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Alex Smart WNBA Sides Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
07-15-16 New York Liberty +8.5 v. Minnesota Lynx 70-88 Loss -110 33 h 8 m Show
07-13-16 Connecticut Sun +8.5 v. Indiana Fever 86-64 Win 100 24 h 23 m Show
07-10-16 San Antonio Stars +13.5 v. New York Liberty 65-75 Win 100 7 h 57 m Show
06-25-16 Indiana Fever v. Dallas Wings -4 92-87 Loss -105 15 h 13 m Show

Dallas is on a 4 game win streak, and today we will ride their momentum, to end a current 3 game home trip. They have played two OT games during the win streak, but are one of the best conditioned teams in the league, ad should deal well with fatigue factors. 

Play on the Dallas Wings 1 unit reg selection 

06-14-16 Seattle Storm v. San Antonio Stars +3 70-77 Win 100 26 h 30 m Show

Play on the San Antonio Starts to cover 1 unit reg selection

06-11-16 New York Liberty -7 v. San Antonio Stars 90-75 Win 100 13 h 23 m Show

NY finishes up a 3 game road trip ready to make amends for an embarassing  100-77 loss to Los Angeles on Tuesday by beating up on a hapless looking San Antonio Stars side that is 1-6 on the season and on a 3 game losing skid.Quote:  "It was a tough game against LA," Cash said. "But I think if we can just really learn from our mistakes from that game, we have enough practices to really clean up some things and focus on San Antonio'. End Quote:

Im betting on a motivated bounce back game, by a superior side. 

 

NY Liberty to cover 1 unit reg selection 

05-29-16 Washington Mystics +8 v. Phoenix Mercury 77-93 Loss -105 9 h 31 m Show

According to my own numbers this is a steep fav line for a 0-4 team to cover(Phoenix) . Washington has shown resilience in two recent road OT wins. Its to early in the season for any real exhaustion to hinder the Mystics today, so taking the points here against this type of inconsistent Mercury side makes for a viable wagering option. 

Washington Mystics to cover 1 unit reg selection 

05-15-16 Dallas Wings +5 v. New York Liberty 71-79 Loss -102 8 h 16 m Show

One of the NY Liberty's five home losses last season came against the Tulsa Shock, who relocated to Dallas in the offseason and were re-christened the Wings. Tulsa won both meetings last season and has taken four of the previous six and look like a solid underdog in this spot against a tough side that they matchup well against.

Play on Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection

09-24-15 Phoenix Mercury +6 v. Minnesota Lynx 60-67 Loss -109 3 h 2 m Show

Minnesota off wrapping up their series vs LA Sparks, but are just 12-22 ATS  off a win against a division rival . Im betting they have another hard time tonight vs the Mercury.  HC Cheryl of the Lynx is 0-8 ATS   versus top tier  defensive teams like the Mercury  with a shooting %  defense of 40% after the second half of the season losing SU by an average of 5.3 ppg.

Phoinex to cover 1 unit reg selection 

09-22-15 LA Sparks +5.5 v. Minnesota Lynx 80-91 Loss -105 30 h 54 m Show

The Lynx have dumped the cash for their backers in 5 straight, and Im betting they fail to cover again vs a LA Sparks side that matches up very well against them. The Sparks took a DD win in game two of this series and came up short by 2 points in Minny in the first game. The Lynx look on edge, while the Sparks are playing with no fear. Getting points is optimal here, but I wont be surprised by an out right upset. 

Play on the LA Sparks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

09-19-15 Phoenix Mercury -3 v. Tulsa Shock 91-67 Win 100 11 h 27 m Show

The defending champion Phoinex Mercury looked ready to make a run at aother WNBA championship. In game 1 of this series as they used a suffocating defense and an extremely efficient offense  to blow Tulsa out in game 1. Im betting even the Shocks very best work wont help them cover this number or salavage this series .  

Phoinex Mercury to cover 1 unit reg selection 

09-18-15 LA Sparks +6 v. Minnesota Lynx 65-67 Win 100 14 h 54 m Show

Alot has been made of the fact the entire roster of the Minnesota Lynx is healthy and ready to play. But Im betting because of this chemistry issues may present themselves. 

“Lindsay, Seimony, Syl and Maya have played together less than 50 minutes on the season,” Lynx coach Cheryl Reeve said Tuesday. “So them getting as many reps for us as possible is good for us.” Meanwhile, LA despite of a ugly start to their season got rolling, when Candace Parkers veteran leadership and talent came back on the floor and the team won 11 of their L/17, with two losses coming at the end of the season, when a play off spot was guaranteed and players rested. No one should underestimate the Sparks, as they are capable of making some noise here in the play offs. 

 LA Sparks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

09-17-15 Indiana Fever v. Chicago Sky -5 72-77 Push 0 59 h 9 m Show

  No player in the league played better than Elena Delle Donne from start to finish this season and reamins a game changer which is huge for Chicago. The Sky’s three-guard attack complements Delle Donne’s skill set in a big way which explains why they are the leagues most explosive offensive team averaging 82.8 ppg. The Sky spread the ball around like no other team while taking care of it very well ( league-low 12.2 turnovers per game). With the added experience of Pondexter and a 10-year veteran in center Erika de Souza, Chicago is down right dangerous and they will be hyped up to perfrom tonight.  Mwanwhile, Indiana despite of a great run in the middle of the season, showed alot of inconsistencies, especially on defense which is not a good omen heading into this series. And one more thing no I did not take their season ending win vs NY L seriously, as the Liberty were just looking to stay healthy for the play offs. 

Chicago Sky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

09-06-15 New York Liberty +1 v. Minnesota Lynx 75-71 Win 100 29 h 13 m Show

According to my own power rankings the NY Liberty are the best team in the WNBA. I went against them last time out because of situational factors, and they lost giving us an easy cover. Now I expect a huge bounce back and message to the rest of the WNBA that they are a force that must be respected.

NY Liberty to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Quick note to subscription holders- I dont usually make wagers on late reg season WNBA selections as volitility has been extreme in the past . With the season winding down Ill be watching closely for line edges, but most probably wait til the first round of play offs before getting back to the business of beating the books.  Thanks Alex 

09-03-15 Chicago Sky +7 v. New York Liberty 82-60 Win 100 25 h 9 m Show

Chicago Sky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

08-28-15 Atlanta Dream +8 v. Indiana Fever 90-84 Win 100 26 h 18 m Show

Indiana takes on the visiting Atlanta Dream two days after having a six-game win streak came to an abrupt end with an 81-79 defeat to Los Angeles. They were making mistakes, in that game and looked a little gassed. Its not easy having to play at a high level every night, while trying to keep a streak alive, and it also can be mentally hard on a team, which in turn can cause extra fatigue. The Fever had won eight straight at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, which incidentally included a 106-77 lopsided crushing of the Dream on Aug. 7 that marked the club's first 100-point effort since 2010. Atlanta (11-16) has won four of six since that beat down, and will have revenge on board for his tilt.

How many times have we seen a team, from any sports venue, come out after a long streak was ended and put up a clunker. Im not saying that is what the Fever will do today, but what I am recommending,  is a play on Atlanta based on what Im betting will be a motivated effort vs a side that embarrassed them.

The Dream have come out on top in four of their last five visits to Indianapolis, including a win in the 2013 East Finals, and the visitor has won six of the series' past seven meetings.

Atlanta Fever to cover 1 unit reg selection 

08-26-15 LA Sparks +4 v. Indiana Fever 81-79 Win 100 14 h 31 m Show

The Fever enter this game against LA on a six-game winning streak, and have won nine of their 10 games since the All-Star break in late July. The Fever almost fell apart last time out vs the easts top team the Liberty after a 9 point half time lead slipped away but hung on for a 80-79 victory non the less, failing to cover as 2 point favs. This team no matter how hot they are , will be on tired legs for this game, after a West Coast tour: Phoenix, Los Angeles and Seattle in six days' time and than back at home against a strong Liberty last time out. Im not dismissing how well the Fever have played, but their tenaciosness will effect their stamina , and Im betting that it effects them today. LA has won 3 straight here, and get the nod to cover in this spot. 

Play on the LA Sparks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

08-23-15 New York Liberty +2 v. Indiana Fever 79-80 Win 100 8 h 17 m Show

Indiana has just completed four straight road wins. Coming home after an extensive journey, wreaks havoc with all pro teams. That first game back is not always their best, as it takes time to get back into the swing of things (jet leg etc). Tonight Im betting that the Fever recent run of success comes to an abrupt end (ATS) vs a NY Liberty side that may be out to send a message to a surging foe, that they are a team to be respected. 

NY Liberty to cover  1 unit reg selection 

08-21-15 Indiana Fever v. Seattle Storm +5 75-63 Loss -107 28 h 48 m Show

This will be Indiana's 4th straight road game,  with the previous three coming against Wash, Phoenix , and LA all wins, so now we have a value line to bet into because of their successes. I know Seattle has not performed all that well this season, but they have played well at home and have been very competitive in their own building covering 4 of their L/5 home games and 7 of their 11 overall as hosts. Tonight the Storm get an exhausted Fever side, that despite of playing well of late will be on tired legs. 

Seattle Storm to cover  1 unit reg selection 

08-16-15 Indiana Fever v. Phoenix Mercury -5.5 75-63 Loss -103 11 h 15 m Show

Play on the Phoinex Mercury 1 unit reg selection 

08-14-15 Minnesota Lynx v. Atlanta Dream +8 84-82 Win 100 27 h 11 m Show

Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover 1 unit reg selection 

08-11-15 Chicago Sky v. New York Liberty -3 63-84 Win 100 24 h 28 m Show

NY Liberty to cover 1 unit reg selection 

08-09-15 LA Sparks v. Minnesota Lynx -5 64-72 Win 100 21 h 36 m Show

Play on the Minnesota Lynx 1 unit reg selection

08-07-15 Atlanta Dream +7 v. Indiana Fever 77-106 Loss -101 29 h 42 m Show

Atlanta Dream to cover 1 unit reg selection 

08-04-15 San Antonio Stars v. Connecticut Sun -4.5 51-82 Win 100 23 h 4 m Show

Connecticut Sun to cover 1 unit reg selection

08-02-15 Phoenix Mercury v. Atlanta Dream +6 71-68 Win 100 6 h 52 m Show

Phoenix just staged back to back double digit rallies, and Im sure despite of their talents are emotionally and physically drained. Atlanta has not played all that well this season, but they have won 3 of their L/4 at home, and Im betting will take advantage of a tired Mercury side and make life difficult for the visitors. 

Dream are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.Mercury are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.

Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection 

07-21-15 Phoenix Mercury -4 v. Los Angeles Sparks 65-70 Loss -105 15 h 37 m Show

 The Los Angeles Sparks were playing their best basketball of the season at the beginning of the month and nearly knocked off the Phoenix Mercury in the process, the last time these teams met.

That close hard fouth win a little more than two weeks ago will have the Mercury wide awake and ready to not over look their opponents tonight and Im betting they will come out and perform at a higher level.

Phoinex Mercury to cover 1 unit reg selection 

07-19-15 Connecticut Sun v. Washington Mystics -5.5 82-89 Win 100 8 h 15 m Show

Connecticut is slumping after a fast start and have lost 5 straight,  and also lost their only metings at home vs the Mystics this season losing by 6 points .Considering the Sun current form Im betting they are fade material here again in Washington DC  today. 

Sun are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Washington.

Play on Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection 

07-15-15 LA Sparks v. Seattle Storm +1.5 61-68 Win 100 7 h 1 m Show

Play on the Seattle Storm to cover 1 unit reg selection 

07-10-15 Phoenix Mercury v. Seattle Storm +7.5 94-79 Loss -105 13 h 16 m Show

This is an exaggerated number , and their is plenty of value backing Seattle on their own home court. I expect the Storm, as they did vs top tier  Minnesota and Tulsa sides in recent home covers,  will also be very motivated to upset the defending WNBA champs here tonight. 

Note: The Mercury have failed to cover 6 of their L/8 road games.

Play on the Seattle Storm to cover 1 unit reg selection 

07-05-15 Phoenix Mercury -3 v. Los Angeles Sparks 94-91 Push 0 19 h 34 m Show

 The Phoenix Mercury were slow off the mark this season , but now the defending WNBA champs are moving into top form which is not a good omen for any opponent. I know the Sparks have won two in a row, thanks in part to Kristi Tolivers added offense. But make no mistake, that this version of the Sparks is not match for the Mercury , when the ladies from the desert are in a groove. Because the Sparks have won two in a row , the Mercury who have also won two in a row will not overlook them, and Im betting they will come out here with all guns blazing and take no chances for a conclusive victory, 

Play on the Phoinex Mercury to cover 1 unit reg selection  

07-02-15 San Antonio Silver Stars +5.5 v. Los Angeles Sparks 81-86 Win 100 29 h 39 m Show

The Sparks are 0-7 SU on the season and have not been a good home bet in a long time dumping the cash for their backers in 22 of their 27 as hosts. Nothing comes easy for the Sparks, and with a boat load full of injuries their problems will continue. Take the points with San Antonio 1 unit reg selection 

San Antonio to cover 1 unit reg selection 

06-30-15 Tulsa Shock v. Seattle Storm +5 69-74 Win 100 28 h 45 m Show

Seattle Storm to cover 1 unit reg selection 

06-27-15 Seattle Storm +5 v. San Antonio Stars 71-73 Win 100 22 h 48 m Show

There is no doubt in my mind that Seattle is a talented team. Its taking time for their new uptempo take no prisoners style of acrobatic basketball to take hold, but make no mistake , that when they do get things going, they will be hard to stop. The Storm played the Minnesota Lynx tough last time out,  despite of coming out on the short end of a 76-73 loss, but covered and showed some life. I expect that positive flow to continue into this game, and for them to possibly spring the straight upset  as underdogs vs a San Antonio team that has one win on the season.

 Stars are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Take the points with the Seattle Storm 1 unit reg selection 

06-16-15 Indiana Fever +5 v. Atlanta Dream 90-79 Win 100 4 h 17 m Show

This Indiana team is reeling after losing 4 of 5  to begin their season, and will be in desperation mode here in Atlanta today and ready to play a hard nosed game. With Tamika Catchings suspension served she is now ready to return and her veteran presence Im betting will have a calming effect on this fairly young Fever core.

Indiana is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 16 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. Indiana is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game .Indiana is 12-3 ATS   vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% plus of their shots. All three of these trends meet todays point spread guideline.

Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection 

06-14-15 Minnesota Lynx v. Phoenix Mercury +6.5 66-81 Win 100 24 h 38 m Show

Phoinex to cover 1 unit reg selection 

06-09-15 Seattle Storm +6.5 v. Tulsa Shock 45-68 Loss -109 27 h 5 m Show

Seattle has put together a very interesting team, that has a boatload full of talent, experience, and atheltic ability. This group was made to play this type of fast paced basketball system, and Im betting Tulsa despite of also being a fast paced team with offensive weapons galore, does not have enough guns to deal with what's coming their way today. Also I believe Seattle, is a very capable two way team, which the Shock are not. My line has this game as close to a pickem, which offeres value taking the points. 

Seattle Storm to cover 1 unit reg selection 

06-06-15 LA Sparks v. Seattle Storm +1 61-86 Win 100 13 h 5 m Show

The Seattle Storm went through a proverbial makeover this offseason: new coach, new GM and new players. But even with those changes, the new-look has everyone in the Storm organization optimistic.This is a very quick rebuild and that will become obvious as the season progresses. This type of talent when playing on their own home court must not be underestimated , as Im betting the linesmakers have done in this spot. Note: Japanese star and Storm aqusisition Tokashiki is how this new version of the Storm will operate , fast, explosive atheltic and almost acorabatic in nature.

Seattle Storm to cover 1 unit reg selection 

06-05-15 Washington Mystics v. Connecticut Sun +6 73-68 Win 100 11 h 30 m Show

The Sun are very aware of how little is generally expected of them this season, how down on them many punfdits  are as they open the WNBA season Friday against Washington at Mohegan Sun Arena.The Sun have not made the playoffs in either of Anne Donovan's two seasons. And the attempt to get there has been hindered by injuries, the suspension of Allie Hightower, the waiving of Kelsey Griffin and Danielle McCray and the retirement of Katie Douglas. This team does however, have a good mix of veterans and youngsters, and will be very motivated to make the pundits eat their words. They now play a overrated  Mystics side that  eliminated Connecticut from postseason contention last year with a 71-67 victory in the penultimate regular season game, and revenge is on board. 

Take the points  with Connecitcut 1 unit reg selection 

07-06-14 Minnesota Lynx -4.5 v. New York Liberty 80-87 Loss -105 23 h 13 m Show

Minnesota has won six straight in the series by an average of 23.5 points per game, winning each game by at least 16. New York hasn't defeated the Lynx since a 78-62 victory in Minneapolis on Sept. 2, 2011. Im betting things dont change much today as one of the top teams in the West takes on one of the worst east!

Play on Minnesota ( 1 unit regular selection)

06-27-14 Phoenix Mercury v. Indiana Fever +4.5 81-76 Loss -110 12 h 39 m Show

This game will be on Fox Sports Indiana in the Indianapolis area, and Fox Sports Arizona in the Phoenix market.

The Fever (6-7) have lost three of four and are surrendering 88.5 points per game in that stretch. They had allowed 74.2 points through their first nine contests and are more than capable of playing good defense and also bouncing back here in this spot vs what my own numbers suggest are an over rated and over hyped Mercury side. 

Mercury are 9-23-2 ATS in their last 34 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.Fever are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Play on the Indiana Fever to cover ( 1 unit reg selection)

06-26-14 Atlanta Dream +1 v. San Antonio Silver Stars 81-79 Win 100 15 h 5 m Show

Atlanta (9-4) had a six-game win streak snapped after shooting 36.5 percent - its second-worst performance this season - in an 85-78 loss to New York on Sunday. I doubt very much they will shoot that badly again. You can also bet they will be primed to take down a San Antonio side that has not let them get a win here since 2010. The Stars (7-7), have dropped four of five at home this season, and will be at a talent disadvantage when they play a strong and determined Atlanta Dream tonight. 


Play on the Atlanta Dream ( 1 unit reg selection)

06-24-14 Seattle Storm v. Los Angeles Sparks -4 57-65 Win 100 5 h 58 m Show

The Storm have played back to back overtime games, and Im betting on that having an effect on them here this evening vs the Sparks as they will now be on tired legs! The Sparks (4-8) are shooting a league-worst 27.7 percent from 3-point range and are the only team below the Storm in the West, though they did claim an 80-69 victory in Seattle on May 16 and in my humble opinion matchup very well against the Storm. Bottom line: LAS has to really get their mojo going and start playing at a level they are capable of. Im betting tonight they come out with all guns blazing and get the job done and also get the all important cover.

Storm are 4-11-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Los Angeles

Play on Los Angeles Sparks

06-22-14 Washington Mystics v. Seattle Storm -2 86-89 Win 100 13 h 30 m Show

Seattle Storm vs Washington Mystics

The Storm found a way to get it done in the nation's capital May 24, winning 73-65 while holding the Mystics (5-8) to 36.9 percent shooting. The Storm matchup well against the young Mystics and Im betting get the job done again!

The Mystics are shooting just 41.1 percent from the field - 11th in the league - and a ugly 29.0 percent from beyond the arc to rank last in that category.

Seattle to win ATS ( 1 unit reg play)

06-20-14 Washington Mystics v. Minnesota Lynx -8.5 65-75 Win 100 12 h 59 m Show

The Minnesota Lynx are ib a  bounce back mode after a surrising thumping  from the Phoenix Mercury on Wednesday by a s 92-79 count. The powerful Lynx have dne well in this role recently as they own a 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games following a negative SU result .

Lynx are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Play on Minnesota to cover (reg selection 1 unit )

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