03-08-24 |
Magic -1.5 v. Knicks |
|
74-98 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
This spread is short, in our opinion, as we had the Knicks as 4.5-point dogs here with a lean to Orlando at that number. Orlando is healthy, while the Knicks are banged up and a shell of the team that looked like a true championship contender earlier in the season. New York has dropped eight of 11, and this team might not even make the play in. Orlando is playing amazing defense, and we don’t see the Knicks cracking the century mark tonight and they will have to lean on defense to keep this competitive. We don’t see them keeping this one close, and there is nice value here with the road team.
|
03-07-24 |
Arizona State v. USC -9.5 |
|
73-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 57 m |
Show
|
6 Unit Play. Take #772 USC Trojans over ASU Sun Devils (11p.m., Thursday, March 7 FS1) USC has the second most talent of anyone in the PAC-12 this season and are starting to show signs that they can make a run next week in Las Vegas. ASU has a lame duck coach, and they are just playing out the string of games this season. They have some blowout losses this season and they gave all they had last week against Arizona but still lost big. Injuries have taken its toll on the Sun Devils and they just do not field much of a roster in March. The line being this big with a 12-17 tells me all I need to know about the talent of each team.
|
03-07-24 |
Rutgers v. Wisconsin OVER 131.5 |
|
66-78 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #827 Over in Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ Wisconsin Badgers (7p.m., Thursday, March 7 FS1) We nailed our Big 10 GOY on the over with Wisconsin and look to collect again on Thursday with a smaller play with them. This is one of the worst defensive teams Wisconsin has ever had and Rutgers will get many open looks in this game.
|
03-06-24 |
Fresno State v. New Mexico -18.5 |
|
58-79 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 54 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #716 New Mexico over Fresno State (10:30p.m., Wednesday, March 6 FS1) The Lobos are squarely on the bubble and likely need to win their last two games to ensure they make the NCAA Tournament. They have a strong NET rating but have some bad losses, especially at the PIT. They need to beat one of the bottom feeder teams in the MWC by at least 20 points tonight to keep their strong NET rating. Fresno State has a lame duck coach and are just playing out the string of games. They have lost big a bunch this season and tonight should be no different.
|
03-06-24 |
Clippers -6.5 v. Rockets |
|
122-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
The Clippers have won eight straight meetings and covered in five of those. We love to take a good team off a bad or embarrassing loss, and that is the case with the Clippers tonight. Last time they were on a back-to-back against a banged up Bucks squad and really fell apart late in that game after relinquishing a big lead. So we think they will be a lot more focused tonight. Houston is a solid team but they are a couple rungs below the Clips, who are a true championship contender and probably the second best team in the league behind Boston. We think a determined Clippers team wins this one comfortably.
|
03-05-24 |
Pistons +11.5 v. Heat |
Top |
110-118 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
|
Miami has been playing great basketball but we think the oddsmakers have overinflated this number so we have to plug our nose and take the Pistons here. The Pistons had a horrible start to the season and injuries were a major issue. Some felt heading into the season that this team could make the play in. But they ended up setting the NBA record for longest losing streak. But this team has gotten healthy and has been very competitive lately. They are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games. There were a couple of those ATS losses that were close, also. They didn’t play well last time out vs. Orlando so we think we will see a better effort here. And Miami goes on the road after this one to play at Dallas and at OKC on back-to-back nights starting Thursday. They probably won’t give full effort here and that should play to our advantage. Detroit has covered in seven of the last eight meetings, so they normally get up for this opponent.
|
03-05-24 |
Purdue v. Illinois -1.5 |
|
77-71 |
Loss |
-117 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #618 Illinois over Purdue (7p.m., Tuesday, March 5 Peacock) Illinois is favored in this game against what many feel is the best and most accomplished team in the country. The Illini are coming off one of their best games of the season on Saturday against Wisconsin and look for them to win this game as well. Purdue just needs to beat Wisconsin at home on Sunday to win the regular season title and I see them faltering in this game in a hostile environment. Illinois is a great offensive team and sooner or later they will get hot from the arc and pull away late in this game.
|
03-04-24 |
Clippers v. Bucks -5.5 |
Top |
106-113 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
The Clippers have been overrated by the oddsmakers lately compared to their effort on the court and they are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10. They come in on a back-to-back after a hard-fought win at Minnesota in a game that probably meant more to the team than tonight’s matchup at Milwaukee from the Eastern Conference. This Clippers squad isn’t the youngest team, so back-to-backs can really take their toll at this point in the season. It doesn’t get any easier with this matchup at the Bucks, who have won and covered five straight and are rounding into postseason form. We think Doc Rivers will do all he can to beat his old team, and the Clippers are definitely looking vulnerable tonight as they have been inconsistent since the all start break and we just think this is a real bad spot for them tonight.
|
03-03-24 |
Indiana +9 v. Maryland |
|
83-78 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #823 Indiana over Maryland (2p.m., Sunday, March 3 CBS) Did Maryland become good overnight and worthy of laying this many points against anyone in the Big 10? Indiana is terrible on the road, but they did play one of the better games on the season last week hosting Wisconsin and I look for them to follow that up on Sunday. Maryland cannot shoot very well and does not score many points and thus we will take the dog on Sunday.
|
03-02-24 |
Rockets +9.5 v. Suns |
|
118-109 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
|
Houston has covered in four of five meetings, and we think they will keep this one close tonight. There was a point where the Rockets started to be overvalued by the oddsmakers, but that time has passed. We really like them coming off a loss, yet a hard-fought one that included an ATS cover, against these Suns here on Thursday. It’s very difficult to beat a team twice in a row, and we have also seen some reverse line movement on this game that would favor the Rockets to cover.
|
03-02-24 |
Illinois v. Wisconsin OVER 152 |
Top |
91-83 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 14 m |
Show
|
10 Unit Play. Take #619 Over in Illinois Fightin Illini over Wisconsin Badgers (1p.m., Saturday, March 2 BTN) You think of these teams are big and strong defensive teams, but that just is not the case this season. Both defenses have been poor of late, as Illinois is giving up 1.10 points per possession since early February and Wisconsin is at 1.01 ppp during that same time. Illinois has gone way over today’s posted number in 8 straight games, a streak that last from January 28th. During this streak they have given up at least 75 points to their opponents in all but one game. Wisconsin has not been giving up that many points, but this is a get-well game for them on offense. They are a sinking ship and this is the perfect for their shots to go in, as this will be an up and down game.
|
03-01-24 |
Cavs v. Pistons +9 |
Top |
110-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
The Cavs haven’t covered in their last seven games. They have been winning quite a bit, but they haven’t been dominating. Detroit has been the opposite as they have been losing but covering as they are exceeding the oddsmaker expectations recently. They have covered in three straight and six out of nine. They have also covered in three straight meetings (all losses), and we think they will play well enough to keep this one close.
|
02-29-24 |
Hawaii v. UC-Davis -2 |
|
63-75 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #814 UC Davis over Hawaii (9p.m., Thursday, February 29 ESPN+) Hawaii is just not the save team when playing on the road compared to when playing on the islands. UC Davis will have revenge on their minds after getting blown out in Hawaii earlier this month, but they still have a strong homecourt advantage. UD Davis has been trending down but they will have a winning conference record and need to improve their seed for the winner take all conference tournament next month.
|
02-29-24 |
Thunder -11 v. Spurs |
|
118-132 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
Four straight meetings have resulted in OKC double-digit wins. They have covered in six straight meetings. This is a regional rivalry, and we think that the road team will bring their A Game tonight. They have won and covered in six straight and the Spurs are back home after a long road trip, which is usually a bad spot for the home team.
|
02-28-24 |
Lakers v. Clippers -3.5 |
Top |
116-112 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
The Lakers are banged up as LeBron and AD are suffering from various ailments and won’t be 100 percent, although both are expected to play. They better bring their A Game, because the Clippers always do in this matchup. If you have followed our service for a long time, you would know that we always think of this as a one-sided rivalry. The Lakers are the Clippers biggest rival, so they always bring their best. The Lakers have more traditional rivals, so this is just another game to them. In fact, they often like to make it seem like they don’t care at all about the Clippers, and that often shows on the court, as the Clippers have won 12 of 14 meetings, and they have had a lot of success in this series since the early Lob City days. Both squads have been sluggish out of the break, but we are confident the deep Clippers, without George, will bring their best performance to the court tonight.
|
02-28-24 |
Marshall v. Georgia Southern -1.5 |
|
73-87 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #692 Georgia Southern over Marshall (7p.m., Wednesday, February 28 ESPN+) The Eagles did not win a game during the nonconference portion of the season but have done much better in Sun Belt play. They lost by just 5 points at Marshall earlier this season and I see them winning this game by 5-8 points. They took James Madison to the wire last time out and will get over the hump with a win tonight W.S. Hanner Fieldhouse.
|
02-27-24 |
Pelicans -3 v. Knicks |
Top |
115-92 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
The Knicks took all they could handle from the Pistons last night and now this very thin roster finds itself on a back-to-back against a much better squad. We don’t think the slumping Knicks have a chance here. The Knicks have covered in only one of the last five meetings. They have dropped six of their last nine overall and those three wins were not against quality opponents (the Sixers are banged up now also). The Pels get it done tonight with a comfortable win.
|
02-27-24 |
Wisconsin -4 v. Indiana |
|
70-74 |
Loss |
-112 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
5 Unit Play. Take #613 Wisconsin over Indiana (7p.m., Tuesday, February 27 Peacock) The Badgers need to show they can beat a bad team on the road and tonight should be that day that this gets accomplished. Indiana has lost 4 straight games and Wisconsin is a better team than 3 of those opponents. That included home losses to Northwestern and Nebraska. Wisconsin will be able to dominate the paint and if they make some shots from the arc they will win this game by double-digits.
|
02-26-24 |
Pistons v. Knicks UNDER 223.5 |
|
111-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
|
We think this game will go one of two ways: either Knicks blowout or close, low-scoring game. We just don’t envision a shootout here. The Knicks are just a mess right now with all the injuries that have piled up and this team hasn’t been playing well on offense. They have the defensive system in place, however, to plug in players that can perform, and we don’t see either team breaking out for a big offensive game. We had this one handicapped around 218 so nice value tonight.
|
02-25-24 |
Minnesota v. Nebraska -6.5 |
|
55-73 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #858 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 25 BTN) Nebraska is outstanding at home this season and Minnesota is not as good as their 8-7 record would indicate. Nebraska has the better shooting team and that will be the difference on Sunday night. They cannot afford a bad loss and will win this game by double digits.
|
02-24-24 |
Alabama v. Kentucky -2.5 |
|
95-117 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 38 m |
Show
|
5 Unit Play. Take #682 Kentucky Wildcats -2.5 over Alabama Crimson Tide (4p.m., Saturday, February 24 CBS) Kentucky has already lost multiple home games this season and they cannot afford to lose anymore in Lexington. Alabama is a tough animal at home, but they got pounded by Auburn on the road, a spot Kentucky just won at. Kentucky needs this game more and they will find a way to get it. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|
02-24-24 |
Missouri v. Arkansas -5 |
|
73-88 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 39 m |
Show
|
7 Unit Play. Take #612 Arkansas Razorbacks -5.5 over Missouri Tigers (12p.m., Saturday, February 24 ESPN2) This is a straight fade against Missouri, the worst team by far in the SEC. Arkansas is not very good either, but they still have a strong homecourt advantage and should be able to take care of business today at Bud Walton Arena. Missouri has been more competitive of late, but losing close games is eventually taking its toll on its team. Arkansas already beat Missouri in Columbia this season by 7 points and they will win this game by double digits.
|
02-23-24 |
Clippers -9 v. Grizzlies |
|
101-95 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
The Clippers got embarrassed last night at OKC and they had an off night; it happens to the best teams in the NBA at some point in the season. We think this team will bounce back nicely tonight as they take a big step down in competition. The Clippers have won and covered two straight in this series, and injuries have derailed the Grizzlies season in a big way. This team is just a shell of the squad we expected to be competing for a playoff spot by this point of the season.
|
02-22-24 |
Washington -2 v. Arizona State |
|
84-82 |
Push |
0 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
|
6 Unit Play. Take #815 Washington over Arizona State (9p.m., Thursday, February 22 ESPN2) Washington trails Arizona State in the standing, yet it a small favorite in this game despite it being in Tempe. That tells me that Arizona State has thrown in the towel on this season and is ready for it to end. They are coming off a 45-point loss to their rival last time out and I see them struggling to keep this game within single digits. The Sun Devils score just under 70 points per game, 324th in the country. Washington has an identity and can usually beat the bad teams on their schedule and Arizona State is certainly a bad team. The Huskies already beat them once by 15 points and that is how I see this game going as well.
|
02-22-24 |
Clippers +1.5 v. Thunder |
|
107-129 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
The Clippers are healthy coming out of the break and entered the break with an epic win at Golden State without their best player. Kawhi is back here and rested, and we think the Clippers will be pumped for this game. We had them as a 2-point favorite here, so there is nice value in the spread tonight. OKC is a very good team and they rarely lose at home, but the Clippers may be the best team in the league and they certainly have the soldiers to come in and get a win here. The Clippers haven’t won here in awhile, but they didn’t have their full squad, either, and we expect a strong showing tonight.
|
02-21-24 |
Furman v. Samford -7 |
|
72-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #692 Samford over Furman (7:30p.m., Wednesday, February 21 ESPN+) The Bulldogs are the best team in the Southern Conference this season and will enter this game with a 23-4 record and a perfect record at home. One of their four losses came at Furman and they will look to avenge that tonight. I expect them to win by double digits and all but clinch the regular season title.
|
02-20-24 |
Baylor v. BYU -3.5 |
|
71-78 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 17 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #644 BYU over Baylor (9p.m., Tuesday, February 20 ESPN) The Cougars are always a tough team to beat in Provo and we will lay the small number of points backing them tonight. BYU is coming off a bad loss last time out against Oklahoma State and look for them to bounce back in a big way tonight at the Mariott Center. Baylor has been on a nice winning streak and is likely due for a loss in this brutal conference.
|
02-18-24 |
Utah v. UCLA -2.5 |
|
70-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #864 UCLA over Utah (7p.m., Sunday, February 18 FS1) The Bruins have been rolling and will enter this game having won 6 straight. They were embarrassed at Utah earlier this season, but they are a much better team now.
|
02-17-24 |
Wisconsin +1 v. Iowa |
|
86-88 |
Loss |
-112 |
2 h 22 m |
Show
|
7 Unit Play. Take #655 Wisconsin (pk) over Iowa (2:15p.m., Saturday, February 17 BTN) Wisconsin has had great success against Iowa over the last couple of years and today should be no different. This is not a great Iowa team on either side of the floor and Wisconsin should be able to make ways inside the paint with their post players. The Badgers have beaten Iowa three straight times and are 3-0 ATS in those games as well. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports
|
02-17-24 |
Duke -5.5 v. Florida State |
|
76-67 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #649 Duke -5.5 over Florida State (2p.m., Saturday, February 17 ESPN) FSU will be up for this game, but the Noles just do not have the firepower that they have had in year's past. Duke is coming off three straight wins since their lost to North Carlina and for the most part this season they have beaten the bad teams on their schedule.
|
02-15-24 |
Wolves v. Blazers +9.5 |
Top |
128-91 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
These teams played Tuesday and the Timberwolves scored a comfortable win. The game wasn’t as one-sided as the final scored might indicate as the Blazers entered the fourth quarter down only one before falling apart late. But it’s very tough to win two games in a row on the opponent’s floor in the span of two consecutive games. Revenge is an overrated factor in handicapping as it is in college ball because these guys are professionals and they let losses slip away after the game and move on to the next matchup. But when teams play in consecutive games like this, it is definitely a factor and we think Portland will give an extra push to play a more complete game here. The Blazers are a bad team. But they are on a level above the real dregs like Washington, San Antonio and Charlotte. This team is competitive, can score some big wins over strong opponents, and they have covered in close to half their games. So we don’t think the Wolves will just come in and dominate here. Portland has covered in four of their last seven. One of those ATS losses was by a half point, so we think they have been playing slightly above the oddsmakers expectations lately and we think they will give it all they have tonight in the rematch as rest is coming during the all0star break.
|
02-15-24 |
Colorado v. UCLA OVER 135.5 |
|
60-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #801 Over in Colorado Buffaloes @ UCLA Bruins (9p.m., Thursday, February 15 ESPN) We will focus on the total in this pick’em game since UCLA has been playing much better of late and also scoring some more points. The Bruins have won 5 straight games and scored at least 71 points in 3 of their last 4 games. The Buffaloes are averaging over 80 points per game this season and I expect both teams to reach the seventies in scoring tonight.
|
02-14-24 |
Clippers v. Warriors UNDER 237 |
|
130-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
The Clippers will be without Kawhi Leonard tonight but we think the defense will step up in his absence. He hasn’t been out much this season and we don’t think his absence means the Clippers won’t be competitive here but they will need to play defense. Golden State has really stepped up the defense lately and they have gone under in five straight games and seven of eight as a result. We think both teams want this game and when there is a contentious matchup like this, both teams really normally bring a lot of energy on defense.
|
02-14-24 |
Tennessee v. Arkansas +8.5 |
|
92-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 0 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #706 Arkansas over Tennessee (9p.m., Wednesday, February 14 ESPN2) Tennessee has been inconsistent this season and have struggled against inferior opponents. Arkansas still has talent and a good home court advantage. We will grab the points and expect this game to be played in single digits.
|
02-14-24 |
Iowa v. Maryland -5 |
|
66-78 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #698 Maryland over Iowa (8:30p.m., Wednesday, February 14 BTN) Maryland gave away a game on Saturday against Ohio State and I expect them to take out their frustration against Iowa on Wednesday night. Playing at Xfinity Center is always tough for opponents and Iowa just does not have the offensive or defensive firepower this season to win games on the road.
|
02-13-24 |
New Mexico v. Nevada -2 |
|
83-82 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 8 m |
Show
|
6 Unit Play. Take Nevada over New Mexico (11p.m., Tuesday, February 13 CBSSN) Nevada has righted the ship of late winning 3 straight games and playing at home tonight will allow them to make it four in a row. Homecourt is still a major edge in the MWC and the Pack will also have revenge on their minds since the Lobos blew them out last month. New Mexico has been struggling of late and they are a very streaky team. Nevada does not want another home loss on their resume and they sellout crowd will propel them to a victory.
|
02-13-24 |
Thunder -2 v. Magic |
Top |
127-113 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
Orlando is a fine team and they have been solid this season at covering the spread and winning games. But we think they are out of their depth here tonight. The Thunder are a true championship contender and we think if they come and play their game in Orlando that they will win comfortably here at the Kia Center. OKC has covered in five of the last six meetings. They have lost two of three, but those were at Dallas and Utah, so they will be motivated to play well here. Orlando has been playing well but they have had a somewhat easy schedule and they have been a bit inconsistent compared to the start of the season. They are also not getting as much value in their lines as they were early in the season as the bookies have caught on to the talent and capabilities of this team. But we think a motivated Thunder team wins this one going away, and there looks to be plenty of value in this line.
|
02-12-24 |
Wolves +4.5 v. Clippers |
Top |
121-100 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
The Timberwolves match up well with the Clippers and they have had a lot of success against them. They have won and covered five of the last six meetings, including two of three in Los Angeles. Minnesota comes into this one very well rested and they have tons of confidence after going into Milwaukee and laying a beatdown on the Bucks last time out. They also have recent wins against OKC and Dallas, so they have been raising their game against the best competition. We feel this will be a very close game and think the Wolves have a great chance for the outright win, and they are getting great value on the spread here.
|
02-12-24 |
Kansas +3 v. Texas Tech |
|
50-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 23 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #887 Kansas over Texas Tech (9p.m., Monday, February 12 ESPN) Kansas has been bad on the road this season, but they have the more talented team and sooner or later they will win a road game. The Red Raiders have been in free fall of late losing 3 of their last 4 games and Kansas is better then the three teams that they lost too. The Jayhawks need to win this game if they have hopes of winning the Big 12 and will get this win tonight in Lubbock.
|
02-11-24 |
Northern Iowa -3.5 v. Illinois-Chicago |
|
65-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 48 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #863 Northern Iowa over UIC (4p.m., Sunday, February 11 ESPN+) The Flames sit at the bottom of the MVC and will struggle to win any games the rest of the way. The Panthers have underachieved this season but they still have experience and talent and should win this game by close to double digits. UIC has lost 8 of their last 9 games including an 8 point loss to Northern Iowa.
|
02-10-24 |
Maryland v. Ohio State -2.5 |
Top |
75-79 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 40 m |
Show
|
10 Unit Play. Take #708 Ohio State Buckeyes over Maryland Terrapins (4p.m., Saturday, February 10 FS1) TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Nothing good can be said about Ohio State of late, but they did cash for us in December with our Nonconference Game of the Year against UCLA. Now they play a terrible road team in Maryland, as Ohio State is desperate for any kind of a win. The Buckeyes have lost 5 straight games, and their coach is clearly on the hot seat. But they have talent and Maryland is one of the worst shooting teams in the conference, especially from the arc. You cannot lose them all and Ohio State picks up a much-needed victory at home on Saturday. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|
02-09-24 |
Rockets +2 v. Raptors |
Top |
104-107 |
Loss |
-112 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
Despite the Rockets poor play on the road, we had them favored in this matchup. Toronto after the Trade Deadline looks like one of the worst teams in the NBA and they will likely be tanking the rest of the season. The Raptors will miss VanVleet for sure as he is out for likely a few games but we think that Houston has a good enough roster, plus the motivation, to win here. They looked pretty good in their first game with VanVleet sidelined as they went toe to toe with the Pacers on the road and lost by three, easily covering the 8-point spread. The Rockets aren’t going to win a lot of games on the road this season, but this looks like a very winnable game for them. They need every win they can get for the postseason so we think they will be focused here. Toronto is playing their first home game after a long road trip, and those are often tricky since players have obligations in their personal lives, and for Toronto with no hope, those probably outweigh the game tonight. The Raptors haven’t been just losing but they haven’t been covering, either, despite some generous lines from the oddsmakers.
|
02-08-24 |
Cal Poly +10 v. CS-Northridge |
|
65-78 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
6 Unit Play. Take #843 Cal Ply over Cal State Northridge (10p.m., Thursday, February 8 ESPN+) Just do not believe the Matadors are good enough to be laying double digit in a conference game. Before beating UC Riverside, Northridge lost 5 straight games and only one of those losses was competitive. The Mustangs have lost all of their conference games this season, but they have been competitive in most of their recent games. Look for them to keep the score low and that will allow them to lose by single digits.
|
02-07-24 |
Spurs +8 v. Heat |
|
104-116 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
We think this is a real nice spot for the Spurs to play a competitive game. They catch the Heat not only on a back-to-back but playing their third game in four nights. Those came against the Clippers and in-state rival Orlando, so this game really isn’t going to move the needle for them as far as motivation goes. The Spurs have been up and down lately but are getting generous lines from the oddsmakers and they have covered more games recently than they haven’t, and they also have a better ATS record than the Heat. We think they have a great chance to keep this close.
|
02-07-24 |
Wisconsin -5.5 v. Michigan |
|
68-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #687 Wisconsin -5.5 over Michigan (7p.m., Wednesday, February 7 BTN) The Badgers will enter this game having lost two straight games and are looking to get back on track against the worst team in the Big 10. The Badgers are the better coached team and will win this game by double digits. Juwan Howard is likely to be replaced come seasons send and Michigan is just playing out the string now.
|
02-06-24 |
Thunder v. Jazz +3 |
Top |
117-124 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
We were on the Thunder last meeting between these two. The line was similar, and we had a massive play on OKC and honestly we were lucky to win that one as everything went right for us in the last 30 seconds. Utah is rested and healthy, and they have revenge here for the earlier meeting. They had a real chance to win that one outright. OKC has three nights off after this game then a trip to Dallas, and as a result they may not be full focused here. Even if they are, the Jazz are strong enough at home to beat any team, any night.
|
02-06-24 |
Dayton -1.5 v. St. Joe's |
|
94-79 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 0 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #637 Dayton over St Joes (8p.m., Tuesday, February 6 CBSSN) The Flyers are the best team in the Atlantic 10 and are well on their way to receiving an at-large bid for the 2024 NCAA Tournament. Never like Anthony Grant as a head coach, but his team is loaded with talent this season. They have just one loss since the middle of November and that trend will continue on Tuesday with a 6-8 point victory tonight on Hawk Hill.
|
02-05-24 |
Warriors v. Nets |
Top |
109-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 4 m |
Show
|
Brooklyn has won three of four and are playing well at the moment. They have enjoyed a light playing schedule lately and should be primed to defend the home court tonight. The same can’t be said for Golden State. While not on a back-to-back, they will be playing their third road game in four nights, and it’s not like this is the youngest bunch… so fatigue will be a factor. The Warriors are just 8-11 on the road this season. These teams played last month in the Bay Area, and Brooklyn held their own in a four-point loss. We think they match up well and will be able to get their revenge here. Golden State covered that one by just the hook, and that was their first cover in four games in this series. The Nets have actually covered in six of the last eight.
|
02-04-24 |
Clippers -4 v. Heat |
Top |
103-95 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
Love the Clippers in this spot. Miami has been underachieving lately and they have been overvalued by the oddsmakers. They have covered two straight but that followed a seven-game non cover streak. The Clippers play tomorrow also, but this team has been taking things one game at a time this season more than season’s past, and we think they will be extra focused on this very winnable game. Oh, and they have also covered in eight of the last 10 meetings.
|
02-04-24 |
Purdue v. Wisconsin +2.5 |
|
75-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 24 m |
Show
|
6 Unit Play. Take #830 Wisconsin over Purdue (1p.m., Sunday, February 4 CBS) Purdue got gifted a game earlier this week and I expect Karma to hit them on Sunday. Purdue had a huge free throw advantage last time out against Northwestern, but they will not get that against Wisconsin on the road at the Kohl Center. Wisconsin is coming off a bad loss to Nebraska last time out, a game in which they blew a big lead and lost by 8 in overtime. Wisconsin needs this game if they have any hope of winning the regular season conference championship and expect them to grind out a win late behind A. J. Storr.
|
02-03-24 |
Houston v. Kansas +1.5 |
Top |
65-78 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 29 m |
Show
|
10 Unit Play. Take #702 Kansas Jayhawks over Houston Cougars (4p.m., Saturday, February 3 ESPN) COLLEGE BASKETBALL GAME OF THE YEAR Kansas at home getting points is too good to pass up. Houston does not face this type of environment in the AAC, but will see it on Saturday now they are a member of the Big 12. Kansas takes great pride in winning the Big 12 and this is a game they need to win if they have any hopes of winning the conference come March. This will be the Cougars third road game in their last four games, and they will not be able to push around Kansas in Lawrence. The Jayhawks have the much better offensive team and are coming off their best performance of conference play last time out. That was without Kevin McCullar, who is probable for this game. Kanas needs this game more, and they will get it by 6-8 points. They should never be an underdog at home and we will gladly ride them in this game.
|
02-02-24 |
Raptors v. Rockets -4 |
Top |
106-135 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
The Rockets have been a bit back and forth lately but we think this is a good spot for them, and the line is more than fair. They seem to be locked into winning every other game lately, and good for us they lost last time out. That was against a better team, and this is a good spot for a bounce back. Toronto has been a very poor road team and have just seven wins away from home. They have covered in two straight but haven’t been good in general at covering despite some generous lines from the oddsmakers. Houston has covered in three of their last four, so they are playing a bit better than expectations. They have also covered in seven of the last nine meetings in this series.
|
02-01-24 |
Pacers v. Knicks -2.5 |
|
105-109 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
The Knicks are just rolling right now and we think they have the defense to slow down the Pacers. They play at one of the slowest paces in the league and they can throw Indiana off their game tonight. The Knicks are banged up right now but they have one of the best home records in the league, while the Pacers are less than a .500 team on the road. New York has covered sin six straight and they continue to be underappreciated by the oddsmakers.
|
01-31-24 |
Magic v. Spurs +5.5 |
Top |
108-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
The Spurs are vastly improving throughout the season right in front of our eyes, and this is a team that should have great betting value down the stretch run of the season. They have covered in five of the last seven and have been underrated by the oddsmakers. Orlando started off the season great, but it looks like they may not be as good as advertised as they have fallen off quite a bit recently. San Antonio has covered in seven of the last nine meetings, so they have a strong history here.
|
01-30-24 |
Pacers +7.5 v. Celtics |
|
124-129 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
The Celtics expended a lot of energy last night in a rally vs the Pelicans and they honestly haven’t looked great the last couple games. Indiana has covered in six of the last nine meetings and they normally come to play when visiting Boston. Every team goes through ups and downs at points in the season and that big loss to the Clippers, who were on a tough back-to-back, has to be concerning. Indiana might get some players back tonight as well and we think this will be a close game regardless.
|
01-30-24 |
Texas Tech +5.5 v. TCU |
|
78-85 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #625 Texas Tech over TCU (7p.m., Tuesday, January 30 ESPN2) Texas Tech has been sneaky good in the Big 12 this season currently sitting at first play with a 5-1 record. TCU is coming off a marathon 3 overtime victory on Saturday and thus we expect tired legs and a little letdown in this game. We will grab the points and play the road underdog.
|
01-27-24 |
Charlotte v. Tulane OVER 147.5 |
|
75-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 30 m |
Show
|
7 Unit Play. Take #701 Over 148 in Charlotte 49ers @ Tulane Green Wave (4p.m., Saturday, January 27 ESPNU) The 49ers have been hot and will enter this game having won 6 straight games. Yet this are on underdog to the Green Wave, and we expect the Green Wave to be able to control the pace of this game at home. Tulane averages 86 points per game and has gone way over this posted total in 5 straight games. For Charlotte to be competitive in this game they will need to keep up in scoring and will not be able to just sit on the ball or they may find themselves down big quick in this game. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|
01-26-24 |
Blazers v. Spurs -3.5 |
|
100-116 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
They haven’t been winning a lot of games so it may not be evident to the casual eye, but the Spurs are improving a lot as the season goes on. They have had a very tough schedule recently but they have hung with some of the big boys and they have been covering more frequently. They had a real bad outing last time out in a home blowout to OKC, and that was a very good team and the first home game after a long road trip can be tricky. But now they drop down a couple levels in talent and they are settled at home and they should be primed for a comfortable win over the Blazers.
|
01-26-24 |
Michigan State v. Wisconsin -3 |
|
66-81 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
6 Unit Play. Take #886 Wisconsin Badgers over Michigan State Spartans (8p.m., Friday, January 26 FS1) Wisconsin is in control to win the Big 10 regular season championship and expect them to take care of business at home against Michigan State. The Spartans have faced 3 bad opponents of late to have a winning streak, but they have struggled against the top teams in the league and the country. Wisconsin has only lost once at home this season and that streak will stay intact after Friday night.
|
01-25-24 |
San Francisco v. Gonzaga OVER 151.5 |
|
72-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #809 Over in San Francisco Dons @ Gonzaga Bulldogs (9p.m., Thursday, January 25 ESPN2) The Zags have become a bubble team in 2024 and it is not a given they will make the NCAA Tournament come March. They have a strong offense and their best chance for success is outscore opponents. This total has been going up all morning long and we will back it on Thursday.
|
01-25-24 |
Celtics -7.5 v. Heat |
Top |
143-110 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
Even though the Celtics already got a comfortable win over Miami at the start of the season, we are confident revenge is still on their mind from the playoff series loss. And they are in a great spot for a big win tonight. They are healthy and have had two nights off, while the Heat come in on a back-to-back. They lost last night at home to the banged-up Grizzlies in another ugly performance that marked their fourth straight loss. All those opponents were much worse teams than the Celtics. Boston should be extra motivated tonight and they won’t take it easy on the Heat just because they are struggling. We think they bring their A Game tonight and score a double digit win.
|
01-24-24 |
Colorado State v. Nevada -3 |
|
64-77 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 48 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #738 Nevada over Colorado State (10:30p.m., Wednesday, January 25 FS1) This is a make or break game for Nevada, as their chances to make the NCAA Tournament are slim at the moment. They have lost 3 straight games, but still have a solid 15-4 record and I expect them to right the ship on Wednesday night playing at home. The Rams are just not the same team in true road games and expect them to lose their third straight road game. Nevada is desperate and gets this game by 7-9 points.
|
01-24-24 |
Thunder v. Spurs OVER 241.5 |
Top |
140-114 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
|
We think the sky is the limit for this total and think it can easily fly over 250 here tonight. The Spurs just don’t play much defense at all. OKC is coming in on a back-to-back after getting pushed to the limit by Portland last night, and we don’t see them with much energy on the defensive end. We lean heavily to the Spurs here in this matchup as they have been very competitive lately, and we definitely expect them to get their share of the total in this one. They have scored 120 or more in their last three games, so their offense is playing great at the moment. Both teams are solidly over teams for their season records, and we just don’t see much defensive effort on either side tonight and both offenses should run up a big score in the Alamo City.
|
01-23-24 |
Knicks -3.5 v. Nets |
Top |
108-103 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
This one is a road game for the Knicks but one of the easiest road games in the NBA. These teams are going in opposite directions and we don’t see the Nets being too competitive here. They have been getting some pretty generous lines from the oddsmakers and still haven’t been covering. The Knicks are playing some of the best defense in the NBA since their big trade, and we think they will shut down the Nets inconsistent offense. The Knicks have won and covered in three straight meetings, and we expect a comfortable win tonight.
|
01-23-24 |
Wisconsin -3.5 v. Minnesota |
|
61-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
7 Unit Play. Take #625 Wisconsin over Minnesota (7p.m., Tuesday, January 23 BTN) Wisconsin has dominated this series and we will gladly lay the points in this game tonight at the barn. Not sure why this line has been coming down since it was posted yesterday afternoon, as the Badgers have beaten Minnesota six straight times. Wisconsin has great depth and can score points this season in a variety of ways. Minnesota is 11-2 at home but those two losses came against Iowa and Missouri. Wisconsin is better than both of those teams, as Minnesota will enter tonight having lost 3 straight games. The Badgers have a lot of recruits from Minnesota and they always get up for playing this game.
|
01-22-24 |
Spurs +14 v. 76ers |
|
123-133 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 49 m |
Show
|
We are likely going to be a buyer for the Spurs in the second half of the season – in good sports of course. This team is improving and they are well coached. They are going to be much more competitive and one we will be looking at when getting a big number like this. San Antonio is 8-2 ATS in their last 10. We think there is a great chance they keep this one within single digits as this matchup doesn’t really move the needle for the Sixers.
|
01-21-24 |
Michigan State v. Maryland +1.5 |
|
61-59 |
Loss |
-120 |
1 h 31 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take Maryland +1 over Michigan State (12p.m., Sunday, January 21 CBS) Michigan State is not out of their funk and Maryland is a much better team when playing at home. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|
01-20-24 |
Iowa State v. TCU OVER 143.5 |
Top |
73-72 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 2 m |
Show
|
10 Unit Play. Take #639 Over in Iowa State Cyclones @ TCU Horned Frogs (2p.m., Saturday, January 20 ESPNU) Both teams average over 80 points per game and we expect at least one team to hit their average in this game at Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, TX. Iowa State has played some physical defensive minded teams of late, but TCU should allow them to go up and down the court like BYU did last time out (they have up 87 points). TCU gave up 81 points to Cincinnati last time out and to win this game today they need to score close to 80 points.
|
01-18-24 |
Thunder -3.5 v. Jazz |
Top |
134-129 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
Utah has been playing great basketball, and OKC is coming off a pair of losses. But it is very telling that the Thunder are laying some points here on the road. Sharp bettors pounded OKC when the line was released, but there is still plenty of value at this number. Even though OKC is playing their third game in four nights, they are coming in off a night off, and this team is young, athletic, and conditioned, and we don’t see fatigue being an issue. Props to the Jazz as they have been playing great, but they are a hot team that will likely flame out in the postseason very quickly, while the Thunder are a legit championship contender. And OKC has been one of the most reliable betting teams for the last few years. The Thunder will take this game very seriously after a pair of losses to the Lakers and Clippers. Utah was supposed to play Golden State last night, but the game was postponed due to the tragedy with the Warriors coach. This blip might have thrown the Jazz off their momentum. OKC always plays well against the Jazz. They have won and covered in four straight meetings. Utah has covered in only one of the last eight meetings (one push).
|
01-18-24 |
Illinois -2.5 v. Michigan |
|
88-73 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
6 Unit Play. Take #799 Illinois over Michigan (8:30p.m., Thursday, January 18 FS1) Just do not see Illinois losing two games in a row to inferior competition. Michigan is a mess and has a terrible head coach and they struggle on both ends of the court. The Illini have great balance and that will be the difference on Thursday. The Wolverines have lost 5 of their last 6 games and Illinois is a better team than all of them.
|
01-17-24 |
Mississippi State v. Kentucky -6.5 |
|
77-90 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #690 Kentucky over Mississippi State (7p.m., Wednesday, January 17 ESPN) Kentucky is 8-1 at home and Mississippi State will struggle during most of SEC play, especially when they are playing road games. This Kentucky team can shoot it better than past teams averaging over 10 made three pointers per game. The Wildcats are coming off a tough loss to Texas A&M last time out and they will be ready to make a statement in this game winning it by double digits.
|
01-16-24 |
Thunder v. Clippers -6.5 |
Top |
117-128 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
Love the Clippers in this spot. They are coming off a rare loss at Minnesota that wasn’t as close as the final score indicated, so they will want to get back on track here. OKC comes in on a back-to-back after a really tough game against the Lakers last night. They expended lots of energy in that one, so facing a better team in the second leg will be difficult. We love that this number is on the good side of the key NBA betting number of 7, as that is the point where the losing team stops fouling at the end of the game and concedes the loss.
|
01-16-24 |
Wisconsin -5.5 v. Penn State |
|
83-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 23 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #645 Wisconsin over Penn State (9p.m., Tuesday, January 16 BTN) Wisconsin is going to win the Big 10 this season. They already have quality road wins at Ohio State and Michigan State. Now they take a step down in class against a rebuilding Penn State team. The Lions are 2-4 in conference and should be 1-5 if not for a miraculous comeback against Ohio State, a game in which they were down big. Wisconsin is better at 4 of the 5 positions on the court and will win this game by double digits.
|
01-15-24 |
Spurs +8.5 v. Hawks |
Top |
99-109 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 13 m |
Show
|
The Hawks are 9-29 ATS on the season, so you have to take notice when they are laying a number like this. We really like the way the Spurs have been improving. They are coached by one of the best to ever do it, and he is getting the most out of his club at the moment. They are no longer an easy blowout for their opponent. They have covered six straight games. This Spurs team is starting to show the recipe for a team we really like to bet on. They are underappreciated by the oddsmakers and betting public, yet they are competing on a nightly basis and covering but not winning a lot of games. So if they stay under the radar, they can produce a lot of betting profits. They have also covered two straight and three of four against the Hawks.
|
01-14-24 |
Washington v. UCLA |
|
61-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #845 Washington (PK) over UCLA (7p.m., Saturday, January 14 PAC-12 Network) This is a straight fade against UCLA. Until they prove they can win a game we will fade them. They have lost 8 of their last 9 games.
|
01-13-24 |
Lakers v. Jazz +1.5 |
Top |
125-132 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
This line is just ridiculous that the Jazz are the underdog. This just shows the power of the Lakers as the public team in the NBA. They have dropped five of seven and they aren’t looking like a championship contender at the moment. The Jazz are on a B2B but they have won seven of eight and are playing as well as any team in the NBA right now. We had the Jazz handicapped at -3, so there is great value here tonight.
|
01-13-24 |
Arkansas +8 v. Florida |
|
68-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 47 m |
Show
|
6 Unit Play. Take #699 Arkansas +8 over Florida (4p.m., Saturday, January 13 ESPN) Just do not believe Arkansas is as bad as they have played of late. Also do not believe Florida is good enough to be laying this many points in a SEC game. Both teams are winless in the league, Arkansas played better last time out against Georgia. This team beat Duke earlier this season and should be able to take this one down to the wire.
|
01-12-24 |
Raptors v. Jazz -3 |
Top |
113-145 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
The road trip languishes on for this Raptors club and they face a Utah team that has been dominant lately but doesn’t get the notice of the oddsmakers or public bettors because of the lack of big names on the team. But we think they show up tonight with their great home court advantage and a team that seems to be brimming with confidence right now. The oddsmakers have been too slow to adjust to how this team is playing right now.
|
01-11-24 |
Stanford -4.5 v. Oregon State |
|
88-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 21 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #839 Stanford over Oregon State (11p.m., Thursday, January 11 ESPN2) No bet against Oregon State is a bad bet. They have a lame duck coach that should have been fired long ago and a team that is just not very good. The Beavers are just 1-3 in the league and have little home court advantage. Stanford has the better talent and they should be able to win this game by double digits.
|
01-11-24 |
Suns v. Lakers |
|
127-109 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
We think the Lakers are overrated and there is normally value in going against them regardless of how well they play as they are one of the biggest public plays in sports. The Suns haven’t been playing great, but we think this game is more important to them than the Lakers and we think they bring their A Game after a couple losses.
|
01-10-24 |
Wisconsin v. Ohio State -1.5 |
Top |
71-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
7 Unit Play. Take #726 Ohio State over Wisconsin (8:30p.m., Wednesday, January 10 BTN) Always like to use an unranked team that is favored over a ranked team. Ohio State needs this game, as they have a strong record but do not have many quality wins on the season. The Buckeyes are coming off a loss to Indiana by 6 points in which Burce Thornton and Roddy Gayle could not make many shots. I just do not see them struggling that bad at home in a game they need to have. Wisconsin has been playing well of late but they have blowout losses against NCAA Tournament teams and Ohio State is in the field of 68. Playing on the road is tough in the Big 10 and Wisconsin will not get the calls they are used to getting at the Kohl Center. Play the home team tonight in Columbus.
|
01-10-24 |
Kings v. Hornets +7.5 |
Top |
123-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
These teams played a week ago, in Sacramento, and the Hornets not only covered by won outright by seven points. We think they match up well here. Forget about the revenge factor. Enough time has passed since that game, and the Kings have bigger aspirations than holding a grudge over the lowly Hornets. The biggest factor here is that the Kings are on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. This isn’t the deepest team, and they have had a handful of B2Bs this season and haven’t covered a single one. The Hornets have won and covered in eight of the last ten meetings, and normally bring their A Game against the Kings. We believe that will happen again tonight and expect a close game.
|
01-09-24 |
Duke -5 v. Pittsburgh |
|
75-53 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #657 Duke over Pittsburgh (9p.m., Tuesday, January 9 ESPN) A pair of former Dukies are set to square off as one another as coaches tonight at Petersen Events Center in Pittsburgh, PA. Duke has righted the ship of late winning 6 straight games and look for that to continue again on Tuesday. Pittsburgh is just 1-3 in the ACC with their only win coming against Louisville, the worst team it he league.
|
01-08-24 |
Jazz v. Bucks -8 |
Top |
132-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
Damian Lillard will be out here for the Bucks, but that absence is already cooked into the line. The Bucks are off a tough road trip where they lost two of three, and they have lost three of four overall. So we think here, back at home against an inferior opponent, that we are going to see a very focused and determined Bucks team. If they had been playing better they might overlook this game, but they need a big performance tonight and to get far enough ahead where they won’t leave anything to chance at the end of the game. The Bucks are 16-3 at home, and Utah is one of the worst road teams in the NBA at 6-15. Utah is coming off a rare road win at Philly and they are probably Fat and Happy right now and won’t give full effort here. The Bucks have won and covered three in a row in this series, and the last two were blowouts. We see the same result happening here tonight.
|
01-06-24 |
Bucks v. Rockets +7 |
Top |
108-112 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 39 m |
Show
|
Now this is what we like to see: Houston back in the underdog role. We went against them last night and they were blown out by Minnesota. There’s a good chance they were looking ahead to this game. Even though the Timberwolves have the best record in the Western Conference, they don’t move the meter for excitement like Milwaukee does. Houston is a solid team and they are one of the best teams in the NBA ATS. We just don’t see them getting blown out two nights in a row. And the Bucks aren’t in top form right now as they have lost three of six and covered in only two of those games. In fact, the Bucks have been overrated by the oddsmakers and they are just 15-9-1 ATS on the season. Houston played the Bucks tough in Milwaukee last month but lost and didn’t cover. We think they will do better here at home. They didn’t mount any comeback last night, so they should be more fresh than normal with the lack of energy expended. And a B2B at home is much more easy to navigate than on the road.
|
01-06-24 |
Nebraska v. Wisconsin -6 |
|
72-88 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 25 m |
Show
|
7 Unit Play. Take #664 Wisconsin over Nebraska (2:15p.m., Saturday, January 6 BTN) Nebraska has improved this season, but both of their losses have been blowouts and I see this being a double-digit loss as well. Wisconsin is a bad matchup for them, as the Badgers have size and depth. If Wisconsin can shoot it well from long range, they should win this game going away. They did not play that well against Iowa this week, yet still pulled away in the second half to win by 11 points.
|
01-05-24 |
Wolves -3.5 v. Rockets |
Top |
122-95 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
Nothing against Houston here. We think they are a solid team and often a value bet. Heck, we took them for our 8-Unit season win total pick on the over. They have covered a lot of games this season since they were a surprise competitive team and also they were getting some generous lines from the oddsmakers. The oddsmakers have caught up with them a bit, and they aren’t surprising teams any more. Also, they are going to face the ups and downs that come with a young team coming out of its rebuild. They have lost six of their last 10 and haven’t covered in any of the losses. We think this team will make the play in tourney for sure, but across the court from them will be a team that is championship ready. Only the Celtics have a better record in the NBA. The Wolves will take this game very seriously as they are off a couple tough losses. They don’t want a three-game losing streak. They have won seven of the last eight meetings and covered in six of those. We expect them to bring their A Game tonight.
|
01-05-24 |
Iona -2.5 v. St. Peter's |
|
57-69 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #881 Iona -2.5 over Saint Peter’s (7p.m., Friday, January 5 ESPN+) The road team being favored tells me what the line makers believe about the talent of each team. But teams have similar records, but the Gaels are a traditional powerhouse in the MAAC. They need this game more in the standings and will get it in close to double-digits.
|
01-04-24 |
Bucks v. Spurs +9.5 |
|
125-121 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
The Spurs have covered in eight of the last ten meetings and we think they put their best foot forward on national TV tonight. Milwaukee is on a back-to-back after playing a budding rival in Indiana twice, losing both games, and this is a letdown spot as a result. We think this is a close game and this is too many points as this will be one of the bigger games of the season for the Spurs on TNT.
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01-04-24 |
Cleveland State v. Wright State UNDER 161.5 |
|
70-82 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 8 m |
Show
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2 Unit Play. Take #740 Under in Cleveland State @ Wright State (7p.m., Thursday, January 4 ESPN+) We will follow the line movement and side with the under in this game. We had a bad beat with the under last time out with the Raiders and sooner or later the under will cash again with them.
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01-03-24 |
Nets v. Rockets -5 |
Top |
101-112 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
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These have been two of the best ATS teams in the league this season. But we think Houston is the better team, and they have been great at home this season, while the Nets have been bad on the road. Both teams have been struggling a bit, but Houston got a massive blowout win over the Pistons last time out, and that is the perfect thing for a confidence boost to get things back on track. They have had an incredibly tough schedule lately, and that is one of the reasons they haven’t been racking up wins. Brooklyn has been really struggling lately and has only a pair of wins over the Pistons to show for recent efforts, and they haven’t been covering lines like they did at the start of the season.
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01-03-24 |
Fordham +3.5 v. George Washington |
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119-113 |
Win
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100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
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3 Unit Play. Take #675 Fordham +3.5 over George Washington (7p.m., Wednesday, January 3 ESPN+) GW is 11-2 on the season and facing a 6-7 team at home, yet they are just a slight favorite. The Rams have underachieved thus far in 2023/24, but they have talent and should be able to take this game down to the wire.
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01-02-24 |
Hornets +16 v. Kings |
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111-104 |
Win
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100 |
10 h 17 m |
Show
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We always take notice when a team is getting this many points. They can lose in a blowout and you can still cover the spread. And you know the players are aware of the spread. That might give them extra motivation or help with a backdoor cover late in the game. Charlotte has won seven of the last nine meetings, and we think the Kings will overlook this one and the underdog will keep it within double digits.
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01-02-24 |
Iowa v. Wisconsin -5.5 |
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72-83 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
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5 Unit Play. Take #606 Wisconsin over Iowa (7p.m., Tuesday, January 2 BTN) Even when Iowa had good teams, Wisconsin often dominates them and this year it is the opposite. Iowa is not good and Wisconsin is a veteran team that can beat you in a variety of ways. The Hawkeyes only have a quality win against Seton Hall this season and have been pounded by teams like Oklahoma, Iowa State, and Michigan. Wisconsin is better than all 3 of those teams and expect them to take care of business tonight at the Kohl Center.
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12-31-23 |
Celtics v. Spurs OVER 240.5 |
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134-101 |
Loss |
-112 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
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We think the Spurs might make this competitive and we think they will at least get their share of the total. Boston should be able to achieve their offensive goals tonight. They put up 137 the last meeting and we think they could see that type of output here. The Spurs have one of the worst defenses in the NBA. They have given up 130 or more in three of their last four games. They are 21-10 to the over this season.
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12-31-23 |
Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee UNDER 166 |
|
83-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
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3 Unit Play. Take #868 Under in Wright State @ Milwaukee (3p.m., Sunday, December 31 ESPN+) What better way to ring in 2024 with an under bet. Look for Milwaukee to be able to dictate the pace of play at home and keep Wright State from running up the scoreboard. Milwaukee averages just 75 points per game.
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12-30-23 |
Raptors v. Pistons +5 |
Top |
127-129 |
Win
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100 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
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We said it before with our sharp ATS winner on Detroit over Boston last time out that now that the pressure of the longest losing streak in NBA history is off the Pistons, they are free to play better. And they have. They played one of their best games of the season last time out against Boston and even sent the game to OT before losing. They showed some grit in getting the game to OT in the final minutes. Now they take a big step down in competition against a Raptors team that is horrible on the road and also on a back-to-back. We thought the Pistons had the talent to possibly reach the play in before the season started so it’s not like this team doesn’t have the talent to win games. They have had major chemistry issues and injuries. We think this is a winnable game for them tonight.
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12-30-23 |
NC-Wilmington v. Arkansas OVER 147.5 |
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90-106 |
Win
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100 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
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7 Unit Play. Take Over 148 in UNC Wilmington @ Arkansas (5p.m., Saturday, December 30 SECN) The Hogs have had a much-needed layoff and need to get back to playing their up-tempo style that Coach Musselman loves. They should be able to score points against the Seahawks today, as they look to get up and down the court as well. Wilmington is averaging over 85 points per game. I believe both teams will come close to scoring 80 points today and we will not worry if Arkansas can cover this double digit spread and instead just collect with the over.
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12-29-23 |
San Diego State v. Gonzaga OVER 147.5 |
|
84-74 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
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3 Unit Play. Take #875 Over 148 in San Diego State @ Gonzaga (9p.m., Friday, December 29 ESPN2) The Zags need a quality win at home and expect them to be able to dictate the temp has both teams should reach the seventies in scoring. Gonzaga averages over 84 points per game this season. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
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12-28-23 |
USC +2.5 v. Oregon |
|
74-82 |
Loss |
-104 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
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3 Unit Play. Take #719 USC over Oregon (9p.m., Thursday, December 28 ESPN2) Just feel USC is the more talented team and Oregon will have no home court advantage in this game. The students are not on campus and many in the state just do not care about college basketball. Still believe USC will make a run to earn an NCAA Tournament bid and it starts tonight as conference play opens up.
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