Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-02-23 | Pacers v. Spurs UNDER 238.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
San Antonio is banged up with a boatload full of injures and that in itself is effecting their offensive flow. as is evident by averaging just over 107 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood and currently rank 28th in ppg offense in the NBA. The kind of hoops they are playing because of their short handed status must be framed as "survival mode" . So their pace has slowed down precipitously, as well as their aggressiveness in transition. Tonight against Indiana side that ranks just 21st in offensive efficiency, Im expecting a much slower and lower scoring game than the lines-makers expect . INDIANA is 13-3 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.2 ppg. scored. INDIANA is 19-9 UNDERafter playing a road game this season with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - off a road win, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 80-42 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 68-30 L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-02-23 | Michigan +4 v. Illinois | 87-91 | Push | 0 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Illinois Star Freshman Epps is expected to be out for tonights game after hitting the floor in practice. The events leading up to him suffering the concussion are unclear. He will be missed in a key game down the stretch. Advantage Michigan. ILLINOIS is 9-20 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. MICHIGAN is 34-21 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons. Michigan is 6-1 SU L/7 overall. Michigan to cover |
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03-02-23 | Appalachian State v. South Alabama OVER 129 | 61-68 | Push | 0 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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03-01-23 | Southern Indiana +2 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 54-68 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. These teams split the season series with both sides winning on the others home court. SIUE won the first game but two weeks later Southern Indiana had adjusted and have the momentum and game plan needed to turn the trick again. SIU EDWARDSVL is 5-13 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. SIU EDWARDSVL is 1-8 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.SIU EDWARDSVL is 2-10 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (S INDIANA) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Southern Indiana to cover |
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03-01-23 | Southeastern Louisiana -3 v. Houston Christian | 80-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SE Louisisana took the first meeting between these sides this season by a 71-59 count. Cottrell is 1-11 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON CHRISTIAN. HOUSTON CHRISTIAN is 2-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -20. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (SE LOUISIANA) - an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG diff.) after 15+ games, after a close win by 3 points or less are 97-47 ATS L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Southeastern Louisiana to cover |
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03-01-23 | Nets +7.5 v. Knicks | 118-142 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Big Apple rivalry Im projecting will be alot closer the linesmakers are estimating. The Knicks earned their sixth straight victory Monday when they rolled past the visiting Boston Celtics 109-94 but now Im betting the Knicks are in a letdown spot vs a Brooklyn franchise that has won 9 of the L/10 meetings in this series. Knicks are 19-39-1 ATS in their last 59 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in March games are 3-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Nets to cover |
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03-01-23 | Auburn +10 v. Alabama | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Alabama played an exhausting back and forth game vs Arkansas last time out, and could easily find their energy levels depleted , especially with all the controversy surrounding the team of late. With that said, Im betting on Auburn being competitive tonight . Note: The Tigers are 10-2 ATS as a underdog of 10 points or more points in this series, including 8-0 ATS when the Tide are coming off a SU victory. I know Auburn was beaten up by Kentucky last time out, but it must also be noted that in their three previous games against Tennessee, Vanderbilt and Texas A&M on the road they lost by combined 8 points ( 2.66 ppg) . ALABAMA is 0-6 ATS off a close home win by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. ALABAMA is 1-11 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.ALABAMA is 0-10 ATS after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more over the last 2 seasonsALABAMA is 2-15 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. AUBURN is 22-12 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Auburn to cover |
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03-01-23 | Tulsa +14 v. South Florida | 56-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Bulls grabbed its first win against Tulsa ever two weeks ago in convincing fashion, beating TU 96-69 . However, now with revenge on board and this being the Canes last game of the season, Im betting they come out here and leave everything on the court in revenge mode, and to try to salvage a little bit of self respect after a horrendous season and play above themselves. S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season. S FLORIDA is 2-11 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 10 or more points (TULSA) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 consecutive home losses are 25-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. TULSA is 6-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1997 in Florida. TULSA is 6-0 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1997 in Florida. Tulsa to cover |
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02-28-23 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 236.5 | 105-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
These two sides are separated by one loss in the tight Western Conference standings and tonight as both jostle for play off positioning you can bet that a close physical game could easily be on the agenda. I know they played a wide open game last time they met in early Feb, but that was then and this is now and the situation has changed. GOLDEN STATE is 17-5 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220.6 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. Under is 3-1-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-1-2 in Trail Blazers last 11 Tuesday games. Under is 5-1-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 road games. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State. Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND/ GOLDEN STATE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 47-18 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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02-28-23 | Spurs v. Jazz UNDER 236.5 | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Spurs enter on. a-horrendous losing run and are now in full tank mode as they play with little or no ambition or energy , as is evident by only 108.6 ppg on average in their L/5 most recent games. Im betting they play survival hoops here tonight against a side that outguns them whihc Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.6 ppg scored. UTAH is 24-11 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. UTAH is 32-17 UNDER (+13.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 17-7-1 in Jazz last 25 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Under is 7-3 in Jazz last 10 home game. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 48-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days against opponent well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 66-27 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-28-23 | Texas A&M -5 v. Ole Miss | 69-61 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Aggies, who sit alone in second place in the Southeastern Conference, Im betting will continue their winning ways when they face a sub prime Ole Miss side on the road. The national leaders in free throws made and attempted, Texas A&M averages 1.5 more FTM/G than any other team in Div. I college basketball. Thats important when looking for a road cover .OLE MISS is 1-8 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season.OLE MISS is 3-11 ATS as an underdog this season and 4-13 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS A&M is 15-7 ATS as a favorite this season and is 33-18 ATS L/51 as a road favorite or pick . Texas A&M to cover |
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02-28-23 | Pacers v. Mavs UNDER 237 | 124-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 231 which gives us a full three possession edge to the under. Dallas is ranked 29th in pace in the league and 12th in ppg allowed and 18th in ppg offense. Meanwhile, Pacers rank 21st in offensive efficiency . DALLAS is 18-6 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. DALLAS is 11-2 UNDER in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons are with a combined average 212.5 ppg scored. Kidd is 32-18 UNDER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. INDIANA is 19-9 UNDER in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - in non-conference games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 43-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA t where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-28-23 | Buffalo -1 v. Northern Illinois | 85-75 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Off playing Toledo last time out in a DD loss, this will seem like a walk in the park for Buffalo.Buffalo won the first meeting on Saturday, Jan. 7 by a score of 80-62 and a rinse and repeat situation is not out of the question according to my head to head matchup stats. In his career Head Coach Jim Whitesell is 7-1 against the Huskies.Whitesell is 8-0 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of BUFFALO. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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02-27-23 | West Virginia +4.5 v. Iowa State | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Mountaineers own five Quad 1 wins and a 12-1 record against Quad two, three and four opponents and deserve respect here in this line vs Iowa State in a game I have pegged to be very competitive. CBB team (IOWA ST) - an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 55 points or less are 42-70 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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02-27-23 | Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 223 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
The Knicks offense is hitting on all cylinders of late and their D, is also standing tall. The Celtics who rank 20th in pace and 7th in ppg allowed are well aware of the Knicks current form, and will be primed to buckle down in transition, which Im betting limits the Knicks offensive prowess. Meanwhile, the Knicks who rank 28th in pace in the league and 9th in ppg allowed will also be formidable defenders in a game that Im betting will be physical /grinding and lower scoring. BOSTON is 11-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.7 ppg scored. BOSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points are 53-24 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 115 points or more 3 straight games are 81-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-27-23 | Norfolk State v. North Carolina Central OVER 140.5 | 75-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NC CENTRAL is 7-1 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season with a combined average of 147.7 ppg scored. NORFOLK ST is 20-7 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5. NORFOLK ST is 6-0 OVER in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined 151.5 ppg scored. Road teams against the total (NORFOLK ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 54-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-27-23 | Pistons +7 v. Hornets | 106-117 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
I know Charlotte is playing winning hoops of late, but Detroit has also looked competitive after the all star break losing by just 2 and 4 points to Orlando and Toronto. My projections make this line closer to -5 giving us a full possession advantage on this offering. CHARLOTTE is 7-17 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and in home games when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 25% or less) in all games is just 10-24 ATS. DETROIT is 11-1 ATS (when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 32-11 L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Motown to cover |
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02-27-23 | Bellarmine v. North Florida OVER 140.5 | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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02-26-23 | Wolves v. Warriors OVER 233.5 | 104-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Take no prisoners all out one way hoops is what Minnesota has implemented in last season games for a while, now is as is evident by the following trends. MINNESOTA is 10-0 OVER in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 149.7 ppg scored. Finch is 13-0 OVER in road games in February games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 249.8 ppg scored. Minnesota is 5-0 OVER L5 conf games and are 5-0 L/5 OVER awa . Golden State is banged up but there is still enough talent to soldier forward and put points on the board, especially against. side that will come out firing bullets and force them into a wide open affair. GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 OVER after a win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 239.1 ppg scored. (Beat Golden State 116-100 last time out) Golden State is 8-0-2 OVER L/10 playing on Sundays and 15-1 OVER after a day off Series These teams have combined for a (236.5 ) in their L/9 meetings. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Golden State. Play on the over |
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02-26-23 | Rutgers v. Penn State -2.5 | 59-56 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Penn State brings a three-game win streak into this home tilt against the Scarlet Knights, which has lost four of five including an ugly loss last time out. Penn State needs wins and might also need a top tier Big 10 tourney performance to secure a place in the big dance so you can bet they will be ready to perform here tongiht. Penn State also has redemption on board as well as revenge for a nasty loss at Rutgers 65-45 on Jan. 24. Since that defeat the Lions have awoken from their slumber and are now in full steam ahead mode. Pikiell is 0-7 ATS in road games off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points as the coach of RUTGERS. RUTGERS is 5-16 ATS L/21 in road games after scoring 50 points or less . RUTGERS is 4-12 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Shrewsberry is 7-0 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of PENN ST.Shrewsberry is 7-0 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game as the coach of PENN ST. Shrewsberry is 10-1 ATS in home games after playing a game as a road underdog as the coach of PENN ST.Shrewsberry is 6-0 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog as the coach of PENN ST.PENN ST is 10-1 ATS in home games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PENN ST) - off 2 straight wins against conference rivals against opponent off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points are 26-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Penn State to cover |
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02-26-23 | UCLA v. Colorado +7 | 60-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Colorado completely fell asleep at the proverbial wheel last time out losing to USC, 84-65, at the CU Events Center on Feb. 23. It must be noted however, that Boyle has proved resilient after an ugly loss going 6-0 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite as the coach of COLORADO. Colorado has played it best hoops at home winning 11 of 14 games . note: The Buffaloes have enjoyed a plus-10.9 scoring margin at home. Colorado is shooting 46.3 percent at home, compared to 40.1 percent in road games. The Buffaloes are holding opponents to 62.4 points on 41.9 percent from the field at home compared to 71.5 points and 45.4 percent in road contests and Im betting are capable of being competitive vs a powerful UCLA side. Colorado has made 63 of its last 75 free throws over the last five games (.840) which is significant for a physical side like the Buffs. Remember despite of their inconsistencies this Colorado team showed their abilities in a win at Tennessee earlier this season and deserve respect here in an cover opportunity this Sunday. Boyle is 6-0 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite as the coach of COLORADO.Boyle is 61-45 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game as the coach of COLORADO with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6.2. Play on Colorado to cover |
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02-26-23 | Wisconsin +5 v. Michigan | 79-87 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Considering the line offering from the books it must be noted that Wisconsin has played 17 games this season decided by five points or less (five in overtime), holding a 10-7 record in those contests. UW is now 22-8 in games decided by five or fewer points over the last two seasons.Sunday will mark the second meeting between Wisconsin and Michigan this season, as the Badgers earned a 64-59 victory over the Wolverines in the first meeting on Feb 14. That first meeting proved to me the Badgers matchup well vs the Wolverines.WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. Right now the Badgers D, is playing at a top tier level, and in an important game like this defense is key.WISCONSIN is 7-0 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. I also feel Michigan is being over rated here on this line, after their big upset win vs Iowa last time out. Note: MICHIGAN is 2-11 ATS in home games off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog. Wisconsin to cover |
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02-25-23 | Santa Clara v. San Diego +7 | 81-63 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Santa Clara is in a letdown spot after a senior night win at home vs Pepperdine last time out and are now vulnerable here in this road game. I know San Diego may not inspire bettors but they have been competitive overall as compared to how the books have lined their games as is evident by covering 8 of their L/11 overall. San Diego to cover |
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02-25-23 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 225 | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is 3rd in ppg allowed this season behind a slow pace that ranks them 26th in the NBA. Meanwhile, Boston ranks 6th in ppg allowed and 20th in pace. Today in a elite NBA eastern conference tilt Im expecting a physical battle that helps keep this score on the low side of the Total. BOSTON is 10-2 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.6 ppg scored. BOSTON is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.3 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA in their L/44 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 212.4 ppg scored. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 44-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game are 45-17 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-25-23 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies UNDER 235.5 | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
My projections place this total closer to 231 giving us a full two possession value to the under on this totals offering. Memphis owns the No.1 ranked defensive efficiency rating in the league. Denver ranks 19th in pace. MEMPHIS is 25-8 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 MEMPHIS/(DENVER) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-25-23 | Pelicans +3.5 v. Knicks | 106-128 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Knicks are playing a back-to-back set after they returned from the break on Friday and overcame a 19-point, first-half deficit to edge the host Washington Wizards 115-109. The Knicks exerted alot of energy io that game and regression must be expected here on tired legs. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are in a three-way tie for seventh place in the Western Conference with the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Golden State and need wins immediately to get them in a position for. aplay off run. NEW YORK is 11-22 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. Knicks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Knicks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. NBA team (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, playing on back-to-back days are 58-103 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pelicans to cover |
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02-25-23 | Heat -4.5 v. Hornets | 103-108 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Charlotte has been playing decent basketball of late winning 3 straight while Miami has not and lost 3 straight . From a coaching and overall player personal standpoint Im betting the more desperate side flips the tables on both these trends tonight as the road team cruises to a victory and cover. MIAMI is 11-0 ATS in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.. CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season. NBA Home underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, in February games are 33-71 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA favorites (MIAMI) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG differential), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 42-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
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02-25-23 | Oral Roberts v. South Dakota State +4.5 | 69-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Since the 2005 season, South Dakota State has recorded a 71-40-1 ATS (64%) at home in conference play and must not be underestimated to compete here vs a Oral Roberts. ORAL ROBERTS is 0-8 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.S DAKOTA ST is 0-8 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (S DAKOTA ST) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 42-16 ATS L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on South Dakota State to cover |
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02-25-23 | Arkansas +8.5 v. Alabama | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. To many points here to lay with Alabama. I know their 14-1 in SEC play and loaded, but with all the crap thats happening around the program right now Im sure this team wont be as focused as they need to be against what is now a fully healthy Razorbacks side. I know Alabama beat up on the Arkansas in their first meeting winning by DDs, but it must be noted that ARKANSAS is 8-0 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. ARKANSAS is 26-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. ARKANSAS is 16-3 ATS in February games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ALABAMA) - off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent are 32-66 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Arkansas to cover |
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02-25-23 | Maine v. Binghamton -2.5 | 71-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Binghamton to cover |
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02-25-23 | Texas v. Baylor -3.5 | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Baylor looking to bounce back off two straight losses to Kansas and Kansas state will be primed to play hard here at home in a revenge spot vs Texas who has not played all that well on the road of late losing 3 of their L/4. In the first meeting between these two teams that essentially went down to the wire the Bears were missing some key players, but now their healthy and motivated and ready to lay down the hammer in a building they have accumulated a 13-2 record in this season. TEXAS is 0-8 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 4-15 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Baylor to cover |
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02-25-23 | Missouri v. Georgia +3.5 | 85-63 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Georgia after strong season, have lost back to back games by big DD margins, but from a long term trends standpoint it must be noted that sides like the Dawgs that are playing as underdogs at home with an above .500 record and off consecutive losses of 28 or more points are 7-1 ATS dating back 43 seasons. Georgia has covered 5 of their L/6 as home dogs and is also 3-0 ATS hosting as a pup or a chalk of 4 points or less in this series, and also 3-0 SU/ATS as a conference home dog when after suffering a defeat of 30 or more points. Georgia to cover. Meanwhile, Missou off a hard fought 66-64 win vs Miss State last time out. Note: Missouri is 0-6 ATS off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival over the last 3 seasons MISSOURI is 3-11 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS in home games versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Georgia to cover |
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02-24-23 | Rockets +10.5 v. Warriors | 101-116 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Golden State is pretty banged up with key starter Curry out. I know the Rockets never inspire bettors but they have frequently played teams tough this season, and must not be underestimated catching 10 points here on rested legs after the all star break. Yes, I know they were annihilated in back to back games before the break, but now this young group with time to stew over those embarrassments will be primed for a bounce back effort. HOUSTON is 12-2 ATS L/14 in road games after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more. GOLDEN STATE is 4-15 ATS in February games over the last 2 seasons NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 32-13 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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02-24-23 | South Alabama +4.5 v. UL - Lafayette | 64-74 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Lafayette beat S.Alabama 79-76 in their first meeting this season, and now its redemption time for the visitors who are 6-0 ATS (revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (S ALABAMA) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Friday nights are 35-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. South Alabama to cover |
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02-24-23 | Nets +2 v. Bulls | 87-131 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
The Bulls entered the all star break with 6 straight losses, and according to my projections a 7th straight loss should be in the cards for them again tonight against a Brooklyn team that will be more focused after unloading players who were not happy with the organization ie Kyrie Irving.Nets are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Vaughn is 9-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs as the coach of BROOKLYN. Vaughn is 30-13 ATS (in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots in all games he has coached .BROOKLYN is 18-4 ATS in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CHICAGO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Nets to cover |
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02-24-23 | Heat +2 v. Bucks | 99-128 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Both these sides are rested but have some injuries, but key here is the expected absence of Bucks star Antetokounmpo as well as Khris Middleton (knee) and Pat Connaughton (calf) . Im betting the Bucks are at a disadvantage without their big man in the liuneup. HC Spoelstra teams are 7-1 ATS when his side is on eight or more days of rest during the regular season. Heat are 37-16 ATS in their last 53 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on Heat to cover |
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02-24-23 | Fairfield v. Niagara OVER 124.5 | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on the over |
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02-23-23 | San Diego v. Gonzaga UNDER 165.5 | 72-97 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of closer to 161 which gives us a two possesion edge on this totals offering. GONZAGA is 8-1 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.3 ppg scored.GONZAGA is 6-0 UNDER after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149 ppg scored. Lavin is 17-5 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 147.8 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (GONZAGA) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after allowing 85 points or more are 30-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-23-23 | Pelicans +6 v. Raptors | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
The Raptors had won two straight and five of their past six games while New Orleans has won 4 of their L/6 overall despite of a lazy outing against the Lakers on the road before the all star break that saw them lose. The Pelicans won at home, 126-108, against the Raptors on Nov. 30 and matchup well here even with the Raptors getting healthier. From a SRS perspective the Pelicans rank 11th in the league with a 1.44 mark while, the Raptors rank 13th with a 0.87 . Advantage Pelicans even though the Raptors have home court advantage of 4 auto points. My line projections estimate the Raps. should just be 3 point chalk here giving us a full possession advantage on this line offering. ***SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. NEW ORLEANS is 13-3 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or better over the last 3 seasons. TORONTO is 25-41 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 44-18 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NEW ORLEANS is 5-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons including 2-0 ATS L/2 here in TO. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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02-23-23 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 233.5 | 142-138 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Indiana beat the Celtics as road dogs earlier this season, and now the Celtics will have redemption in mind and which usually centers on them playing their best form of defensive basketball. BOSTON in 12 games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 220.1 ppg scored..BOSTON in 8 games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season have allowed that opponent in the rematch to score an average of 108.3 ppg while themselves have also average roughly 108.1 points for a combined average of 216.4 ppg. BOSTON is 15-6 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season.with the average combined score clicking in at 223.4 ppg. BOSTON is 12-4 UNDER in road games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with the combined average score of 226.5 ppg scored.
Under is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 home games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 24-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-23-23 | Nuggets v. Cavs -2.5 | 115-109 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
After procuring a 6 game win streak the Cavs lost 118-112 and will now be primed to bounce back after extended rest. The Cavs also have revenge on board for a a 13-point loss they endured in Denver earlier this season. The Cavs have proven resilient this season when coming off a loss going 11-3 SU and 10-4 ATS , and have won and coved 8 of 12 this season in revenge mode for a loss of * plus points. CLEVELAND is 21-10 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.CLEVELAND is 15-7 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. DENVER is 0-7 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better this season. DENVER is 1-10 ATS in road games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season. NBA Home favorites (CLEVELAND) - playing with 3 or more days rest, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 134-83 ATS L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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02-23-23 | Northeastern v. Drexel -5.5 | 48-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Dragons have won four in a row vs Northeastern, including a 76-55 win in Boston back in January proving to me from a data standpoint that they matchup well in tonights confrontation. I know Drexel has been slumping of late, losing three straight , but that is a good thing as we get to buy low here in this spot play ( Two of the losses came by 1 point and 3 points) The /Dragons can clinch 5th place with a win here in their final regular season game so a top tier effort is to be expected. Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Dragons are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games. Dragons are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Dragons are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Dragons are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up loss. Spiker is 12-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points in all games he has coached since 1997. Coen is 18-31 ATS L/49 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games as the coach of NORTHEASTERN. CBB Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (DREXEL) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%) are 75-5 SU L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Drexel to cover |
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02-22-23 | Wake Forest +6 v. NC State | 74-90 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NC Carolina State got by Wake Forest 79-77 in the first closely contested meeting this season and Im betting on another close match here today. The Deacons 3 point shooting is what gives them the capability to be a force here tonight. In. a hard fought loss to top tier Miami Fl last time out Wake Forest showed off their downtown skills and are the only team this season to make more than 12 triples against Miami. note: WAKE FOREST is 7-0 ATS after a game where they made 13 or more 3 point shots over the last 2 seasons. Keatts is 9-19 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games as the coach of NC STATE. Keatts is 5-14 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games as the coach of NC STATE. NC STATE is 2-11 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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02-22-23 | South Florida v. UCF -8.5 | 82-75 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UCF has revenge on board for a loss they suffered to South Florida earlier this season and now its redemption time. After two one possession point losses to Memphis and Cincinnati the home side will be well prepared to take on this lesser talented school and hungry as hell to get back into the win column. The Knights are 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 when seeking same season revenge vs USF. Home side is 14-3 ATS in this series. UCF to cover |
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02-22-23 | Eastern Kentucky v. North Florida +2.5 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This N.Florida is a dangerous and explosive side thats being under rated here at home where they are 9-2 SU this season North Florida ranks 10th in the nation in three-pointers made per game at 10.1 per contest. The Ospreys have poured in double-digit three-pointers in 15 games, including four games of at least 15 treys. Eastern Kentucky Colonels despite of a strong record are 4-8 in road games this season. N FLORIDA is 6-0 ATS in home games after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.N FLORIDA is 9-1 ATS in home games after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 3 seasons.N FLORIDA is 23-9 ATS L/32 in home games after playing a road game. E KENTUCKY is 5-16 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.E KENTUCKY is 4-12 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.E KENTUCKY is 1-10 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (E KENTUCKY) - an explosive offensive team (76 or more PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or more are 6-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate. Play on North Florida to cover |
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02-21-23 | Indiana v. Michigan State -3 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MSU is 20-2 SU L/22 at home in this series, including 4-0 SUATS when seeking same-season revenge from DD defeat. Note: Indiana beat up on the Spartans 82- 69 at home last month. I know Indiana has played well recently, but despite of this have only cashed in only 2 of their L/10 road games. INDIANA is 0-7 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Home team is 26-10 ATS in the last 36 meetings. Play on Michigan State to cover Michigan State to cover |
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02-21-23 | Kent State v. Ball State +4 | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Ball State Cardinals are averaging 24.4 free throws per game, which is third in the NCAA and leads the MAC. Ball State is averaging 16.4 free-throws made per contest, which is tied for 19th in the nation and is second in the conference.The Cardinals are also currently shooting 47.3 percent from the field, which is tied for 41st in the NCAA and is second in the MAC. Ball State has been profecient from behind the arc with a 37.6 percent from the land of the trey, which is tied for 27th in the country and third in the MAC. This is the kind of shooting and conversion rates a team needs to compete with a explosive Kent State side. The Cards also have revenge on board for a ugly DD loss at Kent earlier this season, so this side will be extremely motivated to pull off the upset on their own home floor. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Play on Ball State to cover |
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02-21-23 | Bowling Green v. Miami-OH -1.5 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Miami heads into this match against the Falcons with revenge on board for a loss to Bowling Green after falling 73-83 earlier in the year on the road. Home court advantage and being in redemption mode Im betting will propel Miami O to a cover this evening. The RedHawks hold a lifetime 51-18 home record vs Bowling Green who are 4-9 on the road this season.Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. In a game that the linesmakers consider to be a close one, taking a team like Miami that can convert at the charity stripe is a key. Miami University currently ranks 12th in the nation in free throw shooting percentage. BOWLING GREEN is 0-11 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds this season.BOWLING GREEN is 3-15 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Miami O |
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02-20-23 | Cal-Irvine v. Cal Poly +11 | 59-56 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UC Irvine's 78-76 Saturday home victory against UC Davis was a hard fought affair and now against a Cal Poly side on a ugly 15 game losing streak, are being over rated on this line. No doubt in my mind that Cal Irvine is the superior side, but they will Im betting be in a letdown situation against a side they could easily be overlooking. Its of interest to note that in their first meeting this season, the Anteaters barley go by the Mustangs 55-54. Smith is 6-0 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of CAL POLY-SLO.CAL POLY-SLO is 6-0 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season.CAL POLY-SLO is 10-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Mustangs are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (UC-IRVINE) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games are 13-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cal Poly to cover |
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02-20-23 | UC San Diego +8.5 v. UC-Davis | 66-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Tritons enter Monday's contest against Cal Davis fresh off a 1-1 week after a closely contested loss to Cal State Fullerton, 76-73 on Wednesday, before defeating CSUN 75-62 on Saturday. Cal Davis is off a hard fought loss to Cal Irvine last time out by just 2 points and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot. Tritons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.Tritons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Aggies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss. Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Cal San Diego to cover |
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02-19-23 | Memphis +14 v. Houston | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Houston smashed Memphis, 71-53, in the finals of the AAC title game last season and now the Tigers have revenge on board . Note: Memphis is 12-3 ATS L/13 vs the Cougars, including 5-0 ATS when seeking revenge. Considering the Cougars current top form having won 8 of their L/9 with the one loss coming by 1 point to Tulane, Im betting they are capable of being very competitive vs their ranked opponent. Hardaway is 15-4 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games as the coach of MEMPHIS. Play on Memphis to cover |
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02-19-23 | Ohio State +13 v. Purdue | 55-82 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Ohio State had a 69-66 with under a minute to play but Purdue rallied to score the final five points and escape Columbus with a 71-69 in their first meeting this season. Im betting the slumping Buckeyes find a way to stay competetive here as they try to save some face from a disappointing season. Boilermakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Road team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Ohio State to cover |
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02-18-23 | Colorado +13 v. Arizona | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Colorado is a side that is not easily intimidated , as was the case when they took out Tennessee on the road earlier this season. Arizona has a game with Arizona state up next, and they could easily find themselves looking ahead to that tilt. It must also be noted Colorado has revenge on board for a loss to the Wildcats in last years PAC 12 tourney. Boyle is 14-3 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ARIZONA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 44-79 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Colorado to cover |
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02-18-23 | Georgia v. Alabama -18.5 | 59-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After losing at Tennessee last time out you can bet this ultra talented Alabama side will be primed to bounce back in a big way this week vs a Georgia side that defeated them in Athens last season as underdogs. So Im betting on bounce back and revenge minded home side to really come out here and lay down an ugly and merciless beatdown. Note: Georgia is 0-4/WU ATS L/4 on the road with the average ppg diff clicking in at -22 . GEORGIA is 1-8 ATS in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Alabama to cover |
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02-18-23 | Winthrop -140 v. Charleston Southern | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Winthrop beat Charleston Southern by 74-64 count earlier this season at home and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation taking pace on the road . CHARLESTON SO is 1-9 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. CHARLESTON SO is 2-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. CHARLESTON SO is 1-11 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WINTHROP) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 33-5 ATS L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Winthrop has won 5 straight meetings in this series. Play on winthrop |
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02-18-23 | Old Dominion +4 v. Appalachian State | 74-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Payback on board for Old Dominion as they are in revenge mode for a loss to App State earlier this season. Old Dominion is also off a loss last time out, and are viable team to back under those circumstances as they are 11-1 ATS L/12 off a SU loss . OLD DOMINION is also 6-0 ATS off a loss against a conference rival this season. These two sides are tied in the Sun Belt standings right now and Im betting on a dog fight with the points proving to be golden. OLD DOMINION is 6-0 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game this season. Play on Old Dominion to cover |
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02-18-23 | Queens NC +8.5 v. Kennesaw State | 83-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Queens enters Saturday afternoon averaging 79.4 points per game on 45 percent shooting from the field and 35 percent from behind the arc. The Royals are the league's leading scoring offense and hold a 1.103 offensive efficiency rating. What I look for in this type of dog , is their ability to be able to back door a side in a losing effort and or being able to comnsistently get to the FT line. Note: The ASUN leads all NCAA Conferences in three-point attempts this season with a combined 9,445 attempts. The Royals are averaging 27.2 three-pointers per game which is the third most in the league. Queens is sinking an average of 9.6 three-pointers per game. Queens has gotten to the free throw line the second most in the ASUN and made the most free throws in the league. The Royals are top 50 in the nation in free throw attempts per game. Queens to cover |
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02-18-23 | Bucknell v. Boston University -4.5 | 61-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Boston beat Bucknell 69-61 on the road earlier this season and matchup very well in this spot play at home vs a BUCKNELL side that is 0-8 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. Boston U to cover |
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02-17-23 | Utah Tech v. Southern Utah -8 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Utah Tech beat Southern Utah 86-79 last month at home, but now revenge is on board here in the rematch on Southern Utahs home court where they almost always play their best hoops garnering a 11-1 record this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +31.8 ppg. Southern Utah is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH TECH) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game are 7-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Southern Utah to cover |
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02-17-23 | Niagara v. Mt. St. Mary's | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-16-23 | Clippers v. Suns | 116-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
After a ugly 1-9 run into the middle of January are now back in the form that fits their talent levels and matchup well vs the Clippers at home. PHOENIX is 17-7 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons like the Clippers. PHOENIX is 9-0 ATS vs. division opponents this season. The Suns defeated the Clipper back in Dec by DD as road chalk and get the nod again at home. LA CLIPPERS are 4-14 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 60-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns |
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02-16-23 | Weber State v. CS Sacramento OVER 126 | 52-49 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WEBER ST is 44-14 OVER at road when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 144.4 ppg scored. Weber has gone over in 6 straight games. Sacramento state has gone over in 4 of their L/5 overall. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (WEBER ST) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-16-23 | Ohio State v. Iowa -7 | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Iowa is tops in the Big Ten and 22nd nationally in scoring offense (80.6). The Hawkeyes have led the league in scoring five of the last nine seasons, including the last four and here tonight vs a Buckeyes side that has shown itself to be offensively challenged of late scoring 70 or less points in 9 of their L/10 Im betting on Iowa getting a conclusive victory.After starting league play 0-3, Iowa has won eight of its last 11 games since Jan. 5. Hawkeyes are 35-16-3 ATS in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Hawkeyes are 45-21-3 ATS in their last 69 home games. Hawkeyes are 38-18-4 ATS in their last 60 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Buckeyes are 1-11 ATS L/12 overall. Iowa to cover |
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02-16-23 | Wizards +3.5 v. Wolves | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Wizards enter this tilt as consistent money makers for their backers of late going 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall including 6-2 ATS L/8 away tilts. WASHINGTON is also 11-3 ATS in road games after a non-conference game this season. Meanwhile, Minnesota has shown a great deal of inconsistencies and not won back to back games since late Jan . They are off a win last time out, so another letdown vs a side that my power rankings suggest is a viable opponent taking points with the road side makes for what Im betting is a profitable option. MINNESOTA is 7-19 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA Favorites (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 115 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 10 points or more are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for. a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Washington has won and covered 6 straight meetings in this series including their L/2 visits to Minnesota. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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02-16-23 | Jacksonville v. Austin Peay OVER 125 | 60-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a total in low 130s giving us a substantial edge on this Totals offering. AUSTIN PEAY is 33-18 OVER L/51 when the total is 120 to 129.5 with a combined average of 135.8 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (JACKSONVILLE) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 48-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (AUSTIN PEAY) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 43-23 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on the over |
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02-16-23 | Bucks -7 v. Bulls | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Double revenge on board for Milwaukee tonight from two losses to the Bulls already this season and Im betting with the all star break on deck, that the Bucks wont worry about pacing or rest and come at the Bulls with e for everything they have.Note:The Milwaukee Bucks are 60-6-1 ATS in matchups they win SU when playing with same-season double revenge. Bucks are 13-2 ATS L/15 visits to Chicago. NBA Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 34-14 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bucks to cover |
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02-16-23 | St Francis PA v. St Francis NY UNDER 136 | 72-64 | Push | 0 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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02-15-23 | TCU +4 v. Iowa State | 59-70 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Baylor made five of its last six field goal attempts to facilitate TCU third straight loss * a 72-68 heart breaker) last time out which will make the Frogs all the more hungry this week vs a Iowa State hoops program that has lost 4 of their L/5 overall. TCU has won eight of the last 11 meetings in this series, including four of five in Ames and get the nod again to cover. Last season, TCU won in Ames, 59-44, over the No. 15 Cyclones. Dixon is 8-1 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season after 15+ games as the coach of TCU.TCU is 6-0 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons. Play on TCU to cover |
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02-15-23 | South Florida v. Tulsa +4.5 | 96-69 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Both these sub par sides do not inspire many bettors, but it must be noted that Tulsa is undefeated in the series against South Florida, wining all 12 of the previous matchups, six of which have happened in the Reynolds Center. According to my projections this tilt should be closer to. a pickem, so getting points with the home side in my humble opinion makes for a viable wagering opportunity.Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Play on Tulsa to cover |
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02-15-23 | Pistons v. Celtics OVER 228.5 | 109-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
The Celtics played last night, which sets up a trend that shows them going over the set total in their L/6 home games with no rest and overall they are 6-0 over vs sides with a .300 win percentage or less like visiting Motown. With this.being both sides, last game before the all star game, Im betting this will be a wide open affair as both sides will see no reason to pace themselves. The Pistons have gone over in 4 straight before extended rest. BOSTON iin thier L/23 games as a favorite of 10 or more points on the opening line over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DETROIT) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 73-36 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Boston. Last 5 meetings in Boston have eclipsed the total. Play over |
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02-15-23 | Knicks +3 v. Hawks | 122-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
The Knicks are seventh in the Eastern Conference and hold a 2½-game lead over the Hawks and will be primed to keep that lead intact here tonight as they also play with revenge for a 15 point loss the last time these teams played. NEW YORK is 48-29 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. Knicks are 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Atlanta. NEW YORK is 15-6 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season.NEW YORK is 31-17 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons .NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS in road games after playing a home game this season. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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02-15-23 | Cavs v. 76ers -2 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
Philadelphia has revenge on board against Cleveland tonight at home after suffering an embarrassing DD loss playing on the road in Ohio back on Nov 30th, Now with redemption at hand Im betting the 76ers will come out here with their hair on fire and get the cover and the win at home where they are 22-8 SU this season. Cleveland is a sub par .500 road side, and are at a disadvantage here in enemy territory vs a talented side with a chip on their shoulders.CLEVELAND is 26-44 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after 6 or more consecutive wins, second half of the season are 24-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on 76ers to cover |
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02-15-23 | St. Joe's +8 v. Duquesne | 62-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Saint Joseph's enters Wednesday on a two-game win streak, and have won seven of its last nine and have revenge on board for a loss suffered to Dequesene earlier this season. Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Hawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Hawks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Hawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Dambrot is 5-14 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games as the coach of DUQUESNE.Dambrot is 10-20 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of DUQUESNE. DUQUESNE is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games . Play on St.Joe's to cover |
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02-14-23 | Kings +3 v. Suns | 109-120 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Kings pulled off a 133-128 win vs the Dallas Mavs last time out, and with momentum on their sides are a good matchup for the Suns here tonight . Kings are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. On the flip-side , the Suns despite of playing much better of late, are off a exhausting 5 game road trip and may take time to acclimated to playing on their own home court.Suns are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. The Kings also have revenge on board for a loss to the Suns earlier this season, Advantage Kings. SACRAMENTO is 20-8 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Sacramento to cover |
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02-14-23 | Kings v. Suns UNDER 234.5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 231 thus giving us an almost 2 full possession advantage to the under. The Suns are in a jet lag situation after a 5 game road trip and may take time to acclimated to home cooking . Note: The Suns are ranked 5th in ppg allowed and 22nd ranked pace and will primed to try to slow down their run and gun opponents. SACRAMENTO is 10-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 7-0 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 226.1 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO in 27 road games this season have seen a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 14-4 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better- 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.8 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 15-7 UNDER as a home favorite this season NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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02-14-23 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 221 | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Playing on tired legs will have Orlando at a disadvantage from a transitional standpoint and that Im betting will lead to them giving up some extra points beyond what the lines-makers are projecting. Over is 8-3 in Magic last 11 games playing on 0 days rest. Over is 17-8 in Magic last 25 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day TORONTO is 19-7 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.6 ppg scored.
NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ORLANDO) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, in February games are 43-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 49-24 L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto Play on the over |
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02-14-23 | Buffalo v. Ohio -5 | 61-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Ohio is coming off a 90-81 win against Akron last Friday and have momentum on their side vs a Buffalo side that beat them earlier this season and the Bobcats now have the added incentive of redemption. Ohio U is 13-2 SU and 14-1 ATS as hosts in MAC games when seeking same-season loss revenge. Ohio is 11-1 in the Convo this season. • Last season Ohio finished 15-2 in the Convo. BUFFALO is 2-9 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO U) - an excellent offensive team (76 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (76 or better PPG), after a combined score of 165 points or more are 25-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Ohio to cover |
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02-14-23 | Missouri +6.5 v. Auburn | 56-89 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Tigers have won five of their last six, including an 86-85 win at No. 6 Tennessee Saturday. Mizzou ranks 13th in the country with a scoring offense of 82.1, while allowing 75.2 points.MU has won its last 22 games when scoring at least 70, including a perfect 18-0 mark this year and with my projections estimating a offensive total of 70 plus I feel confident in a underdog wager backing Mizzou vs Auburn who are off 3 straight losses and fade material in their current form. MISSOURI is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.MISSOURI is 11-1 ATS after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. CBB team (AUBURN) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog of 12 points or more are 18-52 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Missouri to cover |
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02-14-23 | Kent State v. Western Michigan +11.5 | 82-58 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Western Michigan suffered a 80-72 loss in Kent back in Jan. Im betting the Broncos bounce back off a ugly effort at NIU last time out in a sleepy DD loss.Im betting ti will be their tenacious rebounding that keeps them competitive in this tilt. The Broncos enter the week atop the MAC in both rebounding margin (+5.6) and offensive rebounding (12.5).WMU is 25th in the nation in rebounding margin and 26th in offensive rebounding. Golden Flashes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Broncos are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (KENT ST) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a losing record are 9-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Western Michigan to cover |
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02-14-23 | Georgetown +12 v. Seton Hall | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. In their last contest earlier this season, the Hoyas lost 66-51 in Washington, D.C. Spears. Im betting they make the needed adjustments to be more competitive today in revenge mode. GEORGETOWN is 7-0 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. GEORGETOWN is 7-0 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. SETON HALL is 9-22 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.SETON HALL is 2-9 ATS ( in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.SETON HALL is 4-12 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (GEORGETOWN) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals are 23-5 ATS this season. Play on Georgetown to cover |
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02-13-23 | Lakers v. Blazers -130 | 115-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
LeBron James is expected to miss his third consecutive game when the Los Angeles Lakers visit the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday night. James who averages of 30.2 points, 8.5 rebounds and 7.0 assists will be sorely missed here tonight as he has been the main catalyst for any short lived momentum the Lakers have had. Portland has not been generating much consistency of late, but they do play decently at home and with D Lilliard in the lineup are always dangerous. Lakers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 27-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to win |
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02-13-23 | West Virginia v. Baylor -6 | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Bears have a quick turnaround, hosting West Virginia for Big Monday just 48 hours after their 72-68 victory over TCU. Then they travel up to Lawrence to play Kansas on Saturday. Some might think this sandwich game, will have them in a letdown spot and looking ahead, but I beg to differ as Im betting at this time of the year, the team will be prepared to play at a high level, no matter the situation at hand. W VIRGINIA is 2-9 ATS versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons. W VIRGINIA is 2-9 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons/W VIRGINIA is 5-13 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons. W VIRGINIA is 17-33 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite since 1997 BAYLOR is 8-1 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (W VIRGINIA) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game are 7-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baylor to cover |
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02-13-23 | Magic +5 v. Bulls | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
Chicago has lost three straight games and look a little tired on the whole, and are vulnerable here against a young well conditioned Magic side. The Magic are 11-4 ATS L/15 but are off a loss last time out. However, they have shown plenty of resilience, as is evident by their 7-0 ATS mark in their last 7 games following a ATS loss which includes a 9-1 ATS run in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. The Magic also have the added motivation of revenge for a ugly 128-109 loss they suffered to the Bulls back in Orlando on Jan 28. ORLANDO is 16-7 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season. Magic are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. Play on Orlando to cover |
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02-13-23 | Magic v. Bulls UNDER 226.5 | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
Under is 4-0 in Magic last 4 overall The Magic and Bulls are both off losses, in what were low scoring affairs. Both are playing solid d, and with the Bulls looking especially tired Im betting on a slower grinding type game here as well. The Bulls rank 9th in defensive efficiency on the league, behind a 14th ranked pace, and have gone under in 10 of their L/12 overall while, the Magic rank 19th in pace and own the 27th ranked offensive output and have gone under in 4 straight and 6 of their L/7 overall. ORLANDO is 7-0 UNDER in road games off a home loss this season.with a combined average of 216 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 13-5 UNDER off a road loss this season with a combined average of 219.7 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 34-19 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons are 219.7 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 43 points or less in the first half last game are 35-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 115-66 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Chicago Play on the UNDER |
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02-13-23 | Hartford v. South Alabama UNDER 134.5 | 53-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-13-23 | Morgan State -1 v. South Carolina State | 62-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. South Carolina State enters Monday night's coming off a 94-84 win against Coppin State on Saturday afternoon at S-H-M Arena. With the win, the Bulldogs snapped a 7-game losing streak and improve to 4-20 and 1-7 in conference play, but Im betting that short lived win wont carry into this tilt vs Morgan who has won the last six meetings against the Bulldogs since the 2019-20 season.Bulldogs are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Play on Morgan State to cover |
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02-13-23 | Hawks -5 v. Hornets | 138-144 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Charlotte is tanking and has lost 7 straight games and are fade material in their current form. The Hawks have been fairly consistent for a while now, winning 4 of the L/6 SU/ATS and have revenge on board, for a 122-118 loss back on Jan 21st. McMillan is 26-9 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent as the coach of ATLANTA. ATLANTA is 14-4 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or better over the last 3 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 18-32 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 10-21 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses this season. CHARLOTTE is 0-8 ATS in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (33% or less), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 99-53 ATS L/27 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. |
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02-13-23 | Rockets v. 76ers OVER 225 | 104-123 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
The Rockets' defense was in good form last time out against the Heat in a 97-95 loss. However, that has not been the case in four previous losses -- 117-111 to the Toronto Raptors, 153-121 to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 140-120 to the Sacramento Kings and 130-128 to the Kings. Im betting they regress here into their former state and also progress offensively after that last outing, which will produce a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers are expecting. These teams took part in a 132-123 Houston win back on dec 5th of the season. Im sure the Sixers will ramp up their energy here in revenge mode and will be prepared to bring down the hammer and merciless fashion which will also aid our quest for cashing an over ticket. Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 4-0 in 76ers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 8-1 in 76ers last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 9-2 in 76ers last 11 home games. PHILADELPHIA is 14-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 20-7 OVER (after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a win against a division rival are 26-4 OVER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. |
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02-13-23 | Northeastern +16.5 v. College of Charleston | 63-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Coen is 16-7 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of NORTHEASTERN. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (NORTHEASTERN) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals are 122-69 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - an explosive offensive team (78 or more PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Northeastern to cover |
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02-12-23 | Pistons +11 v. Raptors | 118-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Toronto is highly inconsistent and cannot be trusted to cover this big of a spread no matter how lowly their opposition may be perceived. I know Detroit may not inspire bettors, but they did show some grit last time out with. alate come from behind win in OT and Im betting that adrenalin filled steam will give them momentum entering this tilt. Note: Detroit is 7-0 ATS L/7 meetings in this series and 3-0 ATS L/3 here in Toronto as visitors.Raptors are 31-45-1 ATS L/77 games vsw sub .500 sides like Motown. Play on Pistons to cover |
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02-12-23 | Pistons v. Raptors UNDER 228.5 | 118-119 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Two quality teams who can light up the board, but also play a top tier brand of D, go head to head in NBA afternoon tilt. The combination of this tilt having expectations of being a grinding style post season type affair, and the early start time which play havoc with both sides energy levels making this an outlook that leans on this tilt staying on the low side of the offered total. Under is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 Sunday games.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 road games.Under is 9-2 in Grizzlies last 11 overall. MEMPHIS is 13-5 UNDER ) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 19-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 32-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-10 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-12-23 | Grizzlies v. Celtics UNDER 227.5 | 109-119 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Two quality teams who can light up the board, but also play a top tier brand of D, go head to head in NBA afternoon tilt. The combination of this tilt having expectations of being a grinding style post season type affair, and the early start time which play havoc with both sides energy levels making this an outlook that leans on this tilt staying on the low side of the offered total. Under is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 Sunday games.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 road games.Under is 9-2 in Grizzlies last 11 overall. MEMPHIS is 13-5 UNDER ) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 19-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 32-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-10 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-12-23 | Michigan State +3.5 v. Ohio State | 62-41 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Ohio State has not looked good in Big 1o play going 3-10 SU and 2-11 ATS and here vs a NCAA bubble team Michigan state Im betting things wont get much better as Tom Izzo will have his troops ready to compete as victories are paramount to his programs chances of making 25 consecutive NCAA tourney appearances. OHIO ST is 0-6 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better after 15+ games this season.OHIO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing !4 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season. OHIO ST is 1-11 ATS after a conference game this season. MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 ATS after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons. CBBH ome teams as a favorite or pick (OHIO ST) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after a loss by 6 points or less are 40-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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02-12-23 | Michigan State v. Ohio State OVER 136.5 | 62-41 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 OVER in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.1 ppg scored. OHIO ST is 12-4 OVER versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 142.6 ppg scored. CBB Road teams against the total (MICHIGAN ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 54-18 OVER l/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 149.3 ppg. Play on the OVER |
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02-12-23 | Temple +9 v. Memphis | 77-86 | Push | 0 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Temple will be looking to rebound after falling for the first time on the road as favs in conference play against SMU (72-71) Wednesday. The loss snapped a streak of five straight road wins to open league play. Im betting they were in a letdown situation after Houston beat up on them in their previous tilt in a revenge situation for the Cougars. Now I expect they will be in the mood for redemption against a Memphis side my power rankings suggest they matchup well against. In their first meeting this season, the Tigers beat the Owls 61-59 and Im betting on another closely contested affair. Note: McKie is 11-3 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of TEMPLE. TEMPLE is 8-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. TEMPLE is 11-1 ATS after playing a game as favorite this season. TEMPLE is 15-5 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -0.1. MEMPHIS is 0-6 ATS in home games after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 1-7 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season. Play on Temple to cover |
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02-11-23 | Mavs +1.5 v. Kings | 128-133 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Dallas just beat Sacramento 122-114 last night and matchup well enough to bring home the cash again, especially with the added components from recent trades in the lineup. Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Kings are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. SACRAMENTO is 7-20 ATS L/27 in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. DALLAS is 25-14 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 40-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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02-11-23 | Heat v. Magic OVER 215 | 107-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
The Heat recorded 110-105 decision against the Magic on Jan. 27 and the offered total is now mimicking that score. However, tonight Im betting on that number being eclipsed as the Heat play on tired legs after being in action last night. Note: Miami is 14-2 OVER away when playing with no rest. Last night the Heat also played a grinding affair that was low scoring squeaking out a 97-95 victory and now will be ready to get their offense rolling against instate rivals Orlando, a side that is on one days rest and 8-1 OVER facing unrested opposition.Over is 16-7-1 in the last 24 meetings in Orlando.Over is 7-0 in Magic last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points which was the case last time out. Play over |
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02-11-23 | Sam Houston State -1 v. Abilene Christian | 77-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Sam Houston had a 5 game winning streak end last time out at Texas Arlington, by a 70-58 count and now are in bounce back mode. SAM HOUSTON ST is 9-0 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Hooten is 13-4 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games as the coach of SAM HOUSTON ST. ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 1-7 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots this season. Play on Sam Houston |
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02-11-23 | Prairie View A&M v. Southern -5 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Woods is 8-0 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points as the coach of SOUTHERN U. Woods is 15-2 ATS in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of SOUTHERN U. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SOUTHERN U) - good FT shooting team (69-73%) against an average FT shooting team (65-69%) after 15+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) after 15+ games are 40-12 ATS L/5 seasons for. a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Southern U to cover |
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02-11-23 | 76ers v. Nets +1.5 | 101-98 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Irving and Durante are gone and now the Nets can get down to the business of playing basketball. Meanwhile, Philadelphia after playing last night will be on tired legs vs a team that feels much lighter after shedding some un wanted baggage that was causing major distractions. Brooklyn has won 23 of 34 games this season vs Eastern Conference competition SU. BROOKLYN is 13-5 ATS as an underdog this season.Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. 76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - averaging 7 or less steals/game on the season, in February games are 47-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Brooklyn to cover |