Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-14-23 | West Virginia +4.5 v. Oklahoma | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
A pair of 10-6 Big 12 teams meet here today as West Virginia takes on Oklahoma. The WV Mountaineers had just one player return this year to a team that was 16-17 last year and 4-14 in the Big 12. West Virginia has lost all four of their Big 12 games, but three of those losses where by single digits and an OT loss to Kansas State. Oklahoma would like to forget their start to the season, losing to Sam Houston State as a 16-point favorite. They have just one Big 12 win and that was over Texas Tech last Saturday in OT. Oklahoma has lost three of its last four games including last time out to Kansas, 75-79, as a 10.5 point dog. Both teams struggling in conference play. But I'll take the dog in this one with West Virginia and not be surprised by a straight up win. |
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01-14-23 | Kentucky +12 v. Tennessee | 63-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Kentucky looks to improve to 11 wins as they hit the road to take on the Tennessee Volunteers today. The Wildcats are 10-6 S/U and 4-12 ATS on the season. They look to snap a two game losing streak here today after dropping a pair of conference games to Alabama and then last time out to South Carolina, 68-71. The Wildcats were 26-8 last year and finished second in the SEC with a 14-4 mark. They lost in the first round of the NCAA tournament. HC John Calipari usually has great defensive teams that has been his key to success. Last year this team was 98th in defense and that was due to shot blockers in the middle. Calipari's teams are usually near the top in shot blocking and this year they look to return to that echelon. Tennessee is 14-2 S/U and 9-7 ATS this season. They have won five straight games including last game over Vandy, 77-68, as a 16.5-point favorite. The Vols are 3-4 ATS in their last seven. Kentucky getting double digits here today. I'll take a Calipari team with this many points. Play Kentucky. |
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01-14-23 | Miami-FL +4 v. NC State | 81-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
A pair of ACC teams that are having a fine season meet today as Miami Florida takes on North Carolina State. The Miami Hurricanes are 14-2 S/U and 9-7 ATS on the year. The Canes rebounded from only their second loss this year at Georgia Tech, 70-76, as a 6.5-point favorite with a win over Boston College, 88-72, as a 11-point favorite. The Canes are 3-1 S/U and ATS on the road and outscoring their opponents by a 73-64.5 ppg average. Miami only returned 2 starters to a team that was 26-11 last year and 4th in the ACC with a 14-6 record. They lost in the NCAA Elite 8 with a nice run. NC State is 13-4 S/U and 8-7-2 ATS on the season. The Wolfpack have won two straight games both S/U and ATS. They are 8-1 S/U at home but just 4-4-1 vs the spread. They returned three starters to a team that was 11-21 last year and 4-16 in the ACC. Miami is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The Pack are only 6-23 ATS in their last 29 Saturday games. Miami is a very good team and getting some points here today. I'll take the Hurricanes. Play Miami. |
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01-13-23 | Rockets v. Kings -9.5 | 114-139 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
The Houston Rockets make the trip to Sacramento tonight to face the Kings. The Rockets are 10-31 S/U and 16-22-3 ATS on the year. They have lost eight straight games since their last win on Dec 26th over Chicago, 133-118. They are also just 1-7 ATS their last eight games. Meanwhile the Sacramento Kings are having a decent season with a 22-18 S/U and 23-17 ATS mark. They are 1st place in the Western Conference Pacific Division. They have won two straight games both S/U and ATS including last time out against these Rockets, 135-115 as a 9-point favorite. Back-to-back spot here tonight in Sacramento and I don't see any other outcome than the first time these teams met on Wednesday. Your free play is on the Kings. |
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01-12-23 | Utah +12.5 v. UCLA | 49-68 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
PAC-12 clash here late tonight has Utah playing at UCLA. The Utah Utes are 12-5 S/U and 10-7 ATS on the season. The Utes had their three-game win streak snapped last game by Oregon, 60-70, as a 4.5-point favorite. They are 3-1 S/U and ATS on the road and outscoring opponents by a 65.5 to 62.3 margin. They are also 4-1 S/U and ATS in the PAC-12 thus far. UCLA is 14-2 S/U and 9-7 ATS on the season. They have won 10 straight games and are 5-5 ATS during that span. The Bruins are coming off a win over USC, 60-58, but failed to cover the 11-point line. The Bruins are 9-0 S/U at home but just 5-4 vs the spread. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. A lot of points for the Bruins to by laying here tonight. I like Utah to stay close in this one. Play Utah. |
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01-12-23 | Pepperdine +2.5 v. San Diego | 89-92 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
West Coast Conference clash here late on the Thursday schedule has Pepperdine (7-10 S/U, 5-10 ATS) traveling South to play San Diego (8-10 S/U, 5-11 ATS). The Pepperdine Waves look to snap a four-game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss vs Pacific, 75-80, as a 7.5-point favorite. The San Diego Toreros look to snap a 2-game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss to BYU, 48-68, as a 5-point home dog. They shot jus 31.6% in that loss to the Cougars and 13% from three-point arc. The Toreros are just 3-6 ATS in their nine home games and 7-18-1 ATS their last 26 overall games. The road team is 9-4 ATS the last 13 meetings between these teams. I'll take a shot here tonight plus the points with that road team. Play Pepperdine. |
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01-11-23 | TCU +6.5 v. Texas | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
TCU and Texas both come into tonight's contest with 13 wins each and just two losses. The TCU Horned Frogs are 8-6-1 vs the spread. The Horned Frogs are coming off a home loss to Iowa State, 67-69, as a 5.5-point favorite. They had 18 turnovers in that game and missed 12 free throws, hitting jus 57.1% from the charity stripe. TCU allows just 63.5 ppg this season while scoring 79 ppg. They are also 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games vs a team with a winning home record. In addition, they are 21-8-1 ATS their last 30 road games. Texas rebounded from their loss to Kansas State last Tuesday with a win over Oklahoma State, 56-46 as a 3-point favorite. Texas ranks in the top 20 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. They have to recover from losing HC Chris Beard who was fired over alleged domestic violence charges. The Longhorns average 82.3 ppg and will give the TCU defense one of their best tests this season. This should be a great game between two very good teams. I'm going to take TCU here tonight plus the points with their very good defense. |
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01-11-23 | Florida State +8.5 v. Wake Forest | 75-90 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
ACC Action here tonight has Florida State taking on Wake Forest. The Seminoles have had a tough time thus far, going 5-11 S/U and 7-9 ATS. They started the season real bad, going 1-9 through the first 10 games. Since then they are 4-2 S/U and ATS. They are coming off a win over Georgia Tech, 75-64, as a 2.5-point home favorite. FSU only had one returning starter to a team that was 17-14 last year and 10-10 in the ACC. So it could have taken time for the new players to come together as they have lately. Wake Forest is 11-5 and 8-8 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Louisville, 80-72, as a 9.5-point favorite. They have struggled a bit of late, going 4-4 S/U and 3-5 ATS their last eight games. FSU getting decent points here today and they are improving. I'll take the shot with the dog in this one. Play Florida State. |
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01-11-23 | Virginia Tech v. Syracuse +3.5 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
ACC battle here as Syracuse hosts Virginia Tech. The Va Tech Hokies are 11-5 but bring a four game S/U and ATS losing streak into tonight's contest. The Hokies are coming off a loss vs NC State, 69-73, as a 5.5-point favorite. Not a good start to conference play for the Hokies as they have lost three straight. They haven't played well on the road either, going 7-19-1 ATS their last 27 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Syracuse is 10-6 S/U on the season and coming off a loss at Virginia, 66-73, as a 13-point dog. The Orange return home where they are 7-3 S/U and 6-4 vs the spread this season. The home team has covered five of the last seven in this series. The way Tech is playing of late and especially on the road, I'll take Syracuse here tonight. |
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01-10-23 | Dayton v. Fordham +7.5 | Top | 82-58 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Atlantic 10 matchup here has the 11-5 Dayton Flyers taking on the surprising 13-3 Fordham Rams tonight. Dayton is 3-0 in conference play after their win over St Joseph's, 75-56, as a 14-point favorite. They have also covered six straight games since their crushing loss at Virginia Tech on Dec 7, 49-77, as a 6.5-point dog. Meanwhile, Fordham is coming off a win over St Joe's, 66-54, as a 4-point favorite. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Rams which included losses to Rhode Island and Davidson. Dayton shoots pretty poorly on the raod at just 36.4% and average just 56.7 ppg. Difficult to cover mid-size spread when you don't shoot well or score well on the road. I'll take the points here at home with Fordham. |
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01-10-23 | Florida v. LSU +1.5 | 67-56 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
SEC action tonight has Florida hitting the road at LSU. The Florida Gators are 8-7 S/U and 6-9 ATS on the season. The Gators are coming off a win over Georgia, 82-75, but failed to cover the 8.5-point chalk line. That makes Florida, 1-3 S/U their last four games and 4-7 ATS their last 11 vs the number. The win over Georgia was their first SEC win vs two losses. LSU was 12-1 to start the season before losing its last two games including last game at Texas A&M, 56-69. LSU has had an easy non-conference schedule, however they did have a quality win over a very good Arkansas team 60-57 at home as a 4-point dog. With the line basically a pick'em, I like LSU on their home floor. Play LSU. |
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01-09-23 | TCU +13 v. Georgia | 7-65 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 55 m | Show | |
College Football Championship game here has TCU a big dog to defending Champion Georgia. Georgia really could not be here if the Ohio State kicker made that last second 50-yard Field Goal. Ohio State truly deserved to be here as much as Georgia as they led a lot of the way in that semi-final game. Yet, Georgia survived that missed field goal and here they are. TCU surprised everyone with a dominating performance over Michigan. TCU will have to contend with a Georgia team, though torched by Ohio State, still ranks 5th in the nation in scoring defense. TCU is no slouch though, ranking 5th in the nation in scoring defense (14.8 ppg). They also rank fifth in the FBS in scoring (41.1 ppg). Both teams you can make an argument for. But for me, I have to take these points with TCU. They have a great defense and offense and can stay with Georgia tonight, just as they did with Michigan. Take the points here with TCU. |
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01-08-23 | Houston v. Cincinnati +10 | 72-59 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
The No Houston Cougars would like to get back to the top spot but they have to play here at Cincinnati today. The Cougars have won six straight games after their last win over SMU on Thursday, 87-53. No 1 Purdue lost earlier this week so they could get back that top spot with a win here today. Houston leads the nation in offensive rebounds and it showed in their win over SMU as they held a 21-7 advantage on the offensive glass. A win here today by Cincinnati and that would do wonders for their resume. The Bearcats have won eight of their last 10 games and five of the last six. They have also covered the spread in nine of the last 10 games including eight straight covers at home. Cincy a big home dog here today and I will look for them to stay close and get inside that big number. Play Cincinnati. |
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01-08-23 | Bucs v. Falcons -3.5 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs are 8-8 on the season and just 3-4 on the road as they head to Atlanta for this AFC South contest. The Bucs beat the Panthers last week, 30-24 while the Falcons beat the Cardinals, 20-19. The Bucs QB Tom Brady has never lost to the Falcons and who can forget that NFL Super Bowl combeack he led when with the Patriots. The Bucs are the 4th seed in the playoffs. HC Todd Bowles said he will play the starters here today. Though have to wonder how long Brady will be in the game. Should he come out Blaine Gabbert would take over. The Bucs average just 18.5 ppgs this season and are last in rushing. The Falcons have lost six of their last eight and play for pride here today. Desmond Ridder will make his fourth pro start today. The Bucs already have offensive line issues so with that I don't expect Brady to be in this game a long time. The Bucs are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. I have to believe this game means more to the Falcons then the Bucs. Play Atlanta. |
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01-08-23 | Vikings v. Bears +7.5 | 29-13 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Final week of the season and the Bears only can look to break a nine game losing streak here today at Soldier Field. As for the Vikings they are still playing for position in the NFC playoff picture. The Bears got clobbered last week by the Lions, 10-41 for their ninth straight loss. The Vikings are also coming off a loss last week as the Packers pounded them, 17-41. The Bears will be without QB Justin Fields who will sit out with various injuries today. Nathan Peterman will get the start. A lot of Bears younger players will try to impress for better roles next season with this team or another team. The Vikings looked like one of the best after nine weeks, going 8-1. Then Dallas beat them badly, 3-40. Since then, they are just 4-3. The Vikings have the division won, but a win today could improve their playoff position. I believe the Vikings will do just enough to win here today, but not be able to cover this big line. Play Chicago. |
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01-07-23 | Titans +7 v. Jaguars | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
The AFC South title is on the line as the final week of the regular season begins here on Saturday with a pair of games. The Titans can salvage a bad finish to the season with a win here and playoff berth, while the Jaguars are looking to win five straight. The Jaguars have a one-game lead over the Titans with their 8-8 mark and the Titans 7-9. A Tennessee win and they would take the division because of their better AFC South record. A Jags loss and they could still make the playoffs, but they need help with losses by the Pats, Dolphins and Steelers. With Ryan Tannehill out at QB for the Titans, Mike Vrabel will start Joshua Dobbs over his rookie backup. Dobbs will be making only his second start of his six season NFL career. But I like this move from Vrable as Dobbs is highly intelligent, though lacking starter experience. The only issue is that Dobbs has only been with the team a few weeks. What I also like about this spot is that Vrable has had two weeks to prepare for this game with the Titans off last week. The Pressure is on the Jags today as they are a pretty big favorite. The Jags have done well as a dog, but as much as the chalk. In all likelihood a Jax loss puts them out of the playoffs. Vrable also had done great with teams in the dog role, covering at a very high rate. Plus add the fact that RB Derrick Henry is healthy for this game and I believe the Titans have a great shot here today to win. But lets take the points anyways. Play Tennessee. |
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01-07-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders +9.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -114 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
The Kansas City Chiefs will have all hands on deck here on Sunday as a win will give them the AFC best record and home field throughout the playoffs. The Raiders season is done, QB Derek Carr likely done with the Raiders as Jarrett Stidham makes his second straight start here today. Stidham did well vs the NFL's top defense last week with both his arm and legs, but the Raiders came up just short at home. Stidham passed for 365 yards in that loss. Another potential big loss is that of AFC leading rusher Josh Jacobs. While Jacobs has some nagging injuries, it's a personal issue that may keep him out today. These teams last met back in week 5 and the Raiders comeback fell just short in the loss at KC, 29-30. Jacobs rushed for 154 yards in that contest. KC qb Patrick Mahomes has dominated the Raiders, going 8-1 in career with 26 TD's and just three INT's. The Vegas defense is 29th in the league so look for Mahomes to torch them again here on Saturday. Chiefs should win here today, but can they cover the big spread? I look for the Raiders with Stidham to at least stay inside the number as the KC starters might be pulled if they get up by double digits in this game. No pressure on the Raiders also, and that also helps. I'll take Vegas here on Saturday. |
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01-06-23 | Detroit +5 v. Wright State | 85-90 | Push | 0 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Detroit Mercy looks to improve on last year's 14-16 overall record with two starters returning to this year's edition of the team. The Titans were 10-7 in Horizon League play. The Titans are just 6-9 S/U and 7-7 ATS overall this season. The Titans are coming off a home loss over Wisconsin Milwaukee, 81-84, as a 7-point favorite. This team has had to play a lot of road games thus far, nine in all. They are 2-7 S/U and 4-5 ATS on the road . Wright State returns three starters to their team this year after a 22-14 campaign last year and 15-7 and 4th place Horizon finish. Wright made the NCAA tournament, but lost in the first round. Wright State is 8-7 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. The Raiders are coming off a road win at IUPUI, 82-68, as a 15.5-point favorite. They failed to cover the spread in five of their last seven posted games. They are just 1-3 ATS at home overall this season. Wright State not as good as they have been in previous seasons and this year doesn't look like they have a NCAA caliber team. I'll take the points here today with Detroit. |
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01-05-23 | Bryant +3.5 v. Vermont | Top | 64-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Extra board action today has the Bryant Bulldogs looking to improve to 11 wins tonight. The Dogs are 10-4 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. They have won two straight games and four of their last five including last time out over Binghamton, 82-78 as a 13-point favorite. The Bulldogs return just one starter to a team that was 22-10 last season and 16-2 in the Northeast division. The won the Northeast and then lost in the opening round of the NCAA tournament. The Vermont Catamounts are 7-8 and looking to get back to the .500 mark tonight. The Catamounts are 7-7 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over MD Balt County, 74-61, as a 2-point favorite. They are also 5-1 S/U and 4-1 ATS their last six games. Vermont also returned just one starter to a team that was 28-6 last season and finished first in the America East Conference. Like Bryant, they lost in the NCAA first round. Vermont is 3-13 ATS their last 16 games as at home vs a team with a winning road record. My own numbers had this closer to pick or even Bryant a small favorite. But I will gladly take the 3-points or thereabout that the oddsmaker is giving me. Take Bryant. |
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01-05-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee +6.5 v. Cleveland State | 68-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Two teams near the top of the Horizon league meet here tonight as 8-7 (3-1) Cleveland State hosts 9-5 (3-1) Wisconsin Milwaukee. The Milwaukee Panthers are 6-5 vs the number this season and look to build on their win over Detroit, 84-81 as a 7-point dog. The Panthers have won seven of the last nine games and covered five of their last eight posted games. Milwaukee had to replace all five starters off a team that was just 10-22 last year and lost in the Horizon first round. The Cleveland State Vikings returned two starters to a 20-11 team from last year. They finished tied for 1st in the Horizon with a 15-6 record and lost in the NIT first round. They are 8-7 overall this season and 7-6 vs the number. The Vikings are coming off a win over Robert Morris, 63-54, as a 2-point dog. They are 2-4 S/U and 1-4 ATS over their las five games. Milwaukee getting some decent points here today and I'll take that price. Play Wisconsin Milwaukee. |
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01-04-23 | Lindenwood v. Arkansas-Little Rock -6.5 | 67-62 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
The Lindenwood Lions are 6-9 to start their season. The Lions are 6-5-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Tennessee Tech last time out, 82-64. That win snapped a three game losing streak. Their biggest game thus far was at BYU, where they lost 61-90 as a 23.5-point dog. Arkansas Little Rock looks for their sixth win of the season here tonight. The Trojans are 5-10 overall and 7-6 vs the spread. They are coming off a loss to Tennessee State, 69-94, as a 4.5-point dog. This team is undefeated at home, going 4-0 S/U and 2-0 vs the spread and outscoring their opponents by 80.8 to 67.8 margin. I like the Trojans on their home court where they have flourished. Take Arkansas Little Rock. |
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01-04-23 | Belmont v. Illinois-Chicago +4.5 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
The Belmont Bruins returned just one starter to a team that was 25-8 last year and 15-3 in the Missouri Valley Conference. The Bruins lost in the NIT first round last year. Belmont is 9-6 this season and 7-7 vs the spread. The Bruins had their three-game win streak snapped last game by Southern Illinois, 45-63, as a 4.5-point dog. The Bruins are just 2-4 on the road with a 2-4 spread mark in their six away games. They have also been outscored on the road by a 6.5 point margin. Illinois Chicago Flames look to hit the 10 win mark today after a 9-6 start. The Flames are also 10-4 vs the spread. They are coming off a loss at Bradley, 45-79, as a 15-point dog. The Flames are 5-2 S/U and 5-1 ATS at home and outscoring opponents by a 67-61.3 mark. The Flames play well at home while the Bruins have not played well on the road. I'll take the home club here today. Play Illinois Chicago. Illinois Chicago |
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01-04-23 | Auburn v. Georgia +7.5 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Two SEC powerhouses meet tonight as 11-2 Auburn takes on 10-3 Georgia. The Auburn Tigers are 11-2 S/U and 5-8 ATS on the season. They have played just two away games and are 1-1 S/U and ATS, but getting outscored by 10 points on the road. They have won two straight games, including last time out vs Florida, 61-58, as a 5.5-point favorite. Georgia looks to extend their win streak to four games here this evening. The Bulldogs are coming off a win over Rider, 79-72, as a 10-point favorite. The Dogs have also been perfect at home, going 8-0 S/U, but covering just three of those games. They have yet to be a home dog and here tonight they will be getting around 7 points. I'll take that with a team that hasn't lost on their home court yet. Take Georgia. |
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01-03-23 | Ball State +8.5 v. Toledo | 90-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
MAC action here today has Toledo hosting Ball State. Ball State begins conference play after a 9-4 S/U and 6-5 ATS mark heading into today's contest. Ball State started the season at just 4-4 before winning their last five games and covering four of their last six games. They are coming off a win over Chicago State, 70-63, as a 11.5-point favorite. The Cardinals returned three starters to a team that was 14-17 overall and 9-10 in the MAC last year. The Cardinals lost in the MAC quarterfinals and did not play in any postseason tournaments. HC Lewis played for Bobby Knight and brings a tough mentality to this team and will rely almost exclusively on a man-to-man defense. Meanwhile, high hopes for a Toledo team that returns four starters to a club that was 26-8 last year and won the MAC with a 17-3 record. The Rockets got snubbed by the NCAA and lost in the first round of the NIT tournament. The Rockets have won the MAC twice in a row and are predicted to win it again this year. They are 9-4 S/U and 7-5 ATS so far this season as they head into conference play today. They have won two straight games and four of their last five. However, they have covered just two of their last five. The dog has done well in this series, covering 16 of the last 23. That's who I am on here today, Ball State. |
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01-03-23 | Marquette v. St. John's +2.5 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
A pair of teams with identical 11-4 records meet here today as St Johns hosts Marquette. The Marquette Golden Eagles returned two starters to a team that was 19-13 last year overall and 11-8 in the Big East. The Eagles made the NCAA tournament last year but lost in the first round. They have started well with those 11 wins this year and are also 9-5-1 ATS. They have won two straight games both S/U and ATS and four of the last five games. They are coming off a win at Villanova, 68-66 as a 2.5-point dog. They have played four road games and are just 2-2 S/U and 3-1 ATS away from home. They have also been outscored by 1.8 ppg on the road. Yet, here they are a favorite at another 11-win team. St Johns returned three starters to a team that was 17-15 overall last year and 8-11 in the Big East. The Red Storm looks to break a three game losing streak here today. They have also lost three streak vs the spread. They are coming off a road loss to Seton Hall, 66-88, as a 3-point dog. They have been good at home, going 8-1 S/U but only 3-6 vs the spread and outscoring visitors by a 82.6 to 67.1 margin. Don't really care about the spread record at home since the Storm as a dog here today. I'll take them to just win the game tonight. Play St Johns. |
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01-02-23 | West Virginia +3 v. Oklahoma State | 60-67 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
The West Virginia Mountaineers look to build on an already impressive early season with a 10-3 record and 7-6 spread mark after 13 games. The Mountaineers four game win streak was snapped last time out at Kansas State, 76-82, as a pick'em. West Virginia looks well improved over a team that went 16-17 last season and just 4-14 in the Big 12. They returned just one starter to this year's edition. The moves made this year look to have improved the teams depth and better offensively. So far that looks to be just the case. Oklahoma State is 8-5 S/U and 7-6 ATS to start the season. The Cowboys are coming off a loss at Kansas, 67-69, as a 10-point dog. OK State returned four starters to a team that was 15-15 overall and 8-12 in the Big 12 last year. The Big 12 is one of the toughest conference in basketball with two National Championships in the last two years with Baylor and Kansas. Looks like West Virginia and Ok State will want to throw their respective hats into that pool too this year. I'm taking West Virginia here today. |
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01-02-23 | Utah v. Penn State +1.5 | Top | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
The Rose Bowl has the PAC-12 Champion Utah taking on Penn State from the Big 10. The Utah Utes are 10-3 on the season and look to win their first ever Rose Bowl here on Monday. They won the PAC-12 in back-to-back seasons. They rank in the top 20 in both the offense and defense. Penn State will be making its fifth trip to the Rose Bowl and its first win since 1995. Penn State was third in a very good Big 10 in both scoring 35.8 ppg and total offense. Utah though will be hampered a bit here on Monday as both their top rusher and receiver from the regular season will not play here today. Will we see the same Utah team that took down USC in the PAC-12 Championship? I see this Penn State team as being very well balanced and with those two key players missing on Utah, I'll take the Nittany Lions here today. Play Penn State. |
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01-02-23 | Mt. St. Mary's +3 v. Canisius | 64-60 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
The Mount St Mary's Mountaineers look to climb closer to the .500 mark with a win tonight at Canisius. The Mountaineers are 5-9 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. They have lost three straight games after their last loss at Niagara, 55-67, as a 2.5-point dog. They return three starters to a team that finished 14-16 overall last season and 9-9 in the Metro Atlantic. Mt St Mary's was a dominant factor in the NorthEast conference before accepting a invitation to the MAAC conference this season. They lost in the NEC conference semi-finals last season. With the upgrade in conferences this season, the Mountaineers will rely on their solid defense to keep them in games. Even though they are 2-5 their last seven, none of their opponents have scored more than 69 points. Now they face the Canisius Golden Griffins who are just 2-10 S/U and 5-6 ATS on the season. The Griffins have lost eight straight games including last time out to Rider, 64-66, as a 2.5-point dog. The Griffins didn't do well last year either, going 11-21 overall and losing in the MAAC first round. Even though they returned three starters they look to be playing much worse this year. If there is a team that Mt St Mary's should be able to dominate in the MAAC, this is one of them. Play Mt St Marys. |
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01-02-23 | Purdue v. LSU -14 | 7-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
One big thing you have to keep in mind for these bowl games is which teams have players that want to play. We see it more and more where players either enter the transfer portal or opt out to prepare for the NFL draft. Some still will play for their team, but most don't. Purdue will get hit by that today in the Citrus Bowl. The Boilermakers were 8-5 on the season. Former Purdue QB and Saint's all star Drew Brees will be an assistant coach today as HC Jeff Brohm moves on to Louisville. They will also be without QB Aidan O'Connell and WR Charlie Jones (the Nation's leading receiver in receptions) along with three other full-time starters. All five of those players opted out to enter the transfer portal. LSU was 9-4 and while they will also miss a few players, they weren't hit nearly as hard as Purdue. WR Kayshon Boutte will be their biggest player opting out for the NFL Draft. LSU was happy to welcome back QB Jayden Daniels who announced he would return for 2023. Purdue's offense will be a big question here today without HC Brohm and the combo of O'Connell to Jones also gone. I'm taking LSU here today as they will have a big edge at the QB position. Play LSU. |
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01-02-23 | Mississippi State -3 v. Illinois | 19-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
Early game on the Monday Bowl schedule has Mississippi State taking on Illinois. The Bulldogs will be playing with heavy hearts here today after the passing of their coach, Mike Leach. Both these teams did more than expected of them this year. Illinois started the season with a 7-1 record but then had three straight losses to Michigan State, Purdue and Michigan. They did finish the season with a win over Northwestern to get to eight wins. Miss State also started fast, getting out of the gate to a 5-1 start, but they could only play .500 ball the rest of the way. Have to wonder how this Miss State will rebound since the passing of their coach on Dec 12. DC Zach Arnett will take over the heac coaching duties here today. Miss State decided to play this game despite losing their coach. That makes me believe that want to win this one for the coach. That can be a strong motivating factor and I will be on them here today. Play Mississippi State. |
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01-01-23 | Steelers +2.5 v. Ravens | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
AFC North Clash here on Sunday has the Pittsburgh Steelers not officially elminated from the playoffs but in need in help and a win here on Sunday. The Steelers are 7-8 on the season and have won two straight games. They scored a late touchdown last week to beat the Raiders, 13-10, as a 2.5-point favorite. They held the Raiders to just 201 totals yards and 58 rushing yards. The Baltimore Ravens have secured a playoffs spot with their 10-5 record. The Ravens beat the Falcons last week 17-9, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Ravens will one again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who is out with a knee injury. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five, 16-7-3 ATS their last 26 games in January and 9-4-1 ATS their last 14 in Week 17. The Steelers are also 2-5 Ov/Un in their last seven vs the NFC North and 22-47-1 Ov/Un in their last 70 road games. The Ravens are 1-5-1 their last seven vs the AFC and AFC North. They are also 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The Ravens have gone under in their last four games, under in their last eight on field turf and under in six straight at home. The Dog is 20-6-3 ATS the last 29 meetings between these teams. These teams have also gone under in six of the last eight in Baltimore and under in four straight overall. I'm taking the Steelers and the UNDER here today in a must win spot against a Baltimore team that I don't expect to get many points. |
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01-01-23 | Ohio State v. Northwestern +2.5 | 73-57 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Big 10 matchup late on the Sunday schedule has Northwestern hosting Ohio State. The Ohio State Buckeyes are 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. The Buckeyes have won two straight and four of their last five games. The one loss in that group was a setback to North Carolina, 84-89 as a 2.5-point dog. This team has really only played one away game and that was at Duke in a 72-81 loss as a 5-point dog. The Northwestern Wildcats enter conference play with a 10-2 S/U and 7-5 ATS record. The Cats have won five straight games and covered three of those. That includes last time out vs Browns, 63-58, as a 13.5-point favorite. The Cats are also 7-1 S/U and 3-5 ATS at home. This will also be their first home games installed as the dog. I like Northwestern here, they have a good home record and will get a few points here today. |
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01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers -3 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
Just two weeks left in the regular season and the Minnesota Vikings have wrapped-up the NFC North Division with a 12-3 record. They are 5-games ahead of both Detroit and the Packers. Packers need a win here today to keep their postseason hopes alive. The Vikings beat the Giants last week, 27-24, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Packers went to Miami and beat the Dolphins, 26-20, as a 3.5- point favorite. The Packers were +3 in turnover ratio in that game. The Vikings are just 3-10 ATS their last 13 vs a team with a losing record. The Packers do well on the grass, going 17-7 ATS their last 24. The Vikings are 5-1 Ov/Un in their last six vs the NFC North and 8-1 Ov/Un in their last nine on hte road vs a team with a losing home record. They have also gone over in five straight games. The Packers are 11-5 Ov/Un in their last 16 vs the NFC North and 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 games in week 17 of the season. The Packers have covered nine of the last 13 vs the Vikings in Green Bay and the home team is 9-4 ATS the last 13. In addition, these games have gone over in four of their last five Meetings. Take the Packers today. |
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01-01-23 | Jets v. Seahawks +2 | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Two teams in desperate need of a win to keep their playoff hops alive meet today as the Seahawks host the Jets. Both teams are 7-8 and both have a narrow slot at make the Wild Card playoffs, but both must win here today. The Jets lost their last home game of the season last week to the Jaguars, 3-19. It was their fifth loss in the last six weeks. Seattle also lost last week to the Cheifs, 10-24. The Jets would be eliminated from the playoffs with a loss and will also need the Pats to lose a game. The Seahawks are 8th in the West but will need to not only win, but will also need a Washington and Green Bay loss to get in. These two teams are very evenly matched and with Zach Wilson benched again that actually will help the Jets. But I think it's the Seattle defense that will step up today and do just enough to get the Seahawks the win in what will be a close finish. Take the point or so with Seattle here today. |
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01-01-23 | Tulsa +8.5 v. SMU | 67-92 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Two teams looking to climb back near the .500 mark meet here today as SMU hosts Tulsa. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are just 4-8 and 1-10-1 ATS on the season. They are still looking for their first road win of the season after three losses. They have lost two straight games including to highly ranked Houston, 50-89, as a 20-point dog. This will be a AAC Conference matchup as the SMU Mustangs play their first conference game of the Year. The Mustangs are 5-8 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Hawaii, 57-58, as a 4-point dog. That snapped a 2-game win streak. Two teams having poor seasons thus far and both look to turn things around as conference play begins. I'll take the points as I think this is just too much for this SMU to be laying today. Tulsa can play as we saw them lose earlier in the season to Oregon, 70-73. Take Tulsa. |
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12-31-22 | Ohio State +6 v. Georgia | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Ohios State Buckeyes looked like the team to beat in the Big 10 before Michigan dismantled them in their annual matchup. Really Ohio State is lucky to be here with USC losing and opening the door for them to slide back in. There is no pressure on the Buckeyes here today since really they shouldn't even be here. The Buckeyes were 2nd in scoring offense with a 44.5 ppg average. They also had a very good defense, ranked 13th in scoring, holding opponents to just 19.2 ppg. Meanwhile, Georgia was perfect on the Year and had little trouble in the SEC. Stetson Bennet led the team with 3,425 yards passing and 20 TD's. Of course you can make a case for either team. But for me, this high scoring Ohio State team as a nice dog is too much for me to pass up on. I believe Ohio State can win this game, but I'll take the points anyways. Play Ohio State. |
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12-31-22 | TCU +8 v. Michigan | 51-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Look for defense to be the name of the day here as TCU takes on Michigan. The TCU defense has been great, especially in a secondary that forces a lot of INT's. On offense, they are led by QB Max Duggan, the Heisman Trophy runner up. Duggan had 30 TD's this year and over 3,300 yards passing and just four INT's. But his legs also get him lots of yards with 404 rushing and six TD's on the ground this year. They also will be healthy for this game as everyone is available. For Michigan, they will miss their best running back in Blake Corrum (1,463 yards and 18 TD's after he injured his knee vs Illinois and will not play today. For me, it's all about the TCU offense led by Duggan and their excellent defense. I can get a TD or even better here with the Horned Frogs looks to be a steal to me. Play TCU. |
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12-31-22 | San Jose State +9 v. Colorado State | 78-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Two Mountain West teams face off this afternoon as Colorado State hosts San Jose State. The San Jose State Spartans are 10-4 S/U and 9-4 ATS on the season. The Spartans have won two straight games and four of their last five. They have covered five straight. They are coming of the upset win over UNLV, 75-72, as a 5-point dog. The Spartans are 6-1 S/U and 4-2 at home this season and have outscored opponents by a 71.,0-60.1 margin. The Colorado State Rams are 8-6 S/U and 5-8 ATS on the season. The Rams have lost two straight games both S/U and ATS, including their last game at New Mexico, 69-88, as a 6-point dog. The Rams are just 2-4 S/U their last six and 4-6 their last 10 games. In addition, they are 1-4 ATS their last five games and 3-6 ATS their last nine games. I like the Spartans here today as a nice dog. Take San Jose State. |
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12-31-22 | Kansas State +7 v. Alabama | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Bowl has Alabama taking on the Big 12 Champion, Kansas State. The Alabama Crimson Tide might be in for a bet of a letdown here today. Winning bowl games is about the players that want to be there and play in the game. I have to wonder about Alabama. They finished with 10 wins and made a case for their being in the playoff final four, but find themselves instead in the Sugar Bowl. Most teams would relish the kind of season Alabama had, but this isn't any team. Most surprising is that neither team looks to without players opting out or going into the transfer portal. Alabama is loaded at offense with last year's Heisman winner Bryce Young leading them at QB. This team averaged 40.8 ppg during the regular season. The Tide look to be a heavy favorite with their offense, but I still wonder if they will have motivation here today. Kansas State can take solice in that the Tide allowed 318 yards to Auburn in their last game, 181 yards rushing to Ole Miss and 185 yards rushing to LSU, all three of those over their last four games. Kansas State won 10 games too this year and might figure to be the be dog as everyone counts them out. I'm going to take the points with the Wild Cats here today and see which Alabama team shows up. Play Kansas State. |
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12-30-22 | Clemson v. Tennessee +6 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
It's the SEC vs the ACC in the Orange Bowl here today as Tennessee faces off against Clemson. This is a fitting bowl for two teams that will be all orange playing in a sea of orange here today. Both teams will also play with QB's that didn't play most of the season. Joe Milton will start for Tennessee after taking over for injured Hendon Hooker in the Vols loss to South Carolina. He did lead the Vols to a lopsided win over Vanderbilt, 56-0. True Freshman Cade Klubnik came in the ACC Championship game win over North Carolina, 39-10. That lead to previous starter, DJ Uiagelelei's entry into the transfer portal that takes him to Oregon State. The Vols had the nation's third ranked passing attack under Hooker, so it will be interesting to see how they attack the Clemson defense. While these teams look a bit different then they did earlier, still should be a very good Orange Bowl. I'm going to stick with Tennessee though in this game. Play Tennessee. |
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12-30-22 | NC State +2 v. Clemson | 64-78 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
The NC State Wolfpack off to a nice start this season as we exit the holiday break. The Pack are 11-3 S/U and 6-6-2 ATS. They have won three straight games including last game vs Louisville, 76-64. They are just 1-4-1 ATS though during their last six games. The Pack returned three starters to a team that was just 11-21 last year and 4-16 in the ACC. The 21 losses was a school record. HC Keatts said they needed to get bigger, stronger and older if they were to compete this year. So far, it looks like they are doing just that. The Clemson Tigers finished last season at just 17-16 overall and 8-12 in the ACC. They lost in the ACC second round. The Tigers also looked improved as they are 10-3 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. The Tigers headed into the holiday break with a win over Georgia Tech on Dec 21, 79-66. That made two wins in a row and six of their last seven. Both these teams look improved over last year's editions. But I'm a bit more impressed with the big turnaround that NC State has had. I'll take them here today plus the small points. |
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12-30-22 | South Carolina +3.5 v. Notre Dame | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish can end the season with 9 wins with a win today over South Carolina. The Gamecocks look to win their third straight game here today at the Gator Bowl. South Carolina started the season slow, going 1-2 after three games. However, the finished with a 5-2 mark the final seven games. They also averaged just under 40 points per game in those final five wins. Their biggest win was a dominant performance over Tennessee for their 7th win, 63-38 with over 600 yards of offense. They then finished the season by beating Clemson on the road, 31-30 as a 14 point dog. Notre Dame lost their last game of the regular season at USC, 27-38, as a 4.5-point dog. Both these offenses are very good. But I have been impressed at how S.Carolina performed those final two weeks as double digit dogs in both games. I'll take the points here today with South Carolina. |
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12-30-22 | Pittsburgh v. UCLA -7.5 | Top | 37-35 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Panthers and UCLA Bruins meet for the first time in football in 50 years as they play in the Sun Bowl from El Paso Texas. The No 18 Bruins had a fine season under Chip Kelly, finishing the regular season at 9-3. If not for a pair of late season losses, the Bruins might have made the NCAA playoff picture. The Bruins should be at full strength despite many players declaring for the NFL Draft or entering the transfer portal. THe Panther on the other hand will be missing seven key players due to the draft and transfers. Pitt finished 8-4 on the season. The big player here today will be UCLA QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson and RB Zach Charbonnet - both of which will play in this Bowl. This UCLA offense is as good as any in the country, especially with DTR and Charbonnet leading the way. Pitt will have trouble staying with this UCLA team with so many good players missing today. I'm taking UCLA. |
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12-30-22 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh +6.5 | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 1 h 51 m | Show | |
The North Carolina Tar Heels are 9-4 to start the season and 4-9 vs the spread. The Heels have won four straight games including last game vs Michigan, 80-76, as a 5-point favorite. This four game streak snapped a four game losing streak and a 5-game spread losing streak. N.Carolina returned four starters to a team that was 29-10 last year and lost in the NCAA Championship game. A lot is was expected of this team this year and so far it's been an up and down and up season. The Pitt Panthers returned three starters to a team that was not good last year, going 11-21 overall and 6-14 in the ACC. They lost in the first round of their conference tournament. The Panthers have almost as many wins as they did all of last year with a 9-4 record so far. They have also been very good to bettors, going 9-2-2 ATS. The Panthers have covered eight in a row and haven't lost in 10 games to the spread. The Panthers have also won three in a row and eight of their last nine games. I think the six-points as a dog are worth the shot here this morning on the Panthers. Play Pittsburgh. |
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12-29-22 | Washington +3.5 v. Texas | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 44 h 5 m | Show |
Alamo Bowl here on Thursday has Washington taking on Texas. Texas finished the regular season at 8-4 after back-to-back wins in the final two games. The Huskies finished with six straight wins. The Longhorns will miss one of their best running backs in Bijan Robinson (6.1 ypc and 18 TD's). Robinson decided to sit out the bowl game as he prepares for the NFL draft. This will put more pressure on QB Quinn Ewers. Washington had 10 wins under one-year coach Kalen DeBoer. And Washington has been playing as good as any team in the country. They have one of the best offenses in the country and an improving defense. The offense is 2nd in the nation in total offense and first in passing offense. Neither team will have much rushing, so the passing edges goes to Washington here today. I think it's a gift getting points with the Huskies today. Take Washington. |
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12-29-22 | Oklahoma v. Florida State -9 | 32-35 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 40 m | Show | |
Cheez-It Bowl here on Thursday has Oklahoma taking on Florida State. This will be the fifth ever postseason meeting between these two teams. Florida State enjoyed a rejuvenated season after four straight losing campaigns. The Sooners on the other hand had a down season under first year HC Brent Venables, finishing just 6-6. A loss here today and it will be the team's first losing season since 1998. FSU had a nice season under HC Mike Norvell, going 9-3 and can have their first 10-win season since 2016. OU running back Eric Gray has opted out of this game as he declared for the NFL draft. That's a big loss on the ground for the Sooners. FSU ranked top 25 nationally in sacks with 34. They also have a top 20 total scoring defense that yielded the fewest yards per game in the ACC. These teams headed in different directions and with the Sooners missing a key running back they will have troubles against this top defense of the Seminoles. I'll lay the points here with Florida State. |
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12-28-22 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +1.5 | 78-67 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
A pair of SEC basketball powerhouses meet today as 10-2 Alabama travels to Mississippi State to take on the Bulldogs who are 11-1. Alabama rebounded from their 2nd loss of the season on Saturday the 17th to Gonzaga, 90-100, with a win over Jackson State, 84-64 on the 20th but failed to cover the 29.5-point favorite line. The Tide have failed to cover the spread in three straight. Alabama returned three starters to a team that was 19-14 last year and 9-9 in the SEC. They made the NCAA, but lost in the first round. Miss St is 11-1 S/U and 5-6 ATS. They also have failed to cover their last three games. They are coming off their first loss of the season the 20th to Drake, 52-58, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bulldogs returned two starters to a 18-16 team from last year. They lost in the NIT first round. The Dogs had Chris Jan take over the helm and he has a reputation of rebuilding teams on Junior College players and transfers. And so far that looks to be just what he has done with the Dogs now at 11-1 on the season. Basically pick the winner here tonight with the Tide a 1-point favorite. I like the home team here. Play Mississippi State. |
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12-28-22 | Ole Miss -3.5 v. Texas Tech | 25-42 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Ole Miss comes in losing three straight games while Tech has won three straight. Speculation that Ole Miss HC Lane Kiffin might be headed to SEC foe Auburn. But Kiffin has come out and said he's staying at Ole Miss. So with that settled, Ole Miss can get back to how they started the season. The Rebels won seven straight to start the season. This Tech team has had a Jekyl and Hyde season. They looked like they would make a bowl. At one stage the Red Raiders were 4-5 as they came down the stretch. But the Raiders rallied in November and ended up rattling off three straight wins to end the year. Texas Tech hit their peak against TCU and Oklahoma. It's hard to get up again for a game like today. Ole Miss has much more desire to play for a win. Take Ole Miss. |
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12-28-22 | Kentucky v. Missouri +3 | 75-89 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
Reason: Two teams having fine seasons meet here on Wednesday as Missouri hots Kentucky. The Kentucky Wildcats are 8-3 S/U and 4-7 ATS on the season. The Cats have won five of their last six but covered just one of those games. They are coming off a win over Florida A&M last Wednesday, 88-68, as a 37.5-point favorite. The Missouri Tigers are 11-1 S/U and 7-5 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming on Dec 10 to Kansas, 67-95, as a 3.5-point home dog. They are coming off a win over Illinois last Thursday, 93-71, as a 6.5-point home dog. Kentucky returned only two starters to a team that went 26-8 last year and 14-4 in the SEC. The Cats lost in the NCAA first round last year. Missouri had just one returning starter this year after a 12-21 campaign last year. They finished 12th in the SEC and lot in the SEC 2nd round tournament. One more win and they will have as many wins as they did all of last season. The Tigers playing very well and getting a few points at home is a nice bonus today. Take Missouri. |
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12-27-22 | East Carolina -7 v. Coastal Carolina | 53-29 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Despite their proximity, this will be the first meeting between East Carolina and Coastal Carolina in the Birmingham Bowl. East Carolina is 7-5 and with a win will have their most wins since 2014 and their first bowl win since 2013. Coastal won in the Bowls last year. Coastal QB Grayson McCall has entered the transfer portal, but is expect to play one more game for Coastal here today. McCall has 24 TD's this season. The problem with Coastal is their defense, which ranks 98th in the nation. East Carolina has a top 25 offense and should move the ball easily today vs this Coastal defense which allows 459 yards. That for me is the key in this game, the inability for Coastal to contain the East Carolina offense. Take East Carolina. |
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12-27-22 | Georgia Southern -5 v. Buffalo | 21-23 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
Crampton Bowl today has two teams that have never met before as Buffalo takes on Georgia Southern. Ga Southern has lost three of their last four as they head into today's contest. The Eagles had to beat App State to qualify for this game in what was a back-and-forth scorefest, 51-48. Buffalo also limped into this game. After starting the season 5-3 they lost three in a row and had to come from a 0-16 deficit to Kent State to rally and get into this game. Ga Southern has the fourth ranked passing attack in the nation and that will give Buffalo lots of problems here today. The Eagles can also run the ball with Jalen White who had 914 yards and 10 TD's this year. That will be against a Buffalo defense that had lots of problems stopping the run as they allowed 175 ypg on average. Could be a very high scoring game with both offenses very good. But for me, I give the edges in this one to Ga southern because of their passing game. Play Georgia Southern. |
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12-25-22 | Packers +3.5 v. Dolphins | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
The Miami Dolphins can take a step closer to a Wild Card slot in the AFC with a win today over the Green Bay Packers. The Dolphins are 8-6 in the AFC East, but with the Buffalo win on Saturday they Bills locked up the division. The Packers are 6-8 overall and while not mathematically eliminated, they have a tall task to get the playoffs and a must win here today. The Packers are coming off a win over the Rams last week, 24-12 as a 7.5-point home favorite. That made two wins in a row for thee Packers. Miami lost a close game to the Bills last week in Buffalo, 29-32, as a 7-point dog. That loss makes three losses in a row for the Dolphins. If the Packers can win here today on the road, they will finish the season at home on Lambeau Field for their final two games. Dolphins' center Mitch Morse did not return after being evaluated for a head injury in the second half of last week's game vs the Bills. He is listed as questionable today and he's the one that calls out the lanes and blocking assignments in audibles among snapping the ball. The Dolphins rank 27th in opponent third-down conversion percentage and they rank near the bottom of the league in passing defense (27th), scoring defense (26th), and red-zone defense (25th). The Pack has won four of the last five vs the Dolphins and today I'll take the points with the visitors. Play Green Bay. |
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12-24-22 | Eagles +4.5 v. Cowboys | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
With the cyclone bomb hitting most of the country this weekend, we can fully expect the retractable roof here in Dallas to be closed for this game. Other than the weather, the big news here is that QB Jalen Hurts (shoulder) will miss today's game at Dallas. Garner Minshew is expected to make the start in his place. Both these teams have clinched a playoff spot as the Eagles are 13-1 with the best record in the NFL and the Cowboys are 10-4. The Cowboys lost to the Eagles back in October when Cooper Rush was filling in for Dak Prescott. The Dallas defense, once one of the best in the league, has suffered injuries and it showed in their loss last week to the Jaguars. The Eagles clinch the NFC and Home field advantage and a first round bye with a win here today ad Dallas. The Cowboys would have to win out the rest of the way if they hope to get the East title. While Minshew won't bring the rushing dynamic to the Eagles, he is deadly accurate as a thrower and will change the game plan here today for the Eagles. Even without Minshew here today I like the Eagles who have the better defense and they want to lock up everything so they can rest a few weeks. Play Philly. |
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12-23-22 | Wizards v. Kings -8.5 | Top | 125-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
It's been a rough stretch for the Washington Wizards as they are just 1-11 S/U and 3-8-1 ATS their last 12 games. They are coming off a loss at Utah last game, 112-120, as a 6-point dog. More bad news, the Wizards could be without one of their best players here tonight in Forward Kristaps Purzingis who is battling an illness. Purzingis is averaging 22 points a game this season. Meanwhile, Sacramento is having a decent season with a 17-13 S/U and 19-11 ATS record. The Kings are coming off a win over the Lakers, 134-120, as a 7.5-point favorite. That makes three wins in the last four games both S/U and ATS. The Kings have averaged 123.7 ppg at home this season and if they come close to that tonight I can't see the Wizards keeping pace, especially if they are missing that key cog. Take the Kings. |
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12-22-22 | Air Force +3.5 v. Baylor | Top | 30-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
Armed Forces Bowl here today is the lone college game on the slate. Air Force takes on Baylor. The AF Falcons bring a four-game win streak into this game and are 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. The Falcons averaged 27.7 ppg while holding opponents to just 13.2 ppg. Air Force coming off that fine defensive effort in their win over Navy, 13-3, as a 2.50 point favorite. They held Navy to -1 yard rushing and just 188 yards passing. They will face a Baylor Bear team that had a down season at just 6-6 S/U and 7-5 ATS. The Bears averaged 33.6 ppg while allowing 26.6 ppg. The Bears tied for 6th in the Big 12 standings with just two teams having a worse record. The Bears bring a 3-game losing streak into today's contest, coming off a loss at Texas, 27-38, as a 10-point dog. These teams haven't met since 1977. Air Force is led by RB Brad Roberts, who had 1612 rushing yards and 15TD's this season. Motivation is a key in these bowl games and Acacdemy's usually have plenty of that because their seniors will likely be the last time they wear the football uniform. Plus getting points with a team that can win 10 games is more than enough for me. I'll take Air Force here today. |
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12-21-22 | USC v. Colorado State +3 | 73-64 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
This is the late game on the college hoop slate tonight as Colorado State hosts USC. The USC Trojans are 9-3 S/U and 5-7 ATS on the season. USC has won five straight games, covering just two of those. They are coming off a win over Auburn, 74-71, as a 1.5-point dog. USC has played only one away game this season and that was a win at Cal, 66-51, as a 9.5-point favorite. Colorado State is 8-4 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. The Rams are coming off a big upset win at St Mary's, 62-60, as a 11.5-point dog. The Rams are 6-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS at home this season and outscoring their opponents by 85-65.7 marching. This will be the Rams first game at home where they are installed as the dog. Colorado State only returned one starter to a team that went 25-6 last year and lost in the NCAA tournament first round. The Rams look loaded again in their back court. The Rams looking for another NCAA bid are doing their part with that big win over St Mary's. They know another win here tonight against USC will also pad their resume. I like Colorado State here tonight on their home floor. |
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12-21-22 | Denver +8.5 v. Oregon State | 52-57 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
The Denver Pioneers look to rebound from their loss at Nebraska-Omaha, 66-83, as a 1.5-point favorite. The Pioneers having a decent season at 9-4 S/U and 6-5 ATS. They have covered four of their last five spread games. Denver returned two starters that went 11-21 last year and 7-11 in the Summit Conference. With a big step last year they are expect to finish in the top four of the conference this year and thus far they are showing worthy of that. They face an Oregon State team that really has no where to go but up after a 3-28 season last year and 1-19 PAC-12 mark. However, they return just one starter to this year's team. They have already surpassed last year with a 6-6 mark this season. They are also 5-5-1 ATS. The Beavers are coming off a win over Wisconsin Green Bay, but failed to cover the 16-point line, 65-56. The Beavers definitely a better team this year than last, but laying eight points tonight to a decent Denver team is just a bit much for me. I'll take the dog in Denver. |
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12-21-22 | South Alabama -3 v. Western Kentucky | 23-44 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Reason: Lone game on the Bowl slate tonight has the New Orleans Bowl between South Alabama and Western Kentucky. The Sun Belt rep in this game has won five straight New Orleans Bowls and the South Alabama Jaguars look to make that six in a row here tonight. Western Kentucky had a lot of replacing to do on offense this year as OC Zach Kittley, QB Bailey Zappe and their top two receivers all departed. However, they did a good job replacing them as they are back in the Bowl game again this year with a 8-5 record. South Alabama is under 2nd year coach Kane Wommack and he had them at 5-7 last year but stepped up this year to a 10-2 mark as both sides of the ball saw great improvements. One of their losses came by just one point to UCLA. One area that could be a problem for Western tonight is their rush defense, that allowed 155.9 yards per game and their 2nd leading tackler will be out as he declared for the NFL Draft. This game will be the South Alabama outstanding defense against the Western Ky offense. Look for South Alabama to control the ball on the ground and their defense to stiffle the Hilltoppers. I expect South Alabama to come out on top here tonight. |
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12-21-22 | Auburn v. Washington +4 | 84-61 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
A pair of nine win teams face off tonight from Washington as the Huskies host the Auburn Tigers. The Tigers make the long trip West with their 9-2 S/U and 4-7 ATS records. The Tigers are coming off a loss at USC on Sunday, 71-74, as a 1.5-point favorite. That was the teams third straight game that they haven't covered and fifth of their last six games. Washington is 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. The Huskies have won two straight games including last time out over Idaho State, 90-55, as a 14.5-point favorite. Washington is 7-1 S/U at home this season and has only been a home dog once and they won that game over Colorado, 73-63. I like Washington tonight to win this game straight0up, but I'll take the points. Play Washington. |
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12-21-22 | Bucks v. Cavs -1.5 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Two of the Eastern Conference heavyweights will clash here tonight as the 22-8 Milwaukee Bucks travel to Cleveland to take on the 21-11 Cavaliers. The Bucks are 17-11-2 ATS on the season and have covered their last two games. They are coming off a win at New Orleans, 128-119, as a 1-point dog. The Bucks have won seven of their last nine games and are 5-3-1 ATS during that span. The Cavs are 18-13-1 ATS this season and have won four straight games after their win over the Jazz, 122-99, as a 7-point favorite. What I like most about this Cavs team is their play at home. The Cavaliers are 15-2 S/U and 13-4 ATS at home this year and outscoring opponents by a 113.7-1-3.4 margin. Both teams are good and you can make a case for either, but I will take the Cavs at home tonight. |
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12-21-22 | St. John's +5.5 v. Villanova | Top | 63-78 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
The St John's Red Storm having an excellent season as they are off to a 11-1 S/U mark and 6-6 spread record. The Red Storm only loss coming at Iowa State on Dec 4, 60-71, as a 6-point dog. St John's is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Red Storm returned three starters to a team that went 17-15 last year and 8-11 in the Big East. This team has a bitter taste after last season where they lost six of their final seven games, missed out on the NCAA and didn't even get a NIT invitation. Villanova was a preseason top 25 team, but has not lived up to their expectations. The Wildcats return three starters to a team that was 30-8 last year and lost in the NCAA Final Four. They have struggled to a 6-5 S/U and 3-8 ATS mark so far this season. They have won four straight games, but covered just two of those including last game at St Joe's, 71-64, as a 13-point favorite. Villanova laying around five-points here today. I'm taking the points with a very good St John's team that has something to prove and is doing just that. Take St John's. |
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12-20-22 | Air Force +3 v. Northern Colorado | Top | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
The Air Force Falcons are 8-4 S/U and ATS on the Season. The Falcons started the season 1-3 both S/U and ATS and since have gone on a 7-1 streak both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a win over Tarleton State, 81-67, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Falcons also outscoring their opponents 70.3 to 61.2. The Falcons returned three starters to a team that was 11-18 last year and just 4-13 in the Mountain West. Air Force utilizes the Princeton offense which has been likened to facing a knuckleball pitcher or the Triple option in football. It seems to be working for Air Force this season. The Northern Colorado Bears return just two starters to a team that was 22-16 last year and 13-7 in the Big Sky. The went to the CBI tournament and lost in the semifinals. The strength of this team is their backcourt, considered the best in the Big Sky conference and again will be relied on heavily this season. Thus far its been a tough season for the Bears who are 5-6 S/U and 5-4 ATS. They are coming off a loss to Colorado, 77-88 as a 15.5-point dog, covering their third in a row and fifth of the last six. One loss that stands out big this year was a loss at home to Colorado Christian College, 69-70, with no spread. They have improved since that loss, but it will be a tough task here today against a very good Air Force team. I'll take the points in this matchup. Play Air Force. |
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12-19-22 | Rams +7 v. Packers | Top | 12-24 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 48 m | Show |
The LA Rams might not be mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, but realistically their 4-9 record is not going to be good enough at this point. They did put some excitement into the game last week with the dramatic come-from-behind win over the Raiders with newly acquired QB Baker Mayfield. Mayfield led them to a pair of late fourth Quarter TD's, the last with just seconds to go to get the win. The Packers also having a bad season at just 5-8 overall. The Packers had last week off after beating the Bears the week before, 28-19, as a 3.5-point favorite. The Packers are just 3-7 ATS their last 10 games and 1-4 ATS in their last five at home. It looks to be a cold and possibly snowy night in Green Bay around 20 degrees with some snow likely. Mayfield should be used to it from his days in Cleveland. Lets see if the magic is there again for Mayfield and the Rams. I'll play the Rams. |
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12-19-22 | Jazz v. Cavs -6 | 99-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz are in 8th place in the Western Conference standings and have gone 5-5 their last 10 games. The Cleveland Cavaliers are in 3rd place in the Eastern Conference and are 7-3 their last 10 games. The Jazz had their two game win streak snapped last game at Milwaukee, 97-123, as a 2.5-point dog. That makes the Jazz 6-10 S/U on the road this year. The Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on one day rest. The Cavaliers have won three straight games, though covered just one of them. They are coming off a win over Dallas, 100-99, as a 8.5-point favorite. The Cavs are a six point favorite here tonight at home. They have been very good at home, going 14-2 S/U and 12-4 ATS on the season with a 8.6 point differential. With the Cavs at home here tonight I'll lay the points with them Play Cleveland. |
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12-18-22 | Bengals -3.5 v. Bucs | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals will have extra incentive here today after AFC North co-leader Baltimore lost on Saturday at Cleveland, 3-13. A win by the Bengals today and they take over sole place atop the division. Tampa Bay leads the worst division in football, the NFC South. The Bucs might not make the playoffs if they were in any other division, but here they lead the South by one game over both the Panthers and Falcons with their 6-7 record. The Bucs got beat bad last week at San Francisco, 7-35, as a 3.5-point dog. The running game continues to be bad, gaining just 69 total yards. Tampa Bay ranks 18th overall in offense, but last in rushing with just 73 yards per game average. If not for their 5th rank pass attack this unit would be even worse. Cincinnati has the 5th ranked offense, 4th in passing. The Bengals won last week at home over the Browns, 23-10, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bengals are now 9-1 ATS their last 10 on grass, 13-3 ATS their last 16 on the road and 14-3 ATS their last 17 following a straight up win. Meanwhile, the Bucs are just 1-6-1 ATS their last eight at home, 1-9-1 ATS their last 10 games overall. Cincinnati just a much better team than this Tampa Bay club is right now. I'll take the Bengals. |
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12-18-22 | Patriots +1.5 v. Raiders | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots look to continue their dominance vs the Raiders here on Sunday. The Pats have won six straight vs the Raiders and now it's mentor vs mentee as Josh McDaniels looks to beat his old coach in Bill Bellichick. Somehow the Raiders collapsed (again) last week and let Baker Mayfield lead the Rams on two late TD drives to pull out the win, 17-16. A unsportsmanlike penalty on Raiders' Perryman sure helped in the defeat as the play was a sack and ended up 15 yards and a first down all because he slapped the ball out of the players hand. It's bad enough when physical mistakes hurt you, but stupid mental ones really are hard to take. That loss ended any hope of a Raiders playoff as they dropped to 5-8. While not mathematically eliminated, they sure look to be done as a Thanksgiving Turkey. The Pats need a win here today to improve on their 7-6 record and keep their playoff hopes alive. The Pats are a good bounce back team, evidenced by their 23-5 spread mark the last 28 times they have got 250 yards or fewer the previous game. They are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last six road games and 7-3 ATS their last 10 overall. Not only has the road team covered four of the last five in this series, but the Pats are 5-1 ATS their last six meetings. I'm taking the Patriots as the Raiders just keep finding ways to lose games. |
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12-18-22 | Elon +9 v. Valparaiso | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 2 h 49 m | Show | |
The Elon Phoenix are just 2-9 S/U this season and 2-7 ATS. They are coming off a loss to Prebyterian, 63-69, just missing the cover at +5.5-points. Elon only returned one starter to a team that was 10-22 last year and 7-11 in the CAA. They lost in the first round of the CAA tournament. Billy Taylor took over as head coach after Mike Schrage resigned at the end of last year to return to Duke. Taylor has 11 years as a NCAA coach so he brings experience to the team. Valparaiso returns three starters to a team that was 14-18 overall and 6-12 in the Missouri Valley last year. The Beacons are 4-7 this season and 2-8 ATS on the year. They are coming off a loss to Ole Miss, 61-98 as a 15-point dog. The club has been installed three times as the favorite this year and were 2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS in those games with a +2.3 point differential. Now today here they are laying around eight points to this Elon club. Neither team is very good but I don't see any way that Valpo should be laying these kinds of points. I'll take Elon here plus the points. |
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12-18-22 | Cowboys v. Jaguars +4 | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys struggled all game with the lowly Houston Texans last week, but finally pulled out the win, 27-23, as a 17-point favorite. The Texans didn't roll over against their intrastate rivals from the North. The win improved the Cowboys to 10-3, though they still trail the 1st place Eagles by two games. As for Jacksonville, they pulled the upset win at Tennessee last week, 36-22, as a 3-point dog. The Jags are now 7-1 on the season when they score 24 or more points. They are 0-6 when scoring fewer then 24 points. The Jags are in 2nd place in the AFC South, two games back of first place Tennessee. The Jags offense is decent, ranked 11th overall while Dallas is one slot higher at 10th. The Jags are 27th on defense while Dallas is much better at 5th. Dallas has been a good covering team, but not so much on the grass where they are 3-7 ATS their last 10. In addition the dog has covered four of the last five in this series. Question is, which Jax team do we see today, the one that scores 24 points or more and wins or the one that scores fewer than 24 and loses. I think we see the former here as they get those 24 or more points and cover this dog line. Play Jacksonville. |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills -7 | 29-32 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Buffalo one of those sites where you have to keep an eye on the weather as we approach game time. Lake effect snow moved Buffalo to Detroit the week before Thanksgiving. Now with Lake effect snow, maybe not as bad as before, they look to stay in Buffalo. Not only does there look to be snow, but those pesky winds. For me the winds are what really effect a total and today we see 8 to 16 MPH with gusts as high as 28 MHP. That wind is bad enough, but throw in the snow and conditions won't be very good here on Saturday. Miami is a warm weather team and definitely won't like the conditions here today. The Dolphins coming off a loss last week at the Chargers, 17-23 with just 219 total yards. They could manage just 92 yards rushing and 127 yards passing in the loss. Buffalo beat the Jets last week, 20-12, as a 10-point favorite. Buffalo allowed 309 yards and had just 232 totals. The Bills also had five fewer first downs and 18 fewer offensive plays then the Jets. This AFC East showdown is crucial to the Dolphins, as they trail the Bills by two games in the East and a loss today and they will have to fight for a wild card. The weather conditions play a big role for me here today and as such I have to go against the Dolphins who are used to that muggy Florida warm weather. Play Buffalo. |
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12-17-22 | Fresno State -4 v. Washington State | 29-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
Fresno State comes into this LA Bowl with momentum, having won eight straight games. Meanwhile, the Washington State Cougars are a team in flux as they have coaching and personnel who will be missing today. Fresno State finished the regular season at 9-4 overall and riding that 8-game win streak. They looked great in the Mountain West Championship, beating Boise State on the Boise Blue turf, 28-16. This veteran team average 395 yards per game. They also held their last three opponents to just 30 combined points. Washington State finished the regular season at 7-5 overall under first year coach Jake Dickert. Washington State will be without OC Eric Morris who became the head coach at North Texas. He will also lose DC Brian Ward who will become head coach at Arizona State. They will also lose starting WR De'Zhaun Stribling and Donavan Ollie as both players entered the transfer portal and have departed. On defense they lose All-PAC-12 linebacker Daiyan Henley as he opted out for the NFL draft. Everything points to the Bulldogs here on Saturday. Take Fresno. |
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12-17-22 | Florida v. Oregon State -7.5 | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Bowl pits the SEC vs the PAC 12 as Oregon State takes on Florida. The Oregon State Beavers can win 10 games with a victory here today in Vegas. Meanwhile, Florida at 6-6 was just luck to get a bowl bid. Plus, the Gators will have a new QB under center after starter Anthony Richardson opted out to get ready for the NFL draft. Plus, backup QB Jalen Kitna was released from the team earlier. Also opting out was their leading receiver Justin Shorter and Nay'Quan Wright and Lorenzo Lingard, both running backs, entered the transfer protocol. It looks like 20 scholarship players will be absent from the Florida sideline today. I'm not even looking at stats in this game. Florida shouldn't be here today and Oregon State will run away with the game. |
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12-17-22 | Alabama v. Gonzaga +1.5 | 90-100 | Win | 100 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
Marquee game here on Saturday has Alabama taking on Gonzaga. Alabama is 9-1 S/U and 6-4 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming on Nov 25 at home against U Conn, 67-82 as a 2-point favorite. They have won four games since, including last game over Memphis, 91-88, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Tide were aided by lots of Memphis foul trouble in that game. Gonzaga's 8-3 mark is considered a down season by the Zags, though very good for most teams. The Bulldogs have won three straight games, including last time out at home over Northern Illinois, 88-67, as a 32.5-point favorite. The Zags usually laying lots of points, that's partly why we see them with just a 3-8 spread record. Today will mark just the second time all season that they will be a dog in a the game. You have to go back to Nov 16 vs Texas when they were a 2-point dog and lost 74-93 for the last time. Should be a very good game, but I'm taking Gonzaga as the small dog here on Saturday. |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | 21-13 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Every game important at this juncture of the season. Teams also have to deal with lots of injuries. That's the case in the NFC West clash between the 49ers and Seahawks on Thursday. The 49ers lead the NFC West with a 9-4 record, two games ahead of 2nd place Seattle (7-6). These teams met back in week 2 in San Francisco where the 49ers walked away with that game, 27-7, as a 8-point favorite. they held the Seahawks to 30 yards rushing and 216 total yards. Not surprising that all these weeks later the Niners would have the league's top ranked defense and top ranked rushing defense. The Niners will be without QB JImmy Garappolo whi is out with a foot injury. That means Brock Purdy will get the start, though he has been hurting with a oblique and is officially listed as questionable. RB Christian McCaffrey is probable with a knee injury. Seattle has its share of injuries, especially at RB where Rashaad Penni is out with a fibula injury, RB Kenneth Walker III is probably with an ankle injury and RB DeeJay Dallas is questionable with a ankle injury. The Niners haven't like these short weeks, going 3-9 ATS their last 12 times on Thursday. Meanwhile, Seattle doesn't seem to mind the short week as much with a 8-2-2 ATS mark their last 12 times on Thursday. The Mariners are 8-2-1 ATS their last 11 meetings vs the 49ers in Seattle. They are also 15-6-1 ATS the last 22 meetings overall. I'll take the points at home against a backup QB here tonight. |
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12-14-22 | UCLA +1.5 v. Maryland | 87-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
UCLA made it all the way to the NCAA Sweet 16 last year before losing. They had a fine season with a 27-8 overall record and 15-5 and 2nd place finish in the PAC-12. They returned two starters to the team for this season. The Bruins looking at another excellent season as they start 8-2 this year. They are also 5-5 ATS. They have won five straight games since their back-to-back losses to Illinois and Baylor. They are coming off a win over Denver, 87-64, as a 26.5-point favorite. Maryland also is off to an 8-2 S/U and ATS start to their season. The Terrapins looking to build off a poor 2021 season that saw the club go 15-17 overall and finish 11th in the Big 10 with a 7-13 mark. They lost in the Big 10 Conference tournament 2nd round. The goal of the team this year is their high shooting percentage and to defend the 3-point line. They do lack depth though so foul trouble could be of concern for this team. Maryland started this season 8-0 but has lost its last two games to Wisconsin, 59-64 and then last game at home to Tennessee, 53-56, as a 5.5-point dog. After not scoring fewer than 71 points in any of their first eight games, they have put up back-to-back performances of less than 60 points. Their shooting percentage they so wanted to be good this year has dropped to season lows 38.28 vs Wisconsin and then their lowest of the year vs Tennessee of 32.7%. With the Terps reeling a bit of late, I'll take the visitors in this one. Play UCLA. |
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12-13-22 | Memphis +8 v. Alabama | Top | 88-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
The Memphis Tigers returned two starters to a team this year that went 22-11 overall and 13-5 in the AAC last year. The Tigers thought they were underated last year and maybe they were. So this season they have come out of the gate with a 8-2 S/U and 6-4 ATS marks. The Tigers have won six straight games and covered four of those. They are coming off a home win over Auburn, 82-73, as a 1-point dog. Alabama also off to a good start at 8-1 on the season with a 6-3 spread record. The Crimson Tide only loss coming against U Conn, 67-82, as a 2-point favoirte. They are coming off a win over highly ranked Houston, 71-65, as a 8.5-point dog. That is their biggest win of the season though they could be in for a letdown here today after that upset. The Tide returned three starters to a team that was 19-14 last year and lost in the first round of the NCAA tournament. Memphis is 13-4 ATS their last 17 vs a team with a win percentage greater than 60%. They are also 18-7 ATS their last 25 games overall. Alabama is only 5-15-1 ATS their last 21 games at home. I'll take the Tigers here tonight plus the points. |
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12-12-22 | Creighton v. Arizona State +3.5 | 71-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
The Creighton BlueJays are 6-4 S/U and ATS on the season. However, the Jays started the season with six straight wins and have now lost four in a row, including their last game on Saturday to BUY, 80-83, as a 9.5-point dog. That makes two in a rows they have lost straight-up as a heavy favorite. Creighton returned three starters from a team that went 23-12 overall last year and loss in the NCAA tournament 2nd round. This team was red-hot to finish last year and many had them in their preseason top 5. They started hot this year too, but have since cooled down. Arizona State returns two starters to a 14-17 team from last year and didn't make any tournaments. This also looks to be the deepest team that ASU has had in some time. So far it's panned out too with the Sun Devils out to a 9-1 start to the season. They have won seven in a row including last game over SMU, 75-57, as a 5-point favorite. They have also covered six of their last seven games. Their biggest win so far was a win over Michigan, 87-62, as a 7.5-point dog. Still, not getting a lot of respect by the oddsmaker here at home as they have been installed as a 4-point dog. I'll take those points. Play Arizona State. |
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12-12-22 | Cavs -8.5 v. Spurs | 111-112 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
East vs West tonight as the Cleveland Cavaliers head West to take on the San Antonio Spurs. The Cavaliers are 3rd in the East with a 17-10 record and 16-10-1 spread record. The Cavs are coming off a win over the OKC Thunder 110-102 as a 4.5 point favorite. The Cavs are 4-0-2 ATS in their last six games vs a team with a win percentage below .400. They are also 3-1-1 ATS their last five games on one day rest. The Spurs have struggled out of the gate, now just 8-18 overall and 2-8 their last 10 games. The Spurs have won and covered their last two games, snapping a 11-game losing streak. They are off a win and cover at Miami, 115-111, as a 12-point dog. Still, they have covered just two of their last 11 games. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. The Cavs have covered five of the last six in this series and I look for that to continue here tonight. Play Cleveland. |
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12-11-22 | Panthers v. Seahawks -4 | 30-24 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers are in third place in the NFC South with a 4-8 record. The Panthers have won two of the last three games including two weeks ago over Denver, 23-10, as a pick'em. The Panthers had last week off to prepare for today's contest. The offense is not very good, ranked 30th overall. The defense is better, ranked at 19th overall and 14th vs the pass. The Panthers are just 4-9 ATS their last 13 vs the NFC. They are also 2-7 ATS their last nine road games. The Seattle Seahawks making a push for a postseason spot as they are 7-5 overall and 2nd in the NFC West, one game back of the 49ers. Seattle is coming off a win last week over the Rams, 27-23, failing to cover the 6.5-point favorite line. The Seattle offense ranks 9th overall (7th passing) and the defense is 30th. The Hawks have covered four of the last five meetings with the Panthers in Seattle. This is a long trip to the Northwest for the Panthers and I look for a Seattle win as they push for a playoff spot. |
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12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions -2 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
The NFC North is already fully handled by the Minnesota Vikings as they sit atop the division with a 10-2 record. The next closest team are these Detroit Lions with a 5-7 record. Realistically it looks like only the Vikings will make the playoffs from the North. The Vikings have won two games in a row including last week over the Jets 27-22, as a 2.5-point favorite. Their offense was held to just 287 yards by a very good Jets defense. The Vikes offense ranks 19th overall in the league and 31st on defense, last in pass defense. Not very good for a team that is 10-2 overall on the season. The Lions may only have five wins, but they have been very competitive and have lost five games by four points or fewer this year. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville, 40-14, as a 1.5-point favorite. They have also won four of their last five games and covered five in a row. Their defense is dead last in the NFL but their offense ranks 7th overall. They have a very balanced offense, 10th in rushing, 9th in passing. The Vikings are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs a team with a losing record and 1-5-1 ATS their last seven vs the NFC. Conversely, the Lions are 7-0 ATS their last seven vs the NFC and 9-2 ATS their last 11 at home. Detroit has covered the last four in this series and four of the last five in Detroit. I like the Lions here today. |
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12-11-22 | Ravens v. Steelers -1 | 16-14 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens found themselves in a defensive battle last week vs the Denver Broncos and came out on top in a 10-9 win, but didn't come close to covering the 8.5-point favorite line. The Ravens had just 285 total yards of offense, but held the Broncos to just 272 yards. The Ravens have now failed to cover the spread in their last three games. The Ravens will also be without QB Lamar Jackson, who injured his knee early in the Broncos contest. The Ravens will look to Tyler Huntley here on Sunday. Baltimore's defense is good but not great as they are ranked 13th overall. They are 2nd vs the rush but 25th vs the pass. The offense was already 14th, 3rd rushing, but without Jackson at QB those numbers won't be as good. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won two straight games including last week at Atlanta, 19-16, as a 1-point favorite. The defense ranks just 24th with the offense at 26th. The Ravens are just 2-6-1 ATS their last nine games and 3-9 ATS vs a team with a losing record. They have also gone 0-4 ATS their last four vs the AFC North. The Steelers are 5-2 ATS their last seven games overall. They have also covered five of the last seven vs the Ravens. With Jackson out I'll take the Steelers here today. |
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12-10-22 | IUPU Ft Wayne +6.5 v. Missouri State | 65-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
The IPFW Mastodons are 6-4 S/U and 3-5 ATS on the season. They have won two straight games over Oakland and then last game over SE Missouri State, 89-68, as a 1-point favorite. The Mastodons have been favorites in all games but two this year. Here they are today getting 6 or 6.5-points against Missouri State. The Missouri State Bears are this big a favorite despite a 4-5 record and 4-4 spread mark. The Bears have lost two straight games both S/U and ATS, including last game at St Mary's CA, 46-66, as a 14.5-point dog. The Bears lost in the NIT first round last year after a 23-11 regular season mark and 13-5 record in the Missouri Valley conference. They only returned one starter though to this team. I just don't believe this Missouri State should be a 6-point favorite here today against a decent Mastodons team. I'll take the points. |
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12-10-22 | Boston College +10 v. Villanova | 56-77 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
Boston College looks to improve on last year's 13-20 record as they returned four starters to the team this season. The Eagles are 5-5 S/U so far this year with a 3-7 spread record. They are coming off a loss to New Hampshire, 71-74 as a 15-point favorite. That on the heals of a loss at Duke, 59-75, where they did cover the 18-point dog line. Villanova struggled out of the gate this year, going 2-5 S/U and 1-6 ATS their opening seven games. They have won their last two games with wins over Oklahoma, 70-66, and over Penn, 70-59. The Wildcats were a pre-season top 25 pick after a 30-8 record in 2021 and a 16-4 Big East finish. They Cats also made it to the NCAA Final Four where they lost. So a lot was expected of this team this year and so far they have disappointed. This is still a top level team that has yet to meet expectations. I'm taking BC here on Saturday until I see the real Villanova show up. Take Boston College. |
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12-10-22 | Brown +16.5 v. Michigan State | 50-68 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
The Brown Bears look to improve on last year's 13-16 record. They returned three starters. The Bears are a solid team all around this year with their backcourt probably just slightly better than the rest. They are young and talented and had a lot of bad luck last year. The Bears started this year 0-3 both s/u and ATS. However, they have gone 6-1 S/U and ATS since including five straight wins. They are coming off a nice win over Rhode Island, 59-58, as a 5-point dog. They also shocked Bryant on the road with a 72-60 win as a 12-point dog. Michigan State coming off a 23-13 season last year and returns just two starters to that team. The Spartans made the NCAA tourney and lost in the 2nd round. Michigan State is 6-4 S/U and 4-6 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Penn State 67-58, as a 4-point dog. That snapped a two game losing streak. In fact, they have scored more than 67 point sin their last three games. That has to be concerning here today as they are laying around 16 to Brown. This Brown team has proved they can cover big spreads and I look for that again here today. Take Brown. |
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12-10-22 | Georgia Tech v. North Carolina -13 | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets look to improve to 7-3 on the season as they head to Chapel Hill to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels. Tech returns two starters to a team that was just 12-20 last year overall and 5-15 in the ACC. The team looks below average in their front court and just average everywhere else. North Carolina started the season as the pre-season No 1 team, returning four of their five starters to a team that was 29-10 last year and 15-5 in the ACC. The Tar Heels made it all the way to the NCAA final before losing. The Tar Heels entered the season loaded at every position. That's why it's a bit surprising to see this team at just 5-4 so far and 1-8 vs the number. The Tar Heels have lost four straight including their last game at Virginia Tech, 72-80, as a pick'em. NCU has struggled this year but I like them to start turning thing around here today. Play North Carolina. |
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12-10-22 | Drexel +5 v. La Salle | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Early non-conference aciton here on Saturday has the Drexel Dragons taking on the LaSalle Explorers. The Dragons started the season 3-1 and have since gone on a 1-4 run S/U and 2-3 ATS run. They are coming off a loss to Princeton, 63-83 as a 2.5-point dog. Drexel has two starters back thi season and their strength is in their guard play. They finihsed last year at 15-15 overall. LaSalle also returned just two starters to a team that went 11-19 last year and finished 12th in the Atlantic 10. The Explorers are 5-4 S/U and ATS on the season and riding a two-game win streak. They are coming off a win over Buckness, 82-72, as a 6-point favorite. My own numbers have this game closer to a pick'em game. So I'll take the 4 or 4 1/2 points with Drexel today. |
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12-09-22 | Wolves +2.5 v. Jazz | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
A pair of Western Conference face off tonight in the NBA as the Utah Jazz host the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Wolves are 11th in the West right now with a 12-12 record. They have won six of their last 10 games. The Utah Jazz are 6th in the West with a 15-12 record and are 4-6 their last 10 games. The Wolves are coming off a win over Indiana on Wednesday, 121-115, as a 5-point favorite. The Wolves are averaging 114.1 ppg on the road while allowing 113.7 ppg. The Utah Jazz are 15-11-1 vs the spread this season. They are coming off a win over Golden State on Wednesday, 123-123, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Jazz are just 3-6 S/U and ATS their last nine games. They are also 2-5 ATS their last seven games playing on one day rest. The Timberwolves are 4-0-1 ATS their last five meetings in Utah. I like the Wolves tonight. Play Minnesota. |
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12-09-22 | Arkansas State v. Air Force -6 | 55-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Two teams you don't usually expect to meet play at Clune Arena in Colorado Springs tonight as Air Force hosts Arkansas State. The Ark State Red Wolves are 5-4 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Central Arkansas, 67-72, as a 3-point favorite. That snapped a two-game win streak by the Wolves. The Air Force Falcons are 6-4 both S/U and ATS on the season. The Falcons have won five of their last six games including last time out vs South Dakota, 79-58, as a 4.5-point favorite. Arkansas State is 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. Have to take the host here tonight. Air Force is covering spreads while Arkansas State is not. Air Force also holds opponents to just 61.2 ppg on 39.7% shooting. They are also holding opponents to just 24% from the 3-point line, fifth best in the nation. Take Air Force. |
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12-09-22 | Washington +16.5 v. Gonzaga | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Evergreen State battle here has heavily favored Gonzaga hosting their instate rivals, Washington. The Washington Huskies are 7-2 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Colorado, 73-63, as a 1-point home dog. They have now won four of their last five both S/U and ATS. Meanwhile Gonzaga not looking quite as solid as they have the last few season with a 6-3 record. Especially to bettors where they have gone 2-7 on the season and lost five straight to the number. They are coming off a close battle with Kent State where they won 73-66, but never came close to covering the 15.5-point favorite line. So far this year they have straight up losses to Baylor, Purdue and Texas - all as a favorite. The Huskies have a solid offense that is comfortable on the break and a defense that allowing the 35th lowest effective field goal percentage. Washington is much improved while we are looking at a Gonzaga team that looks to be underperforming this year. I'll take the big points here tonight with Washington. |
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12-07-22 | Pacers v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
The Indiana Pacers are 5th in the Eastern Conference with a 13-11 record. They are the only team though in the top eight with a negative point differential. They have also gone 5-5 their last 10 games. The Pacers are 14-10 vs the spread this year. They snapped a 3-game S/U and ATS losing streak with a win at Golden State on Monday, 112-104, as a 11-point dog. Their road trip continues here tonight as they head back East to play the T'Wolves. This will be the club's 7th straight game on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves look to get back to the .500 mark today as they sit at 11-12 overall and 8-15 vs the number. The Wolves have lost four of their last five games including last game vs the Thunder, 128-135, as a 5-point favorite. Pacers have to be tired of all this travelling they have done, now with this their 7th straight game on the road. They return home after tonight's game and not soon enough for them. I'll playing against the road weary Pacers tonight. Take Minnesota. |
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12-07-22 | Cleveland State +8 v. St Bonaventure | 42-61 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
The Cleveland State Vikings opened the season with three straight losses. However, they have since won six straight to get to their 6-3 S/U mark. They are also 6-2 vs the number and have covered four straight games. They are coming off a win over Detroit, 92-77, as a 2-point favorite. St Bonaventure lost some key starters from last year so they have to fill gaps this year after a nice NIT run at the end of last season. The Bonnies are 5-3 S/U and 6-2 ATS. They are coming off a loss at Buffalo last game, 66-83, as a 2-point favorite. That loss snapped a four game win streak. The Vikings have covered four of their last five on the road. I'll stick with the Vikings here who have built some good momentum. Just too many points for the Bonnies to lay to a good covering Cleveland State team. Play Cleveland State. |
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12-06-22 | Lakers v. Cavs -5 | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers having a nice start to the season at 15-9 and in 3rd place in the Eastern Conference. The Cavs have won seven of their last 10 games and have the 2nd best point differential in the East at +6.3 ppg. The Lakers got off to a horrible start, losing their first five games of the season. However, they have since gone 10-7 over the next 17. Injuries have once again played a big part in the LA season. It seems like either Lebron James or Anonthy Davis or both are questionable every day. Today, they are both listed as probable, though they do show up on the injury report. The Lakers have won and covered three straight games including last game at Washington, 130-119 as a 1.5-point dog. They have scored 128 or more points in each of those three games. The Cavs are coming off a loss at New York, 81-92, as a 2.5-point favorite. Still, the Cavs are 7-3 S/U and 6-3-1 ATS their last 10. I'm taking the Cavaliers here as Tuesday as I just don't trust this LA team enough. |
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12-06-22 | Yale +6.5 v. Butler | 61-71 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Ivy League heavyweight Yale is 8-1 S/U and 6-1 ATS on the season. The Bulldogs only loss this season coming at Colorado, 62-65, as a 9-point dog. The Dogs are coming off a win over Stony Brook, 77-72, but failed to cover the 15.5-point line. No big wins on the Yales resume though, as Hawaii is one of the few dogs they were and won, 62-59. Another Bulldog here today is the opponent in Butler. The Butler version of the Bulldogs are 6-3 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Tennessee Tech, 80-66, as a 20-point favorite. Butler has the better resume, but has lost to NC State, Tennessee and Penn State. Yale around a 6-point dog here today. I like the visitor in this one and expect them to have a shot at winning when the dust settles. Take Yale |
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12-05-22 | Kent State +15 v. Gonzaga | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Kent State Flashes are off to a excellent start at 6-2 AS/U and 7-0 ATS. The Flashes are coming off a win at home over South Dakota State, 83-68, as a 7.5-point favorite. The previous game they gave 2nd ranked Houston all it could handle in a 44-49 loss as a 19-point dog. While the Flahses shot only 23.8% in that game, they held a very talented Houston team to just 32%. Surprisingly, the Gonzaga Bulldogs alreay have three losses on the season at 5-3 S/U and just 2-6 ATS on the season. The Dogs are coming off a loss at Baylor, 63-64, as a 3-point favorite. They have now lost two of their last three games and failed to cover in four straight games. The Dogs have played a tough schedule, with losses to Texas, Purdue and Baylor. Kent State has proved they can play with the best and they have been great to bettors this year. I see no reason to change right now. Take Kent State |
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12-05-22 | Saints +3.5 v. Bucs | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
NFC South clash here can put the whole division into turmoil with a Saints win. Right now the Bucs lead the South with a 5-6 record, the Falcons lost on Sunday dropped them to 5-8 and the Panthers and Saints pull up the rear at 4-8. A Saints win and three teams would have five wins. However, a Bucs win and they can pull into solo position in the South lead. The way the NFC is panning out, all four teams in the East could make the playoffs, the Vikings in the North with the Lions and Packers still in it and the 49ers and Seahawks in the West. It's likely that only the winner of the South will make the playoffs. The Saints were shutout last week at San Francisco, 0-13. They had just 260 total yards. The Saints offense ranks 15th in the NFL, 11th in passing. Tampa Bay's offense is just 18th overall, 5th in passing and last in rushing. Tampa Bay lost at Cleveland last week, 17-23, as a 3-point favorite. Despite Tom Brady at QB, the Bucs offense has scored more than 22 points just one time all season. The Bucs defense has dropped to 9th while the Saints are 11th. Tampa Bay is just 1-7-1 ATS their last nine games and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games at home. The Saints have covered the last four in this series at Tampa Bay and seven of the last nine overall. The dog is also 4-1 ATS the last five. I'll take the points here tonight with the Saints. |
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12-04-22 | Stanford v. Arizona State -4.5 | 64-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Stanford 3-5 S/U and 2-6 ATS after eight games. They have lost two straight after dropping their last game at home to UCLA, 66-80, as a 6.5-point dog. The Cardinal have played a tough early schedule, with losses to Wisconsin, San Diego State, Ole Miss, Memphis and UCLA. Arizona State brings a 7-1 record into this evening's contest. The Sun Devils only loss coming at Texas Southern back on Oct 13, 66-67, as a 11-point favorite. The Sun Devils opened the season with three straight spread losses. Since then, they have covered their last five games. ASU is also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five home games. The Sun Devils are coming off a win at Colorado, 60-59, as a 4-point dog. I like the Sun Devils here today. Play ASU. |
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12-04-22 | Chargers v. Raiders -2 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 7 m | Show |
AFC West clash here as the Raiders host the Chargers. The KC Chiefs look to be cruising in the West with a 9-2 record and 3-game lead over the Chargers. The Chargers looking at a Wild Card at this point at 6-5. Vegas has won two straight and has improved to 4-7 and still in the hunt for a Wild Card if they can run the table. The Chargers are coming off a late 2-point conversion to beat Arizona last week, 25-24. The Chargers have the league's 14th ranked offense while Vegas comes in 7th. The Chargers have been a good over team, going over in 12 of their last 17 games. The Raiders won at Seattle last week, 40-34, behind over 200 yards rushing from RB Jacobs. The Raiders ended up with 576 total yards in that win last week. That makes two wins in a row after beating Denver in OT the week before, 22-16. The Raiders have now covered five of their last six vs the AFC and 5 of the last six against a winning team. The are also 9-4 ov/un in their last 13 vs the AFC West. These teams met back in week 1 of the season at LA and the Chargers walked away with the win, 24-19, just covering the 3.5-point line. I like the Raiders here today as they have confidence and momentum. Play Las Vegas. |
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12-04-22 | Jaguars v. Lions | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-7 on the season and three-games back of the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South. The Jags are coming off a win over the Ravens last week at home, 28-27, as a 3-point dog. The Jags had just 38 rushing yards last week but got 294 through the air. The Jags offense ranks 10th in the NFL and 9th rushing so it was a off week for the rushing attack last week. Detroit is also 4-7 on the season and well behind division leading Minnesota who is 9-2. Detroit has really been playing well and gave Buffalo all it could handle on Thanksgiving day as they lost on a last second field goal by the Bills, 25-28, as a 9.5-point dog. That makes four straight covers by the Lions. The Jags are 6-13 ATS their last 19 when they rushed for fewer than 90 yards the previous game. They are also 5-13-1 ATS their last 19 games overall. Meanwhile, Detroit has covered eight of their last 10 games and are 15-7 ATS their last 22 games on the field turf. Jacksonville has gone over in six of their last seven road games. Detroit has gone over in five of their last seven home games and nine of their last 13 overall. I like the way this Lions team has played, especially at home. Play Detroit and the OVER for your Side & Total Parlay |
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12-04-22 | Broncos v. Ravens -9.5 | 9-10 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
The first place Baltimore Ravens are tied with the Bengals for the AFC North lead. Both teams are 7-4 and looking to get sole position this week. While the Bengals will face the Chiefs, the Ravens face the reeling Broncos. Denver sure didn't expect this kind of season when they signed Russell Wilson in the offseason. Yet here they are, last in the AFC West with a 3-8 record. The Broncos offense has been anemic, scoring 10, 16 and 10 the last three games - all losses. In fact, they have over 21 points just one time all season and that was 23 vs the Raiders in a nine-point loss. The only saving grace has been their 3rd ranked defense. The Broncos are now 4-14 ATS their last 18 vs the AFC and 2-7 ATS their last nine on the road. The Ravens are coming off that tough loss last week at Jacksonville, 27-28, as a 3-point favorite. That loss snapped a four game win streak. The offense ranks 11th overall and the defense is 15th. The Ravens are 7-3 ATS their last 10 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Ravens are also 10-4 ATS their last 14 vs the Broncos and 6-1 ATS their last seven at home. I'll take the Ravens here today against a Broncos team that just can't score. |
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12-04-22 | Browns -8 v. Texans | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
The big news in this game is the expected debut of Cleveland QB Deshaun Watson. His suspension over, the Browns stated weeks ago that when he was ready he will start. However, such a long lay I have to wonder how game ready he will be. Then again, he's facing his old team in Houston and they are not good so it's the perfect team to debut against. The Browns are 4-7 and in third in the AFC North. They still have a shot at a postseason bid, but they will have to almost win out the rest of the way. The Browns still have the NFL's 5th ranked offense, thanks to a rushing game that gets over 150 yards per game. If Watson can contribute as he once did that will make this a very formidable balanced offense. The Houston defense is ranked 29th in the NFL and last vs the rush so it will be a long day against this Browns rushing attack. That means not a lot should be required from Watson as he gets into game shape. I'll take the Browns here today as they control the ball on the ground. |
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12-03-22 | Purdue +17 v. Michigan | 22-43 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
Big 10 Championship looks like an easy win for Michigan here today. However, Michigan is coming off that huge emotional win over their bitter rivals Ohio State, 45-23, as a 7.5-point dog. This will actually be the first time these Big 10 have met since 2017. Purdue finished the regular season with a 3-game winning streak that propelled them to the Big 10 West title. Obviously Purdue will be hard pressed to win today, but I'm looking at this almost 17-point dog line. Purdue closed out with wins over Indiana, Northwestern and a very good Illinois team. The Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games. Whereas Michigan is only 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games. Michigan should clinch that spot in the playoff top four, but will they cover this huge line. I expect Purdue to at least get inside this big number. I'll take a shot with the big dog here. |