*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The St. Mary's Gaels don't play fast, but they do shoot the ball extremely well. Pacific has picked up the tempo in a big way this year. Both of these teams get to the free throw line very often, so trips to the charity stripe should help the over a lot in this game. Both teams knock down a very high percentage on three-point shots as well, so the points should add up quickly in this one. I had this total set at 147 points, so I see plenty of value. Take the over here.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The San Diego Toreros will be on the road tonight to take on a Loyola Marymount team who is good at dictating the tempo of the game. The Lions are particularly good at running the floor and getting quick baskets on their home court. This is a game that San Diego is going to need to put up quite a few points in if they are going to stay in the contest. I had this one lined at 147. Take the over here.

*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The St. Louis Billikens and Vanderbilt Commodores are similar teams. They both prefer playing at a relatively slow pace, and they are both very good on the defensive end. Neither of these teams do much fouling, so don't expect many freebies in this game. Both of these teams have been playing fast paced teams of late, but the game should slow down nicely when they get together here. I had this lined at 128. The under is 4-0 in St. Louis last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games against a team with a win percentage of 60% or better. The under is 3-0-1 in Vandy's last 4 following a win. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games. An 18-0 angle. Take the under.

*5 Star TOP Play VA/Tenn Total* Last year these two teams met and the final score was 46-38. While I don't expect that low of a score again, I do think these teams could struggle to top 100. These are two teams that love stalling and using their strong defense to win games. When they get together, points are very tough to come by. I had this game lined at 112, so I really like the value on this total. Look for a very ugly with a lot of great defense and poor shooting numbers. Take the under big!

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Total* The Fordham Rams have a way of making games very high scoring. They use full court pressure on defense and look to get baskets in transition. Fordham also has a very bad halfcourt defense. Siena has a new system this year, and they are using full court pressure under Coach Jimmy Patsos. Lots of full court pressure in this game should mean plenty of tempo and lots of trips to the free throw line. I had this one lined at 156. Take the over big!

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Oklahoma State Cowboys are pushing the tempo in a big way this year. Why shouldn't they? They have Marcus Smart leading the way, and the supporting cast is superb. The Cowboys have four guys who can put up 20 points in any given game. Robert Morris' defense is among the worst of any team in the nation. Don't be surprised if Oklahoma flirts with 100 points here. I had this one lined at 155 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* Quinnipiac and Oregon State are both all about running the floor and trying to get transition buckets. They are two teams who do a good job getting to the line often and knocking down free throws as well. I don't expect to see many halfcourt sets in this game. Up and down the whole way with lots of trips to the charity stripe helping push this one over as well. Take the over here.

*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Washington Huskies are really good at making a game high scoring. Washington pushes the pace relentlessly. They also don't play very good defense, and they shoot free throws at 77%. Hartford isn't a good team, and they'll give up a bunch of points. They foul a lot, and Washington should get a lot of free throw attempts. I had this game lined at 152. The over is 7-0 in Washington's last 7 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a win percentage less than 40%. A 15-0 angle. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and Charlotte 49ers both like to push the tempo, so tempo shouldn't be a problem here. Charlotte's defense has been embarrassingly bad of late, but the 49ers can put up the points at home. The over is 6-1-1 in Georgia Tech's last 8 road games. The over is 4-0 in Charlotte's last 4 vs. the ACC. I had this one lined at 149. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish shoot the three-ball very well, but the strength of the Canisius defense is defending the three-point shot. Canisius has slowed their tempo down this year, and Notre Dame isn't a fast paced team at all. Jerian Grant will miss the rest of the season for Notre Dame, and that hurts their offense quite a bit. Look for the Fighting Irish to look a bit off without him. Take the under.

*4 Star Play Over 155* My numbers had this game at 161. Morgan State loves to run and gun, and that makes them a great opponent for Oregon. The Ducks will put up a huge number in this game. Don't be surprised if Oregon has 95 by themselves in this one. Morgan State should get their points late as well. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Minnesota Golden Gophers appeared to be trying to speed the game up earlier this year, but they are slowing down in a big way over the past couple weeks. Texas A&M Corpus Christi has been one of the slowest paced teams in the nation for the past few years, and they are once again this season. Corpus Christi will slow this game down to a snail's pace, and Minnesota will likely jump out to a big lead and take their foot off the gas in the second half. I had this one lined at 130. Take the under.

*3 Star Louisville/Kentucky Total Domination* The Louisville Cardinals and Kentucky Wildcats both like to push the tempo of the game. These teams both get tons of offensive rebounds and putbacks, which will be a big help to the over. While both defenses are good, neither are dominating this season. I definitely expect a close game here, which could lead to lots of free throw shooting late in the game to push it over the total. I had this game lined at 152 points, so I see plenty of value in the over. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* These are two teams that like to slow down the game. I don't expect there to be enough possessions in this one for the teams to put up as many points as the oddsmakers are suggesting. Lafayette isn't a very good team, and when they have played against big name programs they have generally slowed the game down in a big way. I had this one lined at 140 points. Take the under. *Note- the line is shifting quickly here. I would play for 4 stars down to 144 and 3 stars down to 142* Thank you.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The UNLV Rebels love to get out in transition. The Rebels best offense is running in transition and getting easy buckets before the other team is set. Mississippi State's defense likes to use full court pressure, but I suspect UNLV will be solid against that pressure. Look for UNLV to get a lot of easy opportunities near the hoop here. The Bulldogs are a fast paced team as well, and that plays into UNLV's hands. I had this total at 142. Play this one for 4 stars up to 138 or for 3 stars up to 140. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UIC Flames have a way of making games very high scoring because of their quick pace and horrible defense. Colorado State is similar in that regard. The Rams do crash the boards though, and I expect them to do major damage on the glass in this one. Both teams shoot a very high percentage at the free throw line, which should be a big boost here. I had this total set at 151. The over is 7-1 in UIC's last 8 following a loss. The over is 6-1 in the Rams last 7 following a loss. A 13-2 angle. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Iowa State Cyclones can really push the tempo of a game. Iowa State ranks 7th in the nation in tempo. The Cyclones have a lot of scoring options both inside and outside. Akron prefers a fast paced game as well, so I expect this one to be up and down the whole way. Even Iowa State's games against teams that slow the game down have been pretty high scoring. I had this line set at 156. The over is 34-16-1 in Iowa State's last 51 games. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Boise State Broncos and Hawaii Warriors both rank in the top 50 in the nation in terms of pace. No one is going to be using up the clock at all in this game. Both of these teams give up a lot of easy buckets inside the paint. In addition, these are two teams who get to the free throw line often, and they both shoot a very high percentage from the line. Since this is likely to be a very close game, free throws down the stretch could really add to this point total. I made this total 164 points, so I see a lot of value here. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UNLV Runnin' Rebels do love to run. UNLV gets out in transition to try to get easy baskets. They should be able to get a lot of those against a Santa Clara defense that is a mess. While UNLV's offense has struggled to get going at times this year, I suspect they'll put up a big number in this one. Santa Clara has been slowed down by the last few teams they've played, but they are comfortable running the floor as well. The Broncos have several guys who can score in bunches. I made this total 141 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Oregon State Beavers and Akron Zips both prefer playing at a quick pace. Akron is dominating on the offensive glass, and Oregon State's defensive rebounding is very suspect. Look for the Zips to get a bunch of easy putbacks in this one. Oregon State and Akron both struggle to defend the paint, so easy baskets for both teams in transition should be expected. The over is 4-0 in Oregon State's last 4 following an ATS win. I had this total projected at 156 points. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The BYU Cougars rank first in the nation in terms of tempo. BYU scored 112 points earlier this year against a good Stanford team. Oregon loves to run, so they definitely aren't going to slow this game down. While this total is posted at a very high level, I think it should be several points higher. The over is 9-1 in Oregon's last 10 games, and they are playing the fastest paced team in the country. The scoreboard will light up in this one. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The Troy State Trojans were a team that liked to push the tempo in the past, but they have a new coach and a new system this year. Phil Cunningham has Troy playing much better defense and slowing the game down to try to win low scoring affairs. Utah State plays good defense and plays slowly as well. They are without star Jarred Shaw, so I expect low scoring games from them for a while as they adjust. The under is 6-0 in Utah State's last 6 Saturday games. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 games (the one over was because of OT). Take the under.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Total* The Citadel has changed the way they play in the past couple years. Previously, this was a team that stalled and hoped to win low scoring games. That didn't work well for the team so now they are running and gunning. They still aren't winning, but their games have been much higher scoring of late. Nebraska has also picked up the pace considerably with new coach Tim Miles. The Cornhuskers can score this year, and the oddsmakers are still behind the curve with this team. I made this total 147 points. Take the over big!

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Cal State Fullerton Titans experimented with slowing the game down earlier this year, but it looks like that experiment is over. The Titans are just much more comfortable running. Fullerton is going to force the issue in this game, and Sacramento's awful defense won't be able to stop them from scoring. I made this total 136 points. Take the over.

*5 Star TOP Play Hidden GEM* This is a game that most people won't pay any attention to. You certainly don't need to watch this game, but I do really like the under in this contest. Coppin State plays at an average tempo and Jacksonville State stalls about as well as any team in the country. Neither offense is efficient and still we have a very high posted total in this game. This game is being played on a neutral court which helps the under because shooters aren't accustomed to the backdrops. I made this total 140 points. Take the under big!

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Here we have two teams that play absolutely no defense. North Dakota ranks in the top ten in the nation in terms of pace. They are at home here and I think they'll be able to dictate the tempo against a SD State team that is way down from last year. I made this total 160 points, so I do see some value on this one. Take the over.

*4 Star Play on under*

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UCLA Bruins and Duke Blue Devils both push the tempo a lot this year. Steve Alford has brought a much faster pace to UCLA, and the Bruins offense has been exceptional so far this year. Duke's offense ranks second in the nation in efficiency, so they can pile up the points with the best of them too. Both of these defenses have struggled against top teams this year. I think both teams make it into the 80's here. I had this one at 170. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Admittedly, I'm not a big fan of taking an 'under' set at 122 points, but this one should be even lower. These are two teams that play at a snail's pace. Neither team will push the tempo at all here. Both of them struggle on offense as well. This game is played a neutral site, which helps the under too. I had this line at 117 points.

The under is 5-0 in Northern Illinois' last 5 road games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against the Missouri Valley. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 4-0 in Loyola's last 4 games following a win. A 23-0 angle. Take the under.

*5 Star TOP Play of Month* The Drexel Dragons and St. Joe's Hawks meet in a heated rivalry game tonight. I've had my eye on this game for quite a while. Both of these teams are teams I like to play the under with, and when they get together the games have been very low scoring. Eight of their last nine games against each other have stayed below 140 points. The one game that did go over went into overtime or it would have stayed under. I projected this line at 132 points. I would play the under here as low as 136. Huge value here.

The under is 3-0-1 in the Dragons last 4 against the Atlantic 10. The under is 4-0 in St. Joe's last 4 against the CAA. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the under in a big way!

*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Both UT Arlington and Oklahoma have been racing the basketball up the court all year long, and there is no reason to assume that will change tonight. Arlington's defense is nearly non-existent and Oklahoma should get whatever shot they want. Arlington shoots it well from long range, and the Sooners have given up a lot of points this season. I had this game projected at 176 points. This total is high, but it should be even higher. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Washington Huskies have a way of turning games into a track meet. Lorenzo Romar's team likes to jack up shots very quickly, and their defense isn't good at all this year. Tulane doesn't always run the floor, but they do always play horrible defense. The Huskies should be able to pile up the points in this contest. If Tulane wants to keep up, they'll need to move quickly and score a lot of points. I had this line projected at 157 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Toledo Rockets and Arkansas State Red Wolves both love to play in transition, and they'll get plenty of transition opportunities against each other tonight. The pace should help in a big way. Toledo's defense is horrible, but the Rockets have put up more than 85 points several times already this year. I had this total projected at 161 points. Take the over here.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Creighton Blue Jays have one of the most efficient offenses in the nation. Creighton was number one in offensive efficiency most of last year, and they are #6 so far this year. The Blue Jays are going to love going against Arkansas Pine Bluff's ridiculously bad defense. Pine Bluff allows opponents to shoot 60.2% on two-point shots. Creighton likes to run and Pine Bluff won't slow the game down. I think Creighton scores more than 90 points here. I made this total 151, so I really like the value. Take the over big!

*4 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The North Florida Ospreys have played a really tough schedule so far this year. They have already played Florida, MTSU, Ohio State, Alabama, and Indiana. Michigan State may be the best team they've played yet. Michigan State will dominate the interior in this game in a big way. The Spartans push the tempo and North Florida likes to run as well. Michigan State should put up at least 90 points on their own. Look for this one to sail over. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UIC Flames and Southeast Missouri State Redhawks meet in this one. UIC is a terrible team who has serious defensive problems. The Flames have given up 93 and 103 points in two of their last six games. SE Missouri State has scored over 100 points in three games already this season. SE Missouri State should win big here, but the Redhawks give up quite a few points too, and I think this one gets safely over the total.

The over is 4-0 in UIC's last 4 vs. the OVC. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 6-1 in UIC's last 7. The over is 7-1 in the Redhawks last 8 home games. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 Saturday games. A 31-4 angle here. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* This is a matchup between two teams who are horrible on the defensive end. Edwardsville has been giving up easy layups to everyone on their roster for the past few years. They like to play fast as well. Fort Wayne is a high scoring team on their home floor, and the Mastadons have several very good outside shooters. It's hard to imagine either team being slowed down very often in this one. I had this one lined at 151 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Clemson Tigers and Furman Paladins play a very similar style of offense. Both of them are content to use up the entire shot clock and attempt to score late in the clock. Clemson is one of the best defenses in the nation so far this year. It won't surprise me if Furman struggles to get to 45 or 50 points here. Clemson's really slow pace makes it unlikely that they would put up a big number in this one. I had this one lined at 119 points. Take the under here.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Nebraska Omaha ranks in the top ten teams in the country in terms of pace. Both of these teams are terrible on the defensive end. Expect lots of easy buckets and free throw attempts in this game. Nevada has an elite scorer in Deonte Burton and he should have a huge game here. Omaha shoots 77% from the line and they should get plenty of trips against a Nevada team that fouls a ton. I had this one lined at 166 points. Take the over.

*4 Star Play on Under 142*

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers and the Wisconsin Badgers meet every year. In the last seven years, the highest scoring game between these teams finished at 127 points. Wisconsin is as good as anyone in college basketball at slowing the pace of the game down, and Wisconsin Milwaukee won't be able to speed this game up. The Badgers are likely to dominate early and then coast late in this game. In 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams, the total hasn't gotten above 116 points. I made this total 129 points. Take the under here.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish pushed the pace a bit early in the year, but as the year moves along they are moving back toward their stall ball offense. They burn clock the majority of the time in the halfcourt, and that can lead to a bunch of unders. North Dakota State is another team that likes to move slowly. While both of these teams shoot the ball pretty well, I can't pass up a chance to take the under at a number this high with two teams who like to use up the shot clock. I projected this line at 145 so I see plenty of value. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Evansville Purple Aces and Xavier Musketeers play a similar style of basketball. Both of these teams play at a normal pace and play solid halfcourt defense. In a game that I expect to stay competitive, it's hard to imagine either team putting up a really big number here. The Musketeers defense is great at home, but they haven't had much fluidity in their offensive sets this year. There is a lot of standing and watching when Xavier is on the offensive end. I had this number at 142. *Note- This line has moved down since I selected the under. I would play the under down to 144, but not lower. Thank you*

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Oakland Golden Grizzlies have been one of the fastest paced teams in the nation in the past few years. They were forced to slow things down earlier this year because their bench was very short, but now that they are healthy again the Grizzlies will be running. Tom Crean's Indiana team is really pushing the pace in a big way this year. Indiana doesn't have as much height down low this season, but they have a ton of guards and forwards who can score in transition. Oakland's defense is nearly non-existent, and they will give up a ton of points here. I had this one lined at 158 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Wildcats are an elite team this year. Arizona is really putting in tremendous effort on the defensive end of the court. Their length and quickness make them extremely difficult to get a good look against. UNLV likes to get out and run, but the Rebels offense is very inefficient. UNLV has had trouble scoring on bad defenses, and now they'll play one of the best defenses in the country. Arizona's tempo isn't as fast, and they should slow the game down once they have a nice lead. I had this game projected at 143 points. The under is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 overall. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Wisconsin Battle* This intrastate rivalry game will be played at a very slow tempo with solid defense on both sides. My numbers had 125 points for this one. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Miami Hurricanes have been playing pretty slow since Jim Larranagga took over at the school a couple years ago. This year, they are playing much slower than ever before. Why is that? Quite simply the Hurricanes aren't very good this year. Without Shane Larkin and the rest of the stars from last year, Miami can't score. They have to slow the game down and rely on defense to win. Nebraska is a slow team as well, so they won't force the issue. I expect a fairly close game here as both defenses play well. My numbers had this one at 121 points. The under is 4-0 in Miami's last 4 games. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Ball State Cardinals have a new coach this year who is all about defensive schemes and trying to win with defense. While Valpo has had some very high scoring games early this year, those were against weak defenses and teams that run. Ball State will work hard to slow the game down here, and they should succeed. Expect this game to largely be played in the halfcourt with both teams taking up most of the shot clock before getting a shot up. I had this one at 143 points. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* A huge key to winning college basketball totals bets is keeping up with changes in strategy. UC Riverside has a new coach this year, and the Highlanders are running a lot more this year after playing stall ball the last few seasons. There should be value on their overs for a little while. Loyola Marymount has an elite point guard in Anthony Ireland, and they are always willing to run with anyone. My numbers had this one at 152 points. Look for a lot of shots here, and if the shooting percentages are even decent this should top the posted total. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Wright State Raiders have sped up a significant amount compared to last season. This year's team is forcing the issue and getting to the line a lot. The defense has also slacked off quite a bit from last year. Morehead State uses full court pressure and is a very aggressive team. Both of these teams foul far more than the average team. Lots of trips to the charity stripe in this game. I had this number at 145. Look for the pace and the fouls to send this game over the total. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* North Dakota and Pacific are two teams who are making a concerted effort to pick up the tempo this year. North Dakota ranks in the top 20 in terms of pace. Pacific shoots the ball well, and they are playing much faster than they did last year. North Dakota and Pacific both foul a bunch, which means trips to the charity stripe should be very frequent in this one. The Tigers shoot 81% from the line, so expect them to cash in on those opportunities. Both teams defenses give up a lot of open looks. I had this total pegged at 160. Take the over here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The College of Charleston Cougars have slowed the pace down in a big way this year. Cal State Fullerton has typically been a run and gun team, but they have a new coach who wants the tempo slowed down a lot. Fullerton played to a 48-46 final yesterday against Miami. The tempo should be slow in this one, and both teams have had a ton of problems shooting the basketball so far this year. I had this line projected at 133 points. Look for an ugly game here with lots of missed shots. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* The San Diego State Aztecs are always one of the best defenses in the country. Steve Fisher's teams don't give up easy shots. Creighton has been scoring a ton of points this year, but this Aztecs defense is definitely the best one Creighton has been up against this year. Creighton doesn't push the tempo all that much, and San Diego State has really slowed down this year now that they don't have much offensive firepower. I had this number projected at 139 points, so I see plenty of value. Take the under here.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play of Day* The Syracuse Orange play that matchup zone that gives nearly everyone fits. It's next to impossible to get inside the paint against their defense. Baylor makes a living in the paint normally, and I think the Bears will struggle again this defense. Baylor's defense has been much improved this year. The Bears have multiple shot blockers who make it really difficult for opponents. Opponents are shooting a miserable 36.3% on two-point shots against Baylor this year. Baylor is also slowing the tempo down in a big way. The Bears successfully slowed down a fast paced Dayton team yesterday. Syracuse plays slow as well. This total is set far too high. I had this projected at 129 points. Take the under big!

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The BYU Cougars play faster than any other team in the country, which is why this number is so high. Still, Wichita State is a very good defensive team and a number this high seems a little crazy on a game involving the Shockers. BYU and Texas only got to 168 yesterday, and Texas runs much more than Wichita State. The Shockers will slow things down a bit here, and contest BYU's shots from outside. I projected this line at 164. The under is 4-0 in BYU's last 4 neutral site games. Take the under in this one.

*4 Star NCAA BB Top Total* The LaSalle Explorers have changed the way they play this season. This team used to be running and gunning, but now they are slowing it down and trying to control the tempo. Northern Iowa has long been a team that likes to slow the game down and play a halfcourt style, so they aren't about to speed this game up. Both teams are better than average on the defensive end, and they don't turn the basketball over very often. A slow tempo and tough looks at the hoop should equal an under in this one. I had this one lined at 136. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Fresno State Bulldogs are playing a little faster than they have in the past. Pacific is playing much faster than they have for a very long time. Pacific has a new coach who is pushing the team to get some transition scoring opportunities. This line is set about the way it should have been last year with two slower paced teams and without the new rules that cause quite a few more fouls and free throw attempts. I had this one projected at 143. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The UT Arlington Mavericks have a way of turning every game into a track meet. They haven't had a game all season finish lower than 156 points. Eastern Michigan's coach said in the offseason he wants his team to speed up and run more often. Here is their chance! UT Arlington's lack of defense should create tons of easy scoring opportunities for Eastern Michigan. UT Arlington will get their points in transition, and they do shoot it pretty well from long range. I had this one lined at 151. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Montana State Bobcats are playing a lot slower than they have the last few years. This is one of those teams that will likely be a good value on the under because of their change in style. The oddsmakers are going to put higher numbers than they should on them because of their past history. Austin Peay runs, but they don't shoot the ball well. This total is set at least 5 or 6 points too high. Take the under here.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Vanderbilt Commodores were in total control of their game yesterday leading by 16 points late before allowing Providence to finish the game on a ridiculous 27-4 run. I cashed in on the under in that game, and I'm taking the under again here. Vanderbilt doesn't have enough talent to outscore many teams, so they slow it down. Morgan State runs, but they don't score efficiently and they play solid defense. I projected this line at 141. A whopping 10.5 points lower than this total opened. The under is 7-1 in Vanderbilt's last 8 neutral site games. Take the under big!

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Clemson Tigers are about as good as anyone in the country at slowing the game down and playing at their preferred pace. No one has been able to get them out of their game this year, and I don't think Davidson will be able to either. Davidson isn't nearly as good as they have been in recent years, and they don't have a ton of top notch scorers. Clemson will slow this down to a snail's pace, and this will be a very ugly game. The under is 12-1 in Davidson's last 13 against the ACC. Take the under here.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The LaSalle Explorers have totally changed the way they play this year. LaSalle previously was a run and gun type of team, but they are controlling the tempo and running halfcourt sets this year. It will take a while for the oddsmakers to get accustomed to this new style of play for LaSalle, and that gives us a chance to find great value. Morgan State likes to run, but they aren't used to playing this kind of solid defense. LaSalle controls the tempo here and wins convincingly. I like the under a lot. Take the under big!

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Monmouth isn't a good team at all, but they love to run and put up shots as quickly as possible. That plays right into the hands of a St. John's team that isn't very good in the halfcourt, but is great when running the floor and scoring in transition. St. John's should get a big lead early here, and Monmouth should get some easy buckets late in the game. I had this one lined at 151. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The Kent State Golden Flashes are improving quite a bit on the defensive end. They've been highly competitive against good teams this year, and I expect their defense to slow down USC Upstate in a big way here. Neither of these teams is comfortable running and gunning, so this total definitely seems too high. I had this one projected at 142 points. Look for a lower scoring game here. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* I was burned by VCU last night (lost the over by a single possession). The Rams couldn't shoot the ball well at all, and they appeared to give up in that game. I don't think it happens two games in a row. It won't hurt that Long Beach State has no ball handler and they'll turn it over a ton of times here. VCU will get easy buckets all game long, and Long Beach State is going to play at a quick pace as well. I think this one gets to at least 155 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Providence Friars have slowed their pace down quite a bit with Ed Cooley as their head coach instead of Keno Davis. Cooley is preaching defense too, and the Friars are starting to buy in. Vanderbilt doesn't have enough talent to compete with top teams by running, so the Commodores will be slowing games down all season long. The under is 6-0 in Vandy's last 6 Friday games. The under is 5-0 in Providence's last 5 following an ATS win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 neutral site games. Take the under.

*4 Star Florida St/VCU Total Domination* The Florida State Seminoles and VCU Rams meet tonight, and both of these teams love to run. Both teams are great at forcing turnovers, and neither of them are very good at controlling the ball. The full court pressure in this one should lead to lots of easy buckets going both ways. FSU has transformed from a defensive-minded team into a team that tries to outscore the opposition. The way the officials are calling games now, there are going to be a bunch of fouls here so free throws should help this total in a big way. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The UCF Knights and Miami Hurricanes meet in a nice intra-state battle tonight. Miami isn't even close to the team they were last year. The Hurricanes lost all their stars from last year, and the team is walking it up the court now and relying on defense to win it. UCF is in no hurry either. As long as we can stay away from ridiculous amounts of fouls, I really believe this game stays well under the posted total. I had this one projected at 131 points. Look for a tight game with both defenses playing well. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Dayton Flyers and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are two teams who have picked up the tempo quite a bit from last year. Brian Gregory has Georgia Tech speeding up in a big way right now, and the Yellow Jackets have a lot more talent than they had last year. Gregory used to coach at Dayton, and the Flyers will be motivated to beat their old coach in this one. Archie Miller has Dayton getting out in transition as often as possible right now. These two teams shoot 76% and 77% from the free throw line, so I expect a lot of made free throws to help this one out a lot. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Kentucky Wildcats have plenty of firepower on their roster this year. The Wildcats have all kinds of guys who are capable of scoring at will. UT Arlington won't provide any defensive resistance at all. Most importantly, UT Arlington has decided to run and gun and play at a breakneck pace this year. Boise State put up 116 points on Arlington in their season opener. Kentucky should hit 100 here, and the Wildcats aren't going to slow this game down. The tempo of the game makes it likely that we see at least 170 points scored in this one. Take the over in this game.

*3 Star Michigan/Louisville Total Domination* The Michigan Wolverines and Louisville Cardinals will play for the NCAA Basketball Championship on Monday night. It's no surprise that Louisville is here as they were the top seed overall, but Michigan is a small surprise here as a number four seed. The young Wolverines have really hit their stride in the NCAA Tournament.

Louisville likes to push the tempo, but the Cardinals also have what is arguably the best defense in college basketball. Russ Smith and Peyton Siva are defensive pests on the perimeter, and there isn't a better defensive center in the nation than Gorgui Dieng. Dieng should make it tough for Mitch McGary to score down low in this one, and he'll cut down on Trey Burke's ability to penetrate.

Louisville generally scores a lot of points off of opponents turnovers, but Michigan turns the ball over less than any team in the country. Michigan has plenty of ball handlers, and I expect them to handle the Louisville pressure relatively well.

On a neutral floor like this one and in a game of this magnitude, we often see the game slow down. Louisville likes to push the tempo, but the Cardinals offense isn't all that great in the halfcourt. If Michigan takes care of the ball, Louisville isn't likely to get nearly as many easy looks as they are accustomed to getting.

I had this one projected at 135 points. Take the under here.

*3 Star Michigan/Syracuse Final 4 Total Domination* The Michigan Wolverines and Syracuse Orange will meet in the late game Saturday night in Atlanta. Michigan pulled off the best comeback of the NCAA Tournament against Kansas, and then dominated Florida. Syracuse took down the number one seeded Indiana Hoosiers and then dismantled Marquette in a really ugly game in the Elite 8 last Saturday.

While it is conventional wisdom to say that Michigan matches up well against Syracuse because the Wolverines have so many three-point shooters, that might not actually be the case. Syracuse has so much length that opposing offenses don't get good three-point opportunities. What they get is contested low percentage three-point shots. In fact, Syracuse allowed opponents to shoot only 28% from beyond the arc this year, which is third best in the nation.

Syracuse and Michigan are both comfortable playing at a slow tempo, and things normally slow down even more for games of this kind of importance. Syracuse is excellent defensively, but their offense isn't all that impressive. The Orange have perfected the matchup zone, which makes transition chances few and far between for their opponents.

None of Syracuse's postseason games have even gotten close to this posted total. I had this one projected at 127. Take the under here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Duke/Louisville Total Domination* The Duke Blue Devils and Louisville Cardinals met in an early season tournament in Nassau. Duke won that game 76-71. The Blue Devils made 23 free throws to Louisville's 9 made free throws. The shooting percentages were pretty normal for both teams in that game, and the final total got up to 147. Louisville's defense is very good, but that doesn't always equal low scoring games. The Cardinals full court pressure speeds up the game, and Duke loves to play fast this year. Duke has four or five guys who are capable of lighting it up from deep. Louisville's Russ Smith is playing the best basketball of his career right now. We'll get plenty of pace here, and unless the shooting numbers are terrible this one should go over. I made this one 141 points. The over is 7-0 in Louisville's last 7 games. The over is 7-0 in Duke's last 7 against the Big East. The over is 9-0 in Louisville's last 9 games played at a neutral site. Take the over.

*3 Star Elite 8 Total Domination* The Wichita State Shockers are now the biggest Cinderella left in the NCAA Tournament. The Shockers are a better team than their record indicates, and they aren't afraid of anyone. On the other side, Ohio State has been as clutch as anyone in the tournament with two clutch game winners in their last two games. Both of these teams have been shooting about 50% from three-point range in their first three games in the NCAA Tournament, which has made their games much higher scoring than normal. That hot shooting has propped this total up to a higher number than it truly should be. Both of these teams are very good defensively and open shots should be tough to come by. Neither of these teams really like to run, so this could be a grind it out close game the whole way. The under is 6-0 in Ohio State's last 6 Saturday games. Take the under. *Note- This line has moved down since I played the under on Friday. I would take this one as low as 128.*

*3 Star NCAA BB Oregon/Louisville Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks and Louisville Cardinals both like to push the tempo. Oregon has drawn two favorable matchups in their first two NCAA Tournament games. The Ducks one primary weakness is taking care of the ball against teams who use pressure defense. Louisville arguably has the best pressure defense in the nation. The Cardinals will full court press and force Artis and Loyd of Oregon into bad decisions. Louisville should get a lot of easy transition buckets in this one. Oregon has plenty of depth, and the Ducks can score in the half court. A number like this one is usually set aside only for games between teams who like to slow it down and/or can't score very well offensively. I don't think that fits in a matchup between these two teams who both rank in the top 1/3 of the nation in terms of pace. The over is 6-0 in Louisville's last 6 games. The over is 8-0 in the Cardinals last 8 neutral site games. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Play of the Day* The Richmond Spiders and Wright State Raiders meet Monday night in the CBI post-season tournament. Wright State has the home court advantage, and the Raiders like to slow the game down and win with their strong defense. Richmond is also more comfortable playing at a slow pace. The smaller post-season tournaments have been trending very high scoring, which gives us some good value on the under here. With two teams who use up the shot clock, I think the oddsmakers have adjusted this number a little too high. The under is 5-1 in Richmond's last 6 Monday games. The under is 4-1 in Wright State's last 5 games overall. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Florida Gulf Coast has been March Madness's biggest Cinderella this year. Gulf Coast dominated the majority of the game against Georgetown, and this team has now won two games against number two seeds in this year's tournament field (their other win was against Miami). San Diego State played a great second half to take down Oklahoma on Friday night. Both Gulf Coast and San Diego State prefer to play at a very quick pace. The oddsmakers have put a number on this game that would require both teams to shoot a low percentage from the floor. I made this one 136 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAABB Early Bird Special* The Virginia Cavaliers has always been one of the slowest paced teams in the nation under coach Tony Bennett. St. Johns likes to speed the game up a bit, but they are very poor on the offensive end. For the season, St. Johns is shooting 27 percent from 3-point range. St. Johns is much better on the defensive end. Even though they like to push the tempo, their games are often low-scoring. The extremely early start time is helpful to an under. These kids virtually never play a game at 11:00 AM Eastern time. The under is 5-0 in St. Johns last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in their last five road games. Under is 16-5 in Virginia's last 21 non-conference games. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* This is a smaller postseason tournament play. I made this line 147 points. *Note-The line is quickly moving up here since I released this play two days ago. I would play this one up to 145 points.* Take the over!

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The North Carolina Tar Heels found themselves late in the year by going uptempo and going with a smaller lineup. Marcus Paige really came into his own at the point guard spot. Paige was a liability on offense early in the year, but he is shooting well and leading the fast break very well now. Villanova's young guards are very turnover prone, and North Carolina can force turnovers and score in bunches. The Wildcats don't have it in them to slow the game down, so I expect a lot of fast paced basketball in this matchup. My numbers made this total 147 points. Look for a tight game with free throws late to push it over. The over is 4-0 in UNC's last 4 neutral site games. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The Wisconsin Badgers are one of my favorite 'under' teams in the nation. Bo Ryan's team knows how to get the lead with their strong defense and then take the air out of the ball by running the clock and not turning it over. Mississippi is a high scoring team, but they haven't played against teams like Wisconsin in the SEC. Mississippi was running up high point totals against the likes of Auburn, South Carolina, and Mississippi State. Wisconsin was busy locking down very good Big Ten teams. Look for Wisconsin's defense to frustrate Marshall Henderson and the Rebels. Wisconsin should get the lead and then grab control of the tempo. The under is 5-0 in Mississippi's last 5 following an ATS win. the under is 4-0 in the Rebels last 4. The under is 7-2 in the Badgers last 9 against the SEC. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The VCU Rams are a terrible matchup for the Akron Zips right now. Akron is now without star point guard Alex Abreu. Without Abreu, Akron will have to rely on a freshman point guard and their big men to try to get the ball upcourt through VCU's Havoc full court pressure. It won't be easy. At the same time, Akron will have a massive advantage on the boards here. VCU struggles badly on the defensive glass. Look for the Rams to get easy opportunities off the press and the Zips to get easy opportunities on second chance shots inside the paint. I made this total 139. Take the over.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* My numbers had this game at 135 points. Earlier this year these teams played to a 151 point total. The NCAA Tournament slows things down a bit, but not enough to warrant this extremely low total. UNLV played in a league with a lot of teams who slowed down the pace, but the Rebels are definitely at their best when running the fast break. Cal 's Allen Crabbe is the best pure scorer in this game, and I don't see anyone on the UNLV roster that can slow him down. Transition opportunities for both teams should present themselves early and often in this game. The over is 5-1 Cal's last 6 against the MWC. The over is 6-2 in UNLV's last 8 against the PAC 12. Take the over in a big way here!

*3 Star NCAA BB Bookie BEATDOWN* The South Dakota State Jackrabbits are in the NCAA Tournament for a second straight year. They gave Baylor a scare in the first game last year, and they should be competitive here. South Dakota State shoots 40% from beyond the arc, and Michigan often leaves guys open outside. The Wolverines are an extremely efficient offensive team, and South Dakota State's defense has struggled all year. The Jackrabbits gave up more than 80 points in a game numerous times this year. They allowed more than 85 points in five games. Michigan will put up the points with their well balanced attack. Look for good shooting from both teams. The over is 10-2-1 in Michigan's last 13 neutral site games. The over is 12-3 in South Dakota State's last 15 non-conference games. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The Pittsburgh Panthers are usually known as a defensive minded team, and they are even more that way this season. Jamie Dixon's team plays great defense and slows the game down on the offensive end. Wichita State's defense is very good, and the Shockers should be able to hang with Pitt in this one. This has the feel of a game that stays close all the way, and the winner of this game probably won't get out of the 50's. I made this total 116. *Note- This line has dropped quickly since I released the play on Sunday night- I would play the total down to 118.5 but no lower*

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The UC Irvine Anteaters have a lot of veterans on their team this year, and they almost made the NCAA Tournament. In the end, they fell in the title game to Pacific. I think Irvine will be fighting hard to keep winning in this small postseason tournament. The Anteaters offense is much better at home, and High Point's defense isn't particularly impressive. Both of these teams are comfortable playing a quick pace. I made this line 136. Take the over. *Note- The line has moved up here since I released this play on Monday afternoon. I would play this one up to 134.*

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The smaller postseason tournaments often have a lot of games that go over the posted total. Teams decide to pick up the tempo since there isn't as much left to play for. UT Arlington has been playing pretty fast of late anyways, so I was surprised to see a number this low thrown out on this game. I made this one 135 points. Take the over. *Note- This line has quickly moved up since I released the play on Monday afternoon. I would suggest playing this one up to 133, but not any higher.*

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs use full court pressure to force the tempo, and Florida State should be glad to run in this one as well. These NIT games often go higher scoring than a regular scoring game, and I think this one could go well over this total. *Note- This line has moved quickly since I selected it at the open. I would play this total up to 143.* Take the over.

*3 Star NIT Total Domination* The Eastern Kentucky Colonels and Gardner Webb Runnin' Bulldogs are both very comfortable playing at a slow tempo. These NIT games are typically higher scoring than a regular season game, so we get a nice value on the under. Since both teams have played so slow during the year, I don't see these teams drastically speeding up here. Gardner Webb is a particularly low scoring team, and they will be the home team here. The under is 6-0-1 in Gardner's last 7 non-conference games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The VCU Rams use their "havoc" defense to force the pace and force more turnovers than any other team in the nation. UMass plays even faster than VCU, and the Minutemen aren't about to slow this game down. Their first meeting this year played to a total of 154 points, and the shooting numbers weren't particularly good. With two full court pressure teams, this will be an all out track meet. Barring some really bad shooting percentages, this should go over. The over is 4-0 in UMass' last 4 neutral site games. The over is 7-1 in VCU's last 8 games. The over is 8-2 in UMass' last 10 games. Take the over. *This is a play for me up to 153 points*

*3 Star Arizona/UCLA Totals Takedown* The Arizona Wildcats and UCLA Bruins are both very comfortable playing a fast paced game. Their last meeting finished at 143 points, and the shooting numbers weren't particularly great. There were only 26 free throws between the two teams all game, and I would expect more trips to the charity stripe in this game. UCLA has Shabazz Muhammad and Jordan Adams while Arizona has Mark Lyons and Solomon Hill. All of these guys are capable of putting up a ton of points in a short period of time. The posted total was 148 in their last meeting, and I think this has been adjusted down too far. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Iowa State Cyclones are sure to be fired up for this opportunity. Iowa State lost to Kansas in overtime twice during the regular season, and the Cyclones could have easily won both of those games. Iowa State pushes the tempo more than any other team in the Big 12, and they can light it up from long range. Kansas isn't going to slow the game down, and they have the ability to score inside against Iowa State. Both regular season games were well over this posted total before they ever got to overtime. The over is 23-5 in Iowa State's last 28 games overall, so the oddsmakers haven't caught up to this team all year. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the over. *Note- This total has moved up- I would play this as high as over 146*

*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Cal State Fullerton Titans have been one of the highest scoring teams in the nation this year, but two of their top three scorers are doubtful for this game. Without Seeley and Yeager in the lineup, this is a totally different offense. Fullerton has been held in the 50's twice in their last three games. Cal Poly has the best defense in the Big West and they slow the game down in a big way. Even with everyone healthy earlier this year these two played to a 137 final. The under is 5-0 in Fullerton's last 5. The under is 6-0 in Cal Poly's last 6 Saturday games. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The Western Illinois Leathernecks are the single slowest team in the nation in terms of possessions per game. South Dakota is fairly quick, but I don't think they'll be able to speed up this game. It's win or go home for both of these teams and that generally means better defense and a slower pace to the game. I had this one projected at 120 points. The under is 39-19-2 in Western Illinois' last 60 games. Look for a slow paced game that stays well under the total. Take the under here.

*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total* The William & Mary Tribe and James Madison Dukes meet at Richmond Coliseum to fight for a spot in the CAA semifinals. The CAA Tournament is wide open this year, so both of these teams have a real shot at getting to the finals. This gym is noted for being tough on shooters with its tough rims and spacious interior. The under is 4-0 in James Madison's last 4 neutral site games. The under is 5-0 in William & Mary's last 5 neutral site games. Look for the defenses to win out in a tough battle here. Take the under big! *Note- I would play this one all the way down to 132*

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play CRUSHER* The Hofstra Pride are so awful on the offensive end. A total this high in a Hofstra game is almost unheard of. In fact, in Hofstra's last 19 games only two of them have gone above this total and both of them finished at 131 (a single point above this). Delaware does like to run, but the Blue Hens also play very good defense. The first two meetings between these teams this year finished at 123 and 113 points. On a neutral floor I don't expect this one to be any higher. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. Take the under big!

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Drexel Dragons are one of the best in the CAA at slowing the game down and winning with ball control. George Mason will try to push the pace some, but in a game that means so much to both teams look for the offenses to be tight. This is being played at a neutral court with tough shooting backdrops. I projected this one at 124. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Sun Belt Conference Tournament is played at a neutral site in Hot Springs. This venue has been noted for its tight rims and tough shooting backdrops for many years. Here we have two teams who are better on defense than they are on offense. They are both also much more comfortable playing at a slow tempo than they are pushing the pace. One regular season meeting went under while another went over, but the one that went over saw amazing 3 point shooting numbers from Fla. Atlantic. I had this one projected at 120. The under is 5-1 in Troy's last 6. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Southern Illinois Salukis and Missouri State Bears are both poor offensive teams. At a neutral site in St. Louis, I expect the shooting percentages to be especially low in this one. Arch Madness in the MVC has seen 15 of the past 18 games go under the total in the past two years. I had this one projected at 114 points. I would play this one down to 117. Look for an ugly low scoring game here. Take the under.

*3 Star Wisconsin/Michigan State Total* The Wisconsin Badgers have been one of my favorite 'under' teams for the past few years. Bo Ryan's teams are terrific at slowing the game down and taking care of the ball. Michigan State has lost three straight going into this one and Tom Izzo's team should be focused on the defensive end today. The stakes are high here since both teams still have a chance at the Big Ten title. Look for both defenses to bring their "A Game" and keep this one low scoring. The under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings at Michigan State. Take the under.