Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-16-22 | Warriors v. 76ers -8 | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -8 vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:40 ET - The Sixers will take advantage of a wounded Warriors team here. Curry is out. Even if Green and/or Wiggins play, neither one of them is 100 percent. Of course the loss of Curry - expected out one month - is a big one. Golden State just won't have the firepower to keep up with a surging Philly team in this one. The Warriors are 2-13 on the road this season. Philly is 10-5 at home this season. The 76ers have won 10 of 15 overall and 3 straight and all 3 of the wins by a double digit margin. Golden State has lost 4 of last 5 games. 10* PHILADELPHIA -8 |
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12-16-22 | Xavier v. Georgetown OVER 155.5 | Top | 102-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 155.5 in Georgetown Hoyas vs Xavier Musketeers @ 6:30 ET - This is a big total but actually dropped some from its opener and this one should get crazy with a ton of points. The Musketeers are averaging 83 points per game this season. The Hoyas are averaging 74 points per game but just can not stop teams. Other than bad teams, and Xavier certainly not one of them, the Hoyas give up tons of points! So Georgetown is at home and will score just fine but Musketeers will score like crazy in this one. I know this total is big but this one set up to get into the 160s or 170s. 10* OVER 155.5 in Georgetown |
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12-15-22 | Bucks v. Grizzlies -1.5 | Top | 101-142 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 or -2 vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 8:10 ET - Two strong teams but the key here is home court for Memphis plus the fact Milwaukee is still without starting point guard Jrue Holiday for this one. The Grizzlies have won 12 of 14 home games. Memphis has won 8 of last 9 games and 6 straight home games. Milwaukee has won only 5 of last 9 road games. Bucks really going to miss Holiday when going up against Ja Morant and the Grizzlies. Morant is just such a back court start and will be too much at home for Milwaukee in this one. 10* MEMPHIS -1.5 or -2 |
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12-14-22 | Hawks v. Magic +3 | Top | 124-135 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Orlando Magic +2.5 or +3 vs Atlanta Hawks @ 7:10 ET - The Hawks are so banged up dealing with recent injuries. Even if Trae Young plays, he has been struggling badly. As for Orlando, they have also had a few guys out but they have been out for awhile and, right now, the Magic have been hot even without those guys. Orlando has won 3 straight games and they catch a Hawks team that has just 3 wins last 10 games. The Magic saw Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner come up with big games in the B2B versus the Raptors. Also, Orlando's bench came up big with Bamba, Anthony, and Ross all having strong games versus Toronto. That said, at home and playing with confidence and catching an Atlanta team that is short-handed and struggling, the Magic are the play again here. The kicker is that Orlando lost the first two meetings with the Hawks, each by double digits. Double payback here! 10* ORLANDO +2.5 or +3 |
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12-14-22 | Drexel v. Seton Hall OVER 127.5 | Top | 49-66 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 127.5 in Seton Hall Pirates vs Drexel Dragons @ 7 ET - Love this spot as both teams off tight, low-scoring games but that sets this one up well for a much different style of game. Keep in mind that Drexel just played a Philly rival and got the OT win over LaSalle. They put a lot of defensive effort into that game. The same holds true for Seton Hall. The Pirates are off a hard-fought 45-43 win over Rutgers. Seton Hall was scoring an average of 72 points per game before that low-scoring win. The Dragons averaged about 67 points per game before the low-scoring OT win. That said, this game is destined to get to at least the 140 range. I am sure each team is not going to have the defensive intensity they both just had in most recent games. This one sets up much better to be a higher-scoring game as a result and we get great line value with the low total. 10* OVER 127.5 in Seton Hall |
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12-13-22 | Prairie View A&M +4.5 v. Illinois-Chicago | Top | 61-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
#306581 CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Prairie View A & M Panthers +4.5 @ Illinois-Chicago Flames @ 8 ET - This line looks funny at first glance. A team, UIC, at home that most bettors are familiar with but they are laying only 4.5 points against a Prairie View team that is from one of the weakest conferences (SWAC) in the nation. However, the Panthers are better than people realize. They only have one loss by more than 10 points this season. They can compete and certainly that holds true against a Flames team that is not that strong so far this season. Note that Prairie View already defeated Washington State by a dozen points plus beat Arkansas State. Now take a look at the 6-4 Flames. The fact is that UIC has wins over only Trinity (Ill), Jacksonville State, Stonehill, Holy Cross, Green Bay, and now Western Michigan. The win over the Broncos would be their "signature win" so far this season but even they are just 3-7 this season and none of the teams the Flames have beaten have a winning record this season. Look for the Panthers to get the upset win here but we'll grab the points just in case they fall short as I would expect any defeat for the visitors to be by the slimmest of margins. 10* PRAIRIE VIEW A & M +4.5 |
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12-13-22 | Kings +5.5 v. 76ers | Top | 103-123 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Sacramento Kings +5.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - I lost with the Hornets going against the Sixers on Sunday but Charlotte actually had the same number of free throws made (26) as Philly but managed to lose the game by 18 despite having 10 MORE field goal attempts. So, what happened? As you would guess it was hot shooting for the 76ers and there is no way they will repeat those ridiculous numbers here against a scrappy Kings team. Philly made 55% of their shots from the field plus 48% from 3-point land. The 76ers have won B2B games but 2 of the 3 prior to the win over the Hornets were OT games and I look for Philly to finally wear down here. The Kings are off a loss to the Knicks but had won 4 of 5 before that. Also, Sacramento still has won 14 of last 21 games and 3 of those 7 losses were by 5 or less points. So if you had Kings +5.5 in last 21 games you would have gone 17-4 ATS! Love the value here with the scrappy Kings catching a nearly half dozen points for this one. 10* SACRAMENTO +5.5 |
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12-12-22 | Hawks v. Grizzlies -6.5 | Top | 103-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies -6.5 vs Atlanta Hawks @ 8:10 ET - I am generally not a big fan of laying many points in the NBA but this looks like a great spot for a huge home win. The Hawks are off an OT win versus Chicago last night. Atlanta was already a banged up team so playing the 2nd night of a B2B after going to overtime the night before is not going to do them any favors. Also, Trae Young's shooting slump has continued and the Hawks are expected to still be without Dejounte Murray tonight and he is their 2nd leading scorer. The Grizzlies have the rest edge and are at home where they are 11-2 this season. The Hawks had lost 6 of 8 before getting the win over the Bulls yesterday. Memphis has won 5 straight home games. The Grizzlies won all 5 of those by at least 8 points and by an average margin of 14 points. Another big win likely here. 10* MEMPHIS |
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12-11-22 | Wisconsin +4.5 v. Iowa | Top | 78-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
NCAAB Sunday 10* Top Play Wisconsin Badgers +4.5 @ Iowa Hawkeyes @ 6:30 ET - Hawkeyes still without Kris Murray and he is their leading scorer and leading rebounder. Iowa did just beat rival Iowa State without him but it was in large part due to the Hawkeyes knocking down 12 of 23 three pointers while the Cyclones were just 3 of 22 from downtown. Iowa won the game by 19 but outscored Iowa State by 27 from three point land so that says a lot. It has been a tough recent slate of games and tough schedule for the Hawkeyes and coming off that huge win I could see them falling flat here and coming up short against the Badgers. If they hang on for a win here look for it be by just a single possession. Dog should be in this one all the way and I am expecting an upset. 10* WISCONSIN +4.5 |
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12-11-22 | Hornets +10.5 v. 76ers | Top | 113-131 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Charlotte Hornets +10.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 6:10 ET - The 76ers are off a very fortunate cover versus the Lakers in their most recent game. They won big in OT after blowing a big fourth quarter lead late. The Sixers were a comedy of errors in their late game sequence versus the Lakers and ended up very fortunate to win that game let alone cover the spread. That being said, the Sixers just can not be justified in laying double digits against anyone right now. I know they have revenge against the Hornets from losing at Charlotte earlier this season but this Philly team just can not be trusted right now. They also certainly were much more motivated to face LeBron James and Anthony Davis and the Lakers in most recent game and they will not be as excited about facing the Hornets in this one. A hungry road dog that is on a losing streak is absolutely the play in this one as they will bring plenty of energy. Philadelphia knows they have a tough game with a surging Sacramento team on deck and I expect a bit of a listless performance from Philly in this one. 10* CHARLOTTE |
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12-10-22 | Jazz +8 v. Nuggets | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Utah Jazz +8 @ Denver Nuggets @ 9:10 ET - The Jazz are in 2nd game of B2B and even if Markkanen is still unavailable I do like Utah here. They lost last night simply because the Wolves shot better than they did. That was the key to the final outcome. Now a Utah team that is hungry off a loss is catching too many points because of the situational perspective this has presented to the marketplace. Note that Denver is actually just 2-3 last 5 home games. Also, the Nuggets had lost 3 straight before the 1-point win at Portland Thursday. Denver should find a way to win this game but I don't seem them covering. They hammered the Jazz when they last faced them here in Denver by 16 points in late October. Utah has not forgotten and coming off a loss last night insures proper focus from them here. 10* UTAH +8 |
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12-10-22 | Illinois-Chicago -115 v. Western Michigan | Top | 62-56 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames Money Line -115 @ Western Michigan Broncos @ 2:30 ET - I like the way this line has moved and feel that Flames are the stronger team but we get line value because they are on the road. Keep in mind, the Broncos have given up piles of points often in their games and their only wins have come against very weak foes. I just do not see Western Michigan as having enough to get past UIC here. The Flames are off B2B losses for the first time this season and can't wait to get back on the floor. They catch Western Michigan off a blowout win over Concordia (MI) which could give the Broncos a false sense of security as they now take a step up in class and face a much tougher team here. The Flames are not a great team but my point is they are much better than the only teams the Broncos have managed to beat this season. Also, UIC has the better statistics defensively this season even though they have played the tougher schedule. Considering that plus the situational factors we have solid value here with the road team at essentially a pick'em price in this one. Also, Western Michigan has a game against a ranked team, Iowa State, on deck while the Flames have only Prairie View on deck. UIC going all out in this one and fully focused on the Broncos as they look to snap the 2-game skid. 10* Illinois-Chicago Flames -115 |
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12-09-22 | Washington v. Gonzaga OVER 148 | Top | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 148 in Gonzaga vs Washington @ 9 ET - The Bulldogs did not shoot well from long-range in recent game and neither did their opponent yet that game still got to within single digits of the current posted total on this game. We should see plenty of points here. Gonzaga can score like crazy when at home and is averaging 80 ppg this season but also allowing 74. Washington is averaging 70 points per game this season but is a huge 17 point dog here for a reason. Look for a rather free flowing game with plenty of scoring as the Bulldogs game prior to barely squeaking by Kent State was a tight low-scoring loss to Baylor. So Gonzaga is really looking for a breakout game on offense and that is what I fully expect here. The Huskies also have plenty of capable scoring and will contribute nicely to this total which should get well into the 150s and I am actually predicting 160s as the more likely result. 10* OVER 148 in Gonzaga |
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12-09-22 | Lakers v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 122-133 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 vs Los Angeles Lakers @ 7:40 ET - The Lakers should have Davis and James back tonight. However, the 76ers now have Harden back. Keep in mind Harris and Embiid had also missed time recently and those guys will be on the floor too. Coming off multiple days off but also off multiple consecutive defeats, the 76ers are rested and ready to turn things around. The line here is short enough that it is well worthy of investment here. The Lakers are 4-8 on the road this season and all 8 losses were by at least 9 points! LA is now on their 3rd losing streak of the season. The first two lasted 5 games apiece. This one is only 2 games into it but you get my point. Philly is on a 3-game losing streak but has not lost 4 in a row yet this season. The 76ers are 6-1 in home games this season! So if you like Philly to win here and you know the Lakers have a knack for losing big on the road with all 8 defeats by at least 9 points, you can see why we have bargain line here. I will take it. 10* PHILADELPHIA -4.5 |
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12-08-22 | Rockets v. Spurs OVER 230.5 | Top | 109-118 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 230 or 230.5 in San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets @ 8:35 ET - Who will play defense here? Exactly! This one should be very high-scoring and I like the fact the total dropped from mid-230s to the 230 range in terms of what is posted at the books as of Noon ET on gameday. The Spurs have lost 11 straight games and allowed at least 117 points in 10 of those 11 games. The Rockets, not including the OT points from their double OT win over the Sixers Tuesday, have allowed 119 points per game last 8 games. So two teams that play at a fast pace and give up points in bunches and that each see this as a winnable game so they will be pushing hard here. It all adds up to a great pace and a lot of points and a game filled with transition buckets. 10* OVER 230 or 230.5 in San Antonio |
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12-08-22 | Iowa State v. Iowa -3.5 | Top | 56-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes -3.5 vs Iowa State Cyclones @ 8 ET - This is another game where I am fading line movement. The Hawkeyes opened up as a bigger favorite versus the Cyclones but Iowa State is a ranked 1-loss team and Iowa has lost 2 of 3. Of course this has Iowa State getting a lot of attention and the line is now down to as low as a 3.5 and I am happy to fade the line movement. The Cyclones one loss was ugly by 18 points to Connecticut. Also, their win over Villanova game in OT and is less impressive given the Wildcats are not the same team they were under coach Jay Wright and with key personnel now gone. Also, some will point to the Cyclones win over North Carolina but the struggling Tar Heels have now suffered a 4-game losing streak. I also like the fact that the Hawkeyes are off a loss by a double digit margin to Duke at MSG. Coming off a loss they will bounce back here and note that both their losses this season were on a neutral floor but they are a solid team when at home. There is a good reason the unranked team with the lesser record is the favorite here. 10* IOWA -3.5 |
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12-07-22 | Hawks v. Knicks -113 | Top | 89-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play New York Knicks Money Line -113 vs Atlanta Hawks @ 7:40 ET - The Hawks are off a loss and would love to bounce back here but they are hurt by injuries right now. They are missing their starting frontcourt and 2 of their top 4 scores as Hunter and Collins are out with injuries. Atlanta has lost 4 of 6 games and the Knicks are the much healthier team and offering solid line value at home here. I like the fact that New York is off a solid defensive win and has allowed an average of 105 points last 4 games. The Knicks have averaged 115 points per game last 7 games, not including OT points of course. The Hawks still have Young and Murray of course but missing both Hunter and Collins at the same time is just too much to overcome here on the road. Also, I like the fact that the Knicks have home loss revenge here because the Hawks beat them here in New York in early November! Collins led Hawks with 13 rebounds and Hunter was 2nd leading scorer with 21 points. Again, neither guy playing tonight plus Young was held to 17 points and a bad shooting performance which reflects there is a match-up issue here and that will be magnified here because Knicks can focus more on defending the backcourt with the frontcourt of the Hawks being the walking wounded. 10* NEW YORK money line -113 |
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12-07-22 | Pennsylvania v. Villanova OVER 139.5 | Top | 59-70 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 139.5 in Villanova Wildcats vs Pennsylvania Quakers @ 7 ET - This is a Big 5 match-up in Philly as Nova and Penn join with St Joseph's and Temple and La Salle as the informal "Big 5" association in Philly. These games always mean a little something extra and these teams try to one-up each other and in this case I feel that is going to lead to a lot of offense here. Pennsylvania has seen Dingle go on a major hot streak right now and he is such a big scorer. Overall the Quakers continue to pile up points. Yes, we must eliminate the OT points from the equation but, even after doing that, the Quakers have averaged 75 points scored per game last 5 games in regulation time! The Wildcats though are, of course, favored by a big double digit margin here for a reason. The thing about this Villanova team however is they are different without Jay Wright behind the bench. This season, with a new coach, the Wildcats continue to put up big points but have not been the same on the defensive end. Look for that to continue here. The Cats have scored an average of 69 points per game last 5 games, not including OT of course. However, the Wildcats also have allowed 72.6 points per game last 5 games. Penn has allowed at least 69 points in regulation time of last 4 games. Again, they have averaged 75 too last 5 games. So look at the line on this game and you can envision a game getting into the 160s but at least 150s and certainly should reach 140s at a minimum. This one should have high entertainment value for sure if you like scoring! 10* OVER 139.5 in Villanova |
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12-06-22 | Pistons v. Heat OVER 222 | Top | 116-96 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER 222 in Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:40 ET - Not including OT points of course, each of Pistons last 3 games have totaled at least 234 points! This posted total is a dozen points lower than that. The Heat are known for lower scoring games but are coming off a low-scoring loss and now are going to take advantage of facing a weaker foe and will be willing to play at a faster pace tonight. Prior to the 101-93 loss, and not including OT points of course, 4 of last 5 Miami games totaled at 217 points. This total is slightly above that number of course but the point is those games were not against a bad Pistons team that has not been playing much defense either. So the point is we should see plenty of scoring here as the Heat go for the big win and Detroit is happy to play at a fast pace even at the expense of defense. 10* OVER 222 in Miami |
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12-06-22 | St. Joe's v. Temple OVER 141 | Top | 60-70 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 57 m | Show |
10* Top Play OVER 141 in Temple Owls vs St Joseph's Hawks @ 7 ET - Don't look for much defense here! This is a Philly battle but both teams simply will be looking to outdo each other on the offensive end. Note that St Joseph's is off a 97-80 loss and this was preceded by an OT win what was 74-74 at end of regulation. The Hawks have now allowed at least 74 points in 5 of their 7 games this season. They can score well though too, they just do not get many stops! As for Temple, they have won 3 straight games and score an average of 74 points per game in those 3 wins. They just allowed 73 points in most recent victory and they are seeking revenge here for a ridiculous 68-49 loss to the Hawks last season in which they took 64 shots but made only 20 of them plus they went just 2 of 20 from three-point land! The Owls get their revenge here but I am not laying double digits with them. To me the value play here is an over that should get into the 150s! 10* OVER 141 in Temple |
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12-05-22 | 76ers -8 v. Rockets | Top | 123-132 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -8 @ Houston Rockets @ 8:10 ET - Harden likely to come back tonight for this game and will be facing a former team in their city. Not only that, the Rockets just got back from a long road trip out west. Not only that, the 76ers are angry off B2B losses. Philly lost 3 straight games to open the season but that has not happened since. The Rockets 10 of last 13 defeats have been by 8 or more points. Their last 10 losses by an average margin of 12.6 points and they also have a winnable game against the rival Spurs on deck. Bad spot for Houston and great spot for a rejuvenated Sixers team to rally around the return of Harden tonight. If for some reason he did not play I still like Philly tonight given all the other variables here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -8 |
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12-04-22 | Bulls +3 v. Kings | Top | 101-110 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls +3 @ Sacramento Kings @ 6:10 ET - The Kings are off huge win versus a short-handed Clippers team. That game was in LA yesterday. So it is not a big travel spot but it is still a travel situation and it is a back to back. Now they face a rested Bulls team that is angry off B2B losses. Chicago is the play here. Kings have been playing better but had lost 3 straight before B2B wins and the Bulls come into this one hungry. Chicago only has had one losing streak go longer than 2 games. The other 3 were all 2-game losing streaks that ended on that 3rd game. That is what I expect here. There is a reason this is a road game and yet Bulls are only a 3 point dog even though Sacramento has such a solid record. Don't let the line fool you. 10* CHICAGO +3 |
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12-03-22 | Bucks -6 v. Hornets | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks -6 @ Charlotte Hornets @ 6:10 ET - Even though this is a back to back spot for the Bucks it is also a back to back spot for the Hornets. The key here is Milwaukee off loss and Charlotte off a win. The Hornets are 1-5 SU when off a win this season and 4 of those 5 losses were by at least 7 points. The Bucks are 4-1 SU when off a loss this season and 3 of the 4 wins by at least 8 points. More of the same on tap here. This road team will be very hungry off the loss as that was just their 6th loss of the season and it was the first game that Middleton came back. The Bucks will want to redeem themselves here and facing a Charlotte team that loses about 2/3 of their games will certainly help in that regard. 10* MILWAUKEE -6 |
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12-03-22 | Illinois-Chicago v. Drake -16.5 | Top | 64-77 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
NCAAB Saturday 10* Top Play Drake Bulldogs -16.5 vs Illinois-Chicago Flames @ 6 ET - The Flames just got hammered by Missouri State. The lost that game by 15 and face a much tougher test here. Not only that but when they lost to the Bears, they allowed 20 more shots from the field. In other words, the final margin could have easily been much more than 15 points. Today it will be as the Bulldogs are angry off their first loss of the season. Drake lost at Indiana State by 2 points but it was because they did not shoot well at all from downtown. The Bulldogs were outscored by 21 points from 3-point land. Now at home Drake will shoot much better and will also show no mercy against a Flames team whose last two losses have been by at least 14 points. UIC faces a Bulldogs team that had allowed only 63 points per game in first 6 games this season. Flames most recent road game was against a winless Green Bay team and they rolled but now they face a Bulldogs team that was undefeated prior to the loss to the Sycamores. 10* DRAKE -16.5 |
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12-02-22 | Illinois +2 v. Maryland | Top | 66-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Illinois Illini +2 @ Maryland @ 9 ET - Maryland is 7-0 at home and this line is practically a pick'em even though they are hosting a 1-loss Illinois team. Looks easy to take the undefeated home team. You know what it means usually when something looks too easy. It is NOT! The fact the Illini already have a loss this season actually helps them here in this match-up. They have tasted defeat and don't want to taste it again in this huge Big Ten match-up and their last game against the Terrapins was here in College Park, MD as well and they lost by 16 points. So the road team has payback on their minds here and I expect them to get it. 10* ILLINOIS +2 |
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12-02-22 | 76ers +5.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +5.5 @ Memphis Grizzlies @ 8:10 ET - This is just too many points. I will be surprised if Tobias Harris does not play here as he has been dealing with his illness since the prior game. Also, though he will not play tonight of course, James Harden's return is now imminent and is an emotional booster for this team too. Additionally, the Sixers have been playing surprisingly well dealing with injury issues including the absence of Joel Embiid. The fact he has been back for a bit now but Philly is off an ugly 113 to 85 loss has set this up beautifully. The 76ers are 6-0 SU the last 6 times they are off a loss in which they scored less than 110 points. That said, they do not even have to get the outright win for us to get the cash here. Grab the points here and look for that situation to improve to 7-0 and, even if they fall short of outright win, the points should prove enough for the all-important cover. Of last 11 games for Memphis, the Grizzlies only have 3 victories by more than 4 points. 10* PHILADELPHIA +5.5 |
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12-01-22 | Youngstown State -115 v. Northern Kentucky | Top | 73-77 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
NCAAB Thursday 10* Top Play Youngstown State Penguins -115 vs Northern Kentucky Norse @ 7 ET - Youngstown State is already 5-2 this season and getting key contributions from newcomers plus also already had one of the best players in the conference with Cohill. Right now they are looking much stronger than the Norse. Yes, Northern Kentucky rose up and shocked Cincy early this season but they were 1-4 in other 5 games before a double OT win in their most recent game. Not only could that double OT win take a lot out of this team, a ton of pressure has been on Warrick lately. Recent action has been missed by both Vinson and Rhodes and the Norse will not have a lineup that is at 100% tonight for sure. Look for the road team to take advantage and, keep in mind, the Penguins lost both games to the Norse last season so revenge is on their minds here. The Penguins look like a much better team early this season and should stay hot here. I am grabbing the money line here at -115 as this line is a -1 or -1.5 so the -115 is the best option for sure. 10* YOUNGSTOWN STATE -115 |
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11-30-22 | Missouri State -4 v. Illinois-Chicago | Top | 66-51 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Missouri State Bears -4.5 @ Illinois-Chicago Flames @ 8 ET - So here you have a 3-3 Bears team ON THE ROAD and facing a 5-2 Flames team and yet it is Missouri State that is favored! Big mistake, right? Not all. This Bears team has played a tougher early season schedule and was the better team last season and even though they lost a lot of starters they have a solid looking roster thanks to transfers of incoming talent. Missouri State is jelling now at the right time as conference action is getting underway in the Missouri Valley and this is the opener for these teams. Even though Illinois-Chicago has the better record, they have played the weaker schedule plus have allowed an average of 68.3 points per game last 6 games. The Bears are allowing 60.5 ppg this season and they faced tougher schedule including losing by just 2 points at BYU as a double digit underdog! Lay the points with the road team as UIC gets a rude awakening going from facing a struggling UWGB team to facing a Bears team that it is hitting its stride plus saw newcomer James Graham see his first significant action in most recent game and he played great and shot lights out. Confidence of this road team is high right now and they are well-coached and off a 23-win season. 10* MISSOURI STATE -4.5 |
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11-30-22 | 76ers +4 v. Cavs | Top | 85-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +3.5 or +4 @ Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:10 ET - The 76ers had Embiid on Monday and he was strong in his return. the Cavaliers are still without Love and Allen. Also, Mitchell is coming off a game in which he scored only 8 points so that is concerning for Cleveland too. Overall, the Cavs have lost 7 of 12 games since that red hot 8-1 start to the season they had! The 76ers have been dealing with injury issues of their own but they have now won 7 of 9 games! Also, one of those two losses was by just 3 points. One of the just 5 wins that Cleveland has since their slump started in early November was a double OT win. So the point is that, even if this game is tight, we still have a shot to get the cash with the plus points but an outright upset would not surprise me at all. The Sixers are playing with more confidence of late and the same can not be said of the Cavaliers over the past few weeks. Grab the points. 10* PHILADELPHIA +3.5 or +4 |
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11-29-22 | Warriors v. Mavs OVER 227.5 | Top | 113-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 227.5 in Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:30 ET - Golden State had one ugly loss to New Orleans recently where they did not score well at all. Removing that one outlier from the sample, the Warriors have scored 124 points per game in their games since November 14th. They also have allowed 117.4 points per game in their last 5 games! The Mavericks have lost 3 straight games and allowed 118 per game in their last 3 games. So Mavericks give up a pile here but this line is right around a pick'em for a reason. In other words, plenty of points here. 10* OVER 227.5 in Dallas |
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11-29-22 | Penn State +2 v. Clemson | Top | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Penn State Nittany Lions +2 @ Clemson Tigers @ 7 ET - Clemson was in Florida for a tournament while Penn State was in their home state of Pennsylvania and facing Lafayette this past weekend. The situation here favors the Nittany Lions here even though they are on the road. I love taking small road dogs too as a lot of time people are so enticed to grab those home teams with a small line but oftentimes the line is just that...an enticement. When the situational factors are right, these road teams can be pure gold. Clemson is 5-2 this season but the 5 teams they have beaten have a combined record of 11-23. Penn State has only one loss this season and it was to a Hokies team that is now 7-1 on the season. Nittany Lions allowing only 62.5 points per game this season and I sense a road upset here but will grab the added insurance of having the points on our side in this one. 10* PENN STATE +2 |
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11-28-22 | Sam Houston State +3 v. Nevada | Top | 60-78 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Sam Houston State Bearkats +2.5/+3/+3.5 @ Nevada Wolf Pack @ 10 PM ET - This one jumped off the page at me because, of course, most people are going to look and see the bigger school at home and laying a small number and think this is easy money. Not so fast my friend. This one should belong to the surprising Bearkats. They were already expected to be very good in the WAC this season but now are getting extra production from unexpected sources and it has made them even better. In a nutshell, this team is not only good, there are VERY good and deep! They are 6-0 SU on the season and 4-0 ATS in lined games. They play great defense and get a lot of steals and already have wins over Oklahoma and Utah! Those are two Power 5 conference teams and yes the wins were AT Norman, OK and AT Salt Lake City, UT. So going into Reno, NV to knock off Nevada is not asking too much. Now the fact is the Wolf Pack are a quality team and they have a great coach too in Steve Alford, but the Sam Houston State coach Jason Hooten has been with the Bearkats for 12 years and this is a great team he has assembled this season. These guys really believe in themselves and in each other and I do expect an outright win here but, at the very least, we should see a cover if it comes down to a tight finish. Nevada's leading scorer Lucas is struggling with his shooting percentage early this season and their 4th leading scorer Hymes has missed the last few games with back issues and may miss again. Either way, I like this hungry Bearkats team here. 10* SAM HOUSTON STATE +2.5/+3/+3.5 |
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11-28-22 | Hawks v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 vs Atlanta Hawks @ 7:10 ET - The 76ers have won 6 of last 8 games. They have been without Embiid lately but might even get him back tonight. Even if they don't the way they are playing now they are loaded with confidence and here they are back at home and facing a Hawks team that is also in a back to back spot for this one. Atlanta has lost B2B games and also is an ugly 2-5 last 7 road games including even losing to the Rockets in Houston! The Sixers are 5-1 last 6 home games and I have a feeling that Embiid was waiting for this home game to return. That would just be an added bonus for us here. Either way, I like Philly and the home team is 2-0 in the two meetings between these teams this season and Trae Young off a rough shooting game last night and now he is on the road after last night's game was at home. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 |
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11-27-22 | Iowa State v. Connecticut OVER 134 | Top | 53-71 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 135 in Connecticut Huskies vs Iowa State Cyclones @ 10 ET - This total came down some from its opener and I realize it is a tourney championship game and we could see better defense here as a result. But still these are two red hot teams that have been scoring plenty of points. Iowa State just knocked off top-ranked North Carolina and, not including OT points of course, has scored at least 67 points in all 5 of their game this season. The Cyclones are 5-0 this season. The Huskies are 7-0 this season and have scored at least 82 points in each games this season. Iowa State averaging 74 ppg this season and UConn averaging 85 ppg this season. Even if each team misses their average by a half-dozen points or so this game still goes over by a double digit margin! Just feel we have great value here because these teams are playing with so much confidence right now on the offensive end. 10* OVER 135 in Connecticut |
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11-27-22 | 76ers v. Magic OVER 214.5 | Top | 133-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 214.5 in Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 6:10 ET - We just saw this scenario play out with Lakers / Spurs as first game stayed under and then they totaled 281 points in the rematch and no there was not OT. I look for a similar result here. We lost with the over in this match-up Friday but I am coming right back with it here. The Magic are starting to get healthier and they just did not shoot well Friday and that cost us a winner as the game finished close to going over. The 76ers are still missing Embiid and his interior defense and Orlando will take advantage and, similar to the LA/SA dichotomy of the two results, we'll see something similar here. 10* OVER 214.5 in Orlando |
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11-26-22 | Illinois-Chicago -5 v. Green Bay | Top | 78-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
NCAAB Saturday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames -5 @ Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix @ 7 ET - The Phoenix are not only 0-5 this season, they were in Jamaica for a tournament. So even though Wisconsin Green Bay is back home and now playing their home opener, this is not exactly an ideal spot for them after the tournament in Jamaica. They have played some tough teams this season but also UWGB has lost to teams like Queens and Utah Valley by a combined 39 points in last 2 games. Overall the Phoenix have been blown out in every game this season. Granted, UIC is no powerhouse but, unlike UWGB, they are at least scoring well this season. Illinois-Chicago is averaging 74 ppg this season and Green Bay averaging just 55 ppg this season. Look for the Flames to get the win here as they ride the momentum of B2B wins and with the downward line move here we have solid line value also. 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO -5 |
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11-25-22 | 76ers v. Magic OVER 217 | Top | 107-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 217 in Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - Of course the 76ers defense is not the same when Embiid is not on the floor to guard the interior. Philly again will be forced to play more of a small ball lineup here and I am expecting plenty of points. The Magic are expected to have Banchero back for this one plus could get Carter back as well. Orlando has allowed 116.4 last 5 games. Philly has allowed 110 points per game in the last 5 that Embiid has missed but also had averaged 112 points per game in the first 5 games he missed this season prior to Sixers being held to just 101 in the loss at Charlotte Wednesday. They make up for that defeat here with a strong road effort but Orlando is rejuvenated with Banchero back on the floor and this game will have a great tempo and pace for scoring. 10* OVER 217 in Orlando |
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11-25-22 | Portland v. Villanova -7 | Top | 83-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats -7 vs Portland Pilots @ 2:30 ET - This game being played in a tournament at Portland and so the location certainly favors the Pilots. However, they still could be without one of their starting guards for this one plus I expect them to fall flat after having a shot to upset #1 North Carolina yesterday but falling just short. I know Villanova is off an OT loss but the Wildcats have enough depth to be just fine here and this Wildcats team will have resolve in this one after falling just short by a single bucket in back to back games. Villanova lost by 2 to Michigan State and then by 2 in OT to Iowa State. In fact, the Cats are just 2-3 this season but the 3 losses by a combined total of only 8 points. Nova has also played a much tougher schedule than the Pilots. Prior to facing UNC last night, the Portland schedule had been quite soft and the stronger team from the stronger conference and off B2B losses gets a statement win here against a Pilots team that will be flat after last night's result. 10* VILLANOVA -7 |
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11-24-22 | Connecticut v. Oregon +3.5 | Top | 83-59 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
NCAAB Thursday 10* Top Play Oregon Ducks +3.5 vs Connecticut Huskies @ 8 ET in Portland, OR - This is a neutral site game in the Phil Knight Invitational but certainly the location favors the Ducks. What I love about this play the most is this an early season situation that tends to work very well. You have a ranked team laying a small number and they are already 5-0 on the season and that small number is so enticing when you consider they are facing a 2-2 team. Now here's the early season key with this. Yes Connecticut is 5-0 but they have faced a very weak schedule so far. Now I know the Ducks did lose to Cal Irvine which is unacceptable but they were outscored by a margin of 24 points from the 3-point arc in the 13 point loss. Simply put, Oregon shot horribly and the Anteaters were solid from outside. That is not an excuse though it is just a fact that even good basketball teams have off-games at times, overlook teams they should not, etc. The Ducks other loss was to a highly ranked Houston team. I feel both these losses help them here. You can bet Oregon, definitely having played the tougher schedule, is also motivated to put the first blemish on the Huskies record this season. Look for them to do just that but we'll grab the points as added insurance too. 10* OREGON +3.5 |
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11-23-22 | 76ers v. Hornets OVER 214.5 | Top | 101-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 214.5 in Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - What is Philly's solution without Embiid? How about run and gun and attempt nearly 100 shots from the field? That is what they did last night in their upset of Brooklyn. Keep in mind they got Harris back last night and he led them with 24 points. Additionally they got Korkmaz back and he came off the bench and combined with Reed and Naing for 44 points between the 3 of them. Charlotte is simply not a very good team and this is true on defense as well. The Hornets have lost 11 of 12 games and, not including OT points of course, Charlotte has allowed 111.4 ppg last 12 games. They are favored by 4 points here. So you can see that the predicted final could fall somewhere into the 115 to 111 range which gives a total double digits above the posted number on this game. I like our chances for a high-scoring game because Sixers play a more "small ball" style when Embiid is not on the floor. The 5 games Embiid has missed this season, the 76ers have scored an average of 112 points per game. This one should get into the 220 to 225 range considering all of the above. Hornets so hungry for a win and Sixers hungry to prove they can win without Embiid and Harden, just as they did last night. The also are missing Maxey right now but the backcourt of Milton and Melton showed yesterday that they can mesh very well. 10* OVER 214.5 in Charlotte |
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11-23-22 | Georgia Tech v. Marquette -5.5 | Top | 60-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Marquette Golden Eagles -5.5 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 6 ET - The Golden Eagles lost yesterday despite holding Mississippi State to 13 of 39 shooting from inside the arc. Marquette actually made 13 of 23 shots from inside the arc. The problem was, as you guessed it, the Golden Eagles took a lot of threes but did not knock them down at the same high rate as the Bulldogs. Now I know the Yellow Jackets forced a lot of turnovers yesterday and that kept them in the game as they lost a tight one to Utah. However, they will not be so successful here in that regard as I expect a focused Golden Eagles team to be much tougher to beat than Utah was yesterday. The Utes practically gave the game away yesterday but the Eagles come into this one hungry off a loss as they are 3-2 this season with two tight losses and 3 wins by double digit margins. Keep in mind, the Bulldogs team that Marquette just lost to is now 5-0 on the season. With Georgia Tech suffering their first loss of the season, they could be in for a letdown here and you are seeing the Golden Eagles favored by about a half-dozen here with good reason. Yellow Jackets went about 7 minutes without scoring a field goal after scoring one with 7:22 left in the game. That kind of offensive ineptitude in late-game situations can get in a team's head. Now they face a tough Golden Eagles team the very next day. Tough spot. 10* MARQUETTE -5.5 |
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11-22-22 | Pennsylvania -4 v. Lafayette | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
#306575 Tuesday 10* Top Play Penn Quakers -3/3.5/4 @ Lafayette Leopards @ 8:30 ET - I am aware of the Jordan Dingle injury as he missed the game at West Virginia after leaving the prior game with an injury. However, even if he does not play tonight, the Quakers are just too much for the Leopards and the situation is perfect. While Penn is off a bloodbath loss to the Mountaineers 92 to 58 and fully ready to respond here, Lafayette is off an ugly low-scoring win over Central Connecticut State. That was first win of the season for the Leopards and they could struggle here after an ugly tight win like that. Penn, on the other hand, is coming off the type of ugly defeat that is going to bring an inspired effort here. I don't see the Quakers being denied here even if Dingle ends up missing this game. However, there is a chance he will be back for this one but either way the depth of their roster has more talent than this Leopards team from the Patriot League. Not only is that one of the weakest conferences in the nation but also Lafayette is projected to be one of the worst teams in the Patriot League. Take advantage of the small number here and look for the Quakers to bounce back off the embarrassing loss. 10* PENN -3/3.5/4 |
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11-22-22 | Nets v. 76ers +7.5 | Top | 106-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +7 or +7.5 vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:30 ET - Yes the Sixers have injury issues as Harden and Maxey were already out and now Embiid is going to miss a couple games. However, there is an expression about "wounded dog bites the hardest" and this hungry 76ers team will put up a dogfight here at home. They do get back Harris and Korkmaz for this one or at least that is expected. I know the latter has not done a whole lot this season but Harris is one of Philly's top players and both guys will carry, and are happy to have, a bigger share of the production tonight on the floor. The Nets have had team chemistry issues all season long and though they should find a way to win this game I do not expect the margin to be enough. Brooklyn has played 17 games and only have 4 wins by more than 7 points this season! The 76ers already have 3 losses by 3 or less points on their home floor this season. They will put up a fight here and the 76ers are 2-2 in games Embiid has missed and one of those two losses was by just 2 points. 10* PHILADELPHIA +7 or +7.5 |
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11-21-22 | Hawks v. Cavs -2.5 | Top | 102-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers -2.5 vs Atlanta Hawks @ 7:10 ET - The last time the Hawks visited Cleveland, they knocked the Cavaliers out of the post-season race as they knocked them out of the play-in round with a 107 to 101 win last spring. The Cavs have not forgotten and Trae Young was waving to the fans after the game and slammed the ball on the court as the Hawks got it done that night. That was not just any loss for Cleveland as it was a defeat that made sure their playoff drought - dating back to 2018 - continued. The Cavaliers will want some payback tonight and I like their chances on their home floor. These teams have identical 10-6 records on the season but the Cavs are 6-1 at home and the Hawks are just 2-3 last 5 road games. Also, Atlanta is coming off an OT win over Toronto. The Hawks were at home for that one and have a home game on deck Wednesday so this is a one-off road trip and those generally are tough on a team especially when off an OT win too. I just don't think Atlanta is going to be able to match the intensity of the Cavaliers here. Cleveland is off a big home win over Miami and Garland is playing unbelievably well right now plus they have Mitchell, Allen, Mobley plus Osman is coming off a huge game. That 26-point win over the Heat will really get this team going. Look for the Cavaliers to get their revenge in convincing style tonight even if LeVert and or Love do not play. The other guys mentioned above are the bigger factors in this one and the home side rides a ton of emotion in this game. 10* CLEVELAND -2.5 |
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11-21-22 | Stonehill v. Illinois-Chicago OVER 149.5 | Top | 71-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 149.5 in Illinois-Chicago Flames vs Stonehill Skyhawks @ 4 ET in Bronx, NY as part of the Tom Konchalski Classic - I know many of you may not have heard of Stonehill but they are in the Northeast Conference. That is the conference that sent Bryant to the Big Dance last season where they lost to Wright State (another Horizon League team just like the UIC Flames) in the First Four. The key here with the Skyhawks is they give up a ton of points and we successfully used an over involving Illinois-Chicago over the weekend on Saturday and I like our chances at another success here. This total actually opened up at 151 and dropped a little so I like fading the early move. Note that the Skyhawks have allowed an average of 89 points per game in their 5 games this season! Stonehill has averaged 83.5 points per game scoring in their last 4 games. UIC is off a 79-65 to Fordham so they will want to respond here. Illinois-Chicago entered that one having scored 71 ppg 1st 3 games. They have now allowed 70 ppg last 3 games. This total may seem too high given those numbers but look again at how Stonehill plays. Now consider that UIC is off a loss and is the better team in this match-up. You can see why this game has a great shot not only at 150s or 160s but even 170s given the above numbers involving the Skyhawks coupled with the fact UIC will be happy to use their skilled edges in the transition game to win this one. 10* OVER 149.5 in Illinois-Chicago |
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11-20-22 | Warriors -9.5 v. Rockets | Top | 127-120 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Golden State Warriors -9.5 @ Houston Rockets @ 7:10 ET - Finally, the streak will end. Yes, I am calling my shot as they say. Golden State is 0-8 on the road this season and they are sick and tired of hearing about it. Now they take on a Rockets team with injury issues and Houston is one of the worst teams in the NBA with a 3-13 record. They lost 2 starters early this season and then two of their best current players that are starters might be out for this game. The Rockets Porter is doubtful and Sengun is questionable. Either way, the Warriors will take advantage of facing one of the worst teams in the NBA and roll to a win by a double digit margin here. Yes they lost at Detroit, another bad team, earlier this season but that was a tough B2B spot and off an OT loss. This situation sets up much better for the Warriors and there is a reason a team with a winless road record is favored by double digits here. Don't let the big line scare you away here. The Warriors will not want any doubt to creep in late in this game and I look for a win by a 15 to 20 point margin as GS wants no part of a comeback attempt for the injury-depleted Rockets here. 10* GOLDEN STATE -9.5 |
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11-20-22 | Murray State v. Tulsa OVER 147.5 | Top | 77-60 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 147.5 in Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Murray State Racers in Myrtle Beach Invitational in Conway, SC @ 10:30 AM ET - Both teams off losses that failed to go over the total. This is a consolation game in this tournament and there is little incentive to play strong defense. Murray State gives up a lot of shots so teams realize they can "race" against the Racers and get plenty of good looks. Other than a game against over-matched Lindsey Wilson, Murray State has allowed more than 70+ field goal attempts in each of their other 3 games. The Racers are scoring an average of 79 points per game this season but in those 3 games I just mentioned, they allowed an average of 80 points per game. Tulsa had scored an average of 80 points per game first three games this season before the tight loss to Charlotte failed to follow the prior high-scoring pattern. Look for the Golden Hurricane and for Murray State to simply play out a fast-paced entertaining game here and I do like the fact that Racers allow a lot of shots and Tulsa shoots a lot of threes. The Golden Hurricane are knocking down 42% from downtown this season and will score plenty here but Murray State answers them bucket for bucket in a wild one here. 10* OVER 147.5 in Tulsa |
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11-19-22 | Wolves +2.5 v. 76ers | Top | 112-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - Horrible spot for Philly. 2nd night of a B2B and off a hard-fought win versus Bucks last night. Already without Harden, Harris missed last night's game plus Maxey got hurt during the game. Embiid has been red hot for the Sixers but how will he be handled in the 2nd night of a B2B? The fact is that, all the way around, this is a tough spot for the 76ers and Minnesota has a big rest edge. The Timberwolves have disappointed so far this season as they have had some issues adjusting to the new roster they have after the big off-season changes. But this is still a solid Wolves team and they have the talent and the situational edges to get a big road win here. 10* MINNESOTA +2.5 |
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11-19-22 | Illinois-Chicago v. Fordham OVER 138.5 | Top | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 138.5 in Fordham Rams vs Illinois-Chicago Flames @ 5 ET - The Rams were known for defense last season but they really focused in this off-season on how they would increase scoring in the new year. They want to play faster and score a lot more. Yes, they did not fare well when over-matched against a ranked Arkansas team from the SEC. However, in their other games they averaged 83.5 ppg. Also, they are allowing 70 ppg this season. They take on a Flames team that is averaging 71 ppg on the season season. I see this one pushing well into the 140s as this is the first road game of the season for UIC and I see them getting pulled into a track meet in this one as the Rams want to play at the faster pace and this will force the scoring of Illinois-Chicago here. 10* OVER 138.5 in Fordham |
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11-18-22 | Boston College v. George Mason OVER 132.5 | Top | 71-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 132.5 in George Mason Patriots vs Boston College Eagles @ 8 ET in Paradise Jam in St Thomas, VI - This one takes place in the tourney in the Virgin Islands. The Eagles got back DeMarr Langford, their 2nd leading scorer from last season, in their most recent game. Though Boston College was done in by poor shooting in the upset loss to Maine, the game still totaled 133 points and I am certainly expecting at least that here with much better shooting. The Eagles will be hungry off the upset loss and push the tempo here after losing to the Black Bears. The Patriots enter this game having averaged 78 points per game last two games so George Mason certainly has plenty of confidence entering this match-up. Though the Patriots allowed only 56 points to American University, those Eagles shot very poorly just like the Eagles of BC did against Maine. The point is that the pacing was there for a higher-scoring game. So pace plus better shooting plus a situational factor with Boston College off a loss should translate to a much higher scoring game here. Take advantage of the low total. 10* OVER 132.5 in George Mason |
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11-18-22 | Bucks v. 76ers -1.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -1.5 -115 or money line -125 vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:40 ET - The Bucks have lost 3 of 5 and one of the two wins was in double-OT versus OKC. To say the least, Milwaukee has not been overly impressive. For sure the Bucks have had the Sixers number often in recent meetings but this Milwaukee team is still missing key guys and this looks like the perfect spot for the 76ers to finally exact some revenge. Embiid is back for Philly and they have won 3 of last 4 including all 3 home games. Also, he has averaged 40 points and 11 rebounds per game during this stretch and the Sixers are well rested heading into this one. Embiid also had 7 blocks in most recent game as he was dominant. He and the 76ers want this game badly because, as noted above, the Bucks have had their number. It is time for some payback here. The Bucks are in a shorter rest situation too in comparison with the Sixers. Home team should pull away and get revenge for the 2 point home loss to the Bucks that began Milwaukee's season. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -115 or -125 |
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11-17-22 | Nets v. Blazers -120 | Top | 109-107 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Portland Trail Blazers Money Line -120 vs Brooklyn Nets @ 10:10 ET - This line is so low now that the money line may prove to be your best option here. I am seeing prices as low as -120 on the money line which is more value than laying 1.5 points on the spread. The fact is Brooklyn is still without Irving. They are getting some love from the markets here because they just allowed over 150 points to the Kings in their most recent game and are off B2B losses. However, their coach is Jacque Vaughn after Steve Nash was fired. Vaughn entered this season with an NBA career coaching record of 65-161. He was a much better player than a coach. I like the fact that Nurkic came back for the Blazers in their most recent game and they also could get Winslow back tonight. Both guys are listed as questionable for tonight but I would not be surprised to see both of them get into the action here. Either way, Portland is a team that is 10-4 this season and 4-2 at home and playing much better than this Nets team. I know Brooklyn wants to respond after what just happened but this is not the right place to do that. The Nets simply are not a very good basketball team right now and Portland is certainly not going to lay down at home in this one. The Trail Blazers do have a big game with Utah on deck but they won't look past KD and the Nets. Remember when Brooklyn had Big 3 of Durant, Harden, and Irving? Now they just have KD! The Blazers have Lillard, Simmons and Grant and all 3 are playing well right now. 10* PORTLAND -120 |
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11-17-22 | Furman +3 v. Penn State | Top | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Furman Paladins +3 or +3.5 vs Penn State Nittany Lions @ 11:30 AM ET - This is the beauty of College Hoops. To Joe Public, everyone knows about Penn State as they have had a great football program through the years and are well-known in College sports. Conversely, few people know about Furman. But the Paladins are a solid College Hoops program. This line opened up nearly in a pick'em range but has shot up to as high as 3.5 on Penn State. I love fading line moves like this. Yes the Nittany Lions just beat Butler but the Bulldogs lost the game by 6 but were outscored by 15 points from deep. Poor 3-point shooting for Butler was the difference in the game. The Bulldogs had more shots from the field and more than twice as many free throw attempts yet the Nittany Lions got the win. Penn State was a little fortunate is my point. In this match-up the Paladins will find a way in their home state of South Carolina for this tournament in Charleston. Mike Bothwell continues to be a star for Furman and they just beat a solid Belmont team. Last year the Paladins looked like they were going to the Big Dance when they had a 2 point lead with under 4 seconds to go in the game but then lost on a desperation moon-shot 3-pointer miracle shot. Furman is on a mission this season. They have won both their games to start this season and are a very determined team. Penn State is solid but the Paladins are the better team in this match-up and so the fact we get a hungry underdog in their home state (yes they are 200 miles away but this is still their home state) is a value I will not pass up on. 10* FURMAN +3 or +3.5 |
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11-16-22 | Bulls +4 v. Pelicans | Top | 110-124 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls +4 @ New Orleans Pelicans @ 8:10 ET - The Bulls are off back to back losses for the 4th time already this season. The good news for Chicago fans - and for us tonight - is that the Bulls are a PERFECT 3-0 this season when they enter a game off consecutive losses. As for the Pelicans, they are off B2B wins for just the 2nd time this season. They have yet to win 3 straight and I don't see that changing here. They managed to pull away from the Grizzlies in the 4th quarter last night. However, the Bulls will prove to be more determined tonight plus this is second night of back to back for New Orleans plus Zach Williamson missed last night's game and is hurting right now. The Bulls were up by 4 with about 5 minutes to go when these teams met in Chicago last week but the Pelicans rallied and ended up winning the game by 4. This is a revenge spot for the Bulls and I look for them to get it. Grab the points for the added insurance. 10* CHICAGO +4 |
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11-16-22 | Ohio v. Detroit OVER 144.5 | Top | 74-88 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 144.5 or 145.5 in Detroit Mercy Titans vs Ohio University Bobcats @ 7 ET - We lost an over with Detroit when they faced Boston College and the game was 62-60 with 8 minutes to go and then it was 64-60 with 2 minutes to go. Yes there were only 2 points scored in 6 minutes of play in what could go down as the bad beat of the year when it comes to totals losses in CBB as that one ended up just short. Now we get payback here as the Titans will score just fine at home in this one and have averaged 79.5 ppg so far this season while the Bobcats have no hesitation in getting involved in a high-scoring contest. Ohio University has averaged scoring 75 points per game this season but also allowed 70 points in each game. The Bobcats are shooting very well from three point land early this season and Mercy will push the tempo in this game. 10* OVER 144.5 or 145.5 in Detroit |
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11-15-22 | Grizzlies +1.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 102-113 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies +1.5 @ New Orleans Pelicans @ 7:30 ET - Ja Morant is expected back for Memphis tonight. Not only are the Grizzlies 9-3 this season in games in which he has played, they are also 3-0 this season when off a loss in which they scored less than 107 points! The Pelicans are off a win versus Houston but are 0-5 this season when off a win in which they scored less than 125 points! That sets this up as a double perfect year to date spot and I really like having this strong Grizzlies team hungry off a loss and catching a New Orleans team off a win but against one of the worst teams in the league this season as they hosted Houston. 10* MEMPHIS +1.5 |
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11-15-22 | Appalachian State +6.5 v. Louisville | Top | 61-60 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Appalachian State Mountaineers +6.5 @ Louisville Cardinals @ 6 ET - The Cardinals are 0-2 this season. Both losses were by a single point but Louisville was favored in each game by about the same amount they are for this one. I don't expect this one to end well for them either. They have a new coach this season and are a program that use to be so strong but now has won just 13 games each of the past two seasons. Like the Mountaineers, they lost a lot of starters from last season and had to reload the roster. The difference though is I really like the additions Appalachian State made in the transfer department entering this season. Also, the Mountaineers are already 2-0 this season and they just won a game in OT in which they had to hit a late 3 just to force OT. App St is feeling it right now as a result. Confidence is building. Granted they did not play tough teams, especially in their season opening blowout win but the Cards played two game they were supposed to win also and yet lost them both. Louisville will be in a dogfight just to win this game let alone cover the spread. 10* APPALACHIAN STATE +6.5 |
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11-14-22 | Spurs +8 v. Warriors | Top | 95-132 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +8 @ Golden State Warriors @ 10:10 ET - Spurs off upset win over Bucks and Warriors off upset loss at Sacramento last night. Looks easy to just play GS, right? Not in today's NBA. These guys are paid so many millions and are athletes in elite shape but they can't dare play in a B2B situation, right? At least according to Golden State head coach Steve Kerr, that seems to be the case. Hard to say who will be on the floor for the Warriors tonight and I am sure at least some of the key pieces will be sitting because of how Kerr has handled these B2B spots recently. One thing I do know is the pesky Spurs will come into this one hungry and playing with confidence after knocking off the Bucks. San Antonio should field their normal roster and though they are still rebuilding and are young, they are well-coached and the Spurs have given Warriors good games in recent meetings. Look for this to be another tight one. 10* SAN ANTONIO +8 |
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11-14-22 | Lafayette v. St. Joe's OVER 138 | Top | 59-63 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 138 in St Joseph's Hawks vs Lafayette Leopards @ 7 ET - This follows the pattern of other recent totals plays that it is all about pace. Lafayette wants to run and gun and the situation is perfect for that here because St Joseph's is off a loss versus a very good Houston team. Having lost to a highly ranked team and scoring only 55 points, the Hawks will take advantage of taking a big step down in class to face Lafayette. The Leopards will be willing to play fast because that is the system they play in now. They should knock down a lot more shots here than they did against Miami in the season opener and they did score 68 against St John's in their next game but allowed 83 points to the Red Storm. That is the type of result I am looking for here as well. The Leopards will get their points but they will not be able to stop the Hawks especially since they are coming off an ugly loss entering this one. 10* OVER 138 in St Joseph's |
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11-13-22 | Thunder +5.5 v. Knicks | Top | 145-135 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 @ New York Knicks @ 12:10 ET - The Thunder and Knicks each off big wins Friday. The thing is that Oklahoma City knows they need to get their road game going better. They have struggled away from home this season. Sometimes these early starts on a Sunday can be tough on teams and they can be sluggish. That makes it harder for a favorite to pull away and cover the spread and this one is in the half-dozen range. Plus I like the motivation factor for OKC wanting to improve their road play. Look for them to be the more focused club in this one and the Knicks have not won B2B games in two weeks so I am going to challenge them here and I like having the points on our side with a team I feel has a great shot to win outright given the intangibles of this one. Thunder have been scrappy early this season and just took the Bucks to double OT recently too. 10* OKLAHOMA CITY +5.5 |
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11-13-22 | Eastern Kentucky v. Cincinnati OVER 143.5 | Top | 69-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
NCAAB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 143.5 in Cincinnati Bearcats vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels @ Noon ET - The Colonels want to play fast and, with their revamped roster, they will be able to do just that. The Bearcats were not happy the way their offense stagnated late in the season. They have a solid backcourt so they will be able to fully focus on improving that stagnation this season and the better production should be seen immediately. Cincinnati is averaging 83.5 ppg this season. Eastern Kentucky went crazy with points in their first game this season but that was against a completely over-matched opponent. Their 2nd game they scored only 60 but the Colonels had an off-shooting night. It was horrible as it 33% from the field and 8 of 17 from the free throw line! Eastern Kentucky took 62 shots so the proper pace for an over was there and it will be here again for this one and the Bearcats will run and gun right along with them as they are favored by about 18 points for a reason. The Colonels shot just fine in their first game including from the free throw line and from downtown so it was not just about easy buckets inside and they will bounce back after then struggling against the Hilltoppers. 10* OVER 143.5 in Cincinnati |
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11-12-22 | Green Bay v. Georgetown OVER 144.5 | Top | 58-92 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
NCAAB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 144/144.5 in Georgetown Hoyas vs Green Bay Phoenix @ 11 AM ET - I wanted to wait some to see if this total would come down some and sure enough it has. I know the Phoenix did not score well in their first game but they allowed 80 and will score much better here against a Hoyas team that is known for giving up a ton of points. I know Georgetown's first game went into OT but, even taking that out of the equation, the game was 83-83 before it went to OT! Keep in mind that was against Coppin State too. This match-up features two teams off very bad seasons and they each have a lot of transfers in. That can make a game play out more like a pick-up basketball game than a structured hoops match-up. That said, I am looking for a ton of points here. Green Bay has to shoot better than they did in first game but the Hoyas will continue to run and gun and also, along the way, will continue to forget about playing much defense too! So let's take advantage of the downward line move on this total. 10* OVER 144/144.5 in Georgetown |
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11-11-22 | Suns -7.5 v. Magic | Top | 97-114 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -7 @ Orlando Magic @ 7 ET - The Suns recently lost Cameron Johnson to injury but then, even without Chris Paul, they knocked off the Timberwolves at Minnesota by a double digit margin. Not only have the Suns won 7 of 9, all 7 of the victories have been by at least 9 points. That said, and especially with Paul likely coming back tonight, I am not going to hesitate to lay the 7 points here with one of the best teams in the NBA against one of the worst. Even if Paul is not back, note that Payne had a huge game filling in for him against the T-wolves. Also, Orlando is off a rare win as Mavericks shot horrific in that game and the Magic stole it even though they were without Banchero. He has an ankle injury so he could miss again here. Ankle sprains are not easy to come back from and he already missed one game and would not surprise me if they hold him out since next game not until Monday. So he can rest up some more this would be the logical thing to do. Even the Magic must know this is not likely to be a winnable game but Monday they host a bad Charlotte team. Will see how smart Orlando management is on this one but Banchero should not play. Either way I look for the better team to win and to continue their trend of winning games by at least 9 points. Note that the Magic were 2-9 this season before they got the shocking upset over Dallas. Lightning will not strike twice. 10* PHOENIX -7 |
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11-11-22 | Detroit v. Boston College OVER 139 | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 139 in Boston College Eagles vs Detroit Mercy Titans @ 1 ET - The Eagles first game totaled 156 points and it was no fluke. Boston College and Cornell University combined to make just 17 of 53 threes and both shot poorly from the free throw line yet the game still flew over the total. Why? Well the pace was there and that is a key with hoops totals and I expect another fast paced game here. Detroit comes to Chestnut Hill with added confidence after they scored 93 points in winning the first game of the season. Yes, they played Rochester University so they were supposed to win handily but, to put up 93 points is big for the Titans confidence. Keep in mind Antoine Davis is back for Mercy and he is a tough match-up and an elite scorer. He'll get his points for the Titans here and takes so much focus that it opens up the scoring for others on the floor. So this game should fly over the total. 10* OVER 139 in Boston College |
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11-10-22 | Southern Illinois v. Oklahoma State -8 | Top | 61-60 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys -8 vs Southern Illinois Salukis @ 8 ET - Both teams off wins but OSU was rather unimpressive in theirs while S Ill rolled on the scoreboard in theirs. I love spots like this because it creates solid line value. The Salukis actually won by 31 points but had 9 less shot attempts from the field than Little Rock did. How is that possible? Well Southern Illinois shot lights out while struggled badly including 3 of 18 from 3 point land and 8 of 18 from the free throw line! Southern Illinois was great from the field in this game and also were able to dominate the glass against Little Rock. So the key here is that none of those things are likely to be repeated here. Now the Salukis are on the road and facing a Big 12 program and Stillwater is not an easy place to play. Look for the Cowboys, with a talented backcourt and strong team depth, to roll to a win by double digits at home in this one. OSU is off a disappointing campaign so they are hungry to make amends this season. The fact the Cowboys only won their opener by 11 against UT Arlington even though they were favored by 21 only strengthens this spot. Oklahoma State should shoot much better than 6 of 25 from 3-point land in this one! 10* OKLAHOMA STATE -8 |
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11-10-22 | Mavs -3.5 v. Wizards | Top | 105-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks -3.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Yes this is a back to back for Dallas and we did lose with them last night. However, the Mavericks had a simply awful shooting night and that was the difference in the game. I certainly do not expect a repeat of that here. That said, some perfect trends in play here too. Dallas is 3-0 this season when off a SU loss and all 3 wins have been by at least 4 points. The line on this game is 3 or 3.5 and I feel we can lay it with confidence. That's because Washington is off a win and they are 0-3 last 3 times they were off a SU victory this season. All 3 losses were by a double digit margin including the most recent one coming by 42 points in a blowout defeat. Double perfect trends here favoring the Mavs. Lay it. 10* DALLAS -3.5 |
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11-09-22 | Davidson -3.5 v. Wright State | Top | 102-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Davidson Wildcats -3.5 @ Wright State Raiders @ 7 ET - The Wildcats have the stronger backcourt in this match-up. That is important early in the season. I like the Raiders frontcourt but have some concerns about their guard play and feel they could struggle a bit early on this season. Yes Davidson has a new coach but he has been the assistant there for years under his father and he himself was a strong scorer for this program about two decades ago. The point is that he is experienced in the program and had been working with his Dad here for about two decades and I think Davidson is going to be rock solid yet again this season. Yes they lost some of their playing rotation from last season but so too did Wright State. The Wildcats are a fantastic program and remember that the Raiders did start off slow out of the gates last season in non-conference action too. Look for that to be the case again this season as they go through some early-season growing pains in the backcourt in particular. 10* DAVIDSON -3.5 |
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11-09-22 | Mavs -6 v. Magic | Top | 87-94 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks -6 @ Orlando Magic @ 5:30 ET - The Magic are tied with Rockets for worst record in the NBA and just let Houston score a ton of points against them and shoot lights out from the field. The point is that Orlando, other than rookie forward Paolo Banchero, is really having a rough start to this season. Making matters even worse here is that if Banchero even plays in this game he could be limited by an ankle sprain. I am away that Hardaway could miss this game for Mavericks but his injury seems less serious and is not an ankle. Don't be surprised if he plays and is very effective. Even if he does not play, the other guys who would get a lot of minutes in his absence are Finney-Smith and Josh Green and they are coming off huge games as is Luka Doncic as he continues to dominate. The Magic have one OT loss in last 8 defeats but the other 7 were are all by at least 6 points. Dallas has a lot of tight wins this season but they have won 4 straight games and that includes 9 point win over Orlando. I really believe Banchero could miss this game but, even if he plays, he will not be himself 100% and that is a key detriment for the Magic. By the way, Mavs have allowed just 102 ppg last 4 games while Orlando, not including OT points, has allowed 120.4 points last 5 games. Big difference in terms of level of defense when comparing these two teams. 10* DALLAS -6 |
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11-08-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Purdue OVER 140 | Top | 53-84 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 140 in Purdue Boilermakers vs Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers @ 6:30 ET - How will UW-Milwaukee play with a new head coach? Fast and firing up 3-pointers and willingness to press on defense. How will this effect the Panthers. We already got a taste of this in their first game. Yes it was against Milwaukee School of Engineering in an Exhibition if you will but last year UW-Milw won it by a count of 69-63. This year they won it in a rout and topped the century mark. Now of course the Panthers will now being scoring huge points against Purdue but their willingness to press on defense, fire up threes, and play a fast pace means they should get into the 60s here and, keep in mind, the Boilermakers are a 27-point favorite for a reason! So I look for this one to play out at a fast pace and with a margin getting to the 20 to 30 point range that means no pressure and guys can fire up 3's and play fast which is exactly what coach Bart Lundy wants. He is coming back to the area (previously was an assistant at Marquette) after a great run at a division II School. Queens College (Charlotte, NC) had 7 Div II NCAA Tourney appearances during his 9 seasons there and last season they averaged 85.5 points per game. Again, the pace the Panthers will play with will be fast and Purdue's concern heading into the season is their backcourt so the pressure D could result in turnovers and points in the transition game. Of course Purdue is the much better team and the Boilermakers frontcourt will dominate this game. The end result, in my opinion, is plenty of points here! 10* OVER 140 in Purdue |
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11-07-22 | Nuggets v. Spurs OVER 231 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play OVER 231 in San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets @ 9:40 ET - These teams just met in Denver and that game stayed just under the total but neither team got to the free throw line much and both teams shot poorly at the free throw line. Look for the Spurs to play at a faster pace here at home and score plenty in this one as they will be stronger on their home floor then they have been on the road. The issue for San Antonio in this one, as has been the issue all season long, is just that they can not stop anyone. The Spurs have had one home game this season in which they held their opponent under the century mark but in their other 4 home games they have allowed 127 points per game. The line on this one is right around a -7 for Denver so that would put the final score here at 127-120 and that total is well above the posted total on this game. The Spurs have averaged 114 points scored per game their last 9 games and won 5 of those so don't be surprised if they do indeed get close to 120 here. The Nuggets have averaged 118 points per game their last 8 games and are allowing 122 points per game on the road this season. Look for a high-scoring shootout int this one. 10* OVER 231 in San Antonio |
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11-07-22 | Suns -125 v. 76ers | Top | 88-100 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns Money Line -115/-125 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 8:10 ET - I know the Suns just lost Cameron Johnson to an injury but the 76ers are without James Harden plus who knows if Joel Embiid will finally play for the Sixers in this one after missing time with an illness. I do expect him to play but the last I heard was Coach Rivers saying he was at about 75% in the latest practice. What I do know though is that even if he does play he won't be 100% plus probably can't play as much as usual here in his first game back. Also, Philly is actually just 2-4 in games in which Embiid has played this season. That said, I feel we have great value here with this 7-2 Suns team even without Johnson. Again, the Sixers are without Harden here. So adding up all the factors and the line value because home court is baked into this line, the road team is the play here. I am seeing money lines as low as -115 on the Suns so I would rather lay a money line here than the 1.5 points and risk getting burned if the road teams wins by just a single point. Of course this play being posted early so there could be a lot of line movement but let's go ahead and get involved now and grab the Suns. 10* PHOENIX -115/-125 money line |
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11-07-22 | La Salle +15 v. Villanova | Top | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play La Salle Explorers +15 @ Villanova Wildcats @ 6:30 ET - This is an intriguing match-up because it is an all-Philly game and, as always, the little brother wants to prove they can compete with the big brother. What has added to the intrigue here is La Salle has Fran Duphy (a 1970 Explorers graduate) and his 30 years of head coaching experience patrolling the sideline. At the same time, Villanova no longer has Jay Wright on the sideline and it will be strange to see the Wildcats without Wright patrolling the sideline. Kyle Neptune has only one year of head coaching experience. To his credit, Neptune has experience within the Wildcats program and helped recruit a lot of this current roster. Still I like the head coaching edge of Dunphy over Neptune and also note that guard play is so key early in the season in particular. It helps teams get comfortable in the early going of the season when teams are still trying to work out the kinks. That said, I like the depth of the Explorers in terms of their backcourt and will note that Villanova lost a lot from last year's backcourt. Of course Nova still the better team and should win this by a range of 7 to 9 points but I would not be surprised to see the Explorers, led by Dunphy, to hang around in this Philly battle much longer than many expect and it should not be a blowout as a result. 10* LA SALLE +15 |
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11-04-22 | Warriors v. Pelicans -4 | Top | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play New Orleans Pelicans -4 vs Golden State Warriors @ 8:40 ET - The Pelicans are off an unbelieve, inexcusable OT loss at Los Angeles when they missed 2 free throws with under 2 seconds to go in the game. That then allowed the Lakers get off a 3 at the buzzer which did go in to force OT. After LA won the game in OT you know New Orleans is going to be extremely fired up here. Not only that, the Pelicans are getting back Brandon Ingram and Herbert Jones for this game. Those reinforcements will help and what also helps is they are catching the Warriors in a back to back. Golden State has been getting good production from their starting five. But the Warriors bench has struggled and that means if the Warriors starters are worn out from the B2B than this one sets up to be very tough sledding for GS. Look for NO to take advantage. the Pelicans will run them right out of the arena and Golden State has been struggling defensively so this sets up for a big-time home blowout here. 10* NEW ORLEANS -4 |
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11-02-22 | Wizards v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 121-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7.5 vs Washington Wizards @ 6:10 ET - The Wizards have not been traveling far but still they are bouncing around quite a bit right now. Washington was at home than on the road at Boston then at home versus 76ers and now on the road at Philly to face the Sixers again. This is also a 4 games in 6 days situation for Washington so this is all part of their toughest test so far this season in terms of scheduling. I like the fact that the Sixers, even without Embiid, were able to win by 7 on the road at Washington Monday. This is a Philly team that is finally starting to find its footing. The 76ers have won 3 straight games on the road and also won their last home game by 14 points. I look for them to build their run to 4 straight wins even if Embiid is not back tonight. But I do expect him back and also want to note that even though they are not stars, Kispert and Wright being out for the Wizards is still taking away a couple guys that average about 24 minutes a game. They are rotation players that Washington wants to use as part of the core group for the team! As for the Sixers, the only current "injury" situation was Embiid's illness and I would be surprised if he misses tonight's game. Look for the Wizards to run out of gas as this game goes on and the deeper Sixers again take advantage just like they did Monday with their big 3rd quarter in DC leading to solid win. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7.5 |
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11-01-22 | Wolves +5.5 v. Suns | Top | 107-116 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +5 or +5.5 @ Phoenix Suns @ 10 ET - When something looks too good to be true it usually is. Keep in mind, Phoenix is 4-0 at home this season and the Suns enter this game on a 4-game winning streak in which all 4 wins were by a double digit margin. That said, how can the Suns have opened up as only a 4-point favorite at home? Exactly! Sure enough this line is already up to as high as a 5.5 in some spots and I love being a contrarian in situations like this. Minnesota went out and made the big move for Gobert in the off-season because they want to be a force to be reckoned with. To prove they have indeed arrived in the Western Conference, the Wolves must prove they can compete with one of the best teams in the West (and in all of NBA) in the form of the Suns. I feel Minny is going to be extra hungry here as a result and I love having the handful of points being offered here too as an outright upset would not surprise me in the least. If the Wolves do fall short, look for it to be by the slimmest of margins. 10* MINNESOTA +5 or +5.5 |
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10-31-22 | 76ers -4 v. Wizards | Top | 118-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - The Wizards are playing in a B2B for the first time this season and yesterday's game was on the road at Boston. This is also a 3 games in 4 days situation for Washington so it is their toughest test so far this season in terms of scheduling. Yes, the Wizards get the benefit of being at home for this one but that is also helping to keep this line very manageable on a Philly team that is finally starting to find its footing. The 76ers have won B2B games on the road and will be hosting the Wizards on Wednesday so they are fully focused on Washington here and I look for them to build their run to 3 straight wins! Look for the Wizards to run out of gas as this game goes on and the rested Sixers take advantage. 10* PHILADELPHIA -4 |
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10-30-22 | Warriors v. Pistons +8 | Top | 114-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Detroit Pistons +8 vs Golden State Warriors @ 6 ET - Back to back spot for Warriors who are winless on the road this season and they went into overtime at Charlotte last night so not a good situation here. Not only could Steph Curry and company need a little extra rest tonight, Jordan Poole is dealing with an ankle injury. The Pistons are off to a rough start to this season but they will take advantage of facing Golden State in a tough situation for the Warriors. You also know the home team will be up about having Curry and Company in town for this one. 10* DETROIT +8 |
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10-28-22 | Hornets v. Magic OVER 224 | Top | 93-113 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 224 or 224.5 in Orlando Magic vs Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - The Magic are winless on the season and will be fighting hard for their first win here. They will have to score plenty to do that because the Hornets have continued piling up big points this season. Though Orlando might scare you to be involved with because of their 0-5 record, note they have played a tough road-heavy schedule so far. Also, this team scored 120 points in their only home game so far this season. Trouble was that the Magic allowed 126 points in that game. I know Cole Anthony is now out with an injury but the point guard shot a combined 8 of 28 last two games! Keep in mind that Anthony had only 14 points in the home game in which Orlando scored 120 versus Celtics. The point is that the Magic, even though still dealing with some injury issues early this season, are fully capable of putting up plenty of points here at home - just their 2nd home game of the season! Charlotte, not including OT points of course, has seen each of their 4 games this season total at least 231 points. More of the same expected here! 10* OVER 224 or 224.5 in Orlando |
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10-27-22 | Mavs v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 129-125 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets +2.5 vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:40 ET - I know the Nets are in a back to back spot here so many are jumping on the Mavericks. I get it. But this Brooklyn team from top to bottom is very angry and fired up and I am expecting a huge effort from them tonight as result. Last night frustrations boiled over in the loss at Milwaukee and head coach Steve Nash was dealt his first ever ejection as a head coach! That is how intense the situation was for the Nets last night. Now they are back home and ready to put the frustration to work for them in a positive way here and I fully expect a positive result to follow! Keep in mind that Dallas, just like Brooklyn, is off to a slow start. The Mavericks also have just 1 win on the season. By the way the home team is a perfect 3-0 in Dallas games this season and the home team is a perfect 3-0 in the Nets last 3 games. Look for this double perfect trending to continue here with another home win but I will grab the generous points being offered here as added insurance. I do expect the outright win though. 10* BROOKLYN +2.5 |
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10-26-22 | 76ers v. Raptors | Top | 109-119 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers PICK (-110) @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - I know Toronto wants revenge for the post-season exit at the hands of the Sixers in the spring. However, I look at the Philly starters and bench and compare to the Raptors starters and bench and to me it sure seems the 76ers are the much stronger and deeper team. This is currently even a magnified issues because Philadelphia is the healthier team. For Toronto, Otto Porter has yet to suit up this season and is doubtful for this game and the Raptors were hoping the new acquisition could be a solid contributor for them. Also, Scottie Barnes is listed as questionable for this contest. Even if he does play his ankle is unlikely to be 100% and he may not be able to play up to his full potential in this one. Again, if he even sees the floor! Yes, Toronto is off a big win at Miami but the Raptors rallied in the 4th quarter for the victory as they trailed heading to final stanza. Also, the Heat shot horribly from distance in that game. The fact the Raptors outscored the Heat by six 3-pointers (18 points) from beyond the arc was absolutely the difference in that win. As for the Sixers, they just got their first win of the season against Indiana. Getting that win over the Pacers is just what the doctor ordered! Philly will finally have some confidence back after a frustrating 0-3 start to the season. Look for the Sixers to look like a different team tonight and they have the better shooters in this match-up too and I just don't see the Raptors as being able to keep up in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA PICK (-110) |
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10-25-22 | Warriors v. Suns -2.5 | Top | 105-134 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -2.5 vs Golden State Warriors @ 10 ET - The Suns have played the tougher schedule so far with a pair of a road games and their only home game was against at tough Mavericks team. Now Phoenix is at home facing the Warriors in a huge match-up. For Golden State, this is their first road trip of the new season. I feel this is a significant edge for the Suns in this spot and we are getting a bargain price with this line at -2.5 for Phoenix at home. The Warriors were great at home last season but only 22-19 on the road. The Suns were 32-9 both home and away last season! Amazingly only ONE of their 64 victories had a margin of victory under 3 points! Even in the post-season all 7 of their wins were by at least 3 points. So I have no hesitation in laying the points here considering that 70 of the 71 wins that Phoenix had last season were by at least 3 points! Also, the Suns are very hungry entering this season after losing in the 2nd round of the post-season to the Mavericks in 7 games. 10* PHOENIX -2.5 |
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10-24-22 | Celtics v. Bulls +4.5 | Top | 102-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls +4.5 or +5 vs Boston Celtics @ 8:10 ET - This is a great spot for the Bulls. They are off an embarrassing home loss to the Cavaliers in which they actually were about equal in shot attempts from the field plus had more free throw attempts yet lost the game by 32 points! So what happened? The Cavaliers shot a ridiculous percentage from 3-point land and had a hot shooting night overall. After getting embarrassed like this on their home floor I am sure Chicago is going to respond here. Remember the Bulls prior game was a road loss but just by 2 points and they opened the season on the road with a solid win at Miami also. Yes the Celtics are 3-0 this season but the teams they beat are a combined 1-8 so far. So maybe Boston caught the right teams at the right time but that is not the case here. I look for an angry Bulls team to be relentless at both ends of the floor tonight. 10* CHICAGO +4.5 or +5 |
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10-23-22 | Wolves v. Thunder OVER 224.5 | Top | 116-106 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 225.5 in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 8:10 ET - Look for extra energy from each club here. Minnesota off first loss of the season and though that game went into OT it went over the total in regulation. OKC is playing their home opener so that adds an element of energy and excitement for an 0-2 Thunder team. These teams met already this season and that game should have gone over the total but a sub-par 4th quarter kept it just under the total. People were expecting new acquisitions for Minny were going to result in a slowdown but they have had plenty of pace in their games and are scoring very well. The Thunder also playing at a fast pace and scoring well but they can not stop anyone. That said, I think we're going to see a ton of scoring in this one as Oklahoma City again gives up a ton of points but, this time, they are in the game all the way to the end as home court is a big boost for the Thunder here. 10* OVER 225.5 in Oklahoma City |
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10-22-22 | Spurs v. 76ers OVER 223.5 | Top | 114-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 223.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs San Antonio Spurs @ 6:10 ET - The Spurs have allowed huge points in each game this season but they are off a win last night in which they scored 137 points and no there was no overtime. They shot the ball very well and nailed threes and they will be confident now heading into Philly. Keep in mind SA had 99 shot attempts in their first game this season so they are willing to play at a fast pace. I expect Philly to want to play at a fast pace in this one. They are angry off B2B losses to start the season and they need a huge game from Embiid here as he has had a frustrating start to the season. I don't see the Spurs interior as being capable of putting up must resistance in that regard. Also, the Sixers scored just 88 points versus Bucks because they shot so poorly including from 3-point land. I fully expect Philly to unload on this Spurs team that has given up massive point totals in their first two games this season. With Philly favored by about 13 points in this one and if Spurs allow their average of 132 points per game that puts this one at 132-119 and we don't need 250 to win this pick. In other words, you get my point. Even if Philly only scores 120 against this bad Spurs defense and the spread is right we still get this one into the upper 220s. Love this over as it should be a loosely played non-conference match-up that sees Philly score tons of points but the hot-shooting Spurs hang around and score well too. 10* OVER 223.5 in Philadelphia |
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10-21-22 | Jazz v. Wolves OVER 228.5 | Top | 132-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 228.5 in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz @ 8:10 ET - Like the fact that both teams got to games in the 223 to 225 range on Wednesday even though there were some strange results there. The Nuggets scored only 102 points at Utah on Wednesday but it is because they made just 5 of 22 three pointers. You know the Timberwolves are going to shoot much better than that from beyond the arc in this one against that same Jazz defense. Minnesota at home should score plenty here but I also like the fact that Utah's bench players combined to score 68 points in the win over Denver! That means even if Minny gets a big lead in this game the Jazz will have scorers coming in off the bench throughout and even late in "garbage time" if we need it. What I also like about this one is the fact that the Wolves game against the Thunder was played at a very fast pace. It absolutely should have gone over the total. OKC took 99 shots from the field including 45 from 3-point land. The problem is they made just 38% of their shots from the field and a modest 31% from beyond the arc. By the way, the Timberwolves made just 10 of 38 shots from 3-point land and that is highly unlikely to be repeated here. That was tough loss for us with that over in Minny the first time. A tough tight one in which we deserved much better. Tonight on Friday we'll get that "much better" this go around! 10* OVER 228.5 in Minnesota |
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06-16-22 | Warriors v. Celtics OVER 210 | Top | 103-90 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 210 in Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - The Warriors are now one step away from winning it all but you also know the Celtics are going to respond off B2B losses and now being back on their home floor. That said, I see no way this game does not find its way over the total. Golden State playing with so much confidence right now but Boston will ride a wave of emotion at home and score a ton of points in this one. Celtics had averaged 106.7 points per game at home in this playoffs before the Game 4 home loss in this series. Golden State averaging 112.3 points per game in the post-season. 10* OVER 210 in Boston |
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06-13-22 | Celtics +150 v. Warriors | Top | 94-104 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 47 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics Money Line +150 @ Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - This is perfect spot for Celtics to grab another game in this series on the road. The Celtics are 8-3 SU in road games in the post-season plus are 7-3 SU last 10 versus the Warriors including a rock solid 4-1 SU last 5 at Golden State and you have the perfect set up for an upset here. No points needed. No team has won B2B games yet in this series and this should not be a huge surprise because both teams are so good at bouncing back off losses. The Warriors are now 8-0 SU when off a loss after bouncing back in the Game 4 win. As for the Celtics, they enter this game on a 9-0 / 100% SU run when entering a game off a loss. I know the Warriors were the better team in the 4th quarter of Game 4 but overall the Celtics have been an amazing 4th quarter team of late and I expect a big response here from Boston on the road. As noted above, they have been so strong on the road overall in this post-season and, again, they have also been phenomenal when off a loss. 9-0 last 9 and I am expecting the streak to reach 10 in a row so will go with the money line here. 10* BOSTON +150 |
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06-10-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | Top | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Golden State Warriors +4 @ Boston Celtics @ 9 ET - The Warriors are 6-0 the last 6 times when off a loss. That is 6-0 SU / 100% PERFECT! That said, the fact we get an added 4 points here with underdog Golden State is simply a bonus! I do expect GS to win outright but will grab the points as added insurance. The Warriors led the first game by 12 after 3 quarters and the second game by 21 after 3 quarters and they only trailed the third game by 4 after 3 quarters. The point is that the Warriors could just as easy be up 3-0 in this series rather than down 2-1. Give credit to the Celtics for their resilience and their ability to come up strong in 4th quarters. However, I look for the Warriors - with their backs against the wall - to absolutely come up big in this one. They should improve to 7-0 SU / 100% PERFECT last 7 times when off a loss but I will grab the points here as I feel this is an excellent line value that could prove well worth it in the event Boston prevails by a very slim margin. 10* GOLDEN STATE +4 |
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06-08-22 | Warriors v. Celtics OVER 212 | Top | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 212 in Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - The Warriors have scored an average of 113 points per game last 8 games. The Celtics have scored an average of 116 points per game the last 8 times they have entered a game off a loss. I feel certain that Boston is going to respond on their home floor after an embarrassing effort on the road Sunday in which they scored just 88 points. However, I also feel certain that Golden State is going to continue piling up points. The result should be an easy over here and I like the fact that this total dropped a little from its opener which is serving to give us even more line value here. Each of the last two meetings between these teams in Boston have gone over the total and the games averaged 225.5 points apiece. That said, it comes as no surprise that my forecast models are reflecting this one getting to at least 220 points just like saw in Game 1 of this series which totaled 228 points. A ton of line value here. 10* OVER 212 in Boston |
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06-05-22 | Celtics +4.5 v. Warriors | Top | 88-107 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics +4.5 @ Golden State Warriors Sunday @ 8 PM ET - The whole world will likely line up on Golden State here. In fact this line could drive up even higher but I am getting the early jump here with a solid 4.5 soon after Game 1 of this series finished. I know the expectation is that the Warriors bounce back but that is hard to trust. They just outscored 40-16 in the 4th quarter of a game on their home floor in which they also were the more rested team. The news gets even worse for Golden State. Steph Curry had a huge Game 1 with 34 points and nailing 7 of 14 threes while Celtics start Jayson Tatum had just 12 points on 3 for 17 shooting. Stop and think about that for a minute. Should be easy GS win given those numbers. Yet the Celtics won the game by double digits. Not only that, the two days off in between games also means that Boston can hit the reset button and comfortably relax. All the pressure here is on the Warriors and they wish they could take the floor right away on Friday to make up for the debacle. This situation is perfect for a rested and relaxed Celtics team to steal Game 2 as well but will grab the points this time just in case the Warriors find a way to steal it late. Took the money line in Game 1 but more points are available in Game 2 and given the situation that is the best value as I will gladly challenge a Golden State team questioning itself to win this game by at least 5 points. The road dogs loaded with confidence now. 10* BOSTON +4.5 |
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06-02-22 | Celtics +145 v. Warriors | Top | 120-108 | Win | 145 | 43 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics Money Line +145 @ Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - This is perfect spot for Celtics to steal one of the first two games of this series on the road. The rest versus rust factor is a key. Boston has had a little bit of rest since their hard-fought series win over Miami. I feel the amount of rest is ideal and Celtics will still have good game flow here. As for the Warriors, they have been off for about a week. That is certainly at the point of being too much rest and when the rest can turn into rust as noted above. Couple that with the fact that the Celtics are 7-2 SU in road games in the post-season plus are 5-1 SU last 6 versus the Warriors including a perfect 3-0 SU last 3 at Golden State and you have the perfect set up for an upset here. No points needed. 10* BOSTON +145 |
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05-29-22 | Celtics v. Heat +123 | Top | 100-96 | Loss | -100 | 39 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Miami Heat Money Line +125 vs Boston Celtics @ 8:30 ET - The Celtics continue to get a lot more respect than the Heat and this has resulted in line value here. Miami has been getting a lot of shots from the field but just was not shooting well at all and that allowed Boston to take a stranglehold on the series. However, with the Heat bouncing back in Game 6 thanks to Jimmy Butler proving to be Mr Clutch as he so often is, the value is with Miami on their home floor here. The Heat are getting healthier including Butler certainly looking 100 percent again and couple that with the home court and momentum edge here and I just do not see Miami being denied in this one. Tatum is a beast for the Celtics of course and they are a very strong team just like Miami and that is why this series is going 7 games. However, just can not see the ultra-competitive Butler being denied here as he and his teammates put it all together again for a big win on their home floor. Their confidence is back and better shooting will follow and they are at home here and, keep in mind, the Heat averaged 19 more shots from the field than the Celtics in the 3 games that preceded their big Game 6 road win. 10* MIAMI +125 |
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05-27-22 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 200.5 | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 200.5 in Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat @ 8:30 ET - Back to back unders but the Heat actually have averaged 92 shots from the field the last 3 games. The only reason the last two games have stayed under is because of horrible shooting from Miami which is highly improbable to continue here. At the same time, you know Boston is likely to stay hot. Celtics are at home where they are loaded with confidence. Boston has only had one poor game offensively in their last 8 home games. In the other 7 games, the Celtics have averaged 108.4 points per game as a host. Considering that plus the Heat facing elimination and likely to finally shoot at least a halfway respectable rate in this one we have great line value with this ultra low total. 10* OVER 200.5 in Boston |
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05-26-22 | Mavs +7 v. Warriors | Top | 110-120 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +7 @ Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - Amazingly, the Mavericks have not had a standalone win in 4 months. You have to go all the way back to January 24th to find the last time that the Mavericks were off a loss, had a win, and then lost their very next game. Since that time, the Mavs are 12-0 / 100% perfect in this situation. That is a SU record. 12 straight times the Mavericks have managed to avoid the dreaded standalone win. That said, I definitely like our chances here of getting at least a cover as the Mavericks look to keep their season alive with one big upset. Once again, when off a win that was preceded by a loss, the Mavericks are 12-0 / 100% perfect SU. Give me the points here. 10* DALLAS +7 |
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05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat +1.5 | Top | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Miami Heat +1.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 8:30 ET - The Heat are off a loss and have been so strong off a defeat. The Celtics got the key Game 4 win to even this series up but now are over-valued on the road. Boston has been alternating wins and losses frequently in this post-season in the last two series and I look for that trend to continue here. The Celtics will have their hands full here with a Heat team that had won 10 straight home games prior to losing to 25 points as a host versus Boston in Game 2 of this series. Not only payback for that but Miami enters this game off a 20 point road loss in Game 4 at Boston. The Heat take back series lead with a key revenging win over the Celtics in this one. 10* MIAMI +1.5 |
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05-23-22 | Heat +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 82-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Miami Heat +6.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 8:30 ET - The Heat could get Butler back for this game and I do expect that plus they are loaded with confidence after the big Game 3 win on the road. Miami does not have to win this game to get the money for us either. A loss by 6 or less points also cashes our ticket and 5 of Boston's 9 post-season wins have been by a margin of 4.8 points. All the pressure on Boston here to avoid a 3-1 series hole before heading to Miami for Game 5. As for the Heat, they already have accomplished the success of insuring they have home court edge for this series no matter what happens in Game 4. That said, they can play loose and relaxed basketball. With all the pressure on the Celtics, the Heat are going to be tough to put away in this one. Huge value with the points. 10* MIAMI +6.5 |
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05-22-22 | Warriors v. Mavs UNDER 218 | Top | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
NBA 10* UNDER 218 in Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - Barring another absolutely ludicrous finish like the 24 points we saw scored in the final minute and 20 seconds of last night's game between the Celtics and Heat, we should finally seen an under here. The Mavericks will dial up the defense here as they look to avoid an 0-3 hole here and the Warriors are known for struggling with their shooting on the road at times. Golden State fully capable of more solid defense here though just like they showed in the 2nd half of their Game 2 win. The result is a game that should fall well short of the total tonight unless we again see another absolutely preposterous final 81 seconds of basketball like we saw last night. 10* UNDER 218 in Dallas |
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05-21-22 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 207.5 | Top | 109-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play UNDER 207.5 in Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat @ 8:30 ET - The first two games of this series have totaled at least 225 points yet the odds makers have hardly budged on the O/U they are posting. As I have said many times before, the odds makers are super sharp and I feel they have this match-up pegged. We're going to finally see the type of defensive-minded chess match many have been expecting with this series. Keep in mind the Celtics just knocked down 20 of 40 from three point land in Game 2 and also note that each team has combined to hit above their normal shooting percentages from the field in the first two games of this series. These numbers are not sustainable and with this series tied at 1-game apiece, we are going to see some solid defense here in a critical swing game here in Game 3. The under has cashed in 4 of last 5 Boston home games. The under has cashed in 4 of last 5 Miami road games. 10* UNDER 207.5 in Boston |
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05-20-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks Money Line +220 @ Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - If you think this series is over already think again. Ton of value here with Dallas and we don't need any points. Yes the Mavericks got blown out in Game One of this series but that was only the 2nd time they have been blown out by Golden State in the last 7 meetings. The two defeats were blowout losses but the Mavs won each of the other 5 games and ALL were straight-up outright wins. That is why I am advising NOT to take the points here. We will not need them. Dallas, overall, is 16-3 SU the last 19 times when off a loss. These teams knows how to bounce back and that is why losing streaks have been rare. That has played a key role in why the Mavericks finished up the regular season on a 36-12 SU run last 48 games. As for post-season, the Mavs are already 4-1 when off a loss and I am looking for a big-time bounce back here. The Mavericks had 4 more shots from the field and 5 more shots from the free throw line in Wednesday's 25-point loss. We have value here as a result because I am expecting much better shooting from the Mavs in this one. 10* DALLAS +220 |
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05-19-22 | Celtics +157 v. Heat | Top | 127-102 | Win | 157 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics Money Line +157 @ Miami Heat @ 8:30 ET - The Celtics lost game one of this series and feel challenged by their coach after a horrific 2nd half at Miami. Boston is 10-1 SU the last 11 times when off a loss. Also, the Celtics are a fantastic 7-0 / 100% PERFECT SU when on the road and off a loss. No points needed here. Boston set to improve to 8-0 SU when on the road and entering that game off a defeat. Celtics get it done at solid plus money here as they are an angry bunch after being embarrassed by the Heat in the 2nd half of Tuesday's game. 10* BOSTON +157 |