At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Dallas Mavericks.  The Celtics were blown out, 122-84, on Friday by Dallas.  And the Mavericks are now down 3-games-to-1 in this NBA Finals.  We'll fade Dallas off that win, as the Mavericks are an ugly 31-53-1 ATS as an underdog off an upset win, including 5-19-1 ATS if they covered the spread by 17+ points in their previous game.  Even better:  NBA teams have cashed 62% since 1990 off a Playoff loss by more than 35 points.  And the Celtics are 9-0-1 ATS over the last 20 seasons following a loss by more than 30 points!  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks to go UNDER the total.  These two teams have played all 4 NBA Finals games UNDER the total so far.  And they've gone under by 21.5, 12, 8, and 5.5 points.  Dallas is now 49-27-1 UNDER its last 77.  Additionally, the Celtics are 13-2 UNDER their last 15 NBA Finals games, while Dallas is 11-4-1 UNDER in the NBA Finals.  And Boston is 11-1 UNDER in the Playoffs following an upset loss, if the O/U line was 213 or less in the current game.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks on the moneyline over the Boston Celtics.  The Celts did as expected, and won Games 1 + 2 to take a 2-0 series lead in this NBA Finals.  Dallas now has its proverbial back against the wall in this Game 3 since, if it loses, it will surely be its death knell, as no team (in 156 series) has ever come back from a 3-0 series deficit in NBA history.  We'll take Dallas to win this game on the moneyline, as #1 seeded teams (like Boston) have gone just 25-45 straight-up in Game 3s since 1990, at the quarterfinal round forward, if they were up 2-games-to-0.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Boston Celtics.  We played on the Celtics and Under in Game 1, and were rewarded with a 107-89 blowout win by Boston.  But off that 18-point loss, we'll switch to the underdog Mavericks in Game 2.  Indeed, Dallas has yet to lose back-to-back games in these Playoffs, going 5-0 SU/ATS off a loss.  And it's also a reliable 124-83 ATS as a road underdog of more than 6 points vs. winning opposition.  Meanwhile, .672 (or better) teams (like Boston) have gone 1-11 ATS in Game 2 of NBA Playoff series when favored by more than 6 points following a double-digit win in Game 1.  Take the Mavericks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Dallas Mavericks.  My NBA preseason futures pick was on the Celtics (at 4-1 odds), and they've done nothing to dissuade me from thinking they're going to win the Larry O'Brien Trophy.  I like them to get off to a great start in this Game 1.  Boston has absolutely dominated the Mavericks the last 2 seasons.  This year, Boston won by 28 points at home, and by 9 points on the road.  And last season, the Celts won by 13 at home, and 29 on the road.  Combined, then, Boston's average margin of victory was 19.75 ppg, and it was 4-0 ATS.  That doesn't bode well for Dallas, as underdogs that were swept 2-games-to-none in the season series have gone 2-11 SU and 4-9 ATS in Game 1 of the NBA finals, including 0-5 ATS when priced from +5.5 to +10 points.  And Dallas is also 3-16 SU and 6-13 ATS in Game 1 of a series when installed as an underdog vs. .666 (or better) opponents.  Finally, teams (like Boston) with average scoring margins greater than 8.75 ppg (Boston's is +11.15) have cashed 64% in Game 1 of an NBA series when not laying 12+ points.  Take the Celtics minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks to go UNDER the total in Game 1 of the NBA Finals.  The Mavericks have now gone UNDER the total 21-4-1 their last 26 games when the O/U line was between 210 and 222 points.  And they've also gone 45-25 UNDER as an underdog (or PK) off a SU win in their previous game.  We'll look for those two trends to hold for this Game 1, especially given that NBA Finals Game 1s have gone 12-4-1 UNDER since 1991 when the game was priced from -6 to -9.5 points.  Take the Under in the Mavs/Celts Game 1.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, in Game 5 between Dallas and Minnesota, our selection is on the Under.  We played on the Under in Game 4, and were rewarded with a 105-100 T-Wolves win, which went under the total.  That game snapped a 4-game "Over" streak of the Mavericks.  But as I mentioned in my analysis of the previous game, Dallas had gone 45-22-1 Under in its 68 games prior to going Over in four straight.  The Under has also gone 24-12-1 the last 37 meetings between these teams at Minnesota.  I look for another relatively low-scoring game on Thursday.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Dallas/Minnesota game.  The Mavericks have played their last four games over the total.  But before this 4-game Over streak, Dallas had gone 45-22-1 Under.  And I look for the Mavericks to revert to form, and go Under in Game 4.  Indeed, over the last 34 years, NBA teams that had gone under in > 53% of their season's games have gone Under in 64.8% of their playoff games off 4+ Overs.  Take the Under tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Under in Game 4 between Indiana and Boston.  The Pacers were without All Star Tyrese Haliburton on Saturday, but almost upset the Celtics behind 32 points and 9 assists from Andrew Nembhard.  No team has ever come back from a 3-0 series deficit in NBA Playoff history (out of 154 series).  And given Boston's huge scoring margin differential (+8.54), one can rest assured it's not going to happen here, either.  And that daunting 0-for-154 statistic will surely play into the decision-making of Boston and/or Indiana with respect to their decision to give playing time to Haliburton or Kristaps Porzingis.  Frankly, I would be surprised if both of them play, and would not be surprised if neither of them play.  But, regardless, we're going to take the Under for Game 4.  The Pacers came out strong in Game 3 without Haliburton (as teams often do in the first game without a sidelined superstar).  Indy racked up 69 points in the first half, and led 69-57 at the break.  But the 2nd half was a completely different story, as the Pacers came back down to earth, and only mustered 42.  And just 99 points were scored by the 2 teams combined in the 2nd half.  I don't expect Nembhard to repeat his performance (which was a career-high).  And even if Haliburton plays, he might not be effective coming off a hamstring injury.  So, I expect a relatively low-scoring game on Memorial Day.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Boston.  In 1999, Sean Elliott delivered his Memorial Day Miracle shot to defeat the Trail Blazers, and the Pacers certainly need another Memorial Day Miracle if they're going to win this series (or, more precisely, 4 miracles).  But even though no team has ever climbed out of a 3-0 series hole and won four games, we don't need Indiana to do that here.  Indeed, all we need it to do is cover a large point spread as a home underdog.  Certainly, Boston, with its 75-20 record, and 11.24 average margin, is an historically-great team.  But it's also a pedestrian 23-21-2 ATS on the road this season.  Indiana, meanwhile, is 27-20-1 ATS at home, including 9-3 ATS its last 12, and 9-3-1 ATS as an underdog, and 14-4-1 ATS off a loss.  Indiana is also 7-0 ATS at home this season off a home loss (and 103-73-6 ATS since 1997 at home off a home loss).  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves to go UNDER the total.  The Timberwolves were the #1 defensive team in the league this season, as they had a defensive rating of 108.4.  But Minnesota was upset in Games 1 + 2 to start this series.  And both games went Over the total.  The T-Wolves are going to have to lock down better on defense if they are going to get back into this series, and I look for a lower-scoring game on Sunday.  Dating back 30 years, NBA teams have gone 63% UNDER in the post-season off back to back upset losses.  And the T-Wolves are also 14-4 UNDER their last 18 off back to back Overs.  We'll take Game 3 to go Under the total.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Dallas.  The T-Wolves lost both home games to start this semi-final series, including a 1-point loss in Game 2, and now must win this game, or face elimination on Tuesday.  I like the T-Wolves as an underdog, as .625 (or better) NBA teams have covered 73% as road underdogs since 1991 when down 2-games-to-none in a playoff series.  Additionally, road teams have gone 25-12 ATS following a 1-point Playoff defeat.  Meanwhile, Dallas is a dreadful 11-27-1 ATS when playing a team with double-revenge, and 22-31 ATS off back to back upset wins.  Take the Timberwolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Boston.  The Pacers let Game 1 slip away when they failed to in-bound the ball successfully, up 3 points, with just seconds remaining.  They then got blown out, 126-110, in Game 2, and now face a quasi-must-win game on Saturday (given that no NBA team has ever come back from a 3-games-to-0 deficit).  We'll grab the points with the Pacers, as NBA teams have gone 92-65-5 ATS when down 2-games-to-none, if they lost their previous game by 10+ points.  Additionally, the Pacers have gone 33-14-2 ATS in the Playoffs following a double-digit loss.  Take Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Under in Game 3 between Boston and Indiana.  The Celtics blew out the Pacers, 126-110, in Game 2.  And that followed a 133-128 win in Game 1.  Off those two high-scoring games by Boston, we'll look for Game 3 to be relatively low-scoring.  Indeed, NBA teams have gone Under the total in Playoff games 76.1% since 1991 following back-to-back games where they scored 125+ points.  Even better:  both of these teams have gone Over the total in four straight games heading into Game 3.  And NBA Playoff teams on Over streaks of 3+ games have gone Under the total 56% since 1991.  Take Game 3 Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Dallas.  The Mavericks went into Minneapolis on Wednesday, and upset the T-Wolves, 108-105, behind stellar performances by Luka Doncic (33 points 8 assists) and Kyrie Irving (30 points, 5 rebounds).  I like the Timberwolves to rebound in Game 2, as they've gone 11-6 ATS this season off an upset loss.  Moreover, Minnesota is 19-2 ATS vs. foes it lost to at home in the prior meeting.  Even better:  #3 seeds have cashed 69.4% since 1991 off a home playoff defeat, if they were favored by 4+ points in the current game.  And, finally, sub-.625 teams (like Dallas) have cashed just 1 of their last 18 games in the Conference Finals off an upset win if they were not getting more than 7 points.  Take Minnesota minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Indiana.  The Celtics have won two 5-game series to reach the Eastern Conference finals.  In both prior series, the Celts have blown out their opponent in Game 1 (by 20 and 25 points) while then losing Game 2 outright (by 10 and 24 points).  I expect a similar strong showing in Game 1 on Tuesday night against a Pacers team coming off a grueling 7-game series.  Indeed, teams that came back with wins in Games 6 + 7 to win a 7-game series have struggled in Game 1 of their next series, going 0-8 ATS their last eight.  Even worse for Indy:  it's 0-8 ATS its last eight off back to back ATS wins.  Lay the points with Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

On Sunday, in Game 7 of the quarterfinal series between the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points.  The T-Wolves brought their A+ game on Thursday, and held the defending champs to just 70 points, in a 45-point blowout win at home.  However, notwithstanding their 2023 championship season, the Nuggets have NOT been a strong road team the last two seasons.  This season, they've been 2.90 points per game WORSE against the spread on the road than at home.  Last season, the number was 5.55 ppg worse against the spread on the road than at home.  We'll take Denver to rebound in Game 7, as rested home teams have gone 67.4% ATS since 1991 at home when favored by more than 4 points off a loss by more than 35 points.  And in match-ups between teams with .500 (or better) win percentages, the Timberwolves are a soft 38-70 ATS when they won the previous matchup by 9+ points.  Finally, Denver is 31-14 ATS at home when rested and playing with revenge, if its win percentage was .600 (or better).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

On Sunday, in Game 7 between the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves, our selection is on the Under.  Game 6 was won by the Timberwolves, 115-70, and went under by 20.5 points.  We'll look for another low-scoring game on Sunday, as the Nuggets have gone under in 15 of their last 22 playoff games, including 9-3 under at home.  Even better:  defending NBA Champions have gone under 60.4% since 1990 in Games 5, 6 or 7 of a Playoff series.  And NBA teams that failed to score 72+ points in their previous game have gone under in the playoffs 75% since 1990 when the line was greater than 188.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Under in Game 6 between Oklahoma City and Dallas.  We played on Game 5 to go under the total of 213, and were rewarded with a very low-scoring game, as Dallas upset the Thunder, 105-95.  That was the 3rd straight game that went under by double-digits.  Game 3 went under 217 by 11 points, as the Mavs won, 105-101, while Game 4 went under the total of 215 by 19 points, as OKC triumphed, 100-96.  We'll come right back with the under in Game 6, as the oddsmakers still haven't adjusted this number appropriately.  These two teams have now played seven consecutive halves where the combined score was 103 points or less (99, 103, 103, 97, 99, 98 and 98).  The Mavs are now 45-22-1 under their last 68.  Take the Under in Game 6.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over Dallas.  The Mavs have pushed the Thunder to the brink of elimination with a 104-92 upset victory in Game 5.  Off that loss, we'll fade Dallas as a home favorite on Saturday.  Indeed, .667 (or worse) teams have gone 1-9 ATS when favored by more than 2 points at home, if they were off an upset win, and led 3-games-to-2 in the series.  Additionally, the Thunder have been terrific off a straight-up loss, when playing with revenge, as they've gone 60-33-2 ATS.  And Dallas is 32-57-2 ATS off a SU win, if it was playing a .333 (or better) revenge-minded foe.  Grab the points with OKC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

On Friday, in Game 6, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the New York Knicks.  We played on New York on Tuesday, and were rewarded with a 121-91 blowout win.  We'll switch gears and lay the points with the Pacers on Friday.  Indiana has been great at home this season, as it's covered the spread by an average of 3.90 ppg at Gainbridge Fieldhouse (compared to a -0.90 ppg figure on the road).  That bodes well for the Pacers in Indianapolis.  As does the fact that Indy is a super 24-9-2 ATS this season when rested, and off a straight-up loss, including 14-4 ATS off a double-digit defeat.  Finally, Indiana is an awesome 160-95-10 ATS off a loss when rested, and playing with revenge vs. a foe off a SU win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

On Friday, in Game 6, our selection is on the UNDER in the Indiana/New York game.  We cashed the Under in Game 5, as the two teams scored just 48 points in the 3rd quarter and 41 in the 4th.  I look for the offenses to continue to stagnate in this Game 6.  Indeed, only 2 of the last 10 quarters have gone for 55 or more points.  And with an Over/Under line this high, that's just not going to get the job done.  Tom Thibodeau-coached teams have gone 25-15-1 UNDER their last 41 Playoff games.  And the Under falls into a 218-133 Totals system of mine.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in Game 5 between Oklahoma City and Dallas.  After combining for 130 points in the first half of Game 2, the Mavericks and Thunder have played five consecutive halves where the combined score was 103 points or less (99, 103, 103, 97 and 99).  The Over/Under lines have slowly come down from Game 1 (which was 219), but I don't believe the number has come down enough for this Game 5, and the value is on the Under.  For technical support, consider that Dallas is 44-22-1 UNDER its last 67.  And NBA Playoff series tied at 2-games apiece have gone 25-15 (62.5%) Under their last 40.  Take Game 5 Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  We had our 5* NBA Game of the Year on Denver in Game 3 at Minnesota.  And I mentioned then that the road team was 52-20-1 ATS in this series.  Well, fast forward to Game 5, and the road team is now 54-20-1 ATS in the Nuggets/T-Wolves series, including 4-0 in this year's playoffs.  As my mom used to say, 'If it ain't broke, don't fix it," and we'll continue to ride the road team.  Add to that the fact that Minnesota is now 13-0 ATS on the road when playing an opponent which defeated it in Minnesota in the prior meeting.  And the T-Wolves are also 8-0 ATS their last eight road games off an upset loss.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Indiana Pacers.  New York dropped both games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, including a 121-89 defeat on Sunday, and are now knotted up at 2-games-apiece in the quarterfinal series.  We'll take New York to bounce back at home, as it is 31-11 ATS as a single-digit favorite when playing with revenge.  Moreover, home favorites with a .605 (or better) win percentage, off a loss by more than 23 points, have cashed 60% ATS since Dec. 4, 1991.  Take New York.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Under in the New York/Indiana game.  After Games 1 + 2 went for 238 and 251 points, we've seen a downturn in the scoring in Games 3 + 4.  Those two games only totaled 217 and 210 points, and went under the total by 4 and 9.5 points, respectively.  We played on the Under in Game 3, and will come back with the Under in this Game 5, as it falls into a 217-133 Playoff Totals system of mine.  New York has gone 15-6-2 UNDER in the Playoffs following a SU loss, and Tom Thibodeau-coached teams have gone 24-15-1 UNDER their last 40 Playoff games.  Take Game 5 Under.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder over the Dallas Mavericks.  OKC lost narrowly, 105-101, in Game 3 at Dallas.  The Thunder, though, have been sensational off a straight-up loss, when playing with revenge, as they've gone 59-33-2 ATS.  Meanwhile, Dallas is 32-56-2 ATS off a SU win, if it was playing a .333 (or better) revenge-minded foe.  OKC has gone 9-5 ATS vs. the Mavericks since 2022, and 35-16-2 ATS off a loss by 6 or less points.  And NBA teams off narrow SU/ATS Playoff losses by 6 or less points have rebounded to go 44-19 ATS.  Take the Thunder.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 4 between the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers.  We played on the under in Game 3, and easily cashed, as it went under by 12.5 points.  We will come right back with the under in Game 4, as Cleveland is 15-4 Under its last 19 playoff games, including 11-1 under when the O/U line was > 203 points.  And Boston has gone under its last 5 road playoff games.  Finally, the under falls into an NBA Totals system of mine which is 217-133 since 1990.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  The Celts were shellacked at home, 118-94, by the Cavaliers on Thursday.  Unfortunately for Cleveland, the Celtics are an exceptional 93-54 ATS on the road off a home loss by more than 7 points.  Take Boston minus the points in Game 3.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 3 between Boston and Cleveland.  The Celtics come into this game off a 24-point home defeat.  I look for Boston to tighten the screws on defense in Game 3, as it will look to redeem itself from that debacle at home.  The Celts have gone 57-32 UNDER the total off a home loss when the O/U line was < 214, including 7-0 UNDER their last seven playoff games off a home defeat.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over Dallas.  The Mavericks leveled the series at 1-game apiece on Thursday, with a nine-point win over the Thunder.  We'll fade Dallas on Saturday afternoon, as the Mavericks are a wallet-busting 29-50 ATS off an upset win, while the Thunder are 23-15 ATS off an upset loss.  Moreover, the Mavs are a poor 31-56 ATS off a win, if they were playing a revenge-minded foe with a .333 (or better) win percentage.  And OKC is a fantastic 43-16-1 ATS vs. foes off a SU win that covered the spread in that victory by more than 8 points.  Look for the Thunder to rebound on Saturday.  Grab the points.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Nuggets were annihilated, 106-80, in Game 2 and now trail 2-games-to-none in the quarterfinal series.  Denver shot just 34.9% from the field, which was its 2nd-worst FG percentage this season.  And its 80 points was the least amount that it scored in 4 years.  We'll take the Nuggets to bounce back tonight, as they've gone 33-18-2 ATS vs. .400 (or better) foes, if the Nuggets were on a 3-game ATS losing streak.  Additionally, .610 (or better) teams off a playoff defeat in which they scored 80 (or less) points, and 2+ losses overall, have covered 68.1% since 1991.  Even better:  .684 (or better) teams have covered 69% following a game where they failed to cover the point spread by more than 30 points.  Finally, this has been a division rivalry which has been dominated by the road team, as the road teams are now 52-20-1 ATS, including 23-3 ATS when priced from +1.5 to +7 points.  Take the Nuggets + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the New York Knicks.  Rick Carlisle's men find themselves in a 2-games-to-none hole, as this quarterfinals series shifts to the Hoosier State.  The good news for Indiana is that it's dominated the Knicks at home, going 20-5 SU and 16-9 ATS the last 25 meetings.  And, off back-to-back losses, there's a lot more to like about Indiana in this Game 3.  First, the Pacers are 16-10-1 ATS this season when playing with revenge.  And, second, Indiana is an awesome 10-1 ATS its last 11 (and 25-12-2 ATS its last 39) off a straight-up loss.  Finally, sub-.663 teams are 0-7 ATS their last seven as underdogs on the road when up exactly 2 games in a Playoff series, losing by an average of 15.7 ppg, and failing to cover the spread by an average of 10.5 ppg in those games.  Lay the points with the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 3 between the New York Knicks and the Indiana Pacers.  The Knicks won Game 1 vs. Indiana, 121-117, and followed up that game with a 130-121 triumph in Game 2.  Off those two high-scoring wins, we'll look for a lower-scoring game on Friday night.  Indeed, over the last 34 years, NBA teams have gone under the total 58.1% in the Playoffs off back to back wins, in which they scored more than 116 points.  And the Knicks have also gone 19-9 Under when installed as an underdog vs. the Pacers.  Take Game 3 to go UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  While the Cavaliers were stretched to 7 games by the Orlando Magic, the Celtics were resting comfortably following their 4-1 series triumph over Miami.  Boston was in championship form, for the most part, in that series, as its wins were by 20, 20, 14 and 34 points.  The Celtics were our preseason pick (at 4-1 odds) to win the NBA title, and they've done nothing to disappoint throughout the season.  Indeed, over the last 34 seasons, their current scoring margin of 11.58 has only been bettered by two teams at this juncture of an NBA season:  the Michael Jordan-led Bulls team which won 72 games, and the Steph Curry-led Warriors team in 2017.  Both of those other teams won NBA titles, and I believe the Celts will join them.  In this Game 1, we'll lay the points with Boston, as it is 79-45-3 ATS off a 20-point (or greater) home win.  And the Cavaliers are 7-20 ATS as road underdogs vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota.  The T-Wolves handed the Nuggets a 106-99 home loss to open the series, so Denver will look to level the series at 1-game apiece with a win tonight.  The Nuggets don't lose back to back home games very often, and are an awesome 131-70-5 ATS at home, when rested, and priced from +2.5 to -11, if they lost their previous home game, straight-up.  That bodes well for Denver on Monday.  As does the fact that teams down 1-game-to-0 in a Playoff series vs. a division rival, have gone 12-1-2 ATS in Game 2, if they weren't favored by 7+ points.  Finally, Minnesota comes into Monday's game off 3 straight upset wins.  Unfortunately, NBA teams have covered just 38% in the Playoffs the past 34 years following three straight upset victories.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Indiana.  When these teams last met, Indiana came into Madison Square Garden and blew out the Knicks, 125-111.  But OG Anunoby, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Mitchell Robinson, were injured in that game.  We'll take New York in this Game 1, as it is 15-1 its last 16 as a revenge-minded favorite of less than 10 points.  And Indy is 2-20 ATS following a point spread win, if it was matched up against a foe it defeated by more than 5 points in the prior meeting.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Orlando Magic and Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER the total.  The Magic forced a Game 7 with a 103-96 win vs. Cleveland in Game 6.  We will take the under in this game, as Game 7s have gone Under the total 65.7% over the last 21 years when the O/U line was not greater than 200 points.  Even better:  the Magic have gone under in 16 of their last 21 road playoff games, while Cleveland is 8-1 under its last nine home playoff games.  Take the UNDER in Game 7.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

On Saturday, in Game 1 of the series, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Nuggets have dominated at home in Game 1 in the Playoffs, as it's 10-2 SU and 8-4 ATS in that situation.  Last season, en route to its first championship, the Nuggets won their Game 1s by 29, 18, 6 and 11 points.  This season, Denver down the Lakers by 11 in Game #1.  The Timberwolves, meanwhile, are 1-9 SU in their Game 1s on an opponent's home court, including 1-6 ATS their last seven.  Finally, Minnesota won its last series, 4-games-to-none, vs. Phoenix.  But that series sweep has triggered a negative NBA Playoffs system of mine (35% ATS since 1990), which applies to Minnesota.  Lay the points with Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the New York Knicks plus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The Knicks were upset in Game 5, as the 76ers won, 112-106, in overtime.  New York's lead in the 7-game series is now narrowed to 3-games-to-2.  We'll take the Knicks to bounce back in Game 6, as teams up 3-games-to-2 in the first round of the NBA playoffs have generally closed things out in Game 6, as they've won the game, straight-up, 63.8% of the time over the last 34 seasons.  And if they were playing on the road in Game 6, and off an upset defeat at home in Game 5, then they've covered the spread 80% of the time.  New York is 9-2 ATS this season off an upset loss.  And it is also 12-2 ATS in the NBA playoffs following an upset defeat, if the spread in the current game was less than 6 points.  Finally, Philly is a poor 0-11 ATS vs. .560 (or better) foes, if Philly was off an upset win.  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Milwaukee Bucks/Indiana Pacers game.  The Bucks have been without star Giannis Antetokounmpo for each of the first five games, and it's unclear if he will suit up tonight.  As a result, the Bucks have been installed as a big underdog in this Game 6.  And Milwaukee is 33-22 Under the total its last 55 as an underdog.  Meanwhile, after scoring 125, 121 and 126 points in winning Games 2, 3 and 4, the Pacers managed just 92 in a 23-point defeat in Game 5.  And that game went under the total of 218 by 11 points.  Milwaukee is now 12-4 UNDER in its last 16 'elimination games,' and I look for another low-scoring game on Thursday, as the Bucks will once again have their proverbial back against the wall.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  Dallas was a no-show early in Game 4, as it fell behind by 31 points, 55-24, midway through the 2nd quarter.  Amazingly, the Mavericks fought back to take a short-lived, 105-104 lead.  But Los Angeles ended the game on a 12-6 run to win, 116-111.  The Clippers have been installed as a home underdog for the pivotal Game 5.  We'll go against L.A., as home underdogs of 4 points or less (or PK) have covered just 31.8% since 1991 off an upset road Playoffs win.  Even better:  over the last 16 seasons, the Mavs have covered 64% as road favorites off an upset home defeat.  Take Dallas minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat to go Under the total.  Three of the four games in this series have gone under the total, including Game 3, which went under by 18 points, and Game 4, which went under by 14.5 points.  This Game 5, of course, is an Elimination Game for the Heat.  And NBA Playoff Elimination Games, with O/U lines of 206 or less, have gone under the total 55.1% since 1990.  Additionally, the Heat have gone under 18 of their last 27 Elimination games.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

On Tuesday, in Game 5, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic have been terrific this season at home, as they've gone 31-12 straight-up, and 30-13 ATS -- covering the spread by an average of 5.44 ppg.  So, it was not a surprise that they swept Games 3 + 4 to level the series at 2-games-apiece.  But Orlando's not been a great team away from home, as it's failed to cover the spread by an average of 2.09 ppg.  And it's lost its last six road games ATS.  Meanwhile, Cleveland is 8-1 ATS its last nine when playing with revenge from losses in the two previous meetings vs. an opponent.  And it's 34-19 ATS as a favorite of 7 or less points in the Playoffs.  Take the Cavs in Game 5.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Nuggets were upset in Game 4, 119-108, and now lead 3-games-to-1 in the 7-game series.  We'll take Denver to bounce back in Game 5, as it is 16-1 ATS its last 17 off an 8-point (or worse) upset loss, if it wasn't favored by 8.5 (or more) points in its current game.  Even better:  the Lakers are a horrid 14-41-2 ATS on the road when playing an opponent they upset in the prior meeting.  Lay the points with Denver.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

On Monday, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  New Orleans has its back against the wall, as it's down 3-games-to-none in the series.  We'll fade the Thunder, as they're 4-20 ATS in the Playoffs following back to back wins, if they won their previous game by double-digits, including 0-10 ATS when favored by more than 2 points.  And the Pelicans are 85-52 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, if they fell by 15+ points in their previous game.  Grab the points with New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  I played on the Suns in Game 3, and they were blown out by double-digits for the 3rd straight game, 126-109.  I'll take Phoenix in this Game 4, as it has gone 121-87-5 ATS off back to back losses, when it's owned a winning record.  Additionally, .500 (or better) NBA teams have cashed 63% over the last 17 seasons after three straight double-digit losses, if they weren't getting more than 3 points in the current game.  It's true that NBA teams down 3-games-to-none have never come back to win a 7-game playoff series.  But Home Underdogs off a SU/ATS loss, and down 3-games-to-none have been profitable since 1991 in Game 4.  And home teams off 3 SU/ATS losses to start a series have gone 22-14-2 ATS in Game 4.  Take Phoenix.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Under in the Los Angeles Clippers/Dallas Mavericks game.  We cashed our NBA Total of the Month Friday on the Under in Game 3 between these teams, and we'll come right back with the Under in this Game 4.  All three games in this series have been low-scoring.  Game 1 went under by 14.5 points; Game 2 went under by 27 points; and Game 3 went under by 23 points.  I will ride the wave of unders, and look for another low-scoring game.  Additionally, Dallas has now gone under in 16 of its last 20 home games, and nine of its last 11 home playoff games.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Miami Heat.  The Celts suffered one of the biggest upset losses in the Playoffs since 1991 when they fell, 111-101, to the Heat, on Wednesday, as a 14-point home favorite.  The good news for Joe Mazzulla's crew is that NBA teams have cashed 88% in the playoffs the past 21 seasons following an upset loss as a favorite of 12+ points.  We'll take Boston to bounce back in Game 3, as it is 21-4 its last 25 road playoff games, if it failed to cover the spread by more than 7 in its previous game, and didn't lead in the series.  And it's also 10-0 ATS when favored by 4+ points off a double-digit home loss, if its foe covered by 9+ points in its previous game.  Take the Celtics.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  Don't miss my hockey and football winners, including my UFL Football Underdog of the Month on Saturday.  I've cashed 63% in Spring football the last 3 years, including 100% this season.

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  OKC blew out the Pelicans, 124-92, on Wednesday to take a 2-games-to-none lead in this first round series.  Unfortunately for the Thunder, #1 seeds have covered just 35% in the Playoffs since 1991 following a win by 32+ points.  Even worse:  The Thunder are a horrid 3-20 ATS in the post-season off back to back wins, if they won their previous game by double-digits.  Finally, the Pelicans are a super 72-41-1 ATS as a home dog (or PK) vs. .600 (or better) foes, including 20-5 ATS when playing with double-revenge.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  Don't miss my hockey and football winners, including my UFL Football Underdog of the Month on Saturday.  I've cashed 63% in Spring football the last 3 years, including 100% this season.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  On Tuesday, Devin Booker & Co. were blown out, 105-93, by the T-Wolves, and are now down 2-games-to-none in the series.  We'll fade Minnesota at Phoenix in Game 3, as it is a wallet-lightening 16-39 ATS on the road in match-ups between .500 (or better) teams, if it was playing a foe it defeated by more than 8 points in the prior meeting.  Even worse for the T-Wolves: they are a woeful 1-19 ATS on the road vs. .500 (or better) teams, if the T-Wolves covered the spread by more than 8 points in their previous game, and weren't getting double-digits.  The Suns are 6-0 ATS their last six off back to back losses, and we'll take them minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Dallas Mavericks/Los Angeles Clippers game.  The first game of this series went under the total of 220.5 by 14.5 points.  Likewise, Game 2 sailed under the total of 216 by a whopping 27 points.  Understandably, the oddsmakers have further lowered the total for Game 3, but they haven't gone far enough.  So, we'll step in and take this game to go under the total once again, as games with O/U lines between 205 and 230 have gone under the total 62% since 1990 if the two teams met in their prior game, which went under the total by more than 24 points.  Additionally, the Mavs have gone under in 15 of their last 19 home games, and eight of their last 10 home playoff games.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the New York Knicks.  The Knicks won game three, 104-101, with the help of some favorable officiating, to take a 2-games-to-none lead in the 1st round series.  We'll take Philly to bounce back, as it's 22-5 ATS off back to back defeats, if it wasn't favored by 8+ points in the current game (including 5-0 ATS in division games, and 15-1 ATS vs. foes off a SU win).  Take the 76ers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The #5-seeded Magic have fallen behind the #4-seeded Cavaliers, 2-games-to-none.  We'll take the Magic in Game 3 as 5-seeds have gone 27-13-1 ATS vs. 4-seeds when down at least two games in a Playoff series.  Additionally, the Magic have been the best point spread team this season, with a 51-32-1 ATS record, including 27-11 ATS as a favorite, and 13-3-1 ATS off back to back losses.  Take Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  The Clips pulled the upset in Game 1, with a 109-97 win.  We'll take Dallas to bounce back in Game 2, as it is 160-105-6 ATS off a loss, when matched up against an opponent off a win (including 24-9 ATS as a road favorite).  Even better:  the Clippers are a wallet-crushing 5-25 ATS in the Playoffs following a SU/ATS win, if the line in the current game was 6 points or less (including 1-15 ATS off a home win).  Finally, L.A. is a poor 78-123-4 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes that have a .589 (or better) win percentage.  Take the Mavericks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Minnesota.  We played on the T-Wolves in Game 1, and they rewarded us with a 120-95 blowout victory.  But off that big win -- which also snapped a nine-game ATS losing streak to the Suns -- we'll happily grab the points with Frank Vogel's men.  Phoenix is 28-18 ATS on the road off a 25-point (or worse) defeat, while Minnesota is a miserable 9-19-2 ATS at home off a 25-point (or greater) win.  And NBA road teams off 1st Round road losses by more than 21 points have covered 84.2% since 1991, provided they weren't off back to back losses to their opponent.  Grab the points with the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over the Indiana Pacers.  The Bucks will be without Giannis Antetokounmpo this evening, and have been installed as a home underdog in this opening game of their 7-game series vs. the Pacers.  Admittedly, the Bucks have stumbled to a 3-8 SU/ATS record to end their season, including back to back losses at OKC and Orlando on the final weekend.  But Milwaukee is an awesome 29-9 ATS as a home underdog off back to back losses.  And Indiana is a dismal 5-26-1 ATS away from home vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, if the game was competitively-priced with a point spread of 5 or less.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Phoenix Suns.  These two teams met here, at Target Center, last Sunday, in the final regular season game.  And the Suns walloped the T-Wolves, 125-106.  Still, Minnesota finished 56-26 (including 30-11 SU at home), and earned the #3 seed in the Western conference.  I like the T-Wolves to bounce back in this Game 1, as .600 (or better) teams have gone 20-4 ATS at home in the NBA playoffs following a home loss, provided they owned a better record than their opponent.  Even better:  the Timberwolves are 18-0 ATS when playing an opponent which defeated the T-Wolves in Minnesota in the previous meeting.  Take the Timberwolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  Don't miss my big football winner, as I'm featuring my UFL Non-Division Game of the Month on Saturday.  I've cashed 62.1% in spring football the last 3 years, so pick it up right now.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over the Los Angeles Lakers.  These two teams will be playing for the 2nd time in three days, as the Lakers blew out the Pels, 124-108, as a 1.5-point road underdog, on Sunday.  We'll take New Orleans to avenge that 16-point loss, as revenge-minded teams have gone 12-6 ATS in the Play-In Tournament, including 9-3 ATS if they lost the prior meeting by double-digits.  Even better:  NBA home teams that lost their regular season-ending game by 8+ points have gone 50-11 SU and 39-22 ATS in the Playoffs, including 9-2 ATS when favored by less than 5 points.  The Pelicans have gone 23-14 ATS this season off a point spread loss, while the Lakers are a woeful 0-9 SU/ATS their last nine (and 8-23 ATS their last 31) off a win, when playing a foe off an upset defeat.  Take New Orleans on Tuesday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Los Angeles.  The Pels lost, 139-122, as a 2-point road favorite to the Lakers in the previous meeting.  We'll lay the points today, as the Lakers are a poor 27-52-1 ATS when playing a foe it upset in the season's prior meeting.  Take New Orleans.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Dallas.  We played on Oklahoma City on Friday night vs. Milwaukee, and will come right back with the Thunder today.  OKC has won four straight games, and needs to win today to lock down the #1 seed in the West (though there's a remote possibility OKC would not be seeded #1 if it and Minnesota wins, and Denver loses).  OKC is 51-30 ATS at home its last 81, including 11-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite.  Take the Thunder.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Phoenix Suns.  These two teams met in the Valley of the Sun nine days ago, and Phoenix bested Minnesota, 97-87.  We'll lay the points with Minnesota today, as it's 26-15 ATS when playing with revenge, while Phoenix is 6-20 ATS as an underdog vs. .466 (or better) foes.  Take the T-Wolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Memphis.  Nikola Jokic has been upgraded to 'probable,' and that's all we need to pull the trigger on Denver.  The Nuggets were shocked, 121-120, on Friday by San Antonio.  And Denver was favored by 11 points in that game.  We'll take the Nuggets to bounce back today, as defending champs have gone 62-37 ATS on the road when favored off a SU loss, if they were rested, and playing an opponent off an ATS win.  Lay the points with Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  The Sixers enter today's game on a 7-game SU/ATS win streak.  And they've covered nine straight games, overall.  We won't step in front of this freight train today, as NBA teams have cashed 59.4% since 1990 when they've covered nine (or more) games in a row.  Even better:  the Sixers play with double-revenge, and they're 42-20 ATS when playing with double-revenge, if they weren't getting 7+ points.  Take Philadelphia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Washington.  Boston blew out Charlotte here, at home, on Friday, 131-98.  We'll lay the points with the Celtics today, as they are 79-44-2 ATS off a 20-point home win.  Take Boston.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  The Cavaliers play this game with revenge from a 118-111 loss last month to Charlotte.  We'll lay the points, as revenge-minded NBA teams have cashed 62% since 1990 when favored by more than 5 points, and playing their final home game of the season.  Take Cleveland.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Milwaukee.  Giannis Antetokounmpo won't play today, so the Bucks will be a road underdog.  Unfortunately for Milwaukee, it's a poor 14-38 ATS when getting more than 2 points.  Take the Magic.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over New Orleans.  When these two teams last met, the Pelicans destroyed Golden State, 141-105, as a 2.5-point home underdog.  We'll take Golden State to avenge that 36-point defeat, as it's 28-11-1 ATS at home vs. an unrested opponent off a SU win.  And it's also 46-24-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 21 points.  Take the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Thunder, Nuggets and Timberwolves are currently locked in a tight battle for the top seed in the Western Conference.  OKC is currently the #3 seed, so this is a must-win game.  Likewise, the Bucks can fall from the #2 seed to the #4 seed if they drop their last two games, so they're incentivized to win.  Unfortunately, Giannis Antetokounmpo is currently sidelined with a calf injury, and Damian Lillard is also unlikely to play tonight.  So, the Bucks have been installed as a huge underdog at Oklahoma City.  That doesn't bode well for Doc Rivers' crew, as Milwaukee is 14-37 ATS when getting more than 2 points.  Even worse:  the Thunder play tonight with revenge from a 25-point loss at Milwaukee last month.  And OKC is 54-30 ATS when playing with revenge vs. an Eastern Conference foe, provided such foe won its previous game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  Last night, the Suns were buried early by the Clippers, as they trailed 53-16 midway through the 2nd quarter, and 66-33 at the half.  That brought back memories of another Phoenix no-show when it lost at home (as a 6.5-point favorite) in Game 7 of the 2022 playoffs to Dallas, 123-90 -- a game which it trailed, 57-27 at the half.  If there's a silver lining for the Suns, it is that they will have a chance to redeem themselves tonight (which they didn't have in that Game 7 loss).  Phoenix is 44-11 ATS vs. unrested division foes with a win percentage > .400, if Phoenix wasn't getting 5+ points.  And the Suns are also 63-34 ATS when favored, and playing with revenge from a home upset defeat.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota.  The Nuggets, T-Wolves, and Thunder are locked in a tight battle for the #1 seed in the Western Conference, so this game will go a long way toward determining the seeds in this year's Playoffs.  The Nuggets lost here, at home, to Minnesota, 111-98, last month, so the Nuggs will play with revenge from that 13-point defeat.  And the T-Wolves are a terrible 35-68 ATS in match-ups between .500 (or better) teams when their opponent was playing with revenge from a loss by more than 8 points.  Take Denver.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over the Toronto Raptors.  The Raptors were blown out last night, 140-123, by the Indiana Pacers.  That was Toronto's final home game of the season, and they'll conclude their schedule with three road games starting with tonight's tilt at Brooklyn.  The Nets will play tonight's game with 2 days' of rest, and this will be their final home game.  They'll be looking to redeem themselves from a 30-point home loss to Sacramento on Sunday, and I think they'll get it.  Indeed, since 1990, NBA favorites of -9 (or more) points have covered 78% in their final home game of the season, if they were off a loss by 9+ points, and their opponent was unrested.  Take Brooklyn.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  This is the first of two back-to-back meetings between these Pacific division rivals.  When these teams last met, the Clippers blew out Phoenix, 138-111, as a 5.5-point home favorite.  We'll take the Suns to avenge that defeat, as the Clippers are a woeful 76-123-4 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes with a .589 (or better) win percentage.  Take the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Spurs lost a heart-breaker to the 76ers on Sunday, 133-126, in double-overtime.  And that defeat snapped the Spurs' 6-game ATS win streak.  We'll take San Antonio to bounce back off that loss, and snap its 14-game losing streak to Memphis.   San Antonio is 59-41-2 ATS as a revenge-minded road favorite, while Memphis has covered just five of 20 as a home dog vs. a double-revenge-minded foe.  Lay the points with the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over the Boston Celtics.  The Bucks have shockingly lost their last four games -- all as a favorite -- and are now just one game ahead of the Orlando Magic for the #2 seed.  Tonight, the Bucks will welcome the top-seeded Celtics.  When these two teams last met here, in Milwaukee, the Bucks dealt the Celts their worst defeat of the season, 135-102.  Milwaukee is 91-50 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses.  Take the Bucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over the Connecticut Huskies.  Similar to the 2021 championship game between Baylor and Gonzaga, which pitted the top two teams in the country, this is the match-up that most basketball aficionados wanted to see.  Connecticut is the defending champion, and has gone 11-0 SU/ATS in the NCAA Tournament the past two seasons.  And Purdue has Zach Edey, the best NCAA Basketball player for the past two seasons.  There's no doubt that UConn is the better team, with its five starters all projected to go among the top 44 players drafted in the upcoming NBA draft (with Donovan Clingan projected at #14, and Stephon Castle at #8).  But I believe Purdue is uniquely positioned to give the Huskies a supreme battle.  The Boilers combine the interior play of 7'4" Edey with outside marksmen that ranked #2 (of 362 NCAA teams) in three-point FG percentage this season, at 40.8%.  Dating back to 1991, this is the 18th NCAA Tournament game between two #1 seeds.  The underdog has gone 10-7 in the prior match-ups, including a perfect 4-0 ATS when getting 7+ points.  Also, Purdue has generally delivered as an underdog, as it's 9-2-1 ATS its last 12 when getting 1.5 (or more) points.  The Boilermakers fall into 48-11, 20-2, 26-5 and 88-48 ATS systems of mine, and we'll grab the points with Matt Painter's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota T-Wolves + the points over the Lakers.  Minnesota plays this game with revenge from an 11-point loss here, in L.A., last month.  Los Angeles is a poor 77-117 ATS at home vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take the Timberwolves.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Golden State Warriors.  Steph Curry won't play tonight, and the Warriors are laying double-digits to Utah.  We'll grab the points, as the Warriors are a poor 11-19 ATS as a home favorite this season.  And Utah also falls into several of my best systems, with records of 119-44, 86-54, and 179-102 ATS that play on certain teams off blowout losses.  Take the Jazz as a big underdog.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Magic suffered a brutal loss to the Charlotte Hornets, as they fell, 124-115, at Charlotte as a 12-point road favorite, on Friday. Still, the Magic are the league's best point spread team this season, with a 49-27-1 ATS record, including 25-9 ATS as a favorite.  We'll take the Magic to bounce back this evening.  Lay the points.

At 6:05 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Purdue.  The Wolfpack have been the best point spread team in this tournament, as they've covered the point spread by an average of 13.37 ppg.  Even better, the Wolfpack have won nine straight games, including a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS as an underdog.  And those included ACC Tourney victories over Duke (as an 11-point underdog), and North Carolina (as a 10-point dog).  They blew out Marquette and Duke (again), as 7.5-point underdogs in each game, last weekend in the Sweet 16/Elite 8 Rounds to reach this semi-final game.  It's true that Purdue was my preseason pick (at 15-1 odds) to win the Championship.  And Purdue was also the team I selected to win this tournament in my March Madness bracket.  But the last thing I want to do is lay points to this NC State club.  For technical support, consider that teams seeded #4 (or worse), off 4+ wins, have gone 15-0 ATS their last 15 as underdogs vs. top-3-seeded teams at the Sweet 16 Round forward.  Take North Carolina St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Golden State.  Both of these teams played Thursday night.  The Warriors blew out Houston, 133-110, at the Toyota Center, while Dallas won here, at home, vs. Atlanta, 109-95.  This is a rematch of a game played Tuesday in San Francisco.  We played on Golden State in its 104-100 triumph over Dallas, but will fade the Warriors on the road tonight.  The Warriors have covered just 7 of 27 road games vs. revenge-minded foes when Golden State was installed as an underdog, and off a SU/ATS win.  Meanwhile, the Mavs are 46-27 ATS their last 73 games when playing with revenge, including 12-1 ATS when the Mavs were off a win by 12+ points.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Thursday, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Indiana St. Sycamores minus the points over Seton Hall.  We played on both the Pirates and Sycamores in their respective semi-final games, and got the $$$ with each.  We will roll with Indiana St. in this championship game, as it will be playing in front of a very home-friendly crowd in Indianapolis -- just 84 miles from Terre Haute.  Indiana St. erupted for 100 points on Tuesday night vs. Utah, and that bodes well for it in this title game, as it has gone 60-31-2 ATS following a victory where it scored more than 78 points.  Meanwhile, the Pirates have played much better at home this season than away from home, as they've covered the spread by 3.67 ppg at home, but have failed to cover by 1.88 ppg away from home, going 6-10 ATS.  We'll lay the points with Indiana St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Bucks were favored by 13 points last night, yet lost outright to the woeful Washington Wizards, 117-113.  That dropped Milwaukee's lead over Cleveland to 1.5 games in the race for the #2 seed in the Eastern Conference.  Milwaukee's last five games will be against top-level NBA clubs, so it needs to take care of business tonight (and Friday) vs. two bottom-tier teams (Grizzlies, Raptors).  Over the last 34 seasons, home favorites have covered 71% if they lost outright as a double-digit favorite the previous day, and were matched up against a foe off a win.  With Memphis, indeed, off a 110-108 victory over the Pistons, we'll fade Memphis, and lay the points with Milwaukee on Wednesday.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors over Dallas.  The Mavs are on an 11-1 SU/ATS win streak, but we'll fade them here, at Golden State.  The Warriors play with revenge from not 1, but 2 losses earlier this season to Dallas.  And Dallas is a dreadful 27-54 ATS off a win, if it was playing a revenge-minded foe with a .333 (or better) win percentage.  Additionally, the Warriors are 66-32 ATS at home when not laying 9+ points, if they were matched up against a .400 (or better) foe.  Take the Warriors to blow out Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Georgia.  The Pirates' last game was a 23-point blowout of UNLV, as a 6.5-point cover.  And that 23-point win was the biggest margin of victory by any team so far in this NIT Tournament.  And its 16.5-point cover was the 2nd biggest point spread margin.  We'll ride the Pirates off that huge game, as they're 27-4 ATS following a game where they covered the spread by 12+ points, if they were matched up against a foe off a SU win in their current game (including a perfect 10-0 ATS as a favorite).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Raptors have managed just one win in their last 16 games, while covering just three times.  But I like Toronto getting double-digits at home tonight vs. a Lakers team playing the first of back-to-back games.  The Lakers are a soft 18-40 ATS when favored off a SU/ATS win, including 3-12 ATS on the road.  And they're 36-64-2 ATS when laying double-digits.  Meanwhile, the Raptors fall into one of my favorite NBA systems, which is 229-138-8 ATS, which plays on certain teams off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Raptors + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, in the NIT Tournament, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Indiana State Sycamores minus the points over the Utah Utes.  This game will be played at Hinkle Fieldhouse, on the campus of Butler University, in Indianapolis -- just 84 miles from Terre Haute.  So, expect a crowd squarely in the Sycamores' corner.  We'll lay the points with Indiana St, and go against a Utah team which has had its problems away from home.  The Utes earned their trip to the NIT semifinals with 3 home wins, and they covered the spread in each by 11.5, 4 and 1.5 points.  For the season, Utah went 18-2 SU and 14-6 ATS at home, and covered the point spread by an average of 6.17 ppg.  Unfortunately, it was a completely different story away from Salt Lake City, as Utah went 4-12 SU, 5-11 ATS, and FAILED to cover the point spread by an average of 4.73 ppg.  And Utah's road travails haven't been just this season.  Dating back to 2019, they're 17-51 SU and 21-46-1 ATS away from home, and failed to cover by an average of 4.59 ppg.  Indiana State, meanwhile, has held its own away from home, with a 15-5 SU record, and a 10-10 ATS record.  And it's covered the spread, on average, by 1.21 ppg away from home.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Chicago Bulls.  Chicago upset Minnesota, 109-101, as a 9-point road underdog last night.  Off that upset win, we'll fade Chicago, as it's a horrid 7-27-1 ATS as a favorite off an upset road win as an underdog of more than 5 points.  Take Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over the Orlando Magic.  The Blazers were blown out by 60 points, 142-82, in their most recent game.  And that was just the 7th time a team has lost by 60+ points over the past 34 seasons.  Teams off huge blowout losses > 40 points tend to play much better their next game, and have gone 113-87-3 ATS, including 61-37-2 ATS on the road.  Take Portland + the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Detroit Pistons.  Detroit defeated Washington, 96-87, on Friday.  We'll fade the Pistons tonight, as they're a wallet-breaking 4-23 ATS at home off a win by more than 5 points.  Even worse:  the Pistons are 6-21-1 ATS their last 28 vs. Memphis, including 0-12 ATS when Detroit was not getting more than 4 points.  Here, of course, the Pistons are a favorite.  Take Memphis + the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Knicks were an 8.5-point favorite on Friday night vs. San Antonio, but lost in overtime, 130-126, despite 61 points from Jalen Brunson.  We'll take New York to bounce back at home off that upset defeat, as it's 19-3 ATS when not laying 4.5 (or more) points, if it lost its previous game as a favorite of more than 8 points.  Even better:  the Knicks are 14-1 ATS their last 14 (and 30-10 ATS their last 40) when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and favored by less than 10 points.  With the Knicks, indeed, playing with revenge from a 129-120 setback in Oklahoma City, we'll lay the short number with New York this evening.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over NC State.  The Blue Devils sent #1-seeded Houston packing on Friday night.  And teams that eliminated #1 seeds have gone on to a sweet 18-6 ATS record in the Elite 8 Round.  Over the first three rounds of the tourney, the Blue Devils have covered the spread by an average of 14.83 ppg.  I won't step in front of Duke here, and especially not when it's playing with revenge from a 74-69 defeat in the ACC Tournament.  Key stat:  NC State is a woeful 1-7 ATS when installed as an underdog vs. an opponent it upset in the season's prior meeting.  Lay the points with the Blue Devils.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  Milwaukee dropped its second straight game, with a 7-point road loss to the New Orleans Pelicans.  We'll take the Bucks to bounce back in Atlanta, as the Bucks are a staggering 90-48-3 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses, including 11-1 ATS their last 12 when they didn't own a losing record, and their foe was off back to back wins.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over the Connecticut Huskies. Admittedly, the Huskies are deserving of their #1 ranking.  They've won and covered all three NCAA Tourney games, including a 30-point blowout of San Diego State on Thursday.  But top-3-seeded favorites of more than 5 points have gone 0-10 ATS at the Sweet 16 Round forward, off a cover by more than 7 points, if they were matched up against a foe off an upset win.  That certainly doesn't bode well for UConn this evening against an excellent Illinois team checking in off an upset win over the Big 12 Tourney champs, Iowa St.  The Illini, for their part, won the Big 10 Conference tournament, and have now won 10 of 11 games, including their last seven in a row.  And they've covered 5 straight.  Here, they've been installed as a huge underdog vs. the defending champion Huskies.  And we'll happily grab the points, as top-3-seeded teams have gone a perfect 7-0 ATS as underdogs of 8+ points, dating back to March 28, 1998.  Moreover, since the Big 10 started its post-season tourney, its champs have been terrific as underdogs in the NCAA Tournament, as they've gone 10-5 ATS, including a perfect 3-0 ATS in the Elite 8 Round.  Likewise, the Illini have been stellar as underdogs this season, going 5-1-1 ATS.  And they're 21-10-1 ATS their last 32 as underdogs, including a perfect 6-0-1 ATS when getting 6 or more points.  Finally, this season, the Illini have gone 14-4 ATS away from home, and have covered the spread in those 18 games by an average of 6 ppg (UConn has not done as well away from home, as it's covered the spread by an average of 2.43 ppg).  Take the Illini.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder won the two previous meetings against Phoenix this season.  Unfortunately, OKC is a horrid 0-9 ATS when playing a double-revenge-minded foe that it defeated twice this season.  Lay the points with the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Philadelphia.  The Cavaliers were upset by the Charlotte Hornets, 118-111, as a 9-point favorite in their previous game.  We'll take the Cavs to bounce back, as NBA teams have gone 114-81-3 ATS off an upset road loss, if they were favored by more than 8 points in that defeat.  Take the Cavaliers.

At 7:35 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Gonzaga.  The Boilermakers were my preseason Futures pick to win the NCAA Title (at 15-1 odds), and they've done nothing to reduce my confidence.  We played on the Boilers in their opening round game vs. Grambling, and got the $$$ in their 28-point win, but we stayed on the sidelines in their 39-point blowout win over Utah St.  We'll jump back in and lay the points with Purdue against Gonzaga, as NCAA teams that won their first two tourney games by a combined 55+ points have covered 67% since 1990 in the Tournament's Sweet 16 Round.  Gonzaga also won its two tourney games in blowout fashion by 21 points each.  Unfortunately, it's an ugly 1-10-1 ATS its last 12 games after back-to-back wins by 15+ points.  These two teams met earlier this season, and Purdue handed the Zags a 10-point loss, 73-63.  The Boilers are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games, while Gonzaga is 19-31-1 ATS in its last 51 non-conference games, including 0-11 ATS vs. non-conference foes on 2-game or better) ATS win streaks.  Take the Boilermakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  These two teams met in the inaugural In-season Tournament's championship game.  Los Angeles won that match-up, and the teams' 2nd meeting of the season -- five days ago -- as well.  So, the Pacers will play this game with double-revenge from those two losses.  We'll fade the Lakers, who have won their last 5 games, and covered their last three, as they're 103-140 ATS in the regular season off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, the Pacers are 157-93-10 ATS when playing with revenge, if they were rested, and off a SU loss, while their opponent was off a SU win.  Take Indiana minus the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  Three nights ago, the Hawks upset Boston here, at home, 120-118, as an 11-point home underdog.  We'll take the Celtics to avenge that defeat, as road favorites have gone 42-19-2 ATS when laying 8.5 (or more) points against the same foe they played in their previous game.  Even better:  NBA favorites of more than 9 points have gone 59-40-2 ATS if they were playing with revenge against an opponent which upset it in its previous game, including 17-3 ATS if its opponent was playing without rest.  And Atlanta is, indeed, unrested, as it played last night vs. Portland.  Take Boston minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the San Diego St. Aztecs + the points over Connecticut.  This is a rematch of last year's championship game, won by UConn, 76-59.  Both teams come into this game off big wins.  UConn defeated Northwestern, 75-58, while San Diego State blew out Yale, 85-57.  We'll take Brian Dutcher's men as double-digit dogs, as the Aztecs are a spectacular 102-49-2 ATS off a win by 14+ points, if they weren't favored by more than 10 points, including 46-15-1 ATS vs. foes with a W/L percentage > .750.  And they're 44-22-1 ATS after scoring 85+ points.  Finally, the Aztecs are 56-29-2 ATS on neutral courts, or at home, when playing with revenge.  Take San Diego St. + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.