East Carolina's defense has been atrocious all season long, and in their L/7 games 6 , have been ugly as they have  given up 54,47, 38, 31, 45, and 55 points . Meanwhile, Navy has scored 46, 42, 45, 28, and 42 points in their L/6 tilts. Assuming things remain the same, another Navy output in mid 45 point range should be expected. Also considering how porous Navys D, can be at times I will not be surprised if E.Carolina which has improved offensively of late does not also put up at least 30 plus  points . Expectations here, give credence to this one going over the total. 

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Miami will come in here as visitors with an objective of slowing down the Chargers sometimes explosive offense, behind their running game via RB Ajayi. Everything the Fins do will based on eating up clock time and flow. This option could be buoyed by the Chargers new found running game behind Gordon. Smashem up old fashioned football on deck today.

MIAMI is 15-5 UNDER L/20 in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points.MIAMI is 8-0 UNDER L/8 in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored, which happened in a 27-23 win vs th Jets last week . SAN DIEGO is 11-3 UNDER L/14 after scoring 30 points or more last game with an average of 40.8 ppg going on the scoreboard which happened in a 43-35 win vs Tennessee last time out. 

The last 12 meetings in this series have  gone under with a combined average  of 34.8 combined ppg going on the scoreboard!

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Akron has an explosive aerial attack and Bowling Green has proved vulnerable in their secondary. Thus I expect Bowling Green will look to slow this game down by utilizing their run game, via very slow and methodical approach. The longer they stretch out the clock , the less flow the Zips offense will have. Note: Akrons run D,  ranks No. 116 nationally. Akron enters this game having gone under in 5 straight games.

AKRON is 14-2 UNDER  in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. .250 or less .AKRON in their L/19 in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.9 yards/play or more ypp, have seen an average combined score of 61.8 ppg go on the coreboard. Zips HC Bowden is 15-1 UNDER L/16 after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses.Bowden is 12-1 UNDER L/13 off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival.Bowden is 11-1 UNDER L/12 off 2 straight losses against conference rivals.Bowden is 17-3 L/20 UNDER off a loss against a conference rival.( None of the combined average scores of these games have eclipsed this current number)

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 The Packers offense is finally clicking on a ll cylinders, and now this week at home, they face the 29th ranked D with the Colts visiting. I know the total is high but rightly so. It must be noted that when a total is 51 or higher in a NFC non division game where the favs are playing hosts, the totals count to the over is 22-8 and are 9-1 over as 4 point or more chalk. Plus the Colts are now at near or full strentgh on offense as WRs Doresett, Moncrief, and Hilton are all back and healthy giving QB Andrew Luck a full array of talent to hit downfield. With a bye week on tap for the Colts I expect they will leave everyhting on the field. NFL road sides before their bye week are 22 -3 to the OVER when the Total is listed at 47 or more. The Colts are also 15-2 OVER in their L/17 road games up until week 12. This has also been a series that has seen some high scoring events with the L/6 meetings seeing an average of 62 ppg go on the scoreboard,

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KC and Jacksonville go head to head this week in a tilt that I am betting stays on the low side of the number. The Chiefs are ranked 8th in D, this season allowing 19.6 ppg. Some recent unders give credence to this selection, as KC saw their games against the Raiders, Colts and Saints all stay under, teams that can light it up behind top tier QBs. Jacksonville, meanwhile, is impotent on offense, and extremely inconsistent. I expect KC will try to get up early and than ground away with their run attack and take time of the clock in chunks. This usually methodical appraoch will lead to a lower scoring affair then line might indicate. 

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