Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +2 | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show | |
The Super Bowl LVIII is set to be a thrilling game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers on February 11, 2024. The Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes, are looking to become the first team to win back-to-back Lombardi trophies since the New England Patriots in 2003 and 2004. They finished the regular season 11-6, winning the AFC West title for the eighth consecutive season. Their journey to the Super Bowl included victories over the Dolphins, Bills, and Ravens, making them currently 14-6 S/U and 12-7-1 ATS. On the other hand, the 49ers, led by Brock Purdy, are seeking to avenge their Super Bowl 54 defeat and capture the organization's first Super Bowl win since Super Bowl 29 nearly 30 years ago. They finished the regular season with a 12-5 record and defeated the Packers and Lions in the playoffs to advance to the Super Bowl with a 14-5 record and 9-9-1 ATS mark. You can make an argument for either side here on Sunday. 49ers had some practice issues as they had to practice outdoors in rainy conditions at the old UNLV turf which isn't very good. Meanwhile, the Chiefs got the state-of-the-art facility that the Raiders use for their practice facility. This one looks to come down to which team makes the better adjustments at halftime and with that I have to go with the Chiefs and Andy Reid. This game is expected to be a clash of the Chiefs' experience and the 49ers' resilience. It's going to be an exciting match to watch! But for me, I'm on the Chiefs both with the 2-points and straight-up. |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 149 h 41 m | Show |
There must be some kind of curse on Buffalo Bills kickers in the postseason. Those misses back in the Super Bowl days on Sunday Buffalo's Tyler Bass missed the game tying 44-yard field goal with 1:47 left in the 4th quarter. Once again we get the Kansas City Chiefs surviving and heading the the AFC Championship. Patrick Mahomes was 17 of 23 for 215 yards and two TD's for the Chiefs connecting on both TD's to his favorite target, Kelce. Kelce had five receptions for 75 yards and those two TD's. Josh Allen was 26 of 39 for just 186 yards and one TD. He also led the team in rushing with 12 rushes for 76 yards and two TD's. The Ravens had little trouble with the Houston Texans on Saturday, winning 34-10. The game was tied at half, 10-10, but the Ravens pulled way in the second half for a 24-0 run. QB Larmar Jackson had two passing and two rushing TD's in the win. He also led the team in rushing with 100 yards. Now we get two see two of the most dynamic QB's in the game matchup here on Sunday. KC proved that they can win a playoff game on the road with Mahomes, their first on the road with him. Now he has to do it again for the Chiefs to return to the Super Bowl. For me, this one is a no-brainer, I'm taking these points with the Chiefs as my NFL Game of the Year and expect a straight-up win. |
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01-21-24 | Bucs +6.5 v. Lions | 23-31 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay pulled one of the big upsets last week by drubbing the Philadelphia Eagles in the Wildcard round, 32-9, as a 3-point dog. The Bucs have momentum, closing the regular season with five straight wins and then their playoff win last week. They had 426 yards vs the Eagles to just 276 yards. The Detroit Lions own their first playoff game in more than 30 years with their win over the Rams, 24-23. The Lions have the 2nd ranked passing offense in the league and 5th in rushing. One area they are lacking is scoring defense, where they rank 23rd with a 23.2 ppg allowance. These teams met back in October with Detroit taking that one in Tampa Bay, 20-6, as a 3-point favorite. The one issue when you lay this many points is when the team can't really stop anyone. And, teams have moved the ball against the Lions in the last eight or so games. The Lions have given up 300 or more yards passing in four straight games. I look for the Bucs to hang around in this one. Too many points to lay with a team that has the momentum that Tampa Bay has. Take the Bucs here on Sunday. |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers OVER 50.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers will host the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Divisional playoffs. The 49ers got the bye last week after finishing the season 12-5 S/U and 9-8 ATS. Green Bay pulled off one of the biggest upsets last week when they went to Dallas and beat the Cowboys handily. They jumped out to a 27-0 lead on the Cowboys. The Offense finished the year 12th in scoring with a 22.5 ppg average. They were much better down the stretch, scoring 33 or more points in three of their last four games. They also went over in four of their last five games and have a 11-7 O/U record on the season. The 49ers were 12-5 S/U and 9-7 ATS with an over/under of 9-7-1. They averaged 28.9 ppg while allowing 17.5 ppg. The 49ers lost their final game, 20-21 to the Rams and went over in three of their last four games. They were 5-3 O/U at home this year. The Packers offense has been outstanding of late and the 49ers we know can score. I'll take the OVER today. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs UNDER 43 | Top | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Eagles limp into the playoffs. After what looked like a sure thing for them to win the NFC East, they lost it to the Dallas Cowboys because of a 1-5 s/u stretch to finish the season. That culminating in a loss at the NY Giants, 10-27, as a 5-point favorite in the final game. They are also 0-6 ATS to finish the season. The once very good defense allowed at least 20 points in each of those last six games and over 30 in three of those games. QB Jalen Hurts comes into this game banged up with a injured finger on his throwing hand and his top target, AJ Brown is questionable with a knee injury. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay comes into this Wildcard game with momentum. They Bucs have won five of their last six and covered four of the last five. The defense has been very good, allowing just 19.1 ppg on the season. QB Baker Mayfield is also banged-up as he has a bad ankle. That's not good for an offense that ranked just 20th in scoring. They also finished last in rushing so Mayfield needs to be on his game today if they hope to win. Too many question marks on both these offenses today. I'm taking the under in this one. |
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01-15-24 | Steelers +10.5 v. Bills | 17-31 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
This game had to be moved from Sunday because of blizzard conditions in Buffalo with winds gusting to hurricane levels of 75 mph. The weather won't be great on Monday either. There will still be a chance of snow with temps in the teens. But the winds will be much calmer near 10 mpg. Buffalo had to beat Miami last week to get this home game and not go to frigid Kansas City as the Dolphins did. The Steelers finished the season with three straight wins and got in the playoffs by beating Baltimore to close out the regular season. They finished 10-7 overall and look for a road upset today. Buffalo had to win its final five regular season games to win the division and finished 11-6. The Bills offense struggled to finish drives vs Miami, but got enough done to get the win. The Bills are 8th in the league in passing and 7th in rushing. Buffalo has a number of players on the injury report including some key players on defense. Both teams come into this game with momentum. The weather conditions could play a part and this is a big line to fade for any NFL team, let alone a playoff game. I'm taking the points here today. Play Pittsburgh. |
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01-14-24 | Rams +3 v. Lions | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
NFC Wild Card action continues here on Sunday evening in Primetime as the LA Rams take on the Detroit Lions. The Rams finished the regular season at 10-7 S/U and 10-6-1 ATS. The interesting thing is that QB's from both teams face their former team as Rams Matthew Stafford faces the Lions and Jared Goff of Detroit faces the Rams. The Rams had a successful season since they weren't expected to win more than 6 games or there about. The Rams are peaking now too, which is to their benefit as they bring lots of momentum into this playoff game. The Rams were 8th in the NFL in scoring with a 23.8 ppg average. The Lions were 12-5 S/U and ATS to finish the regular season. The last time the Lions won a division crowns was back in 1993 when the NFC North didn't even exist. Goff was 2nd in the NFL in total passing yards, 269.1 ypg and had 30 TD's with just 12 INT's. The Browns were 5th in scoring this year with a 27.1 ppg average. The Lions passing defense is their weak point as they ranked just 27th in the NFL compared to the Rams 10th ranked pass defense. The Rams also hold a coaching advantage with Sean McVay. Detroit HC Dan Campbell is a candidate for Coach of the Year, but McVay has been to the Super Bowl. The Rams momentum and experience could be the deciding factors in this game. I'll take the points with the Rams. |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys OVER 50.5 | Top | 48-32 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
The NFL Super Wildcard playoffs continue here on Sunday as the Dallas Cowboys welcome the Green Bay Packers to town. The Packers are the 7th seed in the NFC with a 9-8 record. The Cowboys finished with the #2 Seed in the NFC and won the NFC East. Jordan Love led the Packers with over 4,000 yards passing and 32 TD's. Love has lots of targets on the offense including a pair of tight ends. The Packers are young and inexperienced though with the youngest roster in the NFL. They are 12th ranked in the NFL in points scored and 9th in rushing offense. Aaron Jones return to the lineup has greatly improved the rushing attack. The Packers also have the top scoring offense in the third quarter of games this year. The defense will have its hands full on Sunday with the high flying Dallas offense. Dallas is 8-0 at home this year with a 21.5 point scoring differential. Dak Prescot leads the offense with over 4,500 passing yards and a league best 36 touchdowns. Ceedee Lamb set a Cowboys team record in receptions and yards. The Cowboys have the top ranked scoring offense in the NFL and at home average 37 points per game. Love should get his shots too and I expect this game to go OVER the total on Sunday. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs UNDER 43.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
Miami had a chance to play at home in nice weather, but a loss to the Bills last week thrust them into this wild card slot and a trip to frigid Kansas City today. Preliminary weather has bitter cold at -10 degrees at kickoff and a potential wind chill around -30 degrees with winds 10-20 and gusting higher. Not a great door prize for Miami losing last week. That makes this game more about mental mindset then stats or physical. Chiefs HC Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are 4-2 vs the spread in playoff games since 2021. They also have the experience of two Super Bowls. Miami comes in with inexperience in postseason and a 1-3 ATS as road dogs this year. The weather will be the great neutralizer to the Dolphins speed and will keep the score from getting out of hand. With blustery snow, high winds and that freezing wind chill this all lends toward a lower scoring game. I'm taking the under as both teams should have issues moving the ball and scoring with further impacts on the field goal lengths also. Play UNDER. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
Miami had a chance to play at home in nice weather, but a loss to the Bills last week thrust them into this wild card slot and a trip to frigid Kansas City today. Preliminary weather has bitter cold at -10 degrees at kickoff and a potential wind chill around -30 degrees with winds 10-20 and gusting higher. Not a great door prize for Miami losing last week. That makes this game more about mental mindset then stats or physical. Chiefs HC Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are 4-2 vs the spread in playoff games since 2021. They also have the experience of two Super Bowls. Miami comes in with inexperience in postseason and a 1-3 ATS as road dogs this year. The weather will be the great neutralizer to the Dolphins speed and will keep the score from getting out of hand. With blustery snow, high winds and that freezing wind chill this all plays into the Kansas City Chiefs hands. I'll take the Chiefs today. |
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01-13-24 | Browns -2 v. Texans | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
These teams met back on Christmas eve as the Browns defeated the Texans, 36-22 in Houston. WR Amari Cooper set a Browns record with 265 yards receiving. Cleveland comes in winners in four of the last five games. They lost in the last week of the regular season as they rested most of their starters. The Browns have QB Joe Flacco at QB who has Super Bowl experience with Baltimore. The Texans got to the playoffs behind exciting Rookie QB CJ Stroud. They had to beat the Colts in the final week of the season to get here and they did, 23-19. Though they had to hold the Colts on 4th down inside the redzone that could have been the difference in that game. Stroud plays in his first NFL playoff game. How will he do against veteran Flacco? He will face a very good Browns defense and will face a lot of pressure in this game. The Browns have done well as the favorite, going 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS on the season. I like the experience and defense of the Browns in this game. Play Cleveland. |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan -4 | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 32 h 25 m | Show | |
NCAA Championship game here on Monday has Washington taking on Michigan. The Washington Huskies are 14-0 S/U and 7-6-1 ATS on the season. The Huskies averaged 37.6 ppg and allowed 24.1 ppg. The Huskies held on last week to defeat Texas, 37-31, as Texas had one last shot as time expired but came up short. The Huskies had 532 total yards of offense in that game. The difference in today's contest might just be Washington QB Michael Pennix Jr who hit 29 of 39 vs Texas for 430 yards and 2 TD's. Pennix Jr was the Heisman Trophy runner up this year. Conversely, the Michigan Wolverines are led by their defense. They held Alabama to 288 total yards and 3 of 13 on third down conversions. The Wolverines did nothing in the second half but came alive on the final drives to tie the game and then win it in OT. The defense is first in the country in scoring (9.5 ppg) and yards (239.7). This might be the best offense and definitely best QB that the Wolverines have faced this year. Washington has had to play top defenses all season and come out on top. The points are a plus here but I look for Washington to win the National Championship. Take the Huskies. |
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01-07-24 | Eagles v. Giants +5 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
NFC East clash here on Sunday as the NY Giants welcome the Philadelphia Eagles to the Meadowlands. The Eagles have been terrible lately on the road and overall. They have lost two straight away from home and lost last week at home to the Cardinals, 31-35 as a 12.5-point favorite. The Giants gave the Rams all they could handle last week, but just came up short in a a 25-26 loss as a 6.5-point dog. The Eagles looked to have the NFC East won, but their poor play down the stretch has relegated them to a wild card now. Unless the improbable happens and the Cowboys lose at home to the Commander, which I don't see happening. The Giants have lost three straight and last week summed up their season, as they missed the winning field goal in the final seconds in that loss to the Rams. It looks like the Eagles will play Jalen Hurts here, I'm not sure why. If the Cowboys jump out to any big lead I'm sure we'll see the Eagles pulling starters left and right here. The Giants have played with some guts as they did vs the Rams last week. I'll take the points in this one as the Eagles lose interest in the 2nd half. |
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01-07-24 | Bucs -4 v. Panthers | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
The final week of the season sees the 8-8 Tampa Bay Bucs taking on the 2-14 Carolina Panthers in a NFC South clash. Tampa Bay is coming off a lackluster home loss to the Saints last week, 13-23. The Bucs had just 57 rushing yards though QB Baker Mayfield did get 309 yards passing and Two TD's. The fate is still in the Bucs hands though. A win here today and they claim the NFC South and that playoff spot. The Panthers have nothing but pride to play for here today. They have lost two straight since that win over the Falcons, 9-7. They were shut out last week by the Jaguars, 0-26. The Panthers had just 124 total yards in that loss. Rookie QB Bryce Young has been a major disappointment this year and last week was par for the course as he went 19-of-32 for 112 yards and an INT. This one is easy for me. The Bucs have it all to play for against a very bad Panthers team that has nothing to play for. The Bucs are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. I look for an easy Tampa Bay win here on Sunday. |
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01-07-24 | Jets v. Patriots -1.5 | 17-3 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
The Ny Jets and the New England Patriots will finish their respective seasons here on Sunday. The Jets are 6-10 while the Pats are 4-12. The Jets lost last week to the Brownss while the Pats gave the Bills all they could handle. Seems like yesterday that QB Aaron Rodgers went down in the first 75 seconds of the season with that Achille's Heel injury. Since then the Jets have had all kinds of issues at QB and covered just one of their last five games. The Patriots look to finish this miserable season on a up note, winning their last game. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games. Is this the end of an era in New England as Bill Belichick is done in Foxboro? If so, then the Patriots will want to send him out on a winning note. Take New England. |
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01-07-24 | Browns v. Bengals -7 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
The final week of the regular season is here, boy how fast it goes. And today we have a battle of Ohio as the Browns take on the Bengals. Hard to believe these teams met way back in week one. Now Joe Flacco is the Browns QB, who would have thought that? Browning is the Bengals QB as Burrows was lost to a season ending injury. The Browns have clinched a playoff spot, so don't expect much from them here today. The Browns beat the Jets last week, 37-20 for their 11th win of the season and the Wild Card slot. The Bengals playoff hopes ended last week with their loss to the Chiefs, 17-25. Really it comes down to who wants to play today. I think the Bengals play for some Ohio pride today as the Browns just look to get out of this one healthy. Play Cincinnati. |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts OVER 47.5 | 23-19 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
Last week of the NFL regular season begins here on Saturday. We have to be careful of which teams have nothing to play for and might sit players. This game today has Houston Texans playing at the Indianapolis Colts. While this is the last week of the regular season, this game on Saturday is like a playoff game. The winner is in, the loser is out. Houston lost to the Colts back in week 2 and looks to avenge that loss and propel themselves into the playoffs today. Rookie QB CJ Stroud has led the Texans to the brink of the playoffs. The Texans are fourth in passing and average 22.1 ppg this season. The defense, which gave up 31 points to the Colts in the first meeting, is ranked 13th in scoring with an average of 20.9 ppg allowed. The Texans main issue is passing defense where they rank 30th. Meanwhile, the Colts average 23.6 ppg which is good for 10th and at home they average 26.5 ppg. The Colts have scored at least 21 points in every home game. Like the Texans, the issue for this Colts team is on defense, where they are 27th in points allowed (24.5 ppg). At home that number goes up to 25.8 ppg allowed. This game looks to me to be a real shoot out. Both teams will pull out all the plays from the playbook for this one. I love the over here today. PLAY OVER. |
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01-01-24 | Texas v. Washington +4 | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
The 2nd semifinal and the right to face the winner of the Alabama vs Michigan game on Jan 8th for the National Title has No 3 Texas taking on No 2 Washington in the Sugar Bowl. Texas won the Big 12 Championship with a convincing win over Oklahoma State, 49-21. Washington won the PAC-12 by just getting by Oregon, 34-31. Texas won its final seven games after losing in the Red River Rivalry to Oklahoma. They are 12-1 overall S/U and 7-5-1 ATS. They averaged 36.2 ppg while allowing 17.5 ppg. They are 18th in passing offense and 24th in rushing offense. They allowed 17.5 ppg, good for 12th in the nation. The Washington Huskies are 13-0 S/U and 6-6-1 ATS, averaging 37.7 ppg while allowing 23.6 ppg. The Huskies are 1st in the nation in passing offense behind QB Michael Penix Jr. They are 10th in the nation in scoring offense and 51st in scoring defense. Washing will be at full strength as they won't lose anyone to the NFL draft opt-out or the transfer portal. Both these team will be lighting the scoreboard today. Despite being 13-0, Washington is the overlooked team to some degree. Even the oddsmaker has them a 4-point dog here today. I like Penix a lot for this Washington team. I'll take those points with the Huskies. |
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01-01-24 | Alabama +2 v. Michigan | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
The 110th edition of the Rose Bowl is all set to host one of the two playoff games here on Monday from Pasadena. The No 1 Michigan Wolverines will take on No 4 Alabama for the right to go to the championship game one week from today. Michigan is 13-0 S/U and 7-5-1 ATS on the season. They have averaged 36.7 ppg while allowing 9.5 ppg. The offense is very good and balanced, ranking 26th in scoring but only 62nd in rushing and 72nd in passing. Defense is the leader of this team, ranking first overall in the country in points allowed, sixth vs the run and second vs the pass. This looks to go either way here today but Alabama is the team that will be seeking their 7th National title. I'll take the Tide here today. Play Alabama. Meanwhile, 12-1 S/U and 9-4 ATS Alabama looked like they wouldn't get to this game after losing early in the season to Texas. The Tide average 36.7 ppg while allowing 9.5 ppg. The Alabama defense ranks 17th in the country in points allowed. |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 46 | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 129 h 59 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers just got by the Carolina Panthers last week, winning 33-30 on the road as a 3.5-point favorite. That makes five straight games the Packers have gone OVER the total. The Packers average 22.2 ppg and allow 22.1 ppg. They also average 331.4 ypg and allow 352.9 ypg. However, over the last five their low score was 20 points and they had 27 or more in three games. The defense also hasn't been good. In addition to the 30 points the lowly Panthers sored, that is 64 points allowed over the last two weeks. The Vikings lost a tough back and forth game last week at home to Detroit, 24-30, as a 2.5-point dog. The game went over for the second straight week. The Vikings and Packers are now both tied for 2nd place in the NFC North at 7-8. They average 20.9 ppg and allow 19.9 ppg. Both teams have been over achieving lately on offense while their defenses have not played well. I expect plenty of points in this one today. Take the OVER. |
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12-31-23 | Rams -6 v. Giants | 26-25 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
The LA Rams are 8-7 and tied for 2nd place in the NFC West. The Rams are the No6 Seed right now in the NFC. The Rams greatly improve their playoff chances with a win here today at the NY Giants. They have won five of their last six games to breath life back into their playoff hopes. The Rams average 23.8 ppg and allow 22.1 ppg. However, if you just look at their last five games, they have scored at least 28 points in every game. Their one loss that OT loss at Baltimore, 31-37. The Giants have nothing to play for as they sit 5-10 with the Rams today and the Eagles next week. The can play the role of spoiler though. They are coming off a loss at Philly last week, 25-33, covering the 14-point dog line. They have gone over inf three of their last five games. If the Rams continue their recent play then they should be able to score a lot of points here on Sunday. I'll take the OVER in this one. |
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12-31-23 | Rams v. Giants OVER 43.5 | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
The LA Rams are 8-7 and tied for 2nd place in the NFC West. The Rams are the No6 Seed right now in the NFC. The Rams greatly improve their playoff chances with a win here today at the NY Giants. They have won five of their last six games to breath life back into their playoff hopes. The Rams average 23.8 ppg and allow 22.1 ppg. However, if you just look at their last five games, they have scored at least 28 points in every game. Their one loss that OT loss at Baltimore, 31-37. The Giants have nothing to play for as they sit 5-10 with the Rams today and the Eagles next week. The can play the role of spoiler though. They are coming off a loss at Philly last week, 25-33, covering the 14-point dog line. They have gone over inf three of their last five games. If the Rams continue their recent play then they should be able to score a lot of points here on Sunday. I'll take the OVER in this one. |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -5 | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions are 11-4 and have locked-up the NFC North, the first time this has happened in 30 years. The Lions visit Dallas in what might be a NFC Playoff matchup here in a few weeks. The Lions will get at least one home playoff game and maybe more depending on these last two weeks. They still can get the #1 seed. Detroit is fifth in the NFL in scoring offense and third in total offense. The defense isn't as good, ranked 24th in points allowed and 15th in total defense. The Cowboys road woes continued last week after losing two weeks at Buffalo, 10-31, they lost last week at Miami, 20-22. They return home today where they are 7-0 S/U and 6-1 ATS and outscoring their visitors by a staggering 24.4 point margin. The Cowboys have been dominating at home and I don't see any reason for that to change here today. They are one game back of the Eagles in the NFC East and have lowly Washington next week. Take Dallas here on Saturday. |
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12-30-23 | Toledo v. Wyoming -3.5 | 15-16 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
The Toledo Rockets are 11-2 on the season as they play the 8-4 Wyoming Cowboys in the Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl from Tucson AZ here on Saturday. Toledo lost in the MAC Championship game to Miami OH, 14-23, snapping its 11-game win streak. Once again we have to go to the Transfer Portal and NFL Opt Outs to see what's up. And, for Toledo, they lose their best offensive weapon in this game, QB Dequan Finn as well as a top CB in Quinyon Mitchell and OG and their punter. Wyoming loses just one player in CB Kolbey Taylor. This Toledo team averaged 33.6 ppg and 426.7 ypg of offense. But the loss of Finn will ruin those number as Tucker Gleason will now be behind center. Gleason has some experience this year, but is not nearly as good as Finn. Wyoming will have all their skill players here on Saturday. They averaged 26.1 ppg and 324.8 ypg on the season. They rushed very good, averaging 157.6 ypg on the season. The defense is solid, ranked 47th in points allowed and 50th in yards. The Rockets lack of offense today is the key for me. I'm taking Wyoming in this one. |
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12-29-23 | Missouri +5 v. Ohio State | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
Cotton Bowl here on Friday has Missouri taking on Ohio State from the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. Missouri finished 10-2 on the season and 8-4 vs the spread. The Tigers finished ranked 9th in the country and won their last three games. QB Brady Cook having an excellent season with 3189 yards and 20 TD's. They also have one of the best Running backs in the country in Cody Shrader. Shrader rushed for 100 or more yards in all but four games. Missouri had the 27th ranked scoring offense in the country. Ohio State will battle today without key players due to the transfer portal. They finished 11-1 on the season with their only loss at Michigan, 24-30. They will be without their starting QB in Kyle McCord who opted out of this game. They will be starting Devin Brown a redshirt freshman. This will be the Ohio State defense against the Missouri Offense. Both units are top notch. Without McCord I'm not sure if the Buckeyes will score enough points to win this one. I'll take Missouri. |
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12-28-23 | Rutgers -2 v. Miami-FL | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Pinstripe Bowl from Bronx NY today has Rutgers taking on Miami Florida. As always you can almost throw out season stats and just look at those players who will play and those sitting out due to the Transfer Portal or NFL. The big news today is that Miami is down to their third string QB. Miami was just 7-5 during the regular season and now Junior QB Tyler Van Dyke enters the transfer portal. Backup Emory Williams is injured and will miss today's game. That leaves sophomore Jacurri Brown who did play a snap in 2023. Rutgers will be at full strength here today and while that kind of evens the playing field, I'm taking Rutgers in this one. The Hurricanes will also miss both safeties. Rutgers is only 6-6 on the season and has lost four straight. The Knights rely on their defense this year. They score just 22.6 ppg and that's good for just 105th in the country. But with all the losses for Miami I have to take Rutgers in this one. |
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12-27-23 | North Carolina v. West Virginia -6.5 | Top | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
We have to look at the players that are in the portal or opting out for the NFL draft. These players change the way the team looks from how they did before they got here. That's really important in this game today between North Carolina and West Virginia in the Mayo Bowl from Charlotte, NC. I'm not even going to look at the stats these teams put up during the regular season. Instead lets see who's sitting out. Tar Heals hit hard in this area. TE Kamari Morales, WR Tychaun Chapman, WR Andre Greene, CB Tayon Holloway, DT Kedrick Bingley-Jones, and LB Sebastian Cheeks transferred. QB Drake Maye, LB Cedric Gray, C Corey Gaynor, and WR Tez Walker will sit out the bowl game to prepare for the draft. The big one is QB Maye and Walker. That completely shifts the dynamics of this game. The Mountaineers should run crazy over the this 89th ranked Tar Heel run defense. Plus they will miss all those players, especially Maye. I'm taking West Virginia here on Wednesday. |
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12-26-23 | Kansas v. UNLV OVER 67 | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
The Guaranteed Rate Bowl from Phoenix AZ has Kansas taking on Mountain West runner up UNLV. Kansas finished the season 8-4 S/U and 7-5 ATS with a 6-6 ov/un mark. The Jayhawks were 4th in the Big 12. They averaged 33.6 ppg and allowed 25.7 ppg on the season. The finished with a big win over Cincinnati, 49-16, as a 7.5-point road favorite. The Hawks had 562 total yards in that win. Kansas might be licking their chops at the prospect of facing this UNLV defense. UNLV lost in the Mountain West Championship to Boise State, 20-44. The Rebels lost their last two games of the season, allowing 81 points. They have also gone over in four of their last five games. The Rebs had their best season since the Randal Cunningham days of the 1980's as they finished 9-4 overall and 10-3 vs the spread. The Rebels have a potent offense, averaging 34.3 ppg and 416.2 ypg. However, they give up a lot too, allowing 27 ppg and 403.9 ypg. This one looks to be a shootout as I doubt the Rebels can contain this high scoring Kansas offense. I'll take the OVER in this one. |
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12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers OVER 46 | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
Late game of the three NFL games here on Christmas Day has the Baltimore Ravens taking on the San Francisco 49ers. Both teams come into this game 11-3 S/U while the Ravens are 9-5 ATS and the 49ers are 8-5-1 ATS. The Ravens are 2-games ahead of the Browns in the AFC North. They average 27.4 ppg and allow 16.1 ppg. They also average 374.1 ypg and allow just 287.9 ypg. After tonight's contest, the Ravens will return home to face the Dolphins and then finish up at home vs the Steelers. The Ravens have won four straight games and are 3-1 ATS. They are coming off a win at Jacksonville last week, 23-7, as a 4-point favorite. Meanwhile, the 49ers have won five straight games, going 3-2 vs the spread. They have been very good on offense, scoring at least 27 points in all five wins. They average 30.4 ppg overall and allow 16.7 ppg. The 49ers have the NFC West wrapped up as the Rams are a distant 2nd at 8-7. After today the 49ers will go to Washington to face the Commanders and then return home to face the Rams. Both these teams have excellent offenses that have been clicking of late. I'm going to take the OVER here on Christmas night. |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins -1.5 | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys play Miami today in what becomes more serious times for the Cowboys. They are 10-4 and tied for first with the Eagles in the NFC East. However, they are coming off that big loss to the Bills last week, 10-31. Now they have to face another big offensive AFC team in Miami. The Cowboys average 30.8 ppg while allowing just 18.9 ppg. They also average 368.1 ypg while allowing 294.3 ypg. The Cowboys will play at home vs Detroit next week before finishing up at Washington. The Miami Dolphins are also 10-4 S/U and 9-5 ATS. They are in 1st place in the AFC East, 2-games ahead of the Bills. They don't have an easy road here at the end with Dallas today, at Baltimore next week and then home vs Buffalo in the final week. The Dolphins average 31.5 ppg and allowing 21 pg. They are coming off a shutout win last week over the Jets, 30-0, as a 7-point favorite. They held the Jets to just 23 yards rushing and 80 yards passing for 103 yards. Miami not in danger yet, but they don't have things wrapped-up either. I'll take Miami here at home on Sunday. |
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12-24-23 | Jaguars v. Bucs +1.5 | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs are close to securing a playoff spot, something unheard of just a few weeks ago. Tampa Bay is 7-7, but that is after winning three straight games from being 4-7. They are now in first in the NFC South, a half game ahead of the 7-8 New Orleans Saints and one full game ahead of the Falcons. That makes today's game huge for the Bucs. Tampa Bay averages 21.1 ppg while allowing 20.7 ppg. They also average 314.9 ypg while allowing 359.9 ypg. After today's contest is the big one next week vs the Saints and then they finish up at Carolina. The Jaguars are 8-6 both S/U and ATS. They are in a 3-way tie for the AFC South division lead with Houston and the Colts. The Jags average 22.8 ppg while allowing 22.4 ppg. After today they finish against Carolina and then at Tennessee. The Jags have lost three straight games including last week vs the Ravens, 7-23. Both teams really need this game, but with the Bucs on a winning streak and the Jags on a losing streak, I'll stick with the home team here today. Play Tampa Bay. |
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12-24-23 | Lions v. Vikings +3 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 41 m | Show | |
A NFC North battle here on Sunday has the 10-4, first place, Detroit Lions taking on the 7-7, second place Minnesota Vikings. The Lions are coming off a big win over the Denver Broncos, 42-17. That rebounded from the loss the previous week at Chicago, 13-28. The Lions have alternated wins and losses the last four weeks, going 2-2, both S/U and ATS. The Lions have to face the Vikings twice in the last three weeks with Dallas sandwiched in between. The Vikings could tie the Lions if they win out and Detroit losses the last three games. Detroit averages 27.3 ppg while allowing 23.6 ppg. They also average 394.4 ypg and allow 320.9 ypg. The Vikings playoff chances to a hit last week when they lost in OT to the Bengals, 24-27. They led big in the 2nd half but the Bengals rallied to tie and force OT. The Vikings offense ranks 11th in the NFL while their defense ranks 13th. The Vikings have lost three of their last four games and are 2-1-2 vs the spread the last five. The Vikings need this game badly if they hope to have a chance at the postseason. Plus we get the Vikings at about a field goal home dog here. I'll take the Vikings plus the points. |
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12-24-23 | Browns v. Texans OVER 40 | 36-22 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns are 9-5 S/U and 9-5 ATS with a 7-6-1 o/u mark. The Browns are in 2nd in the AFC North, 2-games back of the Baltimore Ravens. With the Bengals losing on Saturday, that gives them a bit of breathing room. The Browns finish up next week at home vs the jets and then at Cincinnati. They average 22.1 ppg and allow 20.6 ppg. The Browns will rotate QB's with Joe Flacco and Dorian Thompson-Robinson. They are coming off a win over the Bears last week as a 2.5-point favorite, 20-17. That's two wins in a row since they lost two in a row. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The strange this is that at home they are 1-6 Over/Under, allowing 13.1 ppg and on the road they are 6-0 Over/Under and allow 30.7 ppg. The Houston Texans are 8-6 S/U and 7-7 ATS. They are tied for first in the AFC South with the Colts and Jaguars. After today they finish up with divisional games vs the Titans and then a big game at the Colts to finish up. The Texans average 21.9 ppg and allow 21.1 ppg. They are coming off a win at Tennessee, 19-16, as a 3-point favorite. The Texans are 5-2 S/U and 3-4 ATS at home this year. Their home games have averaged 45.3 points. The total here today is right at 40 and I look for both teams to score points. The Browns play bad road defense so I look for the OVER here today. |
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12-23-23 | Georgia State v. Utah State -1 | 45-22 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
Mid-Major game here on Saturday in the Potato Bowl from Boise Idaho. This one pits the Mountain West Utah State Aggies against the Sun Belt's Georgia State Panthers. Ga State finished their season with a loss to Old Dominion, 24-25, as a 2.5-point road dog. Utah State just got past New Mexico to finish their season with a win, 44-41 in double OT. Ga State lost its last five games of the season and ended 6-6 S/U. Utah State won three of its final four games. The Aggies are 26th in scoring with 34.1 ppg and 43rd in passing with 259.8 ypg. One good thing for Utah State, they weren't hit hard by the transfer portal, so they should be good here on Saturday. Ga State though will be without their starting running back and top wide receiver in this game as both are transferring. Utah State was the better team down the stretch and that should carry over to this Bowl game. Take Utah State. |
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12-23-23 | James Madison -1 v. Air Force | 21-31 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
The Armed Forces Bowl here on Saturday has Air Force taking on James Madison. James Madison Dukes is 11-1 S/U and 8-4 ATS. The Dukes had a season of all times in their school history as they make their first ever Bowl appearance. Air Force looked great to start the season as they jumped out to a 8-0 record. However, they lost their last four games to finish 8-4 S/U and 5-7 ATS. Which Air Force team shows up today? Both teams suffered a lot of losses to the transfer portal so we'll just have to see how that effects them here on Saturday. If you talk motivation then that falls squarely on James Madison. Making their first ever bowl game nothing would please them more then to finish the season with a bowl win. The Dukes did average 35.2 ppg this season, good for 18th in the country. They only allowed 18.5 ppg, 18th in the nation. Air Force averaged 27.6 ppg. This is a tough game since you have to think of both teams with their portal losses. Still, I believe the Dukes want this game more than Air Force does. I'll take James Madison here on Saturday. |
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12-22-23 | Central Florida -4.5 v. Georgia Tech | 17-30 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
Two teams that finished just eligible for this bowl at 6-6 meet today as Central Florida takes on Georgia Tech in the Gasparilla Bowl from Tampa Bay. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacks were 6-6 S/u and 7-5 vs the spread. The Jackets lost their last game of the season to Georgia, 23-31, but played well in covering a 25-point dog spread. Tech was 3-2 their last five games including a upset win over North Carolina. They became bowl eligible in their win over Syracuse, 31-22 on Nov 18. The offense is very good, scoring 30 in three of their last five games. The problem is the defense, that allows 30.5 ppg and 437.4 ypg. The rush defense is particularly bad, ranking 131st in the country. That will play right into the UCF Golden Knights hands here on Friday. The Knights have an elite rushing attack led by RJ Harvey. Harvey has at least 80 yards rushing in all but three games this year. The UFC offense averages 233 rushing yards per game, fourth in the country. Now they get to face this bad Tech rush defense. In addition, UFC defense has played well down the stretch, allowing an average of just 16 points over their last four games. This game looks taylor made for UCF. Play Central Florida. |
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12-21-23 | Syracuse v. South Florida +3.5 | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
The Boca Raton Bowl here on Thursday has a pair of 6-6 teams meeting up as Syracuse takes on South Florida. The Syracuse Orange finished the regular season at 6-6 S/U and 5-7 ATS. They averaged 25.5 ppg while allowing 23.7 ppg. They also averaged 359.3 ypg while allowing 381.9 ypg. The Orange became bowl eligible on their last game of the season with a win over Wake Forest, 35-31, as a 2-point favorite. Still, the club lost three of their last four both S/U and ATS. The Orange will be without some key players who have entered the transfer portal. Sophomore Linebacker Leon Lowry, one of the most experienced players they have, will not play. DB Jeremiah Wilson will also not play. WR Isaiah Jones also will miss today's contest. All in all, the Orange will miss 11 players today due to the transfer portal and 15 total who will miss the game. The South Florida Bulls were also 6-6 S/U and 5-6-1 ATS. They averaged 30.8 ppg while allowing 34.9 ppg. They also averaged 455.3 ypg while allowing 455.3 ypg. Like Syracuse, the Bulls had to win their last game to get to this bowl They beat Charlotte, 48-14 as a 7-point favorite to become bowl Eligible. The Bulls offense is excellent but their defense is not so good. The loss of 15 players for the Orange could be the difference maker here today. Plus, South Florida will be playing in their own backyard in Boca Raton. Play South Florida. |
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12-18-23 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion -4.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
A couple of things you have to look for in the bowls. First, how many players have entered the transfer portal and those players sitting out because of the NFL draft. Second, motivation, does the team want to even be there. Today, we have one game on the Monday Bowl schedule and that's the Famous Toastery Bowl between Western Kentucky and Old Dominion. Western is 7-5 on the season but likely will be without their top QB in Austin Reed. Reed has an undisclosed illness/reason, but he's been downgraded to doubtful for today. The Hilltoppers have won two straight games after a win over Florida International, 41-28. The loss of Reed could be big here today for a team that averaged 29.8 ppg. Reed hit on 61.5% of his passes for 3,340 yards and 31 touchdowns. Hard to replace those kind of numbers. Western has struggled on the defensive side of the ball, allowing 28.2 ppg this season. ODU Monarchs have also won two straight games. They are coming off a win over Georgia State, 25.24 as a 1.5-point favorite. ODU averages 22.9 ppg as Grant Wilson leads the team at QB with 16 touchdowns. With Reed not in this game I look for ODU to come out on top and cover this spread today. Play Old Dominion. |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -1.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
The weather might be in the Bills advantage here on Sunday as Rain is expected with winds at least 15mpg and gusting higher. That could hurt the Cowboys potent pass attack. Dallas is 10-3 S/U and 9-4 ATS on the season. They are tied with the Eagles in the NFC East for first place but have a tough schedule the rest of the way. After today's game at Buffalo they go to Miami and then return home to face the Lions before a final road trip to Washington. With three of their last four on the road it could be a tough route for the Cowboys to the division title. Dallas is 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS in their last five games. The offense has been great, scoring at least 33 points in each of those five wins. They are coming off a win over the Eagles, 33-13 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Bills are 7-6 S/U and 5-8 ATS and right now are on the bubble to make the playoffs. The Bills were one of the preseason favorites to make the Super Bowl. Now, they are fighting for a playoff spot. Five teams in the AFC were tied at 7-6 and the Bengals won on Saturday to go to 8-6 as did the Colts. They also trail 1st place Miami by two games in the AFC East. After today they face the Chargers and Patriots (both should be easy wins) and finish vs the Dolphins, which could be for the division with some luck. As for today, the Bills will hope for as bad as weather as they can get. I'll take the Bills here today who need a win badly. |
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12-17-23 | Commanders v. Rams -6.5 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
The Washington Commander won't make the postseason this year as they sit at just 4-9 overall and 5-7-1 vs the spread. The Commanders average just 20.1 ppg while allowing 30.4 ppg. They also average 336.1 ypg and allow 379.8 ypg. The Commanders will finish their season with a game at the Jets next week then home vs the 49ers and finish the season home vs the Cowboys. They have lost four straight games and are 1-3 ATS in those games. They are coming off a loss at home to Miami, 15-45, as a 8.5-point dog. The defense has not been good, allowing 90 points the last two games and at least 29 points in each of their last four games. The Rams had their three game win streak snapped last week at Baltimore. They fought the Ravens into OT and lost on special teams as Baltimore ran back a kick for a TD. The Rams offense has really been in high gear of late, scoring 31, 36 and 37 the last three weeks. At 6-7, the Rams chances of making the playoffs are not great, but they are around 40% at this point. A loss today almost assures them of not making the playoffs. The Way the Rams offense is playing and how bad the Commanders defense has been, I'll take the Rams here today. Play LA. |
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12-17-23 | Bears v. Browns UNDER 38 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears won their second straight game last week with a big home win over the Detroit Lions, 28-13, as a 3-point dog. The Bears were my NFC North Game of the Year Winner. The Bears are also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. The Bears average 20.8 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. They also average 324.2 ypg and allow 314.5 ypg. The Bears are 5-8 overall and in last in the NFC North. They will hit the road here today to face the Browns in Cleveland. Always have to look at the weather in Cleveland. It's going to be in the 40's with rain showers and winds from 15 Mph. The Cleveland Browns snapped their 2-game losing streak with a win over Jacksonville last week, 31-27, as a 2.5-point favorite. That improved them to 8-5 both S/U and ATS. The Browns have been very good at home, 6-1 S/U and ATS and out score their visitors by a 20.6 to 12.6 margin. The Browns have the best defense in the NFL, allowing 263 yards per game. That combined with the weather will be the key to this game going UNDER the total. Play UNDER. |
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12-17-23 | Bears v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
The Chicago Bears won their second straight game last week with a big home win over the Detroit Lions, 28-13, as a 3-point dog. The Bears were my NFC North Game of the Year Winner. The Bears are also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. The Bears average 20.8 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. They also average 324.2 ypg and allow 314.5 ypg. The Bears are 5-8 overall and in last in the NFC North. They will hit the road here today to face the Browns in Cleveland. Always have to look at the weather in Cleveland. It's going to be in the 40's with rain showers and winds from 15 Mph. The Cleveland Browns snapped their 2-game losing streak with a win over Jacksonville last week, 31-27, as a 2.5-point favorite. That improved them to 8-5 both S/U and ATS. The Browns have been very good at home, 6-1 S/U and ATS and out score their visitors by a 20.6 to 12.6 margin. The Browns have the best defense in the NFL, allowing 263 yards per game. That combined with the weather will be all the Browns need in this game. Play Cleveland. |
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12-16-23 | UCLA v. Boise State +6 | 35-22 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 44 m | Show | |
LA Bowl as UCLA takes on Boise State. The big issue to watch for in these bowls are players opting out because they don't want to get hurt and ruin their NFL draft chances or are entering the transfer portal. The latter is the case for UCLA as this LA Bowl team we saw during the season. HC Chip Kelly has already said that any play entering the portal at the end of the season won't play in this game. Seven Bruins have put their names into the Transfer portal and none of those will practice or play today. That includes star freshman player Dante Moore. Boise State won the Mountain West Championship in Las Vegas with a win over UNLV, 44-20. They have been red hot to finish the season, winning and covering their last four games. They have also scored 42 points or more in three of those games. For me, I have to back Boise in this one. They are getting points and UCLA will have to play without those seven players in the transfer portal. Take Boise State. |
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12-16-23 | Miami-OH v. Appalachian State UNDER 41.5 | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
The Cure Bowl from Orlando Florida here on Saturday has Miami Ohio taking on Appalachian State. The Miami Ohio Redhawks are the MAC Champions and finished the regular season at 11-2, including five straight wins. App State Mountaineers joined the FBD in 2014 and will make their 7th bowl appearance. Miami will be without their top QB in Brett Gabbert who will miss the game with a leg injury. They will have to start Henry Hessen or Maddox Kopp today. Rushing though will be the main focus on this game as the weather is not expected to be good with lots of rain. That means Rashad Amos will be the key for Miami. Amos finished 5th in the MAC in rushing this year. The team's strength is the defense, which ranks 1st in the MAC and 26th in the country. They are also 7th in the nation in redzone defense. App State got beat bad in the Sun Belt Championship game by Troy, 23-49. Their defense is not nearly as good as Miami, ranking 73rd in the nation. The defense did improve late though. With weather likely to play a role in this one, I'm going to expect Miami's defense to play a big role here today. With a backup QB at Miami for this one I don't expect a lot of throwing. Take the UNDER. |
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12-16-23 | Miami-OH +6.5 v. Appalachian State | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
Reason: The Cure Bowl from Orlando Florida here on Saturday has Miami Ohio taking on Appalachian State. The Miami Ohio Redhawks are the MAC Champions and finished the regular season at 11-2, including five straight wins. App State Mountaineers joined the FBD in 2014 and will make their 7th bowl appearance. Miami will be without their top QB in Brett Gabbert who will miss the game with a leg injury. They will have to start Henry Hessen or Maddox Kopp today. Rushing though will be the main focus on this game as the weather is not expected to be good with lots of rain. That means Rashad Amos will be the key for Miami. Amos finished 5th in the MAC in rushing this year. The team's strength is the defense, which ranks 1st in the MAC and 26th in the country. They are also 7th in the nation in redzone defense. App State got beat bad in the Sun Belt Championship game by Troy, 23-49. Their defense is not nearly as good as Miami, ranking 73rd in the nation. The defense did improve late though. With weather likely to play a role in this one, I'm going with the better defense here today. Take the points with Miami Ohio. |
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12-16-23 | Vikings v. Bengals -3 | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings improved to 7-6 after a snooze-fest win last week over the Raiders, 3-0. After today's game at Cincinnati, the Vikings will finish against the Lions and Packers at home before their season finale at Detroit. Their win last week snapped a 2-game losing streak vs Chicago, 10-12, and at Denver, 20-21. The Vikings can still make the playoffs, but those odds will drop with a loss today vs the Bengals. This game will also be a battle of backup QB's, a theme we are seeing way too often in the NFL this year. Vikings QB Kirk Cousins is out for the rest of the year. Joshua Dobs has taken over and went 10 for 23 last week for just 63 yards. The Bengals are also 7-6 and on the playoff bubble wit Houston, Denver and Buffalo. A win today will help their chances. QB Jake Browning has stepped in for injured Joe Burrows. Browning went 18 for 24 last week for 275 yards and 2 TD's. After today, the Bengals will go to Pittsburgh, Kansas City and then finish up at home vs the Browns. I like the way Browning has been playing and I will take the Bengals here on Saturday. |
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12-11-23 | Titans v. Dolphins -13.5 | Top | 28-27 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
It's been one of those years for the Tennessee Titans. They are in last place in the NFC South with a 4-8 record and won't be going to the postseason this year. They average just 17.7 ppg and allow 21.2 ppg. They also average just 292.1 ypg while giving up 337.0 ypg. They have lost three of their last four games both S/U and ATS. That includes last week at home to Indianapolis, 28-31, as a 1-point dog. That was a high in points, in fact the 28 points last week was a season high for the team. Miami is 9-3 on the season and 8-4 vs the spread. The Dolphins are in first place in the AFC East with the Bills on their heels. This team can score, with an average of 32 ppg on the season while they allow 22.2 ppg. They also average 428.4 ypg while allowing just 300.2 ypg. With the Jets next week the Dolphins have nothing to take their attention away from tonight's contest. I'm taking the Dolphins in a Monday night blowout. Play Miami. |
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12-10-23 | Broncos +2.5 v. Chargers | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
Denver's four game win streak came to an end last week at Houston as a last second touchdown attempt came up short in their 17-22 loss as 3-point dogs. The Broncos had a good shot at the win but couldn't get the ball in the endzone as time ran out. The loss also hurts their playoff chances as they dropped to 6-6 overall and 4-7-1 ATS. They had big wins in recent weeks too with wins over the Browns, Bills and Chiefs. Denver average 21.9 ppg and allows 25.2 ppg, though they did allow 70 points in that one game at Miami to skew the average. The Broncos finish up with games at Detroit, home vs the Pats and the Chargers and then at Las Vegas. Denver could easily go 4-1 down the stretch. The Chargers are also 6-6 on the season and 4-7-1 ATS. They snapped a three-game losing streak last week with a win at the Patriots, 6-0. They had just 241 total yards and held the Pats to 257. The offense has been a bit anemic the last few weeks with just 16 total points. The offense is missing their best WR in Mike Williams who is out. Plus WR Joshua Palmer is questionable with a knee injury. The loser of this one could easily see their playoff chances go way down. I'm taking the points with the Broncos today. |
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12-10-23 | Texans v. Jets UNDER 33 | 6-30 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
One good thing going for the Jets here on Sunday will be rain and wind. With rains expected in this game and the winds gusting to 27 mph, throwing the ball will be tough for both teams. This Jets offense scores only 14.2 ppg as it is under ideal conditions. The Jets have lost and failed to cover in five straight games, including last game vs the Falcons, 8-13, as a 2-point dog. They have also gone under in six of their last seven games. The Houston Texans improved to 7-5 with their win over the Broncos last week, 22-17, as a 3-point favorite. They look to make a playoff drive as they trail first place Jacksonville by just one game now. After today's game they will have a road game at Tennessee before returning home to face Cleveland and Tennessee and finishing at the Colts. The Texans could win the division with this schedule they have left. As for today, I'm taking the under with the conditions being blustery and the Jets already having issues scoring. Play UNDER. |
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12-10-23 | Rams v. Ravens UNDER 39.5 | 31-37 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking a look at the Baltimore weather report sees a change of Thunderstorms and 62 degrees with winds around 7 mph. That being said, it could be a rough day for the Rams who have to make the long trek from the West Coast to the East Coast. The Rams have won three straight games to improve to 6-6 overall and 5-5-2 vs the spread. They are also 5-7 over/under on the season and average 22.3 ppg while allowing 21.1 ppg. Baltimore has won two straight and six of the last seven games. They are 9-3 S/U and 8-4 ATS with a 5-7 over/under mark. The Ravens have averaged 27 ppg while allowing just 15.6 ppg. They are coming off a win over the Chargers, 20-10 as 3-point favorites with the game going under. They held the Chargers to just 279 yards. I look for the Rams to find points tough in this contest. I'll stick to the UNDER today. |
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12-10-23 | Colts v. Bengals UNDER 44.5 | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
This time of year have to take a look at the weather reports in these Midwest and Eastern games. Today's game between the Colts and Bengals will be around 37 degrees with winds about 9-10 mph. The Colts have won four straight games both S/U and ATS as they have improved to 7-5 overall and 8-4 ATS. They also have been good on the road with a 4-1 S/U and ATS record. They have gone under in two of their last three road games. The Colts average 25 ppg and allow 24.7 ppg this season. They finish up the season with Pittsburgh, at Atlanta then home to finish vs the Raiders and Texans. They could easily run the board the rest of the way. The Bengals shocked everyone last week with their win at Jacksonville, 34-31, as a 10-point dog. Jake Browning stepped in for the injured Joe Burrows and promptly went 32-of-37 for one TD and no INT with 354 yards. The Bengals average 20.5 ppg while allowing 22.7 ppg. They have seen four of their six home games go under the total this year. I don't expect to see that big score they had last week. I'm looking for a lower scoring game this time out. Play the UNDER. |
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12-10-23 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 43 | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions jumped out to a huge lead last week at New Orleans, but had to hold on late to get the win, 33-28 as a 4-point favorite. The Lions rushing game continues to shine with 142 last week and at least 140 in four of their last five games. The Lions have now won four of their last five games and eight of the last 10 for their 9-3 record to go along with their 8-4 ats mark. Unless the Lions completely collapse in their last five games, they should cruise to the NFC North crown. They lead 2nd place Green Bay and Minnesota by 3-games with five to play. They do face Minnesota twice yet along with Denver and Dallas. The Bears won't be going to the postseason with their 4-8 record. They are coming off a big win at Minnesota last week, 12-10 as a 3-point dog. It was just on Nov 19th that they faced the Lions in Detroit and gave them all they could handle in their loss, 26-31, covering the 8-point line. In that game they rushed for 183 yards on the Lions defense while holding the Lions to just 115 yards rushing. It will be cool in Chicago with the temps in the 30's and winds around 12 mph. That might not seem like a lot but it can hinder passing. This game looks to be controlled more on the ground and with that I'm going to take the Under as both teams look to control the time of possession in this one. Play UNDER. |
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12-10-23 | Jaguars v. Browns UNDER 34 | 27-31 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
After leaving the last game, Jacksonville QB Trevor Lawrence, is questionable for today's game at Cleveland. Lawrence was limited in Friday's practice. The Jags ended up losing that game at home last week to the Bengals, 31-34, as a 10-point favorite. If Lawrence can't go then C.J. Beathard will have to start after going 9-of-10 last week for 63 yards. To make matters worse for Beathard could be the weather. It's supposed to be in the 30's in Cleveland Sunday with a chance of rain and winds that are at least 13 MPH. The Browns also have QB issues. Deshaun Watson is out for the rest of the year. Dorian Thompson-Robinson missed last week with a concussion. Thompson-Robinson could play today or it will then be veteran Joe Flacco. Either way the windy condition could make throwing a bit more difficult. The weather combined with QB issues on both sides should keep this game lower scoring. I'm taking the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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12-10-23 | Jaguars v. Browns -3 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
After leaving the last game, Jacksonville QB Trevor Lawrence, is questionable for today's game at Cleveland. Lawrence was limited in Friday's practice. The Jags ended up losing that game at home last week to the Bengals, 31-34, as a 10-point favorite. If Lawrence can't go then C.J. Beathard will have to start after going 9-of-10 last week for 63 yards. To make matters worse for Beathard could be the weather. It's supposed to be in the 30's in Cleveland Sunday with a chance of rain and winds that are at least 13 MPH. The Browns also have QB issues. Deshaun Watson is out for the rest of the year. Dorian Thompson-Robinson missed last week with a concussion. Thompson-Robinson could play today or it will then be veteran Joe Flacco. Either way the windy condition could make throwing a bit more difficult. I like the Browns quite a bit here at home with this excellent defense they have. Play Cleveland. |
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12-10-23 | Lions v. Bears +3.5 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
The Detroit Lions jumped out to a huge lead last week at New Orleans, but had to hold on late to get the win, 33-28 as a 4-point favorite. The Lions rushing game continues to shine with 142 last week and at least 140 in four of their last five games. The Lions have now won four of their last five games and eight of the last 10 for their 9-3 record to go along with their 8-4 ats mark. Unless the Lions completely collapse in their last five games, they should cruise to the NFC North crown. They lead 2nd place Green Bay and Minnesota by 3-games with five to play. They do face Minnesota twice yet along with Denver and Dallas. The Bears won't be going to the postseason with their 4-8 record. They are coming off a big win at Minnesota last week, 12-10 as a 3-point dog. It was just on Nov 19th that they faced the Lions in Detroit and gave them all they could handle in their loss, 26-31, covering the 8-point line. In that game they rushed for 183 yards on the Lions defense while holding the Lions to just 115 yards rushing. It will be cool in Chicago with the temps in the 30's and winds around 12 mph. That might not seem like a lot but it can hinder passing. This game looks to be controlled more on the ground and with that I'm going to take the Bears who had run all over the Lions just a few games ago. Take Chicago. |
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12-09-23 | Army v. Navy UNDER 28.5 | 17-11 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
One of the biggest rivalries in college football takes place in their annual event on Saturday as Navy takes on Army. This time they will be playing in Foxboro, MA instead of Philadelphia where they regularly play. Both teams come into this one at 5-6 on the season with Army riding a 3-game win streak over Air Force as a 18-point dog, Holy Cross and last game over Coastal Carolina, 28-21. The Black Knights average 20.8 ppg while allowing 22.0 ppg. They also average 317.5 ypg and allow 369.6 ypg. Both these teams still primarily running teams with Army averaging 210.2 rush yards and Navy at 201 rushing yards. The Navy Midshipmen are coming off a blowout loss at SMU, 14-59, as 19-point dogs. They had just 253 total yards in the game. Navy averages just 18.3 ppg and allows 22.9 ppg. Last year Navy won this game, 20-17. These games usually low scoring. Last year they had 37 points, but before that they had 30, 15, 38, 27, 27, 38, 38 and 27 since 2014. This is the first year at Foxboro. Mostly they play at Philly. Both teams are run first teams. For me, I'm going to stick with the UNDER here today. |
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12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers UNDER 30 | 21-18 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Might be the worse game on national tv this year as the pathetic Patriots take on the struggling Steelers. The Steelers got shut out last week at home by the Chargers in a snoozefest, 0-6 game. That means over the last three games they have scored a total of 13 points. They average just 290.4 ypg on the season and have gone under in nine of their 12 games. The Steelers played an embarrassing game last week, losing at home to the Arizona Cardinals, 10-24, as a 6.5-point favorite. That makes three straight games with 16 or fewer points scored. They average 16 ppg this season and 294.9 ypg. They have gone under in 10 of their 12 games. The winner in this game might be the team that scores any points. I'll just take the UNDER. |
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12-04-23 | Bengals v. Jaguars UNDER 40 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals and Jacksonville Jaguars close out week 13 of the NFL. The Bengals are 5-6 S/U and 4-6-1 ATS with a 5-6 O/U record. The Bengals are in last in the AFC North, with Pittsburgh and Cleveland ahead of them and all three trailing 9-3 Baltimore. The Bengals average just 19.3 ppg and 291.7 ypg. They allow 22 ppg and 389.0 ypg on the season. The Bengals look to snap a three-game losing streak here today. They are coming off a loss to Pittsburgh last week, 10-16, as 2-point dogs. QB Joe Burrow is out for the rest of the season with a wrist injury. Jake Browning will have to be the QB the rest of the way. Browning came in at Baltimore and went 8 of 14 for 68 yards and a TD. Last week he was 19 of 26 for 227 yards with one INT and one TD. The Jags are sitting pretty good in the AFC South as they are 8-3 and in first place. The Texans and Colts both improved to 7-6 after Sunday wins. The Jags are 5-6 o/u and average 23.1 ppg with 344 ypg. The Jags have won two straight after last week's win over the Texans, 24-21, as a 1-point favorite. They have gone under in three of their last four games. With Burrow out, the Bengals can't get into a scoring match here today. I look for the Bengals to try and keep the Jags offense off the field as much as possible. I'll take the UNDER on Monday night. |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
Sunday Night football has the Kansas City Chiefs heading to Wisconsin to take on the Green Bay Packers. The Chiefs spotted the LV Raiders to a 14-0 lead last week in Vegas before waking up and outscoring the Raiders 31-3 the rest of the way for the win and cover. They are just 2-2 their last four games both S/U and ATS with losses to Philadelphia, 17-21, and to Denver, 9-24. The 8-3 Chiefs are 3-2 on the road and 2-3 vs the spread. They also average just 21.4 ppg on the road while allowing 18 ppg. Compare that to their 25.6 ppg overall and 15.4 ppg allowed. The Packers are 5-6 S/U and 6-5 ATS on the season. They are in 3rd place in the NFC North, 3-games back of the Lions. They average 21 ppg overall and allow 20.4 ppg. The Packers have won two straight games with their last game coming on Thanksgiving day with a win at Detroit, 29-22. They had last week off to prepare for this game so they have had plenty of time to rest and prepare. They also beat the Chargers in the previous game, 23-20 as a 3-point dog. The Packers defense keeps the team in games, allowing 24 points or fewer in each of their last seven games. Looks to be a good game on Sunday night. I'll take the points though with the home team in this one. Play the Packers. |
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12-03-23 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 48 | 42-19 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
Rematch of the NFC Championship game from last year has San Francisco 49ers making the trek East to play the Philadelphia Eagles. The 49ers are 8-3 S/U and 6-4-1 ATS on the season. they average 28.2 ppg and give up just 15.5 ppg. They also average 386.1 ypg while allowing 295.3 ypg. The 49ers have a 2.5 game lead in the NFC West over Seattle who lost at Dallas on Thursday. The 49ers have won three straight games, covering two of those. They have scored at least 27 points in those game while allowing no more than 14 points. The Eagles are 10-1 S/U and 7-2-2 ATS on the season. They are 1.5-games ahead of Dallas which won on Thursday. A loss today would setup a showdown with the Cowboys next week for the division lead. Don't think Philly will be looking much past this game since this is the Niners. The Eagles average 28.2 ppg and 364.3 ypg. They allow 22.4 ppg and 341 ypg on the season. The defense is not as dominant as it was last year, but still good. Their only loss coming back on Oct 15 at the NY Jets, 14-20. Since that loss they have won five straight games and gone 4-0-1 ATS. This is the marquee game on Sunday. Both these teams have excellent defenses and the Niners defense playing particularly well of late. I'm taking UNDER here on Sunday in this matchup. |
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12-03-23 | Browns v. Rams -4 | 19-36 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns head West to take on the LA Rams from Sofi Stadium. The Browns had to go out and sign a one-time Super Bowl as they brought in Joe Flacco. Flacco has been named the starter for today's contest. QB Deshaun Watson remains out with a shoulder injury as does RB Nick Chubb, both of whom will miss the remainder of the season. How much Flacco has left in the tank will remain to be seen, especially since he hasn't played this year. The Browns had their 3-game win streak snapped last week at Denver, 12-29. The offense scored just 12 last week and 13 the previous week vs Pittsburgh. The Browns are still in the playoff race as they are tied for 2nd place in the AFC North with Pittsburgh at 7-4, both 2.5-games back of Baltimore. The Browns average just 21.7 ppg while allowing 19 ppg. They also average 320.6 ypg while allowing 247.9 ypg. The LA Rams can climb back to the .500 mark with a win here today. They are 5-6 and in 3rd place in the NFC West. They average 21.1 ppg while allowing 21.3 ppg. They also average 340.6 ypg while allowing 331.2 ypg. The Rams have won two straight games over Seattle and last week at Arizona, 37-14, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Rams had one of their best offensive games with 228 yards rushing and 229 yards passing. I am not sold on Flacco taking over at QB here for the Browns. With no game experience this year and not exactly much results when he did last play, I can't imagine the Browns giving him a lot of the playbook here today. I'll take the Rams at home today. |
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12-03-23 | 49ers -160 v. Eagles | Top | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
Rematch of the NFC Championship game from last year has San Francisco 49ers making the trek East to play the Philadelphia Eagles. The 49ers are 8-3 S/U and 6-4-1 ATS on the season. they average 28.2 ppg and give up just 15.5 ppg. They also average 386.1 ypg while allowing 295.3 ypg. The 49ers have a 2.5 game lead in the NFC West over Seattle who lost at Dallas on Thursday. The 49ers have won three straight games, covering two of those. They have scored at least 27 points in those game while allowing no more than 14 points. The Eagles are 10-1 S/U and 7-2-2 ATS on the season. They are 1.5-games ahead of Dallas which won on Thursday. A loss today would setup a showdown with the Cowboys next week for the division lead. Don't think Philly will be looking much past this game since this is the Niners. The Eagles average 28.2 ppg and 364.3 ypg. They allow 22.4 ppg and 341 ypg on the season. The defense is not as dominant as it was last year, but still good. Their only loss coming back on Oct 15 at the NY Jets, 14-20. Since that loss they have won five straight games and gone 4-0-1 ATS. This is the marquee game on Sunday. I'm going to take the 49ers but lay just the money line as I look for a win out of San Francisco. |
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12-03-23 | Panthers v. Bucs UNDER 36.5 | 18-21 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers are 1-10 S/U and 1-8-2 ATS on the season. They are also 3-8 O/U on the year. They won their lone game back on Oct 29 vs Houston, 15-13 as a 3.5-point dog. Since then they have gone 0-4 S/U, 0-3-1 ATS and 0-4 O/U. They have scored 13, 13, 10 and 10 their last four games. The defense still plays well at time, allowing 26.5 ppg overall on the season. But the offense averages just 15.7 ppg and 265.9 yards. Hard to win any games with that kind of offense. Bryce Young has been a bust this year at QB and a point of contention between the owner and head coach. The Panther did make sweeping changes last week as it looks to hire a head coach who can help bring the overall No 1 pick from last year, Young, along. Right now they have interim HC Chris Tabor taking over for the rest of the season. The Tampa Bay Bucs haven't exactly been an offensive juggernaut this year either. The Bucs average just 19.3 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg. They also average 304.1 ypg and allow 363.7 ypg. Tampa Bay is 4-7 S/U and 7-4 ATS overall with a 3-8 O/U record. The Bucs have lost four of their last five games including last game at the Colts, 20-27 as a 2.5-point dog. I don't expect many points being scored in this game. Take the UNDER. |
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12-03-23 | Broncos +3 v. Texans | 17-22 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
Who would have guessed the Denver Broncos are one of the hottest teams in the NFL. The Broncos are 6-5 S/U and 4-6 ATS and 2-games back of the Chiefs in the AFC West. After starting the season 0-3 and 1-5, they have won five straight games, including last game over Cleveland, 29-12, as a 1-point home favorite. QB Russell Wilson looks more like his old self from Seattle then the version the Broncos have had to this point. The defense has also been very good of late, allowing 22 points or fewer in each of their last five games. The Broncos had that one horrible game at Miami earlier in the season where they gave up 70 points and that has skewed their averages. But consider that they allowed more points in that one game at Miami then they have their last four games combined (63). The Houston Texans, like the Broncos, both have a shot at the postseason. They are also 6-5 S/U and 5-6 ATS. The Texans are tied for 2nd place in the AFC South with the Colts, 2-games back of the Jaguars. The Texans average 23.5 ppg while allowing 21.1 ppg. They also average 374.9 ypg and allow 347.6 ppg. Houston is coming off a loss last week to the Jags, 21-24, failing to cover the 1-point dog line. That makes them 1-4 ATS their last five games. I have to take the Broncos here today as they have been playing with lots of confidence both on offense and defense. Take Denver. |
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12-02-23 | Louisville +1.5 v. Florida State | Top | 6-16 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
ACC Championship game from Charlotte, NC has Louisville taking on Florida State. Florida State will be without it's leader in this one as QB Jordan Travis will be out for the rest of the season with a leg injury. He missed last week's rivalry game with Florida, but that didn't really come into playa as the Seminoles beat their rivals, 24-15, covering the 6-point favorite line. Still, they had just 90 yards rushing and 134 yards passing in the win. This was a team averaging 38.7 ppg on the season and 432 yards. Florida State will have its perfect 12-0 record on the line here today. Louisville finished 2nd in the ACC with a 10-2 record. This team average 33 ppg while allowing just 20 ppg. They also averaged 440.1 ypg while allowing just 317.2 ypg. Louisville is coming off a loss to their rivals, Kentucky, last week, 31-38, as a 7.5-point favorite. Louisville's defense much better than Florida's and this Seminole team had issues moving the ball last week. I'm taking Louisville to win this game without the QB for Florida State in the lineup. |
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12-02-23 | SMU +3 v. Tulane | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
American Championship Game here on Saturday has SMU taking on Tulane from New Orleans. Tulane finished first in the conference with a 11-1 record while SMU was second at 10-2. The SMU Mustangs were also 7-5 vs the spread. They averaged 41.8 ppg while allowing 17.7 ppg on the season. They also averaged 474.8 ypg and gave up just 302.3 ypg. These teams didn't meet this season. The Mustangs are riding a eight game win streak after starting the season 2-2. They are coming off a win over Navy last week, 59-14, as a 19-point favorite. The Tulane Green Wave were just 5-7 vs the spread. They averaged 27.9 ppg while allowing 18.3 ppg. They also averaged 390.2 ppg while allowing 328.2 ppg. Their only loss of the season coming way back in week 2 at home to Ole Miss, 20-37. Since then they have won 10 straight games. I'm siding with SMU here today. SMU has the much more prolific offense and their defense is just as good. I'll take the points with the Mustangs. |
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12-02-23 | Georgia v. Alabama OVER 55 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
SEC Championship has undefeated and playoff bound 12-0 Georgia taking on 11-1 Alabama. Lots of teams at 11-1 so a win by Alabama could make a argument for them being included in the playoff picture. Georgia is coming off a lackluster performance against Georgia Tech, 31-23, not coming close to covering the 23-point line. The Bulldogs allowed Tech to rush for 205 yards. Georgia is also 4-7-1 vs the number this year and 6-6 over/under. Georgia averages 39.6 ppg while allowing just 15.7 ppg. They also average 496.6 ypg while allowing 294.5 ypg. Alabama is 11-1 S/U and 8-4 vs the spread. The Crimson Tide is coming off a win over Auburn, 27-24, but failed to cover the 13.5-point favorite line. That was the teams first non-cover in their last five games. Alabama averages 35.7 ppg and 409.3 ypg while allowing 17.9 ppg and 312.7 ypg. Both teams have potent offenses and stingy defenses. This one has all the markings of a shoot out here today. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-02-23 | Georgia v. Alabama +5.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
SEC Championship has undefeated and playoff bound 12-0 Georgia taking on 11-1 Alabama. Lots of teams at 11-1 so a win by Alabama could make a argument for them being included in the playoff picture. Georgia is coming off a lackluster performance against Georgia Tech, 31-23, not coming close to covering the 23-point line. The Bulldogs allowed Tech to rush for 205 yards. Georgia is also 4-7-1 vs the number this year and 6-6 over/under. Georgia averages 39.6 ppg while allowing just 15.7 ppg. They also average 496.6 ypg while allowing 294.5 ypg. Alabama is 11-1 S/U and 8-4 vs the spread. The Crimson Tide is coming off a win over Auburn, 27-24, but failed to cover the 13.5-point favorite line. That was the teams first non-cover in their last five games. Alabama averages 35.7 ppg and 409.3 ypg while allowing 17.9 ppg and 312.7 ypg. Both teams have potent offenses and stingy defenses. While Georgia is the favorite in this one, I'm taking the points with Alabama in the rare dog role here today. |
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12-01-23 | New Mexico State +11.5 v. Liberty | Top | 35-49 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
New Mexico State and Liberty face off here on Friday for the Conference USA Championship. The New Mexico State Aggies were 10-3 S/U and 7-1 in conference this season. Liberty Flames were perfect with a 12-0 overall and 8-0 conference records. New Mexico State is coming off a 20-17 win over Jacksonville state as a 2.5-point dog. Liberty is coming off a 42-28 win over UTEP as a 18-point favorite. The one time these teams met was back on Sept 9 with Liberty winning, 33-17, as a 9.5-point favorite. New Mexico State brings a 8-game win streak into today's contest. They will try and hand Liberty it's only defeat to date. The Aggies average 28.2 ppg and have a very well balanced offense that averages 217 rushing yards and 205 passing yards per game. They also play well defensively, allowing 19.7 ppg on the season. Liberty averages 40.1 ppg and they also have a well balanced offense that averages 203 rushing and 295 passing yards per game. They allow 21.7 ppg. Liberty has a slight edge on offense but New Mexico State gives up a bit less on defense. Getting all these points today is difficult to pass on. I'll take New Mexico State. |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks +9.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 35-41 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
Week 13 of the NFL kicks off here on Thursday Night with a NFC battle between the Seattle Seahawks and the Dallas Cowboys. The Seahawks have lost two straight games after their loss last week at home to the 49ers, 13-31, as a 7-point dog. The Hawks had just 220 total yards in the game. Seattle is 2nd in the NFC West with a 6-5 record, though two-games back now of the 8-3 49ers. A few weeks ago Seattle look like they would make the playoffs, now they are a underdog to get there. And, the teams they are battling for a Wildcard have some of the easiest schedules remaining. Seattle still can make the playoffs but they have a tough game tonight at Dallas. The Cowboys are 8-3 S/U and ATS on the season. They are in second place in the NFC East, two games back of the 10-1 Eagles. Philly plays the 49ers this week and that is going to be a touch game for the Eagles. Dallas could close to one game back after week 13. Then, next week it's one of the biggest impact games with Dallas hosting the Eagles. It could be these teams will be tied after that game. This is the biggest reason I'm taking Seattle tonight. I expect Dallas to have their eyes looking ahead to next week's Eagles game. And with this big spread and the Hawks needing to win, we could see Seattle stay very close in this game or even have a shot to win. I'm taking the Seahawks here on Thursday. |
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11-27-23 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears are 3-8 S/U and 4-5-2 ATS on the season. They travel to play Minnesota tonight. The Vikings are 6-5 S/U and 7-3-1 ATS on the season. The Bears are in last place in the NFC North with a 3-8 record and -56 point differential. The good news is that they got back QB Justin Fields. The Bears average 20.9 ppg and allow 26.0 ppg. They also average 323.8 ypg and allow 325.5 ypg. The Bears are coming off a loss at Detroit, 26-31, but covered the eight point dog line. Minnesota has to play the rest of the season with QB Kirk Cousins, who went down with an injury. That gives QB Joshua Dobbs a chance to shine. The Vikings average 23.0 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg. Minnesota coming off a loss last week at Denver, 20-21, covering the 2.5-point dog line. That loss snapped a five-game winning streak for the Vikings. The Vikings have been a good under team too, with six of their last eight games going under the total. I'll take a chance with the dog here on Monday Night. Play the Chicago Bears. |
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11-27-23 | Bears v. Vikings UNDER 44 | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears are 3-8 S/U and 4-5-2 ATS on the season. They travel to play Minnesota tonight. The Vikings are 6-5 S/U and 7-3-1 ATS on the season. The Bears are in last place in the NFC North with a 3-8 record and -56 point differential. The good news is that they got back QB Justin Fields. The Bears average 20.9 ppg and allow 26.0 ppg. They also average 323.8 ypg and allow 325.5 ypg. The Bears are coming off a loss at Detroit, 26-31, but covered the eight point dog line. Minnesota has to play the rest of the season with QB Kirk Cousins, who went down with an injury. That gives QB Joshua Dobbs a chance to shine. The Vikings average 23.0 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg. Minnesota coming off a loss last week at Denver, 20-21, covering the 2.5-point dog line. That loss snapped a five-game winning streak for the Vikings. The Vikings have been a good under team too, with six of their last eight games going under the total. I look at this being a lower scoring game tonight. Take the UNDER. |
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11-26-23 | Ravens -2.5 v. Chargers | Top | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
Sunday Night action here has the Baltimore Ravens traveling to LA to play the Chargers. The Ravens will be without a key offensive player in TE Mark Andrews, who is out with a leg injury. The Ravens are in first place in the AFC North with a 8-3 record. They also have a great point differential of +127. The Ravens average 27.6 ppg while allowing 16.1 ppg. Baltimore bounced back from their loss to Cleveland two weeks ago with a win last week over Cincinnati, 34-20, as a 4-point favorite. The Chargers are 4-6 S/U and 3-6 ATS on the season. If they hope to grab a wild card the Chargers will have to almost win out. They are in last in the AFC West, three games back of the Chiefs. The Chargers average 25.9 ppg and allow 23.8 ppg. They also average 354.3 ypg and allow 393.6 ypg. Even without Andrews the Ravens have enough offense to go with their excellent defense to get the cover today. Play Baltimore. |
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11-26-23 | Bills +3 v. Eagles | 34-37 | Push | 0 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
The marquee matchup on the schedule here today has the Buffalo Bills going to the city of Brotherly love to play the Philadelphia Eagles. Though I doubt there will be much love for the visiting Bills in this one. The Bills are 6-5 and 2nd in the AFC East behind the 8-3 Miami Dolphins. The Bills need to win games and not fall out of the Wild Card race. Dropping to 6-6 today could hurt their chances. The Bills average 26.7 ppg while allowing 17.3 ppg. They also have a +104 point differential. The Bills snapped a two-game losing streak last week with a win over the Jets, 32-6, as a 8.5-point favorite. They held the Jets offense to just 155 total yards in that win. The Philadelphia Eagles are 9-1 and in 1st place in the NFC East ahead of the 8-3 Dallas Cowboys. The Eagles average 27.3 ppg while allowing 21.2 ppg. The Eagles have won four straight since their first and only loss of the season to the Jets on Oct 15, 14-20, as a 6.5-point favorite. Both teams have the offense and defense to win this game. I'll take the field goal here today with the underdog Bills. |
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11-26-23 | Bills v. Eagles OVER 48.5 | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
The marquee matchup on the schedule here today has the Buffalo Bills going to the city of Brotherly love to play the Philadelphia Eagles. Though I doubt there will be much love for the visiting Bills in this one. The Bills are 6-5 and 2nd in the AFC East behind the 8-3 Miami Dolphins. The Bills need to win games and not fall out of the Wild Card race. Dropping to 6-6 today could hurt their chances. The Bills average 26.7 ppg while allowing 17.3 ppg. They also have a +104 point differential. The Bills snapped a two-game losing streak last week with a win over the Jets, 32-6, as a 8.5-point favorite. They held the Jets offense to just 155 total yards in that win. The Philadelphia Eagles are 9-1 and in 1st place in the NFC East ahead of the 8-3 Dallas Cowboys. The Eagles average 27.3 ppg while allowing 21.2 ppg. The Eagles have won four straight since their first and only loss of the season to the Jets on Oct 15, 14-20, as a 6.5-point favorite. Both teams have the offense and defense to win this game. I expect these teams to put up plenty of points here today. Take the OVER. |
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11-26-23 | Browns v. Broncos UNDER 37 | 12-29 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
The best defense in the league is owned by the Cleveland Browns. The longest winning streak in the NFL is owned by the Denver Broncos. Something has to give today! The Browns allow just 18 ppg and 243.3 ypg this year. They are 2nd in the AFC North and a win coupled with a Ravens loss can put them into a tie in the division lead. The Browns have won three straight games and are coming off a win last week over the Steelers, 13-10. The Broncos started the season 1-5 and have since won four straight games after last weeks win over the Vikings, 21-20. The Broncos have also gone under in five straight games as their defense has played very well. The defense allows 26.8 ppg and 400.2 ypg, but those numbers have come way down during this winning streak. I'm taking the UNDER here today as both defenses have been excellent. |
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11-26-23 | Jaguars v. Texans OVER 48 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
The top two teams in the AFC South meet here today as the 7-3 Jacksonville Jaguars meet the 6-4 Houston Texans. The Texans can get into a tie with the Jags with a win. The Jags are 7-3 ATS and average 23 ppg while allowing 20.4 ppg. The Jags coming off a win last week over Tennessee, 34-14, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Jags are on a 6-1 S/U and ATS run the last seven games. Houston is 6-4 S/U and 5-5 vs the spread. The Texans average 23.8 ppg while allowing 20.8 ppg. They also average 377.2 ypg and allow 337.9 ypg. The Texans have won three straight games, including last week at home over Arizona, 21-16, though they failed to cover the 5.5-point line. Should be an excellent game here today. Hard to pick a side in this one. However, I do look for both teams to get plenty of points. I'll take the OVER. |
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11-25-23 | Washington State +16.5 v. Washington | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
This will be the last time these teams will meet as PAC-12 conference foes. Washington State can get to bowl eligible today as they sit at 5-6 on the season. Washington is 11-0 and will solidify a playoff spot with a win here today. Washington State coming off that blowout win over Colorado, 56-14, as a 4.5-point favorite. Washington is coming off that big road win over #11 Oregon State, 22-20 as a 1.5-point dog. Washington State averages 32.6 ppg, but is only good for 5th in the PAC 12. Washington State jumped over Florida State last week and into the playoff top 4 picture. A win today pretty much guarantees a spot in the playoffs for the Huskies. Washington ranks third in scoring in the PAC-12 with a 39.3 ppg average. One thing is for sure, both these teams can score and a lot. I expect a shootout here on Saturday. The two TD dog Washington State Cougars look too much to pass on with the points they put on the board. I'll take the visitors here today. Play Washington State. |
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11-25-23 | Alabama -12.5 v. Auburn | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -111 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
One of the best rivalries here on Rivalry Saturday has No 8 Alabama taking on Auburn in the Iron Bowl. Alabama has won nine straight games and is 10-1 overall and 7-0 in the SEC with playoff aspirations. Auburn is 6-5 overall and 3-4 in the SEC and looks to spoil Alabama's playoff run. Alabama's only loss of the season came way back on Sept 9th to Texas,24-34. Alabama will win the SEC West, but really needs an impressive win here today and some losses by PAC-12 teams to sneak into the playoff picture. Alabama's defense is once again very good, 17th in yards and 29th in points allowed. Auburn still trying to overcome that embarrassing home loss to New Mexico State, 10-31. It was the Aggies first ever SEC win and what hurts even more is that Auburn paid almost $2 million dollars for N.Mex State to come out and play the game. Auburn had just 213 total yards and 11 first downs vs the Aggies. Auburn is a strange team and they have the ability to stay in this game, but not if they are the team that lost last week to New Mexico State. I'm taking Alabama here to win and make a bid for one of the playoff spots. |
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11-25-23 | Miami-OH v. Ball State +4.5 | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
MAC game here on Saturday has the 9-2 S/U and 5-6 ATS Miami Ohio playing at 4-7 S/U and 6-4-1 ATS Ball State. The Miami Redhawks are in 1st place in the MAC East, one game ahead of Ohio U. The Hawks average 28.2 ppg and allow 16.5 ppg this season. They also average 345.1 ypg and allow 319.3 ypg. The Hawks still have one game left on Dec 2 at Toledo. Miami has won and covered its last three games including last game vs Buffalo, 23-10, as a 8-point favorite. The Hawks defense has been excellent, allowing just 26 points over their three game win streak. Ball State looks to close the season a positive run. The Cardinals have won two straight games including last game over Kent State 34-3, as a 10-point favorite. They held Kent State to just 29 rushing yards and 68 passing yards. Still, the Cards average just 18.5 ppg while allowing 25.1 ppg. They also average 303.1 ypg while giving up 326.2 ypg. Ball State is next to last in the MAC West with their 4-7 record. This is the last game of the season for Ball State, which won't be going to any bowl game this year. For Ball State, this is their Bowl game. They can close the season strong with a win and have some momentum to build on for next season. I'll take the points at home with Ball State. |
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11-25-23 | Ohio State v. Michigan UNDER 46.5 | 24-30 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
This is the marquee game on the Saturday and maybe the biggest game of the 2023 schedule as No 2 Ohio State take on No 3 Michigan from Ann Arbor. The winner today wins the Big 10 East and goes to the title game. In addition guaranteeing their entry into the college football playoffs. The Ohio State offense could find trouble here today against this Michigan Defense. The Buckeyes put up just 13 first half points vs Minnesota. But its the defense that is their strength, allowing 252.9 ypg (3rd) and 144.4 passing yards (1st). They also allow just 9.3 ppg (2nd). Michigan struggled last week without HC Jim Harbaugh (suspension), just getting by Maryland, 31-24. The Wolverines led the country in yards allowed, 235.5 and points (9 ppg). This one today looks to be the best defenses against each other. Which one will break first? I'm taking the UNDER. |
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11-24-23 | Dolphins v. Jets UNDER 40.5 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins are 7-3 S/U and 6-4 ATS as they head to the Meadowlands to play the Jets here on Friday. The Dolphins are in 1st place in the AFC East, 1.5-games ahead of the Bills. They also have a +67 point differential and average 30.5 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. The offense averages 38.8 ppg at home but considerably less on the road with a 24.3 ppg average. They are coming off a home win over the Raiders, 20-13, failing to cover the 14-point line. They Dolphins have scored just 20 last game and 14 the week before. They have also gone under in three of their last four games. The Jets are 4-6 and 3-games back of the Dolphins in the division. The Jets average just 15 ppg on the season while allowing 20.4 ppg. The Jets have been a great under play, with their last five going under. They have also lost and failed to cover in each of their last three games. The Jets defense is good enough to keep them in this game, especially the way the Dolphins offense has played the last few weeks. For me, I'm taking the UNDER in this one. |
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11-24-23 | TCU +10 v. Oklahoma | 45-69 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here on Friday has the TCU Horned Frogs taking on the Oklahoma Sooners from Norman, OK. TCU way down in the Big 12 standings and with today's game their last it looks like the season that started with that home loss to Colorado will come to an end. The Frogs are coming off a win over Baylor, 42-17, covering the 13-point chalk line. That snapped a 3-game losing streak. TCU does have a very good offense that averages 30.1 ppg and a defense that allows 24.1 ppg. They also average 461.4 ypg while allowing 390.5 ypg. Oklahoma is 9-2 on the season and 7-4 vs the spread. The sooners are in 2nd in the Big 12, one game back of Texas. They average 40.8 ppg while allowing 20.2 ppg. The Sooners also average 494.7 ypg while allowing 378.4 ypg. The Sooners have won two straight games after last week's win over BYU, 31-24, though they failed to cover the 24.5-point line. Sooners really have nothing to play for here today and while I do believe they will win the game, I will take the points with TCU who will look to finish the season at .500. |
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11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks +7.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
The late game on the Thursday NFL slate has the San Francisco 49ers traveling to Seattle to take on the Seahawks. San Francisco has gotten back to winning after three straight losses. They have since bounced back with wins over Jacksonville, 34-3, and last week at home over Tampa Bay, 27-14, though they failed to cover the 14-point home line. After starting the season 4-0-1 vs the spread, the Niners are now 1-4 ATS their last five games. The 49ers average 27.9 ppg while allowing 15.7 ppg and have a very nice +122 point differential. It initially looked like Seattle QB Geno Smith might miss time with an elbow injury he sustained last week. However, he's not been upgraded to probable for tonight's contest. Seattle lost last week at the Rams, 16-17, but covered the 2.5-point dog line. That makes them 1-2 the last three weeks. They average 21.6 ppg while allowing 21.8 ppg and have a -2 point differential. Big game here as the Seahawks can tie the 49ers in the NFC West at 7-4 with a win. I'll take the points at home with the Seahawks. |
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11-23-23 | Packers v. Lions OVER 47 | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
The early game here on Thanksgiving day has the Detroit Lions hosting the Green Bay Packers. This year, the Lions have their best start and team in a long, long time. The Lions are running away with the NFC North with a 8-2 record with Minnesota in 2nd at 6-5 and the Packers in third with a 4-6 mark. The Lions are also the highest scoring team in the division as they tally 272 points this season, a +43 point differential. They average 27.2 ppg and allow 22.9 ppg. They also average 399.6 ypg and allow 313.0 ypg. The Lions have won three straight since that drubbing they took in Baltimore, 6-38. They have beat Las Vegas, 26-14, the Chargers, 41-38 and last week over Chicago, 31-26, though they failed to cover vs the Bears. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The Lions average 30.0 ppg at home this season and are 3-2 O/Un. The Packers are coming off a win at home over the Chargers, 23-20, covering the 3-point dog spread and going UNDER. The offense isn't very good as they average just over 20ppg this season and allow about the same. They also average 319.6 ypg and allow 327.9 ypg. Seems like the Lions always put together a good performance on Thanksgiving. I'm going to take the over here on Thursday. |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs UNDER 45.5 | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
One of the better Matchups of the NFL season here tonight as the KC Chiefs host the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are 8-1 S/U and 5-2-2 ATS on the season with five of nine going over. The Chiefs are 7-2 S/U, 6-3 ATS and 2-7 O/U on the season and coming off a win over Miami, 21-14 in Frankfurt. The Eagles coming off a win over the Cowboys, 28-23, despite being outgained by Dallas, 292-406. The Eagles average 28 ppg (3rd in the NFL) and 376.8 ypg (5th in the NFL). They allow 21.7 ppg and 323.3 ypg. The Chiefs defense has been excellent, which takes a lot of pressure off the offense. They only average 23.1 ppg (13th) and 368.7 yards (8th). But they allow just 15.9 ppg (2nd in the NFL) and 288.2 yards (4th). This is a rematch of last year's Super Bowl that the Chiefs won. Can they get the rematch here today? I look to their defense to keep Jalen Hurts under control and that's the key. They held the best scoring offense in the NFL (Miami) to just 14 points. They can do it again here tonight. I'll take the UNDER with two of the best defenses in the NFL. Play UNDER. |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs -2.5 | 21-17 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
One of the better Matchups of the NFL season here tonight as the KC Chiefs host the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are 8-1 S/U and 5-2-2 ATS on the season with five of nine going over. The Chiefs are 7-2 S/U, 6-3 ATS and 2-7 O/U on the season and coming off a win over Miami, 21-14 in Frankfurt. The Eagles coming off a win over the Cowboys, 28-23, despite being outgained by Dallas, 292-406. The Eagles average 28 ppg (3rd in the NFL) and 376.8 ypg (5th in the NFL). They allow 21.7 ppg and 323.3 ypg. The Chiefs defense has been excellent, which takes a lot of pressure off the offense. They only average 23.1 ppg (13th) and 368.7 yards (8th). But they allow just 15.9 ppg (2nd in the NFL) and 288.2 yards (4th). This is a rematch of last year's Super Bowl that the Chiefs won. Can they get the rematch here today? I look to their defense to keep Jalen Hurts under control and that's the key. They held the best scoring offense in the NFL (Miami) to just 14 points. They can do it again here tonight. Take Kansas City. |
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11-19-23 | Vikings v. Broncos UNDER 42 | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
The Vikings thought they might get start WR Justin Jefferson back for this game as he's been dealing with a hamstring issue that's had him out for some time. However, that's not the case, Jefferson has been ruled out for this game today. The Vikings lost Kirk Cousins at QB when he went down with a season ending injury. Josh Dobbs was acquired and will start for the Vikings again today. The Vikings are in the playoff race as they are 6-4 and in 2nd place in the NFC North, behind 7-2 Detroit. It will come down to one of these two teams to win the division as the Packers and Bears are both out of it with just three wins. The Vikings and Lions won't meet until Christmas eve, so still have a while before the showdown here. The Vikings average just 23.3 ppg and 358.1 ypg. They allow 20.9 ppg and 323.2 ypg. The Vikes have won and covered five straight and have gone under in five of their last seven games. The Broncos are like a cat with nine lives after pulling out the win last week in Buffalo, 24-22. They looked dead before a pass interference call moved them into field goal position. Then after missing the field goal to win it, the Bills were called for 12 men on the field and the Broncos got a second shot - which of course they didn't miss this time. That was their third win in a row with their last four games going UNDER the total. The weather won't be too bad in Denver, with around 50 degrees and a chance of showers. The winds will be light at 8mph. Still, I like these teams to go UNDER the total. |
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11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills UNDER 39.5 | 6-32 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
The Ny Jets fell to 4-5 after losing last week at Las Vegas Raiders, 12-16. The offense is pathetic, scoring 12 last week, six the week before that and 13 the week before that. They average just 16 ppg and 283.1 yards per game. The defense is very good but can only do so much. They allow 19.1 ppg and 307.8 ypg. Zack Wilson had to take over the team when Aaron Rodgers went down in game one of the season. They will face the inconsistent Bills here today. Somehow the Bills lost last week to the Broncos, 22-24, self imploding at the end. Between that pass interference and 12-men on the field during the Broncos first winning FG attempt, well conspiracy theorists had a field day with that ending. It was the Bills 2nd loss in a row and third in their last four games. The offense has been sputtering as they haven't scored more than 25 points in any of their last six game with five of those games going Under. The defense is still decent, allowing just 18.4 ppg and 330.5 yards per game. As for today, both defenses should keep this game close. Just depends on which offense doesn't keep making mistakes and give this one way. I'll take the under. |
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11-19-23 | Steelers +1.5 v. Browns | 10-13 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
Bad news for the Cleveland Browns as QB Deshaun Watson is done for the year after needing shoulder surgery. The Browns were coming off a huge win over the Baltimore Ravens as they came from behind to get the AFC North victory, 33-31, as a 5.5-point dog. That win brought the Browns to 6-3, just one game back of the Ravens in the division. The Browns also had won two straight and four of their last five both S/U and ATS. Now the QB job goes back to P.J. Walker with rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson as the backup. This could be the end of the season for the Browns as they likely will regret not getting a better backup QB. This could open the door even more for the Steelers who are tied with the Browns at 6-3. Pittsburgh coming off a win last week over Green Bay, 23-19, as a 3-point favorite. That makes four wins in their last five games both S/U and ATS for the Steelers. Even though Pittsburgh goes to Cleveland, I have to take the Steelers here today now that Watson is gone. Get this one early as the line will move quickly as the game time approaches. Play Pittsburgh. |
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11-19-23 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 33 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
Bad news for the Cleveland Browns as QB Deshaun Watson is done for the year after needing shoulder surgery. The Browns were coming off a huge win over the Baltimore Ravens as they came from behind to get the AFC North victory, 33-31, as a 5.5-point dog. That win brought the Browns to 6-3, just one game back of the Ravens in the division. The Browns also had won two straight and four of their last five both S/U and ATS. Now the QB job goes back to P.J. Walker with rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson as the backup. This could be the end of the season for the Browns as they likely will regret not getting a better backup QB. This could open the door even more for the Steelers who are tied with the Browns at 6-3. Pittsburgh coming off a win last week over Green Bay, 23-19, as a 3-point favorite. That makes four wins in their last five games both S/U and ATS for the Steelers. Now with Watson gone have to believe that the Browns will have a much more difficult time putting points on the board. I'll take this game UNDER here on Sunday. |
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11-19-23 | Raiders v. Dolphins -13.5 | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
The LV Raiders look to go 3-0 under interim coach Antonio Pierce. Pierce was a Super Bowl Champion and Pro Bowler as a player and has been quite the showman taking over for the Raiders after they fired Josh McDaniels. Don't count too much into this though as their wins have come against both New York teams. They beat the Giants at home, 30-6 and then last week beat the Jets, 16-12, covering both games. They also removed Jimmy Garoppolo at QB and replaced him with Aidan O'Connell. But is the honeymoon period over? We'll see today as they have to face the high flying Miami Dolphins. The Raiders, 5-5, still have a shot at a Wildcard, but they need lots of wins down the stretch. They face the AFC East 1st place Miami Dolphins today. The Dolphins are 6-3 and one game ahead of the Bills. They average 31.7 ppg and 435.3 yards per game. Not the pathetic offenses they have faced the last two weeks. The Dolphins will look to rebound after losing at Kansas City last week, 14-21. For me, I believe the Dolphins offense will dominate this game and be way too much for the Raiders. The Raiders offense isn't built to come from behind and we'll see that here today. Play Miami. |
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11-19-23 | Cardinals v. Texans OVER 48 | 16-21 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
Kyle Murray returned from his ACL injury that sidelined him last year. It wasn't sure how he would do last week. The results? Pretty good. He rushed well, one for a TD. His passing was good too. The Cardinals won that game against Atlanta, 25-23, covering the 2-point dog line. They also went over. So going forward we will not look at the previous stats. Now that Murray is back he brings a whole new dynamic to this offense. The Houston Texans are 5-4 S/U and ATS. They average 24.1 ppg and 372.6 yards. They are allowing 21.3 ppg and 340.0 yards. They are coming off a win at Cincinnati last week, 30-27. It was their second in a row and third in the last four games. They have also gone over in two straight. I'm taking the over here today. I feel both teams will get plenty of points now that Murray is back at the helm. |
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11-18-23 | Texas v. Iowa State +7.5 | 26-16 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here on Saturday has Iowa State hosting Texas. Texas is 9-1 S/U and 4-5-1 ATS on the season. The Longhorns leading the Big 12, one game ahead of Oklahoma. Iowa State is 6-4 S/U and 4-6 vs the spread and in 4th place in the Big 12. The Longhorns only blemish to their record coming at Oklahoma in a 30-34 loss as a 5-point favorite. Texas will finish the regular season with a home game next week against Texas Tech. Iowa State Cyclones have won four of their last five games after last week's win at BYU, 45-13, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Cyclones average 25.7 ppg and 348.2 ypg while allowing 19.9 ppg and 331.6 ypg. Iowa State needs a win today or next week at Kansas State to keep a winning record. I think that win can come this week, but I'll take the points with Iowa State. |
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11-18-23 | Washington v. Oregon State -1 | 22-20 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
PAC 12 matchup here between undefeated and 10- Washington as they travel to take on the 8-2 Oregon State Beavers. Washington Huskies looking for a CFB playoff bid with just Oregon State and then at home vs Washington State next week. In reality, this is the final hurdle for the Huskies as they will be huge favorites next week vs their instate rivals. Washington might be perfect in the W/L column but the Huskies are only 4-5-1 vs the spread. They average 41 ppg and 504.9 ypg on the season. They are coming off a win over Utah last week, 35-28, but failed to cover the 9-point line. That makes them just 1-3-1 ATS over their last five games. Oregon State is 8-2 S/U and 6-4 ATS. The Beavers also have a dynamic offense, averaging 37.9 ppg and 453.9 ypg. Their defense is better than Washington as they allow just 20.5 ppg and 333.2ypg. They are coming off a win over Stanford last week, 62-17, covering the 21-point spread. The Beavers have outscored their opponents at home by a 40-12.8 margin as they are a perfect 5-0 on the home turf and 4-1 vs the spread. I'm going to take Oregon State here on Saturday as they ruin the Huskies playoff bid hopes. Play Oregon State. |
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11-18-23 | Florida +11.5 v. Missouri | 31-33 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
SEC action here on Saturday has Florida taking on Missouri. The Gators are 5-5 on the season and 3-7 vs the spread. Florida looking to snap its three-game losing streak here today. The Gators are coming off a loss at LSU last week, 35-52, as a 15.5-point dog. The Gators have averaged 29.5 ppg this year and 420.4 ypg. They allow 27.4 ppg and 386.6 ypg. The Gators will finish their season next week at home vs Florida State. With no bowl game this year, they will look to finish strong with wins today and next week. The Missouri Tigers are 7-3 S/U and 5-4-1 ATS on the season. Missouri is 2nd in the SEC East, two games back of 10-0 Georgia. The Tigers are averaging 32.8 ppg and 443.3 ypg. They allow 22.3 ppg and 344 yards. They are coming off a win last week at home to Tennessee, 36-7, as a 2-point dog. That follows that loss at Georgia two weeks ago, 21-30. Missouri will finish the regular season next week at Arkansas. Nothing really to play for here for Missouri as they can't win the SEC East and they have secured a bowl. I'll take the points with the visitor in this one. Take Florida. The Missouri Tigers are 7-3 S/U and 5-4-1 ATS. |
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11-18-23 | UNLV +3 v. Air Force | Top | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
It's not very often this can be said, but UNLV controls its own destiny. It can win the Mountain West on its own without any other help. But standing in the Rebels way is Air Force. Air Force is tie with UNLV and Fresno State in the conference at 8-2. However, the Falcons have lost two games in a row to a pair of teams they were 18 and 20 point favorites to. They lost at home to Army, 3-23, as a 18-point favorite then lost at Hawaii, 13-27, as a 20-point favorite. The Falcons score nearly 29 ppg and totaled just 16 points in the two losses. UNLV having its best season in recent memory. The Rebels will go to a bowl game but they want to win the conference. They have won two straight games since their loss to Fresno State. They beat New Mexico 56-14 and then last week beat Wyoming, 34-14. The Rebels offense has been great with 36.4 ppg and 423 ypg this season. This will be a great game, but I will take the points with the Rebels. Play UNLV. |
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11-18-23 | Utah +1.5 v. Arizona | 18-42 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
Another great PAC-12 matchup here on Saturday has a pair of 7-3 teams meeting up as Utah travels to Tucson to face Arizona. These teams tied for 4th in the PAC-12 behind Oregon State, Oregon and Washington. The Utah Utes are 6-3 vs the spread this year as they average 25.3 ppg and allow just 17.8 ppg. They also average 356.5 ypg while allowing a very good 300.2 ypg. Arizona is 7-3 S/U and also 8-2 vs the spread. The Wildcats have averaged 31.1 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg this season. They also average 438.4 ypg while allowing 335.1 ypg. Arizona coming off a win at Colorado last week. 34-31, but failing to cover the 8-point favorite spread. This looks to be a good defensive battle as both teams have done well on that side of the ball this year. I'll take the Utah Utes as a small dog here on Saturday. |
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11-16-23 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
AFC North clash here tonight has the 5-4 and last place Cincinnati Bengals looking to make ground on first place 7-3 Baltimore Ravens. The Bengals lost last week at home to Houston, 27-30, as a 5-point favorite. That snapped a nice 4 game win streak both S/U and ATS. The Bengals have average 20.2 ppg and 301.7 ypg this season. They have allowed 21.3 ppg and 383.7 ypg. The Ravens have to be kicking themselves after leading big last week at home against Cleveland, only to lose to the Browns, 31-33, as a 5.5-point favorite. That snapped a four game win streak for the Ravens. Baltimore averages 27 ppg and 362.7 ypg on the season. They have allowed 15.7 ppg and 273.6 ypg. Both teams looking to rebound from tough losses last week. The Bengals need this one more as a win puts them right into the thick of the AFC North race. I'll take the points with the Bengals tonight. |
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11-13-23 | Broncos v. Bills UNDER 47.5 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
The Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills conclude week 10 of the NFL tonight here on Monday Night Football. The Broncos horrible start to the season has seen a turnaround the last two weeks with a pair of wins and covers in a row. Denver beat Green Bay three weeks ago, 19-17, then two weeks ago beat Kansas City, 24-9 as a 7-point dog. Holding the KC Chiefs offense to 275 totals yards. Denver had last week off to prepare for tonight's contest. Denver scores 21.5 ppg while allowing 28.2 ppg. The latter coming way down the last few weeks. Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills have struggled, going 2-3 S/U and 0-5 ATS over the last five games. They are coming off a loss at Cincinnati last week, 18-24. The Bills average 26.7 ppg and allow 17.8 ppg. The Bills have gone under in six of their nine games this year, including four of their last five games. The Broncos have gone under in three straight games. I'm taking the UNDER here tonight. |