Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-01-18 | Indians v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CLE@MIN to go Under the total. The Indians come into Game 2 of this series in Minnesota as winners of six straight. They have scored plenty of runs during that span, but I am expecting the Twins ace to shut them down tonight. Jose Berrios will toe the slab for Minny, and he's been dealing. Berrios (5-5, 3.67 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on eight hits, striking out eight in 7 1/3 innings in a 3-1 loss at Seattle his last time out. He tossed seven scoreless innings in a home win over Cleveland earlier this season. The Indians hand the ball to Carlos Carrasco, who has owned the Twins. He allowed three hits in seven scoreless innings in his only start against Minnesota this season. He was 3-0 with a 0.92 ERA against the Twins last season. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-30-18 | Giants v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SF@COL to go Over the total. Coors Field is legendary for being a hitter's park, but it hasn't been quite as kind to hitter's this year. Last night's game was more like what we are accustomed to seeing in Colorado, with the Rockies winning 11-4. The two teams combined to hit four home runs, and I expect another slugfest here tonight. Jon Gray will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's already been roughed up by the Giants this year. He allowed five runs on nine hits in just 3 2/3 innings in a 9-4 loss at San Francisco a few weeks ago. He has an ERA over 6.00 in six home starts. The Giants hand the ball to Derek Holland, who hasn't been missing many bats this season. Holland (2-6, 4.73 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits in six innings in a home loss to Colorado two weeks ago. Holland hasn't fooled the Rockies at all. Colorado's lineup is batting a combined .333 over 66 at bats versus the lefty. Take Over. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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05-29-18 | Reds v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 2-5 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Arizona had lost 14 of their previous 16 games before crushing the Reds in Game 1 of this home series yesterday. Only a game and a half out of first place in the NL West, I expect the D'Backs to have turned the corner. Zack Godley will toe the slab for Arizona, coming off an ugly performance in his last start. The 28 year old was tagged for eight runs in just 3 1/3 innings in a loss at Milwaukee. He's been far better at home, going 2-1 with a 2.92 ERA in four starts. The Reds hand the ball to Luis Castillo, who is undefeated in his last four starts. Three of those games were home games, and his numbers on the road are still pretty bad. He's 2-2 with a 6.37 ERA in six starts on the road. The battle of the bullpens favors Arizona, ranking second in the majors in ERA by reliever. The Reds bullpen ranks 18 with an ERA of 4.11 (as reliever). Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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05-28-18 | Capitals v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -120 | 82 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@VGK to go Under the total. The Las Vegas Golden Knights were a 200-1 bet to win the Stanley Cup before the season started, and here they are about to play Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final on home ice. This is a real Cinderella story, but the Washington Capitals have a story of their own. Alex Ovechkin is the best pure goal scorer of his generation, but he and the Capitals have played second fiddle to Sidney Crosby's Pittsburgh Penguins for the last decade. Both these teams can credit their goaltenders for getting them this far. Marc-Andre Fleury is the favorite to win the Conn Smythe Trophy (at least in my opinion). Braden Holtby is no slouch either, coming into Game 1 off back to back shutouts. The stakes are high, and I expect Game 1 of the Finals to look a lot like a Game 7. My money is on a low scoring game to get the series started. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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05-27-18 | Astros v. Indians UNDER 8 | 9-10 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on HOU@CLE to go Under the total. I am expecting a pitcher's duel here in Cleveland today with Gerrit Cole starting opposite Trevor Bauer. Bauer (4-3, 2.35 ERA) has struck out 16 batters through 14 scoreless innings in his last two starts. He's been particularly sharp in day games, posting a 1.67 ERA in four starts in the afternoon. He also has nice numbers against Houston, going 6-0 with a 3.35 ERA against them since 2015. Gerrit Cole has been dealing this season, with a record of 5-1 with a 1.86 ERA. The Astros have won nine of the 10 games he has started in, and he's 4-0 with a 1.32 ERA in five starts on the road. The under is 9-4-1 in Astros last 14 games versus a right-handed starter. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
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05-26-18 | DC United v. Los Angeles FC OVER 3 | 1-1 | Loss | -123 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on DC United vs LAFC to go Over 2.5. I would hesitate to back the home favorite here, as LAFC only has a +5 goal differential in 11 matches. This team can certainly score it's fair share of goals, tallying 23 so far this season. They have also conceded more than their fair share (18). DC United sits at the bottom of the table, but surprisingly they have scored just four fewer goals than they have conceded. They have done the bulk of their scoring in their last three matches, scoring nine times while losing two of their last three. We should see at least three goals here in LA. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-25-18 | New York City FC v. Houston Dynamo OVER 3 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NYC vs HOU Over 2.5. Two of the highest scoring teams in the MLS will meet in Houston tonight, and we should see plenty of scoring. The Dynamo come in on top form, with a record of 3-1-1 in their last five matches. They totaled a whopping 14 goals in those games. New York City FC is just 2-2-1 in it's last five matches, but is coming off a 4-0 win over Colorado. Between the two teams they have combined to score a whopping 48 goals in a combined 22 matches. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-23-18 | Pirates v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
8* |
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05-23-18 | Tigers v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DET@MIN to go Under the total. The Twins have won their last three home games, and all three of those games went under the total. I expect another pitcher's duel in Minnesota this afternoon. Michael Fulmer will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's coming off three straight losses. Fulmer (1-3, 4.35 ERA) allowed three runs on three hits, striking out seven in 6 1/3 innings in a loss at Seattle his last time out. His split stats are like "night and day" .. pardon the pun. He has an ERA over 9.00 in four starts under the lights, and an ERA of 1.39 in four starts in day games. He's 3-0 with a 3.50 ERA in his last three starts against Minnesota. The Twins hand the ball to Kyle Gibson, who much like Fulmer has better numbers in the day. The Tigers haven't had a ton of success against Gibson, batting a combined .224 over 152 at bats. The under is 7-3 in the Twins last 10 overall, and 4-0 in their last four versus the Tigers. Take UNDER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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05-22-18 | Pirates v. Reds OVER 9 | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PIT@CIN to go Over the total. The Reds host the Pirates in Game 1 of a home series Tuesday, and Matt Harvey will make his first home start in Cincinnati. Harvey (0-2, 6.17 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits over four innings in a no decision in a 6-3 win at San Francisco his last time out. This figures to be a tough spot for the Dark Knight, as Reds ballpark isn't known to be kind to pitchers. The Pirates hand the ball to Jameson Taillon, who has been anything but consistent this season. The 26 year old allowed a pair of runs on five hits and three walks over 5 1/3 innings in a home win over the White Sox his last time out. He's 0-2 with a 4.34 ERA in four starts on the road. He made two starts in Cincinnati last season, allowing eight runs on 13 hits over nine innings. The over is is 5-1-2 in the Reds last 8 overall. Take Over. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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05-21-18 | Lightning v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on TB@WAS to go Over the total. Normally I would expect an elimination game to be a defensive battle, but these two teams have gone over in four of five games so far. The lightning were the highest scoring team in the NHL in the regular season, and they have scored a whopping 11 goals in the last three games. Two of the three games these teams played in the regular season went over the total, and the over is is 6-2-2 in the Capitals last 10 home games. This may well come down to an empty netter, or perhaps even two. If the Capitals are down big late in this game, we could see the goalie get the hook with several minutes left to play. Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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05-20-18 | Yankees v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 10-1 | Win | 105 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYY@KC to go Over the total. The Bronx Bombers launched five home runs in an 8-3 with in Kansas City on Saturday, and I expect to see plenty of runs in Sunday's series finale. Sonny Gray will toe the slab for the Yankees, and he hasn't lived up to expectations since arriving in New York. Gray (2-3, 6.39 ERA) allowed five runs on nine hits and three walks in just five innings in a home loss to Oakland his last time out. The most concerning stat for Gray is his strikeout to walk ratio, with 24 walks and just 32 strikeouts in 38 innings. The Royals hand the ball to Eric Skoglund, who hasn't been all that sharp either. The left-hander pitched well in a loss to Tampa his last time out, but he's 1-2 with a 6.23 ERA in his last four starts. Remember when the Royals bullpen was the best in baseball? Only two teams rank worse in ERA by reliever this season (Cleveland and Miami). Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-19-18 | Rockies v. Giants OVER 7.5 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on COL@SF to go Over the total. The Rockies have scored 11 runs in the first two games of this series in San Francisco, and they will have a chance to take advantage of another struggling Giants pitcher here today. Chris Stratton will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he hasn't been missing many bats lately. The 27 year old gave up four runs on nine hits and two walks in five innings, but still picked up a win at home versus Cinci his last time out. He has an ERA over 7.00 at home, and an ERA over 11.00 in day games. The Rockies hand the ball to Jon Gray, who was also hit hard in his last start. Gray (4-5, 4.85 ERA) allowed six runs on 10 hits in 5 1/3 innings in a home loss to Milwaukee his last time out. Andrew McCutchen is still looking for his first hit in this series, but he's 4-for-7 lifetime versus Gray. The over is 5-2 in Stratton's last seven home starts. Take Over. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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05-18-18 | Phillies v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 4-12 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PHI@STL to go Under the total. Game 1 of this series was a pitcher's duel, with the Phillies leading 1-0 after seven innings. The two teams combined to score seven runs in the final two frames, and Philly won 6-2. I expect to see another low scoring game in St. Louis tonight. Jake Arrieta will toe the slab for Philly, and he's still one of the best in the majors. Arrieta (3-1, 2.59 ERA) allowed five hits threw 7 1/3 scoreless innings in a no decision at home against the Mets his last time out. He's 6-4 with a 2.84 ERA in his last 12 starts against the Cardinals. St, Louis will counter with Michael Wacha, who has allowed less than two runs in four of his last five starts. Wacha (4-1, 3.09 ERA) allowed a run on three hits over six innings in a 2-1 loss at San Diego his last time out. The Phillies have failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and the under is 8-3 in their last 11 versus St. Louis. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
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05-15-18 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIL@ARI to go Under the total. The Arizona Diamondbacks live and die with slugger Paul Goldschmidt, and it's no surprise that while he's batting .068 in May, Arizona has lost nine of 13 games this month. The Brewers are in town tonight, and I expect to see a pitcher's duel in the desert. Zack Greinke will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's been dealing. Greinke (3-2, 3.70 ERA) allowed one run on four hits, striking out six in seven innings in a 2-1 home loss to Washington his last time out. The Brewers hand the ball to Jhoulys Chacin, who has been having a solid season in his own right. Chacin (3-1, 4.00 ERA) is undefeated in his last five starts. He allowed a pair of runs on four hits over 5 1/3 innings in a 5-2 win at Coors Field his last time out. The under is 18-7-2 in Arizona's last 27 home games, and 8-4-1 in their last 13 overall.
Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-13-18 | Royals v. Indians OVER 8 | 2-11 | Win | 110 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KC@CLE to go Over the total. The Indians have split the first two games of this series, despite scoring a total of 15 runs in two games. With two big name pitchers going in the rubber match, the total is quite low this afternoon. Corey Kluber will toe the slab for Cleveland, and he hasn't really been dominant in recent outings. Kluber (5-2, 2.62 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits over six innings in a win at Milwaukee his last time out. He's conceded at least three runs in four straight starts. He's a rather pedestrian 5-5 with a 3.10 ERA in his last 11 starts against Kansas City. The Royals hand the ball to Danny Duffy, who hasn't been great this season. Duffy (1-4, 5.15 ERA) allowed one run on six hits and two walks over 5 1/3 innings in a win at Baltimore his last time out. He's 0-4 with a 6.84 ERA in five starts in the afternoon this season. He's 0-5 with a 6.45 ERA in his last six starts versus Cleveland. The Indians rank 5th in the majors in runs scored versus left-handed pitching. Mike Moustakas has owned Kluber, batting .462 over 39 career at bats versus the Cleveland ace. Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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05-11-18 | Rays v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 4-9 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TB@BAL to go Under the total. With two below average lineups facing two above average starting pitchers with the wind blowing in at Camden Yard, the total for tonight's game appears to be a wee bit too high. The Orioles rank 28th in the majors in runs scored, and they will face Jacob Faria (3-1, 4.15 ERA). The right-hander allowed one run on three hits over 5 1/3 innings in a home win over Toronto his last time out. He tossed eight scoreless innings, allowing just three hits in a win over Detroit in his last start on the road. The Rays rank 25th in the majors in runs scored, and they face Kevin Gausman (2-2, 3.30 ERA). He's coming off a nine inning shutout, allowing just two hits in a 2-0 extra-inning loss at Detroit. Gausman is 4-2 with a 2.28 ERA in his last seven starts versus Tampa. The Orioles have gone over in five straight when Gausman starts at home, while the Rays have gone over just once in their last 11 overall. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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05-09-18 | Montreal Impact v. Chicago Fire OVER 3 | 0-1 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Montreal vs Chicago Over 2.5. |
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05-05-18 | Angels v. Mariners OVER 8 | Top | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 29 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAA@SEA to go Over the total.
The Angels ae hot, coming into Game 2 at Safeco as winners of four straight, and they've totaled 27 runs in their last three games. I think we'll see a slugfest in Seattle tonight Marco Gonzales will toe the slab for Seattle, and he hasn't looked good in two starts at home this year. The southpaw allowed seven runs on 10 hits over eight innings in his two previous starts at Safeco. The Halos hand the ball to Tyler Skaggs, and the Mariners have really hit him hard in the past. The Mariners are batting .304 with six home runs over combined 92 at bats versus Skaggs. Robinson Cano has really had his number, batting .444 with four RBIs in 18 at bats lifetime. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-03-18 | Orioles v. Angels OVER 9 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BAL@LAA to go OVER the total. |
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05-03-18 | Cavs v. Raptors UNDER 213 | 128-110 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CLE@TOR Under. |
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05-01-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 227 | Top | 116-121 | Loss | -107 | 40 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NO@GS to go Under the total Jesse Schule |
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04-30-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 208 | Top | 101-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@BOS to go Under the total.
The pundits are calling for Philly to go all the way to the NBA Finals, but first they have to get past a Celtics team that finished three games ahead of them in the standings. I bet on Boston to win their series versus Milwaukee, and here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Celtics are just a slight favorite at home, despite being a #2 seed versus a #7 seed. Sure they would like to have Kyrie Irving in these playoffs, but lets not kid ourselves about how good they were without him. Keep in mind, last year this team gave Cleveland fits, and Kyrie was playing for the Cavs. This season they played more than their fair share of games without not only Irving, but several other key players. They won 13 of their last 19 without Kyrie, and four of those six losses came on the road. Boston is still the best defensive team in the Eastern Conference, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus Milwaukee. Boston is 5-1 ATS in it's last six at The Garden, and the under is 24-9 in the Celtics last 33 Conference Quarterfinals games." They won all four home games in the first round, and held the Bucks under 100 points in each of the last three games in that series. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-30-18 | Pirates v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PIT@WAS to go Over the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-28-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 224.5 | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
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04-27-18 | Jets v. Predators OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WPG@NAS to go OVER the total. |
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04-23-18 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 209 | Top | 96-113 | Push | 0 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@UTAH to go Under the total. |
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04-22-18 | Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 205.5 | Top | 104-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@IND to go Under the total.
The Pacers have a chance to take a stranglehold on this series, heading into Game 4 at home already up 2-1. The Cavs lone win came by a score of 100-97 at home in Game 2, and LeBron scored 46 points in that game. All three games in this series have been low scoring, and I expect another defensive battle in such a high stakes contest tonight. The Pacers were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA after the all start break, and these two teams have failed to reach the total in four straight at Indianapolis. The Cavs are just 5-16-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings between the two teams, yet they are a road favorite here tonight. Kevin Love is banged up, and George Hill could miss tonight's game with a back injury. The under is 15-5 in Pacers last 20 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 11 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-22-18 | Mariners v. Rangers OVER 10 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SEA@TEX to go OVER the total.
The Mariners won a slugfest in Texas last night, rallying to score five runs in the seventh inning in a 9-7 victory. I expect plenty of runs here in the series finale this afternoon. Erasmo Ramirez will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA in four appearances in Texas since 2015. The Rangers lineup is batting a combined .329 over 70 at bats versus Ramirez. The Rangers hand the ball to Martin Perez, who has been lit up in three appearances this season. Perez (1-2, 13.14 ERA) was rocked for eight runs on 10 hits and three walks in just four innings in a loss at Tampa his last time out. The Mariners have hit .309 over a combined 178 at bats versus Perez. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-21-18 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 207 | Top | 102-115 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
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04-19-18 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 207 | 110-97 | Push | 0 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
The Warriors head to San Antonio in complete command of this series, and they will be a favorite to win Game 3. The Spurs aren't good enough to compete with the Warriors in this series, but they are sure as hell good enough to steal a game at home. Their Game 2 loss at Golden State was their 10th straight loss on the road, but they have won 11 in a row at home. In fact the Spurs won 33 games on their home court during the regular season, one of those wins coming versus Golden State. The Spurs won that game by a score of 89-75, and they lead 49-41 at halftime. They have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 home games, and they lead the NBA in opponent's scoring average. I expect the home team to come out playing with plenty of emotion here in Game 3, especially in the first half. The Spurs led by a score of 53-47 at the half in Game 2, but went on to lose by 15 points. These two teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 11 meetings in San Antonio. |
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04-18-18 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 13-4 | Win | 105 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAD@SD to go Over the total. We've seen plenty of runs scored at PETCO this season, and the Dodgers have gone over in six straight overall. I think the total for tonight's game looks artificially low. Kenta Maeda will toe the slab for the Dodgers, and he is coming off a brutal performance. The 30 year old allowed five runs on five hits and two walks in just 2 2/3 innings in a home loss to Arizona his last time out. He's been hit hard by the Padres, who are batting a combined .325 against him in 77 at bats. He was 1-2 with a 5.85 ERA in four starts against San Diego last year, and 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA in two starts at PETCO. The Padres hand the ball to Luis Perdomo, who is 1-4 with an 8.40 ERA against the Dodgers in eight appearances since 2015. Perdomo has an ERA over 11.00 at home so far this season. These teams have gone over in 10 of the last 11 head to head meetings. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-18-18 | Orioles v. Tigers UNDER 9 | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BAL@DET to go Under the total. The Orioles come into Game 2 in Detroit as losers of six of their last seven overall, yet they are still a favorite on the road here on Wednesday.
Kevin Gausman will toe the slab for the O's, and he's been pretty pedestrian in three starts. His ERA is at 6.60, and he has always struggled early in the season. He's 2-3 with a 5.88 ERA in 15 appearances in the month of April since 2015. He was 1-2 with a 7.50 ERA in six starts last April. The Tigers hand the ball to Matt Boyd, who is off to a good start despite still looking for his first win. Boyd (0-1, 1.38 ERA) allowed just one run on three hits over seven innings in a 2-1 loss at Cleveland his last time out. The Orioles are really struggling at the plate, batting .215 (28th in the majors) so far this season. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-17-18 | Pelicans v. Blazers UNDER 214 | 111-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NO@POR to go Under the total.
The Blazers held New Orleans to just 97 points in Game 1, but they were on the wrong side of a close defensive game. I expect Portland to come back an even the series with a win in Game 2, but my money is on the total. Portland ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and they are going to be playing with desperation here in tonight's game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in five of the last seven meetings. The under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings in Portland, and 11-5-1 in the last 17 overall. The Blazers have also gone under in five of their last six when coming off a loss. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-18 | Predators v. Avalanche OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
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04-15-18 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 203 | 107-113 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIL@BOS to go Under.
The Celtics are just a slight favorite at home, despite being a #2 seed versus a #7 seed. Sure they would like to have Kyrie Irving in these playoffs, but lets not kid ourselves about how good they were without him. Keep in mind, last year this team gave Cleveland fits, and Kyrie was playing for the Cavs. This season they played more than their fair share of games without not only Irving, but several other key players. They won 13 of their last 19 without Kyrie, and four of those six losses came on the road. Boston is still the best defensive team in the Eastern Conference, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus Milwaukee. Boston is 5-1 ATS in it's last six at The Garden, and the under is 24-9 in the Celtics last 33 Conference Quarterfinals games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-13-18 | Los Angeles FC v. Vancouver Whitecaps OVER 3 | 2-0 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAFC vs Vancouver to go Over the total.
LAFC got off to a good start in it's first season in the MLS, but after winning their first two matches, they have been out-scored by a combined score of 9-3 in back to back losses. They have conceded 10 goals total in four matches, and only two teams in the MLS have allowed more. Vancouver is sitting in second place in the Western Conference, and the Whitecaps are still undefeated at home. Vancouver scored 50 goals in 34 MLS matches last season, and the majority of those goals came at home. Neither of these two teams are particularly strong defensively, so we should expect a few goals on the West Coast tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-11-18 | Spurs v. Pelicans UNDER 211 | Top | 98-122 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@NO to go Under the total. |
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04-09-18 | Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 9* play on ARI@SF to go OVER the total. |
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04-09-18 | Kings v. Spurs UNDER 200 | 85-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SAC@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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04-07-18 | Dodgers v. Giants OVER 7.5 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAD@SF to go Over the total. |
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04-07-18 | Cubs v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CHC@MIL to go Over the total. |
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04-04-18 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAD@ARI to go UNDER the total.
The Dodgers have lost four of six games so far this season, and four of those games went under the total. I expect another pitchers duel in Arizona this afternoon. Alex Wood will toe the slab for the Dodgers, and he was lights out in his season debut. The southpaw tossed eight scoreless innings, allowing just one hit in a no-decision. The Giants ended up winning that game 1-0. He was 3-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts against Arizona last season. The D'Backs hand the ball to Patrick Corbin, who also pitched well in his first start of the season. He allowed a pair of runs on seven hits, striking out eight in 5 2/3 innings in a win over Colorado. The Under is 5-0 in Wood's last five road starts versus teams with a winning record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-04-18 | Orioles v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BAL@HOU to go Under the total. |
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04-03-18 | Rangers v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 4-1 | Win | 107 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
8* |
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04-01-18 | Giants v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 0-9 | Win | 101 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on SF@LAD to go Over the total. |
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03-31-18 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SF@LAD to go Under the total. After getting shutout through Games 1 and 2 of this home series versus San Francisco, the Dodgers remain heavy favorites in Game 3 Saturday. We see a pretty high total for this game considering we've only seen two runs scored in this series so far. Derek Holland will toe the slab for San Francisco, and the 31 year old is trying to get his career back on track. He was once considered an ace when he was with the Rangers earlier in his career. While he doesn't come in with a ton of outstanding numbers, he has the skill set to take advantage of a struggling Dodgers offense in a pitcher's park. LA will hand the ball to Kenta Maeda, who loves pitching at Dodgers Stadium. The 29 year old was 8-1 with a 2.88 ERA in 11 stats in LA last season. He looked sharp this spring, so there is no reason to expect anything different from Maeda here this season. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven straight at Dodgers Stadium, and 13 of the last 17 meetings overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-30-18 | Nuggets v. Thunder UNDER 224.5 | Top | 126-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN@OKC to go Under the total.
The NBA Playoffs are just a few weeks away, and as teams jockey for playoff position, we see a lot more intensity on defense. I bet on the under in the Thunder's 108-105 loss to Portland, and here is what I had to say before the game: "Both the Blazers and the Thunder rank among the top defensive teams in the league, ranking 5th and 7th in opponent’s scoring average. The Thunder are just one game back of Portland in the Northwest, and there is just two games separating 3rd place Portland and 6th place New Orleans in the Western Conference standings. The Blazers have won all three of their games against the Thunder this season, and two of those three games fell short of the total. The total for tonight’s game is higher than it was in any of those previous three contests." The Thunder host the Denver Nuggets tonight, and these two teams have gone under in two of three previous meetings this season. Once again, tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those previous three games. I'll place a value bet here on what appears to be an inflated total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-29-18 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 45 m | Show |
Jesse Schule |
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03-27-18 | Wild v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN@NAS to go UNDER the total.
The Nashville Predators rank #1 overall in the NHL in goals against. Starting netminder Pekka Rinne ranks at or near the top of the league in goals against average, save percentage and wins. Rinne is particularly unbeatable at home, where he boasts a record of 23-5-2 this season. The Predators have the President's Trophy in their sights (best reg season record), but Tampa Bay is just one point behind. Nashville will host the Minnesota Wild tonight, and the Wild also have one of the league's top goaltenders. Devan Dubnyk is 14-4-3 in his last 21 starts, and he's 3-0 with a 2.34 GAA in three starts against Nashville this season. These teams have combined for five goals or less in five of the last six meetings in the Music City. The under is 4-1 in the Predators last fvie games playing on 1 days rest. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-25-18 | Heat v. Pacers UNDER 207 | Top | 107-113 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@IND to go Under the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-25-18 | Texas Tech v. Villanova OVER 144.5 | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
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03-23-18 | Clippers v. Pacers UNDER 219 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAC@IND to go UNDER the total.
I bet the under in the Pacers loss at New Orleans on Wednesday, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Pacers and the Pelicans are two teams that jockeying for playoff position, and they have a history of playing low scoring games. Eight of the last 10 meetings have fallen short of the listed total. Both teams have stepped up their intensity on defense in recent weeks, and the result has been lower scores across the board. That being said, tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. It's also higher than it was in any of Indiana's last 10 games overall, and nine of those games went under." Tonight's game against the Clippers is quite similar, and I expect another hard battle. The under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings, and the under is 6-0 in Pacers last six home games. The under has cashed in four of the Clippers last five visits to Indiana. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-18 | Pacers v. Pelicans UNDER 219.5 | 92-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on IND@NO to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-19-18 | Stanford v. Oklahoma State UNDER 153.5 | Top | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on STAN@OKST to go UNDER the total.
It's difficult to say what kind of effect the new rules in the NIT will have on scoring. So far I can't see a lot of evidence that scoring is down across the board, but it certainly does appear that visiting teams are struggling from beyond the arc. According to SB Nation, in the first nine games of the tournament, eight of nine road teams shot below their season average from three-point range. One of those games was Oklahoma State hosting Florida Gulf Coast, and the Cowboys held the Eagles to just 68 points. Both teams struggled from three-point range in that game, with Oklahoma State shooting just 6-of-22 and FGCU hitting 10-of-27. The total for tonight's game in Stillwater is far higher than it has been in previous meetings between these two teams. The Cowboys have gone under in an incredible 11 straight non conference games, while the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in seven of their last eight non-conference games. Oklahoma State has also failed to reach the total in 16 of their last 21 in Stillwater. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-18 | Nevada v. Cincinnati UNDER 136.5 | 75-73 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NEV@CIN to go UNDER the total.
The Wolfpack scored just 68 points in regulation in their first round matchup versus Texas, while Cincinnati gave up just 53 points in their first round win over Georgia State. I am expecting a gritty game here when they meet in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. . I had a look at the venue, and it turns out I was riding the under here in the Horizon League Tournament. Here is what I had to say prior to the Horizona League Final: "Four teams played in the Horizon League Tournament Semi Finals at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit last night, and not one of those teams scored 60 total points. In fact two of those teams (Cleveland State and Oakland) failed to score as many as 45 points." That trend has held true here in the NCAA Tournament so far, and the Bearcats have failed to reach the total of five of their last six overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-18 | Syracuse v. Michigan State UNDER 129.5 | 55-53 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SYR@MSU to go Under, I bet on Syracuse in their First Four matchup versus Arizona State, and I took the under in their first round matchup versus TCU. Here is what I said before they beat the Sun Devils: "Both teams won a total of 20 games, and both teams were 4-6 away from home. Both teams have lost five of their last eight overall. The biggest difference I can see here between these two teams, is the strength of schedule in the ACC compared to the PAC12. Syracuse has faced Top 25 teams eight times this season, while Arizona State has only faced four ranked teams. The Orange were eliminated in the second round of the ACC Tournament by defending national champs North Carolina, while Arizona State was beaten in the first round of the PAC12 Tournament by unranked Colorado. The last time the Orange slipped into the Big Dance as a bubble team, they went all the way to the Final Four before being eliminated by the Tar Heels." The Orange will be a massive underdog here in their second round matchup versus Michigan State, and I think the venue here is particularly significant. I had a look at the venue, and it turns out I was riding the under here in the Horizon League Tournament. Here is what I had to say prior to the Horizona League Final: "Four teams played in the Horizon League Tournament Semi Finals at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit last night, and not one of those teams scored 60 total points. In fact two of those teams (Cleveland State and Oakland) failed to score as many as 45 points." That trend has held true here in the NCAA Tournament, and Michigan State comes in as winners of five of their last six overall, but only one of those wins came by more than eight points. Jesse Schule |
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03-18-18 | Butler v. Purdue UNDER 143.5 | 73-76 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Tennessee UNDER 131 | 63-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
8* |
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03-16-18 | Syracuse v. TCU UNDER 136.5 | Top | 57-52 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on SYR@TCU to go UNDER the total. The Orange allowed just 56 points in their First Four matchup versus Arizona State in Dayton Ohio I bet on the under in that game, and one of the reasons I gave in my analysis was the history of low scoring games at the particular venue. Here is what I said prior to the game against Arizona State: I am expecting Arizona to struggle against this elite Orange defense, and the venue may contribute to that. "Four teams played in Dayton Ohio in First Four games last night, and three of those four teams shot well below 40 percent from the field. The only exception being UCLA, and they only scored 58 points." I am not sure we should expect any more scoring here against a far better defensive team in TCU. I had a look at the venue, and it turns out I was riding the under here in the Horizon League Tournament. Here is what I had to say prior to the Horizona League Final: "Four teams played in the Horizon League Tournament Semi Finals at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit last night, and not one of those teams scored 60 total points. In fact two of those teams (Cleveland State and Oakland) failed to score as many as 45 points." Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-18 | Arizona State v. Syracuse UNDER 143.5 | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on SYR@ARZST to go UNDER the total. Can you remember when Arizona State was ranked in the Top 5? They were ranked #3 overall in the AP rankings after winning their first 12 games of the season. They have since lost 11 of 19 games, and they should consider themselves quite fortunate to have made it into the tournament. They will be a small favorite in their first round matchup against Syracuse, and there is actually quite a lot of similarities between the two teams. Both teams won a total of 20 games, and both teams were 4-6 away from home. Both teams have lost five of their last eight overall. The biggest difference I can see here between these two teams, is the strength of schedule in the ACC compared to the PAC12. Syracuse has faced Top 25 teams eight times this season, while Arizona State has only faced four ranked teams. The Orange were eliminated in the second round of the ACC Tournament by defending national champs North Carolina, while Arizona State was beaten in the first round of the PAC12 Tournament by unranked Colorado. The last time the Orange slipped into the Big Dance as a bubble team, they went all the way to the Final Four before being eliminated by the Tar Heels. I am expecting Arizona to struggle against this elite Orange defense, and the venue may contribute to that. Four teams played in Dayton Ohio in First Four games last night, and three of those four teams show well below 40 percent from the field. The only exception being UCLA, and they only scored 58 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-18 | St Bonaventure v. UCLA OVER 153 | 65-58 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCLA/SBON Over. |
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03-13-18 | Magic v. Spurs UNDER 205 | 72-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
8* |
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03-09-18 | Warriors v. Blazers UNDER 227.5 | Top | 108-125 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@POR to go UNDER the total. |
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03-08-18 | Ducks v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -128 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ANA@NAS to go UNDER the total. Two of the hottest teams in the NHL will meet in the Music City tonight, and I am expecting a tight game showcasing two of the top goaltenders in the league. Pekka Rinne has won his last five starts, posting a pair of shutouts in those games. He's 21-4-2 at home this season, and he's 2-0 with a 2.41 GAA against the Ducks. John Gibson has been even more impressive over his last five starts, allowing a total of just seven goals while winning all five games. He also has a pair of shutouts during that span. These teams have combined to score five goals or less in eight of the last nine meetings at Nashville, and the under is 9-3 in the Ducks last 12 overall. Anaheim has failed to reach the total in five straight road games, and seven of it's last eight when playing on one day's rest. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-18 | Louisville v. Florida State UNDER 152.5 | 82-74 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
8* |
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03-06-18 | BYU v. Gonzaga OVER 143 | 54-74 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BYU@GONZ to go OVER the total. |
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03-06-18 | Cleveland State v. Wright State UNDER 133 | 57-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
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03-01-18 | Valparaiso v. Missouri State UNDER 139 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VALPO@MOSU to go UNDER the total.
The Missouri State Bears have beaten Valparaiso twice already this season, and both those games fell well short of the total. These teams meet in the Conference Tournament tonight at the Scottrade Center in St. Louis. The venue might actually be fairly significant, as after doing a little research on previous games at the Scottrade Center, it would appear that unders have been the trend. Back in 2016 there were several NCAA Tournament games played in this building, and the majority of those games fell well short of 140 total points. Both these teams have averaged below 70 points per game this season, and neither team has allowed opponents to average as many as 70 points per game. In fact in neutral site games, both these teams have allowed less than 64 points per game. The Bears have gone under in five of their last six at a neutral site, while the Crusaders have failed to reach the total in 18 of their last 26 overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-18 | Clippers v. Nuggets UNDER 232.5 | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
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02-27-18 | Oklahoma v. Baylor UNDER 157 | Top | 64-87 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
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02-27-18 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State OVER 152 | 80-71 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKST@ISU to go Over the total. The Cyclones has lost eight of their last 10 overall, but both of those wins were at home. Both those games were high scoring, beating Oklahoma 88-80, and winning by a score of 93-77 over West Virginia. Iowa State has gone over the total in seven of their last eight overall, while the Cowboys have gone over the total in four of their last five. Oklahoma State has gone over in nine of it's last 14 road games, while the Cyclones in 21 of their last 26 versus the BIG12. Neither of these teams have been impressive defensively, and I expect to see a shootout here in tonight's game. Oklahoma State has allowed opponents to average more than 80 points per game on the road, while the Cyclones have given up an average of 83 points per game over their last five. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-18 | Rockets v. Jazz OVER 212 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@UTAH to go OVER the total. |
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02-26-18 | Texas v. Kansas OVER 141 | Top | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEX@KU to go OVER the total. |
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02-26-18 | Flyers v. Canadiens OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@MTL to go OVER the total.
The Flyers have lost six straight visits to Montreal, but they have to like their chances of ending that skid here tonight. The Habs are dead in the water, and are in the process of selling off assets before the trade deadline. Tomas Plekanec has already been moved to Toronto in exchange for prospects. Carey Price is out with a concussion, and Montreal's best defenseman is out for the season. Antti Niemi has not been sharp, going 3-6-2 with a 3.76 GAA. The Flyers are also banged up, with a pair of injured goaltenders on the roster. This has forced them to trade for 26 year old Petr Mrazek, who has been lit up for 15 goals in his last five starts. When Philly plays inferior teams, often those games are high scoring. The over is 19-7 in the Flyers last 26 versus teams with a losing record. I expect to see another barn burner in French Canada tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-18 | Manhattan v. Iona OVER 143.5 | 75-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MAN@IONA to go OVER the total. The Manhattan Jaspers have been playing their best basketball of late, winning three of their last five overall. The two losses during that span came by a combined five points, and they scored 70 point or more in each of their last four games. They have a tough assignment tonight, playing on the road at Iona. The Gaels are 7-3 at home, and they've scored almost 80 points per game on their home floor. The over is 7-1-1 in Iona's last nine overall, and the Jaspers have gone over in four straight. The Gaels have lost back to back games, and the over is 4-1 in their last five when coming off a loss. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-18 | Avalanche v. Oilers OVER 6 | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on COL@EDM to go OVER the total. Both the Avs and the Oilers are ranked near the bottom of the league in goals against, and I expect a high scoring game here in Edmonton tonight. The Avs are coming off a 5-4 win at Vancouver, but starting goalie Semyon Varlamov has really struggled in previous trips to Alberta. He's 1-5 with a 4.44 GAA in seven career starts at Edmonton. Oilers starting goaltender Cam Talbot has lost four of his last five starts, giving up a whopping 16 goals in those games. Last year's MVP is leading the NHL in scoring in the month of February, and Connor McDavid looks to add to his 11 goals and four assists so far this month. McDavid has 69 points overall, just one fewer than Evgeni Malkin who is currently 2nd in the league in scoring. Nikita Kucherov is way out in front with 78 points. These two teams have combined for at least six goals in four of the last five meetings. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-18 | Canadiens v. Flyers OVER 5.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on MTL@PHI to go Over the total. The Montreal Canadiens have been one of this season's biggest disappointments. They are not going to the playoffs, and they are rumored to be shopping around players ahead of the trade deadline. The Habs bring a five game losing streak into Philly, and they are at the end of a four game road trip. The Flyers are still a contender for the post-season, currently sitting five points back of first place Washington in the Metropolitan Division. Philly has won six of it's last seven overall, and scored seven goals in a win at New York on Sunday. The Flyers rank 11th in the league in scoring, and they boast a Top 10 power play. Carey Price was once considered to be the best goaltender in the NHL, but he's lost four of his last five starts, conceding 15 goals in those games. The home team has won nine straight in this series, a streak likely to continue tonight. The over is 4-0 in the Flyers last four home games, and these teams have gone over in four of the last five at Philly. |
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02-19-18 | Minnesota v. Wisconsin UNDER 140 | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@WIS to go UNDER the total.
The Badgers have had a terrible season, partly due to injuries. They have still played spectacular defense, especially at home. Wisconsin allows just 65.6 points per game at home, and they are coming off a 57-53 home win over Purdue. They host the Minnesota Golden Gophers tonight, and Minnesota has really struggled of late. The Gophers have lost eight straight, and they failed to score 70 points in five of those games. They lost their last game at Wisconsin by a score of 66-49, and I expect a similar low scoring game here tonight. The total for tonight's game is far higher that it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between these two teams. Even though the Badgers have played a little better lately, they still have averaged just 64.4 points per game in their last five overall. The under is 5-2 in the Badgers last seven home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-18 | Duquesne v. St. Joe's UNDER 142.5 | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DUQ@JOES to go UNDER the total. Here is what I said prior to a recent home game for St. Joes: "The Red Hawks have gone over in their last two games, but had gone under in six straight prior to that. St. Joe's is averaging just 64.4 points over it's last five games, and the Minutemen have averaged just 66.9 points per game on the road. Five of the last six meetings between the two teams have gone under the total, and the under 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings. Both teams have injury concerns, and I feel that the chances are that a pair of bottom feeders that are shorthanded are going to struggle to combine to score enough points to push this number as high as listed total." While that game ended up going over, I expect tonight's game to be a lower scoring affair. Four of the last five meetings between the two teams have gone under. The Red Hawks allow less than 70 points per game at home, while the Dukes allow less than 70 points on the road. Duquesne is only averaging 68 points per game over it's last five overall, while St. Joe's is averaging just over 70 points per game during that span.
Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-14-18 | NC State v. Syracuse UNDER 141 | 74-70 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NCST@SYR to go UNDER the total.
The Syracuse Orange are a significant favorite at home versus NC State tonight, and the Orange are one of the top defensive teams in the country. They don't score a lot of points, averaging under 70 points per game on the season. They've only allowed 58.8 points per game at home, and that's probably why the total has been lower than 140 in all of their last 10 games. Tonight's total appears to be a little inflated, especially when you consider that the Wolfpack have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 11 road games. The Orange have gone under in six of their last eight at home in the dome. Tonight's total is higher than it was in four of the last five head to head meetings between the two teams, and higher than it was in each of the last three meetings in Syracuse. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-14-18 | Thunder v. Grizzlies UNDER 208.5 | 121-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKC@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Grizzlies last game was a 110-92 loss at Oklahoma City, and I had the under in that game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Thunder might be shorthanded tonight, as Russell Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony are both battling injuries. Neither played in a loss at LA on Thursday, and the Thunder scored just 88 points in that game. They face a Grizzlies come in as one of the lowest scoring teams in the league (29th), averaging just 99 points per game. They are also one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 5th in opponent's scoring average. The Thunder have failed to reach the total in four straight, while the under is is 19-6-1 in Grizzlies last 26 games playing on three or more days rest. The Grizzlies have really been struggling lately, failing to score 90 points in each of their last three games. Given the history, as well as the injuries, it seems odd that the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings." Take UNDER.GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-14-18 | Liverpool v. FC Porto OVER 2.5 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 746 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Liverpool vs Porto to go Over the total. Only Manchester City has scored more goals in the Premier League this season than Liverpool. The Reds have scored nine goals in their last four matches. While they score more than their share, they also have conceded more than their share (31 goals in 27 matches). Porto sits at the top of the Portuguese Liga standings, and only Benfica has score more goals. Porto has scored a whopping seven goals in it's last two matches. Both teams have plenty of firepower, and I expect the first leg of this Champions League tie to be a high scoring affair. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-13-18 | Maryland v. Nebraska UNDER 143 | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MD@NEB to go Under the total.
Both Maryland and Nebraska have been competitive in the BIG10 this year, but Nebraska is only three games out of first place. The Huskers are 13-1 at home, while Maryland is 1-7 on the road. This game is a big game for both teams, and we shouldn't expect to see any easy buckets. Both teams are holding the opposition to fewer than 70 points per game this season, and Nebraska has allowed just 67.5 points per game at home. Nebraska comes in as winners of five straight, but the quality of those wins is a little suspect. While their last five games were against the bottom five teams in the conference, they do have a few impressive results on their resume. Those include a home win over Michigan, a road win at Wisconsin, and a three point loss at first place Ohio State. Nebraska is 8-1 ATS in it's last nine home games, and the under is 4-1 in their last five at home. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-18 | Grizzlies v. Thunder UNDER 207 | Top | 92-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@OKC to go UNDER the total.
The Thunder might be shorthanded tonight, as Russell Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony are both battling injuries. Neither played in a loss at LA on Thursday, and the Thunder scored just 88 points in that game. They face a Grizzlies come in as one of the lowest scoring teams in the league (29th), averaging just 99 points per game. They are also one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 5th in opponent's scoring average. The Thunder have failed to reach the total in four straight, while the under is is 19-6-1 in Grizzlies last 26 games playing on three or more days rest. The Grizzlies have really been struggling lately, failing to score 90 points in each of their last three games. Given the history, as well as the injuries, it seems odd that the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-18 | Illinois State v. Valparaiso UNDER 141.5 | 58-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ILST@VALPO to go UNDER the total.
I had the under in Valparaiso's last home game, a 69-63 win over Indiana State. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Valparaiso Crusaders have been having a rough first season in the Missouri Valley Conference. They come into tonight's home game versus Indiana State as losers of five straight. They have failed to reach the total in four of their last six overall, and even the two games that went over didn't see as many points as tonight's total. In fact, tonight's number is as high as it has been in any of Valparaiso's last 10 games. The Crusaders have only scored an average of 66.8 points per game at home, and have averaged less than that over their last five overall. This team is nowhere near as talented as the team that finished first in the Horizon League last year, but they are still pretty solid defensively, especially at home. They have failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 18 overall, and the under is 10-4 in their last 14 when coming off a loss. The Sycamores won at home by a score of 73-64 when these teams met back in December, and I see no reason why tonight's total is five points higher than it was in that game. This number appears to be a little inflated." Illinois State comes into tonight's game missing two of it's top three scorers, and that's going to make it tough here against a strong defensive team. I like Valpo to win a low scoring game here at home. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-18 | Massachusetts v. St. Joe's UNDER 143 | 73-85 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MASS@JOES to go UNDER the total.
The Minutemen have gone over the total in four straight games, but the listed total for today's game at St. Joe's is higher than it was in any of those four games. The Red Hawks have gone over in their last two games, but had gone under in six straight prior to that. St. Joe's is averaging just 64.4 points over it's last five games, and the Minutemen have averaged just 66.9 points per game on the road. Five of the last six meetings between the two teams have gone under the total, and the under 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings. Both teams have injury concerns, and I feel that the chances are that a pair of bottom feeders that are shorthanded are going to struggle to combine to score enough points to push this number as high as listed total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-18 | Marquette v. St. John's OVER 152.5 | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MARQ@SJU to go OVER the total. |
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02-08-18 | Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 137.5 | 78-69 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WIS@ILL to go UNDER the total. The last time these two teams played, I cashed in on under 137.5 when Wisconsin won at home by a score of 75-50 back in January. Here is what I said before that game: "The Badgers return home after losing three straight on the road, and they scored an average of just 56.6 points in those losses. I bet on the under in their last game, a 78-50 loss to Purdue. Illinois is still looking for it's first win in the BIG10, and they have failed to score 70 points in three straight road losses. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in four straight. Tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series, and higher that it had been in seven of the Badgers last 10 overall. The last time these two teams met, they combined to score just 100 points, with Wisconsin winning 57-43 last January. " Given the history, I believe this total is roughly five points too high. |
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02-06-18 | St. Joe's v. Davidson UNDER 145 | 62-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on JOES@DAV to go under the total.
Richmond beat Davidson by a score of 69-58 back in December. I bet on the under in that game, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Davidson Wildcats are sitting in second place in the Atlantic-10 behind Rhode Island. They are 4-1 in conference play, and 5-0 at home. Ladies and gentleman, this isn't Steph Curry's Davidson team, these boys are earning their stripes with strong defensive play rather than sharp shooting. The Wildcats have only scored an average of 69 points over their last five games, but they have held opponents to just 53.8 points per game during that span." Davidson has now failed to reach the total in 12 of it's last 16 home games, and the Red Hawks have gone under in six of their last seven overall. Davidson won at St. Joe's last year by a score of 75-60, and four of the last five meetings between these two teams saw a total of less than 140 points. Both these teams have been pretty solid defensively, each allowing roughly 65 points per game over their last five overall. Expect another low scoring battle in tonight's contest. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-18 | Eagles v. Patriots OVER 48 | Top | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 302 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Super Bowl to go OVER the total. |
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02-04-18 | Wisconsin v. Maryland UNDER 132.5 | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WIS@MD to go UNDER the total.
The Badgers are really struggling, coming off back to back home losses to Nebraska and Northwestern. They only scored a combined 115 points in those games, and they barely hit over 50 percent of their free throws in the loss to the Cornhuskers. Maryland comes into today's games as losers of five of their last six, and the Terps have failed to reach the total in five straight. Both teams have averaged less than 70 points per game over their last five, and both teams have played well defensively during that stretch. Wisconsin has only managed to score 56.6 points per game on the road this year. Maryland is still the favorite at home, despite their leading scorer battling injury, and the status of several other starters in question. The under is 9-4 in Maryland's last 13 home games, and the under is 6-2-1 in Badgers last nine road games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-18 | Knicks v. Celtics UNDER 208 | 73-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYK@BOS to go UNDER the total. |
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01-30-18 | Blazers v. Clippers UNDER 221 | 104-96 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on POR@LAC to go UNDER the total.
The Clippers host the Blazers in their first game without Blake Griffin. The Blazers come in as winners of five of their last six, and during that span they gave up an average of just over 102 points per game. They rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, surrendering just over 103 points per game this season. The Clippers had been playing some high scoring games with Griffin in the lineup, but they will be shorthanded here tonight, with Avery Bradley injured and Tobias Harris unlikely to play. These two teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last 10 heat to head meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those previous contests. Only one of the previous 10 meetings in this series saw as many as 220 combined points. The under is 17-7-1 in the Trail Blazers last 25 games following an ATS win. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-18 | Heat v. Mavs UNDER 197 | 95-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
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01-29-18 | Iona v. Fairfield OVER 154 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on IONA@FAIR to go OVER the total.
The Fairfield Stags scored just 65 points in a loss at Iona earlier this season, but I expect them to have more success offensively here at home tonight. Fairfield is averaging over 80 points per game in five games since the loss to the Gaels. During that span they have allowed opponents to average over 80 points per game as well. The Gaels are scoring their fair share op points, averaging just shy of 80 points per game over their last five. The most recent head to head meetings between these two teams went under, but they had gone over in four straight previously. Tonight's total is lower than it was in any of those previous five meetings. The over is 10-4 in the Gaels last 14 visits to Fairfield, and the over is 10-3-1 in their last 14 road games. Don't be surprised if this turns out to be a high scoring game that goes right down to the wire. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-18 | Richmond v. Davidson UNDER 144 | 66-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
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01-28-18 | Oakland v. Wright State UNDER 148.5 | 51-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OAK@WRST to go UNDER the total.
I bet on Oakland as a big underdog on the road at Northern Kentucky on Friday, and they won outright by a score of 83-70. Here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The Oakland Grizzlies finished in first place in the Horizon League last year, and they won more than their fair share of road games in the process. They were 10-2 on the road last year, and they have won three of four road games in the Horizon League so far this season. The Grizzlies are on the road at North Kentucky tonight, looking to avenge a home loss to the Norse earlier this season. Oakland led 47-41 at halftime in that game, but the Norse pulled away in the second half, winning by a score of 87-83. The Grizzlies had won and covered in each of the previous three meetings, including a 79-70 win at Northern Kentucky last January. Oakland comes in averaging over 85 points per game over their last five, which is 10 points more than the Norse have averaged during the same span. Northern Kentucky may be 7-1 in the Horizon League, but only one of those wins came against a team with a winning record, and that was their win at Oakland." Now just days later, they are a favorite (or pickem) on the road at Wright State, the Horizon Conference leader. Wright State already won at Oakland earlier this year by a score of 86-81 in OT (142 points in regulation). Wright State is 10-1 at home, and they have allowed opponents to average 57.3 points in those games. The under is 10-1 in the Raiders last 11 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-18 | Kentucky v. West Virginia UNDER 149 | Top | 83-76 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UK@WVU to go UNDER the total.
The Kentucky Wildcats are 3-2 in their last five overall, with losses to Florida and South Carolina. Three of those five games went over the total, but not one of those games saw enough combined points to reach tonight's total. The Wildcats are on the road at West Virginia, playing in the BIG12/SEC Challenge. The Mountaineers have lost three of their last four overall, and they have averaged just 70.6 points per game over their last five. Both these teams are known to be defensive powerhouses in their respective conferences, and they have a long history of playing low scoring games. In five meetings dating back to 2005, none of those games saw more than 146 combined points. The Wildcats have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine road games, and nine of their last 10 versus the BIG12. The under is 5-2 West Virginia's last seven games, and their last home game was an 86-51 win over Texas. I expect both teams to have to work hard for every point tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-18 | Sabres v. Canucks OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
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