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Jim Feist NFL Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
01-17-22 Cardinals v. Rams UNDER 50 Top 11-34 Win 100 23 h 8 m Show

Two NFC West teams that are well acquainted meet here on Wild Card Monday as the Rams host the Cardinals at So-Fi Stadium. The Rams won the NFC West, despite their loss in their last game to the San Francisco 49ers, 24-27. That loss snapped a five game win streak by the Rams and a 4-1 spread win streak. That opened the door for Arizona to win the division but they also lost their last game to Seattle, 30-38. The Cardinals slumped badly down the stretch, going 1-4 S/U and ATS in their last five games. I'm looking at this game under tonight. The Cards don't play all that well on field turf, going 3-13 O/U in their last 16 games. They are also 3-14 O/U in their last 17 road games. The Rams have gone under in four of their last five home games and 5-17 O/U in their last 22 as a home favorite. I am sticking with the UNDER here on Monday Night.

01-16-22 Steelers v. Chiefs UNDER 46.5 21-42 Loss -110 105 h 7 m Show

The Pittsburgh Steelers slid their way into this postseason thanks to the LV Raiders deciding to go for the win instead of the tie in their OT with the Chargers. Big Ben lives to play another game, though this looks to be the last of his luxurious career. And, you get two of the elder statesmen in coaches with the Steelers Tomlin and Chiefs Reid. That being said, I don't see the Chiefs running away with this game. Reid won't want to embarrass Ben on what is likely his last game. I look for the Steelers to play ball control and do their best to keep the Chiefs potent offense off the field. I look for a lower scoring game here on Sunday. I'll play the UNDER.

01-16-22 49ers v. Cowboys UNDER 51 23-17 Win 100 40 h 21 m Show

The San Francisco 49ers showed a lot of guts in week 18 at the Rams. Down 0-17 they clawed their way back to tie the game in the 4th quarter and had a chance to take the lead before Rams CB Ramsey made a circus interception at the same time the refs missed a roughing on the QB. The Rams took over the ball and marched the field to score the go ahead TD. After a SF punt and defensive stand, they Niners got the ball back with not much time on the clock and no time outs. QB Jimmy Garappolo marched the Niners the length of the field for the TD and forced OT where they kicked a field goal. The Rams threw an INT on the subsequent possession and SFO goes to the playoffs. Look for the Niners to run the ball a lot here today. As such, if they can keep the Cowboys off the field a bit more then this should be a lower scoring game. I'll take the UNDER

01-16-22 Eagles v. Bucs UNDER 47 15-31 Win 100 98 h 52 m Show

 The Philadelphia Eagles got into the playoffs but no thanks to their last regular season game. The Eagles lost last Saturday at home to the Dallas Cowboys, 26-51. Tampa Bay had little trouble with the Carolina Panthers, winning at home 41-17. I see the key to this game as the running game for the Eagles. The Eagles need to run effectively in order to win games. Problem is they are playing one of the best run defenses in the league in the Tampa Bay Bucs. The Bucs look to start defense of their NFL Championship with Tom Brady and a patchwork of receivers. They lost Antonio Brown when he stormed off the field. The already have lost Chris Goodwin to a season-ending injury. Now they have lost Cyril Grayson who was injured in the Panthers win. But, Brady still seems to find the right receivers at the right time. There looks to be some big Thunderstorms headed the way of this game on Sunday and that will make it even tougher on Philly. I look for a lower scoring game, especially out of the Eagles. Play UNDER

01-15-22 Patriots v. Bills UNDER 44 17-47 Loss -106 20 h 6 m Show

 Ok, we know Buffalo can be cold, but it's going to be insanely cold in this game. The temp is going to be in the single digits and if you figure in the wind chill, how about minus 10-15 degrees. This will be one of the coldest games in NFL history on Saturday. That being said, I expect to see the ball run a lot here on Saturday night. I don't expect to see a lot of long passes in this game. I'm going to play this game under solely on the teams and their ability to run the ball. Take the UNDER.

01-15-22 Raiders v. Bengals UNDER 48.5 19-26 Win 100 16 h 21 m Show

The Raiders had to win down the stretch to get here and they did it with an interim coach, something not done in 60-years. They also had a chance to tie and send the Chargers to the playoffs too, but they were able to get into Field goal range late in OT and get the win. The weather looks to be cold here on Sunday with a 50% chance of snow, something Vegas isn't used to playing in. The lowest temp Vegas has played this year was 40 degrees and that was a Vegas win at Cleveland, 16-14. The Bengals will host their first playoff game since 2015. I don't think any team has gone through as much controversy this year as the Raiders have. Yet, they seem to be able to come out all right. The weather is going to be somewhat of a factor here. While the snow should hold off until after the game, it will be below freezing for the entire game. Vegas hasn't played below 40 degrees this year and as such I'm expecting a lower scoring game here today. Play UNDER.

01-09-22 Chargers v. Raiders OVER 48.5 32-35 Win 100 22 h 36 m Show

The game with the most importance to both teams was moved to Sunday night as the Raiders host the Chargers. The winner of this game will get into the playoffs while the loser goes home. The Chargers coming off a win last week vs Denver, 34-13, snapped a two-game losing streak. Las Vegas has won three straight to keep their playoff hopes alive, though they do need that fourth here today. They beat the Colts last week on the road, 23-20 with Carlson hitting the game winning field goal as time expired. The good news for the Raiders is that they might get back TE Darren Waller here today who has missed time with both injury and Covid protocols. In fact, the Raiders have a number of players they might get back Sunday coming off their Covid protocols. With players coming back and neither team exactly defensive juggernauts, I look for a high scoring game on Sunday Night. Take the OVER.

01-09-22 Seahawks v. Cardinals UNDER 48 38-30 Loss -105 18 h 42 m Show

The LA Rams can win the NFC West title with a victory here today over the SF 49ers. The Rams can win with a loss if Arizona also loses today against Seattle. The 49ers are currently the sixth seed in the NFC and can clinch a playoff spot with a win. The Rams bring a 5-game win streak into today's contest after a come from behind win last week at Baltimore, 20-19. It's still unclear if 49er's QB Jimmy Garoppolo will play today as he's still suffering from a thumb injury. Trey Lance would once again be in line to start this game. Both teams have excellent defenses and this looks to be a tight game. I don't expect this game to eclipse 40 points and with the total at 44.5, I'll take the UNDER here today.

01-09-22 49ers v. Rams UNDER 44.5 27-24 Loss -105 18 h 38 m Show

The LA Rams can win the NFC West title with a victory here today over the SF 49ers. The Rams can win with a loss if Arizona also loses today against Seattle. The 49ers are currently the sixth seed in the NFC and can clinch a playoff spot with a win. The Rams bring a 5-game win streak into today's contest after a come from behind win last week at Baltimore, 20-19. It's still unclear if 49er's QB Jimmy Garoppolo will play today as he's still suffering from a thumb injury. Trey Lance would once again be in line to start this game. Both teams have excellent defenses and this looks to be a tight game. I don't expect this game to eclipse 40 points and with the total at 44.5, I'll take the UNDER here today.

01-02-22 Dolphins v. Titans UNDER 41 3-34 Win 100 3 h 54 m Show

Miami has been amazing after starting the season with a 1-7 record. They really turned things around with seven straight wins and put themselves in the playoff hunt. They have two tough games to go, today against Tennessee then against the Patriots to close out the regular season. Miami's defense has been very good, allowing 17 points or fewer in four of their last five games. They are coming off an impressive win at New Orleans, 20-3 as a 3.5-point favorite. Despite losing Derek Henry to a foot injury, the Tennessee Titans are still one game ahead of Indianapolis for the AFC South lead. The Titans are 10-5 on the season, they average 23.8 ppg while allowing 21.7 ppg. The Titans haven't been hit too hard with the Covid bug, with just three players out today. The Titans are coming off that Thursday night win over the 49ers, 20-17, a game which they trailed 0-10. The Titans have allowed just 36 total points over their last three games. Looks to be a good defensive battle today. I'll take the UNDER.

01-02-22 Giants v. Bears UNDER 36.5 3-29 Win 100 3 h 53 m Show

These two teams not going anywhere this post season and it looks like a miserable day for a game. The weather at Soldier Field in Chicago is expect to be cold, in the 20's with winds around 15-20, so that will make it eve colder. With both teams not going anywhere and the offenses both less than stellar, might make for a sloppy day on the field. The Giants average just 16.5 ppg this season and have scored more than 13 points just once in the last five games. They are 0-4 S/U and ATS in their last four games. The Giants are also 5-15-1 O/U in their last 21 games as a dog. Chicago isn't much better, averaging just 17.7 ppg this season. They did manage a win last week at Seattle, but against one of the worst defenses in the NFL,m 25-24. At home they are just 2-5 S/U and ATS along with going under in five of those seven games. The Bears have gone under in six of their last seven games as a home favorite and 19 of their last 26 overall at home. With the weather and both teams dead teams walking, I'll take the UNDER.

12-27-21 Dolphins v. Saints UNDER 38 Top 20-3 Win 100 9 h 9 m Show

The Miami Dolphins have been hot, winning six straight games and covering five of those. They have also gone under in five of their last seven games, thanks in big part to a stingy defense that has allowed more than 17 points just one time in their last six games. The Miami defense has also climbed to 18th overall in the NFL after being near bottom back in November. The New Orleans Saints defense has been solid, ranked 13th overall and 5th vs the run. The Saints have won two straight games including their big shutout win at Tampa Bay last time out, 9-0. They held the high powered Bucs offense to just 302 totals yards and frustrated Tom Brady the entire game. The problem with the Saints is at QB. They will not have Trevor Siemian today and Tayson Hill is doubtful with Covid protocols. That leaves starting duties to Ian Book. Book is the only QB left on the Saints roster and will make his first every NFL start tonight. That with the wild card on the line for the Saints. Book was a fourth-round 2021 draft choice out of Notre Dame. With Book starting and the Miami defense playing great, I'll take this game UNDER tonight.

12-26-21 Rams v. Vikings OVER 48.5 30-23 Win 100 3 h 32 m Show

The Rams can take over sole 1st place in the NFC West with a win today over the Vikings. The Cardinals loss last night to the Colts opened that door for the Rams. They will take on the 2nd place team in the NFC North, the Vikings. Minnesota is 7-7 and can't overtake Green Bay for 1st place but still has a chance with a win for a wild card slot. The Rams have won three straight games after their two-game losing skid. They are coming off a win over Seattle, 20-10. The Rams do good vs the NFC, going 27-12-1 their last 40 games vs the spread. The Vikings have won two straight games after a 2-game losing skid. They have wins over Pittsburgh and then last week over Chicago, 17-9. The Vikes are only 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. I'm looking at the OVER here today. The Rams are 6-2-1 O/U in their last nine road games. The Vikings have gone over in four of their last five overall. I look for plenty of points in this one today. Play OVER.

12-25-21 Colts v. Cardinals UNDER 48.5 22-16 Win 100 9 h 28 m Show

The Arizona Cardinals have to be one of the strangest teams in the NFL this year. They are 10-4 and tied for first place in the NFC West. However, last week they go to Detroit and were never in the game with a blowout loss, 12-30. Their offense could manage just just 13 points and 36 points over the last two weeks. It won't get any easier today against the 15th ranked defense in the Colts. The Colts have the most take aways this year. The Colts are +14 in turnover ratio, tops in the league. The Colts beat the red-hot Patriots last week, 27-17 with two more turnovers in that game. They have won four of their last five games and gone under in their last two games. The Colts also have the top running back in the league in Jonathon Taylor, so they should be able to control the ball on the ground today. I'm taking the UNDER.

12-25-21 Browns v. Packers UNDER 46.5 22-24 Win 100 6 h 42 m Show

This game does have playoff implications as the Packers have clinched a postseason spot, but the Browns are still battling. The Browns are in last in the AFC North at 7-7, one game back of the Bengals. They are 12th in the Wild Card race tied with three other teams. If the Browns lose today, they will be eliminated if the Ravens and Steelers both win. The Packers are 11-3 and have the best record in the NFL. While they can't clinch the No 1 seed this week, a win goes a long way toward that goal. I look at the Browns as the desperate team here today. They will look to control the ball on the ground with Chubb and keep Aaron Rodgers offense off the field as long as they can. That being said, I don't believe the Browns can get into a scoring match here today with the Packers. They need to keep this score lower and that means rushing the ball. I'm taking the UNDER here today.

12-23-21 49ers v. Titans OVER 44 Top 17-20 Loss -113 8 h 36 m Show

The San Francisco 49ers are in one of the toughest division in football, the NFC West. Even though they have a 8-6 record, they trail the Rams and Cardinals by 2-games. However, they do have the best Wild Card record at this point, so they need to keep winning. The 49ers have won two straight games over Cincinnati, 26-23 and then last week over Atlanta, 31-13. Now they have the short week turnaround as they travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans. The Titans are coming off a loss at Pittsburgh, 13-19 as a 1-point dog. That makes them 1-3 S/U and ATS over their last four games. The 49ers are ranked 12th overall in offense, 7th in rushing. The Titans have dropped to 17th since the loss of Derek Henry. The 49ers are 7-3-1 O/U in their last 11 games as a road favorite. The Titans are 6-2 O/U in their last eight home games. These teams have gone over in their last four meetings and that's what I look for again here today. Play OVER.

12-21-21 Washington Football Team v. Eagles UNDER 41 17-27 Loss -108 6 h 33 m Show

Washington and Philly are tied at 6-7 in the NFC East. Neither team will catch the 1st place Cowboys at 10-4, but both still are alive in the NFC Wild Card. Loser here will be done in the race. This game got moved from Sunday due to severe Covid outbreak with Washington, including starting QB Taylor Heinicke among many others. Most are questionable pending their Covid test today, including Heinike. Ryan Fitzpatrick looks to return to and should start at QB if Heinicke can't go. Washington has seen its last four game go under and eight of last nine go under. This is due in part to a 20th ranked offense and a 17th ranked defense. Washington coming off a loss last week to Dallas, 20-27 as a 6.5-point dog. Philadelphia is coming off a win over the Jets, 33-18. They have gone under in two of their last three and three of the last five. I don't look for this to be a high scoring game. I'll take UNDER.

12-21-21 Seahawks v. Rams OVER 46.5 10-20 Loss -110 6 h 32 m Show

Seattle has rebounded nicely after a three game stretch where the offense really struggled. They are coming off wins over the 49ers, 30-23 and then last week over Houston, 33-13. The Seattle offense ranks only 28th overall. The defense still ranks last overall in the NFL. Now they have to face a LA Rams team fighting for a playoff spot. The Rams have won two straight games after their loss to the Packers back on Nov 28th. They beat Jacksonville, 37-7 and then last week beat Arizona, 30-23. Both teams have been scoring and I will take the OVER in this matchup today.

12-18-21 Patriots v. Colts OVER 45 17-27 Loss -100 9 h 39 m Show

The New England Patriots have opened up a 2-game lead in the AFC East over the Buffalo Bills. The Patriots are not only 6-0 away from home this year but are on a 7-game win streak. They head to Indianapolis tonight to face the Colts. The Colts trail the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South by two games. After that, the Wild Card at this point is surely Wild and up for a number a teams to take. The Colts have the leagues 11th ranked overall offense and 2nd ranked rushing attack. New England has the leagues 16th ranked offense. The Colts have the 12th ranked defense and the Patriots have the 3rd ranked defense. As for the total, the Colts have gone over in five of their last seven overall games. They are also 13-3 O/U in their last 16 games vs a team with a winning record. This series has also been a good over bet with 16 of the last 21 meetings going over and seven of the last nine at Indianapolis going OVER. Play OVER today.

12-13-21 Rams v. Cardinals UNDER 51 30-23 Loss -110 4 h 53 m Show

The Arizona Cardinals can take sole possession of the NFC standings with a win here tonight over the LA Rams. The Cardinals are 10-2 this season with the 10-3 Packers and Bucs on their heals. The Rams sit at 8-4 and right now looking for one of the those NFC Wild Card slots. The Rams are 5-7 ATS on the season and coming off a win and cover over Jacksonville, 37-7. That snapped a four-game spread losing streak. Arizona is 9-3 ATS and coming off a win and cover over Chicago, 33-22. The Rams have a 2-5-1 O/U record in their last eight road games. They are also 3-7 O/U in their last 10 vs the NFC West. Arizona is 9-19 O/U in their last 28 games as a home favorite. I will take the UNDER here tonight.

12-12-21 Bears v. Packers UNDER 44 30-45 Loss -110 126 h 40 m Show

The Chicago Bears travel to chilly Green Bay to take on the Packers here in week 14. The Bears are 4-8 S/U and ATS with a 4-8 O/U record. They average just 16.7 ppg this season while allowing 23.9 ppg. The Bears offense has now fallen to 31st in the NFL with the only team worse being Houston. The Bears do have the worst passing average in the NFL with just 173.8 yards per game. QB Justin Field missed last week's game with a rib injury and is questionable to play this Sunday. That means Andy Dalton will likely get the start again. The Packers improved to 9-3 with a win two week's ago at home over the Rams, 36-28. They Packers had last week off and they needed it. QB Aaron Rodgers has been nursing a toe injury and used the extra time off to heal. Both these teams have been good under plays this year with both having identical 4-8 O/U records. The Bears have also gone under in eight of their last 11 overall and are 12-28 O/U in their last 40-games on grass. Cold weather, wind and maybe even some rain/snow likely all play a part this week. The Bears already can't score much, add weather and they get even worse. I'll take the UNDER. 

12-12-21 Bills v. Bucs OVER 52 27-33 Win 100 116 h 54 m Show

The Buffalo Bills coming off that wind-swept loss last week to the NE Patriots, 10-14. The Bills had two straight trips into the red-zone late in the 4th quarter and came away with no points. The loss dropped the Bills to 7-5 overall and two-games back of the Patriots in the AFC East. Now the Bills face the real prospect of having to fight for a AFC Wild Card slot. The Bills have lost three of their last five games and scored 15 points or fewer in those three losses. It won't get any easier this week as the Bills have to travel to Tampa to face the NFL defending Champion Bucs. Tampa Bay improved to 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS with their win last week at Atlanta, 30-17. It was the team's third straight win after having two losses in a row. Tampa Bay also has the league's third best overall offense and top rated passing attack. These are two very good offenses and I look for this game to fly OVER the total.

12-12-21 Ravens v. Browns UNDER 42.5 22-24 Loss -110 118 h 18 m Show

Baltimore is 8-4 S/U and 5-7 ATS after losing on Sunday to the Pittsburgh Steelers, 19-20. That snapped a two game winning streak. The Ravens have also now gone under in three straight games. The Ravens defense is ranked 20th in the NFL overall, but 2nd vs the rush and 32 nd vs the pass. The offense is 4th overall, 2nd rushing and 13th passing. The Browns had last week off after losing to the Ravens back on Nov 28th, 10-16. The Browns offense is ranked 16th and while their rushing is ranked 3rd they had only 40 yards on the ground in their loss to the Ravens two weeks ago. Weather can also wreck havoc in Cleveland and right now it doesn't look too bad, but that can change quickly. I look for a repeat of their game two weeks ago, a low scoring affair. Take UNDER.

12-09-21 Steelers v. Vikings UNDER 44.5 28-36 Loss -110 10 h 29 m Show

Tonight, it's the Steelers at the Vikings in this Inter-Conference matchup. The injury report isn't good for the Vikings in this one as their star RB Dalvin Cook is questionable with a shoulder injury. At first it looked like a season ending injury, but turned out to just be dislocated. Still, without Cook this Vikings team is not the same. The Vikings have the dubious distinction of being the first team to lose to the Detroit Lions this year after last week's 27-29 setback at Detroit. That makes two straight losses for the Vikings. They will have to face a Steelers team that is playing with lots of confidence after coming from behind last week to beat Baltimore, 20-19. That improved the Steelers to 6-5-1 on the season. While the Steelers are still 3rd in the AFC North, they kept their playoff hopes alive. Minnesota will also be without their star wide receiver in Adam Thielen who has an ankle injury. Even with Cook playing tonight, they will still be missing a key cog tonight and I look for this game to go UNDER. 

12-06-21 Patriots v. Bills UNDER 41.5 14-10 Win 100 10 h 19 m Show

Looks like a typical late fall early winter night in Buffalo as the weather is going to be around freezing with rain that will turn to snow with very high winds that can be upwards of 30 mph. This will make for a very interesting night between the Pats and the Bills. The Patriots have been rolling too, winning six straight games. their defense has also been great, allowing 18 points or fewer in five of those games. They have also covered all six. The Bills have been hit and miss of late, going 2-2 S/U and ATS their last four games. The defense, with the exception of the 41 points allowed to Indianapolis two weeks ago has also been very good, allowing 17 or fewer in four of their last five games. Considering the weather, points will be at a premium tonight. I'll take the UNDER.

12-05-21 Jaguars v. Rams OVER 47.5 7-37 Loss -110 15 h 25 m Show

 The Jacksonville Jaguars are 2-9 on the season and tied for last in the NFC overall standings. While they won't be going to the postseason, they can make life rougher on the Rams chances here today. The Jags are 4-7 ATS and average 15.7 ppg while allowing 25.7 ppg. The Jags defense is ranked 19th overall in the NFL while their offense is 23rd. The Jags have lost three straight games. The Rams need to stop their free fall if they hope to make the playoffs. They have lost three straight games including last week at Green Bay, 28-36. They have also failed to cover their last five games. The Rams return home where they are 3-2 S/U and 2-3 ATS. Neither team all that good defensively, despite the big name defensive players on the Rams. I expect the Rams offense to get back on track today and if we can get a few TD's out of the Jags we'll get the OVER. Play OVER.

12-05-21 Cardinals v. Bears UNDER 43 33-22 Loss -110 12 h 21 m Show

The Chicago Bears have had some extra time off before today's game with their last coming on Thanksgiving Day in their win at Detroit in the last seconds, 16-14. The Bears are 4-7 on the season and out of the playoffs. But they can still put a bump in the Cardinals playoff run. Arizona QB Kyler Murray is questionable today with his ongoing ankle injury. With or without Murray, this game looks to be one that the weather could have an impact on. This will be the first time the Cardinals will have to deal with cold weather. There is a near 50% chance of rain and while it will be in the 40 degree range, the winds will be pushing 20 mph and that not only makes the wind chill much less but the rain that much colder. I believe the weather will play a factor here today, especially if Murray doesn't play for the Cardinals. Take the UNDER today in chilly Chicago.

12-05-21 Vikings v. Lions UNDER 47 27-29 Loss -110 12 h 20 m Show

Detroit Lions still looking for their first win of the season. They have had plenty of time off, last playing on Thanksgiving Day and losing to Chicago in the last seconds, 14-16. It's their third straight game decided by 3-points or fewer. Bad news is that they have scored 16 points or fewer in each of their last four games. Detroit has the 28th ranked defense and the 29th ranked offense. They face a Vikings team ranked 9th in offense and 30th in defense. The Vikings lost last week at San Francisco, 26-34 as a 4-point dog. The Vikings are 8th overall in the NFC. I don't expect the Lions to get many points here today. I'll take the UNDER and see if Detroit can keep it close. Play UNDER.

12-02-21 Cowboys v. Saints UNDER 47.5 Top 27-17 Win 100 10 h 56 m Show

The Dallas Cowboys look to get back on the winning track tonight as they play under the dome in New Orleans. The Cowboys have lost two straight games, including last week's OT home loss to the Raiders, 33-36. Despite the losing streak, Dallas still has the NFL's top overall offense, ranked 7th in rushing and 3rd in passing. They will face a New Orleans team that has had lots of issues on offense since QB Jameis Winston went down with an injury. The Saints are now 28th overall on offense. The good news is that they have a solid defense, that ranks 12th overall and 3rd against the rush. The Saints have lost four straight games, including last week at home to the Bills, 6-31. The offense had just 190 total yards in the loss. Four of the last five in this series at New Orleans has gone UNDER and I don't expect a lot of points out of the Saints tonight. They have very few big offensive weapons and little help with the few they do have. Take UNDER.

11-28-21 Bucs v. Colts OVER 53 38-31 Win 100 13 h 43 m Show

The Tampa Bay Bucs got off to a hot start, winning six of their first seven games. Since then they have lost back-to-back games to New Orleans and Washington before rebounding with a win at home last week over the Giants, 30-10. They have covered just three of their last eight games. Meanwhile, the Indianapolis Colts are one of the hottest teams in the NFL winning three straight games and now back in the playoff picture. They went into Buffalo last week as a 7-point dog and blew out the Bills, 41-15. Jonathon Taylor had five touchdowns in that win. The Bucs have gone over in 28 of their last 41 road games. They have also gone over in seven of the last 10 on fieldturf. The Colts have gone over in 11 of the last 12 vs a team with a winning record. They are also 4-0 in their last four as a dog. The teams have gone over in four of the last five meetings and that's what i look for today. Play OVER.

11-25-21 Bills v. Saints UNDER 45.5 Top 31-6 Win 100 20 h 33 m Show

Who would have expected the Indianapolis Colts to return to HC Frank Reich's old stomping grounds and put a hurting on the 1st place Hills? But they did. The Colts behind FIVE Jonathon Taylor TD's manhandled the Bills, 41-15. The Colts have four takeaways and no turnovers in the win. Now the Bills have to hit the road for a game at the Saints. Two of their last three games have not been good, beginning three weeks again in Jacksonville where they lost 6-9. Sure they rebounded an blew out the NY Jets, 45-17, but that's the Jets we are talking about. The Saints also got blown out last week, despite a mad fourth quarter rally against Philadelphia, 29-40. The Saints have the 10th ranked defense in the league, 3rd against the rush and 21st vs the pass. The Bills still have the leagues top defense, despite the blowout last week. The Bills are 8th vs the rush and 2nd vs the pass. I look for this game to go under today with weather not playing any issue as it did last week in Buffalo. Play UNDER

11-25-21 Raiders v. Cowboys UNDER 51.5 36-33 Loss -108 16 h 45 m Show

The Raiders have been a team in disarray every since news broke about Jon Gruden and he was forced to resign. Since then they have lost WR Henry Ruggs and a starting defensive back - both to off field issues. And since then they are just 1-3, including last week's loss at home to Cincinnati, 13-32. The once top ranked offense now looks out of sorts and has not cracked 300 yards in the last two game (both at home). The Dallas Cowboys ran into a buzz saw last week in Kansas City and could only manage nine points in the loss, 9-19. The offense had just 276 total yards for a team that is ranked 1st in the NFL in offense. I don't expect the Raiders to get it together in this short week, but I do expect the Cowboys will. Take the UNDER as Vegas has all kinds of problems on offense.

11-21-21 Cowboys v. Chiefs OVER 56 9-19 Loss -107 17 h 59 m Show

The marquee game of the day has two of the best offenses in the NFL facing off here today as the Dallas Cowboys face the Kansas City Chiefs. The Cowboys rebounded from the loss two weeks ago to Denver, 16-30, with a win last week over Atlanta, 43-3. Dallas is the league's TOP offense with 434 yards per game. They are also very balanced, 4th in rushing and 4th in passing. Kansas City has the league's 3rd ranked offense, 18th rushing and 3rd passing. The Chiefs had a couple of off weeks in regards to offense, but that was because of QB Patrick Mahomes hurting. They beat the Aaron Rodger less Packers two weeks ago, 13-7 and then rebounded with a more Chiefs like performance last week in Vegas, 41-14. The offense had over 500 yards. This one should pan out to be a back-and-forth battle of offenses and as such I'll take the OVER.

11-21-21 Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 47.5 23-13 Win 100 17 h 58 m Show

Arizona has had to play without QB Kyler Murray for a few weeks now. They looked great in their first week without him and then terrible in the next. Right now Murray is listed as questionable with his ankle injury for today's contest. His backup, Colt McCoy is also questionable with a pectoral muscle issue. Arizona is 8-2 S/U and 7-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off that loss at Carolina last week, 10-34. That makes them 1-2 S/U and ATS the last three weeks. The Seahawks have QB Russell Wilson back, but that didn't help last week at Green Bay in which they got shutout, 0-17. The offense had just 208 total yards in the loss. Both offenses have had issues in recent weeks and even if Murray is back this week, he won't be as active as normal with his ankle likely still hurting. Play the UNDER.

11-21-21 Bengals v. Raiders OVER 50.5 32-13 Loss -104 17 h 39 m Show

The Cincinnati Bengals started the season 3-1 and then 5-2 to top the division. However, since then they are 0-2 S/U and ATS after losing to instate rival Cleveland last week, 16-41. The Bengals have the league's 14th ranked offense. Las Vegas Raiders also started the season strong at 3-0. Since then they are 2-4 and have to go through a lot of off-field issues that could have played part in their recent losses. They are coming off a home loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, 14-41. They allowed a season high 422 passing yards to the Chiefs. The Raiders still have the 8th ranked offense overall, 28th rushing and 2nd passing. This looks to be a game fill with passing yards and points. I'll take the OVER today.

11-21-21 Ravens v. Bears UNDER 44 16-13 Win 100 14 h 35 m Show

A few factors going on here in this game today from Solider Field in Chicago. The Baltimore Ravens could have a sick QB in Lamar Jackson. He's been battle some form of illness and then after participating in Wednesday and Thursday practices was pronounced ready to play. However, since then he's gotten worse and while he did make the trip with the team his status is up in the air. He's listed as probable, but I have to wonder if that will change before game time. Baltimore has the league's 2nd ranked offense thanks to Jackson and his contribution to a 2nd ranked rushing offense. The Bears have the league's 31st ranked offense, 5th rushing and last in passing. The other issue is the wind factor. Winds can be over 23 mph sustained here on Sunday and that will hurt passing attacks. With a ill Jackson and the wind, I am going to stick with the UNDER today.

11-21-21 Lions v. Browns UNDER 43 10-13 Win 100 14 h 34 m Show

The Detroit Lions are still looking for that first win of the year at 0-8-1. They gave the Steelers all they could handle last week, but the teams came away with a 16-16 tie after no team scored in the OT. The offense wasn't good, at least passing where they got just 77 yards. The rushing game was excellent with 229 yards on the ground. The Lions have now gone under in six of their last seven games. The Cleveland Browns look to rebound from a poor performance last week at New England, 7-45. The offense was dismal with just 217 total yards. The weather has me concerned this week in Cleveland. There will be showers for most of the game with winds that could sustain up to 20 mph. Cleveland is notorious for bad weather games and I have to take this one under with the Lions involved.

11-18-21 Patriots v. Falcons OVER 47 25-0 Loss -101 20 h 28 m Show

The Patriots are hitting on both offensive and defensive cylinders of late. They won last week at home over Cleveland, 45-7 and the week before at Carolina, 24-6. The Patriots now have the league's 7th best defense overall and are tops in QB sacks this year (17). The Falcons had their worst offensive show of the season last week at Dallas in a 3-43 loss. They had just 214 total yards. The Patriots offense has been very balanced, with 140 or more yards rushing in each of the last four weeks and 211 or more yards passing in three of the four weeks. I look for the Patriots to control this game again and keep producing their high point totals. Take the OVER.

11-14-21 Vikings v. Chargers OVER 53 27-20 Loss -115 16 h 32 m Show

The Minnesota Vikings are coming off a OT loss last week at Baltimore, 31-34. The Vikings looked to have that game in control but let Lamar Jackson get the Ravens back into the game in the 2nd half. Good news for the Vikings, it was their 2nd time in the last three games that the offense scored more than 30 points. They had 500 yards of offense against the Ravens. That moved the offense to 10th overall in the NFL. The Chargers went to Philly last week and came away with the win, 27-24. QB Herbet had 356 yards passing in the win. The Chargers have the 9th ranked offense, 5th passing and 20th rushing. The Chargers should get plenty of points today against a Vikings defense ranked 27th.I look for this game to go OVER today.

11-14-21 Falcons v. Cowboys OVER 54.5 3-43 Loss -110 12 h 26 m Show

The Dallas Cowboys have the best overall offense in the NFL, ranked 3rd rushing and 4th passing. Last week that offense didn't click in their loss to the Broncos, 16-30. The Cowboys were never in that game, down 0-30. My feeling is the offense had just 290 yards because of Dak Prescot. Dak missed the prior week with that injury and he just was off a bit last week, likely due to some rust. But I fully expect to see Dak and the rest of the offense back at in full this week. They face an Atlanta team that is ranked 18th overall in defense. The Falcons won at New Orleans last week, 27-25, going over the 43-point line. It was the team's fourth over in their last five games. Look for Dak and the Cowboys to be hitting on all cylinders today and take the OVER.

11-08-21 Bears v. Steelers UNDER 39 27-29 Loss -103 20 h 55 m Show

The Chicago Bears have lost three games in a row, both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a loss at home to the 49ers, 22-33 as a 4.5-point dog. That was also the team's first over after six straight under games. The Bears offense ranks last in the NFL with only 264 yards per game. However, the rushing game is excellent, ranked 5th overall with an average of 137 yards per game. One huge problem for these Bears is that they allow the most sacks in the NFL (30). That is probably a good reason the passing game ranks last in the NFL. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won three in a row. They are coming off a win last week at Cleveland, 15-10. The offense is not very good, ranked just 24th overall in the NFL. They have scored fewer than 20 points in four of their seven games. They are also 1-5-1 O/U on the season. The Bears have gone under in four of their last five road games. They are also 5-16 O/U in their last 21 road games vs a team with a winning home record. My play tonight is on the UNDER.

11-07-21 Chargers v. Eagles OVER 49 27-24 Win 100 5 h 14 m Show

Chargers looking to rebound from back-to-back losses. They lost to the Ravens three weeks ago, 6-34, had a bye week and then lost last week to the Patriots, 24-27. They just did get over the 50.5 point total last week. The offense is 12th in the league, 7th in passing. They take on a Philly team that is 18th in offense, though 6th in rushing. Philly is coming off their best offensive outing last week at Detroit, scoring 44 points and 236 yards rushing. I look for that to continue here today against this Chargers' defense. Play the OVER.

11-07-21 Vikings v. Ravens OVER 50 31-34 Win 100 13 h 39 m Show

The Minnesota Vikings are coming off a loss to the Dallas Cowboys, 16-20. This loss came despite the Cowboys playing without QB Dak Prescott who was on the sidelines with an injury. The Minnesota offense still ranks good though, 7th overall in the league. The defense does have issues, ranked 20th overall. The 78 yards allowed to the Cowboys on the ground were the fewest they have allowed this season. In fact, every other team they have played have rushed for least 100 yards. The Baltimore Ravens also coming off a loss two weeks ago at home to Cincinnati, 17-41. They had last week off to stew over that home loss. The Ravens are the third best offense in the NFL, 3rd rushing and 9th passing. The last four meetings between these teams have all gone over. For me, I see two very good offenses with one of having a week rest. I'll take the OVER in what could be a shootout. Play over.

11-07-21 Browns v. Bengals OVER 47 41-16 Win 100 2 h 10 m Show

Bitter rivalry here today between these Ohio teams as the Bengals host the Browns. The Bengals have been the surprise team this year with some big wins. They also are scoring a lot, over 30-points in their last three games. The offense is ranked 14th overall, 11th in passing. They play a Cleveland team that is ranked 10th in offense, 1st in rushing. QB Baker Mayfield has had some injury issues with his non-throwing shoulder, but he got through a full week of practice with no issues. This looks to be a great offensive clash this week. Play over.

11-04-21 Jets v. Colts OVER 46 30-45 Win 100 8 h 25 m Show

The New York Jets coming off a 34-31 upset win last week over the 11.5-point favorite Cincinnati Bengals. The Jets are now 2-5 on the season. The Jets are still not one of the better offenses, ranked 19th in passing and 32nd in rushing and 30th in scoring offense. The Colts started the season 0-3 and then won three of their next four games before losing in OT to Tennessee last week, 31-34. That snapped a four game spread win streak for the Colts. The offense has been improving each week as they now rank 16th overall with the defense coming in at 12th. The Colts defense is 2nd in the league in forcing turnovers. Even though Jets QB White threw for over 400 yards last week. The Colts offense has been good of late, scoring 30 or more points in each of their last three games and 25 or more in each of the last five games. The Jets haven't give up fewer than 24 points since week one. They have gone over in four straight games. These teams have also gone over in seven of their last 10 meetings. I look for points to be scored in bunches tonight. Play the OVER.

11-01-21 Giants v. Chiefs OVER 52 Top 17-20 Loss -104 9 h 33 m Show

The New York Giants hit the road today for this inter-conference clash at Kansas City. New York coming off it's best overall performance of the year in a 25-3 win over Carolina last week. Kansas City is coming off its worst performance yet in the Patrick Mahomes era, losing to Tennessee, 3-27. The Giants hope their 11-3 record vs the Chiefs will come into play again tonight as they are a double-digit dog in this one. The Giants started the season 1-5 S/U and 2-4 ATS. They have the 18th ranked offense and 20th ranked defense. The Chiefs have the 28th ranked defense and the third ranked offense. Patrick Mahomes was forced from last week's game with a head injury but will be starting tonight. The will be without RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire who is on IR with a knee injury. The Chiefs are 3-4 S/U and 2-5 ATS on the season. Yet, here they are laying 10.5 or even 11.5 points tonight. Yes, they have the ability to blow out the Giants. I'll just take the easy way out tonight and play the OVER.

10-31-21 Patriots v. Chargers OVER 49.5 27-24 Win 100 15 h 42 m Show

The Patriots head out West for their game with the LA Chargers here on Sunday. The Patriots coming of their best offensive game of the season, although it was against the Jets, in a 54-13 final. They improved to 3-4 S/U and and ATS on the season. The offense improved a few spots to 15th overall and the defense is 12th. The Chargers had last week off after their worst offensive performance the week before in a rod loss to the Ravens, 6-34. They could muster just 208 total yards of offense in that loss. The setback dropped them to 4-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The defense is ranked 19th overall while the offense dropped to 8th after that performance two weeks ago. The Patriots have won and covered the last three meetings in this series, including last year's 45-0 win at LA. The Chargers running game has not been good as they have to rely on QB Justin Herbert most of the time. The Chargers should get back to their higher scoring ways today and with that I'll take the OVER.

10-31-21 49ers v. Bears UNDER 40 33-22 Loss -106 12 h 39 m Show

These are two teams that have had their share of offensive problems this year. The 49ers have scored more than 21 points just twice in their six games. They are 1-5 S/U and ATS. They do have the 6th ranked defense in the league this year. The Bears have the 11th ranked defense. Chicago is coming off a loss at Tampa Bay last week, 3-38. The Bears have scored just 17 points over their last two games. Chicago now has the NFL's worst offense, 7th rushing and 32nd passing. Two poor offenses and winds that can be up to 20 mph here on Sunday will look to a lower scoring game. Play UNDER.

10-31-21 Steelers v. Browns UNDER 43 15-10 Win 100 12 h 38 m Show

The Cleveland Browns had to resort to backup QB Case Keenum last week as they just did get by Denver, 17-14. The Cleveland offense has just 31 points the last two weeks. It does look like Baker Mayfield will return this week, but how effective he will be is yet to be seen. Another issue will be weather with showers and winds that could gust over 20mph. I'm looking at this game under on Sunday.

10-31-21 Dolphins v. Bills UNDER 48.5 11-26 Win 100 12 h 38 m Show

Not the best football weather here on Sunday in Buffalo. They are expecting winds between 13 and 20 mph and some rain during the games. Buffalo already possesses the best defense in the NFL, 1st against the pass and 6th vs the rush. They should have little problems keeping this Miami offense down today. Take the UNDER.

10-25-21 Saints v. Seahawks UNDER 42 Top 13-10 Win 100 20 h 2 m Show

There will be some key injuries on both sides of the ball here tonight, likely effecting the total as much as the side. The Saints will be without QB Taysom Hill, who will miss this game with a concussion. The Seahawks are once again without QB Russell Wilson who has that broken finger and has been put on IR. The are also without RB Chris Carson (neck), though RB Rashaad Penny looks to return tonight from the IR. The Saints had last week off to prepare for tonight's contest. They are coming off a win at Washington, 33-22. The Saints are now 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Seattle offense is now ranked 22nd overall, 16th rushing and 21st passing. The Saints have the 28th ranked offense, 9th in rushing but 31st in passing. Both teams possess poor offenses and with Wilson out and Hill out, I expect less scoring opportunities. Play the UNDER.

10-24-21 Eagles v. Raiders OVER 48.5 22-33 Win 100 15 h 43 m Show

The post Jon Gruden era began on a positive note last week for the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders went to Denver and beat the Broncos, 34-24. They also did something they hadn't done all season under Gruden, scored a first quarter touchdown and a TD on their first drive of the game. The Raiders were also a +4 in the turnover game and sacked Teddy Bridgewater five times. Overall it was a very good day for Vegas. They will host the Philadelphia Eagles here today. The Eagles are coming off home loss to the Tampa Bay Bucs, 22-28, covering the 7-point dog line. They are now 2-4 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Las Vegas offense was ranked first in the NFL after three weeks, now has dropped to 10th overall, 30th in rushing and third in passing. Philadelphia is 20th in offense, 15th rushing and 22nd passing. Both teams possess excellent QB's and potent passing games. The defenses are mid-pack, nothing to brag much about. I like the way the Raiders have come out aggressive and finally scoring early. Look for both teams to get plenty of points here on Sunday. Play OVER.

10-24-21 Panthers v. Giants UNDER 42.5 3-25 Win 100 12 h 38 m Show

Carolina hits the road this week after playing the last two weeks at home. The Panthers are coming off a pair of home losses, 18-21 to Philadelphia and then last week to the Vikings, 28-34. The Panthers continue to struggle on offense without the services of RB Christian McCaffrey who is out again this week with hamstring issue. Carolina ranks 17th in offense, 18th in rushing and 15th in passing. The Giants are now 1-5 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. They have lost four straight games including last week at home to the Rams, 11-38. The Giants have been missing key elements of the offense. RB Saquon Barkely will miss his second straight game with a ankle injurey. They are also hurting at WR with Kenny Golladay out and John Ross and Darius Slayton both questionable. The Giants offense ranks 16th overall, 25th in rushing and 10th in passing. Carolina does boast a very good defense, ranked 2nd in the NFL, 16th vs rush and 2nd vs pass. With the Giants poor rushing offense they will have issues passing against this very good Panthers defense. Play the UNDER.

10-21-21 Broncos v. Browns UNDER 41 Top 14-17 Win 100 20 h 16 m Show

This AFC contest could come down to a battle of the backup QB's. Browns QB Mayfield is already ruled out for this game and Case Keenum is the starter. The Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater has both a quad and foot injury and while he's not listed as out, it could be a tough game for him to play. The Broncos opened the season with three wins, but have now lost three straight after last week's loss to Las Vegas, 24-34. The Browns are also 3-3 on the season after last week's loss at home to Arizona, 14-34. The offense managed just 290 total yards in the loss and had trouble protecting their QB's with five sacks allowed. The Broncos have been a good under team with five of their last seven road games going under. This is thanks to their 4th ranked defense. The Browns also have a very good defense, ranked 3rd overall. And this game looks to be a battle between these top rated units. Turnovers likely also key here today. I'll take the UNDER with QB issues on both sides.

10-17-21 Cardinals v. Browns UNDER 48.5 37-14 Loss -109 15 h 20 m Show

The Arizona Cardinals are the last undefeated team in the NFL as they hit the road for their game at Cleveland on Sunday. Arizona is coming off its worst offensive effort of the season in their win last week at home over the 49ers, 17-10. They had scored at least 31 points in each of their previous four games. Always hard on the West teams when they have to travel East in the time difference. One issue today is a Covid outbreak that will have HC Kliff Kingsbury and LB Chandler Jones out for today. DC Vance Joseph and Assistant HC Jeff Rodgers will split the head coaching duties here on Sunday. Cleveland plays their next three games at home. The Browns are 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS after losing their first game of the season last week at the Chargers, 42-47. The 47 points by the Chargers were more then the last three Browns opponents scored combined (34 points). Another possible factor here could be the wind, as sustained winds could be from 13-17 Mph on Sunday. Lots of intangibles here to decode on Sunday. I'll take the UNDER on what could be a windy day for passers. Play UNDER the Total.

10-17-21 Chargers v. Ravens OVER 51 6-34 Loss -100 12 h 16 m Show

Two of the best teams in the AFC meet here on Sunday has the Baltimore Orioles host the LA Chargers. The Chargers are 4-1 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a huge 4th quarter last week that catapulted them to a win over Cleveland, 47-42. The offense is now ranked 7th overall, 17th rushing and 3rd passing behind Herbert. Baltimore is 4-1 S/U and 2-3 vs the number. They lost their opening game of the season at Las Vegas in OT and have won every game since. They are coming off a 31-25 home win over the Colts last week. Baltimore has the NFL's top rated offense, 4th rushing and 5th passing. The defense isn't as good in year's past, ranked just 25th overall, 7th vs rush and 29th vs pass. These two top offenses should put up plenty of points today. Play the OVER.

10-17-21 Rams v. Giants UNDER 49.5 38-11 Win 100 12 h 15 m Show

The LA Rams are coming off a win at Seattle last week, 26-17. The team is now 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. The Rams rank 9th overall on offense, 23rd rushing and 2nd in passing. The defense was supposed to be the core of this team, however they are ranked just 23rd overall on the season. They are 19th vs the rush and 23rd vs the pass. The Giants are just 1-4 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Dallas last week, 20-44. The Giants have been once again hit by the injury bug. They include RB Saquon Barkley, QB Daniel Jones, WR Kadarius Jones and WF Sterling Shepard. Barkley and Golloday are both out for Sunday with the others all questionable. With so much offense on the sidelines or hurting, not sure how they will score against this Rams defense today. I'll just take the UNDER and hope they don't get blown out too badly. Play UNDER.

10-10-21 Bills v. Chiefs OVER 56.5 38-20 Win 100 23 h 40 m Show

This promises to be one of the best games for Sunday as the Buffalo Bills travel to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs. Buffalo is 3-1 S/U and ATS after last week's win at home over the Texans, 40-0. The Bills have scored 35 or more points in three of their four games this year. Their only blip was a 16-23 loss in the opening week's contest at Pittsburgh. Kansas City hasn't looked their normal selves all season, but we saw that magic last week as they came from behind at home to beat Philly, 42-30. The Chiefs are now 2-2 S/U and 1-3 vs the number. They are also 3-1 O/U on the year. This will be a matchup of top 6 offenses as Buffalo ranks 6th overall and KC is ranked 2nd overall. Buffalo's top ranked defense will be put to the test here today. Surprisingly, the Chiefs have the 31st ranked offense. Last season, the Chiefs won this game at home, 38-24 getting the cover and the over as a 3-point favorite. Chiefs about the same favorite here on Sunday night, around 3-points. I'm going to take the Bills in this one. They have too good of an offense against a poor Chiefs defense. I'm pretty sure Buffalo won't have the top ranked defense when this one is said and done. Both teams should get plenty of points in this one. Take the OVER.

10-04-21 Raiders v. Chargers OVER 51.5 14-28 Loss -100 23 h 19 m Show

The Raiders are 3-0 to start a season for the first time since 1982 when they were the LA Raiders. This is thanks to the NFL's top ranked offense. The Raiders average 471 yards per game this year and have the top passing offense (380 ypg) and the 25th running offense. The rushing game will get back their top back in Josh Jacobs who has been battling a ankle and toe injury. Vegas has had to go to OT in two of their three games thus far, beating Miami last week at home in OT, 31-28. The opened the season with an OT win over Baltimore, 33-27 and then beat Pittsburgh on the road, 26-17. Now they travel to LA to take on the Chargers. The Chargers are 2-1 S/U and ATS after beating Kansas City on the road last week, 30-24. Their lone loss was at home to Dallas, 17-20. The Chargers have the league's 9th ranked offense and 4th ranked passing offense. The Raiders are 7-1 O/U in their last eight games overall. Two top 10 offenses here with both having middle of the pack defenses. I'll take the OVER.

10-03-21 Panthers v. Cowboys UNDER 51.5 28-36 Loss -110 13 h 9 m Show

The Carolina Panthers are 3-0 S/U and ATS as they head to Dallas to take on the Cowboys. They are also 0-3 O/U. The Panthers have the NFL's top defense right now. They are first both against the pass and the rush, allowing just 191 yard average per game. They are also third in the league in interceptions (13) and top in QB sacks (14). Dallas is 2-1 after their impressive win at home last week over the Eagles, 41-21. The Dallas defense is ranked 26th in the NFL. It's the offense that shines, ranked 5th overall. Carolina's offense ranks 10th. This game will be the Carolina defense against the Cowboys offense. I will take the UNDER in this one today.

10-03-21 Lions v. Bears UNDER 42 14-24 Win 100 13 h 8 m Show

The Detroit Lions are 0-3 as we enter week four action. They are coming off a close home loss to the Baltimore Ravens, 17-19. It took a NFL Record breaking field goal of 66 yards by Tucker to not only break the record but get the win for the Ravens as time ran out. Th Lions offense managed just 285 total yards. The Detroit offense ranks just 17th in the NFL (15th in both pass and rush. The Bears are 1-2 S/U and ATS after losing last week at home to Cleveland, 6-26. The Bears had a total of 47 yards, yes 47! The Bears started rookie QB Justin Fields who had a disastrous showing. The Bears defense was very good, sacking Baker Mayfield five times. Hard to believe, but the Bears netted just 1 passing yard last week after you take out the 67 yards in nine sacks. These are two pathetic offenses and I wouldn't bet either side. But I will take the UNDER today.

09-30-21 Jaguars v. Bengals OVER 45.5 21-24 Loss -115 49 h 0 m Show

Jacksonville is 0-3 both S/U and ATS after three games. They are coming off a loss at home to Arizona last week. They led Arizona at the half, but fell apart in the 2nd half. The defense has been bad, ranking 29th overall while the offense ranks 27th. They will face the 2-1 Bengals today. Cincinnati opened their season with a win over the Vikings, 27-24, then lost to Chicago, 17-20. Last week they beat Pittsburgh, 24-10. They won by 14 points despite being outgained 268-343 and allowing a whipping 29 more offensive plays. They also had just 12 fist downs to the Steelers 21. If you only looked at the stats, you would swear that the Steelers won this game 24-10. The Bengals have been a good over team. They are 5-0-1 in their last six as a favorite and 11-5-1 O/U in their last 17 vs the AFC. The way Jacksonville has allowed points this year, I'll take the OVER here on Thursday. Play OVER.

09-26-21 Bucs v. Rams OVER 55.5 24-34 Win 102 5 h 12 m Show

Tampa Bay is off to a 2-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS start. They opened the season with a close win over Dallas, 31-29 and then won and covered last week vs Atlanta, 48-25. Tampa has the 13th ranked offense. The running game hasn't been much, ranked 30th as they average just 67 yards per game. Tom Brady has been hot though, with the passing game ranked 5th overall at 319 yards per game. The Rams have the 16th ranked offense, but Matthew Stafford has been good and has the passing attack ranked 7th overall. The Rams opened with a win over Chicago 34-14 and then last week beat the Colts on the road, 27-24. Both games have gone over. The Bucs are 21-6 O/Un in their last 27 games vs NFC opponents. They are 5-2 O/U in their last seven games. The Rams have gone over in their last four games. The last four meetings between these clubs have all gone over. I'll take the OVER here today.

09-26-21 Ravens v. Lions OVER 50 19-17 Loss -106 4 h 12 m Show

Baltimore followed up their OT loss in Las Vegas week one with a exciting home win over the Chiefs last week, 36-35. They have now gone over in both games. Which is what I'm looking at today. The defense has been horrendous thus far, ranked 31st in the league. Their pass defense is the worst in the NFL. The Lions opened the season with a loss to the 49ers, 33-41. Last week they got beat at Green Bay, 17-35. Both games have gone over. The Ravens have seen six of their last eight road games go over. The Lions have seen 13 of their last 16 home games go over. This one looks to be another high scoring affair for both team. I'll take the OVER.

09-26-21 Bears v. Browns UNDER 45 6-26 Win 100 4 h 12 m Show

The Chicago Bears are 1-1 S/U and ATS as they come into action here on week three. The beat the Bengals at home last week, 20-17. The offense was not good, passing for just 83 yards and rushing for 123 yards. The saving grace was their defense that held Cincinnati to just 248 total yards and had four take aways. The Browns followed their week one loss to the Chiefs with a win at home last week over Houston, 31-21. The Bears have the 8th ranked defense in the league, allowing 317 total yards per game. Their rushing defense is ranked 5th. The Browns are 14th with 350 yards per game allowed. The rush defense is 9th. Problem for the Bears is they have the 30th ranked offense and the 31st ranked passing offense. The Bears have seen their totals go under in 22 of the last 31 times they played on grass. They are also 6-13 O/U their last 19 times as a road dog. I don't see the Bears getting many points here today. Their defense is good enough to keep them close. Play UNDER.

09-23-21 Panthers v. Texans UNDER 43.5 24-9 Win 100 6 h 28 m Show

The Houston Texans are down to their third string QB in Davis Mills. Mills came into last week's game after Tyrod Taylor was injured in the first half. He played ok, tallying just over 100 yards with a TD and an INT. Mills will be thrown to the wolves tonight as he faces a very good Carolina defense. Plus, the Texans aren't very exciting overall on offense, so I look for points to be hard to come by tonight. The Panthers have Darnold at QB and McCaffrey running and catching the ball. I'm no big fan of Darnolds, but he's got the job done so far for the Panthers who smothered the Saints last week. The Panthers only allowing 10.5 ppg thus far. I'll take the UNDER here tonight.

09-19-21 Raiders v. Steelers OVER 47 26-17 Loss -104 49 h 1 m Show

Las Vegas played an exciting game last week as they came from behind to tie Baltimore and send the game into OT. Both teams had a chance and both teams turned the ball over, Vegas doing so on 1st and goal at the half yard line. But Vegas finally won an exciting game on a Carr TD pass to Jones for the win before almost 70,000 fans at Allegiant Stadium. However, the win didn't come without a price, the Raiders suffered injuries, especially on the offensive line where they are very thin heading into this week's game. Pittsburgh overcame a deficit to come back and win their game at Buffalo, 23-16. Their defense was once again very good when it needed to be. This week Vegas has to come down from their high and travel cross country to take on a very good Steelers team. The Vegas defense is improved, but they still give up points and that was evident last week. I look for both teams to get plenty of points here on Sunday. Take the OVER.

01-24-21 Bills v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 24-38 Loss -104 3 h 15 m Show

Big question here in the AFC Championship game is the health of Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes. Officially he's listed as probable and should start, but how healthy is he?? He has those foot and neck issues after leaving last week's game. Mahomes does a lot with his legs and he might be limited here today with all his injuries. There are also weather issues here today with rain likely. The Chiefs will try to hold QB Josh Allen down with deep zones here on Sunday. Normally I would look at this game over, but with Andy Reid looking to protect his QB and the the weather, I'm going to play this one UNDER.

01-16-21 Rams v. Packers UNDER 46 18-32 Loss -109 20 h 44 m Show

Divisional Round of the playoffs here on Saturday as the 10-6 LA Rams take on the 13-3 Green Bay Packers from Lambeau field. Always have to check weather when dealing with Green Bay. It's going to be cold, likely below freezing during the game with light showers turning to snow later in the game with light winds. Never easy for West Coast teams to make the trip East, especially a warm weather team like the Rams playing in cold Green Bay. The Rams defense is the best in the league and it will be put to the test against likely the NFL MVP in Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense here today. The Rams playing with hobbled QB's. Jared Goff had to come back last week even with his surgically repaired thumb to replace injured QB John Wolford. Wolford is out this week so that means Goff again despite not being near 100%. No 1 offense of Green Bay vs No 1 defense of the Rams. The Rams will try and use their excellent corners against these high powered Packer receivers and take away what Rodgers looks for most. I don't believe the Rams will have what it takes on offense to get it done here today. Between the cold, damp weather, the long travel and a hurting QB, I don't expect a lot of scoring here. The Rams defense should keep it close but low scoring. Play the UNDER.

01-10-21 Ravens v. Titans OVER 54.5 20-13 Loss -104 51 h 51 m Show

The Baltimore Ravens look to avenge their last loss to the Tennessee Titans back on Nov 22, losing in OT 24-30. Derrick Henry ran all over the Ravens in that contest, much like he has done to the entire NFL this season. Henry became just the 8th back in the NFL history that rushed for more than 2,000 yards after his 250 yard performance last week at Houston. The Ravens finished 11-5 on the season and winners of five games in a row. This game will be filled with rushing. Henry for the Titans and QB Lamar Jackson for the Ravens. Jacks rushed for 97 yards in their blowout win at Cincinnati last week. I like this game to have lots of offense in a repeat of their game on Nov 22. Play OVER.

01-09-21 Bucs v. Washington Football Team UNDER 44.5 31-23 Loss -105 34 h 1 m Show

Tom Brady has led the Bucs back to the postseason for the first time since 2007. The Bucs will travel to DC to take on Washington here in the Wild Card round. The Bucs have the league's 3rd ranked scoring offense (30.8 ppg) and will face one of the best passing defenses in the league here this week. Washington started the season 2-7, but finished strong with a 5-2 record to take the NFC East. The defense is the backbone of this team, ranking 2nd in total yards allowed and 2nd in passing yards allowed. They were also 4th in points allowed. Washington has seen it's last nine games on grass all go under. They are also 3-8 O/U in their last 11 home games vs a team with a wining record. These teams have gone under in five of their last seven meetings and four of the last five in Washington. Washington needs to keep this score low if they hope for a win today. Take the UNDER.

01-09-21 Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 42.5 30-20 Loss -115 30 h 26 m Show

The 10-6 LA Rams take on the 12-4 Seattle Seahawks from Seattle this Saturday in the Wild Card round of the playoffs. These teams split during the regular season. The Rams likely won't know their starting QB until shortly before kickoff. QB Jared Goff broke his finger against Seattle back on Dec 27 and had surgery the following day. John Wolford started against Arizona, helping the Rams clinch their playoff spot. Wolford was 22 of 38 passing for 231 yards and rushed for a team-high 56 yards. The Rams have a great defense, tops in the NFL in fewest points allowed, passing yards allowed, TD passes, 1st downs and total yards. They will rely on that defense here today to keep Seattle QB Russel Wilson in check, which isn't easy. The Hawks had to rally from 10 points down vs the 49ers to clinch the NFC West last week. The Rams are 0-4 O/U in their last four games thanks to their strong defense. The Seattle defense was much maligned during the 1st half of the season, at or near the bottom of the league. However, since then they have played much better. The have gone under in their last four home games as a favorite. They are also 1-7 O/U in their last eight overall games. These teams are 7-15 O/U in their last 22 meetings. I like this game to go UNDER.

01-03-21 Cardinals v. Rams UNDER 41.5 7-18 Win 100 21 h 16 m Show

Both these clubs fighting for that last playoff spot as the Rams host the Cardinals. The losers season is over here. The Cardinals couldn't stop the Carolina run last week and it cost them dearly as they lost 12-20. For the highly ranked Arizona offense it was their worst offensive output of the season. And to make matters worse, QB Kyler Murray was injured on the last play of the game. He has said he will play here on Sunday. The Rams lost a chance to lock down a playoff spot last week in their loss to the division winning Seahawks, 9-20. LA also lost their QB as Jared Goff broke his thumb. The Rams will have to now turn to backup John Wolford. Wolford has never taken a NFL snap. With both QB's either out or hurting, I look for the defenses to take over here on Sunday. The Rams have a top defensive unit and they will need every bit of it to secure a playoff spot. For me, I'll just take the UNDER here on Sunday.

12-27-20 Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 47.5 9-20 Win 100 15 h 1 m Show

These teams met back in November and that turned into more of a defensive struggle, with the Rams holding on for a 23-16 win. The Rams had 289 yards of offense and Seattle had 333 yards of offense. The Rams might have looked toward this game when they played at home to the Jets last week, give New York its first win of the season, 23-20. The 17-point favored Rams had 303 yards and one turnover in the loss. Seattle had just 302 yards in their win at Washington, having 23 fewer snaps on offense and allowing 51 more yards. Seattle has the 7th ranked offense, dropping in recent weeks. The Rams defense remains topped ranked in the NFL, 1st against the pass and 3rd vs the run. I look for another low scoring game here today. The Rams defense will keep this game lower scoring as Seattle will look to establish the run. Play UNDER.

12-27-20 Panthers v. Washington Football Team UNDER 41.5 20-13 Win 100 15 h 41 m Show

The Carolina Panthers thought that RB Christian McCaffrey would return here today. However, latest reports have him downgraded to doubtful for today's game. McCaffrey has only played in three games all season, but still have six TD's. The Panthers are ranked 20th in the NFL in total offense, 19th rushing and 16th passing. On the other side, it's possible QB Alex Smith will be back today after suffering a calf injury. Washington, as most NFC East teams, still in the hunt for the Division championship and that playoff berth. Right now it looks like Washington has the inside track. They are coming off a loss last week to Seattle, 15-20. Their excellent defense held Seattle's highly ranked offense to just 302 total yards. The problem isn't Washington's 4th ranked defense, it's their offense. Washington is ranked 28th in total offense, 22nd rushing, 25th passing. Today if Smith doesn't return, or even if he does, I see this as a low scoring game. McCaffrey might have given some hope for more offense, but now I see this as a dead under. That's the play, UNDER.

12-20-20 Eagles v. Cardinals OVER 49.5 Top 26-33 Win 100 15 h 2 m Show

The Jalen Hurts era made a good start last week for the Philadelphia Eagles as they beat the best defense in the NFL, the Saints 24-21. The Eagles ran for 246 and Hurts passed for 167 yards and no INT's. Arizona snapped a three game losing streak with a win over the Giants, 26-7. The Cardinals held the Giants to just 159 totals yards and had a whopping 37 more offensive plays then the Giants had. The Cards boast the NFL's 4th best offense, 4th in rushing and 17th in passing yards. Philly has been near the bottom third in the offense, but we'll see if that turns around with Hurts at the helm. We might be seeing the end of Carson Wentz in Philly as Hurts looks like the real deal thus far. For me, I'm taking the OVER here on Sunday.

12-20-20 Seahawks v. Washington Football Team UNDER 43.5 20-15 Win 100 12 h 57 m Show

 The Washington Football team has flexed their defensive muscles in recent week. They are ranked 4th overall in the NFL, 9th vs the rush and 3rd vs the pass. They will need that defense here today against Russell Wilson and the high flying Seahawks. The offense isn't very good, gaining a mere 193 yards in their win against San Francisco last week. However, the defense got three turnovers and turned those into points. Seattle rebounded from its shocking loss to the Giants two weeks ago with a blowout win over the Jets last week, 40-3. The Hawks had 410 yards and held the Jets to just 185 yards. Seattle has the league's 6th ranked overall offense, 11th in rushing and 4th in passing. This game really boils down to the Washington defense vs the Seattle offense. There is no way that Washington can match Seattle score for score, that just isn't how this team is built. But I've been impressed with their defense I expect them to keep this game close with that defense. Therefore, I'm taking the UNDER here today.

12-20-20 Patriots v. Dolphins UNDER 41.5 12-22 Win 100 12 h 56 m Show

The Patriots looked like they had the offense back on track after scoring at least 20 points in six straight game and going 4-2 over that six game stretch. However, that all came to a halt last week when they play at the LA Rams. The Pats scored just three points in a 3-24 loss. The offense had just 220 total yards and one turnover. The defense played decent, holding LA to 318 yards and one turnover. Cam Newton had just 113 yards passing and the team had 107 yards rushing. The Dolphins mounted a nice comeback at home against the Kansas City Chiefs, but came up on the short end of a 27-33 contest. Though they did backend the spread to get the cover against the +7 point line. The Dolphins have been a good under team all year. They have gone under in three of their last four games and are 5-8 O/U on the season. The passing defense had allowed 174 or fewer their previous three of four games before Patrick Mahones torched them for 354 last week. Though the defense did get four takeaways and three sacks against the Chiefs. Neither of these teams have highly ranked offenses, with Miami coming in at 27th and the Pats at 24th. I don't think the oddsmaker can put up a total low enough on this contest. I have the total at least nine points less. I'm looking at a low scoring game here on Sunday. Play UNDER.

12-14-20 Ravens v. Browns UNDER 46 47-42 Loss -118 24 h 42 m Show

The Cleveland Browns currently sit at 9-3 and in the playoff picture. However, they face a desperate Baltimore team here today that is on the outside of the AFC playoff picture looking in. A loss by the Ravens and they can pretty much kiss any postseason goodbye. The Ravens have had many Covid issues in recent weeks and it has effected the team. They lost to New England without Lamar Jackson (Covid) and then lost to Tennessee before rebounding last week with a win over the Cowboys. They play their last road game here tonight before returning home to close out the regular season against Jacksonville and the Giants. Cleveland's offense and QB Baker Mayfield arguably had their best ever showing last week in a win over Tennessee, 41-35. They had 118 yards rushing and 340 yards Passing with just one turnover. They play the Ravens tonight before the Giants and Jets in subsequent weeks before closing out at home over Pittsburgh. They are trying to hold off the Colts for that AFC Wild Card spot. Usually you have to take a close look at the weather in December for Cleveland. Tonight it looks to be around freezing with winds that could be up near 20 MPH. The winds are the biggest concern as it will effect the passing games. The Ravens love to rush and the Browns are good on the ground too. Expect a lot of ground game here tonight. I'm taking the UNDER.

12-13-20 Saints v. Eagles UNDER 43 21-24 Loss -110 17 h 33 m Show

The New Orleans Saints hold the top playoff spot in the NFC with a 10-2 overall record. Philadelphia is pretty much out of it, even in the NFC East as they are just 3-8-1 on the season. The Saints will play again tomorrow with QB Drew Brees. But that hasn't been a problem with Taysom Hill at the Helm. He's guided them to three straight starting wins. The defense has been great and it should be as it's the tops in the NFL (2nd vs rush and 4th vs pass). That doesn't bode well today as the Eagles will start Jalen Hurts at QB. They have wanted to get Hurts into the mix, but this is more like throwing him to the wolves. Hurts brings a run/pass dynamic to the Eagles, but his passing leaves a lot to be desired. Now he must face the 4th best pass defense. The Saints have gone under in five straight games, mainly because Hill is more a controlled rusher with short passes. Since Hill has bee at the helm, the rushing yards have gone up to 168, 229 and 207 yards in each of their last three games. I don't see the Eagles scoring much over 10 points here today. I'm taking the UNDER.

12-13-20 Cardinals v. Giants UNDER 47 26-7 Win 100 13 h 9 m Show

The Cardinals have seen their playoff hopes drop drastically over the last few weeks as they now sit 6-6. Arizona has lost three straight since their miracle win over Buffalo back on November 15th. There is lots of concern with QB Kyler Murray who has been nursing various injuries, which could account for the lack of offense in recent weeks. The Cards had just 232 total yards last week and 298 yards the previous week. Meanwhile, the Giants are in the driver seat to win the NFC East. They had that big win last week at Seattle and own the tiebreaker over Washington based on head to head win percentage. More good news, they get back QB Daniel Jones here today, who has been nursing a hamstring injury. These teams headed in different directions plus the Cards make that long West to East trip. The Giants have an excellent defense, ranked 7th overall in the NFL and 4th vs the rush. I look for them to give Murray fits here today. Play the UNDER.

12-13-20 Vikings v. Bucs OVER 52 14-26 Loss -110 13 h 9 m Show

Minnesota very much in the playoff hunt at 6-6 as they hold the tiebreaker over 6-6 Arizona. Tampa Bay is 7-5 and sits 6th in the NFC playoff picture, so today's game is very important to both teams. The Vikings have pulled two wins from the jaws of defeat in the last two weeks with late wins over Carolina and Jacksonville. But those were at home and now they go to Tampa to face Tom Brady and company. The defense is not good, ranked 23rd overall and 27th vs the pass. Tampa Bay, which was ranked in the top 2 or three, has since dropped to 8th overall, though they are still 1st vs the run. That should be put to test here today against the 6th ranked Minnesota rushing attack. Both teams posses the players to score big here and combine that with the Vikings poor defense and I'm playing OVER.

12-06-20 Rams v. Cardinals UNDER 48.5 38-28 Loss -110 19 h 50 m Show

The LA Rams have been a perplexing team. They go to Tampa Bay and win 27-24 against Tom Brady and a very good defense. Then they come home and can have a terrible time offensively against the 49ers as they lose, 20-23. The Rams had just 308 total yards of offense in that loss. The Rams also had four turnovers. Now they travel to Arizona to face the Cardinals. The Cardinals have lost two straight games and three of their last four. They lost to the Patriots last week, 17-20 and the Seahawks the week before, 21-28. The offense had 298 yards of offense last week and 314 the week before. Both teams seem to have lost something offensively here in recent weeks. The Rams still have a excellent defense, ranked 2nd in the NFL, fourth vs the rush and 3rd vs the pass. I look for another low scoring game here today. Play UNDER.

12-06-20 Saints v. Falcons UNDER 46 21-16 Win 100 16 h 45 m Show

New Orleans will be without Drew Brees again this week with his rib injuries. Taysom Hill will start again here today. The Saints beat the Broncos last week as Denver had no quarterbacks and New Orleans had little issues in the 31-3 win. Still, the Saints managed just 63 total passing yards to go with their 229 rushing yards. The Falcons had the week off after beating the Raiders the week before, 43-6. The team has won three of their last four games both S/U and ATS. Their one loss came to these Saints on Nov 22nd, 9-24 in New Orleans. Atlanta's offense has improved to 10th overall and 6th passing. The Saints are 13th, 7th rushing. The Saints defense is ranked No 1 overall, 2nd against the rush and 5th against the pass. This will be a tough task today on the road for the Saints against a improving Falcons club. I expect a lot of rushing from the Saints as they limit Hill's passing attempts. Take the UNDER.

12-06-20 Browns v. Titans OVER 53 41-35 Win 100 16 h 44 m Show

Cleveland won at Jacksonville last week, 27-25 though they failed to cover the TD spread. While the Browns have won three straight, they have covered just one of their last six games. The Browns finally got away from that bad Cleveland weather that saw them go under three games in a row due to various inclement conditions. The Titans are coming off a big win at Indianapolis last week, 45-26. The Titans have scored 75 points in their last two games against two very good defenses. Tennessee has seen its offense rankings climb to 8th overall and 2nd in the league rushing. They will face the Browns 17th ranked defense. The way the Titans offense is firing on all cylinders, I expect this game to be high scoring. Play OVER.

11-29-20 Bears v. Packers UNDER 44.5 25-41 Loss -118 22 h 37 m Show

The Chicago Bears came up short at Minnesota two weeks ago, losing 13-19. The Bears offense was anemic, totaling just 149 yards. Still, their defense kept them close. The defense ranks 8th overall and 9th vs the pass. They will be tested here today against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. The Packers have the 7th overall offense and 6th via the pass. The Packers lost a close one last week in Indianapolis, 31-34. Rodgers had 280 yards passing and was intercepted once by the Colts. Surprisingly, the Packers have gone under in four of their last seven games. Both these games went under last year, with the packers winning 21-13 and 10-3. The Bears know they can't get into a scoring match here with the Packers. They will have to rely on take away and keep the ball more on offense while hoping their defense can keep Rodgers off balance. Take the UNDER.

11-29-20 Chiefs v. Bucs OVER 56 27-24 Loss -110 18 h 41 m Show

The Chiefs avenged their only loss this season as they beat the Raiders last week, 35-31 on a last minute TD drive by Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs have scored 33 or more points in four straight games and have yet to score fewer than 23 points. The offense ranks 2nd overall and 1st via the pass (301 yards per game). The rushing game is adequate, ranking 16th at 113 yards per game. The defense is right in the middle of the pack at 15th. Tampa Bay was embarrassed again in the big national spotlight, this time losing at home to the Rams, 24-27. Tom Brady looking very average of late couldn't lead his team on any last minute win. The Rams passed for 367 yards against the highly ranked Bucs defense. If Jared Goff could pass for over 300 yards against this Bucs team, what will Mahomes do here today? I really believe there is a disconnection between Brady and HC Arians. They don't seem to be on the same page at times and Brady looks to get rid of passes all too early. I'm taking the Chiefs here on Sunday.

11-26-20 Washington Football Team v. Cowboys UNDER 46 41-16 Loss -109 13 h 27 m Show

Washington was responsible for ending Joe Burrows year last week with a knee injury. Washington had little trouble with the Bengals thereafter, taking the game 20-9. The Dallas Cowboys got a much needed win in the NFC East with a win over the Vikings last week, 31-28. It was the most points the Cowboys have put on the board since Dak Prescot went out for the season on October 11th vs the Giants. Thanks in part to the role Prescot played early in the season, the Cowboys still have the 6th ranked offense, 13th rushing and 7th passing. Washington is ranked 26th in the league in offense, 20th rushing and 24th passing. Washington has a decent defense, ranked 6th overall and 1st against the pass. Look for Washington to put more men in the box on Thursday to stop Ezekiel Elliot and put pressure on the Dallas passing game. I'm going to take this matchup under as I don't see either team getting a lot of points. Play UNDER.

11-23-20 Rams v. Bucs UNDER 48.5 27-24 Loss -110 46 h 32 m Show

Rams beat the Seahawks on Sunday, shutting them out in the 2nd half. However, the win didn't come without a big loss, that being left tackle Andrew Whitworth who tore his MCL and is done for the season. Why is this so important? The Rams play one of the best defenses in the league and a defense that loves to blitz QB's. With Whitworth out, you lose a very good veteran who protects Goff's blindside. That will open up the attack for the Bucs and you can believe they will design an attack just for that here on Monday. Goff does not do well under pressure and he will be under plenty tonight. With Goff under all this pressure from a top NFL defense I look for the Rams to score below their season average and this game to go UNDER.

11-22-20 Packers v. Colts OVER 51 31-34 Win 100 18 h 41 m Show

The Green Bay Packers will unleash their 6th ranked offense against the Indianapolis Colts and their top ranked defense. The Colts have the 3rd ranked rushing defense and the 2nd ranked passing defense. The Packers played a pretty uninspired contest last week at Jacksonville, winning 24-20 as a 13.5 point favorite. The Colts had a pretty easy time at Tennessee, winning 34-17 on the road as a 1-point favorite. The Colts had 430 yards to just 294 by the Titans. The Packers have score 30 points or more in six of their nine games this season. Despite having a good defense, the Colts have gone over in four of their last five games. For me, that's what I'm playing this weekend. Take the OVER.

11-22-20 Falcons v. Saints OVER 49 9-24 Loss -107 14 h 15 m Show

NFC South clash here has Atlanta Falcons playing at New Orleans Saints. Saints will be without QB Drew Brees who will sit this one out with a rib injury. Taysom Hill will step into the starters role for the Saints. Hill sees plenty of action normally so this shouldn't be a big departure for the Saints. The Saints were able to beat the 49ers last week, 27-13 behind four San Francisco turnovers. The Saints also used their potent rushing attack to gain 114 yards compared to the Niners 49 yards. The Falcons have the 30th ranked defense, 6th vs the rush and 30th vs the pass. Even without Brees, I like these teams to get points on the board. Hill should have issues moving this team against this poor Falcons defense. Expect lots of points here today. Play the OVER.

11-19-20 Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 58.5 21-28 Win 100 33 h 9 m Show

The Seattle Seahawks were shutout in the 2nd half of Sunday's loss at the Rams. When was the last time that has happened to a Russell Wilson led team? So why did this happen? Wilson is getting beat up without a good offensive line in front of him. That's becoming apparent. And as such, I look for the Hawks to spend more time running the ball here tonight. They can't keep letting Wilson get hit as mush as he has been lately. The gameplan has to change tonight and for me I see much more running attack by Seattle. With that being said, that 58 point total looks like a mountain to me that these teams will not overcome. Then you add in possibly the wind and rain and that makes me like this play even more. I'm playing UNDER in this one on Thursday.

11-16-20 Vikings v. Bears UNDER 43.5 19-13 Win 100 50 h 56 m Show

The Vikings coming off a big win at home over Detroit last week, 34-20. That's two big wins in a row since Dalvin Cook returned. The running game is piling up the yards with 275 last week and 173 the week before. Compare that to just 32 in their loss three weeks ago to Atlanta, 23-40. The Bears got stuffed last week in Tennessee, 17-27. The Bears defense did its job, holding the Titans to just 228 total yards. However, two turnovers were too much to overcome in the loss. The Bears are now 3-6 Over/Under on the season and 1-3 o/u at home. Chicago has the 30th ranked offense in the league this year. However, their defense is ranked 8th, 7th vs the pass and 14th vs the run. This one will all depend on how well the Vikings can run the ball against this Bears defense. I look for a low scoring game in this one. Take UNDER

11-15-20 Chargers v. Dolphins OVER 48 21-29 Win 100 22 h 43 m Show

The Chargers look to snap a two game losing streak here on Sunday. They lost last week to the Raiders, 26-31 and the previous week to the Broncos, 30-31. The Chargers just can't seem to win close games as they had chances to win both games in the final seconds. Defense has been an issue, allowing 29 points or more in five straight games (all overs). Despite all the points allowed, they come in ranked 15th overall in defense. Meanwhile, Miami looks to win their third straight under their new rookie QB. The Dolphins won on the road last week at Arizona, 34-31. That followed a win at home over the Rams, 28-17. In both games the Dolphins were out gained in total yards. The defense and special teams have produced touchdowns in both games. Miami's 21st ranked defense will have to contend with Chargers' QB Hebert who is having an excellent season since taking over for Tyrod Taylor. The Chargers have the 3rd ranked overall offense, 5th in passing. I expect a lot of points on the board here today as neither defense likely to stop the opposing offense. Play OVER.

11-15-20 Bills v. Cardinals OVER 56 30-32 Win 100 22 h 43 m Show

The Bills offense was clicking last week at home against Seattle in a big win, 44-34. Even though they ran the ball for just 34 yards, Josh Allen threw for 386 yards in the win. It was the team's second over in a row after they beat New England two weeks ago, 24-21. That ended a drought that saw the team score 18 or fewer points in three straight weeks. Arizona had no answer last week for Miami as they lost in a shootout, 31-34. The defense didn't play bad for giving up 34 points, allowing just 91 rushing yards and 221 passing yards. Arizona rushed for 178 yards and passed for 264 yards in the loss. It was the team's 2nd over after a 37-34 win the previous week over Seattle. Arizona has the league's 2nd ranked offense, 2nd rushing and 12th passing. Buffalo ranks 12th, 26th rushing and 7th passing. Both teams are about even defensively, with Buffalo coming in at 18th and Arizona 19th. I expect a lot of yards in this one and with that another OVER. Play OVER.

11-15-20 Texans v. Browns UNDER 46 7-10 Win 100 19 h 39 m Show

Cleveland had last week off. Good thing too with some Covid concerns and also injuries. Those appear to be solved here today. However, if you remember back to their Nov 1 game vs the Raiders they had high winds and it really shut down the scoring. The Browns had just 223 totals yards and neither team got over 122 yards passing. Well, it's deja vu all over again here today. Winds are expected over 20 mph throughout the game and for me, that means another ground and pound game from both teams. With that, I'll throw out stats in this one and put my money on the wind and in this case, the UNDER

11-15-20 Jaguars v. Packers UNDER 49 20-24 Win 100 19 h 39 m Show

Jacksonville finally got a spread win after five straight loss with their narrow defeat last week to Houston, 25-27. The defense held the Texans to just 374 yards in the loss. The Packers bounced back from their loss to the Vikings two weeks ago with a win over the SFO 49ers, 34-17. Green Bay has the 6th ranked overall offense this season. Jacksonville is 21st in the league. One factor not on the stat sheet today is the weather. Actually the wind, which will be blow up into the 20's here today. Winds effect play more than rain or possibly even snow. Jax QB Gardner Minshew will miss this game with a thumb injury. That will further hinder the scoring in this contest. I'm taking UNDER here today.

11-08-20 Dolphins v. Cardinals OVER 49 34-31 Win 100 19 h 59 m Show

The Tua Tagovailoa era began last week as the rookie made his first start of the season at home against the Rams. If you look at just the final score you would expect a big Miami offensive explosion as they won 28-17. However, it was defensive TD's that made the score and win for the Dolphins. The Rams had 471 yards to just 145 for the Dolphins. Tua had just 90 passing yards and the offense 55 rushing yards. It was the four Rams turnovers that inflated that score. Now they had better find some offense at they travel to Arizona to face the high scoring Cardinals. Arizona has the 2nd ranked offense, 2nd rushing and 14th passing. Miami's defense got all the credit last week, but overall they are just 20th in the league and 26th against the pass. That will be the test this week. I don't believe the Dolphins have much shot against this Cardinals team that is leaps and bounds above them on the offensive sides of the ball. Expect lots of points in this one, likely most coming from the birds side of the column. Play the OVER.

11-08-20 Raiders v. Chargers OVER 52.5 31-26 Win 100 19 h 39 m Show

The Vegas Raiders ran into a whipping wind storm in Cleveland last week and that resulted in a low scoring game that Vegas won, 16-6. Vegas held the Browns to just 223 total yards, 101 rushing and 122 passing. Despite the winds, there was only one turnover and that was by Cleveland. The Chargers lost a heartbreaker on the last play of the game last week at Denver, 30-31. Bad coaching seems to be the norm these days for the Chargers. LA had 82 plays to just 57 by Denver and had 485 yards to just 351. Chargers QB Justin Herbert is having a great season since taking over early in the year for Tyrod Taylor. Herbert threwe for 275 yards and has now eclipsed 1500 yards on the season. The Chargers have the 3rd best offense in the league, 6th in passing and 8th in rushing. The Raiders have the 8th overall offense, 7th in rushing and 10th in passing. Both teams not very good on the defensive side, with the Chargers ranked 18th and the Raiders 21st. Vegas has gone over in six of their seven games this season while the Chargers are 4-3 o/u on the season. I expect a lot of offense here in the Sofi Stadium. I'm taking OVER.

11-08-20 Seahawks v. Bills OVER 55 34-44 Win 100 16 h 33 m Show

Seattle makes the cross country trip to take on the Buffalo Bills. Buffalo held on to beat the New England Patriots last week, 24-21, but didn't cover the 4-point line. Buffalo was slightly outplayed, but got the big plays when they needed them. Seattle once again in a shootout, beating San Francisco 37-27 as a 1-point favorite. The Seahawks and 49ers each had 35 yards and the lone advantage came in rushing yards where Seattle had 101 to the Niners 51. Seattle has the top rated offense in the league and is 1st in passing and 12th in rushing. Buffalo is 13th in the league, 9th in passing and 21st in rushing. Issue for the Seahawks is that they are dead last in overall defense, 32nds vs the pass and 7th vs the rush. Buffalo doesn't have the defense they had last year, now ranking 16th overall, 10th vs the pass. These are two great over/under bets this year, between them they are 11-3 Over/Under. I look for another high scoring Seattle game this week. Take OVER.

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