The Bruins  enter this game with a great W/L record by have a 45.6% expected goals rate at 5-on-5 and they are converting  at below 50% on the season. Recently in their L/5 games, the Bruins are scoring 3.6 gpg while allowing an average of just 1 gpg. Its their defence that makes them the top tier team they are and nothing will change tonight as they look to suffocate the visiting Blackhawks, as side that has averaged just 1.8 gpg in their L/5 overall. With Chicago trying to get out of a recent 3 game slide, Im betting they will also play conservatively out of transition against a dangerous opponent. Note:CHICAGO is 8-0 UNDER  after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.CHICAGO is 7-1 UNDER (+6.2 Units) off a home loss this season with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. 

Exhausted BOSTON is 7-1 UNDER  when playing their 4th game in 7 days this season with a combined average of 4.6 gpg scored. 

Play UNDER 

 GOALTENDERS: OTTAWA - ANDERS NILSSON, EDMONTON - MIKKO KOSKINEN

The Ottawa Senators are having a hard time finding the back of the net, averaging just 2.2 gpg on the road this season, and just 1.2 gpg in their L/5 overall tilts and are on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 nights, and will once again have problems scoring because of what Im betting will be a lack of energy and obvious cohesiveness. What Im betting here is that the Sens go into turtle mode, and play out of transition which will effect the games pace and offensive output.  

My projections estimate that Ottawa will not exceed a 2 goal output. Note: EDMONTON is 32-7 UNDER in home games when they allow 2 or less goals over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.8 gpg going on the board.

EDMONTON is 11-4 UNDER (+6.3 Units) against poor defensive teams - 29 or more  shots on goal, convert 17% or more  pp this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored.

NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (EDMONTON) - off a road win against a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days are 168-114 L/23 seasons for a long term 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

 Play UNDER 

 GOALTENDERS: COLORADO - PHILIPP GRUBAUER, TORONTO - MICHAEL HUTCHINSON

Toronto after making a coaching change because of lack of defence, won 3 straight games, but have now lost 2 of 3 while allowing 6 goals each time. It looks like their falling back into depending on the talented offence to do all the work, but neglecting their defensive responsibilities, something that comes natural to guys like Tavares, Marner and Martin and another dozen Leafs. Something has to change quickly, and tonight I expect the Leafs to concentrate on playing much better D, and play this game out of transition vs a Colorado side that can torch them if allowed to run and gun. 

Play UNDER 

Sergei Bobrovsky Panthers goalie has been a top tier puck stopper versus Minnesota, in his career posting one shutout, and a stingy 1.82 goals-against average and .937 save percentage in 13 career starts. But if he does not start, Chris Driedger who, made his first NHL start on Saturday,  while earning a 3-0 shutout win over the Nashville Predators could get the call tonight. Both goaltending options are strong, and will hold Minnesota to limited production according to my projections. Meanwhile, the Wild, have a recent history of playing conservatively on the road, as is evident y a  33-16  L/49 UNDER record  in a road game where where the total is 6 or more with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored. I know the Panthers D, has been inconsistent this season, but  MINNESOTA is 7-1 UNDER in road games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. 

Play UNDER 

 GOALTENDERS: VEGAS - MALCOLM SUBBAN, NY RANGERS - ALEXANDAR GEORGIEV

New York, which will be playing its eighth game in 13 days is on tired legs and will Im betting play this game in transition , which will effect the offensive flow of this tilt. Meanwhile, Vegas has only scored 11 goals total in their L/5 games, and have averaged just 2.6 gpg on the road this season, and Im betting they dont eclipse that mark tonight, while their D and goaltending hold the Rangers to a limited output as well. 

NY RANGERS are 9-3 UNDER in home games against mistake free teams - opponents 4 or less power plays/game this season. 

Play UNDER 

Vancouver beat the Oilers last night in Edmonton by a 5-2 count, and now return home to take the Oilers on in the back and back home series. Im betting the Oilers will pay better attention to defensive play in this 2nd straight meeting, vs a side that usually comes at it with all out run and gun offence. Note: The Canucks may not be as fresh as usual and are now playing their 4th game in week, which Im betting sees them a little more lethargic than usual which will effect this total combined score to the low side of the number.

The last 3 games in this series between these teams has stayed on the low side of the Total. 

VANCOUVER is 7-0 UNDER  in home games off a road win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 4 gpg scored. VANCOUVER is 11-2 UNDER  in home games off a road win scoring 4 or more goals over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. 

EDMONTON is 18-8 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.3 pgg scored. EDMONTON is 8-2 UNDER  in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored. 

NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (VANCOUVER) - off a road win against a division rival, tired team - playing their 4th game in 7 days are 131-84 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (EDMONTON) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 90-54 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate .

Play UNDER

The Buffalo Sabres showed some scoring ability Friday afternoon when they defeated the visiting Toronto Maple Leafs 6-4. There was lots of screaming from the pundits that suggested the Leafs had already started to fall back in their ugly defensive lapses that had characterized a slide that got their head coach Mike Babcock fired. Now in the rematch I expect the Leafs to really try to shore up their D, and play with a better transitional mind set. This will effect the total combined score in this expected lower scoring rematch. BUFFALO is 8-2 UNDER (+5.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. 

NHLRoad teams where the total is 6 or more (BUFFALO) - after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games are 62-25 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

 MINNESOTA - KAAPO KAHKONEN, NEW JERSEY - LOUIS DOMINQUE

Kaapo Kahkonen will make his debut Tuesday, for the Wild .The fourth-round pick has looked solid in Iowa of the American Hockey League, where he was 7-2-1 with a 2.47 GAA and a .909 save percentage. Meanwhile, Louis Dominique the Devils goalie is a stable force between the pipes for the Devils in limited action, but his team will be weary of protecting their young goalie in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. 

NEW JERSEY is 8-0 UNDER  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Play UNDER

The red hot Dallas Stars have gotten strong goaltending from the combo of Ben Bishop (8-5-1, 2.25 goals-against average) and Anton Khudobin (6-3-1, 2.15).Khudobin (third) and Bishop (sixth) both ranked in the top six in the NHL in GAA entering Sunday. Dallas also plays a strong defensive system of hockey that bases their offence out of transition. This type of hockey is conducive to lower scoring affairs, especially when facing a side like the Vegas Knights .VEGAS is 15-4 UNDER  against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 4.6 gpg scored. VEGAS is 10-3 UNDER  in road games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better  of shots against over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg clicking in on the scoreboard.DALLAS is 31-17 UNDER in home games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored.DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. DALLAS is 18-4 UNDER  in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored. 

Play UNDER 

The Blues also are coming off a home-ice loss Saturday -- 4-1 to the Anaheim Ducks. Prior to that loss the Blues earned points in nine consecutive games, going 7-0-2 , with 8 of  9 of those games seeing them allow no more than 3 goals. Also during their current 0-1-2 winless streak, the Blues scored just five goals. Tonight against an explosive TB offense Im betting we see the Blues hunker down in disciplined fashion and turn this game into a grinding affair, with limited offensive output from both teams, which will help keep this game to the low side of what my numbers say is a slightly bloated total.ST LOUIS is 60-40 UNDER  against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for low totals bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Flyers Net minder Hart, who had a 2.83 goals-against average as a rookie last season and is at 2.50 this year, credits  veteran goalie Elliott as a mentor."Brian has been a big help to me," Hart said of Elliott, who has a 2.87 GAA. Both Flyers goalies look solid this season, as well as a D, that has allowed a total of 15 goals in their 7 games overall ( 6 of those 7 games went under the total).  Here on the road tonight Im betting on a top tier defensive effort from the Flyers, vs the Florida Panthers and a subsequent under hitting on the board. The L/3 meetings here in this series have gone under all 3 times.

PHILADELPHIA is 28-18 UNDER  in road games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.6 gpg scored.PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 UNDER  in road games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined 5.1 gpg scored.

Play on the UNDER 

The Wild are on tired legs as they will be playing their 13th road game in 18 outings to start the campaign. That will effect their defensive capabilities tonight here against a LA Kings team that plays a fairly wide open style of hockey and that takes alot of shots on net. The Wild have played 4 straight games that have gone over the total, with a combined 28 goals scored in those game for a 7 gpg combined average output. 

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 10 games when playing Minnesota.The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games

LOS ANGELES is 9-1 OVER in home games against horrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons.

Play OVER 

Ottawa has allowed 2 goals or less in 6 of their L/9 games and have taken part in 3 straight low scoring affairs that have failed to eclipse the total. Meanwhile, Carolina the Senators hosts tonight have been struggling to score finding the back of the net with 2 or less goals in 7 of their 11 overall, and have also gone under in 3 straight games, all three of which were losses. Needless to say this is the kind of game that has lower scoring tilt written all over it. 

CAROLINA is 13-4 UNDER  in home games against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg going on the board. 

CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER  in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Road teams against the total (OTTAWA) - off a home win, a struggling team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 30-7 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate . 

Play UNDER

GOALTENDERS: WASHINGTON - BRADEN HOLTBY, FLORIDA - SERGEI BOBROVSKY

Both the No. 1 goalies in this matchup -- Florida's Sergei Bobrovsky and Braden Holtby for Washington -- have had several days to rest and are expected to start on Thursday and despite of some sub par save percentages this season, are top tier goalies who will be fresh and ready to compete in a game between streaking teams.

Bobrovsky is 6-2-3 with a 3.36 goals-against average and an .882 save percentage. Holtby is 6-1-3 with a 3.30 GAA and an .895 save percentage.

Play UNDER 

The Canucks are a much-improved offensive team , but they will have to deal with a defending Stanley Cup Champion side that knows how to shut teams down and make life miserable for them in transition. Tonight Im betting on the Blues imposing their defensive will in a big way on their opponents and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total.

ST LOUIS is 9-1 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.7 gpg going on the board.

ST LOUIS is 9-1 UNDER in road games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 4.3 gpg scored.

 VANCOUVER is 6-0 UNDER  in home games off a road win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.1 gpg scored.

NHL Road teams against the total (ST LOUIS) - after a 4 game unbeaten streak, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team in the first half of the season are 56-24 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 70% conversion rate!

Play UNDER

GOALTENDERS: NEW JERSEY - CORY SCHNEIDER, CAROLINA - JAMES REIMER

Both these teams have seen some upticks in offensive production, but overall they still have a long way to go to be considered offensive juggernauts. Carolina has scored 2 goals or less in 5 of their L/8 while NJ has scored 3 goals or less in 6 of their L/9 and have averaged 0.7 gpg on the road this season . ( Carolina has allowed an average of 2.1 gpg at home this season and base their successes and failures on top tier D). Tonight Im betting the Devils will continue to have issues scoring on the road and for this contest to stay on the low side of the total. 

The L/4 meetings here in Carolina have gone under the total. 

CAROLINA is 12-4 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.4 gpg scored and is 16-7 UNDER L/23 in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored.

Play UNDER 

GOALTENDERS: DALLAS - ANTON KHUDOBIN, COLORADO - PHILIPP GRUBAUER

Only once in their L/10 games have the Dallas Stars scored more than 2 gaols. Last time out they won a by an unusual 6-3 score. Note: DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER in road games after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 4.4 gog scored. Tonight against a banged up but still explosive Colorado side, Im expecting they get back to hard forechecking and a wait game in transition vs a superior side, which will result in a lower scoring game. 

  COLORADO is 7-1 UNDER   in home games against terrible power play teams - scoring on 13%or less of their chances over the last 2 seasons with  a combined average of 4.4 gpg scored.

COLORADO is 20-7 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - off a home win, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 27-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 

When these teams played earlier this season, LA lost a ugly 8-2 decision to the Canucks. Now in redemption mode I expect that Kings do their best to be careful in transition and actually procure some kind of forechecking tonight, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. I know Vancouvers offence has been clicking of late, but it must be noted that VANCOUVER is 7-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 3.7 gpg scored.

VANCOUVER is 20-8 UNDER in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.( Nobody in the league takes more shots on net than the Kings) the average combined score of this 28 game sample size clicks in at 5.5 gpg. LOS ANGELES is 6-0 UNDER   in home games after 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 3.2 gpg going on the board.

VANCOUVER is 7-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

Home teams where the total is 6 or more (LOS ANGELES) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 39-15 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The visiting Wild fell 6-3 to the Dallas Stars on Tuesday night as they  blew a 3-0 lead in the process . Minnesota has allowed 32 goals in in their  seven losses away from home but the linesmakers are still projecting a fairly low scoring game, and Im betting their correct in their assessments.Goaltender Alex Stalock played last night for the tired Wild, so Dubnyk (2-5-0, 3.92 GAA, .880 save percentage) will likely start against the Blues. He was 3-0 with a 1.32 GAA and .947 save percentage against them last season. Im expecting his work between the pipes, and the exhausted Wilds need to play more conservatively on the road to be one of the keys of this being a low scoring game against a banged up St.Louis side playing without one of their top scorers Vladamir Tarasenko. 

MINNESOTA is 9-2 UNDER  in road games after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 season with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (MINNESOTA) - tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days, with a losing record in the first half of the season are 71-33 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

  the Sharks have struggled in their first  12 games of this season. San Jose has allowed four or more goals eight times thus far while scoring two or fewer on six occasions. QUTE: "We're playing from behind in a lot of these games," San Jose coach Peter DeBoer said, "and instead of sticking with it and trusting the group and the system, everyone wants to step out and fix it themselves, but it doesn't work that way. So eventually you have to learn that lesson." END QUOTE. Im betting that the Sharks have learned their less, and will play a more disciplined game here vs a explosive Boston Bruins team. Note:The Sharks  despite their over all struggle killed all four power plays they faced in their last contest, improving their league-leading penalty kill to 93.2 percent. Thats important here vs a Boston side, that had a power play conversion in 6 of their L/7 games overall. 

BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER  in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 season ( with a combined average score of 4.8 gpg scored)

SAN JOSE is 15-4 UNDER  in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. 

Tuukka Rask, fresh off a shutout of the defending champion St. Louis Blues on Saturday, is expected to start between the pipes for the Bruins. In his current form hes hard to beat, and is a key component here in my under projections for this tilt. 

NHL Road teams against the total (SAN JOSE) - after 2 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more against opponent after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game are 36-12 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 

Since the Penguins beat the Stars 4-2 on Oct. 18 in Pittsburgh, Dallas has won three straight games, while Pittsburgh has lost three in a row. The difference maker for the Stars is their ability to implement a NYI Barry Trotz type defensive plan, that allows them to stay close and look for the right opportunities in transition. This has been evident in their consecutive victories vs Philadelphia, Ottawa and Anaheim, by 4-1, 2-1 ,and 2-1 scores, and now with momentum and success on their sides, will Im betting continue down this path, vs the Penguins here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Note: The Penguins have only scored a total of 4 goals in their L/3 games, thanks and part to injuries , and a new found vigor for playing a tighter brand of defensive hockey.

DALLAS is 17-3 UNDER in home games after a 2 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored.DALLAS is 9-1 UNDER in home games after allowing 2 goals or less in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. 

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (DALLAS) - after a 2 game unbeaten streak, a bad team, winning 30% to 40% of their games on the season are 134-68 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

The Maple Leafs  area well  rested team that goes vs a  Sharks  side playing on back-to-back nights. The Sharks are already playing tough D, and have allowed 2 goals or less in in 3 of their L/5 overall, and will be even more conservative here vs an explosive opponent as they play on tired legs. With that said, Im betting on a combined score that stays on the low side of the number. 

SAN JOSE is 14-3 UNDER in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 season with a combined average of 5.1god scored. 

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing San Jose.

Play UNDER 

New York won its first two games by scoring 10 goals in wins over Winnipeg and Ottawa on Oct. 3 and 5, but since then, the Rangers are 0-4-1 and have been outscored 20-9 while being outshot by a 177-129 margin and now tonight Im betting red hot Buffalo lights them up , and then they have no choice but to open in a game that Im expecting to be a wide open back and forth affair. 

NY RANGERS are 16-4 lL20 OVER in home games after scoring 2 goals or less in 5 straight games with an average of 6.4 gpg scored.

NHL Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - off an home win scoring 4 or more goals, top level team, winning 70% or more of their games on the season are 52-24 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Both these teams have alot of offensive firepower, but these veteran filled sides also, take pride in not taking part in run and gun affairs, vs sides they respect.  Instead Im betting on a more conservative tilt that will feature strong defensive  and  base  offensive chances on transitional play. With Pittsburgh on tired legs  playing tbeir 8th game in 14 days and suddenly finding it hard to score in their last two games( 2 goals total) Im betting they will be even more conservative than usual. 

Note:PITTSBURGH is 24-15 UNDER  in road games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6 gpg scored. 

Play UNDER 

The Vegas Knights are on tired legs as they play their 3rd road game in 4 nights and will not be prepared to run and gun tonight and instead Im betting they will play more conservatively in transition.  Especially after  a sloppy 6-2 loss at Philadelphia  last time out. Meanwhile, their hosts the Chicago Blackhawks are a team that has a renewed respect for fore checking and solid defensive play , as has been evident of late , by going under the total in 3 of their L/4 games. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 31-9 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NHLRoad teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 22-8 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Nashville has really been playing some very wide open offensive hockey and should push the Coyotes into opening up, which Im betting results in a fairly high scoring affair.

NASHVILLE is 6-0 OVER  in all games this season with a combined average of 8.5 gpg scored.

NHL Road teams against the total (NASHVILLE) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) are 39-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Rangers are very fresh as they have played the fewest games in the NHL, just three, while most other squads have at least six contests in the books. Needless to say they will the have the legs to push the action here tonight, vs a Jersey team that allows 4.8 gpg and that  has seen 4 of their L/5 home games eclipse the total with a combined average of 8.7 gpg scored. Tonight Im betting on more high scoring action.

NEW JERSEY is 23-9 OVER  against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 gpg scored in those 32 tilts. 

The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Jersey's last 10 games when playing at home against NY Rangers.

NHLRoad teams against the total (NY RANGERS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a losing record.102-64 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Wild have to deal with an explosive Leafs team on the road here tonight and Im betting they play conservatively here as they use the momentum of a 2-0 shutout win vs the Seans last time out as motivation. I know the Leafs are chalk loaded full of up front talent, but HC Mike Babcock after some ugly early season defensive performances, is stressing on his team to forecheck and play better D. This combination Im betting will end up seeing this combined score stay on the low side of the total. 

 The Wild have killed 16-of-19 penalties this season after Ottawa went 0-for-5 on the power play and their current pp killing abilities will help them here against the tide of a dangerous Buds power play.

Leafs G  Andersen is expected to be in goal Tuesday and is 4-3-0 with a 2.61 goals-against average and .913 save percentage in seven games against Minnesota. Wild G Devan Dubnyk   is 6-3-1, 2.72, .910 in 11 games (10 starts) versus Toronto. 

MINNESOTA is 15-5 UNDER in road games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scoed. 

TORONTO is 11-2 UNDER  off a road win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 4.4 gpg scored. ( The Leafs took out Detroit 5-2 on the road last time out)

Play UNDER 

The Vancouver Canucks were unable to get their offense untracked  as they began the season with a pair of losses on the road. Note:Under is 17-5 in Canucks last 22 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Im betting their futility to put the biscuit in the back of the net will continue here vs the visiting LA Kings. Meanwhile, the Kings are a team that needs to really get back to basics after blowing a couple of leads in their first couple of games, and a more conservative and attentive performance Im betting will be on tonights agenda. 

Under is 4-0 in Canucks last 4 vs. Pacific.Under is 6-1 in Canucks last 7 following a loss of 3 or more goals.Under is 5-1 in Canucks last 6 home games.Under is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.

Under is 7-2-2 in Canucks last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Under is 19-7 in Canucks last 26 vs. Western Conference.

Play UNDER 

Carolina has played some solid D so far this season, and  against top tier opposition last time out allowed 0 shots on goal vs the  TB Lightning in the 2nd period of their game . It was the first time in NHL history that a reigning Presidents Trophy-winner was held without a shot on goal for an entire period. Tonight Im betting on more of the same type of staunch forechecking by the Canes, and for this contest involving the Florida Panthers to also end up being low scoring enough for us to cash an under ticket. 

Also Carolinas tired legs, will also have a direct result of the speed of this game.CAROLINA is 22-11 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons.

Under is 6-1 in Hurricanes last 7 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.

Play UNDER 

The Winnipeg Jets aggressive free flowing offence meets the defensive minded NY Islanders this Sunday . The Isles just don't have the finishers to put alot of goals on the board, so they will once again be ultra conservative under Barry Trotz system of defensive minded hockey which Im betting translates in a lower scoring game that fails to eclipse this total.Also with this being the Jets 3rd consecutive road game their legs may not allow them to be as aggressive as they have been in their first two tilts.NY ISLANDERS are 10-1 UNDER  in home games on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.

Under is 36-13-2 in Islanders last 51 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Under is 8-3 in Islanders last 11 vs. Central.

Under is 48-20-2 in Islanders last 70 overall.

Play UNDER 

Scoring was not Chicago's problem last season, but the Blackhawks allowed the second most goals in the NHL, but their defensive play was an issue that is being addressed . The arrival of G Lehner from the Islanders  as well as a more pronounced defensive attitude should improve those numbers dramatically. Tonight Im betting that the Blackhawks will have problems penetrating the back of the net vs G Carter Hart, who posted a 2.83 goals-against average and .917 save percentage during his rookie season,  and for the Flyers to not find alot of room on the ice vs a group that says its dedicated to playing much better D. 

The last 4 meetings in this series have stayed under the total. 

Play UNDER 

Arizona could not consistently score last season, and  despite of adding Phill Kessel still dont have alot of offensive weapons, and will once again have to lean  on their solid D, and goaltending to guide them through the season. The Coyotes return G Kuemper  who posting a sizzling 22-9-6 record with a 2.05 goals-against average in his last 37 decisions. The 6-foot-5,back stop  is expected to share goaltending duties with Antti Raanta, who is returning from knee surgery. Meanwhile, the Ducks are a squad that struggled to score goals (2.43 per game) and is in the midst of transition and Im betting continue to have trouble putting the biscuit in the back of the net this season. Their top goalie Gibson recorded a 26-22-8 record with two shutouts, a 2.84 goals-against average and .917 save percentage in 2018-19 and is capable of better numbers. 

Under is 12-2 in Coyotes last 14 vs. Western Conference. Under is 12-2 in Coyotes last 14 vs. Western Conference.Under is 37-18-3 in Ducks last 58 vs. Pacific.

Play UNDER

Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3

Do or die here in game 7 tonight for both teams. Look for the officials to mostly keep their whistles on pause and for both defences and goal tenders Rask and Bennington to be at the top of their games. Im betting on a very tight affair, that bases offence on transition. The above combinations give us an edge on a under wager. 

Note: Only 1 goal was on the board entering the 3rd period in game 6. 

ST LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER  in road games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game this season.

NHL  team against the total (BOSTON/St.LOUIS) - in the Stanley Cup finals are 144-94 UNDER  L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

 Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2

.This is once in a lifetime opportunity for many of the players on the ice tonight. With a win St.Louis can bring home the Blues first ever Stanley Cup. Meanwhile, the Bruins with a win can extend this series to a decisive game 7 back in Boston. With that said, Im betting this game will be a war, and in these circumstances the officials usually put away their whistles, unless of a flagrant infraction, which will limit power plays, which will limit key scoring opportunities. Also both teams will be ultra conservative and very physical as no one wants to make a mistake in a big game like this. Im also betting on both top tier goalies Rask and Bennington to be wide awake and hard to beat making for a total score that fails to eclipse this total.

BOSTON is 7-0 UNDER  in road games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games this season.ST LOUIS is 18-7 UNDER  after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored this season.

Play UNDER

Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1

Both Boston and the Blues have top tier goaltending and defences, and very physical units. This Im betting will be on full display here in game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals this Monday night. 

Bostons super star net minder Tuukka Rask leads playoff goalies with an NHL-best 1.84 goals-against average and .942 save percentage. Blues goalie Bennington  owns NHL-best 1.89 GAA, a .927 save percentage (fourth in the NHL) and five shutouts during the reg season and enters this finals series on fire stopping 75 of 77 shots (.974 save percentage) in winning the final three games vs San Jose. 

UNDER is 20-7 in Blues last 27 vs. Atlantic. 

ST LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season with a combined average of 4.5 gpg scored. 

NHL team against the total (BOSTON/ST.LOUIS) - in the Stanley Cup finals are 140-86 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2

Its win or go home for the banged up Sharks tonight, so Im betting they will be very physical, and aggressive from the get go, but at the same time conscious of playing solid transitional hockey with alot more emphasis on being coherent defensively. Meanwhile, St.Louis despite of consistently finding ways to score timely goals, are a defence first team, with multitudes of patience  , and when all else fails a goaltending phenom by the Bennington on their side.  With so much on the line here in game 6 for both sides Im betting we see a hard fought low scoring game. 

SAN JOSE is 18-7 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 4.4 gpg.  JOSE is 21-8 L/29 UNDER in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in 2 straight games.

NHL team against the total (SAN JOSE) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season in the second half of the season are 100-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

NHLRoad teams where the total is 5.5 (SAN JOSE) - after allowing 4 goals or more against opponent after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are  417-283 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - SAN Leads 1-0

San Jose won game 1 of this series by a 6-3 count, and Im betting on more high octane work here tonight by both teams in a game Im betting eclipses the total. 

Considering how erratic Martin Jones San Jose goalie has been all season, its an easy decision to take an over stance here.

Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 playoff games as an underdog.

Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 road games.

Over is 2-0-2 in Blues last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.

Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 games as a road underdog.

Over is 4-0 in Blues last 4 Conference Finals games.

Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 games as an underdog.

Over is 2-0-2 in Blues last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.

NHL team against the total (ST LOUIS) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 56-24 OVER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3

These teams base most of their successes and failures on playing hard nosed hockey that keys on top tier defences and goalies . Also in game 7s refs usually make sure the game is not decided on border line calls, so penalties and power plays should be limited. Add to that the Vegas Knights penalty fiasco and you can make a case for the refs being very cautious with their whistles in what will be a grinding conservative affair that will be based on each sides transition game, which Im betting aides in us cashing on with a under ticket. 

Play UNDER 

Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - SAN Leads 3-2

A combined total of 6 goals have been scored in the L/2 games of this series, and Im betting on the tight play and top tier goal tending and defence continuing here tonight. 

Martin Jones turned aside 21 of 22 shots on Saturday, improving his save percentage to .936 over the last eight games.

Colorado G Philipp Grubauer owns 3-1 mark with a 1.69 goals-against average and .945 save percentage at Pepsi Center in the 2019 playoffs.

Play UNDER

Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - STL Leads 2-1

This series between St.Louis and Dallas is turning into a real hardcore battle. Both these teams successes and failures this season, have been predicated on play top tier defensive hockey and here in this crucial game 4 tilt, nothing will change.  The Blues ranked 6th in gpg allowed this season, and 15th on offence. Meanwhile, Dallas , ranked 2nd in gpg defence, and 29th in offence. 

DALLAS is 16-5 UNDER  after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game this season and is 16-4 UNDER after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored this season. 

The DALLAS is 9-2 UNDER  in home games against excellent power play teams - scoring on  19% or more  of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 4.1 gpg. DALLAS is 20-9 UNDER  in home games against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. 

Under is 11-5-2 in Blues last 18 games as an underdog.

Under is 17-8-3 in Blues last 28 vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 44-21-4 in Blues last 69 games as a road underdog.

Play UNDER 

Eastern Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - CAR Leads 1-0

The first game in this series featured top tier defensive work from both teams in top quality goaltending  as the Canes won 1-0 in OT, and nothing will change here in game 2. 

Under is 5-1-3 in Hurricanes last 9 Conference Semifinals games. These teams have gone under in 4 of their L/5 meetings.

Play UNDER 

Eastern Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 1

The Bruins got here by taking out the Toronto Maple Leafs, in a brutal seven-game series. Meanwhile, Columbus , upset the the President Cup champs TB in a surprising 4-0 game sweep. One teams exhausted, and one fresh but rusty, and now they go head to head tonight in game 1 of their series. The Bruins don't have the legs to rocknroll here in wide open fashion , and thats not their modus operandi anyway, while the Jackers may take time to into a flow after a long layoff. Both rank near the bottom of the league in pace, anyway so this game should see a transition type attack from both sides. Add to that two top tier goalies in the Bruins Tuukka Rask and the Jackets,Sergei Bobrovsky and we have a formula for a fairly low scoring game that does not eclipse the total.

Tuukka Rask, who captured Vezina Trophy honors in 2014, has a 9-4-2 record with a 2.67 GAA and .904 save percentage in his career against the Blue Jackets.

Two-time Vezina Trophy recipient Sergei Bobrovsky silenced some critics by turning aside 109 of 117 shots against Tampa Bay.

BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER off a home win against a division rival this season. BOSTON is 7-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game this season.

 
NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (COLUMBUS) - after 3 straight wins by 2 goals or more against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games are 52-21 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3

Game 7 , is a do or die for both teams. Neither one of these sides will be wanting to make mistakes, and will play this game in transition. After studying their game plan techniques , it makes sense for me to recommend an under wager here. 

SAN JOSE is 17-6 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series since 1996 with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored.

Play UNDER 

The Caps took a 6-0 win last time out, for a 3-2 lead in this series. Now with one of these teams on the verge of elimination and the other looking to extend this series both sides will be really paying attention to keeping their mistakes to a minimum via a very conservative game plan that will focus on scoring in transition. 

 CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER  off a road loss against a division rival this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg going on the board.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (WASHINGTON) - terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after a blowout win by 4 goals or more are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - VGS Leads 3-2

Vegas  in five playoff games against San Jose in Las Vegas with goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury between the pipes has garnered shutouts in two games, including a 28-save performance in a 5-0 win on Tuesday in Game 4. Im betting on Fleury standing tall again, and for San Jose to struggle burying the biscuit in their decisive game 6 showdown. Both teams will be proactive in their approach to playing mistake free hockey in this important tilt. VEGAS is 13-4 UNDER  in home games after a division game this season with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. 

NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, in April games are 54-29 UNDER  L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2

#1 GOALTENDERS: BOSTON - TUUKKA RASK, TORONTO - FREDERIK ANDERSEN

With one of these teams on the verge of elimination and the other looking to extend this series both sides will be really paying attention to keeping their mistakes to a minimum via a very conservative game plan that will focus on scoring in transition. 

TORONTO is 9-3 UNDER  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season

TORONTO is 11-1 UNDER  in home games off a road win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.2 gpg. BOSTON is 9-1 UNDER  in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.1 gpg scored. 

Play on the UNDER

Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2

The Blues won Game 5 by a 3-2 margin Thursday in Winnipeg, overcoming a two-goal deficit in the third period and getting the winner from Jaden Schwartz with 15 seconds remaining in regulation. With this game being a do or die situation for one team and series clincher for the other Im expecting both sides to be extra careful with mistakes, which Im betting translates to total score that will remain on the low side of the total. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, DEFENCE sprinkled in with top tier goaltending has me recommending an under wager tonight in this tilt. 

Play UNDER

Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

Two Eastern Conference series ended this week in four-game sweeps, but the Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs are battling it out in a series that has come down to a best two out of three. With these teams beating each other up and playing a more physical type of game plan, Im betting on more conservative efforts that base their respective attacks on transition, which will equate to less quality scoring opportunities and less goals going on the board.

Last time out these teams took part in the highest scoring affair of this series with the Bruins winning by a 6-4 count, but now Im betting both sides knowing this type of hockey is not sustainable or equitable to winning a tight series will revert back to being much more defensive minded in this game and going forward in this series.

TORONTO is 16-7 UNDER  revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season.BOSTON is 6-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game this season.

Play UNDER

The Avalanche, coming off the 3-2 win in Calgary on Saturday night, to tie this series at 1 game apiece had even more good news as they announced the signing Sunday morning of 20 year old Hobey Award winning Cale Makar who is considered a generational talent.This kid is a real game changer, and will see the Avs flying here tonight on home ice, which is worth a full goal according to my estimates which makes for a solid over wager in this spot.

CALGARY is 13-4 OVER  revenging a home loss versus opponent this season with a combined average of 7.5 gpg. 

Over is 4-0 in Capitals last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games.

Over is 5-1 in Capitals last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on the OVER

Washington won 4-2 on home ice in the series opener and followed with a 4-3 overtime victory Saturday. Carolina never led in either game and now 2 games down in tjis best of 7 series and now Im betting the Canes come out here in high octane fashion and go into full attack mode and for the defending champs to answer back  which will make for a game that will see 6 + combined goals go on the score board.

WASHINGTON is 17-9 OVER  against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or more of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season. WASHINGTON is 7-1 OVER  after winning their previous game in overtime this season.

NHL Road teams against the total (WASHINGTON) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in April games are 33-17 over L/5 seasons for a 66%conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Isles have slowed down most of their opponents this season, but Pittsburgh a team that bases their successes and failures on converting pp opportunities and attacking consistently in transition, the Isles will be forced to up their tempo and keep pace. With that said, Im betting a combined score here that eclipses this total. 

PITTSBURGH is 30-17 OVER against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 gog scored and 18-7 OVER against excellent defensive teams - allowing 2.4or less  goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg. 

PITTSBURGH is 25-9 OVER after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 71. gpg scored. 

 Over is 6-1-3 in Penguins last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.

Play OVER 

Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 1

This is the second year in a row that the Leafs and Bruins will meet in Round 1 of the NHL Playoffs. Boston won  last season 4 games to 3, despite of relinquishing a 3-1 lead.

Boston’s successes and failures are based on playing a top tier brand of defence..  The boys from Beantown are near the top of the league allowing scoring chances and shot attempts and are never easy to score on. Meanwhile, Torontos key to success is their offence, but at the end of the season their ability to bury the biscuit was consistently stymied, scoring 2 goals or less in 7 of their L/11 tilts. With that said, Im betting the Bruins D, against a talented but struggling  offence,  will stand tall here, and to try to play shut down hockey and themselves do their scoring in transition, which will make for a chippy affair, that will  see the combined score stay on the low side of the total. 

TORONTO is 12-5 UNDER  against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 5.4 gpg. 

BOSTON is 18-8 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 5.4 gpg. 

TORONTO is 9-3 UNDER in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored.

Play UNDER 

Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 1

Thanks in part to great goal tending from Jordan Binnington, who  posted a .927 save percentage since JN 7, the Blues are one of the hottest teams in the league. Their calling card has been their defence , especially on the road where they have allowed 2.4 gpg this season while averaging 2.7 gpg on offence. Here tonight against an explosive Winnipeg offence, Im betting the Blues will be conservative and try to make this game and series a physical one that bases its aggressiveness on offence out of transition, which should relate to a lower scoring game here. When these teams played here in Winnipeg back in December the Blues took a 1-0 shutout victory , and Im betting on a similar blue print to be implemented by the visitors again.

Under is 4-0 in Blues last 4 playoff games as an underdog of +110 to +150.

Under is 7-1 in Blues last 8 playoff games as an underdog

ST LOUIS is 14-3 UNDER against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored.ST LOUIS is 12-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Montreal (42-29-8, 92 points) enters Tuesday just a single point behind the Carolina Hurricanes for the final wild-card position, and two points back of Columbus for the top wild-card slot, and will depend heavily on goaltender Carey Price to find a way by the leagues most explosive side.  Meanwhile, with a first-place seed already in the bag, the Lightning (60-15-4, 124 points) enter their final three games  trying to stay healthy entering the play offs while practicing sound defensive hockey.  Considering what both teams want to do here I am inclined to recommend we make an under wager. 

MONTREAL is 20-11 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored in those 31 games.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TAMPA BAY) - off a road win by 2 goals or more, top level team, winning 70% or more of their games on the season are 38-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a long erm 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

 The Islanders have been shutout in back to back games and are having problems burying the biscuit. NYI plays a very deliberate transition style game anyway, and when they are struggling to score they are in trouble. Add to that their on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 days and 4th in 7th days, Im expecting a very conservative effort in this early afternoon game vs division rival Philadelphia, a side that has lit them up in recent meetings by scores of 4-1 and 5-2.

NY ISLANDERS are 28-7 UNDER  when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season. 

NY ISLANDERS are 11-3 UNDER  revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 3 or more goals this season. 

NY ISLANDERS are 16-5 UNDER L/21 against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game. 

Play UNDER

 New York has been one of the NHL's best defensive teams this season and tonight Im betting they hold down, a Montreal  team that has scored just 15 goals over their last eight games. Note: Islanders Goalie tonight Greiss owned a .959 save percentage, 1.25 goals against average, and a 3-1-0 record over four game earlier this Month. Meanwhile,  the Isles are not exactly offensive juggernauts either, and Im betting they will also struggle to score in a game that will see this combined score stay on the low side of the number.  

NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 UNDER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season this season.

 is 11-3 UNDER in home games against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

The last times these teams played last week the Habs lost to the Isles and by a 2-1 count and now have revenge on board. Note:NHL team against the total (MONTREAL) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, off a road win are 280-189 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate !

Play on the UNDER 

The last time these teams played the Jets smashed the Ducks by a 9-3 count, shortly after that HC Randy Carlyle was fired. Now Im betting the Ducks in revenge mode will be primed to play much better D, and base this game on responsible transitional hockey. This Im betting will result in a tilt that stays on the low side of the total.


Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Anaheim.ANAHEIM is 9-1 UNDER after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games this season.

NAHEIM is 26-9 UNDER in home games after a 2 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the UNDER

The Isles and the Bruins are two solid defensive teams. NYI has allowed 2 goals or less in 5 of their L/6, while, Boston has allowed 2 goals or less in 7 of their L/12. The Bruins rank 3rd in the NHL in GAA and the Islanders are ranked No.1 in GAA. Im betting on Defence and more defence  in a game I project to stay under the set total.

NY ISLANDERS are 15-3 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 UNDER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season this season.NY ISLANDERS are 21-7 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

BOSTON is 18-7 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.BOSTON is 15-4 UNDER  after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season.

These teams have gone under in 6 of the L/7 meetings. 

Play UNDER 

The Isles preparing to play back to back games after 2-1 loss to the Red Wings yesterday will be in no mood to run and gun here today and instead will be primed to play more of the same hardcore D, that HC  Barry Trotz has implemented with a-lot of success this season. With Minnesota averaging just 2 gpg in their L/5 overall, and Isles allowing just 2.4 gpg on average this season Im betting the Wild will continue to have issues burying the biscuit today vs the Islanders top ranked D. 

Under is 5-0 in Islanders last 5 Sunday games.

Under is 8-1-2 in Islanders last 11 games as a road underdog.

 Under is 20-4-4 in Islanders last 28 games as an underdog.

Play UNDER 

The Isles took part in a run and gun fast skating affair vs the Montreal Canadians last time out, and the final score was still only 2-1. Now in an emotional letdown spot, playing their usual top tier brand of defensive hockey vs the Detroit Red Wings will be of the utmost importance . Meanwhile, the Wings have lost 12 of their last 13 games and are off one of their better efforts of late , but still found a way to give up three-goal lead to the league's top team, Tampa Bay, on Thursday and lost 5-4. Now also in a letdown spot, and in need of playing a better brand of defensive hockey I look for this tilt to be a low scoring sleeper.

Under is 7-2-1 in Islanders last 10 road games.Under is 13-4 in Islanders last 17 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 21-7-2 in Islanders last 30 games following a win.Under is 11-1 in Islanders last 12 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Play UNDER

Two top tier teams the Leafs and the Flames go head to head here in a game that I have pegged to stay under the slightly bloated Total. Both teams offensive numbers warrant this  high a Totals number based on statistical data alone, but at this time of year as the play offs approach, physical defensive hockey is the norm amongst team headed to the post season. Calgary took out Toronto 3-1 the last time these teams played back in October of this season and a even more stringent type of hockey I'm betting is on tonights agenda.

TORONTO is 5-0 UNDER  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season.

TORONTO is 9-3 UNDER in road games revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite this season.

NHL team against the total (TORONTO) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, poor defensive team - allowing 2.85+ goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season are 177-122 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

Carolina has scored 11 goals in their L/2 games, and Im betting they will have to be ready to duplicate those numbers vs a Florida team with revenge on board here for 2 straight losses in their series during the current season. Note: FLORIDA is 13-1 OVER revenging 2 consecutive losses to opponent as a favorite this season.The Panthers have been scoring consistently all season long, but their D and goaltending, has been an issue as was the case last time out in a 6-5 loss to Vegas. In the recent past  FLORIDA is 11-1 OVER  after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals this season.

NHL Road teams against the total (CAROLINA) - off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 32-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Dallas has played very conservatively on the road this season with 20 of their 26 road games staying under the set total. DALLAS is  also 16-1 UNDER    in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.DALLAS is 7-1 UNDER against poor defensive teams like Vegas - allowing 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Meanwhile, Vegas has struggled to score for much of this season, and despite of the accusation of Stone from Ottawa at the trade deadline will still have difficulties burying the biscuit going forward because of their system inadequacies. Vegas has scored an average of just 2.3 gp over their L/5 tilts. 

VEGAS is 10-3 UNDER in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season. 

NHL team against the total (DALLAS) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, off a road win are 269-177 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

The Ducks have scored just 2.16 goals per game, last in the NHL, with the next closest team at 2.40 per game and will have a hard time scoring again vs the the defending Stanley Cup champion Capitals who are off a beatdown of San Jose last time out. Knowing how explosive the Caps will be and how limited the Ducks offence is as well, I expect a game plan by Anaheim that will focus on disciplined defence and attacking only in transition, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. 

Under is 7-1 in Capitals last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

ANAHEIM is 22-6 UNDER in non-conference games this season.ANAHEIM is 11-2 UNDER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (WASHINGTON) - terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after a blowout win by 4 goals or more are 31-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

Detroit plays a system that plays conservatively and creates its scoring chances out of transition, while, Buffalo in a mostly unsuccessful fashion plays a wide open style of hockey that comes at you with reckless abandon. Im betting the Red Wings will find a way to take away from the Sabres offensive flow, and look for their opportunities when they present themselves which will result Im betting in lower scoring game than the lines-makers expect. 

DETROIT is 7-0 UNDER  against sub par defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 4.5 gpg scored. 

Under is 5-0 in Red Wings last 5 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Under is 11-4-1 in Red Wings last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Red Wings last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 or more (BUFFALO) - inconsistent defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 25-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

St. Louis is expected to start backup goalie Jordan Binnington against the Panthers tonight. Binnington, who was St. Louis' third-round pick in 2011, has won two games in a row, stopping 30 of 33 shots during that span.For the season, he has been remarkable, posting a 6-1-1 record with a .922 save percentage and a 1.86 goals-against average. Meanwhile,The Panthers,  are expected to start their backup goalie, James Reimer, who is coming off a 3-1 win over the Vegas Golden Knights on Saturday. Reimer had 34 saves against Vegas."We had some huge saves from Reimer when we needed to keep the score tied," Panthers forward Mike Hoffman said.Reimer is 10-8-5 this season with a 3.06 goals-against average and a .900 save percentage.  With both these goalies in top form look for these teams to fail to eclipse the number.

ST LOUIS is 9-2 UNDER in road games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored. ST LOUIS is 5-0 UNDER  in road games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp this season with a combined average of 4.6 gpg scored and  is 9-1 UNDER  in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg going on the board. FLORIDA has gone over only 1 time in their L/7 games.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (ST LOUIS) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, average scoring team (score 2.5-2.9 goals/G) vs a poor defensive team (allow 2.9 or more goals/G) are 110-63 UNDER L/22 seasons for a long term 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

CALGARY is 12-4 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons and Im betting they play a tight transitional game here again tonight vs visiting San Jose. The Flames still smarting from a 3-2 loss to Vancouver last time out, will even be more stringent in their own end. Note: CALGARY is 6-0 UNDER in home games off a close home loss by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons.

Under is 4-0 in Flames last 4 vs. Western Conference. Four of the L/5 meetings between these teams have not seen more than 5 goals scored. 

NHL Road teams against the total (SAN JOSE) - off a road win against a division rival, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) in the first half of the seasons are 25-4 L/22 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Boston Bruins are off a hard fought physical affair vs the rough and tumble Nashville Predators last night by a 5-2 count and will be on tired legs entering this game vs Carolina and in a conservative mode. Note: BOSTON is 7-0 UNDER when playing on back-to-back days this season with a combined average of 4.1 gog scored.   Tonight the Bs are going against a Carolina team they beat 3-2 earlier this season in their only meetings. It must be noted that CAROLINA is 10-1 UNDER revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less this season with a combined average score of 5 gpg scored. Meanwhile, Carolina contines to struggle with their offensive efficiency despite of taking 78 shots on goal in their L/2 games and producing just 1 goal. Last time out they lost 3-0 to division rival Pittsburgh at home . Note: CAROLINA is 5-0 UNDER off a loss against a division rival this season and is 11-3 UNDER  in home games off a home loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons. 

Road teams where the total is 6 or more (BOSTON) - after one or more consecutive overs, average scoring team (score 2.5-2.9 goals/G) vs a poor defensive team (allow 2.9 or more goals/G) are 232-154 UNDER L/22 seasons for a long term 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Florida for the most part has struggled with their defence of late and have allowed 5 goals or more in 5 of their L/9 games. The Panthers have seen a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored in their division games this season. Meanwhile, Detroit in 12  division games this season have allowed an average of 4.1 ggp with an average of 7 gpg scored. When these teams played back on Oct 10, 7 combined goals were scored in a 4 Motown win. Im betting a similar combined score here today and for this game to eclipse the total. 

FLORIDA is 11-4 OVER after allowing 4 goals or more this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. FLORIDA is 11-3 OVER  against struggling  defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored. 

Play OVER  

Going into a game Thursday against the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG Paints Arena, Minnesota  has just one goal over its past two games, including a 4-0 loss Tuesday against San Jose. Meanwhile, the Penguins  are off a gruelling 2-1 victory vs the  Capitals and then traveled home last night from Washington and will now be on tired legs in this spot. The combination of the Pens exhaustion and the Wilds lack of scoring of late, will Im betting lead to a score that stays on the low side of the number in this spot. 

NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (PITTSBURGH) - off a road win against a division rival are 225-154 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

These are two of the Eastern Conference long standing elite teams, and tonightIm expecting a hard fought physical defensive affair when they meet. That Im betting results in a combined score that remains on the low side the total. WASHINGTON is 13-3 UNDER  after winning 2 consecutive games in overtime with a combined average score of 5.1 gpg scored which ash just happened. 

 NHL Home teams against the total (WASHINGTON) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 80-47 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

NHL team against the total (PITTSBURGH) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 93-60 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Play UNDER 

The Islanders average 2.9 goals per game but only 2.3 in the last seven, and are playing more conservative style of defensive hockey as this season progresses .With that said, tonight against e a offensively explosive Colorado team, Im expecting more of the same methodical transitional hockey from the Isles in a game that Im betting will fall under the set total. 

NY ISLANDERS are 12-5 UNDER against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17%  or better pp this season. COLORADO is 5-0 UNDER  in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game this season which happened last time out in a 6-4 win vs Dallas.

NHL Home teams against the total (COLORADO) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 29-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

These two teams the visiting Detroit Red Wing and the their hosts the NY Islanders will square off for the second straight Saturday  at the Nassau Coliseum. When these teams met last week , the Isles won 3-2. The Islanders behind HC Barry Trotz have taken a conservative approach using transition for their scoring chances for much of this season and have recently gone under 8 of their L/9 games. I expect more of the same conservative and disciplined hockey tonight  vs a Detroit team that is in a bit of a offensive funk of late scoring 3 goals or less in their L/4 games and a score that remains on the low side of the total.

NY ISLANDERS are 10-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.DETROIT is 28-16 UNDER (+9.3 Units) in road games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5%  or more of shots  like the Isles Greiss against over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Road teams against the total (DETROIT) - off a loss against a division rival, extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 60-26 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Ottawa Senators and the Detroit Red Wings do battle in a division game tonight. The Sens have taken part in some very high scoring division tilts with the combined average of 7.2 gpg scored this season . Meanwhile, Motown has seen an average of 7.1 gpg in their 11 divison games this season .  Im expecting more of the same high scoring action in this division tilt. 

Ottawa has allowed an average of 4.9 gpg on the road this season, and Im betting that average stays intact tonight, and for them to do enough damage in response, and get us over the total.

OTTAWA is 7-1 OVER  in road games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 8.8 gpg scoredOTTAWA is 9-2 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of  7.6 gpg scored.OTTAWA is 10-3 OVER  in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season with a combined average with a combined average of 8 gpg. 

Play on the OVER 

Both these teams have notable offensive weapons, but both Edmonton and Winnipeg can play a top tier brand of shutdown defence. With both teams knowing the other scoring potential,Im betting on both sides to look for scoring chances in transition, and be methodical in their approach , which will Im betting result in a lower scoring affair. The Jets have allowed an average of 1.8 gpg in their L/5 trips to the rink, and the Oilers have allowed an average of 2.4 gpg over the same span. 

Edmonton is off a high scoring game last time out when they won a 6-4 battle vs the Colorado Avalanche , but in the past have focused on tightening up their defence after games like that as is evident by a  9-1 UNDER record after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored this season , with a combined average score of 4.3 gpg scored. 

WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average score of 5.1 gpg going on the board.

NHL Road teams against the total (EDMONTON) - after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game against opponent after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more are 29-9 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

New York is struggling offensively.The Islanders in their past five games have only scored eight goals which is not a good omen for them tonight for snapping out of a drought, against a Detroit team, that has allowed 9 of their L/12 opponents to score 3 goals or less and are off playing four explosive teamsB oston, Colorado, Tampa Bay and Toronto. that will have them prepared for this pedestrian  Isles attack.  Note: DETROIT is 19-9 UNDER  in home games when they allow 3 goals over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 24-11 UNDER  in home games against good starting goalies - saving  91.5% or more of shots against over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Colorado is a strong team with probably the most explosive offensive line in the league , center Nathan MacKinnon and wingers Gabriel Landeskog and Mikko Rantanen, but their on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 5 nights, and Im betting will be more muted than usual. Meanwhile, Florida, a team that posted a shutout last time out and has allowed 3 goals or less in 4 of their L/5 games will be prepared to play shut down D, at home vs a dangerous offensive side. 

Under is 9-2-1 in Panthers last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 8-2-1 in Panthers last 11 Thursday games.Under is 4-1-2 in Panthers last 7 vs. Western Conference.Under is 16-5-5 in Panthers last 26 vs. a team with a winning record

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 28-6 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the UNDER 

Buffalo is having a tremendous season so far, and despite of losing 2 straight previous to that had won 10 straight tilts, allowing 2 goals or less in 7 of those 10 games and will be ready to once again play solid D  vs a strong Predators side. With that said, Im betting on  Nashville respecting their current opponents up-trending achievements and responding with a solid brand of defensive hockey themselves that has seen visiting opponents score an average of just 2.3 gpg this season. 

Nashville G Pekka Rinne has collected three shutouts  in six career meetings with Buffalo.

Under is 5-1 in Sabres last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Sabres last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Sabres last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Sabres last 5 vs. Western Conference.

Under is 5-0 in Sabres last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 3-0-1 in Predators last 4 Monday games.Under is 5-0-1 in Predators last 6 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Predators last 5 vs. Atlantic.Under is 4-1 in Predators last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in Predators last 5 games following a win.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (BUFFALO) - off a loss against a division rival, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 31-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Jets  enter this game with a top their offence, scoring ana average of 4.4 gpg in their L/5 , but its their defensive efforts that are alarming, as is evident by having allowed 23 goals in their last five games, never fewer than four in any one single contest in that stretch. Meanwhile the Devils  their hosts have surrendered 19 goals in the last four games. What Im betting happens tonight, is that Jets will come at the Devils with their usual fast paced attack mentality and for New Jersey to  have no choice  but to respond in kind, and for the final score of this game eclipsing the total. 

Note: NJ has lost three straight on the road and now coming home where they are 7-1-3 this season where they have scored an average of 3.6 gpg. , NEW JERSEY is 7-0 OVER L/7 off 3 or more consecutive road losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. 

WINNIPEG is 10-1 OVER when playing against a team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 8.4 gpg scored.NEW JERSEY is 8-2 OVER  against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17%  or better pp this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. 

Play OVER 

The Penguins enter this game playing some solid defence over their L/3 games and have allowed a total of 5 goals in this those tilts ( 1.66 gpg). I expect the Pens will wait for their chances in transition and be methodical  and cautious in their approach  vs an explosive Winnipeg team , that can light their opposition  quickly, as was evident when they scored 8 goals last time out. Im also betting that a combination of the Pens ability to be stoppers, and a natural regression in offensive output  for the Jets to highlight a tilt that remains under the total. 

WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER  in non-conference games this season and is 20-8 UNDER after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game . 

Play UNDER 

The Preds are solid defensive team with a top tier goalie in their lineup. Rinne (8-2-1, 1.69 goals-against average, .942 save percentage) Im betting will make life difficult for this young St.Louis group tonight. The Preds have allowed 2 goals or less in 7 of their L/10 games and against a Blues  team that has been shutout n 3 of their L/4 games, more the same stopping action must be expected. The Blues saving grace and ability tom stay fairly competitive  has been solid goaltending and D, that has allowed an average of 1.71 gpg in their L/7 tilts all of which stayed on the low side of the number . Tonight took for the above combinations of form to result in a score that stays on the low side of the total. 

ST LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER  after 1 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 4.4 gpg scored.

NASHVILLE is 10-1 UNDER when they allow 2 or less goals this season ( my projections estimate the Blues will score no more than 2 goes tonight. 

Play UNDER 

The Oilers might have a big name super star in their lineup McDavid, but they still dont do alot of scoring consistently as their 17th ranking in goals scored indicates. Their defence is actually the corner stone of their ability to compete in the NHL and they rank 14th overall. Meanwhile, TB despite of alot offensive talent , predicate their successes and failures on their ability to play solid D, and rank 8th in in goals allowed in the league. Tonight I expect a tired Oilers team playing their 3rd game in 4 nights to try to be conservative in their approach , and for TB to center its abilities on slowing McDavid, which Im betting results in a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse the number. 

NHLRoad teams where the total is 6 or more (EDMONTON) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season 26-6 UNDER L/21 seasons for 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

 

Play UNDER

Star forward Austin Mathews is expected to miss 4 to 6 weeks with a shoulder injury, and was apparent the scoring sensations absence effected the chemistry of the attack, as  Toronto’s first full game without Matthews  saw the Buds lose 3-1 at home to Calgary  Flames on Oct. 29. Toronto  produced just  25 shots in that game. Im betting that will continue tonight vs visiting Dallas. Meanwhile, Dallas enters this game on tired legs as this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights, and the will be in no hurry to open things up and instead depend on their transition game .  This combination of situations will result in a lower scoring game than the Total line indicates. 

In 7 home games the Leafs and their opponents have averaged 5 gpg. Dallas in their 4 games vs on the road have seen a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored and they themselves have averaged just 1.7 gpg in those tilts. 

TORONTO is 5-0 UNDER  against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season and is 5-0 UNDER  against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season.TORONTO is 7-1 UNDER against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season.TORONTO is 13-4 UNDER in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (DALLAS) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 60-17 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Philadelphia can score but their defence is horrendous, and Im betting that trend continues here this afternoon against the NJ Devils. Philadelphia (3-4) has allowed 11 goals in its last two games and the Devils are more than capable of burying some goals here today.  It must be noted that NEW JERSEY is 32-0 OVER  when both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons and thats what Im projecting them do here this afternoon.PHILADELPHIA is 35-0 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons.Philadelphia has given up 31 goals in its first seven games.

PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 OVER vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 6.9 gpg.

Play on the OVER 

The Islanders under new HC Barry Trotz now play a defence style style of hockey and I expect thats what we will see from them tonight here in their first game of a West Coast road trip. The Isles have averaged 2.8 gpg this season in offence, and have allowed 2.4 gpg on D, and have already recorded 1 shutout behind tonights expected starting goalie Lehner. 

 The Ducks a team with a boatload full of injures are averaging just 2.7 goals per game but allowing just 2.2 gpg. With leading scorer Jakob Silfverberg experiencing a nagging injury, and less than 100% the Ducks Im betting will continue their defensive mind set behind a top tier goalie Gibson who owns a  a 2.07 GAA and .944 save percentage this season.

Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Anaheim.

Play UNDER 

Two top tier goalies go head to head Monday night in Nashville, as Pekka Rinne and the Predators host Devan Dubnyk and the Minnesota Wild in a Central Division battle. 

The Wild Goalie Dubnyk owns. a 2.64 GAA and .934 save percentage this season. He recorded a a 1.96 GAA and .934 save percentage against the Predators last season.

The Preds starting goalie Rinne has registered a stingy 1.67 GAA and .946 save percentage this season and recorded 2.98 GAA and .903 save percentage against Minnesota last season.  

Considering the goalie matchup and we all ready have a strong case for a lower scoring game, but current circumstances suggest that Minnesota will play a conservative  transistional style of hockey tonight against a explosive opponent playing on their own home ice, thus making the under a viable betting opportunity. 

Under is 4-0 in Wild last 4 road games.Under is 6-1 in Wild last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in Wild last 5 vs. Western Conference

Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Nashville.

Play on the UNDER 

Canucks head coach Travis Green has been moving the lines around to try to find the right mix of offense -- which has not been a problem in the early going  as the Canucks are showing a lot of explosiveness--  however the D is a problem  allowing 14 goals in the opening three games. Meanwhile, TB is off a 2-1 defensive style win, and on 3 days rest will be ready to let loose here with a super fast and cohesive offensive lineup, and put a bunch of goals on the board vs a side that will have issues dealing with their attack. 

Over is 6-0 in Canucks last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 6-1 in Canucks last 7 overall.Over is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 vs. Atlantic.Over is 8-1-2 in Lightning last 11 Thursday games.Under is 4-1-2 in Lightning last 7 home games. Over is 15-6 in Lightning last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 vs. Pacific.Over is 17-5-3 in the last 25 meetings.Over is 8-3-2 in the last 13 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Play OVER 

The Leafs are an explosive offensive team and have put 7 goals on the board in their L/2 games, with their only issue remaining on defence  as is evident by having  allowed 5,6,4 goals in their L/3 tilts.  Meanwhile, the Wings are a young team in a rebuilding mode, and will have difficulties hanging with the Buds.  It won't matter who starts for the Leafs as Garret Sparks is 1-0-0 with a 6.00 GAA and .806 save percentage and Anderson owns just .892 SV %. and could easily allow the Motown crew a few goals. The way Toronto plays the Wings will have no choice to open up which will result in a higher scoring game than the line indicates.  Considering these above mentioned situations and facts and over bet here looks like a viable option. 

Over is 3-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-0 in Maple Leafs last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 13-3-1 in Maple Leafs last 17 road games. Over is 21-8-2 in Maple Leafs last 31 overall.Over is 18-7-2 in Maple Leafs last 27 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 17-7-2 in Maple Leafs last 26 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 7-3-2 in Maple Leafs last 12 vs. Atlantic.Over is 15-7-1 in Maple Leafs last 23 games following a win.

Over is 4-0 in Red Wings last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 7-1-1 in Red Wings last 9 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Red Wings last 6 vs. Atlantic.Over is 4-1 in Red Wings last 5 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Over is 7-2 in Red Wings last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.

Play OVER 

The Toronto Maple Leafs are loaded with offensive talent but their defence still looks wobbly.  There is not doubt that this team has the potential to lead the lead in scoring this year. To beat the Leafs you have to score in bunches. So the Dallas Stars whether they want to or not will have to open up or be blown off the ice. With that said, Im betting on a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses the total. 

Over is 8-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 10-1 in Maple Leafs last 11 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Maple Leafs last 7 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Maple Leafs last 7 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Over is 5-1 in Maple Leafs last 6 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Over is 12-3-1 in Maple Leafs last 16 road games. Over is 16-5-1 in Maple Leafs last 22 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 16-5-1 in Maple Leafs last 22 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 20-8-2 in Maple Leafs last 30 overall.

Over is 3-1-1 in Stars last 5 overall.Over is 9-3-2 in Stars last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 19-7-2 in Stars last 28 games following a win.Over is 32-15-4 in Stars last 51 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Play OVER 

These teams have a history of playing very hard fought physical gruelling  low scoring defensive play off  style affairs, even during the regular season. Yes,  these teams have plenty of offensive firepower but Im still expecting a lower scoring tilt. San Jose started their season allowing 5 goals in just 14 shots and in a loss to Anaheim, and Im betting their goaltending and D, will be even more diligent here, as they look for redemption. This will also be the Kings first game of their year so getting into cohesive high gear might take some time even with former 50 goal scorer Illya Kovolchuk in the lineup. These teams have only gone over 1 time in their L/13 meetings and another low scoring tilt is on tonights agenda.

SJ goalies Jones was 3-1-0 with a 1.69 GAA and .950 SVP including a shutout.  Jones  in 14 career games vs LA owns a 2.06 GAA and .931 save percentage. 

The Kings' Jonathan Quick was 1-2-0 with a 1.70 GAA and .944 save percentage against the Sharks last season. In 31 career games vs the Sharks he has garnered  a 2.52 GAA and .910 save percentage.

Play on the UNDER 

Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - WAS leads 2-1

GOALTENDING MATCHUP: VEGAS - MARC-ANDRE FLEURY, WASHINGTON - BRADEN HOLTBY

The last two games in this NHL Stanley Cup play off series have been closely contested physically grueling defensive minded games, with strong goaltending at the center of the play, and transitional hockey being the catalyst behind the offensive action. I'm betting on nothing changing today and fact it could be extremely physical and conservative as both teams know that one mistake could be a pivotal point for both teams Stanley Cup aspirations .

VEGAS is 10-2 UNDER in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders this season with the average combined score clicking in at 4.2 gpg.

VEGAS is 10-3 UNDERL/13 in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game with a combined average of 4.6 gpg scored. WASHINGTON is 11-2 UNDER L/13 in home games against excellent starting goalies - (saving 93% or more of shots against) with a combined average of 3.8 gpg going on the score board.

Under is 5-0-1 in Golden Knights' last 6 road games.

NHL team against the total (WASHINGTON/VEGAS ) - in the Stanley Cup finals, in the 4th game of a playoff series are 26-6 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - VGS Leads 2-1

During these play offs the Vegas Knights have rarely been taken out of their comfort zone as evident by storming back from 1 game down to take a 2-1 lead in this series.. Their aggressive and methodical robot like demeanour and defensive prowess are to be respected. Look for nothing to change tonight.

 Knowing the importance of this pivotal tilt, I'm betting we will see both teams take part in  a very physical , and conservative game plan that bases scoring chances on transitional hockey. This will limit goal scoring and will help keep this combined score on the low side of the  total.

VEGAS is 14-5 UNDER  against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or more of their shots against) in the 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.5 gpg scored.VEGAS is 14-5 UNDER  against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.5 gpg scored.

WINNIPEG is 8-1 UNDER    in road games revenging 2 consecutive losses to opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 3.7 gpg scored.

Play UNDER

Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - WAS Leads 1-0

The Capitals came at the Lightning in game 1, and took them out of their flow with aggressive fore-checking for a 4-2 win . I'm betting the Bolts will be more prepared to play in transition tonight, and for this to be a fast paced offensive style game with a take no prisoners mentality attached to it.

TAMPA BAY is 10-2 OVER    in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg scored.

NHL team against the total (TAMPA BAY/WASH) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 55-22 OVER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Vegas Knights are  the most successful first-year franchise in the history of professional sports with  the key to their success being  an ability to play a hard core structured defensive system that scores a lot in transition.  Its pretty obvious to anyone that watches them in action, that you cant intimidate them, and or take out of their system. Winnipeg was able to take Nashville out of their comfort zone, and won their last series, but I'm betting a more difficult task awaits the Jets here. Vegas is also fresh after being off for a week, after quickly disposing of San Jose .Meanwhile,  Winnipeg might be a little let down, after their grueling 7 game series vs Nashville and will be out to make sure mistakes are not made here in game 1 that will put them immediately behind the eight ball. With that said, I'm expecting these two big punchers to take part in  a respectful hard hitting conservative affair that stays on the low side of the Total.

VEGAS is 13-4 UNDER  against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or more of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season this season. WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER    in home games after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season.

NHL team against the total (WINNIPEG) - off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival against opponent off a road win where they shut out their opponent are 46-22 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1

These two explosive offenses are well rested and ready to run and gun tonight in the opening game of their best of 7 eastern conference finals series. With that said, I expect this total to be eclipsed.

WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER   when playing with 3 or more days rest this season with a combined average of 6.5 gpg scored. WASHINGTON is 7-0 OVER L/7 in road games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game this season with an average of 7.3 gpg scored. ( The caps wrapped up their last series vs the Pens with a 2-1 road win)Over is 21-7-1 in Capitals last 29 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

TAMPA BAY is 42-24 OVER  against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better of their pp this season with a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored. Anomaly or not its still interesting to note that TAMPA BAY is 10-2 OVER    in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons, with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored.

Over is 21-8-1 in Lightning last 30 vs. Metropolitan.

Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Play OVER

 Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - NAS Leads 1-0

GOALTENDERS: COLORADO - JONATHAN BERNIER, NASHVILLE - PEKKA RINNE


The type of physical hockey these teams are playing right now is going to wear both teams down, and with that said, I;m betting we see a lower scoring tilt today, than we did in game 1 when the final score was 5-2 for Nashville.

Under is 6-0-1 in Avalanche last 7 following a loss of 3 or more goals.Under is 4-1-2 in Avalanche last 7 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Under is 7-1-1 in Predators last 9 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Play UNDER

As the play offs approach teams headed for post season like Minnesota and Boston are being more conservative and defensive minded . Today  that's the type of hockey I expect to be witnessed which will see the combined score remain on the low side of the number. 

Add to that both teams are on tired legs as Boston prepares to play their 3rd road game in 5 days, and Minnesota off a grueling game against a very physical Nashville team last time out and you have a recipe for very little offensive production.

Under is 4-0 in Bruins last 4 road games.Under is 6-1 in Bruins last 7 vs. Central.Under is 3-1-1 in Bruins last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-2 in Wild last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.

BOSTON is 7-1 UNDER  L/8  in road games after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.MINNESOTA is 10-3 UNDER when playing on back-to-back days this season. BOSTON is 15-5 UNDER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (MINNESOTA) - off a home win, playing on back-to-back days are 101-45 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER

I'm betting on this tilt between these teams to eclipse the total. The Bruins and the Blue Jackets  in their games this season, saw the Beantown crew win a   4-3 shootout decision on Oct. 30 in Columbus and  then come back by hammering the Jackets 7-2 on Dec. 18 in Boston. I'm betting on more offensive fireworks here tonight as a revenge minded Columbus group on  a7 game win streak will look to mercilessly attack their foes and make them pay for that last above mentioned loss they suffered.  I know the Bruins are a bit banged up, but they have done well vs Columbus offensively in the recent past as  Jackets G Bobrovsky has struggled against Boston, going just 2-5-2 with 3.70/.895, and backup Joonas Korpisalo is 1-0-2 with 2.59/.915 GAA/SVP%.

COLUMBUS is 7-1 OVER  L/8 against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year over the last few seasons. Over is 4-0 in Blue Jackets last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Over is 6-1 in Bruins last 7 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game ( the Bruins SO TB last time out in a 3-0 win)Over is 10-2-1 in Bruins last 13 vs. Metropolitan. Over is 6-0 L/6 meetings.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (COLUMBUS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 5 or more goals, off a close home win by 1 goal  are 29-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored.

Play OVER

The NY Islanders are off back to back shutout wins by identical 3-0 scores. But in those games they allowed 50 and 45 shots for a whopping 95 shots on goal. The Isles D, has been atrocious for much of this season, and I'm now expecting they revert back to their average mean of allowing 3.6 gpg according to my projections. On offense the Isles are chalk full of talent, ie Barzal, Tavares, Lee, Bailey, Eberle, and should light up the lamp today vs a Minnesota side, that allowed an average 3.6 gpg on the road this season. The three most recent meetings in this series have seen a combined average score 9.66 gpg clicking in on the board.

NY NY ISLANDERS are 10-3 OVER in home games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored.
NY ISLANDERS are 10-3 OVER ( when playing with 2 days rest this season with a combined average score of 7.2 gpg going on the board. NY ISLANDERS are 20-7 OVER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season with a combined average score of 7. gpg going on the board.

Play OVER