Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-31-20 | Rockets v. Mavs OVER 229 | 153-149 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Dallas offense ranks first in efficiency at 115.8 points per 100 possessions (one spot ahead ahead of the second-ranked Rockets)DALLAS is 11-2 OVER on Friday nights this season with a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. Both meetings this season were very high scoring affairs with a 128-121 result and a 137-123 score. Rinse and repeat on todays agenda. Play OVER |
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07-31-20 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 218.5 | 112-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
These two teams have combined for at least 221 points in both head to head meetings this season, which includes 251 points in their last time they faced each other on the court. With a talented full compliment of players on the court for both teams Im expecting some offensive fireworks . |
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07-30-20 | Rays v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Rays Yarbrough has made one career appearance against the Braves. He worked five innings and allowed five runs on six hits against Atlanta in 2018. He is 1-4 with a 5.74 ERA in eight career interleague appearances, three of them starts and Im betting he gets tagged here for enough runs for this total to be eclipsed. TAMPA BAY is 11-2 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg going on the board. FRIED the Braves starter is 8-0 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's RecordThe Rays are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a dog off a road game in which they allowed 12+ hits. Play OVER |
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07-30-20 | Jazz v. Pelicans OVER 223.5 | 106-104 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
HP Field House - Orlando, FL New Orleans is explosive offensively and run and gun at a very high speed. Look at data from their last 15 games before the covid abruptly end the NBA season, the Pelicans had registered the second-fastest pace in the NBA (106.13). What makes them offensive converting machines is evident by a fourth-highest percentage of their points in transition (16.9%) during the above time perimeters. Whether Zion plays or not today Im betting they go full throttle, and drag a capable Jazz into a fast paced affair that will eclipse this total. UTAH is 11-3 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored. The Jazz won the season's first two meetings -- 128-120 at home and 128-126 on the road. The Pelicans won the most recent matchup, 138-132 in New Orleans on Jan. 16. NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 17-0 OVER L/17 on the road/neutral after they had 20+ turnovers during the playoffs with a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored. The Pelicans are 23-4-1 OVER L/28 as a favorite with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throw with a combined average 233.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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07-28-20 | Dodgers v. Astros OVER 9 | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
The Astros enter this game with a tired bullpen that has pitched 11 and 2/3rds innings over the past two games. Meanwhile, the dodgers bullpen is equally tired, after having to trott out their relievers in 10 innings over the past two days. With two viable offenses on the filed here, and two tired pitching staffs Im going to back the over. |
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07-26-20 | Angels v. A's UNDER 9 | 4-6 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Halos starter Ohtani went 4-2 with a 3.31 ERA in 10 starts in 2018, his rookie season in MLB. He's 2-0 in his career against the A's with a 2.08 ERA in 13 innings, striking out 18. Meanwhile, Fiers, his pitching opponent from the As owned 20-6 record along with a 3.86 ERA since joining the A's in 2018 and is a viable starter. Considering both sides pitching and bullpen strengths Im betting on a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. Note:The Athletics are 0-8 UNDER L/8 dating back to last season after they scored in at most two separate innings last game.Home teams (OAKLAND) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games, team that had a winning record last season are 39-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-24-20 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Morton the Rays starter here in their home opener , was 8-3 with a 2.59 ERA in 17 starts at home last year. The veteran hurler in three starts against Toronto last season registered a 3.06 ERA. Meanwhile, Left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu will make his first career appearance against Tampa Bay after coming over from the Dodgers in the off season via free agency. The 2019 National League ERA title holder with a (2.32) ERA is an obvious elite hurler who should give the Rays inconsistent batting order some issues here today. Considering both bullpens look viable, according to projections a total score that does not eclipse the number will make for a viable wager. Under is 7-3 in Blue Jays last 10 games as a road underdog. Play UNDER |
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07-14-20 | New York v. Orlando City SC UNDER 3 | 1-3 | Loss | -145 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
NYCFC struggles with a newly implemented 4-2-3-1 system, and their flow Im betting continues to try to find flow here today in a game I have pegged to stay under the total. Play UNDER |
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05-27-20 | SC Paderborn 07 v. FC Augsburg OVER 2.75 | 0-0 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Defensively, these are two of the ugliest teams in terms of expected goals against in the Bundesliga . Play OVER |
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05-18-20 | Bayer Leverkusen v. SV Werder Bremen UNDER 3 | 4-1 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Werbers very inconsistent attack has generated the third-worst xGF in the league this season and are playing todays game without attacking midfielder Davy Klassen (suspension) and only have one other dangerous attacking option behind lead striker Milot Rashica. Considering how tough Werder is to score on a lower scoring conservative tilt between two sides still trying to get their fitness levels back up makes for a value bet . Play UNDER |
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03-10-20 | Hurricanes v. Red Wings UNDER 6 | 5-2 | Loss | -118 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: CAROLINA - PETR MRAZEK, DETROIT - JIMMY HOWARD After upsetting Tampa Bay last time out 5-4 Detroit Im betting wont be catching the Carolina Caners by surprise, and instead I look for them to have a regression to the mean offensively which means a output 2 goals or less which is their season average. Meanwhile, Carolina continues to play an inconsistent brand of hockey, but that has shown some defensive prowess recently allowing back to back 2 goal outputs by their opposition. CAROLINA is 8-0 UNDER in road games off 2 or more consecutive road wins over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 15-6 UNDER against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season.DETROIT is 13-4 UNDER in home games after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons and is 8-1 UNDER in home games off a home win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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03-10-20 | Penguins v. Devils UNDER 6 | 5-2 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh has struggled defensively of late, but knowing the importance of shoring up their D and getting back on track will be a key concentration point . Tonight against a sub .500 side that will not be in the post season key to trying to getting a win will to be slow down an inconsistent offence, especially since the Pens are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 8th game in 14 nights. . Note: PITTSBURGH is 7-1 UNDER in road games against struggling defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg.NEW JERSEY is 23-12 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.3 gpg scored. After back to back losses to division rivals Washington and Carolina playing strong D, Im sure is on tonights agenda. Note:PITTSBURGH is 16-4 UNDER in road games off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival. (Lost 6-2 to Carolina last time out) PITTSBURGH is 9-1 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. Play on the UNDER |
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03-09-20 | Hornets v. Hawks UNDER 225 | 138-143 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Atlanta's Hunter and DeAndre Bembry (abdominal) are questionable prior to Monday's game and if they play I doubt they are playing at 100%. This will effect the flow of the Hawks. Meanwhile, Charlotte behind the 30th ranked ppg output and 30th ranked pace will in their usual fashion look to grind their opponents down via a very deliberate approach. Here against a run and gun style side like Atlanta a even more conservative approach will be in effect which will directly effect this total to the under. The Hornets are 4-29-1 to the UNDER L/34 on the road with rest when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 202.4 ppg scored.The Hornets are 0-9 UNDER L/9 as a road dog with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 195.5 ppg going on the board. The Hawks are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15 as a favorite with rest off a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with the average combined score clicking in at 188.6 ppg scored.The Hawks are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which they scored a least 18 fast break points with a combined average of 197.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%). are 49-16 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-08-20 | Blue Jackets v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, VANCOUVER - THATCHER DEMKO On Friday night Vancouver and Colorado took part in a back forth 6-3 tilt the Canucks won and now Im betting on a more tempered game from them here tonight vs a Columbus team that predicates its successes and failure on top tier defence. The Blue Jackets offence is less than formidable averaging just 2.4 gpg on the road this season and 2.5 goals per game in their L/5 overall. COLUMBUS is 8-0 UNDER after 3 consecutive non-conference games this season.COLUMBUS is 26-12 UNDER against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances this season. VANCOUVER is 7-1 UNDER in home games after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 season Play UNDER |
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03-08-20 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 227 | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
As we come closer to play off time teams that expect to be the post season start to pay alot more attention to defence. Thus when I look at this game between what are arguably the best two teams in the west Im expecting we have an edge with an under wager. Im betting a slower paced game that will be more physical than usual for a regular season tilt, and for both to contest the rim repeatedly. The Lakers are 4-30 UNDER L/43 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 197.9 ppg scoredThe Lakers are 2-23 to the UNDER L/25 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 190.2 ppg going on the board. NBA Teams like the Clippers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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03-07-20 | 76ers v. Warriors UNDER 225.5 | 114-118 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
A depleted banged up and exhausted 76ers will play their 4th away game on this west coast road trip in a week and now they will be on tired legs and far from ready to run and gun which Im betting will help make this a lower scoring affair. NBA teams like Philadelphia 0-17 to the UNDER L/17 on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a road dog in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent with a combined average of 205.3 ppg scored. The Seventysixers are 0-12-1 UNDER L/13 with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 198 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-07-20 | Nuggets v. Cavs OVER 218.5 | 102-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Denver enters this tilt having gone over in 11 of their L/14 games, while the Cavaliers have gone over in 3 straight, and have seen themselves and their opponents average 223+ ppg when playing as hosts this season as they are here tonight. With Denver finally healthy Im betting they will continue to gear up for play off basketball by getting their offensive flow back, and for Cleveland with nothing to play for to be loose and to run the floor with wreck-less abandon in chase mode, which projects to a higher combined score than this current totals line suggests. Nuggets: 5-0 OVER L5 in non-conference road games while the Cavaliers are : 7-0 OVER L/7 in 2/1 rest situation. Over is 3-0-1 in Nuggets last 4 games following a ATS loss.Over is 8-0 in Nuggets last 8 games as a road favorite.Over is 7-1-1 in Nuggets last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 4-1-1 in Nuggets last 6 overall. Over is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 Saturday games.Over is 12-3 in Cavaliers last 15 games following a ATS loss.Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games as a home underdog.Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Nuggets are 20-3-1 OVER L/24 as a road favorite with rest off a road game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 234.5 ppg going on the score board. The Nuggets are 10-0 OVER L/10 as a road favorite with rest off a win in a road game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Nuggets are 25-4-1 OVER with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 238.1 ppg. Play OVER |
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03-07-20 | Sabres v. Flyers UNDER 6 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: BUFFALO - CARTER HUTTON, PHILADELPHIA - CARTER HART Buffalo has gone 6 straight games without scoring more than 2 goals and have gone 0-13 on the power play recently. This Sabres team is struggling to score and tonight vs a red hot Philadelphia team Im betting on them having more problems burying the biscuit. Their inadequacies on offence and their need to be more efficient defensively will help this game stay under the total. Note: Philadelphia is also on tired legs so Im betting they temper this attack to retain energy . Note: PHILADELPHIA is 13-6 UNDER in home games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season. BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more this season. Play UNDER |
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03-07-20 | Predators v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: NASHVILLE - PEKKA RINNE, DALLAS - BEN BISHOP Dallas plays a one way transitional type of defensive hockey and nothing will change here today. DALLAS is 13-2 UNDER in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. DALLAS is 12-4 UNDER in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season. NHL Home teams where the total is 5 or less (DALLAS) - average scoring team (score 2.5-2.9 goals/G) vs a poor defensive team (allow >=2.9 goals/G) are 52-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-07-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech UNDER 133.5 | 66-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Play UNDER |
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03-06-20 | Bucks v. Lakers UNDER 227 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
There is alot of offense in both these teams lineup, but Im expecting this heavy weight battle, to be like a post season tilt and be lower scoring because of both sides expected attention to playing solid defence and to be physical as well. It must be noted the Bucks own the 2nd best ppg D in the NBA, and the No.1 defensive rating. Meanwhile, the Lakers own the 3rd best defensive rating, behind a deliberate disciplined pace that ranks 12th in the league. The Bucks are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a home game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 191.6 ppg. The Lakers are 4-29 UNDER L/33 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 197.4 ppg going on the board. LA LAKERS are 18-5 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.7 ppg scored.LA LAKERS are 15-4 UNDER in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-06-20 | Heat v. Pelicans UNDER 235 | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami is quite methodical in their approach to most games, behind the 26th ranked pace, and here against a explosive New Orleans team, that must be respected Im sure HC Spoelstra has a grinding game plan on his agenda. You have to remember this is the same Heat team that just held Milwaukee to 89s points recently. The Heat are 2-16-1 UNDER L/19 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average score of 192 ppg going on the board with none of the games in the sub set going over this total. The Pelicans are 0-8 UNDER L/8 at home with rest when they are off two games in which they had twice as many assists as turnovers with the combined average score clicking in at 219.4 ppg. NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a dog in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 211.6 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MIAMI) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 27-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-05-20 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 225.5 | 121-113 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
According to Anthony Slater of The Athletic, Curry has been fully cleared for his return and will play on Thursday and Im betting even with reduced minutes, this will spark the Warriors to try to run with the Raptors who have had not problems despite of an array of injuries of lighting up the score board on a regular basis. The Raptors are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a favorite with a combined average of 236.4 ppg scored. The Raptors are 11-0 OVER L/12 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 239.4 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 35-13 OVER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-05-20 | 76ers v. Kings UNDER 222.5 | 125-108 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The banged up and battered Philadelphia 76ers will once again be short handed tonight, with three key starters (Joel Embiid (shoulder), Ben Simmons (back) Josh Richardson (concussion).expected to miss this road game vs Sacramento. This Im betting effects their offensive flow of a team that only averages 105.1 ppg on the road this season, and that ranks 6th in ppg allowed overall in the NBA ( 107.2 ppg). Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings have been paying alot more attention to defence as the season progresses and previous to their last game took part in 5 straight lower scoring affairs that failed to eclipse the total. SACRAMENTO is 13-4 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.1 ppg scored . NBA Teams like the Kimnhs are 4-23-1 UNDER L/28 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they shot over 55% from the field with a combined average of 213.6 ppg scored. The Seventysixers are 0-13-1 UNDER L/15 with rest off a 10+ loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throw with a combined average of 203.5 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 PPG or more ) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 25-8 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 28-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-03-20 | Raptors v. Suns UNDER 225.5 | 123-114 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
The Raptors have thrived despite dealing with injuries all season, but the most recent injuries are taking a toll because Ibaka and Gasol are their centers and they have no one to replace their quality and thus their offensive flow is off, and now knowing this they are going to have to step up defensively after allowing a whopping 133 points last time out. Meanwhile, the Suns are also banged up, and playing short handed and off two straight home losses and are also having issues with their flow. The suns last three offensive outputs have been 92, 111, 99 and another below average offensive outing Im betting is on tonights agenda. The above mentioned realities are going to effect this total to the under. PHOENIX is 7-0 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive home losses this season.PHOENIX is 16-2 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more The Raptors are 2-20 UNDER L/22 as a favorite off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with a combined average of 200.6 ppg scored.The Raptors are 0-13 OU ( as a favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which they had a shooting percentage at least 10 lower than their opponent with a combined average of 190.4 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Suns are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a dog off a 10+ loss in a home game after a loss in which they led by double digits with a combined average of 206.4 ppg going on the board. The Suns are 1-13 UNDER L/14 as a dog off a loss in a home game in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 203.7 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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03-03-20 | Vanderbilt v. Alabama UNDER 159.5 | 87-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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03-03-20 | Sabres v. Jets OVER 6 | 1-3 | Loss | -111 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: BUFFALO - CARTER HUTTON, WINNIPEG - CONNOR HELLEBUYCK Sabres starter Hutton has a ugly 3.68 GAA over 14 road games. NHL. Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, with a losing record in the second half of the season are 29-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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03-03-20 | Nets v. Celtics UNDER 220.5 | 129-120 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
Both these teams are banged up with key regulars out of the lineup . Boston : [PG] 03/02/2020 - Marcus Smart is "probable" Tuesday vs Brooklyn ( Illness )[SF] 03/02/2020 - Jayson Tatum is doubtful Tuesday vs Brooklyn ( Illness )[PG] 03/02/2020 - Kemba Walker is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs Brooklyn ( Knee ) He is still going to see limited time , and will playing less than 100%. Brooklyn: [SG] 03/02/2020 - Garrett Temple is "?" Tuesday vs Boston ( Shoulder )[PG] 02/20/2020 - Kyrie Irving is out for season ( Shoulder )[SF] 10/19/2019 - Kevin Durant is out indefinitely ( Achilles )The Celtics are 1-12 OU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 205.8 ppg scored. The Nets are 3-19-1 UNDER L/23 on the road with more than one day of rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 198.4 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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03-03-20 | Blues v. Rangers OVER 6 | 3-1 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON, NY RANGERS - ALEXANDAR GEORGIEV NY RANGERS are 8-2 OVER against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 6.8 gpg game scored. ST LOUIS is 10-4 OVER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (ST LOUIS) - after a 5 game unbeaten streak, in March games are 29-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-02-20 | Mavs v. Bulls OVER 224 | 107-109 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Chicago has been picking up their pace here late in the season , with their biggest problem coming in being able to slow down opposing offences, allowing an average of 121.2 ppg. Considering Dallas can light up the board quickly, I expect the Mavs to hit the 117+ point output on their own and for the Bulls to have to open up to keep pace in what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring affair. Note: DALLAS is 31-5 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 235.4 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 17-3 OVER after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.1 ppg scored. The Bulls are 17-1-1 OVER L/19 as a dog with rest off a loss when they are off two losses as dogs with a combined average score of 231 ppg going on the board. NBA Teams like the Bulls are 13-0-1 OVER L/14 off a 10+ loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with a combined average score of 237.4 ppg scored. NBA Teams are 16-1 OVER L/17 as a road favorite with no rest off a 10+ win as a road favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 233.1 ppg scored. Dallas in 21 games on the road where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season has seen a combined average of 229 ppg go on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DALLAS) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 34-11 L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-02-20 | Grizzlies v. Hawks OVER 239.5 | 127-88 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Atlanta ranks 29th in ppg allowed and 4th in pace and have averaged 122.2 ppg in offence in their L/16 trips to the hardwood with 12 of those games going over the total.Meanwhile Memphis ranks 7th in pace and 23rd in ppg per allowed and are allowing a whopping 116.6 ppg on the road this season. Based on my composite projections Im betting on the home side Atlanta , eclipsing the 122+ range with Memphis following suit in what is expected to be a high scoring affair by both me and the linesmakers. The Hawks are 11-0 OVER L/11 off a win in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with a combined average of 249.2 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 8-1 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 254.9 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 15-1 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average with a combined average of 244.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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03-02-20 | Blazers v. Magic UNDER 222.5 | 130-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Orlando enters this game on tired legs as this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. ORLANDO is 11-2 UNDER in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.8 ppg scored. The Magic enter this game vs the Lilliardless Blazers off a 114-113 loss at San Antonio on Saturday night in a game they worked very hard in to try to pull off the upset. ORLANDO is 7-0 UNDER in home games off a road loss this season with the combined score clicking in at 193.5 ppg. The Magic are also 0-18 UNDER L/18 at home off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score registering at 200.3 ppg. Meanwhile, NBA Teams like the Blazers are 1-15 UNDER L/16 as a road dog with rest off a 10+ loss in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint. Last time out the Blazers D, was smashed as they allowed 129 points in a loss and that in the past has resulted in a toned done more defensive mindset in their followup as is evident by going Under is 7-3 UNDER in their last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. ORLANDO is 17-5 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 204.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - good 3 point shooting team - making 36% or better of their attempts, in March games are 140-89 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-02-20 | NC State v. Duke OVER 152.5 | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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03-01-20 | Wizards v. Warriors OVER 229.5 | 124-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The Warriors beat the Wizards 125-117 in Washington on Feb. 3, and Im expecting a similar output here today back in Oakland for the rematch. Golden State played last night in. an upset win vs the suns so they will be on tired legs and their defensive capabilities may suffer which gives credence to my projections of a big time run and and gun Washington Wizards offensive output, which will result in the Warriors having to open up themselves with some offensive fireworks or be blown of the court. The Warriors are 13-0 OVER l/13 with no rest off a win facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 247.6 ppg scored. The Warriors are 11-0 OVER with no rest off a win with a combined average of 247.5 ppg. The Wizards own the worst ppg D, in the league, 6th fastest pace and 6th best ppg offfence in the league and have allowed more than 123 ppg on the road this season. The Wizards are 10-0 OVER L/10 on the road off a loss in a road game with a combined average of 152.9 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Wizards are 31-5-3 OVER L/39 as a favorite with less than two days rest after they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers. Play OVER |
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03-01-20 | 76ers v. Clippers OVER 218.5 | 130-136 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
The Clippers crushed the Denver Nuggets 132-103 in a matchup of Western Conference contenders last time out, and now in their current form Im betting they will once again explode offensively vs a Philadelphia team playing without Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons. I expect the Clippers to take this chance to really bring the heat here today vs a shorthanded Eastern Conference contender, that beat them 110-103 in Philly back on Feb 11. The Clippers according the my projections will put up in the 117+ point range offensively while the Sixers put +105 ppg on the scoreboard. The Clippers are 11-0 OVER L/12 at home with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 237.3 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 43-18 L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-29-20 | Sabres v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 104 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: BUFFALO - JONAS JOHANSSON, ARIZONA - DARCY KUEMPER Buffalo is allowing 3.4 gpg on the road this season, and should provide a Vegas side that does not do alot of consistent scoring to have an above average night offensively which will aid in this game going over the set total. Buffalo in their L/5 games have averaged 5 goals per game and now out of a play off race are not being as stringent defensively as they would be if these games meant more to them. Value to the over. Play over |
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02-28-20 | Cavs v. Pelicans UNDER 237 | 104-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The public loves to bet Zion and company overs, and the lines-makers are offering them an option to do what they love to do and that is bet the over at what I feel is a slightly bloated number ( 1 possession -3). This reminds me of a saying from the Late Jimmy the Greek, The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. Which leads me into my contrarian wager here as a I recommend we take the under. It must be noted that the Cavaliers are off a huge win at home last time out as underdogs vs the Sixers and will now Im betting be in a letdown situation. Which brings into play this trend that shows CLEVELAND is 13-3 UNDER off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. Teams like the Cavaliers are 1-18 UNDER L/19 on the road off a 10+ win as a dog in which they had at least 10 more turnovers than their opponent with the average combined score of 183.2 ppg scored.The Cavaliers are also 0-15 UNDER L/15 as a dog off a win as a home dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers with the average combined score of those tilts ringing at 201.3 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 33-12 UNDER UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-27-20 | Arizona v. USC UNDER 139 | 48-57 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play UNDER |
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02-27-20 | Kings v. Thunder UNDER 223 | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Sacramentos last two road games both wins have featured top tier defensive efforts, holding the Clippers to just 103 points and the Warriors to 94 points. Their successes will have them continue to concentrate on playing top tier D, and this Im betting contributes to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this slightly bloated number. OKLAHOMA CITY in 20 games when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season have seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-3 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. The Thunder are 0-10 UNDER L/10 with less than two days rest off a win as a road favorite in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent with a combined average of 195.5 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (>=82 shots/game) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 37-14 UNDER L/5 seasons with a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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02-27-20 | Illinois v. Northwestern UNDER 133 | 74-66 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play UNDER |
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02-26-20 | Celtics v. Jazz UNDER 219 | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Going from sea level in Portland and than traveling to the high altitudes of Utah, in the 2nd part of a back and back road games, makes for a situation where I expect the Celtics to be a little slower than usual and for a Jazz team in desperate need of shoring up a bleeding defence to make a concerted effort at turning this into a physical affair that I project to stay on the low side of the total. BOSTON is 15-5 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. UTAH is 21-6 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more with a combined average of 195.1 ppg going on the board. ( Phoenix lit up the Jazz at home 131-111) The Jazz are 0-14-2 UNDER l/16 as a home favorite with rest off a loss after a game in which their opponents points per field goal attempt was better than 1.5 with a combined average 188.4 ppg scored. The Celtics are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a dog after they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 183.1 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record ARE 55-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-26-20 | Wolves v. Heat OVER 228.5 | 129-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Minnesota has a one way modus operandi and that is full throttle take no prisoners basketball that pays very little attention to defence ranking 7th in pace in the league and 27th in pgg allowed and a respectable 13th in offensive ppg output . Meanwhile, Miami plays a different style of hoops, and a slower pace, but will have to adjust a bit to the Wolves speedy style as has been the case over the last 5 games, as the Heat have combined with their opponents to average 231.4 ppg and have gone over in 4 straight tilts. The Heat overall have averaged 116.9 ppg at home this season, and Im betting on that number being eclipsed here and for the Wolves to chase and get themselves into the +110 range offensively, which will result in a over. The Timberwolves are 15-0 OVER L/`15 as a dog off a loss as a dog in which they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with the 3 most recent games in this subset dating back to last season seeing 243,240, and 256 combined ppg going on the board. NBA team (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 135-63 OVER L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Teams like the Wolves are 23-4 OVER L/27 as a 8+ dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Heat are 22-1 OVER L/23 as a favorite with rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored. NBA The Heat are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average score of 231.3 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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02-26-20 | East Carolina v. South Florida UNDER 128 | 68-73 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play UNDER |
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02-25-20 | Devils v. Red Wings UNDER 6 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
The New Jersey Devils and Detroit Red Wings both occupy the basement of their respective divisions in the Eastern Conference. NJ has won 2 straight games, with tight defensive efforts by 2-1 and 3-2 counts while the Red Wings, who have dropped 16 of 19 (3-15-1) and scored more than three goals only once in that span. Im expecting the Devils to continue this type of hockey as its been success-full lately and for Motown to continue to struggle to score which will result in lower scoring affair. Under is 6-0-1 in Red Wings last 7 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 7-0-1 in Red Wings last 8 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 6-1-2 in Red Wings last 9 overall.Under is 6-1-2 in Red Wings last 9 games as an underdog.Under is 6-1-1 in Red Wings last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1-1 in Red Wings last 7 games as a home underdog.Under is 5-1-2 in Red Wings last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1-1 in Red Wings last 7 home games. Under is 8-0-1 in Devils last 9 games as a favorite. Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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02-25-20 | Iowa v. Michigan State OVER 151.5 | 70-78 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play OVER |
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02-24-20 | Alcorn State v. Alabama State OVER 135.5 | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play OVER |
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02-24-20 | Nebraska v. Illinois OVER 145.5 | 59-71 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play OVER |
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02-24-20 | Bucks v. Wizards OVER 240.5 | 137-134 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
This is obviously a high total and there was a time when I would be looking for value on the under. But now in the new NBA the league facilitates entertaining back and forth affairs which their fan base obviously embraces. In recent meetings these teams have taken part in take no prisoners run and gun offensive slugfests with the average combined score of the L/3 meetings clicking in at 268 ppg. Milwaukee runs the No.1 ranked pace and the most explosive offence in the league , while the Wizards, rank 6th in ppg output and 6th in pace, but rank last in the league in defence ppg allowed and defensive efficiency. The x factor here is the Bucks top tier D, but it must be noted that WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or better over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of those games clicking in at a whopping 266 points per game and overall Brooks is 10-0 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or better as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average score of 253.5 ppg going on the score board. The Wizards are 18-1 OVER L/19 as a dog off a loss in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the average combined score clicking in at 250.1 ppg. Play OVER |
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02-23-20 | Celtics v. Lakers UNDER 225.5 | 112-114 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Two top tier teams one from the West and one from the East do battle this afternoon in LA as the Lakers host the Celtics .Its an early start and Im leaning on an under here in what should be a chippy post season type affair. The Lakers rank 3rd in defensive efficiency in the league 6th in ppg per game allowed behind the 12th ranked pace, while the Celtics ranked 3rd in ppg allowed and operate fairly slowly behind the 17th rank pace. The time of the game, the metrics and also my projections estimate the total should be closer to 221 thus giving us more than 1 possession of value on this number. Under is 21-8 in Celtics last 29 games as an underdog.Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games as a road underdog.Under is 21-9 in Celtics last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 41-18 in Lakers last 59 games as a home favorite. BOSTON is 15-4 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 211.7 ppg going on the board. The Lakers are 0-12-1 UNDER L/12 off a 10+ win in a home game when they are playing a non-conference game with two conference games before after with a combined average score of 183.2 ppg scored. The Celtics are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15 with less than two days rest off a win in a road game when they are off two games in which they had more than 25 fouls with a combined average of 186.3 ppg scored.
Play on the UNDER |
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02-23-20 | Bucknell v. Lehigh OVER 139 | 60-69 | Loss | -119 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Bucknell won as fav in their L/2 games, and when this has happened in the recent past they have gone over in 11 straight times in the followup with a combined average of 161.5 ppg going on the board with each tilt in the subset easily eclipsing this number. Look for Bucknell now with confidence to set the pace of this tilt and to come out here with some offensive aggressiveness which will result in the home team coming out of their shell, with some minor fireworks of their own which will help this combined score go over the number. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BUCKNELL) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 72-38 OVER L/23 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-22-20 | Cal-Irvine v. CS-Northridge UNDER 149.5 | 87-64 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
UCI plays a grinding physical type of basketball behind a slow pace and half court defense. Meanwhile, Cal State Northridge runs and guns with wreck-less abandon and was evident in a 110-98 loss to UC Davis last time out, which has added numbers to this total. With the way UCI s opus operandi works, and what I expect to be natural regression offensively by Northridge after their last one way offensive battle, Im betting we have value with an under wager here this evening. UC-IRVINE is 9-1 UNDER in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 130.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-22-20 | Gonzaga v. BYU OVER 158 | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
These two teams BYU and Gonzaga can light it up with some of the best teams in the nation.Gonzaga has gone over the total in 22 of their 28 games have eclipsed the total in their L/11 away games while BYU has gone over in 16 of their 28 tilts. Gonzaga offensive efficiency is remarkable on alot of fronts but on the road they play a no prisoners type of offense, that also seems to have team having to reciprocate with offensive fireworks of their own or be blow off the court, as is evident by allowing their opposition to put up a a boat load of shots ( average 62, ranking 323rd in the nation). What this tells me is , that if you want to be Gonzaga hyou have outscore them. Play OVER |
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02-22-20 | Kings v. Clippers OVER 230 | 112-103 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
The Kings are coming off a 129-125 victory over the visiting Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday and Im betting they come right at the Clippers here this afternoon in a tilt I have projected to go over the set total. Note: The Kings blew out the Clippers 124-103 in their last meeting in Los Angeles on Jan. 30. The Clippers are 13-1 OVER with rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 247.1 ppg scored. NBATeams like the Clippers are 19-2 OVER as a home favorite off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. The Kings are 9-0-1 OVER L/10 as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average score of 236.8 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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02-21-20 | Celtics v. Wolves OVER 226 | 127-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
The new look Wolves will send out the down town trio D’Angelo Russell, Omari Spellman and Malik Beasley to the court today in a home game and Im betting they will force a capable Celtics team into a old fashion run and gun affair that eclipses this total. Both are fresh and rested and both should will be prepared to make this into a track meet. MINNESOTA is 24-9 OVER in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. The Timberwolves are 17-0 OVER L/17 after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with every game in the subset eclipsing this total -average combined score in those tilts rings in at 236.5 ppg. NBA Teams like the Wolves are 19-2 OVER L/21 with rest off a loss as a home favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a. combined average score of 236 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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02-21-20 | Pacers v. Knicks UNDER 212.5 | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Indiana's successes and failures on predicated on their defensive play, as they rank only 21st in the NBA in offensive output, and 9th in ppg allowed, behind a slower grinding type of play that has them ranked 25th in pace. Meanwhile, NYK ranks 28 in offensive output and 21st in pace . Considering both sides modus operandi my projections make this total one possession off the mark, which has me leaning strongly to the under. The Pacers are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 182.2 ppg scored. The Knicks are 3-18-1 UNDER L/22 as a home dog off a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored. INDIANA is 21-6 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 10-2 UNDER as a home underdog of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 209. 6 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Knicks are 0-12-1 UNDER L/13 with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss as a home favorite after a game with 8+ lead changes with a combined average of 209 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 44-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW YORK) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games are 51-19 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-21-20 | Cavs v. Wizards OVER 235.5 | 113-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Washington ranks 6th in the NBA in offensive ppg output, and rank dead last at 30th in the league in defense , behind the 6th ranked pace. Its obvious when the Wizards go on the court, you better be prepared to run and score non stop or be blown off the court. With the Wizards fresh after the all star break you can bet they will come out of the gates , like their hairs on fire and will force Cleveland to reciprocate with offensive fireworks of their own. NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a road dog off a 10+ win as a dog in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 243.3 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Wizards are 14-0-1 OVER L/15 off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with a combined average of 242.4 ppg scored. The Wizards are 18-1 OVER at home with more than one day of rest facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 238.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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02-21-20 | Pennsylvania v. Dartmouth UNDER 133 | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Dartmouth has allowed 60.1 ppg at home this season, and their system is predicated oin playing tough defensive ball and nothing changes tonight on their own home court. When these teams played earlier this season, they took part in a 54-46 affair that Penn won, and this is a rinse and repeat situation in the rematch. PENNSYLVANIA is 8-0 UNDER after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.5 ppg scored. DARTMOUTH is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in home games after a win by 15 points or more with a combined average of 130.6 ppg scored.DARTMOUTH is 7-1 UNDER after playing a home game this season with a 119.7 ppg scored. (Dartmouth beat Cornell 75-53 at home last time out) Play on the UNDER |
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02-20-20 | Hornets v. Bulls UNDER 211 | 103-93 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
Chicago was playing alot of offensive back and forth affairs before the all star break, but Charlotte does not have the fire power to take part in that type of affair ranking 30th in the league in offence, and will look to slow this game down behind the 30th ranked pace in the NBA . This Im betting has a direct effect on this total to the under. The Bulls are 0-17-1 UNDER L/18 as a favorite off a 10+ loss in a road game when they are off two losses as dogs with a combined average of 184.2 ppg scored with non of the tilts in the subset going over this total. The Hornets are 1-13 UNDER L/14 on the road after a game as a road dog in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half with a combined average of 192.9 ppg .NBA Teams like the Hornets are 0-13 UNDER L/13 with more than two days of rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with the combined average score of 208 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-20-20 | Flyers v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Columbus plays a conservative disciplined brand of defensive hockey, and they consistently find a way to keep games chippy and physical while taking teams out of their offensive flow. Rinse and repeat here tonight vs Philadelphia as they will be very stringent after suffering a 5-1 loss to the Flyers in the first part of this home and home series. COLUMBUS is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 2.3 gpg scored. COLUMBUS is 15-2 UNDER in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, high scoring team (2.9 or more goals/G) vs an avg. scoring team (2.5-2.9 goals/G) - 2nd half of the year are 47-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-20-20 | Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 224.5 | 126-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
analysis to follow- thank you for your patience |
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02-19-20 | Michigan v. Rutgers UNDER 135 | 60-52 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Rutgers because of their strong defensive play have really stepped up their ability to compete in the Big 10. Here at home the Scarlet Knights are especially tough to play against allowing just 57.5 ppg in 17 games. Tonight at the RAC the Scarlet Knights have revenge on board for a loss to Michigan on the road earlier this season by 69-63 count, and in the past when they have been in redemption mode , playing extremely tough D, has been their modus operandi , under HC Pickell especially this season , as they have seen a combined average of 126.2 ppg scored in the 8 tilts that fit revenge perimeters. Meanwhile, Michigan is off a big 89 point offensive output last time vs Indiana, thanks to some explosive beyond the arc conversion rates ( 57.4%) and Im betting they will have natural regression here tonight. Note: MICHIGAN is 8-1 UNDER after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 118.7 ppg scored. Im betting on a scrappy physical game and a total combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Play on the UNDER |
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02-17-20 | North Carolina Central v. North Carolina A&T UNDER 134.5 | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
North Carolina Central plays a slow grinding type of defensive basketball. On the road they have only averaged 61.4 ppg in offence, so its imperative they continue to grind it out and thanks to a defence that has been solid on a consistent basis this season, allowing just 66.1 ppg , Im betting on more of the same action here which will influence to this total the under. NC Carolina A&T off a loss a favorite are 0-9 UNDER with the average ppg diff clicking in at 116.2 ppg going on the board. ( They lost last time out at Florida A&M) NC CENTRAL is 12-3 UNDER L/15 in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or ,less of their attempts with a combined average of 127.9 ppg scored. CBB Road teams against the total (NC CENTRAL) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 65 points or less 5 straight games are 30-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-16-20 | All Star LeBron v. All Star Giannis OVER 303.5 | 157-155 | Win | 100 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
After watching the World vs USA rising stars tilt on Friday night when 282 total points went on the board, it became obvious to me that this is also going to be another no defence affair that easily flies over the total, thanks in part the 24 added points the Kobe Bryant output gives to this total score. The NBA wants their all star game to be as entertaining as possible so they are going facilitate Play OVER |
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02-16-20 | Bruins v. Rangers OVER 6 | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Bruins super star David Pastrnak, who became the first player to 42 goals on Saturday, has seven points in two games versus the Rangers this season and Im betting he will be a catalyst here in an above average Bruins offensive output , that will help buoy this game over the set total. Over is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 games a home underdog.Over is 11-4-1 in Rangers last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 9-4-1 in Rangers last 14 home games.Over is 14-4-1 in Rangers last 19 games as an underdog. Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in New York. Play OVER |
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02-16-20 | Colgate v. Loyola Maryland OVER 148.5 | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. LOYOLA-MD is 15-3 OVER off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 season with a combined average off 155 ppg scored. LOYOLA-MD is 11-2 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 152.4 ppg scored. Home teams against the total (LOYOLA-MD) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or less) after 15+ games, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 90-42 OVER L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-14-20 | Sharks v. Jets OVER 6 | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
San Jose is off two straight games where 9 and 8 combined goals were scored and tonight Im betting this tilt vs a Winnipeg team, that has scored 14 total goals in a 3 game span prior to being held to 1 goal last time out will also be fairly high scoring . Considering both sides current form and style of play Im projecting a combined score that eclipses this total. Note: San Jose has allowed an average of 3.5 gpg on the road this season and have allowed 3 or more goals in 5 of their L/7 games overall, while Winnipeg scores an average of 3.2 gpg in their L/5 while allowing 31.6 shots per game and taking 34.6 shot per game. Over is 5-1 in Sharks last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 4-1 in Sharks last 5 vs. Western Conference. NHL team against the total (SAN JOSE) - well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, in February games are 259-175 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-14-20 | Cornell v. Harvard UNDER 137.5 | 63-85 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play UNDER |
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02-13-20 | Oilers v. Lightning UNDER 6 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
With one of the leagues top scorers McDavid out of Edmonton Oilers lineup Im betting his absence will effect their offensive slow and output. TAMPA BAY is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season of 4.2 gpg scored.TAMPA BAY is 8-0 UNDER after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season. Play UNDER |
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02-12-20 | Cal-Irvine v. Cal-Riverside OVER 128 | 63-59 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Previous to their last game , where Cal Irvine only scored 61 points in a loss at UC Santa Barbara they had put up 80, 91, 83 points respectively and now Im betting a big out put here tonight against Cal Riverside, in a tilt I have projected to eclipse this total. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (UC-IRVINE) - off a close road loss by 3 points or less, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 26-4 OVER L/23 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-12-20 | Heat v. Jazz UNDER 217.5 | 101-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
This is the fifth game in the Heats Western road trip and they are now on tired legs and wont have their usual jump here tonight in the high altitude of Utah which Im betting directly effects their offensive output tonight which favors an under wager . The Heat are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a road dog with rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 189.5 ppg scored.The Heat are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a dog off a win facing an opponent that has a season-to-date average points per FGA of better than 1.3 with a combined average of 205.1 ppg scored. The Jazz are 0-18 UNDER L/18 as a home favorite off a road game in which they had fewer than 4 times as many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 189.7 ppg scored. Snyder in his L/49 in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of UTAH has seen a combined average of 203.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 30-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-12-20 | East Carolina v. Tulsa OVER 132 | 56-70 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Play OVER |
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02-12-20 | Illinois State v. Northern Iowa OVER 139.5 | 63-71 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Play OVER |
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02-11-20 | Celtics v. Rockets UNDER 232 | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Boston enters this game fully healthy and will be primed to play top tier defence here behind the 17th ranked pace and 2nd ranked ppg D in the league. Meanwhile, Houston since changing over to a predominant small ball lineup have shown mixed results with the most troubling aspect seeing difficulties from beyond the arc which Im betting will effect output here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. The Rockets are 9-35-5 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with rest with a combine average of 217.3 ppg scored. The Celtics are 0-11-1 UNDER l/12 on the road with rest off a win in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent with a a combined average of 200.9 ppg scored. BOSTON is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.2 ppg. HOUSTON is 23-10 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-10-20 | Kings v. Bucks UNDER 228 | 111-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
We all know the Bucks go at full throttle most nights behind the no1 pace and no 1 offence in the league, but their D continues to get better and is now ranked 7th in ppg allowed and ranked 1st in defensive rating. Note: DRating - Defensive Rating for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions. Because of slightly bloated lines the Bucks have seen 6 of their L/9 stay under the total, and tonight Im betting there is more value to the under on board according to my projections which are a full possession under this number at 224. I know might seem like . small edge, but any edge against very accurate overall totals is a contrarian go signal situation for me. The Bucks are 1-20 UNDER L/21 off a 10+ win in a road game after a win in which they never trailed with a combined average score of 195.1 ppg scored with only 1 game in the 21 sub set going over this set total. The Bucks are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win as a road favorite in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with a combined average 0f 202 ppg going on the board with none of the games eclipsing this posted total. NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 51-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play UNDER |
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02-10-20 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Blue Jackets' defense and goaltending are key to their run of success of late. Netminder Elvis Merzlikins has recorded five shutouts in the last nine contests, and the team's goalies have a league-high seven on the season, and Im betting another concerted effort to play tough defence will be on tonights agenda vs a offensively explosive Tampa Bay team. The Bolts in a recent game vs the Isles matched their opponents tough defensive game plan, with a similar style of play and it payed dividends in a 3-1 win, and Im betting that will be modus operandi here again tonight in a tilt I have pegged to stay under the total. COLUMBUS is 24-9 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 6-0 UNDER after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored. Under is 5-0-1 in Lightning last 6 vs. Metropolitan. Under is 6-2-1 in Lightning last 9 road games. Under is 10-4-1 in Lightning last 15 games as a road favorite. Under is 5-0 in Blue Jackets last 5 games as a home underdog. Under is 8-1 in Blue Jackets last 9 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 6-1 in Blue Jackets last 7 games as an underdog. Under is 6-1 in Blue Jackets last 7 vs. Atlantic. Play UNDER |
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02-09-20 | Blackhawks v. Jets OVER 6 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Both these teams have seen 6 gpg average in their games this season, and this one set up to eclipse those averages according to my projections. Over is 13-3 in Blackhawks last 16 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 6-1-1 in Jets last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. CHICAGO is 24-8 OVER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with an AVERAGE OF 7.3 gog scored. WINNIPEG is 15-4 OVER L/19 after allowing 2 goals or less in 4 straight games with a combined average of 7 gpg going on the scoreboard. NHL Home teams against the total (WINNIPEG) - after allowing 2 goals or less in 4 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game are 31-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play OVER |
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02-09-20 | Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 232.5 | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
The Jazz are 1-18 L/19 with rest off a win in a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times with a combined average of 201 ppg scored with the highest combined score during the 19 game run clicking in at 227. The Jazz are 1-17-2 UNDER L/20 off a win in a home game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score clicking in at 191.7 ppg with none of the 20 games going over this set total. The Rockets are 1-16-1 UNDER L/18 as a home favorite off a loss as a road favorite after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 206.7 ppg going on the board. HOUSTON is 31-16 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.8 ppg. HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. HOUSTON is 23-12 UNDER against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.2 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 32-7 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-09-20 | Knicks v. Hawks OVER 226.5 | 135-140 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
This will be the second time Atlanta and New York have played. The Knicks won the first contest 143-120 on Dec. 17 and now Im betting they come at each other with same energy here today and get us an over winner. ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Knicks are 15-0 OVER L/15 after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Hawks are 15-0-1 OVER L/16 as a favorite with less than two days rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game with the average combined score clicking in at 231.4 ppg. Play on the OVER |
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02-08-20 | Bucks v. Magic UNDER 220.5 | 112-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Orlando owns the best ppg defence in the NBA and ranks 29th in offence, behind the 28th ranked pace, so its obvious to see the type of game plan they implement. Mean while, ee all know Milwaukee can light the board up quickly behind the No.1 offence so Orlando will take special care here and try to drag this game down to a speed that takes the Bucks out of their flow. Note: Milwaukee also ranks 9th in ppg D, in the league so the Magics pedestrian O is really going to have trouble tonight with output. Advantage to the under. The Magic are 0-15 L/15 as a dog with rest off a loss in a road game in which they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average with a combined average of 181.5 ppg going on the board. The Magic are 0-17 UNDER L/17 at home off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 200 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 12-2 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.8 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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02-07-20 | Rockets v. Suns UNDER 234 | 91-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
The new look Rockets, on tired legs get set to play the second of a road back-to-back set Friday night against the Phoenix Suns . Im betting some of their trades screw with the offensive flow of the team at least for tonight, and because of their uptempo win vs the Lakers last night will now be in an emotional letdown spot in regression stage. This Im betting will effect the total to the low side here this evening. The Suns are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a dog with rest off a loss as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 187.6 ppg scored. The Rockets are 0-16-2 UNDER L/18 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with a combined average of 213.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Teams like the Suns are 1-17-1 UNDER L/19 as a home dog with rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 212.9 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (HOUSTON) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 42-13 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-06-20 | Spurs v. Blazers UNDER 229.5 | 117-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
San Antonio operates a medium speed ranking 15th in the NBA pace, and own the 12 ranked offensive rating with the average combined score of their road games clicking in at 228.4 ppg a full possession under this offered total and tonight Im betting their output and pace will slow even more as this is their 3rd road game in 4 nights . Meanwhile, Portland owns the 11th ranked pace, and are in a regression state after their star Damian Lillard went on a historic points run . Both circumstances Im betting combine to see a score that stays on the low side of this number. The Trailblazers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 198.4 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Spurs are 0-10 UNDER L/10 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in a road game in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half with a combined average score of 210.5 ppg. |
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02-06-20 | Sharks v. Oilers OVER 6 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: SAN JOSE - AARON DELL, EDMONTON - MIKKO KOSKINEN Edmonton (8-1-2) L/11 has scored at least four goals in each of the wins before absorbing a 3-0 defeat to the Coyotes, the team's first shutout loss since Oct. 22. Today I expect a big bounce back and alot more offensive output. Note:Edmonton's top-ranked power play is converting on 28.9 percent of its chances. Meanwhile, San Jose has allowed 25 goals in their L/7 games and are deficient defensively, and this will be a key here to us getting an over bet to cash on this tilt. EDMONTON is 13-6 OVER in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. SAN JOSE is 15-4 OVER off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival over the last 2 seasons with an average of 7.4 gpg scored. Play OVER |
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02-05-20 | Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 228.5 | 121-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Doncic's second sprained ankle this season has him on the sidelines again, and while the Mavericks has adapted without him Im seeing flow issues with the offense especially on the perimeter. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are talking about playing better defence, and last time out scored just 96 points but held the Pistons to just 82 points and Im betting more stringent D, will once again be on tonight s . agenda in Dallas which will help keep this score on the low side of the total. MEMPHIS is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.9 ppg. MEMPHIS is 18-8 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217 ppg scored. The Grizzlies are 0-14 UNDER L/14 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 184.8 ppg. The Mavericks are 4-20-1UNDER L/25 with rest off a win in a road game in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with a combined average of 197.9 ppg scored. NBA Teams are 3-24 UNDER L/27 as a home favorite off a game as a dog when their last four games are LLWW with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-04-20 | Canucks v. Bruins OVER 6 | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Vancouver is on tired legs as they enter this tilt playing their 4th straight road game in less than a week, and Im betting will find it difficult tonight vs a Bruins team that is off a 6-1 win last time out and on a couple of days rest. The Canucks have been finding ways to win, this season, much to the surprise of the pundits thanks to a better than advertised offence, but lately despite of scoring their D is showing some chinks in their proverbial arm-our and a a result they have gone over in 3 straight games. On the road the Canucks allow an average of 3.4 gpg , and Im betting their season average as visitors will be eclipsed here, and their own ability to bury the biscuit will help this score go over the total. VANCOUVER is 7-1 OVER in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season with an average of 7.7 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VANCOUVER) - explosive offensive team - scoring 3+ goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games are 50-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-03-20 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 224 | 123-115 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks will have trouble finding enough healthy players to compete on Monday when they host the Boston Celtics.. The Hawks lost two more starters on Saturday and could be without leading scorer Trae Young when they return home to meet the Celtics. If young plays he may see limited time because of nagging minor injuries. With thaqt said, Im betting the Hawks offensive flow will be curtailed as will be their offensive output in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. The Celtics are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a road 8+ favorite with rest coming off a win with a combined average of 196.8 ppg scored. HC Stevens is 25-9 UNDER as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of BOSTON with the combined average score of those tilts clikcing in at 205.6 ppg. The Hawks are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a 8+ dog off a loss in which their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before with a combined averag of 198.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 58 h 6 m | Show | |
Super Bowl LIV - Hard Rock Stadium - Miami Gardens, FL I know most bettors who look at this Super Bowl matchup see a back and forth see saw offensive affair taking place. However, after watching how extraordinarily tough the 49ers D is and how this team plays (run baby run ball) whether behind or ahead it gives me pause in my assessment of this total and its value to the under . I also dont see alot of penalties called here today by the officiating crew, which will result in less first downs and offensive flow and that will directly effect output. Note: KC HC Reid is 20-5 UNDER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest in all games he has coached since 1992 with the combined average score of those games , clicking in at 39 ppg. NFL team against the total (KANSAS CITY) - after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 37-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-02-20 | Blue Jackets v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, MONTREAL - CHARLIE LINDGREN Price is 1-1-0 against the Jackets this season, allowing seven goals. Over his career against Columbus, he is 10-5-1 with a 2.36 goals-against average. COLUMBUS is 8-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with the combined average of 4.5 gpg scored. COLUMBUS is 22-8 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season. COLUMBUS is 22-8 UNDER (+13.5 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season, with a combined average of 4.7 gpg . NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (MONTREAL) - off a home win, playing on back-to-back days are 108-48 UNDER L/23 seasons for a long term 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-02-20 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 231 | 108-129 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Milwaukee came out last time out asleep at the proverbial wheel, and lost as DD favorites to a short handed Denver team by a 127- . Now a little embarrassed Im expecting a concerted effort to make sure they don't have a repeat performance and to make sure they have a much better defensive effort. Teams like the Bucks are 7-27-1 UNDER as a home 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ loss in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 200.9 ppg. Teams like Bucks are 1-13-1 UNDER L/15 with rest after playing as a home favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 210.5 ppg. The Suns are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road off a loss in a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the average combined score clicking in at 207.4 ppg. The Suns are 1-13 UNDER as a dog off a loss as a dog in which their assists decreased by at least 10 from the game before with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 15-4 UNDER in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons are 213.6 ppg. Play UNDER |
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02-02-20 | Illinois v. Iowa OVER 146 | 65-72 | Loss | -116 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. My projections estimate a combined score in the range of 151 points . Play OVER |
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02-01-20 | Nets v. Wizards UNDER 242.5 | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
The Wizards allow an average of 121 points per game, the worst figure in the NBA by a large margin, and because they rank 3rd in offensive output we we are getting a bloated public line to bet into. Add to that a couple of back forth performances by the Nets in high scoring games and we now have what Im betting is two possession value to the under. Nets are 0-14 OU with no rest when the line is within 3 of pick with the combined average score of 204.4 ppg going on the board. The Wizards are 0-11 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win in a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 209.5 ppg. The Nets are 2-23 UNDER with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when the total is at least 15 points more than their last game with a combined average of 191.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-31-20 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans UNDER 241 | 111-139 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Both these teams can light it up offensively and because of this the linemakers are setting what Im betting is a public leaning line that offers value for sharp under bettors. The Grizzlies are 2-19-1 UNDER L/22 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 184.7 ppg scored. NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 29-11 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/ NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 41-10 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-30-20 | Oregon State v. Stanford UNDER 129.5 | 68-63 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Play UNDER |
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01-30-20 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 221.5 | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Toronto has been firing on all cylinders of late averaging more than 117 ppg on offence, with the combined average of 226.1 ppg scored in those tilts. On the season Cleveland has average 113.5 +ppg while allowing 114.1 ppg behind the 29th ranked defensive rating. Everything points to those numbers projecting a total combined score that will breach this total. TORONTO is 8-1 OVER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 233.1 ppg scored. The Raptors are 12-1 OVER L/13 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win when they are off two wins as favorites with a combined average score of 234.9 ppg going on the board. NBA teams like the Raptors are 22-2 OVER L/24 as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 237.9 ppg scored. The Cavaliers are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average of 232.5 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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01-29-20 | Predators v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 107 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Nashville upset Washington by a 6-5 count the last time they played on Oct 10, and now with revenge on board Im betting on the Capitals will be coming at the Preds with everything but the kitchen sink, knowing that he scores last will most probably be the victors here. WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER revenging a road loss versus opponent this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. NASHVILLE is 6-0 OVER against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored. WASHINGTON is 25-9 OVER vs team defense that allow their - opponents to average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. Play on the OVER |
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01-28-20 | Wizards v. Bucks UNDER 244.5 | 131-151 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has been playing some excellent defence of late, and as a result of this have gone under the set total in 5 of their L/6 trips to the hardwood. We all know Washington loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon but after a huge back and forth tilt last time out vs Atlanta ( 133-152) regression to the mean is expected which puts this tilt closer to the 234 range, which according to my own projections gives us value on an under. MILWAUKEE is 24-13 UNDER versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.6 ppg scored. The Bucks are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 at home with rest off a 10+ win in a road game in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 194.2 ppg with none of the games in this subset going over this total. NBA Teams like the Wizards are 5-25 UNDER L/30 as a road 8+ dog with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which a game in which their points per field goal attempt was better than 1.5 with a combined average of 195.5 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 50-19 UNDER L/23 seasons seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-26-20 | Ohio State v. Northwestern UNDER 132 | 71-59 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. NORTHWESTERN is 6-0 UNDER in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 126.1 ppg scored.NORTHWESTERN is 9-1 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 121.2 ppg scored. OHIO ST is 8-1 UNDER in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. (Which was the case last time out at home vs Minnesota) OHIO ST is 9-2 UNDER in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons with the combined average 125.6 ppg. CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (OHIO ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 37-12 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-26-20 | Raptors v. Spurs OVER 223 | 110-106 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
The Spurs give up an ugly 114.5 ppg, 24th in the NBA and the Raptors average more than 112 ppg overall this season despite of being short handed with injuries for much of this season, but are healthy entering this game vs the Spurs . Both teams are top-level three-point shooting squads with Toronto shooting 37.6% to the Spurs’ 36.7%. With that said, Im betting on a big time shoot out here today in the Alamo. TORONTO is 12-2 OVER in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 20-9 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 33-9 OVER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-24-20 | Clippers v. Heat UNDER 222 | 122-117 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Miami, has won its last two home games in overtime and could easily find themselves on tired legs here tonight in a game that Im betting will be slow paced as compared to some of their more recent efforts. The Clippers their opponents tonight are 8-23 UNDER since Nov 08, 2018 as a road dog and have recently gone under 4 straight times as road dogs with the combined average score of 209.7 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season The Heat 0-7-2 UNDER L9 vs the LA Clippers. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-9 L 23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 23-5 L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-24-20 | Kent State v. Buffalo UNDER 155 | 70-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. KENT ST is 6-0 UNDER in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.BUFFALO is 7-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. BUFFALO is 7-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games Home teams against the total (BUFFALO) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (76 or more PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games are 59-27 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 69% conversion rate fro bettors. UNDER |
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01-23-20 | Montana v. Idaho State OVER 132 | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
OVER |