Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-23-10 | Chicago Bulls v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 203 | Top | 91-98 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
Take: over
Reason: 20-Star NBA High Roller Total: Bulls/Lakers Over the total. A pair of powerful offensive teams meet in LA: The Bulls and sparkplug guard Derrek Rose are 9th in the NBA in scoring (101.5 ppg) while the Lakers are No. 1 (112.5 ppg). Chicago is 6th in the NBA in field goal shooting, the Lakers are 4th. The young Bulls are not afraid to run the court with uptempo teams, scoring 112 on the Knicks and 120 on Golden State. The tall, deep, talented Lakers are just torching opponents, topping 100 points in 13 of 14 games. They just put 117 on the Golden State Warriors. The Lakers featured four players in double figures: They shot 55.7%. And they built enough of a lead for all the starters to rest in the fourth quarter and all but Pau Gasol to play less than 30 minutes. The Lakers scored 29 points in transition, and they imposed their front-line dominance with 56 points in the paint, 17 second-chance points. Look for the young Bulls to run right with the defending champs in an uptempo game. Play the Bulls/Lakers Over the total. |
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11-22-10 | New Orleans Hornets -5.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 95-99 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
This one really could be characterized as the Penthouse against the Outhouse! The top dog in the NBA right now, New Orleans 11-1 against the NBA's worst in the Clippers, 1-13. The Hornets rattled off eight straight wins to start the season before losing to Dallas on 11/15. Since the loss, they have now won three straight after Sunday's win at Sacramento, 75-71. Even though the Hornets have now failed to cover three straight, they are still good for bettors with a 8-3-1 mark. But what I like tonight, is that the Hornets will have some new blood. New Orleans traded Peja Stojakavic and Jerryd Bayless to Toronto over the weekend for point guard Jarrett Jack, center David Andersen and guard Marcus Banks. All three are exptected to be in uniform tonight. The short manned Hornets looked flat on Sunday, missing 14 of their first 17 shots and going 6 of 24 in the first quarter. Still, despite the slow start and a season low 32 percent shooting, the Hornets still managed the win. So what can you say about the LA Clippers. This team has talent, and many thought this would be the year they would finally make a move. But the only move is to familiar surroundings, the conference cellar. The Clippers have won just a single game this season, 11/3 at home over Oklahoma City. And, they haven't been very good to bettors, going 5-9 ATS. The Clippers actually have done most of their covering on the road, going 4-3 ATS away from LA, while going 1-6 ATS at home. These clubs have already met once this year in New Orleans and that was an easy win by the Hornets, 101-82. In fact, the Hornets have now covered 14 straight games in this series! With Utah and Portland up next on this Western road trip, the Hornets will need to win these easy games. I'm taking the Hornets here on Monday in what should be an easy win.
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11-19-10 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Boston Celtics UNDER 201 | Top | 89-84 | Win | 100 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
Take: UNDER
Reason: High Roller Total: Thunder/Celtics Under the total. After playing a string of uptempo offensive teams, Oklahoma City comes to Boston to play the defensive-oriented Celtics. These teams have already met and it was a 92-83 Boston win at Oklahoma City, 21 points under the total. Boston allows 45% shooting and a stellar 32% from beyond the arc. The 94.6 ppg they allow is 6th best in the NBA. They come off a win over Washington allowing 83 points and 38% shooting. The Celtics have won three in a row and eight of their past nine. When they met a few weeks ago, Kevin Durant scored 34 points and Westbrook had 16 points and 10 assists to lead Oklahoma City, but Boston was content to let the stars get theirs and shut down everyone else: The Thunder shot .427% in the game. This total is far too high as the Celtics turn up their defense on their home court, as usual: Play the Thunder/Celtics Under the total. |
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11-16-10 | Atlanta Hawks +1 v. Indiana Pacers | Top | 102-92 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
Take: (705) ATLANTA HAWKS
Reason: 25-Star Situational Slam Dunk: Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks have a tall, athletic frontcourt, shooting .493% from the field on offense -- tops in the NBA. They take on a weak Indiana frontcourt which doesn't match up at all with Atlanta's Big 3 of Josh Smith, Marvin Williams and Al Horford. Al Horford had 28 points and 10 rebounds and the Hawks held on to beat the Timberwolves 111-105 on Sunday. The Hawks are a sizzling 4-1 SU on the road while the Pacers are on a 2-3 SU/ATS run. Indiana is soft defensively from long range, too, allowing over 38% shooting from beyond the arc, 7th worst in the NBA. which is a big part of their inconsistent play. The Pacers dropped a 102-99 decision to Houston on Friday, a loss described as "bitter" by coach Jim O'Brien. That came one game after a record-breaking performance in a 144-113 win over Denver on Tuesday. ndiana starting point guard Darren Collison finished the game with five assists. He had no assists in 32 minutes Friday against Houston. ... Pacers center Jeff Foster has yet to play because of a sprained right ankle, which means the talented Atlanta frontcourt will control the glass and the game. Play the Hawks. |
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11-09-10 | New York Knicks v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 195.5 | Top | 80-107 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
Take: over.
Reason: 25-Star Situational Slam Dunk: NY Knicks/Bucks Over the total. The NY Knicks are much improved from last season with Amare Stoudemire and Ray Felton leading an offense that is 10th in the NBA. The Knicks are in second place in the Atlantic, trailing Boston. But it's offense carrying the load as there are no defensive stoppers on this young, athletic but small frontcourt, allowing .465% shooting by opponents, 9th worst in the NBA. Their three-point defense has been particularly bad, allowing 37% shooting from long range. The Bucks had a hard time making shots the last game, sinking just 38.6% of their attempts in an 87-81 loss at home to New Orleans. But there's nothing wrong with the offensive talent on this team, led by Drew Gooden and Andrew Bogut up front and Bucks point guard Brandon Jennings. Gooden and Bogut have always been strong offensive players, but weak in the low post defensively. New Orleans shot 45% from the field and over 41% from long range. Milwaukee has played a string of strong defensive teams in the Hornets (twice), Celtics, Blazers and Bobcats, but they get a chance to bust out offensively against the small, uptempo Knicks. Play the NY Knicks/Bucks Over the total. |
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11-04-10 | New York Knicks v. Chicago Bulls OVER 195.5 | Top | 120-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 0 m | Show |
Take: over the total.
Reason: 20-Star NBA High Roller Total: Knicks/Bulls Over. The NY Knicks have an uptempo offense and they are improved this season with Amare Stoudemire teamed with guard Raymond Felton. They are averaging 98 ppg and allowing 99 ppg. That uptempo offense is well rested for this game after that odd postponed game on Monday. They take on a Chicago team that is 12th in the NBA in offense averaging 102 ppg and fourth in field goal shooting (48%) behind Luol Deng and sparkplug guard Derrick Rose, who is off to a great start. Rose was averaging 33.5 points in Chicago's first two contests. Deng scored a career-high 40 points to lead the Chicago Bulls to a 110-98 victory over Portland on Monday night. Chicago has scored 101 and 110 points in two games and is 2-1 over the total. This has all the makings as an uptempo game from start to finish with these two young point guards putting on a show. Play the NY Knicks/Bulls Over the Total. |
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11-02-10 | Portland Trail Blazers +2 v. Milwaukee Bucks | Top | 90-76 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
Take: (711) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS
Reason: 25-Star Situational Slam: Blazers. The Blazers are deep and talented, starting 3-0 for the first time since 1999-2000. They take on a soft Milwaukee frontcourt and the way to attack the Bucks is being physical up front. Well the Blazers can do that with 6-11 LaMarcus Aldridge (15.7 ppg, 9.7 rpg) and 6-11 center Marcus Camby (8.7 ppg, 9.7 rpg). They are in the Top 5 in the NBA in points allowed and take on a Bucks team that shoots 40% as a team, worst in the league. The Blazers are a terrific rebounding team, while the soft, smaller Bucks and are 20th in the league in rebounding. Milwaukee has Drew Gooden and Andrew Bogut up front who are focused on scoring rather than defense and rebounding. How bad? How soft? The Milwaukee Bucks were outhustled and outrebounded by a large margin Friday night in a 96-85 loss to the lowly Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves had an astonishing total of 62 rebounds, including 20 on the offensive end, while the Bucks pulled down 39 rebounds. Play the Blazers. |
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11-01-10 | Toronto Raptors v. Sacramento Kings -4 | Top | 108-111 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
The Sacramento Kings opened the season with three straight road games and came away with a nice 2-1 record both SU and ATS. And, if the first three games are any indication, the Kings games are going to be high scoring. In their first three games they totaled 233, 206 and 211. And there is optimism for the Kings this year with reigning Rookie of the Year Tyreke Evans and now rookie DeMarcus Cousins highlighting this club. Cousins, the fifth overall pick in this year's draft, had a double-double in their 107-104 win at Cleveland Saturday. Meanwhile, Toronto begins the post-Bosh season with a 1-1 record after two games. While Sacramento now enjoys four straight home games, the Raptors will have to endure eight of their first 10 games of November on the road. The Kings have lots of confidence as they open at home and I like that a lot. I'm taking the Kings here on Monday as I believe their young players just have too much skill for this depleted Toronto club.
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10-29-10 | Denver Nuggets v. New Orleans Hornets +1.5 | Top | 95-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Take: (718) NEW ORLEANS HORNETS
Reason: October Game of the Month: New Orleans. Second straight home game for New Orleans rookie coach Monty Williams, and they looked good in the opener, a 95-91 win over Milwaukee. Most impressive was the defense, allowing 42.9% shooting. And they needed that defense as the offense had a bad night shooting, but that's not surprising in Game 1. The Hornets have plenty of offensive talent with Chris Paul running the show and a healthy David West, Trevor Ariza and Emeka Okafor up front, with Peja Stojakovic a role player off the bench. The defense had 12 forced turnovers (including four steals, all by Ariza). In addition to Paul and West, the Hornets also got a solid first game from the new starting shooting guard, Marco Belinelli, who added 18 points. And the bench chipped in 26 points and 13 rebounds, the most prominent being Jason Smith's eight and four. They won because these Hornets are longer, faster and more athletic, and those qualities will remain in play. They're deeper -- all seven non-starters played, and six of them played at least seven minutes. This is a long road trip for Denver as they make a difficult back-to-back road trip to New Orleans and Houston, making this an excellent spot for the motivated, healthy and deep home team. Play the Hornets. |
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10-28-10 | Phoenix Suns +6 v. Utah Jazz | Top | 110-94 | Win | 100 | 31 h 41 m | Show |
Take: (503) PHOENIX SUNS
Reason: 25-Star NBA Situational Slam Dunk: Suns. An excellent situational spot for the visitors. Phoenix is rested, having played on Tuesday to open the season, while Utah had to play last night in the thin mountain air at Denver. The Suns lost by a wide margin in the opener, but that doesn't tell the real story. The Suns were leading 91-88 with 5:44 to go, then Phoenix went 0 for 6 from the field with four turnovers for the remainder of the game. They were playing a much taller Portland team and the Suns are not a great rebounding team. They take on a smaller Utah team that lost Carlos Boozer, a rugged inside rebounding force. There is plenty of offensive firepower, especially from long range, for Phoenix to keep this real close. A straight up win wouldn't shock, either, with the Jazz in the second of a back to back spot. Play the Suns. |
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10-26-10 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics UNDER 190 | Top | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
Take: UNDER
Reason: High Roller Total: Heat/Celtics Under the total. Both coaches in this one are very good at teaching defense and demanding it. It's Game 1 of the season, so you have to believe defense will be ahead of the offense for both teams. The Celtics have won 2 of the last 3 Eastern crowns and got better for this season, essentially swapping out Rasheed Wallace for Shaq and Jermaine O'Neal. Both are asked to be role players off the bench, a perfect situation given their age. As impressive as Miami looks on paper, they are still a relatively short team and Boston has a big edge in the frontcourt with their defense and rebounding. Plus, the loss of 6th man Mike Miller is significan for the Heat offense, as he won't be around until January. Boston plays monster defense, especially at home, and both teams should bring their A-gam defensively as this will have a playoff-type atmosphere on national TV. Play the Heat/Celtics Under the total. |
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06-17-10 | Boston Celtics v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 187 | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
Take: UNDER
Reason: NBA Finals Game of the Year: Celtics/Lakers Under the total in Game 7. It has been a defensive series all the way, at 5-1 under the total. And many of these games haven't even been close to the total, with the losing team scoring 67, 86, 89, 84, 94 and 89 points. The Celtics are a veteran team that won a title with defense in 2008 and that has led the way in the 2010 playoffs. Since the start of Round 2, Boston is on a 12-6-1 run under the total. The Lakers had scored over 100 points in 11 straight playoff games until the Celtics beat them in Game 2, 103-94. The Lakers haven't come close to topping 100 since. The Lakers turned it up defensively the last game, dominating the paint and holding the Celtics to 67 points and 33% shooting. And now, with a Game 7, EVERYTHING is on the line, so expect both teams to bring their best defensive effort. I expect a slow, even cautious defensive game with so much at stake and the whole world watching. Play the Celtics/Lakers Game 7 Under the total. |
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05-27-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 217.5 | Top | 101-103 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
Take: over
Reason: Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year: Suns/LA Lakers Over the total in Game 5. The Lakers are on a 12-3-1 run over the total, and 7-0-1 over the total the last eight games against uptempo Utah and Phoenix. The last game the Phoenix reserves outscored the Laker reserves, 54-20, in the Suns' 115-106 victory on Tuesday night. The main problem is defense: Said Lakers Coach Phil Jackson: "We shot 49%, didn't we? That's pretty good. Nothing wrong with that. I wouldn't say we're struggling against the zone. I think we're struggling at the defensive end. That's where I see it." Kobe Bryant was even more to the point: "We lost the game because our defense sucked." Phoenix has found a flaw, attacking the LA bench, which is no surprise as it has been a weakness all season. On offense, the Lakers have a big size advantage, with 7-foot Andruw Bynum, 7-foot Paul Gasol and 6-10 Lamar Odom. Phoenix has the top offense in the NBA (110.4 ppg) with an attacking style behind 36-year old PG Steve Nash (16.6 ppg, 11 apg) and 27-year old Amar'e Stoudemire (23.2 ppg, 9 rpg). 6-6 Jason Richardson (15.7 ppg) adds more offensive punch and shoots 39% from beyond the arc. But their defense has been suspect, as the Lakers shot 58% and 56% in Games 1 and 2, scoring 124 and 128 points on this floor, 48.3% and 49.5% the last two. The last 18 meetings between these uptempo teams have gone 13-5 over the total. Play the Suns/Lakers Game 5 Over the total. |
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05-26-10 | Boston Celtics v. Orlando Magic UNDER 186.5 | Top | 92-113 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 38 m | Show |
Take: UNDER
Reason: 20-Star NBA High Roller Total: Magic/Celtics Game 5 Under the total. Game 5s of any series have so much at stake, as does this one. That means intense defense from both sides. For this game, the Magic -- the top ranked defense in the NBA during the regular season in field goal shooting percentage allowed -- must win or they go home. They really picked up the defense in Game 4 to stay alive, disrupting Boston all night. This has been a defensive series, at 4-0 or 3-0-1 under the total. Boston matches up great with Orlando. Their attention to defense in the playoffs has been incredible, wiping out top seeded Cleveland in six games (winning 4 of the final 5) and frustrating the Orlando Magic into 41.6% and 39% shooting in Games 1 and 2 on this floor, and only 71 points in Game 3. Boston matches up so well, with Kendrick Perkins, Rasheed Wallace and Glen Davis three big, physical bodies to harrass Dwight Howard, who has looked frustrated at times. The rest of the Boston strategy is to throw everybody along the perimeter defensively to get a hand in the face of every Orlando player taking a three-pointer, which is their game. Orlando was 5 of 22 from long range in Game 1 and has scored 88, 92, 71 and 96 points in the four games (the last one in OT). The Magic have seldom been able to set the tempo or smoothly execute pick-and-rolls, which has contributed to Rashard Lewis's poor overall play, with Kevin Garnett on him. Doc Rivers said, "Our focus is transition Defense. We don |
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05-23-10 | Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 109-118 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
Take: (511) LOS ANGELES LAKERS
Reason: NBA High Roller: LA Lakers in Game 3. LA is now 5-1 against Phoenix this season, using two important factors to dominate the Suns. The size advantage is obvious. Phoenix is a small, finesse team and the Lakers have a huge edge under the glass with 7-foot Andruw Bynum, 7-foot Paul Gasol and 6-10 Lamar Odom. Another overlooked factor is three-point shootin defense: While the Suns love to bomb away from long range, the Lakers are No. 1 in the NBA at defending the three pointer. In Game 1, the Lakers beat the Suns on the boards (42-34) and held Phoenix to just 22% from long range (5 of 22). In Game 2, LA shot .577% and had a +5 edge on the glass. "We can't slow them down," Phoenix coach Alvin Gentry said. "I thought we played well offensively, but every time we tried to make an adjustment to slow them down offensively, they would go somewhere else. There's a good reason they're the world champs." The Lakers are averaging 126 points a game and shooting 57.8% in the series, and Kobe Bryant is averaging 30.5 points, nine assists and five rebounds. They are 41-1 when winning the first two games of a best-of-seven series. The Lakers are focused and can name the score against the overmatched home team. Play the Lakers in Game 3. |
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05-22-10 | Orlando Magic v. Boston Celtics UNDER 190 | Top | 71-94 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
Take: Under
Reason: NBA High Roller Total: Magic/Celtics Under the total. Boston is up 2-0 and matches up great with Orlando. Their attention to defense in the playoffs has been incredible, wiping out top seeded Cleveland in six games (winning 4 of the final 5) and now frustrating the Orlando Magic into 41.6% and 39% shooting in Games 1 and 2 -- both on the road. Boston matches up so well, with Kendrick Perkins, Rasheed Wallace and Glen Davis three big, physical bodies to harrass Dwight Howard, who has looked frustrated at times. The rest of the Boston strategy is to throw everybody along the perimeter defensively to get a hand in the face of every Orlando player taking a three-pointer, which is their game. Orlando was 5 of 22 from long range in Game 1 and holding them to 88 and 92 points in the two games. The Magic have seldom been able to set the tempo or smoothly execute pick-and-rolls, which has contributed to Rashard Lewis's 4-for-16 shooting slump. Doc Rivers said this week, "Our focus is transition Defense. We don |
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05-19-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Lakers -6.5 | Top | 112-124 | Win | 100 | 28 h 32 m | Show |
Take: (508) LOS ANGELES LAKERS
Reason: NBA Western Conference Finals Game of the Year: LA Lakers in Game 2. LA is now 4-1 against Phoenix this season, using two important factors to dominate the Suns. The size advantage is obvious. Phoenix is a small, finesse team and the Lakers have a huge edge under the glass with 7-foot Andruw Bynum, 7-foot Paul Gasol and 6-10 Lamar Odom. Another overlooked factor is three-point shooting defense: While the Suns love to bomb away from long range, the Lakers are No. 1 in the NBA at defending the three pointer. In Game 1, the Lakers beat the Suns on the boards (42-34) and held Phoenix to just 22% from long range (5 of 22). Pau Gasol had 21 points for the top-seeded Lakers, who won their seventh straight playoff game, highlighted by Kobe Bryant's 21-point third quarter. Los Angeles committed just nine turnovers in Game 1 -- its third straight single-digit turnover game. Bryant would go on to a 40-point performance in Game 1 of the Western Conference finals, a 128-107 victory. Odom had 19 points and a career-playoff-high 19 rebounds coming off the bench! The Lakers are focused and can name the score against the overmatched visitors. Play the Lakers in Game 2. |
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05-17-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 210.5 | Top | 107-128 | Win | 100 | 75 h 9 m | Show |
Take: over
Reason: 20-Star High Roller Total: Game 1 Suns/Lakers Over the total. The last 14 meetings between these uptempo teams have gone 9-5 over the total. Phoenix has the top offense in the NBA (110.4 ppg) with an attacking style behind 36-year old PG Steve Nash (16.6 ppg, 11 apg) and 27-year old Amar'e Stoudemire (23.2 ppg, 9 rpg). 6-6 Jason Richardson (15.7 ppg) adds more offensive punch and shoots 39% from beyond the arc. Richardson is averaging 21.9 points and shooting 51% in the playoffs. The Lakers have no problem going uptempo with anyone, and there's no doubt Phoenix will try and push the pace. The Lakers are on an 8-3-1 run over the total, and 3-0-1 over the total the last four games against uptempo Utah. The Suns will get plenty of production from the ageless Steve Nash (36 years old, averaging 17.8 points and nine assists in the playoffs) and the effervescent Amare Stoudemire, but the Suns are a 31-4 when guard Jason Richardson scores 20 or more points, including their victories in a Western Conference semifinals sweep of San Antonio. Look for a wide open Game 1, Play the Suns/Lakers Over the total. |
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05-16-10 | Boston Celtics v. Orlando Magic UNDER 189.5 | Top | 92-88 | Win | 100 | 46 h 46 m | Show |
Take: UNDER
Reason: 30-Star NBA Playoff Total of the Year: Celtics/Magic Game 1 Under the total. Orlando has turned up the defense in the postseason, on a 5-2 run under the total. Actually, they've been a terrific defensive team all season, ranked No. 1 in the NBA in field goal shooting defense, allowing .438% shooting. They take on a Boston team that won a championship in 2008 with great defense and is back playing it again because Kevin Garnett is healthy. Boston just threw a blanket on the Cavaliers in their 6-game upset, on a 3-2 run under the total. Outside of the Game 3 debacle, the Celtics held the Cavs to 86, 87, 88 and 85 points the last four games. I wonder how in sync the Boston offense will be after that physical, grueling series with Cleveland. And I wonder how in sync the Orlando offense will be, not only facing a fired up Boston defense, but the fact that they haven't played a game in 6 days. When you examine the regular season meetings between these teams, you see nothing but MONSTER defensive efforts: 83-78, 86-77 and 96-94...and those were just regular season games, so much more is at stake here. Orlando is the second worst free throw shooting team in the NBA, so look for a lower scoring game than oddsmakers anticipate. Play the Celtics/Magic Game 1 Under the total. |
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05-10-10 | Orlando Magic -6 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 98-84 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
The Beast of the East isn't the Cavs or Celtics, nope, it's the Orlando Magic. The Magic look to be the team to beat right now in the playoffs. They have not lost a playoff game and in fact have strung together 13 straight wins while covering 12 of those games. The only game they didn't cover was only by a 1/2 point! And this series against Atlanta has been a laugher. The Magic have won by 43, 14 and 30! The 30 point home loss was the worst in Hawks home playoff history. "On paper, they're a very talented team," Orlando's Matt Barnes said after an afternoon practice at Philips Arena. "We just match up really well against them. We can do things to neutralize their talent." I will be making my biggest play of the playoffs in this game on Orlando. Why? Because the Hawks look like a beaten team. They haven't been in any of the games and they look beat before the initial tipoff. The Magic know they can whip these guys and with a win here in game four will have a nice layoff while Boston and Cleveland duke it out in the other semifinal. The attitude a team takes going in is a big part of how they will perform and this is one Atlanta team that knows it is done. You hear it all the time, "we are still playing for pride," but this Hawks team has an eye on the off-season and the Magic know it. I'll be taking Orlando here as my NBA Playoff Game of the Year!
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05-05-10 | San Antonio Spurs +2.5 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 102-110 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
Take: (713) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Reason: High Roller: Spurs in Game 2. San Antonio does three things very well: defense, rebounding and three point shooting. None worked in Game 1, which is unusual, allowing 51% shooting to Phoenix. San Antonio missed five 3-pointers in the final four minutes and wound up 4 of 19 from long range. San Antonio is 12th in the NBA in field goal shooting percentage defense, and 8th in points allowed, so you will see a far better defensive effort in this one. By contrast, Phoenix is 26th in the league in points allowed, and we know defense advances in the playoffs more often than offense. The Spurs fell in a 1-0 hole for the second series in a row, though they bounced back against No. 2 seed Dallas winning 3 in a row after the opener. The Spurs are 20-10 in playoff games against Phoenix in the Tim Duncan era. Look for a bounce back spot by the talented and experienced visitors. Play the Spurs. |
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05-04-10 | Utah Jazz v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 199.5 | Top | 103-111 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 43 m | Show |
Take: UNDER
Reason: High Roller Total: Jazz/Lakers Under. Lost in the shuffle of the LA comeback in Game 1 was the Lakers' defense, holding uptempo Utah to 44% shooting. The Lakers were in command of Game 1 as their frontcourt had a +5 rebounding edge, as Pau Gasol had 25 points and 12 rebounds while blocking five shots. This is a tough situational spot for the Jazz, who had to finish up a series against the Denver Nuggets, then play Game 1 less than two days later on the road and now Game 2 -- so that's 3 games in 6 nights of intense aaction. It's going to be difficult on their offense with tired legs, especially playing 2 straight on the road. LA has put its game face on the last three games, all wins, ripping the Thunder on this court in Game 5 and winning at Oklahoma City as a dog. These teams have played 5 times this season and the under is 4-1. With so much at stake, look for both teams to play better defense. Play the Jazz/LA Lakers Under the total in Game 2. |
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05-03-10 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers -6.5 | Top | 104-86 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
Take: (706) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS Reason: Monster Motivator Game of the Year: Cavaliers in Game 2. Boston's game plan is to foul the Cavaliers. They want to attack on defense, but it's coming at a cost, putting the Cavs at the line. "I told Glen Davis, 'I don't care if you foul out in the first half. I don't care, but you have to be an energy guy," Doc Rivers said. Cleveland seemed to sense the Celtics' hesitance in the second half and preyed on it. LeBron James scored 18 of his game-high 35 points after the break, and Mo Williams scored 16 of his 20 points in the third quarter. The Cavaliers outscored the Celtics, 22-15, in the fourth, making another Boston lead disappear as they had three times during the regular season. The Celtics allowed 48% shooting and don't match up well with the Cavs at all, especially on the road. Andreson Varejao gave the Celtics headaches during the regular season with his hustle, averaging 13.3 points and 9 rebounds in three games and Kendrick Perkins got a bloddy lip guarding Shaquille O'Neal. Cleveland won't get off to a cold start, either, and will have little trouble in this one. Play the Cavaliers in Game 2.
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05-02-10 | Utah Jazz v. Los Angeles Lakers -6.5 | Top | 99-104 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
Take: (708) LOS ANGELES LAKERS Reason: High Roller: LA Lakers in Game 1. A tough spot for the Jazz, who had to finish up a series against the uptempo Denver Nuggets, and now play Game 1 less than two days later on the road. LA put its game face on the last two games, ripping the Thunder on this court in Game 5 and winning at Oklahoma City the last game as a dog. The Lakers rid themselves of the Thunder, finally, thanks to Paul Gasol and a healthy-looking Kobe Bryant, who had 32 points, seven rebounds and three assists. And his defense was huge late in the series. Bryant's effort in the third quarter
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04-30-10 | Denver Nuggets v. Utah Jazz -4.5 | Top | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 29 h 47 m | Show |
Reason: NBA High Roller Powerhouse: Utah.
A clinch party? Or does Denver stay alive? The Nuggets have been a poor road team in the second half of the season and got beat badly here in Games 3 and 4, losing by 12 and 11. Denver doesn't play much defense, as we've seen in this series, under interim coach Adrian Dantley, giving up 117, 105, 114 and 106 points the last four games. Utah is shooting nearly 51 percent from the field in the series, with only two players who are drawing regular minutes under 50 percent |
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04-29-10 | Dallas Mavericks v. San Antonio Spurs -3.5 | Top | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
Take: (548) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Reason: 1st Round Game of the Year: Spurs. After winning 3 in a row, San Antonio is off a bad game on the road, losing at Dallas. It was a must win game for the Mavs and they were on fire while the Spurs had a bad offensive game, shooting 35%. But the far better defensive team in this series has been San Antonio, which is no surprise. Tim Duncan and Gregg Popovich are not nervous, with 4 NBA title rings apiece. They have turned on the defense in the postseason, as usual, and are still in command of this series. Dallas scored 88, 89 and 90 points the previous three games. The Spurs got a reminder of the Mavericks' desperation with 1:09 left in the first half Tuesday when Eduardo Najera, spared a suspension by the league for his flagrant foul takedown of Manu Ginobili in Game 4, committed another flagrant foul on Tony Parker, so the Spurs will want to not only close it out but will have a chip on their shouler. Dallas is not a good defensive team, and the Spurs have a ton of offensive weapons both inside and out that will bounce back this game at home. San Antonio has shot 48%, 45% and 48% in each of the last three wins. Play the Spurs. |
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04-27-10 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics -6 | Top | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
Take: (532) BOSTON CELTICS
Reason: 20-Star NBA High Roller: Celtics. The Celtics blew a chance to sweep in a frustrating Game 4 loss in Miami. After rallying from as many as 18 points down to take a 6-point lead into the fourth quarter, the Celtics found themselves trying to fight off a scorching Dwyane Wade, who scored 46 points, 30 in the second half. Boston plays super defense at home and was able to contain Wade in the first two games, so he won't do that again. Just as important, the Celtics were very angry with blowing a game they should have won. Ray Allen hadn't missed three free throws in one game all year before missing 2 huge ones late. In fact, he hadn't missed three in one game in more than three years. Kevin Garnett would miss two more free throws after Allen, and Boston went 16 of 27 from the line overall in letting a series clincher that was in their grasp get away. Boston will bring its 'A' game in this one after that embarrassing loss. And they completely dominated the second halves of Games 1 and 2 at home, as Miami packed it in. The Heat got their lone win to avoid getting swept. They looked soft in the first two games and the Celtics have had almost all the matchup edges in this series. Look for a big win by the angry home team. Play the Celtics. |
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04-26-10 | Blazers(Portland) v. Suns(Phoenix) OVER 202 | Top | 88-107 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
The Portland Trailblazers tied up this series with Phoenix at two games apiece. After looking terrible in the previous two games, the Blazers got an injection of Brandon Roy for game four. Roy, who was expected to miss this series with an injury, came back in game four and gave the Blazers the shot in the arm they desperately needed. "I didn't come back to have one good game," Roy said. "I came back to try to help this team win the series. It's important we get over the emotional high of last game and get ready to play a tough basketball game at Phoenix." This is the pivotal game for Phoenix, as they Suns can ill afford to go down 3-2 and return to Portland for a game six. For some reason, the Suns abandoned their aggressive, fast paced style that have garnered them two blowout wins in games two and three. The Suns only hope here is to return to that style of play. Suns coach Alvin Gentry probably put it best after the loss. "I don't understand it. I really don't," he said. "That's the one thing we have to get away from. I keep telling everyone and I'll say it again: If you walk it up and they (Portland) get in a half-court situation I think their defense is as good as anybody's in the NBA." Expect to see Steve Nash push the tempo in this game and get the Blazers out of that half court defense. If that happens, then fully expect this game to go OVER the total on Monday.
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04-25-10 | Celtics(Boston) v. Heat(Miami) | Top | 92-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics look to end the Miami Heat season here on Sunday. And, quite possibly Dwayne Wade's career in Miami. Wade can become a free agent on July 1st, so we might be seeing Wades last game in a Heat uniform on Sunday. Wade finished game three sitting on the bench with leg cramps, something he hopes won't reoccur here in game four. I'm making my biggest play of the first round of playoffs here on the Celtics on Sunday. The Celtics have just owned the Heat, going 6-0 SU this season and 14-1 since 2007. The Celtics are also 5-0-1 ATS this season against the Heat and 12-2-2 ATS the last 16 meetings. Simply put, some teams just have the number of certain opponents and that's just what I find here on Sunday. The Celtics need only win the game, something they have done 93% of the time since 2007. I also have to wonder about the late game health of Wade, who might have the leg cramps again here on Sunday. I'm sticking with the Celtics domination of the Heat and making my biggest play so far this post season on Boston!!
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04-24-10 | Phoenix Suns -1.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers | Top | 87-96 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
Take: (509) PHOENIX SUNS
Reason: 25-Star Situational Slam Dunk: Suns. In the opener, Phoenix shot 41% at home and still was in the game right until the end, then they shook off that bad shooting night and torched the Blazers in Game 2, 119-90 and again in Game 3, 108-89. The Suns will go uptempo the rest of the series, as Portland has depth problems because of an injury-plagued season. Portland lost centers Greg Oden and Joel Przybilla in the first half of the year to season ending injuries, then lost their top scorer in All-Star Brandon Roy on the even of the playoffs. That's a lot of talent on the shelf! Grant Hill and Jason Richardson run the break with Steve Nash for the Suns, the top scoring team in the league, while Jared Dudley is fourth in the NBA in 3-point percentage in the regular season (46 percent). Phoenix shot 53% in Game 3 and was sizzling from long range, 13 of 28 from three point land. And the home team was dismal from the free throw line, making just 16-of-28 attempts. The visitors have too many weapons against the ailing host. Play the Suns. |
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04-23-10 | Dallas Mavericks v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 193.5 | Top | 90-94 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
Take: over
Reason: High Roller Total: Mavericks/Spurs Over the total. Dallas has plenty of strong offensive options, but this team is no defensive dynamo. That was a problem in Game 2 as San Antonio shot 48% while grabbing 51 rebounds (16 offensive). Even in losing Game 1, San Antonio shot 50%. The Spurs also have a ton of offensive options, with Tim Duncan up front, Tony Parker in the backcourt and Manu Ginobili from everywhere. San Antonio is not the dominant defensive team they used to be when winning championships, as age has crept up on them. And Dirk Nowitzki has tallied 24 and 36 points in two games. If you need free throws late in the game, Dallas is a lock, tops in the NBA from the free throw line, with Dirk making 88 in a row before missing one the last game. The Spurs are averaging 97.5 ppg in the playoffs and the over is 7-1 their last 8 home games. I see an offensive show, play the Mavericks/Spurs Over the total. |
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04-22-10 | Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 106-108 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
Take: (733) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Reason: 1st Round High Roller Game of the Year: Cavaliers. The Cavs have dominated this first round series, winning by 13 and 10 points, which is not a surprise as it's the top seed against the No. 8 seed. Chicago is a below .500 team on the season, counting their 0-2 playoff hole. Chicago is patting itself on the back for "hanging" with Cleveland for 3 quarters the last game, until the Cavs outscored them 35-25 in the final quarter. Coach Vinny Del Negro said, "We played well enough to steal a game." But a closer look shows the Cavaliers shot 56% and won by double digits despite just 5 offensive rebounds. And in Game 1 the Cavs dominated the glass by a 50-38 count. Chicago has had no answer for LeBron James in the series (and won't), while the Cavs have that incredible frontcourt with Shaq, Antawn Jamison and the Big Z. The Cavaliers are shooting an impressive 51 percent from the field in these Eastern Conference quarterfinals and an an average margin of victory of 11 1/2 points. "To be honest, we're happy," Luol Deng said. "We're going back home. The way we played was encouraging." They won't be after this double digit Cleveland win. Play the Cavaliers! |
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04-21-10 | San Antonio Spurs +3.5 v. Dallas Mavericks | Top | 102-88 | Win | 100 | 30 h 26 m | Show |
Take: (731) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Reason: 25-Star Situational Slam Dunk: Spurs. Gregg Popovich is no dummy, he of the 4 NBA title rings along with Tim Duncan. The Spurs slowed Dirk Nowitzki in the first round last year by swarming him with two and sometimes three defenders. They didn't do it in Game 1 until late and Big Dirk was sensational, hitting almost everything. Look for a change in strategy this game by San Antonio, a wrinkle to throw at Dallas. "We didn't play focused enough," Duncan said. "We just weren't there all night." They were outrebounded by eight and gave up 13 offensive rebounds. They had 17 turnovers, leading to 20 Dallas points. They also took just 14 free throws. The Spurs are considered an old team, but the Mavericks are older, both their starting five (32.6 years to 31.2) and their overall roster (30.3 to 27.8). Look for San Antonio to get to the line more and note that they shot 50% against an average Dallas defense. The Spurs are outstanding at making adjustments and have more than enough talent and defense to hang within this number. Play the Spurs. |
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04-20-10 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Atlanta Hawks -7.5 | Top | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
Take: (722) ATLANTA HAWKS
Reason: NBA High Roller: Atlanta Hawks. Before this series started one Milwaukee player said, "Their length is unbelievable." He was talking about the Atlanta frontcourt, which is long and athletic, the exact opposite of the Bucks, who are without Andruw Bogut. Milwaukee has to go with 37-year old Kurt Thomas at center, 6-8 Luc Richard Mbah a Moute (6 ppg, 5.5 rpg) and Primoz Brezec, meaning this frontcourt is a problem as far as matchups. That was evident in Game 1, as the Hawks had a 40-35 rebound edge, along with a 17-point first quarter lead. The Bucks can't do anything about the Atlanta height of 6-7 Joe Johnson (21.3 ppg), 24-year old 6-9 Josh Smith (15.7 ppg, 8.7 rpg), 23-year old 6-10 Al Horford (14 ppg, 9.7 rpg) and 6-9 23-year old Marvin Williams (10 ppg). They have been hot the last month, on a 10-5 SU/ATS run and have home court, where they play their best basketball. The Hawks had mismatches all over the court in Game 1, taking advantage of the small and depleted Bucks and led 62-40 at the half. The Bucks are forced to be one-dimensional, with guard Brandon Jennings taking all the shots. This will be another one-sided rout. Play the Hawks! |
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04-19-10 | Utah Jazz v. Denver Nuggets OVER 212.5 | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
The oddsmaker definitely has adjusted the total here in game two. I thought the total for game one was way off and I gave out the OVER as one of my 20* Hi Roller plays, an easy winner. They have adjusted a bit here, pushing the total up about 3-4 points, but I'm still sticking with the OVER. In fact, I'm coming right back with another of my 20* Hi Roller totals on this contest. Many teams like to slow the pace down in the postseason, but not these teams. They have loads of offensive weapons and love the uptempo game. They mirror each other in so many ways. The Nuggets have Kenyon Martin back, but the defense has really slipped the last month without coach George Karl around. That defense gets a tough test as Utah shoots 49% from the field as a team, tops in the NBA. Utah has a sparkplug guard in Derron Williams (18.6 ppg, 10.6 apg), and a string of hard working young legs in Carlos Boozer, Mehmet Okur and Paul Millsap (24 rebounds in a game last week). These teams are 8-0 over the total their last 8 meetings in Denver, and 10-1 over the total their last 11 meetings on this court. And the point total they struck for in the last 7 meetings: 231, 218, 214, 216, 233, 229 and 218 and 239 in Saturday's contest. Play the Jazz/Nuggets Over the total again and don't worry about the line adjustment.
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04-18-10 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Phoenix Suns -8 | Top | 105-100 | Loss | -105 | 53 h 33 m | Show |
Take: (716) PHOENIX SUNS
Reason: Western Conference 1st Round Game of the Year: Suns. Phoenix has the top offense in the NBA (110.4 ppg) with an attacking style behind 36-year old PG Steve Nash (16.6 ppg, 11 apg) and 27-year old Amar'e Stoudemire (23.2 ppg, 9 rpg). The Suns are 23-6 since the break and on a 24-6 SU, 25-5 ATS run! Phoenix is very strong at home, and they catch a break as the Blazers are a banged up team. Portland lost 7-foot centers Greg Oden and Joel Przybilla early in the season (out for the year) and now All-Star guard Brandon Roy has a tear in his knee and is out of the playoffs. Roy is the Blazers' leading scorer with 21.5 points per game. Thirteen different Blazers have missed a combined 305 games because of injuries this season, second in the league only to the Warriors and the most of any playoff-bound team. Portland will try and slow the pace down, but they have lost too much talent on offense and defense. The uptempo team rolls at home. Play the Suns. |
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04-17-10 | Utah Jazz v. Denver Nuggets OVER 209 | Top | 113-126 | Win | 100 | 53 h 36 m | Show |
Take: over the total.
Reason: High Roller Total: Jazz/Nuggets Over the total. Many teams like to slow the pace down in the postseason, but not these teams. They have loads of offensive weapons and love the uptempo game. They mirror each other in so many ways. The Nuggets have Kenyon Martin back, but the defense has really slipped the last month without coach George Karl around. That defense gets a tough test as Utah shoots 49% from the field as a team, tops in the NBA. Utah has a sparkplug guard in Derron Williams (18.6 ppg, 10.6 apg), and a string of hard working young legs in Carlos Boozer, Mehmet Okur and Paul Millsap (24 rebounds in a game last week). These teams are 7-0 over the total their last 7 meetings in Denver, and 9-1 over the total their last 10 meetings on this court. And the point total they struck for in the last 7 meetings: 231, 218, 214, 216, 233, 229 and 218. Play the Jazz/Nuggets Over the total. |
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04-13-10 | Utah Jazz -7.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 103-94 | Win | 100 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
Take: (703) UTAH JAZZ
Reason: 20-Star NBA High Roller Game of the Year: Jazz. It's not often an NBA team gets three full days off before a game, especially this late in the year, but that's the case with Utah. There is plenty to play for, too. The Jazz might have gotten the opening they need to take the Northwest Division title over Denver with the Nuggets' 104-85 loss at home to San Antonio on Saturday. If the Jazz win their two remaining games at Golden State and home against Phoenix while Denver drops one of its last two games, the Jazz would win the division over Denver. If the Jazz and Nuggets both finish 2-0, Denver would claim the division after winning the season series tiebreaker 3-1 over the Jazz. In addition, the Jazz are closer to being at full strength for their remaining two regular-season games as both Andrei Kirilenko and Mehmet Okur took part in practice. Okur went through the full practice while Kirilenko, who has missed 13 of the past 15 games with a strained left calf, did all the running and shooting drills before sitting out 5-on-5 play at the end. "We've been waiting for them to get back and healthy," Deron Williams said. Kirilenko's return to the starting lineup in January coincided with the Jazz's second-half resurgence. Golden State only has one day of rest and brings the worst defense in the NBA into this one. They don't match up well with the Jazz, at 0-2 SU/ATS the last two meetings, losing by 11 and 24 points. Play the Jazz. |
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04-11-10 | Houston Rockets v. Phoenix Suns -9 | Top | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
Phoenix still in a dog fight in the wild, wild west as they sit right behind Dallas, Denver and Utah as all four are bunched up for 2nd through fifth. The Suns are playing well, winning eight of their last 10 games. With just three games left, the Suns have to win over a team like Houston since they have Denver and Utah still to go on the schedule. That makes today's game even more meaningful since it's a win they can pickup against a team that has nothing left to play for. And, the Suns have had great success against the Rockets, winning and covering all three games this season. In fact, they are 14-3 ATS the last 17 meetings. The Rockets haven't done well recently as dogs of 8 1/2 to 9 points, going 0-5 ATS their last five times this year. And really, they haven't been close games either as Houston lost by 18 at OKC, 23 at Utah, 25 at Cleveland and 15 at Orlando. The Suns need today's game and I fully expect a blowout effort here in this spot. Take the Suns.
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04-10-10 | Boston Celtics v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 190.5 | Top | 105-90 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
Take: UNDER
Reason: High Roller Total: Celtics/Bucks Under the total. Both teams will bring their 'A' game intensity on defense, as they are in a race for playoff seeding in the East. And these defenses have talent. The Bucks have been a defensive revelation the second half of the season, on a 22-11-1 run under the total. They just hels the Bulls to 74 points in a game with playoff-type intensity, and lost 87-86 to Charlotte in another game that sailed under. Milwaukee is deadlocked with Miami for the No 5 playoff slot. They like to slow the pace down, and that's fine with the aging Celtics, as they prefer playing a slow, defensive-oriented tempo. They've struggled all season against athletic, uptempo teams, too. The Celtics are tied with Atlanta for playoff seeding, so they will bring their best defensive effort here and be thankful to slow the pace down. The Celtics have played a whole string of uptempo teams of late, but the last time they played a defensive-oriented squad, it was a 94-73 loss to San Antonio, going under the total by 25 points! This has all the makings of a slow-paced, defensive battle between two playoff teams. Play the Celtics/Bucks Under the total. |
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04-09-10 | Dallas Mavericks +4 v. Portland Trail Blazers | Top | 83-77 | Win | 100 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
Take: (725) DALLAS MAVERICKS
Reason: NBA Game of the Year: Mavericks. Oddsmakers have caught up with Portland, on a 1-2 ATS run. That included a bad loss to Denver, the only good team they've played of late. In fact, their hot run the last month has come mainly against a string of weak teams. Three of the Blazers' final four games are against playoff teams. When these teams met last month Portland won at home over Dallas, but the Blazers were working on 3 full days of rest while the Mavericks were playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Now Dallas is very rested, playing just one game (a blowout win over Memphis) over the last 6 days. Dallas is hungry, too, tied with 4 other teams for the all-important No. 2 slot in the West. This is very deep, talented Mavericks squad, made much better by the midseason trade, and they are catching points here. Some bad news for Portland is injuries. They lost two of their centers early in the season, and now have banged up starters LaMarcus Aldridge and Brandon Roy. Plus center Marcus Camby, whom they were forced to trade for to fill the void in the middle, tweaked his hamstring two nights ago against the Clippers and left the game. And that defense allowed the clang, clang, clang Clippers to shoot over 49%. A great spot for the motivated, talented visitors. Play the Mavericks. |
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04-08-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 203.5 | Top | 96-98 | Win | 100 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
Reason: High Roller Total: Lakers/Nuggets Under the total.
The Lakers are a very good defensive team, despite all the flashy offensive stars, 9th in the NBA in points allowed and 5th in field goal shooting defense. They have been an under the total team the second half of the season, and currently are on a 7-3 run under. The Lakers have lost three of their last four games with the bench play just awful: In those three loses, their bench has been outscored 110-38. Center Andruw Bynum has sat out eight games because of a strained Achilles' tendon and might not play again in regular season. So if Phil Jackson wants to rest the starters any, they aren't getting any offense from the pine. The reserves scored only four points in an ugly loss to San Antonio; The reserves were outscored 42-12 by the New Orleans Hornets' reserves and 48-22 by the Atlanta Hawks' reserves. They run into a Denver team that is playing tough defense, right in the thick of the West's playoff seedings race. Denver has held three of the last five opponents to 96 points or less, though the offense hasn't been sharp because Denver forward Kenyon Martin (knee) is still out. Denver is on an 8-2 run under the total. With the defending champs in town, look for plenty of defense by the home team (when they met 5 weeks ago it was a 95-89 game, 25 points under the total. Play the Lakers/Nuggets Under the total. |
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04-06-10 | San Antonio Spurs -6 v. Sacramento Kings | Top | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 28 h 10 m | Show |
Take: (667) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Reason: High Roller: Spurs. Motivation is such a key handicapping component coming down the stretch. Here you have a classic last season game with a fired-up team (San Antonio) jockeying for playoff positioning with the Thunder and Blazers, against a Sacramento team just playing out the string. The Kings have lost 7 in a row by 17, 14, 8, 7, 7, 9 and 11 points. The offense is really struggling, unable to hit 100 points in any of those games and they face a dynamite San Antonio defense. Manu Ginobili scored 32 points, including 17 in the fourth quarter, as the Spurs whipped the Lakers 100-81 as a dog. Richard Jefferson added 14 points and Tim Duncan had 11 rebounds for the Spurs, who won their third straight and 15th of 20. That's part of a 5-1 SU/ATS run for the Spurs, winning twice as a dog. In the past eight days, the Spurs (47-29) have claimed wins over the Lakers, Cleveland, Orlando and Boston. After wiping out Ron Artest, Pau Gasol and Kobe Bryant, topping the disinterested Kings will be a breeze. Play the Spurs. |
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04-04-10 | San Antonio Spurs +6 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 100-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
The San Antonio Spurs sit in 7th place right now in the west, a 1/2 game behind Oklahoma City and 1 1/2 in front of Portland. Surprisingly, only four games separate 2nd place from eighth place in the west right now. The Spurs are 4-1 both SU and ATS in their last five games after a win at home over Orlando on Friday, 112-110. Manu Ginobili scored a season-high 43-points in the win. The Spurs have gotten hot at the right time, knocking off three division leaders in the last week (Orlando, Cleveland and Boston). "We couldn't beat anybody the first 40, 50 games of the good (teams)," Ginobili said. "I'm very glad we started doing it. It's better late than not doing it at all." Meanwhile the Lakers have really no reason to press with these games as their lead over 2nd place is a comfortable five games with six to play including games against Minnesota, Sacramento and the Clippers. I'm going to buck a trend here since I don't always believe in just following trends blindly. I'm going to take the points here with the Spurs despite the fact that they have covered just one time in the last eight against the Lakers. Since Ginobili was inserted into the starting lineup in place of Tony Parker, this team has come alive. They are beating the best right now and momentum is on their side. I will take the points and look for the Spurs to pull the straight-up upset here in LA.
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04-03-10 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 188 | Top | 88-96 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
Take: UNDER
Reason: 20-Star NBA High Roller Total: Bobcats/Bulls Under the total. This game should have a playoff-type atmosphere, as both teams are fighting down the stretch. Charlotte is in great shape to make the playoffs as a No. 6, 7 or 8 seed because they are so strong defensively under Coach Larry Brown. They are 7th in the NBA in field goal shooting defense and tops in points allowed (93.6 ppg). This is a slow-down defensive team, and there's no reason for them to go uptempo playing their third game in four nights plus the second of a back to back spot. Chicago is out of the playoffs at present but not too far behind Toronto for that last spot. Chicago is getting healthy, with Derrick Rose and Joakim Noah back. They are playing like a motivated team, especially on defense, on a recent 7-4 run under the total. Coach Vinny Del Negro confirmed the coaching staff has discussed starting Joakim Noah for the final seven games of the season, a strong inside force. Charlotte plays its best offensively at home, but they are 5-0 under the total their last 5 road games. Chicago is 4-1 under the total its last 5 home games. With quite a bit at stake, look for an intense defensive game. Play the Bobcats/Bulls Under the total! |
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04-02-10 | Chicago Bulls -4 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 95-87 | Win | 100 | 26 h 47 m | Show |
Reason: High Roller: Bulls.
Chicago is getting healthy, with Derrick Rose and Joakim Noah back. They still have a shot at catching Toronto for the final playoff spot, just two games behind. They are playing like a motivated team, on a 4-2 SU/ATS run, winning twice as a dog. In fact, they are on a 7-2 ATS run overall. Chicago comes into this one off a tough home loss, playing the Suns neck and neck until a late run by Phoenix. Some good news is that Kirk Hinrich said he plans to return from his sprained left ankle for Friday's game in Washington, Luol Deng hopes to return this weekend adding depth, while coach Vinny Del Negro confirmed the coaching staff has discussed starting Joakim Noah for the final eight games of the season. Noah certainly helped out against the Suns with 12 points, 10 rebounds and two blocks in 27 minutes for his first double-double since Jan. 29 and his most playing time since Feb. 26. Noah also appeared in all four quarters for the second straight game, showing doubters he's almost fully back from plantar fasciitis in his left foot. And speaking of injuries, Washington has had a miserable season with injuries, packing it in down the stretch, on a 1-16 SU, 7-10 ATS run. The Wizards avoided an 0-17 March with their first win since beating New Jersey on Feb. 28. Gilbert Arenas has long been suspended for the season, and Josh Howard (torn ACL), Randy Foye (wrist injury) and Al Thornton (hip flexor) were out of the lineup. They are 12-24 at home. Play the Bulls! |
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03-31-10 | Clippers(LA) v. Raptors(Toronto) OVER 204 | Top | 92-114 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
Reason: 20-Star High Roller Total: Clippers/Raptors Over the total.
The Clippers have been getting their offense in gear, topping 99 or more in four of six recent games. They have offensive talent with point guard Baron Davis, Drew Gooden, Chris Kaman and Eric Gordon. Of course, the defense has been useless all season no matter who the coach is, allowing .468% shooting, 22nd in the league. They take on a Toronto team that has awful transitional defense, something the Clippers and Davis can exploit. Toronto is just as bad on defense, allowing .466% shooting (20th) and 105.5 ppg -- fourth worst. They had a big game at home against Utah and got torched in a 26-point loss, giving up 113 points. They just played two defensive-oriented teams in Miami and Charlotte and allowed 97 and 101 points. This is a difficult scheduling spot for the Clippers, their 3rd game in 4 nights and the second of a back to back road spot. They are 7-3 over the total in the second of back to back road situations, allowing 109 ppg. I can't see either team stopping the other, so look for an offensive show. Play the LA Clippers/Raptors Over the total. |
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03-30-10 | Suns(Phoenix) v. Bulls(Chicago) +3.5 | Top | 111-105 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
Take: (758) CHICAGO BULLS
Reason: High Roller: Bulls. Chicago is getting healthy, with Derrick Rose and Joakim Noah back. They still have a shot at catching Toronto for the final playoff spot, just a halg a game behind. After that ugly home loss to Miami, a 103-74 defeat, where Bulls coach Vinny Del Negro said, "We didn't have enough fight in us," they showed more than enough fight in blowout wins over the Nets and Pistons (2-0 ATS). Chicago is on a 7-1 ATS run, playing with motivation with the Toronto Raptors struggling. Noah said the last game, "Toronto lost, and we're half a game out. Want to know anything else?" Phoenix is terrific at home, but one game over .500 on the road, yet they are a road favorite here against a fired up team. The Suns are pretty much locked into the No. 5 seed in the West: Sure, they could gain some ground on the Denver and Utah, but the Suns have a difficult schedule to end the season, playing the second of a 5-game road trip here. They are just 1-3 ATS the last four games. This is the fourth home game over the last five games for Chicago. The wrong team opened as the favorite. Play the Bulls. |
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03-27-10 | Dallas Mavericks -4 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 111-90 | Win | 100 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
Take: (509) DALLAS MAVERICKS
Reason: High Roller: Mavericks. Dallas has been a vastly improved team since the big trade and they are highly motivated down the stretch, locked in a tie with Denver for the No. 2 seed in the West. They have the top road record in the West and face a defenseless Golden State team, one allowing 112.5 ppg (worst in the league). They come off a bad game, getting blown out at Portland. Dirk Nowitzki was surprised and embarrassed on Thursday as to why he was given a quick ejection early in the third quarter. He, and the team, will be focused for this bounce back spot, especially against a terrible Golden State team that is small up front. Dallas has a stellar 22-14 road mark and the Big Trade has turned out to be a boon for the Mavs. This team was reborn when it traded for Caron Butler, Brendan Haywood and DeShawn Stevenson. The best thing about the improved play has been the attitude that has come with it. The Mavericks are swaggering rather than staggering, as they were before the deal. The Golden State defense allows .487% shooting by opponents, easily the worst mark in the league. These teams met on this floor last month and Dallas won by 10 points as a 5-point favorite, shooting 52% with an edge in fast break points 41-18! I see the Mavericks bouncing back easily in a game they need to win. Play the Mavericks. |
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03-24-10 | Utah Jazz v. Toronto Raptors OVER 214 | Top | 113-87 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 11 m | Show |
Take: over the total.
Reason: High Roller Total: Jazz/Raptors Over the total. The Toronto transition defense is just terrible, a combination of too many aging legs and offensive players ill-suited for defense. And who comes to town: Young, uptempo Utah! Toronto is allowing 110 ppg at home this season and overall is 20th in the NBA in points allowed. They are in a truly wretched defensive stretch right now, giving up over 100 points in eight of the last nine games. Utah is loaded with offensive players, from Mehmet Okur, C.J. Miles, Carlos Boozer and sparkplug guard Deron Williams. Williams had 22 points and 11 assists the last game, a 110-97 win over a strong Boston defense. Williams got his 36th double-double. Utah is fifth in the NBA in scoring at 103.7 ppg and is on an 11-5 run over the total. Both teams are rested for this one, so look for an uptempo game with no defense. Play the Jazz/Raptors Over the total. |
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03-23-10 | Denver Nuggets v. New York Knicks +6.5 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
Take: (654) NEW YORK KNICKS
Reason: High Roller: NY Knicks. The Knicks play hard for Coach Mike D'Antoni, getting outscored at home by just 3 ppg. They take on a Denver team that is dominant at home, but only 17-17 on the road. New York is 3-2 SU/ATS its last 5 home games, with a young, uptempo offense, so they match up well with run-and-gun Denver. This is the third straight home game for the rested Knicks. NY shot 50% the last game against Houston, as Tracy McGrady finished with 15 points, seven rebounds and five assists and hard working David Lee had 27 points and 20 rebounds. Despite playing the last three games at home, the Nuggets are on a 2-2 SU, 0-4 ATS run and this is a long road trip. It's the start of a difficult stretch this week, playing three road games in four nights. Any chance George Karl has to rest his starters he will jump at the chance. The last two games as a home dog, the Knicks lost to Houston by 4 and beat Atlanta, 99-98, as a +7 dog. Look for a fired up effort by the home team and a close one. Play the NY Knicks. |
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03-17-10 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Utah Jazz OVER 214 | Top | 100-122 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
Reason: NBA High Roller Total: Timberwolves/Jazz Over the total.
Minnesota is a terrible defensive team, surrendering 106.8 ppg and .475% shooting by opponents. Youth is a part of the problem, but another part is that the organization is building around young offensive players. There are no stellar defensive players, individually or as a unit, plus the coach doesn't know how to teach 'D'. This is a terrible situational spot, as well, playing the second of a back to back road spot, after running up and down the court with Phoenix last night. Minnesota is 9-2-1 over the total in the second of back to backs. Utah is rested for this one, an uptempo team behind Carlos Boozer and Deron Williams that averages 103.4 ppg (fifth best in the NBA). They are on a 9-3 run over the total and will run right at the tired visitors. The last six meetings between these teams have gone over the total, plus 14-3 over the last 17 meetings. Look for a lot of layups by the home team and plenty of points. Play the Timberwolves/Jazz Over the total. |
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03-15-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Golden State Warriors OVER 222 | Top | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
The LA Lakers maintain a three game lead in the west over the Nuggets and 3 1/2 games over the Mavericks. The Lakers have won two straight games and six of their last 10. Meanwhile Golden State has a modest three game winning streak of its own. While the Warriors have no hopes of post season, teams always get some satisfaction of playing good and beating the Lakers. That's the kind of effort I expect here today. I'm taking the OVER here on Monday between these teams. They have already met three times this season with two of the three going OVER with point totals of 227 and 242. But what really stands out for me in this matchup is when the teams meet up north. The last 44 times these teams have met at Golden State they have gone over 30 times, that's just over 68% of the time. And the Lakers have scored a lot of points too. In the last 12 trips to GST, the Lakers have scored 110 points or more in 10 of those contest. And this season the Warriors are dead last in the league in points allowed (111.1 ppg). I expect a high scoring affair here as Koke and Company have little trouble scoring points. If we can get Golden State motivated, which they should be, then this is an OVER contest.
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03-12-10 | New York Knicks v. Memphis Grizzlies OVER 210.5 | Top | 112-119 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
Take: over
Reason: High Roller Total: Knicks/Memphis Over the total. The NY offense is back to a run and gun style, on an 11-5 run over the total. Of course, that hasn't helped in the win column, giving up over 104 ppg. The Knicks have allowed over 100 points in 13 of the last 16 games, and 110 or more in 11 of those. The offense averages over 100 points, but the soft defense allows .480% shooting by opponents -- that is tied with New Jersey for last in the NBA. Things get tougher this game as they head to uptempo Memphis, a team with a ton of young offensive talent with Rudy Gay, O.J. Mayo, Marc Gasol, Mike Conley and Zach Randolph. They come off a stunner, shooting 55% at Boston in a 111-91 upset. O.J. Mayo made seven of eight shots en route to 17 points. They are on a 5-2 run over the total. The Memphis offense will be motivated after that big win at Boston, as they are still 3 games out of the Western Conference |
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03-10-10 | Denver Nuggets -8 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | Top | 110-102 | Push | 0 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
Reason: 25-Star Situational Slam Dunk: Nuggets.
Denver just finished up a sizzling 3-game home stand, winning all three games. They faced a team that doesn't play defense and ones that do, and it didn't matter, torching the nets for 119, 122 and 118 points, winning by 29, 8 and 12 points. The Nuggets tallied 31 assists in the 118-106 victory against Portland. Denver (42-21) is 3 1/2 games back of L.A. and a half-game behind Dallas. Well that's real bad news for defenseless Minnesota, a team that allows 106.7 ppg -- second most in the NBA. And it's not because they play some attacking offensive style, as the offense is 25th in the league. The Timberwolves defense is allowing .475% shooting by opponents, 25th in the NBA. And Denver comes to town not only red-hot, but with the No. 2 scoring attack in the league, tallying 107.6 ppg, just behind Phoenix. Can the home team keep pace? They haven't been, on an 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS run, allowing 109 or more points in every game. The last three home games Minnesota has lost by 19, 14 and 13 points. A great spot for the rested, motivated and far better team. Play the Nuggets. |
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03-09-10 | Boston Celtics v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 188 | Top | 84-86 | Win | 100 | 26 h 6 m | Show |
Take: UNDER
Reason: High Roller Total: Celtics/Bucks Under the total. In the past two months, the Celtics have struggled against inferior opponents (Nets, Bulls) blown big leads against elite teams (Cavaliers, Magic), and have been beaten in the final minute (Lakers). The problem has been a sporadic defense, along with injuries. But this team is very talented, especially on the defensive end -- WHEN they have their heads on to play tough defense. And what has happened the last three games? All under the total with sensational defensive efforts, allowing 86, 83 and 80 points. endrick Perkins was back after missing the Celtics' game against the Pistons with flu-like symptoms. Perkins is a terrific big body in the paint, an excellent defender, 3-0 under since he came back. They should have lost the last game, at home to the Wizards, as the offense was terrible, but the Green hung tough with a monster defensive effort and were able to rally late. so they've gone under the total the last three games by 6, 14 and 24 points, an average of 14 points under the Vegas number. Milwaukee's second half surge has been impressive, and it's been molded with a very impressive defense. This team used to have a run-and-gun reputation, but they have become a tough defensive team. Oddsmakers haven't caught up, either, as the Bucks are on a 14-5 run under the total. Can't see as much scoring as oddsmakers anticipate; Play the Celtics/Bucks Under the total. |
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03-08-10 | Dallas Mavericks -7 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | Top | 125-112 | Win | 100 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
I'll be laying the points here on the road with the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks have been a very good proposition to bettors this year when they are on the road. In fact, they have been much better to bet on away from home than at home. The Mavs are 20-13 ATS on the road this year and just 7-21 ATS at home. This is because Dallas is one of the few teams that scores on the road what they average at home (101 ppg). And, seeing as they usually lay less on the road or even get some points, it's easy to see why this team is a good road bet. Lets take a look at their last four road games; a 10 point win at Orlando; eight point win at Atlanta, five point win at Charlotte and six point win at Chicago. Those are some tough home courts to not only cover, but pull out the straight up win. If we look at Minnesota, we find something interesting also. The T'Wolves are 6-13 ATS as a home dog of 6 to 7 1/2 points their last 19. And one fact I found a bit intriguing was that the Wolves have lost over 80% of their home games straight up when they have received six or more points. I've like playing Dallas on the road this season and especially against the lower echelon of the league. Lay the points here with the Mavericks.
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03-07-10 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Denver Nuggets OVER 206 | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 19 h 53 m | Show |
Normally when we think of the Portland Trailblazers we think "defense." I don't think the word "OVER" comes first to mind. But surprisingly this team has some good over spots and today is one of them. I'm going with the OVER here. First, the Blazers have been a good over bet on the road as the last three road games have gone OVER and nine of the last 11 away contest have gone OVER. And what kind of surprised me even more than that was the fact that Portland has scored over 100 points in each of its last nine away games. Second, we couple this road scoring binge with the fact that the Denver Nuggets are the 22nd ranked scoring defense in the league. The Nuggets allow an average of 102.56 ppg overall this season. Thirdly, we toss in a Denver offense that has gone OVER the total in four straight home games and 10 of its last 13 home games. The Nuggets have the second ranked scoring offense in the league and the top rated scoring offense at home (112.22 ppg). All in all, this game shapes up as a good old fashioned shoot out. I'll take the OVER here as one of my red-hot Hi Roller totals and look for at least 210 or more in this one.
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03-05-10 | Boston Celtics v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 197.5 | Top | 96-86 | Win | 100 | 24 h 25 m | Show |
Take: UNDER
Reason: High Roller Total: Celtics/76ers Under the total. In the past two months, the Celtics have struggled against inferior opponents (Nets, Bulls) blown big leads against elite teams (Cavaliers, Magic), and have been beaten in the final minute (Lakers). The problem has been a sporadic defense, along with injuries. But this team is very talented, especially on the defensive end -- WHEN they have their heads on to play tough defense. The Celtics put their game faces on the last contest, cruising to a 104-80 win, holding Charlotte to 36 percent shooting. Kendrick Perkins was back after missing the Celtics' game against the Pistons with flu-like symptoms. Perkins is a terrific big body in the paint, an excellent defender. That game sailed under the total and they are a team capable of ripping off a string of unders -- like a recent 12-3 under the total run -- when they have their best defensive effort. This is a divisional rivalry game. The 76ers are without Allen Iverson and have score 95 or fewer points in 3 of the last 4 games. They are also on a 15-9 run under the total. The last time they met on this floor earlier this season, the game went under the total by double digits as the 76ers scored 74 points. Play the Celtics/76ers Under the total. |
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03-03-10 | Detroit Pistons v. New York Knicks OVER 204.5 | Top | 104-128 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
Reason: High Roller Total: Pistons/Knicks Over the total.
On the plus side, the Detroit offense has been better the second half of the season because their top offensive players are finally healthy. On the flip side, the defense has been playing poorly. They gave up 101 in a win over the Spurs and 97 in an ugly loss to the Clippers. They also gave up 116 in a blowout loss to Orlando. This is a tough situational spot, playing their fifth road game over the last six games, plus the second of a back to back spot, taking on the rival Celtics last night. Hard to see Detroit having the legs to play defense here. That means the Knicks will run right at them, which is their preferred style anyway. The Knicks are rested and running, scoring 109, 106 and 119 the last three games. But the main reason they are on a 9-1 run over the total is a defense that has gone to sleep (thanks, Tracy McGrady), allowing 110 points or more in 9 of the last 10 games! And some of the games have been frightening, allowing 121 to Oklahoma City, 110 to struggling Boston, 116 to Washington (in a win) and 120 to Memphis. In back to back games against the Bulls, the Knicks allowed 115 and 118 points, so it's not that the opponent has a hot shooting hand; NY just doesn't feel like making an effort on defense and we'll grab another shootout. Pistons/Knicks Over the total. |
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03-01-10 | New York Knicks v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 210 | Top | 93-124 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
I'm looking at the OVER in tonight's contest between the Knicks and Cavs. It hasn't been a great trade yet for the Knicks since they acquired Tracy McGrady from the Rockets. McGrady sat out the second half of Saturday's game against the Grizzlies saying he didn't want any setbacks after his knee was sore. Having played in back-to-back nights, MrGrady felt it best to sit the second half and not push his return. Or could it have been his ineffectiveness in the 1st half, going 0-3 and not logging a single point. Not exactly the production the Knicks were expecting. Still, the Knicks have been a great bet for OVER plays lately, having eclipsed the total in three straight games and nine of the last 10. Poor defense has a lot to do with it though, having allowed over 110 points in the last three games and nine of the last 10 games. Let me say that again, they have allow OVER 110 points in nine of the last 10 games. Tonight they have to face the league's seventh highest scoring team in Cleveland. I fully expect this Cavs team to get at or over 120 points in this one. The Cavs have scored over 100 points in 10 of the last 12 games. They have had two days of rest for this contest and next up is lowly New Jersey. I also like the fact that Shaquille O'Neal will be lost to the Cavs, likely for the rest of the regular season with surgery on this thumb. If anything the loss of O'Neal hurts the club more on defense and any less of that is good for our OVER. The key here will be if New York can get us at or just over 100 points. If they can, this one should fly over. Take the OVER as our Hi Roller Total for Monday.
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02-26-10 | Utah Jazz v. Sacramento Kings OVER 201.5 | Top | 99-103 | Win | 100 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
NBA High Roller Total: Jazz/Kings Over the total.
Sacramento is terrible on defense, allowing 47% shooting -- 24th in the NBA. All those lay-ups allowed explains why they are giving up 105.8 ppg, fourth worst in the league. That's a bad mix here, as Utah comes to town with an uptempo attack shooting .49% from the field, No. 1 in the NBA. The Jazz offense has been clicking on this terrific winning streak they've been on the last two months. Carlos Boozer is on his way to validating the Jazz's decision to keep him for the remainder of the season, answering the call in the four games since general manager Kevin O'Connor's phone stopped ringing. The reigning Western Conference Player of the Week, Boozer helped the Jazz shrug off a 13-point deficit in the third quarter Wednesday and finished with 33 points and 16 rebounds on 13-for-16 shooting in a 102-93 victory over the Charlotte Bobcats. Sparkplug guard Deron Williams returned from a right quad contusion with 20 points and 12 assists. The Kings defense has really been soft of late, allowing 101, 104, 99 and 130 points the last four games -- all losses. All in all, look for far more offense this game than defense. Play the Jazz/Kings Over the total. |
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02-19-10 | Dallas Mavericks v. Orlando Magic -5.5 | Top | 95-85 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
Take: (810) ORLANDO MAGIC
Reason: Inner Circle TV Game of the Year: Magic. We know what we will get out of the Orlando Magic, the second best team in the East and defending Eastern Conference champion. We don't know what to expect out of the Mavericks, an up and down team that just blew up their lineup with a big trade last week. Regardless of whether or not they improved the team, it's going to take a while for the new players to adjust with their teammates. The Mavericks, who went 10-11 heading into the All-Star break, shook up their roster by trading away four players -- including former All-Star Josh Howard. Playing their first games with the Mavericks, Brandon Haywood scored all seven of his points in the first half and DeShawn Stevenson played five scoreless minutes. "We knew it was going to take some time," said Dirk Nowitzki. Dallas has played two games since the break, winning at home over Phoenix, but getting blown out by 13 at Oklahoma City. Dallas is on a 3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS run. Center Erick Dampier is out for 2 weeks with a finger injury, which happened this week. They could use the big man against red-hot Orlando, a team with Superman in the middle. The Orlando Magic began their playoff push ? by pushing back in a 116-91 victory Wednesday night against the Pistons, as Dwight Howard had 33 points, 17 rebounds and seven blocks! Vince Carter finished with 20 points on 8-of-12 shooting. Jameer Nelson added 14 points with nine assists as the Magic shot 51.2 percent and held the Pistons to 36 second-half points. Orlando has won 11 of 14 games and is 21-5 at home. Play the Magic. |
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02-18-10 | Denver Nuggets +6 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 118-116 | Win | 100 | 26 h 57 m | Show |
Take: (501) DENVER NUGGETS
Reason: High Roller: Nuggets. George Karl coached the Nuggets at practice this week, despite his latest fight against cancer. The players are relieved it's not more serious and have been praising the coach for his courage this week, rallying around him. He and the team took off to Cleveland, where Denver will face the Cavaliers Thursday night in a highly anticipated matchup of Carmelo Anthony versus LeBron James. The Cavs are the No. 1 team in the East and the Nuggets are No. 2 in the West. How in sync is the Cleveland offense going to be after sitting for a week? Especially against a top notch opponent like this one. Denver has been motivated and on a roll, at 11-4 SU, 7-7-2 ATS. They were a dog at the Lakers during that run and won 13. They were also a home dog to the Cavs last month and won 99-97. Oddsmakers are starting to overvalue the red-hot Cavs, on a 1-2 ATS run. Denver matches up well with its deadly offense and has more than enough to keep this close. A straight up win wouldn't shock, either. Play the Nuggets. |
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02-17-10 | Houston Rockets v. Milwaukee Bucks -5 | Top | 127-99 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
Take: (714) MILWAUKEE BUCKS
Reason: 25 Star Situational Slam Dunk: Bucks. A tough start to the season for the Rockets, playing the second of a back to back situation. Houston had to play the uptempo Jazz last night, and now fly to Milwaukee to play the rested Bucks. The Bucks are also a red-hot team: Since Carlos Delfino returned to the Milwaukee Bucks' starting lineup on Jan. 20, the team has won eight of 12 games. The Bucks have benefited from Scott Skiles' dual move that put Delfino at small forward and Luc Richard Mbah a Moute at power forward. Milwaukee is also a sizzling 12-3 ATS the last 15 games. Just 10 days after Mike Redd was hurt in Los Angeles, Delfino was back in the starting lineup and responded with 22 points, eight rebounds and four assists in the Bucks' 113-107 victory over Toronto. That started the 8-4 run over a three-week period that recalled memories of the Bucks' 8-3 start to the season. And it put the Bucks back in the playoff chase, just one game behind Miami and Chicago for the seventh and eighth positions in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks are 16-8 at home while Houston has a losing road mark, plus Houston is 1-9 ATS its last 10 in the second of a back to back spot. A great situational spot for the undervalued home team. Play the Bucks. |
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02-16-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Memphis Grizzlies OVER 221.5 | Top | 109-95 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 0 m | Show |
Reason: NBA Total of the Year: Suns/Grizzlies Over the total.
Memphis is not a good team at defending the three-pointer, 19th in the league. And here comes the top team from long range into town, shooting .407% from beyong the arc. The Suns aren't always on their game in the second of back-to-back spots with veteran Steve Nash turning 36 this weekend. But they are well rested for this one after the All-Star break. Both teams prefer the uptempo game, ranked No. 1 and No. 6 in the NBA in points scored. Phoenix averages 109.9 points per contest. Memphis is on a 15-9 run over the total with a ton of talented mostly-young offensive players, but short on defense with Zach Randolph, Rudy Gay, O.J. Mayo and Marc Gasol. In fact, defensively Memphis is nonexistent, allowing 48% shooting by opponents -- third worst in the NBA. These teams played each other twice in January and both meetings sailed over the total. The last meeting went 18 points over the total in a 125-118 Phoenix win, and the Grizzlies won the other meeting in early January by scoring 128 points, running right at the Suns with their young lineup. The OVER is 9-2 the last 11 meetings between these teams, and 3-0 over this season averaging 236 points. Look for an offensive show all night long; Play the Suns/Grizzlies Over the total. |
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02-10-10 | Orlando Magic -3.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 107-87 | Win | 100 | 26 h 10 m | Show |
25-Star Situational Slam Dunk: Magic.
The injuries the Bulls have been dealing with caught up with them during that 3-game losing streak, including an ugly home loss (90-82) to the Clippers. ANY loss to the Clippers is ugly! That was part of an 0-3 SU/ATS run, overvalued by oddsmakers after an impressive stretch before they began to get banged up. Luol Deng missed practice with a right shoulder issue, Noah is out, and even Tyrus Thomas served a one-game suspension for a profanity-laced tirade against coach Vinny Del Negro. Not exactly a happy, coherent squad! This is a tough spot for Chicago, playing the second of a back to back spot, after playing at uptempo Indiana last night. Orlando, meanwhile, is rested. Even a win over the Heat, the Bulls were outrebounded 52-41 -- and a team with a monster frontcourt comes to town in Orlando. The Magic has won 8 of 10 games. Dwight Howard had a monster game the last one, with 25 points and 12 rebounds, and Vince Carter had 48 points (so much for his shooting slump). The visitors are healthy, rested and clicking. Play Orlando. |
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02-08-10 | Dallas Mavericks v. Golden State Warriors +5 | Top | 127-117 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show |
The Mavs riding a bit of a cold streak lately, going 1-4 SU the last five games and 0-6 ATS the last six games. In fact, Dallas has been pretty bad for getting money for bettors, going just 4-16 ATS their last 20 games. The Mavs have been giving up lots of points of late too, allowing over 100 points in each of their last six games. Golden State hasn't been much better, in fact they have played worse straight up - losers in each of the club's last eight games. But we'll throw all that out here. The reason is because this is one of those matchups where one team just seems to have some kind of magic against the other. And that team is Golden State. When it comes to covering the spread, the Warriors have the Mavs number. And that number is 15-5 ATS the last 20 meetings between these clubs. And, at Golden State the Mavs are are a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last nine meetings and 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings. This is one of those NBA matchups where we can just ignore all other factors at the moment and look to this dominating spread performance the Warriors hold over the Mavs. Take the Warriors here and put the odds in your favor.
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02-05-10 | Philadelphia 76ers v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 195.5 | Top | 101-94 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
High Roller Total, 76ers/Hornets Under. Philadelphia has been an under-machine, on a 10-2 run under the total. And one of those OVERs was in overtime. Neither of these teams is very good at shooting the basketball, ranked 19th and 20th in the NBA in field goal shooting. Making matters worse for the Hornets is the loss of star guard Chris Paul, a great scorer and play-maker. The All-Star point guard is out after knee surgery. With the Hornets in transition until Paul returns, forward James Posey had to spend substantial time in the backcourt the last game, a loss to Oklahoma City. Paul is expected to be sidelined up to a month, and the Hornets received more bad news when guard Marcus Thornton bruised his lower back after falling hard on a driving shot in the fourth quarter. Thornton, who scored a game-high 22 points, did not return for the final 7:59 and is listed as day to day. New Orleans squandered an opportunity to move back to the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference standings. New Orleans has gone under the total the last two games. Philadelphia prefers a slower tempo and has gone under 100 points in regulation in 9 of the last 11 games. Play the 76ers/Hornets Under the Total.
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02-04-10 | Miami Heat v. Cleveland Cavaliers -9.5 | Top | 86-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
25-Star Situational Slam Dunk: Cavaliers.
A tough situational handicapping spot for the visitors. Miami is not a good road team and this is the second of a back to back road spot, playing at Boston last night and now at mighty Cleveland. The Cavs are rested, while Miami plays its 3rd game in 4 nights. And Cleveland is a tough place to play. Since the start of last season, the Cavs are an NBA-best 59-5 at home. Cleveland has won its past four games by an average of 19 points! LeBron James tied a career high with 15 assists and Shaquille O'Neal ruled underneath, collecting 13 points and 13 rebounds in 21 minutes to help the Cleveland Cavaliers beat the worn-down Memphis Grizzlies 105-89 on Tuesday night for their ninth straight victory. In the six games the Cavs have played without Mo Williams and Delonte West, James has reached double figures in assists five times. Dan Gibson continued his hot shooting in the starting lineup, scoring a season-high 16 points. His six consecutive games scoring in double figures is the longest streak of his career and he's averaging 13.5 points in that span. The last 5 games the Cavs are a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS. Poor Miami is not only playing the second of a back to back road spot, but their 13th road game over the last 17 games. And Shaq always gets up to face his old teams (he's 2-0 against the Lakers) and faces the team he helped lead to the 2006 NBA title. "Shaq looks great," James said after the last game. "He's motivated, he's playing with a bounce in his step that he didn't have to start the season." Play the Cavaliers. |
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02-03-10 | Chicago Bulls v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 194 | Top | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 24 h 59 m | Show |
High Roller Total: Bulls/76ers Over the total.
The hot streak the Chicago Bulls have been on has been sparked by offense, mainly by the play of guard Derrick Rose. On that terrific road trip they just concluded, Rose averaged 23.6 points and 5.4 assists and the second-year guard consistently displayed his newfound comfort level in taking over games down the stretch. Center Brad Miller is a far better passer and offensive force than defensive one. This will be the Bulls' 8th road game over the last 9 games, plus the second of a back to back spot. Tired legs hurts the defense more than offense. In the last three games playing the second of a back to back spot, the Bulls are 3-0 over the total, going over by wide margins. The 76ers are rested and have allowed 98 ppg the last 5 games, plus allow 47% shooting by opponents, one of the worst marks in the league. Look for an offensive show, play the Bulls/76ers Over the total! |
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02-02-10 | Toronto Raptors -1 v. Indiana Pacers | Top | 115-130 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
30* Road Warrior game of the Year: Raptors.
Don't mess with Toronto! The Raptors are red hot, on a 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS run. They just played this same defenseless Indiana team Sunday, and rolled. Chris Bosh had 26 points and 15 rebounds, Andrea Bargnani scored 17 points and the Raptors won their fifth straight game, beating the Pacers 117-102 on Sunday. "Bosh was just too much for us," Pacers coach Jim O'Brien said. Toronto has won 15 of 20, pulling within 4 1/2 games of Boston for the Atlantic Division lead. They take on an Indiana team again allowing 104 ppg, 25th in the NBA, and one that shoots just 43% -- third worst in the league. By contrast, the Raptors shoot .477% from the field, 5th best. Indiana is on a 2-7 SU, 3-6 ATS run, including 0-4 SU/ATS its last four home games. Play the Raptors. |
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01-29-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 201.5 | Top | 99-91 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 27 m | Show |
NBA High Roller Total: Lakers/76ers Over the total.
Philadelphia is a lousy defensive team, allowing over 47% shooting by opponents -- 7th worst in the NBA. They also allow over 100 ppg. The Lakers come to town with so many offensive options inside and out, alongside superstar Kobe Bryant. LA is sixth in the NBA in scoring, but the defense hasn't been sharp on the road. Coach Phil Jackson said, "Our middle is really soft. We're giving up a lot of penetration and whenever you give up that amount of penetration you're going to get hurt both inside, outside and usually at the foul line. It's a combination of both our guards keeping guys in front of them and our big guys reacting to help." They just went three straight games over the total on this road trip, giving up 105 points in back to back games to Toronto and NY, and 105, 106, 103 and 96 points the last four games. In the loss to the Raptors, Toronto transformed 13 turnovers into 20 points. "There's no way we should have lost this game," Andruw Bynum said. "We had the scoring. We just can't stop them." Bynum is averaging 15.8 points and 8.4 rebounds this season, but his defense has lagged at times. The Lakers should have little trouble scoring on the 76ers as the offense has been red-hot on this trip, scoring 115, 105, 115 and 118 points the last four games. Play the Lakers/Pacers Over the total. |
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01-28-10 | Boston Celtics +3.5 v. Orlando Magic | Top | 94-96 | Win | 100 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month: Celtics.
The Celtics are finally healthy,playing tough defense the last two games with Kevin Garnett back, both wins and holding the opponents to 95 ad 89 points. They have a great road record and have already won here, 86-77, the last meeting. Orlando has been erratic, on a 5-8 SU/ATS run. Eight of the Magic's next nine games heading into the all-star break are against conference opponents, including dates against Boston (twice), Cleveland and Atlanta. The defending East champs (29-16) currently have the fourth-best record, trailing the Cavaliers (35-11), Celtics (29-13) and Hawks (29-14). And that's a Celtics team that has battled a ton of injuries, though they are healthy now. Unable to maximize their talent and sliding since a 17-4 start, the Magic already have faded in the minds of many as a legitimate title contender. Turnovers are taking their toll. Coach Stan Van Gundy said, "The turnovers are creeping up and it's every game it seems," he said after the Magic committed 20 miscues in a 99-94 loss to the Grizzlies in Memphis on Monday night. The Grizzlies scored 21 points off Magic's mistakes. Orlando committed 21 turnovers against the Indiana Pacers (for 21 points) and 23 (for 24 points) against the Sacramento Kings last week. And Boston is a ferocious defensive team. Play the Celtics. |
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01-25-10 | Orlando Magic v. Memphis Grizzlies OVER 204.5 | Top | 94-99 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
The Orlando Magic have won three straight games after beating up on Charlotte Saturday, 106-95. The Magic are tied for first place in the East's Southeast Conference with Atlanta. Orlando is 9th in the league in scoring at 101.27 points per game and seventh in defensive scoring, allowing 96.20 points per game. The Memphis Grizzlies have been playing their best ball of the season, winners of seven of their last 10 games. The Grizzlies are in a very competitive Southwest division where only 5 1/2 games separate first from last. Memphis is coming off a win at home on Friday over Oklahoma City, 86-84. The win was the Grizzlies 10th straight at the FedEx Forum despite shooting a poor 39.2% from the field. Despite the low output, the Grizzlies have scored more than 100 points in four of their last six games and 12 of their last 17. The Grizzlies are fourth in the league in points scored with an average of 103.95 and 24th in points allowed with a 103.86 average. The biggest difference this season is that of Zach Randolph. Randolph is the club's leading scorer (20.9 ppg) and has averaged 25.8ppg and 14.4 rebounds during their 10 game home winning streak. Orlando plays good defense, but Memphis is shooting well at home during this streak and they should easily break 100 points. Consider the fact that Memphis doesn't play the best defense and this game will go OVER tonight.
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01-22-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. New York Knicks OVER 200.5 | Top | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
High Roller Total: Lakers/Knicks Over the total.
The uptempo Lakers and Knicks meet here, with NY 13th in scoring in the league, the Lakers 6th. The Knicks have had 3 full days off for this and it's a great spot to go uptempo as the defending champion Lakers are in the second of a back to back road spot, playing at Cleveland last night. The Knicks have their sparkplug back and it is paying dividends. Nate Robinson scored 27 points Monday to lead the New York Knicks to a 99-91 victory over Detroit. Robinson was benched for 14 games last month before coach Mike D'Antoni returned him to the rotation, needing the guard's energy off the bench. The last time they played an uptempo team, the Knicks lost 114-102 to Toronto -- and the Lakers have better offensive options. Look for an offensive show in this national TV game. Play the Lakers/Knicks Over the total. |
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01-20-10 | Utah Jazz v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 193.5 | Top | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
High Roller Total, Jazz/Spurs Over the total: Two of the three meetings between these teams have gone over the total this season. Going back even further, six of last seven in series have gone OVER. Utah comes in on a 5-2 run over the total, an athletic young teams that loves the uptempo style under sparkplug guard Deron Williams. Utah averages over 100 ppg. We think of the Spurs as a defensive oriented team, but they are terrific on offense this season averaging 101 ppg, 9th best in the NBA. Both teams have outstanding offensive options in the low post and long range. When teams collapse in the low post on Tim Duncan the Spurs love to kick it out for open threes and San Antonio is nailing 38% of its three pointers, this best in the league. The OVER is a sizzling 12-4-1 the last 17 games in series, including 7-1-1 Over the total the last 9 games in San Antonio. Play the Jazz/Spurs Over the total.
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01-18-10 | Sacramento Kings v. Charlotte Bobcats -5.5 | Top | 103-105 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
The Charlotte Bobcats the best scoring defense in the league? Yes they are, the Bobcats allow just 92.71 points per game this season, tops in the league. In fact, they allow an even stingier 90.45 points per game at home. Just how good is this scoring defense? Consider that they have won four straight games and seven of the last eight, including Saturday's trumping of the Suns, 125-99. The pounding of the Suns was even more impressive when you consider that the Bobcats held the leagues top scoring offense (Phoenix) to less than 100 points for the first time in the Suns last 13 games. Meanwhile, Sacramento has been sputtering, losers of three straight games, eight of the last nine and 16 of the last 22. The Kings have failed to cover the spread in their last three games and six of the last seven outings. This is the first meeting between these clubs this season, but Charlotte won and covered both meetings last season. Charlotte playing some of their best ball of the season while the Kings are not. Add to the mix the Bobcats tough defense and it could be a long day for the Kings here. We'll lay the price at home and expect at least a double-digit win by Charlotte.
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01-13-10 | Los Angeles Clippers v. New Orleans Hornets -5.5 | Top | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
20-Star Home Chalk Game of the Year: Hornets.
This is a great spot for the home team, a group that just played of 5 on the road. They are off a loss at Philly, but that was the second of a back to back road spot. New Orleans has been getting healthy and playing well, on a 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS run. That included 4 straight up wins as a dog! Emeka Okafor has been a great addition (20 points and 11 rebounds) the late game, joining stars David West, Peja Stojakovic and Chris Paul. The Clippers have been hot of late, but that has been mostly home gams, plus they caught the Celtics and Lakers hurting. The home team is rested, LA is in the second of a back to back road spot while playing its third game in four nights. New Orleans is 14-3 at home, the Clippers starte 5-10 on the road and the Hornets have dominated the Clippers, on a perfect 11-0 SU/ATS run the last 11 meetings. The average margin of victory in those 11 games: 13.7 ppg! Two of those meetings were this season, by scores of 112-84 and 110-102. Play the Hornets! |
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01-12-10 | Houston Rockets +3 v. Charlotte Bobcats | Top | 94-102 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 12 m | Show |
25* Situational Slam Dunk: (503) Houston Rockets.
Houston has had 2 full days off and comes off a one-sided win over NY. Luis Scola matched a season high with 23 points and Aaron Brooks added 20 for the Rockets. Chase Budinger's presence has been significant to a second unit that is relied upon for energy off the bench. In Budinger's absence, the Rockets were 4-3. Shane Battier surpassed his season average of 33.1 minutes in five of those games, including two games of 40-plus minutes, so the improved bench will help the starters. Trevor Ariza, who is 10th in the NBA in minutes at 38.7, topped 40 minutes during that span twice, so adding Budinger's depth and great energy off the bench is a huge plus. Charlotte is on an 0-3 ATS run, while Houston is 5-2 ATS their last 7 meetings with Charlotte. A great spot for the deep visitors who are getting healthy. Play the Rockets! |
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01-09-10 | Atlanta Hawks v. Orlando Magic UNDER 197 | Top | 81-113 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
20-Star High Roller Total: Hawks/Magic Under the total.
This is a tough spot for both offenses with tired lgs: It's the 3rd game in 4 night for Atlanta, the 4th game in 5 nights for Orlando. It's also the second of a back to back spot for both teams. Orlando is a strong defensive teams, allowing 44% shooting by opponents -- 5th best in the NBA. Orlando has been a strong under team that last two weeks, plus the last two meetings between these teams have gone under the total. The last meeting wasn't even close, in a 93-76 Orlando win, sailing under the total by 26 points. That's not surprising, as these teams are No. 1and 2 in the division, so there is a playoff-type atmosphere when these teams get together. Orlando currently has a slight lead for first place in the Southeast division over the Hawks, so look for another tough defensive duel. Play the Hawks/Magic Under the total. |
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01-08-10 | Cleveland Cavaliers -2 v. Denver Nuggets | Top | 97-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
TV Game of the Month: Cavaliers.
On the surface, it appears to be a marquee showdown of first place teams, possibly even an NBA Finals preview. However, the Nuggets are beat-up. Chauncey Billups, Carmelo Anthony, Chris Andersen, Nene, and Ty Lawson are the main concerns, but players such as Anthony Carter limped out of the Pepsi Center with ice bags covering various joints on his lower body after the last game. Billups might be able to play on Friday against Cleveland. That's some good news, but this team is still thin and struggling, on a 3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS run. Joey Graham scored 20 points with eight rebounds in 29 minutes Tuesday, while Malik Allen finished with six points and five rebounds in 22 minutes. Lawson said he's still iffy on his status for Friday's game. He sprained his left ankle during the Nuggets' win over Golden State on Tuesday night. "You never like this amount of injuries," George Karl said. Cleveland is healthy and playing great, winning 13 of the last 15 games. LeBron James was named Eastern Conference player of the month in December after averaging 28.6 points, 7.4 rebounds and 7.6 assists and leading the Cavs to a 14-3 record. They are 14-6 on the road and 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS their last five road contests. Play the Cavaliers! |
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01-05-10 | Milwaukee Bucks v. New Jersey Nets +1.5 | Top | 98-76 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
25-Star NBA Situational Slam Dunk: Nets.
The Bucks are favored, yet playing terrible basketball, on a 1-4 SU/ATS run. In fact, they are 1-2 SU/ATS their last 3 games as a favorite. Milwaukee is second worst in the NBA in shooting at .428% from the field. They are 3-11 SU on the road, yet favored in this one. The coaching change in New Jersey has helped to get the team more focused on defense, plus they are on a 3-1 ATS run. The Nets were a +10 home dog the last game but got the cover in a loss to the mighty Cavaliers, allowing 39% shooting. In addition to the improved defense, the offense is getting better, as Devin Harris scored 22 points and Brook Lopez 20 for the Nets. New Jersey shot only 4 of 20 in the third, but Cleveland failed to pull away, leading only 69-61 heading into the final quarter. That's why defense can keep you in the game even when the offense slips. This is the 7th straight home game for New Jersey, their longest home stand of the season. he game before the Nets were a home dog to New York but won 104-95, shooting 51%. An excellent situational spot on the home team, play the Nets! |
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12-30-09 | Utah Jazz v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 200 | Top | 107-103 | Win | 100 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
20* NBA Hi-Roller Total: Jazz/Timberwolves Over the total.
Utah is strong at home, but just 5-9 on the road because of lousy defense. Utah is 11-7 over the total the last 18 games and they will have tired legs as this is their 6th road game over the last 8 games. Two weeks ago they were a 13-point home favorite over this young Minnesota team, and lost 110-108, a game that sailed over the total by double digits. The Wolves won consecutive games last week for the first time since last April, and four of seven games after starting the season 3-21 because of good health on offense: The Timberwolves have been better since 7-footer Kevin Love came back, joining Al Jefferson up front and Damien Wilkins. Of course, the defense has been suspect often, which is common with young teams, allowing 104.5 ppg -- 25th in the NBA. They also allow over 47% shooting by opponents. Minnesota is 2-0 SU/ATS against the Jazz this season, dominating the glass (48-36) when they met the last time, and 2-0 over the total. The Jazz seemed content with trying to outscore the Timberwolves rather than slow them down and Utah got burned in the end. That is common with teams that rely more on offense than defense. Look for another uptempo game between these strong offenses. Play the Jazz/Timberwolves Over the total. |
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12-29-09 | Oklahoma City Thunder +2 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 110-98 | Win | 100 | 23 h 13 m | Show |
25-Star NBA Situational Slam Dunk: Oklahoma City.
Oklahoma City is a young team quietly playing good ball, on a recent 7-3 ATS run. They've won twice as a dog during that stretch, including a 117-113 win at Phoenix as a +9 dog. Kevin Durant said, "I think our focus is a little bit better on the road than it is at home. I know that |
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12-25-09 | Cleveland Cavaliers +5.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 102-87 | Win | 100 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
20-Star NBA TV Marquee Mismatch: Cavs. You need frontcourt muscle and a big defensive guard to throw at the Lakers. Most teams don't have that combo, but the Cavaliers do, with the Big Z and Shaq up front, and 6-8 LeBron James an outstanding defensive player to harrass Kobe Bryant. LeBron James has 6-5 lead over Kobe. It's been a great road trip for Cleveland, with a win at Phoenix plus the Cavs beat the Kings, 117-104, in overtime. James had 34 points, a season-high 16 rebounds and 10 assists for his second triple double of the season. James' Cavs won five straight over the Lakers until losing both games last season. James has averaged 26.8 points in his 11 games against the Lakers when Bryant was in the lineup. This is the final game of a 4-game road trip for Cleveland, and while LA has been winning of late, they have been overvalued at 2-5 ATS the last 7 games. They are also just 2-4 ATS the last 6 home games. In a marquee battle of stars and solid role players, the value is all with the visitors. Play the Cavaliers.
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12-22-09 | Chicago Bulls v. New York Knicks -5.5 | Top | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 25 h 39 m | Show |
25* Situational Slam Dunk: NY Knicks.
The Knicks play their best basketball at home, the Bulls play their worst basketball on the road, a miserable 2-10. The Knicks are playing well, on a 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS run, even winning 3 times as a dog. Wilson Chandler scored 26 points, Danilo Gallinari added 21 and a huge block in the closing seconds, and the Knicks held on for a 98-94 victory over the Charlotte Bobcats on Sunday. "You work every day on everything, not just on your offense," Gallinari said. "I think we are definitely playing better. We are playing I think really good defense for 48 minutes." Workhorse David Lee finished with 15 points and 15 rebounds for the Knicks. The Bulls are on a 4-9-1 ATS run despite playing a string of home games. In their last two road games they packed it in, losing by 14 and 35 points. This is the 3rd game in 4 nights for the Bulls and the second of a back to back spot. Chicago is 3-9 ATS its last 12 on the road, 0-6 ATS its last 6 in the second of a back to back. Plus they are 3-7 ATS the last 10 times in the second of a back to back spot on the road. A great spot for the motivated and hot home team. Play the NY Knicks. |