Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-07-20 | Blazers v. Raptors UNDER 220 | 101-99 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
The Raptors are banged up and Im betting they slow this game down and rely on their bench to play top tier D here tonight in a game I have projected to stay on the low side of the total. PG] 01/06/2020 - Fred VanVleet is downgraded to doubtful Tuesday vs Portland ( Hamstring )[C] 12/19/2019 - Marc Gasol is out indefinitely ( Hamstring )[SF] 12/19/2019 - Norman Powell is out indefinitely ( Shoulder )[PF] 12/19/2019 - Pascal Siakam is out indefinitely ( Groin ) PORTLAND is 28-15 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.8 ppg scored. The Trailblazers are 0-17 UNDER in the history of the franchise as a road dog off a loss as a road dog in which Damian Lillard had 30-plus points with a combined average 194.2 ppg scored with none of the total eclipsing this number. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-06-20 | Bulls v. Mavs UNDER 216.5 | 110-118 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
The Bulls continue to play at a very high level on the defensive side of the court and protect the perimeter with a take no prisoners attitude. The Bulls have held their opposition to the fourth-lowest 3PT% (.334) conversion rate in the league which will be of ultra importance here tonight against a Dallas group which ranks second in beyond the arc conversion rate this season. The Bulls struggle to score ranking 25th in ppg behind what has recently been a slow pace on a regular basis and with some injury woes ie (Markkanen) out with an injury this will be the case again, which in turn will highlight the need to be even more stringent offensively, which Im betting holds down the combined points total here this evening to the low side of the number. Note: Dallas is also playing a markedly slower pace of late, and now rank 20th in in the NBA in pace. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-06-20 | Jazz -2 v. Pelicans | 128-126 | Push | 0 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
New Orleans has been playing very well of late and have won 5 of their L/6 overall, but that will have Utah wide awake and ready to compete vs a uptrending side. The Jazz are also playing their best hoops of the season , winning 10 of their L/11 SU and have coved 6 straight times. UTAH is 14-4 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6 ppg. Utah is 10-1 ATS L/11 overall and have won and covered their 4 most trips to the Bayou to take on the Pelicans. Play on Utah to cover |
|||||||
01-06-20 | Thunder +7 v. 76ers | 113-120 | Push | 0 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City has been playing some very good basketball of late, and have won 9 of tjheir L/10 and covered 7 of their L/8 behind a stingy defence that has allowed 101.1 ppg in their L/5 overall all of which were wins. That Im betitng will be key to them being competetive vs a slumping Phaildephia team that is completely out of rythm and on a 4 game losing streak. Yes, I know the Sixers are desperate and have played their best hoops at home this season ( 16-2), but in their current form cannot be trusted to cover this wide a spread vs a streaking side that is built to throw offences out of their flow. Oklahoma City is 20-1 SU L/21 in this series and get my support to cover here tonight. Play on Oklahoma city to cover |
|||||||
01-05-20 | Grizzlies +6.5 v. Suns | 121-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies have been playing well of late, winning 8 of their L/14 SU and are a vialbe underdog here vs a side that they have already played twice this season. and have notched a v115-108 victory at Phoenix . According to my projections Memphis in their current form matchup very well vs the Suns, and get my support here getting points. PHOENIX is 2-11 ATS in home games after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Grizzlies are 13-0 ATS /9-4 SU as a dog off a win in a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals. The Suns are 0-14-1 ATS L/15 as a home favorite off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, on Sunday games are 46-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Grizzlies to cover |
|||||||
01-05-20 | Knicks +9 v. Clippers | 132-135 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
The Clippers were pounded 140-114 by the visiting Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday and are obviously not in a groove. I know NY may not inspire bettors, but if Leonard does not play tonight which is higly likely since he is not played in back to back games, this season, the Knicks can hang here and get us the cover. The Clippers are 1-18 ATS L/19 at home with less than two days rest off a home game when they won 3 straight vs current opponent. The Clippers are 1-22 ATS L/23 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a home game when they won 2 straight vs current opponet. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 49-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate flor bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
|||||||
01-05-20 | Knicks v. Clippers UNDER 222.5 | 132-135 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
The Clippers got blasted by the Memphis Grizzlies yesterday a 140-114 count . It was an ugly defensive showing by the Clippers and today I expect they try to repair their proverbial defensive damn by slowing this game down and concentrating on their transition game. This Im betting directly effects this total to the low side of the number. NEW YORK is 18-8 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the lal/31st 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.4 ppg scored. The Knicks are 4-26-1 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 211 ppg scored. NBA Teams are 5-33-1 UNDER L/39 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 202.2 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days against opponent extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 42-17 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-04-20 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 216 | 121-102 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow Brooklyn has shown very little cohesive flow in their L/ 10 games, with the offense having averaged 108 points on 44.4 percent field goal shooting, including 32.8 percent from 3-point range. That's not a good omen for their offensive output today vs a Toronto side that has held their L/4 opponents to 97 points or less. This tilt has an under written all over it even though the Nets have formerly inured Levert back in the lineup after a long injury layoff. The Raptors are 1-11-1 UNDER L/13 on the road facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 202 ppg scored. Teams like the Nets are 0-14-2 UNDER L/16 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a road game when they are off two games in which they allowed their opponent to score 10+ more than they usually allow with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-03-20 | 76ers +4.5 v. Rockets | 108-118 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Im betting that Philadelphia is being under valued here because of a current 3 game losing streak. But this is still a quality team that has had some recent ATS success in this series vs Houston covering 4 of the L/5 meetings overall. Note: 76ers star forward Embiid missed the previous game due to a sore left knee, but he practiced Thursday and is not on the injury report prior to Friday's contest. The Seventysixers are 24-3 ATS L/27 with rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game. NBA Teams like Houston are 0-11-1 ATS L/12 as a home favorite after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 35-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Philadelphia to cover |
|||||||
01-02-20 | Pistons v. Clippers -12 | 112-126 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Pistons are banged up and short handed for this tilt vs the Clippers with Blake Griffin doubtful and Markieff Morris ruled out.The Pistons are 4-12 on the road, while the Clippers are 14-3 at home. This is a tale of two polar opposites, and Im not going to be shy about laying points here with this spot play. DETROIT is 3-15 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.8 ppg.The Pistons are 0-11 ATS /SU as a 8+ dog with the average ppg diff clicking in at -19.2 ppg. |
|||||||
01-02-20 | Nets v. Mavs -8 | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
With Caris LeVert and Kyrie Irving out of the Brooklyn lineup with injuries they are looking clunkier by the day , and are struggling with flow and particularly their 3 point shooting which has become a concern. Tonight against a Dallas team off a game where they blew a late lead on the road to Oklahoma City, Im betting the rebound redemption minded Mavericks will be primed to romp vs a down trending side. The Mavericks are 12-0 ATS /11-1 SU after they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.2 . NBA teams like the Mavs are 24-4 ATS/26-2 SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent. NBA Teams like the Nets are 2-21-1 ATS L/2-22 SU with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game. Play on Dallas to cover |
|||||||
01-02-20 | Thunder v. Spurs -2 | 109-103 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Thunder head to San Antonio after a emotional hard fought 106-101 home win over the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday. Chris Paul scored 17 points -- including 13 in the final 4:31 -- to help erase a seven-point deficit with less than three minutes remaining. Now in a letdown spot vs a Spurs that are playing better of late, Im betting the Thunder are fade material in what has been a hall of horrors( AT&T Center) for them as is evident by 9 straight regular season losses here. SAN ANTONIO is 33-19 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. The Thunder are 0-11 ATS /2-9 SU off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range. NBA Teams like the Thunder are 0-11 ATS /1-10 SUL/11 when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers. Play on San Antonio to cover |
|||||||
01-01-20 | Wolves v. Bucks -17.5 | 104-106 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
The Wolves have listed seven players on their injury report prior to Wednesday's tilt vs Milwaukee. Karl-Anthony Towns (knee), Andrew Wiggins (illness), and Jake Layman (toe) won't play, Teague is doubtful, Treveon Graham (illness) and Noah Vonleh (glute) are questionable, and Josh Okogie (elbow) is probable. This is a complete whitewash situation, in the making as Im betting the powerful Bucks will romp to an easy one sided victory here today. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
|||||||
12-31-19 | Clippers v. Kings +7.5 | 105-87 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
The Kings may not inspire bettors in their current form but they have performed well vs tp tier sides like the Clippers of late. Note: Walton is 11-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of SACRAMENTO. The Kings are 15-0 ATS /13-2 SU at home with less than two days rest after they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals.The Kings are 13-0 ATS L/13 as a dog off a loss as a dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.The Kings are 18-2 ATS L/20 off a loss as a road dog in which they shot over 50% from the field. The Clippers are 0-10 ATS L/10 3-7 SU with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss after a game that was tied 5+ times.The Clippers are 1-13 ATS L/14 as a road favorite with rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
|||||||
12-31-19 | 76ers v. Pacers +2 | 97-115 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
The Sixers despite of playing top tier basketball at home as was evident when they recently beat the Bucks, are a team that struggles on the road having garnered a 1-6 SU record vs above .500 sides . Meanwhile the while the Pacers are 14-3 SU overall at home and deserve respect here as dogs especially with Malcolm Brogdon back in the lineup today for the Pacers. McMillan is 21-8 ATS in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread as the coach of INDIANA. he Pacers are 17-3 ATS/SU at home with rest off a loss as a dog in which they had at least 25% of their points from free throws. The Seventysixers are 4-20-1 ATS 4-22 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game. NBA Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 18-54 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
|||||||
12-31-19 | Celtics -7 v. Hornets | 109-92 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Boston after getting beaten up and humbled by DDs vs the defending NBA champion Raptors last time out, will be ready to come out here with a start to finish bounce back situation here this evening vs a very inconsistent Charlotte team 5 straight games. BOSTON is 15-4 ATS (L/19 off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more. Boston has already beaten Charlotte twice this season by DD deficits and Im betting on a 3rd here. NBATeams like the Celtics are 16-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with the ppg diff clicking in a +12.3 ppg. Play on Boston to cover |
|||||||
12-30-19 | Nets v. Wolves OVER 219 | 115-122 | Win | 102 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets have hit a wall in offensive production . However, they have the ability to bounce back as they had been fairly effective overall without injured starters Kyrie Irving and Caris LeVert in the lineup.After being held under 100 points in consecutive games for the first time this season, Im betting the Nets bounce back with a big offensive output today vs a struggling Minnesota side that is getting blasted for an average of 114.9 ppg at home this season. Note: key offensive starter Towns was able to participate in drills at practice on Sunday while wearing a leg sleeve on his knee, and will probably play tonight. His teammate Wiggins is a 50% chance starter tonight as he deals with some time of illness. Saunders is 15-4 OVER after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 235 ppg going on the board. MINNESOTA is 13-3 OVER in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 pig scored. The Timberwolves are 14-0 OVER L/14 after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with a combined average of 234.6ppg scored with every game in the subset eclipsing this current total. NBA Teams like the Nets are 21-4 OVER L/25 as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent making more than 20 free throws with a combined average of 227.1 pig scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-30-19 | Nets -3.5 v. Wolves | 115-122 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets have hit a wall in offensive production . However, they have the ability to bounce back as they had been fairly effective overall without injured starters Kyrie Irving and Caris LeVert in the lineup against a Minnesota team that has own just 1 of their L/12 games. The Timberwolves are 0-11 ATS/1-10 SU at home facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc. |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Kings v. Nuggets -9.5 | 115-120 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings are struggling in a big way right now and have lost 6 straight games, and are now on tired legs after playing last night against Phoenix and now going into the high altitudes of Denver to play a top tier team in the Nuggets.Playing in this Mile High venue for top tier teams is hard enough little lone a team like the Kings who proverbially can not tie their own shoelaces in their current form. The Nuggets 54-14 SU and 44-27 ATS at home over the last few seasons and are a hard team to face here at the Pepsi Center . It must also be noted that Denver has this circled as grudge match as they seek revenge for a loss to Sacramento back on Nov 30 on the road and thus I see very little mercy being shown here on their way what Im betting will be a hefty DD win and cover.Sacramento is 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS L/7 after taking on the Suns. Play on Denver to cover |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Hornets v. Grizzlies -3 | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The Hornets enter this game against the Grizzlies having lost five of their last six games and four in a row and are fade material in their current form.The Grizzlies defeated Charlotte 119-117 on Nov. 13 in Charlotte. My own power ranking suggest they matchup very well against a side that can't shoot 3s consistently and when out muscled struggle because of their need to do most of their scoring from the perimeter. The Hornets are 2-20-2 ATS /1-24 SU as a road dog with rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game. NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 13-0 ATS /SU L/13 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Rockets v. Pelicans UNDER 229.5 | 112-127 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
My projections estimate this total slightly bloated, with the Rockets Westbrook sitting tonight for rest purposes . The Rockets usually play division games with a more physical presence. Note:HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.8 ppg scored. The Rockets beat the Pelicans twice already this season in high scoring affairs but Im betting this game will be played differently as both teams are on tired legs after playing yesterday. NBA Teams like the Rockets are 2-25 UNDER off a win as a favorite in which they had assists on less than 40 percent of their field goals ( none of the 27 games in the subset have gone above this opening total) The Rockets are 2-19 UNDER L/21 on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with the average combined score clicking in at 213.4 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 102-46 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-28-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +5 | 128-120 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
The Lakers come off a emotional and physically gruelling game vs the LA Clippers last time that they lost, and now in a letdown situation go against a franchise that they have a long history of futility against the Portland Trailblazers. The Blazers have won 15 of the L/18 overall meetings . With Dallas on board for tomorrow night, Im betting the Lakers may not be as focused as they need to be. I know the Lakers smashed the Blazers when they played earlier this season, but the Blazers have been very good in revenge mode from a 20 or point loss, cashing 6 of their L/7 opportunities and get my support to turn the trick again. Play on Portland Trailblazers to cover |
|||||||
12-28-19 | Pistons v. Spurs -4.5 | 109-136 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
San Antonio despite of being highly inconsistent gets my support here tonight at home, in revenge mode vs a Detroit Pistons team that beat them, 132-98 earlier this season. It was an embarrassing event for the Spurs, and HC Popovich was steaming after that game, and will now his team ready to play in this redemption scenario.Note: SAN ANTONIO is 15-3 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Spurs are 11-0 ATS /SUL/11 at home with rest off a road game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses .The Spurs are 15-2-1 ATS /18-1 SU at home with less than two days rest after their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before. The Pistons are 1-20 ATS /SU as a dog off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game failing to cover cover by more than 10+ ppg. Play on San Antonio to cover |
|||||||
12-28-19 | Mavs -11 v. Warriors | 141-121 | Win | 102 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Dallas according to my projections is getting to much love here tonight as DD road chalk. I know Golden State played last night, but recently this well conditioned young team is showing life, as has been evident by 4 consecutive wins including one against Houston . Yes, Golden State got clobbered by a ugly 142-94 count by Dallas by in November on the road but it must be noted Kerr is a fine HC with alot of pride, and has lead GOLDEN STATE to a 8-1 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. NBA team (DALLAS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or loss ) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are just 13-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
|||||||
12-28-19 | Knicks v. Wizards +2 | 107-100 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Washington came into NYK and convincingly controlled the Knicks and took the road win. Now in revenge mode the pundits seem to think a inconsistent Knicks team off a upset win vs Brooklyn last time out can grab two in a row behind a revenge scenario.Even if the Wizards Bradely Beal is less than 100% or cant play, I still feel the Wizards are the right side behind the replacement reliable duo of Troy Brown Jr. or Jordan McRae . Truth is I just don't feel the Knicks deserve their fav status in this rematch , especially here on the road. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 3-25 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. NEW YORK is 1-10 ATS L/11 versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
|||||||
12-27-19 | Bucks v. Hawks OVER 237 | 112-86 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Milwaukees offence averages 120+ ppg while Atlanta D, allows an average of 118.6 ppg. Milwaukee has scored agains the best of Ds consistently, and against this below average defence, Im betting they score in the average of 10 points higher on their season to date average offensive output. Meanwhile, Atlanta, is capable of chasing behind a offence that averages 110 + ppg in recent 5 games activity span, which Im betting results in a higher scoring affair than the lines makers anticipate. NBA Teams like the Bucks are 19-1 OVER on the road off a loss as a favorite when the total is at least 15 points more than their last game with a combined average of 239.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Teams like the Hawks are 15-1 OVER L/16 as a dog with more than two days of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with a combined average of 243.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-27-19 | Cavs +13.5 v. Celtics | 117-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
The Celtics are big favourites here, vs the struggling Cleveland Cavaliers. I know this is the new NBA and laying lumber with upper tier teams is becoming the norm, but in my usual contrarian fashion, and my old school mind set I believe this line to be slightly bloated thanks to both recency bias and perceived expectations that actually don't jive with what is according to my projections a one possession extension on a line that should be closer to -11. Tonight Im betting the Celtics will over look their opponents while the away team plays up to their opponents eyeing a chance at an upset vs a upper tier side. The Celtics are 0-15 ATS /7-8 SU L/15 off a 10+ win as a road favorite when they won 4 straight vs current opponent. BOSTON is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games after 3 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 15-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (CLEVELAND) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 46-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
|||||||
12-27-19 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 217 | 117-129 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Cleveland is well rested and of late have been up trending offensively and are capable of doing out put damage here in a game I have pegged toast paced. The Celtics are 13-0 OVER L/13 at home with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with a combined average of 227.4 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 14-1 OVER L/15 as a 8+ dog with more than one day of rest off a home game in which they had 20+ turnovers with a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored. CLEVELAND is 13-3 OVER in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.4 ppg scored.
NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON ) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. |
|||||||
12-26-19 | Blazers v. Jazz OVER 219 | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
The Trail Blazers' had their four-game winning streak abruptly end last time out as the club was 4-of-29 from beyond the arc. Im now expecting a shooting bounce back effort here tonight in Utah behind the 11th fastest pace in the league and the 10th ranked ppg offence. Meanwhile, Im betting on a up-trending Utah offence averaging 110.4 ppg in their L/5 overall, to fire power back on rested legs after their Christmas break. This projected group of scenarios will make for a score according to my projections that slams into the plus 220 mark on the combined totals scoreboard. PORTLAND is 20-8 OVER when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. The Trailblazers are 11-0 OVER L/11 off a loss as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 236.8 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Jazz are 20-0 OVER L/20 with rest off a loss in a road game when the total is at least 15 points more than their season-to-date average with a combined average of 247.5 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-26-19 | Wolves v. Kings -4.5 | 105-104 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Wolves have ost 11 straight games, and are once again fade material here on the road vs a Kings team that is struggling but more than capable of rebounding in this spot . SACRAMENTO is 15-3 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. The Timberwolves are 1-17-1 ATS /1-18 SU as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 26-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento to cover |
|||||||
12-26-19 | Grizzlies v. Thunder -6.5 | 110-97 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder enter this game on a 4 game win streak and have won 7 of their L/9 and have won 11 of their 16 home games this season . Against todays competition the visiting Memphis Grizzlies the Thunder have won 9 straight times here and once again have the advantage vs a side that is highly inconsistent and have lost 13 of 18 road games this season, including last weeks visit to Sooner State where they lost 126-122 count as 6.5 point dog. Note:NBA Teams like the Thunder are 20-2 ATS /21-1 SUL/22 as a opening line 8+ favorite with rest off a game as a dog when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17 ppg. NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 2-33 SU/ 5-29-1 ATS as a road dog with more than one day of rest after allowing 15+ points more than Vegas projected with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.2 ppg. The Thunder are 14-1 ATS/15-0 SU L/15 as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a home game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with the average ppg diff clicking at 14.1 ppg. The Grizzlies are 0-14 ATS /SU as a opening line 8+ dog with more than one day of rest off a game as a dog in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21.5 ppg. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
|||||||
12-26-19 | Knicks v. Nets -7 | 94-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
The coaching change of David Fizdale on Dec. 6 for interim coach Mike Miller has not sparked the Knicks to consistent efforts, and there is just something off about the chemistry of this team, and their work ethic and preparation. Just before the Christmas break, they got clobbered by Miami and Milwaukee , and than got run over by the Washington Wizards by a 121-115 count at home on Monday. Now Im betting their lack of proper motivation , fluidity, and upper their talent will see them lose again and more importantly as far as we are concerned fail to cover. NEW YORK is 2-12 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home losses over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 15.1 ppg. The Knicks are 0-13 ATS /SU L/13 as a dog with more than one day of rest with every loss coming by 8 points or more with the average ppg diff clicking in at 20 ppg. Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover |
|||||||
12-25-19 | Clippers v. Lakers UNDER 223 | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Both LeBron James and Anthony Davis according to an ESPN report are both expected play Christmas day. I know with these super stars in the lineup the public will naturally chase the total over here, but I say not so quick as my projections estimate that a number closer to 220 is order here, which gives us one possession value. Hey I know it does not seem like much of an advantage but believe me, it is considering how proficient Vegas has historically been setting lines on NBA totals. Also from a matchup perspective these two rivals, are proving to have a dislike for each other , so a physical play off style affair is not out of the question, which also has me leaning to this being a lower scoring affair than the public and pundits expect. Christmas Day under since 2005, have been an extremely good bet : 38-22-1 UNDER for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) . are 63-38 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-25-19 | Bucks v. 76ers +3.5 | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
Milwaukee won 21 of its last 22 games, but they go against a Philadelphia side that plays their best basketball at home where they are 15-2 SU this season, and wont go down without a fight. Im expecting a hard fought game here which will make getting points golden. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 25-3 L/5 seasons for for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games are 28-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers |
|||||||
12-25-19 | Celtics -2.5 v. Raptors | 118-102 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
Boston downed Toronto 112-106 at home on Oct. 25 and matchup well once again vs a Raptors team that is banged up and playing short handed. BOSTON is 12-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The Raptors have also taken part into two straight exhausting games , one where they came from behind from a DD deficit entering the 4th quarter, and one that they took to OT after trailing by 14 points in the third quarter. A natural emotional letdown is expecting by me here today against a top tier side. NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) like the Raptors are 17-59 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to cover |
|||||||
12-23-19 | Wolves v. Warriors +2 | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Minnesota now on a 10 game losing streak enters this game on tired legs as they play their 3rd road game in 4 nights, which gives the depleted Warriors a chance for a rare victory here tonight. The Timberwolves are 0-10 ATS/SU l/10 off a game as a dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. The Timberwolves are 0-11 ATS 1/10 SU with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes. MINNESOTA is 5-13 ATS versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. NBA team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) - poor three point shooting team (33% or less) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or worse), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 13-34 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
|||||||
12-23-19 | Rockets v. Kings +6 | 113-104 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
One of Sacramento's biggest moments of the season occurred when it edged the Rockets 119-118 in Houston on Dec. 9 and Im betting the Kings have what it takes to hang tough at home here again tonight.NBA Teams like The rockets are 1-14 ATS /SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. Houston is off a big shooting effort last time out scoring 139 points in a win vs the Suns and now Im expecting a regressionary effort. The Rockets are 3-20-1 ATS on the road off a win as a favorite in which they shot over 55% from the field. D'Antoni is 10-22 ATS after scoring 130 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON. NBA Teams like the Kings are 20-2 ATS /21-1 SU with less than two days rest off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home .The Kings are 23-5 ATS L/28 with rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc.SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
|||||||
12-23-19 | Nuggets v. Suns +3.5 | 113-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The Nuggets' two victories vs the Suns this season did not come easily. Denver won by a point in overtime in its home opener on Oct. 15, then by 12 a month later in a game the Suns were lead in the fourth quarter. Now with double revenge on board Im betting on Devon Booker and company to give Denver fits tonight. PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. The Suns are 16-1 ATS L/17 at home with less than two days rest off a loss in which they allowed their opponent to exceed their season-to-date shooting percentage by 10 points. DENVER is 3-12 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA Teams like the Suns are 13-0-2 ATS off a loss in a home game in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers. NBA teams like the Suns are 1-24 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick with no rest off a win as a dog after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. NBA Road teams (DENVER) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 21-51 ATS L/5 seasons for. go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
|||||||
12-23-19 | Wizards v. Knicks -3 | 121-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
The Knicks had been showing signs of late of late, but then fell back down to earth against superior competition, here against a Wizards team that they can handle I expect a top tier effort on their own home court. WASHINGTON is 7-17 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 8-20 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. NBA Teams like the Knicks are 17-1 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss when the total is at least 15 points more than their season-to-date average. NBA. Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, in December games are 32-12 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
|||||||
12-23-19 | 76ers v. Pistons +5.5 | 125-109 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The Sixers' offensive flow was disrupted by zone defenses during a recent 3 game losing streak. They averaged 97 points while falling to Brooklyn, Miami and Dallas. Personally I have not liked the flow of the Sixers for a few seasons now, and despite of their talent , are to choppy of a team to garner my respect against the best teams in this league. I know Detroit is not a top tier team, but HC Casey is an astute enough student of the game, to know how to implement a defensive game plan that can slow the Sixers here , making the home team in my humble betting opinion a solid underdog in this spot play. |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Pacers v. Bucks -7.5 | 89-117 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
The Pacers have won 13 of their last 16 games heading into the tilt with Milwaukee (26-4), which has emerged victorious in 20 of 21 contests and is off to its best 30-game start since 1971-72. The Pacers record will have the Bucks wide awake and ready to send a message to the Pacers here at home giving us an edge with one of the NBA most explosive teams at home. MILWAUKEE is 10-2 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. MILWAUKEE is 22-5 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Budenholzer is 36-17 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of MILWAUKEE. The Bucks are 13-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with less than two days rest facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at 20.2 ppg. The Pacers are 0-11 ATS /SU on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.3 ppg. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 9-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Clippers v. Thunder +2 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
The Clippers will rest leading scorer Kawhi Leonard against the Thunder after he played Saturday night in a 134-109 win at the San Antonio Spurs. With the Clippers on tired legs and Im betting there is an advantage for a home side, that has won 3 straight in front of their own fans. OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. The Thunder are 20-4-1 ATS L/25 as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in which they shot over 50% from the field. NBA teams like the Clippers are 3-20-1 ATS L/24 as a road favorite with no rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc. Oklahoma City has won 4 straight at home in this series. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Hornets +13 v. Celtics | 93-119 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
Charlotte enters the contest on a back-to-back, losing 114-107 at home to the Utah Jazz on Saturday night , but will not be reserved here tonight knowing they will have a holiday break to rest up coming their way after tonight. Injuries may also slow the Celtics here tonight as , forward Gordon Hayward (sore left foot), guard Marcus Smart (left eye infection) and big men Vincent Poirier (right pinkie fracture) and Robert Williams III (left hip) all missing the last two games. Hayward is questionable Sunday, as he was Friday, but the other three have been ruled out. CHARLOTTE is 22-7 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. The Celtics are 0-10 ATS L/10 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win as a home favorite in which their assists increased by at least 10 from the game before.The Celtics are 7-25 ATS L/32 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest after they shot over 50% from the field. Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Mavs v. Raptors OVER 217.5 | 107-110 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Even with Luka Doncic sitting out his third game with a sprained ankle Friday night, the Mavericks defeated the host Philadelphia 76ers 117-98 and are not missing a beat offensively without their star guard int the lineup. Tonight against the injury depleted Raptors Im expecting them to keep rolling offensively, and for the Raptors deep bench to answer back with some offensive fireworks of their own in a game that eclipses this total. |
|||||||
12-21-19 | Wolves v. Blazers -6.5 | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Minnesota arrives in the Pacific Northwest with a nine-game losing streak while the Trail Blazers are starting to get into a rhythm. After playing in the high altitudes of Denver last night, the Wolves , are fade material on this line. Note. Towns a key Woves offensive weapon is expected to miss tonight and if he does play is less than 100%. Portland is 4-0 SU/ATS as hosts here in Oregon of late and Im betting on the Blazers getting it done again. The Timberwolves are 0-13-1 ATS /0-14 SU as a road dog with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.The Timberwolves are 1-16-1 ATS /1-17 SU as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game. The Trailblazers are 16-1-1 ATS /17-1 SU at home with less than two days rest off a 10+ win after a game in which their opponents points per field goal attempt was less than one. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 26-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
|||||||
12-21-19 | Rockets v. Suns +6.5 | 139-125 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
The Suns will have their star Devon Booker in the lineup tonight here at home vs the Houston Rockets, and according to my projections are viable dogs . Meanwhile, the Rockets are off a very hard fought victory vs the Clippers last Time out and may not have the energy to operate at full steam here tonight vs a side that Im sure their over looking.The Rockets are 2-16 ATS L/18 as a road favorite off a road game after a game that was tied 5+ times including 1-9 SU L/10 and 0-10 ATS. The Suns have revenge on board for a loss 115-109 loss to the Rockets earlier this season. PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season. Williams is 100-67 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points in all games he has coached. NBA Teams like the Suns are 36-9-1 ATS -35-11 SU at home with no rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making more than 20 free throws per game. NBA Teams like the Suns are 25-4-1 ATS / as a dog with no rest off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
|||||||
12-21-19 | Kings -1 v. Grizzlies | 115-119 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
I know the Kings played last night in a loss vs the Pacers, but so did the Grizzlies . I keep my own conditioning charts on on NBA teams, and the Kings rank higher in their ability to perform on back to back games, and get my support here vs a team that they matchup well against in most metrics. SACRAMENTO is 10-2 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. Sacramentos SRS ranks 19th in the league at ( -2.76) while the Grizzlies SRS ranks them 25th ( -5.14). Note: SRS is a (Simple Rating System) a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. SACRAMENTO is 8-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons. The Kings are 31-3 ATS L/34 on the road off a game as a dog facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc. The Grizzlies are 2-20-1 ATS /2-21 SU as a dog off a loss in which their opponent made at least 10 more free throws. NBA Teams like the Kings are 33-8-1 ATS /33-9 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with no rest off a loss in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 1-18 ATS /SU as a home dog after playing as a road favorite when they are off two games in which their opponent scored 10+ more points than their respective averages Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
|||||||
12-20-19 | Pelicans v. Warriors +1.5 | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
New Orleans enters this game exhausted and on tired legs against a desperate and depleted Golden State team that still has the advantage of playing at home here tonight. NEW ORLEANS is 17-29 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 2-15 ATS on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 6-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons here at home. The Pelicans are 0-17 ATS /SU L/17 with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point rangeThe Pelicans are 0-13 ATS /1-12 SU when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 33-63 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State Warriors to cover |
|||||||
12-20-19 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 223 | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
New Orleans is exhausted as they play their 3rd game in 4 night and 6th game in 10 days and doubt they will be prepared to run here tonight and will be mote tempered in their approach to this tilt . Meanwhile, Golden State still playing without Curry and Thompson just don't have the weapons to run and gun and will be methodical with their game plan which will help keep this tilt on the low side of the total. GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 207.8 ppg scored. The Pelicans are 3-22-1 UNDER as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a win in a road game with the average combined score of 190.3 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 2-19 OU L/21 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after playing as a road dog when they are off two games in which they held their opponent to 10+ less than they usually allow wit the combined average of 189.5 ppg scored. NBA Teams Pelicans are 1-15 UNDER L/16 when the line is within 3 of pick off a win in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with a combined average of 211.6 ppg. The Warriors are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15 as a dog with less than two days rest off a road game in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with a combined average of 191.8 ppg scored.The Warriors are 2-22-1 UNDER L/25 with rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5with a combined average of 201.2 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW ORLEANS) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 42-15 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-20-19 | Knicks +10 v. Heat | 114-129 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
The Knicks have gone 3-3 since turning over their coaching reins to Mike Miller, who has been fortunate enough to have a mostly healthy roster at his disposal. The team as a whole is playing with momentum after winning 3 of their L/4 and showing resiliency and more urgency which makes them viable underdogs in this spot vs a Miami team off a hard fought win vs Philadelphia last time out that could easily see them in a emotional letdown spot. The Heat are 2-18 ATS L/20 at home off a win in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio less than 1.5 and are 1-14 ATS L/15 at home with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio less than 1.5. NBA team (MIAMI) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a struggling team ( 25% or less) are 67-113 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
|||||||
12-20-19 | Kings +5 v. Pacers | 105-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Sacramento coach Luke Walton has his floor leader DArion Fox back on the court which makes the Kings a much more dangerous team with a already never say die chemistry surrounding it.The Pacers their hosts are playing well with four straight victories and 12 in their past 15 games but they are off a hard fought win vs the Lakers last time out and could find it hard to muster the energy to go against a Sacramento team that won't lie down without a fight.SACRAMENTO is 10-0 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. NBA Teams like the Pacers are 0-10 ATS L/10 and 2-8 SU at home with more than one day of rest off a win as a dog. The Kings are 13-0-1 ATS L/14 with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game.The Kings are 21-2-1 ATS (L/24 )on the road with rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. Play on the Kings to cover |
|||||||
12-19-19 | Rockets v. Clippers UNDER 233 | 122-117 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
The run and gun Rockets don't fit their profile lately, as they have slowed down their pace in recent games , as they look for a more balanced game plan, that focuses on defending properly in transition. Fatigue may also be playing a part, but what is obvious is that they have really put the brakes on and that Im betting effects this final score going under the projected total. Meanwhile, the Clippers are on tired legs after a 6 game road trip , and now here at home Im expecting a more muted effort as they get used to home cooking again. It must also be noted that the Clippers own the best home D rating in the league at 99.2 ppg and are more than capable of slowing Harden and company. HOUSTON is 21-9 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.D'Antoni is 10-1 UNDER in road games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less as the coach of HOUSTON ( Clippers beat the Rockets back in November) NBA Teams like Houston are 0-14-1 UNDER on the road off a home game after a win in which they trailed after the third with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored. The Rockets are 0-13-2 UNDER on the road off a win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with a combined average of 210.1 ppg scored. NBA team (HOUSTON /LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in December games are 64-22 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 50-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-19-19 | Nets +3 v. Spurs | 105-118 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Brooklyn has come a long way over the last few seasons, and San Antonio is now starting to play at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, and are not reliable favorites.The Nets are a hard working team with a never say die attitude, something that is missing from the framework and mindset of this current group of Spurs players. Im taking the points here with the visitor. NBA Teams like Brooklyn are 12-0 ATS as a dog with less than two days rest after they scored more than 50 points in the paint. SAN ANTONIO is 0-12 ATS L/12 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. NBA Teams like the Spurs are 0-17-1 ATS /0-18 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half. The Nets are 16-2 ATS L/18 as a dog with rest off a win as a favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
|||||||
12-19-19 | Jazz v. Hawks UNDER 225 | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
The Hawks previous to a high scoring back in forth affair in their L/game, have had problems scoring in their previous 3 games, scoring 102, 100, and 96 points respectively with all 3 tilts staying under the total. Atlanta has taken part in some explosive offensive games, in the last few seasons, but more often than not they struggle to be a consistent offensive force, and here tonight against a Utah side that owns the 8th best ppg D, in the league another one of those games Im betting develops. With that said, Im recommending we take an under stance here this evening. The Jazz are 1-17 UNDER L/18 with rest off a win in a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times with a combined average score of 200.1ppg scored, with none of the games eclipsing this total. NBA Teams like the Jazz are 7-36-3 UNDER as a road favorite with rest off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 220.4 pig scored. The Hawks are 3-29 UNDER L/32 at home with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in a road game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 185.4 ppg scored. The Hawks are 1-23 UNDER L/24 as a home dog off a road game after being outscored in the paint by double digits with a combined average score of 187.4 ppg going on the scoreboard . NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 27-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-18-19 | Celtics -2.5 v. Mavs | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Dallas enters this game without their best player Doncic and despite Mavericks winning last time out vs Milwaukee are still be listed as underdogs vs the visiting Boston Celtics. The Mavericks without their star found a way to beat Milwaukee, but the Celtics wont be over looking them like the Bucks were, and this time around Doncic presence will be missed. Add to that I expect the Mavs to be in a huge emotional letdown spot after that win vs the Bucks and we have value with the short road favorite. The Celtics are 15-0-1 ATS (L/16 on the road after a game as a home dog in which rebounding less than 20% of their own misses. The Mavericks are 2-21-1 ATS L/24 at home with less than two days rest off a win in a road game in which they had 6+ double digit scorers. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
|||||||
12-18-19 | Heat v. 76ers -7 | 108-104 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Sixers (20-8) will enter this game against the Heat (19-8) as the second-best team in the Eastern Conference and holding a perfect 14-0 SU home record with Joel Embiid expected in the lineup tonight after missing his last start with a respiratory issue. Meanwhile, Miami continues to be tough out, but [PG] 12/18/2019 - Goran Dragic is downgraded to OUT Wednesday vs Philadelphia ( Groin )[SF] 12/17/2019 - Justise Winslow is downgraded to OUT Wednesday vs Philadelphia ( Back ) expected this miss the short handed Heat my not be as viable as usual as underdog in this spot play vs a side that thrives at home, and out looking for redemption after a ugly DD loss last time out. PHILADELPHIA is 37-21 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff of +8 . |
|||||||
12-17-19 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 225 | 99-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
Devon Booker is out for the Suns tonight which Im betting effects their offensive flow and the total combined score of this tilt.Cameron Johnson (hip), and Tyler Johnson (illness) are also out and despite of Deandre Ayton returning from his 25 game suspension his time will be limited . Im expecting the top tier LA Clippers D to really make life difficult for the Suns tonight in a more grinding affair than the lines-makers might expect. NBA Teams like the Clippers are 7-31 UNDER L/28 at home with more than one day of rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average score of 215 ppg going on the board. NBA teams like the Suns Teams are 1-14-1 UNDER L/15 as a road dog off a loss in a home game in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 215.7 ppg scored. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more, off a close road loss of 3 points or less are 42-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHOENIX) - off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, on Tuesday nights are 29-6 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors, Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-17-19 | Kings v. Hornets +5 | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Charlotte has won and covered 4 of the L/5 games in this series and have won the two most recent tilts here at home vs the Kings. The Hornets were playing well of late having won 4 straight before a ugly effort vs the Pacers last time shooting just 30.8% from the floor and made just five triples on 32 attempts in a 107-85 loss. However, in the past the Hornets have rebounded well from a bad shooting effort, and are 13-3 ATS in home games after 2 straight games where they made 39% of their shots or worse. I know Sacramento is proving themselves a well coached team, but this will be their 6th road game in their L/8 overall, and 8th game in just two weeks, so their on tired legs here and could easily be over looking their opponent. The Kings are 1-21 ATS /0-22 SU L/22 on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. The Hornets are 16-1-1 ATS /17-2 SU L/19 at home with rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - in non-conference games, off a road win by 10 points or more are 46-88 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
|||||||
12-16-19 | Blazers v. Suns | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
Both these teams are playing sub par .500 hoops. The Suns have been up trending this season ,but are still not a consistent side and have nosed dived of late losing 10 of their L/14 after a fast start. Meanwhile, Portland is struggling more than I anticipated but they have a solid experienced core, and Im betting they will right their proverbial ship. This particular matchup according to my power rankings suggests the Blazers have an edge on a short line and they get my support here tonight. Injury update: Suns guard Devin Booker is 50% (forearm) and this struggling team will have to get through one more game without center Deandre Ayton who has one last game to serve on his suspension. The Blazers have won 10 straight meetings in this series and Im betting they nail another one here tonight. The Trailblazers are 11-0 ATS /10-1 SU with more than one day of rest off a game as a dog in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws. NBA Teams like the Blazers are 24-4-1 ATS /23-6 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a 10+ loss as a road dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.Teams like the Suns are 0-10 ATS /1-9 SU at home facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover |
|||||||
12-16-19 | Mavs v. Bucks -11 | 120-116 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Mavericks Star Guard Doncic suffered a sprained right ankle Saturday, and will be out here tonight, and probably longer. This Mavs team is going to suffer operating on the perimeter. With that said, I just cant see, Kristaps Porzginis being able to ramp up the offence on his own, and add to that he has not shot well on the road this season. This Milwaukee team reminds me of Golden States recent super squads , and because of that this 11 point spread is not scaring me off in the least in a game I see as an easy DD victory for the Bucks. The Bucks are 14-0-1 ATS /15-0 SU as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. All wins came by 11 points or more with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18.8 ppg. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
|||||||
12-16-19 | Wizards v. Pistons UNDER 229.5 | 133-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Pistons key starter Griffin sat during the second half of the Pistons' 115-107 victory at Houston due to left knee soreness and is not 100% entering this game and could easily not play or see limited action. This will effect the offensive flow of the Pistons and instead they will have to rely on what is looking like a solid defence that is up-trending as was evident when they held Harden and company to a low offensive output last time out. Meanwhile, Washingtons front court is also banged up. Second-year big man Moritz Wagner sat out on Saturday due to a left ankle sprain. Starter Thomas Bryant is weeks away from returning due to a stress reaction in his right foot. I know that the Wizards D, is atrocious but , with Motowns pace (ranked 23rd in the league) Washingtons D will not be under alot of stress, and the game as a whole should be slower and lower scoring than the line estimations . DETROIT is 24-11 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.9 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Wizards are 1-17 UNDER L/18 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points with a combined average of 211.9 ppg scored. NBA Teams like Detroit are 0-13 UNDER L/13 with rest off a win in a road game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with a combined average of 206.1 ppg going on the board. (The Wizards won the first meeting between the teams on Nov. 4, 115-99.) Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-16-19 | Wizards +5 v. Pistons | 133-119 | Win | 100 | 1 h 36 m | Show | |
The Wizards won the first meeting between the teams on Nov. 4, 115-99. Bradley Beal led six Washington players in double figures with 22 points and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here. Teams the Wizards are 37-9 ATS /42-6 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss as a road dog after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. NBA Teams are 0-13-1 ATS /1-14 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick after a game as a road dog in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint. Teams like Detroit are 4-24 ATS at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after playing as a road dog LATE STEAM Wizards to cover |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Lakers v. Hawks +12 | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
The Lakers won their 13th road game in a row and moved 20 games over .500 with a 113-110 triumph on Friday vs Miami. However that was a very physical tiring game vs the Heat , and Im sure the Lakers have the bumps and bruises to show for it . Thanks to the Lakers perceived invincibility and the Hawks ineptitude we have a value line to bet into with the home underdog Hawks. Note: With Hawks as healthy as they've been all year Im betting they put up a fight tonight. LA LAKERS are 13-24 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. The Hawks are 11-0 ATS L/11 as a dog off a 10+ loss in a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times. NBA Teams like LAL are 0-10 ATS L/10 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite in which they had more than 10 refereed turnovers. NBA Road teams (LA LAKERS) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team ( 75% or more ) playing a terrible team (25% or less) are 6-26 ATS L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Magic +1.5 v. Pelicans | 130-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans have lost 11 straight games and Im betting that won't end today vs a Orlando side that matches up well against them.NEW ORLEANS is 1-9 ATS after 5 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Gentry is 11-30 ATS against Southeast division opponents as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Orlando has won their L/2 visits to New Orleans. NEW ORLEANS is 16-28 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 12-25 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons The Pelicans are 0-16 ATS /SU with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range. The Pelicans are 0-12-2 ATS/1-13 SU with less than two days rest after they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers. NBA Teams like Orlando are 12-0-1 ATS L/13 with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers. Play on Orlando to cover |
|||||||
12-14-19 | Thunder v. Nuggets -6.5 | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
The Thunder have dropped four straight visits in Denver and lost the last six overall matchups. Last season, they went 0-4 against the Nuggets with the losing margins all between seven and 11 points. Rinse an repeat situation on board here. The Nuggets are 15-0 ATS/SU as a home favorite with rest off a win in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with the average margin of victory coming by 16.4 ppg. NBA Teams likr the Thunder are 0-11 ATS /SU L/11 with more than one day of rest off a loss as a road dog when they are off two games in which their opponent scored 10+ less than their respective averages with he average margin loss coming by 19 ppg. Play on Denver to cover |
|||||||
12-14-19 | Pistons v. Rockets OVER 225 | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
San Antonio ranks 25th in the NBA in ppg allowed (115.5 ppg) while Phoenix is ranked 5th in ppg offence, and rank 23rd in defence and 8th in pace. Key starter Booker is expected to start today for the Suns despite of being slated in as questionable because of arm contusion. With the NBA sending out subliminal messages , and wanting to put a show on for this Mexico city crowd look for a run and gun game that sails over the total. The Suns are 11-0 OVER L/11 at home off a loss with a combined average score of 245.5 ppg scored.The Suns are 10-0 OVER off a loss after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 244.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Teams are 11-0 OVER L/11 on the road off a loss as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 23 fouls per game with a combined average of 240.7 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 20-7 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 season with a combined average of 234.7 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days against opponent well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 39-13 OVER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-14-19 | Heat v. Mavs UNDER 216.5 | 122-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The Miami defence showed it metal when it went against the West's best in the Los Angeles Lakers losing a hard fought 113-110 decision on Friday night. Going against Anthony Davis and LeBron James is no small task, and Im betting they will be ready to grind away on Dallas tonight and wont have the legs to run in gun after playing last night. The Heat are 1-14 UNDER L/15 as a dog off a loss in a home game when playing on Saturday with no rest with a combined average of 170.4 ppg. The Heat are 0-10 UNDER L/10 after playing as a home dog facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average of 187.5 ppg scored. NBA Teams are 54-102-2 L158 UNDER at home after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent that has a season-to-date average points per FGA of better than 1.3 with a combined average of 208.3 ppg scored. NBA team (DALLAS) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in December games are 64-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-14-19 | Cavs +13 v. Bucks | 108-125 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
I couldn't help but notice that the Bucks were trying to pace themselves last night knowing they had back to back games, but because of this they had to really work hard at the end of their game vs Memphis to get the win and subsequent cover . That will have a already tired team playing 3rd game in 4 nights even more winded here as this game progresses.Note: The Bucks are 1-21 ATS L/22 at home with less than two days rest off a road game after a win in which they trailed after the third. NBA Teams like Cleveland are 22-6 ATS and 11-1 SU L/12 on the road off a win facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc.( The Cavs beat San Antonio 117-109 their last time out.) NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a struggling team (25% or less) are 27-56 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
|||||||
12-14-19 | Spurs v. Suns OVER 226 | 121-119 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
San Antonio ranks 25th in the NBA in ppg allowed (115.5 ppg) while Phoenix is ranked 5th in ppg offence, and rank 23rd in defence and 8th in pace. Key starter Booker is expected to start today for the Suns despite of being slated in as questionable because of arm contusion. With the NBA sending out subliminal messages , and wanting to put a show on for this Mexico city crowd look for a run and gun game that sails over the total. The Suns are 11-0 OVER L/11 at home off a loss with a combined average score of 245.5 ppg scored.The Suns are 10-0 OVER off a loss after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 244.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Teams are 11-0 OVER L/11 on the road off a loss as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 23 fouls per game with a combined average of 240.7 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 20-7 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 season with a combined average of 234.7 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days against opponent well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 39-13 OVER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-14-19 | Spurs +2.5 v. Suns | 121-119 | Win | 100 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
Suns' leading scorer Devin Booker is expected to miss this game. ( late update). Which gives the Spurs an edge here. The Suns are 4-25-1 ATS 2-28 SU L/30 with more than one day of rest after a game that was tied 5+ times. The Spurs are 11-0 ATS /10-1 SU L/11on the road with rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds. SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 123-73 ATS L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on San Antonio to cover |
|||||||
12-13-19 | Bucks -9 v. Grizzlies | 127-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The Bucks enter this game on a 16 game win streak, and must be respected here a hefty road chalk vs a Grizzlies team that lost 10 of their 13 tilts as hosts this season. Even If Giannis Antetokounmpo cant play it must be noted the Bucks own a +8.8 Net Rating when he is not playing which ranks rank fourth in the league .Considering the Grizzlies are without two key players Ja Morant and Brandon Clarke the Bucks have a very hefty edge. Injury update: Bucks super star Antetokounmpo is listed questionable in advance of Friday's game. He sat out of Wednesday's win with a sore quad tendon, and with this being a back to back spot could easily sit tonight. Despite of this the Bucks are still the superiror side. Budenholzer is 14-4 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of MILWAUKEE. The Bucks are 13-0-1 ATS /14-0 SU as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with every victory coming by at least 10 points. NBA Teams like the Bucks are 12-0 ATS/SU as a 8+ favorite off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with he average margin victory coming by +19.2 ppg. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 38-1 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12 ppg. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
|||||||
12-13-19 | Pelicans v. 76ers UNDER 223 | 109-116 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
New Orleans is really struggling to score of late and have mustered an average of 105.6 ppg in their L/5 overall, while not going above 97 points in two of those tilts. They are trying to shore up their D, so that offence is suffering because of a lack of flow. Overall the Pelicans have gone under in 6 of their L/8 overall. Meanwhile, the Sixers are allowing an average of just 98.2 ppg at home this season, with the average combined score of their games as hosts clicking in at 209 ppg. Tonight Im betting the Sixers red ranked ppg D, to stand tall and for New Orleans to suffer offensively which will directly effect this game staying under the total. The Pelicans are 0-11 L/11 UNDER as a 8+ dog with rest off a game as a dog in which they scored a least 18 fast break points with a combined average of 197.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 0-11 UNDER L/11 with rest off a road game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses with a. combined average of 201.9 ppg scored. The Seventysixers are 1-16 UNDER L/17 with no rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with a combined average of just 186.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -5.5 | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
Denver after having lost 5 of their L/6 look to bounce back at home game against Northwest Division rivals Portland. This is a pretty good Denver side, that is desperate for a win and Im betting they come out here and play like their hairs on fire in what will be a victory and cover situation. ( Denver beat the Blazers 108-100 on the road earlier this season and matchup well against any formations Portland comes up with) NBA teams like Denver are 12-0 ATS/SU covering by more than (17.04 ppg) as a home favorite off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with the average ppg diff clicking in at 25 ppg.The Nuggets are 15-1 ATS covering by more than 11.5 ppg and 16-0 SU off a loss as a road dog in which they scored 10 or more points in the first than the fourth quarter with the average ppg diff clicking in at 11.8 ppg. NBA Teams like Portland are 0-12 ATS/SU L/12 as a dog with rest after a game as a home favorite in which allowing 15+ points less than Vegas projected with the average ppg diff clicking in at -14 ppg.The Trailblazers are 2-18-1 ATS 1-21 SU as a road dog with less than two days rest after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game. Injury update: Denvers Jamal Murray is listed questionable for Thursday's game after leaving Tuesday's loss with a right trunk contusion. Murray however, says on Instagram that he's fine, and that he'll be good to go. Play on Denver to cover |
|||||||
12-12-19 | Mavs v. Pistons UNDER 219.5 | 122-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
analysis to follow-thank you for your patience The Dallas Mavericks and Detroit Pistons square off in Mexico City on Thursday night in a game I have pegged to be a lower scoring affair as compared to the total being offered. Detroit owns the 20th ranked offence in the NBA behind the 23rd ranked pace, and 14th ranked ppg defence . Meanwhile, Dallas ranks 15th in ppg allowed and 20th in pace, and thanks to above average 3 point conversion rate shooting are ranked 3rd in ppg offence thanks to a top tier 3 point conversion rate that is due for regression . Today in a neutral court environment I expect both sides to not have the same flow as they would when playing at home in the US, and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. NBA Teams Dallas have gone UNDER 13 straight times as a road favorite after their opponent shot over 50% from the field with the combined average of 204.6 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Mavericks are 9-38 OU L/47 at home with more than one day of rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 214.6 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Pistons have gone under 13 straight times with more than one day of rest off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 202. 8 ppg scored. NBA DETROIT is 23-11 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-11-19 | Grizzlies v. Suns OVER 231 | 115-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The Suns rank 5th in offence in the league but just 22nd in ppg allowed and are the 8th ranked pace and will once again come right at their opponents tonight which will bring them otu of their shell in a chase mode, which will result Im betting in a high scoring affair that eclipses this total. PHOENIX is 8-0 OVER in home games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 10-2 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 236.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Teams are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a dog off a win as a road dog in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 233.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a struggling team (25-40%) are 24-5 OVER L/23 seasons with a combined average score of more than 231 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-11-19 | Lakers -7 v. Magic | 96-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The Lakers have won 21 of their next 23 overall, including 11 in a row on the road and once again look like a viable road favorite in Orlando tonight. With James and Davis showing some great chemistry the rest of this team has also upgraded its game, and look like dangerous championship contenders if they can stay healthy. The Lakers are 10-0 ATS /SU off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.2 ppg. NBA Teams like the Magic are 1-14 ATS as a home dog off a loss facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
|||||||
12-10-19 | Nuggets v. 76ers UNDER 206 | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
The Nuggets enter this game vs the 76ers are holding opponents to an NBA-low 101.9 points per game, and once again will look to grind it out vs a top tier foe in Philadelphia. NBA Teams like the Nuggets are 0-13 UNDER as a dog with rest off a loss as a road favorite in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes. The Seventysixers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 with rest off a win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. NBA Teams like the 76ers are 0-11 UNDER L/11 with rest off a win when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with the combined average of 203.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), first half of the season are 112-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors, NBA team (DENVER) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 28-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in December games are 60-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 204 ppg. |
|||||||
12-10-19 | Hawks +9 v. Heat | 121-135 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
The Heat beat the Hawks twice in a three-day, home-and-home series in October, taking 112-97 victory at home on a night when Atlanta star Trae Young suffered a sprained right ankle, then 106-97 two days later in Atlanta when Young had to take the night off. Now The Heat face a healthy Young this time around, and will have their hands full dealing with a emerging super star who has recorded 39 and 30 points in his last two trips to the hardwood.Young is averaging 34.4 points over his last eight games and Im betting will be the difference maker and helping his team stay within the number here tonight for a Hawks cover as dogs. The Hawks are 11-0 ATS L/11 on the road off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game. The Heat are 0-14 ATSL/14 at home off a win as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points. The Heat are 3-18-1 ATS L/21 at home with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite. NBA Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - off a road win, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 48-18 ATS L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
|||||||
12-10-19 | Nuggets v. 76ers -4 | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Josh Richardson with a +10.1 Net rating mark is expected play tonight for the76ers. His presence is important from a metrics standpoint as when Philly have their full starting 5 playing they are lights out dominate with a +21.3 Net Rating over 9 games - which equates to a full 121 minutes. Meanwhile, with Denver continuing to struggle to score consistently , while losing 4 of their L/5, they are at a disadvantage as they play their 4th straight road game on tired legs vs a team with revenge on board or a defeat at Denver earlier this season. Note: Philadelphia is 12-0 SU at home this season. NBA Teams like Denver are 1-15-1 ATS /1-17SU as a dog off a loss as a road favorite when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with the average ppt diff clicking at -12.1 ppg. NBA Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 24-3 SU L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at +9.6 ppg. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
|||||||
12-09-19 | Wolves v. Suns -4 | 109-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
The Suns finished off a 2-2 road trip with a 115-119 loss at Houston on Saturday but pushed the Rockets to the wire and are gaining my respect with their play and showing an up -trend in my power rankings . The Suns' five took a 100-98 victory in Minnesota earlier in the season, and matchup well here vs a side that is playing back to back games and their 4th straight road game and now on tired legs and vulnerable to a down effort. Injury update: Coach Monty Williams was hopeful following Sunday's practice that key player Baynes could return Monday, and the Suns have listed Baynes questionable as he deals with a strained calf. Dario Saric (back) and Mikal Bridges (finger) are probable. The Timberwolves are 1-16 ATS L/17 on the road after they shot over 50% from the field which was the case vs the Lakers in a loss last night. Timberwolves are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. NBA Teams like the Suns are 16-1 ATS /SU with less than two days rest off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home covering by more than 13.47 ppg. NBA Teams are 10-0 ATS/SU with rest off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home covering by more than 16.6 ppg. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, playing with 2 days rest are 50-83 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phoenix to cover |
|||||||
12-09-19 | Raptors -5 v. Bulls | 93-92 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Both these teams are off playing last night, with the Raptors suffering their 3rd straight loss in Philadelphia , while the Bulls lost in OT in a hard fought affair at Miami that will now have them in a letdown spot. The more desperate and more motivated team is the defending league champion Raptors, and Im backing them here tonight in place ( Chicago ) where they have won and covered their L/5 visits which includes a 104-86 win on Oct 26th here in Chicago. NBA Teams like the Bulls are 7-31 ATS/5-33 SU as a home dog off a game as a dog in which they had overtime. NBA Teams are 19-2 ATS /19-2 SU as a road favorite off a loss in which their opponent had overtime.NBA Teams are 16-1 ATS /SU with less than two days rest off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home covering by more than 14.45 pig. NBA Teams are 12-0-1 ATS /13-0 SU as a road favorite with no rest off a loss in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. The Bulls are 1-13 ATS /SU as a home dog after they had more than 30 fouls.(Which was the case in Miami last night) CHICAGO is 19-34 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons.CHICAGO is 6-16 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
|||||||
12-09-19 | Kings v. Rockets UNDER 226.5 | 119-118 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 52 m | Show | |
Sacramento has the 26th ranked offensive output in the league and the slowest pace, and here agains the explosive Rockets, they will be ready to make this a grinder that helps keep this on the low side of the total. The Kings are 0-14 UNDER as a dog with no rest off a win after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses with a combined average of 199.1 ppg scored. The Rockets are 0-15-3 UNDER L/18 with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP with a combined average of 215.7 ppg. NBA Teams are 4-24 UNDER as a favorite with rest off a win facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game with a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's are 29-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. LATE STEAM ( UNDER) |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Wolves v. Lakers -11 | 125-142 | Win | 101 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Lakers are red hot entering this home game against Minnesota as they are off a three-game road swing that eneded with a 136-113 win over the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday for their 11th consecutive road win.The Lakers have won three in a row and 13 of their last 14 contests. Meanwhile, Minnesota is off 3 straight losses, and on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 nights. The way the Lakers are running over opponents its actually not a hard decision to lay this many points with them here at home. NBA Road teams (MINNESOTA) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games are 1-27 SU L/28 times with -13 ppg average diff. NBA Home favorites (LA LAKERS) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 33-2 L/35 opportunities with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.3 ppg. NBA Home favorites (LA LAKERS) - after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 45-17 ATS L/23 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Bulls v. Heat -7.5 | 105-110 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Miami is off to the best home start (9-0) in franchise history and is 10 games over .500 overall and take on a Chicago team that has won back to back games. I know the Bulls are playing well right now but they just do not matchup well vs the Heat. The Heat rank 9th in the league in SRS at 4.84 while the Bulls rank 24th at -4.85 . Using my power rankings index and home court advantage of the Heat are closer to -12 favs here when factoring in both sides overall performance charts, giving us value with Miami according to my projections. Note:SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. CHICAGO is 6-16 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.2 ppg. Play on Miami to cover |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Raptors +3 v. 76ers | 104-110 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers will be looking to improve 12-0 at home when they host the defending-champion Toronto Raptors (15-6 SU) on Sunday. In contrarian fashion Im betting that the Sixers will not easily get cover here today vs a motivated talented and experienced team that looks to end a 2 game losing streak. QUOTE:"You don't overreact when you're 15-4, and you don't overreact when you're now 15-6," HC Nurse said. "Just get back going to work and taking them as they come, because you're probably gonna win quite a few games if you put the effort forward, and you're gonna slip up every now and then because that's basketball." END QUOTE. PHILADELPHIA is 14-26 ATS after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Toronto has won 5 straight meetings in this series dating back to last season. NBA Road underdogs (TORONTO) - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 94-50 ATS L/23 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on Toronto to cover |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Hawks v. Hornets OVER 224.5 | 122-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Atlanta's most-recent game against Brooklyn, saw them losing 130-118 on Wednesday night at home. The Hawks run a very fast paced offensive system, but its their defence that suffers most, as they rank 28th in the league in ppg allowed at 117.8 ppg. Much of their defensive ugliness can be attributed to carelessness especially on the road where they average18.4 turnovers per away game. Im betting nothing changes tonight here in Charlotte , in what will be an affair that goes over the set total. Note:My projections estimate both sides will score +105 points. ATLANTA is 9-0 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 245 ppg going on the scoreboard. ATLANTA is 10-0 OVER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 241 ppg going on the board. Borrego is 32-13 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 as the coach of CHARLOTTE with a combined average of 227.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (ATLANTA) - poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) against a horrible defensive team (47.5% or more) 75-41 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Nuggets v. Nets OVER 211.5 | 102-105 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 60 m | Show | |
Denver is returning to the New York area after absorbing a 108-95 loss in Boston Friday night and now knowing they have to play better offensively as Im now betting they will be more aggressive with their attack in transition against a Brooklyn side that plays a efficient style of offensive hoops behind a top 10 pace and a lower tier D ranked 20th in ppg allowed at 113.4 ppg. With that said Im betting a combined score that eclipses this Totals offering. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-07-19 | Suns v. Rockets OVER 240 | 109-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
The Houston Rockets behind the leagues No.2 offence and 2nd fastest pace has averaged 128.2 points in its last six games and Im betting will have another big effort tonight vs a 22nd ranked ppg allowed D. Meanwhile, the Suns, have allowed an average of 123.3 in their last six. But they've squeezed a pair of wins into the half-dozen, including a 139-132 overtime triumph at New Orleans on Thursday as their offence continues to show some flashes of explosiveness behind the 5th ranked offensive ppg side in the league. Im betting the Suns will do more damage here tonight against Houstons 23d ranked ppg allowed D, in what should be a chase the leader type of affair. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-06-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +4.5 | 136-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
The Portland Trail Blazers are enjoying their best stretch of the season and the play of shooting guard CJ McCollum has been a prime reason for the success. McCollum has matched a career best by scoring 20 or more points in 10 straight games and Im betting he will be key to this Blazers team covering here at home tonight vs a tired Lakers team playing tbeir 3rd road game in 4 nights, With the last two coming in the high altitudes of Utah and Denver, both of which were conclusive wins that took alot of energy to achieve.. Note: Road favorites (LA LAKERS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 19-47 ATSL/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. |
|||||||
12-06-19 | Lakers v. Blazers OVER 224 | 136-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
This game is based on my output offensive projection numbers which estimate that both these teams will eclipse the 105+ point plateau. Note: PORTLAND is 11-1 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average score of 240.9 ppg were scored. The Trailblazers are 10-0 OVER L/10 as a dog off a 10+ point home win in which they shot over 50% from the field with the average combined score clicking in at 229.1 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%), in December games are 44-17 OVER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-06-19 | Clippers v. Bucks -3.5 | 91-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
The Eastern Conference-leading Milwaukee Bucks are red hot and on a 13-game winning streak as hey enter this home matchup Friday against the Los Angeles Clippers, a side that have nine victories in their last 10 games. Budenholzer is 11-2 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game as the coach of MILWAUKEE. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a team with a winning record are 28-3 L/23 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.3 ppg. |
|||||||
12-06-19 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Celtics | 95-108 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
The consistent Denver Nuggets began their four-game East Coast trip in dominating fashion Thursday, blowing out the New York Knicks by 37 points and enter into this game with momentum .The Nuggets must not be underestimated despite of this being a back to back situation against a top tier Boston Celtics side. Note:Denver HC Malone is 25-11 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days in all games he has coached. Play on Denver to cover |
|||||||
12-06-19 | Warriors +4.5 v. Bulls | 100-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Golden State has lost four games in a row and seven of the past eight, but the one victory during that stretch was a 104-90 decision over the Bulls . This Bulls team is a side the young Warriors matchup well against and deserve our backing here on a plus line. CHICAGO is 18-32 ATS in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons CHICAGO is 1-9 ATS in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 35-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
|||||||
12-06-19 | Wolves v. Thunder UNDER 220 | 127-139 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
The Thunder are a deliberate defense first team trying to find a groove. Oklahoma City ranks 22nd in ppg offensive output, 12 th in ppg allowed, and 23rd in pace. Meanwhile, the Wolves like to run and gun, but will play down to another teams pace, and with top scorers Wiggins and Towns not playing or seeing limited action and less than 100% their offensive flow will be effected tonight which favors a lower scoring totals output. OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-0 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.1 ppg scored. The Thunder have gone under in 6 of their L/7 as a favorite. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-05-19 | Suns v. Pelicans -3 | 139-132 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling , but the more desperate and fresher side New Orleans is on a 6 game losing streak, and now have an opponent that my power rankings suggest they can handle as was the case when they went into Phoenix Nov 21st and came out with a 124-121 victory.Im betting on a Rinse and repeat situation tonight in the Bayou vs a Suns side on tired legs after playing last night in Orlando. Suns are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Pelicans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten game are 14-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (PHOENIX) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 78-130 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
|||||||
12-05-19 | Rockets v. Raptors -2 | 119-109 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
With Raptors getting healthy and Kyle Lowry back in the lineup and active the Raptors are a dangerous side to face at home where they have lost only one game this season, and that was in OT. Meanwhile, the Rockets despite of being explosive offensively are ranked 25th in ppg allowed and that just wont get it done 4 out of 5 times against a top tier defensive team like the Raptors that ranked 5th in defensive efficiency in the league and have been hard on opposing teams top scorers like Harden. Houston lost last time out in a high scoring affair, and are just is 3-12 ATS after a combined score of 245 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 12-43 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
|||||||
12-05-19 | 76ers -7.5 v. Wizards | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers Im betting will grab their fifth straight win when they visit the banged-up Washington Wizards on Thursday night.Philadelphia has won eight of its last nine tilts overall and are off a 103-94 win over the Utah Jazz at the Wells Fargo Center. We all know the Wizards run and gun with wreckless abandon, and because of that their defence is always vulnerable. Tonight Im betting the Sixers 4th ranked D, will slow the Wizards flow down which will put the Wizards at a further disadvantage as the Sixers capable offence does more than enough damage to get us the cover. |
|||||||
12-04-19 | Lakers v. Jazz -2.5 | 121-96 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
After playing all out basketball in a win vs the Denver Nuggets in the High altitudes of Mile High city last night Im betting on the Lakers showing signs of exhaustion, and for a regression performance tonight vs a Utah Jazz team that plays their best hoops at home as is evident by their 8-1 record. Note: Denver at 5,280 feet, while Salt Lake City is only slightly lower at 4,226 feet. So lung capacity and energy levels for the visitors will be at low levels. The Jazz are 16-0 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest coming off a loss. NBA ll teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LA LAKERS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games ARE 4-27 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate . NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 5-26 ATS L/23 seasons for ago against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
|||||||
12-04-19 | Pacers v. Thunder +1 | 107-100 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
With the off season the departures of Russell Westbrook, Paul George and Jerami Grant the Thunder continue to search for consistency. Tonight after winning 3 of their L/4 overall Im betting the rested Thunder find their form again vs a Pacers side that is on tired legs and that they have revenge against for a loss they suffered in Indiana earlier this season! OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons. Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - off a road win, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 31-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (INDIANA) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 9-30 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
|||||||
12-04-19 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 211 | 93-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
The Heat enter off a 121-110 overtime win over the Raptors on Tuesday and are obviously on tired legs and will not Im betting have alot of energy tonight vs the Celtics and will play with a defensive mind set. Meanwhile, their hosts the Celtics are a defence first team , ranking 5th in ppg allowed behind a deliberate pace . that ranks 21st in the league. The above combination of betting leads to a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. BOSTON is 33-19 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.9 ppg which gives us more than a possession edge, making this a viable under situation. NBA team (MIAMI /BOSTON) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in December games are 50-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |