*3 Star Play Under* The Towson Tigers host the Hostra Pride in a weird middle of the week early afternoon contest here. The environment could be a little crazy with cheap tickets and low drink prices set as a big promotional for this game. 

Towson and Hofstra have a history of low scoring head to head matchups. They have seen 3 of the last 4 matchups finish at 125 points or less. Two of the last four have finished with a 115 points.

Towson is 362nd in the country in overall tempo. The Tigers struggle shooting the basketball, but they are above average on the defensive end.

Hofstra takes a lot of three pointers, but Towson is one of the top three point defenses so far this season.

Hofstra is 312th in average possession length, so they are slow paced as well.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Boise State Broncos are upset at the way they lost their last game in San Diego on Saturday night. Boise State fought very hard in that game though, and Leon Rice coached teams are always going to battle.

Boise State is up to 22nd in the nation in defensive efficiency. They are first in the nation in defensive rebounding percentage. That's important because Grand Canyon has been good on the offensive glass, but they shouldn't get nearly as many second chance points as normal in this one.

Grand Canyon is 53rd in the country in defensive efficiency. The Antelopes are 20th in defensive rebounding percentage too.

Both teams play at a slightly slower than average tempo. Both teams are clearly better on defense than offense. Both are outside the top 200 in effective field goal percentage offense.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Villanova Wildcats are 35th in shot selection allowed. They are 25th in defensive efficiency. Villanova is 354th in overall tempo, so they really slow things down.

Creighton is 7th in shot selection allowed. The Blue Jays are third best in the nation at not giving up free throw attempts. 

Creighton has had four road games, and in three of them their offense was terrible. The Blue Jays don't have the shooters they have had in recent years. They are just 34.5% from 3 point range. 

Creighton is 233rd in overall tempo. This total has been bet up a bit and I disagree with that line move.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Fordham Rams were in a low scoring battle with Richmond in their last game before Richmond started just making every 3 point jumper they put up later in the game. Richmond scored 35 points in the last 10 minutes of the game. Richmond finished an astonishing 13/19 from 3 point range. 

Fordham is 350th in overall tempo. The Rams are 9th at defending without fouling. They are 15th in defensive rebounding percentage. George Mason is 4th in FTA/FGA,  but Fordham's strength has been not putting the opposition on the line. 

The strength of the Fordham offense has been offensive rebounding, but George Mason is 39th nationally in defensive rebounding percentage. 

George Mason is 314th in overall tempo. This game should be played in the halfcourt.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The West Virginia Mountaineers are 360th in the country in overall tempo. West Virginia is 112th in effective field goal percentage offense and 41st in effective field goal percentage defense. West Virginia struggles on offense and relies on free throws and second chance opportunities. Cincinnati is 7th in defensive rebounding percentage, and they are 66th in FTA/FGA allowed.

Cincinnati is 6th in the nation in defensive efficiency. The Bearcats are 222nd in effective field goal percentage offense. They are taking a bunch of long range jumpers, and they haven't been very good at them.

I like the defenses to have the upper hand here. 

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Northern Iowa Panthers are a really good defensive team, and they slow the pace down to a crawl. Northern Iowa is 8th in the country in effective field goal percentage defense. They are 57th at defending without fouling. They are second nationally in 3 point field goal percentage defense. Northern Iowa is also 363rd out of 365 teams in the country in overall tempo.

Evansville is far below average in their possession length on offense, so they prefer to play slowly. The Purple Aces are 328th in overall offensive efficiency.

Northern Iowa is the better team and I like their defense to control things here.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Denver Pioneers have had an average of 174.3 points per game scored in their last six games. None of them have finished lower than 161 points. Denver's defense is about as bad as anyone in the country. They are awful at defending the 3 point shot, and St. Thomas has multiple very good outside shooters. Denver takes good care of the basketball on offense though, and they are Carson Johnson and Zane Nelson. This team can put up a bunch of points in a hurry.

St. Thomas is coached by Johnny Tauer who is an offensive wizard. This Tommies team is top 35 in effective field goal percentage offense for the third straight season. They should torch this Denver defense. 

Both offenses should pile up the points. 

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* Fordham has been great on defense this year. They are allowing just 58.6 points per game at home. Fordham has seen 9 of their 11 games against Division One teams this year go under this posted total. The Rams are 6th in the nation at defending without fouling. They are also 19th in defensive rebounding percentage. They are a weak 257th in offensive efficiency. Fordham also is 345th out of 365 in tempo, so they are moving very slowly.

Richmond just had an epic shootout against George Washington in their last game. The game was just 66 possessions, but both teams shot lights out. It should be difficult for them to shoot as well in this one. The Spiders are just an average paced team. Richmond has faced a very easy slate of defenses this year.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The UT Arlington Mavericks were 88th in average possession length last year. They are 310th this season. This UT Arlington team is winning with defense and they are slowing the game down. Their biggest weakness is putting the opposition on the line too much, but Southern Utah is one of the worst in the nation at getting to the charity stripe.

Southern Utah is 16th at defending without fouling which is important because UT Arlington relies on getting to the line a lot to score. 

There are two really bad offenses here, and UT Arlington's defense is very good.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* SIU Edwardsville has played in three straight OVC games that were 127 points or lower in regulation. This is a team that is far better on defense than offense. They are 323rd in offensive efficiency for the year. 

Morehead State is 316th in offensive efficiency. They take a lot of mid range jumpers that are low quality shots.

Both teams play at a slow pace. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* Tennessee State is pushing the pace to the extreme. They have sped up of late. The Tigers appear to be the fastest or second fastest paced team in the OVC. They are fouling at a high rate too. Their full court pressure is turning teams over at a very high rate and Little Rock gives up a lot of steals and quick scores.

Little Rock's big men Gatkek is healthy again and he should do work here against Tenn State's interior defense which just isn't very good at all. 

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* There is some risk associated with taking an under between these two teams. They play very quickly and there will be a lot of possessions in this game. I'm still going to take the under at this high of a number.

North Carolina is 2nd in the nation in effective field goal percentage defense. They are 5th in shot selection allowed. The Tar Heels have length all over the floor, and they have been making opponents shots very tough.

SMU is 35th best in shot selection allowed.

This one is 6 points above my projected number here. 

Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* Louisiana is one of the best under teams in the country. They are 364th out of 365 teams nationally in overall tempo. They are 353rd in offensive efficiency. They have consistently played very low scoring games.

Southern Miss has taken on three very fast paced teams in their last three games and that is inflating the total a bit.

The first meeting between these two was 116 points and that was with Southern Miss shooting 39 free throws.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Rutgers Scarlet Knights know they need to slow the pace of this game down. Rutgers used up 19.1 seconds per possession (a slow pace) in their Big Ten games so far this year. They lost those games in blowouts too, so the fact that they were stalling despite the score shows they were very committed to playing slowly. Rutgers is 23rd in shot selection allowed this year.

Ohio State has typically played to the pace of their opponent under Diebler. The Buckeyes have been at the free throw line a lot this year, but Rutgers is very good at defending without fouling. Rutgers also has much better numbers on defense when playing at home.

A high total given the expected pace of this game and the Rutgers weakness on offense.

Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Northern Iowa Panthers are a great defensive team. They also play at an extremely slow pace. Northern Iowa is 361st in tempo out of 365 teams in the country. Northern Iowa is also sixth nationally in effective field goal percentage defense. They are good on the defensive glass and very good at defending without fouling. Offensively, they very rarely get second shots, and they don't get to the line much.

Indiana State has been quite a bit better on defense this year than a year ago. The Sycamores are 65th in effective field goal percentage defense. They have played about a second per possession slower than a year ago as well. On offense, they have been shooting a bunch of long range jumpers and not getting many second chances.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles defense ranks 314th in the country in defensive efficiency.  They have been terrible defending the 3 point shot, and they don't have shot blockers either. Tennessee Tech is 81st in average possession length, so they are playing fast.

Little Rock has been shooting the ball a bit better this year than they did a year ago. Little Rock and Tenn Tech met twice last year and there were 148 and 154 points in those games. 

These two teams both excel at scoring on steals and breakaway transition buckets. Both teams are poor at preventing that as well.

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Loyola Maryland Greyhounds defense has been awful on the road this year. They have allowed 85 points or more in all six road games this season. That includes allowing 93 points against a weak Hampton offense and 86 points against a subpar VMI offense.

Loyola is playing 1.2 seconds per possession quicker than they did a year ago. They are happy to push the tempo when they can this season. Loyola shoots a lot of shots from 3 point range, and American is very poor defending the 3 point shot.

American was 348th in tempo last year. They are 137th nationally in tempo this year. American is 313th in effective field goal percentage defense. They foul at a very high rate. 

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles are 83rd in average possession length out of 365 teams in the country. They have been pushing the pace more this season. Tennessee State is up to 37th in overall tempo this year. 

Tennessee State has been using full court pressure and trapping in the half court to force a bunch of turnovers. They are 9th in the nation in potential points off breakaway steals. Tenn Tech is 239th when it comes to giving it away and allowing those scores. The Tigers should get those transition buckets here. 

Tennessee Tech has scored 80 points or more in four of their last five games. Tennessee State fouls a ton (bottom six in the nation) and Tech should do damage at the line in this one.

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* Kelvin Sampson's Houston teams have been great under bets when they are big favorites at home. In fact, when Houston is favored by 22 points or more, the under is 17-3 in regular season games. This one fits the system.

Middle Tennessee is 265th in overall tempo. The Blue Raiders are 275th in effective field goal percentage offense. They have played a bunch of really fast paced opponents, which I think is giving us a higher total here than we should be getting.

Houston is 351st in overall tempo. This Houston team is one of the best in the country on defense yet again too.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* IU Indy is playing at the single fastest tempo of any team in the country. The Jaguars aren't particularly good in the halfcourt offensive sets, but they are great in transition. 

Cleveland State is 110th in overall tempo, and the Vikings are very good on offense in areas where IU Indy struggles on defense. Cleveland State gets to the line a bunch and IU Indy is sending the opposition to the charity stripe at a very high rate. Cleveland State is excellent from 3 point range too, and IU Indy has been awful at defending the perimeter.

Cleveland State turns it over a lot, and IU Indy is elite at stealing it and scoring in transition. I think they'll do work in that area here. Cleveland State is also dead last (365th) in second chance conversion percentage allowed, meaning they give up a bunch of quick second chance points. IU Indy is 115th nationally in that on offense.

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns are 355th in offensive efficiency nationally. They take a lot of very poor shots. This is a team that shot way above their season averages last game, and I would guess that they will cool off here. Louisiana is 361st out of 365 teams in average possession length. They are moving extremely slowly on offense. 

Norfolk State is a slower paced team too. They have been hurt by teams who grab a lot of offensive rebounds, but Louisiana has been very weak in that area. Norfolk State is 298th out of 365 in offensive efficiency. They are coming off some higher scoring games, but I think this one should be much lower against an under team in Louisiana.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Northern Iowa Panthers are 358th (out of 365) in overall tempo. The Panthers are 219th in offensive efficiency. They are 22nd in defensive efficiency. St. Mary's is 232nd in overall tempo, but they are 296th in average possession length. St. Mary's has faced a lot of fast paced teams this season.

St. Mary's is 18th in overall defensive efficiency. They are always great on the defensive glass and at defending without fouling. Offensively, St. Mary's can do a lot of damage against defenses who can't get defensive rebounds, but Northern Iowa has ranked highly on the defensive glass many years in a row.

Two well coached teams who slow the pace down and defend without fouling. I like the chances of this being a very low scoring game.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* Rider is dead last in the country averaging 55.6 points per game so far this season. The Broncs take a bunch of low quality mid range jumpers. Rider is 364th out of 365 teams nationally in offensive efficiency. They are up against a VCU team that is 35th in defensive efficiency. 

Rider is 354th in average possession length. They have been stalling to the extreme even though they have been losing by large margins on a regular basis. 

VCU is a rim and 3 type team. One relative strength of Rider is they don't foul too much and they defend the three point jumper better than average.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Denver Pioneers arguably have the worst defense in the country. Denver is 364th in defensive efficiency. They are 364th in effective field goal percentage defense. They are 364th in 3 point FG% defense. They were helped by last game when N Colorado was missing two of their top outside shooters and didn't shoot the ball well. That game still finished 86-79 Denver. 

Denver is 107th in offensive efficiency. They are getting up quite a few good looks from the outside. 

Tulsa has been great this season. They are averaging 86.1 points per game. They are averaging 99.7 points per game at home this season. They are averaging 94 points per game in their last three games. Tulsa puts up a lot of long range shots, and they are shooting 40.9% from 3. Denver can't defend beyond the arc. 

Both teams shoot free throws very well.

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Cleveland State Vikings are 355th out of 365 teams in the country in defensive efficiency. The Vikings are 353rd in defensive rebounding percentage. They have no shot blockers, and they don't force many turnovers at all. 

Cleveland State is also 76th in overall tempo, so they have played in some very high scoring games. They shoot it very well from 3 point range, and they get to the free throw line a bunch.

Milwaukee is 112th in overall tempo, so they prefer to run too. They are 352nd at defending the 3 point shot. They are great on the offensive glass, and they take care of the basketball. 

A high scoring contest here.

Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Under* This is a good battle between two teams who are defense first basketball teams. Clemson is 29th in effective field goal percentage defense. The Tigers are 132nd in effective field goal percentage offense. 

Cincinnati is 14th in effective field goal percentage defense. The Bearcats are 219th in effective field goal percentage offense. 

Cincinnati already had a lower scoring game against a very fast paced Louisville team that is very good on offense. The Bearcats have great shot blockers who should bother Clemson's front line. 

Cincinnati settles for a bunch of long range jumpers even though they aren't good at them, and Clemson is fourth nationally in 3 point FG% defense.

A neutral site game too.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Utah Utes have been great on offense at home. They are averaging 87 points per game at home. Utah is up against an Eastern Washington team that is 347th in effective field goal percentage defense. Eastern Washington is 103rd in tempo nationally. They are 112th in effective field goal percentage on offense. 

Both teams should get quite a few open looks here.

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Ohio State Buckeyes and North Carolina Tar Heels meet at State Farm Arena in Georgia for a fun non-conference neutral site contest before both start into league play soon. 

Ohio State has feasted on a lot of weaker defenses so far this season. The Buckeyes have a great leader in Bruce Thornton, but their secondary scoring options are not consistent. 

North Carolina is 5th nationally in effective field goal percentage defense. The Tar Heels are the tallest team in the country, and I think their length will bother the Buckeyes offense.

No one has scored more than 74 points on North Carolina all season. The implied team total for Ohio State here is about 75.5. 

The under is 17-10 at this venue.

Take the under here. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Denver Pioneers are dead last in defensive efficiency nationally (365th). Denver has allowed 84 points or more in nine of their ten games against Division One opponents. They have allowed 93 points or more in three of their last four against Division One teams.

Northern Colorado is always strong on offense under Coach Smiley. They are 29th in effective field goal percentage this year. Northern Colorado takes a lot of shots from long range. Denver is last in the country in 3 point field goal percentage defense.

Denver's offense is pretty good. The Pioneers should be fairly efficient against a mediocre Northern Colorado defense.

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns are 360th in average possession length nationally. They are also 358th out of 365 teams in the country in offensive efficiency. They take low quality shots. They turn the ball over a lot. They don't get to the free throw line much at all. They are 284th in offensive rebounding percentage too. Defensively, they are decent. They are 156th in effective field goal percentage defense nationally.

ULM hasn't played many slow paced teams this year. The Warhawks are 342nd in offensive rebounding percentage. They are taking a bunch of three pointers, but Louisiana has been good defending those this season. ULM doesn't foul much at all.

A slow pace here. Seven straight games for Louisiana have finished under this total.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* UT Martin is 318th in average possession length. The Skyhawks are trying hard to slow the game down. Tennessee State is 140th in average possession length.

Tennessee State is 357th in the nation in effective field goal percentage offense. They are good at forcing steals on defense, but they aren't efficient in getting points off those steals. The Tigers are still pretty fast paced, but they are more defensive oriented under Nolan Smith this season.

UT Martin has had five straight games below this total. I think this will make a sixth straight.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* Indiana State is a completely different team this year. They had to win really high scoring games last year, but their defense has been much improved this season. The Sycamores are 48th in shot quality shot selection allowed. They have allowed an average of 59 points per game at home this season.

Bradley is always one of the best defensive teams in the MVC. The Braves have a nice combination of shot blockers and guards who can steal the basketball.

This total has been pushed up in the market, and I think it is several points too high now. 

Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Eastern Illinois Panthers are 324th in the nation in average possession length. This is a team that wants to move very slowly with Simmons as their head coach. SIU Edwardsville is 300th in overall tempo, so I don't expect them to be pushing the issue here either.

Four of the last five games between these two teams have finished with 125 total points or fewer. These teams are both weak on the offensive end, and they aren't good at getting to the free throw line or shooting from the outside.

SIU Edwardsville is loaded with shot blockers led by Sakenis. Eastern Illinois tries to score near the hoop as often as possible.

Take the under here. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Citadel messed around and tried pushing the pace a few times earlier this year, and it went terribly. They have settled back into their very slow pace. Their last five games have all stayed under this total. The Citadel is a bottom 25 tempo team.

Charleston is far slower than they were a year ago. They are 269th in overall tempo this season. The Cougars have played a lot of very good offenses, and they are stepping way down in class here.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Mercyhurst Lakers are dead last in the nation in average possession length. They are stalling in every way possible. They don't have the firepower to win higher scoring games, and they don't have the outside shooters they have had in the past. Mercyhurst is taking a bunch of shots inside the paint and mid range jumpers. Syracuse has elite shot blockers, and I think they'll shut them down here.

Syracuse isn't very good on offense without Freeman. The Orange have had some pretty low scoring games against weak opponents.

Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Northern Iowa Panthers are an excellent under team. Northern Iowa is 25th nationally in defensive efficiency. They are 352nd in tempo, so they play extremely slowly. The Panthers are 296th in shot selection. They are an impressive 33rd in shot selection allowed.

UIC is 213th in overall tempo. The Flames rely on two things on offense- offensive rebounds and getting to the free throw line. UIC struggles badly in the halfcourt too. N Iowa is excellent in transition defense, and they are very good at defending without fouling and grabbing defensive rebounds. 

Northern Iowa has seen 7 of their last 8 stay under this total in regulation. The one that went over got to just 138 points and it was against an Oakland team that has been an over machine.

Take the under here. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Towson Tigers play extremely slowly. Towson is 361st in overall tempo and they are very reliant on second chance points to score on offense. Kansas is always very good on the defensive boards under Bill Self. I don't expect Towson to be able to get those second chances they are getting against nearly everyone else on their schedule.

Kansas will be without Peterson here. The Jayhawks are still a very good team. They have a great defensive identity. Kansas is 4th nationally in blocked shot percentage. They are 9th in defensive efficiency. 

Kansas is 255th in overall tempo, so this Jayhawks team is fine with winning a slower paced defensive battle. They held Green Bay to 51 points. They held Princeton to 57 points. They held Texas A&M Corpus Christi to 47 points.

Take the under here. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Delaware Blue Hens have drastically slowed their pace down this year. Delaware is 350th in average possession length. They were 56th a year ago. 

Rider is 351st in average possession length, so they are very slow as well. Rider has scored 58 points or fewer in five of their eight games against Division I foes this season. They put up 38 points last game against Bucknell. Rider has been without their best offensive player Zion Cruz for the last two games.

Delaware is 361st in FTA/FGA and they are 350th in offensive rebounding percentage. 

Rider is 365th out of 365 teams in the country in effective field goal percentage offense.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Boise State Broncos and St. Mary's Gaels have met on a neutral floor in Idaho Falls the last two seasons. They are back at Mountain America Center for this Sunday evening matchup. 

The last two seasons these games were 63-60 and then 67-65 in OT (59-59 at regulation end last season). These two games were safely under the total. 

St. Mary's is a good offense, but they have only faced one team ranked in the top 68 in KenPom's defensive efficiency rankings. Boise State is 22nd in the nation in defensive efficiency. They are also first in the nation in defensive rebounding percentage. That's important because St. Mary's is excellent on the offensive boards. 

Boise State is relying on a lot of free throws on offense, and St. Mary's is elite at defending without fouling.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Ohio State Buckeyes take on the West Virginia Mountaineers at Rocket Arena in Cleveland on Saturday night. A fun neutral site contest where there will be quite a few fans from both teams. 

Ohio State has played a lot of teams who like to run. The Buckeyes have tended to play to the pace of their opponent under Jake Diebler the last couple years.

West Virginia is 353rd out of 365 in tempo. The Mountaineers will do their very best to stall this game out. The Mountaineers are elite on the defensive glass, and they do not foul much.

The under is 30-19 in the last 49 games in college hoops at Rocket Arena.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks rank 315th nationally in shot selection. They are 330th in FTA/FGA and 339th in offensive rebounding percentage. This is a team that takes a lot of bad shots and rarely gets second chances. 

San Diego isn't playing as fast as they did last season. They are 209th in average possession length. They have been hurt by teams who are good on the offensive glass and get to the line a lot, but N Arizona isn't likely to be the team that can take advantage of that weakness.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Wright State Raiders are playing quite a bit differently this year. Wright State is 254th in average possession length. They are slowing the game down. Wright State is 126th in defensive efficiency this year after struggling badly on defense the last couple years. Wright State has played some very good offenses already this year as well.

Marshall is 81st overall in tempo. The Thundering Herd have faced a much tougher slate of offenses than defenses though, and I believe they are slightly better on defense than offense.

These two are 286th and 294th in the country in FTA/FGA. 

Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* These two teams are 344th and 354th out of 365 teams in the country in tempo. They play very similarly, and both are clearly better on defense than offense. These two teams are 318th and 343rd in effective field goal percentage offense. The defenses should have the upper hand in this one. 

This is the type of game that could easily end with the winner only getting into the low 60's. 

Both teams are outside the top 300 in getting to the free throw line.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The South Dakota Coyotes play at an extremely quick pace, and they excel at getting to the free throw line. Prairie View A&M fouls about as much as any team in the country. There should be loads of trips to the free throw line here.

Both teams are very fast paced, and neither team is any good on defense. A lot of offensive rebounds for both sides here too. 

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* Northern Kentucky is pushing the pace a bit more this year, averaging just 16.3 seconds per possession on offense. The Norse are averaging 78.8 points per game this year. Now, they are playing against the team ranked dead last nationally in effective field goal percentage defense.

Bellarmine has seen 7 of their 9 games go over this total. 

Last year's meeting between these two was 86-70. 

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Cincinnati Bearcats are 9th nationally in defensive efficiency. Wes Miller's team is 5th in defensive rebounding percentage. The Bearcats are much better on defense than offense. Offensively, they are 223rd in overall offensive efficiency. They turn the ball over a lot, and they don't have very many consistent shooters.

Georgia plays extremely fast and that is why this total is so high. The Bulldogs are still pretty good on defense though. They haven't a defense in the top 40 this year either, and now they are facing number 9. 

This is a neutral arena (State Farm Arena) where the under is 16-9 in the last 25 games played here.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Austin Peay Governors are 96th in defensive efficiency. Corey Gipson's team is a defensive minded one. They have faced a lot of strong offenses already this season and in most games they have held strong.

East Tennessee State is 233rd in average possession length. The Bucs prefer to play slowly. Last year, they defeated Austin Peay 79-57 at home in a slow paced contest.

Both of these teams force a lot of turnovers, and I think we will see quite a few wasted possessions. 

These two teams are 272nd and 279th in FTA/FGA so I wouldn't expect too many free throws in this one.

Take the under here. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Southern Illinois Salukis are 103rd in the nation in tempo, but they are solid defensively, and they do not foul very often. Offensively, they attack the basket at a high rate, but UT Martin is a very tall team with a lot of shot blockers.

UT Martin is 301st in average possession length. They rely on getting to the line a lot, but S Illinois does a good job defending without fouling. UT Martin isn't very good from three, and they only shoot 63.9% from the charity stripe. 

The pace should stay slower than most Southern Illinois games, and I think UT Martin's shot blockers will keep this score down some too.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Boston University Terriers are 362nd in the nation in average length of possession. They are 359th in overall tempo. Maine is 345th in overall tempo.

Maine is one of the worst offenses in the nation. Maine has scored more than 61 points just twice in 11 games this season. They turn it over a lot on offense, and they don't get many second chance points.

Maine is still above average on the defensive end. They are elite at defending the three point line, and Boston U puts up a lot of shots from long range.

These two met last year and it was 59-56. I think it will be higher than that here, but I do think this total is set too high.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The North Carolina A&T Aggies rank first in the nation in FTA/FGA, so they are living at the free throw line. Howard fouls more than the average team. The Bison have actually finished in the bottom quarter of the country at defending without fouling the last two seasons. North Carolina A&T is 48th nationally in overall tempo. The Aggies have played some slower paced teams of late, but I do think they still want to push.

Howard is 152nd in the nation in tempo. The Bison are 336th in the nation in effective field goal percentage defense. Howard has been picking up their pace in recent games, and I expect them to run with North Carolina A&T in this one.

NC A&T has seen 5 of 7 games go over this number.  Howard has seen five straight games go over the total.

Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Wichita State Shockers and Northern Iowa Panthers meet in a heated battle between two former rivals in the MVC.

Wichita State moved on to a bigger conference and Northern Iowa and the rest of the MVC have held that against them. 

Northern Iowa is a great defensive team. The Panthers are elite on the defensive glass, and that is where Wichita State's offensive has generated points from second chances.

Northern Iowa is 358th in overall tempo and I expect them to control the pace here.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* New Hampshire is 357th in the nation in offensive efficiency. They are 360th in the nation in effective field goal percentage offense. 

Boston University has been decent on defense in previous years, but their defense has been way down so far this season. I would guess that they improve a bit from here on out, and this is the worst offense they have faced yet.

Boston is 362nd out of 365 teams in the nation in tempo. New Hampshire is 311th in average possession length on offense. A very slow paced game here.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Morgan State Bears always like to play fast and have a frenetic style of play. They are looking to create turnovers and get quick scores off their aggressive pressure defense.

Longwood has played eight Division I games this year. They have played seven of those eight games against teams who are 300th or slower out of 365 teams in average possession length. Longwood wants to run, and they are going to get a chance to run here against Morgan State. Their opponents they have played thus far this season have skewed their games lower scoring.

There should be a lot of free throws in this one.

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Gardner Webb Bulldogs have allowed a whopping 92.1 points per game so far this year. Their defense is 363rd out of 365 teams nationally in effective field goal percentage defense. They have allowed less than 84 points only once in ten games. 

Georgia Southern is 29th in the nation in tempo. The Eagles foul a bunch on defense and they give up loads of free throws. They have played two very slow paced teams in their last two games, but it is back to a track meet type game here.

Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Delaware State Hornets have drastically slowed their pace down by a couple seconds per possession this year. Delaware State's offense is terrible, and they have to try to win lower scoring games. Delaware State has scored 59 points or fewer in six straight games against Division One opponents. They also scored 58 points against Division II Virginia State.

Delaware averaged 16.5 seconds per possession last year, but they are using 19.5 seconds per possession this year. They have an even more drastic slowdown of the tempo. 

These two teams are 354th and 362nd in the nation in FTA/FGA so they are very rarely getting to the free throw line.

I have to back the under at this number. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* Fordham is 343rd in tempo out of 365 teams. The Rams are very deliberate under Coach Mike Magpayo. Four of their seven games against Division I opponents have finished with 134 points or lower. 

Holy Cross is 325th in the nation in tempo. The Crusaders are very weak and they are coming off a shocking victory over Northeastern.

These two teams are 331st and 348th in FTA/FGA, so I wouldn't expect many free throws here.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Brown Bears and Bryant Bulldogs are both defensive teams who slow the pace down to the extreme. They've both played a bunch of really low scoring games, and neither team in this one will try to push the pace. Unless we get some red hot shooting in this one, I think it is the type of game where the first one to 63 or 64 or so is the winner. 

These teams are 289th and 304th in tempo. They are 320th and 338th out of 365 in the country in offensive efficiency.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Denver Pioneers have played seven games. Six of their seven games have finished with at least 154 points scored. Denver is 354th in defensive efficiency nationally and 355th in effective field goal percentage defense. Their coach said in the offseason they might not look very good at times defensively, and that has been the case so far this season.

Eastern Washington is 135th in overall tempo. The Eagles have played a lot of slower paced teams, and they have still had a number of higher scoring games. 

Both teams have been terrible at defending the 3 point shot, and I think we see a lot of long range jumpers attempted here.

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The South Dakota Coyotes were an over machine last year. They aren't quite the offense they were last season, but they still play fast and they are still really bad on defense. South Dakota is excellent at getting offensive rebounds and getting to the free throw line. Portland State has fouled at a very high rate for several years in a row because of their aggressive defense.

Portland State prefers to play quickly as well. They turn the ball over a lot, and that could lead to run out chances for South Dakota. The same will happen with Portland State on defense trapping/pressing their way to quick points. 

Take the over here. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Minnesota Golden Gophers have focused on defense in practice after last game when Santa Clara torched them from long range. Minnesota ranks 355th out of 365 in tempo nationally. The Golden Gophers rely on offensive rebounds and free throw attempts on offense, but Indiana is good on the defensive glass, and they haven't fouled much this year.

Minnesota has played one of the easiest schedules of defense of anyone so far this year, and Indiana's defense will be the best they have seen yet. Indiana is 4th in the nation in effective field goal percentage defense. 

Minnesota slowed a fast paced Missouri team down to 62 possessions. They slowed Stanford down a 64 possession game too.

Take the under here. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Maine Black Bears have played nine games. The highest combined total in a Maine game this year was 137 points. Maine hasn't scored more than 65 points in a game this season. Maine has scored 61 points or less than seven of the nine games.

Maine is good defensively. The Black Bears force a lot of turnovers, and they defend jump shots well. 

Ohio has been disappointing this year. The Bobcats have scored 69 points or fewer in three of their last five games. Ohio isn't getting out in transition nearly as much so far this season.

Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Delaware State Hornets are 364th out of 365 teams in the country in offensive efficiency. They haven't been able to score on hardly anyone. Delaware State could only score 57 on Niagara. They scored only 57 on UMBC. They only scored 52 on New Haven. They have topped 57 only once against a Division One team. Delaware State has slowed down their pace, and they are 342nd in average length of possession nationally.

Navy is a below average paced team at 253rd. Navy relies on getting to the line, but Delaware State has been good at defending without fouling. 

I think this total is too high by a good margin.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Loyola Marymount Lions have made a concerted effort to slow the game down this year. Jan Vide was their best offensive weapon, but he is out with a foot injury now. The Lions have scored just 65, 70, and 68 points against questionable defenses in their games without him. 

St. Louis plays very quickly, but they are a good defensive team. They are sixth nationally in effective field goal percentage defense. The are very good on the defensive glass too.

Loyola is 45th in effective field goal percentage defense. The Lions should do their best to slow this game down.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Creighton Blue Jays are 274th in the nation in tempo. Creighton has slowed things down a bit this season. The Blue Jays lost Ashworth, Kalkbrenner, and Neal from last year's team. Those guys were key to the team, and Creighton has been down quite a bit in terms of offensive efficiency this year. 

Creighton continues to be one of the best teams in the country at defending without fouling. The  Blue Jays are bottom 50 in the country in FTA/FGA on offense too. 

Nicholls State is 294th in offensive efficiency,  but a respectable 197th in defensive efficiency. They shoot too many long range jumpers, and they'll likely have trouble scoring here.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* Freeman is still out for Syracuse and without him the Orange are really limited on offense without their star scorer. Syracuse does play relatively quickly, but them mixing in zone on defense typically slows the opponent down quite a bit. 

Tennessee is a top five defense in the country every single year under Rick Barnes. It's really hard to get open looks against this team. Barnes was disappointed in their defensive effort in the loss to Kansas, and I would expect a bounce back from this Vols defense here.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Florida A&M Rattlers have played four games this year. They have played three teams who rank in the top 14 in college hoops in average possession length. The other team was 52nd out of 365 teams. Everyone they have played has wanted to run at an extremely quick pace. 

Now, they go up against a Jacksonville Dolphins team that is 307th in overall tempo. Jacksonville is a very slow paced team that leans on their defense to win them games. Four games in a row of Jacksonville's have finished at 136 points or lower.

Florida A&M is likely to struggle to score here, but Jacksonville's slower pace should keep them down a bit too.

Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* Bryant has changed up the way they play this year under Coach Jamion Christian. They ranked 6th in the nation in tempo last year. They are 254th overall this year and 320th in average possession length on offense. Bryant is 358th in effective field goal percentage offense. They are good at defending without fouling. Bryant has had some very slow paced games most recently.

Stonehill is 357th in offensive efficiency. They are 285th in average possession length on offense, so they are happy with slower paced games. 

Both of these teams turn it over on more than 21% of their offensive possessions. 

Last year's meeting finished at 133, and that was with a Bryant team who wanted to run.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Jacksonville State Gamecocks host North Alabama on Monday night. These two teams have met quite a bit over the last few seasons. Most of the players are different, but the head coaches remain the same.

Five of the last six games between these two have finished 128 total points or fewer. They have a history of tighter low scoring games.

Both teams rank in the bottom 70 in the country in tempo. They are both better on defense than on offense. Both teams are good on the defensive glass too.

Take the under here. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Citadel toyed with playing quicker earlier this season, but they have gone back to their roots the last couple games. The Citadel has played their last three games to a pace of 61, 60, and 59 possessions. Presbyterian ranks as the second slowest paced team in the country. The Blue Hose have seen six of their seven games against Division One competition finish at 132 points or less.

The pace should be slow the whole way. Presbyterian is 332nd in effective field goal percentage offense too.

These two have a recent history of low scoring games against each other. This is a neutral site game at a venue where the under is 39-28 in the last 67 games here.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The West Virginia Mountaineers definitely prefer the slower paced style of former North Texas Coach Ross Hodge. Hodge is a first year coach with West Virginia, and the Mountaineers have already held three teams to 54 points or fewer. They have had three games finish with a total of 124 points or fewer.

Mercyhurst ranks dead last (365th nationally) in average possession length on offense. They are a very weak team, and they should be trailing large in this one. 

West Virginia with the lead has really taken the air out of the ball and I expect they will here as well. 

Take the under here. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Drake Bulldogs have played four straight games that have stayed under this total in regulation. Drake is 273rd in tempo. The Bulldogs are 10th best at defending without fouling.

GA Tech ranks 13th in effective field goal percentage on defense. They are 11th in 3 point defense and Drake shoots a bunch of three pointers. Five of their seven games have stayed below this.

A neutral floor too.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* Delaware State has played five games against Division One opponents. They have scored 51.6 points per game in those five games. In their last game, they lost to Virginia State (Division II) 62-58. 

Delaware State takes a bunch of bad shots, and they turn it over early and often. UMBC doesn't foul much at all, and Delaware State next to never gets to the line.

UMBC has slowed their tempo down a lot this year. They are just 211th in average possession length. They are playing through the post more. 

Take the under here. 

*3 Star Play Under* This game is played at Acrisure Arena which is clearly playing like an under venue. 

Minnesota is slowing the pace down significantly, and Santa Clara has been playing toward the pace of their opponent most of the time this season. 

These two teams don't have stellar outside shooting.

Minnesota hasn't scored more than 68 points in a game in regulation in any of their last five games (that includes a game against Green Bay). 

Take the under here. 

*4 Star Play Under* Colorado was slowed down quite a bit by San Francisco tempo wise and I think Washington will slow them down too. Both teams are really good on the defensive glass. 

Acrisure Arena is clearly an under arena based on the scores here and the overall shooting percentages. The under has done well here in a small sample.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* It isn't easy taking an under with USF. The Bulls play very fast and have had quite a few really high scoring games. They have really played a bunch of teams that like to run though. USF has played seven games, and they have played six teams that rank in the top 82 (out of 365 teams) in overall tempo. USF has played three of their last four games against teams that rank in the top 12 nationally in tempo.

Colorado State ranks 362nd out of 365 teams in tempo, so this is a huge change for USF. Colorado State is a slight favorite here. The Rams have several guys shooting far above their career averages in 3 point percentage, and I think they will regress toward the mean in time.

A neutral site game here too.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* Eastern Michigan talked a lot about changing the way they play in the offseason. They appear to have figured some things out on the defensive end. Eastern Michigan locked down Cincinnati a couple days ago. They have slowed the pace down in many of their games as well.

NJIT is abysmal when it comes to offensive efficiency. 

This total has been bet up a bit and I'm going to take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* Wright State is playing completely different this year. They are slowing the pace down a lot. Wright State drastically slowed the pace down against Kent State and Cal. I think they'll try their best to do the same to Butler here.

Butler has played a bunch of extremely quick paced teams which I think is skewing their tempo data some in the early going.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* An 11 am Pacific tip off here in a consolation game played at a neutral site that is tough for jump shooters.

Nevada and Washington's game yesterday only got to 149 because of a very quick whistle in the 2nd half of that game.

San Francisco is a slower paced team who has looked strong on defense so far this season.

Nevada is really inconsistent on offense and they take too many mid range jumpers.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play Under* The Stanford Cardinal have played pretty quick this year. I suspect they are looking to play a bit quicker than in the past, but they have played a lot of teams that are happy to run. Minnesota isn't that type of team. I think Minnesota does their best to grind this pace down.

Minnesota has been mixing in some zone defenses to slow down opposing attacks too.

Acrisure Arena is a good under venue and overall the shooting percentages here have been lower.

Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Colorado State Rams are 355th in overall tempo out of 365 teams in the country. Wichita State is 204th in tempo. 

With Colorado State really slowing the pace, it is hard to get to this many points especially on a neutral floor where scoring is typically lower.

Colorado State has a lot of guys shooting very high percentages from 3 point range, and I expect that to regress some. Wichita State is very good at defending near the hoop too.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Washington Huskies have played a bottom ten strength of schedule as far as defenses faced this year. They ran up the points against Arkansas Pine Bluff and Denver. They only scored 69 points against Baylor. Nevada has been pretty good on defense this year, and they are playing at a slightly slower than average tempo.

Washington is loaded with shot blockers, and I think that will bother Nevada with their style of play where they like to get in the paint.

Acrisure Arena hosts this game and it has been playing heavily toward the under.

Take the under here. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Creighton Blue Jays are clearly not nearly as good on offense this year as they have been in some recent seasons. Creighton lost a lot of their consistent outside shooters. The Blue Jays are playing slower this year. Creighton had two very low scoring exhibition games, and now they have scored only 63 against Gonzaga and 60 against Iowa State.

Oregon gets to the free throw line a lot which has contributed to their higher scoring games. Creighton annually has one of the lowest foul rates in the country. 

A neutral floor with this high of a total. I'll take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* UC Irvine is always much better on defense than offense under Coach Russell Turner. UC Irvine has a really good shot blocker down low in Kyle Evans. He should do a really good job keeping S Dakota State out of the paint.

S Dakota State is playing a little slower than last year. They had one game where they put up a ton of points, but they have overall been down this year as far as shooting the basketball.

This is a neutral site game at a location that has trended toward the under through the years.

Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have a couple really good shot blockers. Talvin Hester's team is well known for their ability to defend in the halfcourt and make teams work very hard to get good looks.

Louisiana Tech also slows the pace down a lot. The Bulldogs are 317th in the nation in overall tempo. LA Tech has played three games against Division One opponents and they have finished 127 points, 119 points, and 111 points. I do think their games will get higher than that, but this total is significantly higher.

Indiana State lost a lot of key scorers from last year's team. They have slowed their pace some, and their shooting numbers have dropped off. Three of their last four games have finished with 122 combined points or less. 

These two just met in a 60-51 game on 11/19. 

Take the under here. 

*4 Star Play Under* Syracuse isn't the same offensively without Freeman. The Orange are still very tough on defense though. They'll make teams work deeper into the shot block than normal, and they protect the rim very well.

Iowa State is an elite defensive team. The Cyclones have taken on some really good offenses already this year, and I think Syracuse is a step down from several of those teams.

A very high total in an early start time on neutral floor.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* Eastern Illinois is a terrible offensive team, but they are a team that slows the pace down in a big way and they are scrappy on defense. Central Arkansas tends to play at the pace of their opponent. This game should be played in the halfcourt and as long as we can avoid a foul fest I like this to stay low. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Campbell Fighting Camels are trying to play much faster under their new coach. They are 83rd in tempo nationally. Campbell gave up 96 points to Wisconsin and 91 points to Weber State. They allowed 82 points in a win against Western Michigan. 

Wake Forest is 49th in the nation in tempo. Wake Forest put up 88 points on a slow paced American team in game one. They scored 83 points in a loss to Texas Tech. They put up 109 points against UMass Lowell.

Wake Forest is very good at second chance points, and Campbell struggles on the defensive glass. They are one of the shortest teams in the country. 

A lot of pace and I like the over here.

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* Northern Iowa is elite at controlling the pace of the game. They haven't allowed more than 63 points in regulation all season. Loyola is way down this year, and I think they'll struggle badly to get open looks here. Both of these teams play very slowly on offense and this is an early neutral site game a long way from home. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Kansas Jayhawks and Syracuse Orange are both without their star scorers right now. Peterson is the go to guy for the Jayhawks, and they have struggled to get open looks without him on the floor.

Freeman was averaging 18 points per game for Syracuse, and they'll need to get some free help from opponents to put up bigger point totals now. 

Syracuse is first in effective field goal percentage defense nationally so far this season. The Orange are doing a great job protecting the basket.

Kansas is 11th in defensive efficiency. They have a ton of height and shot blocking ability down low. 

With both teams missing their top guy, I'm on the under here. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Georgia State Panthers and Samford Bulldogs meet in Cancun on Tuesday afternoon. This one is played at Hard Rock Riviera in the afternoon and it will certainly be played on this neutral floor in front of a small amount of fans.

Georgia State is 262nd in average possession length nationally. Samford is 303rd in overall tempo as they have slowed some teams down by mixing in zone defenses.

Georgia State hasn't been very good on defense the last three seasons, but the one thing they were good at on defense was defending beyond the 3 point line. Samford takes a ton of three pointers and those aren't likely to be too open here.

Georgia State is 358th in effective field goal percentage offense. 

Neither team commits many fouls.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns are an extremely slow paced team. They rank in the bottom ten in the country in average possession length. They don't have much scoring firepower, so they are attempting to win lower scoring ugly games.

UC Davis is a medium paced team, but they are much better on defense than offense, and they can get pulled into this lower scoring games at times. 

Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Arkansas State Red Wolves have a new coach who was the Alabama offensive guru for the last couple years. It should come as no surprise that Arkansas State is running like crazy and putting up a ton of points. Arkansas State hasn't had a single game this year finish any lower than 155 total points. 

Arkansas State is great at getting to the free throw line, and they shoot 80.7% from the line as a team.

Jacksonville State has played very slow paced teams in their games thus far. This should be a shock to the system for them, and they are likely to have to speed up their pace at least some.

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* Cincinnati is a great defense. They are second nationally in defensive efficiency. NJIT is a bottom 25 offense nationally. NJIT is likely to struggle badly in their halfcourt sets in this game.

Cincinnati's Wes Miller is 32-22 to the under when favored by 10 points or more. His teams tend to lock things down on defense in this spot.

Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Princeton Tigers played some very fast paced teams early in the season. I believe that has skewed their overall tempo numbers. Princeton doesn't want to run. They no longer have a star in Lee to lead them in scoring either. 

Bradley is a defense first team under Coach Wardle. The Braves are inconsistent on the offensive end.

This is a neutral site game and it is in a location where the under is north of 60% all time.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Oregon State Beavers have been very good at slowing the pace of the game down in recent seasons. They have done the same once again this year. Oregon State defensively does a good job not giving up second chance points which is key against UMass.

UMass likes to run and play very quickly, but they are better on defense than offense. Oregon State's shots will be well contested here.

This is a neutral site game played in a gym that has played heavily to the under. Take the under here. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Northwestern Wildcats have decided to play quicker this season. Northwestern is playing 2.5 seconds per possession quicker on the offensive end than they did last season. They have more scoring options which takes some of the pressure off Nick Martinelli. The Wildcats put up 100 points an exhibition against Illinois State and 72 against a great defense in Iowa State. They scored 81 points in a win at DePaul and 78 in a loss against Virginia.

South Carolina has played slightly faster, and their offensive efficiency is up with better guard play this year. The Gamecocks haven't had a single game finish below this total this season.

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Furman Paladins don't seem to be anything like they have been in past seasons. This team has far less offensive firepower, and for that reason this team is slowing down the pace quite a bit. Furman is just 240th in overall tempo this year. 

Queens is a faster paced team, but they aren't the extreme fast paced team they were a couple short years ago. Two years ago they were 10th in the nation in tempo. They are at 160th so far this year.

Queens is coming off an extremely hot shooting night where they scored 1.49 points per possession. They likely come back down to earth a bit.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Binghamton Bearcats are a really bad team on offense. They put up only 52 against Maryland-Eastern Shore a couple days ago. They scored only 66 against RIT College and 69 against Misericordia College. This team is playing very slowly, and they are highly reliant on getting to the free throw line to have success on offense. Canisius isn't good on defense in general, but they don't foul much at all.

Canisius is in the bottom five in the country in average possession length. They are stalling in a big way. They put up a lot of long range jumpers, and Binghamton's strength is defending the 3 point shot.

A slow pace.

Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The UC Irvine Anteaters don't have many good offensive options this year. This team will still fight very hard on defense for Coach Turner though. 

Northern Iowa has been elite on defense this year. The Panthers haven't allowed more than 58 points in a game all season. They'll probably allow more than that here, but it might not be by much.

Two teams who are clearly better on defense than offense. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* Niko Medved has really had his Minnesota Golden Gophers slowing the pace of the game down. Minnesota is bottom 15 in the country in tempo. The Golden Gophers aren't likely to want to run here either. 

San Francisco is an underrated defensive team. The Dons usually don't take on strong defenses, and while Minnesota is only ok on defense for a major school, I think they will be good enough to bother San Francisco quite a bit here.

Take the under.