Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-18-20 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 52 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 52 h 9 m | Show | |
Im betting on a rockem sockem hard fought affair that will be played fairly conservatively. I know after Miami upset the Niners and made their D, look lazy a huge bounce back effort will be on the agenda. Rams hardcore D, remains ready to adjust on the road here which Im betting leads to a lower scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. LA RAMS are 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 45 ppg going on the board. NFLHome teams against the total (SAN FRANCISCO) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 25-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams against the total (LA RAMS) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (75% or more ) playing a team with a losing record are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama OVER 56.5 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The Georgia Bulldogs take on the Alabama Crimson Tide in SEC action this Saturday in a game I have projected to eclipse this total. Ill state the obvious by saying that both teams possess explosive offenses with the Tide averaging 51 ppg and the Dawgs 36 ppg, and despite of viable defenses, it will take a boat load full of points for one of these teams to come out on top here, with OT also being a higher percentage possibility. These teams have seen the over eclisped in 8 of their L/10 meetings and last year they took part in a tilt that combined for 63 points. Rinse and repeat folks. |
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10-16-20 | BYU v. Houston OVER 62 | 43-26 | Win | 100 | 63 h 9 m | Show | |
10-15-20 | Georgia State v. Arkansas State UNDER 73 | 52-59 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
The Arkansas State Red Wolves’ explosive offense will be in tough here against the Georgia State Panthers’ top tier defense. My projections say they will have success , but not on par with the linesmakers estimates. Yes both teams run fast paced offences, but the totals number, is just a tad high considering one of these sides defence is of the top tier variety Note:Georgia State ranks second in the nation in defensive Havoc and has registered 17 tackles for a loss. Georgia State, ranks first in Stuff Rate, Power Success and against pass explosiveness. Im betting the Panthers dont make life easy for the Red Wolves, and their 50/50 attack might turn to the run more often and eat clock time because of the problems that the Panthers secondary will provide. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring tilt that the linesmakers expect. GEORGIA ST is 7-0 UNDER in road games off 2 or more consecutive overs with a combined average of 53.8 ppg scored.GEORGIA ST is 10-1 UNDER after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game with a combined average of 48 ppg going on the score board. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (ARKANSAS ST/GEORGIA ST) - when playing on a Thursday are 48-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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10-14-20 | Coastal Carolina v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 60 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
In a battle of two undefeated teams, Im betting we see a closely contested affair that is conservative in nature. Neither of these teams plays to tempo. For example :UL Lafayette's offense averages 26 seconds per play while Coastal Carolina moves at a snails pace behind one the slowest offenses in the nation at 30.2 seconds per play. The Ragin’ Cajuns have had alot of problems converting opportunity into points, with a Finishing Drives rank of 70th in the nation. Meanwhile, UL Lafayette's under appreciated defense has done a fantastic job of limiting explosive plays, ranking seventh in opposition plays from scrimmage of plus 20 yards. Everything for me points to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this number. My projections estimate this total closer to 56 which gives credence to my recommended under bet. COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. LA LAFAYETTE is 6-0 UNDER as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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10-12-20 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Buehler will start his third Game 1 of the 2020 postseason. He’s allowed three runs across eight innings (four IP in each). He has not thrown more than 95 pitches at any point in 2020 and is extremely fresh and ready to long and strong. Note: The Dodgers have gone UNDER 8 times in franchise history with Walker Buehler at home when they won his last three starts, with the average final score clicking in at 5.25 rpg. Meanwhile, the Braves LH starter Max Friedhas seen the Braves go 12-1 in 13 starts in 2020, including 2-0 in the postseason. After tossing seven scoreless innings in Game 1 of the Wild Card Series hes ready to bring the heat again today in this key game 1 event. The Braves gone under in 8 straight tilt as a underdog in the first game of a series with rest after a game in where they scored 6+ runs and had 8+ hits.ATLANTA is 25-10 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-11-20 | Lakers v. Heat UNDER 216 | 106-93 | Win | 100 | 34 h 18 m | Show | |
The Heat have never for one second stopped working hard, and are now getting more physical as the series progresses . Now with the noose tightening on the Lakers and the Heats confidence surging, Im betting on a absolute war here in game 6 with defense and hard core bone breaking action to take center stage. Look for almost every shot to be contested in a hardcore battle that results in a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Play UNDER |
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10-11-20 | Dolphins v. 49ers UNDER 50.5 | 43-17 | Loss | -103 | 44 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami QB Fitzpatrick has thrown five interceptions, tied for third most in the NFL. His passer rating ranks 28th and now this week I expect he will be out to protect the ball and make shorter smarter passes buoyed by his teams running game which Im betting eats up alot of clock time. Meanwhile, the Niners struggled on the offensive line last week, allowing 16 pressures, which is not a good omen for offensive flow here today. With that said, Im betting this number is just a bit bloated and should be closer to 47.5/ giving us value to the under. Jimmy Garoppolo is questionable Sunday vs Miami ( Ankle ) and if he does play will be less than 100%. MIAMI is 34-19 UNDER versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6 or more yards/play with a combined average of 45.1 ppg scored.MIAMI is 27-10 L/37 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. Play on the UNDER |
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10-10-20 | Kansas State v. TCU OVER 50 | 21-14 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 15 m | Show | |
QB Skylar Thompson's arm injury is not as bad as had earlier been anticipated and he will probably play and if he does not Will Howard who is extremely capable will admirably fill in. Kansas State has proven they can move the ball and Im betting they do it again today vs a TCU D in a letdown spot after a big win vs Texas last time out. On the flip side, the Frogs can also light up the board , behind QB Duggan, a sophomore, who has thrown for 472 yards and three touchdown. Patterson is 20-9 OVER after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs as the coach of TCU with a combined average of 60.2 ppg scored. Kansas State is 19-0-1 OVER L/20 dating back to the 2006 season as a dog of at least three points coming off a home game where they allowed at least two points fewer than expected with a combined average of 69.6 ppg scored with none of the 20 tilts seeing less a combined score at less than this total. Play OVER |
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10-09-20 | Yankees v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Im going to be a contrarian here tonight in recommend we take the under. I know based on recency bias the over looks like a viable option. However these types of games are usually hotly contested affairs with both sides having no problem going to their bullpens quickly as they wont want the game to get out of hand. With two viable starters on the hill Cole and Glasnow, the under is my call.Under is 7-2 in Rays last 9 games as an underdog.Under is 8-3 in Rays last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play UNDER |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears UNDER 45 | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Tom Brady and company have accumulated a whopping 97 points (32.3 points per game) in their L/3 trips to the gridiron. Knowing this Im betting on the Bears coming up with a very conservative game plan here on the road and try to slow this tilt down to a crawl. Note: With Tarik Cohen out for season the Bears offense in no way behind QB Foles is going to be fluid. (The Bears ran for just 28 yards last week) Also with Buccaneers WRs Chris Godwin (hamstring) and Mike Evans (ankle) missing this week TBs offense may not be as fluid. CHICAGO is 12-4 UNDER in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 34.6 ppg. Play UNDER |
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10-08-20 | Tulane v. Houston UNDER 60 | 31-49 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
My numbers suggest this total should be closer to 54.5. So when looking at this game and trying to dissect value I see the under as a viable wager. This is Houstons first game of the season, and Im betting their offensive flow will be less than fluent out of the gate. Meanwhile, as is almost always the case defenses have an edge in preparedness early on in a teams season, I can see Houston ready to play on that front with 93% production back from last season on the defensive side of the ball. Also look for Tulane to pound the ball on the ground and to eat up plenty of clock time. The Green Wave have rushed on more than 52% of its plays and its become obvious to me QB Keon Howard is not a guy to go to the air much, giving credence to a much more subdued offensive performance. In 57 passes Howard has yet to throw a TD pass and has complete just 48% off 44 drops backs. Play on the UNDER |
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10-05-20 | Yankees v. Rays OVER 7 | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 1 - San Diego, CA The Yankees and Rays meet in the postseason for the first time when the American League East rivals open the best-of-five AL Division Series in San Diego on Monday. The Yankees and the Rays offense has been hitting on all cylinders of late. Making this to to very vulnerable total and a positive for us cashing a over bet. Note: The Rays are 8-0 L/8 OVER in the first game of a home series with rest after a tilt where they connected for 12+ hits, producing 7.12 runs per game in offense. Also Cole the Yankees starter despite of going 7-3 with a 2.84 ERA in the regular season has some sub standard efforts vs the Rays recording a 4.96 ERA and allowed five of his 14 homers in three starts against Tampa Bay. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 8-0 OVER L/8 off a game as chalk when their opposition starter has a strike-per-ball ratio of less than 1.6 on the season. The Yankees have seen their offense produce 8 runs ppg and allowed an average of 6.6 rpg under the above perimeters. BOONE is 30-11 OVER after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (NY YANKEES) - after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 40-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-04-20 | Bills v. Raiders UNDER 53.5 | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 50 h 20 m | Show | |
I know we have to good QBs on the field today with Carr and Allen taking snaps, but because of this and some recency bias we have a total that is bloated and only good for public consumption. BUFFALO is 9-0 UNDER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 30.2 ppg scored. McDermott is 6-0 UNDER in road games after a win by 6 or less points as the coach of BUFFALO with a combined average of 33 points per game going on the board. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (LAS VEGAS) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 22-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-03-20 | Navy v. Air Force UNDER 46 | 7-40 | Loss | -104 | 50 h 50 m | Show | |
Both these sides Air Force and Navy key on running the ball which grinds down alot of clock time. Both sides also know how to defend against the run especially from a similar opponent like they will face today. This adds up to a tilt that Im betting lands under this totals number. It must be noted that in games involving two of the three service academy programs a 35-9-1 record to the under has been registered for a 80% conversion rate. Last time out Navy made a huge comeback to win 27-24 after being down 24-0 at the half. Now in a huge letdown situation and rusty after a extended two week break Im also betting their offense has another Narcoleptic episode. Niumatalolo is 17-3 UNDER after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game as the coach of NAVY. Also Niumatalolo is 20-4 UNDER in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest as the coach of NAVY while averaging just 19.8 ppg on offense. Play UNDER |
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10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets UNDER 41.5 | 37-28 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Denver and the NY Jets have showed very little flow on offence this season. Denver ranks 30th in DVOA and the NY Jets ranks 31st in DVOA. Both sides have offensive ,line and QB issues, not a good recipe for a high scoring affair, which favors the under. DENVER is 6-0 UNDER in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 37.2 ppg going on the board. DENVER is 7-0 UNDER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons for a combined average of 33.9 ppg scored. NY JETS are 6-0 UNDER in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 33 ppg going on the score board. NFL Home teams against the total (NY JETS) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after 3 straight losses by 10 or more points are 26-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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09-30-20 | Heat v. Lakers OVER 217.5 | 98-116 | Loss | -104 | 48 h 54 m | Show | |
At their current paces this game projects off as being a tilt that reaches the 220 point plateau which gives us an edge on this number to the OVER. Im betting both sides score more than 108 ppg each. Note: LA LAKERS are 33-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season. MIAMI is 46-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 233.4 ppg. When these teams played earlier this season they combined for 223 points. MIAMI is 21-12 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg. MIAMI is 20-9 OVER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 226 ppg. M2IAMI is 18-8 OVER after a combined score of 235 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.8 ppg. Play OVER |
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09-27-20 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 214 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Nothing in this series so far suggests that either teams offense will continue to average less than they have so far. Anything is possible, but remember we are playing the odds based on the data at hand, which suggests from a projections stand point that both teams will score more than 106 points each in what the lines-makers expect to be a closely contested affair. Boston really pushed against the Heat in the 4th quarter last time, and Im betting knowing that the Heat will want to open up and push the pace to keep the Celtics from setting up in the half court. Advantage OVER. MIAMI is 45-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with the combined average score of 233.3 ppg scored. BOSTON is 34-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 234.1 ppg. MIAMI in 18 games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of those tilts clicking in at 223.7 ppg. Miami in 18 Atlantic division affairs this season have seen a combined average score of 219.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MIAMI) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 75-40 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-27-20 | Bengals v. Eagles UNDER 47.5 | 23-23 | Win | 100 | 51 h 20 m | Show | |
Both teams have been plagued by injuries on the offensive line and because of this Im betting offensive flow will be hampered here this week. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score clicking in at 40.4 ppg. PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 UNDER in home games after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 37.8 ppg scored. Pederson is 8-1 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average score of 35.8 ppg going on the board. CINCINNATI is 9-1 UNDER in road games off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog since 1992 with a combined average of 32.2 ppg scored. NFL Home teams against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 24-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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09-26-20 | Cubs v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | 5-9 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Jon Lester(LHP)---3-2, 4.40 ERA, 39 SO-- spun six shutout innings in a win over the Pirates on Monday. The veteran lefty struck out one and walked one. He has turned in a 1.06 ERA in 17 innings in his last three turns for Chicago. Meanwhile, Pale Hose Dane Dunning(RHP)---2-0, 3.19 ERA, 33 SO goes for the White Sox who are 5-1 in games started by Dunning this season, although the right-hander finished with a no-decision in a loss at Cleveland on Monday. He has struck out 33 and walked 10 over 31 innings and is in top form. Today Im betting on these two starters to go long and strong and to get enough bullpen support to keep this combined score on the low side of the total here on the Southside today. Under is 6-0-1 in Cubs last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 16-5-1 in Cubs last 22 overall. Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 7-1-1 in White Sox last 9 games as a favorite.Under is 10-4-1 in White Sox last 15 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in White Sox last 13 interleague home games. Play on the UNDER |
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09-26-20 | Mets v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Mets will be aggressive here offensively as they need a win to not be be eliminated from post season play. Nats starter Sánchez allowed five runs and exited after 2 2/3 innings against the Mets on Aug. 12 and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs here vs the Mets batting order. The Mets are 8-0 OVER L/8 when Jacob deGrom starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start. Play OVER |
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09-25-20 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 213 | 108-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Miami has not been held to less than 106 points in any of these games vs Boston, and my projections estimate a similar out put here tonight and for Boston in desperation mode to also keep up offensively in more aggressive fashion and let it all hang out as elimination is a real possibility down 3 games to 1. It must be noted that MIAMI is 44-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with the average combined score clicking in at 233.4 ppg.is 33-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 234.3 ppg scored. Note: The Celtics are averaging 114.6 points per 100 possessions this series, despite of their tentativeness at times. Miami has averaged 114.0 points per 100 possessions. MIAMI is 15-4 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days this season with a combined average of 228 ppg going on the board. BOSTON is 8-0 OVER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 237.8 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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09-25-20 | Marlins v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
J.A. Happ---(LHP)2-2, 3.25 ERA, 39 SO----Happ has been one of the Majors’ best pitchers over his last six starts, working to a 1.93 ERA with 36 strikeouts against five walks over 37 1/3 innings. Happ fired eight scoreless innings against the Red Sox in his last start, scattering four hits.Meanwhile,Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara-(RHP)3-2, 3.12 ERA, 30 SO---Alcantara has stepped up in September with a 2-1 record with a 2.25 ERA. He will make his seventh start of the season, and it will have big playoff implications. On the road this year, he is 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA.Both thse pitchers Im betting will go long today in. tilt that favors an under wager. ALCANTARA is 8-0 UNDER in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5 rpg scored. HAPP is 13-4 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored.HAPP is 41-19 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.3 rpg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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09-22-20 | Angels v. Padres OVER 9 | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Right-hander Zach Davies (7-3, 2.69 ERA) will get the start for the Padres on Tuesday, while the Angels will counter with right-hander Griffin Canning (1-3, 4.29). When comparing both lineups in my hitter vs pitching power rankings a projection of 10 + runs is the call making the over a key wager. Over is 14-4-3 in Angels last 21 interleague games. Over is 7-2-1 in Angels last 10 interleague games as an underdog. Over is 20-6-1 in Angels last 27 games as an underdog. The Padres are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored in at most two separate innings with a combined average of 14.3 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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09-21-20 | Brewers v. Reds UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Luis Castillo -RHP(3-5, 3.03 ERA, 76 SO)-As Castillo pitches in a pennant race for the first time in his career, he has gotten hot at the right time. Castillo is 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA and one complete game over his last three starts. Meanwhile, the Brewers will turn to Brandon Woodruff (2-4, 3.45 ERA), who is 0-2 over his last four starts but has not pitched badly and is more than capable of slowing down the Reds very inconsistent batting order. Under is 8-3-1 in Reds last 12 vs. National League Central. Under is 9-4-1 in Reds last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter Under is 18-7-4 in Brewers last 29 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.Under is 32-15-5 in Brewers last 52 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in Cincinnati. Play on the UNDER |
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09-20-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 213.5 | 103-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
The Nuggets came back from being down 3-1 twice in a row and looked wobbly in game 1 , and Im not sure they will be 100% energized here in this spot, but a better more aggressive effort is my bet. With top tier offensive talent and a never say die attitude scoring will be up for Denver after going just 9 for 26 behind the arc in game 1. Meanwhile, The Lakers in game 1 of this series, looked hungry and focused behind Antonio Davis and his 37 point output, and now I will expect his Future HOF cohort James to pick up the pace in game two after only scoring 15 points and for the Lakers to push the pace. This Im betting leads to a fairly high scoring play off game that eclipses this total. Over is 6-2-1 in Nuggets last 9 games following a ATS loss.Over is 9-3-1 in Nuggets last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Over is 11-4-1 in Nuggets last 16 games following a straight up loss. Over is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 Conference Finals games. Over is 21-7-2 in the last 30 meetings. Play on the OVER |
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09-20-20 | Padres v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Justin DunnRHP3-1, 4.11 ERA, 30 SOThe rookie right-hander has looked good but there are red flags as he lasted just two innings and walked five in his last outing vs. the D-backs and has 25 walks in 35 innings on the year. I expect the Padres offence to key on this kids inadequacies and a melt down may not be out of th question, as. well as big output that will help this tilt go over the total. Over is 8-2 in Mariners last 10 interleague games as an underdog.Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 8-3 in Mariners last 11 vs. National League West.Over is 8-3-1 in Mariners last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 9-4-1 in Mariners last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 14-4-3 in Padres last 21 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 19-7-1 in Padres last 27 interleague games as a favorite. Over is 8-3-1 in Padres last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 18-7-1 in Padres last 26 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings. The Padres are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored in at most two separate innings with a combined average of 15+ per runs games scored. Play OVER |
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09-19-20 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 206 | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Two second half collapses by the Celtics have put them in a precarious place in this series down 2-0. The Celtics now have to leave everything on the floor today, and push forward in a more aggressive fashion, which Im betting opens this game up a little more, which in turn will help lift this combined score over the number. The first two totals came in at 208 and 209.5, and I feel that thats where they should be today, this giving us value on an over wager. Note:These teams are averaging 231.25 combined points per 100 possessions with a drum banging pace of 91.72, with top tier efficiency. BOSTON is 7-0 OVER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average score of 239.6 ppg. MIAMI is 12-3 OVER after a win by 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 229.5 ppg. Play OVER |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns UNDER 43.5 | 30-35 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
The Browns averaged just 4.5 yards per play in offence and scored just 6 points in Week 1 while the Bengals produced data that came in at 4.4 yards per play and just 13 points . Im betting both sides offensive woes will continue here this Thursday night and this total will stay on the low side of the number. Week one and two non divisional games have been ATMs for totals bettors hotting the under as is evident by a 44-23-1 record dating back to the 2005 season for a 66% conversion rate. Under is 8-1-1 in Bengals last 10 games as a road underdog. Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 Thursday games. Under is 15-5-1 in Browns last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 20-7 in Browns last 27 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland. Play UNDER |
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09-17-20 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 209 | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Miami really was lights-out efficient in game 1 of this series offensively and now Im betting on a regression and for both these teams to settle into a much slower paced game here in game 2 after the game 1 OT affair. Under is 7-3 in Heat last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA teams where the Under is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA teams with a total of 200 to 209.5 (BOSTON) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 115 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-17-20 | Mets v. Phillies OVER 7.5 | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Nola is is 10-2 OVER with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. I know Nola has pitched well lately but he is 14-5 OVER after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Lugo the Mets starting pitcher is also doing decently, but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Phillies matchup well against hime. PHILADELPHIA in 8 games with with a money line at home of -100 to -150 this season has seen an average of 10.2 rpg scored. NY METS in 14 games against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season have seen a combined average of 9.5 rpg scored. Note: The Phillies are 10-0 L/10 OVER as a favorite off a loss as a dog in which they held the lead with a combined average of 12.8 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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09-14-20 | Steelers v. Giants UNDER 46 | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 80 h 53 m | Show | |
New York has revamped one of the NFL's worst defenses under new coordinator Pat Graham. Defence will now be their priority behind what is expected to be a slower paced offence that will key on using RB Barkley to move the chains consistently. Meanwhile ,the Steelers Im betting will have flow problems behind the wobbled Roethlisberger who returns after another season of injuries. It must also be noted The Steelers led the NFL with 54 sacks, 18 fumble recoveries and 38 takeaways last season, finishing ranked fifth overall on defense and that will Im betting remain consistent in a tilt I have projected to stay under the the total. PITTSBURGH is 7-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons. Play UNDER |
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09-12-20 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 215 | 96-119 | Push | 0 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
This is do or die for Houston and Im expecting them to leave everything on the floor today in aggressive fashion. Im betting the Rockets force the Lakers to open up and for this combined score to eclipse this total. LA LAKERS are 10-2 OVER after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half this season with a combined average of 233 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (LA LAKERS/HOUSTON ) - in the second round of the playoffs are 144-68 OVER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-12-20 | UTSA v. Texas State OVER 56.5 | 51-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
The Texas State offense might have struggled late in their 31-24 loss to SMU, but it pounded out five yards per carry. Calvin Hill ran for 100 yards and Im betting on more of that today behind a offense that will have the rust off. Meanwhile, the D gave up 544 yards of offense and UTSA also has the guns to do some offensive damage here in this spot totals play that projects a score in the high 50s. TEXAS ST is 22-9 OVER after playing a non-conference game since 1992 with a combined average of 62.8 ppg scored. |
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09-10-20 | Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
With some game time PTSD , permeating the sidelines of the Chiefs as they remember going down 21-0 to this same Texas team in last years play offs before mounting a huge comeback win . Now with that in mind Im betting the Chiefs to be primed for a fast start and build a substantial lead. At that point QB Mahomes would be directed by Reids side line coaching crew to take the foot off the proverbial pedal and for the Chiefs defense to go hog wild on Deshaun Watson as he is forced to open up and go down field. Reid is 9-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average score of 40.1 ppg scored and is 15-2 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 38.2 ppg. Play UNDER |
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09-10-20 | Lakers v. Rockets UNDER 220.5 | 110-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
This series is getting slower as it progresses as is evident by pace (number of possessions) as game one registered in at 97.7 game 2 at 95.3 and game 3 at 89.5. Houston is small ball team, with top tier talent , but a limited bench and that effects their offensive efficiency in flow when facing the Lakers big men who are really putting a physical beating on their opponents. Im betting nothing changes tonight. LA LAKERS are 13-2 UNDER vs struggling rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score clicking in at 216.5 ppg. HC D'Antoni is 36-17 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or more ) as the coach of HOUSTON with the combined average score registering at 218.2 ppg. Play UNDER |
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09-09-20 | Clippers v. Nuggets UNDER 220.5 | 96-85 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
The Nuggets have hounded Kawhi Leonard non stop so far in this series and that has effected the Clippers offensive flow and Im expecting more of the same here today in a game I have projected to stay under the total. LA CLIPPERS are 12-2 UNDER in non home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 217.1 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 UNDER in non home games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 season with the combined average score clicking in at 218 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 59-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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09-08-20 | Lakers v. Rockets UNDER 223 | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
This series has been fairly slow paced , with 97 and 95 possessions in Games 1 and 2 . Alot of turnovers have created alot of fast breaks points but that Im betting will regress , and what will remain is a more conservative type of affair here in game 3. HOUSTON is 17-6 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 14-6 UNDER against Southwest division opponents this season with a combined average of 221 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 51-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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09-08-20 | Heat v. Bucks OVER 216.5 | 103-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that both these teams will score +108 points here today based on pace and shooting algorithms. . It must be noted that MILWAUKEE is 35-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 240 ppg going on the board, while MIAMI is 41-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 234 ppg scored. MIAMI in 37 games with the total of 210 to 219.5 this season have seen a combined average of 219.2 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - in the second round of the playoffs are 112-64 OVER L/24 seasons for a long term 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-07-20 | Rockies v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
This series opens Monday night with right-hander Dinelson Lamet (2-1, 2.62 ERA) starting for the Padres against left-hander Kyle Freeland (2-1, 4.09 ERA) of the Rockies.Both pitchers are capable of long and strong efforts. FREELAND is 7-0 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 10-0 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) When Rockies starter Kyle Freeland starts as an away dog of more than 140 the UNDER is 1-16-1 . Play on the UNDER |
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09-04-20 | Rockets v. Lakers UNDER 225.5 | 112-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
The Rockets had the best defensive rating in the bubble at 101.7, and played decent defence against Oklahoma City. Now while expecting some small ball from the Rockets, I still believe the Lakers will return fire in transition a more tempered approach in an effort to take the Rockets off their game, which in turn will result in a lower scoring tilt that the linesmakers might expect. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 30-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-31-20 | Stars v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | 3-6 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Colorado needs desperately to clamp down defensively , after trying to push the pace in wide open affairs, that has resulted in mostly negative results for them. Also Dallas also wants to get back to solid defensive hockey, which ha a been a keystone of their successes this season. With that said, Im betting on a lower scoring affair here today that fails to eclipse the total. DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games this season.DALLAS is 17-8 UNDER in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons. Play on UNDER |
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08-31-20 | Pirates v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Williams the Pirates start had a nine-hit, three-homer, eight-run dud in Chicago last time out and own a sub par 5.34 ERA on the season. Meanwhile, Brent Suter the Brewers starter a guy that has had Tommy John surgery has been used mostly in relief this season, and despite of experience in the starters role does not matchup well according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings vs the Pirates. WILLIAMS is 15-4 OVER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WILLIAMS is 9-0 OVER as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) PITTSBURGH is 20-7 OVER after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings over the last 2 seasons The Pirates have 10 straight overs when Trevor Williams starts after he pitched more than 5 innings in his previous start with a combined average 12.5 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (MILWAUKEE) - a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a losing record, in August games are 80-45 OVER L/5 seasons for a 64% coversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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08-30-20 | Golden Knights v. Canucks OVER 5.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Over is 7-1-1 in Canucks last 9 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Over is 5-1-1 in Canucks last 7 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.Over is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Over is 4-1-1 in Canucks last 6 following a loss of 3 or more goals.Over is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 following a home loss of 3 or more goals.Over is 19-7-1 in Canucks last 27 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Canucks last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 5-2 in Canucks last 7 vs. Pacific.Over is 14-6-1 in Canucks last 21 vs. Western Conference.Over is 7-3 in Canucks last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 15-7-1 in Canucks last 23 games as an underdog.Over is 21-10-1 in Canucks last 32 overall. Over is 4-1 in Golden Knights last 5 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Golden Knights last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 4-1 in Golden Knights last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 13-4-2 in Golden Knights last 19 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Play OVER |
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08-30-20 | Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 220 | 119-107 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
The Jazz and Nuggets are playing at the slowest pace during the play offs, averaging just over 93 possessions per 48 minutes. The reason why these games have been high scoring so far in this series is because of some absolutely insane shooting especially from downtown, but their due for a regression, and Im noticing that Denver is becoming more physical, and that Im betting is going to create tighter spaces and some ugly shooting which in turn will have a direct effect on this game being lower scoring. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH/DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 71-32 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-30-20 | Flyers v. Islanders UNDER 5 | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Last night the Isles continued their tough defensive play en route to a 3-1 win.New York’s currently giving up a postseason best 1.73 goals per game while Philadelphia’s second among remaining clubs at 2.09. DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more DEFENCE remains the name of the game here . Under is 4-0 in Flyers last 4 games as an underdog. Under is 7-1 in Flyers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Flyers last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 12-3-1 in Flyers last 16 overall.Under is 4-1-3 in Flyers last 8 playoff games as an underdog.Under is 12-3-1 in Flyers last 16 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 4-1 in Flyers last 5 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 3-0-1 in Islanders last 4 games as a favorite.Under is 3-0-1 in Islanders last 4 playoff games as a favorite.Under is 4-1-1 in Islanders last 6 overall. Play UNDER |
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08-30-20 | Indians v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 2-7 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
The Indians will start Aaron Civale (3-3, 3.15 ERA), who will face the Cardinals for the first time in his career. In his last outing, Civale struck out eight batters in six innings, last time out.The Cardinals, who have lost four straight games, will counter with Adam Wainwright (2-0, 2.88 ERA). My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest these pitchers and bullpens matchup well here and Im betting on a lower scoring affair. CIVALE is 9-0 UNDER after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CIVALE is 12-3 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 12-2 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)WAINWRIGHT is 11-2 UNDER in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 11-3 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. Play UNDER |
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08-29-20 | Flyers v. Islanders UNDER 5 | 1-3 | Win | 104 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Barry Trotz and the NYI have been terrific defensively all season long, and in the play offs so far, except for one lapse in the 3rd period of game two, that cost them the game. Now I expect the Isles under a disciplined system to come out here and smuther the Flyers and for Philadelphia to reciprocate . Under is 6-1 in Flyers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 11-2-1 in Flyers last 14 overall.Under is 11-2-1 in Flyers last 14 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1-1 in Flyers last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 23-6-2 in Islanders last 31 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Under is 3-1-1 in Islanders last 5 overall.Under is 15-5-1 in Islanders last 21 Saturday games.Under is 3-1-1 in Islanders last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 3-1-1 in Islanders last 5 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 5-2-2 in Islanders last 9 playoff games as a favorite.Under is 35-15-2 in Islanders last 52 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.Under is 36-16-3 in Islanders last 55 games playing on 1 days rest. Play UNDER |
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08-29-20 | Pirates v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 6-7 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Brett Anderson LHP(2-2, 3.52 ERA, 17 SO)Anderson is coming off consecutive quality starts against the Twins and Reds, allowing three runs on 10 hits and a heavy dose of ground balls over 12 innings in those games as he earned the win in both.JT Brubaker (RHP) (0-0, 4.80 ERA, 16 SO) Brubaker's stuff looked sharper in his last start, his longest outing of the season, as he struck out six and gave up two runs while working into the fifth in a win over the Brewers. He should be stretched out to pitch five or six innings. Im betting on both these pitchers providing us with solid efforts and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. ANDERSON is 9-0 UNDER when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Anomaly or not history does have a way of repeating itself .ANDERSON is 13-3 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Play UNDER |
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08-29-20 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 228.5 | 80-114 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Harden and company were on their way to a 3-1 series lead vs the Thunder last time out, but blew a DD lead. Now in redemption mode I expect a concerted two way effort from Houston and for Oklahoma city to regress offensively, which will result in a lower scoring game than expected by the lines-makers. HOUSTON is 11-2 UNDER after a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-8 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 208.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 71-32 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA.teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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08-29-20 | Magic v. Bucks UNDER 225.5 | 104-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
After getting upset 122-110 in the series opener, the Bucks have gone into hyper drive defensively and have subsequently recorded three straight wins that have put them on the doorstep of advancement in the East. Defense is now the calling card for the Bucks in this series, and nothing will change today . The Bucks rank first in the league in defensive rating. Orlando ranks 10th in D rating and 25th in pace and 24th in ppg scored. ORLANDO is 27-13 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% ) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 207.9 ppg. Play UNDER |
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08-29-20 | Indians v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Jack Flaherty RHP(2-0, 1.98 ERA, 12 SO)Flaherty pitched five shutout innings against the Royals on Monday, allowing just one hit while striking out three. He extended to 64 pitches and will likely be able to go further against the Indians. Corrasco the Indians pitcher has not been that cohesive lately but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here, giving credence to my under recommendation. CLEVELAND is 10-2 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored. CLEVELAND is 7-0 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined average of 4.,4 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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08-29-20 | Lightning v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
TB pounded the Bruins 7-1 last time out. It interesting to note that TAMPA BAY is 14-4 OVER off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 gpg scored. Im expecting the Bruins to expand their game offensively and for TB to keep rolling. Over is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 playoff games as an underdog. Play OVER |
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08-25-20 | Canucks v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
The Vegas Knights took a 5-0 win in game 1 of this series and the previous two games this season saw 9 goals scored in both affairs, and Im expecting for more offensive fireworks here again today. VEGAS is 11-4 OVER after a blowout win by 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored.VANCOUVER is 10-3 OVER in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more this season with a combined average of 7.4 gpg scored. Play OVER |
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08-24-20 | Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 222 | 114-117 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 - Lake Buena Vista, F The pace of the first 3 games of this series registered at 98, 91, and 102 (with game 3 going into OT). Rinse and repeat here today. OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-4 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog this season with as combined average of 211.2 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER when playing their 4th road game in 7 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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08-23-20 | Canucks v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | 0-5 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
These teams played twice back in December before the NHL was shutdown. Both games easily eclipsed the total with 9 combined goals scored in both tilts. Rinse and repeat here today. VEGAS is 21-12 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored.VEGAS is 20-9 OVER vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. Over is 6-0 in Golden Knights last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 20-8-1 in Canucks last 29 overall. Play OVER |
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08-23-20 | Bruins v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
These teams respect each other and Im betting game 1 will be physical and conservative and played out of transition, which will lead to a lower scoring affair that fail to eclipse this total. . BOSTON is 20-9 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season. TAMPA BAY is 17-7 UNDER in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season. Play UNDER |
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08-23-20 | Mercury v. Mystics OVER 166 | 88-87 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
WASHINGTON is 17-8 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 171.6 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 19-9 OVER in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 167.8 ppg going on the board.5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons. Play OVER |
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08-23-20 | Raptors v. Nets OVER 219 | 150-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Torontos offense remains explosive and been firing on all cylinders in this series, scoring 116.8 points per 100 possessions and they also love to transition at high pace, (19.25) while hitting at 55.8% effective field goal percentage rate. I know the Nets have not looked good offensively but with nothing left to lose I expect them to open and to just let loose as they hope to be competitive in what is likely their last play off game of the season. Brooklyn in 27 games this season versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season have seen a combined average score of 225.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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08-23-20 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | 3-11 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Rockies Senzatela faced off with the Astros' Zack Greinke in his last start and threw eight scoreless innings with six strikeouts. Senzatela has 24 strikeouts against five walks in 31 innings this season an is capable of slowing the dodgers powerful batting order today. SENZATELA is 20-9 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, dodgers starter STRIPLING is 31-15 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record) STRIPLING is 20-6 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1997. (Team's Record) COLORADO is 8-0 UNDER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 season. BLACK is 16-4 UNDER off a one run loss versus a division rival as the manager of COLORADO. Play on the UNDER |
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08-22-20 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Freeland (2-1, 2.56 ERA) has five quality starts in five tries this season and looks much more like the pitcher who finished fourth in National League Cy Young Award voting two seasons ago. FREELAND is 9-0 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more rpg. Kyle Freeland is 0-10 OU in his career starting against the Dodgers .FREELAND is 9-0 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play UNDER |
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08-22-20 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Lyles has allowed 10 earned runs over nine innings in his last two starts. He also started against the Mariners on Aug. 12, allowing four runs in five innings and he is 1-2 with a 5.17 ERA in his career against Seattle. Meanwhile,Sheffield (1-2, 4.12 ERA), winless in his first nine major-league starts, pitched decently of late, but according to my pitcher vs batting order projections does matchup well here, giving credence to the over.He's 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA in one career relief appearance against the Rangers. TEXAS is 7-0 OVER after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season. SERVAIS is 8-0 OVER in home games vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game as the manager of SEATTLE MLB Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 34-7 L/5 UNDER seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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08-22-20 | Bucks v. Magic UNDER 223.5 | 121-107 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Orlando, FL |
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08-20-20 | Stars v. Flames UNDER 5 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 48 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 - Edmonton, AB The style of play that Dallas bases it successes on which is a defense first mentality makes for lower-scoring affairs even in games they dominate. DALLAS is 30-16 UNDER against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game this season. CALGARY is 11-3 UNDER in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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08-20-20 | Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Veteran Sonny Gray (4-1, 2.05 ERA) goes to the hill for Reds. Gray has allowed one run or fewer in four of his five starts this season. He beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 8-1 in his most recent outing.veteran Sonny Gray (4-1, 2.05 ERA) to lead the Reds past the distraction.Gray is 1-1 with a 1.08 ERA in three career starts against the Cardinals. Meanwhile, the Cardinals will start Adam Wainwright (2-0, 1.64 ERA) Thursday. Considering the pitching matchup taking an under stance here is a viable wagering opportunity. ST LOUIS is 15-4 UNDER in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 0-11 UNDER L/11 when Adam Wainwright starts as a home dog with no combined score eclipsing 7 runs. Play UNDER |
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08-20-20 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 227 | 98-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Rockets were in a great flow pattern in game 1 of this series recording 129 Offensive Rating in the half court. This was by far Rockets’ best performance in the half court against any playoff team this season and the Thunder’s absolute worst performance. Now Im looking for a regression back to the norm for the Rockets, and for the Thunder to really look to grind this down game in physical fashion behind a 22nd ranked Pace, and 7th ranked D, and lower tier D ranked 22nd in ppg offensive output which will help keep this game on the low side of the total. 8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 15-6 UNDER versus teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.HOUSTON is 33-19 UNDER in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 40-16 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-18-20 | Blackhawks v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5 - Edmonton, AB Blackhawks goalie Crawford in his career when facing elimination, owns a 91.8 % SVP o and a 2.39 goals-against average and Im betting he will be hard to beat here tonight. On the flipside Vegas has proved more than capable of slowing the Blackhawks offence, and nothing will change tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total.VEGAS is 19-7 UNDER against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or better of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 4.6 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
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08-18-20 | Fever v. Sun OVER 164 | 62-84 | Loss | -125 | 1 h 22 m | Show | |
During Indiana's 104-76 victory over the Sun in the 2019 regular-season finale, Kelsey Mitchell knocked down a WNBA record nine 3-pointers en route to a 38-point performance. Im expecting more offensive fireworks here tonight from both sides. INDIANA is 8-1 OVER after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 seasons.INDIANA is 11-3 OVER off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons. 4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons Play OVER |
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08-18-20 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 225.5 | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City beat Houston the last time they met back in January in a 112-107 win and my projections estimate a similar total combined score here today. Note: D'Antoni is 23-4 UNDER in non home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite as the coach of HOUSTON with the combined average score of 217.3 ppg going on the board. OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-13 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-8 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. HOUSTON is 15-3 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season. HOUSTON is 17-3 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Rockets are 0-6 UNDER L/6 as a dog. 7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 25-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-18-20 | Heat v. Pacers UNDER 215.5 | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 - Lake Buena Vista, F Play UNDER |
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08-17-20 | Rockies v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Astros Rookie right-hander Brandon Bielak (2-0, 1.76 ERA) will open the series for Houston. Bielak has , posting a 1.80 ERA and 1.20 WHIP while issuing four walks and recording five strikeouts over 10 innings. Meanwhile, Left-hander Kyle Freeland (2-0, 2.45 ERA) will start for Colorado. The Rockies are 4-0 this season with Freeland on the mound, although Freeland has not recorded a decision in his last two starts despite allowing five earned runs over 13 2/3 innings. Freeland, 7-3 with a 3.46 ERA over 13 career interleague starts.Today Im betting these two viable hurlers do enough to help keep this game on the low side of the total. FREELAND is 26-9 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) COLORADO is 23-11 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. The Rockies are 0-16 UNDER L/16 in a series opener as a road dog with no rest vs a team that has won at least their last four games. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL), with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL) are 50-16 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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08-17-20 | Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 230 | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Dallas’ defense is horrendous, and they dont have much or any play off experience but this line is just a tad high according to my projections which gives us close to a two basket edge to the under. LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. LA CLIPPERS are 19-8 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-17-20 | Nets v. Raptors UNDER 222 | 110-134 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 - Lake Buena Vista, F The Raptors defense is very deep and they have a size and physical edge in this series and have an ability to make shooters look bad. This is evident by their 2nd ranked D vs opponents’ 50.3% eFG%. Also the Nets like to shoot 3s and the Raps will give them that opportunity , but it must be noted , the Raptors are the best team at limiting opponents’ accuracy from downtown and the Nets Im betting will have issues converting. TORONTO is 23-14 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 217.8 ppg. .NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 24-4 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-17-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 216 | 125-135 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
These teams have had 3 meetings this season with scores of 98-95 and 106-100, and than a Double OT game in the bubble that resulted in a flash card total of 134-132. Four the fourth meeting Im betting on another lower scoring affair, with no OT which will get us to the promised land of cashing an under ticket. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - playing with 2 days rest, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 67-34 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-16-20 | Capitals v. Islanders UNDER 5 | 1-2 | Win | 127 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
NYI Barry Trotz has coached this NYI team well and their system is stringent defensively to say the least, and Im betting nothing changes here today in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the number. The Isles beat the Caps 5-2 last time out . Note: NY ISLANDERS are 10-2 UNDER in road games after a blowout win by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.3 gpg. Play on the UNDER |
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08-15-20 | Golden Knights v. Blackhawks UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 101 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
The Chicago Blackhawks have lost the first two games of their best-of-seven series with the Vegas Golden Knights and really need to shore up their defence to compete, and today in desperation mode I expect a big time effort from the entire team defensively and for this tilt to remain on the low side of the total. NHL team against the total (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 156-105 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate! Play on the UNDER |
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08-15-20 | Grizzlies v. Blazers UNDER 233 | 122-126 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
-Western Conference - Play-In Game - Game 1 - Orlando, FL Im betting Memphis will not play into the run and gun strength of the Blazers and instead play a more physical brand of basketball that gives them a chance to compete. This will result in a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. MEMPHIS is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 season with a combined average of 203.9 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 21-9 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 222 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS/PORTLAND) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 24-2 UNDER with a combined average of 208.5 ppg over the last 5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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08-14-20 | Nationals v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 15-3 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Tommy MiloneLHP1-1, 3.21 ERA, 16 SOThe veteran lefty was excellent his last time out, firing six shutout frames to beat the Nationals on the road. Since his disappointing Opening Day start, Milone has held opponents to one run over 11 innings.Washington starter Stephen StrasburgRHP0-0, 10.38 ERA, 2 SOStrasburg is dealing with the lingering effects of a nerve issue in his right hand that held him out of his first two scheduled starts of the season. He had a less tahn stellar first outing, but Im betitng alot of the rust will come off here in his 2nd start against a Baqltimore lineup he matches up well against. BALTIMORE is 11-2 UNDER in home games against NL East opponents over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 17-7 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BALTIMORE) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, in August games are 42-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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08-13-20 | Blackhawks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 42 m | Show | |
The Hawks had problems offensively in game 1 so Colliton is will now pair Kane and Toews on the same line in five-on-five, not just the power play.HC Colliton also said “Ultimately, we’ve got to know: Forwards get to the net, find a way, be there and you find a way to get it through. That goes back to establishing (offensive)-zone presence, find a way to be there a little bit longer and we’ll get our chances.” With that said, Im expecting a more aggressive offensive attack here tonight from the Hawks, and as a result of more open play, more goals from both sides. CHICAGO is 5-0 OVER in road games revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent by 2 goals or more this season. Play on the OVER |
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08-12-20 | Islanders v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
The Washington Capitals In the postseason at even strength, rank last in shots per 60 minutes and their goals at 1.54. Here against a NYI Barry Trotz defense first system, Im betting the Caps once again find it hard to score, while their own reliance on top tier D will be paramount in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the totals number. NY ISLANDERS are 9-1 UNDER in road games after a blowout win by 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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08-11-20 | Nets v. Magic OVER 223.5 | 108-96 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 1 m | Show | |
Nets run the 10th fastest pace in the NBA while Orlando plays much slower. With the Nets short handed speed and small ball will be the name of the game which Im betting helps this game turn into a fast transitional affair that eclipses the total. After two straight losses Im expecting to a see an aggressive Magic side that will be primed to put points on the board. ORLANDO is 19-4 OVER after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 230 ppg going on the board. ORLANDO is 11-3 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 233.3 ppg going on the board. ORLANDO is 8-1 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 228,7 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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08-08-20 | Astros v. A's UNDER 9 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
As starter Montas looks to build off his dominant performance last time out, when he racked up nine strikeouts over seven innings of one-run ball against the Mariners. |
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08-07-20 | Astros v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Bassitt (1-0, 0.93) is the As starter here.The 31-year-old has pitched brilliantly this season, shutting out the Los Angeles Angels over four innings in Oakland's opening series before allowing one run in 5 2/3 innings last week at Seattle. He has struck out 12 and walked just one in his two starts. Bassitt has gone 2-1 with a 3.97 ERA in six games (five starts) against the Astros in his career. Meanwhile, the schedule says the game is on the road for the Astros, but Greinke has been right at home in previous visits to the San Francisco Bay Area to face the A's and San Francisco Giants. The 36-year-old has gone a career 21-5 against the A's and Giants, including 10-1 on the road. He's 8-2 with a 2.78 ERA in 18 games (14 starts) against the A's in his career.
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08-07-20 | Islanders v. Panthers UNDER 5 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
08-05-20 | Getafe CF v. Inter Milan OVER 2 | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
High-scoring Inter Milan look very formidable here from a production standpoint , Since the restart an average of 3.4 goals over 13 matches involving the Nerazzurri give credence to more goals here today. Considering Inter Milan play three at the back Im betting Getafe gets alot of scoring chances and converts at least once in a tilt I see eclipsing the total. |
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08-04-20 | Suns v. Clippers OVER 230 | 117-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Both teams rank in the top-10 in pace averaging more than 105 possessions per game with the Clippers ranking 8th and suns 9th. Here in aneutral court environment Im betting they run and gun with wrecklaess abandon here today in a game that eclipses this total. Play over |
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08-04-20 | Panthers v. Islanders UNDER 5 | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
The Islanders play a one way style of conservative defensive hockey and nothing will change here today. These teams have a history of low scoring affairs with 8 of 9 games in this series having gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . Play UNDER |
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08-02-20 | Kings v. Magic OVER 226.5 | 116-132 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Orlando, did a run and gun job on the Nets last time out byt no one played more than 26 minutes and they will be ready to run and gun again vs a Sacramento side, that lost 129-120, despite 39 points from De'Aaron Fox. Today Im betting Fox continues his hot hand, and for the Magics array of young shooters to once again rain down some terror in what Im betting will be a back and forth affair.
The Magic are 13-0 L/13 OVER after they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with the average combined score clicking in at 236 ppg.The Magic are 13-0 L/13 OVER facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 239.3 ppg scored. NBATeams like the Kings are 18-1 OVER L/19 on the road with less than two days rest off a loss as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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08-02-20 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 9 | 1-2 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Brault has struggled against the Cubs, serving up 10 homers in 38 1/3 innings over 14 appearances (five starts). He is 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA.Brault is 0-1 with a 10.29 ERA in nine appearances (three starts) at Wrigley Field. Bryant (8-for-16) and catcher Willson Contreras (5-for-11) each have smacked two homers off the 28-year-old.Im betting that the Cubs do enough damage here vs Brault to easily help see this total eclipsed. Note:The Cubs are 8-0 OVER L/8 since Jun 15, 2018 when Jon Lester starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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08-02-20 | Indians v. Twins UNDER 9.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
Clippard is 1-0 with a 0.87 ERA in 12 career appearances against Cleveland and will be making his first career start against the Indians. Right-hander Aaron Civale (1-0, 3.00), who is 0-0 with a 1.64 ERA in two career starts against the Twins both at Target Field -- will try to help the Indians garner a split of the series. Im betting on a lower scoring affair this afternoon. The Twins are 0-12 UNDER L/12 at home off a game as a favorite in which they shut out their opponent with a combined average of 6.67 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 102-49 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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08-01-20 | 76ers v. Pacers UNDER 217 | 121-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
With key Pacers offensive cog not in the lineup here tonight vs Philadelphia, Indiana's offence Im betting will have flow problems. When Sabonis was healthy and playing earlier this season his team averaged 112 points per 100 possession and after he was injured the numbers fell to around 107 ppg points per 100 which is a huge drop in productivity . Im betting this has a direct effect on what is a bloated tota considering the 76ers own the 4th best ppg average in the league behind a 19th ranked pace. On the flip side the Pacers own the 5th best ppg D, and rank 24th in pace, behind the 24th ranked offence. DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more DEFENCE here today. |
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08-01-20 | Panthers v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
The Islanders have a way of forcing teams into playing their style of grinding defensive hockey. Here this Saturday against the Panthers nothing will change.(7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons.) The 4 most recent games in this series have seen an average combined total of 3.75 goal per game scored. Play UNDER |
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07-31-20 | Rockets v. Mavs OVER 229 | 153-149 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Dallas offense ranks first in efficiency at 115.8 points per 100 possessions (one spot ahead ahead of the second-ranked Rockets)DALLAS is 11-2 OVER on Friday nights this season with a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. Both meetings this season were very high scoring affairs with a 128-121 result and a 137-123 score. Rinse and repeat on todays agenda. Play OVER |
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07-31-20 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 218.5 | 112-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
These two teams have combined for at least 221 points in both head to head meetings this season, which includes 251 points in their last time they faced each other on the court. With a talented full compliment of players on the court for both teams Im expecting some offensive fireworks . |
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07-30-20 | Rays v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Rays Yarbrough has made one career appearance against the Braves. He worked five innings and allowed five runs on six hits against Atlanta in 2018. He is 1-4 with a 5.74 ERA in eight career interleague appearances, three of them starts and Im betting he gets tagged here for enough runs for this total to be eclipsed. TAMPA BAY is 11-2 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg going on the board. FRIED the Braves starter is 8-0 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's RecordThe Rays are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a dog off a road game in which they allowed 12+ hits. Play OVER |
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07-30-20 | Jazz v. Pelicans OVER 223.5 | 106-104 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
HP Field House - Orlando, FL New Orleans is explosive offensively and run and gun at a very high speed. Look at data from their last 15 games before the covid abruptly end the NBA season, the Pelicans had registered the second-fastest pace in the NBA (106.13). What makes them offensive converting machines is evident by a fourth-highest percentage of their points in transition (16.9%) during the above time perimeters. Whether Zion plays or not today Im betting they go full throttle, and drag a capable Jazz into a fast paced affair that will eclipse this total. UTAH is 11-3 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored. The Jazz won the season's first two meetings -- 128-120 at home and 128-126 on the road. The Pelicans won the most recent matchup, 138-132 in New Orleans on Jan. 16. NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 17-0 OVER L/17 on the road/neutral after they had 20+ turnovers during the playoffs with a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored. The Pelicans are 23-4-1 OVER L/28 as a favorite with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throw with a combined average 233.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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07-28-20 | Dodgers v. Astros OVER 9 | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
The Astros enter this game with a tired bullpen that has pitched 11 and 2/3rds innings over the past two games. Meanwhile, the dodgers bullpen is equally tired, after having to trott out their relievers in 10 innings over the past two days. With two viable offenses on the filed here, and two tired pitching staffs Im going to back the over. |
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07-26-20 | Angels v. A's UNDER 9 | 4-6 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Halos starter Ohtani went 4-2 with a 3.31 ERA in 10 starts in 2018, his rookie season in MLB. He's 2-0 in his career against the A's with a 2.08 ERA in 13 innings, striking out 18. Meanwhile, Fiers, his pitching opponent from the As owned 20-6 record along with a 3.86 ERA since joining the A's in 2018 and is a viable starter. Considering both sides pitching and bullpen strengths Im betting on a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. Note:The Athletics are 0-8 UNDER L/8 dating back to last season after they scored in at most two separate innings last game.Home teams (OAKLAND) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games, team that had a winning record last season are 39-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-24-20 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Morton the Rays starter here in their home opener , was 8-3 with a 2.59 ERA in 17 starts at home last year. The veteran hurler in three starts against Toronto last season registered a 3.06 ERA. Meanwhile, Left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu will make his first career appearance against Tampa Bay after coming over from the Dodgers in the off season via free agency. The 2019 National League ERA title holder with a (2.32) ERA is an obvious elite hurler who should give the Rays inconsistent batting order some issues here today. Considering both bullpens look viable, according to projections a total score that does not eclipse the number will make for a viable wager. Under is 7-3 in Blue Jays last 10 games as a road underdog. Play UNDER |
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07-14-20 | New York v. Orlando City SC UNDER 3 | 1-3 | Loss | -145 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
NYCFC struggles with a newly implemented 4-2-3-1 system, and their flow Im betting continues to try to find flow here today in a game I have pegged to stay under the total. Play UNDER |