Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-29-22 | Dolphins v. Bengals OVER 47 | 15-27 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 52 m | Show | |
10* NFL - Thursday Night Football VEGAS INSIDER: Dolphins/Bengals OVER 47 I love the OVER 47 in Week 4's NFL Thursday Night Football matchup. I think we are at the point in the season where these Thursday games on a just 3 days of rest really have an impact on the teams playing. It's just really hard for NFL players to recover in just 3 days and I feel it has the biggest impact on the defensive side of the ball, where energy and effort are so big to defenses playing well. With that said, I think we could really see Miami's defense struggle to get stops in this game. Not only are the Dolphins playing on the road on a short week, they are coming off that massive upset win against the Bills. You also can't be fooled about Miami's defense holding the Bills to just 19 points. Buffalo beat themselves in that game. The Bills had 497 yards of total offense in that game. The week before we saw Miami's defense give up 38 points and 473 yards to the Ravens. I have a hard time believing that the Dolphins are going to be able to slow down Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati offense, which should keep getting better as Burrow gets more comfortable after missing all that time in the offseason. At the same time, I think the Bengals will have a tough time slowing down this Miami offense. The Dolphins have two of the most electric wide outs in the game in Waddle and Hill, who can put points on the board in a blink of an eye. Sure the Bengals defense has looked good to this point, but they have played an awful Steelers offense, a Cowboys offense without Dak and the Jets. Give me the OVER 47! |
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09-25-22 | Falcons v. Seahawks OVER 42 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 75 h 59 m | Show | |
9* NFL Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR: Falcons/Seahawks OVER 42 I'm going to take the OVER 42 in Sunday's game between the Falcons and Seahawks. I came into the season with very low expectations for Seattle's defense. So far it's worse than I thought. Them holding the Broncos to just 16 points in their upset win in Week 1 was a complete fluke. Denver racked up 433 total yards and averaged 6.8 yards/play with 20 1st downs and a 53% conversion rate on 3rd downs. The Broncos had back-to-back drives to start the 2nd half where they fumbled the ball on the Seahawks 1-yard line. They also had at least 30 yards on every possession, punting just once. Then in their game against the 49ers they gave up 373 yards and 25 first downs, allowing San Francisco to convert 6 of 15 first downs. Keep in mind they also had no real incentive to score in the 2nd half with a big lead and this is already a team that wants to take the air out of the ball with the run game. I don't see them slowing down the Falcons in this game. Atlanta may be 0-2, but I've really liked what I've seen out of this team offensively. Marcus Mariota looks like he belongs on the field. The Falcons come into this game averaging 26.5 ppg, 146 rushing yards/game and 338 yards/game having played two of the better defensive teams in the league in the Saints and Rams. The other key for me is I think the Seattle offense is better than the perception right now. They too have played their first two games against two of the top defensive teams. Say what you want about Russell Wilson and the Denver offense, the Broncos defense looks like the real deal and I would put San Francisco up their with the Bills and Chargers for the best defense in the league. I think Geno Smith and that offense will be able to generate some offense. They got no choice here but to try and go score for score with the other team and the Falcons are a definitely a defense they can have success against. Atlanta is giving up 29.0 ppg and 6.3 yards/play vs teams who on average are scoring 19.5 ppg and averaging 5.4 yards/play. Just looks at what they gave up to the Saints and Rams and how those two teams looked offensively in their other game. I'm really shocked this total is as low as it is, as I think this will easily get into the 50s. Give me the OVER 42! |
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09-25-22 | Chiefs v. Colts OVER 50 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 37 m | Show |
10* NFL Vegas Insider TOTAL OF THE MONTH: Chiefs/Colts OVER 50 I love the OVER 50 in Sunday's Week 3 NFL matchup between the Chiefs and Colts. I'm actually shocked this number is as low as it is. I know it was the defense that stepped up and really carried KC to a victory last week in their big game against the Chargers, but there might not be a better top to bottom defensive unit in the NFL than what LA has on the field. Mahomes was still able to complete 24 of 35 attempts for 235 yards and 2 TDs. Good but not great numbers. I expect the offense to resemble more of what we saw in their 44-21 win over the Cardinals in Week 1. A game in which they had 488 total yard with Mahomes throwing for 360 and 5 scores. Especially after watching how poorly the Colts looked in last week's 24-0 loss to the Jaguars. They let Trevor Lawrence complete 25 of 30 attempts. They are going to have no answer for this Chiefs offense. The key here is I do think the Colts will be able to at least score enough here to make it somewhat competitive. Getting shutout by the Jags is bad, but the Colts were very thin in that game at receiver. They are getting guys back at that spot and will be facing a Chiefs defense that could be a little flat after that huge game against the Charger and Tom Brady and the Bucs looming next week. KC also lost one of their better defensive players in linebacker Willie Gay to a 4-game suspension. I'm seeing like a 38-28 type of game here with the potential for even more scoring. Give me the OVER 50! |
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09-25-22 | Bills v. Dolphins OVER 52 | 19-21 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 36 m | Show | |
9* NFL Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Bills/Dolphins OVER 52 I really like the OVER 52 in Sunday's big showdown between AFC East rivals Buffalo and Miami. I know these are two division rivals and division games have a tendency to be lower scoring. I don't care. I just think the Bills are so good offensively that there's too much value at this number to not play the OVER. There's just no stopping this Buffalo offense with the way they are currently constructed and the level at which Josh Allen is playing the quarterback position. They had 31 points in their opener against the Rams and turned the ball over 4 times. They didn't punt once in the entire game against LA and not once in the 1st half against the Titans. Miami just gave up 473 yards and 38 points to the Ravens last week, letting Lamar Jackson throw for 318 yards and 3 scores on 21 of 29 passing. The big key here is I think Miami has the offensive fire-power, especially in the passing game, to go score for score with Buffalo. Even more so with the injuries that the Bills are dealing with both on the defensive line and in their secondary. Three of their top 4 defensive tackles are questionable. They are down two starting corners Tre-Davious White and Dane Jackson and both safeties, Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer are not 100%. I think if we get a mere 3 TDs from Miami, this thing is going to fly past the number. Give me the OVER 52! |
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09-23-22 | Virginia v. Syracuse OVER 52.5 | 20-22 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 16 m | Show | |
9* NCAAF Friday Night NO-BRAINER: Virginia/Syracuse OVER 52.5 I really like the OVER 52.5 to cash in Friday's ACC matchup between Virginia and Syracuse. I think we are getting close to a TD in terms of value, as my numbers suggest a total closer to 60. Part of the reason I believe we are seeing a low total is the fact that the Cavaliers have seen the UNDER cash in all 3 of their games and in their one true test they scored just 3-points on the road vs Illinois. Also, while the Orange did give up 29 last week to Purdue, they did hold Malik Cunningham and a good Louisville offense to just 7 points in their opener. At the same time, I don't think people have quite caught on to just how improved this Syracuse offense is. We knew the Orange would be a strong running team with a back like Sean Tucker. What's taken this offense to another level is their improved passing attack. Garrett Shrader has completed 66.2% of his attempts, is averaging 9.2 yards per attempt and has a 8-0 TD-INT ratio. Last year, Syracuse as a team averaged just 153 yards, completed 54.4% of their attempts and ended the year with their quarterbacks posting a mere 10-6 TD-INT ratio. I don't think it's a fluke. Orange added in former Virginia OC Robert Anae to be their new OC this year. Anae really built up that Cavaliers offense. You might be thinking it could be an advantage for Virginia to know the offense that Syracuse is running, but the Cavaliers completely overhauled their staff for new head coach Tony Elliott. Orange have scored at least 31 in each of their first 3 games and should easily hit that mark against what I think is a very overrated Virginia defense. The Cavaliers come in giving up just 18.3 ppg and 350 yards/game, but have played an awful ODU offense, a FCS foe in Richmond and while they held Illinois to 24, the Illini could have easily had 40 in that game. The big concern is how will Virginia's offense do. I'm confident they will be able to at least get into the 20s. The Cavaliers have one of the better QBs in the ACC in Brennan Armstrong, a new offensive minded coach in Elliott (former OC at Clemson) and Syracuse's defense is built more to stop the run than it is the pass. I also think there's a potential here that the Orange defense comes out a bit flat in this game. You got to think that crazy finish against Purdue last week took a lot out of this Syracuse team and that lack of energy can really show up on the defensive side of the ball. Give me the OVER 52.5! |
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09-21-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
9* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: White Sox/Guardians UNDER 7.5 I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 7.5 in Wednesday's matchup between the White Sox and Guardians. Don't be fooled by last night's 10-7 final. There were 11 runs scored in extra innings. The game was tied 3-3 after 9 and it was 1-0 after 5.5 innings. I could see both teams struggling to get their offense going tonight. Cleveland is going to send out Triston McKenzie, who has a 3.03 ERA and 0.968 WHIP in 27 starts. He's also got a 2.29 ERA in his last 3 starts. Lance Lynn is 7-5 with a mediocre 3.99 ERA in 18 starts, but has been lights out of late with a 0.93 ERA and 0.776 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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09-19-22 | Vikings v. Eagles OVER 50 | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
10* NFL Monday Night Football VEGAS INSIDER: Vikings/Eagles OVER 50 I'll take my chances with the OVER 50 in tonight's Monday Night Football matchup between the Vikings and Eagles. I think these are two of the better offensive teams in the league. Both looked great in Week 1. Philadelphia put up 38 in Week 1 on the road against a much improved Lions team and didn't score a point in the 4th quarter after taking their foot off the gas up 38-21. Eagles had 216 rushing yards and 243 thru the air. I know the Vikings defense looked good in Week 1 against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers, but a lot of that had to do with Green Bay not playing any of their guys in the preseason. As for the Vikings offense, they scored 23 points, had 395 total yards and averaged 6.5 yards/play against a top tier Packers defense. Minnesota figures to be a Top 10, maybe Top 5, offense this season under new head coach Kevin O'Connell. Eagles defense gave up 35 points and 386 total yards to an average Lions offense. Minnesota should be able to do as they please in this one. Give me the OVER 50! |
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09-18-22 | Washington Commanders v. Lions OVER 47.5 | 27-36 | Win | 100 | 74 h 7 m | Show | |
8* NFL Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Commanders/Lions OVER 47.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 47.5 in Sunday's Week 2 matchup between the Lions and Commanders. I'm actually a little shocked this total isn't in the 50s after what we saw in Week 1. Both offenses really performed well last Sunday. Washington put up 28 points and 390 yards against the Jaguars. If not for 3 turnovers by the Commanders, they easily finish with over 30 points and 400 yards of offense. Detroit had 35 points and 386 yards of offense in a 35-38 loss to the Eagles. I know the Lions scored 3 of their 5 touchdowns after falling behind 14-31 in the 2nd half, but that had 38 combined points at the half and 59 after 3 quarters. I really think the way this Detroit team is built, they are going to find themselves in a lot of high scoring games. I also think the Commanders defense isn't very good, at least until Chase Young returns from his knee injury. They gave up 383 total yards and 6.2 yards/play to the Jaguars in Week 1. Trevor Lawrence, who might have the worst receiving corps in the NFL threw for 275 and Jacksonville averaged 6.8 yards/carry on the ground. This to me has shootout written all over it. Give me the OVER 47.5! |
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09-18-22 | Panthers v. Giants OVER 43 | Top | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 6 m | Show |
10* NFL Over/Under PLAY OF THE MONTH: Panthers/Giants OVER 43 I'll gladly take my chances with the OVER 43 in Sunday's matchup between the Giants and Panthers. I came into this season really excited about the potential of New York's offense, as I expect some pretty significant improvements now that Brian Daboll as their head coach. They also added Mike Kafa as their OC, who comes over after serving as an assistant under Andy Reid in Kansas City. It was why I really like the OVER 43.5 in the Giants Week 1 game against Tennessee. Even with the Giants getting shutout in the 1st half of that game, we would have cashed the OVER had the Titans kicker hit a 47-yarder at the end of regulation. Considering that the Giants averaged 6.8 yards/play (3rd best mark of any team in Week 1 behind on the Chiefs and Bills) and the Titans averaged 6.0 yards/play (9th best), it's hard to believe we didn't get the OVER in that game. With that said, I'm not letting that outcome keep me from backing the OVER with the Giants in Week 2, as we see a mere total of 43. Much like the Giants in Week 1, Carolina's offense was basically a no show for the 1st half before coming alive in the 2nd half. Panthers had just 7 points going into the 4th quarter and finished with 24. I know Mayfield didn't play great, but that's a pretty good Browns defense. He should have a much easier time against this Giants defense. I also would expect a little more out of Christian McCaffrey. As for the Panthers defense, I think they are solid on that side of the ball, but we did see them give up 26 points to the Browns who don't offer much of a threat in the passing game with Brissett at quarterback. Daniel Jones will be a much tougher challenge to stop and I could see the Panthers having a difficult time containing Saquon Barkley, which is going to only make it easier on Jones with the defense forced to play the run. Give me the OVER 43! |
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09-16-22 | Florida State v. Louisville UNDER 57.5 | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 31 m | Show | |
9* NCAAF Friday Night ACC NO-BRAINER: FSU/Louisville UNDER 57.5 I really like the UNDER 57.5 in Friday's ACC matchup between Florida State and Louisville. I just have a hard time seeing this turn into a shootout. Both these teams have dual threat QBs who are a much bigger threat to run than they are to pass. The threat for big plays is definitely there, but for the most part these are two offenses that want to methodically move the ball down the field. I came into the season extremely high on Louisville's offense, as I thought quarterback Malik Cunningham was going to take a big step forward. I just haven't seen it in his first two games. The Cardinals could do nothing in their opener at Syracuse, scoring just 7 points and gaining 334 total yards. They did manage to put up over 400 yards in their win over UCF last week, but only managed to score 20 points. I just don't think they are built to have success against this Florida State defense. Seminoles returned 8 starters and added in some nice pieces on defense via the portal. I was very impressed with how they played against LSU. They held a potent Tigers offense to just 348 total yards, had 4 sacks and 6 tackles for loss. They did struggle to contain LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels, who had 114 yards on 16 attempts. However, the rest of the team had just 25 rushing yards on 14 attempts. Louisville's defense has been a bit spotty in their first two games, especially against the run, but keep in mind that both of those were on the road. Defenses usually perform better at home and typically will get a big boost in these prime time weekday games. FSU had 392 total yards and were 11 for 17 on 3rd downs, yet still only scored 24 against LSU. I think the Cardinals can keep them below 30, which should in term have this game finishing in the upper 40s/low 50s. Give me the UNDER 57.5! |
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09-14-22 | Padres v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
10* MLB Over/Under PLAY OF THE MONTH (UNDER 7.5) Really like the UNDER 7.5 in Tuesday's game between the Padres and Mariners. It was a pitchers duel last night in the series opener. Seattle won the game 2-0. No surprise to see these two play tight low scoring games. Not just the talent on the mound, but also how much is at stake for both of these teams. The Padres only hope of making the playoffs is the Wild Card and there's only two up for grabs in a 3-team race (Braves or Mets are all but locked into the top Wild Card spot). As of today they hold the last spot, but are just 2 up on the Brewers. For Cleveland it's really looking like their only path to the postseason is to win the AL Central (Wild Card isn't out of the question). Right now they are just 3 up on the White Sox and 5 up on Chicago. Every game means a ton to them right now. I also love the starting pitching matchup here with Louis Castillo and Mike Clevinger. Castillo has been great since coming to Seattle. Clevinger has a 7.43 ERA in his last 3 starts, but two of those were against the Dodgers. In his last 7 starts against a team not named the Dodgers, Clevinger has allowed 2 or fewer runs 6 times and gave up 3 in another. Play the UNDER 7.5! |
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09-11-22 | Giants v. Titans OVER 43.5 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 54 m | Show | |
8* NFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Giants/Titans OVER 43.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 43.5 in Sunday's NFL matchup between the Giants and Titans. I was shocked to see this total this low. I'm expecting major improvements from the Giants offense this year after they were one of the worst in the league last year. It's not so much the players the Giants added offensively, but the guy calling the shots. I'm a big Brian Daboll fan and really believe he's the guy that transformed Josh Allen into the quarterback he is now. I'm not saying he's going to take Daniel Jones to that level, but he's going to be better. The offense is going to be more pass happy than it's been and as a result will score a lot more than the 15.2 ppg they averaged last year. Defensively New York was 25th against the run and the entire defense to me is a big question mark going into this season. I just don't know that the talent is there and I think it's asking a lot for them to have to try to contain what I think is going to be a hungry and motivated Derrick Henry. When Henry has it going, it opens up the entire offense for Tennessee. I got both teams scoring well into the 20s and for these two to push the 50-point mark. Give me the OVER 43.5! |
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09-10-22 | South Carolina v. Arkansas OVER 52.5 | Top | 30-44 | Win | 100 | 68 h 59 m | Show |
10* NCAAF - SEC Total PLAY OF THE MONTH: S Carolina/Arkansas OVER 52.5 I will take my chances with the OVER 52.5 in Saturday's SEC matchup between Arkansas and South Carolina. This to me is just way too low a total for a game involving the Razorbacks. Arkansas is absolutely loaded on the offensive side of the ball and it starts with sophomore quarterback KJ Jefferson, who somehow is still flying a bit under the radar. Jefferson is special and the biggest reason why the Razorbacks went 9-4 last year after not winning more than 4 games in any of the previous 4 seasons. It also helps he's playing behind one of the better offensive lines in the country. Arkansas put up 30.9 ppg and 442 ypg last year and will easily top that in 2022. They scored 31 points with 447 yards against Cincinnati in the opener. I know the Bearcats lost some guys on the defensive side of the ball, but that was far from a pushover for the Arkansas offense. I don't see South Carolina's defense being able to stop them, especially with the game in Fayetteville. The key here is I also think South Carolina's offense is poised to put up some points in this game. They gave up 438 yards (325 passing) to a Cincinnati offense that lost one of their all-time best QBs in Desmond Ridder, as well as their top back and leading receiver. Both starting safety Jalen Catalon and starting nickel corner Myles Slusher were hurt in that game and did not return. Good chance neither play on Saturday. South Carolina's offense wasn't overly impressive in their win against Georgia State, but remember they got former Oklahoma starter Spencer Rattler under center. Rattler can spark big plays and quick scores and he's also one that will take chances and give the ball away, setting up short fields and quick scores for the other side. Give me the OVER 52.5! |
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09-08-22 | Bills v. Rams OVER 52 | Top | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 45 m | Show |
10* NFL Thursday Night VEGAS INSIDER: Bills/Rams OVER 52 My money is on the OVER 52 in Thursday's highly anticipated season opener between the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams. I don't see these two teams have any problem eclipsing this number. In fact, I wouldn't be shocked if this thing went well into the 60s. These were two of the best offenses in the league last year. The Rams finished 9th in the NFL in total offense (372.1 ypg) and T-7th in scoring (27.1 ppg). Buffalo has the No. 5 ranked total offense (381.9 ypg) and the No. 3 ranked scoring offense (28.4 ppg). I don't see any letdown coming from Josh Allen and the Bills offense in 2022. I also love the matchup for Buffalo in this one. The Bills are a pass-first offense and the Rams are much better suited at stopping the run. LA was 22nd in the league last year defending the pass (241.7 ypg). The big concern some might have is the health of Matthew Stafford's elbow and LA facing what many believe to be a strong Bills defense. I personally think the injury is being a bit overblown. If it was serious he wouldn't be out there in Week 1. I also think Buffalo's defense comes in way overrated. When you look at who who they played and who was on the field when they played their opponents, the Bills caught a lot of breaks. They are also going to be starting the season without Tre-Davious White. Look for new Rams wide out Allen Robinson to play a big role, as I feel he was one of the more underrated signings in the entire offseason. Give me the OVER 52! |
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09-07-22 | White Sox v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | 9-6 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
9* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Mariners/White Sox UNDER 7.5 I'll take my chances with the UNDER 7.5 in Wednesday's matchup between the Mariners and White Sox. It's been an offensive struggle for both teams in the first two games of this series. Seattle won the series opener by a score of 3-2 on Monday and then Chicago won 3-0 on Tuesday. Expect more of the same with today's pitching matchup, as the White Sox will send out Michael Kopech and the Mariners go with Luis Castillo. Kopech will be returning from a stint on the IL after dealing with some knee soreness in his last start back on August 22nd. Kopech has been rock-solid for Chicago this season, posting a 3.58 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in 23 starts. Castillo has been everything they hoped for and then some since coming over in a trade with Cincinnati. Castillo has a 2.39 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 6 starts with Seattle. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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09-06-22 | Nationals v. Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
10* MLB - Over/Under PLAY OF THE MONTH: Nationals/Cardinals OVER 8 I love the OVER 8 in Tuesday's matchup between the Cardinals and Nationals. Washington is swinging a red-hot bat right now. They were unlucky scoring just 6 runs yesterday, as they left a staggering 14 guys on base. Nationals are hitting a scorching .308 as a team over their last 7 games. I like that offense to stay hot against the Cardinals' Jose Quintana, who has a 4.38 ERA and 2.188 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I also like St Louis to score early and often in this one. Washington is sending out Paolo ESpino, who is 0-6 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.399 WHIP in 15 starts. Give me the OVER 8! |
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09-02-22 | TCU v. Colorado OVER 55 | Top | 38-13 | Loss | -110 | 166 h 18 m | Show |
10* NCAAF Friday Night TOTAL NO-BRAINER: TCU/Colorado OVER 55 I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 55 in Friday's Power 5 non-conference matchup between TCU and Colorado. I don't think these two teams will have any problem getting to 60 points and it could even go into the 70s. A big reason I'm so high on the OVER is I think people are really sleeping on this TCU offense. The Horned Frogs brought in Sonny Dykes to replace Gary Patterson and Dykes knows how to put up points. In his last 3 years at SMU, the Mustangs put up monster numbers. Even better is Dykes was able to bring along his OC Garrett Riley. These two will take over an offense that returns 10 starters from a unit that averaged a misleading 28.7 ppg. I say misleading, because they averaged a healthy 436 ypg (17 more ypg than they had in 2017 when they averaged 33.6 ppg. They got options at quarterback with the return of starter Max Duggan and backup Chandler Morris, who transferred in from Oklahoma last year (had 461 passing yards vs Oklahoma and could overtake Duggan). They get back a stud RB in Kenre Miller, return their top 4 pass catchers and on paper have one of the best O-lines in the country. I think they easily average a TD more a game and really should feast on what figures to be a sub-par Colorado defense. They key here is I think the Buffaloes will also be able to generate some offense. Colorado isn't elite offensively, but should be greatly improved over the unit that averaged just 18.8 ppg and 257 ypg last year. TCU's defense will be improved, but they are in the first year of a new system and gave up 34.9 ppg and 462 ypg in 2021. Give me the OVER 55! |
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08-29-22 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
10* MLB Late Night VEGAS INSIDER: Padres/Giants UNDER 7.5 I'll take my chances with the UNDER 7.5 in Monday's series opener between the Padres and Giants. It's going to be a pretty cool night at Oracle Park with temps in the high 50's. That should work to the advantage of the pitchers. San Francisco will have Carlos Rodon on the mound. He's 12-6 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 25 starts. He's 6-1 with a 1.86 ERA in 11 home starts and has a 1.89 ERA and 0.789 WHIP in his last 3 outings. San Diego will counter with Mike Clevinger, who has a very respectable 3.45 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in 15 starts this season. The other big thing is both offenses have been struggling to produce of late. The Giants have scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight and 9 of their last 11. The Padres just put up a bunch of runs in a 3-game series at KC, but prior to that had scored 9 runs total in their previous 6 games. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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08-27-22 | Rockies v. Mets UNDER 8 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
8* MLB Over/Under Total KNOCKOUT: Rockies/Mets UNDER 8 I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Saturday's matchup between the Rockies and Mets. I think we have an underrated starting pitching duel in this one. As is the case for a lot of Colorado pitchers, the Rockies Kyle Freeland has performed much better on the road than he has at home. Freeland has a 3.62 ERA in 11 road starts. In his last 3 road starts he's allowed 3 runs in 6 innings at St Louis, 2 runs in 5 2/3 innings at San Diego and 0 runs in 7 innings at Milwaukee. David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets. He's kind of an afterthought in New York's loaded rotation, but has posted a very respectable 3.33 ERA in 15 starts. He's been really good of late with a 1.80 ERA over his last 3 starts. He'll be facing a Rockies offense that is barely averaging over 3 runs/game on the road this year. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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08-25-22 | Guardians v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
10* MLB - Over/Under VEGAS INSIDER: Guardians/Mariners UNDER 7.5 I'll take my chances with the UNDER 7.5 in Thursday's matchup between the Guardians and Mariners. Cleveland will have Triston McKenzie on the mound. He's red-hot coming into this start with a 1.66 ERA and 0.738 WHIP over his last 3 starts. McKenzie also owns a 1.77 ERA and 0.813 WHIP in 11 day starts this season. Seattle will counter with Marco Gonzalez, who has a solid 3.62 ERA and 1.236 WHIP in 12 home starts. Mariners have seen the UNDER cash in 28 of their last 41 home day games. UNDER is also 16-6 in Seattle's last 22 at home vs an AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better and 11-2 in their last 13 at home vs a starter who averages 5 or more K's per start. Play the UNDER 7.5! |
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08-24-22 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
10* MLB Over/Under MAX UNIT Top Play: Blue Jays/Red Sox OVER 9.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 9.5 in Wednesday's AL East showdown between the Blue Jays and Red Sox. These two teams combined for 12 runs in the opener on Tuesday. There's a good chance we see even more offense today. Neither starting pitcher has been any good. Jose Berrios is 9-5, but owns a 5.39 ERA and 1.368 WHIP in 24 starts. He's also got a 6.82 ERA and 1.533 WHIP in 12 road starts. OVER is 10-2 in those 12 starts. Brayan Bello has a 10.50 ERA and an atrocious 2.500 WHIP in 3 starts. He's yet to make it past the 4th inning and has given up at least 4 runs in all 3 starts. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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08-21-22 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
10* MLB Over/Under VEGAS INSIDER: Cardinals/Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 I'll gladly take my chances with the UNDER 7.5 in Sunday's series finale between the Cardinals and Diamondbacks. These two saw 20+ runs in St Louis' blowout win on Saturday, but prior to that the UNDER had cashed in 8 straight games for Arizona. A lot of that is the Diamondbacks aren't as potent offensively after the trade deadline. I look for them to have a hard time pushing across runs against the Cardinals Jose Quintana. He's really been good for St Louis in his 3 starts since coming over from the Pirates. He's got a 2.65 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in those 3 starts and one of those was at Coors Field. On the flip side of this, Arizona has not just one of their best starts going, but a top tier starter in the NL on the mound in Merrill Kelly. He's 10-5 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.122 WHIP in 24 starts. I think he's more than up to the challenge of keeping this Cardinals offense in check. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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08-17-22 | Rockies v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
MLB Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 7.5) I'll take my chances with the Rockies and Cardinals finishing UNDER the total of 7.5. Colorado will have German Marquez on the mound. He's pitched great in his last 2 starts, giving up just 2 ER in 6 innings both starts. Marquez also has a great history against the Cardinals. He's got a 2.59 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in 7 career starts vs St Louis. The Cardinals will counter with Jordan Montgomery, who has pitched great since coming over from the Yankees at the trade deadline. Montgomery has not allowed a run in his first 2 starts with St Louis. Definitely a plus matchup here against a Rockies team that struggles to score away from Coors Field. Give me the UNDER 7.5! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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08-11-22 | Orioles v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
MLB Over/Under VEGAS INSIDER Top Play (Over 9.5) I'll take my chances with the OVER 9.5 in Thursday's makeup game between AL East rivals Baltimore and Boston. The Orioles just keep winning baseball games. They are 7-1 over their last 8 games. Boston on the other hand can't catch a break Red Sox have lost 6 of their last 7. Baltimore's offense is swinging it well and should be able to take advantage of Red Sox starter Josh Winckowski. Even though Boston isn't, they are swinging a decent bat of late. Red Sox have racked up 51 hits in their last 5 games. Baltimore's Dean Kremer was great in his last start, but that was against a bad Pirates offense. He'd allowed 6 runs in 4 1/3 innings his previous time out. He's also given up 10 runs on 12 hits in 2 starts (7 2/3 innings) against Boston. Give me the OVER 9.5! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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08-11-22 | Giants v. Patriots UNDER 35 | 23-21 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
NFLX Sharp Money NO-BRAINER (Under 35) *No Analysis on NFLX Games* Confidence Rating: 7 (Scale of 1-10) |
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08-07-22 | Reds v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
MLB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER Top Play (UNDER 7.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 7.5 in Sunday's series finale between the Reds and Brewers. Cincinnati figures to have a hard time getting their offense going against Milwaukee ace Corbin Burnes, who is one of the elite starters in baseball. Burnes comes in with a 2.49 ERA and 0.946 WHIP in 21 starts. He's got a 2.51 ERA and 1.117 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Reds. Cincinnati will counter with Graham Ashcraft. He's 5-2 with a mediocre 4.12 ERA and 1.332 WHIP in 13 starts. However, he's coming in off one of his best starts of the season and is facing a Brewers offense that has hit of a bit of a funk offensively in this series. Give me the UNDER 7.5! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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08-01-22 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 8 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
MLB Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 8) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Monday's series opener between the Dodgers and Giants. LA will have Andrew Heaney on the mound and San Francisco will have Logan Webb. Heaney has made 4 starts in 2022 and has given up just 1 ER on 10 hits in 19 1/3 innings. Webb is 7-2 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.170 WHIP in 11 home starts. Webb also has an impressive 2.50 ERA and 0.993 WHIP in 9 career starts vs the Dodgers. Give me the UNDER 8! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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07-29-22 | Cubs v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
MLB Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play on UNDER 7.5 I'll take my chances with the UNDER 7.5 in Friday's matchup between the Cubs and Giants. San Francisco won the opener 4-2 on Thursday. It was a real tough day at the plate for Chicago, who managed just 3 hits on the game. I think we see those struggles carry over to this game. San Francisco will have Alex Cobb on the mound. He's posted a respectable 3.32 ERA over his last 3 starts. I also don't see the Giants offense doing a whole lot. San Francisco has been in quite the funk offensively of late. In their last 7 games they are scoring just 2.4 runs/game and hitting 0.189 as a team. Cubs starter, Marcus Stroman, has a 2.31 ERA in 7 road starts and a 1.26 ERA and 0.907 WHIP over his last 3 outings. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-26-22 | Giants v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
MLB Over/Under PLAY OF THE WEEK (UNDER 8.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Tuesday's MLB action between the Giants and Diamondbacks. I just don't see these two teams getting to 9 runs with this starting pitching matchup. San Francisco will send out ace Carlos Rodon, who has a 2.95 ERA and 1.136 WHIP in 19 starts. Rodon did struggle in his last start at the Dodgers, giving up 5 ER in 5 innings. However, that's only the third start this season where he's allowed more than 3 runs. Last time he gave up more than 3 runs, he came back the next start and pitched a complete game. Tyler Gilbert will get the ball for Arizona. Gilbert has a 5.59 ERA and 1.280 WHIP in 6 starts. Thing is, he had two really bad outings on the road, where he gave up 12 ER. He's allowed just 5 ER in his 4 other outings and just 1 ER in two home starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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07-23-22 | Twins v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
MLB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER Top Play (Under 8.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Saturday's AL Central matchup between the Tigers and Twins. We got Joe Ryan on the mound for Minnesota and Michael Pineda going for Detroit. Ryan has been excellent in 2022. He's 6-3 with a 2.99 ERA and 1.062 WHIP in 14 starts. He allowed just 1 hit with 9 K's in 7 scoreless innings in his only start vs the Tigers this season. Pineda is just 2-5 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.362 WHIP in 9 starts. The key here is the damage has mainly come on the road for Pineda. He's got a 2.96 ERA and 1.134 WHIP in 6 home starts. UNDER is 5-1 in those 6 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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07-15-22 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 8 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
MLB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER Top Play (UNDER 8) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Friday's series opener between the Red Sox and Yankees. Really like the starting pitching matchup we have going in this one. Boston will send out Nathan Eovaldi, while the Yankees turn to Jordan Montgomery. Eovaldi has been sensational of late. He's got a 0.90 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last 3 starts and is coming off back to back starts on the road where he didn't give up a run. Montgomery has a 3.19 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in 8 home starts. As good as these two offenses are, I don't see them getting to 9 runs tonight. Give me the UNDER 8! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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07-14-22 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 8 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
MLB Over/Under TOTAL OF THE WEEK (Under 8) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Thursday's AL West matchup between the Angels and Astros. I really have a hard time seeing these two teams get to 9 runs. I definitely doing much offensively. Houston has Framber Valdez on the mound. He's got a 2.64 ERA and 1.101 WHIP in 17 starts. He's also got a 1.75 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in 10 road starts. The key here is we can't have Angels' starter Reid Detmers not blow up. I like his chances of pitching well. Detmers has a very respectable 3.52 ERA and outstanding 0.809 WHIP in 7 home starts. Detmers also has a 2.70 ERA over 2 career starts (1 this year and 1 last year) against the Astros. Give me the UNDER 8! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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07-09-22 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
MLB Over/Under PLAY OF THE WEEK (Under 8.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Saturday's AL Central matchup between the Tigers and White Sox. Chicago will have veteran Johnny Cueto on the mound. Cueto has been better than expected for the White Sox. He's got a strong 3.11 ERA and 1.200 WHIP over 9 starts. He's been especially good in day games (1.42 ERA in 3 starts). He also has a 1.50 ERA in division games. Detroit will counter with Garrett Hill. He was spectacular in his first big league start. Hill allowed just 1 run on 2 hits in 6 innings against Cleveland. The only run he gave up came on a solo home run. It's unlikely he's that good in start number two, but I don't see him blowing up. Give me the UNDER 8.5! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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07-07-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
MLB Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (OVER 9.5) I'll take my chances with the OVER 9.5 in Thursday's NL West clash between the Rockies and Diamondbacks. We should see plenty of offense in this one, as we got a couple of struggling starters taking the mound. Colorado will turn to Austin Gomber, who is 4-7 with a 6.42 ERA and 1.442 WHIP in 13 starts. Gomber has made 3 starts vs Arizona in his career, all since 2021, and all 3 have seen a combined score of at least 13 runs. Dallas Keuchel will go for the Diamondbacks. He's 2-6 with a 8.49 ERA and 2.105 WHIP in 10 starts and it isn't getting any better. He's got a 12.71 ERA and 2.383 WHIP over his last 3 starts. He's only faced Colorado once in the last 5 years. It didn't go well, giving up 7 runs in 5 innings of a 7-11 loss. Give me the OVER 9.5! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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07-06-22 | Yankees v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | Top | 16-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
MLB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER Top Play (OVER 8.5) I'll take my chances with the OVER 8.5 in Wednesday's interleague matchup between the Yankees and Pirates. These two teams should have no problem getting to at least 9 runs. New York could easily eclipse this number on their own, but they should get some help from Pittsburgh. Pirates have scored 5 or more runs in 4 of their last 6 games. Yankees' Luis Severino has a 4.32 ERA in 6 road starts and a 5.29 ERA over his last 3 outings. New York's loaded lineup will be facing Pittsburgh's Mitch Keller. In 13 starts this season, Keller has a disappointing 5.34 ERA and 1.500 WHIP. Play the OVER 8.5! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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07-01-22 | Rays v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | Top | 2-9 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
Friday's MLB Free Pick: Rays/Blue Jays UNDER 9 I'll take my chances with the UNDER 9 in Friday's early AL East showdown between the Rays and Blue Jays. This feels like it's at least a full run too high. Tampa Bay has a resurgent Corey Kluber on the mound. Kluber has a 3.45 ERA and 1.082 WHIP in 14 starts. He's got a 2.08 ERA and 0.866 WHIP in his last 3 outings, 2.14 ERA in 8 day starts and a 2.64 ERA in 6 division starts. Toronto will turn to an inconsistent Jose Berrios, who is 5-4 with a 5.86 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 15 starts. That inconsistency has really been a matter of pitching at home or on the road. Berrios is 3-0 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in 6 home starts. Give me the UNDER 9! Confidence Rating: 5 (Scale of 1-10) |
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06-29-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
MLB Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 8.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Wednesday's matchup between the Red Sox and Blue Jays. We took a bad beat on the UNDER 10 in yesterday's game between these two, as Toronto scored 2 in the bottom of the 9th to win 6-5. That's not going to deter me from backing the UNDER again, as we got an even better starting pitching matchup this time around. Boston will send out a very underrated Nick Pivetta, who has a 3.25 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 15 starts. Pivetta also comes in hot with a 1.64 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Blue Jays will counter with Alek Manoah, who is 9-2 with a 2.05 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in 14 starts. Manoah is 5-1 with a 2.15 ERA in 7 home starts and has a 1.50 ERA and 0.899 WHIP in 3 career starts vs the Red Sox. Give me the UNDER 8.5! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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06-28-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 10 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
AL East Over/Under TOTAL OF THE WEEK (Under 10) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 10 in Tuesday's AL East showdown between the Red Sox and Blue Jays. Boston will have Michael Wacha on the mound. Wacha is 6-1 with a 2.34 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in 12 starts. Ross Stripling will start for Toronto. Stripling is 3-2 with a 2.81 ERA and 0.936 WHIP in 9 starts. Stripling also has a 1.72 ERA and 0.893 WHIP over his last 3 outings. These two starters faced off in an earlier matchup back in April. Both pitched extremely well. Wacha held the Blue Jays to just 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings. Stripling allowed 1 run on 5 hits in 5 innings. Give me the UNDER 10! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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06-25-22 | Mariners v. Angels UNDER 8 | Top | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
MLB Vegas Insider MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 8) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Saturday's matchup between the Mariners and Angels. Really good starting pitching matchup in this one, as Seattle sends out Logan Gilbert and LA counters with Patrick Sandoval. Gilbert is one of the better starters that you don't hear a lot about. Guy is 7-3 with a 2.39 ERA and 1.036 WHIP in 14 starts. Same goes for Sandoval, who has a 2.70 ERA and 1.317 WHIP in 11 starts. These two also have a strong track record against their division rival. Gilbert has a 3.74 ERA and 1.108 WHIP in 4 starts vs the Angeles and Sandoval has a 3.30 ERA and 1.067 WHIP in 5 starts vs the Mariners. Give me the UNDER 8! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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06-22-22 | Giants v. Braves UNDER 9 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
National League TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9) I'll gladly take my chances with the UNDER 9 in Wednesday's matchup between the Braves and Giants. These two had an offensive explosion on Tuesday, as Atlanta squeaked out a 12-10 win. I believe it's created some value with today's total, as we got a pretty good starting pitching matchup. The Giants will have Carlos Rodon on the mound. Rodon had that great start to 2022, but then had a stretch of some not so great outings. He seems to have righted the ship. Rodon has a 1.00 ERA over his last 3 starts and has not allowed a run in his last 2 outings. Charlie Morton will get the ball for Atlanta. Morton's numbers aren't great, as he owns a 5.08 ERA and 1.352 WHIP in 13 starts. However, he too has shown some life of late. Morton just threw 7 scoreless innings in his last start and has racked up an impressive 29 K's in 18 innings over his last 3 outings. Give me the UNDER 9! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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06-21-22 | Guardians v. Twins OVER 9 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
MLB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER Top Play (Over 9) I'll take my chances with the OVER 9 in Tuesday's AL Central matchup between the Twins and Guardians. These two teams should have no problem combining for at least 10 runs. Cleveland will send out Aaron Civale, who has an ugly 7.84 ERA in 7 starts and a 12.00 ERA and 2.133 WHIP in 4 road outings (OVER is 4-0). The Twins will turn to Joe Ryan. While Ryan comes in with an impressive 2.81 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in 9 starts, he struggled in his first start back after missing close to 3 weeks. Ryan gave up 4 runs on 5 hits (2 HR) in just 4 2/3 innings at Seattle. The other big factor in the OVER is Mother Nature. It's expected to be in the mid 80's with wind blowing out to center at close to 20 mph. Give me the OVER 9! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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06-15-22 | Twins v. Mariners UNDER 8 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Wednesday's matchup between the Twins and Mariners. It's only expected to be in the high 50's in Seattle when this game goes off. Seattle has now played 5 games on their long homestand and 4 of the 5 so far have seen 7 or fewer runs scored. All signs point to another lower scoring game today, as we got two pretty good starters on the mound with Minnesota's Sonny Gray and Seattle's Marco Gonzales. Gray has a 2.41 ERA and 0.980 WHIP in 7 starts overall. He's been even better than that with 1.42 ERA and 0.684 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Gonzales has a 3.63 ERA in 12 starts and 3.38 ERA over his last 3 outings. Give me the UNDER 8! Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10) |
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06-11-22 | Rangers v. White Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 11-9 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
American League TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8) I love the UNDER 8 in Saturday's matchup between the White Sox and Rangers. We got Martin Perez on the mound for Texas. He's one of the more underrated starters in the league. Perez has a 1.56 ERA and 0.981 WHIP in 11 starts. He's been nearly unhittable on the road, posting a 0.31 ERA and 0.897 WHIP in 4 road outings. Chicago will turn to Lucas Giolito. He's not been quite as good as what people expected to this point. He's got a 3.54 ERA and 1.457 WHIP in 9 starts. Key here is he is a different guy at home. Giolito has 2.37 ERA and 1.263 WHIP over 3 home starts. He's also got a 2.38 ERA over 2 career starts vs the Rangers. Give me the UNDER 8! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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06-07-22 | Mets v. Padres UNDER 8 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
National League Total PLAY OF THE WEEK (UNDER 8) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Tuesday's series opener between the Mets and Padres. Really good starting pitching matchup in this one, as San Diego sends out Yu Darvish and New York turns to Taijuan Walker. Darvish has had his ups and downs in 2022, which is why he's got a 4.03 ERA in 10 starts. However, most of the damage has come on the road. Darvish is 2-1 with a 1.71 ERA and 0.683 WHIP in 4 home starts. All 4 starts have finished UNDER the total. Walker has been rock solid regardless of where he starts. He's got a 2.88 ERA in 8 starts overall and a 2.80 ERA in 5 road starts. He's also got a 2.04 ERA over his last 3 starts, as he's allowed just 4 ER in his last 17 2/3 innings. Give me the UNDER 8! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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06-06-22 | Red Sox v. Angels UNDER 9 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
MLB Late Night Total NO-BRAINER (Under 9) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 9 in Monday's matchup between the Red Sox and Angels. Michael Wacha will be on the mound for Boston. He's got a 2.43 ERA and 1.008 WHIP in 8 starts. The UNDER cashing in 6 of those 8 outings. Wacha will be facing a Angels' lineup that is in quite a funk. LA has scored 2 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games. Noah Syndergaard was just torched for 5 runs in 2 1/3 innings at New York, but that wasn't all that surprising. It's been night and day for Syndergaard in terms of his performance at home and on the road. Syndergaard is 3-0 with a 1.48 ERA and 0.863 WHIP over 4 home starts. Give me the UNDER 9! Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10) |
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06-04-22 | Padres v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show |
MLB Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 7.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 7.5 in Saturday's matchup between the Padres and Brewers. Two underrated starters take the mound in this one. Mackenzie Gore of the Padres has been sensational in his first 7 big league starts (all this year). He's 3-1 with a 1.85 ERA and 1.077 WHIP with 43 Ks in 39 innings of work. Milwaukee's Aaron Ashby has a 2.48 ERA over 5 starts this season and he's done that with 4 of his 5 starts coming on the road. He's also really had just one bad outing at Atlanta a few starts back. He gave up 6 in 4 innings. He's allowed a mere 2 ER in his 4 other starts combined. Give me the UNDER 7.5! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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06-03-22 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-6 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
MLB Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 7.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 7.5 in Friday's series opener between the Diamondbacks and Pirates. I like the pitching matchup we have in this one. Arizona's Merrill Kelly has an ugly 10.50 ERA and 2.167 WHIP in his last 3 starts, but almost all the damage came in one start on the road against the Dodgers, where he gave up 8 runs in 2 innings. He's pitched better in his last two starts and now faces a very mediocre Pirates offense that figures to be dealing with a bit of jet lag and a possible letdown after playing 6 straight in California and off a 3-game sweep of the Dodgers in LA. Pittsburgh will counter with the red-hot J.T. Brubaker, who has a 2.08 ERA over his last 3 starts, giving up a mere 4 ER over his last 17 1/3 innings of work. Brubaker's only career start vs Arizona came last August and he held the Dbacks scoreless over 5 innings. Give me the UNDER 7.5! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-30-22 | Braves v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
MLB Over/Under MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 8.5) I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Monday's matchup between the Diamondbacks and Braves. This to me is a very good starting pitching matchup. Arizona will have their best starter on the mound in Zac Gallen. He's got a strong 2.22 ERA and a sensational 0.828 WHIP over 8 starts. His lone start against Atlanta came last season and he held the Braves to just 1 hit over 7 scoreless innings. The big value with the total comes from Atlanta sending out Spencer Strider for his first big league start. Those that don't know, Strider is one of the Braves top young arms. He's been outstanding out of the pen this year, posting a 2.22 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. He's also racked up a staggering 37 K's in 24 1/3 innings. He's probably not going to go deep into this game, but that's not a big concern. Braves' relievers this year have posted a combined 3.41 ERA and 1.205 WHIP. For whatever reason those guys out of the pen have been at their best on the road with a 1.95 ERA and 1.098 WHIP. Give me the UNDER 8.5! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-28-22 | Cubs v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show |
MLB Over/Under PLAY OF THE WEEK (Under 8.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Saturday's cross-town matchup between the Cubs and White Sox. Love the pitching matchup in this one. Cubs will give the ball to Keegan Thompson, while the White Sox turn to veteran Johnny Cueto. Thompson has made 2 starts and pitched well, giving up just 2 ER in 9 innings of work. Cueto on the other hand hasn't allowed a run in his first 2 starts of 2022. He's thrown 6 scoreless innings in both starts, including his last start at New York against a loaded Yankees lineup. Look for both teams to struggle to score in this one. Give me the UNDER 8.5! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-27-22 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 201.5 | 111-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
Heat/Celtics Game 6 VEGAS INSIDER (Under 201.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 201.5 in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals. With Jimmy Butler on one leg, Tyler Herro out with a hamstring injury and Kyle Lowry playing at less than 100%, the Heat just don't have the offensive fire-power to score 100 points against one of the best defenses in the NBA. Miami scored just 82 points in Game 4 at Boston and 80 in Game 5 at home. I have a hard time seeing the Heat going off on the road in Game 6. With that said, Miami is not going to lay down. The Heat are going to do whatever they can to be competitive and there only way of being competitive is to make this game as ugly as possible and hope the Celtics miss some shots. Even so, Boston shot a solid 47% from the field in Game 5 and still only managed to score 93 points. Getting to 100 figures to be a struggle for both teams tonight. Give me the UNDER 201.5! Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-25-22 | Rangers v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
MLB Late Night Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5) I'll gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Wednesday's AL West matchup between the Angels and Rangers. This is a sneaky good pitching matchup. Texas' will send out Glenn Otto, who has a 2.81 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 3 road starts. Last time out, he gave up just 2 runs in 6 innings at Houston. Reid Detmers will get the start for Los Angeles. He's coming off a subpar outing at Texas, but that was to be expected in his first start following his no hitter against the Rays were he threw 108 pitches (88 was his previous high). Detmers has had a full 7 days off since his last start and owns a 1.96 ERA and 0.565 WHIP over 4 home starts this season. Give me the UNDER 8.5! Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 204 | Top | 93-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
Eastern Conf Finals (Game 5) MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 204) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 204 in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals between the Celtics and Heat. I always like to look to the UNDER in a series when it's tied 2-2 going into a Game 5. It's not quite the same as a Game 7, but it has that feel to it, where both teams are pulling out all the stops to go up 3-2 in what is now a best of 3 series. We finally saw a defensive game in Game 4, after each of the first 3 games went OVER the total. The two combined for just 184 points in Game 4. I see no reason not to expect more of the same. Both teams are dealing with big injuries. Boston is likely without Smart and Heat could be playing without both Lowry and Herro. Either way, these two teams know how they want to defend the opposition. Give me the UNDER 204! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-22-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs UNDER 7.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 7.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 7.5 in Sunday's series finale between the Cubs and Diamondbacks. These two have put up some big offensive numbers the last two days, but yesterday's 7-6 final was extremely misleading. The two teams had combined for just 4 runs going into the 7th inning. Arizona put up a 3 spot in the 8th and then the two scored a combined 5 runs in the 10th. Great bounce back spot here for Dbacks starter Merrill Kelly after he was torched for 8 runs in 2 innings of his last start against the Dodgers. That's going to happen against that LA offense to the best starters. Kelly was in the Cy Young talks before that outing. I really like him to pitch well here. Cubs will turn to Wade Miley. He's only made 2 starts, but has been rock solid. Last time out he allowed just 1 hit over 7 scoreless innings. Give me the UNDER 7.5! Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-21-22 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 207.5 | Top | 109-103 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 52 m | Show |
Eastern Conf Finals (Game 3) MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 207.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 207.5 in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals. It's been a a lot higher scoring series so far. Both Game 1 and Game 2 went OVER the total. They went for 225 with a total of 203.5 in Game 1 and for 229 with a total of 206 in Game 2. Why go UNDER in Game 3? This to me is when the series really start to flip to the defenses having the edge. Both teams are now very familiar with what both teams want to do and the adjustments they make when they try to take something away. Not only that, but I think we see the defense turned up a notch anytime a series is tied. Both teams are going to be extremely motivated to take a 2-1 series lead. We finally get the defensive showdown we thought we would see from the start. Give me the UNDER 207.5! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-20-22 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 8-7 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
MLB Late Night Total No-Brainer (Under 7.5) I'll gladly take my chances on the UNDER 7.5 in Friday's late night NL West showdown between the Giants and Padres. These two scored a combined 2 runs in the series opener yesterday and that's now 3 straight games for San Diego that have seen 3 or fewer runs scored. Hard to not expect more of the same with Sean Manaea on the mound for the Padres and Jake Junis going for the Giants. Manaea has a 2.70 ERA and 0.862 WHIP in 4 road starts. Junis hasn't had his best stuff in either of his first 2 starts and still has allowed just 4 runs in 10 2/3 innings. Give me the UNDER 7.5! Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-19-22 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 208 | Top | 127-102 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Finals (Game 2) MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 208) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 208 in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals. A lot of people were on the UNDER in Game 1 and got burned as that went well past the total of 203.5 with the game finishing at 225. We cashed the Heat -1.5 in that one, but had I been forced to play the total I would have leaned to the OVER. I just didn't think Boston would be at their best defensively coming off back-to-back elimination wins with just one day off from their Game 7 win against the Bucks. Not only that, but they were without two of their better defenders in Marcus Smart and Al Horford. Now it's time to look to the UNDER with the books jumping this total up to 208. Boston should be much better defensively in Game 2. While Horford is still out, Smart has been upgraded to probable. Having the DPOY on the floor is a big deal. It's also going to help having seen what Miami wants to do offensively. Plus, it's unlikely the Heat play as well offensively (shot 49% from the field and got 41 points from Jimmy Butler). Give me the UNDER 208! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-16-22 | Braves v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
MLB Over/Under Total No-Brainer (Braves/Brewers UNDER 8) *Analysis Coming* Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-12-22 | Astros v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (UNDER 8.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Thursday's matchups between the Twins and Astros. Houston will have Luis Garcia on the mound, while Minnesota gives the rock to Josh Winder. These are not starters the general public sees as elite, but they are off to really good starts in 2022 and that's where I feel the value comes from. Garcia has made 5 starts and has posted a 3.45 ERA with a sensational 0.872 WHIP. He's really been good on the road, posting a 1.80 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in two starts. Winder's only made 2 starts, but he's been nearly perfect, giving up 0 ER on just 5 hits and 1 BB with 15 K's in 12 innings. Give me the UNDER 8.5! Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10 |
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05-11-22 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 214.5 | Top | 110-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Playoffs Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 214.5) I will take my chances with the UNDER 214.5 in Game 5 between the Celtics and Bucks. I always lean UNDER in Game 5 when a series is tied 2-2, as it just has that Game 7 feel to it with both teams desperately wanting to get a win to take control of the series. We saw the UNDER cash in this spot in both games last night. The two teams did go OVER the total in Game 4, but note that was the first time this entire postseason that a game involving the Bucks finished OVER the total. UNDER is 8-1. I just think that given what's at stake, it's going to be hard for both teams to get to 100 points and I wouldn't be shocked if neither team did. Give me the UNDER 214.5! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-10-22 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Diamondbacks and Marlins. I just don't see a lot of runs being scored with the two guys who are starting this game. Miami's Jesus Luzardo has really been impressive early on. He had one sub-par outing against the Cardinals. The rest have been great. In 4 of his 5 starts he's given up 2 or fewer runs. He's also making a lot of guys swing and miss. He's got 35 K's in 26 1/3 innings. Madison Bumgarner is no longer overpowering hitters, but almost feels like the lack of strikeouts have him way undervalued. He's sitting there with a 1.50 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 6 starts. Having pitched just 1 inning (was ejected from his last start) since 4/29, he should be in prime form tonight. Give me the UNDER 8! Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-09-22 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 212 | 116-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
NBA Playoffs Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 212) We just keep playing the UNDER in the Bucks playoff games and will continue to do so as long as the books keep giving us this value. The UNDER is a perfect 7-0 in Milwaukee's 7 playoffs games (5-0 in Bulls series and now 3-0 in this series). I've said it multiple times playing the UNDER in this series that I just think these two teams are so good defensively that it's going to be a struggle for them to get to 100 points. We have seen each team fail to score 90 in a game this series. We also saw a mere 195 points scored in Game 2 with both teams shooting close to 47% from the field. Give me the UNDER 212! Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-07-22 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 213 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Playoffs Smart Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 213) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 213 in Game 3 between the Bucks and Celtics. The UNDER has cashed in each of the first two games of this series and is now a perfect 7-0 in Milwaukee's 7 playoff games. These are two of the best defensive teams in the league. With the series tied at 1-1, you got to think both of these teams are going to be locked in on the defensive side of the ball. Keep in mind we saw both teams shoot close to 47% in Game 2 and yet they still only combined for 195 points. I've said it in each of the first two games. It's going to be a struggle for both teams to hit that 100 point mark. Give me the UNDER 213! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-06-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5) I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Friday's matchup between Colorado and Arizona. I think a lot of people think the Rockies are this strong offensive team because of all the runs they score at home, which in turn creates value when they are on the road. Colorado is only scoring 3.1 runs/game away from home. Arizona can't score at home. Dbacks are averaging just 2.9 runs/game at home in 2022. We also got two really good and very underrated starters going in Chad Kuhl and Merrill Kelly. Kuhl has a 1.90 ERA and 0.845 WHIP in 4 starts. Kelly has a 1.27 ERA and 1.024 WHIP in 5 starts. UNDER is 4-0 in Kuhl's 4 starts and 4-1 in Kelly's 5 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-04-22 | 76ers v. Heat UNDER 207.5 | 103-119 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
NBA Playoffs Situational VEGAS INSIDER (UNDER 207.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 207.5 in Game 2 between the Heat and 76ers. We played and won on the UNDER at 209 in Game 1. That game ended with Miami winning 106-92. It was almost like Miami flipped a switch in the 2nd half, as they went from being down 50-51 to winning by 14. 76ers only managed 41 points in the 2nd half. I don't think it's going to get any easier for them offensively now that Miami knows what they want to do without Embiid. Philly isn't going to just lie down because they don't have Embiid. They will fight and I think they are good enough defensively to keep the Heat's offense in check, especially with Miami having to play another game without point guard Kyle Lowry. I just think it will once again be a struggle for both of these teams to get to 100. Give me the UNDER 207.5! Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-03-22 | Nationals v. Rockies OVER 10 | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 10) I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 10 in Tuesday's series opener between the Rockies and Nationals. Washington's offense hasn't been great overall so far in 2022, but they are coming off their best 3-game series at San Francisco. Nationals put up 25 runs on 35 hits against the Giants and did so with SF sending out a pretty good trio of starters in Wood, Webb and Cobb. Not only does that offense get the benefit of hitting at the best offensive park in baseball at Coors Field, but the Rockies German Marquez has a 5.57 ERA and 1.524 WHIP in 4 starts and a 7.71 ERA and 2.071 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Rockies just scored 24 runs, hitting double-digits twice, in their 3 game series at home against the Reds. They are hitting .287 with a .356 OBP as a team at home this year. Washington's Erik Fedde has a 6.00 ERA and 1.556 WHIP in 4 starts and that's come against the Marlins, Dbacks, Pirates and Mets. Give me the OVER 10! Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-02-22 | 76ers v. Heat UNDER 209 | Top | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Playoffs Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 209) I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER at 209 in Game 1 between the 76ers and Heat. Two big names for both sides will be out of this one. Joel Embiid is out until at least Game 3 and Kyle Lowry will miss the game for Miami. Embiid is an absolute massive blow to the 76ers, especially on the offensive side of the ball. I just don't see the likes of Harden/Maxey/Harris having a lot of success against this Miami defense. There's going to be no easy buckets for Philly. Embiid is also a big part of the 76ers' defense, but they can still be good on that side without him. It also helps them that the Lowry, Miami's floor general, won't be on the floor. I wouldn't be surprised at all if both teams failed to reach 100 points. Give me the UNDER 209! Confidence Rating: 10 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-01-22 | Reds v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
MLB OVER/UNDER Total NO-BRAINER (Over 10.5) I will take my chances with the Rockies and Reds going OVER the total of 10.5 on Sunday. I've not played many overs this year, but this is one that I like quite a bit. You always feel a lot better about needing runs in games played at Coors Field. Even more so when you got a sub-par pitching matchup like we have in this one. Cincinnati is going with Reiver Sanmartin, who is 0-3 with a 16.04 ERA and 2.533 WHIP in 3 starts. He's given up at least 5 runs in each of his outings. Colorado will have Kyle Freeland on the mound. He's 0-3 with a 6.16 ERA and 1.684 WHIP in 4 starts. His only decent outing has came on the road. He's got a 7.71 ERA and 1.786 WHIP in his 3 home starts. Even a bad Reds offense should manage at least 5 runs in this one. Give me the OVER 10.5! Confidence Rating: 7 (Scale of 1-10) |
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05-01-22 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 218 | Top | 101-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Playoffs Round 2 VEGAS INSIDER (Under 218) I absolutely love the UNDER at 218 in Game 1 of the Celtics/Bucks series. I think these are two of the best defensive teams in the league. The transformation that Boston has had defensively from the start of the year to now is pretty remarkable. That defense just made KD look like an average player in their sweep of the Nets in the first round. Now they face a Bucks team down one of their top scorers in Middleton. Milwaukee might not be on the Celtics level defensively, but they aren't far behind. The Bucks defense dominated a pretty good Bulls offense in the first round. It will be much harder against Boston, but they are up to the task. Getting to 100 points will be a struggle for both sides. Give me the UNDER 218! Confidence Rating: 9 (Scale of 1-10) |
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04-30-22 | Twins v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 9-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 7.5) I will take my chances with the UNDER 7.5 in Saturday's AL matchup between the Rays and Twins. Just love the pitching matchup in his one and runs aren't easy to come by at Tampa Bay. Rays will have Shane McClanahan on the mound. He's got a 2.45 ERA and 0.955 WHIP in 4 starts. Arguably his best outing coming in his last start, where he allowed just 2 runs in 7 innings at home against the Red Sox. Chris Archer will get the ball for the Twins. He still walks too many guys, but he's only given up 4 ER on 9 hits in 11 1/3 innings. Give me the UNDER 7.5! Confidence Rating: 7 (Scale of 1-10) |
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04-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves UNDER 229 | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
NBA Playoffs VEGAS INSIDER (Under 229) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 229 in Game 6 between the Timberwolves and Grizzlies. UNDER has cashed in 3 of the last 4 games in the series. As good as these two offenses are, a lot has to go right for a playoff game to get into the 230s, especially this late in a series when the teams know all the offensive sets the other team wants to run. Strictly a value play for me. Give me the UNDER 229! Confidence Rating: 7 (Scale of 1-10) |
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04-28-22 | Cubs v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5) Love the value here with the UNDER 8.5 in Thursday's game between the Cubs and Braves. Atlanta's offense has gone cold of late and will be up against one of Chicago's better starters in Drew Smyly. In 3 starts, Smyly has a 2.45 ERA and 1.022 WHIP. He's not allowed a run in 9 2/3 innings over 2 road starts. Cubs offense has failed to deliver more times than not and will be up against a red-hot Kyle Wright, who has a 1.06 ERA and 0.765 WHIP in his first 3 starts. What really stands out about Wright's strong start, is the 26 K's he racked up in just 17 innings of work. Hard time seeing the Cubs offense do much of anything in this one. Play the UNDER 8.5! Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10) |
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04-27-22 | Guardians v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | 5-9 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (UNDER 7.5) I'll gladly take my chances with the UNDER 7.5 in Wednesday's game between the Angels and Guardians. After that crazy hot start to the season, Cleveland's offense has completely fallen off a cliff. They have scored a mere 7 runs on 17 hits in their last 4 games combined, scoring a whopping 3 runs in their last 3 games. Now they face one of the best pitchers in the game in Shohei Ohtani, who has a ridiculous 26 K's in 14 1/3 innings of work. Key here is the Guardians also have a pretty good starter going in Zach Plesac, who has a 1.53 ERA and 1.075 WHIP in his first 3 starts. Getting to 3 runs is going to be a challenge for both of these teams. Give me the UNDER 7.5! Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10) |
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04-22-22 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 7.5) I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 7.5 in Friday's AL Central showdown between the Twins and White Sox. I just don't see either of these teams generating many scoring chances. Chicago will have Michael Kopech on the mound and he's one of the bright young starters in the game. He's been outstanding to start 2022, posting a 1.00 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in his first 2 starts. He's also facing a Twins offense that has scored just 4 runs in their last 3 games combined. Minnesota will counter with Bailey Ober, who has a respectable 3.27 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his first two start. Ober struggled some in his first outing against the Mariners, but bounced back and didn't give up an ER in 6 innings at Boston last time out. White Sox have scored 3 or fewer in 7 straight games and are hitting just .185 as a team vs left-handed starters this season. Give me the UNDER 7.5! Confidence Rating: 7 (Scale of 1-10) |
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04-20-22 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals UNDER 8 | 11-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) I think we are getting big time value with the UNDER at 8 in Wednesday's game between the Nationals and Diamondbacks. Arizona can't score. They have totaled just 1 run in their last 3 games and have scored 3 or fewer in 9 of their last 10 games. No reason to expect that to change in this one. Washington's Erick Fedde has allowed 2 runs in 5 innings in each of his first two starts. On the flip side of this I think Arizona's Merrill Kelly is one of the more underrated starters early on in 2022. Kelly has not allowed a run in two starts, striking out 13 in 9 1/3 innings. Those weren't some pushover opponents, as he's faced the Padres and Astros. Washington's offense isn't as bad as Arizona, but it's not very good. Nats are scoring just 2.5 runs/game at home. Play the UNDER 8! Confidence Rating: 8 (Scale of 1-10) |
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04-13-22 | Mariners v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 4-6 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 9) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 9 in Wednesday's game between the White Sox and Mariners. Seattle has struggled to score. They are only averaging 2.4 runs/game and are hitting .183 (29th) as a team. Their highest output of the season is 4 runs. So while we haven't seen Dallas Keuchel yet, you got to like his chances of keeping this Mariners offense in check. I also don't see the White Sox offense going off in this game. Seattle will have their new ace on the mound in Robbie Ray. He didn't disappoint in his first start, allowing just 1 run on 3 hits in 7 innings of a 2-1 win at Minnesota. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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04-13-22 | Hornets v. Hawks UNDER 236 | Top | 103-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 236) We saw both play-in games last night go UNDER the total. The Clippers/Wolves only combined for 213 with a total of 231. The Nets/Cavs did come close with 223 and a total of 227, but that was with a 65-point 4th quarter. That's just a prime example of how much better the defense gets in the postseason. That was with neither of those teams being eliminated with a loss. Tonight it's win or go home for these 9/10 matchups. As good as these two offenses are and how both can struggle defensively at times, the total shouldn't be in the high 230s! Give me the UNDER 236! |
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04-13-22 | Astros v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under VEGAS INSIDER (Under 8.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Wednesday's matchup between the Diamondbacks and Astros. This just feels like too big a number given the matchup. Arizona's offense has struggled to get going and that's putting in nicely. The Dbacks as a team have a .130 batting average, by far the worst in the game. Hard to see them getting on track against Houston's Framber Valdez. He allowed just 2 hits with 6 K's in 6 2/3 scoreless innings in his first start. The key here is I think Houston is also going to struggle to put up runs. Arizona's Merrill Kelly was sharp in his first start of 2022, striking out 7 in 4 scoreless innings. Houston is probably going to have a top tier offense, but right now they rank in the bottom half in both avg and OBP. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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04-12-22 | Marlins v. Angels UNDER 9.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 4 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR (Under 9.5) I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 9.5 in Tuesday's interleague matchup between the Angels and Marlins. I think we have an under the radar pitching duel in this one with Miami's Jesus Luzardo and LA's Patrick Sandoval. Luzardo is a highly touted prospect that has been a bit of a disappointment. However, he's in his first season with the Marlins. There's been talks they have got him on track and it certainly appeared that way in spring training. Luzardo allowed just 1 ER in 11 2/3 innings of work, good for a 0.77 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. As for Sandoval, he's coming off a quietly good 2021 campaign, posting a 3.62 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 87 innings. Big plus for him here is he's facing a sub-par Marlins offense. Miami has scored 2 or fewer in 3 of 4 games. In the one game they eclipsed 2 with 5 in the opener against the Giants, they scored 3 of those runs in the Top of the 9th. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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04-09-22 | Reds v. Braves OVER 10 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 10) I'll take my chances with the OVER 10 between the Braves and Reds Saturday. These two teams scored 9 runs on Thursday and then combined for 13 on Friday. Expect more of the same on Saturday, as the starting pitching is not nearly as strong with Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds) and Kyle Wright (Braves) on the mound. The wind will also be blowing out to left center at close to 15 mph, which figures to help push at least a couple balls over the fence. Play the OVER 10! |
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04-08-22 | Mariners v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 8) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Friday's AL matchup between the Twins and Mariners. You got the reigning AL Cy Young winner going for Toronto in Robbie Ray and one of my favorite breakout starters, Joe Ryan, on the mound for the Twins. On top of that, these are not going to be scoring conditions with winds at 15 mph and the Temp in the 40s. Runs are going to be hard to come by for both sides. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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03-30-22 | Mavs v. Cavs OVER 212.5 | Top | 120-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (OVER 212.5) I'll take my chances with the OVER 212.5 in Wednesday's non-conference matchup between the Mavs and Cavs. I think it's going to be tough for Cleveland to stop the Mavs with both Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. The defense has not been good since Allen went out and now they are really behind the 8-ball on that side of the ball with Mobley out. As for the Mavs, I don't think they are going to have enough in the tank to be anywhere close to their best on the defensive side of the ball. Dallas hosted the Jazz on Sunday and then hosted the Lakers last night. Mavs are also sitting good in the standings, at 4th place in the West, 2 games in front of the Jazz and Nuggets. Easy spot for them to just go through the motions defensively. Give me the OVER 212.5! |
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03-29-22 | Bucks v. 76ers UNDER 232 | Top | 118-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 232) I love the UNDER 232 in Tuesday's Eastern Conference showdown between the Bucks and 76ers. This feels like a game where both of these teams are going to bring it. Both of these teams think they are the team to beat in the East and both are just 1-game back of the Heat for the No. 1 seed. You also got both of these teams not just coming off a loss, but coming off a game where they didn't play well. Milwaukee got steamrolled by 25 at Memphis on Saturday and the 76ers lost by 10 at Phoenix. UNDER is 5-0 in Philly's last 5 as a home favorite and 8-1 in their last 9 at home with a total of 22 or more. UNDER is also 7-3 in the Bucks last 10 off 2 days of rest, 8-3 in their last 11 as a dog and 4-0 in their last 4 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me the UNDER 232! |
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03-23-22 | Warriors v. Heat UNDER 211.5 | 118-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 211.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 211.5 between the Warriors and Heat. Golden State has not played great without Steph Curry and Draymond called out their lackluster play after the most recent loss at Orlando. I think we get a pretty big effort here from the Warriors against a top tier team like Miami. Key here is Golden State has to really rely on their defense without Curry. They have scored 88, 108 and 90 in their last 3 games. It won't be any easier against a very good Miami defense. I just don't see enough offense from the Warriors to get this into the 210s. Give me the UNDER 211.5! |
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03-21-22 | Heat v. 76ers UNDER 215.5 | Top | 106-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 215.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 215.5 in Monday's big Eastern Conference showdown between the Heat and 76ers. It not going to be playoff intensity, but I expect both teams to really be up for this game. This is Philly's last crack at catching the Heat for the No. 1 seed, as they are 3.5-back with just 11 games left for both teams. Miami still has to hold of the Bucks, but would pretty much secure the No. 2 with a win. I also think there's also a little more incentive for the Heat with this being their first crack at Philly since they added James Harden. I just see this being a defensive game. Both these teams rank in the bottom 10 in pace and are very strong defensively. They have played 3 times this season and the most they have combined for is 207 with 2 games failing to reach 200. Give me the UNDER 215.5! |
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03-20-22 | Pelicans v. Hawks OVER 231.5 | 117-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 231.5) I'll take my chances with the OVER 231.5 between the Hawks and Pelicans. I think we are getting a good number here due to Ingram being out for New Orleans and it looking like Trae Young could sit for the Hawks. New Orleans' offense has been just fine without Ingram, as they got McCollum to shoulder the load. Atlanta jus scored 120 without Young against the Grizzlies. You also got two teams who aren't exactly playing a ton of defense. Pelicans are allowing teams to shot 50% from the field over their last 5 and the Hawks are right there with them, giving up 49%. Look for a lot of offense in this one. Give me the OVER 231.5! |
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03-04-22 | Cavs v. 76ers OVER 216.5 | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (OVER 216.5) I'll take my chances with the OVER 216.5 in Friday's game between the Cavs and 76ers. Philadelphia was a good offensive team before they traded for James Harden. With him, they have taken their offense to a whole different level. In the 3 games with Harden Philly has scored 133, 125 and 123 points respectively. All 3 of those games have ween over the total. Cleveland's defense has been one of their strengths this season, but they aren't defending well since the break. They just gave up 119 at home to the Hornets and the game prior to that they allowed 127 to the Timberwolves at home. I just don't see Cleveland being able to hold this explosive 76ers offense under 120 points and at the same time you got to like the Cavs being able to score at least 100. The total should not be less than 220. Give me the OVER 216.5! |
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02-13-22 | Wolves v. Pacers OVER 236.5 | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 236.5) I got no problem laying the big number with the OVER 236.5 in Sunday's NBA game between the Pacers and Timberwolves. The OVER has been a money-maker of late in Minnesota games, cashing in 15 of their last 18 games. In 5 of their last 6 games they have seen a combined score in the 140s with the only exception coming against an awful Pistons team and even that game saw a respectable 123 points. Indiana is a complete mess on the defensive end as they are adjusting to a slew of new players and continue to play without some of their key pieces. Pacers are giving up 118.4 ppg on 50% shooting in their last 5. Key here is the Pacers should be able to keep pace for the most part with Minnesota's offense, especially playing at home. Indiana has some guys who can score the ball and the Timberwolves are giving up 117.1 ppg on the road this season and have allowed 120.4 ppg over their last 5. Give me the OVER 236.5! |
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02-13-22 | Maryland v. Purdue OVER 147 | 61-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 60 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR (Over 147) I'll take my chances with the OVER 147 between Purdue and Maryland. In the Terps last two games their defense has given up 82 to Ohio State and 110 to Iowa. Buckeyes rank 8th in the country in offensive efficiency, while the Hawkeyes are 5th. Now they face a Boilermakers team that is No. 1 in the country in that departement. It wouldn't surprise me in the slightest if Purdue hit the century mark. You know they are going to be motivated offensively after scoring just 58 points in a blowout loss at Michigan last time out. The key here is that Purdue is far from a great offensive team, so we should see Maryland have a strong day offensively as well. The Boilermakers are just 11th in the Big Ten in defensive efficiency and 11th in effective FG% defense. My numbers have this thing closer to 155 than 145. Give me the OVER 147! |
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02-10-22 | Clippers v. Mavs OVER 214.5 | Top | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (OVER 214.5) I really like the OVER 214.5 in Thursday's game between Los Angeles and Dallas. The Clippers have shown no interest in getting stops of late. LA gave up 137 at home to the Bucks on Sunday and then turned around and gave up 135 at Memphis on Tuesday. They have allowed 5 of their last 6 opponents to shoot 47% or better from the field, with 3 of the last 4 eclipsing 51%. No surprise the OVER 7-1-1 in their last 4 games. I don't see that defense flipping a switch against a good Mavs team, especially with how well Luka Doncic is playing right now. Doncic is averaging 31.0 ppg, 11.8 apg and 9.0 rpg in 4 games this month. Dallas does have a good defense, but LA's not been held under 100 points since scoring 94 against the Spurs way back on Jan. 15. I think as long as the Clippers can get to the century mark, this think will easily go over the number. Give me the OVER 214.5! |
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02-08-22 | Clippers v. Grizzlies OVER 227 | 109-135 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (OVER 227) I'll gladly take my chances with the OVER 227 in Tuesday's matchup between the Clippers and Grizzlies. I see this thing easily getting to 230. Memphis has scored 118 or more points in each of their last 6 games. Grizzlies figures to look to really push the pace in this one, as they will have fresh legs, playing just their 2nd game in 6 days. As for the Clippers, they have scored 110+ points in 7 straight games and the recent addition of Norman Powell only bolsters their offense. Powell scored 28 points in just 24 minutes in his debut with LA after being acquired in a trade with Portland. You also have to look at what the Clippers have been doing defensively here of late. LA's really struggled on that side of the ball, giving up 120+ in 3 of their last 5. Memphis is also no juggernaut defensively. Give me the OVER 227! |
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02-05-22 | Illinois v. Indiana UNDER 137.5 | 74-57 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Early Bird Total NO-BRAINER (Under 137.5) The two best defensive teams in the Big Ten will be facing off in this game and I just see too much value at 137.5 to not take a shot on the UNDER. Illinois is only giving up 66.4 ppg in Big Ten play and Indiana allows a mere 63.8 ppg. Not that long ago we saw Indiana host Purdue, who is statistically the best offense in the country. Boilermakers have a 116 OE (Offensive Efficiency) rating and the next best is Michigan at 110.8. That game only saw 133 points scored and that was with both teams having a pretty good shooting night. I think the fact that Indiana is favored (-1.5) also tells you a lot about how the books think this game will go. They think the Hoosiers can win this game and I believe that a low-scoring ugly game is their ticket to success. Give me the UNDER 137.5! |
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02-02-22 | Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 224.5 | Top | 104-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 224.5) This is an easy play on the UNDER at 224.5 in Wednesday's game between the Nuggets and Jazz. Utah is dealing with some serious injury problems right now. Already without arguably their two best players in Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert, the Jazz just lost their top reserve, Joe Ingles, to a season-ending injury. They could also be without Hassan Whiteside, who is questionable with a back injury. As for the Nuggets, they don't figure to be looking to push the pace in this one. Denver has to be running on fumes, as they will be playing on no rest after a game last night in Minnesota. It's also their 6th straight on the road and 3rd in the last 4 nights. Give me the UNDER 224.5! |
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01-30-22 | Blazers v. Bulls OVER 228.5 | 116-130 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 228.5) I really like the OVER 228.5 in Sunday's NBA matchup between the Bulls and Blazers. I think this game easily gets into the 230's. Both of these teams come into this game really feeling good about themselves offensively. In Portland's last two games they have shot 51.2% against the Mavs and 56.8% against the Rockets. Similar story for the Bulls, who have shot 54.8% against the Raptors and 52.3% against the Spurs in their last two. Both teams are also not at full strength defensively. Chicago is without two of their best perimeter defenders in Ball and Caruso, while the Blazers recently loss one of their better defenders in Nassir Little. Give me the OVER 228.5! |
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01-28-22 | Blazers v. Rockets OVER 231.5 | 125-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 231.5) I'm going to take my chances with the OVER 231.5 in Friday's NBA matchup between the Blazers and Rockets. I've been backing Portland quite a bit of late, but just don't like the spot here with this being the Blazers 4th game in 6 days and Houston playing on a full 2 days of rest. I think this has a good chance to be the highest scoring game of the night. Portland's defense has taken a huge hit with the loss of Nassir Little and one of their other better defenders, Robert Covington, is questionable with a knee injury. Add in the tough scheduling spot and I just don't see the Blazers having much to give on the defensive side. Good news for the Blazers offense is the Rockets are one of the worst defensive teams in the league. That combined with Houston playing at the fastest pace in the NBA this year, makes them a great OVER team when it's a plus matchup for their offense. Give me the OVER 231.5! |
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01-22-22 | Bengals v. Titans OVER 47.5 | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
40* (NFL) - Bengals/Titans VEGAS INSIDER (Over 47.5) I think we are going to see plenty of offensive fire-works in Saturday's AFC Divisional Round matchup between the Bengals and Titans. I just don't think either of these defenses are going to be able to slow down the other side. I think Joe Burrow and this Bengals offense is peaking at the right time. They finished up the regular-season scoring 41 against Baltimore and 34 against KC before resting their starters in Week 18 against the Browns. They put up a respectable 26 last week against the Raiders in the Wild Card round, but that was about as bad an outcome they could have had. Cincinnati had to settle for 4 FGs and 3 of those were chip shots (35 yds or less). Titans defense put up some impressive numbers down the stretch, but a lot of that is who they played. Tennessee had about as easy a schedule as you could imagine in the 2nd half. Big reason why they were able to secure the No. 1 seed. On the flip side, you got Derrick Henry back for the Titans offense and he's up against a soft Bengals run defense. I do have some concerns about how effective Henry will be after the long break and coming off a pretty serious injury, but they don't call him the King for nothing.This is also not an elite Cincinnati defense. Titans can move the ball thru the air if they have to. Give me the OVER 47.5! |
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01-22-22 | Vanderbilt v. Florida OVER 138.5 | 42-61 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 138.5) This total is way too low. Neither of these defenses are all that great. Both are giving up 70+ ppg in conference play. Commodores have allowed 71.6 ppg and the Gators are allowing 73.4 ppg. Both defense figure to struggle given the matchups. Florida's biggest weakness is defending the 3-pt shot. They rank 12th in the SEC in 3-PT% defense. Vanderbilt's strength offensively is there 3-PT shooting. They rank 4th in the SEC in that department. The Gators offense is built to score inside the arc, as they are 2nd in the SEC in 2-PT% offense. That's where the Commodores defense struggles. Vandy is 2nd vs the 3-PT shot and 12th vs the 2-PT shot. I got both teams eclipsing 70-points and even if one team fails to get there, we still got a great shot at cashing this ticket. Play the OVER 138.5! |
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01-22-22 | Syracuse v. Duke OVER 154 | 59-79 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Early Bird Total KNOCKOUT (Over 154) I don't think these two teams will have any problem eclipsing 154 points. Duke is going to be without freshman Trevor Keels, who has been a reliable 3-point shooter, but I don't think it matters in this matchup. The Orange aren't just one of the worst defensive teams in the ACC, they are 226th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and 253rd in defensive effective FG%. They rank 277th in 2-PT% defense. Duke should be able to do whatever they want offensively in this game and I got a hard time seeing them finishing with fewer than 80 points at home. While the Blue Devils are good defensive team, they are far from elite and they are going to have their hands full against a very good Syracuse offense. Orange rank 16th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 23rd in 3-PT%. They just played a game at home against Clemson that they won 91-78. That's where I see this game. Somewhere in the 160s. Give me the OVER 154! |
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01-20-22 | Pacers v. Warriors OVER 215 | Top | 121-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - TNT Total PLAY OF THE MONTH (Over 215) I'll take my chances with the OVER 215 between the Pacers and Warriors in the night cap of Thursday's TNT double-header. I just the market is low right now on this Golden State offense. The Warriors haven't exactly been lighting it up, as they have eclipsed 108 points just once in their 8 games and failed to even reach 100 in 5 of those games. It's not so much execution as it is they just haven't shot well. Golden State has shot worse than 43% from the field in 7 of their last 8. Some of that likely has to do with them playing 6 of their last 8 on the road. They only finished with 102 in their last game at home against Detroit, but they had 66 in the 1st half (scored 17 in the 3rd and 19 in the 4th). A lot of that is the game was over at the at half (GS led 66-38). I think the offense could be in store for a big game here against a injury plagued and tired Pacers team that will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days on no rest after a thrilling 111-104 comeback win against the Lakers. Note that Malcolm Brogdon has been on a minute restriction coming back from an achilles injury, so it's no guarantee he plays on the second of a back-to-back. Big man Domantas Sabonis injured his ankle. He finished the game, but head coach Rick Carlisle said it was "probably going to be significant." I just don't see a lot of defense being played for a Pacers team that hasn't been great on that side of the ball anyway. Give me the OVER 215 |
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01-16-22 | Iowa v. Minnesota OVER 151.5 | Top | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
50* (CBB) Big Ten TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 151.5) I love the OVER 151.5 in Sunday's Big 10 showdown between Minnesota and Iowa. This Hawkeyes team is all offense and no defense. Iowa ranks No. 3 in the country in offensive efficiency and 160th in defensive efficiency. Their only hope of winning games against quality teams is to outscore them. It's why they are 2-3 in Big Ten play, despite averaging 78.8 ppg. They give up 80.0 ppg. So while the Gophers are only scoring 64.8 ppg in Big Ten play, it would take a real bad shooting day for them to not get into the 70s at home against this Iowa defense. The other big thing is, is this Minnesota defense doesn't figure to be able to slow down Iowa's offense. The Gophers are 12th out of 14 teams in the Big Ten in defensive efficiency. I think this total should be closer to 160 than 150. Give me the OVER 151.5! |
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01-16-22 | Eagles v. Bucs UNDER 46.5 | 15-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
40* (NFL) Eagles/Bucs VEGAS INSIDER (Under 46.5) I really like the UNDER at 46.5 for Sunday's Wild Card opener between the Buccaneers and the Eagles. I think both teams could have a real tough time moving the football. Tampa Bay is not the offense it was to start the year. The losses of Brown and Godwin are huge and for as much hate AB gets, there's no denying the impact he had when he was on the field. I also think not having Fournette is a much bigger deal than people realize. This is a game they really could have used him. With winds blowing at more than 20 mph straight down the field, the team going into the wind is really going to have to rely on running the ball. While running the football is what this Eagles offense is built around, this Buccaneers front when they are locked in, are arguably the toughest front in the league to run the football against. I just don't see where the offense is going to come from to get in the upper 40s. Give me the UNDER 46.5! |