Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-16-18 | Memphis v. SMU +7.5 | Top | 28-18 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup SMU 181) Memphis (6 - 4) at SMU (5 - 5) Week 12 Friday, 11/16/2018 9:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the SMU Mustangs, who are priced as 7.5-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Mustangs to attain a 12.5 yards-per-point ratio or lower and that their YPPT ratio will be less (more efficient offense) than the Memphis Tigers. When installed as home dogs, SMU is a perfect 8-0 ATS covering by an average of 20 PPG when meeting or exceeded these performance measures. This database situation query that has produced a 34-8 ATS record good for 81% winners spanning the last 25 seasons. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SMU) after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games and is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games. |
|||||||
11-14-18 | Buffalo v. Ohio -2.5 | Top | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report Ohio University (513) Buffalo (9 - 1) at Ohio U (6 - 4) Week 12 Wednesday, 11/14/2018 7:00 PM
SIM Projections and Results Projections call for Ohio to score at least 28 points, have at least 200 rushing yards, and gain a minimum of 6.5 YPPL. Since 2006, Ohio is a solid 47-6 SU winning by 18.7 PPG and 40-10-2 ATS covering the spread by 8.9 PPG when scoring 28 points and gaining 200 or more rushing yards. When attaining these performance measures in home games they are 21-4-2 ATS for 84% covering by 9 PPG. |
|||||||
11-13-18 | Western Michigan v. Ball State +9 | Top | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
11-10-18 | Clemson v. Boston College +19 | Top | 27-7 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup |
|||||||
11-10-18 | Auburn +14 v. Georgia | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup |
|||||||
11-10-18 | Mississippi State +24.5 v. Alabama | Top | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
11-10-18 | Wisconsin v. Penn State -8 | Top | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
11-10-18 | TCU +12 v. West Virginia | Top | 10-47 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
11-09-18 | Louisville +21 v. Syracuse | Top | 23-54 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
11-08-18 | Wake Forest v. NC State -18 | Top | 27-23 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
11-03-18 | Missouri +6.5 v. Florida | Top | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
11-03-18 | Penn State +13.5 v. Michigan | Top | 7-42 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 30 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
11-03-18 | Georgia Southern -6.5 v. UL-Monroe | Top | 25-44 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
11-03-18 | Texas A&M v. Auburn -3 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 3 h 10 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
11-03-18 | Nebraska +19.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
11-02-18 | Colorado +3 v. Arizona | Top | 34-42 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
11-01-18 | Temple v. Central Florida -10 | Top | 40-52 | Win | 100 | 51 h 59 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-30-18 | Miami-OH +7 v. Buffalo | Top | 42-51 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-27-18 | Texas v. Oklahoma State +3.5 | Top | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-27-18 | Georgia -6.5 v. Florida | Top | 36-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-26-18 | Utah -10.5 v. UCLA | Top | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-25-18 | Baylor +14 v. West Virginia | Top | 14-58 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Baylor University Bears ( Baylor (4 - 3) at W Virginia (5 - 1) Week 9 Thursday, 10/25/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager on Baylor using the money line, which currently shows them installed as a 13.5-point road dog. SIM Matching Game Situations The summary projections call for both teams to score 18 or more points. In past Baylor road games where they were installed as dogs of 10 to 17 points and both teams did score 28 or more points, Baylor has gone a perfect 5-0 ATS covering by an average of 11 points per game. Looks like WVU will need a last minute FG to win this one – or maybe not. |
|||||||
10-23-18 | Troy -10.5 v. South Alabama | Top | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-20-18 | Ohio State v. Purdue +13 | Top | 20-49 | Win | 100 | 2 h 39 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-20-18 | NC State v. Clemson -17 | Top | 7-41 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-19-18 | Colorado State v. Boise State -24 | Top | 28-56 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-18-18 | Stanford -2.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-13-18 | Michigan State v. Penn State -13.5 | Top | 21-17 | Loss | -109 | 53 h 2 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-13-18 | Georgia -8 v. LSU | Top | 16-36 | Loss | -109 | 53 h 44 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-13-18 | Washington v. Oregon +3 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 52 h 26 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-13-18 | Florida v. Vanderbilt +7.5 | Top | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-06-18 | Notre Dame v. Virginia Tech +7 | Top | 45-23 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report NOTRE DAME (5 - 0) at VIRGINIA TECH (3 - 1) Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 8:00 PM
SIM Projections and Results Here is a solid database system query that has produced a solid 44-14 record good for 76% winners over the past 25 seasons. Play against road favorites good offensive team averaging between 5.6 to 6.2 yards-per-play and after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games and is now facing a team with an average defense allowing 4.8 to 5.6 YPP. |
|||||||
10-06-18 | Auburn -3.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 9-23 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report AUBURN (4 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 2) Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 7:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy SIM Projections and Results State is coming off back-to-back horrid offensive games losing at Kentucky 28-7 and losing at home to Florida 13-6. Traveling ranked teams in the top-25 playing a team that scored 10 or less points in two straight games are 26-8 ASYS for 77% winners and 33-1 SU. Here is a great database system query that has produced a 29-5 record good for 85% winners since 1992. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off 3 or more consecutive ‘unders’, with a great scoring defense allowing 14 or less points/game. |
|||||||
10-06-18 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh +4 | Top | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
ohn Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-06-18 | Kansas +28 v. West Virginia | Top | 22-38 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-06-18 | Northwestern v. Michigan State -10 | Top | 29-19 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
10-05-18 | Utah State +3 v. BYU | Top | 45-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
09-29-18 | Ohio State v. Penn State +4 | Top | 27-26 | Win | 100 | 105 h 45 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
09-29-18 | Pittsburgh +13.5 v. Central Florida | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 40 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
09-29-18 | Syracuse +25.5 v. Clemson | Top | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup |
|||||||
09-29-18 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech +4 | Top | 42-34 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
09-28-18 | Memphis v. Tulane +15 | Top | 24-40 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
09-22-18 | Kansas +7.5 v. Baylor | Top | 7-26 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
09-22-18 | Georgia -14 v. Missouri | Top | 43-29 | Push | 0 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup |
|||||||
09-21-18 | Florida Atlantic +14 v. Central Florida | Top | 36-56 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
09-20-18 | Tulsa +7 v. Temple | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
09-15-18 | Ohio State v. TCU +13 | Top | 40-28 | Win | 100 | 34 h 4 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
09-15-18 | Rutgers v. Kansas -2.5 | Top | 14-55 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
09-02-18 | Miami-FL v. LSU +3.5 | Top | 17-33 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
09-01-18 | Washington v. Auburn -2 | Top | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
09-01-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Oklahoma -20 | Top | 14-63 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
|||||||
08-30-18 | New Mexico State +23 v. Minnesota | Top | 10-48 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report New Mexico State (137) NEW MEXICO ST (7 - 6) at MINNESOTA (5 - 7) Week 1 Thursday, 8/30/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Aggies using the line, which currently prices them as 20.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Aggies to allow less than 27 points and allow no more than 150 rushing yards. When the Aggies have met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS and covering (ATS margin) by an average of 10 points. In road games installed as a minimum dog of 14.5 points and allowing 27 or fewer points, they are a perfect 9-0 ATS. NMST had one of the most improved defenses in the nation last year having been one of the worst in 2016 allowing 497 yards per game. In 2017, they improved to allowing 401 and allowed just 336 over their last three games in 2017. They also return 9 of the 11 defensive starters. Teams in this position entering the next season are almost always undervalued by the betting public and this is reflected in this game where the line opened at 17.5 and now is at 20.5. So, teams that improved their defenses by 90 or more yards per game and had more wins last season than the season prior are a solid 33-15 ATS for 69% ATS winners over the past 25 seasons.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian networks. Also, we have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports.
The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. College Basketball went 81-63 ATS for 56.3% winners. NCAA Tournament Plays went 13-6 ATS for 63%. NCAA Basketball record from March 1. 26-12 ATS for 68.4% 14-5 ATS mark for Top-Rated 10-Star College Hardwood Titans. NBA since March 1 33-18 ATS for 64.7%. NBA Playoffs 21-10 ATS 68%. NBA Season 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%. MLB 10-Star plays 10-5 or $5,730.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager. MLB 2018 7-Star 69-68 and 6.33 units x $700 = $4,4310 MLB 2018 5-Star 13-11 and 4.61 units x $500 = $2,305 MLB Overall 2018 $12,486.00 CFL 4-2 10-Star and $1,800 NFLX 4-2 ATS 7-Stars and $1,260 2-0 ATS 10-Stars and $2,000 |
|||||||
01-08-18 | Alabama v. Georgia +4.5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 154 h 56 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Georgia (152) The Matchup: ALABAMA (12 - 1) vs. GEORGIA (13 - 1) Start Time: Week 17 Monday, 1/8/2018 8:45 PM SIM grading: 10 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 10 star wager on Georgia using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 7.5 star amount on the line and then add a 2.5 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 170 to 190.
There will be alternative lines for this Championship game. An optional wager strategy is to place an additional 3 star amount on the Georgia -3 ½ line, which we believe will be lined at +250 and perhaps even higher. Check our Twitter account for updates to this line as Monday approaches @JohnRyanSports1.
Game Intelligence Analytics Two great teams with great defenses featuring speed and power will be displayed in this All-SEC Championship game between Alabama and Georgia. The SIM Algorithms all reveal a line that is closer to pick-em than the current 4 ½ line. Alabama has the best scoring defense in the national allowing just 12.0 PPG. However, Georgia is not far behind them ranking 4th allowing 15.8 PPG. Alabama ranks 13th in offensive scoring at 36.4 PPG while Georgia ranks 15th scoring 35.8 PPG. Both teams lone loss was to Auburn, which also has a great defense and plays a similar type game plan that both of these teams play. This game well might come down to Georgia’s better efficiency at converting third-down situations than Alabama. Georgia holds the edge and they also have a stronger points-per-play ratio. Alabama does rank best in the nation with a 9.5 yards per point margin (YPPM) while Georgia ranks 8th best with a 6.2 ratio. However, over the last three games, Alabama has only a 0.8 ratio while Georgia sports a 4.6 ratio. This reflects that the elevation of opponent class has revealed potential weaknesses inherent in the Alabama game plans. As we had believed would happen in the semifinal game, Georgia will look to be very physical right from the start of this game and will look to wear down the Alabama defense, particularly the LB part. In time, this will open up the play action plays just as it did in the semifinal game leading to big plays down the middle of the field. The SIM projection calls for Georgia to win this game by 10 points. SIM Matching Game Situations Money Line Matches Alabama is 13-42 against the money line (-79.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Alabama is 4-18 against the money line (-35.8 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points. Georgia is 7-1 against the money line (+6.4 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards over the last 3 seasons. Georgia is 12-1 against the money line (+11.4 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Georgia is 42-14 against the money line (+22.0 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points. Georgia is 22-4 against the money line (+23.5 Units) in road games when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. ATS Matches Alabama is 13-40 ATS (-31.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Alabama is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points. Georgia is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Georgia is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games when they gain 350 to 400 total yards. Georgia is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. DataBase Query Play on neutral field underdogs (GEORGIA). That are excellent rushing teams averaging 225 or more rushing yards per game. And after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 4 straight games. 23-3 ATS since 1992 good for 88.5% and $1,970 per $100 wagered. Since 2014, it has gone 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS with an average ATS margin of 16.8 points.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to a solid and consistent 46-24 ATS 65.7% record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play. |
|||||||
01-01-18 | Georgia -2 v. Oklahoma | Top | 54-48 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Georgia (271) The Matchup: GEORGIA (12 - 1) vs. OKLAHOMA (12 - 1) Start Time: Week 16 Monday, 1/1/2018 5:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Georgia using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GEORGIA). Is an excellent offensive team scoring 34 or more PPG. And is now facing an average defensive team allowing between 21 to 28 PPG. And after a win by 21 or more points. 84-41 since 1992 for 67.2% and has made $3,890 per $100 wager. SIM Matching Game Situations Georgia is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Georgia is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Georgia is 27-8 ATS (+18.2 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points. Georgia is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they gain 450 to 500 total yards. Oklahoma is just 20-77 ATS (-64.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Oklahoma is 4-30 ATS (-29.0 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 points. Oklahoma is just 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards. Oklahoma is 7-24 ATS (-19.4 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. Oklahoma is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) when they allow 450 to 500 total yards. Oklahoma is 2-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-22 ATS record good for 68% winners in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
|
|||||||
01-01-18 | Central Florida v. Auburn -9.5 | Top | 34-27 | Loss | -118 | 52 h 0 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Auburn (268) 10 star Bowl Game of the Year The Matchup: UCF (12 - 0) vs. AUBURN (10 - 3) Start Time: Week 16 Monday, 1/1/2018 12:30 PM SIM grading: 10 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.
Game Intelligence Analytics Extremely high probability that Auburn will score 28 or ore points and this simple fact leads to many more conclusions that Auburn will win this game by at least 20 points. Auburn has played a vastly more difficult schedule than UCF ad has one of the top defenses in the nation - if not the best based on SOS- that will cause massive problems for UCF. Auburn defeated TWO number-1 ranked teams this season and held both to season lows in offensive output. On November 11, the Tigers held Georgia to just 46 rushing yards on 32 attempts. Then on November 25, they held Alabama passing attack to just 103 yards on 13-23 passing.
Auburn ranks 9th in scoring defense allowing just 17.9 PPG. Auburn had the toughest schedule in the nation, followed by Oklahoma, Ohio State, Clemson, Penn State, Alabama, and Georgia. UCF ranked 54th in the nation.
Auburn ranks 26th averaging 449.3 YPG while UCF ranks 92nd allowing 435.5 YPG. Auburn will pound the ball between the tackles and wear down the UCF DL before the end of the half and we fully expect a big lead at the half that will then continue throughout the second half. SIM Matching Game Situations UCF is just 28-64 ATS (-42.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. UCF is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards per attempt. Auburn is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they gain 9 to 9.5 net passing yards per attempt. Auburn is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Auburn is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when they rush for 250 to 300 yards. Auburn is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.. Auburn is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points. Auburn is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when they are outgain their opponents by 100 to 150 yards. UCF is just 6-21 ATS when opponent scores 35 or more points over the past 10 seasons. UCF is 0-5 ATS when playing a team ranked in the Top-25 since 2014. Aub is 28-0 SU and 20-6 ATS when out gaining opponent by more than 200 yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
|
|||||||
12-30-17 | Iowa State +4 v. Memphis | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Iowa State (259) The Matchup: IOWA ST (7 - 5) at MEMPHIS (10 - 2) Start Time: Week 16 Saturday, 12/30/2017 12:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Iowa State using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 180 to 200. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season. Despite the easier schedule, memphis ranks 101st in scoring defense allowing 33.6 PPG, 121st allowing 484 YPG, and 111th allowing opponents a 45% third-down conversion rate. Memphis is best in scoring offense at 48 PPG, but ISU ranks 24th in scoring defense allowing 20.7 PPG, and 27th allowing just 3.6 YPR.
Game Intelligence Analytics This is a home game for Memphis, but Iowa State has played a vastly more difficult schedule this season and that alone offsets the home field advantage. ISU is the ONLY team that defeated Oklahoma and TCU this season. SIM Matching Game Situations ISU is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when they gain 300 to 350 net passing yards. ISU is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. ISU is 38-11 ATS (+25.9 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points. ISU is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points. ISU is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. Memphis is just 33-98 ATS (-74.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Memphis is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) when they allow 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. Memphis is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) after scoring 42 points or more last game. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
|
|||||||
12-29-17 | USC +9.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: USC (255) The Matchup: USC (11 - 2) vs. OHIO ST (11 - 2) Start Time: Week 16 Friday, 12/29/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Southern Cal using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 545 to 560 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.
Game Intelligence Analytics This game pivots around the number 28 and that is 28 points being scored for USC. They Trojans are a solid 166-77-4 ATS when scoring 28 or more points since 1980. Further, when they score 31 or more points and gain 175 or more rushing yards they are 50-3 SU. Ohio State is 3-10 SU and 4-8 ATS when playing against a ranked team in the top-10 and not scoring 28 or more points. They are 3-8 ATS when playing against an opponent ranked in the top-10 and scores 28 or more points against them. SIM Matching Game Situations USC is a solid 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. USC is 7-1 against the money line (+7.7 Units) when their defense allows 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. USC is 25-12 against the money line (+14.7 Units) in road games when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
|
|||||||
12-28-17 | Michigan State v. Washington State +3 | Top | 42-17 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Washington State (278) The Matchup: MICHIGAN ST (9 - 3) vs. WASHINGTON ST (9 - 3) Start Time: Week 16 Thursday, 12/28/2017 9:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Washington State using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics WSU is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. Further, WSU is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
SIM Matching Game Situations MSU is just 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) when they allow 400 to 450 total yards. MSU is 4-22 ATS (-20.2 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 100-150 yards. WSU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they allow 5.5 to 6 net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. WSU is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. WSU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 100-150 yards over the last 3 seasons. WSU is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
|
|||||||
12-28-17 | Virginia Tech +7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 21-30 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Virginia Tech (243) The Matchup: VIRGINIA TECH (9 - 3) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (9 - 3) Start Time: Week 16 Thursday, 12/28/2017 5:15 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Virginia Tech using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics The line opened at Ok State installed as a 6 ½ point favorite at the majority of the 50 books we look at for any given game. The line has drifted to minus-6 at most places. Despite the public betting on Ok State with more than 77% of the placed bets, the line has not changed or as mentioned drifted a half-point lower. This is because Va-Tech is getting 54% of the total money bet indicating that the ‘smart’ money or large bettors are on Va Tech. This analytic serves to support the SIM grading on Tech.
This is a matchup of one of the best offenses in the nation in the Cowboys going against one of the best defenses in the nation with the Hokies. The Cowboys rank 3rd scoring 46.2 PPG and Tech ranks 5th allowing 14.7 PPG. The single best way to contain an explosive offense is by playing great defense and then having an offense that can grind out long time consuming drives. This keeps the defense fresh and the opponents offense off the field and preventing them from having scoring opportunities. Tech ranks 12th in time of possession while Ok State ranks 96th.
Ok State is just 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when facing a dominant ball control team averaging 32 or more minutes TOP and 21 or more FD's per game. Moreover, Tech head coach Fuente is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest in all games he has coached. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
|
|||||||
12-27-17 | Missouri v. Texas +3 | Top | 16-33 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Texas (240) The Matchup: MISSOURI (7 - 5) vs. TEXAS (6 - 6) Start Time: Week 16 Wednesday, 12/27/2017 9:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. I do provide half-time and LIVE game betting from my Twitter feed which is @JohnRyanSports1.
Game Intelligence Analytics The dominant key to this game and winning the money is on Texas scoring 28 or more points in this matchup against former Big-12 member Missouri. Texas also has the much better defense that will force Missouri to throw the ball even more than they normally do. Texas is 49-18-1 ATS for 72.1% winners when holding an opponent to fewer than 175 rushing yards and scoring 28 or more points. Texas will control the clock and is projected to run at least 20 or more plays from scrimmage. When that projection is added, Texas has been 10-1 ATS since 2006 and a perfect 2-0 ATS in 2017. SIM Matching Game Situations Missouri is just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Texas is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards. Texas is 132-62 ATS (+63.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to a solid 42-24 ATS record in 2017. Plus, the Bowl Games are off to a 5-1 ATS start and have hit 64% ATS over the past three seasons. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
|
|||||||
12-26-17 | Kansas State v. UCLA +7 | Top | 35-17 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: UCLA (234) The Matchup: KANSAS ST (7 - 5) vs. UCLA (6 - 6) Start Time: Week 16 Tuesday, 12/26/2017 9:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on UCLA using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 210 to 235 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.
Game Intelligence Analytics Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCLA). That are off 1 or more consecutive ‘unders’. And with a horrible scoring defense allowing 35 or more points-per-game. This DB query has produced a 75-42 ATS record good for a solid 64% winners and has made $2,880 per $100 wager since 2007. Now, media talking heads are bring your attention to the fact that K-State is off two impressive wins against Oklahoma State and Iowa State and are coached by a legend in Bill Snyder. However, the following data set query shows you otherwise with these teams.
Play against neutral field favorites using the money line (KANSAS ST). After having won 2 out of their last 3 games. in non-conference games. 39-29 over the past 10 seasons for 57.4% winners and profits of $4,530 per $100 wager placed. SIM Matching Game Situations UCLA is 16-5 against the money line (+10.0 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 net passing yards. UCLA is 32-6 against the money line (+25.8 Units) when they gain 450 to 500 total yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 41-22 ATS record in 2017. Plus, a 4-0 ATS start to the College Bowls. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
|
|||||||
12-26-17 | Utah -7 v. West Virginia | Top | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Utah (229) The Matchup: UTAH (6 - 6) vs. W VIRGINIA (7 - 5) Start Time: Dec. 26, 1:30 p.m., ESPN, Cotton Bowl, Dallas SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics The biggest matchup advantage for Utah is that they have the superior defense. Utah has one of the best DL in the nation led by Lotulelei and Mokofisi. We expect that the Utah DL will control the LOS and the WVU ground attack. Moreover, WVU QB Will Grier has an injured finger on the throwing hand and may not even take a snap in this bowl game. Utah ranks 37th in the nation allowing 364 yards per game while WVU ranks a dismal 114th allowing 466 yards per game. WVU pass attack is quite good and ranks 11th in the nation averaging 329 yards per game. Here gain, we believe that the Utah DL will dominate as they rank 17th allowing 6.3 yards per pass and 49th allowing 216 passing yards.
So, here is a query from our vast database that has produced a 26-4 ATS result good for 87% winners since 2013. Play against any team (W VIRGINIA). That is a good rushing team gaining between 4.3 to 4.8 YPR. And is now facing an average rushing team gaining between 3.5 to 4.3 YPR. And after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games.
We added the filter to show just bowl and playoff games going back to the 2000 season and it returned a 1-5 ATS record. SIM Matching Game Situations Utah is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. Utah is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games when they rush for 150 to 200 yards. Utah is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. WVU is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. WVU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. WVU is 6-28 ATS (-24.8 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 total yards per play. Take Utah!
|
|||||||
12-23-17 | Appalachian State +7 v. Toledo | Top | 34-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Appalachian State (225) Bowl Game: Dollar General Bowl - Ladd Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Alabama The Matchup: APPALACHIAN ST (8 - 4) vs. TOLEDO (11 - 2) Start Time: Week 16 Saturday, 12/23/2017 7:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Appalachian State using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 200 to 220 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.
Game Intelligence Analytics This database query has produced a 64-26 ATS record good for 71% winners and has made $3,540 wagering $100 per play since 2013. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TOLEDO). After a win by 17 or more points. And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game.
Now, if we add in the fact that the SIM projects that App State will score 28 or more points, the results are an astounding 6-42 ATS and 21-28 SU. So, that is playing against Toledo. SIM Matching Game Situations Appalachian State is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they score 28 or more points. Toledo is 31-77 ATS (-53.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 39-20 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
|
|||||||
12-22-17 | UAB v. Ohio -6.5 | Top | 6-41 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Ohio University (218) The Matchup: UAB (8 - 4) vs. OHIO U (8 - 4) Start Time: Week 16 Friday, 12/22/2017 12:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Ohio University using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics The SIM projects that Ohio will gain 50 more rushing yards and average better than 4.5 YPR and will score more than 28 points. When these three metrics have been attained in past games, Ohio is 38-9-3 ATS for 81% winners. SIM Matching Game Situations UAB is 37-70 ATS (-40.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. UAB is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. UAB is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. OU is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. OU is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. OU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. OU is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. OU is 17-1 ATS (+15.9 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 100 to 150 yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 39-20 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
|
|||||||
12-21-17 | Temple -6.5 v. Florida International | Top | 28-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Temple (215) Start Time: Week 16 Thursday, 12/21/2017 8:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Temple using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics SIM projections show that Temple will score more than 28 points, gain more than 50 more rushing yards, and will average 4.5 YPR. IN past games, Temple is an outstanding 85-20-1 ATS for 81% winners when they score 28 or more points and 35-6 ATS when scoring 35 or more points. When out rushing their opponents by 50 or more yards and averaging 4.5 YPR, Temple is a very strong 41-14-1 ATS for 75% winners. Add in scoring 28 or more points and the Temple Owls are an amazing 31-4 ATS for 89% winners. SIM Matching Game Situations Temple is a solid 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons. Temple is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons. Temple is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last 2 seasons. Temple is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons. Temple is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 75 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992. Temple is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 39-18 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
|||||||
12-02-17 | Fresno State v. Boise State -8.5 | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Boise State (324) MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID Start Time: Week 14 Saturday, 12/2/2017 7:45 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Boise State using the line
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Fresno State (FSU) has a solid defense that has played well all season, but not they face an offense that ranks very high in nationally rankings in some of the offensive metrics. First, Boise State ranks 15th with q 64.4% pass completion percentage, 24th with a 0.475 points-per-play ratio, and 9th converting 47% of their third downs. FSU ranks 15th allowing 18.8 PPG, 17th allowing 333 yards per game, 17th posting a 0.277 opponent points per play ratio. However, they rank 95th allowing 62% pass completions, and 99th getting an interception on only 1.97% of plays run. These two teams played each other just last week with Fresno State winning and putting the bow on an incredible turnaround season under first year coach Telford. You may remember his success with the Cal Golden Bears throughout the 2000s, Tedford's 11-season tenure in Berkeley ended in 2012 after the Golden Bears finished below .500 two out of three seasons. Tedford spent time in the NFL with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the CFL with the BC Lions before returning to college football last season as an assistant to Chris Petersen with the Washington Huskies. So, he does have the experience and knowledge that makes this turnaround from a 1-11 season in 2016 sustainable into next season too. SIM Matching Game Situations Boise is 5-1 ATS when gaining 150 or more rushing yards this season. Boise is 6-2 ATS when gaining more rushing yards than opponent this season. Boise is 54-21 for 72% when they gain more rushing yards and passing yards than the opponent. Boise is 15-4 ATS when the out gain their opponents by 150 yards since the 2014 season.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
12-02-17 | TCU +7.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 6 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: TCU (333) Start Time: Week 14 Saturday, 12/2/2017 12:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: place a 7 star wager amount on TCU using the line. Consider an alternative wager placing a 5 star amount on TCU using the line and a 2 star amount on the money line.
Round Table Discussion Points When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, TCU is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.
We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ database systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 64-24 ATS hitting 73% winners and has made $3,760 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OKLAHOMA). After a win by 17 or more points. And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game. SIM Matching Game Situations TCU is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt. TCU is 111-46 ATS (+60.4 Units) when they score 28 or more points. Oklahoma is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games versus good rushing defenses allowing 3.25 or fewer rushing yards per carry.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
|||||||
12-01-17 | Stanford +4 v. USC | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Stanford (303) Start Time: Week 14 Friday, 12/1/2017 8:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 grading scale Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on Stanford using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points Key fact is that Stanford does not turn the ball over and make mental mistakes. They average just 0.8 turnovers per game ranking 4th best in the nation while USC ranks 108th averaging 1.8 turnovers per game. USC does well ranking 12th in takeaways averaging 2.0 per game. Stanford also ranks 12th in that category. Stanford also has the better ground attack and can control the LOS far better than they did in the second half in the first meeting against USC this season. Stanford ranks 6th nationally averaging 6.2 YPR and this will also be a dominant reason they can win this game.
SIM Matching Game Situations Stanford is an outstanding 31-8 ATS (+22.2 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. USC is just 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. Stanford is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) off 2 consecutive home wins. Stanford is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. Stanford is a solid 38-11 ATS (+25.9 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards. Stanford is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt. Stanford is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt. Stanford is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. USC is an imperfect 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. USC is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
|||||||
11-25-17 | Washington State v. Washington -9 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Washington (184) Start Time: Week 13 Saturday, 11/25/2017 8:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Washington using the lie.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 49-24 hitting 67% winners and has made $2,260 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (WASHINGTON). After a game where they forced 1 or zero turnovers. And is now facing an opponent after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers. SIM Matching Game Situations Wash State is just 48-99 ATS (-60.9 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Wash State is 16-37 ATS (-24.7 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points. Washington is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Washington is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) when they commit 1 less turnover than their opponents. Wash State is 15-38 ATS (-26.8 Units) after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
11-25-17 | Clemson v. South Carolina +14 | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: South Carolina (198) Start Time: Week 13 Saturday, 11/25/2017 7:30 PM SIM grading: 10 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on South Carolina and add a 3 star amount using the money line. With a money line of plus 425 this is a very attractive investment. If you wager $100 per star unit, for example, the money line portion returns $1275 dollars. If SC covers but does not pull off the upset, you will make $400 for the play. Over the course of the season, these combination wagers will increase the total rate of return (ROI).
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 33-6 ATS hitting 85% winners and has made $2,640 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (S CAROLINA). After having won 4 out of their last 5 games. And is a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games. And now facing a team with a winning record. SIM Matching Game Situations SC is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams averaging 425 or more yards-per-game. SC is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season. SC is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after out gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. SC is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games after a win by 21 or more points.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
11-25-17 | Alabama v. Auburn +6 | Top | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Auburn (226) Start Time: Week 13 Saturday, 11/25/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on Auburn using the line. An alternative wager is to play a 5.5 star amount using the line and a 1.5 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 63-24 ATS for 73% winners and has made $3,660 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ALABAMA). After a win by 17 or more points. And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game.
The following database system query has gone 53-21 ATS for 72% winners and has made $2,990 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ALABAMA) . In a game involving two dominant teams outgaining opponents by 100 or more YPG. And after gaining 6.25 or more yards per play in their previous game.
SIM Matching Game Situations Alabama is just 10-30 ATS (-23.0 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points. Alabama is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt. Alabama is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards. Auburn is a near-perfect 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games vs. very good defensive teams. Auburn is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games who give up 14 or less points/game.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 26-12 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
11-25-17 | Indiana +3 v. Purdue | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Indiana (151) Start Time: Week 13 Saturday, 11/25/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on Indiana using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 84-43 ATS hitting 66% winners and has made $3,670 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on road teams in conference games. Where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA). And is a good passing team averaging 230 to 275 per game. And is now facing an average passing defense allowing between 175 and 230 yards per game. SIM Matching Game Situations Indiana is a solid 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 26-12 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
|||||||
11-24-17 | Miami-FL -12 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Miami (FLA) (131) Start Time: Week 13 Friday, 11/24/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on Miami using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Miami is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS when playing as a road favorite since the start of the 2016 season. The market has not kept pace with the significant week-to-week performance increase that the Hurricanes have accomplished this season. With one game remaining before the showdown with Clemson for the ACC Championship, we believe that there will not be any letdown or look ahead by the Hurricanes. Actually, we think it is absurd that the media talking heads are even mentioning that and that having to travel from the warm comfortable confines of Miami to the ‘frigid’ Northeast is a huge task. Miami has players from all over the country and all of them have played in difficult conditions at some point in their football lives. The weather is not an issue with forecasts for blue skies, little wind, and just a perfect Fall day for football. Pittsburgh’s bowl hopes were lost last week when they could not punch it in from a yard out in four tries in the closing seconds in a 20-14 loss to Virginia Tech. That is the type of loss that really sticks with a losing record team, especially in a short week. SIM Matching Game Situations Miami is a solid 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games when they rush for 150 to 200 yards. Miami is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games when they are outgain their opponents by 50-100 yards. Miami is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh is just 27-95 ATS (-77.5 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Pittsburgh is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) when they allow 35 to 41. Pittsburgh is 14-48 ATS (-38.8 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play.
Teams like Miami that are ranked in the TOP-5, are on the road, scored 38 or more points in their last game, and have a season turnover margin of at least 1.6 are a very strong 18-1 SU and 14-5 ATS for 74% ATS winners.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
|||||||
11-24-17 | Navy v. Houston -4 | Top | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Houston (130) Start Time: Week 13 Friday, 11/24/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars based on 3 to 10 star grading Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on Houston using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 26-8 ATS hitting 81% winners and has made $1,820 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on a home team using the money line (HOUSTON). After having won 2 out of their last 3 games. And is a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games. And now playing a marginal winning team posting a win percentage between 51% to 60%.
SIM Matching Game Situations Houston is 47-22 ATS (+22.8 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards. Navy is 48-78 ATS (-37.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Houston is 105-57 ATS (+42.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
11-18-17 | Arizona University +3 v. Oregon | Top | 28-48 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Arizona (365) Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 7:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Arizona using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 25-6 ATS hitting 81% winners and has made $1,840 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play against a home team (OREGON). After being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games. And is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last five games.
The following database system query has gone 31-8 ATS hitting 80% winners and has made $2,220 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play on road underdogs (ARIZONA). Excellent offensive team gaining 440 YPG or more. And is now facing a good offensive team gaining between 390 to 440 YPG. And after outgaining opponent by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Arizona is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. Arizona is 92-49 ATS (+38.1 Units) when they score 28 or more points. Oregon is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points this season. Oregon is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards. Oregon is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 6 or more rushing yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
11-18-17 | Nebraska v. Penn State -25 | Top | 44-56 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Penn State (392) Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 4:00 PM SIM grading: 10 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 10 star amount using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points PSU has two losses by a combined 4 points and remains a very strong team overall and with excellent head coach leadership. Former NFL linebacker Jonathan Vilma, now an ESPN analyst, has said they are telegraphing their plays through their pre-snap alignment. Franklin said every team has telltale signs about what's coming, and doesn't believe it is a fatal flaw in Penn State's case. "I still think we're averaging ... (37.7) points a game," he said. "And if everybody knew what they were doing on most of our plays, I would think we'd be scoring a lot less than that." This is just one of countless statements Franklin has made to the media in support of his team and it has paid off big. This is PSU last home game for the Seniors and on in particular. Despite his recent struggles, Barkley has rushed for 899 yards (5.4 per carry) and is second in the nation in all-purpose yards per game (184.6). He also leads the Big Ten with 16 touchdowns, and last week became PSU's all-time leader in all-purpose yardage (5,055). Nebraska is a team in disarray and will more than likely be starting a freshman QB and could be looking for a new head coach in the off-season. That combination is just not good for team chemistry and having to go to the second largest stadium in the nation. We value yards-per-point metrics highly and they often times point out glaring matchup advantages in a game. Using points-per-play for this illustration we know that PSU defense ranks second in the nation posting a 0.187 PPP ratio and the offense ranks 11th posting a very strong 0.544 PPP ratio. Nebraska ranks 83rd with a 0.35 offensive PPP ratio and a dismal 102nd with a 0.469 defensive PPP ratio. Any QB, let a lone a freshman QB, will struggle at PSU against their defense that allows just 5.7 yards-per-pass ranking 7th nationally. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 28-7 ATS hitting 80% winners and has made $2,030 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play on home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (PENN ST). Off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite. And with 4 or more total starters returning than opponent. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. PSU is 41-18 ATS (+21.2 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt. PSU is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards. PSU is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they rush for 5.5 to 6 yards per attempt. PSU is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. PSU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. PSU is 25-5 ATS (+19.5 Units) when they score 42 to 48 points since 1992. PSU is 34-4 ATS (+29.6 Units) when they gain 500 to 550 total yards. PSU is 49-6 ATS (+42.4 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards. PSU is 24-5 ATS (+18.5 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 150-200 yards. PSU is 60-14 ATS (+44.6 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play. PSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they gain 7.5 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. PSU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons. PSU is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2.5 to 3 yards/play. Nebraska is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Michigan +7.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Michigan (415) Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Michigan using the line. We also like the potential for Michigan to win the game outright sending Wisconsin their first loss of the season. So, an alternative wager is to play a 5 star amount on the line and 2 star amount using the money line.
Round Table Discussion Points Michigan finally went to the youngster at quarterback two weeks ago and Peters has thrown for 4 touchdowns with no interceptions and has sparked the Michigan offense. This week Peters will be asked to manage the game and protect the ball, move the chains and let the defense rest a little. Both defenses have been really good this year as Wisconsin has only given up 13.4 points per game and Michigan gives up 16.4 points. Last year the final score was 14-7 Michigan in Ann Arbor and we look for another defensive struggle today. Wisconsin has basically worn down the opposing defenses and then finished off opponents in the fourth quarter. We feel Michigan can stand up for four quarters and will actually wear down the Wisconsin defense.. This is our favorite type of dog play as we feel the dog has a solid chance of winning this one outright. Statistically not much difference and Michigan has played a much tougher schedule and now Wisconsin adds the added pressure of being one of the top for teams in the National title playoff. Look for a dog fight at Camp Randle this afternoon and grab the points. Take Michigan plus the 7 ½ points. Advanced and Predictive Analytics from Database Systems The following database system query has gone 44-16 ATS hitting 73.3% winners and has made $2,640 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points. With a good scoring defense allowing 14 points or less per game. After allowing 17 points or less in 5 straight games.
Here is a second database system query that has cashed 67.8% and is plus $3,730 wagering $100 per play over the last 10 years. Play against home favorites. After allowing 17 points or less in two straight games. And is now facing a team winning by 21 or more points in their last game.
Here is a Money Line DB query that has produced a record of 30-40 for only 43% winners, BUT has made $5,660 wagering just $100 per play averaging a whopping +322 DOG play since 2008. Play on road underdogs using the money line. After 3 or more consecutive straight up wins. And is now facing an opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Chryst is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a cover as a double digit favorite as the coach of Wisconsin. Methodologies and Cost Saving Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
Ryan’s BIG TEN ‘Upset Alert’ TItan
|
|||||||
11-18-17 | Rutgers v. Indiana -10.5 | Top | 0-41 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Indiana (322) Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on indiana using the line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 39-13 ATS hitting 75% winners and has made $2,470 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play on home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in conference games (INDIANA). With a winning percentage of between 40 to 49% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Rutgers is just 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) when they gain 150 or less net passing yards. Indiana is 29-9 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points. Indiana is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they allow 5 to 5.5 net passing yards/attempt. Rutgers is a money burning 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after gaining 75 or less passing yards in last game. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Texas +3.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Texas (341) Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Texas using the line. Round Table Discussion Points Texas needs a win today or over Texas Tech next week to become bowl eligible. WVU is not in a good spot at all despite a 7-3 record, they face Texas today and then Oklahoma next week to end the season. Passing will be the difference in this game and will be the dominant reason Texas wins this game outright. Texas ranks 34th nationally averaging 274 passing yards per game and will have their way going against a Mountaineer passing defense that ranks 101st and allows 257 yards per game. Texas defense is perhaps the best unit that WVU has faced so far this season. Texas ranks 8th nationally allowing just 3.2 rushing yards per attempt. They have a front 7 that can eliminate WVU ground attack and force them to pass into a solid zone coverage scheme. Texas wins the turnover battle and goes on to win the game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 29-6 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made $2,240 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEXAS). off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. with 4 or more total starters returning than opponent. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Texas is a solid 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards. Texas is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons. WVU is a money losing 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. Holgorsen is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. as the coach of WVU. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Michigan -17 v. Maryland | Top | 35-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 125 Michigan Start Time: 11-11-2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Michigan using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points Michigan comes into this conference game allowing 17 points per game on the season, while Maryland may be down to their 4th string quarterback for this one. Michigan finally went to the future at quarterback last week as Peters threw for 2 touchdowns with no interceptions last week against Minnesota. Michigan has started to get a ground game going led by Kiran Hingdon who is averaging 6.8 yards per attempt with 10 touchdowns on the season. The last 2 years Michigan has won this game easily 28-0 and 59-3 and we see more of the same against a weak Maryland Defense allowing over 37 points per game. Michigan Defense is close to 200 yards per game better than Maryland so we look for a long afternoon for the Terrapins today. Take Michigan and lay the 16 ½.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics There are a cast of trends producing over 69% to 77% winners and supporting Michigan in this matchup. This database system query has produced 69.3% winners going 61-27 ATS for plus 31.3 units since 1992. Play on road favorites of 14.5 or more points. Off 2 consecutive wins of 10 plus points or more. And are now facing a conference opponent in second half of season.
This database system query has produced 77%winners the last 10 years going 37-11 ATS for plus 25 units. Play on road favorites. After allowing 14 or less points in their last 2 games. And is now facing an opponent allowing 31 plus points in their last 2 games.
This database system query has produced 69.9% winners the last 10 years going 51-22 ATS for plus 26.8 units. Play against home dogs. After losing 5 or 6 of last 7 games. And is now facing an opponent winning 3 of last 4 games.
The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Maryland is a miserable 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt. Maryland is just 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) when they allow 400 to 450 total yards. Maryland is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 150-200 yards Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
11-11-17 | Georgia v. Auburn +3 | Top | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Auburn (188) Start Time: Week 11 Saturday, 11/11/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Auburn using the line. An alternative is to wager a 4 star amount on the line and a 3 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 23-6 using the Money Line hitting 79% winners and has made $3,210 wagering $100 per game since 1992. The system has also averaged an impressive 167 DOG wager. Play on a home team using the money line (AUBURN). The team is an excellent offensive team scoring more than 34 PPG. And is now facing an excellent defensive team allowing 16 or fewer PPG. After 7 regular season games have been played. And after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Auburn is a solid 37-17 ATS (+18.3 Units) when their defense allows 100 to 150 net passing yards. Auburn is a near-perfect 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game. Auburn is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
11-10-17 | Washington v. Stanford +6.5 | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
The Play: Stanford (122) Start Time: Week 11 Friday, 11/10/2017 10:30 PM SIM grading: 7 star grading Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on Stanford using the line. An alternative wager is to create a combination bet consisting of a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount on the money line.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Stanford is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.
We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 37-13 ATS hitting 74% winners and has made $2,270 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play against road favorites (WASHINGTON). With an excellent rushing defense allowing 2.75 or less rushing yards-per-carry. After gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards-per-attempt in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Stanford is a solid 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) facing good passing defenses allowing 5.75 or less passing yards-per-attempt. Stanford is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) facing excellent defensive teams allowing 4.25 or less yards-per-play. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
11-08-17 | Toledo v. Ohio +3 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Ohio University (110) Start Time: Week 11 Wednesday, 11/8/2017 7:00 PM SIM grading: 10 star MAC Conference Game of the Month Recommended Strategy: 10 star wager amount on Ohio University plus the points. An optional alternative wager is to play a 7.5 star amount using the line and a 2.5 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 51-20 ATS hitting 72% winners and has made $2,980 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO U). Quick starting offensive team scoring 16 or more PPG in the first half. After scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Toledo is just 30-75 ATS (-52.5 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Toledo is just 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. Ohio U is a solid 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Ohio U is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Ohio U is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points since 1992. Ohio U is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
11-04-17 | LSU +21 v. Alabama | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: LSU (413) Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 8:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 maximum Recommended Strategy: Play LSU using the line for a 4 star amount. If you wager $100 per star unit, then this is a $400 star play. If you wager $20 per star unit, then this is am $80 wager.
Round Table Discussion Points I hear gasps that seem to be coming from afar and it must be due to people reading the opening title line of this selection. Seriously, though, this is one of those plays that has an extremely inflated line for many reasons. Public is all over ‘Bama due to the fact that they will be angry at getting the 2 slot in the first playoff ballot. Second is that ‘Bama is coming off of their BYE where they have been 8-3 ATS. This is just two major factors, but is a reason that we have this line priced at 6 points too many. As we know there is far more to our pick selections that just some simple data query like the BYE situation mentioned above. Our yards per point and YPP differentials confirm that LSU’s win over Auburn is no fluke and LSU has nothing to lose in this game. LSU is arguably the worst type of opponent that Alabama can face right now. An opponent that was embarassed by Troy at home and has significantly underperformed over a five game stretch, but a team that has loads of very talented elite players on its’ roster.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has gone 30-5 ATS hitting 86% winners and has $2,450 wagering $100 per game wagered since 2013. Play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (LSU). After having won 4 out of their last 5 games. Team posting a win percentage of 60% to 80%. Playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and the team’s compiled research for the outcome of this game. LSU is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
11-04-17 | Texas +7 v. TCU | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Texas (381) Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 7:15 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Texas using the line. An alternative strategy is to create a combination wager using a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database system query has gone 33-7 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made $2,530 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play on a road team (TEXAS). After going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games. And is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games. This database system query has produced a 32-7 ASTS mark good for 82% winners since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TCU). Off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more points. In weeks 10 through 13. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Texas is a solid 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards. Texas is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards. Texas is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons. TCU is a money burning 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) when they gain 300 to 350 total yards. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
11-04-17 | Wake Forest +15 v. Notre Dame | Top | 37-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Wake Forest (393) Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Wake Forest plus the points. An alternative strategy is to create a combination wager using a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database system query has gone 73-33 ATS hitting 69% winners and has made $3,670 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play on road underdogs (WAKE FOREST). After gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. With 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wake Forest is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they commit 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Notre Dame is just 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. Notre Dame is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 points or more. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
11-04-17 | Georgia State -4 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 21-17 | Push | 0 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 356 Georgia State Start Time: 4:00 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 star maximum Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount ($700 if you wager $100 per star unit) on Georgia State.
We have a couple of trends from our database producing 70 to 81% winners in this Sunbelt contest. Play against home dogs of 3.5 to 10 points. Struggling offensive team scoring between 16.5 and 21 PPG. And is now facing an average defensive team in conference games. This DB system query has produced a record of 28-7 the last 5 years good for 80% winners.
Play on road team in conference games. With 4 plus starters and an experienced Quarterback returning. And is now facing a team starting a new Quarterback from last season. This has produced a record of 91-40 hitting 69.5% winners and plus 47 units.
Play on road favorites. After beating spread by 35 or more points in their last 5 games. And with a winning record. Playing an opponent with a losing record. This has produced 72.2% winners and plus 38 units going 65-25 the last 5 years.
Georgia State is 4-3 on the season and sits one game behind conference leaders Troy and Arkansas State and Georgia Southern is still looking for its first win on the season. The Panthers have won the last 2 games in this series and looking for a third straight. The Panthers also are returning 15 starters from last year’s team and bring a defense who allows over 100 yards less per game against the rush than their opponent today. The Panthers are led by senior Quarterback Connor Manning who has thrown for over 1700 yards, 9 touchdowns and completing 65% of his passes. Georgia Southern has struggled both offensively and defensively on the season scoring 17 points and giving up over 40 points per game. Look for the Panthers to get another win in this matchup this afternoon. Take Georgia State and lay the 4 Points. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
11-04-17 | Florida +3 v. Missouri | Top | 16-45 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Florida Gators Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount ($300 if you wager $100 per star unit) on Florida plus the points.
Round Table Discussion Points We are expecting the Florida offense to put up a lot of points today. The Tigers are giving up 35.8 points per game on the season and Florida has numerous matchup advantages at the skill positions. We look for the firing of Jim McElwain this week to be a big boost for the Gator Football team the rest of this season. The Gators have announced that Malik Zaire will get the start. We have been stating all year this move would help the Florida offense as Zaire will bring the threat of the run to his very good passing game. This is a great match up for him in his first start against a soft Missouri defense. Florida has the much better defense and we believe the Gator offensive efficiency metrics will improve significantly. The Gators won 21-3 in their last visit to Columbia and easily won last year 40-14 in the swamp and from a personnel standpoint not much has changed. Missouri offense has been rolling the last couple of weeks, but it faces a much stricter test this week. Look for a hungry bunch of Gators this afternoon. Take Florida and grab the points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.
FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt since 1992. FLORIDA is 128-49 ATS (+74.1 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. MISSOURI is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
11-04-17 | Wisconsin v. Indiana +13 | Top | 45-17 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Indiana Indiana (368) Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: play a 7 star amount on Indiana plus the points. An alternative strategy is to create a combination wager using a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database system query has gone 58-25 ATS hitting 70% ATS winners and has made $3,050 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (WISCONSIN). That is an excellent defensive team allowing fewer than 16 PPG. And is now facing an average defensive team allowing 21 to 28 points. After 7 or more games. And after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
11-03-17 | UCLA +7 v. Utah | Top | 17-48 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: UCLA (321) Start Time: Week 10 Friday, 11/3/2017 9:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play sa 7 star amount using the line on UCLA. An alternative wager is to create a combination wager consisting of a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, UCLA is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” ( and also with combination wagers) and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.
We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 91-40 hitting 70% winners and has made $4,700 wagering just $100 per game since 2013. Play on a road team (UCLA). In conference games. With 4 or more total starters and an experienced QB returning against team with a new QB.
The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCLA is a solid 102-50 ATS (+47.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. Whittingham is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of Utah. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
10-28-17 | TCU -6 v. Iowa State | Top | 7-14 | Loss | -118 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: TCU (193) Start Time: Week 9 Saturday, 10/28/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 10 stars out of 10 star maximum Recommended Strategy: Wager a 10 star amount on TCU using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points Kenny Hill has been having an outstanding season for TCU completing 70% of his passes with15 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on the season. The Horned Frog ground game has been producing scoring 13 Touchdowns and averaging over 5 yards per carry. They also bring a balanced passing game and the best defense in the conference. This defense was able to shut down Mason Rudolph and the high flying Oklahoma State offense earlier this year. Iowa State has played well all season and had the big comeback win against Oklahoma and the public has taken notice. TCU just takes care of business and is 7-0 on the season. We look for a big defensive effort in Ames this afternoon similar to what Texas did holding Iowa State offense in check and to 7 points. TCU should be well prepared for the Cyclone attack and has won the last 3 in this series handedly and we look for more of the same this afternoon. Take TCU and lay the 6 ½ Points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has gone 25-2 ATS hitting 93% winners and has made $2,280 wagering $100 per qualified play since 2007. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TCU). Off 3 or more consecutive ‘unders’. And with a good first half defense allowing 8 or less points per game.
Both teams are similar in all of the major metrics we create and interpret with TCU ranked higher in all of them. Iowa State is close to TCU in the majority of the rankings, but in not one are they ranked higher than TCU.
The one exception is 3rd down conversions where TCU ranks best in the nation converting 55% of those third down opportunities into first downs. ISU ranks 78th in the nation converting 37% of their third down conversions. Keeping the chains moving in drives by converting third downs is a monumental metric, to say the least. In addition, TCU runs the ball on 57% of their plays, which keeps the clock rolling and gives them an even greater advantage in TOP. ISU may come out flying with tons of energy in the first quarter, but over the course of the game, TCU will wear them down.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
10-28-17 | Penn State +7 v. Ohio State | Top | 38-39 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Penn State Start Time: Week 9 Saturday, 10/28/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 star maximum Recommended Strategy: Play PSU for a 7 star amount on the line. Alternative wager is to play a 5 star amount on PSU using the line and a 2 star amount on the money line. This combination wager exploits the expectation that PSU will win this game.
Round Table Discussion Points Penn State has played a more difficult schedule to date than Ohio State. PSU is undefeated coming off a monumental destruction of Michigan that does have a strong team with a very good defense. OSU lost badly to Oklahoma at home earlier this year.
The Yards Per Point (YPP) metric is a valuable tool for sports handicappers and professional bettors. The offensive version of YPP (OYYP) reveals how efficient a team is scoring points. The lower the number the better as it takes fewer yards to score points. Conversely, the defensive measure of YPP (DYPP) reveals how stingy or soft any defensive unit is when facing any type of offense. The more points per point, the stronger the defense. Of course, then we can use the offensive and defensive differential to reveal team rankings and good solid drill-down to team valuation.
So if two teams are from the same conference, then there is a presumed equality of SOS implied. Let’s now take a quick look at Penn State versus Ohio State, which is essentially the BIG Ten matchup of the year. Penn State ranks 5th posting an 11.6 OYYP ratio while OSU ranks 12th in DYYP allowing one point for every 19.8 yards allowed. On the other side of the ball, we see that PSU ranks best in DYYP allowing one point for every 29.6 yards allowed and OSU ranks 18th scoring one point for every 12.2 yards gained.
Ohio State has been coming on since their horrid loss at home to Oklahoma earlier this season. Over their last three games, they have posted a 15.3 differential reflecting much improved performances on both sides of the ball. Penn State has performed at superior levels for the entire season and are actually getting better on defense. These observations are not being mentioned in the media and by itself offers you a betting advantage for this matchup.
Then there is McSorely, the heart and soul of the offense, who is scrappy at times, and will do whatever it takes to will his team to a win. This is how the entire team plays on both sides of the ball and special teams. This team had been behind at the half in nearly all of the big games last season. They have corrected that problem this year and will not be intimidated by the crowd noise of the importance of the game.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has shown a 61-23 ATS record hitting 73% ATS winners since 2013. Wagering just $100 per qualified game, has produced a total profit of $3,570. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO ST). After a win by 17 or more points. And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game. The following database query has shown a 44-16 ATS record hitting 73% ATS winners since 2007. Wagering just $100 per qualified game, has produced a total profit of $2,640. Play on road underdogs (PENN ST). In a game involving two good rushing teams with both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG. And after 7 or more games have been played. and after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. PSU is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when they score 29 to 35 points. PSU is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play. OSU is just 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att. PSU is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 2 seasons. PSU is a perfect 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. PSU is a perfect 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons. PSU is a perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a win by 17 or more points over the last 2 seasons. PSU is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
|
|||||||
10-28-17 | Air Force v. Colorado State -10 | Top | 45-28 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 168 Colorado State Start Time: Week 9 Saturday, 10/28/2017 3:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Colorado State using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points Mike Bobo and the Colorado State Rams come into this one sitting on top of the MWC Mountain division one game ahead of Boise State. CSU Quarterback Nick Stevens is having a solid year for the Rams completing 63% of his passes, throwing 20 Touchdowns to only 6 interceptions on the season. Leading Receiver Michael Gallup already has a thousand yards on the season. The Rams also bring a solid running attack with both rushers averaging over 5 yards per carry. The Rams offense has been scoring 35 points per game and was able to move the ball against Alabama. The Rams will be looking to avenge a loss to their in state rivals last year and we look for more of what happened the last time these 2 teams met on this field where CSU one easily by 15 points as a underdog. CSU faced an option attack last week and should be well prepared for the Air Force schemes this afternoon. Air Force has been allowing opponents to score 33 plus points per game this season and have been coming back from big deficits this season. The toll of the season is taking an effect on the Falcon defense and we do not feel that Colorado State will let up in this one. Look for a big home effort by the Rams this afternoon as they get the easy win and stay on top of the Conference standings. Take Colorado State and lay the 10 ½ points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 51-19 ATS hitting 73% winners since 1992. Wagering $100 would have made a total profit of $3,000. Play on home team after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. And is now facing an opponent allowing 5.5 or more yards per attempt. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. CSU is 9-2 ATS when they gain 9 or more passing yards per attempt the last 3 years. CSU is 98-38 ATS when scoring 28 or more points since 1992. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
|||||||
10-26-17 | Toledo v. Ball State +26 | Top | 58-17 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Ball State (104) Start Time: Week 9 Thursday, 10/26/2017 7:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10. Recommended Strategy: Take Ball State and the points, with a line currently at +25.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 10-15 ATS hitting 73% winners and has made $2,350 wagered since 2013. Play on a home team (BALL ST). After 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread. And now facing an opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toledo is just 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Ball State. |
|||||||
10-21-17 | Wyoming +14 v. Boise State | Top | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 31 h 9 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 363 Wyoming Start Time: 10-21-2017 10:15 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7star amount using the line on Wyoming. Current line is in the +14 ½ range. We also highly recommend a 2.5* amount using the money line on Wyoming. This money line is at +440, which means if you wager $100 per star unit and Wyoming does pull off the upset, you will make $1,100 just from the 2.5 star money line wager.
Round Table Discussion Points Here is a data query from our massive database of college and pro sports that has delivered a very strong 28-5 ATS mark good for 85% winners since 2013. Take underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points. After winning 4 of last 5 games. And is now facing a good team with a winning record.
The Cowboys are currently tied with Boise just a game behind CSU in the conference. Josh Allen has been able to get the job done when the Cowboys have stepped down in class this season. Both Offenses have struggled to put points on the board, but both defenses have been good this year. Boise State had a big win last week at San Diego State, but this was mostly done by the defense and special teams and then they were able to force the Aztecs out of their game. We look for another slugfest and we like getting the points in a game we feel will be less than a TD. Take Wyoming and the points.
|
|||||||
10-21-17 | SMU -7.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 321 SMU Start Time: 10-21-2017 4:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on SMU minus the points, which is currently at -7 ½ at the majority of books.
Round Table Discussion Points Couple of systems delivering 76% plus winners on SMU for this Saturday afternoon matchup. Cincinnati is 4-14 when allowing 28 points since 1992 Cincinnati is 0-6 ATS when rushing for 100 to 150 yards last 3 years. Cincinnati is 4-24 ATS when allowing 35 to 41 points the last 3 years
SMU comes into this one scoring 43 plus points per game on the season and has a balanced per plays offensive attack with 191 yards on the ground and over 316 yards through the air. The Bearcats offense comes into this one averaging 20 points per game and offense has struggled most of the season. SMU has also been opportunistic on defense and are a plus 8 turnovers on the season. Ben Hicks has been solid this season completing 59% of his passes for 15 Touchdowns and 5 interceptions on the season. The top 3 rushers are averaging over 5 yards per carry and the receivers led by Trey Quinn and Cortland Sutton have been productive against all defenses this year. We don’t see the Bearcats offense keeping up with the charging Ponies today. Take SMU and lay the 7 1\2 today
|
|||||||
10-21-17 | Tulsa v. Connecticut +6 | Top | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 52 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Connecticut (318) Start Time: Week 8 Saturday, 10/21/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Connecticut. The line opened with Tulsa installed as a seven point favorite. The line has slipped to 6 at the majority of books with a few now at 5 ½. This line movement is quite favorable given that 76% of the public wagers are on Tulsa, but the line is going down. This reflects that the large ‘mart money’ pros are betting on Connecticut. So, an alternative strategy is to play a 5 star amount using the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following data query returns games that have gone 2-18 ATS hitting 10% winners and has made $1,580 per $100 wagered since 1980. Play against a road favorite in a conference tilt. Team is off a straight-up conference home win installed as a dog. Team covered that home win by more than 10 points. And is now facing a conference opponent. And that foe is off a straight-up win installed as a DOG.
The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tulsa is just 49-116 ATS (-78.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Tulsa is 23-57 ATS (-39.7 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards/attempt. Tulsa is 24-60 ATS (-42.0 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play. Connecticut is 48-12 ATS (+34.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points. Connecticut is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Connecticut. |
|||||||
10-19-17 | UL-Lafayette +13 v. Arkansas State | Top | 3-47 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: LA-Lafayette (305) Start Time: Week 8 Thursday, 10/19/2017 7:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount using the line on LA - Lafayette.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has gone 18-11 hitting 62% winners and has made 29 units/unit wagered since2014. The system has also averaged an impressive +223 DOG play. Play on a road team. Using the money line (LA LAFAYETTE). After going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games. And with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LAL is a solid 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards. LAL is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better. LAL is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. Hudspeth is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after playing 3 straight conference games as the coach of LAL.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board LA - Lafayette.
|
|||||||
10-14-17 | Navy +3.5 v. Memphis | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Navy (193) Start Time: Week 7 Saturday, 10/14/2017 3:45 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7* amount on the line with Nay. Line currently at +3 ½ .
Alternate wager is play a 5* amount on the line and then add a 2* play using the money line; as long as the money line is returning +135 or higher value.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 32-8 hitting 80% ATS winners and has made $2,320 per $100 wagered game since 2014. Play against any team (MEMPHIS). Is a good team outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game. After allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Navy is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they gain 150 or less net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. Navy is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards. Navy is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) when they rush for 300 or more yards over the last 3 seasons. Navy is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Memphis is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Navy Midshipmen.
|
|||||||
10-14-17 | Auburn -7 v. LSU | Top | 23-27 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Auburn (207) Start Time: Week 7 Saturday, 10/14/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play Auburn on the line for a 7 star amount. DSo, if you wager $100 per star unit, then this is a $700 play.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 78-24 hitting 77% winners and has made $5,280 units wagering $100 per release since 2008. The system has also averaged an impressive . Play on a road team using the money line (AUBURN). That are excellent offensive teams gaining a minimum of 440 YPG. Against a good offensive team allowing between 390 to 440 YPG. And after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LSU is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games when they allow 22 to 28 points since 1992. The average score was LSU 38.6, OPPONENT 25.0 LSU is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards since 1992. The average score was LSU 26.6, OPPONENT 23.7 LSU is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992. The average score was LSU 25.0, OPPONENT 10.0 LSU is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games when they commit 2 turnovers since 1992. The average score was LSU 24.0, OPPONENT 17.5 Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Auburn Tigers.
|