7.0 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 76-36 ATS (67.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (370) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS for our C-USA Game of the Month. It has been an up and down start for the Hilltoppers which are 4-3 following a win at Middle Tennessee St. but they have played better than the record shows. All three losses came by one possession and by an average of 4.3 ppg and they have outgained six of seven opponents, the lone exception coming against UTSA as they were outgained by only five yards. The biggest offensive turnaround in the country took place at Western Kentucky as after averaging 291.7 ypg in 2020, which was No. 121 in the country, it boosted that to 528.4 ypg last season which was second in the nation behind Ohio St. Bailey Zappe, who has turned into a household name after his stellar play in New England, orchestrated that offense and now it is transfer Austin Reed not missing a beat after winning the Division II National Championship at West Florida. He has thrown for 2,317 yards on over 70 percent completions with 21 touchdowns and five interceptions and has the No. 6 ranked passing offense in the country. The defense has been the weakness but it has not been horrible as the Hilltoppers are ranked in the top 50 in both total defense and scoring defense. UAB is 4-2 following a pair of home wins against Middle Tennessee St. and Charlotte which are nothing special and the home team is 6-0 in Blazers games this season. They have dominated the stats the last three games by an average of 193 ypg with Rice being the other team in the mix and UAB has been outgained by its two toughest opponents, Georgia Southern and Liberty. While they are sound on both sides, they are heading into a tough spot on the road and going back, the Blazers are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games after gaining 450 or more yards in two straight games. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. this situation is 108-51 ATS (67.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (314) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

This is a play on the GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. The coaching change at Georgia Tech was just what it needed from what we have seen so far. Geoff Collins was fired on September 26 after a loss against UCF which was the ninth straight loss against FBS opponents and Brent Key took over on an interim basis. The Yellow Jackets have responded with a pair of wins including an upset of then No. 21 Pittsburgh and then won in overtime against Duke despite dominating the yardage by 134 yards but it was closer than it should have been as Duke returned a punt 81 yards for a touchdown. Even in the 17-point loss against UCF, they won the yardage battle by 119 yards as turnovers, special teams and penalties did them in. Overall, the numbers are not great but they have edges in the right spots in this matchup namely in the running game as Georgia Tech should be able to control the line of scrimmage because Virginia cannot run the ball on offense and cannot stop the run on defense. Virginia opened the season 2-1 but those wins were against Richmond of the FCS and against Old Dominion by just two points. Since then, the Cavaliers have lost three straight games, all within the ACC and they were outgained in all of those and by a combined 301 total yards. They are 0-3 on the road and are the only winless team in the conference and while it was expected to be another down year, things are going bad all over the place. As mentioned the running game has struggled as they are No. 93 in rushing offense and No. 90 in rushing defense. The one strength has been against the pass as they are No. 43 in yards allowed but that is totally skewed based on teams not passing against Virginia because there is no reason to when possessing significant leads. A much better indication is their No. 69 ranking in passing efficiency defense and while Georgia Tech does not have a potent passing game, it can have success here especially after getting the running game going. 10* (308) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Appalachian St. is coming off a bad loss as it fell at Texas St. 36-24 as a 19-point favorite as it could not overcome mistakes and could not recover from a 30-3 deficit. The Mountaineers had two turnovers, one of which was an interception returned 94-yards for a touchdown that ended up being a 14-point swing that ultimately put the game away. They outgained the Bobcats by 102 total yards and they have been outgained only once this season which was against 5-1 James Madison by just 78 yards in a four-point loss. Appalachian St. fell to 1-2 in the Sun Belt Conference so it has some work to do sitting a game and a half behind the leaders in the East Division. The offense has huge advantages here as the Mountaineers are ranked No. 34 in both total offense and scoring offense and while not off the chart rankings, they are definitely good enough against the defense they will be facing on Wednesday. Appalachian St. is 23-10 ATS in its last 33 games against teams averaging 425 or more ypg. Georgia St. opened the season 0-4 but has bounced back nicely with a pair of wins, one against rival Georgia Southern by eight points and an upset at Army by 17 points so they have been quality victories. There was not a real domination with the numbers though as the Panthers won the yardage battle in those two games by just a combined 161 ypg and hit the road for just the third time with the other game coming at South Carolina that resulted in a 35-14 loss. Their offense is decent, ranked No. 44 in the country but the scoring offense is just No. 65 and they face a very formidable defense which has had its numbers skewed because of that North Carolina game where they allowed 567 yards and 63 points opening weekend. The story here though is the defense that has not been able to stop many teams as the Panthers are ranked No. 113 overall and No. 115 in scoring and those are not skewed. They have allowed 33 or more points in five of six games. 10* (302) Appalachian St. Mountaineers

This is a play on the TCU HORNED FROGS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Oklahoma St. came into the season as one of the top favorites to win the Big 12 Conference and it remains there, tied with TCU at +300, right behind Texas which is +270. They are 5-0 but have not played like an undefeated team as they have been outgained in three of their four games against FBS opponents including last week against Texas Tech where they won by 10 points despite getting outgained by 93 total yards. That games makes this trip even more difficult for the defense as the unit was on the field for 104 plays and could get gassed here going against the best team in the country on offense as far as yards per play. Oklahoma St. is ranked No. 34 in offensive EPA (Expected Points Added) and No. 82 in defensive EPA and of the remaining 15 undefeated teams, they are the lowest ranked team in EPA Margin at No. 53 (10 of those undefeated teams are ranked No. 13 or higher in ERA Margin). TCU has been arguably the most impressive team in the Big 12 through the first half although some will argue Texas which is fair, but the Horned Frogs are ranked in the top five in the country in both scoring offense and scoring defense. As for the aforementioned yards per play offense rankings, TCU averages 8.08 yppl which is just ahead of Alabama and Ohio St. and its schedule is ranked No. 67 compared to No. 30 and No. 38 for the other two which is not a huge drop lower. The Oklahoma blowout win has lost some of its shine after the Sooners got waxed by Texas but it was impressive nonetheless as was the win at Kansas last week despite getting outgained. This is just the third home game for the Horned Frogs and revenge is in play after their 63-17 loss to the Cowboys last season. 10* (186) TCU Horned Frogs

This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES as part of our CFB Saturday Underdog Three Pack. Toledo is off to a 4-2 start including a 2-0 start in the MAC with a pair of wins and covers the last two weeks laying close to the same number as it is this week but the level of competition goes up here. The Rockets numbers have been skewed but are balanced out as they rolled up the stats in their first two wins against Long Island and Massachusetts, two blowouts against cupcakes, but were rolled by Ohio St. to even those numbers out. The real disparity was last week against Northern Illinois as they won by 20 points but were outgained by 75 yards as they benefitted from a +4 turnover margin so it was a misleading final and the big margin of victory is going right into this line. Kent St. has seen and opposite start as it 2-4 but three of those losses were on the road at Washington, Oklahoma and Georgia and the other defeat was also on the road last week at Miami Ohio by three points as the Golden Flashes fell behind 17-0 and could not recover. We played them against Ohio two weeks ago and despite outgaining the Bobcats by 286 total yards, the result was a touchdown win in overtime and those are the types of games that do not tell the story as everything going forward is based on scoring differential with rarely any boxscore info taken into consideration. Getting over a touchdown is big here and the fact that close to 70 percent of the public is on the Rockets is a reflection of the fact the home team in 6-0 in Kent St. home games and that is what we are bucking. Here, we play on road teams averaging between 5.6 to 6.2 yards per play going up against a team allowing between 4.8 to 5.6 yards per play, after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last two games. This situation is 25-4 ATS (86.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (117) Kent St. Golden Flashes

This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS as part of our CFB Saturday Underdog Three Pack. Western Michigan is 2-4 following a bad loss at home against Western Michigan last week which also dropped it to 1-1 in the MAC. The Broncos have been a huge disappointment but it was sort of expected as from last season, only 11 starters came back to go along with a No. 124 returning production ranking so an early struggle could have been anticipated which came to fruition. The numbers have not been nearly as bad as the opponent on defense and overall, the Broncos have advantages in the three main categories of yards per play, yards per game and scoring average so the defense will be fine. The offense has been inconsistent but have the best opportunity to get it going this week as it has all season and we should see just that with a good edge of playing its third straight home game while Ohio has traveled between home/away and away/away games every week through six contests. This is the first of four straight winnable games. The Bobcats defense is horrible and are now a road favorite. Ohio took out Florida Atlantic in the season opener as it barely held off a late charge from the Owls and that defensive effort was a sign of things to come. The Bobcats then had a pair of tough road games at Penn St. and Iowa St. and the defense was lit up for 572 yards and 463 yards respectively which was going to be a given but last week was a total debacle as they hosted Fordham and gave up 52 points and 640 yards of offense. It got worse at Kent St. as they allowed 736 total yards and were extremely luck to cover and all said and done, Ohio has the worst ranked defense in the country and its scoring defense is ranked No. 127. The Bobcats had a better effort last week that was Akron and now face an offense ready to break out and there is no reason to think otherwise. 10* (190) Western Michigan Broncos

This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES for our Big 12 Game of the Year. This is the perfect situation for Iowa St., at least as far as a cover goes because overreaction happens every week and we are seeing that here based on recent results on both sides. Iowa St. opened the season 3-0 but has lost three straight games, all by one possession including the last two by four points combined as the offense shut down in those last two with 20 points scored combined. The defense remains a strength however as the Cyclones have allowed 14 points or less in five of their six games and now are getting more points than they have allowed in those games and on average for the season where they have given up only 13.7 ppg. The total defense is ranked No. 11 in the country, allowing 277.5 ypg and while facing a solid offense, it is one that it can slow down. This has been a great spot with Iowa St. going 6-0 ATS in its last six games as underdogs of three or more points coming off a loss while head coach Matt Campbell is 10-0 ATS his last 10 conference games against winning teams when getting double digits. While the last three losses for the Cyclones is part of the overreaction, the Texas 49-0 win against Oklahoma is an even bigger overreaction. It was a solid win over a very good Sooners team but a very overrated Sooners team that has been exposed the last three weeks on defense. The line opened high and has been bet up even higher which is giving us great value on the other side. Overall, Texas is ranked No. 37 in total offense and No. 34 in total defense which are very good rankings but nothing over the top that helps explain such a big line over a quality team. Coming off a blowout over their biggest rival can create a letdown but in addition, Texas has a revenge game on deck against Oklahoma St. while Iowa St. has a bye which solidifies taking the big underdog. 10* (187) Iowa St. Cyclones

This is a play on the PENN ST. NITTANY LIONS as part of our CFB Saturday Underdog Three Pack. Michigan is off to a 6-0 start but has played a soft slate for the most part as the best opponent has been Maryland which resulted in a seven-point win at home and it did not come close to covering. The Wolverines opened with three nonconference games against Colorado St., Hawaii and Connecticut, three teams ranked No. 136, No. 166 and No. 150 respectively in the latest power rankings and the three conference games have been far from daunting with the highest ranked opponent being Iowa at No. 33. To put it in perspective, the Wolverines have played a schedule ranked No. 111 which is second lowest in strength of all teams that are No. 45 or better in the country. Yes, Michigan has the talent to make another conference run but not being tested, no chance to back them against a quality opponent laying this number. One big gripe about head coach James Franklin is the fact he has stunk in this role of an underdog against teams highly ranked teams as he has lost eight in a row on the road against top ten teams but the price is a big deal with five of those defeats coming by five points or less so we are not dealing with a history of blowouts. The Nittany Lions offense has been solid as they are ranked No. 38 overall and No. 37 in scoring and a solid rushing game has buoyed this as they are averaging 192.6 ypg on the ground which is No. 33 in the nation. The Michigan defense has been one of the best but against no one. This is a good scheduling spot for Penn St. as while it will be a full house at the Big House, a noon game is different than a home game at night where the energy is completely different. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 100 or less rushing ypg, after allowing 1.5 or less rushing ypc last game. this situation is 60-25 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (127) Penn St. Nittany Lions

This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Friday Night Lights Winner. After a 0-2 start with bad losses against Delaware and Memphis, Navy has responded with wins in two of its last three games, both being impressive conference victories over East Carolina and Tulsa with the lone defeat being a three-point loss at Air Force. This is the time to jump on the Midshipmen as they are playing their style again and the markets have not caught up despite this being one of just two games on Friday. Navy rushed for 455 yards in its last game against Tulsa and while it was only one game, it is in a great spot here against a defense that has allowed an average of 195 rushing ypg in the four games against FBS opponents. Overall, Navy is No. 12 in rushing offense, averaging 231.8 ypg and being able to shorten the game with the running attack is important being a double-digit underdog. SMU has lost three straight games following a 2-0 start including a 22-point loss at UCF which was a horrible spot coming off two postponements which messed with travel and practice issues leading up to the game last Wednesday. The Mustangs do have extra time in this spot which is significant when prepping for the Navy offense but an extra two days is nothing compared to a bye week prior to the matchup. SMU does have a potent offense led by a passing game that is ranked No. 4 in the country with 355 ypg but it does come down to the rushing game and the point at the line of scrimmage as the Mustangs have been outgained on the ground in all four FBS matchups. Turnovers are an issue as well as the Mustangs are -6 in turnover margin over the last four games. Here, we play against teams averaging 6.2 or more yppl going up against teams allowing between 5.6 and 6.2 yppl, after allowing 6.75 or more yppl in two consecutive games. this situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (113) Navy Midshipmen

This is a play on the ARIZONA WILDCATS as part of our CFB Saturday Underdog Three Pack. This is a very good spot for Arizona as it catches Oregon on a winning streak feeling good about itself and looking forward to a big game against UCLA next week. The Ducks got their doors blown off against Georgia in their series opener but have rolled through their last four games including impressive wins against BYU and at Washington St. and they are definitely in danger of a lookahead here. The Oregon offense has been just fine as expected and the big improvement was supposed to be the defense with Dan Lanning coming over from Georgia to take over as head coach but the unit has not come round yet as Oregon is ranked No. 72 in total defense and No. 98 in scoring defense. As for the offense, Bo Nix has been excellent at quarterback over the last four games with 12 touchdowns and just one interception but this is Bo Nix we are talking about and put him in a tough road environment at night and his SEC road nightmares could come back to life. We expected Arizona to have a turnaround season as we took the over 2.5/3 wins and a win or a push is assured but all tickets will cash and the Wildcats have a great opportunity to see where they actually are in the Pac 12 hierarchy. The Wildcats opened the season with a win over San Diego St. and while the Aztecs are not very good, it was on the road, it was a needed confidence boost and it was a dominating performance. The two losses came against Mississippi St. and California and while both were by more than two touchdowns, they were outgained by only a combined 195 total yards so both were closer than what the final score indicated. Arizona rolled Colorado last week which is not saying much but it was another opportunity to get some meaningful time for quarterback Jayden de Laura who is a transfer from Washington St. and has shown what he can do especially now being used to his new receivers. 10* (364) Arizona Wildcats

This is a play on the ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI for our Big Ten Conference Game of the Year. The Big Ten has produced some early season surprises with Illinois being one of those as it is off to a 4-1 start including a 1-1 record in the conference and it could be 5-0. The loss to the Hoosiers was a tough one as Illinois outgained Indiana 448-362, had nine more first downs and controlled the clock for over 13 more minutes but had four turnovers and it had chances late as it got into Indiana territory on four straight possessions but resulted in just one field goal as it had a fumble, and interception and a turnover on downs at the Indiana four-yard line. The Illini have outgained all five opponents as they have been buoyed by a defense that has been incredible, ranking No. 1 in scoring defense and No. 3 in total defense and we saw what just happened to Wisconsin. While there might be the scare of a letdown, Illinois has not had a start like this in a long time so they are not going to look past this one, especially considering it is Iowa. This one sets up almost identical to another game we are playing based on one time intangible. The schedule worked in the favor of Illinois this week as they are playing at 7:30 ET which is the only Big Ten game with a kickoff scheduled past 4:00 ET so the Illini will have a significant home field edge as opposed to playing at 3:30 ET which was the original kickoff time. This is a rare instance for Illinois and we are going to back these unique occasions as this is just the second time in the last 20 games that the Illini are favored in a Big Ten game and they have not been favored over Iowa since 2008. Iowa recovered from its first loss of the season against Iowa St. but that next game was against Nevada and now at 3-2, the Hawkeyes are showing who they are. They have a strong defense but the offense is abysmal as they are ranked No. 119 or worse in all four major offensive categories. 10* (394) Illinois Fighting Illini

This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES as part of our CFB Saturday Underdog Three Pack. Iowa St. is coming off a tough loss against the surprising Jayhawks as it missed three field goals late in the game that could have sent the game into overtime which came after a seven-point home loss against Baylor the previous week. The Cyclones need to shake those off quickly as they face one of the hottest teams in the Big XII and then are at Texas next week so a non-fully focused team this week could be a partial reason for a possible 0-4 start in the conference prior to their bye week. The defense has been exceptional as Iowa St. is ranked No. 8 overall and No. 11 in points allowed and it has been strong against both the run and the pass. Offensively, they have been below average and quarterback Hunter Dekkers has been pretty solid but his six interceptions has held him back and the Wildcats are nothing special on defense. The schedule worked in their favor this week as they are playing at 7:30 ET which is the only Big XII game with a kickoff scheduled past 3:30 ET and Iowa St. will have a significant home field edge as opposed to playing at 1:00 ET which was the original kickoff time. The Wildcats are coming off a pair of wins against Oklahoma and Texas Tech and that Sooners victory is not as strong anymore after their blowout loss against TCU. For the Kansas St. offense, it is basically what you see is what you get as the Wildcats are ranked No. 3 in rushing offense and No. 122 in passing offense and this is not an ideal style especially when facing a great defense and the style is only good for a total ranked offense of just No. 69. Adrian Martinez has carried the offense the last two weeks as he has seven rushing touchdowns and 319 yards on the ground against Oklahoma and Texas Tech but Iowa St. has the defense that can slow that down especially after seeing what the Cyclones did to Jalon Daniels last week despite the loss. 10* (356) Iowa St. Cyclones

This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES as part of our CFB Saturday Underdog Three Pack. The public is starting to catch up to James Madison. In their first year at the FBS level, the Dukes are 4-0 and have covered all four games by a total of 61.5 points against the number. Their number got inflated last week against Texas St. and it was not enough and now they are playing their first ever road game as favorites and big ones for that matter. One cause for concern as that the Dukes know how to win on the road going back to the FCS days as they have won 13 straight away from home but of course, the opposition was much weaker and this is an interesting line. James Madison was getting six points in its only other road game this season and is now a double-digit favorite. The Dukes have been great on both sides of the ball as they are ranked No. 8 in scoring offense and No. 9 in scoring defense but it has come against a schedule ranked No. 157 in the nation. The ATS record of Arkansas St. offsets the James Madison spread record as the Red Wolves are 5-0 against the number but their success is not being taken into consideration in this spread based on our raw numbers so there is value on the home team. The Red Wolves are 2-3 to start the season and those two wins have already matched their win total from last season which two of their losses were close games late and the other defeat was at Ohio St. The offense is making strides as after being one of the worst in the country last season, they have been much more efficient and balanced and while facing a tough defense here, they will be able to keep up a chance for the outright upset is definitely in play. Quarterback James Blackman has been very solid as he has thrown for 1,212 yards on 69.7 percent completions with seven touchdowns and just one interception and he has big time experience coming from Florida St. 10* (354) Arkansas St. Red Wolves

This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. We played against UTEP last week and going into the game, a question was asked. Which UTEP team shows up here? The one that narrowly defeated bad New Mexico St. (and we can add Charlotte to that now) team and lost by 17 points to an equally bad New Mexico team or the one that just defeated Boise St. by 17 points as a 16.5-point underdog? Last week, UTEP returned two fumbles for touchdowns and overall, had four takeaways which explains losing the yardage battle by 18 yards against the 49ers. Playing six games in the first six weeks of the season has its benefits as they know what they have, or at least should know what they have, and any lack of chemistry should be gone, but on the flip side, playing six straight weeks can be grueling especially with the way their schedule has panned out. The Miners have alternated home and road games through the first six contests so there has been no two-week stretch of being at home since late August. This team could be gassed. Louisiana Tech has gotten off to a rough start as it is 1-3 but the schedule has dictated that record as the lone victory came against Stephen F. Austin of the FCS while the losses on the road were at Missouri, Clemson and South Alabama. The game last week against the Jaguars would have been the one true game to look at to see where this team stands but nothing could come out of it as the Bulldogs had five turnovers including four interceptions from quarterback Parker McNeil so we can toss that out. Louisiana Tech came into the season with a new head coach in Sonny Cumbie and a new system to get the fledging offense back on track. He directed the Air Raid offenses at TCU and Texas Tech as offensive coordinator and if he can get the most out of the quarterback here, there should be plenty of points against this Miners defense. The small favorite collects. 10* (408) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. This one has the makings of a name the score game for Central Michigan, similar to Kent St. last week as it outgained Ohio by 300 total yards but failed to cover for us, as the Chippewas are back home following a pair of road losses at Penn St. and Toledo to fall to 1-4 on the season. The schedule has been brutal with the other two losses coming against Oklahoma St. and South Alabama and the four losses have come against teams a combined 16-3. Coming off the loss against the Rockets, there is now work to be done in the MAC West with the Chippewas needing to go to 1-1 after this game with favorable schedule on the way to get some momentum going. The offense has been slowed down the last two weeks as Central Michigan managed only 31 points in the two contests yet the offense is still decent in the rankings thanks to previous success and now they face a defense that has been awful against FBS opponents. Taking a look at what the defense has done is not going to show much of what can take place going forward based on the difficulty of the slate. Ball St. is 2-3 to start the season with the wins coming against Murray St. of the FCS 31-0 and Northern Illinois last week by six points in double overtime as it overcame a 17-point deficit at half time. The offense has been pretty good over the last four games but only one of those was on the road which came against Georgia Southern and the defense has been the real story of why the Cardinals are not good now with not much expected to change. Taking away the 0 points and 155 yards allowed against Murray St. and the defensive averages go from an already bad 432.2 ypg and 33.6 ppg to 501.5 ypg and 42 ppg and anything north of 500 and 40 is not very good. A big issue has been allowing easy yards on the ground and that is heightened by the fact Ball St. has allowed 14 rushing touchdowns through its first five games. 10* (398) Central Michigan Chippewas

This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CFB Friday Night Lights Winner. Typically, revenge comes into play following a bad loss the previous season but the situation is different here with Nevada being all amped up for this game not because of a loss but because of former head coach Jay Norvell coming back to Reno after bolting for Colorado St. last season prior to the Wolf Pack bowl game and taking many of the players with him. They have not forgotten what they were left with when they travelled to Ford Field for the Quick Lane Bowl against Western Michigan and were blown out by 28 points and outgained by 272 total yards. While the Broncos would normally be the revenge prey, Colorado St. has taken their place here. Nevada last lost three straight games and it has not been pretty with the three losses coming by 69 points combined with the last two coming on the road at Iowa and Air Force so the return home comes at a perfect time as does its bye week. Quarterback Nate Cox returned after not playing against Iowa and while he did not put up big numbers against the Flacons, the whole offense was shut down but that will not be the case here. The Norvell move was a questionable one as it was considered a lateral move and it clearly has not started well. Losses against Michigan and Washington St. were expected but home losses against Middle Tennessee St. and Sacramento St. of the FCS were not and the numbers are ugly. The Rams are dead last in the country in total offense and No. 130 in scoring offense and the defense has done nothing to keep it close as they are ranked No. 103 and No. 126 in those categories respectively on the defensive side. Colorado St. is also coming off a bye week with is beneficial to try and regroup and hope the time off helped quarterback Clay Millen who is questionable after leaving the last game. While not very good, he is their best option and a dinged up version on the field is better than nothing but still not prime. 10* (308) Nevada Wolf Pack

This is a play on the UCF KNIGHTS for our AAC Game of the Month. This game between SMU and UCF has moved a second time as the game had originally been pushed back from Saturday to Sunday but was moved back three more days with the schedule allowing it to do so with both teams having bye weeks in Week 6. This is a big disadvantage for SMU which has had to change travel plans numerous times during the week and while their offense has been keeping things competitive, the defense has struggled the last two games to prevent the wins. The offensive gameplan should be fairly straightforward for the Knights and that is no establish the run to open up the passing game and they should not divert from this if there is not early success. SMU is hit or miss with the rushing defense as it is ranked No. 105 in the country, allowing 184.8 ypg and has been outrushed by all three FBS opponents. UCF has the personnel with the passing game although it has not been put fully on display yet because the running game has been so good as the Knights are ranked No. 3 in the nation with 274.5 ypg. But that passing game can have its coming out party here as the Mustangs allowed 510 yards passing on 75.5 percent completions, 9.6 ypa and five touchdowns against Maryland and TCU. The Knights defense has been outstanding as they are No. 26 in the country overall and No. 8 in points allowed with just 13.5 ppg and they have not played slouches as Florida Atlantic and Louisville are both ranked in the top 60 in total offense and while this will be the best offense they have seen, it is also the best defense the Mustangs have encountered. This line was -3.5 last week when the game was still scheduled to be played on Saturday and has not moved much and there is now value because of the travel aspect as it has disrupted the Mustangs not only in their itinerary but also the practice and preparation has been thrown all off course. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 34 or more ppg and after allowing 17 points or less in two straight games going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 ppg. This situation is 43-15 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1992. 10* (422) UCF Knights

This is a play on the STANFORD CARDINAL as part of our CFB Saturday Underdog Three Pack. Oregon trailed 34-22 with just 3:49 left against Washington St. last week but the Cougars gave it away and the Ducks capped the comeback with a 27-yard interception return for a touchdown to take a two-score lead with a minute remaining. It was a fortunate win for the Ducks which have now won three straight games since getting crushed in their opener against Georgia but this is now a tough spot against what we consider an undervalued opponent. The Ducks offense has been rolling since that game against the Bulldogs and they are currently No. 18 in total offense and No. 26 in scoring offense with good balance and they should be able to move the ball again this week but it is the other side that is the concern. Defensively, they have not been very good, currently sitting No. 79 in total defense and No. 94 in scoring defense despite a game against Eastern Washington where it allowed only 187 yards of offense and 14 points. Stanford opened the season with an easy win against Colgate but the schedule amped up quickly with back-to-back games against USC and Washington, the two best teams in the Pac 12 that are ranked No. 6 and No. 15 respectively. The Cardinal lost both games by double-digits but held their own, getting outgained by only 85 ypg, and now they are getting a bigger number than last week which is based on the scoreboard. The running game will be of the utmost importance here, not only to keep some balance within the offense but to keep the Ducks offense off the field. Stanford has a two-headed running back combo in E.J. Smith and Casey Filkins that have combined for 403 yards on 72 carries (5.6 ypc) and quarterback Tanner McKee had a solid game against the Huskies last week but a -3 turnover differential proved to be pivotal. Revenge is in play for Oregon following a loss to Stanford on the road last season in overtime and that was the last time the Cardinal have covered a game as they are 0-10 ATS over their last 10 games going back to last season and the value now is too big as that futile streak finally comes to an end. 10* (173) Stanford Cardinal

This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE as part of our CFB Saturday Underdog Three Pack. Tulsa returns home following a battle at Mississippi where it ended up losing 35-27 as it played through adversity and a tough environment so easily cover and put a scare into the Rebels. The Golden Hurricane came back from a 21-point deficit to make it a one-possession game as they shut out the Rebels in the second half and had three different opportunities to try and tie the game but failed each time. The adversity that came into play was not the fact it was playing a team from the SEC, and a very good one, but that the offense did its part with a backup quarterback after starter Davis Brin was injured and Braylon Braxton took over and did a fine job in first real time playing experience. Brin is day-to-day but with Braxton getting the reps with the first team in practice this week, it will be fine either way. The other loss this season came against Wyoming in the season opener in overtime despite outgaining the Cowboys by 122 total yards so this team could be 3-1 with an outside shot at 4-0 had they gotten a late break last week. Cincinnati is coming off a win over Indiana by 21 points but outgained the Hoosiers by just 394-348 as turnovers hurt Indiana which included a fumble recovery for a touchdown by the Bearcats. They have now won three games in a row by an average of 31.7 ppg and they are now gaining votes in the latest AP Top 25 poll but this is a team that is still hard to get sold on, especially laying big lumber on the road especially against a competent opponent. Wins over Miami Ohio and Kennesaw St. were impressive blowouts but against much weaker opposition and one quick line observation shows that the Bearcats were favored by 16.5 points against Indiana at home last week which puts them under a two-touchdown favorite on a neutral field and that is roughly the same number here based on their road chalk and Tulsa is a higher ranked team than Indiana across most power ratings. This is a quality team no doubt but after blowing away most every team last season, Cincinnati is going to be involved in more competitive games this year and this is one of those instances. 10* (160) Tulsa Golden Hurricane

This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS as part of our CFB Saturday Underdog Three Pack. Which UTEP team shows up here? The one that narrowly defeated a bad New Mexico St. team and lost by 17 points to an equally bad New Mexico team or the one that just defeated Boise St. by 17 points as a 16.5-point underdog? Typically, we go with the latter based on recent form being more important than what happened prior to that but in this case, it was a monumental home win for the Miners and now hitting the road against a team they have no interest in spells letdown. It was monumental based on the fact it was the first time UTEP won as a double-digit home underdog in over a decade. The Miners came into the Boise St. game 1-3 that also included blowout losses against North Texas and Oklahoma and now they are favored on the road and by more than what they were favored by at New Mexico and that is the recency bias rearing its ugly head and we will take advantage with a Charlotte team that is back to full strength. We played against the 49ers last week and they held their own for a half against South Carolina but they imploded with turnovers and mistakes in the second half which led to the 56-20 defeat. Starting quarterback Chris Reynolds was solid in the season opener against Florida Atlantic but was injured and he missed the next two games before returning against Georgia St. where he went 31-43 for 401 yards with five touchdowns and an interception. He expectedly struggled against South Carolina but now the schedule is on his side as this is his first time playing at home and against a defense that has not faced a decent offense the last three games and yes that includes Boise St. which is ranked No. 122 in the country in total offense. Defensively, Charlotte has been one of the worst teams in the country as it is ranked No. 127 or worse in total defense, rushing defense, passing defense and scoring defense but now faces an offense that has scored more than 20 points only once and has reached only 400 total yards just once as well. Charlotte is in a great situational spot here and is definitely the potential live dog back home. 10* (210) Charlotte 49ers

This is a play on the UL-LAFAYETTE RAGIN' CAJUNS for our Sun Belt Conference Game of the Month. South Alabama came a few seconds away from a major upset at UCLA and instead of folding in a letdown spot, the Jaguars responded with a strong effort defensively against Louisiana Tech in a 38-14 win. The Jaguars are one of nine teams still perfect against the spread this season and at four games, that is the magic number we go against with the public going to be lining up on their side based on the spread record and recent results. After putting up over 500 total yards of offense in its first two games, South Alabama has failed to reach 400 yards of offense in its last two games and could struggle once again. While the scheduling situation is in the favor of South Alabama, the overreaction of this line is too much to look past Louisiana here especially with the line already having risen by a field goal since opening. The Cajuns easily won their first two games of the season at home but they have gone on the road the last two weeks and lost both games outright despite being heavily favored in both. The loss against rival UL-Monroe was an especially tough one and after those two games, we will see a focused bunch this week in their return home. Consistency on offense has been the issue as the quarterback situation is still in limbo after the first month of the season. Coming into the season, we noted in our preview that there will be a battle between Chandler Fields and Ben Wooldridge and seeing that both have different styles, both could see decent time on the field and that has been the case with both players seeing action in all four games. Balance will be key however as Lafayette will have to get the running game going as it currently sits No. 112 in the country in rushing offense with the inexperienced offensive line now four games in. Lafayette was a 12-point road favorite last season on the road, which means there is a three-touchdown adjustment almost to the calendar year and the Cajuns have thrived in this spot as they have been home underdogs three times over the last five-plus seasons and have won all of those outright including a 28-point thrashing of Appalachian St. last season. 10* (156) UL-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns

This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Kent St. returns home to open MAC play as it played three of its four nonconference games on the road at Washington, Oklahoma and Georgia and held its own. The offense could not do much in those games as expected but was a point and a half away from covering all three of those. Now being battle tested, the Golden Flashes face a team they can devour as the offense can come back to life like it did against Long Island and while Ohio is clearly a better team than that, laying 30 points less against the Bobcats certainly helps. Getting a true read on the offense and defense is hard in a spot like this considering the elite opposition they have faced, the No. 1 toughest schedule in the country thus far, but it does good going forward. If this sounds familiar, it is. Last season after a 1-3 nonconference start, the losses against Texas A&M, Iowa and Maryland, the Golden Flashes righted the ship, going 6-2 in the conference and went to the MAC Championship. Quarterback Collin Schlee is finding his footing and the one-two punch of Marquez Cooper and Xavier Williams is potent after the two combined for 2,017 yards and 14 touchdowns in 2021. Ohio took out Florida Atlantic in the season opener as it barely held off a late charge from the Owls and that defensive effort was a sign of things to come. The Bobcats then had a pair of tough road games at Penn St. and Iowa St. and the defense was lit up for 572 yards and 463 yards respectively which was going to be a given but last week was a total debacle as they hosted Fordham and gave up 52 points and 640 yards of offense and basically had to rally the entire second half to pull out the victory. Yes, Fordham of the FCS. The Bobcats are ranked No. 130 in total defense and No. 127 in scoring defense so it will be up to the offense to try and keep pace and we do not see that happening on the road as giving up 33 points to Oklahoma and 39 points to Georgia is a win by the Kent St. defense so matter how you look at it. Last season, the Bobcats finished No. 88 in total offense and No. 105 in scoring offense and are on pace for more of the same. 10* (204) Kent St. Golden Flashes

This is a play on the UCLA BRUINS for our Pac 12 Game of the Month. UCLA is off to 4-0 start following a Pac 12 opening win over Colorado this past Saturday and are back home to face its toughest test of the season and the line is telling us just that. There is not a whole lot of confidence in the Bruins, especially following a one-point win over South Alabama at home two weeks ago but this is a talented team and that scare against the Jaguars is just what this team needed. Against Colorado, UCLA won the yardage battle 515-309 including a 249-51 edge in rushing yards and quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson had another strong game, going 19-23 for 234 yards and a pair of touchdowns and on the season, he is completing 74.8 percent of his passes while tossing eight touchdowns and only one interception and overall, he is the second highest rated quarterback on the conference, right behind his opponent on Friday. Head coach Chip Kelly made two excellent points heading into this week as he expressed that the conditioning of this team is outstanding as the Bruins have outscored opponents 78-21 in the second half including two shutouts. Also, he noted an edge because of the NFL experience of his coaches which gives them a preparation edge when playing on a short week. Washington is also off to a 4-0 start after another blowout win as it took out Stanford 40-22 and with the ease of the victories, the Huskies are catching some early CFP buzz, mostly due to the impressive win over Michigan St. But, that win has lost a lot of luster after the Spartans were blown out at home against Minnesota this past Saturday so while still a quality win by the Huskies, it is far from what it looked like two weeks ago. Like UCLA, the strength of schedule has not been great and this is their first venture on the road after playing the first four games at home. While Washington is ranked No. 5 in total offense and No. 22 in total defense, the Bruins are not far behind as they are ranked No. 12 in total offense and No. 20 in total defense and the scheduling is in their favor more than this being the first Huskies road game as this is the first UCLA game being played later than 2:00 local time so the atmosphere will be the best all season. Here, we play against road favorites after one or more consecutive straight up wins going up against an opponent after three or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (112) UCLA Bruins

This is a play on the SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. South Carolina is done with its toughest back-to-back set of games this season after facing Arkansas and Georgia the last two weeks, although a season-ending back-to-back against Tennessee and Clemson ranks up there too, and it remains home following a 48-7 loss to the Bulldogs. With a game against South Carolina St. on deck, there is no lookahead and they want to right the ship here and should have no problem doing so. South Carolina has faced three teams that like to and can run the ball with success and all of those teams took advantage as they averaged 236 ypg on 46.3 carries (5.1 ypc) but now it gets a break. Charlotte has run the ball a decent amount considering it has played from behind in the majority of its games and there has been no success as the 49ers have averaged 97.8 ypg on 28.5 carries (3.4 ypc). Sure, it can be argued they are facing a poor rushing defense but a look at the strength of schedule will tell a different story with the Gamecocks having faced the No. 6 ranked schedule and the 49ers going against the No. 84 ranked slate. Charlotte picked up its first win of the season after a 0-3 start as it defeated Georgia St. in a game it never should have won. The 49ers scored with under a minute remaining to seal the victory after the Panthers took the lead in their possession right before that. They did have their best offensive performance of the season with 501 total yards but the defense allowed 602 total yards so coming away with a win despite getting outgained by over 100 yards is very fortunate. Charlotte has been outgained in all four games by at least 100 yards and by an average of 178.8 ypg and we cannot see it keeping up with a Power Five team, similar to the game against Maryland where it lost 56-21 and was outgained 619-388. The 49ers were able to pass all over Georgia St. last week for 401 yards but do not expect anything close to that here. An added bonus is that this game as originally scheduled for 12 ET but was moved to 7:30 ET and a rowdy night crowd is just what the Gamecocks need. Here, we play against road underdogs getting outscored by 10 or more ppg, after two straight games where 70 total points or more were scored. This situation is 62-21 ATS (74.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (318) South Carolina Gamecocks

This is a play on the SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GOLDEN EAGLES as part of our CFB Saturday Underdog Three Pack. Tulane is coming off a huge upset at Kansas St. last week and is off to a 3-0 start where it also defeated a pair of cupcakes in Massachusetts and Alcorn St. The Tulane defense ruled in the second half as it shut out the Wildcats, forcing four punts and stopping Kansas St. on fourth down three times. The Green Wave had two scoring drives of 53 and 52 yards after two of those fourth down stops to score the final 10 points. Both teams had 336 total yards, Tulane had an 18-15 first down edge and both punted seven times as third down conversions were hard to come by as Tulane was 1-12 while Kansas St. was 2-15. While the defense was impressive, they faced a Wildcats offense that has their shortcomings and while allowing a total of 10 points in the first two games is certainly impressive, the opposition had a lot to do with that. The offense struggled last week and faces an underrated defense this week that kept Miami Fla. in check for most of that game. Tulane is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 games coming off an upset win as a road underdog since 1992. Southern Mississippi opened the season with a pair of losses against Liberty in four overtimes and Miami Fla. but rebounded last week with a 64-10 win over Northwestern St. as it outgained the Demons 588-234 and while it came against a team from the FCS, it was a needed confidence boost heading into its last nonconference game of the season. The Golden Eagles bring back 16 starters and has the No. 7 ranked returning production in the country so this is a very deep team that is getting a huge number in this spot. The defense from last season was not great as they finished No. 80 in points allowed but that was a bit skewed as the offense had 31 turnovers, the most in the nation, that led to the defense being pinned leading to scores on short fields which upped the points allowed and falsely reduced the length of scoring drives and this is a unit loaded with talent at all three levels. On offense, the Golden Eagles exploded last week and ball control will be key here with Frank Gore, Jr., who is averaging 5.9 ypc, being a pivotal piece. Southern Mississippi is 23-7 ATS in its last 30 road games after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. 10* (409) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

This is a play on the JAMES MADISON DUKES as part of our CFB Saturday Underdog Three Pack. James Madison came into the 2022 season with a few unknowns, namely how would it handle the jump into the FBS? The Dukes came over from a very successful run in the FCS ranks following a 12-2 record last season including a 7-1 record in the CAA to win their third straight conference championship. No. 3 seed James Madison rolled over SE Louisiana and Montana in the first two rounds of the FCS playoffs before succumbing to No. 2 seed North Dakota St., the eventual National Champion by six points. It has been so far, so good for James Madison as it has rolled over its two opponents Middle Tennessee St. and Norfolk St. by a combined score of 107-14. The Dukes take a step up in class and will be playing on the road for the first time but this team is loaded and it could not be catching a better spot for their first ever Sun Belt Conference game. Not only has the host gone through the emotions of a full season in just three games but James Madison is coming off a bye week which was an added bonus prior to kicking off conference action. Appalachian St. opened the season with a crushing loss against North Carolina as a missed two-point conversion (twice) prevented overtime. The Mountaineers then went to Texas A&M and defeated the Aggies as close to three-touchdown underdogs and then there was last week. The Mountaineers took a fourth quarter, three-point lead but Troy retook the lead and then took a safety in its own end zone to keep a two-point lead but Appalachian St. tossed a 53-yard Hail Mary as time expired to win the game. We played against them last week to get the cover and will do so again here in what is the ultimate letdown spot. They have played good enough to win all three games for sure and now they face the unknown which is another advantage for the road team that has something to prove. Appalachian St. is ranked No. 38 in total offense and No. 46 in scoring offense and faces the top ranked total defense in the country albeit against a much softer schedule but do not be surprised to see the fireworks going the other way this week for the Mountaineers that are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games as a single-digit favorite. 10* (357) James Madison Dukes

This is a play on the BUFFALO BULLS for our MAC Game of the Month. Eastern Michigan is coming off a major upset at Arizona St. last Saturday and the whole week it has heard about how good it is and there was certainly celebration taking place throughout. We are basing this play partly because of the line and going against what the public will perceive as a very short price based on last week therefore we are going opposite as there is more to Eastern Michigan than last week. The Eagles opened the season against Eastern Kentucky from the FCS and snuck out an eight-point win despite getting outgained by 97 total yards as they benefitted from five turnovers. They then went to Louisiana and got thumped by the Cajuns by 28 points before last week and it is safe to say that Arizona St. had plenty of issues going into that game considering how fast Herm Edwards was fired after the loss and now reports coming out about information being leaked to opponents. While it was a good win over a Power Five team, there is more to it than that. Eastern Michigan is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 games after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game. Buffalo is off to a 0-3 start following a 12-point loss against Coastal Carolina last week but the game was not decided until late and the Bulls could have been excused for coming in flat following a loss against Holy Cross the previous week on a Hail Mary to end the game. Buffalo opened the season with an expected loss against Maryland although it was a competitive game through the first half until the Terrapins scored on a 70-yard touchdown to open the second half and the Bulls did a good job against a very strong Maryland offense. The season is far from lost at 0-3 with this being the conference opener and they could not be catching their opponent in a better spot. Overall, the numbers are pretty similar with the offenses sitting below average and the defenses very below average with both teams playing a similar strength of schedule. The line has already risen two points and would not be surprised to see it get higher. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points getting outscored by opponents by 10 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 58-23 ATS (71.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (355) Buffalo Bulls

This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS as part of our CFB Saturday Underdog Three Pack. Clemson is off to a 3-0 start but there is something skeptical about it. They were three games the Tigers never should have been threatened in, which on the scoreboard they were not, as they were favored by at least 24 points in all three games and won them all by at least 23 points. Last week, they were up just 13-6 at the break and they broke it open in the third quarter with three consecutive touchdowns which came after a pair of interceptions and a turnover on downs that accumulated only 152 yards and then scored its last touchdown on a 12-yard drive. Not exactly going up and down the field. Against Furman, Clemson had only 376 yards of offense and was outgained by the Paladins, and in the opener against Georgia Tech, it had just 378 yards on offense and needed a pair of blocked punts to seal the big win. This offense is reminiscent of last season when it started slow and relied on the defense which it has done by allowing only 10, 12 and 20 points but here comes the first test. Wake Forest is also 3-0 and the positive news is that quarterback Sam Hartman only missed one game after taking a leave for a non-football related issue and has had two games to prepare for this one. He was not great last week against Liberty as the Demon Deacons won by only one point which was a game they did not show up for with a possible lookahead being the reason. They went ahead 20-5 and should have pulled away but instead allowed 18 unanswered points and eventually won the game by denying a two-point conversion at the end of the game. Wake Forest lost this meeting last season by 21 points as it was getting 3.5 points on the road and now it is getting a touchdown at home which does not add up considering the game was played in late November when the Tigers were playing their best and now the Demon Deacons catch them early where there seem to be struggles once again. Hartman did throw for over 300 yards in that game. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with three or more straight wins. This situation is 63-27 ATS (70 percent) since 1992. 10* (340) Wake Forest Demon Deacons. 10* (340) Wake Forest Demon Deacons

This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Friday Night Lights Winner. Nevada is 2-2 to open the season and very could be 0-4. After winning the turnover battle 5-0 in its opener against New Mexico St. where it won 23-12, Nevada again took advantage with a 4-0 takeaway edge and it scored 21 points off those turnovers in a 38-14 win over Texas St. The 2-0 start was short-lived as the Wolf Pack have dropped their last two games, losing to Incarnate Word 55-41 as a favorite and then losing 27-0 at Iowa last week. One constant similarity from the first four games is that Nevada was outgained in all four of those as turnovers were the difference, being +9 in the two wins and just +1 in the two losses and the Wolf Pack cannot be expected to win the turnover battle against a disciplined Air Force team that is even in turnover margin through three games. Nevada is a team that was the most experienced in the country heading into last season with 22 returning starters to now being the least experienced coming into 2022 with only six starters back and that is definitely showing. They should not stand a chance against this Falcons running game. Air Force is coming off an embarrassing effort against Wyoming last week as the Falcons entered the game ranked No. 1 in rushing offense with 508.5 ypg but were held to just 171 yards on 40 carries (4.3 ypc). Overall, the Cowboys outgained Air Force 342-272 yet the Falcons had a chance to win but Wyoming came up big as it went 75 yards for the game-winning score. This is not the game to try and stand in the way of the Falcons as they will be out for a big rebound and will not be letting up no matter how big the lead may be as they need to regain the confidence and get back to .500 in the conference. Head coach Troy Calhoun has been here 15 years and has been in this situation many times and has succeeded as over the last 17 games, his Falcons are 13-4 ATS when coming off a loss as a favorite and playing a team with a .500 or worse winning percentage. Here, we played against teams averaging 4.2 or fewer yards per play on offense after gaining 2.75 or fewer yards per play in their previous game. this situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (310) Air Force Falcons

This is a play on the GEORGIA ST. PANTHERS for our Sun Belt Conference Game of the Month. Coastal Carolina is coming off a win over Buffalo to move to 3-0 on the season but it was not as easy as it should have been. The Bulls were in the game for a while as nearing the end of the first half, they went 80 yards to take a two-point lead into the break. The Chanticleers retook the lead for a good on a fumble recovery for a touchdown as it outscored Buffalo 21-7 in the fourth quarter. They outgained the Bulls 504-337 including 221-59 on the ground (7.9 ypc to 1.3 ypc) so the game should not have been as tight but costly mistakes have played a role early in the season. Coastal Carolina did struggle in the previous game against FCS Gardner Webb as it won by only four points while getting outgained by 141 total yards and that is playing into this line which is shorter than it probably should be so the public is all over the 3-0 chalk going up against the 0-3 underdog. This is the first road game for Coastal Carolina. It has been a disappointing start for the Panthers as they are 0-3 after coming into the season with a projected win total of 7.5 and a likely contender in the Sun Belt Conference although the latter is still more than possible as they have been on the wrong end of some bad breaks. They are coming off a bad loss against Charlotte as it was a back and forth game no thanks to a bad break as Georgia St. was driving to take a 14-point lead in the second quarter but Charlotte returned a fumble 58 yards for a touchdown and then put up another offensive touchdown to take it first lead. The Panthers looked to have put it away as they took a six-point lead with 1:43 remaining but the 49ers went 69 yards in 1:16 to score the game winner. Georgia St. won the yardage battle 602-501 and while that is a little skewed because of the number of plays ran, it kept the time of possession edge which is important in this matchup. The Panthers also outgained South Carolina and were outgained by only 46 yards against North Carolina so they have basically been on the right side in all three games but failed to come away with a victory. Here, we play on teams coming off a home loss by three points or less, in the first month of the season. This situation is 76-30 ATS (71.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (306) Georgia St. Panthers

This is a play on the BOWLING GREEN FALCONS as part of our CFB Saturday Underdog Three Pack. Marshall is coming off an upset victory at Notre Dame to move to 2-0 on the season following a 55-3 win over Norfolk St. This is an epic win for the Thundering Herd and now trying to get up on the road once again against a much lesser opponent is going to be a tough task. Notre Dame took the lead early in the fourth quarter but the Thundering Herd got the lead back late in the quarter and then iced the game returning an interception 37 yards for a touchdown. Marshall outgained the Irish by 13 total yards with nearly even time of possession and both teams were just 4-13 on third down and while the Marshall effort was impressive, it really showed how bad the Notre Dame offense really is. The win is the second victory against a top-10 ranked team in program history with the first coming in 2003 against then-No. 6 Kansas St. Not much was expected of the Thundering Herd coming into the season as they had a 5.5-win total with only 11 starters back and a No. 103 returning production ranking. After losing to UCLA in the season opener, the Falcons are coming off a disappointing loss against Eastern Kentucky where they were favored by over a touchdown but this is a very experienced team that can regroup. Bowling Green jumped ahead 10-0 after the first quarter but Eastern Kentucky went on a 31-7 run that included four straight scoring drives that totaled 276 yards which was sandwiched around a fumble recovery for a touchdown. The Falcons responded with three straight touchdowns to take a seven-point lead but allowed the Colonels to drive 75 yards on 14 plays to tie the game with no time left in regulation. Eastern Kentucky knocked down a pass in the seventh overtime to seal the win. Last season, Bowling Green was one of the most inexperienced teams in the country as it played numerous underclassmen so it can be excused but this season, the Falcons have the most experienced team in the nation as far as returning production. Here, we play on teams off an extremely close home loss by three points or less, in the first month of the season. This situation is 71-28 ATS (71.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (166) Bowling Green Falcons

This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Washington St. is coming off an upset over Wisconsin and while it is chalked up as a Cougars win, it can be classed more of a Badgers loss. After scoreless first quarter, Washington St. took its first possession of the second quarter 53 yards to take a 7-0 lead. Wisconsin took the ensuing kickoff and went 65 yards to tie the game and then forced a punt with 55 seconds remaining in the first half and went 45 yards in 35 seconds to take a seven-point lead into the half. The Cougars opened the second half with a field goal and went ahead midway through the third quarter with a touchdown following an interception. Wisconsin got inside the Cougars 12-yard line on its last two possessions but turned it over both times. The Badgers outgained Washington St. 401-253 but the turnovers did them in as did 11 penalties for 106 yards. In their first game, the Cougars snuck by Idaho 24-17 as they managed only 360 yards on offense so with two games with 613 total yards, beating a number this big will be a challenge. The Cougars are 2-7 ATS in their last nine nonconference games. It was an ugly loss for the Rams last week as Middle Tennessee St. jumped out to a 34-0 lead before Colorado St. made it look more respectable. The Blue Raiders returned an interception 32 yards for a touchdown on the first play of the game and the offense did its part after that, scoring on five of its first eight possessions with another 10 points coming off turnovers by the Rams. The defense was the real story as Middle Tennessee St. allowed 57 total yards in the first nine Colorado St. possessions, forcing three turnovers and six punts. The Blue Raiders outgained the Rams 380-246 including giving up -10 yards rushing 34 attempts (-0.3 ypc) in part due to having nine sacks for 70 yards. This came after a blowout loss at Michigan and head coach Jay Norvell is not off to a great start after coming over from Nevada. Sacramento St. is on deck for the Rams so there is no chance of a lookahead and this is a great opportunity for the defense to get back on track and the underdog price gives them a lot of leeway. The Rams are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (161) Colorado St. Rams

This is a play on the TROY TROJANS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. After falling a two-point conversion short two weeks, Appalachian St. rebounded with a major upset at Texas A&M. The Mountaineers struck first after a fumble recovery led to a 29-yard touchdown drive but the Aggies responded by going 75 yards in seven plays and then their offense completely shut down. Texas A&M had only five possessions after that as its other touchdown came on a 95-yard kickoff return after Appalachian St. took a 14-7 lead and the Aggies mustered only 95 yards of offense while missing a game-tying field goal in the final minutes. The Mountaineers outgained Texas A&M 315-186 and held it to just nine first downs while possessing the ball for nearly 23 more minutes. It was a great performance following the disappointment against North Carolina and Appalachian St. in now in the double-letdown situation as an overpriced favorite that is feeling pretty good about themselves. The Mountaineers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Troy opened the season with a loss at Mississippi but bounced back last week with a win against Alabama A&M. Against the Rebels, a slow start doomed the Trojans as Mississippi jumped ahead 21-0 as Troy could get nothing going on offense as it managed only 59 total yards on its first five possessions. The second half was bad for both teams as the Rebels scored a touchdown to open the half but their next five possessions ended with three turnovers and two punts while gaining only 57 yards. The Trojans had more production as they had six drives that totaled 220 yards but scored only one touchdown as they had a fumble, an interception and turned it over on downs three times. The offense got it going last week, albeit against an FCS team, but it was a much needed game to get things right and the passing game will play a big part here as the Trojans have averaged 375 ypg through the air and the Mountaineers secondary could be susceptible here which is always a bonus with a sizable underdog than can sneak in a backdoor cover if it comes down to that. The Trojans are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. 10* (155) Troy Trojans

This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. UAB is coming off a disappointing loss at Liberty as it went on the road as a favorite and could get nothing going on offense and that changes here. After forcing a three and out to open the game, UAB fumbled on its first offensive play but no damage was done. The Blazers punted on their next possession and fumbled again on the next drive but Liberty missed a field goal and UAB took advantage by going 80 yards in four plays to take a 7-0 lead. The Flames tied the game early in the second quarter which ended the scoring for both teams before the half. Liberty added a pair of touchdowns and was ready to put the game away but fumbled on its own 20-yard line and UAB punched it in but the Blazers never got the ball back as Liberty was able to run out the clock. The Flames outgained UAB 390-355 and benefitted from four fumbles. The Blazers put up 59 points and 478 total yards in their opener against Alabama A&M and they have a chance to light it up again here. Georgia Southern is coming off a monumental win at Nebraska. Just how big? It is the first time in 215 home games at Memorial Stadium that Nebraska has lost while scoring 35 or more points. The Eagles had second half leads twice before Nebraska took a 42-38 lead with 3:05 remaining but Georgia Southern went 75 yards in 11 plays to take back the lead and Nebraska missed a game tying field goal as time expired. The Eagles outgained the Huskers 642-575 and while Nebraska won the turnover battle 2-0, it was hurt by 10 penalties that awarded the Eagles four first downs. The offense is no joke but it will be challenged here as the UAB defense was No. 16 in total defense and No. 41 in scoring defense last season and with eight starters back, they are in great form. While the Eagles offense hummed along, the defense showed signs of the big step back it took a year ago because last season was a disaster as the Eagles allowed 441.7 ypg which was No. 109 in the country and only five starters are back. Here, we play against underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game, with five defensive starters returning. This situation is 31-10 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (154) UAB Blazers