Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-06-24 | Alabama v. Connecticut OVER 160.5 | Top | 72-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Game two of the NCAA Final Four has Alabama taking on powerhouse Connecticut. The Alabama Crimson Tide lost in their conference tourney to Florida, 88-102, but have gained momentum in the NCAA tourney with wins over Charleston (109-96), Grand Canyon (72-61), North Carolina (89-87) and last game over Clemson, 89-82. They have gone over in three of their four NCAA tourney games. In addition they have gone over in six of their last seven games and 13 of their last 15 overall games. This team can score in bunches, evidenced by their 90.6 ppg average this year. They are also 7-1 O/U in their eight tourney games this year. The U Conn Huskies are the odds on favorite to win it all and their play has proved they deserve their title. They have run rough shot over the competition. They not only won their conference tourney over Marquette, 73-57, but have won all four tourney games over Stetson (91-52), Northwestern (75-58), San Diego State (82-52) and last game over Illinois, 77-52. In their game vs Illinois they opened the game up in the first half with a 30-0 run! Now they face the best offensive team they have faced in this tourney. No doubt the Huskies will score and score a lot vs a porous Alabama defense. The question is can they keep the Crimson Tide from scoring like they have. I look for this to be an offensive explosion here tonight. I'm taking the OVER. |
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03-26-24 | Georgia v. Ohio State UNDER 151 | 79-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
NIT Quarterfinals action here tonight has Georgia travelling to Columbus to face Ohio State. The Georgia Bulldogs improved to 19-16 on the season with a pair of wins in the NIT over Xavier, 78-76, and then their last game over Wake Forest, 72-66, as a 7-point dog. They have gone under in both their NIT games thus far. In fact, the dogs are 2-6 O/U in their last eight games and 1-5 O/U in their six tourney games this year. Ohio State is 22-13 after winning a pair of NIT games. They beat Cornell in their opening game, 88-83, and then Virginia Tech in their last game, 81-73, as a 6-point favorite. Both those games going over their posted total. This is a contrast of styles with the slower Georgia team taking on the faster Ohio State club. This total is pretty high tonight in the 150's and I like Georgia to control the pace. That means the UNDER with this matchup. |
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12-31-23 | Washington v. Utah UNDER 154 | 90-95 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
PAC 12 Matchup here on Sunday has Washington taking on Utah. The Washington Huskies are 8-4 S/U 7-5 ATS and 6-6 Over/Under. They have averaged 81.8 ppg while allowing 74.3 ppg. On the road the Huskies are 1-1 both S/U and ATS and O/U. They are coming off a loss at Colorado, 69-73, as a 8.5-point dog and the game went under the 156.5 total. That is their second straight under and fourth in the last five games. Utah is 10-2 S/U and 8-4 ATS and averages 80.6 ppg while allowing just 67.6 ppg. At home those number are even better with a 83.6 ppg average and 62.4 ppg against for a +21.1 scoring margin. The Utes are just 2-5 O/U at home this year. The Utes are coming off a home win over Washington State, 80-58, as a 8-point favorite with the game going under. In fact, they have gone under in four straight games. I like the under today. Utah plays very good defense, better at home and this is a big total to get over. Take UNDER. |
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12-23-23 | Butler v. Providence UNDER 142.5 | 75-85 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
Early action on the college hardcourt here on Saturday has Butler taking on Providence. The Butler Bulldogs are 10-2 S/U and 7-4 ATS with a 5-5-1 O/U record. The dogs have won seven straight games since their loss to Florida Atlantic, 86-91. They are coming off a win over Georgetown, 74-64, as a 10.5-point favorite. The game also went under the 148.5 total. The Bulldogs score a lot, averaging 83.8 ppg, but they also play good defense as they allow just 69.6 ppg. The Providence Friars are also 10-2 S/U and 6-5-1 ATS. However, they are just 2-10 over/under as they allow just 63 ppg. That ties them for 21st in the nation in best defense. The Friars have won three straight and seven of their last eight. They are coming off a win over Marquette, 72-57, as a 4-point dog with the game going under. In fact, their last four games have gone under. This game being in Providence makes a big difference as the Friars allow just 60.8 ppg. They should control the tempo and keep this game low scoring. Play the UNDER. |
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12-21-23 | Jacksonville v. Purdue OVER 147 | Top | 57-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
The Jacksonville Dolphins travel to Purdue in this extra board game for Thursday The Dolphins are 8-4 S/U and 5-5 ATS on the season. They are also 8-2 O/U and average 76.8 ppg while giving up 73.4 ppg. The team is 2-4 S/U and ATS on the road with a 5-1 O/U mark. They average 67.3 ppg but give up 85 ppg away from home. The Dolphins coming off a home win over LA-Monroe, 75-65, covering the 6-point line and going over the 137.5 total. The Purdue Boilermakers off to a great start at 10-1 S/U and 8-2-1 ATS. They are also a very good over team with a 8-3 O/U mark. They average 86.2 ppg and allow 70.5 ppg. They do better at home, averaging 90.8 ppg while allowing 61.6 ppg. Both teams have been great over plays all season. I don't see that changing tonight as Purdue piles up the points at home. Play the OVER. |
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12-19-23 | CS-Northridge v. UCLA UNDER 138.5 | 76-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
A pair of LA county teams matchup here tonight as UCLA welcomes cross town school Cal State Northridge tonight. Northridge Matadors have had some rough seasons heading into this year. However, they are off to a much better start at 7-3 S/U and 7-1 ATS. They are also 2-6 O/U on the season and allow just 69.3 ppg. They haven't played in over a week and that was a win over Utah Tech, 80-75, as a 2-point favorite. That snapped a string of six straight unders for the Matadors. The defense has been good, holding five of the last six opponents to under 40% shooting. UCLA off to a slow start this season at just 5-4 S/U and 3-5-1 ATS. They are also 1-8 O/U on the season. They have played very good defense, holding opponents to just 59.7 ppg overall and 54.3 ppg at home. The Bruins have lost two straight games to Villanova 56-65 and then last time out to Ohio State, 60-67, as a 2-point home dog. Both games going under. Tonight, I expect both teams to slow the tempo and as such I'm looking for this game to go under. |
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12-13-23 | Murray State v. Mississippi State OVER 136.5 | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
The Murray State Racers are off to a slow start at just 3-5 S/U and 2-5 ATS. They are also 5-2 Over/under on the season. The Racers have lost two straight both S/U and ATS including last game at Austin Peay, 49-53, as a 2.5-point favorite. They had their worst shooting game of the season with just 37.3% from the field and 2nd worst from the 3-point arc with 28%. Theis team averages 73.5 ppg while allowing 70.9 ppg. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 7-2 S/U and 6-3 ATS with a 3-6 O/U mark. They average 75.4 ppg while allowing 62 ppg. They are coming off a win at home over Tulane, 106-76, as a 6.5-point favorite. They had their best offensive output of the season by hitting 58.6% from the field and a blistering 46.4% from the 3-point arc, both season highs. I expect the Dogs to have equal success here tonight against the Racers that allow quite a few points Take the OVER tonight. |
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11-20-23 | West Virginia v. SMU UNDER 143.5 | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Tourney action here on Monday has West Virginia taking on SMU. The West Virginia Mountaineers are 2-1 both S/U and ATS this season. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville State, 70-57, covering the 7.5-point line. They went under the total in that game. In fact, they are 0-2-1 O/U in their three games. While WV shot 51.1% from the field in their win over Jax State, that was by far their best shooting performance after a 31.3% and 34.9% in their previous two games. SMU is 3-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS in their four games. They had their 3-0 record broken last game out in a loss to Texas A&M, 66-79, as a 5.5-point dog. That game went over, but the previous two games went UNDER. The Mustangs shot only 35.4% vs A&M and 37.3% in their win over Lamar. They have also struggled from three-point, shooting 26.1% and 11.1% in two of their four games. I'm going to take this game under here this evening. |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State UNDER 132 | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 9 m | Show | |
IT's been quite the run for Conference USA this postseason. First Charlotte wins the CBI tournament and then UAB and North Texas played for the NIT FInals, both from Conference USA. Now, Florida Atlantic looks to keep their Cinderella run going here on Saturday vs San Diego State. Really both these teams not expected to be in the Final Four. Florida Atlantic was great all year while San Diego State is a big, strong and experienced team. FAU Owls are 35-3 overall and you have to go back to Feb 16 for their last loss. They have also gone 8-3 ATS their last 11 games. SDG State Aztecs are 31-6 and have covered six straight games. The Aztecs have gone under in 12 straight games and 14 of the last 15 games. That's because of this defense and slower game they play. FAU has gone under in five of their last seven games and six of their last eight on a neutral court. I love this game to go UNDER here on Saturday. |
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03-19-23 | St. Mary's v. Connecticut UNDER 126.5 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
2nd Round NCAA Tournament action has Saint Mary's taking on U Conn. St Mary's lost in their West Coast tournament to rivals Gonzaga, 51-77, as a 2-point dog. They opened NCAA play with a 1st round win over VCU, 63-51, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Gaels are usually known for their defense. They have allowed just 59.7 ppg on the season and 62.3 on neutral sites. After losing their conference tourney matchup to Marquette, Cincinnati opened NCAA play with a win over Iona, 87-63, as a 9-point favorite. They have gone under in three of their last four games. With St Mary's going under in eight of their last 11 NCAA games and the Huskies playing mostly unders in the postseason, I'll take under here on Sunday. |
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03-14-23 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. SE Missouri State OVER 155.5 | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament begins here on Tuesday with a pair of play-in games. Texas A&M Corpus Christi takes on Se Missouri State in the early game. A&M Islanders finished the season strong, winning four straight games and 12 of their last 13 games. They also went over in four of the last five games. This team averaged over 80 ppg on the season too. The Islanders are 12-4 O/U in their last 16 games following an ATS win. SE Missout State Redhawks finished on a four game win and cover streak. They went over in three of those four games and six of their last seven games. The Redhawks are 13-3 O/U their last 16 games following an ATS win. They are also 21-7 O/U in their last 28 overall games. Both these teams can score and have done well for over bettors. I'll take the over here on Tuesday. |
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02-04-23 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech UNDER 129.5 | 68-74 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
ACC action early on Saturday has a pair of rivals facing off as Virginia Tech host Virginia. Virginia looks headed to another NCAA tournament with a nifty 17-3 overall record. The Cavs are also 9-2 in conference play and a half game behind ACC leading Clemson. Tech is going to need a big last push if they hope to make the Big Dance as they sit 13-9 overall and just 3-8 in conference play. Virginia has won seven straight games and is 4-3 Over/UNDER in that span. One of those is also against Tech back on Jan 18th in which they won at VT 76-68, as a 5-point favorite. Virginia Tech is coming off a loss at Miami, 83-92, as a 3.5-point dog. The Hokies are just 2-8 S/U and ATS in their last 10 games. The Hokies have gone under in five of their last six games when playing a team with a winning record. Same for the Cavs, they have also gone under in five of their last six vs a winning team. While these teams went over last time at Virginia, I'm taking them under here today. Play the UNDER. |
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01-31-23 | Ball State v. Bowling Green OVER 152.5 | 69-60 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Two teams trying to improve their position in the MAC face off today as 4th place Ball State takes on 5th place Bowling Green. Ball State is 5-3 in the MAC and 14-7 overall. Ball State is coming off a win over Northern Illinois, 87-69. They have gone over their last three games. The Cardinals have also gone over in their last four road games and 6-2 O/U their last eight overall games. Bowling Green is 4-4 in the MAC and 10-11 overall. Bowling Green looks to rebound from their loss at Toledo, 77-91. The game went over and they are 4-1-1 O/U their last six games. The Falcons have also gone over in four of their last five home games. I will take the over here tonight between these teams. |
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01-31-23 | Akron v. Buffalo OVER 146.5 | 81-64 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Akron tied for the best record in the MAC right now with a 7-1 conference record and 15-6 overall mark. The Zips have also won six straight games. Buffalo sits in tied for 5th with Bowling Green at 4-4 and 10-11 overall. Akron has gone over their last two games, totaling 160 and 141. The Zips have gone over in five of their last seven overall. Buffalo is only 2-4 their last six games, going over in four of those. The Bulls average 86.7 ppg at home this year while allowing 74.3 ppg. I like this game to go over here tonight. |
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01-25-23 | Xavier v. Connecticut OVER 153.5 | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Xavier looks to keep hold of their top spot in the Big East Conference. Xavier is 16-4 overall on the season and 8-1 in conference. Meanwhile, Connecticut is 16-5 overall and 5-5 in conference and in 5th place. Xavier rebounded from a loss on last Wednesday to Depaul, 72-73 as a 8-point road favorite with a home win over Georgetown, 95-82, but failed to cover the 17-point line. Still, they are 5-2 ATS their last seven games and have lost straight up just one time in their last 13 games. They have also been good on the road, going 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS their five away games, outscoring the home teams by an average of 85.2 to 79.6 points. Xavier has also been a very good over team with a 15-5 O/U record on the season. That makes them 19-7-1 O/U their last 27 overall games. In addition, they are 5-2 O/U their last seven road games. The U Conn Huskies came into conference play with a 11-0 record. However, the Big East hasn't been kind as they have gone 5-5 since. In fact, they are just 2-5 S/U their last seven games and 2-7 ATS their last nine games. They have been a decent over team too, going 3-1 O/U their last four and 6-3 O/U their last nine. They have also gone 36-17 O/U in their last 53 overall home games. Both these teams are good over teams and both can score. I don't think the oddsmaker made a tall enough over/under line for these two. Take the OVER. |
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11-07-22 | Mt. St. Mary's v. West Virginia UNDER 130.5 | 58-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Mount St Mary's finished last year with a 14-16 record and now open at West Virginia for this season. They only hit 44.3% from the field and were 302nd in the nation in scoring. The defense was good, allowing 65.3 ppg (57th in nation). West Virginia coming off a losing campaign last year, going 16-17. The offense was 314th in the nation and the defense was 173rd in the nation. The Mountaineers are 3-12-1 Ov/Un in their last 16 overall games. I look for the defenses to be better early in the season than the offense and I'm taking UNDER here tonight. |
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04-02-22 | Villanova v. Kansas UNDER 133 | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 48 m | Show |
It took Kansas an entire half, but they finally woke up in the 2nd half against Miami in their Elite 8 matchup. Kansas trailed the Canes at half, 29-35, but came out like gangbusters in the second half. They outscored Miami 47-15 in the 2nd half to win the game, 76-50, as a 5-point closing favorite. There was a lot of money on Miami, as they opened a 9-point dog and close at around 5-points. Now Kansas will get to face Villanova. Villanova didn't have a lot of issues with Houston as they led at the half, 27-20 and held on for the 50-44 win over the Cougars as a 3-point dog. Again the money on Houston as the opened 1.5-points and close at 3-points. Villanova did suffer one loss in the game, that of guard Justin Moore who tore a Achilles tendon in the final minutes of the game. Moore will not play again this year with surgery looming. Moore, a third year starter, was second team All Big East this year. Moore averaged 14.8 ppg and his leadership will be greatly missed. For me, losing Moore is the difference maker in the tone of this game. Both these teams are very good defensively with Kansas ranked 17th and Villanova 18th in the Kenpom adjusted defensive rankings. Now without Moore that will hurt this Nova offense. I'm am taking the UNDER here in this Final four matchup. |
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03-22-22 | St Bonaventure v. Virginia UNDER 124 | 52-51 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
NIT Quarterfinals here today, still at the home sites as St Bonnys plays at Virginia. St Bonnys is 22-9 and got knocked out their conference tourney in the first round, 56-57 by St Louis. The Bonnies then went on to beat Colorado, 76-86, and Oklahoma 70-68, in the first and 2nd rounds of the NIT. The Bonnies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Virginia Cavaliers have to be one of the favorites left in this tournament. The Cavs are 21-13 this season. They beat Mississippi State in the first round, 60-57, and then North Texas in the second, 71-69, covering both games. In this matchup I'll be looking at the under. St Bonnies is 4-11 O/U in their last 15 games as a dog. They are also 7-16 O/U in their last 23 road games. Virginia has always been known for their defense. They are 1-4 O/U in tehir last five home games and 3-7 O/U in their last 10 home games when favored. I'll take the UNDER. |
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03-20-22 | Troy State v. Abilene Christian OVER 140 | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
CBI Tourney action here today has Troy State taking on Abilene Christian from Daytona Beach, FL. The Troy Trojans open this tourney coming off a loss to Lafayette, 57-66. That dropped them to a 20-11 overall record on the season. Abilene Christian finished the season at 23-10 overall and won their first three conference tourney games over SF Austin, Seattle and Utah Valley State before losing to New Mexico State in the Title game, 52-66, as a 5.5-point dog. The Wildcats scored 70 or more points in three of the last four games and 13 of their last 15 games. In fact, nine of their 12 away games have gone OVER the total this year. The way this team scores, I look for this game to go OVER the total here today. |
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03-17-22 | Akron v. UCLA OVER 128 | 53-57 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Mid-American Conference Champion Akron takes on PAC-12 UCLA tonight. Akron comes in with a 8-game winning streak. They beat Kent State in the MAC Championship, 75-55. Akron had the 3rd most efficient offense and 4th defense in the MAC this year. They had the 2nd best 2-point shooting team at 54.7%. UCLA had the 2nd most efficient offense in the PAC 12, third in 2-point shooting (49.6%). The Bruins have gone over in five of their last six games and four of the last five as a favorite. I'm taking the OVER here tonight as I see UCLA getting at least 70 points. |
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03-03-22 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International OVER 140 | 71-51 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Florida Atlantic Owls are 15-13 on the season and coming off a win at Charlotte, 74-69. They have gone over in eight of their last 10 games. They are also 4-1-1 O/U in their last six away games. Florida International Golden Panthers are 15-14 on the season. They are coming off a loss at Old Dominion, 63-83, as a 8-point dog. They went over in that game and are now 8-3 O/U their last 11 games. FIU is 5-1 O/U in their last six home games. I look for this game to go over the total tonight. |
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02-22-22 | Buffalo v. Miami-OH OVER 155.5 | 86-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
MAC action here on Tuesday has Buffalo taking on Miami Ohio. The Buffalo Bills are 15-8 S/U and 12-10 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Western Michigan, 87-73, as a 19-point favorite. The game also went over the 146.5 total. Buffalo has the 2nd best offense in the MAC. They are 2nd in 2-point FG% and third in 3-point FG%. They are also 1st in offensive rebounds at 38.9%. The Miami Redhawks are 12-14 S/U overall. They aare coming off a win over Northern Illinois, 78-75. They have gone over in three straight games. The defense isn't very good, ranking 9th in the MAC, 11th in defensive 3-point FG% and 8th in 2-point FG%. Miami has a 7-3 O/U record in their last 10 home games as a dog. I'm going to take this game OVER tonight. |
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02-12-22 | Arkansas v. Alabama OVER 157 | 67-68 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
SEC action early here on Saturday has Arkansas playing at Alabama. I'm looking at the over in this game. We have two teams that can put up the points. Arkansas scored 80 points in their win against Auburn last game and 99 at Georgia on Feb 2 in that win. Arkansas has the 6th ranked offense in the SEC. Alabama can also put up points, evidenced by their last against at Mississippi where they won and covered, 97-83. Bama has the conferences 4th ranked offense. But one thing about the Tide, they rank just 11th in the conference in defense, so they can give up points too. I'm taking the OVER in this early Action Saturday game. |
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02-10-22 | Tenn-Martin v. SIU-Edwardsville UNDER 138 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Martin Skyhawks are just 8-16 overall on the season and also have a 10-12 spread mark. They are 2-9 S/U on the road but actually have a winning 6-5 road spread mark. The offense ranks 7th in the conference, but the defense is a bit better at 4th in conference. SIU Edwardsville Cougars are just 6-17 overall and 9-12-1 vs the spread. The Hawks have lost nine straight games and are just 1-7-1 ATS their last nine games. The offense is bad, 318th overall in the country and 8th in the conference. Tennessee Martin also has one of the worse offenses in the country and is 7th in the conference. Two bad teams with bad offenses. I'll take the UNDER. |
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01-08-22 | UCLA v. California UNDER 134 | 60-52 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
UCLA has a 9-1 record this season and thanks in part to a decent defense. They have allowed an average of just 66.8 ppg and on the road that drops even more to just 53.5 ppg. The Bruins have gone under in five of their last six games. The Cal Bears are 9-6 on the season and average just 66.6 ppg while allowing just 62.7 ppg. The Bears have seen five of their last seven games go under the total. I look for a slower paced game here tonight. I'll take the UNDER. |
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01-08-22 | Southern Illinois v. Valparaiso UNDER 127.5 | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
The Southern Illinois Salukis hit the road today for a Missouri Valley Conference game at Valparaiso. The Salukis are coming off a win over Grambling, 75-64, though they failed to cover the 17.5-point favorite line. So.Illinois has not fared well on the road where they are 1-3 S/U and 0-3-1 ATS and being outscored by a 59.3 to 63.5 average. The Valpo Crusaders are 8-7 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Northern Iowa, 65-92 as a 7-point dog. The Salukis have gone under in 20 of their last 28 games and are 1-4 O/U in their last five road games. Valpo is 1-5 O/U in their last six games vs a team with a winning percentage over 60%. I like this game to go under today. |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga OVER 159 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 5 m | Show |
Both these teams advanced to the NCAA Championship game on different paths. The Baylor Bears had little trouble with their intra-state rivals, Houston, winning in a never close game, 78-59. Gonzaga took a much more exciting route, beating UCLA in OT 93-90. This game was close the entire way and it looked like we were headed to Double OT as UCLA made a basket with just over three seconds left. However, a nearly half court 3-points banked in and the Zags advanced to the title game here today. Baylor has more offensive weapons then UCLA and likes an up-tempo pace, as does Gonzaga. I expect this pace tonight to be fast and with that I'm taking the OVER. |
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04-03-21 | UCLA v. Gonzaga UNDER 145.5 | 90-93 | Loss | -103 | 48 h 19 m | Show | |
Lets face it, this NCAA Tournament is Gonzaga's to lose. They are by far the best team in this tournament, winning every game by double digits and making them look easy. Now come UCLA, who has been lucky to win some OT and close games going back to the PAC-12 and NCAA tourneys. Totals have been going under in this tourney, mainly due to 3-pointers having dropped. Teams finally seem to catch on how to defense beyond the arc. UCLA has not scored much and I don't see them doing so here today. I think Gonzaga will keep this UCLA team bottled up all night. Play the UNDER. |
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04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor UNDER 135.5 | 59-78 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Scoring has been down in this tournament, mainly because 3-point shooting percentages have dropped a lot. We've seen that even in Gonzaga games. These two teams both these teams. Houston has gone under in three straight games. Baylor has been one of the few teams to get more overs in this tournament, with both their last games going over. Still, I expect these teams to be more deliberate here today and more defense to be on display. Take the UNDER. |
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03-29-21 | Arkansas v. Baylor UNDER 148.5 | 72-81 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Arkansas got pushed to their limit last game, but narrowly escaped with the win over Oral Roberts, 72-70 as a 11.5 point favorite. Now they face the top seed in the region, Baylor. Baylor beat Hartford, 79-55 then Wisconsin, 76-63 and then last game over Villanova, 62-51. All three games held their opponents to 63 or fewer points. One thing has been evident in this NCAA tournament, 3-point shot making percentage has dropped significantly. Normally around the 30% mark or more, we've been seeing 20% of shots dropping from 3-point. Oregon State hit 21.7% against Loyola Chicago and then 27.7% against Oklahoma State and 19.2% vs Tennessee. Houston, which has seen numbers in the 40% ranges, hit just 21.7% against Syracuse, resulting int their 62-46 win. Seems like teams are getting better at defending the 3-point shot and that has resulted in lower scoring games. With a lower score expected here, the points become critical. I'm going to take the UNDER here today. |
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03-29-21 | Oregon State v. Houston UNDER 130 | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
Reason: Midwest Regional Final has Oregon State taking on Houston. Oregon State the surprise team left in the tournament as they got red-hot right at Conference tourney time. Oregon State has won six straight games and covered all six. They have gone under in two of their last three games, holding Loyola Chicago to just 58 and Tennessee to 56 in their three NCAA tourney games. Houston has also slowed the pace of late, going under in their last two NCAA tourney games, holding Syracuse to just 46 points on Saturday and Rutgers to 60 in their game before. In fact, Houston has now held four of their last six opponents to 56 or fewer points and one other to just 60. |
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03-22-21 | Oklahoma v. Gonzaga OVER 154 | 71-87 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Gonzaga is the top seed in the tournament and now 28-0 on the season. They will play a 17-10 Oklahoma team here on Monday. Oklahoma rebounded from it's Big 12 tourney loss with a win over Missouri, 72-68, covering the 1-point dog lone. They still have won just two of their last seven games. Gonzaga is the leader of this pack. While I'm not looking at the spread here today, I am looking at the total. Gonzaga is a good over team, with six of their last eight games going over. They have scored 86 or more points in 11 of their last 13 games. Gonzaga is now 11-3 O/U in their last 14 neutral site games. The Bulldogs are also 37-16 O/U in their last 53 games as a favorite. I'm looking for lots of points from Gonzaga. Take the OVER. |
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03-21-21 | Texas Tech v. Arkansas UNDER 141 | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Texas Tech advanced to the NCAA second round here on Sunday with a win in round one over Utah State, 65-53, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Red Raiders snapped a two-game losing streak. This has been a very good under team, with both tourney games going under and five of their last six games overall going UNDER. Arkansas had little trouble with the nation's 2nd highest scoring team in Colgate, winning 85-68 in round one. The game went under, as each of their tourney and NCAA games has done. The Razorbacks have also gone under in nine of their last 12 neutral site games. I'm looking to play the UNDER here today. Play UNDER. |
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03-19-21 | Colgate v. Arkansas OVER 160.5 | 68-85 | Loss | -108 | 28 h 4 m | Show | |
NCAA First round action here on Friday has NO 14 Colgate taking on No seed Arkansas. Two of the highest scoring teams in division 1 basketball. The Colgate Raiders ranked 2nd in the nation with 86.3 ppg while the Arkansas Razorbacks are ranked 7th at 82.4 ppg. Colgate beat Loyola Maryland 85-72 to get here today. They finished 14-1 S/U and 10-5 ATS on the season. The also covered six of their last eight games. Arkansas opened SEC tourney play with a win over Missouri, 70-64, but then fell to LSU, 71-78. Expect a run and gun game here today. I'll take the OVER in this one. |
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03-14-21 | LSU v. Alabama UNDER 157.5 | 79-80 | Loss | -116 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
SEC Championship game here on Sunday from Nashville, TN has LSU taking on Alabama for the automatic bid to the NCAA. LSU got here with wins over Ole Miss on Friday, 76-73 and then a win over favored Arkansas on Saturday, 78-71. Alabama had to beat Mississippi State on Friday, 85-48 and then Tennessee on Saturday, 73-68. They have gone under in five of their last seven games. LSU is now 3-7-1 O/U/P in their last 11 games vs a team with a winning s/u record. I'm taking the total here today in this matchup. Play UNDER. |
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03-12-21 | South Florida v. Wichita State OVER 137.5 | 67-68 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
American Athletic Association Quarterfinals here on Friday from Fort Worth, TX has South Florida taking on Wichita State. South Florida opened tourney play with a win over Temple, 73-71, covering the 3.5-point dog line and going over the 134 total. That was the 2nd game in a row the team has gone over the total. In fact, they have now gone over in seven of their last 10 games. Wichita State plays its first game in tourney play tonight. The Shockers have gone over in two straight games, scoring 78 and 80 points in those games. Their last game a win over South Florida, 80-63. In fact, both games against South Florida have gone over this year with 159 and 143 points scored in each game. That's what I am on here today. Play the OVER. |
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03-11-21 | Georgia v. Missouri OVER 153.5 | 70-73 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
SEC Conference Second Round action here today from Nashville, TN has Georgia taking on Missouri. Georgia finished the regular season with a pair of losses to South Carolina and Alabama. They have seen their last three games go over the total and five of the last seven go over. Missouri finished the regular season with a loss at home to LSU, 80-86. They have gone over in their last two games and three of the last four. In addition the Bulldogs are 9-2-2 O/U/P in their last 13 games overall and 6-1-1 O/U/P in their last eight as a favorite. I'm taking the over here between these two teams today. Play OVER. |
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03-09-21 | Boston College v. Duke OVER 151.5 | Top | 51-86 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
ACC Conference First Round action finds Boston College taking on Duke from Greensboro, NC. Both teams have struggled this year, BC more though. The Eagles are just 4-15 S/U and 8-10 ATS on the year. However, I'm looking at the total here tonight where BC has gone over in 13 of their 19 games. The Eagles have gone over in three straight games and six of their last eight games. In their one game vs Duke this year they lost 82-83, going over the 150 point total. Duke is 11-11 S/U and 7-15 ATS on the season. The Blue Devils are 14-8 O/U. They have gone over in six straight games and nine of their last 10 games. Both teams give up a lot of points and that's what I'm sticking with here tonight. The OVER. |
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03-06-21 | Duke v. North Carolina OVER 149.5 | 73-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
An age old rivalry renews again here today as Duke takes on North Carolina. While neither team having the success they did in seasons past, these games still hold lots of excitement. The Duke Blue Devils are just 11-10 on the season. They have lost two straight games at Georgia Tech, 77-81 and at home against Louisville, 73-80. They have also gone over in five straight games and 10 of their last 11 games. North Carolina doing a bit better then Duke with their 15-9 record. They are coming off a loss at Syracuse, 70-72. I look for lots of points in this rivalry match today. Play OVER. |
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03-06-21 | USC v. UCLA OVER 135 | 64-63 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
PAC 12 rivals meet here today in Pauley Pavilion as USC takes on cross-city rivals UCLA. The USC Trojans having a fine season at 20-6 S/U and 15-11 ATS. They are 6-3 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. USC snapped a two-game losing streak with a win at home over Stanford, 79-42. UCLA is 17-7 S/U and 11-13 ATS on the year. The Bruins are coming off a loss at Oregon 74-82, failing to cover the spread and going over the total. USC has gone over in five straight road games vs a team with a home record of 60% or better. When these teams get together you can usually expect the points to fly. Take the OVER. |
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03-05-21 | Eastern Kentucky v. Morehead State OVER 142.5 | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Eastern Kentucky Colonels having a fine season with a 22-6 S/U record and 15-8-3 ATS mark. They are also 16-9-1 O/U on the season. Today they play in the Semifinals of the Ohio Valley Conference tournament from Evansville, IN. The Colonels are 12-1 O/U in their 13 away games this year. Morehead State is 21-7 S/U and 17-9 ATS on the season. You have to all the way back to Dec 7 when these teams first met at Eastern. Morehead lost that game, 68-71. Then they met again on December 14th at Morehead with the Eagles winning 75-62. I have to look at which team I expect to set the tempo in this game. On a neutral site I'm looking at that team to be Eastern Kentucky and for me that means an OVER. |
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02-18-21 | Jacksonville State v. Belmont OVER 150 | Top | 59-63 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
Jacksonville State is 14-7 S/U and 10-6-3 ATS on the season. The Gamecocks have won four straight games both S/U and ATS. They have also been a very good over team with two straight overs and eight of the last nine games going over. Belmont having a great season with a 22-1 S/U and 15-6-1 ATS records. The Bruins have also gone over in three of their last four games and eight of their last 11 games. This should be a good game with lots of points. I won't make a play on the side, but I'll be on the OVER. |
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02-18-21 | Houston v. Wichita State UNDER 139 | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Houston Cougars continue their road to the NCAA tournament with a nifty 17-2 S/U record. Their spread record is also a respectable 11-6 on the season and 5-2 ATS on the road. The Cougars have won two straight after one of their two losses on the season that came at East Carolina back on Feb 3, 73-82. Wichita State also having a good season with a 12-4 S/U mark and 6-7-1 ATS record. The Shockers have won four straight and six of their last seven games. They have gone under in two straight and four of their last six games. This team plays good defense, holding each of their last three opponents to 67 or fewer points. They allow just 68.3 ppg overall on the season and slightly less at home with 67.0 ppg. Houston has been a good under team when playing teams with a win percentage over 60%, evidenced by their 2-15 O/U mark the last 17. Wichita State is 2-8 O/U their last 10 times when installed as the dog. The last five of six meetings between these teams have gone UNDER and that's what I'm on here tonight. Play UNDER. |
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02-12-21 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Wright State OVER 146 | 81-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers are 7-8 S/U and 8-7 ATS on the season with eight of their 15 games going OVER. They have played better on the road, going 5-4 S/U and 6-3 ATS while averaging 70.8 ppg and allowing 69.6 ppg. They have gone over in three straight and four of their last five games. The Wright State Raiders are having a fine season at 15-4 S/U and 12-7 ATS on the year. The Raiders average 81 points per game this year overall. Wisc Milwaukee is 4-1 O/U in their last five games. They are also 8-3 O/U in their last 11 road games vs a team with a winning home record. I like these teams to get plenty of points in this one. Take OVER. |
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02-09-21 | Arkansas v. Kentucky OVER 142 | 81-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Arkansas Razorbacks are 14-5 S/U on the season. They are 10-7-1 O/U/P vs the total this year. They are just 2-4 S/U on the road, but five of their six away games have gone OVER the total. In fact, that number goes back to last season where the Hogs are 13-3 O/U in their last 16 road games and 25-8-1 O/U/P in their last 34 overall. Kentucky having a very off season at 5-12 S/U. The Wildcats are 3-4 S/U at home and have gone over in four of their seven games. The Cats have gone over in their last four home games. I like these teams to score a lot here tonight. I'll take the OVER. |
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02-02-21 | Michigan State v. Iowa UNDER 155 | 78-84 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Michigan State has not been playing well of late, losing three straight games. Moreover they have lost their last two games by 17 point to Ohio State and 30 points to Rutgers. They have not been scoring well either, not breaking 68 points in any of their last four games - all unders. They are just 2-4 S/U, 1-5 ATS and 1-5 Over/Under on the road this year. Iowa looks to snap a two game losing streak here tonight at home. The Hawkeyes are coming off a home loss to Indiana 69-81 and last time out at Illinois, 75-80. The Hawkeyes are 0-4 O/U in their last four games as a home favorite. I like this game under tonight as Michigan State just not playing well at all. Take the UNDER. |
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01-11-21 | Boise State v. Wyoming UNDER 149 | 83-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
The Boise State Bronco are off to a nice start this season at 9-1 S/U and 6-3-1 ATS. They just completed a sweep of Air Force, winning 80-69 and 78-59. The defense has been very good at times, hodling four of five of their last seven opponents to fewer than 60 points. Wyoming is 7-2 S/U and 4-5 ATS on the season. They just split with Fresno State, winning the first game 78-74 and losing the second, 61-81. The total is pretty high in tonight's game, coming in just under 150. Boise State has been holding opponents down this year and this is a tall total to get over. I'm looking for a lower scoring game here on Monday. Play UNDER. |
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01-05-21 | Kansas v. TCU UNDER 139 | Top | 93-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
Kansas Jayhawks are 8-2 S/U and 4-5 ATS on the season. The Jayhawks are also 4-5 O/U on the season. They have played very good defense, allowing over 39% shooting from the field just four of their nine games. They did go over their last game at Texas, but scored just 58 points. It was the 84 points by Texas that put that one over. Still, they have held five of their seven opponents to 65 or fewer points. TCU is 9-2 S/U 4-61 ATS on the season. The Horned Frogs are 6-5 O/U on the season. They have gone under in their last two games, a 67-60 win at Kansas State and a 66-61 win at home over Prairie View. I'm going to go with the UNDER here today. I like Kansas to keep this more a defensive battle and slow the pace. Play UNDER. |
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12-09-20 | Boise State v. BYU UNDER 141.5 | 74-70 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Boise State Broncos come into tonight's contest with BYU at 1-1 S/U and 2-0 ATS. In addition, both their games have gone UNDER the total. The Broncos opened with a loss at Houston, 58-68 and then won vs Sam Houston, 86-55. The Broncos haven't shot all that well, hitting right around 40% for both games combined. Against Houston they hit just 6.3% from beyond 3-point stripe. BYU is 5-1 S/U and 4-1 ATS after six games. All five of their games have gone under. BYU has not been consistent, hitting a low of 27.5% from the field. BYU has held five of their six opponents to 68 or fewer points. I'm taking the UNDER here tonight. Play UNDER. |
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12-09-20 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Valparaiso OVER 138 | 58-80 | Push | 0 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
SIU Edwardsville Cougars are 2-3 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. The Cougars are 2-2 Over/Under scoring 80 or more points in two of their five games. Valparaiso Crusaders are 1-3 S/U and 1-2 ATS so far this season. The Crusaders are 1-2 Over/Under. Against Illinois Chicago the Crusaders shot just 37.1% from the field, 7.1% from beyond 3-points stripe and scored just 50 points. The offense did erupt last game against Judson College with a 85-45 win. I expect something similar today against a lower echelon SIU-Edwardsville club. Play the OVER. |
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12-05-20 | Illinois State v. Murray State UNDER 144.5 | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
The Illinois State Redbirds come into today with a 2-1 S/U and ATS mark. The Birds had a Hitchcocking moment in their last game, going crazy for 177 points against Greenville. They shot an amazing 86% from the field and 57% from 3-point land. In reality we have to throw out that game and look at their game against Ohio State where they scored 67 points in a loss, 67-94. Murray State also got their claws into Greenville, scoring 173 points in similar fashion to that of Illinois State. In their next game they came back to earth with a loss to a underdog Middle Tenn State, 61-78 as a 8-point chalk. We have to discard that Greenville game for both teams and we are left with two teams that are mid to lower scoring clubs. This is a write-in game and being played at Murray State so this wasn't scheduled normally for today. Lets take the under here as neither team should let their heads get big over those Greenville stats that padded the boxscores. Play UNDER. |
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12-01-20 | USC v. BYU UNDER 145 | 79-53 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
USC gets its first real test here today of the young season. The Trojans are 2-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS after winning and covering last time out vs Montana, 76-62. They won their opener vs Cal Baptist, but failed to cover the 18.5 point line, 95-87. BYU is 3-0 S/U and 2-0 ATS so far with two under plays. The Cougars have held each of their three opponents to 61 or fewer points. None of the three have shot more than 37% from the field. USC has scored well thus far, but today they go against the best defense they have seen. Time to see if its the offense of USC or defense of BYU that dominates. For me, I believe that BYU will dictate the pace here and keep USC under wraps. I'm playing UNDER. |
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03-09-20 | Green Bay v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 151 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Horizon league conference tourney action here today has Wisconsin Green Bay taking on Northern Kentucky in Indianapolis, IN. Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix are 16-15 S/U and 15-14 ATS on the season. They have won three straight game and have gone under in their last two. That's what I am looking at today, the total in this matchup. While Green bay has been an over team most of the year, the long season and now the grind of daily tourney play seems to be making them more a defensive team. They held Cleveland State to 67 points and Oakland to 63 points in their last two games. The oddsmaker has a 150 total on today's contest, which is high for a college contest. The Northern Kentucky Norse are 21-9 S/U and 16-12 ATS. They have been more of an under team this year, posting an overall 12-16 O/U record. The Norse have gone under in their last two games and held their last three opponents to 59, 59 and 64 points respectively. The two times these teams have met this year have both gone under. Back on Dec 30th they totaled 132 points and then on Jan 31st they only got to 133 points. Well below the 154 and 155 totals posted. Today we see a small reduction in the total to 150, but I still like it under. Play UNDER. |
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03-07-20 | North Carolina v. Duke OVER 153.5 | 76-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
These ACC rivals will play out their regular season tonight as they head to their conference tournament. It's been a terrible season for North Carolina, going 13-17 S/U and 12--18 ATS. They have given up a lot of points too, allowing 70 or more points to each of their last five opponents. Duke is 24-6 S/U and 15-15 ATS on the season. This team can score too, with 88 or more points in three of their last four games. Should be easy pickin's today for Duke against this poor NCU club. The Tar Heels have gone over in five of their last six games. Duke has gone over in seven of their last eight home games and thei |
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03-07-20 | Alabama v. Missouri OVER 151 | 50-69 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
SEC action concludes for both these teams as they will head to tourney action next. Alabama is 16-14 S/U and 19-11 ATS. They have also gone over in their last two games. They are also 6-2 O/U in their last eight games and 3-1-1 O/U in their last five road games. That's what I'm looking at in this game today. Missouri has gone over in seven of their last eight home games and 6-2 O/U in their last eight overall. Moreover, when Missouri has been installed as the favorite, they have gone over in 11 of 16 games. Let's take the OVER here today and enjoy the points. Play OVER. |
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03-05-20 | Idaho State v. Eastern Washington UNDER 152 | 75-100 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
Big Sky conference here tonight has Idaho State playing Eastern Washington. Idaho State Bengals are 6-20 S/U and 12-12 ATS. The biggest knock against this team is how many points they give up, more than 80 in two of their last three and over 70 in 5 of six and 12 of their last 13. Eastern Washington is 21-8 S/U and 16-11 ATS. The Eagles are 1st in the conference and won't lose here tonight. So don't be surprised if they rest players against this poor Idaho State team. This EWU team has a very good defense, allowing 64 and 51 points in each of their last two games. They have gone under in three straight and five of their last seven. I'm taking the UNDER here tonight. I look for Eastern Washington to hold Idaho to few points but also rest some of their star offensive players tonight. Take the UNDER. |
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02-29-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada UNDER 143 | 83-76 | Loss | -128 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
Late Mountain West action tonight on the college hard court. The San Diego State are ranked 5th in college hoops with a 21-1 S/U and 17-10 ATS record. Their lone loss coming just a week ago at home to UNLV, 63-66 as a 13.5-point favorite. I think the Aztecs have been a bit shell shocked losing to UNLV, as they have failed to cover their last two home games. They return on the road here tonight at Nevada. The Aztecs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. Tonight though I like the UNDER in this game. The Aztecs have gone under in their last four games, holding three of their last four opponents to 59 or fewer points. Nevada brings a six-game win streak into tonight's contest. The Wolfpack have covered four of their last six. While this is a higher scoring team, I expect the Aztecs to control the tempo tonight and play their defensive half court game. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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02-26-20 | North Dakota v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 152.5 | 83-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
The Summit League has been a great over conference this year. That's mainly because these teams love to run and gun in this conference. North Dakota has gone over in two of their last three games and is 10-5 O/U in their last 15 games. Nebraska-Omaha has also been a good over team with a 8-3 O/U mark in their last 11 conference games. They have allowed over 80 points in eight of their last 11 conference games. I look for back and forth action in this one as both teams grab plenty of points. Take the OVER. |
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02-26-20 | Denver v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 145.5 | Top | 51-58 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
I have really loved playing the Summit League games OVER this year. This has been overall a great league to look for over plays. Tonight we have Denver playing at Indiana-Fort Worth. IPFW Mastadons have kind of bucked the trend in the conference, with six of their last seven going UNDER. They have also seen 4 of their last 9 road games go OVER the spread. The real reason I like this game over is the visitor, the Denver Pioneers. Denver has seen 11 of their last 13 games go OVER the total. They allow a lot of points, 85 or more in their last three games. They have allowed 90 points or more in three of their last six games. Denver is not a good team with just 6-wins on the year, but they can score and they do allow a lot of points. At home I look for Purdue Fort Worth to get their share of good points tonight against this poor Denver team. I'll take the OVER. |
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02-19-20 | Boise State v. San Jose State OVER 154 | 80-62 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Bailout Total : Late Mountain West conference action here on Wednesday night has Boist State playing at San Jose State. The Boise State Broncos are 17-10 S/U and 5th in the Mountain West. San Jose State is just 7-19 S/U on the season. The Spartans have been a good over team with their last six games going over the total. That's because the defense is horrible, allowing 80 points or more in six of their last seven games. San Jose has given up 90 or more points in three of their last five games. This will be the second and final matchup of the regular season between these teams. They met back on January 29th in Boise where the Broncos won that game 99-71 and went over the total. I expect a similar shootout here tonight. I will take the OVER again in this one. |
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02-19-20 | Auburn v. Georgia UNDER 150 | 55-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
SEC action here tonight has 13th ranked Auburn playing at Georgia. Auburn is 2nd in the SEC with their 22-3 S/U and 11-14 ATS records. They are also 10-3 S/U and 5-8 ATS in conference play. Georgia has not had a very good season with just a 12-13 S/U and 12-12 ATS record. The Bulldogs have played better in the SEC games, where they are 10-3 S/U and 5-8 ATS in conference play. I'm looking at the UNDER in this matchup. Georgia has been a good under team at home, evidenced by their 1-3 O/U mark in their last four home games and 3-5 O/U their last eight home games. Georgia has no chance for the NCAA other than the SEC tournament. So they might rest starters in these last games of the regular season as they head toward that SEC tournament. Take the UNDER tonight. |
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02-19-20 | Butler v. Seton Hall UNDER 136 | 72-74 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Big East action here this evening has Butler playing at Seton Hall. Both teams having decent seasons with Butler at 19-7 S/U and 12-12 ATS. The Seton Hall Pirates are 18-7 S/U and 15-9 ATS. In this game I'm going to look at the UNDER. This time of the season we tend to see more teams resting players as they prepare for their conference tournaments. Butler has gone under in their last two road games. They have also not scored all that well on the road, with 66 or fewer points in six of their last eight away games. Seton Hall has gone under in two of their last three home games and seven of their last 9 home games. I like the UNDER here tonight. |
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02-18-20 | Baylor v. Oklahoma UNDER 134 | 65-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Big 12 conference play here today has No 1 ranked Baylor taking to the road to play Oklahoma. I'll be looking at the UNDER in this game tonight. I had the under in Baylor's last game at home vs West Virginia and we just got their by 1-point. The Bears have gone under in two straight games now and four of their last six games. One reason why is because the Bears are not a great 3-point shooting team. And lets face it, 3-pointers is what tends to get these games over totals. The Bears defense has also been good, holding West Virginia to 59 points and Texas the game before that to 45 points. In fact, they have held five of their last seven opponents to 59 or fewer points. Oklahoma is 16-9 S/U and 11-12 ATS on the season. The Sooners have gone under in two of their last four games and five of their last eight games. I like this game to go under here tonight with the good Baylor defense. Play UNDER. |
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02-15-20 | West Virginia v. Baylor UNDER 130.5 | 59-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Big 12 Conference play here today has West Virginia playing at Baylor. Number 14 ranked West Virginia is 18-6 S/U and 12-11 ATS on the season. The Mountaineers have had a very good defense, holding three of their last four opponents to 61 or fewer points. In addition, they have gone under in four straight games and five of their last six. Top Ranked Baylor is 22-1 S/U and 15-8 ATS on the season. The one knock against this team is their lack of hitting 3-point shots. That will play to our advantage here today as I'm looking at the UNDER in this matchup. The Bears also have a good defense, holding five of their last seven opponents to 61 or fewer points. They are off a win at Texas where they held the Longhorns to just 45 points. Baylor is 4-8 O/U in their 12 conference games this season. I look for a lower scoring game here today. Play the UNDER. |
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02-13-20 | Memphis v. Cincinnati UNDER 138.5 | Top | 86-92 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
American Athletic conference action tonight has Memphis playing at Cincinnati. Memphis is 17-6 S/U and 12-9 ATS on the season. They are also 6-4 S/U and 4-5-1 ATS in conference play. They are also 1-3 O/U on the road in conference play. Cincinnati is 15-8 S/U and 10-13 ATS on the season. The Bearcats are 8-3 S/U and 7-4 ATS in conference play. They are 1-4 O/U in their four home conference games. That's what I'm looking at here tonight, the UNDER. Memphis also has some injuries with Forward Precious Achiuwa questionable with a back injury and Center James Wiseman out for the season. Cincinnati might be without guard Jarron Cumberland tonight who is questionable. Cumberland averages 15.1 ppg this season. With the injuries and the O/U records of these clubs, I'll take UNDER. |
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02-12-20 | Indiana State v. Bradley UNDER 133.5 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Missouri Valley action here tonight has Indiana State playing at Bradley. I'm going to look at the total in this matchup. Indiana State not a very high scoring team, with three of their last six games hitting 61 or fewer points. The defense has been decent too, holding three of their last five opponents to under 60 points, including just 39 points to Loyola Chicago. Bradley has seen its last three games go UNDER the total. Bradley has also been one of those teams that hits those low scores, with two of their last three games at 60 or fewer points. This is the second time these teams have met this year, with the first resulting in a Bradley win, 61-53 and going under the 137.5 total. Today's total is down to around 133 but I still look for this one to go UNDER. Play UNDER the Total. |
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01-27-20 | North Carolina v. NC State OVER 147.5 | Top | 75-65 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
ACC action here this evening has two old rivals meeting as North Carolina takes on neighboring NC State. The North Carolina Tar Heels are not having a good season with just 9-10 S/U and 5-14 ATS season. The Heels started the season in fine fashion, winning their first five games. Since then, NCU is 4-10. They are coming off a nice win at home over Miami-Florida, 94-71. The Tar Heels have been a decent over team, with a 5-1-1 O/U/P record in their last seven games. NC State having a good year with a 14-6 S/U and 9-10 ATS record. The Wolfpack are off a loss at Georgia Tech, 58-64. The Pack are 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS in conference play. This will be a contrast of styles, the fast play of the Tar Heels vs the slower style of NC State. I made this total in the 150's and the oddsmaker made it around 146 to 147. I like the over here as I expect North Carolina to dictate the pace. Play the OVER. |
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01-09-20 | Montana v. Eastern Washington OVER 149 | 90-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Big Sky conference play tonight has Montana playing at Eastern Washington. Montana is 7-8 S/U, 5-8 ATS. The Grizzlies are 3-1 S/U and 2-2 in conference play. They are also 2-2 over/under in conference play. Eastern Washington is 9-5 S/U and 7-5 ATS on the season. The Eagles are 2-1 S/U and 0-3 in conference play thus far. The Eagles are a high scoring team, with 70 or more points in nine of their last 10 games with that lone game coming in at 69 points. They also give up points too, with 10 of their last 12 opponents getting 70 or more points against them. I like the over here tonight. I expect both these teams to get their share of points in what should be a high paced contest. Take the OVER. |
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12-03-19 | Butler v. Ole Miss UNDER 131 | 67-58 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Butler puts its perfect 7-0 record on the line tonight when they play at Mississippi tonight. The Butler Bulldogs just won both of their tournament games over Stanford and Missouri. Tonight though, I'm looking at the UNDER in this game. Butler has been a very good defensive team, allowing just less than 60 points in six of its eight games. They also have a 2-5 O/U mark on the season. Ole Miss is 5-2 S/U this season and coming off a tournament loss to Oklahoma, 37-78. They have gone under in four of their seven games. We saw what the Ok State defense did to this team, now they face an even better defense in Butler. Don't expect many points here tonight. Play the UNDER. |
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11-10-19 | James Madison v. Virginia UNDER 124 | 34-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Let's face it, the hallmark of this Virginia championship team is their defense. They play the best defense in the country and it looks to be the backbone of the team again this year. In their opening game at Syracuse they held the Orange to jut 34 points. No 11 ranked Virginia held the Orange to just 17.6% shooting on 5 of 29 from 3-point and 23.6% overall shooting on 13 of 55 shots. That doesn't bode well for a lower echelon team like James Madison today. If the Cavs can hold a conference opponent like Syracuse to under 30% shooting, what will they do today? I'm playing UNDER today. |
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11-10-19 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Illinois State OVER 137 | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Arkansas LR opened its season with a road win shocker over Missouri State, 67-66 as a 13-point dog. Today they play again on the road at Illinois State before returning for one home game and then three more road games. Illinois State opens with three home games and won their first over Belmont 79-71. Illinois St was a 5.5-point home dog in that game. They just went under the 151.5 point total line. Today, that total line drops significantly to 137 or around there. I like the OVER as Illinois State will score and Arkansas LR should keep pace. Play the OVER. |
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11-05-19 | Appalachian State v. Michigan OVER 146.5 | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Michigan lost it's winningest coach to the NBA in the offseason and now has one of the program's bigger names taking over the HC in Juwan Howard. Howard makes his coaching debut tonight against Appalachian State. App State also has a new head coach in Dustin Kerns. I am looking at the over here tonight. The main reason is that Howard wants to play an up-tempo game with the Wolverines. That means more possessions and more scoring opportunities. This will lead to higher scoring games. There's going to be some adjustment time to this new head coaches on both sides and the new style of play for the Wolverines. However, this App State team is a good tuneup for Michigan and we can see this new up-tempo style on tap tonight. Play the OVER. |
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04-04-19 | Lipscomb v. Texas UNDER 143 | 66-81 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
NIT Championship game on Thursday has a very well known name in Texas and one you may not have heard of, Lipscomb. Lipscomb has won 29 games this season, most of those in the Atlantic Sun conference. If you look back to their non-conference games early in the season, they did beat SMU, TCU, Middle Tennessee State and lost to Louisville by just four-points. So this team really isn't a fluke playing in this game. Lipscomb is now 14-6 ATS on the road this season. Texas beat TCU to advance to today's title game, 58-44. The Longhorns have covered two straight, but just two of their last seven. Texas has won 20 games now on the season and really is more of a surprise being in this contest the way they played overall on the season. The Texas defense has really stepped up lately, holding TCU to 44 and Colorado to 55. The have gone under in two straight and five of their last six games. Look for this game to go UNDER here in the title game. Play UNDER. |
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03-31-19 | Auburn v. Kentucky OVER 142 | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 0 m | Show | |
Even though Auburn is a high seed, they pulled what many consider a huge upset in beating one of the overall favorites in North Carolina. And, they beat them easily at 97-80. This Auburn team is a very fast paced team, they like to run up and down the court and really just ran NCU right out of the building from the start. Now they can know off another big team in Kentucky. Auburn has covered two straight games and five of their last seven on neutral courts. This Kentucky team has had its letdowns during the season, but not so far in the NCAA tournament, going 3-0 both S/U and ATS after beating Houston last game, 62-58. Though the Cougars could have easily won that game leading late over Kentucky. Really you can make an argument for either side at this point, but I'm much more impressed with the wins of Auburn, especially how they easily beat such a good North Carolina squad. And the way that the Tigers are able to control the tempo is what really impressed me in that win. They love to run and we'll see that again here today. Look for Auburn to push the pace and Kentucky will be forced to keep up. Take the OVER. |
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03-29-19 | Auburn v. North Carolina UNDER 165 | 97-80 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
NCAA Sweet 16 here on Friday from Kansas City, MO has Auburn taking on North Carolina. Auburn opened NCAA tourney play with a win over New Mexico State, 78-77 and then beat Kansas, 89-75. The Tigers barely got by New Mexico State and didn't cover that game as a 6-point favorite. They did cover against Kansas as a 2-point favorite. The Tigers are now 2-6 ATS their last eight non-conference games and 1-4 ATS their last five vs the ACC. They also don't do well against teams that win over 60%, evidenced by their 5-12 ATS record the last 17. Clemson has gone under in their last five tries against an ACC team. North Carolina opened with a win over Iona, 88-73 and then beat Washington, 81-59. The have covered five of their last six games and gone under in their last three games. The Tarheels held a very good Washington offense to just 59 points last game. NCU is now 20-8-2 ATS their last 30 tries against the SEC. NCU is also a good under team, going under in four of their last five neutral games, under in their last five NCAA tourney games and under in 13 of 18 vs a team with a 60% or better win record. Moreover, against the SEC they are 0-6 O/U in their last six games. I like North Carolina to control the temp of this game and that for me is the UNDER for you total players. |
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03-24-19 | Ohio State v. Houston UNDER 133 | 59-74 | Push | 0 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
NCAA tournament 2nd round action from Tulsa, OK has Ohio State taking on Houston. Ohio State won its round one game over Iowa State, 62-59, covering the line as a 5-point dog. The game also went under the 140 posted total. The Buckeyes had a rare cover in the NCAA, their first in their last nine attempts. Houston lost in the conference tourney to Cincinnati, but opened NCAA play with a first round win over Georgia State, 84-55, covering the 12 1/2 point favorite line. The game also went under the total. Ohio State is not a good offensive team with, ranking 157th in offensive efficiency while Houston ranks 28th. Defensively, both teams are good, but Houston is really good, ranked 5th in defense efficiency. Ohio State is ranked 64th in defense efficiency. This game looks to line up as an UNDER with two decent defensive teams. Take the UNDER. |
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03-21-19 | Yale v. LSU OVER 159.5 | 74-79 | Loss | -104 | 59 h 10 m | Show | |
Yale won the Ivy League championship in resounding fashion, 97-85 over Harvard. Yale is a uptempo team that likes to push the ball up and down the court. You can see that by their last three games, 81 vs Princeton and 83 vs Princeton and then 97 in that championship game. Yale went over in five of their last seven games. They were also 3-1-1 O/U in their last five on a neutral court and 5-0 O/U in their last five against the SEC. LSU won't be afraid to run with Yale in this one. The Tigers scores 70 or more points in their last four games. They also went over in five of their last eight games.In addition, they are 14-6 O/U their last 20 overall and 4-0 O/U in their last four neutral site games. I like these teams to go OVER the total. |
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02-27-19 | Illinois v. Purdue UNDER 148 | 56-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Big 10 matchup here this evening has Illinois at No. 12 Purdue. I'm looking at the UNDER here tonight. The Illini have gone UNDER in their last two road games and are 2-4-1 ATS their last seven games. Illinois is also 28-62 O/U their last 90 road games. No 12 Purdue is 6-15 O/U in their last 21 games vs a team with a win percentage below .400. Against teams of this caliber, Purdue can hold the scoring down. I like the UNDER here tonight. |
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02-20-19 | North Carolina v. Duke UNDER 165.5 | 88-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Big rivalry game here tonight as Duke takes on their in-state neighbors, North Carolina. The Tarheels have lost just twice in the ACC this season, to Louisville and then to Virginia. The Heels have gone UNDER in five of their last six road games and 5-12 O/U in their last 17 games vs the ACC. Duke is 23/2 S/U and 15-10 ATS on the season. The Blue Devils have just one loss in the ACC, that coming at home against Syracuse back on Jan 14th. Duke has failed to cover its last two games and is just 5-6 ATS their last 11 games. Duke has been a good UNDER team, posting a 8-20-1 O/U mark their last 29 games and 2-6 O/U their last eight games. The last three meetings between these clubs have gone UNDER at Duke and are 2-5-1 O/U their last eight overall meetings. Take the UNDER tonight. |
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02-07-19 | Washington v. Arizona OVER 134 | 67-60 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
PAC 12 action tonight has Washington at Arizona. Washington Huskies have been perfect in conference play, going 9-0 S/U and ATS. Arizona is 14-8 S/U and 9-11 ATS on the season. The Wildcats have lost three straight and four of their last five. Tonight I'm looking at the over in this game. Arizona has been giving up lots of points, at least 80 in each of their last three games. They have also gone over in six of their last eight games. Arizona has also been a good over at home, evidenced by their 14-6-1 O/U mark their last 21 in Arizona. I like the Wildcats to give up lots of points here to a very good Washington team. I'm taking the OVER. |
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02-01-19 | Michigan v. Iowa UNDER 142 | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm looking at the under in this contest tonight between Michigan and Iowa in the Big 10. Michigan has been a very good under team. They have gone under in the last four games (all conference contests) and are 1-4 O/U in the last five road games. They are also 0-6-1 O/U their last seven games on the road against a team with a home winning record. Meanwhile, Iowa has gone under in five of its last seven home games. Michigan's defense has been very good, holding its last two opponents to 49 and 46 points respectively. They have also allowed more than 60 points just one time in their last five games. I like this game UNDER here tonight. |
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01-30-19 | Air Force v. San Diego State UNDER 135 | 51-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Late action here on Wednesday has Air Force playing at San Diego State in a Mountain West clash. The Air Force Falcons have been known as a good defensive team in the past. The Falcons are 6-20 O/U in their last 26 games vs a team with a winning record. San Diego State also known in the past as an excellent defensive club. The Aztecs are 0-5 O/U in their last five vs a team with a losing straight up record. These teams have gone under in 20 of the last 26 times they have met. In addition, they are 3-13 O/U in their last 16 meetings in San Diego State. I'm playing on the UNDER here tonight. |
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01-25-19 | Butler v. Creighton OVER 155.5 | 61-75 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm looking at the over in today's game between the Butler Bulldogs and the Creighton Blue Jays. Butler has been a very good over team of late, going 6-0-1 O/U in their last seven games, that is all in conference play. Creighton has also been good to over bettors, with a 4-1 O/U mark the last five games. Butler is also 13-3 O/U their last 16 in Big East play. Creighton is 6-2 O/U their last eight home games. Play the OVER tonight. |
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01-18-19 | St. Joe's v. St. Louis UNDER 131 | 57-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
The St Joseph's Hawks have been an under team of late, going 1-7 O/U their last eight overall and 4-1 O/U in their last five Atlantic 10 conference games. St Louis has also trended towards the under with a 3-13 O/U mark at home their last 16 games and 1-4 O/U mark their last five overall. In addition, the Billikens are 6-21 O/U following a straight up win. Part of the issue for the Hawks is that they just don't score points, evidenced by their 61 or less points in seven of their last eight games. Combine that with the Billikens, who have allowed 64 or fewer points in five straight games and that to me is a equation for an UNDER here tonight. Play the UNDER. |
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01-10-19 | UC-Davis v. Cal-Irvine OVER 127.5 | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Big West matchup here tonight with UC Davis playing Cal Irvine. I'm looking at the OVER in this matchup. UC Davis is not a good team with just a 4-10 S/U record. The Aggies start conference play tonight having won just four non-conference games. They did score 90 last game, but that was against Holy Names College. Their problem is giving up points, in which they have allowed 70 or more in four of their last six. Cal Irvine had an excellent non-conference slate, going 12-4 S/U. The Anteaters will score against losing teams, as they got 85 vs Texas Rio Grande, 86 vs Denver, 80 vs St Mary's and 86 vs Idaho. The way Davis allows points, Irvine could easily break that 80 mark again here tonight. Play the OVER. |
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01-09-19 | Houston v. Temple OVER 134.5 | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Houston one of those undefeated teams in the nation at 15-0 and ranked 17th. The Cougars have only played two road games this season, at BYU and then at Oklahoma State. The Cougars can score points, with 74 or more in their last four games. Houston faces a Temple geam that has allowed 78 and 81 points in their last two games. The Owls are 11-3 on the season and have gone OVER in three of their last four games. Temple has scored 70 points or more in six of their last eight games. I don't play over/unders much in college but I do like tonight's game OVER the total. Play OVER. |