Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-18-21 | Magic -2 v. Knicks | 84-91 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
The New York Knicks delivered a huge victory that felt like it was years in the making on Sunday when they routed the Boston Celtics. But now after playing all out and now in a letdown state and on tired legs as they are on back to back tilts, Im expecting the Magic come out of this with a win. ORLANDO is 26-13 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 25-14 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. |
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01-17-21 | Pacers +6 v. Clippers | 96-129 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
This is the last game of the Pacers 4 game west coast road trip which has seen them go 2-1 so far, and because of the lack of entetainment venues open because of covid , Im sure they are not that tired as a team, as rest and relaxation are key to every day life in the NBA right now . The Pacers are also according to my projections a much higher rating side than the linesmakers are giving them credit for here this evening in LA vs the Clippers.Meanwhile, the Clips are off a tilt where they shot the lights out in a 138-100 win vs the Kings, and could easily see a reversion to the mean here offensively, against one of the better defences in the league. Lue is 10-25 ATS in home games after a combined score of 225 points or more in all games he has coached in his career. Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Clippers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. |
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01-17-21 | Pacers v. Clippers UNDER 220 | 96-129 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The Pacers are are at the tail end of a 4 game west coast road trip, and will be prepared to pace themselves here vs a LA Clippers side that is well aware of their oppositions prowess. Im betting on a offensive regression to the norm for the Clippers after running and gunning for 138 points last time out vs the Kings in a lopsided win. |
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01-17-21 | Pelicans v. Kings UNDER 228.5 | 128-123 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
The Pelicans for the most part have payed attention to their defense and rank 7th in the league in ppg allowed while operating a pace that ranks 26th in the NBA. Here on the road Im betting on more disciplined hoops vs a Sacramento Kings group that plays has shown very little discipline of late .Also is the case with Van Gundy coached sides a consistent persistence on not losing control of the speed of game will continue to be implemented . This Im betting leads to a lower scoring game than the pundits might expect. Under is 5-2 in Pelicans last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 5-1 in Pelicans last 6 road games. |
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01-17-21 | Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 220 | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
The last 3 meetings in this series here in the Mile High City have been fairly low scoring affakirs and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here in a game that will fail to eclipse the total according to my projections. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - vs. division opponents, playing with 2 days rest are 82-45 L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. |
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01-17-21 | Jazz -1 v. Nuggets | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Utah has won 4 straight and are playing their best hoops of the season. The Nuggets could again be without Gary Harris, who has missed two straight games for personal reasons, and Michael Porter Jr. is out because of COVID-19 protocols which puts them at a disadvantage vs a motivated side lookin g for revenge from their play off series vs the Nuggets this past season in the bubble. Snyder is 21-7 ATS in road games after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more as the coach of UTAH. Play on Utah to cover |
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01-16-21 | Hornets +7 v. Raptors | 113-116 | Win | 101 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The Raptors host the Charlotte Hornets for the second time in three days Saturday night in Tampa, Fla. Toronto survived a 12-point fourth quarter in Thursday's initial encounter and held on to win, 111-108 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here with the points proving to be golden. Note: Charlotte has c overed 19 of their L/27 coming off a 6 point or less loss. NBA Home teams (TORONTO) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a losing record are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-16-21 | Magic +9.5 v. Nets | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a back to back for Orlando, but they are according to my rankings the best conditioned team in the NBA, and are dangerous here as underdogs. Even if the newly acquired Harden plays tonight, Im still feeling confident taking points. Clifford is 30-16 ATS in road games versus below average defensive teams like the Nets - allowing 110+ points/game as the coach of ORLANDO. NBA Home favorites (BROOKLYN) - after allowing 105 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 14-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Orlando to cover |
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01-15-21 | Clippers v. Kings UNDER 227.5 | 138-100 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
The L/3 meetings in this series have seen non of the game eclipse this total and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again tonight. LA CLIPPERS are 12-2 UNDER in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 216.5 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SACRAMENTO) - after allowing 130 points or more against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games are 52-25 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-15-21 | Bulls +1.5 v. Thunder | 125-127 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Lauri Markkanen and Ryan Arcidiacano returned to practice on Wednesday, indicating they have been cleared from COVID-19 health and safety protocols and Otto Porter is expected to play tonight for the Bulls. These guys are key here in what Im betting will be a Chicago Bulls win vs a Oklahoma City side, that is young and inexperienced. Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.Bulls are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
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01-15-21 | Magic +3 v. Celtics | 97-124 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
After a week of postponements and scheduling chaos, the Boston Celtics appear set to return to the court Friday when they host the Orlando Magic but this will hinder them here in their ability to play at a top level because of rust and flow issues because of personnel losses. Also due to due to health and safety protocols are Tatum and Williams, along with reserve guard Carsen Edwards. Swingman Jaylen Brown and big men Daniel Theis and Semi Ojeleye are among four in protocol listed as questionable, while guards Kemba Walker (knee) and Romeo Langford (wrist) are still sidelined by injury. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (ORLANDO) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 46-19 ATS L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Orlando to cover |
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01-14-21 | Warriors v. Nuggets UNDER 230 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
Golden State games have been according to my projections seeing added digits to the totals from the linesmakers , which is showing value to the under. Thanks to those faulty numbers offered by the books we have seen 4 straight Warriors games go under the total. Warriors speedy pace, has influenced the linesmkaers, as has the presence of their super star Curry. However, their off, because of a variation of reasons, and continue to hold value for under bettors. |
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01-14-21 | Hornets +8 v. Raptors | 108-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
These two sides are currently playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum with Charlotte having won 4 of their L/5 while homeless Toronto have lost 5 of their L/6. With that said, we have a line that does not make complete sense when taking into consideration current form, but instead seems to pander to group of bettors that still perceive the Raptors as a top tier group that is able to compete for a Eastern Conference title. I know that Charlotte played last night, but they are well conditioned according-to my charts and matchup well vs the Raptors. I do take rest into consideration but still make the Raptors just 5 point favs. With a full possession variance in my number as compared to the line offered Im betting we have value with the up trending underdog. Hornets are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Hornets are 22-6-1 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hornets are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog.Hornets are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog. Hornets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
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01-14-21 | Rockets +7.5 v. Spurs | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
One day after a big time trade, the Houston Rockets will travel west to face the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday for the first of a pair of games between the two teams. Im betting the energy from this trade will reverberate and have the Rockets ready to perform. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing teams are 15-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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01-13-21 | Grizzlies +2.5 v. Wolves | 118-107 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Minnesota had lost three in a row at home, and seven consecutive overall before finding a way into the win column last time out. Now here they are as favorites, which is not a good look for this type of struggling side. With Memphis showing signs of being able to compete without the injured Morant in the lineup, with two straight wins its and easy decision to take the points here with the Grizzlies .MINNESOTA is 3-12 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons and Timberwolves are also 0-10 ATS /SU as a home favorite with rest. MINNESOTA is 7-23 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. Memphis is 6-1 ATS L/7 meetings and have covered the L/3 meetings here in Minnesota. Play on Memphis to cover |
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01-13-21 | Mavs -4 v. Hornets | 104-93 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
Dallas is out looking for revenge against Charlotte tonight after an embarrassing 118-99 loss at home the end of December. Im betting on the Mavs getting it behind super stars Kristaps Porzingis and.Luka Doncic and a current 38% January behind the arc conversion rate. |
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01-12-21 | Spurs v. Thunder OVER 218 | 112-102 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Both these sides have been playing top tier hoops of late, with San Antonio winning 3 of their L/4 and the Thunder 4 of their L/5. The Spurs did lose their last game, behind some lackluster shooting, but that has not been the norm for this side, and Im betting on a offensive bounce back performance tonight. Note: The Spurs are 11-0 OVER as a favorite with rest off a road loss with the average combined ppg clicking in at 222.1 ppg. SAN ANTONIO is 13-1 OVER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 240.7 ppg scored. |
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01-12-21 | Lakers v. Rockets +4.5 | 117-100 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
The Lakers enter this game the Lakers are 5-6 ATS with an 8.3 winning margin on average and they now go against a side that has revenge on board for getting the living crap kicked out of them in the first meeting of the season. Note: the the Lakers did not cover their second game against the San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies, even though they won both meetings, and this Im betting will end the same way , in a no cover for the defending champs vs a hungry side looking for redemption. |
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01-12-21 | Nuggets v. Nets -1 | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Brooklyn has played well of late but is just 8-22 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Malone is 20-35 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more as the coach of DENVER. I know Brooklyn maybe with Irving tonight but Durant is expected to be in the lineup and have enough talent to compete here and get us a win and cover according to my projections. Brooklyn is 2-0 SUATS L/2 games at home in this series. Nuggets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. |
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01-12-21 | Jazz -12.5 v. Cavs | 117-87 | Win | 101 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
Cleveland will be without three of their best players in guards Collin Sexton and Darius Garland as well as key cog Kevin Love, and they are also playing the second of a back-to-back tilts so their not in a good spot here vs a Utah side that is rested after last playing on Sunday. Play on Utah to cover |
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01-12-21 | Heat v. 76ers -7 | 134-137 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Two short-handed sides the Philadelphia 76ers and Miami Heat go head to head on Tuesday. However, one team has an edge, based on what I see is their ability to do more damage offensively thanks to the Heats inability in their current covid form to address the defensive breakdowns that have been prominent in their game of late. Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. 76ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite. |
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01-11-21 | Pacers v. Kings UNDER 227 | 122-127 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
Both these teams |
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01-11-21 | Raptors v. Blazers OVER 230 | 111-112 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
The Trailblazers who rank 7th in pace 4th in offence and 25th in ppg games allowed on D, are off a win last time out on the road as a favorite which sets up a strong trend that has seen them go over 10 straight times by an average of more than 22 ppg, with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at at a massive 249.9 ppg. Meanwhile, Toronto now playing in back to back games are on tired legs, and may have issues stopping the run and gun Blazers and will have to open up with some offensive fireworks of their own in what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 44-16 OVER L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-11-21 | Knicks +4.5 v. Hornets | 88-109 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
The Knicks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and have played decent ball for the most part of this campaign . They did not look good last time out in a home loss to Oklahoma City, but in the past they have bounced back well from a bettors perspective cashing 5 of the L/7 after a defeat. Meanwhile, the Hornets are also playing viable hoops at the moment , but they have not faired well as chalk of late failing to cash 5 of their L/6 overall. From a projections standpoint I make the Hornets 2 point favs here so my number gives us value taking points. Play on New York Knicks to cover |
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01-10-21 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 234.5 | 105-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
This total is partly based on the Raptors dismal 3 point defence, but Im betting it will get better as the season progresses, including tonight. The Raptors are playing better lately overall, and have the veterans and coaching needed to know how to handle a Seth Curry lead offence. With that said, Im betting on the Raptors physicality to be in top gear and for the flow of this game to be slower than the number might suggest. Advantage under. |
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01-10-21 | Jazz -8.5 v. Pistons | 96-86 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
The Pistons have won only two of their first nine games and are once again fade material here in this spot vs a Utah squad that rolled the Bucks on the road last time out by DDs.Snyder is 13-3 ATS in road games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog as the coach of UTAH Play on Utah to cover |
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01-09-21 | Magic +7 v. Mavs | 98-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
I know the Magic got clobbered last night, but Im betting this under rated squad will be ready to bounce back here this evening. The Note: Magic are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 road games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall and also 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog. Meanwhile, the Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. ORLANDO is 23-12 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Carlisle is 35-55 ATS in home games against Southeast division opponents in all games he has coached since 1996. Play on Orlando to cover |
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01-09-21 | Spurs -5 v. Wolves | 125-122 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Im betting on the San Antonio Spurs get us a a road victory Saturday against a struggling Minnesota Timberwolves team that has been unable to find and flow without big man Karl-Anthony Towns. |
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01-09-21 | Spurs v. Wolves UNDER 233 | 125-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
The Spurs are playing top tier hoops at the moment, and are off two consecutive upset victories. Note: SAN ANTONIO is 13-3 L/16 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog with the average combined score of 185.3 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 30-14 UNDER after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.6 ppg going on the board. |
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01-08-21 | Bulls +8.5 v. Lakers | 115-117 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Lakers will play the second end of back-to-back contests when they host the Chicago Bulls on Friday. Which give us an edge with the underdog. CHICAGO is 22-10 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (CHICAGO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), poor ball handling team (16.5 or more TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or les TO's) are 24-9 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. |
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01-08-21 | Jazz v. Bucks UNDER 231.5 | 131-118 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Utahs inconsistent play early on in the season continued last time out, as they lost as -6.5 road favs at NYK last time out. It must be noted UTAH is 28-9 UNDER off a double digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more with a combined average of 191.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. It makes sense as teams who are in this role, look to get back to basics and play a more conservative style of getting back to basics basketball. Few teams try to run and gun with the Bucks, and Im betting the Jazz instead will try to slow things down a bit and play a more phsycial style of hoops which will keep this combined score on the low side of the number. |
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01-08-21 | Thunder v. Knicks -150 | 101-89 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
The Knicks are a side that don't always inspire bettors, but they are playing decent ball at the moment and have won 5 of their first 8 games winning 3 straight while more importantly covering 5 of their L/6. Meanwhile, Oklahoma city in what must be considered a rebuilding campaign, look like more growing pains are on the way and are fade material as they play their 3rd road game in 4 nights on tired legs. NBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - good defensive team (41.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 29-2 SU L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. Split line on the Knicks -2.5 / -145 on ML |
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01-08-21 | Hornets +7 v. Pelicans | 118-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
According to my own line and projections based on matchup statistics we have value with the underdog Charlotte Hornets vs the New Orelans Pelicans. |
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01-08-21 | Suns v. Pistons UNDER 218 | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
The Suns enter this game as the top ppg defence in the NBA, behind the slowest pace. Im betting they dictate the pacde again vs a Detroit team that is trending lower in many categories including offencive rating where they rank 20th. Everything points to this being a lower scoring affair. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a terrible team (25% or less ) are 24-5 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-07-21 | Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 225 | 124-117 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
These teams have taken part in some physical grinding affairs of late when they have met and 5 of their L/6 meetings have resulted in the under cashing.Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. |
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01-07-21 | Mavs +2.5 v. Nuggets | 124-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
My matchup statistics and power rankings make this game closer to -2 for Denver giving us value with taking points. This sis a game that could flip either way , thus getting to ride the underdog is a viable wagering opportunity. |
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01-07-21 | Cavs +4 v. Grizzlies | 94-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Two struggling sides do battle tonight in desperation mode. This looks to be a dog fight, which makes taking the points a viable betting option. |
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01-06-21 | Bulls v. Kings -7 | 124-128 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Bulls are playing very good hoops at the moment under new HC Donavan, with veterans getting key minutes. However, according to my power rankings, and matchup projections the Kings are still the superior side, and the fresher of both sides, as the Bulls play their 4th game in 6 nights. With the older guys leveraging most of the playing time for Chicago, and now on tired legs a motivated home side trying to dispatch the bad taste of 3 straight losses, has the edge according to my projections. SACRAMENTO is 17-6 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.Kings are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 home games. Bulls are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Play on Sacramento Kings to cover |
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01-06-21 | Raptors +3.5 v. Suns | 115-123 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
I am not impressed by the Raptors so far this season, and despite of a weak bench Im betting on the core veterans of this group to come together tonight and give the Suns a battle which my projections estimate to supply us with a cover. The opening line was closer to where it should be and recency bias and public money streaming in the Suns is now making getting points a viable opportunity for profit. |
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01-06-21 | Pistons v. Bucks UNDER 226 | 115-130 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 221, thus giving us value with an under wager. Long term trends suggest a style of play by both sides in this kind of matchup is indicative of a lower trending combined score.
Casey is 14-4 UNDER in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days as the coach of DETROIT with a combined average of 206.8 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 22-10 UNDER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 season with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 222.8 ppg. DETROIT is 20-8 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons at 214.7 ppg.
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01-06-21 | Pistons +12.5 v. Bucks | 115-130 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Detroit has really stunk up the joint here so far this season, in the won loss column at 1-6 but , they have been competetive for the most part and have cashed 4 of their L/5 trips to the hardoowd including a recent 122-120 heartbreaking loss the Celtics. Meanwhile, the Bucks are off two lopsided wins, with plenty of scoring punch spread around the lineup,including the last tilt vs this same Pistons group. Note: The Bucks are 0-12 ATS L/12 failing to cover by just under 13 ppg with rest off a win in which they had 6+ double digit scorers. Also NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are just 16-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (DETROIT) - terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or better on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 105-60 ATS L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-06-21 | Cavs +6 v. Magic | 94-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The banged up Cavaliers after a quick start to their campaign are in desperation mode after suffering their fourth loss in their past five trips to the hardwood. The Cavs now play the Orlando Magic for the second time in the last three nights and lost the last one 103-83 Monday. I know the Cavs dont look viable in their current form but with Issac Okoro expected to return tonight and with Orlando expected to be without Fournier and Williams we have an edge here taking points.Cavaliers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Magic are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games and are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest and are also 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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01-05-21 | Spurs +9.5 v. Clippers | 116-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
The Spurs have lost 4 straight , but two of those games to a Lakers group that they did not matchup well against. The other two losses were closely contested. I know the Spurs Aldridge may not play or is less than 100%, but i still feel confident taking points here behind a hardworking group that actually matches up well vs the Clippers. Add to that , Im also betting this will be an unmotivated Clippers group off a two game road trio vs strong competetion ( Suns, Jazz) and will now be on tiored legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 nights. NBA Road underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 129-77 ATS L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-05-21 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 228 | 116-123 | Loss | -111 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
I am betting Denver behind a 28th ranked pace, will dictate this game in the trenches, which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. |
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01-05-21 | Wolves +12 v. Nuggets | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
Neither one of these teams are playing all that well, and while Minnesota has looked far worse recently than the the Utah Jazz, Im betting this line is slightly bloated when comparing matchup schemes and my own power rankings NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 24 or less free throws/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 6-27 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (DENVER) - after allowing 105 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 13-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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01-05-21 | Jazz v. Nets UNDER 231.5 | 96-130 | Win | 100 | 26 h 59 m | Show | |
Utah runs a pace that ranks 23rd in the NBA and now own the 8th best ppg defence and here tonight Im betting that we have value taking the under here vs a Nets side that has gone under in 7 of their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 like the Jazz. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 30-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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01-04-21 | Celtics +3 v. Raptors | 126-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
I am not impressed with the current version of the Raptors here early this season as is evident by 4 losses in their first 5 games , and Im betting on the better side which is the Celtics. I know this is the Celtics 3rd game in 4 nights, but they are one of the better conditioned sides in the league and deserve our respect here in a game they should be motivated to play. BOSTON is 10-0 ATS versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16 or more turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON is 18-7 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 7-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-04-21 | Thunder v. Heat OVER 215.5 | 90-118 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
I have charted how the Heat have performed recently against sides like Oklahoma City that are having a hard time competing. These following trends give us an indication of a strong factor favoring the over. MIAMI is 16-4 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored. MIAMI is 10-1 OVER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.7 ppg scored. Also MIAMI is 20-6 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225 ppg going on the board. MIAMI is 13-3 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. |
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01-04-21 | Hornets +9.5 v. 76ers | 101-118 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Philly took out Charlotte by a 127-112 count last time out , but I saw enough good matchups for Charlotte to back them getting points in the rematch. |
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01-04-21 | Cavs v. Magic UNDER 217.5 | 83-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow- thank you for your patience - All NBA wagers come with a full explanation of why and how I came to my conclusions. |
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01-04-21 | Hornets v. 76ers OVER 221.5 | 101-118 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow- thank you for your patience - All NBA wagers come with a full explanation of why and how I came to my conclusions. |
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01-03-21 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 233.5 | 122-137 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Portland enters this game ranked 9th in offensive output and 23rd in defensive ppg against and 25th in defensive rating. Meanwhile, the Warriors rank 2nd in pace in the league, and 30th in ppg allowed. This current form for both teams sets up for a formula of big offensive numbers going on the board. |
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01-03-21 | Jazz v. Spurs OVER 219 | 130-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
My projections have made this game total 224 thus giving us value with an over wager.
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01-03-21 | Wizards +8 v. Nets | 123-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Super star Westbrook's Washington Wizards are coming off their finest outing of the young season and now I am going to ride that momentum into this game . The Wizards are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights but for a while now they have had one of the best conditioning programs in the league, and will be ready to run and gun again here tonight vs a uneven Brooklyn side that are poster boys for inconsistency which features the inability to cover in 4 straight tilts. WASHINGTON is 25-11 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. Play on Washington to cover |
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01-02-21 | Raptors v. Pelicans +1.5 | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
The Raptors at this point in the season no longer look like Eastern Conference contenders and are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Meanwhile, New Orleans has looked uneven in its tilts, but did look like they matchup well vs the Raptors in their opening game winning by a 113-99 count. In the rematch Im betting the Pelicans once again have an edge, as home underdogs in a spot they could easily win SU. Van Gundy is 60-35 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in all games he has coached since 1996. |
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01-02-21 | Hornets +10 v. 76ers | 112-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers will look for their third consecutive victory when they host the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday I just dont think it will come that easily here vs a Charlotte tonight. I know the Hornets lost last night as chalk , but after watching some tape of the game, its obvious they did not exert much energy and will have plenty left in the tank for this tilt. Quote: Despite the loss, head coach James Borrego has been pleased with the team's progress."For us it's just about building and growing," Borrego said. "We didn't have the best training camp. There's a lot of factors there, but I believe now we have found our footing." Enf Quote: I agree with the HCs assessments and they get my under rated factor here in a game based on brand reputation. |
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01-02-21 | Knicks v. Pacers OVER 215 | 106-102 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that the Pacers will score 112+ points and will force the Knciks to chase . Note: INDIANA is 31-6 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored. |
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01-02-21 | Kings +5 v. Rockets | 94-102 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Sacramento enters this game having covered 5 of their L/6 tilts dating back to last season, and continue to uptrend in my power rankings, while Houston is playing at the proverbial opposite end of the spectrum as far as bettors are concerned failing to cover in 6 of their L/7 overall and are 0-4 ATS L/4 at home in are fade material here in this spot against a weak favorite line. Rockets new HC Silas acknowledged that the Rockets are a "work in progress" on defense and that Im betting will be their downfall today.
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01-02-21 | Kings v. Rockets UNDER 233.5 | 94-102 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer ot 229 thus giving us value with an under wager. |
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01-01-21 | Clippers -2.5 v. Jazz | 100-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Utah played last night in a loss to the Suns, and looked lifeless. Now on tired legs dealing with a Clippers die that is expected to have their super star Kawhi Leonard in the lineup tonight the Jazz are once again in trouble . Note: Leonard owns a +25.8 efficiency differential when on court vs. off this season. LA CLIPPERS are 25-12 ATS as a road favorite over the last 3 season. |
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01-01-21 | Grizzlies v. Hornets -4 | 108-93 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Hornets have surprised me with some nice wins vs Nets and Mavericks and now have my attention going into tilt vs a banged up and disorganized looking Memphis side that will be without Grayson and Allen.CHARLOTTE is 16-6 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 0-8 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half over the last 3 seasons. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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01-01-21 | Heat v. Mavs -118 | 83-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Heat have beaten Dallas six straight times in the battle between these rivals , but Im betting that this will come to an abrupt end here today. The Heat are off a grueling two game set vs the Bucks last time out, and may not have the energy needed to out run a side that will be very motivated after an embarrassing effort last time out vs Charlotte. |
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12-31-20 | Suns +3.5 v. Jazz | 106-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
I have been impressed with the Phoinex Suns and have no problem supporting them here vs a Utah side they matchup well against. Phoenix, has wins over Dallas, Sacramento and New Orleans this season and I wont be surprised if they clip the Jazz here tonight and in the process get the cover. PHOENIX is 9-0 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-31-20 | Suns v. Jazz OVER 220.5 | 106-95 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG), after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 44-18 OVER L/24 seasons for an 71% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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12-31-20 | Pelicans v. Thunder UNDER 215.5 | 113-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
The Pelicans enter this tilt vs Oklahoma city ranked last in pace in the league and , 29th in offense and have seen their first 4 games of the season stay under the set total . Meanwhile, OKC when at full strength like they are expected to be tonight are a solid defensive side that must be respected. Under is 7-1 in Pelicans last 8 games as a favorite.Under is 12-2 in Pelicans last 14 overall . Under is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 50-23-1 in Thunder last 74 games as an underdog. |
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12-31-20 | Knicks v. Raptors -9 | 83-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
The Raptors have started poorly losing 3 straight, but now Im betting on them coming out like their hair is on fire and taking down a Knicks side that hey have beaten eight consecutive times. The Knicks continue to deal with injuries. Obi Toppin (calf), Austin Rivers (groin), Immanuel Quickley (hip), Dennis Smith Jr. (quad) and Alec Burks (ankle) were inactive on Tuesday which im betting effects the teams flow in this spot. TORONTO is 12-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons and TORONTO 14-4 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-31-20 | 76ers -3.5 v. Magic | 116-92 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Since Embiid returned to the court for the 76ers they have looked rejuvenated and on a mission. Im going to bet on the Sixers flow and momentum here vs a viable but still over matched Orlando side. |
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12-31-20 | Bulls v. Wizards -7 | 133-130 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 34 m | Show | |
Missing players due to covid from Bulls give us value with the Wizards. Late Steam. Play on Wizards to cover |
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12-31-20 | Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 217 | 99-119 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
These two sides just don't push for explosive offensive flow and have shown some conservative style here early this season, especially when attempting shots from downtown ranking bottom six in the league in beyond the arc attempts . Both sides are showing early signs of injury woes, and some key players are hobbled missing in action or less than 100%. Play on the UNDER |
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12-30-20 | Hornets v. Mavs -8 | 118-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Dallas after starting their season with two straight losses finally got untracked last time out with a huge DD win vs the LA Clippers, and now Im betting on them carrying that momentum into this tilt vs a Charlotte side that they matchup well against according to my power rankings. |
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12-30-20 | Lakers v. Spurs +5.5 | 121-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Lakers hit the road for the first time this season when they square off against the Spurs on Thursday night in the first game of back-to-back matchups in San Antonio over a three-day period. The Lakers looked uninterested late in their game vs the Portland Trailblazers last time and lost. Im betting on more of a championship hangover for the Lakers tonight on the road vs a San Antonio Spurs that is uptrending in my power rankings since last season.SAN ANTONIO is 35-21 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.Vogel is 18-37 ATS in road games after allowing 115 points or more in all games he has coached since 1996. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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12-30-20 | Bucks v. Heat UNDER 226.5 | 108-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
On Tuesday night, the Bucks set an NBA record by sinking 29 3-pointers while crushing the Heat 144-97. Tonight in the rematch it will be difficult for the Bucks to exert the same energy while, the Heat will be primed to step up on defence and be more physical, which will translate Im betting into a lower scoring affair than yesterdays combined score. MILWAUKEE is 9-1 UNDER off a road blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.2 ppg going on the board. NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - a very good team (+7 PPG or more differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 23-5 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play on UNDER |
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12-29-20 | Nuggets v. Kings OVER 224 | 115-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
The two most recents meetings in this series have seen 235 and 246 combined points go on the board and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here in this matchup. Over is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 games as a road favorite. Over is 7-3 in Kings last 10 games as an underdog. SACRAMENTO is 23-9 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of. 229.8 ppg going on the board.
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12-29-20 | Magic v. Thunder OVER 218 | 118-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
My totals number projects at 221 thus giving us value on over wager. Orlando owns the 5th fastest pace early here this season. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City ranks 13th in pace and will be forced into a high energy flow here against a superior side, that can run and push the speed of this game to higher levels. |
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12-29-20 | Bucks v. Heat OVER 225.5 | 144-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
The Bucks, now with two losses in their first three games, would love to get back on track against the Heat side that they have huge revenge against for play off ejection embarrasement. I just dont see the Bucks sitting back and trying to make this into a tight play off style game, and instead will be out looking to run and gun in angry fashion, which will turn this tilt into more wide open tilt than the linesmakers are expecting. MIAMI is 22-11 OVER in home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - after scoring 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 227-114 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate. |
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12-29-20 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 216 | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
From out of nowhere the Knicks came out running andf gunning in their last game and put 130 points on the board in a win vs the Milwaukee Bucks. It must be noted however, that the Under is 23-8-1 in Knicks last 32 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. That would make sense because after that kind of flow a natural letdown should be expected , as I am expecting here tonight vs Cleveland ina tilt Im projecting to stay on the low side of the total. NEW YORK is also 15-4 UNDER L/19 in road games off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more with a combined average of 193.7 ppg scored.
Under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Cleveland. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 34-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-29-20 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 218.5 | 116-111 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Indiana is a defence first side and nothing will change tonight against top tier opponent Boston. Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 games as a home underdog. Under is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 games as an underdog. Meanwhile, the Celtics play more conservatively on the road behind a solid D, as is evident by the following trends going 9-3-1 UNDER in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. |
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12-29-20 | Bulls v. Wizards OVER 237 | 115-107 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Washington plays a one way type of game, that is based on all out run and gun basketball with little or no consideration for strong defensive play. Its all about entertainment in the new NBA and this is the type of hoops the fan base wants to see. Tonight Im expecting offensive fireworks at both ends of the court and for two defenses Chicago and Washington allowing an average of more than 121 and 125 ppg respectively to be left vulnerable again. Over is 7-2 in Bulls last 9 games as a road underdog.Over is 7-2 in Bulls last 9 road games. WASHINGTON is 10-1 OVER versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 27 or more free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 245 ppg going on the board.WASHINGTON is 11-2 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 244 ppg. Play OVER |
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12-28-20 | Blazers v. Lakers -3.5 | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
The Lakers obviously matchup very well against Portland as was evident in the NBA play offs when they grabbed 4 of 5 games. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here with the Lakers as short chalk on home floor. as they enter in top form off two DD blowout wins. Vogel is 10-1 ATS L/11 after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more in all games he has coached . NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 1-24 SU L/24 seasons for a go against 96% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.9 ppg. NBA team vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, good team from last season (60% to 75%) playing a team who had a losing record last year 26-3 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +14.1 ppg. Play on LA Lakers to cover |
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12-28-20 | Blazers v. Lakers OVER 225 | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Both these sides can really light up the scoreboard when in a groove which Im betting both teams are. The Lakers just scored 138 and 127 points respectively in their L/2 trips to the hardwood, while the run and gun Blazers scored 128 points last time out. My own projections estimate, that this line is closer to 229, making this total high on the value perspective for over wager. Over is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 Monday games.Over is 12-3 in Trail Blazers last 15 games following a straight up win. Over is 8-2 in Trail Blazers last 10 road games.Over is 10-4 in Trail Blazers last 14 games as a road underdog.Over is 10-4 in Trail Blazers last 14 games as a road underdog. |
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12-28-20 | Jazz -8 v. Thunder | 110-109 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
According to my projections the young Thunder do have the guns needed to hang with an experienced Utah Jazz side. Thus laying anything short of DDs,is a viable wagering opportunity according to my numbers. |
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12-28-20 | Jazz v. Thunder UNDER 218.5 | 110-109 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to the 214 mark, thus giviing us value with a under wager . |
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12-28-20 | Pistons v. Hawks OVER 223 | 120-128 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
Pierce is 27-12 OVER after playing 2 consecutive road games as the coach of ATLANTA with a combined average of 135.5 ppg scored. The Hawks are 10-0 OVER L/10 at home coming off a road game going over by more than 23 ppg on average. Play OVER |
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12-27-20 | Suns v. Kings +3.5 | 116-100 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Both sides won their opening games of the season, and according to my projections are evenly matched coming into this holiday battle after Sacramento took the first game of this weekend war of attrition 106-103. This we have value according to my numbers with the underdog Kings. Note:Kings are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog. Kings are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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12-27-20 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 220.5 | 107-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
These are two play off contenders with tough defenses. The new version of the Pacers after lousy trey numbers last season will try to get going behind the arc more this season, but the Celtics own a strong 3 point D, and nothing is going to come easy from long range for the Pacers tonight. Meanwhile, the Celtics themselves Im betting struggle for flow vs a physically bigger Pacers side that is well balanced and mean on the inside. Im betting on a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. Under is 8-3-1 in Celtics last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 8-3-1 in Celtics last 12 road games. Under is 6-1 in Pacers last 7 games as an underdog. INDIANA is 143-110 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3 since 1996 with a combined average of 196.7 ppg scored. Stevens is 65-45 UNDER off a home loss as the coach of BOSTON with a combined average score of 205.7 ppg. Play UNDER |
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12-27-20 | 76ers v. Cavs UNDER 217 | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Sixers visit Cavaliers in battle of unbeatens. Defence is key to both sides and nothing will change today. Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 10-3 in 76ers last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-5 in 76ers last 16 games as a road favorite. Under is 13-3 in Cavaliers last 16 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play on UNDER |
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12-27-20 | Mavs +5 v. Clippers | 124-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
The Clippers have started 2-0 and off a big DD win last time out while the Mavs are at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum having lost both their games, the last one by a wide margin to the NBA champion Lakers.Note: .Carlisle is 34-13 ATS off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more as the coach of DALLAS and Im betting he has his side ready to rebound here today. Lue is 6-20 ATS L/26 in home games after scoring 120 points or more in all games he has coached. DALLAS is 23-12 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. NBA team (DALLAS) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 6 or more of their last 8 games are 42-16 ATS L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-26-20 | Suns v. Kings UNDER 227.5 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 1 h 2 m | Show | |
The Kings posted a dramatic 124-122 overtime win over the host Denver Nuggets on Wednesday, while Phoenix held off the Dallas Mavericks for a 106-102 home win on the same night. What stood out to me was the Suns top tier defensive play and Im betting on more of the same type of hoops in this spot , which favors this score to stay on the low side of the total. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 67-32 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. late steam- under |
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12-26-20 | Magic v. Wizards -2 | 130-120 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow -thank you for your patience |
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12-26-20 | Hawks v. Grizzlies -2.5 | 122-112 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
My projections make the Grizzlies 5 point home favs here this according to that Im satisfied laying this number/lumber in this spot play. ATLANTA is 11-23 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 9-21 ATS ( in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS in road games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, team that had a losing record last season are 40-14 L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover
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12-26-20 | Hawks v. Grizzlies OVER 237 | 122-112 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
Atlanta plays a one way brand of run and gun basketball, and nothing should change with the full throttle Young leading the way. Meanwhile, Memphis must not be underestimated in their abiility to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this total. ATLANTA is 37-25 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-25-20 | Clippers v. Nuggets OVER 224 | 121-108 | Win | 100 | 28 h 21 m | Show | |
Its still early on the season to use pace numbers, but I expect both teams will take part in a high octane type of affair rather than a defensive minded play off type game that they took part in during the recent bubble play off adventure both took part in. |
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12-25-20 | Warriors v. Bucks UNDER 232 | 99-138 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
Im betting people maybe surprised at how much improvement New Orleans will make defensively this season under Van Gundy. Meanwhile, Miami bases their successes and failures on their ability to play top tier D, and tonight will be not differnet. Van Gundy is 187-141 UNDER in non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average score of 198.5 ppg scored. Spoelstra is 297-266 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of MIAMI with the average combiend score of this big sample size clicking in at 198 ppg. NBA team (MIAMI) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, good team from last season (60% to 75%) playing a team who had a losing record last year are 53-24 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-25-20 | Pelicans v. Heat UNDER 224.5 | 98-111 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
Im betting people maybe surprised at how much improvement New Orleans will make defensively this season under Van Gundy. Meanwhile, Miami bases their successes and failures on their ability to play top tier D, and tonight will be not differnet. |
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12-23-20 | Kings +8 v. Nuggets | 124-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Thanks to the Denver Nuggets having a tremendous poast season, while showing their reslience and ability to come back time after time, has the market over pricing them here in their return to the court. Hey dont get me wrong the Nuggets are a fine team, but Sacramento after adding a big man defensive stalwart Hassan Whiteside in the offseason are now a side that will not be easily intimadated at both ends of the court. With that said, Im recommending we take the points here with the under reated visitor. Note: the last three meetings in this series were all decided by 7 points or less and a repeat situation Im betting on tonights agenda. The Kings are 8-2 ATS L/10 as dogs and have covered 19 of their L/26 as road underdogs. |
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12-23-20 | Heat -4 v. Magic | 107-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Miami has won the L/3 meetings in this series, and according to my new early seasons projections are once again deservedly a short favorite and my choice to get us the cover. |
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12-22-20 | Clippers +3.5 v. Lakers | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
Im not buying in this favorite line on the Lakers . Yes, the champs have beefed up in the off season with the likes of Gasol, Schröder, Matthews, and Harrell, but here on a neutral court environment with no fans in attendance the Clippers must be respected getting points. You have to remember this is a Clippers team despite of losing steam late in the season, are still a world class hoops group, that owned the league’s second-best Net Rating (6.3), second best Offensive Efficiency (113.3) and fifth in Defensive Efficiency (106.9). Opening night favorites in the NBA recently are just 14-17 ATS for a lowly sub .500 conversion rate dating back to the 2005 season and championship sides like the Lakers have failed to cover 9 of 15 chances. Clippers are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. LA Clippers to cover |
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10-11-20 | Lakers v. Heat UNDER 216 | 106-93 | Win | 100 | 34 h 18 m | Show | |
The Heat have never for one second stopped working hard, and are now getting more physical as the series progresses . Now with the noose tightening on the Lakers and the Heats confidence surging, Im betting on a absolute war here in game 6 with defense and hard core bone breaking action to take center stage. Look for almost every shot to be contested in a hardcore battle that results in a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Play UNDER |
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10-06-20 | Lakers -7 v. Heat | 102-96 | Loss | -111 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
The Lakers did not look like they were into the last game at all, while Butler and company came out with their balls to the walls , and essentially embarrassed the Lakers in the work ethic department. LEBron does not like to be made a fool of, and so far in these play offs when LAL has lost (3 times) they have bounced back in a big way and have won those following tilts by an average of 13 points per game , and overall each time they have won in these play offs they have seen at least a14 point margin of victory. Remember the Lakers have done the same thing in the last two series losing 1 game before rolling to convincing efforts. NBAFavorites vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 36-5 L/24 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4 ppg. Play on the LA Lakers to win |
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10-04-20 | Lakers -9.5 v. Heat | 104-115 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - NBA Finals - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Lake Buena Vista, FL Playing without point guard Goran Dragic (plantar fasciitis) and center Bam Adebayo (neck/shoulder strain), two of its three best players Miami looked to be in trouble last time out and with these two key cogs out or at less than 100% again this Heat side is in trouble. The only reason why the Lakers only won buy 10 points last time out , was because the Heat enjoyed a 34-17 free-throw disparity and I can't see that repeating itself here today. With the smell of NBA championship in the air for James and Davis, its not a difficult decision for me to back them here again. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 41-73 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Lakers to cover |