Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-26-20 | Army v. Cincinnati -12 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
22 Army vs 14 Cincinnati September 26, 2020, 3:30 PM EST
Army is off to a fast start winning and covering both games they have played. They defeated Middle Tenn State 42-0 as a 3.5-point home favorite and defeated LA-Monroe 37-7 as 24-point home favorites. The bad news for the Cadets is that they are 5-15 ATS after two consecutive games scoring at least 31 points in each and 11-27 ATS following two straight games in which they outrushed their opponents by 150 or more rushing yards in each game. The machine learning models project that Cincinnati will score at least 28 points and allow less than 350 offensive yards. In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 47-0 SU record and 34-10-1 ATS record good for 77% winning bets since 2006 and 7-1 ATS over the last three seasons. |
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09-26-20 | Texas -17.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 63-56 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
8 Texas vs Texas Tech The machine learning models project that the Longhorns will gain at least 6.9 yards-per-play, score 28 or more points, and have fewer turnovers than Texas Tech. In past games in which the Longhorns have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 15-0 SU and 12-3 ATS for 80% winning bets that have covered by an average of 13 points. |
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09-26-20 | Kentucky v. Auburn -6.5 | Top | 13-29 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 23 Kentucky vs 8 Auburn 12:00 PM EST, September 26, 2020
The Tigers (9-4, 5-3 SEC in 2019) also reached the 50-point mark four times during Nix's initial campaign. That ties for second in program history behind the six 50-point outings Heisman Trophy winner Cam Newton put on the board during the school's 2010 national championship season. The machine learning tools project that the Tigers will gain at least 150 rushing yards and score at least 27 points and average at least 9 yards-per-pass play. In past games in which the Tigers met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 49-3 SU record and a 36-15-1 ATS mark for 71% winning bets since 2006 and 13-3 ATS over the last three seasons. Take the Auburn Tigers as a 7-Star Best Bet. |
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09-24-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +6 | Top | 114-108 | Push | 0 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 LA Lakers vs Denver Nuggets 9:00 PM EST, September 24, 2020
The machine learning tools project that the Nuggets will shot at least 48% from the field, will make at least 35% of their 3-point shots and score at least 105 points. In past games in which the Nuggets met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 107-19 SU record and 104-20-2 ATS for 84% winning bets that covered the number by 9.5 points in games played over the last 7 seasons; 43-8 SU and 38-12-1 ATS for 76% winning bets over the last two seasons; 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS for 91% winning bets that covered the spread by 8.9 points over the last two playoff seasons. Take the Denver Nuggets as a 7-Star Best Bet tonight.
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09-24-20 | Dolphins +3 v. Jaguars | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville Jaguars Not one week goes by that the Miami media does not mention the calming influence and command of the huddle that Fitzpatrick bring to the team. Isaiah Ford was a Week 13 call-up from the practice squad in Week 13 last year, he has benefitted the most from Fitzpatrick’s extreme knowledge of the game. Since Week 13 of last season, Ford has caught 30 passes on 44 targets gaining 325 yards and averaging a solid 7.4 yards-per-catch. In last week’s loss to the Bills, Fitzpatrick completed 31 of 47 passes for 328 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions. All his metrics combined for an impressive 100.3 quarter-back-rating (QBR) against one of the better defensive units in the AFC. Ford was targeted more than DeVante Parker and Ford will steadily become an increasing part of the offensive game plan. A definite must-have on your DFS NFL team. The Supporting Betting SystemThis betting system has earned a solid 86-50 ATS record good for 63% winning bets and a money-making 20% return-on-investment (ROI) spanning the past 15 seasons. The system instructs us to bet on teams in the first four weeks of the seasons facing a conference foe installed as dogs of 1.5 to 6 points and a team that won five or fewer games in the previous season. So, it gets better when we drill down through the data and add game location as a parameter. For teams that are on the road and meeting the parameters above improves the betting system to 38-17-2 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. Not satisfied yet. When the field surface is factored in, which is grass in the confines of TIAA Field, the road warrior is an impressive 27-8-2 ATS for 77% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. What Does the Machine Learning Have to Say?The machine learning models project that the Dolphins will have more passing yards. will average 6.2 yards-per-play and will have a higher YPPL ratio than the Jaguars. In past games when the Dolphins have met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned a solid 21-10-1 ATS record good for 68% winning bets and a 28.5% ROI in games played over the last 15 seasons. Take the Miami Dolphins as a modest road dog. |
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09-24-20 | UAB v. South Alabama +7 | Top | 42-10 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
UAB vs South Alabama On Thursday Night at Hancock Whitney Stadium the C-USA UAB Blazers will be the guests of the Sun Belt South Alabama Jaguars with both teams coming off losses. The Blazers were man-handled at Miami 31-14 and failed to cover the generous 15.5 point spread back on September 10. The Jaguars are coming off a tough 27-24 home loss to Tulane, but easily covered the spread as 11.5-point underdogs. The Blazers are 1-1 versus the total line while the Jaguars have seen both of their games go ‘UNDER’ the total line. Both Teams have Many Returning StartersThe Blazers head coach Bill Clark is excited about the season given that he has 18 of the 22 starters from last season returning to play this one. The Blazers return nine starters on offense including their quarterback and red shirt junior Tyler Johnston III, who has been their starter for the past three seasons. In 2019, he threw for 2,250 yards on 59% completions including 17 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Cutting down the number of interceptions and improving the touchdown-to-interception ratio were addressed during the off season. He was off to a vastly improved start to the season before injuring his shoulder and is out indefinitely. The biggest asset on the team is the return of all five starting offensive linemen from last season. The OL unit is by far the most complex and most difficult for any group of five teammates to work together to make the most out of every possession. UAB has four red shirt Seniors and a red shirt Junior on the offensive line and their chemistry is extremely positive having the experience of playing together for many games. Having an experienced QB and OL has proven to reduce mistakes and execute game plans at a much higher level. So, backup sophomore QB Bryson Lucero will have added confidence because of the experienced OL. A Betting System That Hits 80% ATS WinnersHere is an impeccable betting system that has earned a 22-8 ATS record good for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons and 15-2 ATS mark good for 88% winning bets. The instructions required are to play on any team off an extremely tough loss of three or fewer points during the first four weeks of the regular season. An amazing 58% of these games covered the spready a minimum of 7 points. What Does the Machine Learning Models Tell Us?I have previously discussed the importance of 28 points and the implications for NCAA football teams when they score or more or allow more than 28 points in a game. There are the high-powered offenses every year, like the LSU Tigers, in 2019 that will have a higher pivot point for points scored and allowed. Overall, I have found the 28-point pivot to be identified by the machine learning models more often. So, the projections call for the Jaguars to score 28 or more points, gain a minimum of 175 rushing yards, will have more rushing yards than the Blazers, and average at least 1.0 or more yards-per-play. In past games in which the Jaguars scored 28 or more points they have earned a solid 26-13 SU record and 23-15-1 ATS mark for 61% winning bets since 2012. The Blazers are a miserable 17-116 SU for 13% wins and 40-81-2 ATS for 33% winning bets since 2012. Worse yet is that the Blazers are 1-8 SU and ATS for 11.1% winners when installed as a road favorite and allowing the host to score 28 or more points. The Jaguars are a robust money making 15-4 SU for 79% wins and 11-6-2 ATS for 65% winning bets when outgaining their opponent by at least 1.25 yards-per-play since 2012 and 5-2 SU and 5-1-1 ATS spanning games played over the last three seasons. Bet the South Alabama Jaguars plus the points as a Best Bet Upset Alert Pick and expect the Upset! |
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09-23-20 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics 8:30 PM EST, September 23, 2020
The machine learning tools project that the Heat will make at least 78% of their free throw attempts and will shoot at least 44% form the field and have the better ands more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the Heat met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 145-13 SU record and 129-27 ATS for 83% winning bets that covered the number by 9.2 points. Take the Miami Heat as a 7-Star Best Bet tonight.
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09-22-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +7 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 LA Lakers vs Denver Nuggets 9:00 PM EST, September 22, 2020
Only Murry played more minutes (44) than Jokic (39) in Game 2 and this duo knows their performance is key to getting a Game 3 win tonight. Over his last four games against the Lakers Jokic has averaged 31 minutes, shot 49% from the field,94% form the charity stripe, and averaging 16.3 points-per-game (PPG). Over his last 10 playoff games, he is averaging 31minutes, 60% field goal percentage, 84% free-throw-percentage, 17.8 PPG and includes 10 boards-per-game, and 6.6 assist-per-game. The Nuggets are 18-6 SU for 75% wins and 15-8-1 against-the-spread (ATS) for 65% winning bets following a loss in which Jokic scored 26 or more points. In games in which Jokic had more assists than rebounds, his team is 20-10 SU and 18-10-2 ATS for 64% winning bets. Jamal Murray and Jokic Working TogetherPG Murray is playing at an elevated level and has averaged 34 minutes, shot 48% form the field, averaging 5.8 assists, and scoring 18.5 PPG over his last four games against the Lakers. Now, it is not up to Murray and Dojik to take it upon themselves to win this game. It is the opposite for the Nuggets team. In games when Dojik and Murray scored at least 50 points and then had a total of four more players scoring in double-digits the Nuggets record is 9-3 SU and ATS and when a total of seven Nuggets scored in double-digits they are 4-1 SU and a perfect 5-0 ATS. Minutes played is a valuable parameter and underscores the need for Murray and Jokic to remain out of foul trouble tonight. The Nuggets are 12-7 ATS for 63% winning bets when Murray logged 40 or more minutes. When both Murray and Dojik have logged 40 or more minutes in the same game the Nuggets are 25-19 SU and 27-17 ATS for 61.4% winning bets. Will Anthony Davis be the Conference Finals MVP?No argument is needed that AD is the leader by a wide margin for the Western Conference Finals MVP award. He has had more than 30 points scored in each of the first two games of this series and the offensive game plan designed by head coach Vogel is centered on him. In case you wanted to know, the Lakers are 18-7 SU and 12-13 ATS in games played following back-to-back games where AD scored 30 or more points. What is eye-opening is that the ‘UNDER’ in these games has earned am 18-7 ‘UNDER’ record for 72% winning bets. The ‘UNDER’ is also supported by a combined Lebron James and AD scoring metric. The ‘UNDER’ is 25-14 for 65% winning bets when James and Davis have combined for 50 or more points in Laker games. The Lakers are 29-10 SU and 10-20 ATS in these games. What Does the Machine Learning Models Tell Us?The machine learning tools confirm a bet on the Nuggets and a lean towards the ‘UNDER’ The projections call for the Nuggets to have the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio, have more points scored in the paint and will have more made 3-point shots than the Lakers have fast break points scored. So, in past games where the Nuggets have met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 101-12 SU record and an 88-23-2 ATS record good for cashing 79% of the bets made and has covered the spread by an average of 9.4 points. When these games have been in the playoffs the Nuggets have earned a 6-3 SU and ATS record good for 67% winning bets. Take the Denver Nuggets as a 7-Star Best Bet tonight.
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09-21-20 | Saints -5.5 v. Raiders | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 New Orleans vs Las Vegas 8:15 PM EST, September 21, 2020
Brees and the Saints are 14-8 SU and ATS for 64% winning bets following a home win in which Brees threw for fewer than 190 passing yards. The Saints with Brees starting are 25-18 SU and 25-17-1 ATS for 60% winning bets coming off a home ATS win and playing their next game on a grass surface and 6-3 ATS for 67% ATS winning bets since 2016. The Saints are 10-5 ATS for 67% winning bets when coming off a home ATS win and facing a team that was not in the playoffs of the previous season. Last, Saints are an impeccable 9-2 ATS for 82% winning bets when installed as a road favorite and facing a team that failed to make the playoffs in the previous season. This betting system is active for a bet on the Saints tonight and has earned a remarkable 28-5 ATS mark for 85% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. The system requires us to be on road teams that are facing an opponent that had a struggling defense in the previous season that allowed an average of 24 points-per-game and are coming off a game in which they scored 30 or more points. What Does the Machine Learning Have to Say?The machine learning models project that the Saints will average at least 7.0 yards-per-pass-attempt and will have at least 5 more first downs than the Raiders. The Saints are 54-10 SU for 84% wins and 54-9-1 ATS for 86% winning bets that covered by an average of 11 points when they met or exceeded this pair of performance measures since 2002.
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09-20-20 | Chiefs v. Chargers +9 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Kansas City vs LA Chargers 7-Star Upset Alert Titan on the Chargers
Here is a solid betting system that supports the Dolphins and is quite simple. It has earned a 77-35 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the last 10 seasons and instructs us to bet on underdogs that are facing a team coming off a home win spanning the first four weeks of the regular season. This system has earned a 16-6 ATS mark over the last three seasons. The machine learning models project that Miami will have a better Yards-per-play ratio and have no more than one turnover. In past games in which the Chargers were home underdogs and met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 7-1 SU record and a 7-1 ATS record covering by an average of 14 points for a robust 67% ROI. Also, the Chargers are 51-14 SU and 40-24-1 ATS in home games and gaining at least 5.75 or more yards-per-play and when a home dog they are 8-3 for 72% ATS. |
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09-20-20 | Lions +6.5 v. Packers | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Detroit vs Green Bay 1:00 PM EST, September 20, 2020
We were on the Packers last week in their road upset win over the Vikings, but now against them. Teams ebb and flow and when they are coming off a strong outing and above average performance levels there is a propensity to revert back to the mean. Detroit outplayed Chicago last week on both sides of the ball and found a way to lose that game. They will not do that again in this matchup. The machine learning projections call for the Lions to win the turnover batter, have more first downs, and average at least 4.7 yards-per-rush. In past games in which they met or exceeded those performance measures they went on to earn a perfect 20-0 ATS mark 19-1 SU and covered the spread by an average of 13 points.
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09-20-20 | Bills v. Dolphins +6 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 1 h 22 m | Show | |
Buffalo vs Miami September 20, 2020, 1:00 PM EST
Here is a solid betting system that supports the Dolphins and is quite simple. It has earned a 77-35 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the last 10 seasons and instructs us to bet on underdogs that are facing a team coming off a home win spanning the first four weeks of the regular season. This system has earned a 16-6 ATS mark over the last three seasons. The machine learning models project that Miami will have a better Yards-per-play ratio and have no more than one turnover. In past games in which the Dolphins were home underdogs and met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 13-3 SU record and a 13-1-2 ATS record covering by an average of 9.8 points for a robust 68% ROI. |
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09-20-20 | Falcons +3 v. Cowboys | Top | 39-40 | Win | 100 | 1 h 16 m | Show |
Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys Both teams come into this game off losses and no one ever wants to start 0-2 out of the gate. The Cowboys had a tough game against a physical Rams team, but their inability to convert on third downs (3-12 25%) and move the chains was the main reason they lost. Time-of-possession was heavily in favor of the Rams, who had an 11:16 edge, but Dallas ran 69 plays to the Rams 72 plays. The Rams had a 10-minute edge in the first quarter with the remaining three quarters equal in time-of-possession. The Rams did convert well on third downs (8-17 53%) and had more scoring chances than Dallas attained. One of those scoring chances ended with Goff throwing an interception, which was the only turnover of the game for either team. Dallas had just one drive in the first quarter that started on their own 26 and ended 6 plays later their 48-yard line. The Rams took their first possession of the season and drove 70 yards on 7 plays to score a touchdown. Their second drive of the quarter ended at the Dallas 10-yard line after missing a short field goal attempt. This system is one you want to record and use for every NFL season as it has earned an incredible 27-5 against-the-spread record good for 84% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The system requires are to bet on underdogs that were excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing-yards-per-game (PYPG) last season and after a game in which their defense allowed 7 or more passing yards-per-attempt (PYPA). This combination of performance parameters has recorded a near-perfect 17-1 ATS over the last five seasons and is 8-0 ATS over the last three seasons. The machine learning models project that the Falcons will score more than 27 points, pass for at least 260 yards, and will not be outgained by more than 65 total yards. In past games in which the Falcons met or exceeded these performance measures they went on to earn a 33-7 SU mark and 29-10-1 ATS record for 74% winning bets. |
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09-19-20 | Wake Forest +1 v. NC State | Top | 42-45 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
Wake returns just three starters on offense but return eight starters on defense. Despite the lack of expereince on offense, they held up well against Clemson, who has a one of the best defensive units in the nation. They do return eight starters on defense that will match up quite well against a solid Wolfpack offensive unit. Wake played many high-scoring games in 2019 and as a result the defense was spending too much time on the field and gave up too many fourth quarter scores. The offense is geared towards moving the chains and keeping the opposing offense off the field, which is the winning recipe facing the Wolfpack. A Time-Tested Betting SystemHere is a proven betting system that has earned a solid 57-22 ATS record since 1990 and instructs us to play on road teams in the first four weeks of the season that have a new starting QB and was a bowl team that lost the last two games of the season. What Does the Machine Learning Tools Suggest is a Solid Bet?The projections call for Wake to score at least 28 points and throw for an average of at least 9 or more passing yards-per-attempt. In past games in which Wake has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 20-0 SU record and an amazing 18-1 ATS mark for 85% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 9.5 points. Take the Wake Forest Demon Deacons as a Best Bet Upset Alert this Saturday. |
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09-19-20 | Miami-FL +1.5 v. Louisville | Top | 47-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Miami (FLA) vs Louisville
7-Star Upset Alert Titan on the Miami Hurricanes Last season, the Hurricanes destroyed the Cardinal 55-27 with Quarterback Jarren Williams throwing for a school-record six touchdowns. After that game, it appeared that the Hurricanes were on the national stage, but Williams never even came close to matching that performance over the remainder of the season. He transferred to Garden City Community College in Kansas to hopefully finish out his NCAA career. The Hurricanes lost a lot of talent from last season’s team due to the NFL draft and players opting out of the season account of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, for those choosing to play has brough them great opportunities and the Hurricanes starting QB D’Eriq King, who is a graduate transfer from the University of Houston, is making the most of it. He has an active NCAA-record scoring streak of having at least one touchdown pass and one rushing touchdown in 16 consecutive games. So, the Hurricanes offense under new OC Rhett Lashlee, will look to play fast and optimize the duel threat athleticism of King. Cardinal Defense is Much BetterThe Louisville defense allowed three scoring touchdowns last week in their 35-21 win over the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers last week. However, two of these scores involved drives of 1 and 4 yards, after failed special team plays. One of the turnovers was a dropped ball by the punter and then a blocked punt. So, taking those miscues into account, the Louisville defense may have allowed 10 or fewer points. The defense also got a turnover on downs at the goal line and had 11 tackles-for-loss and reflects consistent gap discipline and penetration they attained. This unit will have to play even better against the Hurricane offense that suddenly has many weapons and King, who is even being mentioned in Heisman conversations. Important Matchup SituationsThe following team situational results are based on their games last week. The Hurricanes are 6-1 straight-up (SU) and against-the-spread (ATS) after a game in which they rushed for 300 or more yards since the 2011 season. Moreover, the Hurricanes are a stout 18-4 SU and 14-8 ATS for 64% winning bets when out rushing their previous opponent by 125 or more yards since 2011. The Cardinal is just 18-28 ATS for 39% winning bets following a game where their defense forced no more than one turnover in games played since 2011. Moreover, they are 6-17 ATS for 26% winning bets when the next game has been at home and a near-imperfect 1-8 ATS when ranked in the Top-25 poll. A Money Line Betting System Support the HurricanesThis money line betting system has earned an outstanding 41-31 record for 56% winning wagers and has made the $100 bettor a profit of $4,910 over the last 10 seasons. The betting system instructs us to bet on road team using the money line that are facing an opponent coming off a game in which they outgained their opponent by at least 175 yards and has at least eight returning starters on offense during the first four weeks of the regular season. What Does the Machine Learning Tools Expect?The current lines showing Louisville favored by 2.5 points and total of 65 points implies a 34-31 Louisville win. However, the machine learning projections sees the final score favoring the Hurricanes if they can contain the Cardinal to fewer than 28 points. When the Hurricanes have been installed as a road dog and have held the host to fewer than 28 points has produced a 16-12 SU record and a jaw-dropping 23-5 ATS mark for 82% winning bets since 1990. The Cardinal is just 10-4 SU and 1-13 ATS when they have been a home favorite and scored fewer than 28 points in games played since 2011. The ‘UNDER’ is a perfect 14-0 in these games. The Miami Hurricanes +2.5 points and the ‘UNDER’ 65-points are a pair of Best Bets and consider making this a parlay opportunity, but risk no more than a 3-Star Amount |
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09-19-20 | Central Florida v. Georgia Tech +7.5 | Top | 49-21 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
14 University of Central Florida vs Georgia Tech The No 14 UCF Knights will take to the field for the first time in the 2020 season. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets went into Tallahassee as a 13-point underdog and upset the Florida State Seminoles 16-13. Their confidence will be high knowing they have another opportunity to upset a ranked opponent in the Knights. The Jackets find themselves installed as 7.5-point home underdogs with a over/under line of 63-points. These lines imply a final score of 35-28 with the Knights winning. Returning Starters Are a Huge Asset for the JacketsThe Jackets return nine offensive and 10 defensive starters. The biggest story coming out of last week’s win is all about the superior play of freshman quarterback Curtis Sims, who became the first-ever freshman QB to win a season opener and is the first fresh to start at Georgia Tech since Reggie Ball did in the 2003 season. He performed more like an experienced senior throwing for 277 passing yards on 24 completions, which is the highest since 2003. So, with all five offensive linemen back Sims will get solid protection and run blocking from this experienced unit and that is a major advantage for the Jackets in this matchup. The defense is an even bigger story for the Jackets having held the Seminoles to just 307 total yards and 3.8 yards-per-play. The unit also forced three turnovers with their aggressive hard-hitting play. Linebacker Quez Jackson had an interception and led the team with nine tackles including 7 solo tackles. One fumble was forced and recovered by LB David Curry, who also had seven total tackles including four solo ones. The second fumble was recovered by defensive lineman Djimon Brooks, who also had three total tackles. There were three additional fumbles forced, but the Seminoles managed to recover them. In case you wanted to know, the most fumbles the Seminoles have had in a game is 7 and fumbles lost is 4 in all games played since 1990. The Jacket defense played with a disciplined focus and were never caught out of position throughout the entire game. Head Coach Geoff Collins knows this is a solid recipe to contain the UCF juggernaut offense. A 76% ATS Betting System Supports the JacketsThis betting system has earned an amazing 59-25 against-the-spread (ATS) record for 76% winning tickets over the last 30 seasons. The system instructs us to be on home dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are facing an opponent in the first four weeks of the season that won their last three games of the previous season. The key to this game and for the Jackets to cover the spread is to keep UCF from scoring more than 28 points and not get into a shooting match with them. In past games, in which the Jacks and their opponent both score 27 or more points they have gone a dismal 1-9 ATS for 10% winning bets. The 28-point level is a pivot point for the majority of NCAAF teams and not just for this matchup. So, the projections call for the Jackets to score 27 or more points and have at least 5 more first downs than the Knights. In games played in which the Jackets scored 27 or more points and had more than 5 first downs than their opponent has seen them go on to record a 49-4 SU record and 40-11 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 10.3 points. Take the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets plus the points as a Best Bet Upset Alert. |
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09-19-20 | Boston College +5.5 v. Duke | Top | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show |
Duke vs Boston College September 19, 2020, 12:00 PM EST
Here is a solid betting system that supports BC and has earned an 86-34 ATS record good for 71% winning bets spanning the last five seasons. The system instructs us to bet against any team after being outgained by 125 total yards in their previous game and with an inexperienced QB in the first four weeks of the regular season. If the play against team (Duke) is a home favorite the system improves to 36-11 for 77% ATS winning bets. The machine learning models project that BC will rush for at least 250 rushing yards and average at least 5.0 yards-per-rush. In past games in which BC met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to a 21-3 SU record and a 20-4 ATS record that covers the spread by an average of 10.3 points. If BC was installed as an underdog they have posted a 7-2 SU record and 9-0 ATS mark covering by an average of 16.3 points. |
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09-18-20 | Nuggets +7 v. Lakers | Top | 114-126 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Denver Nuggets vs LA Lakers 9:00 PM EST, September 18, 2020
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09-17-20 | Bengals +6 v. Browns | Top | 30-35 | Win | 101 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Cincinnati vs Cleveland 8:20 PM EST, September 17, 2020
Here is a betting system that supports the Bengals and has earned a solid 103-52 ATS mark good for 67% winning bets since 1990 and instructs us to plat on road underdogs facing a conference foe that had a losing record in their previous season. This system has recorded a nice money-making 13-4 ATS record over the last three seasons and 26-8 ATS over the last 5 seasons. The machine learning tools are projecting that the Bengals will gain at least 125 rushing yards and average at least 7 yards-per-pass attempt. In past games in which the Bengals have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 52-15-1 SU record for 78% wins and 49-17-2 ATS for 74% winning bets since 2000. The Browns are 2-29-1 SU and 8-24 ATS for 25% when they have allowed an opponent to meet or exceed those performance measures in games played since 2010. |
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09-17-20 | Heat +2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
iami Heat vs Boston Celtics September 17, 2020, 7:00 PM EST
Here is a solid betting system that supports the Heat and has earned a 73-40 SU record using the Money Line over the last five seasons. This system instructs us to be on any team in a game where they and the opponent have won 60 to 75% of their games on the season and with the opponent coming off a game where the total went ‘OVER’ by 18 or more points. The machine learning models project that the Heat will make 77% or more of their free throw attempts, score at least 105 points, and make at least 10 3-point shots. In past games when installed as a dog and meeting or exceeding these performance measures the Heat have earned a 21-8 ATS record for 72% winning bets and covered the spread by an average of 9 points. |
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09-15-20 | Nuggets +7.5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-89 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
Game 7 is Just Another Game
Denver Center and super star Nikola Jokic stated after their come from behind win that “To us, Game 7 is just another game”. That simple statement is completely accurate with the Nuggets having the confidence that they have what it takes to defeat the Clippers. Jokic had 34 pints, 14 boards, and seven assists in their 111-98 win that featured 11 straight defensive stops at one point in the second half. So, I did a simple query of my vast NBA database and learned that the Nuggets are 7-3 straight-up (SU) and 8-2 against-the-spread (ATS) in games following one in which Jokic scored 25 or more points and had at least 10 boards in a win installed as an underdog. The Clippers Have Never Been to the West FinalsThe Clippers were founded in 1970 and played as the Buffalo Braves and then moved to San Diego in 1978. Team owner Irv Levin sold the franchise to real estate developer David Sterling for $12.5 million. Sterling moved the team to Los Angeles in 1984 and then was forced to sell the franchise to former Microsoft founder Steve Balmer, who finally brought winning ways to the franchise for the first time. Still, the Clippers have never advanced to the Western Conference Finals sporting an 0-7 record in previous chances. Will Paul George Have Another Monster Game?The Clippers have strong support in winning Game 7 from the fact that they are 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS for 73% winning bets following a game in which Paul George had 30 or more points; 3-0 ATS in the next game if coming off a loss installed as a favorite. Moreover, Clippers are 6-0 SU and 6-0 ATS following game in which Paul George had a plus-minus rating of -10 or worse. So, you can see how team and player trends can many times work against one another when handicapping a game, but there is far more analysis yet to be seen. What About Teams that Lost Game 6?Not too much to sink our teeth into here, but it is an excellent question. Teams that were 3-1 and forced into a game 7 are 0-4 SU and ATS since 2014. The last series in which this occurred was the Nuggets coming back to defeat the Utah Jazz in Round 1. A 75% Betting System Supports the NuggetsNo team in NBA history has won back-to-back series are being down in the series 3-1. This NBA betting system has earned a 20-7-1 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons and instructs us to play on teams that were losing at the half by 5 or more points in each of their last three games. In playoffs games, this system has earned a 12-5-1 ATS record for 71% winning bets since 2013. Denver trailed by 16 points at the half in Game 6 and playoff teams, who then came from behind to win those games are 14-9 ATS for 61% in the next game. Teams that had at least a 16-point lead in a closeout playoff game are 1-4 ATS with the ‘UNDER’ going a perfect 5-0 in the next playoffs game. Now we are getting somewhere with the analysis. What Does the Machine Learning Have to Say?The machine learning tools project that the Nuggets will have a higher shooting percentage from the field than the Clippers, will shoot at least 39% from beyond the arc and make at least 12 shots from long range. Since 1995, the Nuggets are a remarkable 113-9 SU for 93% wins and 105-14-3 ATS for 88% winning bets when they have met or exceeded these performance measures. The Nuggets also sport a 46-4 SU anmd 40-8-2 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2017. Moreover, teams that have met or exceeded these performance measures in Games 6 or 7 are 9-3 SU for 75% wins and 10-2 ATS for 83% winning bets. Take the Nuggets plus the points and for them to be the first-ever NBA team to win back-to-back payoff series after trailing 3-1 in each of them. |
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09-14-20 | Steelers v. Giants +6 | Top | 26-16 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 56 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Pittsburgh Steelers vs Ny Giants 7:15 PM EST, September 14, 2020
Ny Giants tackle Nate Solder opted out of the season and there are three new offensive lineman set to start tonight. They are elite athletes and have excellent skills in first round draft pick Andrew Thomas 6-5 315 from Georgia, RT Cam Fleming 6-6 320 from Stanford, and center Nick Gates 6-5 307 from Nebraska. I do believe this youthful OL has the athleticism and quickness to contain the Steeler defensive front and open up holes for Barkley to dart through untouched. Once Barkley gets into the open field he is extremely difficult to bring down by any defensive unit. This will then open up play action pass plays catching the Steelers in man coverage or in Sam-Will blitz schemes. From the machine learning tools and models the Giants are expected to gain at least 125 rushing yards, have more first downs than the Steelers, and have more total offensive yards than the Steelers. In past games in which the Giants have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 89-16 SU record and 85-20 ATS for 81% winning bets since 1990; 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS since 2015. The Steelers are 3-3-1 SU and 1-6 ATS the spread failing to cover by an average of 8 points when their opponent has gained 125 or more rushing yards and are installed as road favorites since 2015. |
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09-13-20 | Cowboys v. Rams +1 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
Dallas Cowboys vs LA Rams 8:20PM EST, September 13, 2020 From the machine learning tools, the Rams are projected to score at least 27 points, average more than 7 yards-per-pass attempt, and gain 400 or more total offensive yards. In past games in which the Rams met or exceeded these three performance measures they are 48-20 ATS and 62-9 SU winning the game by an average of 12 points; 28-10-2 ATS when in home games and an amazing 12-1-1 ATS mark and covering the spread by an average of 11.5 points. |
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09-13-20 | Packers +2.5 v. Vikings | Top | 43-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings 1:00 PM EST, September 13, 2020
Green Bay won both meetings against the Vikings and have many favorable matchups on both sides of the ball. From the machine learning tools and models the Packers are projected to outgain the Vikings on the ground and have a better, more efficient yards-per-points ratio. In other words, the Packers will need fewer yards gained to score a single point on average. In past games in which the Packers met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a perfect 29-0 ATS record and covered the spread by an average of 15.6 points. Take the Packers as a 7-Star Upset Alert Titan |
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09-13-20 | Seahawks v. Falcons +1.5 | Top | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons September 12, 2020, 1:00 PM EST Kickoff - 1:00 PM EST, September 13, 2020 The Mercedes-Benz Stadium is one of the best venues in all of sports but will remain without fans for at least the first two home games of the Atlanta Flacons schedule. The Atlanta offense has always been dangerous for most opponents and will be better this season having added running back Todd Gurley through free agency and TE Hayden Hurst, who was acquired in a trade with Baltimore. The Falcons Running Game is Much BetterThe Falcons running game ranked 30th in the NFL gaining just 1,361 rushing yards as compared to a league average of 1806 rushing yards. Further, the Falcons ranked 29th in the NFL with just 332 rushing attempts. They went 1-7 over the first eight games and fell behind early in games forcing them to abandon most or all the run plays. When an NFL team is behind in a game, especially by two or more scores, play action gets no respect from a defense and is simply a worthless formation. Gurley has been banged up physically over his career, but still provides a new and real run threat for all defenses to respect. His presence will provide more opportunities to use play action pass routes, which is where the addition of Hurst and his above average speed will be a huge asset this season. Falcons Matt Ryan Will Be Better ProtectedThe running game fell into the statistical abyss for the Falcons, which put tremendous pressure on Matt Ryan to complete difficult passes and sustain scoring drives. The Falcons through the most passes in the NFL with a number no one really likes 666 throws form scrimmage. The Cincinnati Bengals were a distant second with 617 pass attempts and by comparison the terrific Baltimore Ravens offense that led the league in scoring ranked last with 439 pass attempts. So, the Falcons can expect a much better balance of run and pass plays making it far more difficult for defensive coordinators to prepare to defend. Matt Ryan threw just 24 passes that were targeted down the deep middle of the field. The Tampa Bay Bucs ranked first with 37 throws in this category by way of comparison. With the addition of Hurst at TE and his speed it is a sure bet you will see the middle of the field exploited by the Falcons whenever they can get Hurst in man coverage by a linebacker. The Falcons ranked 17th in the NFL running 113 pass plays using play action and gained 827 yards from those plays. By comparison, Jared Goff and the Rams ran 194 play action plays and gained a league-best 1,564 passing yards. Gurley was part of that offense. What About the Team Trends?Well, there are gaggles of them of ocurse being spit out of my vast NFL database that can go back to 1980 if it provides meaningful results. Coach Carroll is just 3-14 ATS in games played in September since being hired by the Seahawks; 2-10 ATS in road games that have occurred in the first two weeks of the season. The Falcons are a stout 19-6 ATS in home games that occurred in the first two weeks of the season. Moreover, they are 4-0 ATS as home dogs in the first two weeks of the season spanning the last 10 seasons. How About Those Machine Learning Metrics We Love?The Falcons are projected to execute at least 25 rushing plays, average at least 4.5 rushing-yards-per-attempt and attain a yards-per-point ratio of not higher than 11.5 in this matchup. The Falcons are 48-8 SU and 37-15-4 ATS for 71% winning bets in home games when they have averaged a minimum of 4.5 RYPA and executed at least 25 rushing plays. When they have achieved the rushing metrics and had a YPPT ratio of not more than 11.5, the Falcons have earned a perfect 16-0 ATS mark covering the number by an average of 12 points. The Seahawks when traveling on the road are a near imperfect 1-10 SU and ATS and failing to cover the spread by an average of 15 points when they have allowed an opponent to rush the ball for a minimum of 25 attempts, gaining average of 4.5 RYPA, and allow an opponent YPPT ratio of 11.5 or lower. R |
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09-12-20 | Western Kentucky +12.5 v. Louisville | Top | 21-35 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Western Kentucky vs Louisville 8:00 PM EST, September 12, 2020
The Cardinals offense also has returning quarterback Micale Cunningham, who is a red-shirt junior and a duel run-pass threat. He has gained 979 rusing yards with 11 touchdowns and passed for 2,538 yards on 62% completions with 23 touchdowns, and 6 picks over his last two seasons. Despite these impressive stats, I see the offense struggling against a very fast and disciplined Hilltopper defensive unit. In order to contain a duel threat QB it is imperative for the defense to maintain their individual gap areas and not over react to Cunningham’s ball fakes – and the unit will do a great job. From the machine learning tools and models the Hilltoppers are projected to gain an average of at least 6.5 yards per pass attempt and contain Louisville to fewer than 28 points. In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 33-11-1 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets and covered the spread by an average of 10 points. In 2018, they had Louisville on the ropes leading 14-6 starting the fourth quarter, before Louisville scored 14 points in the fourth to win 20-17. WKU was a 21 point underdog and they did exceed the performance measures mentioned above. |
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09-12-20 | Rockets +6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 96-119 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
ouston Rockets vs LA Lakers September 12, 2020, 8:00 PM EST The Rockets are a 6.5-point underdog and the projections do show a decent probability that they may win this game. So, as a suggestion, I like splitting this 10-star amount into two parts consisting of a 7-star amount using the line and then a 3-Star amount using the money line. This strategy will provide significant additions to the bottom line over the course of a season. I know this is a bold call, but it is based on the ‘Math’ and the ML models. The Rockets find themselves in a great spot for this game and a shocking – to the media and public at least – win over the Lakers. They are 11-2 ATS after two consecutive games in which they were outrebounded by 10 or more boards this season. The machine learning projections also show that playoffs teams that were out rebounded by 8 or more boards in a previous game loss and average at least 115 points on the season are 11-5 ATS for 71% winning bets. The projections also call for the Rockets top score at least 115 points and will make at least 40% from 3-point land. Playoff teams coming off a loss and then scoring 115 or more points and shooting 40% or better from beyond the arc are an amazing 86-9 ATS for 91% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. |
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09-11-20 | Celtics -2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 92-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors 9:00 PM EST, September 11, 2020
From the machine learning tools and models the Celtics are projected to have the better assists-to-turnover ratio, will make 79% or more of their free throw attempts, and score at least 105 points. In past playoff games in which the Celtics met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 9-1 SU and ATS record and covering the spread by an average of 9 points. |
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09-10-20 | Texans v. Chiefs -9 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
2020 NFL season Week 1
Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs 8:20 PM EST Thursday, September 10, 2020 John Ryan founder of John Ryan Sports @johnryansports1 10-Star Titan on the KC Chiefs The NFL season starts this Thursday with the defending Super Bowl 54 Champion Chiefs hosting the AFC South Divisional Champion Houston Texans. This is also a rematch of last year’s Chiefs 51-31 win over the Texans in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. In that game the Chiefs were installed as 10-point home favorites and the game total line was 51 points. In Week 1, the Chiefs are favored by an identical 10-point betting line and the total has creeped up to 55 points. Do Defending Super Bowl Champs have a Celebration Hangover in Week 1?No all defending Super Bowl Champions have started the following season with a home game. There have been 16 SB Champions, who have started the season with a home celebration and are 14-2 straight-up (SU), 11-4-1 against-the-spread (ATS), and near-even 7-8-1 ‘OVER’ record. Since 2002, this is the first time that a reigning Champion has been installed as a double-digit favorite. Reigning Champions installed as favorites are 12-2 SU, 9-4-1 ATS, and 8-6 ‘UNDER’ in Week 1 and when favored by four or more points sport an impressive 9-1 SU record, 7-2-1 ATS for 78% winning bets, and 6-4 tilt to the ‘UNDER’. So, no hangover whatsoever for the home fed reigning Champions. The news remains positive for the reigning champions as they sport a 12-2 SU record, 9-4-1 ATS, and 7-6-1’ UNDER’ record when facing a playoff team from last season in Week 1. Opponents in Week 1 that were a previous season playoff team and facing a reigning Champion that is not in their division are a money-burning 2-14 SU, 4-11-1 ATS for 27% winning bets, and an 8-7-1 ‘OVER’ record in Week 1. Can the Chiefs Offense Match the 2019 Season?This offense is unstoppable when Reid’s play calling is clicking with this offensive sets. The Chiefs ranked 5th averaging 28.2 points-per-game with 30 receiving touchdowns, 16 rushing touchdowns, and 1 kickoff return for touchdown. They led the NFL making 34 field goal attempts on 38 tries and reflects the Chiefs struggles at times in the red zone. In their games, the Chiefs just knew that putting points on the scoreboard despite failed red zone conversions, was the recipe to win games. The Chiefs will average more points-per-game this season just by cutting down their field goal attempts in the red zone to 25. NFL Drive Averages in 2019The Chiefs ranked second in the NFL scoring on 49.4% of all drives and averaging 2.62 points-per-drive with the Baltimore Ravens ranking first and scoring points on 52% of their drives and averaging 2.62 points-per-drive. The Chiefs ranked fourth-best in the NFL taking care of the football and had a turnover on only 8% of their drives. Can the Houston Texans Defense Stop the Chiefs Offense?The Chiefs offense is designed to maximize yards-after-the-catch (YAC) much ion the way the San Francisco 49ers West Coast offense was designed and the same West Coast scheme Reid ran while the head coach of the Philadelphia Eagles. The number one Texans defensive weakness was ranking 30th in the NFL allowing 2,067 YAC. So, double digit favorites that have averaged at least 11 yards-per-completion spanning their last eight games and facing an opponent, who made the playoffs last season and allowed at least 375 points in their previous season are a solid 72-54-2 ATS for 57% winning bets and 116-12 SU for 90% wins and winning these games by an average of 15.1 points-per-game. Last, if this game takes place on a Thursday night, the double-digit favorites are 6-0 SU winning by an average of 16.5 points and 5-0-1 ATS and covering the spread by an average of 7.77 points. A Machine Learning Method that Produces Winning ResultsThere are more than 200 separate parameters in my NFL database and many of my machine learning tools combine many of these parameters that work well together in identifying ATS winners. These types of advanced mathematical applications are applied in the same way in many other industries, for instance, the Life Sciences and Biotech sectors. The combinatorial algorithms, for instance, will look to combine a combination of parameters (column names) that serve to optimize total return-on-investment (ROI) exactly in the same manner that I use them in stock market projections. Yards-Per-Drive Has Strong Predictive ValueFor this matchup, the Chiefs are projected to average at least 3.1 points-per-drive in this game against the Texans. The Chiefs are 17-5 SU and 17-5 ATS for 78% winning bets when they have met or exceeded a 3.1 points-per-drive ratio in games played over the last three seasons. Further, when installed as a home favorite and averaging a minimum of 3.1 points-per-drive ratio they are a resounding 9-1 SU winning by an average of 16 points and 8-2 ATS for 80% and covering the spread by an average of 11.1 points. Moreover, the Chiefs are projected to score 27 or more points and outgain the Texans by at least 80 yards. In past games where the Chiefs have met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 64-3 SU record winning the games by an average of 19.6 points and a 61-4-2 ATS record good for 94% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 15.8 points. By knowing these projections, you will find yourself watching the game and monitoring their progress. I also provide situational trends at the end of each quarter that can also serve to provide even more money-making betting opportunities that have proven track records. |
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09-09-20 | Raptors +4 v. Celtics | Top | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Toronto Raptors bs Boston Celtics 6:30 PM EST, September 9, 2020
The Raptors are also 28-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of their last six games in games played over the last two seasons. From the machine learning tools the Raptors are projected to score a minimum of 111 points and get 12 to 16 offensive rebounds, and have a TO differential of not more or less than 3 of the opponent. In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone to earn a 60-14 straight-up (SU) record and 52-21-1 ASTS mark for 721.2% winning bets and the ‘OVER’ is 64-10 for 87% winning bets. So, play a 7-Star amount on Toronto plus the points and a 5-Star amount on the ‘OVER’. Then as an optional consideration place a reverse action parlay Toronto with the points and the ‘OVER’ which pays 4:1. |
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09-08-20 | Heat -4 v. Bucks | Top | 103-94 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 6:30 PM EST, September 8, 2020
The Bucks are just 6-15 ATS in games facing good shooting teams making >=46% of their shots this season. From the machine learning tools the Heat are 133-24 ATS for 85% winning bets when scoring 106 or more points, making 78% or more of their free throw attempts and have had the better assists-to-turnover ratio. So, watch for these metrics in tonight’s game. |
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09-05-20 | Arkansas State v. Memphis -18.5 | Top | 24-37 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Arkansas State vs Memphis Tigers 8:00 PM EST, September 5, 2020
I wrote about the immense value of returning starters on offense, especially when four or five of the previous season’s starting offensive line returns for this season. Memphis has this in place to start their season and it will pay them handsome dividends over the first four weeks of the season. From the machine learning tools, Memphis is projected to average at least 9.0 yards-per-pass-play and out-gain Arkansas State by at least 200 yards. In past games in which Memphis met or exceeded these projections they have gone on to earn a 13-1 ATS record for 93% winning bets that has also covered the spread by an average of 20.5 points. |
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09-05-20 | SMU v. Texas State +24 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
SMU Mustangs vs Texas State September 5, 2020, 4:30 PM EST From the machine learning tools and projections Texas State is projected to pass for 75 fewer yards than SMU will pass for and that SMU will NOT exceed 31 or more points. In past Texas State games where this pair of measures were met or exceeded they are 19-10 ATS for 66% winning bets; 8-1 ATS for 89% winning bets when installed as a double digit dog. If you do like teasers, consider a 6-point teaser adding 6-points to the current total and adding 6-points to the current line. This makes the total about 72.5/73 points playing ‘UNDER’ and the T-State a 29/30-poit underdog. SMU has not done well in games expected to be high scoring and are 0-7 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 63 over the last three seasons. |
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09-03-20 | South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss | Top | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
The South Alabama Jaguars, who are members in the West Division of the Sun Belt Conference will travel to take on the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles, who are members of the West Division of the 14-team Conference-USA. The Eagles find themselves installed as double-digit home favorites against the Jaguars, who won just two games last season. The Value of Returning Starters for the EaglesDuring the first four weeks of the NCAA Football season knowing the teams that have the majority of starters returning from last season is a major advantage when facing a team that is re-building form the previous year. There are exceptions like the Top-5 programs in the country, who simply see their players move on to the NFL and then plug-and-play with new 5-Star recruits. The Eagles return 14 total starters with eight on offense including quarterback Jack Abraham and six on defense. Abraham had a solid 2019 season completing 68% of his pass attempts for 3,496 yards including 19 touchdowns. He did throw 15 interceptions, but that number of mistakes will drop given he has another full season of expereince under his belt. Even more important than having the starting quarterback returning is the number of starters returning from the offensive line. The Eagles have four of the five offensive linemen back this season. The offensive line is the unit that requires the greatest amount of coordinated technique and chemistry. Having 4 or 5 starters returning on the offensive line provides the foundation for the entire offense to be even more efficient than they were at the end of the previous season. The Value of Returning Starters for the Jaguars The 2019 season saw the Jaguars go a horrid 2-10, but they did earn respectable 7-5 against-the-spread (ATS) record. Head Coach Steve Campbell is just 5-19 straight up and 13-11 ATS in his first two seasons but has a 13 returning starters with seven on offense including quarterback Desmond Trotter and six on defense. The defense is returning the top-5 tacklers and gives reason for the defensive unit to be significantly better in 2020. The Jaguars ranked fifth in the Sun Belt Conference allowing an averaging of 409 offensive yards-per-game, sixth allowing 192 rushing yards-per-game, and fourth allowing 217 passing yards-per-game. Having the best defensive players returning that accounted for 65% of last season’s production is key as are the seven starters returning on offense that accounted for 73% of last season’s total production. The Betting Public and Irrational ExuberanceI key handicapping method is to track the percentage of wagers being made and the total amounts of money those betting tickets add up to. In this game 78% of all bets being made are on the Eagles resulting in 22% of bets in support of the Jaguars. The line for this game opened with the Eagles favored by 14 points and despite having a 3:1 margin in bets made on them, the line has dropped to 13.5 points. The half-point decline in the line is a mall amount, but it is far more meaningful when the overwhelming number of bets are on the dog. This implies that the large bettors, so-called Wise Guys, are on the Jaguars and their combined money of their bets is offsetting the small public bets. What Does the Machine Learning Tools Have to Say?As the season rolls on you will notices that there is a pivot point in scoring that when exceeded favors that team and works against their opponent. Such is the case in this matchup as the Eagles are 171-28-1 straight-up (SU) for 86% wins and 131-41-3 ATS for 76.2% winning bets when they score 28 or more points in games played since 1980; 49-16 SU for 75% wins and 45-19-1 ATS for 70.3% winning bets since 2010; 16-2 SU for 89% wins and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets over the last three seasons. The Jaguars are a money-burning 8-54 SU for 13% wins and 21-39-2 ATS for 35% winning bets when they have allowed 28 or more points since 2011; 3-23 SU for 12% wins and 10-15 ATS for 40% winning bets over the last three seasons. There is more though, then just using 28 points as a pivot to determine a betting opportunity. The machine learning summary shows that the Jaguars are just 1-7 SU for 13% wins, but 7-1 ATS for 89% winning bets when scoring at least 24 points and are installed as a double-digit road underdog. The Eagles are 9-9 SU for 50% wins and 4-14 ATS for just 22% winning bets installed as a double-digit home favorite and allowing that opponent to score at least 24 points. |
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09-02-20 | Thunder +5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets
9:00 PM EST, September 2, 2020
Here is a money line betting system that has earned a strong 48-24 record for 67% winning bets and instructs to play on teams using the money line in a playoff game that with a win closes out the series and is a team winning between 60 and 75% of their games on the season. From the machine learning tools the Thunder are 35-18 ATS for 67% winning bets and 38-15 SU when they have scored 111 or more points and had 13 to 17 turnovers in games played since 2017; perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in playoff games. Moreover, the Thunder are 33-5 SU and 27-11 ATS for 71% winning bets when shooting between 45 and 48% form the field and have had the better assists-to-turnover ratio. |
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09-01-20 | Jazz +1 v. Nuggets | Top | 78-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets
8:30 PM EST, September 1, 2020
The Nuggets are just 5-18 ATS after a win by 10 or more points in games played over the last two seasons. From the machine learning tools the Jazz are projected to make at least 48% of all of their shot attempts and make 15 or more free throws, and score at least 111 points. IN past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a robust 202-51-11 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2004; 44-13-5 ATS for 78% winning bets over the last three seasons; 9-2 ATS in playoffs games since 2008 and covering the spread by an average of 11 points. |
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08-31-20 | Heat v. Bucks -5 | Top | 115-104 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks August 31, 2020 6:30 Game 1, Round 2 Eastern Conference Here is a betting system that has earned a 37-12-1ATS record for 76% winning over the last 5 seasons. The system instructs us to be on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points facing an opponent that has covered the spread in three or more consecutive games and has a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season. The record is 12-3 ATS for 80% winners when the game is in the playoffs; 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets in all rounds after the first round since 2011. From the machine learning tools and projections the Bucks are 39-5-1 ATS when the have scored 111 or more points, made 79% or more of their free throw attempts, and held their opponent to less than 38% 3-point shooting since 2015. Over the last 10 seasons, no. 1 seeds that have met or exceeded these performance measures have earned a 161-42-3 ATS record covering the spread by an average of 9 points for 79% winning bets. |
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08-29-20 | Thunder +5 v. Rockets | Top | 80-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets
9:00 PM EST, 08-29-20 (Saturday)
The Thunder are 8-1 ATS after 2 straight games attempting 10 or more free throws than opponent this season. The Rockets averaged just a fraction more 3-point shot attempts then 2-point shot attempts this season. Their 2-point to 3-point shot attempt ratio has gone even further into extreme levels in this matchup. They are averaging 90 shot attempts per game, which is right on their regular season average, but are averaging an incredible 54 3-point shot attempts and just 36.8 2-point shot attempts. Since 2018, the Rockets are just 1-7 ATS for 12.5% and losing to the spread by an average of 12.2 points when they have attempted more 3’s than 2’s and the opponent made 8 or more free throws. |
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08-25-20 | Jazz -2.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 107-117 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets
6:30 PM EST, 08-25-20 (Tuesday)
Denver is just 13-25 ATS after scoring 120 points or more over the last two seasons. From the machine learning tools, the Jazz are 50-9 ATS for 85% winners when scoring 112 or more points and having the better, more efficient ATS ratio in regular season and playoff games since 2017; 4-0 ATS and covering by an average of 20 points in playoff games since 2017. Take the Utah Jazz as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet, 5-Star bets Bet ‘UNDER’ and 3-star reverse parlay on the Jazz and ‘UNDER’. |
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08-24-20 | Rockets -2.5 v. Thunder | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs. OKC Thunder
4:00 PM EST, 08-24-20 (Monday)
The Rockets need to and are expected to improve their 3-point shooting. If they do not then this series will be won by the Thunder and this bet may prove to be a losing one. The Rockets in the playoffs are attempting an average of 53 3-point shots per game and making just 18 of them for a 34% rate. The Rockets, though, are making 57% of their 2-point shots, but are attempting an average of 28 shots per game. Narrowing the spread between 3-point and 2-point attempts will go a long way to seeing the Rockets win this game. Combined with the fact that they are taking much better care of the ball sporting a 2.0 assist-to-turnover ratio as compared to the Thunder’s 1.26 ATS will more than offset any anomalies by the Thunder. From the machine learning tools, the Rockets are 191-45-7 for 81% winners when scoring 114 or more points and having the better, more efficient ATS ratio in regular season and playoff games; 10-1 ATS for 91% and covering by an average of 14 points in playoff games. Take the Houston Rockets as as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet |
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08-23-20 | Raptors -12.5 v. Nets | Top | 150-122 | Win | 100 | 35 h 59 m | Show |
Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets
6:30 PM EST, 08-23-20
From the machine learning tools the Raptors are projected to score at least 111 points and have fewer turnovers. In ast games when the Raptors have accomplished or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 152-69 ATS amrk good for 69% ATS winners. In playoffs games the Raptors have earned a near-perfect 9-1 ATS mark and have covered the spread by an average of 12.8 points. Take the Toronto Raptors as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet |
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08-23-20 | Celtics v. 76ers +8 | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
hiladelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics August 23, 1:00 PM EST The NBA database queries reveal several supporting situational betting systems that have all earned high winning percentages. This one has earned a 63-32 ATS mark good for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to bet on underdogs that have a winning record on the season and playing an opponent with a higher win percentage, that the opponent has been favored in their last three games and have won all three of these games ATS spanning games played since 2015. The 76ers have been a resilient team in 2019 and have earned a solid 31-18 ATS mark after habving lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games ATS; 20-7 ATS for 74% while sporting a 3-game or more ATS losing streak spanning games played over the last three seasons. The 76ers shot 29.5% from the field and were 2-points behind the Celtics with under 1:45 left in the game. The public is all over the Celtics and is a logical choice to bet, but logic many times does not translate to ATS winning bet. Rumors are swirling that the ‘Trust the Process’ is a broken model and this team will be broken up starting with the firing of head coach Brett Brown. I ask you this. Would the team played with the heart and ‘guts’ they did in Game-3 and if they did not like their head coach? Would they have actually shown improvement on both ends of the court (Tatem in Game-3 was minimized) if they hated their head coach? 76ers are 14-6 ATS when coming off a game where they shot 33% or less form the field. |
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08-22-20 | Rockets v. Thunder +3 | Top | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs OKC Thunder 6:00 PM EST, August 22, 2020 The conversations surrounding this matchup have centered on several shooting stats from the regular season and specifically how the Rockets shot just 23% from beyond the arc against the Thunder and that Harden and Eroc Gorden combined for a horrid 14% in those games. However, the first two games have had no similarities to the regular season results as Houston shot 39% from 3-point area and Harden and Gorden shot 42% combined. Then in Game-2 the Rockets shot just 33% from distance and Harden/Gorden went 2-21 for 10% makes and the Rockets still found a way to win the game. So, the Rockets have earned their way to a 2-0 series lead and have put the Thunder’s back against the wall. The Thunder are a stout 22-9 ATS for 71% in games lined between -3 and +3 this season. Thunder are 18-9 ATS for 67% installed as a DOG and having lost 3 or 4 of their last 4 games ATS in games played since 2016; 4-0 ATS when a playoffs game. The machine learning tools project the Thunder to score at least 114 points and are 7-1 ATS this season when doing so. The Thunder are 16-3 ATS for 84% winning bets when scoring at least 114 points and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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08-22-20 | Bucks v. Magic +12.5 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic August 21, 1:30 PM EST No.1 seeds in the NBA playoffs tied at 1-game each in Round-1 are just 2-6 SU and 2-6 ATS. Magic are coming off their worst shooting game of the 2019 season hitting just 34% from the field and they are projected to bounce back with a great effort this afternoon. The Magic have nothing to lose and are ‘supposed to lose’ and matched the Bucks point-for-point in the second-half of Game-2. From the machine learning tools the Magic are an amazing 123-14 ATS for 90% winning bets when they have scored at least 112 points and shot at least 49% from the field and at least 39% from beyond the arc; 8-0 ATS in playoff games covering the spread by an average of 17 points! |
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08-20-20 | Blazers +6 v. Lakers | Top | 88-111 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 49 m | Show |
Portland Trailblazers vs LA Lakers Lakers have lost six straight to the number and in case you were wanting to know, No-1 seeds that have lost at least 6 consecutive games to the spread are a money burning 18-25 ATS for 42%. Most amateur bettors will presume that a team as ‘good as the Lakers’ will bounce back with a monster effort and easy ATS winning ticket. I mentioned in the Game-1 winner on Portland that the Lakers would be in a flux having not played any of the eight bubble games with any starting lineups and a mish mash of personnel. The Trailblazers are an excellent ball handling team and the Lakers are just 2-13 ATS when facing a solid ball handling team averaging no more than 14 TOPG this season. From the machine learning tools the Trailblazers are an amazing 102-17-6 ATS for 86% winning bets when they have scored at least 111 points and shot at least 49% from the field and at least 39% from beyond the arc; 188-39-4 ATS in playoff games for the No-8 seed! |
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08-20-20 | Magic v. Bucks -13 | Top | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
Orladno Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks
6:00 PM EST, 08-20-20
Bucks are 52-34 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record since the start of the 2018 season. The Magic are 6-29 SU and 12-23 ATS when playing against a winning record team this season; 6-12 ATS facing a winning record team and coming off a straight-up win. No-1 seeds coming a game shotting 44% or worse from the field and allowed previous opponent to shoot at least 49% and had at least 16 TO are an impressive 39-20 ATS for 67%. From the machine learning tools the Bucks are 140-51-3 ATS for 73% wins when they have scored at least 111 points and had 13 to 17 turnovers; No-1 seeds are 101-37 ATS for 73% winners when scoring at least 111 points and having between 13 and 17 TO. Take the Milwaukee Bucks as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet |
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08-19-20 | 76ers +5 v. Celtics | Top | 101-128 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics 6:30 PM EST, August 19, 2020 I will get right to the machine learning projections. The 76ers are 111-37-2 ATS for 75% winners in games in which they made at least 78% of their free-throw attempts and scored at least 111 points; and 3-0 ATS covering by an average of 15 points when it has been a playoff game. The Celtics are just 1-12 SU and ATS for 8% winning bets when their playoff opponent has scored 111 or more points and made at least 78% of their free throw attempts. Consider splitting the wager into two parts consisting of a 5* amount using the line and a 2* amount using the money line. |
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08-19-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 124-105 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets Here is a betting system that has earned a a solid 66-27-1 ATS record for 71% and 12-3 ATS for 80% wins in playoff games since 2015. Then betting system query instructs us to play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and facing an opponent that played a game in which the combined score was 20 or more points over the posted total line and has a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season. The Nuggets are projected to score at least 111 points and are 15-4 ATS for 79% in playoff games and 11-2 ATS when installed as a favorite in playoff games. |
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08-18-20 | Blazers +5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 100-93 | Win | 102 | 53 h 6 m | Show |
Portland Trailblazers vs LA Lakers 9:00 PM EST, August 18, 2020 Let us start with a listing of meaningful team situational trends for this matchup. The Blazers are 16-2 ATS after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less. Lakers are 1-7 ATS in the bubble and have lost four of their last five games. They did rest their stars quite a bit down the stretch, but LeBron had rest since March 10th and playing eight games would not wear down a physical specimen like he is. So, fundamentally, I believe the lack of playing time with the entire roster is going to hurt the Lakers for the first part of this series. This is an unprecedented atmosphere and life-style for these players that certainly negates home court advantage and possibly give an edge to the pseudo road team going into the first round games. Do not under estimate the loss of Rondo to a fractured thumb and Avery Bradley, who opted out, and was definitley the best defensive player on the team. Here is time-tested betting system query from the database that has earned a 34-17 ATS record for 67% winning bets and also is 31-19 ‘OVER’ for 62% winners over the last five seasons. When the opponent is coming off a game where 216 or more points were scored the system improves to 24-11 ATS for 69% winners and a 21-14 ‘OVER’ mark for 60%. Finally, when the opponent is coming off a game in which 221 or more points were scored, the record improves significantly to a very impressive 21-6 ATS mark and 78% winning bets. The base query instructs us to play on underdogs of 3 to 9 points and coming of back-to-back wins of seven or fewer points and facig an opponent coming off a game where 206 or more points were scored. |
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08-18-20 | Magic v. Bucks -13 | Top | 122-110 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks
1:30 PM EST, 08-18-20
In addition, underdogs of 12 or more points that possess a higher ATR by at least 0.15 and in game with a total of 220 or more are a miserable 0-13 SU losing the game by an average of 21 points and 1-12 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 7.7 PPG. Also, underdogs of 8 to 9.5 points that score an average of 9 or more points fewer than their opponent are just 5-14 ATS for 27% in the playoffs. Take the Bucks for a 7* Best Bet Titan |
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08-17-20 | Nets v. Raptors -10 | Top | 110-134 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Brooklyn Nets vs Toronto Raptors I do not think Raptors head coach Nick Nurse gets the credit he deserves. He won the World Championship with Leonard and now is looking to repeat without the Superstar. Many of the team metrics, especially defensive ones, are even better than last season. Focus has been there (unlike the Lakers, for instance) going 7-1 in the Bubble and fully prepared to go for the back-to-back Championships. Raptors have won three of the four meetings this season against the Nets and all four games occurred before the stoppage. Teams that have defeated the current playoff opponent in 3 of the last 4 meetings and are installed as 9.5 favorites or more are 70-6 SU for 92%. So, this is not a recommendation to use the money line, but a dominant set of situations showing why the Raptors will come up in dominating form right from the opening tip. Teams that sport a 70% or higher win percentage (Raptors 73%) and facing a team with a losing record have earned a 40-24 ATS mark good for 63% winning bets and when favored by at least 9.5 points have earned a 20-11 ATS mark for 65% winners. Despite already having the NBA-best overall defense, they are also best averaging 19 fast break points per game. They also rank 11th-best allowing opponents to score an average eof 12.7 fast break points per game. The machine learning tools project that the Raptors will score at least 111 points and shoot at least 50% from the field. Playoff teams that are favored by at least 9.5 points and have met or exceeded these measures are 35-1 SU and 27-9 ATS for 75% winning bets. In addition, the ‘OVER’ is 14-1 for 93% since 2016. Take the Raptors for a 7-Star Best Bet Titan, 5-Star Bet ’Over’ the total and no more than a 3-Star reverse parlay using the Raptors and the ‘OVER’. |
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08-14-20 | Nuggets +4 v. Raptors | Top | 109-117 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 30 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors
1:30 PM EST, 08-14-20
Coach Malone is 42-25-1 ATS after his Nuggets have lost 3 of their last 4 games. Machine learning projects that the Nuggets will score 111 or more points and have the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games where the Nuggets have achieved or exceeded these measures they have earned an outstanding 281-61-6 ATS mark good for 82% winning bets since 1995 and 71-17-3 ATS since 2016, and 28-6 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2018. |
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08-12-20 | Raptors v. 76ers +6.5 | Top | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Toronto vs Philadelphia
6:30 PM EST, 08-12-20
Consider splitting this opportunity into a 4.5* amount using the point spread and a 2.5* amount using the money line. This type of optimization will augment your bottom line over the course of the season – and yes, even if the games are played in a ‘bubble’. This is not a play because Embiid has been cleared to play just to be clear.
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08-10-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5 | Top | 121-124 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Denver vs Lakers 9:00 PM EST, 08-10-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 33-9 ATS record for 79% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and are facing an opponent with a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season and coming off a game that the combined score eclipsed the posted total by at least 30 points. The Lakers have done well against low-pressure intensity style of defenses and are 22-9 ATS when facing a team like the Nuggets, who force an opponent into less than 14 turnovers per game this season.
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08-10-20 | Mavs +6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz The machine learning toolshed projects that the Mavs will shoot at least 43% form the field and at least 35% from three-point territory, and score at least 111 points. In past games where the Mavs have met these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 283-62-9 ATS record good for 82% winning bets since 2000; 23-7 ATS in the current season. Take the Mavs. |
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08-09-20 | Nets +13 v. Clippers | Top | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs LA Clippers
9:00 PM EST, 08-09-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 66-29 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on underdogs of 10 or more points in a non-conference matchup and is a well-rested team playing six or fewer games in the past 14 days of action.
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08-08-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -1.5 | Top | 132-134 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets
3:30 PM EST, 08-08-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 68-20 ATS record for 77% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against underdogs off an ATS win installed as an underdog and are now in a game with both teams winning between 60% to 75% of their games on the season. Machine learning projects that the Nuggets will score 111 or more points and In past games in which the Nuggets met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 237-56-4 ATS for 81% winning bets. |
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08-07-20 | Celtics v. Raptors -1 | Top | 122-100 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics
9:00 PM EST, 08-07-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 33-8 ATS record for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against underdogs after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game and is a solid team winning between 60% to 75% of their games and playing a team with a winning record. Machine learning projects that the Raptors will score 111 or more points and have at least 14 offensive rebounds. In past games in which the Raptors met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 61-27 ATS record for 69% winning bets. |
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08-03-20 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 99-109 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Memphis vs New Orleans The machine learning toolshed projects that the Grizzlies will have at least 53 boards and score at least 111 points. In past games, they are 17-5 ATS when achieving this pair of KPIs. The Pelicans are a money-burning 14-33-3 ATS when allowing 111 or more points and allowing 53 or more rebounds and 7-24-2 ATS for 23% spanning games played over the last five seasons. Here is a nice betting system that underscores the strength of the bet on the Memphis Grizzlies and has earned a 49-20 ATS result good for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons. Play on any team revenging a road loss to the current opponent of at least 10 points and with both teams sporting win percentages between 40 and 49.9% on the season. Take the Memphis Grizzlies. |
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08-02-20 | Bucks -4.5 v. Rockets | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Houston
8:30 PM EST, 08-02-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 48-14 ATS record good for 76% winning bets over the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play against underdogs that are playing a gme that went over the posted total by 24 or more points and is a team that has earned a win percentage between 60 and 75% and facing a team with a winning record. The machine learning tool shed projects that Milwaukee’s defense will be feared tonight by the Rockets. Overall, and dating back to 1990 teams that have allowed a 3-point shooting percentage of 33% or lower and a field-goal % lower than 42% are 8,364-2268 ATS for 79% winning bets. The Bucks are 69-18 ATS covering the spread by an average of 8.8 points for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bucks are projected to score at least 115 points. So, the Rockets are a miserable 1-21-1 ATS when shooting 42% or less and 33% or less from beyond the arc and allowing 115 or more points in games played since 2015. |
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08-02-20 | Kings +2.5 v. Magic | Top | 116-132 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Sacramento vs Orlando The machine learning toolshed projects that the Kings will have fewer turnovers than the Magic and that they will shoot at least 48% form the field. In past games in which the Kings did achieve these performance KPI they are an amazing 234-56-5 ATS for 81% winning bets and 50-10-3 ATS since 2015. Take the Sacramento Kings. |
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08-01-20 | 76ers v. Pacers +6 | Top | 121-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers I like the 76ers once we get into the playoffs. I like the fact that Ben Simmons has accepted his new role as power forward and you will definitley see more bulk and muscle on this budding superstar. Yet, there are a few things that the 76ers need to figure out before heading into the payoffs and they will. The Pacers will push the ball tonight and make the game fast at both ends. The 76ers have not had good results in high-paced games. They are just 3-35 SU and 4-34 ATS in games played where they allowed an opponent 50% or better shooting and allowed 90 or more shot attempts. Just 1-16 SU and 3-14 ATS spanning the last five seasons. Take the Pacers. |
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07-30-20 | Clippers +4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
7-Star NBA Best Bet Titan on the LA Clippers
The Clippers will take on the Lakers in a 2020 opening season game that many ‘talking heads’ see as a preview to the Western Finals. I do disagree with that prognostication and see the Clippers as the team by the West by a wide margin. That’s a story for another time. The line opened with the Lakers installed as 1-point favorites weeks ago and the line has steadily risen to its’ current price of Lakers favored by 4.5-points. Consider making this a combination wager consisting of a 5-star bet getting the points and a 2-star amount using the money line. Purely optional, but this betting design has served to add significantly to bottom line profits spanning an entire season. Take the Clippers and expect the SU win. |
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03-11-20 | Iowa State +7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
Iowa State vs Oklahoma State 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Iowa State Cyclones This is an upset in the making based on the projections and situations these teams find themselves in for this matchup. OSU is a money-burning 4-15 ATS after having won four or five of their last six games in games played over the last three seasons; 1-10 ATS after having won four of their last five games in game splayed over the last three seasons. ISU has been horrid on the roads this season cover just tow games, but this is not a road game. It is a neutral court site and is being played in the month of March during conference and NCAA Tournament time. ISU is 63-35-1 ATS in all March games spanning the last 20 seasons. From the predictive side of things, ISU is a solid 45-18-1 for 71% winners when making at least 80% of their shot attempts and making at least 42% of their FGA. If they make over 45% from the floor and 80%+ of their free throws their record zooms to 36-9 for 80% winners; 8-1 ATS at a neutral site and covering the spread by an average of nine points. |
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03-11-20 | St. Joe's +5.5 v. George Mason | Top | 70-77 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
St. Joes vs George Mason St. Joes is not a strong 3-point shooting team. However, George Mason is an imperfect 0-7 ATS when facing a team that is making 31% or fewer from beyond the arc in games played after the 15th game in each of the last two seasons. St. Joes may not shoot well, but they do not add to the pain by turning the ball over. George Mason is 14-28 ATS against good handling teams that are committing no more than 14 turnovers-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. George Mason Head Coach Paulsen is just 3-13 ATS off a road win against a conference foe. From the predictive side of things, St. Joes is a solid 57-33 -2 ATS when they have made 71 to 77% of their free-throw attempts. GMU is a money-losing 3-15 ATS when they have allowed 67 to 74 points in game splayed over the last two seasons. |
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03-11-20 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Clemson | Top | 64-69 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
Miami vs Clemson
10 PM EST, March 11, 2020 Clemson has not done well when facing teams that are not all that aggressive on the defensive end. The Tigers are just 4-12 ATS when facing teams that are forcing an average of 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game and 4-14 ATS after the 15th game of th season spanning the last two seasons. Head Coach Larranaga is 58-38 ATS off a home win as the coach of the Hurricanes and 20-10 ATS after playing two consecutive home games. From the predictive side fo things, the Hurricanes are 68-36-5 ATS in games that they made at least 79% of their free-throw attempts; 20-9 ATS for 70% in road games when they made at least 79% of their free-throw attempts and scored at least 67 points including 9-3 ATS in neutral site games since 2005. |
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03-09-20 | Raptors v. Jazz -4.5 | Top | 101-92 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
Toronto vs Utah 9:05 PM EST, March 9, 2020 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Utah Jazz Let’s get right to it as the Jazz are 32-14 ATS for 70% winning bets when they are coming off back-to-back wins of six or fewer points and 22-10 ATS when favored on these spots. This situational query has earned a solid 60-25-2 ATS record for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons and requires us to be on teams that are lined within four points on either side of ‘pick’ and are coming off three consecutive games in which they and their respective opponents each scored 100 or more points om each of the three games and are now facing an elite opponent that is outscoring their opponents by an average of at least six points. From the predictive side of things, Utah is projected to score at least 111 points and have the better and more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio. When they have met or exceeded this pairing of performance measures they have earned an outstanding 127-27-5 ATS mark good for 83% winning bets and 26-6-2 ATS for 81% winning bets over the last three seasons. |
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03-09-20 | Elon v. Northeastern -8.5 | Top | 60-68 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Elon vs Northeastern 8:30 PM EST, March 9, 2020 Colonial Conference Tournament 7-Star Best bet Titan on the Northeastern Huskies This game is taking place on a neutral court in Washington DC. Elon is coming off a shocking upset win over 2-seed William & Mary by a 68-62 score, but now find themselves installed as an 8.5 to 9-point underdog. The Huskies re off an upset win based on seeding by defeating Towson State 72-62, but covered the spread installed as a 3.5-point favorite. Elon is not in a god situation for this game noting they are just 2-13 ATS after two consecutive ‘UNDERS’ in game splayed over the last three seasons. They are 10-25 ATS coming off one or more wins in games played over the last three seasons. From the predictive side of things, ELON is just 9-23 ATS in road games, 0-16 ATS in home games, and 0-3 ATS at neutral sites when they have shot 40 to 45% from the field and their opponent shot greater than 47% from the field. |
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03-09-20 | Miami-OH +9 v. Buffalo | Top | 85-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
Miami (Ohio) vs Buffalo This is a 12-5 pairing of the 12 teams in the MAC Conference Championship with the Miami Redhawks the 12-seed and the Buffalo Bulls the 5-seed. The winner will then face the 4-seed Northern Illinois, who along with top-seed Akron, 3-seed Ball State, and 2-seed Bowling Green have Byes. The Bulls are in a tough situation and matchup to cover the spread in this matchup. First, they are a money-burning 7-16 for 35% against-the-spread (ATS) in home games that had a posted total between 150 and 155 since 2010. The Bulls are coming off an upset 88-84 win at Bowling Green as two-point underdogs. However, head coach, Whitesell is 9-24 ATS coming off an upset win as an underdog in his career. From the predictive side of things, the RedHawks are 13-4 ATS in games they have scored between 67 and 74 points in game splayed over the last two seasons. Further, the RedHawks are 15-5 ATS for 75% winning bets when they have been road dogs and made more 3-pointers than the opponent and had 11 or fewer turnovers. |
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03-08-20 | Ohio State +7 v. Michigan State | Top | 69-80 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
No. 19 Ohio State vs No. 16 Michigan State 3-Star Reverse Parlay Bet using OSU and the ‘UNDER’ When playing against Michigan State, everyone on the team has to rebound well. Ohio State freshman forward E.J. Liddell may be first man off the bench. He had a great performance against Illinois on Thursday, where he matched his career high with 17 points on 7-of-9 shooting from the floor, but he also grabbed 11 rebounds, setting a new career standard and earning his first career double-double. Lidell also had 17 points just five games ago against Iowa, grabbing eight rebounds in that contest, as he continues to progress and is getting more minutes in head coach Chris Holtmann's rotation. From the predictive side of things, Ohio State ius 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS and 13-1-1 ‘UNDER’ when they have played on the road and had 10 or fewer turnovers and held the opponent to 40% or worse shooting. |
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03-08-20 | Connecticut v. Tulane +6.5 | Top | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Connecticut vs Tulane Let’s take a quick look at few supporting team trends for Tulane and ones that work against UCONN. Tulane is 18-6 ATS when playing against a good team posting a win percentage of 60% to 80% over the last two seasons. Tulane is 8-0 ATS following a game in which they made at least 78% of their free throws in game splayed this season. UCONN is 43-69 ATS after a game with nine or less assists in all games played spanning the last 20 seasons. They are 0-6 after having won six or seven of their last eight games in games played spanning the last three seasons. Huskies are an imperfect 0-9 ATS in road games after scoring 75 or more points in five consecutive games spanning the last 20 seasons. From the predictive side of things UCONN is 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS in road games in which the host shot between 30 and 37.5% from beyond the arc. |
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03-08-20 | Tulsa +7.5 v. Wichita State | Top | 57-79 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
Tulsa vs Wichita State 7-Star Best bet Titan on Tulsa The dominant trend supporting Tulsa is the fact that they are a perfect 7-0 ATS coming off a win against a conference foe and held that foe to 55 or fewer points in game splayed over the last 10 seasons. Tulsa is 54-29 ATS after two consecutive games getting nine or fewer offensive rebounds in games played over the last two seasons. From the predictive side of things, Tulsa is a solid 14-5 ATS in games that had nine or fewer offensive rebounds in this season and 12-3 ATS for 80% in games in which they had 33 to 40 rebounds. A win will give Tulsa the AAC regular-season conference championship. Take Tulsa. |
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03-07-20 | Long Beach State +5.5 v. CS-Fullerton | Top | 69-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
Long Beach State vs Cal State Fullerton 10:30 PM EST, March 3, 2020
I am jumping right the meat and potatoes of this betting opportunity only due to time. From the predictive side of things, the 49ers are a solid 16-4 ATS for 80% winning bets when scoring between 65 and 75 points in game splayed over the last three seasons; CSF Titans are just 4-16 ATS for 20% in games in which they did not shoot about 46% from the field in game splayed over the last two seasons; 0-7 ATS when they score less than 75 points in games played over the last two seasons. |
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03-07-20 | Charlotte +8.5 v. Louisiana Tech | Top | 43-66 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Charlotte vs Louisiana Tech 7:00 PM EST 03-07-20
Here is a situational betting system that has earned a solid 69-34 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on road dogs including ‘pick’ that are coming off a poor shooting game making no more than 33% of their shot attempts and is facing a hot shooting team posting three consecutive games making at least 47% in each one. |
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03-07-20 | Rockets -8 v. Hornets | Top | 99-108 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
Houston vs Charlotte 5:05 PM EST, 3-07-2020 This betting system has earned a terrific 60-22 -1 ATS mark good for 73% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play on road favorites of 3 to 9.5 points after allowing 105 or more points in four consecutive games and are facing a struggling host that has been outscored by their opponents by six or more points-per-game. From the predictive side of things, the Rockets are 9-1 ATS when they have allowed fewer than 105 points in games played this season; 74-22 ATS for 77% winning bets when they have scored at least 117 points and had the better and more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio in games played since 2015. |
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03-07-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech +3.5 | Top | 66-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
No. 1 Kansas vs Texas Tech
2:00 PM EST, 03-07-20 Let us start with a situational vetting system that supports the Red Raiders and has earned a solid 30-7-1 ATS mark good for 81% winning bets. The system requires us to play on home teams in a game lined within three points on either side of ‘pick’ that is solid a defensive team allowing 40 to 43% shooting and is an average rebounding team posting a differential between -3 and +3 and are facing an excellent defensive teams allowing less than 40% shooting on the season and has outrebounded their opponents by six or boards-per-game on the season. Texas Tech is 11-3 ATS when facing very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8 or more points-per-game after 15 or more games over the last two seasons. From the predictive aside of things, TT is 22-3 SU and 19-6 ATS for 76% winning tickets and covering the number by 10.4 points-per-game in games in which they attempted 54 to 60 shots. |
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03-06-20 | Bucks +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 103-113 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Lakers 10:35 PM EST 03-06-20 Let us run through a few situational trends that support the bet on Milwaukee. They are an amazing 15-5 ATS and tops in the NBA when facing a solid opponent that is outscoring their opponents by six or more points-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. Here is a situational betting system that follows the theme above and has earned a solid 39-13 ATS mark good for 75% winners over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on all teams in games lined within three points on either side of ‘pick’ and is facing an opponent that is an elite NBA team outscoring their opponents by six or more points-per-game and with the opponent coming off three consecutive games allowing 105 or more points in each game; 33-8 ATS for an amazing 81% winning bets over the last five seasons! From the predictive side of things, The Bucks are 30-7 ATS for 81% winning bets in game sin which they have attempted at least 88 shots, made at least 33% of their shots from beyond the arc, and had the better, more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last two seasons. |
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03-06-20 | VMI -2.5 v. Samford | Top | 96-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
Samford vs VMI
6:00 PM EST, 03-06-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on VMI minus the points. This is a first-round matchup in the Southern Conference with VMI sporting double revenge from to losses to Samford this season. Here is a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 47-18 ATS 72% record over the last 15 seasons and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. The system requires us to bet on all teams where the line is within three points on either side of ‘pick’ and revenging a straight up loss to the opponent as a road favorite and is a struggling team that has won 20% to 40% of their games on the season and is now playing a team with a losing record. Teams that have had same season double revenge and are favored by at least 3 points in the third game of the season are a decent 34-22-2 ATS for 61% winning bets since 2006, but 17-5 ATS for 77% winners over the last three seasons. From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show that Samford is just 12-28 for 30% when they have shot 40 to 45% from the field and shot under 35% from beyond the arc. VMI is 4-0 ATS covering the spread by an average of 9.4 points when holding an opponent to 40 to 45% shooting and not allowing more than 35% shooting from beyond the arc. |
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03-05-20 | Wyoming v. Nevada -10 | Top | 74-71 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Wyoming vs Nevada
11:30 PM EST, 03-05-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on the Nevada Wolfpack minus the points. Here is a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 61-29 ATS 68% record over the last five seasons and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. The system requires us to bet on neutral court games betting on the favorite including pick and after two or more consecutive ‘OVERS’ and in a game where both teams are decent defensive ones that allow an average between 65 and 75 points on the season. From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show that Nevada is an outstanding 19-4 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have scored 75 or more points and gotten at least 45 rebounds. They are also 47-18-2 ATS for 72% when scoring 75 or more points and purebounding their opponent by at least 11 boards over the last 15 seasons; 12-1 ATS for 82% wins over the last three seasons. |
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03-05-20 | Stanford +1.5 v. Oregon State | Top | 65-68 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
Stanford vs Oregon State 9:00 PM EST, March 5, 2020
From the predictive side of things, Stanford is 91-13 SU and 78-19-1 ATS for 81% winners when they have shot at least 48% form the field and at least 50% form beyond the arc in games played since 2006. |
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03-05-20 | Clippers v. Rockets +1.5 | Top | 120-105 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
Clippers vs Rockets 7-Star Best Bet on the Houston Rockets Let us start with a situational betting query that has earned a solid 69-33-2 ATS mark good for 69% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. the system requires us to bet on home teams that are lined within 3.5 points on either side of ‘pick’ and is coming off an upset loss installed as a favorite and with both teaqms playing well postig win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season. From the predictive side of things, the Rockets are 162-15 SU and 138-37-2 ATS for 79% winning bets in home games when they have shot at least 42% from beyond the arc and had the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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03-05-20 | Illinois v. Ohio State -5.5 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
Illinois vs Ohio State 7:00 PM EST 03-02-20 Here is a situational betting system that has earned a solid 100-66ATS mark good for 62% winners over the last five seasons. The requirements re to bet on home teams lined as favorites of 3 to 9 points and are coming off a double-digit win over a conference foe and with both teams in the game sporting solid win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season including a tightener that soars to 28-10 ATS for 74% winning bets when the team is ranked. From the predictive side of things, Ohio State ius 65-2 SU aqnd 47-10 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have scored 75 or more points and made at least 42% of their three-point shots in games played since 2006. |
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03-04-20 | Georgetown v. Creighton -12.5 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 60 m | Show |
Georgetown vs Creighton 8:00 PM EST, 3-04-2020 From the predictive side, the Bluejays are a solid 94-5 SU winning the games by an average of 19 points and 62-25 ATS for 70% wins when they have shot at least 49% from the field and 39% from beyond the arc. Adding in that the Bluejays had the better assists-to-field-goal-made (A-FGM) and their record soars to a 101-5 SU mark and 71-24 ATS mark good for 75% winning tickets since 2006. |
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03-04-20 | Jazz -8 v. Knicks | Top | 112-104 | Push | 0 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
Utah vs New York NBA 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Utah Jazz Here is a situational betting system that has earned a 144-78-3 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last 20seasons and requires us to bet road favorites that are facing a host that is coming off a close home win by a margin of three or fewer points and has a losing record on the season. Here is a second betting system that has earned an outstanding 40-8 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and requires us to bet on road favorites against an opponent that is seeking revenge from a previous road blowout loss of 20 or more points and are coming off a close home win by three or fewer points. |
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03-04-20 | St. Louis v. George Mason +3 | 69-57 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
St. Louis vs George Mason
7:00 PM EST, 03-04-20 Patriots head coach Dave Paulson will look to end a two-game losing skid when they take on the St. Louis Billikens, who have won three straight in this A-10 matchup. The conference has been dominated by the No. 3 ranked Dayton Flyers, who are 27-2 SU, 16-0 in conference play, and lead the Richmond Spiders and Rhode Island rams by four games. The Billikens sit in fourth place tied with the Duquesne Dukes and St. Bonaventure Bonnies at 10-6 and the Patriots are in 12th place in the 14-team conference. The danger for bubble teams is that if Dayton stumbles and fails to win the conference tournament, the winner will advance along with the Flyers. Anyway. Let us take a look at this situational betting query that has earned a 44-20-1 ATS record since 2000. The requirements are to bet on home teams with a line within three points on either side of ‘pick’ that is an average defensive team allowing 42.5 to 45% opponent shooting and is facing an opponent that is shooting between 45 and 47.5% on the season and has shot 49% or better in four consecutive games. The system looks to exploit teams that have been red hot hooting teams, but so hot that is nots sustainable and are prone to a below average shooting game on the road. From the predictive aside of things, the Patriots are projected to score at least 68 points and have the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. When they have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 111-13 SU record and 79-30-4 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2006; 7-1 ATS as a home dog. |
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03-04-20 | Texas A&M v. Auburn -12 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 21 m | Show |
Texas A&M vs Auburn 7:00 PM EST 3-04-20
The Tigers are coming off a 73-66 loss to the Kentucky Wildcats, who are ranked No. 6 and sit at 14-3 in the conference standings. The Tigers shot 36% form the field, but they will shoot much better tonight. The Tigers are 22-12-2 ATS for 65% in home games following a game in which they lost, failed to cover the spread, and shot not better than 37.5% from the field; 6-0 ATS if favored by double digits. From the predictive side of things, the Tigers are 46-15 ATS for 75.4% winning bets when they have held an opponent to less than 40% shooting and less than 30% shooting from beyond the arc; 31-9 ATS for 78% winning tickets when the game is at home. |
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03-03-20 | Purdue +5.5 v. Iowa | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
Purdue vs Iowa 9:00 PM EST 03-02-20 Purdue is the best near 0.500 team, in the country and are as good as many teams with 18-10 records. They are a dangerous team and they are in desperation mode now knowing that they need to win their final two games and then get to the seminfinals to catch the attention of the selection committee. It is difficult to bet against Iowa, who has lost just twice at home this season. They are largely inconsistent though, but when they play poorly, they are not Tournament-worth and when they play well, they are Final Four well. This is a great spot for Purdue though and I think they are capable of pulling off the upset. Consider playing this game as a combination bet comprised of 80% of your normal 7-Star bet size using the line and then place the remaining 20% using the money line. Over the ocurse of a season, these types of bets add significantly to the ROI of the season. Purdue is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 9 points after game where they allowed a shooting percentage of 33% or less over the last three seasons. Iowa is a money-burning 23-42 ATS after covering four of their last five against the spread since 2000; 7-15 ATS since 2015. From the predictive side of things,. Purdue is 34-3 SU for 92% outright wins and 26-8 ATS in games in which they get at least 38 rebounds and have no more than 11 turnovers; 13-3 SU and 12-4 ATS for 75% against a conference foe. |
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03-03-20 | Nets +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs Boston 7-Star Best Bet on the Brooklyn Nets Let us start with a situational betting query that has earned a solid 36-16 ATS mark for 69% wins over the last five seasons. The system requires us to bet on any team that has lost at least three consecutive road games and is taking on an opponent that is off an upset loss as a favorite. From the predictive side of things, the Nets are an outstanding 74-17-3 ATS good for 81% winning bets when they have made 77% or more of their free throw attempts, had the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio, and made 45 to 48% of their shot attempts. |
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03-03-20 | Michigan State v. Penn State +2 | Top | 79-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
Michigan State vs Penn State
7:00 PM EST, 03-03-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on the Penn State Nittany Lions plus the points. Coming up with late-season wins in the Big Ten is always a challenge, and Penn State knows it's a matter of executing and giving maximum effort. The Spartans have won three striaght games and will be looking to win their third consecutive game over a ranked opponent. Penn State appears to be sputtering down the stretch, but already defeated the Spartans February 5th in East Lansing 75-70. The Spartans are in a terrible situation for this matchup. Big-Ten teams playing their third consecutive game against a ranked opponent and won the previous two games and are now playing on the road are an imperfect 0-6 straight-up (SU) and against-the-spread (ATS). Penn State has a pair of seniors playing in their final home game in this one that lead the way in Lamar Stevens (17.7 points, 6.9 rebounds) and Mike Watkins (9.6 points, 7.6 boards, 2.3 blocks). The Lions did get a significant lift in their last game with the return of guard Myreon Jones (13.7 points, 52 3-pointers) after he missed six games with an illness. This adds depth to the bench as well. Here is a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding record and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. This system has posted a 29-6-1 ATS record for 83% winners and requires us to bet on home teams that are lined with three points on either side of ‘pick’ and is an average rebounding team posting a rebounding differential of between -3 and +3 per-game and is hosting an opponent that is an excellent defensive team allowing 40% or less shooting and has posted a rebounding differential of 6 or more rebounds-per-game From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show that PSU is 45-15 SU winning the games by an average of 11 points and 36-13-3 ATS when they have had fewer turnovers than the opponent and made at least nine three-point shots; 10-2 ATS for 83% wins in game splayed over the last three seasons. PSU made nine 3-point shots in their win over MSU previously. |
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03-03-20 | Jacksonville +8 v. North Florida | Top | 88-91 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
Jacksonville vs North Florida 7:30 PM EST, March 3, 2020
This is a Roud-1 matchup in the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament. The North Florida Ospreys tied with the Liberty Flames atop the conference standings with 13-3 records and splitting their season matchups with one win each. This is too many points to be giving a team, like the Dolphins, who know a loss means they turn in their sneakers to the equipment manager tomorrow.
Jacksonville is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS in road games after three straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or fewer turnovers this season. From the predictive side of things, the Dolphins are 12-4 ATS for 75% wins when they have made 27 or more field goals and made at least 42% of their field goal attempts and had at least three more rebounds than the opponent. |
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03-02-20 | Texas Tech +7.5 v. Baylor | Top | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs Baylor
9:00 PM EST, 03-02-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on Texas Tech plus the points. Let us start with a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding record and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. This system has posted a 48-19-5 ATS record for 72% winners and requires us to bet on road teams as an underdog or pick (Red Raiders in this matchup)revenging a straight up loss to the current opponent as a home favorite and are off two consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals. The Red Raiders are coming off back-to-back dominating losses. They first lost 65-51 to No.1 Kansas and failed to cover as 1.5-poit favorites. They shot a season-low 33% in that game. In their most recent game they lost at home to the Texas Longhorns 68-58 and failed to cover the spread as 11.5-point favorites. So, this is an exemplary contrarian play to be sure. Here si the good news. The Red Raiders are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after the 15th game of the regular season when facing excellent teams that are outscoring their opponents by at least 8 points-per-game in games played over last 2 seasons. From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show a final score result within a range of Baylor winning by four points to Texas Tech winning by four points. Consider making a combination wager on this dog bet using 80% of your normal 7-Star wager amount and then add the remaining 20% using the money line. Texas Tech is 53-11 SU for 83% wins and 33-15 ATS for 69% winning bets in home games where they have attempted at least 55 shot attempts, made at least 24 field goals, and had 12 or fewer turnovers in games played since 2006. Take the Texas Tech Red Raiders and Look for the Upset Win |
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03-02-20 | Pacers -2 v. Spurs | Top | 116-111 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
Indiana vs San Antonio 8:00 PM EST 03-01-20 Let us start with a supporting power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 79-40 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on away favorites in a non-conference game and facing an opponent coming off a home win of three points or less. Spurs are a money-burning 1-11 ATS in home games after one or more consecutive wins this season. From the predictive side of things, the Spurs are 1-12 ATS when the opponent has made between 48 and 52% of their shot attempts this season. |
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03-01-20 | Michigan v. Ohio State -3.5 | Top | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
Michigan vs Ohio State 4:00 PM EST 03-01-20 Let us start with a supporting power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 33-11 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after an ATS win as a double-digit favorite and is now facing an opponent off an upset loss installed as a favorite. The Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more this season. From the predictive side of things, the Buckeyes are 72-1 SU and 44-13-1 ATS for 77% winning bets when they scored 75 or more points and had nine or more offensive rebounds since 2007 and 19-0 SU and 14-3-1 ATS for 82% winning bets if the game was at home facing a conference foe. |
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03-01-20 | Towson v. Northeastern -5 | Top | 75-72 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
Towson vs Northeastern 4:00 PM EST, February 29, 2020
Northeastern will have themselves prepared for this game as the conclude the regular season and look to begin a strong run in the Colonia Athletic Conference Tournament starting this week.
Towson State is just 2-11 ATS after a game in which they were outrebounded by 20 or boards. |
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03-01-20 | Mavs v. Wolves +7.5 | Top | 111-91 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
Dallas vs Minnesota 7-Star Best Bet on the Minnesota Timberwolves Let us start with a situational betting query that has earned a solid 25-11 ATS for 69% wins over the last five seasons. The system requires us to bet on underdogs that has been struggling and failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread. Timberwolves are 123-55-2 ATS for 69% wins when they have scored 111 or more points in home games since 2000. |
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03-01-20 | Creighton -4.5 v. St. John's | Top | 71-91 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
Creighton vs St. Johns
12:00 PM EST, 03-01-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on Creighton minus the points. Let us start with a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding record and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. This system has posted a 40-15-2 ATS record for 72% winners and requires us to bet on road favorites of 4 to 11 points that have covered at least four consecutive games to the spread and is playing with five or 6 days of rest. This system has earned a 16-5 ATS mark for 76% winning bets since 2010 and 5-1 ATS over the last three seasons. From the predictive side of things, the Creighton Bluejays are 26-7-1 in road games when they have scored 80 or more points, 20-5 ATS for 80% winners in road conference games and scoring 80 or more points, and 1 3-0 SU winning the games by an average of 18 points and 12-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 11.1 points when favored on the road against a conference foe and scoring 80 or more points. Ryan’s Big East 7-Star Best Bet Titan Ryan went 5-2 ATS for the Saturday card and looks to add on to the winning weekend with this Big east matchup. The research supporting this play is awesome and features a betting syste that has hit 76% ATS over the last 10 seasons and a predictive team metric that has earned a 12-1 ATS record and has covered the spread by an average 11.1 points. Oklahoma vs West Virginia 4:00 PM EST 2-29-20 Let us start with a supporting power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 28-5 ATS record for 86% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs that are coming off an double-digit upset win and is facing an opponent coming off a humiliating double-digit loss as a five or greater favorite. WVU lost 67-57 on he road at Texas and were installed as 6-point favorites. The Sooners ended a 3-game losing skid with an outstanding 65-51 home win as a 1.5-point underdog over Texas Tech. From the predictive side of things, the Sooners are 34-3 SU and 25-8 ATS for 76% winning bets when shooting 45% or lower, shooting better than the opponent, and making more 3-point shots than the opponent. |
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02-29-20 | Rockets +2 v. Celtics | Top | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Houston vs Boston 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Houston Rockets
Here is a terrific situational query produced from the database that has earned a 41-15 record good for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on any team that is lined within three points on either side of ‘pick’ and is facing an outstanding opponent that has outscored their opponents by at least 6-points-per-game and after scoring and allowing at least 100 points in three consecutive games. From the predictive side of things, the Rockets are 110-32-4 ATS for 78% winning bets when they have scored 111 points and attempted 84 or more shots in road games. |
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02-29-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada +5.5 | Top | 83-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
San Diego State vs Nevada 7-Star Upset Alert Titan Bet on the Nevada Wolfpack. So, consider an alternative wager consisting of 80% of your 7-star betting amount on the line getting the points and the remaining 20% on the money line to optimize this bettig opportunity on a DOG that I think will the game outright. This is just one game, but I can tell you first hand that applying this combination bet to all of the dogs I release adds a significant amount to the total profits over the course of the season Nevada is 33-15 ATS in home games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game; 12-5 ATS after one or more consecutive wins this season. Nevada Head Coach Alford is 40-21 ATS when playing against a top-level team winning at least 80% of their games, and with the game taking place after 15 or more games of the regular season. From the predictive side of things, the Wolfpack is 76-12 SU winning the games by 12 points on average and 64-13-3 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have shot 44% or better from the field and had 10 to 13 turnovers including 32-5 ATS for 84% in home games. |
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02-29-20 | USC Upstate +7 v. Hampton | Top | 90-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
USC-Upstate vs Hampton 7-Star Best Bet on USC-Upstate Let us start with a situational betting query that has earned a solid 143-110 using the Money Line and making $9.100 for the $100 bettor over just the past five seasons. Play on any team (USC UPSTATE) after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games and is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. So, consider an alternative wager consisting of 80% of your 7-star betting amount on the line getting the points and the remaining 20% on the money line to optimize this betting opportunity on a DOG that I think will the game outright. This is just one game, but I can tell you first hand that applying this combination bet to all of the dogs I release adds a significant amount to the total profits over the course of the season |
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02-29-20 | Oklahoma +8.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 73-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Oklahoma vs West Virginia 4:00 PM EST 2-29-20 Let us start with a supporting power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 28-5 ATS record for 86% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs that are coming off an double-digit upset win and is facing an opponent coming off a humiliating double-digit loss as a five or greater favorite. WVU lost 67-57 on he road at Texas and were installed as 6-point favorites. The Sooners ended a 3-game losing skid with an outstanding 65-51 home win as a 1.5-point underdog over Texas Tech. From the predictive side of things, the Sooners are 34-3 SU and 25-8 ATS for 76% winning bets when shooting 45% or lower, shooting better than the opponent, and making more 3-point shots than the opponent. R |