My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 25 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Indiana away games after scoring 85 points or more are 11-2 under.Indiana games after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better are 8-1 under with the combined score of bothese trends on the low side of this Totals offering.

WNBA teams like Vegas where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in August or September games are 31-9 under since 2021 with a combined average of 158.4 ppg.

Play under

My WNBA basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 21 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 21 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 21 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Sparks are in a explosive run and gun rhythm and will force the cpable offense of the Fever in what Im betting will be an offensive fireworks display.

Los Angeles games off a road win are 9-1 over L/10 with a combined average of 178.5 ppg scored. ( They upset the Storm last time out as road dogs) Los Angeles games after scoring 90 points or more are 12-2 over with a combined average of 179.9 ppg scored. Los Angeles games versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game are 6-0 OVER this season with a combined average of 177.2 ppg scored.

Road teams like the Sparks where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - average 3PT shooting team (30-35%) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a poor pressure defense (14.5 TO or less) after 15+ games are 24-3 over with a combined average of 174.8 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER

WNBA teams like the LA Sparks where the total is greater than or equal to 170 - after 4 straight games where both teams scored 80 points or more against opponent after scoring 85 points or more are 25-4 under L/27 opportunities with a combined average of 171.1 ppg scored.

Play under

My projections estimate a combined score in the mid to high 160s .

New York games after a close win by 3 points or less are 7-0 OVER L/7 with a combined aveerage of 174.4 ppg.

WNBA Road teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - average 3PT shooting team (30-35%) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a poor pressure defense (14.5 TO or less) after 15+ games are 24-3 over since 2016 with a combined average of 174.9 ppg scored.

Play over

the Sun offense has been playing well of late, averaging 83.6 ppg while, Dallas have score 80 or mopre points in 5 of theior L/6. Menawhile both Ds are sub average with Dallas showing particular softness allowing 93 plus points per game in their L/5 ovetall. Im expecting a wide open back forth game.

Dallas away games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 44% or more are 15-3 over since 2023 with a combined average of 188.3 ppg .

  Dallas away games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game after 15+ games. are 32-11 over since 2023 with a combined average score of 177.1 ppg scored.

WNBA teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - in a game involving two average offensive teams (75-82 PPG), after a close loss by 3 points or less. are 25-6 over since 1997 with the average combined score clicking in at 171,1 ppg.

As the play offs inch closer teams are begging to pay more attention to defense.

WNBA teams entering Monday -Road teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%) after 15+ games, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more of their shots are 25-3 under since 1997 with a combined average of 155.6 ppg.

Play under

My projections estimate a combined score in the low 160s range.

Las Vegas games against Eastern conference opponents are 29-11 under since with a cominbed average of 159.2 ppg scored.

Road teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%) after 15+ games, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more of their shots with a combined avrage of 155.6 ppg scored.

Play under

My projections have this combined score in the mid 150s.

Las Vegas games against Eastern conference opponents are 12-3 UNDER L/15 with a combined average of 156.3 ppg scored.

Washington games off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival are 5-0 under this season with a combined average of 146.6 ppg scored.(Lost at Connecticut 56-67)

WNBA road teams like the Aces where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%) after 15+ games, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more of their shots are 25-2 under since 1997 with the average combined score clicking at 154.9 ppg.

Play under

My projections estimate a score in the low 160s, bug value here to the under based on my output algorithms.

Dallas games off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog is 5-0 under this season with a combined average of 153.8 ppg scored.

WNBA Road teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%) after 15+ games, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more of their shots are 24-2 under since 1997 with 154.9 ppg scored.

Play under

My rpojections estimate a combined score in the low 170s giving us a  nice edge on this totals offering.

WNBA Road teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - average 3PT shooting team (30-35%) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a poor pressure defense (14.5 TO or less) after 15+ games are 24-3 OVER since 1997 with a combined average score of 174.8 ppg scored.

Play over

WNBA Road teams like Washington where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - average 3PT shooting team (30-35%) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a poor pressure defense (14.5 TO or less ) after 15+ games are 24-3 over since 1997 with a combined average of 174,8 ppg scored.

Play over

WNBA Road teams like chiago where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - average 3PT shooting team (30-35%) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a poor pressure defense (14.5 TO or less) after 15+ games are 24-3 over since 2016 with a combined average of 174.8 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play over

These teams played earlier  this season and combined for 193 points. Yes they are a little depleted injury wise since then, but the overall talent and  pace should be more than adequate between last years NBA finals participants.

My projections estimate a combined score in the mid to high 160s giving us an obvious edge on a over bet.

OVER

The Sparks play a one way run and gun type of hoops,  no attention to D, and all out offense. However,  in contrarian fashion the defending champs look to slow these teams down and get them out of their comfort zone is as evident by going 5-0 UNDER  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 44% with a combined average of 157 ppg going on the board.

WNBA teams like LAS where the total is greater than or equal to 170 - after 4 straight games where both teams scored 80 points or more against opponent after scoring 85 points or more are 23-3 UNDER since 1997 with a combined average of 160.9 ppg scored.

WNBA teams like NYL where the total is greater than or equal to 170 - good offensive team - scoring 83+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 90 points or more in 2 straight games are 25-3 UNDER side 2021 with a combined average of 164.9 ppg scored.

Play under

Phoenix played avery physical tilt game versus Connecticut last night, and could be on tired legs and unable ti run and gun with the explosive Liberty. Damage control will be on the Mercury agenda in what Im betting will see a combined score on the low side of the totals offering. 

Play on the under 

My rejections estimate a score to reach the mid 160s giving us value with an over bet . 

My rejections estimate a score to reach the mid 160s giving us value with an over bet . 

Courtney Vandersloot, tore her ACL and Chicago is going to suffer because of it. Guard play was already an issue and now wow its should be a night mare scenario. The Libertuy Im betting put up mucho points here in what the linesmakers agree will be a blowout. Im more comfortable taking the total than laying the big lumber . 

NBA Road teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in June games are 21-3 over since 1997 with a combined average of 173.5 ppg scored.

NY Liberty Sandy Brondello games versus horrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game are 9-1 over with a combined average of 173.6 ppg scored.

Play over

After a frantic close win last time out vs Golden State I betting the Mercury will be in a letdown scenario and could easily come out with a lethargic effort that will effect this score towards the under and still playing without Alyssa Thomas their cohesiveness on offense will be tested by the Storm. Seattle as a favorite and Phoenix as an rdog have gone 8-1-1 to the Under this season so far.

The Dream are expected to have  Brittney Griner back in the lineup tonight after missing the last game  Seattle is expected to healthy tonight with all roster positions available to play. Im projecting both these sides to score in the low 80s and for this totla to be easily eclipsed. WNBA teams where the total is 159.5 or less - averaging 42 or more rebounds/game on the season, on Friday nights are 80-38 OVER for a 68% conversion rate .

Play over

My projections estimate a combined score closer to 159 giving us a almost a 2 possession edge to the under. Chicago games off a road loss against a division rival have stayed under in 11 of their L/12 overall.Chicago games off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival are 12-2 to the under.

Play under

My. projections estimate a combined score of 168 so this is a under wager for me. 

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 170 - after allowing 90 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 90 points or more are 21-4 UNDER with a combined average of 166.7. ppg scored.

Play under

Both these teams are off ugly losses to start their season, and will be ready tp bounce back here in aggressive fashion, which Im betting translates into a higher scoring back and forth affair.

Dallas games in a home game where where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points are 8-1 over dating back to last season with a combined average of 181.6 ppg.

Play over

 These teams have combined to  average 166  points in their last two meetings and my projections for this game estimate a combined score in around 167-168  range which gives us some strong value with a over wager.Over is 9-3 in Aces last 12 vs. Western Conference.

Play on the over

These teams have nothing really to play for as their spots in the play offs have essentially been decided. I expect  tweaking schemes and staying healthy will be key for both these sides, which projects to see a lower scoring game between two very tough defenses. 

Under is 5-0-1 in Sun last 6 overall.Under is 6-0 in Sun last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 7-1 in Sun last 8 Tuesday games.Under is 16-5-1 in Sun last 22 vs. Western Conference.

Under is 5-1 in Lynx last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-2 in Lynx last 7 overall.Under is 5-2 in Lynx last 7 Tuesday games.

Play under

Bet over the total in Dallas games as a home underdog -11-1 OVER L/12 with a 191.1 ppg scored.

The Sun  are now in top form and becoming more more explosive offensively. Seattle will have to provide some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court .  The Storm behind a top tier group are capable of putting up alot of production and that Im betting leads to a much higher scoring affair then the linebackers Totals  line suggests. 

Play over 

Dallas loves to play a run and gun type of hoops, and Im betting they force the Lynx to have to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own and what I project to end  in being higher scoring affair that produces a  combined score that projects  up into the mid 170s.

Over is 17-5 in Wings last 22 games following a ATS win.Over is 19-7 in Wings last 26 games following a straight up win.Over is 39-15-1 in Wings last 55 overall.Over is 5-2 in Wings last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 7-3 in Wings last 10 Friday games.Over is 36-17 in Wings last 53 home games.Over is 35-17-1 in Wings last 53 vs. Western Conference.

Over is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 overall.Over is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 games following a ATS win.Over is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 games following a straight up win.

Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.Over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings.

Play over

Two time defending champs the Aces after a few lackluster performances have to get things going in a hurry if they want to achieve a threepeat. Tonight against a now healthy Dallas side that loves to run and gun, Im expecting a spirited affair that eclipses this total.

Over is 5-1-1 in Wings last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 17-4 in Wings last 21 games following a straight up win.Over is 21-6-1 in Wings last 28 vs. Western Conference.Over is 17-5-1 in Wings last 23 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 38-15-1 in Wings last 54 overall.Over is 18-8-1 in Wings last 27 games following a ATS loss. 

Over is 35-17 in Wings last 52 home games.Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the  OVER

This line is tainted thanks to the Lynx astounding shooting metrics when these teams met earlier this week .According to my projections this totals offering should be closer 162 giving us one of my bigger edges of the season with my totals selections.

Under is 8-3 in Lynx last 11 overall.Under is 7-3 in Lynx last 10 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-1 in Lynx last 7 home games.Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

Under is 5-1 in Aces last 6 Friday games.Under is 4-1 in Aces last 5 road games.Over is 7-2 in Aces last 9 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-2 in Aces last 7 overall.

Play under

The Atlanta Dream are still banged up, even with the rest - and will just be trying to slow this game down to compete with the explosive and mostly healthy Seattle Storm . This translates in a lower scoring grinding affair that fails to eclipse this total.

Under is 8-1 in Storm last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 4-1 in Storm last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Storm last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Dream last 5 overall.

Under is 4-1 in Dream last 5 games following a straight up loss. Under is 5-2 in Dream last 7 vs. Western Conference.Under is 16-7 in Dream last 23 home games.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

Play under

My projections estimate that the total attached to this game between the Sparks and Liberty is closer to the 162 mark thus giving us value with a under wager here as we have at least a one possession cushion in this spot play.

Under is 9-3-1 in Sparks last 13 games following a straight up loss.Under is 21-8 in Sparks last 29 home games.Under is 7-1-1 in Sparks last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Under is 5-0 in Liberty last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 5-1-1 in Liberty last 7 overall.

Under is 3-1-1 in Liberty last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 8-3 in Liberty last 11 road games.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on the UNDER 

Offensively Minnesota has struggled of late scoring  just 68.5 points per game during their current two game losing streak. Meanwhile Atlanta has been an inconsistent offensive threat  this season averaging just 75 points on 40.8% shooting from the floor. Considering early start times, have teams starting slowly and a less cohesive event is highly likely according to my projections which give credence to a lower scoring affair. 

Under is 7-0 in Lynx last 7 overall.Under is 6-0 in Lynx last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-0 in Lynx last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-0 in Lynx last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-0 in Lynx last 5 home games.Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 Wednesday games.Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.

Under is 4-0 in Dream last 4 overall.Under is 4-0 in Dream last 4 games following a straight up loss.Under is 8-1 in Dream last 9 games following a ATS win.Under is 6-1 in Dream last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Dream last 6 Wednesday games.Under is 5-1 in Dream last 6 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-1 in Dream last 5 road games.

Play under

My projections estimate a combined score in the 175 range giving us close to 2 possession edge for an over bet to cash. Dallas has issues with playing defensive ball and instead push forward with an all out offensive style of hoops.  Dallas lost a 100-84 decision in Phoenix on Wednesday, continuing to highlight their  soft defensive stance, and admirable offensive work. Both sides have injury woes with key players out, but their brand of lower tier hoops seems to not optimize their defensive capabilities or inabilities. I know the Los Angeles shot 41.1 percent from the floor and produced its second-worst scoring total of the season last time out, vs a top tier Lynx group, but now Im betting on positive regression after that frustrating effort vs a porous opponent. 

Over is 9-2 in Wings last 11 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-2 in Wings last 10 Saturday games.Over is 19-7 in Wings last 26 home games.Over is 18-7-1 in Wings last 26 games following a ATS loss.Over is 18-7-1 in Wings last 26 games following a straight up loss.Over is 35-15-1 in Wings last 51 overall.

Over is 5-1 in Sparks last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.

Play over-Play as high as 172

My. projections estimate  that we will see a track meet take hold here tonight.  Ny number comes in at the 2nd highest projected  output of the season, of 177.5 which gives us close to full 2 possession edge on the offered number.

Winners of three in a row, Phoenix (12-10) is in a groove and ready to run and gun with a Catlin Clark led Fevers side that will have no problem pushing the action in response to what promises to be an aggressive opponent playing with momentum. Biggest problem for the Fever is a lackluster D, that the Mercurys sharp shooters will have no problem taking advantage of. 

The Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Indiana.

Over is 4-1 in Fever last 5 home games.

Over is 7-3 in Fever last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play over

All three meetings between these teams this season have been high scoring affairs and Im betting nothing changes here today. Scores of  104-96 /97-90/ 107-92 have all eclipsed the offered total. Rinse and repeat situation now on board. 

Over is 5-1-1 in Wings last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 

Play on the over

The Sun are 1-1 against the Dream this season, dropping the last contest 78-74 on June 28 in Connecticut. Current values and play estimations make for an even lower scoring affair this afternoon. Last time out on Thursday night, the Connecticut Sun took a  78-73 road victory over the Minnesota Lynx and Im betting will continue to play a top tier brand of defensive hoops. 

My projections estimate a score in the mid 140s giving us a more than 2 possession advantage to the under. 

Play under 

Mystics just got smashed by DDs vs the Aces last time out and to me looked exhausted for whatever reason. Maybe being injury riddled and short handed has finally got the best of the best of this young group from DC.  That does not bode well for them having the legs needed today vs a motivated group of Lynx whoare off a humbling loss to Connecticut at home t after a fast start to their campaign. With that said, I expect the Mystics just wont have the tenacity needed to  play strong D in this spot and for the Lynx to highlight a more aggressive offensive posture in an attempt to alleviate the letdown of a key loss last time out .   This  Im betting will lead to a score that eclipses this totals offering. 

Play on the over

Mystics are banged up but still seem to find the depth to score, but their Achilles heel seem to  have shown some defensive break downs to top tier teams and thats what Im betting on tonight. Meanwhile, the Aces are more cohesive offensively on their own home floor and a expanded offensive outing, above their current metrics looks to be a high probability event giving credence to my over wager in this spot play situation. Vegas scored a 88-77 win in DC in their previous meeting in June, and a even higher offensive output by Vegas is projected here , with the Mystics frantically chasing. 

Play over

Minnesota usually reliable D failed them last time out vs the Liberty , after leading that game for a majority of the time they fell apart late for the loss. Now in bounce back mode, Im sure a complete defensive effort vs the Sun wlll be in order. Also this will be an emotional  hangover spot for the Lynx and Im betting they wont have the legs to run and gun and will be alot more subdued after their Commissioner Cup rematch against NYL. Meanwhile, the Suns, have not looked as explosive offensively as they did earlier this season, and have reverted to a more structured conservative  defensive type of hoops. This combination of observations and my power ranking head to head  projections estimate a combined score that will fail to eclipse this total. 

Play under

The teams have split their first two meetings this season. Dallas took a 107-92 in Phoenix on May 25, while the Mercury found a way past the Wings in a 97-90 double-overtime road victory on June 9. Im betting on more fast paced action and scoring here today in a rinse and repeat situation. 

Play over 

The Mystics are a hard working team with alot of chemistry and top tier coaching. Despite of a boatload  full of injuries they keep competing . In what the lines-makers expect to be a very close game here in LA, Im betting both these sides, ( Mystics/ Sparks) take  part in a back and forth affair that eclipses the total.  

Play on the OVER 

Minnesota came out flat  against Dallas this past  Thursday, but this is to good of a team to not get back into a groove quickly . Im betting on a shut down performance from their D , after a couple of uncharacteristically high scoring games and for a lower combined score to be a result of this tilt which in-turn gives us an edge on a under wager. 

Play under

My projections make this total closer to the 151 range which in turn according to my numbers give us a big edge for an under wager to cash here today as the Sun and Storm do battle in west coast WNBA early afternoon action. Under is 6-0 in Storm last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 5-0 in Sun last 5 vs. Western Conference.

Play under

These teams  the Sparks and the Liberty just played and the total combined score of the game eclipsed the total (173), and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today in the rematch.note: NYL have scored 90 points or more in 4 straight but have allowed 80 or more points in what have been wide open run and gun affairs.  

Over is 4-0 in Liberty last 4 home games. Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in New York.

NEW YORK is 15-6 OVER  in home games after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 170.3 ppg scored.NEW YORK is 23-12 OVER  after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 172 ppg scored. 

Play over

My power rating projection system, estimate that the combined score of this contest will fall in the mid 150s range giving close to a 2 possession value wager to the under. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (ATLANTA) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent against opponent off 3 consecutive wins against division rivals are 60-31 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under