Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-03-22 | Bucks -6 v. Hornets | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
The Bucks were upset by the Lakers last time out, but wil now be in bounce back mode and here and ready for redemption vs a Charlotte side that has lost 12 of their L/16 games overall and are sub .500 home side as is evident by a 4-6 record as hosts. MILWAUKEE is 23-10 ATS as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with the average pgg diff clicking in at +8.5. Budenholzer is 55-34 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite as the coach of MILWAUKEE with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.4. MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 31-6 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86'% conversion rate. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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12-03-22 | Kings v. Clippers -1.5 | 123-96 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Whether George or Leonard take to the court for the Clippers Im betting they still hold an advantage here at home. This Clippers side is constantly being under rated and underestimated when their super stars are out of the lineup but they have still proven resilient on many occasions thanks to team chemistry and top tier coaching and overall work ethic. Yes, the Kings have played great ball at times this season, but are still inconsistent as is evident by losing 3 of their L/4 . NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - excellent shooting team (47% or better) against an sub par defensive team (47% or better), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are n13-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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12-03-22 | Indiana v. Rutgers +4 | 48-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. I know the Hoosiers are are 7-0 but 5 of those victories have come vs KenPom sub-250 teams. Here against an aggressive and pestering D, getting a victory will not come easily . Not an easy place to play in for visitors. Steve Pikiell as a Home Underdog since 2018 owns a 11-1 ATS mark. RUTGERS is 7-0 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 2-16 ATS in road games off 3 or more consecutive home wins since 1997. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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12-03-22 | Tenn-Martin v. North Carolina-Asheville OVER 150.5 | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two teams with capable run and gun offense go head to head here this Saturday. . UNC Ashville has averaged 83.5 ppg in 2 home tilts so far this season while Tenn Martin averages 81 points per game overall while allowing 78 ppg on the road. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TENN-MARTIN) - after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 28-4 L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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12-02-22 | Bulls v. Warriors -7 | 111-119 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
This will be the Bulls 5th straight road game, and now on tired legs are vulnerable to being beat up on by the explosive Golden State Warriors. Meanwhile, Golden state is 9-1 SU at home this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 11 points, so the lines-makers are not asking to much here with the favorite. The two most recent meetings in this series saw the Warriors win by margins of 44 points and 26 points. Bulls are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings. CHICAGO is 5-15 ATS in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Kerr is 20-8 ATS after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.Kerr is 33-19 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.GOLDEN STATE is 21-8 ATS in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Golden State Warriors to cover |
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12-02-22 | Illinois v. Maryland -1 | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This is Illinois first true road game, and despite of playing lights out ball so far this season, are at a disadvantage as visitors tonight as the Terps are just as big and physical as the road side and just as defensively disciplined. It must be noted that Illinois has impressed with their downtown shooting, but Maryland ranks 25th defensively vs the trey and must be respected with the home crowd behind them. ILLINOIS is 4-14 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 season. MARYLAND is 28-14 ATS L/42 in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game. ILLINOIS is 1-8 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Underwood is 8-19 ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better as the coach of ILLINOIS. CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARYLAND) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 41-13 ATS ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Maryland to cover |
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12-02-22 | Nuggets -1.5 v. Hawks | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Denver has won 4 straight games with the last 3 victories coming by DDs and are currently playing at a very high level and deserve respect here as short road favs. Meanwhile, Atlanta has lost 3 of their L/4 and 4 of their L/6 and have failed to cover 6 of their L/8 tilts overall. I know the Hawks won their last time out, but that was against very inconsistent Orlando side. Note: Home underdogs vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half (which was the case vs the Magic) are just 38-118 SU L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -5 easily qualifying on this ATS offering. Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. ATLANTA is 12-24 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Denver to cover |
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12-02-22 | Towson v. Long Island +17.5 | 74-64 | Win | 100 | 24 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. LONG ISLAND is 6-0 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. CBB road team (TOWSON ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a losing record are 2-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Long Island to cover |
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12-02-22 | South Dakota State +8 v. Kent State | 68-83 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. S DAKOTA ST is 33-18 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game . CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (KENT ST) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 6-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. South Dakota State to cover |
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12-01-22 | Mavs v. Pistons OVER 221.5 | 125-131 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
With top player Cade Cunningham sidelined due to a shin injury, the Pistons are finding it difficult to stay competitive, and tonight the Mavericks knowing how vulnerable their opponents are will be very aggressive especially on offense. This Im betting leads to a fairly wide open affair, that easily eclipses this total. Note: Detroit ranks 29th in the league in ppg allowed defense and 29th in defensive efficiency. Over is 12-5 in Mavericks last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. DETROIT is 13-4 OVER in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. Over is 8-3-1 in Pistons last 12 home games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG), after allowing 130 points or more are 45-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate with a combined average score of 234.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DALLAS) - after one or more consecutive overs, a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG).are 72-34 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 230.4 ppg. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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12-01-22 | Youngstown State v. Northern Kentucky OVER 141.5 | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My totals projection is 144 on this total thus giving us a full one possession edge on the number. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 9-2 OVER in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 144.4 ppg scored. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 15-4 OVER L/19 as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick with s combined average of 144.8 ppg scored. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 9-1 OVER in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 152.6 ppg scored. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 8-1 OVER after a win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149.9 ppg going on the board. Over is 4-0 in Penguins last 4 games following a ATS win.Over is 6-1 in Penguins last 7 overall.Over is 6-1 in Penguins last 7 games following a straight up win.Over is 5-1 in Penguins last 6 road games.Over is 4-1-1 in Penguins last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Over is 5-1 in Norse last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 9-2 in Norse last 11 Thursday games. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N KENTUCKY) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 39-11 OVER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-30-22 | New Mexico v. St. Mary's OVER 136 | 69-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NEW MEXICO is 6-0 OVER in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 165.5 ppg. NEW MEXICO is 9-1 OVER after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite since 199 with a combined average of 145.3 ppg. scored. NEW MEXICO is 9-1 OVER after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite since 1997 with a combined average of 140.1 ppg. CBB Road teams against the total (NEW MEXICO) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a non-conference game between two teams from second tier division 1-A conferences are 25-5 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with a combined average of 147.1 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-30-22 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 225.5 | 112-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My owns projections estimate a combined score of 227 plus points , which gives us value on this offering .Utah averages 116.7 (4th of 30) while allowing 115.5 (22nd of 30). Meanwhile, the Clippers are essentially on the other side of the spectrum offensively and defensively, but as they showed us last night are reving up offensively and off a 118 output while allowing 112 points in a victory vs the Blazers. On tired legs tonight the Clippers in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City wont have the energy needed to play strong D, and this Im betting helps this combined score eclipse this offering. Over is 5-1-1 in Clippers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 31-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 22-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored. Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Utah. Play OVER |
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11-30-22 | St. Joe's v. Pennsylvania -4.5 | 85-80 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. St.Josephs have lost two straight by DDs, while Penn has won 4 straight and the last 3 by DDs. Im betting on both these trends continuing here today and are chosen side to cover. PENNSYLVANIA is 9-1 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. PENNSYLVANIA is 6-0 ATS in home games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. CBB road team vs. the money line (ST JOSEPHS) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted |
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11-30-22 | Bucks -5 v. Knicks | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The Knicks took down the Pistons, last night but now on tired legs as they now play back-to-back set vs the Milwaukee Bucks . This wont be as easy a task as playing a short handed squad yesterday. . The /bucks are currently in top form and off strong wins vs the Cavaliers and Mavericks and Im betting the magick of 3 is in play tonight. NEW YORK is 1-9 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 5-21 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 5-17 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Thibodeau is 2-11 ATS in home games in November games as the coach of NEW YORK. MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game are 6-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win/cover |
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11-29-22 | Warriors v. Mavs +2 | 113-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Since they last met in June, the Mavericks have had this rematch circled on their calendars. I know the Mavericks are currently not playing at the same level as the Warriors , but Im betting with revenge on their minds and redemption as a goal , here on their own home floor they deserve respect having won 8 of 11 tilts this season . It must also be noted that the Warriors despite of their strong play have had problems on the road and have only garnered wins in their L/11 road games. GOLDEN STATE is 24-38 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. Warriors are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Warriors are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Dallas. Play on Dallas Mavericks to cover |
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11-29-22 | UC-Santa Barbara +2 v. Duquesne | 61-72 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155/ATS (UC-SANTA BARBARA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 32-5 SU/ATS L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UC Santa Barbara to cover |
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11-28-22 | Bulls v. Jazz -1.5 | 114-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
After a fast start to their season Utah has really cooled off but this is a good matchup for them here at home vs a Chicago Bulls side that has been highly inconsistent this season. The Jazz are off a heart breaking loss to the Suns on the road but proved their the really deal and here in the friendly confines of Vivint Arena where they are 6-2 SU have na edge. Jazz are also 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. CHICAGO is 20-34 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - excellent shooting team (47% or more) against an terrible defensive team (47% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 35-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (CHICAGO) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 7-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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11-28-22 | Pittsburgh v. Northwestern OVER 127.5 | 87-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Capel III is 24-14 OVER off a home win as the coach of PITTSBURGH with a combined average of 138.6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (NORTHWESTERN) - after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 22-3 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 134.3 ppg scored. teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (PITTSBURGH) - after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games are 38-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 130 points going on the board. Play OVER |
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11-27-22 | Xavier v. Gonzaga UNDER 159.5 | 84-88 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Veterans Memorial Coliseum - Portland, OR My projections estimate a combined score of no more than 155 points which adds significant value to us taking an under stance here. This estimate is above long term trend factors and gives us cushion room, but is viable with a 2 or more possession edge factor. XAVIER is 22-8 UNDER L/30 in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored. GONZAGA L/19 games against Big East conference opponents since 1997 have seen a combined average of 146.1 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (Xavier/GONZAGA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) are 34-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 140.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-27-22 | Pacers v. Clippers +1.5 | 100-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Indiana has been playing some viable basketball this season, while the Clippers have been inconsistent and on a 2 game losing run. However, its been a long standing mistake many pundits make under estimating the Clippers abilities even when Leonard and George are sidelined.Im betting on the Clippers undervalued depth and grit to triump here and get is the cover. Lue is 32-17 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 as the coach of LA CLIPPERS. NBA Road favorites (INDIANA) - off a home win by 10 points or more, on Sunday games are 9-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Pacers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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11-27-22 | Warriors v. Wolves +2 | 137-114 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
The Warriors against the Timberwolves in last seasons meetings , won by an average of 11 points in two home games, but lost by an average of 17.5 in two visits to Minnesota.Karl-Anthony Towns was key on the home wins for the Wolves garnering 26 points and 11 rebounds to a 119-99 romp in January, then 39 points and nine rebounds to a 129-114 triumph in March. Rinse and repeat pattern on board here with the line favoring the Wolves. GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS in road games this season. GOLDEN STATE is 11-24 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - off a home win by 10 points or more, on Sunday games are 9-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 55-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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11-27-22 | Canisius +6.5 v. Buffalo | 66-86 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Canisius has made 10-or more treys in four of the first five games. Dangerous downtown shooting side that deserves respect as underdogs. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BUFFALO) - poor defensive team (45-47.5%) against a horrible defensive team (47.5% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO's) are 31-9 ATS L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Canisius to cover |
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11-26-22 | Lakers -2.5 v. Spurs | 143-138 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
After watching these teams play last night Im betting there is value on taking the road team to grab their 2nd straight win in this series. Matchup discrepancies were obvious favoring the Lakers. Injury updates: [SF] LeBron James (Adductor) - Probable [11/21/2022] James is battling an adductor injury but will take the court for the Lakers. [C] Anthony Davis (Back) - Probable [11/19/2022] Davis is dealing with a back injury and is expected to take the court for the Lakers. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more are 38-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate! Play on the LA Lakers to win /cover |
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11-26-22 | UT-Rio Grande Valley v. Texas UNDER 146 | 54-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Leon Black Classic - Gregory Gymnasium - Austin, TX TEXAS is 95-53 UNDER as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1997 with a combined average of 134.9 ppg scored. Under is 43-18 in Longhorns last 61 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 37-16 in Longhorns last 53 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UTRGV) - an excellent offensive team (76 or more PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG), after 2 straight games where both teams score 75 points or more are 24-3 UNDERV L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TEXAS) - good defensive team from last season - shooting pct defense of 42%, or less hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots.91-51 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-26-22 | Utah Valley +10 v. Boise State | 69-87 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two of Utah Valley's three losses this season have come in overtime. The Wolverines dropped a 68-65 overtime decision at Wake Forest before falling 73-72 in overtime to Morgan State and they must not be underestimated in their ability to go head to head against a top tier side like Boise State .Madsen is 13-5 ATS versus struggling 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts as the coach of UTAH VALLEY ST.BOISE ST is 0-7 ATS in home games after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 season. CBB team (BOISE ST) - poor shooting team (40-42.5%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 18-49 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah Valley to cover Play Utah Valley to cover |
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11-26-22 | Northeastern v. Princeton -8 | 54-56 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Princeton is 13th in defensive rebounding percentage and NU is 105th in offensive rebounding percentage and these 2nd chance opportunities will be a difference maker today. Princeton to cover |
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11-25-22 | Lakers v. Spurs +5.5 | 105-94 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
Things are bad in San Antonio land of late , but dont be surprised if the Spurs put up a valiant effort here vs a Lakers side that seems to over look losing sides when on the road. Note: Lakers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Lakers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Popovich is 29-15 ATS after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of SAN ANTONIO. NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - struggling defensive team - shooting pct defense of 50% or worse on the season, averaging 48 or less rebounds/game on the season are 33-9 ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (33% or less), poor ball handling team (16.5 or more TO's) against an average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 103-47 ATS L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-25-22 | Kings v. Celtics UNDER 237.5 | 104-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
My own projections estimate a combined score of 230 . Thus we have value with taking the under in this public centric Totals offering. Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-3 in Celtics last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. SACRAMENTO is 27-12 UNDER in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.1 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 34-16 UNDER off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 224.1 ppg . NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 70-36 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 42-16 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. NBA team (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 127-72 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. Under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings in Boston. Play on the UNDER |
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11-25-22 | Kings v. Celtics -8 | 104-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
The Kings are off a 115-106 loss at Atlanta on Wednesday that ended a seven-game winning run and now Im betting they suffer a 2nd straight loss and also fail to cover vs an explosive Boston side that has won 10 of their L/12 behind the leagues top duo of Tatum and Brown.BOSTON is 23-11 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4. Note:The Kings have played just six games so far against elite teams with winning records, and own a sub par 2-4 record. NBA Home favorites SU (BOSTON) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a sub par defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 27-1 L/28 opportunities with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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11-25-22 | Loyola-Chicago v. Harvard +3 | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Amaker is 18-7 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB road team (LOYOLA-IL) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 10-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CBB road team vs. the money line (LOYOLA-IL) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 8-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Harvard to cover |
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11-25-22 | Washington +10.5 v. St. Mary's | 68-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Wooden Legacy - Anaheim Convention Center - Anaheim, CA The Huskies and Gaels meet for the first time since the 2018 NIT Tournament and eighth time in history, with the Dawgs holding a 6-1 edge. Washington advanced to the final with a 62-57 win over Fresno State on Wednesday while Saint Mary's topped Vanderbilt. The Huskies won the Wooden Legacy in 2014 and last played on Thanksgiving Day in 2015. WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 13-2 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 6-0 ATS in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (ST MARYS-CA) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, in November games are 25-62 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -4.6 . Play on Washington to cover |
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11-24-22 | Princeton v. Army +10.5 | 74-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
London Basketball Classic - Copper Box Arena - London, My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Play on Army to cover |
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11-23-22 | Bulls v. Bucks -7 | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has won 6 of the L/7 meetings vs Chicago and 5 of those wins have come by DDs with the smallest margin of victory coming by 7 points which is what we are being asked to coincidently cover here by backing the Bucks tongiht. From a power ranking and SRS perspective we actually have value backing the home side here. I know the Bulls are off an impressive win vs Boston last time out, but now Im betting a letdown scenario taking hold and for the Bucks not to be caught looking ahead and primed to crush a division competitor. Milwaukee ranks 7th in the league with a 3.28 mark and Chicago ranks 12th with a 1.37. Adding in my own power ranking adjustments this line should be closer to -9 giving us enough room for a full possession cover. There -6 available. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average Budenholzer is 49-20 ATS vs. division opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13. CHICAGO is 39-56 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons NBA Road underdogs (CHICAGO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 13-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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11-23-22 | UMass Lowell v. Brown UNDER 145.5 | 73-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UMASS-LOWELL) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 38-8 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average of 135.6 ppg scored. Play on the under |
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11-23-22 | Maine +1 v. Central Connecticut State | 66-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Maine made easy work of the Columbia Lions last Friday and carried off a 93-70 win. Maine is now 3-1 while Central Connecticut State sits at 0-5. CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MAINE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 31-5 SU L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MAINE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT def ense (36.5% or more ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 31-5 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate! Play on Maine to cover |
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11-23-22 | Kansas v. NC State +9 | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NC State 4-0 so far this season behind, head coach Kevin Keatts who has led the Pack to nine wins over ranked opponents in his tenure here and and his team should not be underestimated in their ability compete vs Kansas on a neutral court. NC STATE is 12-3 ATS L/15 as a neutral court underdog of 6.5 to 12 points . CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NC STATE) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, team that had a losing record last season are 22-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. CBB team (NC STATE) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8+ ATS losses in last 10 games against opponent first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 7+ wins in last 8 games are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NC State to cover |
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11-22-22 | San Diego State +1 v. Arizona | 70-87 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arizona played a hard fought run and gun Tourney affair with Cincinnati yesterday and could easily be vulnerable to a down effort here today in a letdown spot on short rest. SAN DIEGO ST is 9-1 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (ARIZONA) - excellent defensive team (40% or less) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 20-51 ATS L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate! Play on San Diego State to cover |
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11-22-22 | Kings v. Grizzlies +2 | 113-109 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
After a slow start to their season Sacramento has peeled off 6 straight wins, while their opponents tonight Memphis has shown flashes of brilliance and unexpected collapses like they suffered last time out where they fell apart in the 4th quarter vs Brooklyn losing by a 127-115 count on the road as 8 point dogs. That was the Grizzlies 3rd straight road loss. However at home the Grizzlies have played their best hoops winning 6 of 7 overall with the lone loss coming the Boston Celtics by a 109-106 count. With that said Im betting on home court advantage for the Grizzlies being the difference maker. MEMPHIS is 7-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons and 3-0 L/3 at home in this series. MEMPHIS is 13-1 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 20-5 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-2 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 12-32 ATS L/26 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-22-22 | Bradley +13 v. Auburn | 64-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The #13 Auburn Tigers will square off against the Bradley Braves at 6 p.m. ET on Tuesday at Hard Rock Hotel Riviera Maya. Pearl is 0-11 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games as the coach of AUBURN. CBB team (AUBURN) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 62 or more shots/game, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 6-24 ATS 26 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Bradley to cover |
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11-21-22 | Jazz v. Clippers -3 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
The Clippers have won five of seven since they lost to Utah earlier this season and with Kawhi Leonard back in the rotation they are strong candidates to get revenge here and notch a win. UTAH is 3-19 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - excellent shooting team (47% or more) against an terrible defensive team (47% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 33-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4! NBA Road teams (UTAH) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games are 13-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate. Jazz are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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11-21-22 | Mississippi State v. Marquette +3.5 | 58-55 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-7 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons Marquette to cover |
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11-21-22 | Knicks +2.5 v. Thunder | 129-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
After winning the first two games on their current road trip, the Knicks have dropped back-to-back games and are ready for a bounce back effort vs a Oklahoma City side that my power ranking suggest they matchup well against. Note: NEW YORK is 18-6 ATS L/24 in road games off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more . NEW YORK is 38-18 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 0-8 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 41-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate! Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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11-21-22 | Loyola Maryland +13.5 v. Clemson | 41-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Loyola Maryland to cover |
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11-21-22 | Nevada v. Tulane UNDER 145.5 | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this line closer to 140 which gives us two full possession advantage. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TULANE/NEVADA) - in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 45-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with. combined average of 133.9 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-20-22 | Grizzlies +7.5 v. Nets | 115-127 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Memphis snapped a losing streak by earning a 121-110 win over the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday when Jaren Jackson Jr. scored 25 in his second game back from right foot surgery and Im betting despite of Brooklyn playing some strong hoops at this time will be primed and ready compete. BROOKLYN is 7-33 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 9-29 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 1-13 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 32-19 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 5-0 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons MEMPHIS is 5-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons and are 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits to Brooklyn. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-20-22 | Colorado v. Boise State +2 | 55-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Boise states hoops program prides itself on its fitness and ability to compete . So here on short rest must not be underestimated in their ability to run and gun the floor. Meanwhile, Colorado after a huge output last time out is vulnerable to major regression . Note: Boyle is 2-9 ATS after scoring 95 points or more as the coach of COLORADO. BOISE ST is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. BOISE ST is 15-4 ATS versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (COLORADO) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, in November games are 17-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-20-22 | UCF v. Santa Clara +3 | 57-50 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UCF upset Oklahoma state in OT last time out and will be in a huge letdown spot here vs a quality San Clara basketball program. UCF is 4-13 ATS L/17 in road games off an upset win as an underdog. SANTA CLARA is 12-3 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons.SANTA CLARA is 17-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (UCF) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 39% or less on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 92-156 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Santa Clara to cover |
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11-20-22 | Virginia v. Illinois +1.5 | 70-61 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. No. 19 Illinois moves on to face #16 Virginia on Sunday in the Championship of the Continental Tire Main Event (2 p.m. CT, ESPN). Illinois is making its seventh trip to Las Vegas, and fifth for a multi-team event. Illinois won its first three MTE's in Vegas, claiming titles at the 2001 Las Vegas Invitational and 2004 Las Vegas Holiday Classic held at Valley High School, and the 2014 Continental Tire Las Vegas Invite at The Orleans. Illinois is 9-3 SU all-time in games played in Las Vegas and looks for its fourth MTE title in Las Vegas on Sunday vs. Virginia in the championship game of the Continental Tire Main Event. Virginia played a lights out big time game last time out taking out Baylor with some extraordinary down town shooting hitting treys in the 2nd half of the game. After making just one 3-pointer in the first half, the Cavaliers went 8-for-12 from deep in the final 20 minutes to knock off No. 5 Baylor (3-1) 86-79 Friday evening. No in a regressionary letdown situation Im betting their vulnerable. Illinois' win last time out over No. 8 UCLA improved the program to 11-5 in their last 16 games versus top-10 teams during the Underwood era. ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games with 19 or more assists over the last 3 seasons. ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (VIRGINIA) - slow-down team from last season averaging 53 or less shots/game, after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better are 12-42 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Illinois to cover |
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11-19-22 | Wolves v. 76ers +2.5 | 112-109 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers Im betting have a great chance at remaining perfect on their five-game home-stand on Saturday, playing the second leg of a back-to-back when they host the Minnesota Timberwolves. This version of the Sixers is well conditioned and I have confidence they will perform at a high level tonight as they carry the momentum of late nights victory over Milwaukee into this tilt against another viable side. I know Maxey may not play tonight for the Sixers but Shake Milton is a fine replacement if that indeed is the case. Also the Wolves are on tired legs as they play their 4th straight road game tonight. Advantage Philly Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Timberwolves are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings.Timberwolves are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 30-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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11-19-22 | The Citadel v. Butler UNDER 143.5 | 42-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . My projections make this total closer to 140 giving us a full possession edge on this number to the under. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (THE CITADEL) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 35-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average combine score clicking in at 135.6 ppg. Play UNDER |
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11-19-22 | Providence +3 v. Miami-FL | 64-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . The lines-makers expect this game to be close between Providence and Miami Fl. Note: The Friars finished 11-3 in games decided by five points or less in 2021-22 and were 3-0 in OT games. This screams of tenacity and a never say die attitude implemented by HC Cooley. PROVIDENCE is 7-0 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) over the last 2 seasons.PROVIDENCE is 10-0 ATS (versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.PROVIDENCE is 6-0 ATS vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12 plus points/game over the last 2 seasons. PROVIDENCE is 9-1 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. Larranaga is 21-32 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game as the coach of MIAMI. CBB Neutral court teams (PROVIDENCE) - an explosive offensive team (76 or more PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG), after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games are 105-59 ATS L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Providence to cover |
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11-19-22 | Maryland +4 v. St. Louis | 95-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Both theses sides are undefeated but the difference maker today will come via the superior D of the Maryland Terps and their ability to muscle their way to a win or cover here from a physical perspective. The Big 10 is a league that focuses alot on gritty play and that will dictate alot of the action here today, which benefits Maryland. Dont get me wrong Saint Louis is fine mid major hoops program but just betting they get kicked around on the inside and of they win it wont come easily or without some pain. With that said , Im recommending we take the points. MARYLAND is 6-0 ATS after a win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons. SAINT LOUIS is 17-37 ATS L/52 in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or les turnovers/game . CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MARYLAND) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, team that had a losing record last season are 22-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Maryland to cover |
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11-18-22 | Celtics v. Pelicans +2.5 | 117-109 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
The visiting Celtics are looking for their ninth consecutive victory, while the Pelicans shoot for their fourth consecutive win. From a SRS perspective the Celtics are ranked No.1 with a 6.92 mark while the Pelicans are ranked 4th with a 4.35 . But when factoring in home court obligatory advantage of around 4 points i this game should see the home side favored by -2. But thanks to the the huge brand name respect attached to one of the oldest and most respected NBA franchises we get to take points here with the up-trending home side, which screams value. Note: SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 11-32 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 30-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-18-22 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Northern Arizona +9 | 54-63 | Win | 100 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . N.Arizona has lost 3 of 4 games they have played but the three losses are against Mich State, Utah Valley State and Arizona State and they were competitive each time out and covered over hyped numbers. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 5-14 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. CBB team (N ARIZONA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 7+ losses in last 8 games against opponent first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 8+ wins in last 10 games are 20-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate! N.Arizona (Late Steam) |
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11-18-22 | Bellarmine +12 v. Clemson | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. BELLARMINE is 20-9 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-34 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. BELLARMINE to cover |
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11-18-22 | Buffalo v. Drake UNDER 156 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. U.S. Virgin Islands Paradise Jam - Sports and Fitness Center - Saint Thomas BUFFALO is 11-1 UNDER on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (BUFFALO) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 26-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 144.6 ppg. Play under |
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11-17-22 | Pistons +9.5 v. Clippers | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
I know the Detroit Pistons have not played well this season, but they will face a inconsistent Los Angeles Clippers, side operating at less than 100% with key injuries .Considering the Clippers propensity under HC Lue to take nights off vs sub standard sides like the young men from Motown it will not be a hard decision to grab points here. Note: Lue is 3-14 ATS in home games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) in all games he has coached. DETROIT is 34-19 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 35-19 ATS off a home loss over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 16-6 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 25-55 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-17-22 | Colorado State +1.5 v. South Carolina | 85-53 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Colorado State is known for their top tier offense, but their defense is under rated. Im betting they have decent success here from an output perspective vs a strong South Carolina D, but that their own /D will do enough to keep the Gamecocks sub par attack from consistent offensive production. Medved is 10-2 ATS L/12 after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half in all games . CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S CAROLINA) - after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 15-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado State to cover |
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11-17-22 | Furman +2.5 v. Penn State | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Furman ha a lot of top tier offensive talent and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete against any Big 10 conference side including Penn State. Play on Furman to cover |
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11-16-22 | Bulls +4 v. Pelicans | 110-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
New Orleans played a physical game last night against Memphis and prob do not have enough proverbial gas left in the tank to compete as needed against a revenge minded Bulls group on a few days rest. These teams just played a few days ago with the Pelicans squeaking out a 115-111 victory. The Bulls than came out in their next game and looked tired and demoralized , and got blasted by Denver in a DD loss. But now with redemption and revenge combo now in play are in my betting opinion solid underdog wagers. CHICAGO is 17-4 ATS after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more are 39-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74/5 conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-16-22 | Texas Southern v. Houston OVER 134 | 48-83 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Houston scored more than 80 points in in first three trips to the hardwood, and will dictate a faster paced event here that will help us eclipse this offered total. TEXAS SOUTHERN is 16-4 OVER L/20 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game with a combined average of 145 ppg. CBB teams against the total (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 32-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 157.5 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (HOUSTON) - dominant team from last season - outscored opponents by 12 or more points/game, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games over a 45 game sample size dating back seasons has seen a combined average of 139.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-16-22 | Michigan -8.5 v. Pittsburgh | 91-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Legends Classic - Barclays Center - Brooklyn, NY My own numbers suggest Michigan should be 10 or more favs here thus giving solid value with this current line offering. Play on Michigan to cover |
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11-15-22 | Spurs +8.5 v. Blazers | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Portland has won nine of its first 13 games , but according to my specific power rankings should not be this big a favorite vs the Spurs. I know the Spurs are not playing well overall at least from a W/L perspective but do matchup well here according to my head to head player personnel data.PORTLAND is 9-20 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. PORTLAND is 14-30 ATS versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Spurs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spurs are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Spurs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games. NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), poor ball handling team (16.5 or more TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 80-40 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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11-15-22 | Kansas +1.5 v. Duke | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Gainbridge Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN The seventh-ranked Blue Devils face sixth-ranked and reigning national champion Kansas on Tuesday night in Indianapolis for the Champions Classic. Defending national champion Kansas is 3-1 straight up in the past four against Duke and get the nod again. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS) - after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 104-58 ATS L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kansas to cover |
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11-15-22 | Fairfield +19 v. Xavier | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The price for playing a strong College basketball brand like Xavier gives value to the underdog number being offered here. Young is 13-5 ATS in road games after a non-conference game as the coach of FAIRFIELD. Young is 11-3 ATS in November games as the coach of FAIRFIELD. FAIRFIELD is 8-1 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. CBB favorite (XAVIER) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament from prior season who won their last 3 games, good team from last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) from last year are 4-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fairfield to cover |
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11-15-22 | Clippers v. Mavs -7 | 101-103 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Dallas has played their best hoops at home this season winning 5 of their 6 tilts , with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under +8. My power ranking suggest -8 is the correct line here favoring the host thus giving us an edge on this current line offering especially with the visitors playing short handed ie (Kawhi Leonard and John Wall) and now playing back to back nights. Luka Doncic scored at will against the Los Angeles Clippers last season and Im betting he will once be the catalyst in this contest. Note: Doncic scored 96 total points vs the Clippers in two games that were 48 hours apart. Doncic, leads the NBA ins coring averaging 34.3 points per game on 49.6 percent shooting. Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Mavericks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. LA CLIPPERS are 5-21 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 9-65 L/5 seasons for a 88% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.8 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 18-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the |
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11-15-22 | Grizzlies +2.5 v. Pelicans | 102-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Memphis is off a DD loss last time out at Washington but have proven resilient under those circumstances in bounce back opportunities and have also played well against top tier teams in a groove like the Pelicans. MEMPHIS is 12-0 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 18-7 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 32-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and are fade material here laying points against a quality opponent that does not take kindly to having lost last time out. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-15-22 | USC Upstate +21.5 v. Clemson | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on USC Upstate |
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11-14-22 | Hornets +1.5 v. Magic | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Charlotte is in desperate need of a win after 8 straight losses, and will primed to get a victory and revenge at the same time for a 113-93 loss they suffered to the Magic back on Oct 28th of this season. CHARLOTTE is 19-9 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Hornets are 46-16-2 ATS in their last 64 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. CHARLOTTE is 22-9 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. The Magic have had a long history of crapping the bed vs sub .500 opposition. Magic are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.ORLANDO is 25-41 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, in November games are 88-48 L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 63-107 L/26 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-14-22 | Raptors v. Pistons +5.5 | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Both Toronto and Detroit are a bit banged up entering this tilt with some nagging injuries through each lineup and key players out.Toronto has lost three of its last four games and four of its last six. Forward Pascal Siakam is out and they look like vulnerable road favs here vs a side they have failed to cover 6 straight times against. I know Motown is not playing all that well , but from a long term perspective DETROIT is 33-19 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. TORONTO is 13-31 ATS L/44 after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent . Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-14-22 | Richmond v. College of Charleston +3 | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. North Carolina Tar Heels were tested by the College of Charleston program this past Friday night in Chapel Hill. Charleston held a 50-43 halftime edge against the nation's top-ranked team while outrebounding the Tar Heels 35-32 to put the country on notice . The Cougars are now well prepared and obviously talented enough to give defending league champs a run for their money tonight on home court. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 12-4 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. CBB road team vs. the money line (RICHMOND) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (RICHMOND) - team that had a winning record last season, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 7-26 ATA L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 3-0 against the spread versus RICHMOND since 1997. Play on college of Charleston |
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11-14-22 | Princeton -5 v. Maryland-Baltimore County | 94-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. PRINCETON is 15-2 ATS off a close road loss by 3 points or less which was the case last time out. MD-BALT COUNTY is 4-12 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Princeton to cover |
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11-13-22 | Nuggets v. Bulls +1.5 | 126-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
When Zach Lavine is in the lineup and healthy the Bulls are dangerous opponent for all comers. He is expected to play this evening vs Denver, and with the Bulls on 3 days rest the home side will be fresh and ready to perform. Note: Chicago swept the season series from Denver last season behind solid play from LaVine, who averaged 34 points in the two games, and Im betting he will be the difference maker yet again. CHICAGO is 22-9 ATS after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 18-31 ATS after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-13-22 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Mississippi State UNDER 138.5 | 47-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MISS VALLEY ST) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, team that had a losing record last season are 34-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. |
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11-13-22 | Eastern Kentucky v. Cincinnati OVER 143.5 | 69-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. E KENTUCKY is 12-1 OVER in road games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 160.3 ppg scored.Hamilton is 10-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of E KENTUCKY with a combined average of 158 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-12-22 | St Bonaventure v. Canisius +7 | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Witherspoon is 19-5 ATS in home games after playing a game as a home underdog in all games he has coached since 1997 CBB road team (ST BONAVENTURE) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 8-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Canisius to cover |
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11-12-22 | Jazz v. Wizards +3.5 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Playing without a couple of key players, the Wizards showed positive chemistry en route to a 113-105 victory over the Dallas Mavericks last time out and have the ability with this group to do the same to the visiting Jazz. I know Utah has played exceptionally well despite of key off season departures, but tonight after slugging it out non stop early this season against some strong opponents a letdown could be in order as was the case earlier this season when they lost too the young Houston rockets. . Washington has covered 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 and must not be underestimated as home dogs. Wizards are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest. WASHINGTON is 18-4 ATS in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. UTAH is 25-44 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 3-17 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 13-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 46-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Washington to cover |
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11-12-22 | Northern Arizona +9.5 v. Utah Valley | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ARIZONA) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, with all five starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 52-19 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate! Northern Arizona to cover |
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11-12-22 | SIU-Edwardsville v. IUPU Ft Wayne -10 | 76-81 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Fort Wayne took it on the chin vs Michigan in their opener, but now after they rude awakening vs a top tier side, this contest will seem like a walk in the park. SIU EDWARDSVL is 2-9 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. IUPU-FT WAYNE is 3-0 against the spread versus SIU EDWARDSVL since 1997 at home. IUPU-FT WAYNE is 5-0 straight up against SIU EDWARDSVL since 1997 at home. Fort Wayne to cover |
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11-12-22 | St. Peter's +17 v. Seton Hall | 44-80 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. ST PETERS is 8-0 ATS ( after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half since 1997. ST PETERS is 24-10 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. Saint Peters to cover |
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11-11-22 | Cavs v. Warriors -1.5 | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
After 8 straight wins the Cleveland Cavaliers have now lost 2 straight, and with this being their 5th straight road game Im betting their on tired legs and vulnerable to defeat here again tonight vs a Warriors team that have defeated them in each of the past 10 regular-season meetings in this series. I know Golden State has been erratic to start the season, but still owns an impressive 9-1 ATS in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons and are on extended rest. Warriors are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest Warriors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Friday games.Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Warriors are 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. . Meanwhile,CLEVELAND is just 19-39 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons and their conditioning according to some charts Ive kept on them is suspect.CLEVELAND is also 18-37 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a close win by 3 points or less are 18-52 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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11-11-22 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 220.5 | 93-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
My own projections make this total closer to 223 giving us a full possession value on a over wager. (The Bucks are the 2nd best ppg defensive team in the league at the moment while the Spurs are the worst). Im betting the Spurs here on their own home court behind a 5th ranked pace try to get the Bucks out of their comfort zone and turn this game in to a more wide open affair. This Im betting results in this total being eclipsed. Both these sides have a hsitroy of higher scoring non conference affairs. SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 OVER in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 41-23 OVER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg going on the score board. Budenholzer is 27-14 OVER against Southwest division opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE with a combined average of 235.3 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 45-25 OVER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 23-2 OVER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. with a combined average of 235.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-11-22 | Nuggets v. Celtics UNDER 231.5 | 112-131 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Boston brings a 21st ranked pace into this tilt against the Nuggets. The Celtics FG conversion rate has been above average to start the season, and thats why in part their output has been near the top of the league, but regression should start to rare its ugly head at some point, and according my projections based on their expected offensive production dip in this tilt, this totals offering is a tad high and should be closer to 228-- giving us value on the under. Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. BOSTON is 37-23 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.7 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 40-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston. Play UNDER |
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11-11-22 | Michigan State v. Gonzaga UNDER 146.5 | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Armed forces Classic being played on deck of USS Abraham Lincoln - San Diego, CA- Winds expected in the 8 mpg range, which will effect shooting and offensive production because of more passing and in close physical basketball in the key. Play UNDER |
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11-11-22 | Detroit +9 v. Boston College | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Aside from its four top-100 players out of high school, the Titans have seven players that previously played in high-major leagues that generally send multiple teams to the NCAA Tournament. BC HC Grant is 9-23 ATS in home games in non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-10-22 | Northern Arizona v. Arizona State -14.5 | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Sun Devils are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 season.Hurley is 11-2 ATS after a game where their opponent was called for 27 or more fouls in all games he has coached. NBA Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ARIZONA ST) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 28-4 ATS L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Arizona State to cover |
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11-10-22 | North Dakota v. Creighton -27.5 | 61-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Creighton’s offense is going to be explosive again this season and here against a North Dakota hoops program ranked in the bottom-five nationally on defense last season. Play on Creighton to cover |
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11-10-22 | 76ers v. Hawks -1.5 | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Atlantas Trae Young had a ugly outing last night, but Im betting now with the rust off after a injury lay off he will be in rebound mode tonight. This is a well conditioned Hawks team that my own power rankings suggest matchup well vs the Sixers. It will be Atlanta's second back-to-back of the season. The Hawks split the first one on the road, beating Detroit and losing to top tier Milwaukee which can be forgiven. 76ers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.76ers are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 road games. Hawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Hawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.Hawks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss. ATLANTA is 47-31 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 44-28 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 3-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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11-10-22 | Western Carolina v. Maryland UNDER 143.5 | 51-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Maryland top tier D, that allowed 49 points against Niagara last time out will be key here to this total not being eclipsed. Willard is 61-35 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 131.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MARYLAND) - marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak division 1-A conference are 45-18 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate with a combined average of 136.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-09-22 | Bellarmine +10 v. Louisville | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-09-22 | Pelicans v. Bulls +2 | 115-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Chicagos super star Zach Lavine despite of some nagging injuries is expected to play tonight against visiting New Orleans . With him in the lineup, the Bulls offense will be alot more balanced and thanks to improved defensive play this season, the Bulls look like viable bets here on their own home court.Green is 2-11 ATS in road games in November games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.Donovan is 32-18 ATS in the first half of the season as the coach of CHICAGO. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pelicans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Bulls are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBAl teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 9-32 ATS 26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NEW ORLEANS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season is 8-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-09-22 | UMKC v. LSU UNDER 142.5 | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road teams against the total (MISSOURI-KC) - off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points, good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games are 30-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-09-22 | Knicks v. Nets -135 | 85-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
The Knicks hit a season-high 19 3-pointers in a victory at Minnesota on Monday and now regression is on the agenda . Thats fortunate for a Brooklyn side that struggled against downtown shooting. Meanwhile, the Nets have won 3 of their L/5 and have shown upward momentum and competitiveness as was the case in a loss last time out to Dallas by a 96-94 count. I like their chances here vs a NYK side they dominated from a SU perspective in recent seasons. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 3-22 L/5 seasons for ago against 88% conversion rate for bettors. BROOKLYN is 7-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons and 4-0 L/4 at home in this series. Play on the Moneyline - Brooklyn Nets |
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11-09-22 | Davidson v. Wright State +4.5 | 102-97 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Retooling with a young group in Davidson makes them vulnerable to a top tier Wright State side from the Horizon league. Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DAVIDSON) - team that had a winning record last season, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 6-25 ATS 5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team (DAVIDSON) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 7-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wright State to cover |
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11-08-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Purdue UNDER 144.5 | 53-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-07-22 | Celtics v. Grizzlies UNDER 231.5 | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
I know both these sides can pour down points, but when need be both are solid defensively as well in this battle of top tier sides, Im betting on a more physical type of tilt that will result in a slower pace than the pundits and lines-makers expect based on overall data. the Celtics own the 21 ranked pace in the NBA while Memphis ranks 14th. MEMPHIS is 24-13 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored. BOSTON is 41-23 UNDER in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival with a combined average of 194.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-07-22 | Celtics v. Grizzlies +3.5 | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Two top tier teams, play tonight as Boston visits Memphis. Im betting home court advantage with a team that went 30-11 SU as hosts last season and are already 3-0 straight up at home this season offers up value . Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Celtics are 19-40-2 ATS in their last 61 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. MEMPHIS is 11-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 33-17 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons. Jenkins is 101-75 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game as the coach of MEMPHIS. MEMPHIS is 11-2 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 30-12 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 27-4 L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Take the points with Memphis to cover |
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11-07-22 | Murray State v. St. Louis -13 | 68-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-07-22 | Morgan State +23 v. Xavier | 73-96 | Push | 0 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Musketeers are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games overall. Musketeers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games. CBB favorite (XAVIER) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins, good team from last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) from last year are 3-24 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate. Play on Morgan state to cover |