Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-30-19 | Wild v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
The visiting Wild fell 6-3 to the Dallas Stars on Tuesday night as they blew a 3-0 lead in the process . Minnesota has allowed 32 goals in in their seven losses away from home but the linesmakers are still projecting a fairly low scoring game, and Im betting their correct in their assessments.Goaltender Alex Stalock played last night for the tired Wild, so Dubnyk (2-5-0, 3.92 GAA, .880 save percentage) will likely start against the Blues. He was 3-0 with a 1.32 GAA and .947 save percentage against them last season. Im expecting his work between the pipes, and the exhausted Wilds need to play more conservatively on the road to be one of the keys of this being a low scoring game against a banged up St.Louis side playing without one of their top scorers Vladamir Tarasenko. MINNESOTA is 9-2 UNDER in road games after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 season with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (MINNESOTA) - tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days, with a losing record in the first half of the season are 71-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-29-19 | Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 219.5 | 91-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
We have a huge talent disparity here in this game featuring Memphis and the LA Lakers and Im betting the rebuilding Grizzlies output will be muted, and their over all game plan will be a more conservative one , than they have shown so far this season, knowing what they are up against. With that said, Im betting we have a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Note : It must also be noted that there seems to be a concerted effort from the Lakers to be a all around team this season. LAL are ranked 3rd in ppg allowed this season, and 20th in offence, behind the 28th ranked pace. The Lakers are 2-7 L/9 as a home favorite with the average combined score clicking in at 214.2 ppg. LA LAKERS are 21-7 UNDER as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 29-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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10-29-19 | Nationals v. Astros OVER 7 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
World Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - HOU leads 3-2 After going down 2 games -0 the Astros, have come roaring back with 3 straight wins as the Houston offence has also suddenly come back to life, and will be a difficult assignment for Nats starter Strasburg. Houston has averaged 5.7 rpg vs RHP this season. Note: Stasburgs four career starts vs the Astros have gone over the total. Meanwhile, Verlander the expected Astros starter has allowed exactly four runs in three of his last four trips to the hill and comes into this game at 0-5 with a 5.73 ERA in six career World Series starts and could easily get beaten around by a desperate Washington team looking to avoid elimination. Verlanders 3 career starts vs the Astros have gone over the total. Over is 5-1 in Strasburgs last 6 interleague starts.Over is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 playoff games. Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 13-3 in Astros last 16 interleague home games. HOUSTON is 11-3 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 10-2 OVER in home games in an inter-league game this season with a combined average of 12.2 rpg. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 71-40 OVER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-29-19 | Sharks v. Bruins UNDER 6 | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
the Sharks have struggled in their first 12 games of this season. San Jose has allowed four or more goals eight times thus far while scoring two or fewer on six occasions. QUTE: "We're playing from behind in a lot of these games," San Jose coach Peter DeBoer said, "and instead of sticking with it and trusting the group and the system, everyone wants to step out and fix it themselves, but it doesn't work that way. So eventually you have to learn that lesson." END QUOTE. Im betting that the Sharks have learned their less, and will play a more disciplined game here vs a explosive Boston Bruins team. Note:The Sharks despite their over all struggle killed all four power plays they faced in their last contest, improving their league-leading penalty kill to 93.2 percent. Thats important here vs a Boston side, that had a power play conversion in 6 of their L/7 games overall. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 season ( with a combined average score of 4.8 gpg scored) SAN JOSE is 15-4 UNDER in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. Tuukka Rask, fresh off a shutout of the defending champion St. Louis Blues on Saturday, is expected to start between the pipes for the Bruins. In his current form hes hard to beat, and is a key component here in my under projections for this tilt. NHL Road teams against the total (SAN JOSE) - after 2 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more against opponent after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game are 36-12 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-28-19 | Jazz v. Suns UNDER 216.5 | 96-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
Utah is a defence first team with a blue collar attitude, and Im betting that will be on full display here this evening in Phoenix. Its early in the season but the Jazz are ranked first in defence allowing 90.3 ppg and are ranked 27th on offence, but the tell tale tape shows them methodically operating with a 28th ranked pace, which is in part indicative of their on court conservative philosophical mindset. Meanwhile, the Suns are ranked 12th in ppg allowed and 14th in pace and should be on tired legs and in a regressionary offensive mode, after taking part in consecutive hard fought back forth affairs vs Denver and the LA Clippers.Add to that both teams are playing their 4th game in 6 nights and are certainly on tired legs which in turn will also effect the pace and output of this tilt to the low side of the totals number. Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 overall.Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Jazz last 10 Monday games.Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-3 in Jazz last 12 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 5-2 in Jazz last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-2 in Jazz last 7 games following a straight up win. Under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games following a straight up win. .Under is 16-5 in Suns last 21 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 6-2 in Suns last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Phoenix. PHOENIX is 9-1 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.3 ppg. UTAH is 31-13 UNDER after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.5 ppg going on the score board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 27-4 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 36-12 UNDER 23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-28-19 | Dolphins v. Steelers UNDER 43.5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The Dolphins rank last in the NFL in passer rating and Im betting things are not going to get any better tonight, as their offence will flounder against a capable D. Meanwhile, with Steelers, QB Mason Rudolph, making his first appearance at Heinz Field in 3 weeks ended when he barely made his way to the sidelines following a vicious hit to the head by Baltimore's Earl Thomas that briefly left him unconscious, may still find himself a little gun shy this week. With that said and HC Tomlin being the alert coach he is will most like and probably peg his offensive schemes on a ground heavy approach which in turn will eat clock time. The above combination of projected events will make for a low scoring affair. Note: The Steelers owns the 6th slowest pace in the league, and the Fins when they are losing a game by more than 7 points own the slowest pace in the league. PITTSBURGH is 10-2 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41 ppg. Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games on grass.Under is 8-2 in Dolphins last 10 games following a straight up loss.Under is 13-4 in Dolphins last 17 games in Week 8.Under is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 6-1 in Steelers last 7 vs. AFC.Under is 9-2 in Steelers last 11 games in Week 8.Under is 6-2 in Steelers last 8 games on grass.Under is 20-7 in Steelers last 27 games in October. Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games on grass.Under is 8-2 in Dolphins last 10 games following a straight up loss.Under is 13-4 in Dolphins last 17 games in Week 8.Under is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Big chalk of 13 or more points have gone UNDER the Total in 18 of the L/23 games, when the number is 52 or less points. Miami has gone under in 10 of their L/11 as non-division dogs of 10 points or more. Play UNDER |
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10-27-19 | Panthers v. 49ers OVER 42 | 13-51 | Win | 100 | 56 h 43 m | Show | |
The Panthers are fresh off a bye week, which Im betting will see them energized and ready to rumble here this week against a viable SF offence behind top tier QB James Garoppolo . The Panthers have gone over in 5 straight off a week off, and have gone over the total in 7 of their L/8 vs a side with a .800 or better win record and eclipsed the total in 4 of their L/5 vs NFC west. Meanwhile, the 49ers have gone over in 9 of their L/11 vs a side of bye. Yes, folks I know how dominate the Niners defences has been , but because of this early season recency bias , we get a very good number to bet into from a over bettors perspective according to my projections. A reversion to the mean here for the 49ers D makes for a portion of my decision making process this Sunday. CAROLINA is 8-1 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 59.9 ppg going on the board. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (CAROLINA) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 27-1 OVER L/26 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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10-26-19 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 228 | 122-130 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The Suns will play host to the Clippers on Saturday in their second game without key starter Ayton, and will miss his point production, but overall, this Im betting helps their defence. Ayton has never been known for his defensive play and is also known as a defensive liability. Add to that the Suns, played last night and will be on tired legs after they lost l in OT by a 108-107 count in the high altitude of Denver which in itself is exhausting . So here in LA this evening, Im looking for a tempered effort from the Suns, against what is an explosive Clippers team. This Im betting leads to a much lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers expect. Note: HC Williams in 213 career games when playing against a team with a winning record in all games he has coached has seen a combined average of 192.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-26-19 | Astros v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Washington's bats were silent last night in game 3 of this series as the club went 0-for-10 with runners in scoring position and stranded 12 for the game. Now tonight Im betting on a rebound by what has become a consistent offence, and much better run production. Note: WASHINGTON is 19-7 OVER in home games after scoring 1 run or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg going on the board in those 26 tilts. MARTINEZ is 36-16 OVER in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs as the manager of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Houston after that 4-1 win last night now has momentum, and Im betting they continue upward in offensive production here today against starter Patrick Corbin who owns a 6.91 ERA and that according to my cross reference power rankings does not matchup well vs this power Astros batting order. Over is 3-0-1 in Corbins last 4 home starts. Over is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 interleague games.Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 vs. National League East. Over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings in Washington. Play OVER |
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10-26-19 | Penguins v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Since the Penguins beat the Stars 4-2 on Oct. 18 in Pittsburgh, Dallas has won three straight games, while Pittsburgh has lost three in a row. The difference maker for the Stars is their ability to implement a NYI Barry Trotz type defensive plan, that allows them to stay close and look for the right opportunities in transition. This has been evident in their consecutive victories vs Philadelphia, Ottawa and Anaheim, by 4-1, 2-1 ,and 2-1 scores, and now with momentum and success on their sides, will Im betting continue down this path, vs the Penguins here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Note: The Penguins have only scored a total of 4 goals in their L/3 games, thanks and part to injuries , and a new found vigor for playing a tighter brand of defensive hockey. DALLAS is 17-3 UNDER in home games after a 2 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored.DALLAS is 9-1 UNDER in home games after allowing 2 goals or less in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (DALLAS) - after a 2 game unbeaten streak, a bad team, winning 30% to 40% of their games on the season are 134-68 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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10-26-19 | 76ers v. Pistons UNDER 216.5 | 117-111 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Last time out Philadelphia showed their defensive abilities when they limited Boston to 36.7 percent shooting overall and 26.9 percent from 3-point range, and are more than capable of a shut down performance here vs Detroit on the road . Meanwhile the Motown Pistons, are off dropping their home opener to Atlanta 117-100 as chalk. There was a lack of good defence, and offence in that tilt, and HC Casey was particularly unhappy with the Pistons D, and tonight Im betting he sets out to correct that. QUOTE:"Our defense (Thursday) was porous and you put that along with bad shooting in the second half, that's a bad recipe," coach Dwane Casey said. END QUOTE. DETROIT is 17-6 UNDER off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons are with a combined average of 209.1 ppg scored. 76ers- Joel Embiid is "?" Saturday vs Detroit ( Ankle ) Pistons -Blake Griffin is out indefinitely ( Hamstring ) Play on the UNDER |
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10-26-19 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 223.5 | 131-126 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Butler, Miami's biggest offseason acquisition, missed Wednesday's season-opening win for the birth of his daughter and will miss Saturday's game against the Bucks and as a result will effectively curtail the Heats offensive output. The Heats L/7 road games dating back to last season have seen a combined average of 216 ppg go on the board. The Heats usual motus operandi is based on playing staunch D which will be in effect here, vs the explosive Milwaukee Bucks. Long term historical trend: MIAMI is 563-469 L/1031 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 189.1 ppg scored over a very extensive period of time.MIAMI is 103-74 UNDER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points with a combined average of 186.8 ppg going on the board. Play on the UNDER |
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10-26-19 | Indiana v. Nebraska UNDER 53.5 | 38-31 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
Nebraska is scoring just over 25 ppg, and are having trouble moving the ball scoring 7, 13, 7 points respectively in their L/3 tilts, thanks to Adrian Martinez their QB being banged up with a knee issue. The Cornhuskers D, however has looked decent and on the season have allowed 21 ppg at home. Meanwhile, Indiana , QB Michael Penix Jr.is injured and less than 100% for this game and could have problems moving the ball if he plays with limited mobility and converting this Saturday vs a staunch D. The Hoosiers D, has also been strong this season allowing just over 20 ppg on the average and deserves respect. All in all I expect both sides to have issues scoring , while the defences stand tall making for a lower scoring affair. NEBRASKA is 8-0 UNDER after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games with a combined average of 47.9 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (INDIANA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread are 51-21 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-25-19 | USC v. Colorado OVER 64 | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 32 h 4 m | Show | |
Colorados D is a shambles as was evident in back-to-back blowout road losses at No. 11 Oregon (45-3) and Washington State (41-10) the last two weekends. Im betting they will be sliced and diced again, against an explosive Trojans offence ,but this time around I look for them to muster more points here on their own home field against a USC team battling key defensive injuries to (safety Talanoa Hufanga) and sacks leader Drake Jackson. Note: Buffaloes rank last in scoring defense (34.9 points allowed per game), total defense (482.4 yards) and passing defense (316 yards). CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (COLORADO) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 34-6 OVER L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 69.8 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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10-25-19 | Sharks v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | 1-4 | Win | 110 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
The Maple Leafs area well rested team that goes vs a Sharks side playing on back-to-back nights. The Sharks are already playing tough D, and have allowed 2 goals or less in in 3 of their L/5 overall, and will be even more conservative here vs an explosive opponent as they play on tired legs. With that said, Im betting on a combined score that stays on the low side of the number. SAN JOSE is 14-3 UNDER in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 season with a combined average of 5.1god scored. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing San Jose. Play UNDER |
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10-24-19 | Clippers v. Warriors OVER 226.5 | 141-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Both teams will take the court with revenge motivation: the Clippers on an opponent that ended their season last April; the Warriors on Leonard, who denied Golden State a three-peat while leading the Toronto Raptors to the championship in June. With that said,Im expecting a spirited back and forth game with a boatload full of points going on the board. Over is 7-2 L/9 meetings at Golden State. Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 games following a ATS win.Over is 10-1 in Clippers last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 6-2 in Clippers last 8 games following a straight up win.Over is 5-2 in Clippers last 7 road games.Over is 12-5 in Clippers last 17 Thursday games.Over is 14-6 in Clippers last 20 overall.Over is 13-6 in Clippers last 19 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games following a straight up win.Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games following a ATS win.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 overall.Over is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 /WARRIORS (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, vs. division opponents are 28-13 OVER L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-24-19 | Sabres v. Rangers OVER 6 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
New York won its first two games by scoring 10 goals in wins over Winnipeg and Ottawa on Oct. 3 and 5, but since then, the Rangers are 0-4-1 and have been outscored 20-9 while being outshot by a 177-129 margin and now tonight Im betting red hot Buffalo lights them up , and then they have no choice but to open in a game that Im expecting to be a wide open back and forth affair. NY RANGERS are 16-4 lL20 OVER in home games after scoring 2 goals or less in 5 straight games with an average of 6.4 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - off an home win scoring 4 or more goals, top level team, winning 70% or more of their games on the season are 52-24 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-23-19 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 7 | 12-3 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Strasburg the Nats starter for Game2 of theWorld Series has been over powering with 33 strikeouts and just one walk in 22 innings in the play offs, allowing just four runs on just 18 hits and Im betting for him to long and strong here tonight. Meanwhile, Astros starterJustin Verlander, with alot to prove after getting alot of bad reviews for his previous post season failures, will Im betting be very ready to go and provide his team with a strong effort behind some strong veteran experience and tools. Note: VERLANDER is 20-5 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) VERLANDER is 13-3 UNDER (+9.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.VERLANDER is 20-5 UNDER in night games this season. (Team's Record) with an average of 6.4 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 13-2 UNDER in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - after 7 or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 44-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 79-52 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-23-19 | Penguins v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Both these teams have alot of offensive firepower, but these veteran filled sides also, take pride in not taking part in run and gun affairs, vs sides they respect. Instead Im betting on a more conservative tilt that will feature strong defensive and base offensive chances on transitional play. With Pittsburgh on tired legs playing tbeir 8th game in 14 days and suddenly finding it hard to score in their last two games( 2 goals total) Im betting they will be even more conservative than usual. Note:PITTSBURGH is 24-15 UNDER in road games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-23-19 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 211 | 93-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Im projecting that this big man crew of Philadelphia to really push forward here this Wednesday night in attempt to assert their standing in the East. I also expect a take no prisoners type of affair with alot more points going on the board than the linesmakers and public might expect. In the past Boston has been able to slow down Joel Embiid, thanks to the work of Al Horford and Aron Baynes’ , and now that both are gone, Im expecting Embiid to explode offensively and carry his team forward with maximum momentum The revamped Celtics will have to follow suit and open up, with some offense of their own, or be blown off the court, which Im betting helps us get over the Number. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA/BOSTON) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, vs. division opponents are 28-7 OVER L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-22-19 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 226.5 | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 33 h 29 m | Show | |
The public right out of the gate loves the over here in this Battle of LA game based in part to the concept that LAL super stars Davis and James will almost single hand-idly eclipse this total all by themselves.(Tongue in cheek) But Im betting the chemistry between these guys is over blown just like this total based on perceptions. Instead Im betting on Lakers sturdy D, to be key. I know the Clippers can also run and gun, but Im betting that wont be the case here tonight as they devise a game plan to slow down Davis and James and the fast break explosiveness of Alex Caruso and Kuzma, resulting in a more tempered effort by the Clippers in transition. Under is 8-3 in Lakers last 11 vs. Western Conference.Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 vs. NBA Pacific. The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Lakers's last 19 games when playing LA Clippers. Play on the UNDER |
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10-22-19 | Golden Knights v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
The Vegas Knights are on tired legs as they play their 3rd road game in 4 nights and will not be prepared to run and gun tonight and instead Im betting they will play more conservatively in transition. Especially after a sloppy 6-2 loss at Philadelphia last time out. Meanwhile, their hosts the Chicago Blackhawks are a team that has a renewed respect for fore checking and solid defensive play , as has been evident of late , by going under the total in 3 of their L/4 games. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 31-9 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NHLRoad teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 22-8 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-20-19 | Raiders v. Packers OVER 46.5 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 67 h 3 m | Show | |
The Raiders have back to back road underdog wins and 3 straight wins overall, and proving that they maybe better than many expected. It must be noted that both games easily eclipsed the total, and they have gone over in 3 straight games overall. Meanwhile, Green Bay is off a short week after playing a Monday night game at Lambeau and their D maybe a little tired and vulnerable forcing Aaron Rodgers to air it out more than might be expected this Sunday . Note: NFC chalk off a Monday Night division game like the Packers ... have gone 19-2-1 OVER dating back 8 seasons, including a 100% perfect 9-0 OVER when the Total is north of 45 points. Also GREEN BAY is 16-2 OVER after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 51.9 ppg going on the board. Im projecting for both teams to score 20+ points here tonight. OAKLAND is 10-1 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 58.6 ppg. GREEN BAY is 9-2 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 57.2 ppg scored. This series has gone over 5 straight times average Total of : 44.7 and the average combined score clicking in at 51.4 ppg. Play OVER |
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10-20-19 | Dolphins v. Bills OVER 41 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
Neither one of these teams is as good or as a bad as they have looked so far this season. No the Fins offence is not as bad as it seemed early on , as was evident when QB Ryan Fitzpatrick was put under center last week , almost bringing his team back from a 14 point deficit. With that said, Im expecting Miami to do more offensive damage than than the linesmakers expect this week behind the arm and mind of one of the leagues most under rated QBs. Meanwhile, Buffalo in its usually methodical way will also land some blows in a game I have pegged to eclipse this artificially low total that is based almost solely on recency bias of unders by both sides. Note: Miami has allowed an average of 36 ppg this season! BUFFALO is 10-2 OVER vs. terrible ball control teams, 28 or lessminutes TOP, 16 or less FD's per game with a combined average of 46.8 ppg scored. Buffalo has gone over the L/7 times its has been made a 8 point or more favortie. Dolphins have gone over 5 straight times after a non conference home game. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (MIAMI) - off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, in the first half of the season are 33-12 OVER L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (BUFFALO) - after allowing 17 points or less in 5 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 41-13 OVER L/36 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-18-19 | Ohio State v. Northwestern UNDER 50 | 52-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Northwestern is a team that bases its strength on defense as their offence is anemic and atrocious and tonight against an explosive Ohio State offence Im betting they limit big plays and eat up clock in methodical fashion. As I just mentioned the Cats offense is one of the worst in the nation., Northwestern ranks No. 5 overall on defense and 124th on offense and rank last in the nation in yards-per-play, points-per-play, and explosive play percentage conversion rate.Tonight Northwestern's excruciatingly slow paced offense will be taking on a over powering Ohio State defense that’s only allowing 8.8 ypg via just 3.7 yards per play and which ranks second in the nation in defensive havoc.If the Wildcats a side that is averaging just 14.4 ppg (3rd worst int he country) get shutout tonight I wont be surprised . Also Im expecting the Buckeyes to not open their playbook to much this week with Wisconsin on deck for next week, and instead use their run game quite a bit today, something that they have used more often this season than in recent years ranking 15th in the country in run play percentage plays. You don't have to be a mathematician to see the writing on the wall that this game has value for under bettors. OHIO ST is 7-0 UNDER after gaining 475 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. NORTHWESTERN is 10-1 UNDER after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons with the combined average of 40.8 ppg scored. NORTHWESTERN L/22 games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons has seen a combined average of 45 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-18-19 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Yankees starter James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 ERA, 186 SO)exited after just 2 1/3 innings in Game 2 in Houston, even though he allowed only one run on four hits. Neither Paxton nor manager Aaron Boone believed the lefty was giving his pitches away. It was simply time to get the starter out of the game. Paxton went 7-3 with a 3.35 ERA in 15 home games this season and Im betting he has another top tier effort here tonight in desperation mode. Meanwhile,Astros starter Justin Verlander (21-6, 2.58 ERA, 300 SO) looked to back in top form after his last ALCS start, allowing just two runs on an Aaron Judge homer in 6 2/3 innings as the Astros won, 3-2. In three playoff starts against the Yankees as an Astro, Verlander has a 1.19 ERA and 28 strikeouts. More of the same here today in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Under is 4-1 in Verlanders last 5 starts vs. Yankees. Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 playoff games.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 League Championship games. Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 playoff games.Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 vs. American League East. Under is 15-2 in umpire Danleys last 17 games behind home plate vs. Houston including 6 straight unders in Astros games.Under is 19-5-3 in Danleys last 27 games behind home plate.Under is 9-4-1 in Danleys last 14 games behind home plate vs. New York. MLB team (NY YANKEES) - after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 32-10 L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-17-19 | Predators v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
Nashville has really been playing some very wide open offensive hockey and should push the Coyotes into opening up, which Im betting results in a fairly high scoring affair. NASHVILLE is 6-0 OVER in all games this season with a combined average of 8.5 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (NASHVILLE) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) are 39-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-17-19 | UCLA v. Stanford UNDER 50.5 | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
Stanford has held two of its last three opponents to season low yardage, as the defence continues to improve. Im betting on more of the same action here today vs a UCLA side that has huge problems moving the ball consistently. Today Im betting on a lot of clock time getting eaten away as Stanford a run first team will pound away on a Bruins team with a smaller Defensive front, and for a lower scoring game to ensue. CFB Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (STANFORD) - off a upset win as a double digit underdog, in weeks 5 through are 37-11 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (UCLA) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 40-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-17-19 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 8-3 | Loss | -117 | 31 h 14 m | Show | |
It looks like two top tier hurlers will go to the hill Grienke ( Astros) vs Tanaka ( NYY) . But I once again expect some bullpen action and top tier pitching to out duel the explosive offences of both teams. Tanka owns a 1.32 ERA over 41 career postseason innings spanning seven starts, dating to the 2015 AL Wild Card Game against Houston. GREINKE is 13-4 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 rog scored. Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 overall.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 on grass.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 playoff games.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 vs. American League East.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 League Championship games.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 Wednesday games.Under is 11-4-1 in Astros last 16 road games.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 overall.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 playoff games.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 League Championship games.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 Wednesday games.Under is 15-5-1 in Yankees last 21 vs. American League West. Under is 16-5-2 in umpire Bellinos last 23 games behind home plate vs. New York.Under is 14-5-3 in umpire Bellinos last 22 games behind home plate vs. Houston. Play UNDER |
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10-17-19 | Rangers v. Devils OVER 6.5 | 2-5 | Win | 101 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
The Rangers are very fresh as they have played the fewest games in the NHL, just three, while most other squads have at least six contests in the books. Needless to say they will the have the legs to push the action here tonight, vs a Jersey team that allows 4.8 gpg and that has seen 4 of their L/5 home games eclipse the total with a combined average of 8.7 gpg scored. Tonight Im betting on more high scoring action. NEW JERSEY is 23-9 OVER against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 gpg scored in those 32 tilts. The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Jersey's last 10 games when playing at home against NY Rangers. NHLRoad teams against the total (NY RANGERS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a losing record.102-64 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-16-19 | South Alabama v. Troy OVER 56 | 13-37 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Troys defence especially their secondary is a mess, and Im betting on South Alabama quarterback Cephus Johnson clicking on some big plays against a susceptible Troy pass D and doing alot more damage here than the linesmakers expect. Also it must be noted that Troy is ranked last in the nation in opponent pass yards per attempt abd 91st in opponent third-down conversions and last in opponent explosive passing.Meanwhile,Troys offense has proven explosive this season ranking 49th in points per game, 52nd in explosiveness, and 54th in efficiency while averaging a 42.7 ppg at home and very fresh off a bye week. Needless to say Im betting on a tilt that exceeds this number based on my projections. Over is 4-0 in Trojans last 4 home games.Over is 8-2 in Trojans last 10 games on turf. Over is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 games following a ATS win. Play OVER |
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10-15-19 | Wild v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
The Wild have to deal with an explosive Leafs team on the road here tonight and Im betting they play conservatively here as they use the momentum of a 2-0 shutout win vs the Seans last time out as motivation. I know the Leafs are chalk loaded full of up front talent, but HC Mike Babcock after some ugly early season defensive performances, is stressing on his team to forecheck and play better D. This combination Im betting will end up seeing this combined score stay on the low side of the total. The Wild have killed 16-of-19 penalties this season after Ottawa went 0-for-5 on the power play and their current pp killing abilities will help them here against the tide of a dangerous Buds power play. Leafs G Andersen is expected to be in goal Tuesday and is 4-3-0 with a 2.61 goals-against average and .913 save percentage in seven games against Minnesota. Wild G Devan Dubnyk is 6-3-1, 2.72, .910 in 11 games (10 starts) versus Toronto. MINNESOTA is 15-5 UNDER in road games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scoed. TORONTO is 11-2 UNDER off a road win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 4.4 gpg scored. ( The Leafs took out Detroit 5-2 on the road last time out) Play UNDER |
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10-14-19 | Lions v. Packers OVER 45.5 | 22-23 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Here we go as the Detroit Lions visit the Green Bay Packers in what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring affair. Im betting on Lions QB Mathew Stafford who has owned the Packers D in the recent past to have a big night here. Stafford has thrown for multiple touchdowns in nine consecutive battles in this series, and nothing will change tonight. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers and in his usual way will return fire, despite of being without WR Davante Adams and will also use explosive RB Jones who leads the NFL with eight rushing touchdowns to rip apart of the D line as has been his MO . Jones has over powered his way into the end zone in six straight games at Lambeau Field. These teams have gone over 6 of the L/7 meetings with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 49.1 ppg. Detroit in their L/5 MNF games have seen a combined average score of 54.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. The Lions as a dog off a loss when they failed to score in the red zone at least 3 times, have gone over in the following game 7 straight times with at least 50 combined points scored. Im looking for the Lions to be very much more aggressive here tonight especially in the red zone, and to do a fair amount of offensive damage which will buoy this combined score over the number. Play OVER |
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10-13-19 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
AL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 2 - NY Leads 1-0J James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 ERA, 186 SO) In his first career postseason start, battled through 4 2/3 innings, striking out eight but allowing three runs. The Yanks left-hander allowed five runs to in Houston on April 10 but held to one run in New York on June 21 and is more than capable of holding down the fort here.Meanwhile, Astros starter Justin Verlander (21-6, 2.58 ERA, 300 SO) had a rare postseason down effort last time out pitching on short rest in his last start against the Rays, lasting only 3 2/3 innings. But Verlander still has a 2.92 ERA in the playoffs as an Astro, including two dominant wins over the Yankees in 2017. Verlander (1-1, 3.38 ERA in the ALDS) has made six career postseason starts against the Yankees, producing a 4-0 record with a 2.33 ERA and 41 strikeouts over 38 2/3 innings.VERLANDER is 10-2 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. Im betting on these two dominant hurlers to help keep this game on the low side of the total. Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 League Championship road games.Under is 12-3 in Yankees last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 playoff road games. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (HOUSTON) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ) (AL), after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base are 38-14 L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-13-19 | Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 55.5 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 69 h 47 m | Show | |
Patrik Mahomes only has one TD in his last two games, and Andy Reids D, is play ing lazy ball. Now that its become obvious that Mahomes is not a football god just yet, and possibly experiencing a sophomore jinx, this chiefs D is going to have up their game. Meanwhile, Texas is off an explosive 52 output last week, and in a all out offensive battle vsTB in a win and now Im expecting a regression to the mean. This combination will Im betting make for a lower scoring game than public and pundits might expect. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER in home games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 39.9 ppg. Reid is 18-4 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 41.3 ppg scored. Reid is 21-7 UNDER in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 44.3 ppg scored. The Chiefs are 3-15 UNDER as +5 or more non division home chalk. HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 36.8 ppg scored and have gone under 4 straight times after a win by 14 or more points. HOUSTON has gone under in 10 of their L/11 non division home games. Play UNDER |
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10-12-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals OVER 7 | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
NL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 2 - WAS leads 1-0 Scherzer is 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA in two starts this season against St. Louis - his hometown team - and Im betting he gets roughed up a little bit here today. Over is 4-0-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 5-2-1 in Scherzers last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, I know Wainwright has done well at home during the regular season, registering a 2.56 ERA over 16 starts, but the Nats offence matches up well from a metrics standpoint against righty hurlers like him, and Im betting they do more damage than the linesmakers are expecting. We saw a low scoring game yesterday with the Nationals squeaking out a 2-0 win, However it must be noted that ST LOUIS is 32-17 OVER in home games after a loss by 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of those 49 games clicking in at 9.3 rpg. (Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game) Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games following a loss. Over is 3-0-1 in Conroys last 4 games behind home plate. .Play on the OVER |
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10-12-19 | Georgia Tech v. Duke UNDER 48 | 23-41 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
Duke (16th) has the second best defensive efficiency in the ACC, , behind Clemson (2nd). Today against a struggling GTEch offence averaging just 15.2 ppg and 8 points per game on the road, should once again have a stellar day. Im betting on Duke establishing the run early and to pound away all day in clock burning fashion, in a tilt I hav pegged to stay on the low side of the total. My projections power rankings suggest Duke will hold GTech to less than 4.5 ypp. GEORGIA TECH is 20-3 UNDER when they gain 4 to 4.5 total yards per play with a combined average of 31.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-11-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Anibal Sanchez (0-0, 1.80 ERA) has been named to start Game 1 for the Nats. The right-hander started Game 3 against the Dodgers and held them to one run and four hits in five innings while posting nine strikeouts. Meanwhile, the Cards starter Miles Mikolas (1-0, 1.50) will start the first game on regular rest. Mikolas started Game 1 against the Braves, allowing one run in five innings, and also pitched an inning of scoreless relief to earn the victory in Game 4. Im betting n both these pitchers and bullpens keeping this total on the low side of the number. Both teams are off key game 5 winning situations and will now be in a bit of an emotional let down spot which Im betting has both offences starting slowly. Under is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 vs. National League Central.Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 playoff road games.Under is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 playoff home games.Under is 35-16 in Cardinals last 51 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 13-6-1 in Cardinals last 20 League Championship home games.Under is 5-0-1 in Mikolas' last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3-1 in Mikolas' last 12 home starts. Under is 3-0-2 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER |
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10-11-19 | Virginia v. Miami-FL OVER 44 | 9-17 | Loss | -109 | 52 h 11 m | Show | |
Miami was upset last week by Vtech by a 42-35 count, which showed off some of the Canes defensive inefficiencies and of course their ability to click on offense. It must be noted that this MIAMI football program in their L/18 tilts when off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 or more points have seen a combined average of 49.3 ppg going on the board. Meanwhile, Virginia continues to be efficient but not flashy and are capable of putting points on the board, as their 32.2 ppg offensive average would indicate. Note: MIAMI in their L/12 games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last three seasons has seen a combined average of 47.5 ppg scored. This season Miami has also averaged 38.3 ppg off offence in 3 homes games, and Im betting they do some damage here again in a game I have pegged to go over the total based on my mathematical projections. Virginia's HC Mendenhall is 30-15 OVER after having won 3 out of their last 4 games in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average score of 58.7 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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10-09-19 | Kings v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | 2-8 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
The Vancouver Canucks were unable to get their offense untracked as they began the season with a pair of losses on the road. Note:Under is 17-5 in Canucks last 22 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Im betting their futility to put the biscuit in the back of the net will continue here vs the visiting LA Kings. Meanwhile, the Kings are a team that needs to really get back to basics after blowing a couple of leads in their first couple of games, and a more conservative and attentive performance Im betting will be on tonights agenda. Under is 4-0 in Canucks last 4 vs. Pacific.Under is 6-1 in Canucks last 7 following a loss of 3 or more goals.Under is 5-1 in Canucks last 6 home games.Under is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Under is 7-2-2 in Canucks last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 19-7 in Canucks last 26 vs. Western Conference. Play UNDER |
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10-09-19 | Cardinals v. Braves OVER 7.5 | 13-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Jack Flaherty Flaherty the Cards starter was nearly unhittable in the second half of the season, but the explosive Braves were on him in his first postseason start, touching him up for eight hits in Game 2 and Im betting they pick up where they left off here today. Meanwhile, Foltynewicz the Braves starter submitted one of the best starts of his career in Game 2, despite of previous play off failures. After that last effort Im betting on a letdown situation here and a return to his previous post season inadequacies. Note: Over is 5-2 in Foltynewiczs last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. ST LOUIS is 16-5 OVER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. Over is 9-3 in Cardinals last 12 playoff games.Over is 15-7-1 in Braves last 23 Divisional Playoff games. Over is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in Atlanta.Over is 6-2 in Foltynewiczs last 8 starts vs. Cardinals. Over is 8-3 in Hallions last 11 games behind home plate. Play on the OVER |
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10-08-19 | Hurricanes v. Panthers UNDER 6 | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Carolina has played some solid D so far this season, and against top tier opposition last time out allowed 0 shots on goal vs the TB Lightning in the 2nd period of their game . It was the first time in NHL history that a reigning Presidents Trophy-winner was held without a shot on goal for an entire period. Tonight Im betting on more of the same type of staunch forechecking by the Canes, and for this contest involving the Florida Panthers to also end up being low scoring enough for us to cash an under ticket. Also Carolinas tired legs, will also have a direct result of the speed of this game.CAROLINA is 22-11 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. Under is 6-1 in Hurricanes last 7 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. Play UNDER |
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10-07-19 | Dodgers v. Nationals OVER 8 | 1-6 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
NLDS - Best of 5 - Game 4 - LAD leads 2-1 This LA Dodgers team is downright offensively explosive as was the case last night when they blasted out 8 runs in one inning to break the game open and win 10-4. It does not matter who the Nats send to the hill here Im betting the Dodgers do some damage and help this contest to eclipse the total. Over is 7-3-3 in Scherzers last 13 starts vs. National League West. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.Over is 3-1-2 in Scherzers last 6 starts vs. Dodgers Over is 22-9-1 in Dodgers last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0-1 in Hills last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0-1 in Hills last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 12-3-1 in Hills last 16 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1-1 in Hills last 6 starts during game 4 of a series.Over is 8-2-2 in Hills last 12 road starts.Over is 4-1 in Hills last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. HILL the Dodgers starter is 25-11 OVER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored during that 36 game sample size.HILL is 24-7 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored and s 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts are 54-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-07-19 | Astros v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
ALDS - Best of 5 - Game 3 - HOU leads 2-0 Astros starter Zack Greinke(18-5, 2.93 ERA, 187 SO) was 8-1 with a 3.02 ERA in 10 starts after being acquired from the D-backs in a July trade, going 18-5 with a 2.93 ERA for the season. He carried a no-hitter into the ninth inning of his final regular-season start on Sept. 25 in Seattle and enters this tilt well rested and with top tier momentum. Meanwhile, TB Rays start Charlie Morton(16-6, 3.05 ERA, 240 SO)remade himself as a pitcher during his 2017-18 tenure with the Astros, and the right-hander has developed a knack for clutch October outings. The 35-year-old allowed an unearned run in five innings in the AL Wild Card Game to become the first pitcher in MLB history to win three winner-take-all postseason games (he also won Game 7 of the 2017 ALCS and World Series with Houston). With two top tier hurlers, and bull pens Im betting on this being a low scoring affair. Under is 5-0 in Greinkes last 5 road starts.Under is 12-1-3 in Astros last 16 on astroturf. GREINKE is 10-0 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored and 11-0 UNDER as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. GREINKE is 11-1 UNDER after giving up no earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.1 rpg scored. Under is 10-1 in Rays last 11 playoff home games.Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 Divisional Playoff home games. MORTON is 10-0 UNDER as a home underdog of +125 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. MLB Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games are 37-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 21-4-2 in the last 27 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play UNDER |
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10-06-19 | Jets v. Islanders UNDER 6 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
The Winnipeg Jets aggressive free flowing offence meets the defensive minded NY Islanders this Sunday . The Isles just don't have the finishers to put alot of goals on the board, so they will once again be ultra conservative under Barry Trotz system of defensive minded hockey which Im betting translates in a lower scoring game that fails to eclipse this total.Also with this being the Jets 3rd consecutive road game their legs may not allow them to be as aggressive as they have been in their first two tilts.NY ISLANDERS are 10-1 UNDER in home games on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons. Under is 36-13-2 in Islanders last 51 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 8-3 in Islanders last 11 vs. Central. Under is 48-20-2 in Islanders last 70 overall. Play UNDER |
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10-06-19 | Falcons v. Texans OVER 50 | 32-53 | Win | 100 | 29 h 55 m | Show | |
Houston offensive line has allowed the third-most quarterback sacks so far this season, but hat wont be an issue today vs a Atlanta side that just cannot generate much of a pass rush. With said, Im expecting the sometimes explosive and talented Jamies Winston to have a big day today. Meanwhile, the Falcons stud QB Matt Ryan ranks first in pass attempts, second in passing yards as is evident by having thrown for 300 or more yards in every game this season and should once again have a huge day vs a wobbly Texans secondary that has been torched on a regular basis this season . Over is 17-4 in Falcons last 21 games on fieldturf. Over is 15-5 in Texans last 20 games in October. Road teams against the total (ATLANTA) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, in the first half of the season are 63-32 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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10-06-19 | Bills v. Titans OVER 38.5 | 14-7 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
All these early season low scoring games by two of the leagues top defences so far has this Totals number vulnerable for over bettors to cash. My own projections estimate a combined score in the low 40s, thus from a mathematical perspective based on those estimates Im recommending we take an over stance. NFL TENNESSEE is 31-13 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 285 or less yards/game with a combined average of 42.7 ppg. TENNESSEE is 23-10 OVER in home games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game with a combined average of 44.1 ppg scored and in their L/21 games vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game have seen a combined average of 48.8 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (BUFFALO) - off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, in the first half of the season are 33-11 L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-05-19 | Twins v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 2-8 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Masahiro Tanaka (11-9, 4.45 ERA), the most successful postseason pitcher on New York's active roster, will start Game 2. He owns a stingy 1.50 ERA in five postseason starts. Meanwhile, the Twins will respond with Dobnak who made nine appearances in the regular season and posted a 1.86 ERA in his five starts. He last pitched on Sept. 25 in Detroit, when he allowed an unearned run on one hit in six innings. Dobnak's last three appearances were as a starting pitcher. Im betting on these solid pitchers and their respective bullpends to hold serve over the offences and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. TANAKA is 12-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored. NY YANKEES in 34 games at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season the average combined score clicked in at 8.7 rpg. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) - top level team, winning 62% or more of their games on the season, in October games are 36-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MINNESOTA) - in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 88-44UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-05-19 | Air Force v. Navy UNDER 44.5 | 25-34 | Loss | -109 | 92 h 38 m | Show | |
When Military academies go head to head its almost guaranteed your going to see a low scoring hard hitting battle. Run baby run, and lots of clock time getting eaten way. Is the mantra of the day. When Military academies have played against each other of late the UNDER has been predominant sinnce the 2006 campaign cashing 34 of the 42 times for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-04-19 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Flaherty enters the playoffs with back-to-back scoreless trips to the hill and has garnered an amazing 0.91 ERA in his last 15 starts, and Im betting he goes deep here today for the Cardinals and help limit the Braves overall offensive production in game 2. He faced the Braves twice this season, going 1-0 with 2.25 ERA. FLAHERTY is 7-0 UNDER in road games in day games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.6 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Foltynewicz the Braves starter here in game two of this series, enters this tilt in sizzling form since being recalled on Aug. 5 where over his last seven starts, he has recorded a very stingy 1.73 ERA. ATLANTA in their L/123 home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better have seen a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ATLANTA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in October games are 77-37 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), after 4 straight games where they committed no errors. are 83-38 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ST LOUIS) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, in October games are 114-55 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-04-19 | Blackhawks v. Flyers UNDER 6.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 43 m | Show | |
Scoring was not Chicago's problem last season, but the Blackhawks allowed the second most goals in the NHL, but their defensive play was an issue that is being addressed . The arrival of G Lehner from the Islanders as well as a more pronounced defensive attitude should improve those numbers dramatically. Tonight Im betting that the Blackhawks will have problems penetrating the back of the net vs G Carter Hart, who posted a 2.83 goals-against average and .917 save percentage during his rookie season, and for the Flyers to not find alot of room on the ice vs a group that says its dedicated to playing much better D. The last 4 meetings in this series have stayed under the total. Play UNDER |
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10-03-19 | Coyotes v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Arizona could not consistently score last season, and despite of adding Phill Kessel still dont have alot of offensive weapons, and will once again have to lean on their solid D, and goaltending to guide them through the season. The Coyotes return G Kuemper who posting a sizzling 22-9-6 record with a 2.05 goals-against average in his last 37 decisions. The 6-foot-5,back stop is expected to share goaltending duties with Antti Raanta, who is returning from knee surgery. Meanwhile, the Ducks are a squad that struggled to score goals (2.43 per game) and is in the midst of transition and Im betting continue to have trouble putting the biscuit in the back of the net this season. Their top goalie Gibson recorded a 26-22-8 record with two shutouts, a 2.84 goals-against average and .917 save percentage in 2018-19 and is capable of better numbers. Under is 12-2 in Coyotes last 14 vs. Western Conference. Under is 12-2 in Coyotes last 14 vs. Western Conference.Under is 37-18-3 in Ducks last 58 vs. Pacific. Play UNDER |
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10-03-19 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 49.5 | 29-30 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
After giving up 55 points last time out to Tampa Bay in a loss the Rams will be ready to slow things down and get back to playing hardcore defence. Meanwhile, Seattle almost always fields a tough D, as was the case when they allowed just 265 yards to New Orleans in their last home game which some how ended in a loss. Im betting they will be even more diligent and conservative here in their return home as they look to protect the ball from turnovers. This above projected combination of projected game plan scenarios, makes for a viable under wager. Carroll is 11-3 UNDER after scoring 25 points or more in 3 straight games as the coach of SEATTLE with a combined average of 38 ppg going on the score board. NFL team against the total (LA RAMS) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 51-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (SEATTLE) - with a poor passing D - allowing 230 or more passing yards/game, after gaining 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 35-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-03-19 | Temple v. East Carolina UNDER 48 | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Temple's 19th ranked overall D showed how elite their defence can be last week when they stopped Georgia Tech cold in a 24-3 win and Im betting they slow East Carolinas improving but not quite ready for prime time attack here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Note: TEMPLE is 16-4 UNDER after allowing 9 points or less last game with a combined average of 45 ppg scored. All of East Carolinas 5 games have stayed on the low side of the total this season and in their 2 home games have allowed an average of 8 ppg. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (E CAROLINA) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in conference games are 41-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-03-19 | Cardinals v. Braves OVER 9 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
NLDS - Best of 5 - Game 1 Cardinals RH Miles Mikolas (9-14, 4.16 ERA) vs. Braves LH Dallas Keuchel (8-8, 3.75) Cards starter Mikolas, is 4-8 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 17 road starts. Im betting he has his hands full with the Braves offence that leads the NL in runs scored, and is fourth in batting average and homers. MIKOLAS is 13-4 OVER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. Meanwhile, his Braves pitching opponent lefty Dallas Keuchel enters post season play having allowed 11 earned runs in 16 innings across his final three regular-season outings and his current form looks vulnerable. The Cards have done their best work against LHP this season averaging 5.6 rpg and Im betting they do some damage here again vs a southpaw hurler. Both sides have average bullpens with home /away splits in the 4.00 ERA range. ST LOUIS is 15-4 OVER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 13-3 OVER in home games after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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10-02-19 | Rays v. A's UNDER 7.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 36 h 21 m | Show | |
TB starter Morton is a big time curveball pitcher. It's his most-used pitch, and hitters are batting .151 with 136 strikeouts against it. The A's haven't hit curveballs very well this season . The As own . .211 team batting average against curves ranks 23rd in MLB and Im betting they do limited damage here tonight. The righty allowed one run over 13 1/3 innings (0.68 ERA) vs. Oakland in two starts this year and has a 2.97 ERA vs. the A's in his career. Meanwhile, the A's starter Manaea been dominant and healthy since his return, as he finishes his abbreviated 2019 season with a 1.21 ERA, 0.78 WHIP and 30/7 K/BB ratio across 29 2/3 innings of work and will Im betting be every bit as strong as his pitching opponent Morton. Both are backed by top 5 bullpens and generally average offences, which gives credence to my under call here in this Wild card game. OAKLAND in 27 games at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season have seen a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Under is 6-0 in Athletics last 6 overall.Under is 5-0-1 in Athletics last 6 playoff home games. Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Oakland.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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10-01-19 | Sun v. Mystics OVER 170.5 | 99-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
These teams took part in a fast paced 95-86 tilt that Washington won in game 1 of this series. Im betting on more of the same high octane action here in game 2 and a combined score that eclipses the total. Note : Washington has set the pace in all its home games this season, averaging 93+ ppg per game, and if Connecticut has any chance of being competitive here they will have to answer with some offensive fireworks of their own. WASHINGTON is 7-1 OVER in home games vs. division opponents this season with a combined average of 173.6 ppg scored. CONNECTICUT is 7-0 OVER vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997 with a combined average of 173.6 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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09-29-19 | Bucs v. Rams UNDER 50 | 55-40 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 22 m | Show | |
The Rams held the Saints to only nine points in their first home game this season and they were all over Drew Bree's and he finally got injured and left the game. This Rams pass rush is vicious and against a TB front 7 that allowed James Winston to be sacked 4 times last week, things won't get much better here and as a result of my prognosis Im betting the Bucanners point production will also take a hit. Note:The Buccaneers a have gone under 9 straight times off a home defeat that saw their QB sacked four or more times with a combined average of 33.6 ppg scored with the highest output coming in at 45 points. I also expect the Rams to be methodical in their approach as they look to keep Jeff Goff healthy and protected from an improving TB pass rush that has 5 sacks last week vs the Giants and for RB Todd Gurley to participate more than he did in last weeks game vs the Browns where he was targeted just once. This combination Im betting will lead to a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. NFL team against the total (LA RAMS) - a top-level team (75% or better) playing a team with a losing record are 68-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-28-19 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma State OVER 59.5 | 13-26 | Loss | -109 | 58 h 60 m | Show | |
Last week vs Texas Oklahoma State showed me two things. One their offence remains very viable and No.2 their defence is horrendous. This week against a under rated Kansas State offence Im betting they get torched and that they have no choice but to open up with some offensive fireworks of their own in a game i have projected to go over the total. This line is actually as low as it is because of the lines-makers respect the Kansas State D esecially the secondary, and their propensity to eat cock time via a top tier run game, but the Cowboys can score against the best of defences. My projections estimate both sides will score more than 28 points. Note: KANSAS ST is 57-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points since 1992 with the combined average score of 75.3 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA ST is 11-1 OVER in home games when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 season with a combined average of 79.5 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 OVER vesus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or kore rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 89 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 OVER in home games vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 5.25 or less passing yards/att with a combined average of 70 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 OVER in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 85.4 ppg scored. Oklahoma State is 15-0 OVER L/4 seasons at home when they allowed at least 28 points last game with the average combined score of 81.8 ppg going on the board. Every game surpassed todays total, with the smallest out put clicking in at 69 combined points. Play OVER |
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09-27-19 | Arizona State v. California OVER 41 | 24-17 | Push | 0 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
California Bears quarterback Chase Garbers, threw for four touchdowns and finished 23-of-35 for 357 yards in a big time performance. QUOTE: “Chase was awesome. That’s the best game he has played; it’s not even close,” Cal coach Justin Wilcox told reporters. END QUOTE: I know California has a reputation for playing top tier D with Wilcox at the helm the last few seasons, but now with momentum on his side I look for Garbers to be cut loose and for the offence to begin to be more potent. Meanwhile, Arizona State , a fast improving offensive line that has two freshmen on board. This group is giving alot of protection Freshman quarterback Jayden Daniels who threw for 345 yards and two touchdowns against Colorado and allowed the Sun Devils to be dangerous with play option modules, senior wideout Brandon Aiyuk, who had nine receptions for 122 yards and a TD and Eno Benjamin who had 83 yards and two TDs via the ground attack. Both sides are recognized as defensive teams, but both offences are improving and Im betting on more points here than the lines makers are anticipating. Note:The Sun Devils have scored in double figures in 123 straight games, which is the longest active streak in the nation. Over is 8-2 in Sun Devils last 10 Friday games.Over is 13-5 in Golden Bears last 18 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER |
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09-26-19 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8 | 1-0 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Since he opened the season with a 13-2 record and a 2.71 ERA in 22 starts, Kershaw has struggled. He has given up 13 homers in his last six starts. On the season, Kershaw has given up a career-high 28 homers -- with 10 of those coming in the first inning, where he an ERA of 6.00. In his current form giving up more runs than the linesmakers expect makes for a higher scoring game than the linesmakers also expect. KERSHAW is 15-3 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. LA DODGERS are 17-6 OVER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 9.9 rpg going on the score board. Over is 4-0 in Kershaws last 4 starts overall.Over is 4-0 in Kershaws last 4 starts vs. National League West. Meanwhile Padres starter Lucchesi will be making his fourth start against the Dodgers this season. He is 1-1 in the first three meetings with a 5.29 ERA and could easily get rolled by a sometimes explosive Dodgers batting order .LUCCHESI is 1-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 6.67 and a WHIP of 1.483. Over is 6-1-1 in Padres last 8 vs. National League West. Play OVER |
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09-25-19 | Indians v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Indians starter Shane (15-7, 3.23 ERA, 252 SO)Bieber surpassed 250 strikeouts on the year in his Friday outing against the Phillies, becoming just the fourth Indians pitcher to reach that mark before turning 25 years old. The righty also picked up his 15th win after limiting Philadelphia to two runs over 7 1/3 innings. Im betting he shuts down the White Sox here tonight, and for him to be the main reason this combined score shows value to the under. BIEBER is 8-1 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored.BIEBER is 10-1 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 7-1 in Indians last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-1 in Indians last 7 road games.Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.The Indians have gone under 15 straight times in the second game of a series as a 125-plus favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored in at least four separate innings and drew fewer than ten walks.No game saw more than 8 runs scored with the average combined score clicking in at 4.94 rpg. MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better) -AL, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 45 -16 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-24-19 | A's v. Angels UNDER 9.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Bailey is coming off his best start of the season a shut vs Kansas City, on three hits in seven innings last Wednesday. He struck out a season-high 11 and walked just one. He's also 4-0 with a 1.88 ERA in his past seven starts overall and in top form. Meanwhile,Dillon Peters, 3-3 with a 4.81 ERA in 15 games (10 starts), will start for the Angels. He's coming off a serviceable performance against the New York Yankees last Wednesday, when he allowed just two runs and five hits in four innings and is capable of slowing down the As attack here tonight. Under is 3-0-1 in Baileys last 4 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Peters' last 5 starts overall. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.600 to 1.700 on the season-AL are 35-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-22-19 | Rockies v. Dodgers OVER 9 | 4-7 | Win | 101 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Dodgers manager Roberts will pair rookie catcher Will Smith with their starter today. Ryu the Dodgers starter has a 5.81 ERA in 26 1/3 innings with Smith behind the plate, which projects well for us hitting the over here, especially with the Rockies countering with right-hander Antonio Senzatela (10-10, 6.83), who has struggled mightily of late registering a 11.85 ERA over his last eight starts going back to July 5. Over is 3-0-1 in Senzatelas last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 3-1-1 in Senzatelas last 5 road starts. Over is 3-0-1 in Senzatelas last 4 starts vs. Dodgers.Over is 4-1 in Ryus last 5 starts vs. Rockies. The Rockies have gone over 11 straight times as a road dog in the last game of a series after a game in which they hit multiple home runs with the average combined score clicking in at 13.27 rpg. (Ryan McMahon and Josh Fuentes hit solo homers, and the Rockies defeated Los Angeles 4-2 Saturday night to snap a 12-game skid in the Dodgers' home park.) Play OVER |
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09-22-19 | Raiders v. Vikings OVER 42 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 124 h 18 m | Show | |
Both Minnesota and Oakland are off losses last week after notching victories in week 1. This week I expect the Vikings to come out with all guns blazing after suffering a loss to the Packers last week by a 21-15 count. Cousins the Vikings QB did not have a great performance last week, but here at home vs a Raiders’ defense that has allowed a 120.5 passer rating and that will be without safety Jonathan Abram, Im betting Cousins flourishes and puts a load of points and production on the board via play action based on RB Dalvin Cooks ability to open up the field with the run. He leads the NFL with 265 rushing yards . Im also expecting Raiders QB Derek Carr to do just enough damage to see this combined score eclipse the total. Over is 4-0-1 in Raiders last 5 games on fieldturf. Over is 2-0-2 in the last 4 meetings. NFL team against the total (MINNESOTA) - in non-conference games, off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival are 61-24 OVER L/10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NFL teams like Oakland are 28-0 OVER L/28 as a 5 or more point underdog on artificial turf when they are off a home loss and facing a non-divisional opponent that is allowing fewer than 22.8 ppg season-to-date, but had fewer than 26 minutes of possession time in their last contest. Play OVER |
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09-21-19 | Notre Dame v. Georgia OVER 58 | 17-23 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 24 m | Show | |
Needless to say that these teams Notre Dame and Georgia are explosive offensively with Notre Dame averaging 50.5 ppg so far this season and Georgia producing 49.3 ppg overall. The last time these teams played Notre Dame came away with a 20-19 victory, but both these teams dynamics have changed since then and Im projecting an all out head to head slugfest in the rematch. First team to 40 wins. GEORGIA is 9-1 OVER after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 67.6 ppg scored. Over is 3-1-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Over is 8-3-2 in Bulldogs last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-2-1 in Bulldogs last 8 games following a ATS win.Over is 4-1-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Fighting Irish last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 16-7 in Fighting Irish last 23 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Over is 15-5 in Fighting Irish last 20 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Play on the OVER |
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09-20-19 | Rangers v. A's UNDER 9 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
Tonight we have a couple of top teir pitchers that have had some struggles of late. But Im betting on them correcting their slumps here this evening in Oakland in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Note: The Coliseum has been a place Fiers the AS right-hander loves to pitch in , as is evident by his 8-1 record along with a stingy 2.76 ERA over 15 starts in Oakland this year would indicate. Minor the Rangers starter has struggled a bit vs the As recently but knowing his work ethic and ego you can bet he will be ready to fire back. MINOR is 11-3 UNDER in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. MINOR is 10-1 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (OAKLAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 55-21 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TEXAS) - with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 87-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-20-19 | Nationals v. Marlins OVER 8.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Friday's pitching matchup will feature a pair of right-handers: Nationals veteran Anibal Sanchez (9-8, 3.86 ERA) against Marlins rookie Robert Dugger (0-2, 3.95 ERA). Sanchez beat the Marlins the last time he faced them. Note: The Marlins have gone over 12 straight at home when seeking same-season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher with each game seeing 9 or more runs scored. Over is 5-2 in Sanchezs last 7 starts on grass.Over is 9-1-1 in Marlins last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 12-4-1 in Marlins last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami. MIAMI is 21-11 OVER in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 10.8 rg scored.MIAMI is 17-8 OVER in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg going on the board.MIAMI is 13-3 OVER as a home underdog of +175 or more this season with a combined average of 10.5 rpg going on the board. Play OVER |
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09-19-19 | Titans v. Jaguars OVER 39 | 7-20 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
These teams took part in low scoring affairs last week so a lot of the public is jumping on the under here. However, Im betting on a different result. The Titans and Jaguars have averaged 46.6 combined ppg in the last 7 meetings and a combined score in that range is on my projection charts for this tilt. Division tilts in week 3 of the reg season have gone 21-5 to the OVER when the Total is set at 39 points or more.AFC South Division contests like this one are 7-0 OVER dating back 7 seasons when the home side is a underdog of 3or more points.NFL home underdogs have gone 17-4 OVER dating back 11 seasons when both teams sides scored and allowed less than 20 points in their last game which was the case for both teams. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (JACKSONVILLE/TENNESSEE) - off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival are 37-12 OVER L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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09-19-19 | Houston v. Tulane UNDER 56.5 | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 5 m | Show | |
Tulane is a fine team with a under rated and strong D, and a grinding run game. Im betting these will both be on full display this Thursday night . Im also betting the Green Wave D, will limit Houstons explosive offence, and their run game will be dominate as the Cougars eat up plenty of click time. Meanwhile, Houston under HC Holgerson has implemented an extremely slow pace , so clock time will tick tick away in unison with Tulane's modus operandi which Im expecting to manifest in to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. TULANE is 13-4 UNDER versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more. rushing yards/carry. TULANE is 7-0 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. TULANE is 13-4 UNDER after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game. Note: The combined average scores of these trends above did not exceed this current totals number. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (HOUSTON) - off 3 or more consecutive unders, quick starting offensive team - scoring 16+ PPG in the first half are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-19-19 | Padres v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Padres starter Joey Lucchesi 10-8, 4.22 ERA, 145 SO has emerged as one of the Padres' most reliable starters and Im betting he limits the Brewers production here this evening.LUCCHESI is 12-3 UNDER in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. The Brewers have average just 4.2 rpg vs lefties this season via a .241 BA. Meanwhile, since coming over from the Pirates,Lyles is 6-1 with a 2.39 ERA and a .209 opponents’ average in his first nine starts for the Brewers and Im betting on him being equally tough on the Padres batting order here tonight . The Padres have gone under 11 straight times in the last game of a series as a road dog after a game in which they did not score after the third inning with a combined average of 6.45 rpg scored and no game has seen more than 9 runs scored. SAN DIEGO is 16-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 13-4 UNDER in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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09-18-19 | Padres v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Brewers hurler Adrian Houser( 6-6, 3.84 ERA, 104 SO) is coming off a disappointing start in St. Louis marred by a Paul Goldschmidt grand slam. Before that, he'd allowed three or fewer runs in six straight starts and Im betting he bounces back here with a big effort vs an erratic Padres offence that has scored 3 or less runs in 8 of their L.12 games. I also expect the Padres pitchers to limit the Brewers damage here .Padres starter Lamet will be making his 13th start since returning from the Tommy John surgery that cost him all of 2018. He took the loss last Thursday, when he gave up three runs over five innings as the Padres fell to the Cubs, 4-1.SAN DIEGO is 15-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. The Padres hqve gone under 11 straight times off a road game in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits with a combined average of 5.4 rpg scored. No game has seen more than 8 runs scored. Play UNDER |
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09-18-19 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
Miamis starter Sandy Alcantara (5-13, 3.93 ERA, 137 SO) has been a top tier hurler in recent weeks. He has gone at least seven innings in six of his past seven starts. One was a complete-game, four-hit shutout against the Royals on Sept. 8. This will be his second career start against Arizona and is more than capable of limiting the DBacks production here this afternoon. Alcantara is 1-3 with a 2.59 ERA in his past eight starts, with 36 hits allowed and 48 strikeouts in 55 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Leake, 2-3 since joining Arizona at the trade deadline, has made quality starts in three of his past four outings., and is also more than capable of limiting the offensive production of one of MLB worst offences, averaging just 3.5 rpg on the road.Leake is 6-2 with a 2.74 ERA in eight career starts against the Marlins, his second-best ERA against teams he has faced at least eight times.LEAKE is 11-1 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 52-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-15-19 | Chiefs v. Raiders UNDER 53.5 | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Andy Reids explosive KC Cheifs jumped out of the shoot last week, with a 40-27 win at Jacksonville . But it must be noted that the Chiefs have gone under in 7 of their L/10 after putting 40 or more points on the board, thanks in part to the lines makers over adjusting because of recency bias. Meanwhile, Oakland also won their first game 24-16 with good offensive management and a strong looking D. With the departure of Antonio Brown and a limited experienced WR group, Im expecting alot of short passes and clock burning running plays, to limit their output production vs what Im betting will be a more viable KC D this season. Note: The Raiders have gone under in back to back division games and have gone under in 6 of their L/8 as 7 point or more home dogs. Under is 8-3-1 in Raiders last 12 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. Under is 6-1-1 in Raiders last 8 games following a straight up win. OAKLAND is 10-2 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 40.3 ppg scored. OAKLAND is 11-2 UNDER versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 40.7 ppg scored. OAKLAND is 21-9 UNDER in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 44.4 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (OAKLAND) - versus division opponents, off a home win are 89-42 L/36 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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09-15-19 | Cowboys v. Redskins OVER 46.5 | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 53 h 23 m | Show | |
These long time rivals Washington and Dallas saw alot of yards get accumulated in their week 1 games. The Redskins combined for 834 combined yards, and the Cowboys combined for a whopping 964 combined yards. Im betting on more of the same non stop action this week when these teams go Helmut to Helmut. Note:These teams in their L/7 meetings have seen a combined average of 51.4 ppg go on the board with 6 of the 7 games eclipsing the total. Gruden is 7-0 OVER after gaining 350 or more passing yards in last game as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 54 ppg going on the scoreboard. All game 2 NFL road favorites who scored 35 or more pts in Game One like Dallas have gone a perfect 7-0 OVER dating back 10 seasons! NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (WASHINGTON) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed 7 or more passing yards/attempt, in conference games are 45-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, in the first month of the season are 68-34 OVER L/36 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-14-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 5-2 | Win | 101 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Brewers starter Lyles recorded a very good start at St.Louis earlier this season when he was with the Pirates allowing one run on one hit over six innings on May 11 at Busch Stadium and Im betting on another strong performance here. Lyles has in top form since coming to the Brewers from the Pittsburgh Pirates in late July, posting a 5-1 record with a 2.51 ERA in eight starts. Meanwhile, Card starter Jack Flaherty (10-7, 2.99 ERA, 196 SO) lowered his ERA to below 3.00 after his last dominant start, which included eight scoreless innings of five-hit ball, along with 10 strikeouts. The 23-year-old has an MLB-best 0.76 ERA since the All-Star break. Im betting on both these hurlers and the bullpens when called upon to supply us with top quality work, which Im betting results in . lower scoring affair. FLAHERTY is 8-0 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)FLAHERTY is 9-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) This is a big game as St.Louis and Milwaukee continue to search for a playoff birth. With that said, Im betting on these two divisional rivals to play hard, and conservatively in what Im betting will be a low scoring affair. Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3-1 in Brewers last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-4 in Brewers last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2-1 in Brewers last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 37-15-1 in Brewers last 53 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-0-1 in Flahertys last 6 starts vs. National League Central.Under is 10-1-2 in Flahertys last 13 starts on grass.Under is 10-1-2 in Flahertys last 13 starts overallUnder is 21-8 in Cardinals last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 13-5 in Cardinals last 18 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 26-10-1 in Cardinals last 37 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 35-16-1 in Cardinals last 52 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 21-10 in Cardinals last 31 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 18-7-1 in Tichenors last 26 games behind home plate. Play UNDER |
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09-14-19 | Georgia State v. Western Michigan OVER 69 | 10-57 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
Last week, Georgia State trailed 20-3 to Furman of the FCS in the second quarter, but quarterback Dan Ellington and the Panther offense exploded with a 48-42 victory. Im expecting Ellington and company to keep trucking here today. Meanwhile, the Western Michigan Broncos defense was completely destroyed by a usually impotent Mich State Spartan offense last week allowing just under 200 yards receiving and rushing to two individual players. Since last season new DC Lou Esposito has allowed opponent to score six touchdowns in 4 of 6 games. Everything points to his being a block buster affair with crap defence as the feature. Over is 6-0 in Broncos last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Over is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 7-0-1 in Broncos last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 games overall.Over is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 games on fieldturf.Over is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 vs. S-Belt.Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games following a ATS loss.Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.Over is 15-5 in Broncos last 20 home games.Over is 34-12-1 in Broncos last 47 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 road games.Over is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games on fieldturf. Play OVER |
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09-14-19 | Georgia Southern v. Minnesota UNDER 47.5 | 32-35 | Loss | -109 | 72 h 48 m | Show | |
Im betting Georgia Southern option attack will grind this clock down quickly, while Minnesota behind their running game and big Oline will do the same. Under is 9-3 in Eagles last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 non-conference games.Under is 13-6 in Eagles last 19 games following a straight up win. Under is 12-3 in Eagles last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 games in September. Under is 5-1 in Golden Gophers last 6 games overall.Under is 5-1 in Golden Gophers last 6 games on fieldturf.Under is 4-1 in Golden Gophers last 5 non-conference games.Under is 5-2 in Golden Gophers last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Golden Gophers last 7 home games Play UNDER |
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09-14-19 | Kansas State v. Mississippi State UNDER 51 | 31-24 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 38 m | Show | |
Kansas State comes into Starkville with a top 10 defense and wont be easily intimidated . On offence the Wildcats are a run first type of team, and because of this alot of clock time will be eaten up and quickly. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring game than many might think on what has become a bloated total since being released. KANSAS ST is 8-1 UNDER after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 43.6 ppg scored. MISSISSIPPI ST is 7-0 UNDER after playing a game at home over the last 2 season with a combined average of 31.5 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (KANSAS ST) - excellent rushing team (230 or more RY/G) against a team with a good rushing defense (100-140 RY/game), after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game are 39-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-13-19 | Washington State v. Houston UNDER 74 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
The Cougars used to be a fast paced team (No. 1 in seconds per play last season) but now under new coach Dana Holgorsen the pace has slowed alot .Houston ranks 100th of 130 FBS teams in plays per second at 28.4 and bleeding the clock Im betting will be on full display for Houston tonight. I know Washington State can score in bunches behind a strong passing game, but Houston has shown flashes of brilliance in their secondary already thiss season and are capable of slowing down the visitors attack tonight in a game I pegged to stay on the low side of what is a bloated total based on past assumptions . HOUSTON is 11-3 UNDER in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 62.3 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (WASH ST/HOUSTON) - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 or less turnovers/game committed) are 46-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers UNDER 49.5 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Both these teams lost their opening games, but it must be noted that during the L/6 seasons the UNDER is 9-1 in all Game 2s with home favorites of 3 or more points when both sides are coming off a SU loss . Note: Both teams we blasted for 31 and 30 points respectively which makes for a recency bias on this total. Note: During the 2018 campaign, the UNDER was dominant cashing 12 of 13 times when both teams gave up m 30 or more pts in their previous game, when the Total is within the parameters of 42 to 53 points. Carolina is also 3-21 under L/24 as division home chalk and have gone under 3 straight times after allowing 30 or more points. TB has gone under in 9 of their L/11 as 6 or more point dogs. t must be noted that Bruce AriansTB QB guru is getting set to help out his talented QB Winston cut down on turnovers and realize his potential as the No. 1 overall pick from the 2015 draft by running the ball more effectively.With second-year pro Ronald Jones II leading the way, Tampa Bay rushed for 121 yards in last week's loss and will once again be utilized to make this into a grinding type affair vs a Carolina team that has proven itself less than explosive over the last few seasons. These two teams have gone under 5 of the L/6 times they have met . Average Totals line: 49. The Average combined points per game clicked in at 39.3 ppg. Play UNDER |
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09-11-19 | Royals v. White Sox UNDER 10 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Royals starter Sparkman owns a 3.24 ERA in three starts against the White Sox this season, which includes a one-inning outing on May 29 at Guaranteed Rate Field where he was ejected. Meanwhile, White Sox starter Reynaldo Lopez . (9-12, 5.17 ERA, 149 SO)is off a top tier effort vs a Cleveland team where he allowed one hit and threw the first complete game of his career. In two of Lopez’s past three starts, he has allowed one or no hits and Im betting on him being tough on his opponents tonight, which will help this combined score stay under the total. LOPEZ is 12-4 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.2 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 13-4 UNDER on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season with a combined average of 8.4 rpg. The White Sox are 0-11 L/11 UNDER at home after a game in which their opponent scored first and it is not a series opener. Play UNDER |
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09-09-19 | Texans v. Saints OVER 52 | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
This might seem like a public leaning total , but according to my projections this combined score here this Monday night between the Texans and their hosts the explosive Saints should breach this number. Note: Brees has thrown 37 scoring passes in 17 career Kickoff Weekend games, the most of any quarterback. I expect the Saints to light the scoreboard up here tonight and for the Texans to have no choice but to open things up behind quarterback Deshaun Watson, the first player to throw for at least 4,000 yards and 25 touchdowns while rushing for 500 yards and five scores in a season and respond with some fireworks of their own in a tilt that Im betting eclipses this total. The Saints are 4-0-1 OVER L/5 games on turf on Monday night dating back 5 seasons with a combined average score eclipsing the total by more than 10 ppg. Over is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games in Week 1. Play OVER |
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09-08-19 | 49ers v. Bucs OVER 49.5 | 31-17 | Loss | -120 | 101 h 35 m | Show | |
Bucs defense allowed 29 ppg last season and Im not expecting a miraculous bounce back season even though Bruce Arians is now on board. The lousy pass rush wont be able to challenge ,Jimmy Garoppolo and Im betting the now healthy QB will smash a still susceptible secondary. Meanwhile, James Winston despite of being highly inconsistent is a very capable passer, and he will be up the challenge here on the road this week, behind a speedy group of wide receivers. Over is 4-1 in 49ers last 5 games in September.Over is 5-0 in Buccaneers last 5 games in September. TB 8-2 OVER as fav/dog 3 or less. Play OVER |
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09-08-19 | Colts v. Chargers OVER 43.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 128 h 45 m | Show | |
No Andrew Luck at QB for the Indianapolis Colts, no problem. With a revamped offence engineered by offensive coordinator Nick Sirianni, and a offensive line that is uptrending, the interim QBs should do just fine and points production should not be the problem many pundits might anticipate. Players like RB Marlon Mack who rushed for 900 yards and nine touchdowns last season and , T.Y. Hilton who produced 1,200 receiving yards in 14 games, and tight end Eric Ebron led all NFL tight ends with 13 touchdowns is an explosive group who can do lots of damage and quickly. The Colts D, is still a work in progress, so they may also allow a fair amount of points and will need to be a pedal to the metal type offensive side to be competitive. Meanwhile, Chargers star QB Phillip Rivers will continue to put points on the board, especially with targets like receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams in the fold. Today against a susceptible Colts secondary this Im betting will become obvious, and will overall help us see a combined score that goes over the total. Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games in Week 1Over is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 games in September.Over is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 games in Week 1. Play OVER |
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09-08-19 | Bengals v. Seahawks OVER 44 | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 35 m | Show | |
The Seahawks were the NFL’s top rushing team last season, averaging 160 yards a contest and Im betting they will just explosive this season which will set up their passing game behind the arm of Russell Wilson and an over all increase in ppg production. Meanwhile, the Cincinnati Bengals were smashed for 137.8 rushing yards a game last season, and I expect there will be no immediate fixes for their defensive issues be a broken damn. The Bengals only saving grace will be the big red machine QB Andy Dalton who can be dangerous when in a groove. Im expecting Dalton to be very impactful here in new HC Taylor new offensive schemes. Over is 5-0 in Bengals last 5 games in September. Over is 4-1-1 in Bengals last 6 games on fieldturf. Over is 7-2 in Bengals last 9 games in Week 1. Over is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 games overall.Over is 5-1 in Seahawks last 6 games on fieldturf. Over is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 home games.Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Carroll is 27-11 OVER in non-conference games as the coach of SEATTLE with a combined average of 48.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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09-08-19 | Chiefs v. Jaguars UNDER 52.5 | 40-26 | Loss | -109 | 169 h 3 m | Show | |
The high octane offence of the KC Chiefs behind phenom Patrick Mahomes comes into the heat and humidity of Jacksonville this Sunday in a game that I have pegged to stay on the low side of a public leaning total. Im betting Jacksonville has had sufficient time to study this explosive group, and behind a top tier D, will slow the Chiefs here ( at least enough to keep their Chiefs output to reasonable levels). Meanwhile, Im also betting it will take time for the Jags, to jell offensively, thanks to their new parts, (QB Nick Foles) and for the Chiefs D, to be much improved over last seasons hands off version. ( Changed form a 3-4 to 4-3 scheme) Add to that a muggy Sunday environment we have a more methodical game than many might expect and a lower combined score than the public is counting on. The Jags L/13 home games since the 2017 season, have seen them allow an average of just 12.7 points per game and their offence has average just 19.9 points per game. Reid is 12-4 UNDER against AFC South division opponents as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 43 ppg going on the board.Reid in 74 games as a favorite as the coach of KANSAS CITY has seen a combined average score of 45.1 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 home games.Under is 7-1 in Jaguars last 8 games on grass.Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games overall.Under is 16-7 in Jaguars last 23 vs. AFC. Play on the UNDER |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers UNDER 50 | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
The Panthers have gone UNDER in their in their last 7 opening games of a NFL season going under the number by 14 ppg and we all know how conservative this team is out of the gate and overall general terms. I know they will face an explosive offence here today, but last season the Rams played much more conservatively on the road then at home, going under in their L/5 road games, and Im betting that trend continues here today as they make the long arduous trip from the west coast to the east coast. It must be noted that week one none division road chalk of -2 or more are 4-24-1 UNDER dating back 20 seasons . These teams have gone under in 5 of their L/6 meetings with a combined average of 30.2 ppg going on the board and another lower scoring game will be on todays agenda according to my projections . The Rams have gone under in 6 of their L/7 away with a 50 or more point total. The rams have the Saints up next week ( 0-7 UNDER L/7before the Saints). Rams have gone under in 6 of their L/7 as road favs -2 or more. Panthers have gone under in 6 of their L/7 with a total of 48 or more. Play UNDER |
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09-07-19 | BYU v. Tennessee OVER 52.5 | 29-26 | Win | 100 | 31 h 9 m | Show | |
The Vols 38-30 loss to a Georgia State team picked to finish last in the Sun Belt Conference was as shocking to say the least, and had the added bonus of showing me how bad their defence was going to be this season.Defensively, the Vols struggled against Georgia States option attack as quarterback Dan Ellington made the Vols look less than mortal. Im betting BYU quarterback Zach Wilson who is also mobile will do the same , which will inflict more damage on a injury plagued and struggling Vols defensive line. Needless to say Im betting BYU lights up the board here, while Tennessee will fire back with wreck-less abandon as they look for some kind spark from their offence. This Im also betting will lead to a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 13-3 in Cougars last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. . Play OVER |
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09-07-19 | Ohio v. Pittsburgh OVER 53 | 10-20 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 38 m | Show | |
Pitts young OL vs UVA last week was struggling, as 4 new starters gave up 4 sacks and Panthers gained only 263 total yards, but somehow still found a way to put 14 points on the board vs a very tough Virginia squad . This week Im betting the Panthers find ways to do some offensive damage this week, vs a Ohio HC Solich side that does not have a reputation for staunch defences. Yes the secondary is experienced but, its not like they have shown much in the recent past. Meanwhile, Ohio is an explosive offensive group, behind the lethal Nathan Rourke who remains one of the most dangerous dual-threat quarterbacks in the country. Im betting the power run game of the Bobcats vs the weakness of the rush D of Pitt opens up this game for the pass game and mucho points go on the board in a tilt that Im betting eclipses the total. Note: Ohios FCS opponent Rhode Island put 21 points on the board last week and Pitt is more than capable of eclipsing that number. NFL Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (PITTSBURGH) - in non-conference games, in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games are 85-43 OVER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-05-19 | Packers v. Bears UNDER 47 | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
The public seems to love this game to go over , but the public has a tendency to not delve to deeply into statistical data and trends. In preseason the Packers did not play their star QB Rodgers as well as two other key offensive weapons Aaron Jones and Jamal Williams so Im betting it will take some time for the Packers to become cohesive offensively here tonight , especially considering they will be facing a Chicago Bears team that was first in weighted D last season, ranking first in pass efficiency and 2nd and run efficiency. Meanwhile, the Packers Defence, was upgraded in the off season, using their first two round picks to pick up linebacker Rashan Gary and safety Darnell Savage, and then also acquiring free-agent linebackers Za’Darius Smith and Preston Smith to bolster a tough hard nosed group. Im expecting barring injuries for the Packers D to be stringent this season and tonight. Considering Bears QB Trubisky is getting a reputation for being sloppy with the ball , his play calling maybe limited by the coaches, and a more conservative game 1 plan could be in the cards. Note: The Bears offence ranked 30th in the league in pace last season, so "slow as she goes" could once be the mantra here tonight. Under is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games on a natural surface.Under is 4-1 in Packers last 5 vs. NFC. Under is 5-0 in Bears last 5 games overall dating back to las season.Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games on grass.Under is 5-0 in Bears last 5 vs. NFC.The L/10 times these teams have met the average combined score has in clicked in at 44.9 ppg. Bears home games have gone under 58% of the time since the 2016 campaign. Nagy in 6 games versus division opponents as the coach of CHICAGO has seen a combined average score of 43.7 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (CHICAGO) - good rushing defense from last season - allowed 90 or less rushing yards/game, in conference games are 53-22 UNDER since 1983 for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-05-19 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 9 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
Todays starters TBs Pruitt is 2-0 with a 4.29 ERA in eight career appearances (one start) against the Blue Jays. Thornton the Jays starter is 0-1 with an 11.12 ERA in three starts against the Rays and Im betting both get lit up tonight according to my offence vs pitching projections. THORNTON is 11-3 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.8 rpg scored. TORONTO is 10-2 OVER in road games after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. The Blue Jays are 13-0 OVER L/13 in the first game of a series with rest as a road dog off a road game in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TB/TORONTO) - after 3 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 47-19 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-02-19 | Notre Dame v. Louisville UNDER 55 | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 35 h 1 m | Show | |
Scott Satterfield new era at Louisville will be tested when he steps onto the field against Notre Dame with the most talented team overall he’s had in his coaching career. Admittedly Louisville . is a broken football program, that self disintegrated over the last few seasons and now has to be cautious moving forward. That Im betting is the game plan today vs a explosive Notre Dame fighting Irish team. The Cardinal have been a mistake prone team lacking discipline , but that is something the new head coach wont tolerate. Quote:“I can’t stand sloppy play. I can’t stand it,” Satterfield said during Monday’s press conference with the media. Im also betting that Louisville wont turn over the ball as much here , after ranking 126th in the nation last season. All and all Im backing the idea that Satterfilelds group keeps it simple , which Im betting makes for more of snail pace than many might believe is possible, which gives credence to my under wager recommendation here tonight. Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 non-conference gamesUnder is 7-3 in Fighting Irish last 10 games on fieldturf. Play on the UNDER |
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09-01-19 | Houston v. Oklahoma UNDER 80.5 | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
These teams met in the 2016 opener, and No. 15 Houston pulled a 33-23 stunner over the third-ranked Sooners. Oklahoma eventually won the Big 12 and beat Auburn in the Sugar Bowl, but the Sooners missed out on the playoff for the only time in the past four seasons. Tonight in a game the public has pegged as a super shoot out, Im betting we have value with the under. Both offenses will once again be explosive. However, I am expecting the Sooners off season hiring of Alex Grinch from Ohio State to help the Sooners D immensely .It must be noted that when he was with the Washington State Cougars of the PAC12 he knew very well how to handle that pass heavy conference. Meanwhile, Houston despite of still having a a capable attack, will still see a head coach Dana Holgorsen who in the past used pocket passers to move the ball efficiently. None of his previous QBS however were like D’Eriq King behind the 2nd adjusted pace. At W.Virginia they had a adjusted pace of 48th so there is a difference here that the Sooners new D could take advantage of, and subsequently slow down as this game progresses behind what will be a more aggressive pressure defence. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (OKLAHOMA) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 31 or more points/game, with 8 defensive starters returning are 36-12 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (HOUSTON) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, with an experienced QB returning as starter, in the first two weeks of the season are 40-13 UNDER UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-01-19 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks OVER 10 | 4-3 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Dodgers Ross Stripling (4-4, 3.64 ERA, 76 SO)Stripling will be activated from the injured list to make his first start since July 24. The right-hander is expected to pitch only two or three innings before the Dodgers turn to righty Dustin May, who made four starts in August and Im betting he has his hands full with the suddenly hot Arizona team on a 6 game win streak and output of 22 runs in their L/3 games. Meanwhile, Young the Dbacks starter had his shortest start of the season at Dodger Stadium on Aug. 10, giving up four runs and five hits in 3 1/3 innings of a 4-0 loss. Note: The Dodgers have scored 29 runs in their L/5 games and Im betting continue their ferocious hot hitting in their quest for a play off spot here this afternoon. Over is 20-6-1 in Dodgers last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning recordOver is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Arizona.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER |
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08-31-19 | Fresno State v. USC UNDER 52.5 | 23-31 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Im betting Fresno States D, remains their strong point, and that their 25 game streak of holding opponents to 30 points or less remains intact. Meanwhile, look for USCs core of 4 and 5 star recruits on D, to stand tall and limit Fresno States offence to a minimal output . Early on in the season Defences have an edge on offences and that gives me credence in my under projection here in game 1 for both teams in this non conference battle. FRESNO ST is 7-0 UNDER in road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 40.5 ppg going on the board. FRESNO ST is 6-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41.5 ppg scored. USC is 18-6 L/24 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 with a combined average of 47.9 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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08-30-19 | Astros v. Blue Jays UNDER 10.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Astros starter Miley is 7-0 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in his last 11 starts, and in the top five in ERA in the American League at 3.13. Opponents are hitting .233 against him. Im betting he will slow down this young Blue Jays offence that has scored and average of just 2.6 rpg in their L/10 overall and limit their output today. The Astros have allowed an average of 2.8 rpg in their L/10 tilts overall. MILEY is 15-7 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) with the average combined score of those 22 games clicking in at 8.4 rpg. Under is 6-1 in Mileys last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Mileys last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Mileys last 6 starts vs. American League East.Under is 9-4-1 in Blue Jays last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, Thorton his pitching opponent form the Blue Jays continues to flash glimpses of brilliance, and despite of inconsistencies is a capable hurler that can slow down this Astros offence. Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 6-1-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games following an off day.Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-2 in Blue Jays last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 on astroturf.Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 home games. Play UNDER |
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08-29-19 | Raiders v. Seahawks UNDER 33.5 | 15-17 | Win | 100 | 64 h 58 m | Show | |
Week 4 of the preseason is usually more of scrimmage for NFL teams, and all abut staying healthy. Look for most backups to see action in a tilt Im betting will be very conservative in nature and low scoring. Gruden in his L/9 after playing a Thursday game in all games he has coached has seen a combined average score of 27.7 ppg scored. Carroll is 12-3 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in all games he has coached with a combined average of 32.7 ppg scored. NFLX team against the total (SEATTLE) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins are 29-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX team against the total (SEATTLE/OAKLAND) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins, with a winning record in the preseason playing another winning team are 22-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. PLAY UNDER |
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08-29-19 | Falcons v. Jaguars UNDER 32.5 | 31-12 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 41 m | Show | |
Week 4 of the preseason is usually more of scrimmage for NFL teams, and all about staying healthy. Look for mostly backups to see action in a tilt which Im betting will be very conservative in nature and low scoring. The L/2 preseason meetings in this series, have seen scores of 13-7, and 17-6 go on the board and Im betting on a similar ouput in this battle. Under is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 home games.Under is 7-1 in Jaguars last 8 games on grass.Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games overall. Under is 3-1-1 in Falcons last 5 Thursday games. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. NFLX team against the total (ATLANTA) - off 2 or more consecutive unders against opponent off 3 or more consecutive unders are 23-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX team against the total (JACKSONVILLE) - with a poor offense - averaging 4.8 or less yards/play are 32-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-29-19 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 10 | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Berrios the Twins starter is 0-2 along with an 8.44 ERA in four starts this month after giving up five runs and 10 hits over 5 1/3 innings against the Detroit tigers this past The Twins righty has allowed six homers in his last four trips to the hill. Meanwhile, Cease (3-6, 5.76) the Pale Hose starting thrower today, has allowed two homers in each of his last two starts, allowing nine runs and 12 hits and once again looks like cannon fodder vs a explosive Minnesota offence averaging 6.2 rpg on the road this season. Everything points to a high scoring affair. Over is 5-0-1 in Berrios' last 6 starts overall.MINNESOTA is 34-18 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11 rpg scored. Play OVER |