Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -6.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 165 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking the NINERS. Great year for Detroit. How can we not be happy for this bunch. I think they are a talented group. Coach will make a bonehead play here today that will get San Fran to that 10pt margin though. Niners the more conservative bunch for sure - but slow and steady will win this race. I think the Lions will want to run the ball a lot. They don't San Fran getting shots. But this Niners defense is pretty solid. Good teams find ways to win when they play poorly. And these guys played poorly last week. Everyone saw it. Everyone reacts to it. Lions had good fortune in both home playoff wins. This team is average at best on the road. Ravens crushed you. Bears beat you. Wild games in New Orleans and vs the Chargers. You had a nice game 1 in KC. You lost in Dallas. Calls go both ways sometimes. That being said, I think people are underestimating the Niners. And I am pretty sure they know exactly what to expect out of Goff, since they saw him plenty when he was on the Rams. No edge there. Niners by 10! . 4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO 49ers |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs v. Ravens -3 | 17-10 | Loss | -120 | 161 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking BALTIMORE. I understand all of the Mahomes and KC love. Guy as a dog. How cna I knock you for grabbing points. He crushed me last week. Totally different team, and HC here in Baltimore than in Buffalo. Bills were pretty banged up on defense. They caught some breaks, and were still in position to win the game, settled for a tie, and blew it. Ravens seem to be on mission this year. The KC flaw has been their offense all season. It is why the Ravens are the home team. I don't think the Chiefs can stop this offense. Also will be on the Over 44.5 in this one. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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01-21-24 | Bucs +7 v. Lions | 23-31 | Loss | -120 | 54 h 33 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY BUCS |
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01-20-24 | Texans v. Ravens -9.5 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys -7.5 | 48-32 | Loss | -102 | 162 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. Also on Dallas First Half Team Total OVER 14.5. Cowboys at home a different beast. Forget about the Lions game. They don't fumble out of the end zone in the 2Q and its 14-3 and they have all the momentum. Simply put. How do you trust a team that allowed Bryce Young and the Panthers to put up 30 points on them, on the road! I like GB. We had GB over win ticket. A GB to win the North ticket. I have said how much I like Love coming into the season. But this is it for Dak and Dallas. McCarthy needs a big W here. It's his old club, maybe extra motivation. He needs it. Dak is 2-4 in the playoffs. Last 2 years ending at the hands of the Niners. 16 straight home wins for Dallas. 9 of their 12 wins by 20+ points on the year. Losses to Playoff teams - Miami, Buffalo, Philly, San Fran. Time to put up or shut up in Big D. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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01-08-24 | Washington +4.5 v. Michigan | 13-34 | Loss | -110 | 149 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking WASHINGTON. A pair of undefeated teams for the Natty. Have to like that. Look. I think Michigan runs the ball and bleeds the clock. Texas went for 180 on the ground last week. Have to keep Pennix off the field. Wolverines defense is the best he will face, but the guy was unbelievable last week. Huskies top RB got banged up late. That will be big if he can't play or is limited. I think this is a FG type of game. If Michigan special teams have another cluster like last week - wow. We might win this one outright. But we will grab the points here. Also, the UNDER 55.5 is our pick in the Mid Day Money Show. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON HUSKIES |
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01-07-24 | Bills -2 v. Dolphins | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 171 h 17 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Does anyone really want to play these guys right now. Crazy how they might not actually make the playoffs. But I think this is a big win for Buffalo. They played a clunker last week and beat NE 27-21. That game was 20-7 and 27-14. They were in cruise mode gearing up for Miami. This is the game they have to win. 4 in a row for them. Probably should be 7 straight wins with that Eagles game and late FG loser to Denver. That is how I see this team. A team that is peaking. Speaking of peaking, Miami comes in off getting demolished by maybe the best team going right now in the Ravens, 56-19. That game was 14-13 with 3 minutes left in the 1st half and was 28-13 at the half. 35-13 a minute into the 3rd and that is all she wrote. Do we like how Miami looks the last month? How about the Titans game? Dallas choke job win. They are banged up. Normally I would be on a home dog who gave up 56. I don't think the line is all that much an overreaction. Bills are not in the playoffs yet. Miami is. I think Dolphins rests, or limits some of the injured guys in this one. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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01-07-24 | Rams +2.5 v. 49ers | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 167 h 19 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. So, this line has moved a bit. Not like our Steelers number where were have the better number. Now we have a bad one. Honestly though, I think we still pull this puppy out. Wentz has a little chip on his shoulder. Rams offense should be able to put some points up here. They are basically locked into their own seed. I can't see them really mailing this game in though. They have won 3 in a row and 6 of 7. Should probably be 7 in row with that crazy loss at Baltimore. You don't want to mess up a team in a good little groove. I can't see the Niners playing guys for more than a half. Heck. Maybe Purdy gets a quarter. They don't want any injuries. They are already sitting out CMC. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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01-07-24 | Eagles v. Giants +6 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 163 h 36 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS. Wow. Philly 9-1 to start December and the wheels come off the Philly Cheese Steak Bus. Defense is absolutely gassed right now. Playing with fire got them burned. Hey. KC, Buffalo, Dallas twice, MNF in Seattle. Then you battle the Giants and Arizona two teams playing with house money and no cares in the world. I can't see Dallas losing to Washington. Although their HC is going to find a way to make a 14pt favorite sweat it out to the final drive. I think Philly sits some guys. They are tired. They are banged up. Giants playing for pride. I like the QB for them here. No Cutlets, just some TDs are what we are hoping for. They are getting on the Philly HC. Now the loss of the OC and DC matter. Freaking Philly fans. They should be looking at heading to Tampa next week where maybe they can regain some of the glory from their 25-11 MNF win back in September (I was on TB). A few ML spots for home dogs today, this is one for sure. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS |
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01-07-24 | Bears +3 v. Packers | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 33 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. Also like the OVER 45 in this one. Look. I had a GB Over + NFC North ticket. We have been on them multiple times this season. But the defense is a hot mess right now. Don't be swayed by what you saw against the Vikings. Mullins starts that game and Minnesota is scoring high 20s. So what it is a win and in. Do you not remember them losing to the Lions last year in the exact same spot? Bears have been cashing for us. A different team right now. 4 wins in last 5 games. Yeah. They have the top pick. That is a discussion for the pod cast. Bears with the better defense. Should be able to make a timely stop. This game to me says 29-27. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
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01-07-24 | Jets v. Patriots -1.5 | 17-3 | Loss | -110 | 158 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS. There is absolutely NO WAY that I see Bill Belichick losing to the New York Jets in his final game, a home game no less! If anything, the Patriots defense will win this one for Coach. Pats have been batting down the stretch. Right there vs the Bills on the road in a loss. Beat Denver. Fought hard vs KC. Beat the Steelers. They had a 3 game slide of losses -- 6-0 10-7 10-6. Yikes. Look. Jets defense has hung it up. 37-38-30 points allowed last 3. Jets have had trouble scoring vs Patriots when it wasn't a good bye to the greatest coach in our history game. Patriots by double digits. 8* Sure Shot NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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01-07-24 | Bucs -5.5 v. Panthers | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 145 h 0 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA BAY. We cashed out Over Win Ticket. Now all that is left is for Tampa to wrap up our 10-1 NFC South Ticket. Just take care of the lowly Panthers. I had Carolina last week. Absolutely zero fight in the tank. Do they show up today? Is there motivation to stop the Bucs from winning the division? I doubt it. They have lost by 7 or more in 12 of their 14 losses. Not sure why the Bucs mailed it in last week. Was revenge that great factor for the Saints? Was Carolina looming in an 'easy' game looming? I'll tell you what. You lose this one. Heck, you don't win this by 10+.. I am making the team walk home. There is zero reason this game should be close. You are locking up a home playoff game. Get in there, get up 20 by halftime - and tuck the kiddies into bed. Ride into the playoffs with a big win. Tampa 5-2 ATS and and 6-1 SU last 7 in this series. Baker with good road numbers with 18 TDs 3 INTs. He should end up with over 4000 yards and 30 TDs on the year. If you don't gift wrap a home playoff game with a big win here, nobody will care. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY BUCS |
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01-07-24 | Jaguars v. Titans +4 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 72 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. I will again fade the Jaguars. They made me eat crow last week. Today. We ride the vets! Tannehill - Henry - Hopkins. You know the coach will have this team primed to play. jags saved their season for another week. But - QB still banged up. I can't see Vrabel not getting these guys amped up to knock a team out of winning the division and the playoffs at the same time. 3 straight wins for Jacksonville in the series too. Titans 4-3 at home. 2 OT losses. 19-16 31-28. Also a 20-17 loss as Seattle scores with a 57 seconds left. You think this is blowout? I am thinking dog outright! 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
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01-06-24 | Steelers +2 v. Ravens | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 141 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. So I don't like the line has completely flipped. Ravens locked in to the top seed in the AFC Steelers need a win, there are a lot of other things in that. But, they need to do their part. I had Seattle last week thinking the defensive losses of Pitt would hurt them. It didn't, they won. I really don't want to lay points with a 3rd string QB vs a hated rival. Do we really think that Baltimore is laying down for the Steelers to possibly make the playoffs? Again. Would much rather this line be what it was as to what it is. With the Steelers and plus points in my pocket, I might be looking to a Ravens ML here. If you are getting a day pass or week pass late, I would tell you to look at taking the points instead of laying them. 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH STEELERS |
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01-01-24 | Texas v. Washington +4.5 | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 704 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking the HUSKIES. Both teams had some struggles along the way. This is the best team Washington has faced. Sorry Oregon. Ducks are good, but not Texas good. Otherwise Washington wouldn't have swept them. Edge on defense to Texas. I think this is a close game which is why we are taking the points in this spot. Also like the UNDER in this one. Last team with the ball pulls out a 2pt win 31-30! 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON |
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12-31-23 | Chargers v. Broncos -3.5 | 9-16 | Win | 100 | 95 h 40 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
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12-31-23 | Steelers v. Seahawks -3.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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12-31-23 | Dolphins v. Ravens -3 | 19-56 | Win | 100 | 161 h 58 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Uh. I was dead wrong last week about this spot. I had the Niners doing what the Ravens did to them. Now I have the world on my Baltimore is the best in the AFC wagon. The good news is that looks like Waddle is out. Better news is that Miami gets crushed on the road vs good teams. 48-20 at Buffalo. 31-17 at Philly. Healthy Chargers put up 34 on them. Ravens can score people. 7 games 31 or more. Plus we have a 28-27 in there. Twice they couldn't get to 20. And 3 times total not scoring at least 24. So 7 of last 9 games 31 or more. And in 8 of 15 games, 17 or less allowed. Let us not forget Miami scoring 28 in the 4th quarter last year to beat these guys. Time for some payback. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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12-31-23 | Panthers +9 v. Jaguars | 0-26 | Loss | -110 | 161 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking the PANTHERS. Anyone out there grab some Jaguars NOT To Make Playoffs at +880 in Fan Duel and +800 on Bet Online when I mentioned it on Look Ahead Lines and Mid Day Money? Now 4 straight losses and the choke is on. Banged up QB. Carolina off just their 2nd win of the year. Way to many points to give here. Panthers defense is not that bad. And at this stage of the season, with a team in a total freefall, we have to take any and all points with the dog here. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS (this line is now at 4.. QB out for Jags. Maybe go some ML on Carolina) |
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12-31-23 | Raiders v. Colts -4 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -5.5 | 19-20 | Loss | -109 | 144 h 60 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS. So. My first look at this one on Look Ahead Lines was Detroit and the Over. Well, the Over went as expected as it is now 53. But I had to do a flip here on the sides. Was not expecting the Lions to lock things up and win the division last week. They did. Now I get a fat and happy bunch on the road against a team, that was fat and happy and playing like world beaters when they hit the road. Well, back to back losses to the Bills and Miami and this game takes on a new meaning. Getting manhandled in Buffalo. Losing the way they did in Miami. Time for a gut check in Dallas. A team celebrating a 30 year drought 1993 last Division title! 4th road game in 5 games. 16-0 and 13-3 ATS run for Dallas at home. Outscoring opponents by 170 points. Lions have allowed 26 or more points in 5 of last 7, 6 of 7 if we drop to 24. Not a good defense. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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12-30-23 | Ole Miss +3.5 v. Penn State | 38-25 | Win | 100 | 597 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking MISSISSIPPI. For me, give me Dart at QB to make the plays. Penn State Allar not allowed to do much. Also. Do you really want to lay points with James Franklin? But with the OC (Kansas) DC (Duke) out at Penn State, will go with the stability on the other side of the field. 4* Money Maker OLE MISS |
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12-28-23 | Arizona -3.5 v. Oklahoma | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 582 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker ARIZONA |
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12-28-23 | Jets v. Browns -5.5 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 96 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. Oh the irony of Joe Flacco taking it to the Jets on a Thursday night game! Guy spent 3 years with the Jets and it forced him into retirement! Now the old cat has chucked for over 300 years in 3 of his 4 starts and 368 -374 his last 2. Somehow the Jets turn a 27-7 halftime lead into a 30-28 win with a FG with 5 seconds left in the game. That my friends, is NY Jets football. Jets rebound from getting eliminated from the playoffs, by winning a game they should have just lost. Well, draft pick season starts again on Thursday night. Browns at home for hte most part have been monsters on defense. 3 points to Cincy, 3 to Tennessee 17 to San Fran. Shutout Arizona. 10 to the Steelers. 17 to the Bears.Beat the Jags here 31-27 and lost to Ravens 28-3. Jets aren't those teams. Jets are a team that loses 5 straight, then pulls a miracle 30-6 blowout win over the Texans. Promptly get assaulted in South Beach 30-0, then blow a 20pt lead to a team that is worse then they are. This game screams Browns 34-17 to me. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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12-28-23 | Rutgers +2.5 v. Miami-FL | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 552 h 9 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker RUTGERS |
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12-26-23 | Kansas -12.5 v. UNLV | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 82 h 58 m | Show | |
Taking KANSAS. A pair of teams hungry for a bowl win. Kansas has to go back to 2008 and UNLV to 2000 for their last bowl victories. Give me the Jayhawks here. A little more experience at QB. I think we see some heavy offense though, so I also like the OVER. I know that UNLV has been great going 10-3 ATS on the year. But stepping up their last 2 games, they have fallen short. 44-20, 37-31. With 4 INTs in the last 3 games, Maiava of UNLV will be the deciding factor for me to lay the double digits here. 4* Money Maker KANSAS |
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12-26-23 | Bowling Green +4 v. Minnesota | 24-30 | Loss | -105 | 461 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking BOWLING GREEN. Grabbing whatever points I can in this game. BGs 7-5 on the year with a nice upset as 20pt dogs to bowl winner Georgia Tech. Falcons also go 5-1 down the stretch. Minnesota backs in with a 5-7 record. They lost to in 2021 14-10 as 30 point favorites! The only QB to complete a pass on the season for the Gophers is out. Can't really hurt considering they have scored more than 14 points in just HALF of their games. But I can't trust a team like that. I like their HC, but this is a down year. 4* Money Maker BOWLING GREEN |
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12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers -5.5 | Top | 33-19 | Loss | -110 | 292 h 1 m | Show |
Taking the NINERS here. I liked them when I thought Baltimore was going to lose on the road last week at Jacksonville. So I love them coming in off a win. Look. I have said for the last month I think these 2 teams are meeting in the Super Bowl. Only thing going to stop that would be Buffalo really going on a run, which, might still happen. But here on Christmas, I think it is San Fran in beat down fashion. Niners defense is superior. Lamar will be running for his life. Grab some Over Rushing Props on the guy. I don't the Ravens defense can slow this bunch down. I think San Fran is a TD better than any team in the league right now. Sure - bring up a 3 game slide when they were missing their 2 best offensive pieces. When this team has their RB + WR lined up, watch out. It is surgical. San Fran by double digits to close out your Christmas Day. 10* Money Bomb SAN FRANCISCO |
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12-24-23 | Cardinals v. Bears -3 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 264 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. We said to fade Chicago last week off that big win over the Lions. It wasn't easy, but the Browns got it done. This is the spot we wanted to jump on the Bears. At home. Christmas Eve. Late afternoon vs the team from Arizona. Are you kidding me? I am not a huge Fields lover, but I think this is a blow-out win for Chicago. I understand not wanting to be the Bears as a favorite. When is the last time they were favored more than a FG? I get it. But 3 straight home wins. Last week they nearly pulled off a Hail Mary win. They lost to Detroit 31-26 on a TD with 30 seconds left. They lost to the Saints 24-17, a game tied at 17. Fact is the last 2 months the Bears have been a tough team. Arizona has dropped 3 of 4. Somehow scored a win at Pittsburgh. A last second FG to beat the Falcons. This team could be 1-9 their last 10 because they did beat the Steelers 24-10 as 6pt dogs. Their lone road win sitting at 1-6. Bears defense should be able to continue their turnovers vs Murray who tossed 2 last week and has 4 in his 5 games (just 5 TD passes). 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
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12-24-23 | Jaguars v. Bucs +3 | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 161 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA. Oh our Bucs. Cashed the Over 6.5 win ticket. Sitting on 10-1 win the South ticket. WE get a banged up Jags team today. Jaguars look impressive with that 6-1 road record - 2 of those were in England where they always play. They are reeling having dropped 3 in a row. Might not make the playoffs. Tampa on the other side of that road with 3 straight wins. Baker is a good game manager. He has Evans at WR who is great. His RB White has been having a super year. Not only running the ball, but also in the pass catching game. The defense does enough to keep the team right in the thick of it. I know they aren't home dogs anymore, but my thinking that they win hasn't changed a bit. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY BUCS |
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12-24-23 | Commanders v. Jets -3 | 28-30 | Loss | -104 | 144 h 39 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker NEW YORK JETS |
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12-24-23 | Lions v. Vikings +3 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 51 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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12-23-23 | Coastal Carolina v. San Jose State -8.5 | Top | 24-14 | Loss | -110 | 440 h 22 m | Show |
Taking SAN JOSE STATE. 6 straight wins for the Spartans. QB from Hawaii. Have been here, not a crazy trip to the islands. Coastal coming from something like 5 thousand miles away. QB says he wants to hit the portal. Will he play or not? Who the heck knows. Kid on UTSA decides an hour before kick to not play. Ridiculous. No matter though. Spartans to me the more motivated bunch with something to prove to get their coach his first bowl win here. 10* Money Bomb SAN JOSE STATE |
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12-23-23 | Bills -9.5 v. Chargers | 24-22 | Loss | -110 | 213 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. This team is still on the outside looking in for the playoffs. Chargers off a total beatdown on National TV Thursday night while the Bills hammered 'America's Team" into submission. Shocked the line is now 14? Of course not. We said on Mid Day Money Friday and Saturday and Sunday - get on Buffalo now! Buffalo getting hot at the right time. I understand those wanting to look at a flat spot after beating KC and Dallas. But there is zero margin for error here for Buffalo. Also leaning Over here think Chargers have to show a little fight right? 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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12-23-23 | James Madison v. Air Force +3 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 434 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking AIR FORCE. Should have our QB back. And, as always, no opt outs for the service academies. These kids are dedicated. Madison couldn't play in their championship even going 11-1. They get a bowl bid because there weren't enough bowl eligible teams. But when your coach and his coordinators leave, and a bunch of players including your QB opt out, are you really motivated to be playing in a bowl. My picks are up days in advance. Heck. I had UTSA laying 12.5 and their 10th year or whatever QB, the guy who literally final bowls game are made for, decides an hour before kickoff he is out. Give me the Fly Boys here. 4* Money Maker AIR FORCE |
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12-23-23 | Duke v. Troy -7.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking TROY. Will always lean to the small conference laying a TD to a big school. In this case, Duke isn't the sexiest of Big Brother Foes, but an ACC takedown will do. Duke comes in with their coach heading back to his old club (A&M). Other coaches out the door. Their QB who had been hurt, bags packed and on the road already. This team started 4-0, ranked #17 in the country - has now lost 5 of their last 8. I read that upwards of 10 starts from both sides of the ball are out for Duke. Wow. I know we can't always believe what we hear during bowl season, especially now in the NIL Era. But I am on the little guys here. 4* Money Maker TROY |
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12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams -4 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 98 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS here. Both teams sitting at 7-7. We can say the Saints have been dogs 3 times. But 2 of those games were 1 and 1.5. The other was 3.5 opener vs the Lions. Lions are the best team they played and were down 24-7 before the Lions defense showed up and 33-21 is 33-28. The game wasn't that close. Rams have no reeled off wins in 4 of their last 5. Probably should be 5 in a row that OT loss at Baltimore. Also losses to Dallas San Fran and Philly. Much tougher schedule. Stats Padford, I mean Matt STATSford has been on a tear the last 4 games with LA putting up 33ppg. I can't see New Orleans keeping pace here even in a good outdoor weather. They put 15 in Atlanta. 19 at Minny. 13 at Houston. Colts + Patriots in the 30s. Not buying this team vs a legit playoff team. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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12-21-23 | Syracuse v. South Florida +3.5 | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 390 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking SOUTH FLORIDA. Last year, 1-11, Now a bowl game in their backyard. You bet the Bulls will be fired up. 'Cuse in with a new coach taking over. Guy just nabbed McCord from Ohio State to take over QB next year. But that is 2023. He isn't on the sidelines leading this group. Orange might be pumped for a bright future, but I am on South Florida to wrap up a big season for themselves with a win here. Would also lean Over in this one if you want some total action. 4* Money Maker SOUTH FLORIDA |
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12-19-23 | UTSA -12.5 v. Marshall | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 170 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking UTSA tonight. Not a home game, but close enough. A QB that will not opt out. An offense that is humming behind its leader. This is just a great spot. Would have liked to be on this before it moved a few points, but this is still a blowout win for UTSA. Marshall has loads of opt outs including their QB. The coach has some interesting things to say. Zero heart for the Herd showing up here. UTSA will run them out of the building. 4* Money Maker UTSA |
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12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars +5 | 23-7 | Loss | -115 | 170 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. Now. I have said multiple times and on multiple shows - I think the Ravens are going to the Super Bowl from the AFC. Had them last week and they let me down. But this is a good team. Also on the OVER in this one as well. Line opened at 5.5, down to 3.5. Lawrence will be a go here. He is banged up. Who isn't in mid-December. I don't want to say the Ravens have things locked up, but with backup QBs in Cincy and Pitt, they should wrap up the North. Jags need this one. 2-4 at home. Have lost 2 in a row. This could be their season much like the Bills last week. At Tampa next week who is fighting for the NFL South. Should take care of Carolina here. Then wrap things up in Tennessee. Will grab the home dog in what I think is a must-win game for them. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys +2.5 v. Bills | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 272 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS here. Uh. Going with my 'Boys. Why do I feel this is a spot McCarthy has his crew just totally wet the bed? Off a big win over Philly. Coming off a long home stand. Only beating Philly + Seattle who are "good" teams. The flip side of this is there is a slight chance for them to get win the East. Also the glimmer of hope that is the Bills. They are off a HUGE win over the Chiefs. We had them ML and that was their season. This is also their season. They blew the game to Philly. They had a week to stew about it. Came out and took a quick 14-0 lead. Then, in what is a season long trend, proceed to chock that lead away and nearly lose the game. 20-17 with 2 minutes left and you let Mahomes have a shot. Wow. Guess they forgot how they entered they bye week doing the exact same thing in Philly. Speaking of Philly, back to Dallas and their cruise control win over the Eagles. Maybe they are beating their chests a bit. But maybe they have had such recent failures they know they need this game. I think Dallas has the better defense. They have the best defensive player. I would give Dallas the edge at QB right now. Dallas just 3-3 SU on the road. But we don't have crazy weather. We have a FG kicker who can make one from Canada. Josh Allen has a turnover in 9 straight games. And our defense didn't allow a Philly offensive Touchdown. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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12-17-23 | Commanders v. Rams -6 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 272 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. I had the Ravens last week. I was shocked that LA played that good in the elements. Honestly, I was hoping for at least 7 or 7.5 on this opener. Yes That sounds weird for a guy who is on the favorite. But you know me. -3.5 and -7.5, sign me up on those faves. +2.5 and 6.5 I would be doggy all day. Washington off their bye week which might be why it is under a TD. The defense will not fix it self after giving up 45 in b2b weeks. Then 31-29-38 in 3 of their last 4 before that. They are a hot mess. A Week 14 bye week. Wow. 2-11 last 13 games outscored 90-25 by Miami and Dallas. This Rams team might not be on that level, but they have put up 31-36-37 their last 3 games vs Baltimore and Cleveland, both better than Washington, and Arizona (on the road) which is right in the same neighborhood as this Commanders bunch. Grab a LAR FH play and a Team Total OVER to add to your growing bankroll. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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12-17-23 | Jets v. Dolphins -13 | 0-30 | Win | 100 | 268 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. Well. For as many good numbers as we get sometimes, we do get some bad ones. And this is a bad one. That being said - I still think the Dolphins win this by 2 scores. Are we really sold on what we saw last week? The Jets putting up 30 points. Miami blowing a 14 pt lead in the 4th quarter. Just sets everyone up nicely at a lower price. In my world - Miami won that game by 20. Takes care of the Jets in the same fashion. Then gets blitzed by Dallas next week as a small home favorite. That is now out the window. Dolphins defense had been solid before that collapse. 15-13-13-21 (KC) - 17. Not like they give up a lot. Jets defense still elite and might be angry about the 34 they allowed to Miami on Black Friday. That was after allowing 32 to Josh Allen and the Bills on the road. But maybe the Jets just feast on subpar QB play and offenses? I will stand behind my 13 and call for a 17 point win! 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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12-17-23 | Bucs v. Packers -3.5 | 34-20 | Loss | -110 | 268 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking GREEN BAY. Oh these guys let me down on Monday Night with the side and total. Now a short week vs a Tampa team tied for first in the wild NFC South. But winning back to back road games is tough. They pulled out a miracle in Atlanta. And I would rather this game be played at 20 degrees with some wind and snow for warm weather Tampa, I think Love gets it done here. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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12-17-23 | Texans v. Titans +3.5 | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 160 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. Line moves says no CJ Stroud. I do like Davis Mills though. This is still a tough spot for the Texans. And as good as Ryans has been, I lean edge to the Tennessee coaching in this one. I would have preferred a Miami blowout on MNF - instead we get a wild Titans comeback. I don't think they will be too full of themselves sitting at 5-8 on the season. I had the Texans last week vs the Jets and that was a brutal beatdown. If we had a healthy Stroud, Dell and Collins, then I would be on the visitor in a big bounce back spot. But down top offensive players, and with Tennessee maybe get some strong defensive pieces back, have to go with the ugly home team here. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
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12-16-23 | California v. Texas Tech -2.5 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 271 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking TEXAS TECH. Also like the over a bit in this one. That is one of my free pick videos. But we will back the Red Raiders here. I was high on these guys back in August and safe to say it was a ho-hum year. Last time we saw them Texas was dropping kicking their teeth in 57-7. That is not the way you want to end a season. You had just won 3 in a row. Not that you were going to pull an upst, but that is beatdown. Don't like having a backup QB and losing 2 top WRs. But, the opt outs haven't really moved the needle from the opener of 3. Red Raiders for me. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH |
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12-16-23 | Broncos +5.5 v. Lions | 17-42 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking DENVER. Defense for me here. I harp on the Mid Day Money Show about the Broncos and the 70 points they allowed to Miami. Because that is what people think when they hear Denver. But the last 8 games. The defense has arrived. 16ppg. The team is playing well. 6-1 last 7 for the Broncos. Now - Lions have dropped 2 of 3. Is the sky falling? Goff normally good in the dome. But the defense makes a 3-2 run over 5 games look ugly. 28-28-20-26-38 points allowed. You held Vegas to 14. 38 the week before to Baltimore. That is an ugly defensive stretch. Denver isn't sexy, but they are efficient. Wilson with 23 TDs 8 INTs (3 in that Houston game) This has one score game written all over it and I will take any points I can get. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
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12-16-23 | UCLA v. Boise State +3 | 35-22 | Loss | -110 | 293 h 43 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker BOISE STATE |
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12-16-23 | New Mexico State -3 v. Fresno State | 10-37 | Loss | -105 | 268 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking NEW MEXICO STATE. Got to love Jerry Kill coming into a new conference and going 10-4. Big win at Auburn. 8-1 ATS run to end the season. Basically a home game. The fans should be out in force supporting these guys. Fresno not as good as their 8 wins. I mean first, we start with their coach. Out for health reasons. Let's just hope it is not something really serious. Is it a win one for the giper game? They couldn't win as they dropped 3 straight. A 5-0 start and this team was thinking things are good. Heck, they were 8-1 before the offense couldn't score more than 18 the last 3 games 18-17-18. Defense a bit leaky also. 33-25-42-30-24-32. Great season for the Aggies ends with a nice bowl win and cover. 4* Money Maker NEW MEXICO STATE |
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12-16-23 | Vikings v. Bengals +1 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 137 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. Wow. A 3-0 win for Minny last week. I said on Mid Day Money Thursday to grab the Raiders. You get shutout and lose 3-0 and have a guy coaching for a shot at a long term gig, you knew the kitchen sink was coming out. Though I did have Under 42.5 there. Now - Why am not backing Mullins and Minny in this spot after that 3 point showing. Because I have a Cincy offense that has found itself since the last 2 weeks with this kid behind center. Will they get 34 against this Vikings defense. Probably not. But, I'm thinking a 20 spot is good for the win here. And yes Jefferson could be in, and or Mattison. But the RB is going for less than 4 yards a carry. Has Jefferson gotten many reps with Mullens? Have Hockenson or Addison? 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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12-11-23 | Packers -4.5 v. Giants | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 313 h 2 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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12-10-23 | Eagles v. Cowboys -2.5 | 13-33 | Win | 100 | 289 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS. We had San Fran last week and it was an absolute no doubter. Philly has been playing with fire all season. Dall- KC - Buffalo - SF, no Dallas again. They are 3-1. Maybe they should be 1-3. It is payback time for the Cowboys. I saw that Philly is 0-6 ATS as an away division dog - couple that with Dallas being on a 15-6 ATS run at home, 12-4 ATS vs division opponents. Let's cash this ticket. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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12-10-23 | Seahawks +11 v. 49ers | 16-28 | Loss | -110 | 169 h 11 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. Also on the OVER in this one. I just think that the Seahawks get their points. With 3 straight losses, and having dropped 4 of 5, this has every making of a 'must win' game. Cliche time, sure. But if Seattle has any thoughts of the playoffs, a win here is a must. Now- I don't know if they pull that off. San Fran is off a near flawless game at Philly. They have put that 3 game losing streak way behind them. The offense is healthy, and thriving. Again. I think we can keep it close. Also on the OVER because the Niners are putting up over 30ppg their last 4 games. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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12-10-23 | Panthers +6.5 v. Saints | 6-28 | Loss | -110 | 160 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking CAROLINA, again. Had these guys last week - will come back on our favorite 1-11 team on the road. Do you really want to trust the Saints to cover this number? As bad as the Panthers are, they have allowed 21-17-16 points in their last 3 road games. We can add 13 points to Houston and 21 to the Vikings to the mix also. This Saints offense is not to be confused by what Dallas, Detroit and Miami put up on the scoreboard. New Orleans 1-7-1 ATS run. Panthers as bad as they have been recently are 6-3-1 ATS in this series. Desperate team, we will grab the points again. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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12-10-23 | Texans -4.5 v. Jets | 6-30 | Loss | -112 | 160 h 22 m | Show | |
Taking the TEXANS. Doesn't matter who is QBing the Jets, I will grab the road favorites here. Jets an absolute mess right now. I had the Jets last week - no way I go back to the well again. The offense is just a total mess. Even if the defense gives up 14-17 points? Are they scoring 10? Are they scoring at all? How much can you lean on a defense? Hey guys - I know you only give up 13-16-10-14-15 point in half our games. Can you give up less so we can get some wins? Come on. The QB disfunction this week is a much bigger problem for this team. Texans have scored road upsets over Cincy and the Jags already this year. This team has 7 wins. We have seen their bad side - losses at Carolina 15-13 and Atlanta 21-19. Is this a spot where they get picked off? I don't think so. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS |
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12-10-23 | Rams v. Ravens -7 | 31-37 | Loss | -110 | 159 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS here. Have to grab these guys off their bye week. Plenty of time to work in some new offensive kinks with Andrews out. Rams playing great now - winners of 3 in a row. Much tougher team here than what they have faced recently. I have already bet them next week at home against Washington because I think that they flat on their faces here. Expect the Ravens defense to have some answers for Pad Statsford, sorry Stats Padford, I mean Matt Stafford. Guy was in dome for most of his career and now is in LA - Hello December in Baltimore. Rams are soft as marshmallows and I expect the Ravens defense to smash them. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +7 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 220 h 7 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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12-03-23 | 49ers +1.5 v. Eagles | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 209 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking SAN FRAN. Just a better team right now. I know Philly just wins games. But this is a tough run for them. KC - Buff - SF - Dallas next week. They have played with fire all season. Jets caught them. They will get caught again. Why not against a team in a huge Championship Revenge spot? 4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO 49ers |
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12-03-23 | Browns v. Rams -1 | 19-36 | Win | 100 | 165 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. Joe Flacco. Come on. This is spot for Stats Padford, Pad Statsford, I mean Matt Staford to do just that. Browns in b2b road spots. Off loss in Denver. We had Denver in that spot with Cleveland off b2b division wins over the Steelers and Ravens. Just not a good spot for them here.4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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12-03-23 | Panthers +6 v. Bucs | 18-21 | Win | 100 | 55 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the PANTHERS. I am not a lover of Carolina, but there is not a chance I lay points with Tampa. Panthers have been flat out awful on offense. This is just one of those spots where I have to hold my nose and play the ugly dog. 10-10-13-13-15 points for them. Yet Tampa can't be favored by at least a TD? At least this team looks like it can win an NFL game twice a month. I won't be shocked if Carolina wins outright. Something just screams to be to grab Panthers. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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12-03-23 | Cardinals v. Steelers -3 | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 162 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. Finally some offense from Pitt as they can Matt Canada. They still couldn't punch it in the end zone though. But we know that the Steelers will bring defense and Tomlin gets the most out of least. Zero chance I even look to Arizona. 9 straight road losses for the Cardinals. 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH STEELERS |
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12-03-23 | Chargers -4 v. Patriots | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 162 h 36 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. Uh. Not that I ever want to lay points with the Chargers. Just two weeks ago I was in Mid Day Money and telling you to take the Packers at home. Now we get LAC off an bad loss on SNF. But, we get the Patriots off an even worse loss. And I really have to say, I was going to take NE here. I just can't. If that is the effort out of the bye week, it is officially over for this team. Not going to overthink. Patriots have some serious issues. Grab some Herbert Over Rushing 15.5 yards too. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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12-03-23 | Falcons v. Jets +3 | 13-8 | Loss | -110 | 162 h 33 m | Show | |
Taking the J E T S Jets Jets Jets. There is zero chance I am taking the Falcons vs any team as a road favorite. Lost at Arizona as a fave 25-23. Lost at Tennessee as a fave 28-23. Lost at Detroit 20-6. Lost at the Jags 23-7. Beat the Titans 16-13. So in a game between 2 teams that have trouble scoring, give me the home dogs. 4* Money Maker NEW YORK JETS |
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12-03-23 | Dolphins -7 v. Commanders | 45-15 | Win | 100 | 161 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. Dolphins should be able to do what Dallas did last week to Washington. This Washington team is a hot mess. I think they have officially quit on the season. Trade some guys. Fire the DC. Get run out of the building. How are they staying within 10 here? They aren't. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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12-03-23 | Colts -1 v. Titans | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 161 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. I do like the Titans coach. But Indy just seems to be in a groove right now. Only time these guys haven't score at least 20 was when they played in England. So we know the Colts will score here. Will the Titans? They have been know to explode at home at times. 27 vs LAC, 27 vs Cincy. 28 vs Atlanta. But I am not buying it. The first 2 with Tannehill. The other was the Levi breakout. Everything seems to be lining up for Indy right now. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
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12-02-23 | SMU +4 v. Tulane | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 163 h 41 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker SMU |
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12-02-23 | Appalachian State v. Troy -6.5 | 23-49 | Win | 100 | 162 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker TROY |
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12-02-23 | Georgia -4 v. Alabama | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 163 h 20 m | Show | |
Taking GEORGIA. 29 straight for the Champs with their last loss to this Alabama bunch in the 2021 SEC Championship Game. I am not going to really overthink things here. George offense is very good. Alabama defense has shown it's flaws. Yes. Tide with 10 straight wins since that Texas loss. But. We saw them scuffle 17-3 at South Florida. We saw them down 7-6 at half vs Ole Miss. Down 17-10 on the road at A&M. A 24-21 win vs Arkansas. Down 20-7 to the Vols at home. Outlasting LSU. The miracle vs Auburn. We heard the early talk of a lack luster Georgia team. They have pretty much put that to sleep. Don't make a big deal out of a 31-23 win over Georgia Tech. That games 31-13 with the Bulldogs going through the motions. Nothing like Alabama. Tide defense just not there for me to think they slow down George. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA BULLDOGS |
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12-02-23 | Miami-OH v. Toledo -7.5 | 23-14 | Loss | -110 | 160 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the TOLEDO ROCKETS here. Uh. Yeah. This is a tough one. These guys just always find a way to not cover games. And that is not helpful when you are favored in 12 of your 13 games. Now - they are usually laying close to 20 vs bottom level MAC teams. I want to say that a good sign is them covering 4 of their last 5. They won the MAC Championship Game last year 17-7 vs Ohio. Haven't been repeat champs in over a decade (NIU). The fact this line opened as high as it did makes me like this even more though. Only time the Redhawks were dogs like this - they won! +14 vs Cincinnati 31-24.. +7.5 at Ohio - Winner 30-16. Their 2 blemishes on the year. Opening night at the Miami Hurricanes (We had Miami O there, loser +16) and a 21-17 road loss getting 3 from these Rockets. Down 21-3 at half, they scored 14 in the 3rd but that was it. And yet - a big line like this? Is it because Miami Ohio blocked a FG with a minute to go to knock off Ball State? More likely it is their QB situation. The defense is a good unit for Miami O. I might be looking towards an under here also, as Toledo will want to pound the ball with their good run attack. That should be enough to push the Rockets to a double digit victory this afternoon. 4* Money Maker TOLEDO |
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12-02-23 | Oklahoma State v. Texas -11.5 | 21-49 | Win | 100 | 158 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking TEXAS. Right off the bat the Cowboys have won the last 2 games. So even though this Texas rolling out the SEC, I think they have some added motivation to knock off Oklahoma State. Now, that being said. I am not loving the line moving up to over 2 TDs now. I guess dropping a 57 spot on a team really erases any doubts about how you have limped through the previous 3 weeks letting teams hang around. I've said since August I thought Texas could win the whole thing. The defense is there. No better time to shine. Ah the Cowboys. Had these guys left for dead and they change QBs during their bye week and promptly run off 5 straight wins and 7 of 8. Wow. I thought Gundy would retire after a 5 win season. Big 12 Championship Game. Unreal. Defense though an issue for me with Oklahoma State. 34-30 last 2 games to BYU and Houston. Houston just fired their coach and BYU ended the season with 5 straight losses going 2-7 in Big 12 play. Texas needs to stop the run. Ewers needs keep improving. Sark needs this win like a fish needs water. 4* Money Maker TEXAS LONGHORNS |
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12-01-23 | Oregon -7.5 v. Washington | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 144 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking OREGON. We had the Huskies -140 when these guys played in October. I will take the W there. A little different in this spot though. We see a line approaching double digits! Wow. Much like when we had Washington over USC on the road, this game comes down to defense. And the Ducks have the clear edge here for me. Let's just look at this number going from 7 to 9. It does make sense when you see the way Oregon has been punishing teams their last 6 games - winning with both offense, 31-49-36-63-35-38 points - and defense 7-13-27-19-9-24. That come out to winning by over 25ppg if you are digging to the numbers. And the Huskies have been playing with fire. Eventually you get burned. Especially vs an elite, complete team - which Oregon is. I can forgive Washington for a lackluster 15-7 win at home over Arizona State after beating these Ducks. Home hum vs Stanford. Made the stop to get us the cover on the road at USC. Took the Utes and the big number and faded Washington for a win 35-28. Liked Oregon State to pick them off based on the way they were playing. Huskies pull out late 22-20 win. Then another dogfight to the bitter end vs Washington State. No rest for the weary as they get the best team they faced all season in a same season revenge spot and a double revenge spot for Washington's last 2 wins in the series. PAC 12 - Heisman - Playoffs all on the line. Quack Attack. 4* Money Maker OREGON DUCKS |
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12-01-23 | New Mexico State v. Liberty -10.5 | 35-49 | Win | 100 | 142 h 22 m | Show | |
Taking LIBERTY. I think I said that I was a Jerry Kill fan way back in August when I was doing some conference preview videos. What a season. 10-3. Huge road win over Auburn. Great job. But I have to lay the double digits here. As I said in the last sentence. A 3 loss team. The first one, when I had them as a 6.5 favorite against UMass. I see some close wins - 27-24 vs La Tech and 13-7 vs Mid Tenn State. 20-17 over Jacksonville State (that was after Auburn win). Do they have enough to last here vs the Flames? Liberty beat them 33-17 way back in September. That game was 23-17 at the half and Liberty pitched a shutout in the 2nd half scoring 10pts in the 3rd and not looking back. This is a balanced attack with a clear edge in the QB position. 4* Money Maker LIBERTY |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -7 | 35-41 | Loss | -110 | 168 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. I said on Thanksgiving during Mid Day Money - if you want to bet on Dallas, get on them early. They have crushed bad teams. This game can be 40-16 and Seattle if facing a Niners team getting healthy. Well. Dallas rolls. Niners win. Geno banged up. This line is off to the races. Maybe a tease with Dallas and the over or team total. Both teams rested. But Dallas and Dak at home. Man. They are looking good. Wining games by 35-32-23-35-20. The defense is not to shabby either! I won't lump Seattle into the teams Dallas has crushed here (Washington - Jets - Giants - Rams - Patriots) But this will still play out to the Cowboys winning something along the lines of 31-13, 34-17. Have to like them in this spot. Plus - a bonus play- Next week. home vs Philly. Philly off KC, OT Bills and then San Fran this week. Extra rest for the 'Boys. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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11-26-23 | Bills v. Eagles -3 | 34-37 | Push | 0 | 162 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES. Uh. So - I thought that the Bills would destroy the Jets. And I thought KC would beat Philly. We couldn't catch passes and Philly pulls out the MNF win. Not loving this as much as I did before the games. But I am still on the Eagles here. Every week a must win for Buffalo. Allen as great as he is, does turn the ball over. We will need it. Philly outgained in their last 3 games. I won't be shocked if this is 2.5 by kickoff with people buying in on new OC in Buffalo and a QB who needed a kick in the pants. That being said, Fly Eagles Fly 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES |
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11-26-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders +9 | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 20 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS. I will be the first to admit that I thought Miami would whip Vegas. I said on Look Ahead Lines, man, 10 points, might look at Vegas in that spot. Then it ballooned to 14 and I thought, man, I was way off. Hello 20-13. The team has taken on the fighting persona of their HC. I think that even getting KC off a loss, they should cover here. Chiefs have been a defense first team the entire season. The Browns have scored more points than them. The Bears have scored more points than them. Short week. Some questions about the offense. I know normally this is spot you would really expect Andy Reid and Mahomes to work their magic. But Vegas as a feisty home dog at this price is too good to pass up. 4* Money Maker LAS VEGAS RAIDERS |
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11-26-23 | Browns v. Broncos +3 | 12-29 | Win | 100 | 270 h 60 m | Show | |
Taking the BRONCOS. Had the Browns last week, but like a good friend of mine likes to say - you need to know when to be on and off a team. And traveling to Denver is not where I want my Cleveland money to be. Broncos are in off a pair of pair of dog fights on Sunday + Monday night football. That is now 4 straight wins. I have said multiple times that Denver has a cloud still hovering over them based on Miami dropping 70 on them. Well the defense has turned this around their last 5 games. The Browns just beat the Steelers and Ravens in b2b weeks. Rookie QB on the road. I dunno. The line has moved to Denver as the favorite. Just another reason to tune into Look Ahead Lines and Mid Day Money. Still like the Broncos here to cover the new number. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
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11-26-23 | Steelers +5.5 v. Bengals | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 214 h 9 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. Well. Slight line move here as the Bengals go with Browning at QB. Honestly - even at the new number I would still take Pittsburgh. You know that their defense will show. And the Cincy defense - well. Let's just say they haven't been received an invite to the season yet. 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH STEELERS |
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11-25-23 | Clemson -7 v. South Carolina | 16-7 | Win | 100 | 95 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking CLEMSON. I will be first to say how I wrote off Clemson after their back to back losses to Miami and NC State. The offense has awaken though. South Carolina defense has turned it around the last 2 games vs Kentucky and Vandy. But 28 to Jacksonville State. Then a run of 30-34-41-41-30 vs SEC teams. Dabo will have this guys primed. They lost at home last year to the Gamecocks 31-30. Time for some payback. 4* Money Maker CLEMSON TIGERS |
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11-25-23 | Ohio State v. Michigan -4 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 145 h 50 m | Show | |
This line was 6 at the start of the week.. Don't let 1 game dictate what you have seen for 3 months from this team. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN |
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11-24-23 | Oregon State v. Oregon -14 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 123 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking OREGON. Time for the Ducks to really let loose here. Revenge spot for last year. Nix looking for a Heisman. Team looking for a spot in the PAC 12 Championship Game. Running it up is back in vogue as the NIL money is running wild. Oregon State in off a tough loss vs Washington. Just a bad spot for the Beavers. Coming in off a win over any team would have been better than playing Washington before Oregon. Ducks pull away for a cover here. 4* Money Maker OREGON DUCKS |
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11-24-23 | Dolphins -6.5 v. Jets | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 145 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. Now. Am a bit concerned being a road favorite here. Yeah. Look. Jets are a mess. Off a total beat down in Buffalo. But we have to be honest with Miami here. The lose to good teams. And really - yesterday's game vs the Raiders. It is a bit of a red flag. Where was the offense? Off a bye week and that is what we get? Raiders had just beat the Jets and Giants. Tua is a heck of a lot better than those QBs. And yet, they couldn't get into the end-zone. I thought the Bills would put up a 34 spot vs NYJ. Here is another spot where I have to think Miami does the same thing. The Jets defense has to be just completely out of gas, and frankly, out of patience. The offense is truly offensive. Dolphins on talent alone should win this by a dozen. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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11-24-23 | Miami-FL v. Boston College +9 | 45-20 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 11 m | Show | |
Taking BOSTON COLLEGE. Do we really think Miami is showing up a day after Thanksgiving in Boston, and winning on the road by double digits? Come on. They are now off b2b brutal losses. 3 straight going back to NC State. They are 1-3 on the road beating Temple (FSU, NCST, UNC losses). Where is the motivation to get 7 wins? I will be looking to fade this team in a bowl game also. 4* Money Maker BOSTON COLLEGE |
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11-23-23 | 49ers -4.5 v. Seahawks | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 97 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking SAN FRAN. That little 3 game slide looks to be behind them. A pair of wins their last 2 games. No need to really run it up vs Tampa yesterday with a short week and road travel up to Seattle on deck. Seahawks in off a tough loss. If you watch my Look Ahead Lines, or on a monthly, you got the Rams +2.5 instead of as a favorite. Now Seattle has to regroup off blowing that game and face a far superior team. Not sure Drew Lock gets it done if Geno is not suiting up. Line already on the move like he is out. Niners by 10. 4* Money Maker SAN FRAN 49ers |
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11-23-23 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State +12.5 | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 99 h 52 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker MISSISSIPPI STATE |
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11-23-23 | Commanders +10 v. Cowboys | 10-45 | Loss | -114 | 99 h 6 m | Show | |
Taking WASHINGTON. Not the best line as there are 11s. But It wont' matter. This will be a 1 score game - heck I will not be shocked if Washington wins this one. Dallas has 3 losses - all on the road. Philly + SF. and that Arizona mess. They have destroyed bad teams. And make no mistake, Washington is bad. But this is also a Dallas with a HC who can lay some eggs. And double digits on a short week. Not really something I want to get behind the Cowboys with - especially vs a division rival. I think this is a one score game. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON COMMANDERS |
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11-23-23 | Packers v. Lions -7 | 29-22 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking DETROIT here early Thursday. This played out exactly how I thought it would. Said it on Mid Day Money, Said it on Look Ahead Lines... We knew the Bears were going to give the Lions a game, and the Chargers would do Chargers and lose at Green Bay. Now the Lions are in off a bad game, albeit a win, but can really get back in the groove vs the Packers. Blowout city. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs -2.5 | 21-17 | Loss | -110 | 294 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS. Not overthinking things one bit. You can go KC Money Line if you want. The ML were not posted when I put the picks up on Sunday night. Andy Reid an absolute beast with his bye weeks. Something along the lines of 27-4 SU. I know the break helped Philly who is a little banged up on both sides of the ball. The difference here, like the Super Bowl. Mahomes + the Chiefs Defense. This unit is giving up 19ppg. The last year and a half, the defense has carried this teams, even as great as their QB is. The defense is what is making this team so dangerous. Prior to their bye, the held the best offense in the NFL scoreless for a half and when they did finally score, the outcome was already set in stone. If you watch the Look Ahead Lines Show on Sunday Night during halftimes, you would have already been on the UNDER 48.5 on this game. 4* Money Maker KANSAS CITY CHIEFS |
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11-19-23 | Seahawks v. Rams +2.5 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 138 h 22 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. Normally, you would probably be thinking - let's take Seattle here. Good revenge spot. Got beat at home 30-13, looked terrible. Last time we saw the Rams they were flailing helplessly in Green Bay losing 20-3 behind QB Bret Rypien. Fresh off their bye week, a humiliating performance, and getting their QB back under center - it is time to back the home team here. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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11-19-23 | Titans +6 v. Jaguars | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 167 h 51 m | Show | |
Taking TENNESSEE. Now. I do have a bad number here at +6 as has moved to +7. And honestly, I probably should have waited because the entire betting world will be on the Jaguars here. Yes - Both teams off bad games last week. But getting trucked by the Forty Niners, and getting beat down by Tampa Bay are two teams, playing different games. There will be no argument from me that the Jaguars are better. But I am here for the line. Everyone and their grandma will think - man, Jax should crush these guys. Jacksonville is just 1-3 at home. Losses to the Niners, Texans and Chiefs here. Beat the Colts here. Falcons win was in London. Titans have lost 8 straight on the road now. Playing a 3rd straight road game for any team is difficult. Tossing in a rookie QB makes it even harder. But I love the coach. Love the fact they have already been written off. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
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11-18-23 | Texas v. Iowa State +8.5 | 26-16 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking IOWA STATE as some nice home dogs tonight. Ewers is back - Ok. Is Texas the better team. Probably. Do they have the better coach. Heck No. Iowa State has won 3 of the 4 for a reason. These games are normally battles. 24-21 last year, Texas scored a TD with 4 and change to go. 30-7 Iowa State, 23-20 Iowa State 23-21 Iowa State. Should probably jump on the UNDER here as well as the last 8 games have been all fell below this number. Last time for Dan Campbell and friends to get a win vs Texas before they head off to the SEC. Campbell 11-5-1 ATS as a home dog - I'm hoping for an outright tonight $ 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE |
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11-18-23 | Georgia State v. LSU -31.5 | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 54 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking LSU. I think this is pad the stats time. And even if it wasn't. Georgia State has given up 42-42-44 in their last 3 games to Appalachian State - James Madison and Georgia Southern. If you don't think Jayden Daniels will throw for 4 TDs and run for 2 more here, you have not been watching this offense. Last time they played a team like this it was 62-0 over Army. Don't overthink things. 4* Money Maker LSU |
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11-18-23 | Florida v. Missouri -11 | 31-33 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking MISSOURI. I know people might be thinking 'let down' spot after throttling the Vols 36-7. But that was the let down spot - off a tough loss to Georgia. This is a run it up in your final home game, in a revenge game, vs a team that has give up 52-39-43-39 in their last 4 games. This defense for Florida is gassed. They gave up 39 to Arkansas who scored 34 in 3 games vs Alabama, Auburn and Mississippi State combined! Tigers by at least 2 TDs - probably closer to 20. 4* Money Maker MISSOURI TIGERS |
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11-18-23 | Kansas State -7.5 v. Kansas | 31-27 | Loss | -112 | 53 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking KANSAS STATE. This line tells me we are getting 3rd string QB tonight. And even if Bean does play, he is a hit away from being out of the game Wildcats won't take this bunch lightly. Kansas did score a huge win over Oklahoma here. 14 straight for KState in the series? Wow. Wildcats have the QB edge and that should push them to the double digit win, even in a hostile stadium. 4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE |
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11-18-23 | Louisville -2 v. Miami-FL | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 142 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking LOUISVILLE. First. We have Miami off their biggest game - a rivalry game they battled in until an INT with 40 seconds to go losing 27-20 to Florida State. Now they are back to Van Dyke at QB. The defense is tough though. Miami should be undefeated at home but that Georgia Tech game really stands out to me. Losing left and right on the road is not suppose to happen when 'you're back.' Here comes Louisville off a close win at home. Their lone loss of the season, at lowly Pitt! That being said, we told you in the Mid Day Money Show to grab the Panthers there as UL was off a huge win over Notre Dame. Cardinals have been consistent all season. I will say normally, I would be all in on the Canes in a spot like this. Pick/Sm Fave/Sm Dog role vs a decently ranked team. But I can't. Maybe people are still waiting for UL to have a bad game. It's been a great first year for the new regime there running things. . 4* Money Maker LOUISVILLE CARDINALS |
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11-16-23 | Bengals v. Ravens -3.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 96 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. 3rd straight home game for Baltimore and in off a last second loss where they blew a lead. Sign me up for the home favorites here. Short week for the Bengals who, on defense, just got lambasted by a rookie QB. A former MVP will have his way tonight. Over 500 yards and 386 to the QB. Wow. I know series why this is normally a FG type game. I just don't see it. I have said multiple time on Mid Day Money and the Look Ahead Lines show that the Ravens are the dangerous team in the AFC. I know everyone loves KC and the Tua/Hill show in Miami. Even Joe Cool with the visitors get more love. People will say, well, Burrow wasn't healthy the last time they played that is why Baltimore won.. Hello Bengals beat Anthony Brown 27-16 and the next beat Tyler Hunter in the playoffs 24-17.All Lamar does when he plays is win games. This line opened at 2.5 and has moved to 4 in some spots for a reason. Don't overthink things. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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11-14-23 | Akron v. Eastern Michigan -5 | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 49 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker EASTERN MICHIGAN |
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11-14-23 | Toledo v. Bowling Green +11 | 32-31 | Win | 100 | 53 h 49 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker BOWLING GREEN |
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11-14-23 | Western Michigan +2 v. Northern Illinois | 0-24 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 48 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker WESTERN MICHIGAN |
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11-12-23 | Giants v. Cowboys -10 | 17-49 | Win | 100 | 268 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS. I said in Mid Day Money before Dallas and the Giants even played, take Dallas at -10 before they beat the Eagles. Well. They didn't beat Philly, But the Giants continue to swoon. They were scoring 11ppg with Jones and Taylor. How are they scoring 10 here? Heck, how are they scoring 6? They aren't This line is now 15 or more. I would lay 20. Dak is hot. Cowboys angry off their loss. They mauled the Giants 40-0 in game 1. More of the same here. Absolute destruction. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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11-12-23 | Lions +1 v. Chargers | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 268 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. I said this on the Look Ahead Lines last Sunday night. Sign me up for Detroit off their bye week and a short week for LAC. Chargers off Sunday Night Win. Now off a Monday Night Win in New York. Everyone watched a pair of blowout wins and a defense that gave up 19 points. Now it is time to face a real time that has a capable QB. Lions on a 15-3 ATS run last 18. Wow. 8* Sure Shot DETROIT LIONS |