Alabama feels like a solid cover play in the Iron Bowl of Basketball. The market seems to view Auburn’s home-court advantage as what’s separating the teams in what’s otherwise priced as a near coin-flip game. You’ll see most boards listing Auburn around -2.5 to -3 with an absurd total (~174.5), and that spread TOTAL combination is key here: when you’re expecting a game to be played in the high 70s/80s, each point of the spread matters more because scoring swings can come in bunches. If Alabama is able to play the game at its preferred tempo and get its typical three-point attempts per game, they don’t need to “control” the entire game to cover by 3. They just need to stay within striking distance and limit the one deadly 10–0 Auburn run that’ll swing a one-possession game into a two-score blowout.

The matchup on paper even provides Alabama a path to a “clean” cover if Auburn technically outgrips them in most statistical categories. Extra possessions (offensive boards, free throws) and capitalizing on Alabama mistakes is Auburn’s best chance to cover, but this is SEC basketball during rivalry week, we know games like this will tighten up in the late periods and turn into a knock-down, drag-out shot-making affair. Alabama has proved they can win those situations this season (they’re coming off a statement win against Texas A&M), their spacing/pace forces Auburn to defend on the perimeter for long stretches at a time (limiting the “easy” buckets favorites need to protect small spreads), and Auburn has played great basketball over the past month but still employs a roster full of transfers. Translation: teams with tons of transfers can go up and down in games like this when things get run-and-gun and emotional. All things considered, if this thing stays the track meet we’re expecting based on the total, Alabama’s ability to create shots/quick burst scoring makes +2.5/+3 a very juicy ticket — and if Auburn wins by 1-3 points at home, that’s exactly how this game will finish and cash the Tide.

Jim's Play: 701. Alabama (SEC Game of the Month)

Cal Poly is a decent cover play (+1.5 or +2 are the best numbers I’m seeing widely available) because the matchup lends itself to a low-scoring, high-possession affair where a home dog simply doesn’t need to be “better,” it just needs to hang around. Cal Poly ranks No. 2 in the country in KenPom’s pace metric, meaning games tend to be faster when they’re on the floor. Faster games lead to more variance as there are more scoring swings which benefits the team getting points. Throw in the fact Cal Poly is rolling on offense right now (scoring 104 and 94 in their last two victories) and they’ve already showed they can shoot with CSUN in their first meeting (95–90 affair that was never really out of reach), and you get a very usable number.

The situational metrics lean towards the Mustangs as well. Cal Poly receives a monstrous bump in TeamRankings’ power ratings when they play at home (they’re listed as having an “HA” rating that is among the highest in the country), which is more valuable in a short spread game like this one. CSUN meanwhile has been wildly inconsistent away from home (just 1-4 SU in their last five road games), so requiring them to go on the road feels like a tougher ask than the line implies. Bring it all together and you have a nice and easy cover script: Cal Poly’s game-script keeps both offenses in “one-bucket" territory, their home-floor advantage lets them overcome defensive miscues, and even if CSUN takes it late a one-possession lead, Cal Poly still can win this game. .

Jim's Play: 840. Cal Poly (Big West Game of the Month)

I think Austin Peay makes too much sense here considering they’ve been the best version of themselves all season long and they’re catching Lipscomb at a time when the Govs’ strengths can attack what the Bisons want to do most on offense.

First, let’s look at the case as a whole: Austin Peay checks in at 15-6 overall and 9-1 in league play and they’re playing their best basketball right now on an 11-wins-in-12-games tear while also being absolutely monstrous at home (9-0, longest home winning streak in arena history). That home-court advantage matters here even more when the spread gets to around -3.5 or so in several markets because you’re not necessarily asking them to blow Lipscomb out, you’re just asking them to be the more focused team for 40 minutes in this conference rivalry game.

On the court, it mostly starts with possession. Austin Peay’s overall numbers suggest they can win the turnover battle; they commit just 11.1 turnovers per game while forcing opponents into 15.6 turnovers per game, good for a +4.5 turnover margin. They’re also good at turning opponent mistakes into easy buckets by averaging 20.4 points off turnovers while also causing havoc with 10.5 steals per game. Put simply, that’s an ideal recipe versus a Lipscomb team that wants to beat you from beyond the arc. The Bisons shoot 37.1% from three-point range while draining 10.9 triples per game, so if Austin Peay’s pressure can cause Lipscomb to speed up just enough, it attacks their biggest offensive strength while creating the kind of easy run-out buckets teams use to build leads.

Lastly, the Govs have enough offense of their own to let that defensive edge matter. Between Collin Parker (14.5 ppg) and Zyree Collins driving the offense and pace, Austin Peay doesn’t really drop off at any one position and they’ve even shown they can win games in tight finishes (listed in previews as 4–0 in games decided by less than four points). Bring it all together and I like Austin Peay’s pressure winning extra possessions, getting some transition points here and there, and avoiding prolonged scoring droughts that allow Lipscomb’s three-point shooting volume take over games-setting up a Govs win in the 5-10 point range that easily covers the spread.

Jim's Play: 554. Austin Peay 

I think NC State should cover the short road number (most books have them somewhere around -2.5) for a few reasons. First, the matchup plays into who they are right now: good shot creators, good spacing, etc. on offense. NC State also enters on a 4 game win streak and just had a good offensive outing at Wake Forest where they shot the ball well from the perimeter and got guard scoring, both things that travel when you’re only laying a bucket or two. Projection models that have a small edge towards SMU still have it as essentially a one-possession game, and that’s where NC State’s recent offensive efficiency and late-game poise come into play: they don’t have to outplay SMU for 40 minutes, they just have to be the better team when the game is on the line (literally) in the 6–8 minute range. The recipe for winning/plays giving the spread is pretty straightforward: Don’t turn the ball over, make SMU earn their points on a set defense instead of getting runouts, and continue to score with guards that can shoot threes or draw fouls. If NC State plays to that profile I could absolutely see them winning by 4-8.

Jim's Play: 649. North Carolina State (ACC Game of the Month) 

Indiana State has a strong chance to cover the spread tonight against Illinois-Chicago because their offensive style directly attacks UIC’s biggest defensive weaknesses. The Sycamores move the ball extremely well, ranking near the top of the MVC in assists, and that fluidity consistently generates clean perimeter looks. UIC has struggled all season to defend teams that share the ball and shoot in volume from deep, and Indiana State’s ability to knock down threes keeps them competitive in any building. Even though UIC is solid at home, the number is inflated because of that record, and Indiana State’s balanced scoring and pace control travel well enough to neutralize the environment. UIC’s offense leans heavily on one primary scorer, which plays into Indiana State’s defensive strengths, as they tend to fare better against teams without multiple creators. With this being the first conference meeting between the two, the underdog benefits from the lack of familiarity, and Indiana State’s offensive consistency gives them a clear path to staying inside the number.

Jim's Play: 637. Indiana State (Missouri Valley Conf Game of the Month)

Portland sits primed to beat the spread against Washington on Tuesday night due to the nature of the matchup between both team talent and recent form. Blazers currently sit at approximately a 23-24 win pace while the Wizards are at 10-34. First and foremost, Portland’s defense has noticeably improved over the past few weeks. Blazers have been significantly better on that end of the floor in January and tracking has them defending like a playoff fringe team rather than a lottery team lately, especially in terms of opponents shooting free throws. This is key against Washington because they’re already hard-capped in their ability to create efficient half-court offense, and they don’t have leeway to miss shots without drawing fouls.

The Wizards also are thinning out as players hit the injury report. Officially, Marvin Bagley is out and Bilal Coulibaly and Khris Middleton are both listed as questionable to play, among other rotation players. Either player sitting or even playing limited minutes tilts Washington’s offense to being one-dimensional, and it makes it hard for them to keep up for 48 minutes.

Even with injuries of their own recently keeping Deni Avdija out and other names being banged up, Portland has demonstrated an ability to hang with teams because they defend and rebound, and they can create enough offense through various options. Washington is a good opponent to capitalize on that and turn steady pressure into an insurmountable lead, especially if the Wizards’ bench has to play huge minutes.

Portland’s defense forces opponents into empty trips, they control the boards, and they build a lead in the middle quarters once Washington can no longer score. I look for a Portland cover here tonight in Washington. 

Jim's Play: 529. Trailblazers 

Charlotte being -3.5 at home feels like a “who’s available” line and this one sets up pretty well for the Hornets to cash that ticket if Philly is legitimately short-handed. Biggest reason is simple: Joel Embiid and Paul George are both OUT for Philly to manage knee injuries, which takes away their inside scoring, rim pressure, and a ton of half-court creation on the wing.

In Embiid and George’s absence, Philly’s offense really revolves around Tyrese Maxey and small, perimeter-oriented play. Sure, that can result in buckets, but those lineups are also susceptible to wild scoring swings and a tougher time earning “easy” baskets at the rim/fouling late. Philly’s defense also takes a hit without Embiid’s presence around the basket and George’s versatility to switch onto big wings/high-usage players.

Charlotte just needs to run and attack the basket against a shorter Philly rotation, forcing mismatches for 48 minutes. They’ve shown home scoring punch recently and are coming off a 119–115 victory over Washington, which is exactly the kind of game flow that favors the Hornets when they’re controlling the pace and getting production from everyone.

They even have a schedule/location advantage. The tip was moved up to 3:00 p.m. ET because of the impending winter storm, which threw Philly’s normal prep out the window with weather and travel concerns. Games at weird times generally favor the home team’s familiarity with its arena and bench, let alone when the visiting team is without its stars.

Combine all that and I like Charlotte’s chance to cover for Embiid-less lineups running with more pace + home atmosphere + less lineup disruption. If the Hornets beat Philly in the non-Maxey minutes and prevent them from getting into a half-court, grind-it-out kind of game, they should not only win, but cover the -3.5.

Jim's Play: 518. Hornets 

Saint Peter’s can cover the +2.5 or +3 here against Merrimack on Saturday because first, the matchup screams low-scoring, grind-it-out MAAC affair where possessions are likely at a premium. Essentially the line is telling you this game is going to be a pick’em, which aligns perfectly with what we know about Saint Peter’s so far this season: namely, that they’re a lockdown defensive team that doesn’t let opponents get too far away. The Peacocks are only allowing about 67.5 points per game and have found MAAC success running a physical half-court style on D while maintaining an excellent pace, which is EXACTLY what you want as a road underdog laying points.

Secondly, Saint Peter’s already beat Merrimack in this matchup comfortably earlier this month, coming away with a 76–63 win that should confirm for bettors just how real this style matchup is and not just some theory concocted by number crunchers. Merrimack also happens to rank among the nation’s slowest teams in terms of tempo, which should limit possessions and keep the underdog in the game as the points favorite looks to build a lead. Lastly, the numbers say Merrimack isn’t exactly a blowout team either: they average around 67.0 points per game and hold a negative scoring margin overall, both indicators of games that often come down to the “last four minutes decides it” variety. No player injuries have been noted for either team entering game time, so the path to cover here is simple: limit possessions by keeping this game in the half court, force Merrimack to score against Saint Peter’s set defense, and do not blow the game open late. Those ingredients allow for plenty of outcomes that still get you home with +2.5 even if Merrimack manages to pull off a close win at home.

Jim's Play: 677. St Peter's (MAAC Conference Game of the Month)

Detroit has a strong case to win and cover at home because the matchup leans toward the Pistons’ strengths, and the market is only asking them to win by a couple possessions. Tipoff is Friday, January 23, 2026 at 7:00 p.m. ET (4:00 p.m. PT) at Little Caesars Arena, and the main number is sitting in the Pistons -3.5 to -4.5 range depending on the book. Detroit has been elite this season (32-10) and especially strong at home (17-4), so it’s not a “hope they steal one” spot, it’s simply backing the better, more consistent team in its own building.

The matchup edge starts with Detroit’s defense and physicality, which has been a calling card of their early-2026 run, and it plays well against a Houston team that can get bogged down when the paint is crowded and the game slows. Houston is also still dealing with frontcourt/injury uncertainty: Steven Adams is listed out on the NBA’s official injury report, and the Rockets hadn’t even submitted their full report at the last official update, so there’s real volatility on who’s available and at what capacity. If Houston is limited inside or thin in the rotation, Detroit can punish that with rim pressure and second-chance opportunities—exactly the kind of “extra possessions” that turn a close game into a 6–10 point win.

Finally, Detroit’s cover path looks even cleaner if Cade Cunningham plays (he’s been listed as questionable in injury roundup coverage). Even if he’s not 100%, Detroit has been winning with depth and defense, but if Cade suits up, it raises the Pistons’ late-game shot creation and free-throw closing ability, two things you want when laying a modest number. With Detroit’s home form, defensive base, and Houston’s uncertainty, this sets up as the kind of game where the Pistons control long stretches and do enough late to win and cover the small spread.

Jim's Play: 546. Pistons  (Interconference Game of the Mnoth)

The game is essentially priced as a pick’em right now, and if the Friars play to their ceiling at home they can put Creighton in a basketball game they may not want to play. It goes down at Amica Mutual Pavilion (6: 30 pm ET) and one advantage that immediately stands out is Providence’s capacity to score quickly and often: per their own combined numbers, the Friars are averaging 89.1 points per game on 47.5% shooting, and they earn their trips to the line by getting to the rim at a high rate and making their free throws (77.7% FT), which bodes well for a game that could come down to one or two late possessions. Creighton doesn’t play at quite the same frantic pace and aren’t built to consistently burn opponents with blow-by buckets, so if Providence shoots well and forces Creighton to guard them on the run, the Jays will have to execute well in half-court settings for stretches. A second “Friars win” scenario centers on how little margin for error Creighton may have if Providence is shooting with confidence and setting their pace early, as the Friars can keep the buckets coming with long-range shooting and free throws, which is a very tough combo to slow on the road. Last but not least, keep an eye on the health of Providence’s backcourt players (per Ari: Jason Edwards is apparently working back from injury), but as long as the line stays around pick’em/short range the upshot is straightforward: if Providence plays up to their home-road offensive identity, they have the offensive firepower to outscore Creighton and convert on possessions well enough to grab the outright win.

Jim's Play: 882. Providence (Big East Game of the Month) 

High Point feels like the right side in this one due to them being the more complete team on both ends of the floor. Plus their profile travels well even away from home at Winthrop. High Point comes into this one 16-3 with one of the most explosive offenses we’ve seen, tallying 93.9 PPG while shooting 51.9% from the field and 38.1% from three, and yet they’ve paired that with actual resistance defensively (just 68.5 PPG allowed) for a gargantuan scoring margin edge. Winthrop can score too (85.8 PPG) and they shoot a lot of threes as well, but their defensive baseline is much looser (74.6 PPG allowed) and that’s a rough matchup against a High Point team that creates efficient looks at a high volume and gets to the free throw line at a high clip. You also don’t have to guess on the matchup history edge here either: High Point is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, including a 88-66 win last time they played back in February 2025, and that recent head to head success matters when the styles of these two teams are so similar year in and year out in league play. If this one becomes a run and gun game High Point’s efficiency awards them the higher ceiling and if it slows down their ability to score in the half court while still defending without fouling keeps them from giving Winthrop any easy stretches it wants at home.

Jim's Play: Take: 505. High Point (Big South Game of the Month)

Virginia has a strong case to cover at Louisville on Tuesday, Jan. 13, 2026. The matchup sets up as a tight, possession-by-possession ACC game where getting +3.5 is valuable. Louisville is favored by 3.5, but Virginia comes in playing efficient, confident basketball at 14-2 (3-1 ACC), and their new-look offense has been legitimately productive, averaging 85.1 points per game and hitting the 80-point mark in 13 games already. Virginia has also proven it can travel (4-2 away from home), and they’re coming off a win where they clamped down defensively for long stretches, which matters in a spread this small because a couple empty possessions for either side often decide the cover.  On the Louisville side, the injury report is a real factor: freshman point guard Mikel Brown Jr. is out, and while Ryan Conwell is listed probable, Louisville is still dealing with illness questions for Khani Rooths and others, which can affect rotation stability and late-game execution. If Virginia’s scoring balance shows up early, and they can string together a few stops to prevent Louisville from turning the game into a run-fest at the Yum Center, this profiles as a one-possession game deep into the final four minutes, which is exactly the script you want holding Virginia +3.5.

Jim's Play: 611. Virginia (ACC Game of the Month)

Coastal Carolina should be able to not just win, but also cover the -3.5 on Thursday, Jan. 8, 2026 (7: 00 PM ET) at the HTC Center in Conway for two reasons: 1) this is the type of game the home line will move to the team that is more balanced all-around (whether that’s proved true or not), and 2) they’ve already shown that they can compete against and beat Old Dominion. Coastal is 8-8 (1-3) while ODU is 4-12 (1-3), and the scoring profiles behind those records only deepen the current gap in expected performance: Coastal is basically even on the season at 73.2 scored / 72.6 allowed, while Old Dominion’s defense has been leaking points (allowing around 79.8 per game with a negative margin), which is a tough foundation to trust on the road. The best “cover” angle is that Coastal already went to Norfolk and won 76-74 on Dec. 20, and in that game they controlled the free-throw line (21-of-24) and survived a poor 3-point night, exactly the kind of road win that usually translates well back home when you’re only laying a couple possessions. Coastal also brings multiple steady scorers at the top (Rasheed Jones, Joshua Beadle, AJ Dancler all in the 14-15 PPG range), and their team numbers show they can win the physical battle too, averaging 41.9 rebounds per game while holding opponents to 38.6% shooting and 30.9% from three, good ingredients for building separation without needing a heater. Put it together and the cover script is pretty clean: Coastal rebounds, defends the arc well enough to prevent ODU from getting comfortable, and their shot-makers do just enough at home to turn a competitive game into a 5–9 point win that clears the number.

Jim's Play: 762. Coastal Carolina (Sun Belt Conference Game of the Month)

Charlotte is a safe play to cover tonight against UTSA on Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026 because both the number and matchup lean in their direction. The 49ers sit around a -3.5 road favorite on an 8: 00 PM ET tip, which means they don’t need a landslide to hit the number, just a relatively clean win by a couple possessions. UTSA’s D has been their undoing all season, surrendering roughly 77.3 points per game and getting outscored by about 7.2 per night, so it’s hard to trust that as a base against a Charlotte team that can put up points in waves. The 49ers also come in with some real momentum and depth after the 104-100 double-overtime win over Wichita State where their bench dropped a program-record 62 points, and that level of second-unit scoring is a huge road advantage once foul trouble and fatigue set in. Dezayne Mingo’s recent uptick (career-high 26 and AAC honorable mention) also gives Charlotte a confident shot-maker to stabilize the offense if the game becomes choppy, and UTSA’s rotation is a concern with a few players questionable to go along with Vasean Allette out for the season. Put all that together and the cover script is pretty simple: Charlotte’s depth dominates the middle minutes, UTSA’s defense leaks points, and Charlotte executes late to turn a close game into a 5-9 point road win that clears the number.

Jim's Play: 717. Charlotte (AAC Game of the Month)

The 76ers have a strong path to a win tonight in Chicago because their strengths line up cleanly with the Bulls’ biggest weaknesses. Tyrese Maxey’s speed and shot creation present a major problem for a Chicago backcourt that has struggled all season to contain explosive guards off the dribble. Philadelphia’s spacing and pace force the Bulls into defensive rotations they rarely execute well, especially with their inconsistent rim protection. Offensively, Chicago leans heavily on isolation play, which plays right into the Sixers’ defensive comfort zone, allowing them to load up, force contested mid-range shots, and limit efficient possessions. Philly also brings a clear bench advantage, with their second unit providing more reliable scoring and energy than Chicago’s thin reserve group. Add in a likely rebounding edge for the Sixers and the Bulls’ ongoing issues defending the three, and Philadelphia enters this matchup with multiple pathways to control the game and close it out late behind Maxey’s superior clutch shot-making.

Jim's Play: 509. 76ers 

Nebraska is 9-0 overall heading into Wednesday night’s Big Ten action against Wisconsin, so it’s a good idea to bet on the Cornhuskers to cover the spread, especially when you take into account that Nebraska has been one of the best home teams in the conference in terms of opponent shooting percentages. Sam Hoiberg and Rienk Mast have been holding down the fort for the Huskers this year, both on the inside and from behind the three-point line, while Nebraska has continued to improve to the point where they were able to make the AP Top 25 for the first time since the middle of last season. The Cornhuskers currently have a mark of 9-0 and are posting averages of over 83 points per game while their opponents only average just under 68. Nebraska has continued to prove that they have an ability to throw out one of the conference’s most dominant defenses, as they recorded a recent win against Creighton in which the Bluejays shot under 31% from the field. Wisconsin comes into this game at 7-2 and proved that they could hang with the nation’s top teams with a win over Marquette that saw John Blackwell put up 30 on a team that was considered to be one of the nation’s best. Wisconsin’s offense has been lighting up the scoreboard as they currently have an average of almost 88 points per game, but it is very important to note that they have not proven that they can be successful in a true road environment yet, with an away record of only 1-2 this season.

The Cornhuskers are 6-0 at home in Pinnacle Bank Arena this season, and they have a solid inside and outside attack that is able to both rebound and defend at a higher level than Wisconsin at this point. Nebraska has all of the momentum and the depth on their side, but Wisconsin is an up and coming squad that is capable of turning the tables, so you could go either way with this game if you like. If the Badgers can be just as effective away from home as they are at home in Madison, which they have not been, this game will be a lot closer than most people are predicting. Nebraska has the talent and they have proven that they are capable of winning this game.  I'll take the Huskers and lay the short number here on Wednesday. 

Jim's Play: 662. Nebraska 

The in-state showdown between the Miami Heat and Orlando Magic on Tuesday sets up as a spot where the young, ascending Magic are well positioned to defend their home floor and get the win. Both teams are tied at 14-10 and in 1st place in the NBA Southeast division. The diffence is that that Magic are 9-4 at home while the Heat have a losing road record at 4-7. The Heat have also lost three straight games. 

Orlando has built its identity around length, versatility, and defense, with a core of big wings and forwards who can switch across multiple positions, contest shots, and make life tough on opposing scorers. Offensively, the Magic lean on their size mismatch game, attacking smaller guards in the post, driving bigger defenders off the dribble, and generating free throws and paint touches instead of living on tough jumpers. At home, that physical style tends to show up even more, as they feed off energy, get to the line, and control the boards.

Miami will always bring toughness and discipline under Erik Spoelstra, but the Heat’s offense can go through stretches of stagnation, especially if the outside shots aren’t falling or they’re forced into a grind-it-out half-court game against a long, active defense like Orlando’s. The Magic’s ability to throw multiple defenders at Miami’s primary scorers, take away clean catch-and-shoot looks, and turn misses into transition chances gives them a clear path to controlling tempo. If Orlando wins the rebounding battle, limits live-ball turnovers, and continues to get balanced scoring from its young core, the matchup leans their way. With fresher legs, more size across the board, and a style that directly attacks some of Miami’s offensive limitations, the Magic are a solid choice to come away with the win on Tuesday.

Jim's Play : 570. Orland Magic 

Miami rolls into Dallas on Wednesday night playing like one of the Eastern Conference’s early-season bullies, while the Mavericks are still trying to find consistency and string together wins. The Heat have been doing it with a blend of pressure defense and a free-flowing, efficient offense, with multiple perimeter scorers capable of taking over on any given night. Miami already owns a narrow win over Dallas from their first meeting, and this time they come in looking deeper and more settled in their roles, with their spacing and ball movement set to test a Mavericks defense that has been leaky for long stretches. Dallas can be dangerous at home when their shooters get rolling, but they’ve struggled to sustain strong play for all four quarters and have had issues on the glass and in late-game execution. With the Heat laying what should be a short number on the road and carrying the more reliable defense, deeper rotation, and better overall form, the matchup points to Miami dictating the tempo and pulling away late, so the call is for the Heat to win and cover the spread in Dallas.

Jim's Play: 579. Heat 

The San Antonio Spurs enter Wednesday night’s home matchup against the Golden State Warriors as 4.5-point favorites, and the setup strongly favors the Spurs to win and cover the spread.  San Antonio has been one of the league’s early-season surprises, racing out to an 8-2 record behind the dominance of Victor Wembanyama, who is averaging over 25 points per game while anchoring the defense with his rim protection and rebounding. The Spurs have won five straight at home, and their balance on both ends of the floor has made them difficult to beat. Devin Vassell and Stephon Castle have provided reliable perimeter scoring, while the Spurs’ bench has consistently outperformed opponents, giving them depth that Golden State has struggled to match.

Golden State, meanwhile, comes in at 6-6 overall and has dropped six consecutive road games. The Warriors are on the second night of a back-to-back after being routed by Oklahoma City, 102-126,  which raises concerns about fatigue and rotations. Stephen Curry remains the focal point of their offense, but he has had little help lately, with Jonathan Kuminga and Brandin Podziemski inconsistent as secondary scorers. The Warriors’ defense has also been shaky, allowing opponents to dictate pace and exploit mismatches, particularly in the paint where they lack size to counter Wembanyama.

While Golden State has historically thrived as an underdog, this season they are 0-2 ATS when catching 4.5 points or more, underscoring their struggles in this role. The Spurs, on the other hand, have covered in four of their last five games as favorites, showing their ability to meet expectations. 

With the Warriors’ road woes, fatigue from the back-to-back, and San Antonio’s strong home form, this contest sets up for the Spurs to control the tempo, exploit their size advantage, and ultimately pull away late. Expect San Antonio to win and cover the spread, extending their home dominance while Golden State continues to search for answers away from Chase Center.

Jim's Play: 558. Spurs (NBA Western Conference Game of the Month)

The New York Knicks (6–3) are on a four-game winning streak as they return to MSG for their seventh straight home game. They sit atop the New York Atlantic Division and have not lost at home this season (6-0) and won their last game by a final score of 134–98 over the Nets. The Knicks were 17-of-37 from beyond the arc and never trailed. Jalen Brunson led the Knicks in scoring for the fifth straight game as he’s averaging 28.3 PPG and 6.1 APG. Karl-Anthony Towns is having a strong start to the season as well, pulling down 12.8 rebounds per game. They will be without Jalen Williams (wrist) but their bench and defensive effort has been the story early on for the Knicks.

The Grizzlies (4–7) are in a tough spot as they are coming off a 114–100 loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder and lost four of their last five. The offense is suffering without shooting from beyond the arc as Ja Morant is still struggling from three-point range. The Grizzlies are also reportedly having some clubhouse issues between Morant and the coaching staff which is leading to some instability. It has been a tough start for Memphis who has not won any of their 6 games as underdogs this season and will be without Zach Edey, Brandon Clarke, and Ty Jerome to start the season due to injuries.

The numbers also don’t favor Memphis as the Knicks have a much higher net rating of +5.3 to Memphis’s -4.0. The Knicks also have better three-point shooting (37.5% to 33.3%), and both defensive and offensive rating in their favor, this is another indicator that the Knicks should be able to control the pace of this game. The implied win probability for this game is in favor of New York over 80% and they’ve looked dominant at home so far this season. The Knicks will be controlling the pace early, and outscoring the Grizzlies late, expect them to cover 9.5 easily.

Jim's Play: 536. Knicks 

In the season opener for the NBA Cup on Friday night, the Clippers have a significant advantage over the winless New Orleans Pelicans. Although the Clippers were in an offensive funk during their 98–79 loss to the Golden State, the Clippers should cover the spread and win at home against the Pelicans. The Clippers have a 75.8% win probability and are 2–0 at home in Inglewood. Los Angeles boasts a lineup led by Kawhi Leonard and James Harden, which is expected to produce big in the NBA’s big opener against a struggling Pelicans offense. The Pelicans’ start to the season hasn’t gone well, as they are 0-4 and include a 122-88 loss to the Denver Nuggets in which they gave up 53.3% shooting and scored only 17 assists. Dejounte Murray is out with an Achilles rupture, and Kevon Looney is doubtful due to a knee sprain.

The Clippers should be able to take advantage of a Pelicans offense that has struggled to start the season, shooting only 41.2% from the field and averaging a low 104.0 points per game while allowing 123 ppg.  LA’s scoring will likely come from a healthy Bradley Beal coming off back soreness, and the Clippers will have success taking the Pelicans on the break early on in the game to tire them out. They will also look to create mismatches on the perimeter, especially if Brandon Miller, who’s had problems on defense, plays more minutes. They should also have an advantage on the boards against a team that’s rebounding a low 42.3 per game. Considering the Clippers’ form, health, and the home-court advantage, the Clippers should not only win but cover the 11-point spread with the Pelicans on Friday.

Jim's Play:  524. Clippers -11 

The Bulls enter this October 29th clash at the United Center riding a perfect 3-0 start to the season, showcasing a balanced and explosive offense led by Nikola Vucevic (20.0 ppg). Chicago’s early-season dominance has been fueled by elite ball movement (29.3 APG) and rebounding (49.0 RPG), giving them a clear edge over a Kings squad that’s struggled to find consistency. Sacramento has dropped three of its last four games, including a 127-120 loss to the Lakers where they allowed 41 free throws and committed 26 personal fouls. Their defensive lapses have been costly, and they’ll face a Bulls team that thrives on attacking the rim and drawing contact.

Zach LaVine leads the Kings with 31 ppg and 53% shooting, but he’ll be challenged by Chicago’s interior depth and physicality. DeMar DeRozan, Malik Monk and Dennis Schroder provide scoring punch, yet Sacramento’s perimeter defense remains suspect - allowing opponents to shoot nearly 49% from the field.  Chicago’s ability to push tempo and exploit mismatches should create separation early. The Bulls are also covering spreads consistently, going 3-0 ATS in their last three outings.

With momentum, home-court advantage, and superior execution on both ends, the Bulls are primed to control this matchup and extend their unbeaten run. Expect Chicago to win comfortably, validating Jim’s pick and reinforcing their status as an early-season Eastern Conference contender.

Jim's Play: 560. Bulls (Interconference Game of the Month)

The Phoenix Suns host the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday, October 22, 2025, in an early-season Pacific Division matchup that should set a tone for both clubs. Phoenix comes in slightly favored, and with good reason-they’re hungry, and looking to make a statement after missing last year’s postseason. The Suns will rely on their home crowd and a more balanced attack to control the pace against a Sacramento team that may be shorthanded.

The Kings could be without All-Star big man Domantas Sabonis, who’s dealing with a hamstring injury. Without him, Sacramento loses its inside presence and a key facilitator in the half court.  The Kings’ defense struggled last season, allowing 115 points per game and ranking among the league’s worst in defending the three-point line—an area where the Suns can take advantage.

Phoenix has its own injury concerns with Jalen Green sidelined and Grayson Allen questionable, but their depth and home energy should be enough to overcome it. Expect the Suns to control the glass, get out in transition, and shoot efficiently from the perimeter. If they can dictate tempo and keep the Kings from turning it into a track meet, this one tilts heavily in their favor. The loss of Sabonis is the biggest blow here tonight and will hurt this Kings team. 

Jim's Play: 526. Suns 

6/19 05:30 PM PT / 8:30 PM ET  

NBA   (511) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER  VS  (512) INDIANA PACERS

Take: 512. Pacers +6.5 

Game 6 of the 2025 NBA Finals begins Thursday, June 19, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. With the Thunder taking a 3–2 series lead after winning Game 5 by a final of 120-109, they’re now one victory away from clinching their first-ever title in Oklahoma City .

Oklahoma City is entering this game full of confidence and balance. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is having an MVP-caliber season, averaging 32.7 ppg in the regular season and eclipsing 30 per game in the playoffs They shot the three well - OKC hit 14 threes at nearly 44%—and forced 22 turnovers, giving them a decisive advantage .

Meanwhile, Indiana is on the ropes. Their own star duo of Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam battled OKC’s starters head-to-head, but Haliburton’s calf injury sapped him to just four points in Game 5 . Siakam’s still scoring at a clip of 28, but with Haliburton limited, the Pacers couldn’t sustain momentum and struggled to create scoring opportunities . They’ll need more to advance, but with Haliburton at less than full strength, they may have a tougher road to traverse.

Coach Rick Carlisle has received plaudits for his strategic ingenuity—using zone defense, full-court pressure, and long-range passing to remain competitive at home . I don't believe it matters if Haliburton is not 100% today, this Pacers team will fight tooth and nail to the end with the personel they have at hand. 

The Thunder are favored again on the road, a place they have covered just once in all the playoffs this season, going 1-8 ATS. Oklahoma City is playing with confidence and momentum, using elite shooting, pressure defense, and star playmakers to move on to Game 6. Indiana has fight and a home-crowd boost and I look for them to fight all the way to end in this game. They might not win, but I do see them covering the spread here on Thursday. 

Jim's Play: 512. Pacers  

The Western Conference Finals Game 2 between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder will occur on Thursday, May 22 at 8:30 p.m. The Western Conference Finals Game 2 between the Timberwolves and Thunder will take place at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City according to Eastern Time. The Thunder maintain a 1–0 series advantage following their dominant 114–88 Game 1 victory. The Thunder's recently crowned league MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander amassed 31 points and nine assists during the game while demonstrating his game-changing abilities especially in the second half with 20 points.

The game-winning performance by Oklahoma City included a strong defensive effort that played a major part in their Game 1 victory. The Thunder limited the Timberwolves to only 34.9% shooting accuracy and caused them to commit 17 turnovers. Minnesota's top scorer Anthony Edwards ended the game with 18 points from 13 attempts while noting that Oklahoma City's defense mirrored an "AAU" style through its aggressive and unpredictable tactics. Julius Randle stood out for the Timberwolves by scoring 28 points and making five three-pointers although he also gave the ball away five times.

The Timberwolves must see better play from their bench players to secure a victory in Game 2. In Game 1 both Donte DiVincenzo and Nickeil Alexander-Walker combined to shoot only 6-of-25 from the field as they struggled to find their rhythm. The team's head coach Chris Finch demanded improved decision-making and faster ball movement as strategies to overcome the Thunder's intense defense.

The Thunder maintains its depth advantage through defensive versatility and bench energy provided by Lu Dort, Alex Caruso, and Cason Wallace. The rotation of fresh defenders against the Timberwolves' key players effectively disrupted Minnesota's offensive rhythm.

The Timberwolves must implement substantial strategic changes throughout the series to prevent a 2–0 disadvantage before moving the games to Minnesota. Game 2 provides the Timberwolves with a chance to show their toughness and bounce back against the powerful Thunder team.  I’ll take the points with the visitors in this one. 

Jim’s Play : Timberwolves

The Oklahoma City Thunder face the Denver Nuggets in Game 6 of the Western Conference Semifinals at Ball Arena in Denver on Thursday, May 15, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET (5:30 p.m. PT). With the series standing at 3-2 in their favor the Thunder will attempt to clinch victory and advance to the Western Conference finals with a win tonight.

Oklahoma City won Game 5 with a final score of 112-105 despite Nikola Jokic's impressive 44-point and 15-rebound performance. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander spearheaded the Thunder's scoring with 31 points while showing his calmness during key moments of the game. Lu Dort and Jaylin Williams provided valuable support that demonstrated both the team's depth and their ability to remain resilient.

Facing elimination the Nuggets will depend heavily on Jokic who played a central role throughout the series. The team faces challenges with limited depth and Jokic's fatigue after his high-minute performance in Game 5 . The Nuggets' success in prolonging the series hinges on their capacity to back their star player while effectively handling their player rotations.

The Thunder will once again be a road favorite here tonight. I’m sticking with the defending champs getting points at home to keep this series alive and send it back to OKC. 

Take: 508. Nuggets 

The Western Conference Semifinals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets begins tonight at 10:00 p.m. ET at Ball Arena in Denver. Following two contrasting games the series stands even at 1–1. Aaron Gordon delivered a clutch performance for the Nuggets by hitting a game-winning three-pointer and collecting 12 rebounds to win Game 1 on the road. The Thunder delivered a powerful answer in Game 2 when they defeated Denver 149–106 by combining a dominant defense with outstanding three-point shooting performance.

The Thunder ranks among the league’s top road teams with a 32–8 away-from-home record this season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander keeps his team ahead with playoff averages of 29.7 points and 6.7 assists while Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren contribute with versatile scoring and rim protection. Alex Caruso recently described the Thunder’s defense as their “superpower” due to their success in forcing Memphis to commit more turnovers than made shots during the second half of their first-round series.

The essential challenge for Denver now lies in recovering from their demoralizing defeat in Game 2. After collecting 22 rebounds in Game 1 Nikola Jokic must find ways to make his presence felt throughout the early stages of the game. Following playoff blowouts Jokic typically recovers by taking control of the rebounding game in the next contest. Jamal Murray must step up his scoring and playmaking while the Nuggets face difficulties defending Oklahoma City’s perimeter players.

I fully expect the Nuggets and Jokic to bounce back here on Friday.  I won’t be surprised by a straight-up Denver win tonight. However, I’ll take the generous points the oddsmaker is giving me.

Jim’s Play: Denver Nuggets

The Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves are set to clash in Game 2 of their Western Conference Semifinals tonight 5:30 PM PDT at Minneapolis' Target Center. The Warriors earned the 1-0 series lead after defeating the Timberwolves 99-88 in Game 1 despite losing Stephen Curry to a Grade 1 hamstring strain early in the match. Golden State will need to depend on their other key players since Curry will miss three upcoming games.

With Curry out the Warriors plan to depend on Jimmy Butler, Buddy Hield, and Draymond Green for offense. Hield scored 24 points during Game 1 while Butler added 20 points with 11 rebounds and 8 assists and Green contributed 18 points together with 8 rebounds and 6 assists. The Warriors secured their victory by limiting the Timberwolves to a shooting percentage of 39.5% overall and 17.2% from beyond the arc.

Game 1 exposed the Timberwolves' offensive difficulties. Anthony Edwards recorded a single point during the first half before accumulating a total of 23 points through an impressive performance in the second half. Naz Reid delivered strong bench performance with 19 points which displayed his capability to stretch the floor. Minnesota requires stronger showings from their bench players and enhanced shooting accuracy to balance out the series.

The absence of Curry poses a major obstacle for the Warriors as they attempt to keep their offensive flow. The Timberwolves plan to take advantage of this chance by using their bigger roster to overpower the paint and dictate the game's pace. The second game will prove critical because both teams will refine their strategies during this closely fought series. I look for the Wolves to bounce back with a big win here on Thursday

Jim’s Play: Minnesota Timberwolves. 

The first Western Conference Semifinals matchup between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors will take place at Target Center in Minneapolis on Tuesday, May 6, 2025. Following their decisive 4-1 victory against the Los Angeles Lakers the Timberwolves have enjoyed plenty of rest time since their last matchup on May 1. The Warriors begin this series off a demanding seven-game series against the Houston Rockets that ended with their Game 7 triumph on May 4.

Anthony Edwards' 26.8 points per game performance along with Julius Randle's 22.6 points and his additional 5.6 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game drove Minnesota to success in the first round. Rudy Gobert and Randle's size advantage benefits the Timberwolves against the Warriors' smaller lineup. The experienced Golden State team might face difficulties controlling Minnesota's frontcourt strength and rebounding skill.

To overcome the Timberwolves' physical game plan the Warriors must draw from Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler's championship backgrounds and utilize perimeter shooting skills. Buddy Hield's outstanding Game 7 performance against Houston which included 33 points and nine three-pointers set an NBA record while emphasizing the importance of role players stepping up. Golden State struggles with team depth which becomes more apparent when facing Minnesota's balanced and well-rested lineup.

Game 1 is scheduled at 6:30 PM PDT. The Timberwolves are favored by 6.5 points which sets up a captivating opening for the series. Minnesota stands out to me with their combination of youth, size and rest. The Warriors have experience, but they are coming of that demanding, physical, and emotional 7-game win vs the Rockets. I don’t expect much from the Warriors here in game one and that makes this the perfect spot to strike with the Timberwolves.

Jim’s Play: Minnesota Timberwolves (Western Conference 2nd Round Game of the Year)

The Houston Rockets will travel to Chase Center in San Francisco to face the Golden State Warriors in Game 6 of their first-round playoff series on May 2, 2025. Golden State Warriors maintained a 3-2 series advantage after Houston Rockets dominated them with strong defense and excellent shooting to win Game 5 by a substantial 131-116 margin. Stephen Curry faced a notable defensive challenge from Amen Thompson after a strong 36-point Game 3 performance .

The Warriors approach Game 6 as favorites by five points while the expected total points scored stands at 203.5. The Warriors have demonstrated impressive home performance at the Chase Center with a 17-3 record over their most recent 20 playoff games there. The Rockets have demonstrated resilience through their "double bigs" lineup with Alperen Sengun and Steven Adams disrupting the Warriors' offensive flow.

Physical confrontations and escalating tensions defined the series while Dillon Brooks revealed he specifically hit Curry's injured thumb. While Warriors faced challenges in their composure due to the physical play, their expertise from past high-pressure games may become a key advantage.

The Warriors have the home-court advantage and playoff experience needed to finish off the series. The Warriors do not want to go back to Houston for a game seven. They have depth in their bench, a great coach and lots of playoff experience. I'm taking the Warriors to close out the series and cover the spread. 

Jim's Play: 530. Warriors 

The Cleveland Cavaliers hold a 1-0 series lead over the Miami Heat after their decisive 121-100 Game 1 victory as they prepare to face off again on Wednesday, April 23, 2025. The game will start at 7:30 p.m. ET at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland.

Donovan Mitchell achieved a game-high 30 points with four steals while Cleveland's backcourt trio of him, Darius Garland, and Ty Jerome exceeded 80 total points in Game 1. Garland contributed 27 points to the team's effort while Jerome produced a game-changing 28-point performance from the bench that included 16 points in the fourth quarter to help secure the victory. The Cavaliers displayed strong three-point shooting by hitting 18 out of their 43 attempts which demonstrated their depth and power on offense.

Miami entered the playoffs as the first No. 10 seed to move past the Play-In Tournament. To reach the playoffs from the Play-In Tournament as the first No. 10 seed to do so Miami depended primarily on Bam Adebayo's 24 points and Tyler Herro's 21 points. Miami could not stop Cleveland’s perimeter attack from advancing while their offense failed to maintain an equivalent pace. The absence of veteran players Kevin Love and Terry Rozier due to injuries has left Miami Heat with fewer players and reduced scoring ability.

Miami needs strategic defensive improvements primarily against three-point shooters and additional offensive support besides their two leading scorers for Game 2. Cleveland aims to maintain their scoring drive to build a 2-0 series advantage before moving to South Florida. The betting lines favor the Cavaliers with a double-digit advantage after they demonstrated their superior performance in Game 1 against Miami's significant challenges. The Heat must deliver sharp performances from all players to prevent falling into a 0-2 series deficit against the strong playoff-aspiring Cavaliers.

Big line here in game two as the Cavs around a 12-point favorite. While I don't expect a Heat win, I do look for them to slide in under that line.

Jim's Play: Miami Heat

The first-round playoff series between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat starts on Sunday, April 20, 2025 at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland.  The Cavaliers took home the top seed in the Eastern Conference thanks to their 64–18 record while the Heat claimed the eighth seed after moving forward from the Play-In Tournament.

Cleveland boasts the highest offensive rating in the league by scoring 121.9 points for every 100 possessions. The team ranks eighth defensively because they permit opponents to score 111.8 points per 100 possessions. Donovan Mitchell has spearheaded the Cavaliers' offense by averaging 26.5 points per game while Darius Garland steers the team as an efficient floor general with 6.7 assists per game. Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen serve as the foundation for Cleveland’s inside defense and rebounding efforts.

The Heat took an alternate route to reach the playoffs. After Jimmy Butler left the team during the regular season Miami finished with a record of 37–45 and went on to win against Chicago Bulls and Atlanta Hawks in the Play-In round. Tyler Herro has assumed the lead position for Miami Heat by scoring 23.9 points per game and receives crucial support from Bam Adebayo and Andrew Wiggins during both offensive and defensive plays.

The Cavaliers secured victories in two of three regular-season games against the Heat through wins with scores of 126–106 and 112–107. Miami achieved a 122–113 victory during their latest matchup. The upcoming series will largely revolve around the battle between Cleveland's explosive offensive style and Miami's tough and structured defensive approach.

Cleveland stands to benefit from home-court advantage as they have shown dominant play at home during Game 1 projections. The combination of Mitchell’s scoring ability and Cleveland’s comprehensive offensive strategy gives the Cavaliers a strong position to start the series with an advantage. 

The Cavs offense will be too much for the Miami defense and the home crown should have the Cleveland team pumped-up for game one. 

Take: Cleveland Cavaliers.  

The Los Angeles Lakers launch their 2025 NBA Playoffs season against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday, April 19 at Crypto.com Arena. Game 1 tips off at 8:30 p.m. ET and will be broadcast nationally.

The Los Angeles Lakers secured the third seed in the Western Conference for the postseason after finishing the regular season with a 50–32 record and their first Pacific Division title since 2020. The Los Angeles Lakers acquired Luka Doncic in a major midseason trade which boosted their offensive capabilities. After Doncic joined the Lakers their record stands at 19 wins and 5 losses while he delivers 28.2 points together with 8.1 rebounds and 7.5 assists in each game. LeBron James' performance of 24.6 points, 8.4 assists, and 8.0 rebounds this season alongside Luka Doncic proved essential for the team's rise through the standings.

The Lakers have discovered their rhythm under head coach JJ Redick with a starting lineup that includes Doncic, James, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura and Dorian Finney-Smith. The team has reached elite standards through superior offensive and defensive play which includes effective ball movement paired with perimeter shooting and strong physical on-ball defense.

Minnesota's sixth-seeded Timberwolves present a tough matchup with Anthony Edwards as their leading guard who posted averages of 27.6 points along with 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game. The Minnesota team boasts Julius Randle and Rudy Gobert which creates a powerful frontcourt strength. The Wolves stand as one of the league's premier defensive teams by maintaining fifth place in point allowance with only 109.1 points given up per game.

Both teams achieved two victories each during their regular season matchups while defending their respective home courts. The Lakers have two of the biggest names in the NBA with James and Doncic and that experience should take them far in the playoffs this year.

Take; LA Lakers

The Golden State Warriors (48-33) host the Los Angeles Clippers (49-32) at the Chase Center in San Francisco on Sunday, April 13, 2025, at 3:30 PM ET. This pivotal matchup carries significant playoff implications for both teams. 

The Warriors are currently sixth in the Western Conference and can secure a guaranteed playoff spot with a victory over the Clippers. A loss, however, would leave their fate dependent on other outcomes, potentially relegating them to the play-in tournament. The Clippers, holding the fifth seed, aim to solidify their position and avoid the play-in scenario. They enter the game on a seven-game winning streak, showcasing strong form as the regular season concludes. The Clippers are tied with Denver at 49-32 and trail the Lakers by 1-game. 

In their previous three meetings this season, the Clippers have emerged victorious each time, with scores of 112-104, 102-99, and 102-92. The Warriors. Stephen Curry leads the team with an average of 24.4 points per game, supported by Jimmy Butler's all-around contributions of 17.3 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 5.4 assists per game. Curry is currently questionable for this game. 

Considering the Clippers' recent dominance in head-to-head matchups and their current winning streak, it's difficult to pass on the few points they are getting. I look for the Clippers to come away with the win. 

Take the LA Clippers.

04/10 04:00 PM PT / 7:00 PM ET  

NBA   (503) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS (504) INDIANA PACERS

Take: (504) INDIANA PACERS

The Indiana Pacers (48-31) are set to host the Cleveland Cavaliers (63-16) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The Cavaliers enter this matchup as the top team in the Eastern Conference with a 63-16 record. Their offense has been electric this season, leading the NBA with an average of 122.3 points per game. Defensively, they’re also strong, allowing just 112.3 points per game, ranking 11th overall. The Pacers, meanwhile, are currently fourth in the East and have been one of the league’s most exciting teams to watch. They average 117.3 points per game (7th in the NBA) but allow 115.0 points per game (17th), indicating their tendency to get into high-scoring affairs. 

Indiana comes into the game riding a five-game winning streak, including a gritty 104-98 win over the Washington Wizards. Cleveland has also been sharp lately, winning seven of their last ten games. They recently dismantled the Chicago Bulls with a dominant 135-113 performance. Cleveland likely will be without Donovan Mitchell due to his ankle issue, a significant potential absence. They will also be missing guard Darius Garland. Two big cogs in this Cleveland offense. 

The season series is tied 1-1. Indiana won the first meeting 108-93 on January 12, while Cleveland responded with a 127-117 win on January 14. This game will decide the regular-season series. This game doesn't mean anything to Cleveland as they hold the top spot and won't be giving it up. The Pacers can still move up or down so the games has more impact on their seeding. 

The Pacers are a big favorite vs the Cavs because of Mithchel and Garland being out of the lineup.  I'm taking the Pacers as this game means nothing to the Cavs. 

The Charlotte Hornets (19-60) will face the Toronto Raptors (29-50) at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Both teams have been eliminated from playoff contention and are wrapping up disappointing seasons. The Hornets are on a four-game losing streak and have just one win in their last ten games. Offensively, they rank 28th in the league, averaging 105.7 points per game, and are last in field goal percentage at 43.1%. Defensively, they allow 114 points per game. Injuries have taken a toll, with LaMelo Ball, Tre Mann, Brandon Miller, and Grant Williams all out for the season. Charlotte has covered just two of its last 10 games and is 36-40-2 overall this season. 

Toronto recently snapped a three-game losing streak with a 120-109 win over the Brooklyn Nets. They rank 23rd in scoring offense (110.7 PPG) and 20th in field goal percentage (45.8%). They give up 115.2 points per game defensively. The Raptors are managing injuries too, with Ochai Agbaji and Jamal Shead being rested and Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poeltl, and Brandon Ingram listed as questionable.  The Hawks have covered six of their last 10 games and are 46-30-3 for the season. 

This is the third meeting between these two teams this season, with the series tied at 1-1. The Raptors won the most recent matchup on March 28 with a 108-97 victory. I look for Toronto to cover the spread here on Wednesday,  especially considering their edge in rebounding and points in the paint. With the Hornets short-handed and struggling offensively, the Raptors are positioned to take control of this matchup. Neither team has anything to play for, but Toronto does have some momentum and depth on their side. 

Play Toronto Raptors. 

The Minnesota Timberwolves (46-32) head to Milwaukee to face the Bucks (44-34) in a pivotal late-season showdown at Fiserv Forum. Both teams come into the contest riding hot streaks—Minnesota with five straight wins and Milwaukee with four—as they aim to solidify playoff seeding with only a few games remaining. Minnesota has been red-hot, winning 14 of its last 17 games. The Timberwolves are coming off a strong win over the Philadelphia 76ers, led by Anthony Edwards, who dropped 37 points. Rudy Gobert dominated inside with 23 points, 19 rebounds, and three blocks, underlining his importance on both ends. Defensively, Minnesota has been one of the best teams in the league, allowing just 109.4 points per game—sixth-best in the NBA. Their ability to control the tempo and contest shots has made them a tough out lately.

The Bucks are also surging, having notched four straight victories, most recently edging out the New Orleans Pelicans. Gary Trent Jr. led the way in that game with 29 points, supported by Brook Lopez and Kevin Porter Jr., who each added 20. Giannis Antetokounmpo remains the focal point of the team, averaging 30.5 points and 11.9 rebounds per game. However, his availability is uncertain due to a shoulder injury. Damian Lillard continues to be sidelined, putting added pressure on Milwaukee’s supporting cast.

The Bucks average 114.9 points per game; Timberwolves average 114.1. The Timberwolves allow 109.4 PPG; Bucks give up 112.9 PPG. 

Giannis’ Health: His presence—or absence—will heavily impact Milwaukee’s ability to compete inside.

This game promises to be a hard-fought battle with postseason implications. The Bucks are tied with the Clippers and Grizzlies for positions six through eight. In addition, they all three trail both Golden State and Denver by just a 1/2 game for the No 3 and No 4 spots. 

The Wolves just too hot to pass on here today. I'll lay the  points on the road with Minnesota. 

Take Minnesota

The Portland Trail Blazers (34-44) are set to host the San Antonio Spurs (32-45) at the Moda Center on Sunday, April 6, 2025, with tip-off scheduled for 6:00 PM ET. Both teams are striving to keep their slim postseason hopes alive, making this Western Conference matchup crucial. Currently 12th in the Western Conference, the Trail Blazers are 3.5 games behind the 10th-seeded Sacramento Kings. In their recent outing on Friday, they fell to the Chicago Bulls 118-113, despite a standout performance from Deni Avdija, who recorded 37 points, 11 rebounds, and five assists. Sitting 13th in the Western Conference, the Spurs are 4.5 games behind the Kings. They narrowly lost to the Cleveland Cavaliers 114-113 on Friday, with Devin Vassell contributing 24 points, four rebounds, and three assists. The Spurs have dominated the season series thus far, winning all three previous encounters. November 7, 2024: Spurs 118, Trail Blazers 105, December 13, 2024: Spurs 118, Trail Blazers 116, December 21, 2024: Spurs 114, Trail Blazers 94. The Spurs will be without key players though on Sunday. Victor Wembanyama (shoulder) and De'Aaron Fox (finger) and Jeremy Sochan (back) are all out. Portland Trail Blazers: Deni Avdija is averaging 16.9 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 3.9 assists per game. Anfernee Simons is leading the team with 19.3 points per game. San Antonio Spurs are led by Devin Vassell who is averaging 16.4 points per game. Both teams are grappling with significant injuries to key players, which could impact their performance. The Trail Blazers' depth will be tested, especially if multiple players listed as questionable are unable to play. The Spurs, missing both Wembanyama and Fox, will rely heavily on Vassell and Castle to lead their offense. The Spurs have won the previous three meetings this year but that was with a healthier squad. Without their two top players and playing on the road today, I'm taking Portland to win and cover this contest. Play Portland. 

The Dallas Mavericks (38-39) are set to face the Los Angeles Clippers (44-32) on Friday, April 4, 2025, at Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (7:30 p.m. PT). Currently holding the ninth spot in the Western Conference, the Mavericks are striving to secure a position in the play-in tournament. They recently edged out the Atlanta Hawks with a 120-118 victory on April 2, where Anthony Davis led with 34 points, including the game-winning basket. The Clippers are tied for the sixth seed in the Western Conference and have been on an impressive run, winning 10 of their last 12 games. Their latest triumph was a 114-98 win over the New Orleans Pelicans on April 2, with Kawhi Leonard contributing 28 points. The teams have split their previous two meetings this season: December 19, 2024: Clippers defeated the Mavericks 118-95. December 21, 2024: Mavericks responded with a 113-97 victory over the Clippers. Dallas Anthony Davis (PF): is questionable due to a left groin strain. Dereck Lively II (C): Out with a right ankle injury.  Anthony Davis is averaging 24.7 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 2.3 blocks per game. His availability will significantly impact the Mavericks' performance. The Clippers Kawhi Leonard is contributing 20.8 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 3.0 assists per game. Leonard's two-way play is crucial for the Clippers' success. The Mavericks are averaging 114.3 points per game with a field goal percentage of 47.9%. The Clippers are averaging 113.5 points per game with a field goal percentage of 47.8%. The Mavericks are allowing 113.7 points per game while the Clippers are allowing 112.1 points per game. The Clippers enter the game with momentum, aiming to strengthen their playoff positioning. The Mavericks face uncertainty with key injuries, particularly concerning Anthony Davis's availability. The Clippers' defensive prowess and recent form position them as favorites in this matchup. Even if Davis plays you have to believe he won't be 100%. I'm taking the Clippers here on Friday Night. 

The San Antonio Spurs (31-44) are set to face the Denver Nuggets (47-28) at Ball Arena in Denver on Wednesday, April 2, 2025, at 6:00 PM PDT. The season series is currently tied 1-1, with each team securing a win on the other's home court earlier this year. The Spurs are on a five-game losing streak, including a 116-105 loss to the Orlando Magic on April 1. They not only play the second of a back-to-back spot here but had to travel for this game. Devin Vassell: Leading the team with 16.4 points per game. The Nuggets have won four of their last five games, including a dominant 129-93 victory over the Utah Jazz on March 28. Nikola Jokic: Averaging 29.3 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.2 assists per game. Jamal Murray adding 21.6 points and 6.0 assists per game. Jamal Murray (right hamstring tightness) and Michael Porter Jr. (undisclosed) are listed as out for the upcoming game. The Spurs are averaging 114.2 points per game, 46.5% field goal percentage. The Nuggets average 120.9 points per game, 50.7% field goal percentage. The Spurs have struggled on the second night of back-to-back games, holding a 3-11 record in such situations, while the Nuggets excel with a 12-2 record.  Denver's offense, led by Jokic, presents a significant challenge for San Antonio's defense, which has allowed at least 122 points in six of their last seven road games. The Spurs had 61 points at the half last night then laid an egg in the 2nd half, scoring just 44 points and blowing a lead. It gets worse against an much better Denver team tonight. Lots of points to lay here tonight, but the Nuggets can do it against this depleted and tire Spurs club. Play Denver. 

The College Basketball Crown tournament tips off in Las Vegas with an intriguing first-round matchup between the Colorado Buffaloes (14-20) and the Villanova Wildcats (19-14). Both programs are looking to cap their seasons with a strong showing in this inaugural postseason event. Despite a tough season overall, Colorado found late momentum during the Big 12 Championship, notching impressive upsets over TCU and West Virginia before falling to Houston in the quarterfinals. That stretch demonstrated the Buffaloes’ grit and ability to play up to their competition when it matters most. Colorado averages 69.9 points per game on 44.6% shooting while allowing 71.5 points defensively. Guard Julian Hammond III leads the team in scoring with 12.5 points per game, and Andrej Jakimovski adds value on the boards and defensively. Villanova enters the tournament with a solid 19-14 record, but recent coaching changes have added an extra layer of intrigue. The Wildcats are turning to assistant coach Mike Nardi as interim head coach, and how the team responds could be a key factor in this game. Offensively, Villanova has been more efficient than Colorado, putting up 73.4 points per game while shooting 46.2% from the field and an impressive 39.8% from three-point range. Defensively, they allow 67.5 points per game. Forward Eric Dixon leads the scoring attack with 23.0 points per game, with guard Wooga Poplar contributing 14.5 points per game. This game is a classic clash of tempo and efficiency. Villanova’s offensive polish, particularly from beyond the arc, will test Colorado’s perimeter defense. Villanova’s consistent shooting and experience give them the edge here tonight, especially if Dixon and Poplar find early rhythm. I'm taking Villanova in what shouldn't be a close game. 

The New Orleans Pelicans (41–32) will welcome the Charlotte Hornets (19–54) in a cross-conference matchup that holds more weight for the home team. The Pelicans are in the thick of the Western Conference playoff race, looking to secure positioning in the top six and avoid the play-in. The Hornets, meanwhile, have long been eliminated from postseason contention and are shifting focus toward player development and lottery odds. New Orleans has been playing solid basketball over the past few weeks, winning six of their last eight games. Brandon Ingram and Zion Williamson have led the charge, with Ingram playing with poise on the wing and Williamson dominating inside. Their defense has improved lately, holding opponents under 110 points in four of their last six games. Charlotte comes into this game having lost four straight. Injuries have decimated the roster, and their offensive consistency has been a major issue. Despite that, young players like Brandon Miller and Nick Smith Jr. have shown promise and are getting extended minutes in March. The Hornets injuries: LaMelo Ball remains out with an ankle injury. Mark Williams and Gordon Hayward are also unavailable, leaving Charlotte thin on both ends of the floor. The Pelicans have a clear edge in talent, depth, and motivation. They're solid at home and have one of the more physical frontcourts in the NBA, which should dominate a short-handed Hornets team lacking size and experience. New Orleans' ability to push the pace and get easy buckets in transition may overwhelm Charlotte early. Take the Pelicans here today as I look for a double digit New Orleans win!

The No. 1 seed Florida Gators face off against the No. 3 seed Texas Tech Red Raiders in a high-stakes Elite Eight showdown at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:09 p.m. ET. Florida rides into this game on a nine-game win streak, including a dominant 87-71 Sweet 16 victory over Maryland. The Gators showed off their depth with six players scoring in double figures and a +18 margin on the glass. They’ve been one of the tournament’s most efficient offensive teams, averaging 85.4 points per game heading into the round. Florida’s success comes from balance — several players are shooting 35.7% or better from beyond the arc — and a stingy defense that has held opponents to just 25.8% shooting from deep during the tournament. Texas Tech punched their ticket to the Elite Eight with an 85-83 overtime comeback win over Arkansas, erasing a 16-point deficit. JT Toppin, Darrion Williams, and Christian Anderson combined for 62 points, carrying the Red Raiders through a nail-biting finish. However, Texas Tech’s outside shooting has dipped in the tournament. They’ve connected on just 25.0% of their three-point attempts, down from a season average of 36.7%. The possible absence of guard Chance McMillian due to an oblique injury could also impact their rotation. The spotlight will be on how Texas Tech’s offense handles Florida’s elite defense. Florida ranks second in adjusted offensive efficiency (129.2 points per 100 possessions) and ninth in adjusted defensive efficiency (92.9 points allowed per 100 possessions). One key battle will be at point guard: Elijah Hawkins for Texas Tech vs. Walter Clayton Jr. for Florida. Whoever controls the pace and tempo could shift the game’s direction dramatically.  I believe Tech was fortunate to come back in their win over Arkansas. That won't happen against a team like Florida. I'm taking the Gators here on Saturday. 

This Northwest Division clash features two teams at opposite ends of the Western Conference standings. The playoff-bound Denver Nuggets host the struggling Utah Jazz in what projects to be a one-sided contest on paper. Denver sits third in the Western Conference and is within striking distance of the No. 2 seed. The Nuggets are coming off a strong win over the Milwaukee Bucks, powered by Nikola Jokic’s 39-point triple-double. Jokic continues to put up MVP-caliber numbers, averaging 29.3 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.3 assists per game. As a team, the Nuggets average 120.8 points per game (third in the NBA) and allow 117 points per game. Utah has endured a rough season and currently holds the worst record in the league. They've lost 14 of their last 15 games, including a blowout loss to Memphis in which they allowed 140 points. Rookie guard Isaiah Collier has been a bright spot, scoring 21 points in the loss. Offensively, the Jazz rank 21st in the NBA with 111.8 points per game and struggle defensively, allowing 120.1 points per game — second-worst in the league. Jokic’s return from injury has reignited Denver’s offense. Facing a porous Utah defense that has been vulnerable inside, expect Denver to feed Jokic early and often. The Jazz continue to be hampered by injuries. Jordan Clarkson is out with plantar fasciitis, John Collins is sidelined with an ankle injury, and Lauri Markkanen’s status remains uncertain due to illness. These absences severely limit Utah’s offensive firepower and depth. Denver has swept the first three meetings of the season, with convincing wins in November and December. The Nuggets have averaged 127.7 points per game across those matchups, while Utah has struggled to keep pace offensively. I don't see the Jazz being able to stay close here tonight. Yes, this is a lot of points to lay, but the Nuggets at home vs the Jazz will make it happen. Take Denver. 

The New York Knicks (44-26) are set to host the Dallas Mavericks (35-37) at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday, March 25, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET. The Knicks have been in strong form, securing a decisive 122-103 victory over the Washington Wizards in their previous outing. Karl-Anthony Towns delivered an impressive performance, recording 31 points and 11 rebounds, while Mikal Bridges contributed 27 points. Despite the absence of starting point guards Jalen Brunson (ankle sprain) and Miles McBride (groin contusion), the Knicks have adapted well. Cam Payne stepped up with 13 points in his recent start, and rookie Tyler Kolek showcased his playmaking abilities, leading the team with eight assists in his first significant playing time this season. The Mavericks are navigating a challenging stretch, dealing with multiple injuries to key players. Kyrie Irving is out for the season following ACL surgery, and Anthony Davis has been sidelined since January with a groin injury, though he was recently upgraded to doubtful for the upcoming game. In their recent 123-117 win over the Detroit Pistons, Spencer Dinwiddie led with a season-high 31 points, P.J. Washington Jr. added 27 points, and Klay Thompson contributed 20 points. Despite these individual performances, the Mavericks have struggled with consistency, particularly on the road, where they are currently on a three-game losing streak. Both teams are dealing with significant absences. The Knicks' backcourt is depleted without Brunson and McBride, placing greater responsibility on Payne and Kolek. The Mavericks' offense has been impacted by the losses of Irving and Davis, relying more on role players to step up. The Knicks have been formidable at Madison Square Garden, boasting a 23-11 home record. Dallas had to play last night, winning at Brooklyn, 120-101. While the travel is long, they still need to travel to get here tonight. I'm taking the Knicks in this spot. 

The No. 4 seed Arizona Wildcats (23-12) are set to face the No. 5 seed Oregon Ducks (25-9) in the second round of the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament on Sunday, March 23, 2025. The game will tip off at 6:40 PM PT at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington, and will be broadcast on TBS. The Wildcats advanced with a dominant 93-65 victory over Akron. They are averaging 82.1 points per game, ranking 12th nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. Arizona leads the Big 12 in rebounding, averaging 36.6 boards per game. However, their season-long three-point shooting percentage stands at 32.9%, though they've improved to 42.2% over the last six games. The Ducks secured their spot with an 81-52 win over Liberty, shooting 54.4% from the field. They have won nine of their last ten games, with a defense that has surged over the past month. Oregon averages 76.4 points per game and allows 70.4 points per game.  Two old PAC-12 teams meet again but for the first time in the NCAA Tournament. I'm taking Oregon here on Sunday as my NCAA 2nd Round Game of the Year. 

New York Knicks (43-26): The Knicks currently hold the fourth spot in the Eastern Conference. However, they've encountered recent struggles, notably back-to-back losses to the San Antonio Spurs and the Charlotte Hornets, teams with subpar records. A significant factor in their downturn is the absence of star point guard Jalen Brunson, sidelined due to an ankle injury. Without Brunson, the Knicks have faced challenges in offensive fluidity and defensive cohesion. Washington Wizards (15-54): The Wizards are enduring a challenging season, holding the league's worst record. They are currently on a three-game losing streak, including a recent 120-105 defeat to the Orlando Magic. Injuries have further hampered their performance, with key players like Marcus Smart, Corey Kispert, and Bilal Coulibaly sidelined. The Knicks have dominated recent matchups against the Wizards, winning the last eight encounters, including a 126-106 victory on December 30, 2024. However, their recent form without Brunson raises concerns. The Wizards, despite their struggles, have an opportunity to exploit the Knicks' current vulnerabilities. This is one game that the Knicks won't need Brunson. The Wizards had to play last night and lost at home to the Magic, 105-120. Now they have to travel to New York to face the Knicks. I'll lay the big points with the Knicks against a haggard Wizards squad. 

The NCAA Tournament's West Region features an intriguing first-round matchup between the No. 4 seed Maryland Terrapins and the No. 13 seed Grand Canyon Antelopes on Friday, March 21, 2025, at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle.  Maryland Terrapins (25-8, 14-6 Big Ten) are under head coach Kevin Willard, Maryland has showcased a dynamic offense, averaging 81.7 points per game, while maintaining a solid defense, allowing 67.0 points per game. Freshman center Derik Queen leads the team with 16.3 points and 9.0 rebounds per game, earning him Big Ten Freshman of the Year honors. The backcourt is bolstered by Ja'Kobi Gillespie, who contributes 14.7 points and 5.0 assists per game. Grand Canyon Antelopes (26-7, 13-3 WAC) are coached by Bryce Drew. Grand Canyon secured its third consecutive NCAA Tournament appearance by winning the WAC Tournament. The Antelopes average 79.2 points per game and allow 69.1 points per game. Senior forward JaKobe Coles leads the team with 14.8 points and 5.7 rebounds per game, earning the WAC Tournament's Most Outstanding Player award. Graduate guard Tyon Grant-Foster, a key player in last year's tournament run, adds experience and averages 14.5 points and 6.0 rebounds per game. Grand Canyon's roster boasts significant postseason experience, with players like Grant-Foster and Harrison returning for a fifth year. In contrast, Maryland relies on the talent of freshman Derik Queen, making his tournament debut. This matchup pits Maryland's youthful talent against Grand Canyon's seasoned experience. I like the experience Grand Canyon brings to this game and that has a recipe for an upset. But I'll take the points with Grand Canyon. 

The Dallas Mavericks have struggled recently, losing eight of their last ten games. They average 114.7 points per game (13th in the NBA) and allow 115.1 points per game (18th in the league). Dallas has particularly struggled on the road, surrendering 126 or more points in four straight road games. The Indiana Pacers are in good shape in the standings, sitting at fifth in the Eastern Conference. They have been solid recently, amassing a 3-2 record in their past five clashes. Indiana is hard to beat at home, standing at 4-1 in their past five home games, including a win against the Bucks. Dallas Mavericks: Klay Thompson: Averaging 14.4 points per game on 42% shooting. Spencer Dinwiddie: Has been solid, amassing 18 or more points in three of his past four games.  Indiana Pacers: Pascal Siakam: Continues to shine, amassing 25 or more points in three of his past five games. Tyrese Haliburton: Has reached 20 points in two of five games on the month. The Pacers' strong home performance and the Mavericks' recent struggles suggest Have me on Indiana here on Wednesday. The should cover this line by at least 7-10 points. Play Indiana. 

The Toronto Raptors (24-44) will face the Phoenix Suns (31-37) on Monday, March 17, 2025, at Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona. The game is scheduled to tip off at 7:00 PM PDT. The Raptors are averaging 111.1 points per game while allowing 115.7 points per game, ranking 22nd in offense and 21st in defense. They secure 44.8 rebounds per game and have a 34.9% success rate from three-point range. The Suns average 114.4 points per game and concede 116.3 points per game, placing them 14th offensively and 22nd defensively. They average 42.5 rebounds per game and have a three-point shooting percentage of 38.3%. Raptors: RJ Barrett leads with 21.5 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 5.7 assists per game. Scottie Barnes contributes 19.7 points, 7.9 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game. Suns: Kevin Durant averages 26.7 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 4.3 assists per game. Devin Booker adds 25.8 points and 6.9 assists per game. The Raptors have struggled on the road, holding an 8-24 away record. The Suns, with a 19-13 home record, have shown more consistency at Footprint Center. Both teams have key players listed as questionable, which could impact the game's dynamics. The Suns' higher offensive output and home-court advantage position them favorably for this matchup. I will be on the Suns here on Monday.

The Jazz have struggled this season, holding a 15-52 record, placing them at the bottom of the Western Conference. They are currently on an eight-game losing streak, with their most recent defeat being a 126-118 loss to the Toronto Raptors. In that game, Jordan Clarkson led with 19 points, while Kyle Filipowski contributed 18 points and 11 rebounds.  The Timberwolves are in strong form, boasting a seven-game winning streak and a 39-29 record, positioning them seventh in the Western Conference. They recently secured a 118-111 victory over the Orlando Magic, overcoming an 11-point deficit entering the fourth quarter. Anthony Edwards led with 28 points, and Julius Randle added 22 points. The teams have split their season series so far. On January 30, 2025, the Timberwolves secured a decisive 138-113 victory. However, on February 28, 2025, the Jazz edged out a narrow 117-116 win. Overall, Minnesota has won seven of the last ten encounters between the two teams. My computer projections have this one as the Wolves run away with it in a 16-point route. It also looks to a 226 to 230 final total points. Wolves also at home here and that will play a big part in a Minnesota blowout win. Play Minnesota. 

The Ivy League Men's Basketball Championship is set for Sunday, March 16, 2025, featuring the top-seeded Yale Bulldogs (21-7, 13-1 Ivy) against the second-seeded Cornell Big Red (18-10, 9-5 Ivy). The game will tip off at 12 p.m. ET at the Pizzitola Sports Center in Providence, Rhode Island, with television coverage on ESPN2.

Yale has been the dominant force in the Ivy League this season, boasting a stellar 13-1 conference record. Their success is built on a foundation of strong defense and efficient offense. The Bulldogs rank 24th nationally in points scored per game (81.4) and 91st in points allowed (69.2). They also excel in field goal percentage, shooting 49.0% (11th nationally), while holding opponents to 40.1% (17th nationally). Key players include John Poulakidas, averaging 19.0 points per game, and Nick Townsend, contributing 7.3 rebounds per game. 

Cornell's high-octane offense has been a highlight this season, ranking 6th nationally with an average of 85.1 points per game. Their defense, however, has been less formidable, allowing 77.1 points per game (315th nationally). The Big Red lead the nation in effective field goal percentage, thanks to their emphasis on three-point shooting and fast-paced play. Senior guard Nazir Williams leads the team with 14.7 points per game, while forward Guy Ragland Jr. averages 5.3 rebounds. 

The two teams have faced each other twice this season, with Yale emerging victorious in both encounters. The most recent matchup on February 21, 2025, was a high-scoring affair, with Yale narrowly defeating Cornell 92-88. In that game, Yale's Nick Townsend recorded a double-double with 24 points and 11 rebounds, while Cornell's AK Okereke had a standout performance with 30 points and seven assists. 

 Both teams rely heavily on the three-point shot. Cornell's strategy emphasizes high-volume three-point attempts, while Yale boasts efficient perimeter shooting. The team that finds its rhythm from beyond the arc could gain a significant advantage. 

The Ivy League Championship promises an exciting matchup between Yale's balanced, disciplined approach and Cornell's high-scoring offense. For me I'm going to take the points in this game with this high scoring Cornell club.

The Milwaukee Bucks (37-28) are set to host the Indiana Pacers (36-28) on Saturday, March 15, 2025, at Fiserv Forum. This matchup features two Central Division rivals vying for playoff positioning in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks recently snapped a three-game losing streak with a dominant 126-106 home victory over the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. They currently hold a 22-11 record at home, showcasing their strength on their home court. The Pacers are on the second night of a back-to-back, having played the Philadelphia 76ers on Friday night in a 112-100 win. Prior to that, they secured a narrow 115-114 home win against the Bucks on Tuesday, thanks to a clutch four-point play at the buzzer. The Pacers have a 16-18 road record, indicating some struggles away from home. The Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 30.5 points, 12.1 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game. Damian Lillard: Contributing 25.2 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 7.2 assists per game.  Indiana Pacers: Pascal Siakam: Averaging 20.8 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 3.3 assists per game. Tyrese Haliburton: Providing 18.5 points and 8.9 assists per game. Bucks rank 12th in the NBA with 114.8 points per game. Pacers rank 9th, averaging 116.4 points per game. Always tough in the NBA to play the second of a back-to-back spot, but even more so when that team has to travel too like the Pacers tonight. I'll take the Bucks here on Saturday. 

The Arizona Wildcats and Texas Tech Red Raiders are set to clash in the Big 12 Tournament semifinals on Friday, March 14, 2025, at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. EDT. Arizona has experienced fluctuations in form recently, with five of their 11 losses occurring in the last 11 games. However, they showcased resilience by defeating Kansas 88-77 in the quarterfinals. The Wildcats average 82.0 points per game, shooting 47.1% from the field, and allow 72.1 points per game. Key players include Caleb Love, averaging 16.4 points and 3.5 assists, and Jaden Bradley, contributing 11.9 points and 3.4 rebounds per game.  The Red Raiders have been in strong form, winning 14 of their last 17 games. They narrowly edged out Baylor 76-74 in the quarterfinals. Texas Tech averages 81.1 points per game on 47.4% shooting and holds opponents to 66.8 points per game. Standout players include JT Toppin, with 18.1 points and 9.3 rebounds per game, and Chance McMillian, averaging 14.7 points and 4.2 rebounds. This season, the teams have split their meetings. Texas Tech secured a 70-54 victory in January, while Arizona responded with an 82-73 win in February. The Red Raiders' robust defense has been a cornerstone of their success, and limiting Arizona's offensive rhythm will be a priority. I'm going to be taking Texas Tech here on Friday as my Big 12 Conference Tournament Game of the  Year. 

The North Carolina Tar Heels (21-12, 12-8 ACC) are set to face the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (21-10, 13-7 ACC) in the ACC Tournament quarterfinals on Thursday, March 13, 2025, at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina, with tip-off scheduled for 2:30 p.m. ET. The Tar Heels have found their stride recently, winning seven of their last eight games. Their offense has been particularly potent, averaging 82.2 points per game over the last ten contests. A significant factor in their success has been improved three-point shooting, rising from 40th nationally to second over the past two months. The Demon Deacons started strong but have faced challenges lately, losing six of their last twelve games. They secured the No. 4 seed in the ACC Tournament after concluding the regular season at 21-10 overall and 13-7 in conference play. Hunter Sallis leads Wake Forest, averaging 18 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 2.8 assists per game. The teams last met on January 21, 2025, with Wake Forest edging out a narrow 67-66 victory over North Carolina. North Carolina has emphasized offensive rebounding in their recent games, improving their offensive rebounding percentage significantly. This could be a decisive factor, especially considering Wake Forest's struggles with defensive rebounding, where they rank 317th nationally. Both teams are on the NCAA Tournament bubble, making this game crucial for their postseason aspirations. A victory would significantly enhance their chances of securing a tournament berth.  The Heels have been the hot team here and I like that as they come into this tournament. Take North Carolina. 

The Texas Longhorns (17-14, 6-12 SEC) are set to face the Vanderbilt Commodores (20-11, 8-10 SEC) in the first round of the Southeastern Conference (SEC) Men's Basketball Tournament on Wednesday, March 12, 2025. The game will tip off at approximately 3:30 p.m. ET at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee, and will be broadcast on the SEC Network. Texas has experienced a challenging inaugural season in the SEC, finishing with a 6-12 conference record. The Longhorns have struggled recently, losing seven of their last nine games, including a 76-72 defeat to Oklahoma in their regular-season finale. Despite these setbacks, Texas boasts five Quad 1 victories and aims to bolster its NCAA Tournament resume with a strong performance in the SEC Tournament. Vanderbilt concluded the regular season with a 20-11 overall record and an 8-10 mark in SEC play. The Commodores have been competitive throughout the season and are considered by some analysts to be on the fringe of the NCAA Tournament conversation. However, they enter the tournament on a two-game losing streak, having fallen to Georgia and Arkansas in their final regular-season games. The two teams met earlier this season on February 8, with Vanderbilt securing an 86-78 victory at Memorial Gymnasium in Nashville. In that contest, the Commodores overcame a 10-point second-half deficit, largely due to their dominance on the offensive glass, securing 17 offensive rebounds. Both teams shot around 42% from the field, combining for 164 points despite the modest shooting percentages. Offensively, both teams have been productive, with Texas averaging 78.1 points per game and Vanderbilt 79.9 points per game. The Longhorns' reliance on mid-range shots and isolation plays, primarily through Johnson, has been a double-edged sword, leading to both high-scoring games and inconsistent offensive performances. I like Vandy in this matchup for Wednesday. 

The Gonzaga Bulldogs (24-8, 14-4 WCC) are set to face the Saint Mary's Gaels (28-4, 17-1 WCC) in the West Coast Conference (WCC) Championship game on Tuesday, March 11, 2025. The matchup will take place at Orleans Arena in Paradise, Nevada, with tip-off scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET (6:00 p.m. PT).  The Bulldogs, under head coach Mark Few, finished second in the WCC regular season standings. They advanced to the championship game after defeating San Francisco 85-76 in the semifinals.  Led by head coach Randy Bennett, the Gaels secured the top seed in the WCC with a stellar conference record. They reached the championship by overcoming Pepperdine with a decisive 74-59 victory in the semifinals.  Gonzaga Bulldogs are led by Ryan Nembhard. The sophomore guard has been instrumental in Gonzaga's offense, showcasing exceptional playmaking abilities throughout the season.  Saint Mary's Gaels is led by Augustas Marciulionis. The two-time WCC Player of the Year leads the Gaels with consistent scoring and leadership on the court. Saint Mary's has had the upper hand this season, winning both regular-season encounters against Gonzaga: January 18, 2025: Saint Mary's 62, Gonzaga 58 (at Saint Mary's). February 15, 2025: Saint Mary's 74, Gonzaga 67 (at Gonzaga). Saint Mary's methodical style and strong defense have been effective against Gonzaga's high-paced offense this season. The Gaels lead the nation in rebounding percentage (57.4%) and excel at controlling the game's tempo. Both teams will make the NCAA tourney, but St Mary's will take the conference tourney tonight. Play St Mary's. 

The No. 3 seed Maine Black Bears (18-13, 10-6 America East) will host the No. 6 seed UMass Lowell River Hawks (17-14, 6-10 America East) in the America East Tournament quarterfinals on Saturday, March 8, 2025. The game is scheduled for 6:00 PM ET at The Pit in Memorial Gymnasium, Orono, Maine, and will be broadcast on ESPN+.  Maine has achieved its highest seed since the 2010-2011 season, marking significant progress under head coach Chris Markwood. The Black Bears boast the second-best scoring defense in the conference, allowing just 66.5 points per game. Offensively, they average 71.6 points per game, with a scoring margin of +5.1. The River Hawks have experienced a season of close contests, reflected in their 6-10 conference record. They possess a potent offense, averaging 80 points per game, ranking 46th nationally. However, their defense has been less robust, conceding 74.2 points per game. Maine is led by Kellen Tynes. The senior guard earned his third consecutive America East Defensive Player of the Year award, leading the nation with 97 steals this season. He also contributes 12.7 points and 4.6 assists per game. UMass Lowell is led by Quinton Mincey: The junior forward leads the River Hawks with 16.6 points and 6.4 rebounds per game, earning Third-Team All-Conference honors. Maine and UMass Lowell have faced each other twice this season, with both games decided by a single point: Should be another great, close game. I'll take the points in what should come down to the wire. 

The Big South Conference Men's Basketball Tournament will feature a quarterfinal matchup between the No. 3 seed Winthrop Eagles (21-10, 11-5 Big South) and the No. 6 seed Longwood Lancers (18-13, 7-9 Big South) on Friday, March 7, 2025. The game is scheduled to tip off at 8:30 p.m. ET at the Freedom Hall Civic Center in Johnson City, Tennessee. Winthrop enters the tournament with a potent offense, averaging 85.0 points per game, which ranks them among the top 10 nationally. They have been efficient from the field, shooting 47.4%, and have held opponents to a 44.2% shooting percentage. The Eagles are led by Kelton Talford, who averages 15.8 points and 7.7 rebounds per game, making him one of the top players in the Big South Conference. Winthrop has momentum, having won four of their last five games, including a notable 103-90 victory over UNC Asheville on March 1. The defending Big South champions, Longwood, have had an up-and-down season but possess the experience of performing well in tournament settings. They average 78.2 points per game with a field goal percentage of 46.6%. Michael Christmas leads the Lancers in scoring, averaging 12.1 points per game, and is a key contributor from beyond the arc, making 2.1 three-pointers per game. Longwood has shown resilience, bouncing back from a loss to Winthrop on February 27 with a convincing 83-66 win over South Carolina Upstate on March 1. Winthrop and Longwood faced each other twice during the regular season, with Winthrop winning both encounters. The most recent matchup on February 27 resulted in a decisive 85-59 victory for the Eagles at Longwood's home court. The winner of this quarterfinal game will advance to the semifinals to face the winner of the matchup between No. 2 seed UNC Asheville and No. 7 seed Charleston Southern. Take Winthrop here on Friday with their potent offense and dominance against Longwood this season. 

The Detroit Pistons (35-27) are set to face the Los Angeles Clippers (32-28) on Wednesday, March 5, 2025, at the Intuit Dome. The Pistons, currently holding the sixth seed in the Eastern Conference, have been on a remarkable run, winning 10 of their last 11 games. Their recent 134-106 victory over the Utah Jazz showcased their offensive prowess and defensive solidity. Despite the season-ending injury to star guard Jaden Ivey, who suffered a broken left fibula on January 1, the Pistons have demonstrated resilience. Cade Cunningham has stepped up, averaging 25.3 points and 6.1 rebounds per game, while new additions Malik Beasley and Tim Hardaway Jr. have bolstered the team's performance. The Clippers, conversely, have struggled recently, losing six of their last seven games and slipping to the ninth seed in the Western Conference. Injuries have played a significant role in their downturn, with key players like Ben Simmons (knee), Derrick Jones Jr. (knee), and Norman Powell (hamstring) sidelined. Kawhi Leonard continues to lead the team, but the Clippers have found it challenging to maintain consistency. In their most recent matchup on February 24, the Pistons secured a 106-97 victory over the Clippers, holding them to 40% shooting. I like the Pistons here on Wednesday as they continue their momentum and defense to win. 

The Philadelphia 76ers (21-38) are set to face the Minnesota Timberwolves (33-29) on Tuesday, March 4, 2025, at the Target Center in Minneapolis. The 76ers are coming off a home loss last night to Portland, 102-119. The team has struggled overall, posting a 1-10 record over their last 11 games. Compounding their challenges, star center Joel Embiid is out for the season, and key players Kyle Lowry (hip), Paul George (groin), and Kelly Oubre Jr. (illness) are listed as questionable for the upcoming game. In contrast, the Timberwolves are coming off a dominant 116-98 win against the Phoenix Suns, highlighted by Anthony Edwards' 44 points, five rebounds, and seven assists. Despite a recent 4-6 stretch over their last ten games, they hold the 8th spot in the Western Conference. However, Minnesota will be without center Rudy Gobert (back) for this matchup. The Timberwolves' strong defense, ranked 5th in adjusted defensive rating, combined with the 76ers' offensive struggles, suggests Minnesota is well-positioned to capitalize on Philadelphia's vulnerabilities. Wolves have to lay a lot here on Tuesday, but Philly had to play last night and travel today so they likely will be tired. I'm taking Minnesota here on Tuesday.

The Arkansas Razorbacks (16-11, 5-9 SEC) are set to host the Texas Longhorns (16-11, 5-9 SEC) on Wednesday, February 26, 2025 at Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, Arkansas. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they aim to strengthen their NCAA Tournament prospects, with each currently positioned on the tournament bubble. Earlier this month, Arkansas secured a 78-70 victory over Texas in Austin. The Razorbacks built a substantial lead, extending to 23 points in the second half, before withstanding a late Longhorns rally. Guard Johnell Davis led Arkansas with 24 points in that contest. The Razorbacks are coming off a significant 92-85 win over No. 16 Missouri, showcasing their offensive capabilities. Johnell Davis (G): Averaging 15.0 points per game over the last eight games, Davis has been pivotal in Arkansas's recent performances. Adou Thiero (G): Leading the team with 15.7 points and 6.0 rebounds per game. Arkansas averages 76.1 points per game and allows 69.4 points per game. The Longhorns have faced challenges recently, losing four of their last five games, including a surprising 84-69 defeat to South Carolina. Tre Johnson (G): Leading the SEC with 20.2 points per game, Johnson has been a consistent offensive force, averaging 28.3 points over the last three games. Texas averages 78.3 points per game and allows 69.8 points per game. Both teams share identical overall and conference records, intensifying the stakes of this contest. Arkansas's home-court advantage at Bud Walton Arena, combined with their recent victory over a ranked opponent looks to be the difference. I'll take the home team here tonight with Arkansas. 

The Indiana Pacers (32-24) are set to host the Toronto Raptors (18-39) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday, February 26, 2025. The Pacers aim to rebound from a recent 125-116 loss to the Denver Nuggets, while the Raptors are coming off a loss last night at home to the Celtics, 101-111. Indian Injury report has Myles Turner (C): Out with a neck injury. Isaiah Jackson (C): Out for the season due to a calf injury. T.J. McConnell (PG): Questionable with a right ankle sprain. Tyrese Haliburton (PG): Questionable due to left groin soreness.  The Toronto Raptors injuries: Brandon Ingram (SF): Out with a left ankle sprain. P.J. Tucker (SF): Out for personal reasons. Ulrich Chomche (PF): Out for the season following a right knee injury.  Gradey Dick (SG): Probable despite a right thigh contusion. Jakob Poeltl (C): Questionable with a right hip pointer. The Pacers average 114.4 points per game and allow 117.6 points per game. The Raptors average 113.4 points per game and allow 119.5 points per game. The Pacers have to play the second of a back-to-back spot here tonight which is tough enough. In addition, they have to travel for this game. I'm taking the Pacers here tonight. 

The Golden State Warriors are set to host the Charlotte Hornets on Tuesday, February 25, 2025 at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Since acquiring Jimmy Butler on February 8, the Warriors have significantly bolstered their defense, leading to victories in five of their last six games. With Butler's addition, the team now ranks first in steals (11.5 per game) and allows the second-fewest points in the paint (42.3 per game). Stephen Curry continues to lead the offense, recently scoring 30 points in a decisive 126-102 win over the Dallas Mavericks. However, forward Jonathan Kuminga remains sidelined due to a right ankle sprain sustained on January 4.  The Hornets have faced challenges this season, exacerbated by significant injuries. Forward Grant Williams is out for the season with a torn ACL, and guard Brandon Miller recently underwent season-ending wrist surgery. Despite these setbacks, the team looks to LaMelo Ball to spearhead the offense. Ball is expected to play against the Warriors, possibly with a minor minutes restriction. The Warriors' recent defensive improvements and home-court advantage position them favorably against the injury-plagued Hornets. This is a lot of points to lay but I expect the Warriors to have little issue covering it. Play Golden State. 

The Los Angeles Clippers are set to face the Detroit Pistons on Monday, February 24, 2025, at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit. The Clippers enter this matchup with a 31-25 record after their loss on Sunday at Indiana 111-129. They are currently sixth in the Western Conference. They are concluding a four-game road trip and will be playing on the second night of a back-to-back spot along with that spot being a travel game. The Pistons boast a 31-26 record after winning on Sunday at Atlanta, 148-143. They are sixth in the Eastern Conference. They are riding a six-game winning streak, demonstrating improved performance compared to their previous season. The Pistons' Jalen Duren, coming off a 21-point, 15-rebound performance, will face the Clippers' interior defense. The battle in the paint will be crucial, especially with both teams potentially managing player fatigue due to consecutive games. Clippers: Kawhi Leonard (left foot soreness) and Norman Powell (left knee soreness) are listed as questionable. Their availability will significantly impact the Clippers' offensive and defensive strategies. The Clippers rank 21st in the NBA in scoring, averaging 110.9 points per game, while the Pistons are 13th, averaging 113.6 points. Defensively, the Clippers are fifth, allowing 108.2 points per game, whereas the Pistons rank 15th, conceding 113.1 points. The Pistons have surpassed 125 points in their last four games, indicating a potent offense. Conversely, the Clippers have struggled on the road, with a 12-14 away record. While both teams play back-to-back here tonight the Clippers have some injury concerns and the Pistons are riding momentum. I'll take the Pistons at home against a struggling Clippers team. 

The Toronto Raptors are set to host the Phoenix Suns on Sunday, February 23, 2025, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. The Phoenix Suns hold a record of 27-29, including an 11-18 mark on the road. They are currently positioned fifth in the NBA's Pacific Division. The Toronto Raptors, meanwhile, have a 17-39 record, with a 12-18 performance at home, placing them fifth in the Atlantic Division. The Suns are coming off a victory last night in Chicago against the Bulls 121-117, where Devin Booker led the team with 29 points and eight assists. Kevin Durant contributed 27 points, and Bradley Beal added 25 points in his return to the starting lineup, helping the team snap a two-game losing streak.  This game marks the first meeting of the regular season between the Suns and the Raptors. Phoenix Suns: Devin Booker continues to be a pivotal player for the Suns, consistently leading the team in scoring and playmaking. Kevin Durant's scoring prowess and Bradley Beal's recent return bolster the Suns' offensive lineup. The Suns have to play the second of a back-to-back spot here on Sunday. Worse, they had to travel after last night's game in Chicago. That makes this doubly tough for any team, let alone a team with a 11-18 road mark. I'm taking the Raptors here on Sunday.

The New York Knicks (37-18) are set to face the Cleveland Cavaliers (45-10) on Friday, February 21, 2025, at 7:00 PM EST at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland. The Cavaliers currently lead the Eastern Conference with a 44-11 record, riding a five-game winning streak. They are coming off a win over the Brooklyn Nets on Thursday, 110-97, as a 12 point favorite. The Knicks, holding the third spot in the conference at 37-18, have also been in strong form, winning five of their last six games, including a win on Thursday at home over the Bulls in OT, 113-111. New York Knicks: Jalen Brunson leads the team with 26.1 points per game, ranking 9th in the NBA, and contributes 7.5 assists per game. Karl-Anthony Towns adds 24.7 points and 13.4 rebounds per game, providing a strong inside presence. Cleveland Cavaliers: Donovan Mitchell averages 23.9 points and 4.8 assists per game, while Darius Garland adds 21.6 points and 6.7 assists per game, forming a dynamic backcourt duo. Both teams are on the second night of back-to-back games, which may test their depth and endurance. The Knicks though had to go the extra five minutes of OT to beat the Bulls and they play on road here tonight.  The Cavaliers' home-court advantage and recent momentum position them as favorites. I'll take the Cavs minus the points on Friday. 

The No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide are set to face the No. 15 Missouri Tigers in a pivotal SEC matchup tonight at Mizzou Arena in Columbia, Missouri. Holding a 21-4 overall record and a 10-2 mark in SEC play, Alabama aims to rebound from a recent 94-85 home loss to top-ranked Auburn. With a 19-6 overall record and 8-4 in conference games, Missouri seeks to extend its momentum following consecutive double-digit victories over Oklahoma and Georgia. Alabama boasts the nation's highest-scoring offense, averaging 90.3 points per game, while Missouri ranks 12th, contributing 82.6 points per game. Alabama allows 79.1 points per game, whereas Missouri concedes 84.2 points per game at home, positioning them among the lower tiers defensively in high-major programs. Both teams favor an up-tempo style, with Alabama leading the nation in adjusted tempo and Missouri ranking 66th in average possession length. Alabama senior guard Mark Sears leads the team with 17.8 points and 4.8 assists per game, while forward Grant Nelson contributes 12.6 points and 8.3 rebounds per game. The Tigers' offense is powered by Caleb Grill, Tamar Bates, and Mark Mitchell, each averaging over 12 points per game. Grill stands out with a 46.7% three-point shooting accuracy. This contest features two of the nation's most dynamic offenses but I will be on the home team here tonight. Play Missouri. 

The Illinois Fighting Illini are set to face the No. 11 Wisconsin Badgers in a pivotal Big Ten Conference matchup on Tuesday, February 18, 2025, at the Kohl Center in Madison, Wisconsin. Entering the contest with a 17-9 overall record and 9-7 in Big Ten play, the Illini are looking to rebound from a recent 79-65 loss to Michigan State. In that game, guard Kasparas Jakucionis and forward Morez Johnson Jr. each contributed 17 points. The Badgers boast a 20-5 overall record and a 10-4 mark in conference play. They are riding high after a significant 94-84 victory over Purdue, where guard John Tonje delivered an impressive 32 points, along with six rebounds and three assists. Illinois faces a setback with forward Morez Johnson Jr. sidelined indefinitely due to a broken left wrist sustained during the Michigan State game. Johnson had been a consistent contributor, averaging 7.2 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 1.1 blocked shots per game. In Johnson's absence, head coach Brad Underwood expects forward Tre White to step up. White had a standout performance in the previous matchup against Wisconsin, scoring 23 points and grabbing eight rebounds. After dealing with health issues and limited playing time, White is anticipated to make a significant impact in this game. Wisconsin's offense has been formidable, averaging 81.5 points per game, ranking them 28th nationally. Their offensive efficiency is further highlighted by leading the Big Ten in effective field goal percentage. Wisconsin aims to break a prolonged losing streak against Illinois and capitalize on their home-court advantage, while Illinois seeks to overcome injury challenges and maintain their dominance in the series. I'll take Wisconsin at home here tonight. 

The Manhattan Jaspers (12-10, 7-6 MAAC) take on the Fairfield Stags (9-16, 5-9 MAAC) this Sunday, February 16, 2025, at Leo D. Mahoney Arena in Fairfield, Connecticut. Manhattan comes in riding a two-game winning streak, fresh off a 79-75 victory over Merrimack, where Will Sydnor dominated with 18 points and 10 rebounds. Over their last 10 games, the Jaspers are 6-4 straight up and 7-3 against the spread (ATS).

Meanwhile, Fairfield is looking to snap a two-game skid after a 65-52 loss to Saint Peter’s. Kyle Jenkins led the Stags in that matchup, scoring 12 points off the bench. Over their last 10 outings, Fairfield has struggled with a 3-7 record (4-6 ATS).

These two teams met earlier this season, with Fairfield pulling out an 87-84 overtime win. Turnovers were a key issue for Manhattan, as Fairfield converted their mistakes into 16 points.

Statistically, Manhattan holds the edge offensively, averaging 76.1 PPG on 43.6% shooting, while Fairfield lags behind with 67.6 PPG on just 39.5% from the field. Defensively, Manhattan allows 75.9 PPG, slightly higher than Fairfield’s 73.5 PPG.

With momentum on their side and an offensive advantage, I like the Jaspers to get their revenge and take this one on the road.

Play Manhattan.

The Robert Morris Colonials (14-12, 9-6 Horizon League) are set to host the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (18-9, 11-5 Horizon League) on Saturday, February 15, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET at the UPMC Events Center in Moon Township, Pennsylvania. Robert Morris enters the matchup on a three-game winning streak, most recently securing a 61-58 victory over IUPUI on February 14. The Colonials have demonstrated resilience, particularly in close games, and will look to leverage their home-court advantage. Purdue Fort Wayne is coming off a 93-71 loss to Youngstown State on February 12, a game in which guard Rasheed Bello led the team with 21 points. Despite the setback, the Mastodons have been strong offensively, averaging over 80 points in their last three wins prior to the loss. For Robert Morris, senior forward Kahliel Spear has been a consistent contributor, averaging 15.2 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. His presence in the paint will be crucial for the Colonials. Purdue Fort Wayne's offense is spearheaded by guard Rasheed Bello, who not only leads the team in scoring but also contributes significantly in assists and steals. His performance will be pivotal in dictating the pace of the game. The two teams last met on February 1, 2025, where Purdue Fort Wayne secured a 63-54 victory over Robert Morris. In that contest, the Mastodons' defense limited the Colonials' scoring opportunities, a strategy they will likely aim to replicate. This matchup is significant for both teams as they jockey for position in the Horizon League standings. Robert Morris will aim to capitalize on their recent momentum and home-court advantage to avenge their earlier loss to the Mastodons. Take Robert Morris

The Oklahoma City Thunder (44-9) take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (30-25) tonight at the Target Center in Minneapolis. The red-hot Thunder are riding a seven-game winning streak, while the Timberwolves look to bounce back from a tough 103-101 loss to Milwaukee.

OKC boasts the league’s top defense, allowing just 104.7 points per game, while also ranking fifth in scoring (118.2 PPG). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the NBA’s leading scorer at 32.6 PPG, is supported by Jalen Williams (21.1 PPG) and Chet Holmgren (15.0 PPG, 8.2 RPG), who is expected to return after resting last game.

Minnesota struggles offensively, ranking 20th in scoring (111.6 PPG) but remains strong on defense, allowing 108.3 PPG (5th best). Anthony Edwards (27.5 PPG) leads the way but is questionable with a hip injury, while Julius Randle (18.9 PPG, groin) and Donte DiVincenzo (11.0 PPG, toe) remain out.

In their last meeting on December 31, 2024, OKC defeated Minnesota 113-105, fueled by Shai’s 40-point explosion and the Wolves’ 24 turnovers. Given Minnesota’s injury concerns and both teams playing last night, fatigue will impact the short-handed Timberwolves more.

Play the Thunder on Thursday.

The Phoenix Suns (26-27) are set to face the Houston Rockets (33-20) on Wednesday, February 12, 2025, at the Toyota Center in Houston. The Suns are currently 11th in the Western Conference, striving to break into the playoff picture. They have faced challenges recently, losing four of their last five games, including a 122-105 defeat to the Denver Nuggets on February 8. Their sole win in this stretch was against the Utah Jazz. The Rockets, positioned 5th in the Western Conference, have also encountered difficulties, dropping six of their last seven games. However, they secured a 94-87 victory over the Toronto Raptors on February 9, aiming to build momentum from this win. 

The Suns will be without guard Bradley Beal due to a left great toe sprain. Grayson Allen is listed as probable with left knee soreness, and Vasilije Micic is questionable due to a left ankle sprain. The Rockets have several key players on the injury list. Fred VanVleet is out with an ankle injury, and Jabari Smith Jr. remains sidelined due to a hand fracture sustained in early January. Alperen Sengun is day-to-day with lumbar soreness, and Tari Eason is also day-to-day, resting. 

For the Suns, Devin Booker leads with an average of 26.4 points and 6.6 assists per game. Kevin Durant contributes significantly, averaging 26.9 points per game. The Rockets' offense is spearheaded by Jalen Green, averaging 21.4 points per game. The potential absence of Alperen Sengun, who averages 19.0 points and 10.4 rebounds, could impact their performance. 

Betting Trend: The Suns had to play last night at home against the Memphis Grizzlies in a 112-119 loss. They turn around and hit the road for tonight's contest at Houston. Always tough to play the 2nd of a back-to-back spot, but more so when the second game requires travel. I'll take Houston tonight.

The Detroit Pistons (27-26) take on the Chicago Bulls (22-31) on Tuesday, February 11, 2025, at the United Center in Chicago in a Central Division showdown. This marks their third meeting of the season, with each team having secured a win in their previous matchups.

The Pistons have been gaining momentum, winning four of their last six games. Their most recent victory, a 112-102 win over Charlotte, was fueled by Tobias Harris's 20 points and a triple-double performance from Cade Cunningham (19 points, 10 rebounds, 12 assists). Cunningham continues to lead the team, averaging 25.5 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 9.5 assists per game. However, Detroit faces a setback with Jaden Ivey out for the season due to a leg injury.

The Bulls have been struggling, dropping 11 of their last 15 games. In their 132-111 loss to Golden State, Coby White was a bright spot, leading the team with 27 points. White has been one of the Bulls' most consistent performers, averaging 18.7 points and 4.6 assists per game. However, Chicago’s defense remains a major concern, allowing 120.4 points per game, ranking among the league's worst. On the positive side, the Bulls recently extended Lonzo Ball’s contract for two years, signaling their commitment to his role moving forward.

This game will come down to Detroit’s offensive balance vs. Chicago’s struggling defense. The Pistons, led by Cunningham, have the weapons to exploit Chicago’s defensive weaknesses, while the Bulls will need a strong home-court effort to counter Detroit’s recent momentum.

With Detroit playing strong basketball and Chicago struggling defensively, I like the Pistons in this spot. Take Detroit.

The Brooklyn Nets (18-34) will host the Charlotte Hornets (13-37) on Monday, February 10, 2025, at Barclays Center in a battle between two struggling Eastern Conference teams. The Nets sit 12th in the East, while the Hornets rank 14th, both looking for any momentum in what has been a challenging season.

Brooklyn has shown signs of life recently, winning four of their last five games. Their latest victory, a dominant 102-86 win over Miami, showcased their defensive strength, holding the Heat to just nine fourth-quarter points. Cameron Johnson led the team with 18 points, while the Nets' defense has been outstanding, allowing just 103.3 points per game over their last 10 outings—ranking second in the league during that span. However, their offense continues to struggle, sitting 29th in the NBA at 105.3 points per game. Key contributors include Cam Thomas (24.7 PPG) and D’Angelo Russell (12.4 PPG, 5.0 APG).

The Hornets, on the other hand, have dropped seven of their last eight games and continue to face issues on both ends of the floor. Their offense ranks 28th, averaging 107.1 PPG, while their league-worst 43.1% field goal percentage further highlights their inefficiencies. Defensively, they allow 112.3 PPG, ranking 13th in the NBA. LaMelo Ball has been a bright spot, leading Charlotte with 28.0 PPG and 7.4 APG, while Miles Bridges adds 21.6 PPG and 3.7 APG. However, injuries have taken a toll, with key players like Brandon Miller sidelined.

Charlotte also playing the 2nd of a back-to-back spot here on Monday. They played at Detroit on Sunday, losing 102-112. 

With Brooklyn’s elite recent defensive performances and Charlotte’s continued struggles, particularly on the road, the Nets are the clear play tonight especially with Charlotte having played yesterday. Backing Brooklyn at home is the smart move in this matchup

The No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide (19-3, 8-1 SEC) will take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (14-8, 3-6 SEC) on Saturday, February 8, 2025, at Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, Arkansas, with the game set to air on ESPN.

Alabama enters this matchup on a five-game winning streak, including key victories over LSU (80-73), No. 14 Mississippi State (88-84), and Georgia (90-69). The Crimson Tide lead the nation in scoring, averaging 90.2 points per game, and rank second nationally in rebounding with 40.9 boards per game. However, their high-powered offense is offset by a defense that allows 78.3 points per game, ranking 330th in the country.

Arkansas has turned a corner after a tough start to SEC play, securing back-to-back road wins against No. 12 Kentucky (89-79) and Texas (78-70). The Razorbacks average 76.8 points per game with a +8.1 scoring differential, showing improvement and gaining momentum as the season progresses.

Key Players to Watch for Alabama are Mark Sears – The senior guard led the team with 20 points and 6 assists in the win over Georgia and continues to be a key factor in Alabama’s offensive success.

Arkansas has Johnell Davis – A transfer from Florida Atlantic’s 2023 Final Four squad, Davis has been on fire, averaging 20.0 points per game over his last three outings, giving the Razorbacks a major boost offensively.

The Alabama Offense: Leads the nation with 90.2 PPG and their rebouding is 40.9 RPG (2nd nationally). 

The Arkansas Offense: 76.8 PPG, gaining momentum while the Arkansas Defense is showing improvement after key road wins. 

This SEC showdown presents a clash of styles, with Alabama’s elite offense and rebounding against an improving Arkansas squad that has found its rhythm. Playing at home, Arkansas is in a great spot to keep this game competitive. I’ll take the points with the Razorbacks, and an outright upset wouldn’t be shocking. Play Arkansas.

The UCF Knights (13-8, 4-6 Big 12) will host the Cincinnati Bearcats (12-9, 2-8 Big 12) on Wednesday, February 5, 2025, at Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, Florida. UCF aims to bounce back after consecutive losses, including an 81-75 defeat to BYU. Despite the setbacks, the Knights have been dominant at home this season with a 10-3 record at Addition Financial Arena.

Cincinnati enters the matchup on a four-game losing streak, most recently falling 63-50 to West Virginia. The Bearcats have struggled offensively during this skid, averaging just 70 points per game, which ranks 283rd nationally.

For UCF, Keyshawn Hall leads the way with 18.1 points and 6.8 rebounds per game, while Darius Johnson adds 14.7 points and a team-best 4.0 assists per game. Cincinnati is led by Simas Lukosius, who averages 12.0 points per contest, while Dillon Mitchell contributes 10.2 points and leads the team with 6.6 rebounds per game.

UCF holds a clear scoring advantage, averaging 79.6 points per game (61st nationally) compared to Cincinnati’s 70.0. Defensively, Cincinnati allows just 63.0 points per game, ranking 14th nationally, while UCF concedes 78.8 points, placing them 336th. However, with UCF’s strong home performance and Cincinnati’s ongoing offensive struggles, the Knights have the edge in this matchup and should come away with a win and cover.

The New York Knicks (33-17) head to Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, February 4, 2025, to face the Toronto Raptors (16-33) in their final matchup of the season. The Knicks have dominated the series, winning all three previous meetings, but this game comes with added challenges.

New York, currently third in the Eastern Conference, is coming off a 124-118 home win over Houston on Monday night. Offensively, the Knicks are one of the league’s best, ranking fourth in scoring (117.7 PPG), third in field goal percentage (49.4%), and fourth in three-point shooting (37.8%). Their defense is solid, allowing just 110.6 PPG (8th in the NBA).

Meanwhile, the Raptors have found their groove, winning eight of their last ten—including an impressive 115-108 victory over the Clippers. RJ Barrett led the way with 20 points, while Jakob Poeltl contributed a double-double (10 points, 10 rebounds). Toronto averages 111.2 PPG (20th), shoots 47% from the field (13th), and hits 35.1% from deep (21st). Defensively, they allow 116.3 PPG (24th in the NBA).

Key Betting Edge: Scheduling & Fatigue 

The Knicks are on the second night of a back-to-back and had to travel for this matchup—a tough spot against a red-hot Raptors team playing their best basketball of the season.

The Play: Take Toronto to keep the momentum rolling! 

The Oklahoma City Thunder (38-9) are set to defend their home court against the Milwaukee Bucks (26-21) on Monday, February 3, 2025, at the Paycom Center. This non-conference battle features the West’s top team taking on the East’s struggling fifth seed—and all signs point to a one-sided affair.

Oklahoma City is on fire, leading the Western Conference and coming off a dominant 144-110 victory over the Kings. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues his MVP-caliber season, averaging 32.4 PPG, 6.0 APG, and 5.3 RPG. The Thunder boast the NBA’s best defense, allowing just 104.7 PPG, while their offense ranks sixth overall at 117.0 PPG.

Meanwhile, the Bucks are reeling, dropping four of their last five, including a 119-132 home loss to Memphis on Sunday night. Giannis Antetokounmpo (31.8 PPG, 12.2 RPG) is dealing with a knee injury, while Damian Lillard (25.3 PPG, 7.3 APG) is battling a lingering groin issue. Khris Middleton (ankle), Brook Lopez (back), and Bobby Portis (personal reasons) are all listed as questionable, making Milwaukee’s already tough road game even more daunting.

One major red flag—the Bucks are playing back-to-back nights and had to travel to Oklahoma City, a brutal scheduling spot against a red-hot Thunder squad. With injuries piling up and fatigue setting in, this has all the makings of an Oklahoma City blowout.

Expect the Thunder to dominate and make a statement on Monday night!

The Chicago Bulls (21-28) travel to Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons (24-24) on February 2, 2025. Chicago currently holds the 10th seed in the Eastern Conference, clinging to the final playoff spot, while Detroit sits at 7th as they look to solidify their postseason positioning.

The Bulls have hit a rough patch, losing eight of their last eleven games. Despite their struggles, their offense remains potent, ranking 7th in the league with 116.5 points per game, shooting 46.6% from the field and 37.2% from three. However, their defense has been a liability, allowing 119.8 points per game, putting them near the bottom of the NBA. In their latest victory over Toronto (Jan. 31), Coby White led the charge with 25 points. However, the team faces injury concerns, as Zach LaVine is doubtful (personal reasons) and Torrey Craig is out with a leg injury.

The Pistons have been inconsistent, dropping five of their last eight games, but they have been more solid at home. Offensively, they average 112 points per game, shooting 46.6% from the field and 36% from beyond the arc. Defensively, they allow 113.3 points per contest, giving them an edge over Chicago's struggling defense. Cade Cunningham has been red-hot, averaging 25.3 points and 9.2 assists per game. He dominated in Detroit’s recent win over Dallas (Jan. 31), putting up 40 points in a standout performance. However, the Pistons will be without Jaden Ivey, who is out for the season due to a leg injury.

The Bulls’ defensive struggles and injuries make this a tough matchup for them, especially against a Detroit team that has been stronger at home. With Cunningham playing at an elite level, expect the Pistons to capitalize on Chicago’s weaknesses. Play Detroit to take this one at home! 

The BYU Cougars are set to host the Baylor Bears on Tuesday at the Marriott Center in Provo, Utah. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 PM EST, with the game broadcast on ESPN2. BYU Cougars: 13-6 overall, 4-4 in Big 12 play. Baylor Bears: 13-6 overall, 5-3 in Big 12 play. BYU has shown resilience in recent games, winning three of their last four matchups. Their only loss in this span was an overtime defeat to Utah. Notably, they secured a dominant 80-52 victory against Cincinnati in their most recent outing. Baylor, on the other hand, is coming off a strong performance against Utah, where they led by double digits for most of the game, culminating in a 76-61 win. This victory was achieved despite a shortened rotation due to injuries to guards Langston Love and Jeremy Roach. BYU Cougars: Egor Demin, the Russian point forward has been pivotal for the Cougars, leading the Big 12 in assist rate. In the game against Cincinnati, he contributed 15 points, five rebounds, and seven assists. Richie Saunders and Trevin Knell: Both are formidable perimeter shooters, with Saunders also showcasing an improved ability to drive to the basket. Baylor Bears: VJ Edgecombe, the freshman guard has emerged as a significant offensive threat, averaging 25.5 points over his last two games. Norchad Omier and Josh Ojianwuna: Both players are active on the glass and efficient finishers around the rim, providing a strong presence in the frontcourt. Given BYU's recent defensive improvements and home-court advantage I like the Cougars here tonight. Lay the points with BYU.

The Oregon State Beavers are set to host the Santa Clara Broncos on Saturday at Gill Coliseum in Corvallis, Oregon with live coverage available on ESPN+. The Beavers enter the matchup with a 10-8 overall record. They are coming off an impressive 83-63 victory over Pepperdine on January 23, where they shot 60.7% from the field and matched a season-high with 11 three-pointers. The Broncos hold a 12-6 overall record. In their recent game against Washington State on January 23, they secured a 93-65 win, showcasing a balanced offensive attack. Oregon State: Forward Michael Rataj led the Beavers with 22 points on 9-for-12 shooting, including a perfect 4-for-4 from three-point range, in their win over Pepperdine. Guard Damarco Minor contributed 13 points and nine assists, while Nate Kingz added 20 points, hitting four three-pointers. Santa Clara: Guard Johnny O'Neil was a standout in the victory over Washington State, contributing significantly to the team's performance. Oregon State averages 75.0 points per game, while Santa Clara averages 78.5 points per game. The Beavers allow 68.0 points per game, whereas the Broncos concede 70.2 points per game. I'll take Oregon State as my West Coast Conference Game of the Year here on Saturday. 

The Stanford Cardinal (11-6, 3-3 ACC) are set to host the Miami Hurricanes (4-13, 0-6 ACC) on Wednesday at Maples Pavilion in Stanford, California. The Cardinal are led by center Maxime Raynaud, who averages 21.4 points and 11.8 rebounds per game, showcasing his dominance in the paint. Guard Jaylen Blakes contributes significantly with 15.3 points and 5.3 assists per game, facilitating the team's offensive flow. Stanford emphasizes a balanced defensive approach, aiming to contain opponents' scoring opportunities. The Hurricanes have faced challenges this season, reflected in their 4-13 record. They are striving to find consistency in their offensive play to improve their standing in the conference. Miami's defense has been tested throughout the season, and they will need to tighten their defensive strategies to contend with Stanford's key players. Stanford enters the matchup with a stronger record and the advantage of playing on their home court. The performance of Maxime Raynaud and Jaylen Blakes will be crucial for the Cardinal. Miami will need to elevate their play on both ends of the court to challenge Stanford effectively. The game is scheduled to tip off at 8:00 PM PT and will be broadcast on ESPNU. I look for Stanford to blowout Miami who is making the long trip from the East Coast to the West coast for this contest. Play Stanford as your ACC Game of the Year.