Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-02-21 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over, The D'Backs lost Game 1 by a score of 9-7, and we expect another slugfest at Chase Field tonight. Zac Allen will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's struggled at home. He's 1-7 with a 4.18 ERA in 11 home starts. The Rockies hand the ball to Antonio Senzatella, who has struggled versus Arizona. He's allowed six runs on 16 hits in 10 2/3 innings in two starts at Arizona this season. The over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Arizona. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-02-21 | Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 48.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the under. The Tigercats are in Montreal today, and they have some good news and some bad news. The good news is that Jeremiah Masoli is expected to return at QB. The bad neww is that he wasn't very good before he got hurt (1 TD, 4 INT). The under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Montreal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-02-21 | Ole Miss v. Alabama UNDER 80 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Last year's game between the Rebels and the Tide was barn burner, and because of that the total for today's game is rather inflated. It opened in the mid seventies and has since been bet up over 80. It doesn't take much to stall the pace of play to prevent these teams from combining for 80+ points. A turnover here, a holding penalty or two, or maybe just some plain old good defense. These teams have gone over in five of the last six head to head meetings, but the total here in this game is far higher than it was in any of those previous games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-02-21 | Cincinnati v. Notre Dame OVER 49.5 | 24-13 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. The Irish are liking their own smell after a blowout win at Wisconsin, but let's pump the brakes on how great this team is. They gave up 29 points in a home win over Toledo, and Florida State nearly scored 40 on them. The Bearcats come in as winners of 12 of their last 13 overall, and they can score points on anyone. The over is 6-1 in the Bearcats last seven games as a road favorite, and the over is 9-4 in the Fighting Irish last 13 home games versus a team with a winning road record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-02-21 | Newcastle United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Under. The Wolverhampton Wanderers, otherwise known as "Wolves", will host Newcastle United on Saturday, and we shouldn't expect to see a high score here. Newcastle is coming off consecutive 1-1 draws, while Wolves has gone under in four of their last five matches in all competitions. Goals have been few and far between for Wolves, scoring in just three of their six matches. The good news is that they have only conceded five goals in those games. History paints a pretty clear pitcture, as the last four head to head meetings all ended with the same score (1-1 draw). GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-01-21 | Winnipeg v. BC UNDER 52.5 | 30-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Under. The BC Lions host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers on Friday, and this matchup features the league's leading passer versus the best defense in the CFL. Mike Reilly has thrown for 1870 yards with 10 TDs and just one INT, but the Bombers defense has allowed only two passing TDs in seven games. Something has got to give here in Vancouver, but it's also noteworthy that the Lions defense has played well above average. The last time these teams met, the Bombers won by a score of 32-16. The Bombers have gone under in seven of their last nine overall, while BC has failed to reach the total in eight straight when coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-01-21 | BYU v. Utah State UNDER 65 | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The BYU Cougars will be a big favorite on the road at Utah State, and the total for this game has been bet up to the mid 60s. That's 10 points higher than we have seen in any of the past 10 head to head meetings. These teams did go over the total in five of the last six meetings, but only one of those games saw more than 65 points scored. The Cougars have gone under in six of their last seven overall, while the Aggies have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-21 | Padres v. Dodgers OVER 9 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Dodgers hit four home runs in the eigth inning to come from behind to win 11-9 versus San Diego last night. We expect plenty of scoring in LA again tonight. Vince Velasquez will toe the slab for San Diego, and it's fair to say he's struggled. He's allowed 15 runs on 15 hits over 8 1/3 innings in his last three starts. The Dodgers also turn to the back end of their rotation, and Tony Gonselin has allowed five runs on six hits over 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts. The over is 13-4-1 in Padres last 18 games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals OVER 45.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -107 | 28 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Bengals are coming off an impressive win in Pittsburgh, and Joe Burrow threw three TD passes against one of the league's top defenses. Most significantly he didn't get sacked once, as the Steelers 75 game streak with at least one sack was broken. A home game against the Jags looks like a good spot for Burrow to fill the stat sheet. The Jags defense has allowed over 30 points per game so far, and opposing QBs are averaging over 300 passing yards per game. Burrow threw for 300 yards a TD and an INT in a 33-25 home win over the Jags as a rookie last year. With an improved offensive line, expect another big day for Burrow. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-29-21 | Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 8 | 0-1 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Giants outlasted the D'Backs in a 6-4 win in Game 1 last night. We expect another high score here tonight. Merrill Kelly will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's been roughed up by the Giants this season. He's 0-2 with an 8.44 ERA over the last 30 days, and he's 0-2 with a 10.13 ERA in two starts at San Francisco. The Giants hand the ball to Alex Wood, who has been solid enough but hardly flawless. He has 5.57 ERA in four starts versus Arizona this season. Arizona has gone over in six straight at San Francisco. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-27-21 | Nationals v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Over. The Rockies lost all three games in a home series versus the Giants, but they are favorites here in Game 1 versus Washington. German Marquez will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and while he has good numbers at home, he was roughed up in his last start versus Washington. He allowed six runs on eight hits in a no decision at Washington two weeks ago. The Nats hand the ball to Josiah Gray, who allowed five runs in a 9-8 home loss to the Rockies the last time he faced them. The Nats have gone over in six of their last seven road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-27-21 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 51.5 | 21-41 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. |
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09-25-21 | Braves v. Padres OVER 8.5 | 10-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Padres pitching staff has really been struggling, and they have now lost six of their last seven overall. Vince Velasquez will toe the slab for San Diego tonight, and he doesn't inspire much confidence. He's allowed seven runs on seven hits in 7 2/3 innings in two starts versus the Braves this season. The Braves hand the ball to Huascar Ynoa, who is winless in his last five starts. The Padres have gone over in four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-21 | Illinois v. Purdue UNDER 53.5 | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Purdue and Illinois have each had their struggles on offense, and history suggests that we will see a defensive battle here on Saturday. These teams have gone under in four straight head to head meetings, and four of the last five at Purdue. The Boilermakers best offensive player (WR Bell) is in concussion protocols, and might miss this game. The under is 14-6 in the Fighting Illini last 20 games in September, and the under is 4-1 in the Boilermakers last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-21 | Rutgers v. Michigan UNDER 50.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Rutgers will be a 20+ point underdog on the road at Michigan, but I am expecting a close game with both defenses playing well. The under is 14-6 in the Scarlet Knights last 20 games as a road underdog. The Wolverines have gone under in four of their last five home games. Cade McNamara threw for a whopping 44 yards on 7-of-15 passing in a 31-10 home win over Washington a few weeks ago. He's averaging just over 100 yards passing per game, with three TDs in three starts. These teams are going to pound the rock, and that should burn up some clock. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-21 | Cardinals v. Cubs OVER 10.5 | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Cubs and the Cardinals played a high scoring double header on Friday, and I expect another slugfest on Saturday. John Lester will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's undefeated in his last five starts. He has allowed nine runs on 19 hits in those games. The Cubs hand the ball to Adrian Sampson, who has allowed four runs on eight hits in nine innings in his last two starts. The wind is howling out in Chicago today, and that's bad news for pitchers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-21 | LSU v. Mississippi State OVER 56 | 28-25 | Loss | -105 | 86 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Mike Leach is watching his offense come together here heading into their fourth game of the season. Bulldogs QB Will Rogers threw for 419 yards and three TDs in a 31-29 loss at Memphis. The Bulldogs won 44-34 at LSU last year, and I am expecting another high scoring game here this season. The Tigers have gone over in five of their last six overall, and the over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Mississippi State threw the ball 67 times, and ran the ball just 16 times last week. Tigers QB Max Johnson threw for 372 yards and five TDs in a win over Central Michigan last week. With both teams airing it out, we should see plenty of scoring. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-21 | Panthers v. Texans OVER 43 | 24-9 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Carolina is off to an impressive start, and they look good to move to 3-0 as they face the Texans in Houston on Thursday night. The Texans are 2-0 ATS so far, but they have allowed an average of 29 points per game through the first two weeks. Rookie QB Trevor Lawrence threw for over 300 yards and three TDs in a loss at Houston in Week 1. It won't get any easier with Davis Mills taking over at QB. He threw for 102 yards with a TD and an INT on 8-of-18 passing after Tyrod Taylor went down with an injury in Cleveland last week. The Panthers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games, while the Texans are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-21 | Marshall v. Appalachian State UNDER 59.5 | 30-31 | Loss | -112 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Mountaineers will host Marshall on a short week, and the total for this game looks a little inflated. They have held opponents to an average of 18 points per game so far, including a 25-23 loss at Miami. Marshall is coming off a loss to East Carolina, and the Pirates had previously lost 33-19 at Appalachian State. The under is 7-2-1 in the Mountaineers last 10 games following a straight up win, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven when playing on a short week. Marshall won 17-7 at home versus the Mountaineers last September. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-20-21 | Lions v. Packers OVER 48.5 | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. Perhaps the biggest surprise in Week 1 was the Packers losing 38-3 to the Saints. We've been here before with Aaron Rodgers, and he's always come back with a vengeance. The Packers have lost six games in the LaFleur/Rodgers era, and they are 6-0 in each game following those losses. So it seems like the consensus opinion is that the Packers are just fine, and they will take out their frustrations on the hapless Detroit Lions on Monday night. While I wouldn't be surprised to see Aaron Rodgers and the offense respond in typical fashion, I am more concerned with a defense that gave up 38 points against the Saints, making Jameis Winston look like Patrick Mahomes. The Lions have covered the spread in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. The scored an average of 27 points in those games, and they didn't score less than 20 points in any of those games. Jared Goff might be a downgrade from Matthew Stafford, and he's certainly not the guy who will win you a Super Bowl, but he threw for 338 yards and three TDs in the loss to the Niners. He's capable of piling on points in garbage time. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-21 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 50 | 17-11 | Win | 100 | 84 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Under. I had the under in the Eagles opening game at Atlanta, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Eagles offense ranked 28th in the NFL in passing last season, averaging just 207.9 yards per game. They come into 2021 hoping that Jalen Hurts can bring their offense back to life, but that sure seems like a longshot. I can remember Hurts as the same quarterback that lost his job as the starter for Alabama. Last season he completed just 52% of his passes for 1,061 yards with six TDs and four INTs while appearing in 15 games. He isn't exactly surrounded by an all star receiving corps and the Eagles don't exactly have the most dynamic stable of running backs either." Now they went on to win 32-6, but that might say more about the Falcons defense than it does about the Eagles offense. The under is 22-8 in Eagles last 30 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 11 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-21 | Manchester United v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over 2.5. Two of the top teams in the Premier League will meet in London on Sunday, and I expect to see plenty of scoring when the Hammers host the Red Devils. West Ham has not lost in four Premier League matches so far, and they have scored 10 goals in those games. Manchester United has scored 11 goals in four matches, settling for three wins and a draw. Cristiano Ronaldo scored twice in a 4-1 win over Newcastle in his Red Devils debut (2nd stint), and he's sure to find the net here in London. Manchester United won 3-1 the last time they played at West Ham. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Auburn v. Penn State UNDER 53 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Under. The Auburn Tigers will play on the road at Penn State in what figures to be the toughest test they have had in quite a while. The Nittany Lions are heavily favored, but I am expecting a close, low scoring game. The under is 15-6 in the Tigers last 21 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven road games. Penn State has gone under in five of their last seven versus SEC teams. The Nittany Lions defense looked sharp in a 16-10 upset win at Wisconsin in Week 1. They held the Badgers under 200 passing yards and forced a pair of INTs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Tigers v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-18-21 | Dodgers v. Reds UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Dodgers lost Game 1 at Cincinnati by a score of 3-1, and another low score in expected in Game 2. Max Scherzer will toe the slab for LA, and he's looking like a Cy Young candidate. He's 4-0 with a 026 ERA in his last five starts overall. The Reds hand the ball to Sonny Gray, who hasn't been bad either. He's 3-1 with a 1.80 ERA in his last five starts. The under is 19-6-4 in the Dodgers last 29 overall, and the under is 7-2-1 in the Reds last 10 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Michigan State v. Miami-FL UNDER 57.5 | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Miami Hurricanes are off to a disappointing start, getting blown out by Alabama in their season opener, and nearly missing another loss to Appalachian State in Week 2. D'Eric King doesn't look like himself coming off an ACL injury, and they haven't had any success running the ball. The loss of Donald Chaney is a big blow to their backfield depth. They are a big favorite against Michigan State, but I am not sure they can score enough to cover here. The Spartans are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games, and the under is 4-1 in the Hurricanes last five non-conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-21 | Twins v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. The Blue Jays bats are on fire, and they come into Game 1 of a home series versus Minnesota as winners of 13 of their last 15 overall. Hyun Jin Ryu will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's shown signs of fatigue lately. He allowed seven runs on eight hits over 2 1/3 innings in a no decision at Baltimore. The Twins hand the ball to Michael Pineda, who has been hit hard by the Blue Jays. Toronto has hit a combined .367 over 72 at bats versus Pineda. The over is 30-11-3 in Twins last 44 games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-21 | Ohio v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 57.5 | 14-49 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. |
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09-15-21 | Red Sox v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Mariners have gone over the total in 11 straight games, and we can expect another slugfest in Seattle today. Tanner Houk will toe the slab for Boston, and he's struggled on the road. He's 0-1 with a 4.12 ERA in five appearances on the road. He's also walked nine batters in nine innings in his last two road starts. The Mariners hand the ball to Marco Gonzales, who hasn't had much luck against Boston. The Red Sox are batting .462 against him over a small sample size of 42 combined at bats. The over is 14-3 in the last 17 head to head meetings, and they have gone over in seven straight in Seattle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-14-21 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Dodgers have won 17 of their last 24, but they haven't gained any ground on the Giants in the NL West. They face another must win against Arizona tonight. Tony Gonsolin will go for the Dodgers, and he's allowed just three runs in his last three appearances. He's 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA in five home starts this season. The D'Backs hand the ball to Luke Weaver, who has really struggled on the road. Despite a 1.95 ERA at home, he's 0-3 with a 8.20 ERA in four starts on the road. The Dodgers own Weaver, batting a combined .334 against him. The over is 13-3-1 in the Diamondbacks last 17 games as an underdog GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-13-21 | Ravens v. Raiders UNDER 50.5 | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-12-21 | Bears v. Rams UNDER 46.5 | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -103 | 68 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Rams had the NFL's #1 ranked scoring defense last season, while the Bears ranked #1 in scoring defense back in 2018. We should expect a low score here on Sunday night. The Rams brought in Matt Stafford, and he brings high expectations of an improved offense. The Rams offense has struggled since Todd Gurley left, and their current stable of running backs looks a bit lackluster with Cam Akers out and Darrell Henderson banged up. The Bears are trotting out Andy Dalton at QB in Week 1, and that looks like a recipe for disaster against this Rams pass rush. The under is 13-5 in the Bears last 18 games as a road underdog, and the under is 14-3 in the Rams last 17 home games. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-21 | Yankees v. Mets OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Yankees have split the first two games of this series versus the Mets, and both games saw double digit totals. Game 3 goes tonight, and I expect another slugfest. The Yankees send a rookie to the mound. The Yankees recalled Schmidt from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre on Sunday. The Mets hand the ball to Carlos Carrasco, who has been lit up in recent starts. He's 1-2 with a 5.55 ERA in his last five starts. The over is 6-1-1 in the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Hawaii v. Oregon State UNDER 65 | 27-45 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Rainbow Warriors have given up 79 points while going 1-1 in their first two games of the season. They are on the road at Oregon State this week, and the Beavers are a double digit favorite. The total for this game looks a little inflated, when you consider that neither of these teams are great in the passing game. Hawaii has gone under in five of it's last six overall, and the under is 5-0 in their last five on the road. The Beavers have gone under in four of their last five versus Hawaii. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Jacksonville State v. Florida State UNDER 57 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Seminoles lost their home opener against Notre Dame, but it was a feel good story even in defeat. McKenzie Milton stepped in to lead a fourth quarter comeback bid that fell just short. Jordan Travis threw for 130 yards, two TDs and three INTs on 9-of-19 passing versus the Irish. FSU catches a break with a favorable matchup at home versus Jacksonville State this week. The Gamecocks were shutout in a loss to UAB in their first game of the season. The under is 8-1 in the Gamecocks last nine games overall, and they have gone under in six of their last seven road games. The number looks a bit too high considering that this should be a one-sided contest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Rutgers v. Syracuse UNDER 52.5 | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 66 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. Rutgers scored 61 points in a blowout win over Temple in Week 1, but we can expect a much closer game here against Syracuse. History tells us that this might be a defensive battle. These teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four head to head meetings, and the Scarlet Knights have gone under in four straight at Syracuse. The under is 11-5 in Scarlet Knights last 16 road games, and they have failed to reach the total in seven straight versus ACC teams. The Orange have gone under in four of their last five in the month of September. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Norwich City v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 38 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over 2.5. Arsenal sits dead last in the Premier League table, and coach Mikel Arteta is on the hot seat. They host Norwich City, and these teams have a history of playing high scoring games. Both clubs are winless in the Premier League with a -9 goal differential, and both teams won by a score of 6-0 in their respective Carabao Cup matches against Championship clubs. I wouldn't fancy either of these teams to post a clean sheet, and I expect a high score here in London. The last three head to head meetings all went over the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-21 | North Dakota v. Utah State UNDER 53.5 | 24-48 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Utah State Aggies are coming off their first win over a Power Five team since 2014, and their first road win versus the Power Five in 50 years. They needed two TDs in the final five minutes of the fourth quarter to complete the comeback in a 26-23 win over Washington State. Their defense did a fine job against the Cougars, and we can expect another defensive battle here against North Dakota. The Aggies have gone under in eight of their last 10 when coming off a win, and the Fighting Hawks have gone under in six straight overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-21 | Hamilton v. Toronto OVER 47 | 16-17 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Argos lost the Labour Day Classic at Hamilton by a score of 32-19, and we can expect another high score here in Toronto just four days later. Both defenses are a little banged up, and Argos pass rusher Charleston Hughes is questionable to play in the rematch. Dane Evans had his way with the Argos, throwing for 248 yards and two TDs on 21-of-29 passing in the win. These teams have gone over the total in seven of the last eight meetings, and the total for tonight's game is lower than it was in seven of those eight games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-21 | Cowboys v. Bucs OVER 51.5 | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Bucs ranked 3rd in the NFL in scoring last year, and they come into their season opener with all their starters back and at full strength. They are a huge favorite against a Dallas team that allowed opponents to average almost 30 points last year. Dak Prescott is back, and when healthy the Cowboys offense was firing on all cylinders. Dallas averaged 33 points per game in the games Prescott played last year. The over is 8-2 in the Buccaneers last 10 games as a home favorite, and the Cowboys have gone over in four straight as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-21 | Utah State v. Washington State UNDER 67 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 34 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Washington State Cougars have been involved in plenty of high scoring games over the year's, but this year's squad ain't you're daddy's Cougars. The Mike Leach era has ended, and the Air Raid offense will be replaced by Nick Rolovich's more balanced offensive approach. We should see Max Borghi and fellow senior Deon McIntosh do a lot of the heavy lifting. They host the Utah State Aggies in Week 1, and Utah State was 1-5 last season. The Aggies scored an average of 10 points in those five losses. The total for this game has been bet up, and now sits in the high sixties. I think that's a little over optimistic for these two teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-21 | Tigers v. Reds OVER 9 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Detroit. If you exclude a disastrous start to the season for Detroit, their record since May is just as good as Oakland. I like the Tigers as the home dog today. Matt Manning will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's been lights out at home. He's 2-1 with a 2.93 ERA in six appearances at Comerica Park. The A's hand the ball to Frankie Montas, who has been hot lately. This could be a pitcher's duel. The A's have lost six straight versus right-handed starters. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-21 | UL-Lafayette v. Texas UNDER 58.5 | 18-38 | Win | 100 | 28 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Longhorns will have a tricky matchup in Week 1, facing a ranked team at home. New head coach Steve Sarkisian will have to have his team on their toes to avoid an upset at the hands of the #23 ranked Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns. Last year the Ragin Cajuns opened the season with a road win over a BIG12 team when they defeated Iowa State in Ames by a score of 31-14. They are returning 10 defensive starters from a unit that was 1st in the Sun Belt versus the pass last year, allowing opponents to average just 170 yards per game. Sarkisian isn't likely to have his offense humming at full speed this early in the season, so we should see both teams lean heavy on the run. I don't think these teams will combine to score 60 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-03-21 | Astros v. Padres OVER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 21 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Padres will host the Astros in Game 1 in San Diego Friday night, and we expect the series opener to be a slugfest. Jose Urquidy will toe the slab for Houston, and he's making his first appearance since June. He won't likely log a lot of innings in his first start in several months. The Padres hand the ball to Jake Arrieta, who has been lit up in five straight starts. He allowed five runs on seven hits over 3 1/3 innings in his Padres debut, and you have to wonder how long he will last in the rotation. The over is 44-18-3 in the Padres last 65 interleague home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-03-21 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech UNDER 64 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. North Carolina comes into a hostile environment at Virginia Tech as a significant favorite. Quarterback Sam Howell is one of the favorites to win the Heisman, but he's got his work cut out for him. The loss of Dyami Brown, Dazz Newsome, Javonte Williams, and Michael Carter will not be easy, and it could take some time to work out the offensive chemistry. Howell had a fantastic season a year ago, but he didn't exactly light it up in his first two starts. He threw for 620 yards, three TDs and three INTs in wins over Syracuse and Boston College. Neither of those games saw more than 50 points combined. The Hokies scored a ton of points in a loss at North Carolina last year, and that game was a high scoring shootout. With all the turnover I really don't see that happening here in the season opener in Blacksburg. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-31-21 | Astros v. Mariners OVER 8 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -104 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Houston Astros rank first in the majors in batting average, and second in runs scored. We might see plenty of scoring here in Seattle in Game 2. Yusei Kikuchi will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been lit up this season when facing Houston. He's 1-2 with a 6.23 ERA in four starts versus the Astros this season. The Astros hand the ball to Lance McCullers, who is facing Seattle for the second time in 10 days. He's 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA in two previous starts versus the Mariners this season. These teams have gone over in six of the last seven head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-28-21 | Southern Utah v. San Jose State UNDER 57.5 | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The San Jose State Spartans will be a big favorite in their season opener versus Southern Utah, and money has been coming in the total. With the number bet up several points from the opening line, there looks like some value in fading the movement. The underdogs weren't great on defense last season, but they did lead their conference and finish in the top 20 of FCS with three sacks per game. It would be no surprise to see these offenses struggle to get off the ground in the season opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-28-21 | Cardinals v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 13-0 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 5* play on Under. The Cardinals have split the first two games of this series in Pittsburgh, and Game 3 on Saturday looks like a potential pitcher's duel. Adam Wainwright will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's been stellar in recent starts. He's 4-1 with a 1.70 ERA in his last five starts. The Pirates hand the ball to Steven Brault, who has also been sharp. He's only allowed four earned runs in his last four starts. The under is 8-2-2 in the Pirates last 12 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-26-21 | White Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 10-7 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Blue Jays are looking to earn a split with a win in Game 4 versus the White Sox. All three games in this series have gone under, and today's pitching matchup suggests another low score. Hyun Jin Ryu will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's lived up to expectations this season. He's 3-1 with a 3.90 ERA in his last five starts. The White Sox hand the ball to Carlos Rodon, who has been as good as anyone in 2021. He's 6-2 with a 2.21 ERA in 11 starts on the road this season. The Jays have gone under in seven straight versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-23-21 | Leicester v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. West Ham got off to a cracking start, beating Newcastle by a score of 4-2 in their season opener, and they host Leicester City on Monday. West Ham scored 62 goals in the league last year, that's four more than Chelsea, and seven more than Arsenal. Their defending however is nowhere near the quality of the top teams in the Premier League, and I don't like their chances of posting a clean sheet here against Leicester. These teams have gone over in five straight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-21-21 | Winnipeg v. Toronto OVER 45 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 42 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. After eight of the first nine games in the CFL this season went under the total, the bookmakers have made adjustments. The result is low numbers that are a product of recency bias. I believe thats' the case here in Toronto, as the Argos host the defending champs. A change at quarterback could spark the Argos offense, and keep in mind that Nick Arbuckle was expected to be the starter heading into this season. The Bombers are 2-0, and their offense is already firing on all cylinders. These teams have gone over in eight of the last nine meetings, and four straight in Toronto. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-21-21 | Everton v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Everton won their opening match by a score of 3-1 at home versus Southampton, and this week they head out on the road for a match at Leeds. They won here last year by a score of 2-1, and I would expect another high score this time around. Neither of these teams are likely to post a clean sheet, and it's probably going to take two goals to get a win. Leeds gave up five goals in a loss to Manchester United in their opening match. Leeds scored 62 goals in the league last year, that's four more than Chelsea, and seven more than Arsenal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-19-21 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Arizona has won five of six on this home stand, and they are gunning for a sweep in Game 3 versus Philly this afternoon. Madison Bumgarner will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's still one hell of a competitor. He's 2-1 with a 2.20 ERA in his last five starts. The Phillies hand the ball to Zack Wheeler, who is having a career year. The under is 9-1-1 in the Phillies last 11 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-14-21 | Dolphins v. Bears UNDER 37 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
5* |
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08-12-21 | Washington Football Team v. Patriots UNDER 37.5 | 13-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under 37.5. The first week of pre-season usually produces a lot of low scoring games, and we expect that to be the case here when the Pats host the Washington Football team tonight. Both these teams ranked near the bottom of the league in passing last year, and when they met in 2019 Washington scored just seven points. I expect a conservative approach here with both teams running a vanilla game plan just looking to get out of here without any serious injuries. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-11-21 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 8 | 1-2 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over The Mariners lost the series opener at home versus Texas, but they look good to bounce back in Game 2. Tyler Anderson will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been sharp since coming over from Pittsburgh. He didn't factor in the decision in an extra-innings loss at Texas in his debut for the Mariners. Texas will hand the ball to Spencer Howard, who hasn't missed many bats lately. He's 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA in his last three appearances. The Rangers are 15-46 in their last 61 games as an underdog, and the over is 8-3 in their last 11 road games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-11-21 | Villarreal v. Chelsea OVER 2.25 | 1-1 | Loss | -52.5 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Chelsea is stacked with talent heading into the 2021 season, and the Champions League winners will take on the Eufa Cup Champs in Ireland today. We have seen Chelsea score plenty of goals in recent friendlies, and they haven't posted a clean sheet since last season's Champions League Final. Villarreal has conceded seven goals in four friendlies since defeating Manchester United in the Eufa Cup. I like both teams to score here and the total to go over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-08-21 | Derrick Lewis v. Cyril Gane UNDER 4.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under 4.5. Derrick Lewis comes into this fight with 24 KO victories in 32 fights. He's a 3-1 underdog versus the undefeated Cyril Gane, who has finished his opponent in six of his nine fights in the UFC. His most impressive knockout was against Junior Dos Santos, who also knocked out Derrick Lewis in 2019. While many will be tempted to back the underdog Lewis and hope for the early KO, I expect Gane to use his superior grappling to score a victory within the first four rounds. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-06-21 | BC v. Saskatchewan UNDER 48 | 29-33 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. It came as no surprise that we saw things get sloppy in the season opener in Winnipeg. After all it's been almost two years since these teams played a meaningful game. Injuries are also a concern, with most teams missing several key players after rushing to get the league back up and running. The last time BC played Saskatchewan they lost by a score of 27-19. The Lions have gone under in nine of their last 10 overall, and the under is 12-3-2 in their last 17 games in August. The under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings in Saskatchewan. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-05-21 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg UNDER 50 | 6-19 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. It's been almost two years since we've seen a CFL game of any kind, and these teams will play their season opener after a brief training camp on short notice. It's really no surprise that injuries are a concern for both teams, but the Bombers might be even worse off on offense. They will be without their leading rusher Andrew Harris, who is a former MVP, Grey Cup MVP and league rushing leader. The bookmakers might have got caught sleeping a bit here, offering a number over 50 for the season opener. That's especially true because these teams have gone under in 10 STRAIGHT HEAD TO HEAD meetings! GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-02-21 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -119 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Mets will be a favorite in Game 1 in Miami, and these two teams rank 27th and 29th respectively in runs scored. It could be a good day for pitchers. Tylor Megill will toe the slab for the Mets, and he's been looking sharp so far. In seven appearances he owns a 1-0 record with a 2,04 ERA. The Fish hand the ball to Sandy Alcantara, who tossed a gem in his last start. The 25 year old held the Yankees scoreless through seven innings, striking out 10 batters. The Marlins have gone under in six of their last seven home games, and four of their last five versus New York. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-25-21 | Braves v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Braves have won two of three in this series in Philly, and they scored 15 runs in Game 3. We expect another slugfest on Sunday. Aaron Nola will toe the slab for Philly, and he's been getting rocked lately. Nola (6-6, 4.64 ERA) has allowed 15 runs on 18 hits over 16 innings in his last three starts. The Braves hand the ball to Touki Toussaint, who makes just his second start of the season. The over is 7-3 in the Braves last 10 overall, and the over is 13-3 in the Phillies last 16 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-24-21 | TJ Dillashaw v. Cory Sandhagen UNDER 3.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -165 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under 3.5. Cory Sandhagen comes into this Main Event fight versus TJ Dillashaw as a 2-1 favorite, and he's never fought past three rounds in the UFC. In 16 career fights, 10 times the end has come by way of KO or submission. The majority of his decisions happened earlier in his career, and he's coming consecutive wins by KO. Dillashaw will be looking to prove that his past success wasn't due to PED use, and bounce back from a first round KO loss to Henry Cejudo. His previous two fights were KO victories over Cody Galbrant in rounds 1 and 2. Buckle up folks, somebody could get KO'd here in the early rounds. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-24-21 | Rockies v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Dodgers host the Rockies in Game 2 at Chavez Ravine, and Game 1 was a slugfest. We should expect more of the same Saturday night. Kyle Freeland will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's coming off back to back losses. Freeland (1-4, 5.36 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits over six innings in a 9-2 loss to LA in his last start. The Dodgers hand the ball to Tony Gonsolin, who is coming off a poor performance. He allowed three runs on five hits and four walks over 3 1/3 innings in a loss to the Giants his last time out. Dodgers closer Kenley Jansen has blown three straight saves, allowing eight runs on nine hits and four walks in two innings in those losses. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-20-21 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 222.5 | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. It's fair to say that Game 5 was an outlier. It was the first time in this series that the road team won, and it was also the first time in this series that the total went over in the first half. The Phoenix Suns scored 119 points, shot better than 55 percent from the field and hit over 68 percent of thier three-point attempts. Those numbers are good enough to win 99 percent of the time, but in Game 5 the Bucks somehow shot 57.5 percent from the field and hung on for a stunning victory. So what happens in Game 6? I am going to go out on a limb and say Milwaukee won't be able to pull that off again. Looking back at Game 4 in Milwaukee, Phoenix dominated that game for the first three quarters, and fell apart in the final three minutes. With no margin for error, I expect the Suns to be at their best here in this elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-18-21 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. After back to back low scores in this series in New York, I am not expecting a pitcher's duel in Game 3 Sunday. Martin Perez will toe the slab for the Sox, and he hasn't missed many bats lately. Perez (7-5, 4.04 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits over just 3 2/3 innings in an 11-2 loss to Philly his last time out. The Yankees hand the ball to Jameson Taillon, who has been pretty solid over his last five starts. The Red Sox have a team batting average of .337 against him. The over is 5-1 in the Yankees last six games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-18-21 | Padres v. Nationals OVER 8 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. If Saturday's game wasn't suspended, it would have been the sixth consecutive game that went over between the Nats and the Padres. The ball has been really carrying in this ballpark the last few days, and we expect more fireworks on Sunday. Mad Max will toe the slab for the Nats, and he was just hammered by the Padres in his last start. He gave up seven runs on five hits over 3 2/3 innings in a 9-8 loss at San Diego. The Padres hand the ball to Joe Musgrove, who has lost back to back starts. He allowed five runs on seven hits in five innings in a 7-5 loss to Washington just before the All Star break. The over is 7-2 in the Nationals last nine games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns UNDER 219 | 123-119 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. I bet the under for the first half of Game 2, and here is what I said before tipoff: “The Bucks scored just 49 points in the first half of Game 1, and Giannis once again struggled at the free throw line. The total for Game 2 is a little higher than it was in the previous game, and I expect both the team to turn up the heat on defense. The Suns should continue to send Giannis to the line every chance they get, and the Bucks may have to make a few adjustments to slow down Chris Paul. The under is 8-1 in the Bucks last nine games following a straight up loss, and the under is 9-4 in the Bucks last 13 games as an underdog.” Despite going under in the first half in each of the first four games, the total for Game 5 is still quite high. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-17-21 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Cubs will be the favorite in Game 2 in Arizona, but I like the total in this game. Neither starting pitcher inspires much confidence, and I expect plenty of scoring. Adbert Alzolay will toe the slab for the Cubs, and he's winless in his last five starts. The right-hander is 1-6 with a 5.06 ERA in seven starts on the road. The D'Backs hand the ball to Zac Gallen, who is also winless in five consecutive appearances. He's 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA in four home starts. The over is 15-7 in the Diamondbacks last 22 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-16-21 | Padres v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 24-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Nationals and the Padres played a four game series just before the All Star break, and all four games went over the total. They play Game 1 here in Washington tonight, and I expect another high score. Chris Paddack will toe the slab for San Diego, and he's failed to go three innings in three of his last four starts. The worst of those saw him allow nine runs on nine hits in two innings in a 15-5 loss to Washington. The Nats hand the ball to Erick Fedde, who has surrendered 14 runs in his last three starts. He gave up six runs on eight hits in 4 1/3 innings in a loss to San Diego earlier this season. Warm air and winds blowing out are expected to help the ball carry well here tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-10-21 | Dustin Poirier v. Conor McGregor UNDER 2.5 | 1-0 | Push | 0 | 101 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under 2.5 rounds. A younger McGregor knocked out Dustin Poirier in the first round, but earlier this year Connor looked past his prime when he was knocked out by Poirier in the 2nd round of the rematch. Connor claims to be focused on revenge, and this fight will be much the same as the first fight. He has 27 fights on record, and only three times has he gone past the second round. He won by decision versus Nate Diaz and Max Holloway, and lost in the 4th round to Khabib. He's at his best when he's aggressive, and I expect him to come on like gangbusters in this fight. Whether or not he still has it in him, I expect somebody to get knocked out. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-08-21 | Bucks v. Suns UNDER 221 | 108-118 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under 1H. The Bucks scored just 49 points in the first half of Game 1, and Giannis once again struggled at the free throw line. The total for Game 2 is a little higher than it was in the previous game, and I expect both the team to turn up the heat on defense. The Suns should continue to send Giannis to the line every chance they get, and the Bucks may have to make a few adjustments to slow down Chris Paul. The under is 8-1 in the Bucks last nine games following a straight up loss, and the under is 9-4 in the Bucks last 13 games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-06-21 | Yankees v. Mariners OVER 9 | 12-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Bronx Bombers aren't exactly living up to all the hype this season, ranking 25th in the majors in scoring. They could be due to break out tonight in Seattle against a struggling starting pitcher. Justus Sheffield will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been lit up lately. Sheffield (5-7, 5.88 ERA) has allowed 10 runs on 14 hits over 9 1/3 innings in his last two home starts. The Yankees hand the ball to Jameson Taillon, who has an ERA over 11.00 on the road. He allowed five runs on nine hits in 5 1/3 innings in a home win over the Angels his last time out. The over is 7-2 in the Yankees last nine games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-21 | Orioles v. Angels OVER 9.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Orioles have lost back to back games in LA, and they will be an underdog in Game 3. I expect to see fireworks on the 4th of July. Tom Eshelman will toe the slab for Baltimore and he's still looking for his first win of the season. He allowed a pair of runs on five hits and three walks in 3 2/3 innings in a no decision at Houston his last time out. The Halos hand the ball to Patrick Sandoval, who has won his last three starts. He allowed eight runs on 12 hits and six walks over 16 2/3 innings in those games. The over is 7-3-1 in the Orioles last 11 road games, and the over is 19-7 in the Angels last 26 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-21 | Twins v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Royals have scored 13 runs in back to back home wins over the Twins, and we should see another slugfest in Game 3 Sunday afternoon. Kenta Maeda will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's lost four of his last five starts. Maeda (3-3, 5.56 ERA) allowed seven runs on eight hits and five walks over 4 2/3 innings in a loss at Chicago. The Royals hand the ball to Brad Keller, who has allowed five or more runs in four of his last five appearances. He hasn't pitched well at home, going 2-4 with a 7.97 ERA in eight starts. The over is 22-8-2 in the Twins last 32 road games, and the over is 12-5-4 in the Royals last 21 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 217.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. This series has been all over the map, with injuries playing such a key role. The Bucks proved that they can win without Giannis in Game 5 at home, but they sure didn't rise to the challenge back in Game 4 in Atlanta. Both games in Atlanta were low scoring, and the under is 5-0 in the Bucks last five at Atlanta. The under is 8-3-1 in Bucks last 12 overall, and they have gone under in nine of their last 12 as an underdog. I expect points to be hard to come by in this elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-02-21 | Orioles v. Angels OVER 9.5 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Orioles are coming off three straight wins, scoring 27 runs in a sweep at Houston. Their pitching staff has struggled though, ranking 30th in ERA and 29th in WHIP. Keegan Akin will toe the slab for the Orioles, and he's coming off three straight disastrous starts. He has been torched for 19 runs on 21 hits over 14 innings in those games. The Angels hand the ball to Griffin Canning, who has an ERA over 5.00 at home. The over is 15-7-2 in the Orioles last 24 overall, and the over is 19-7 in the Angels last 26 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-27-21 | A's v. Giants OVER 8 | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Giants host Oakland in a matinee by the bay on Sunday, and I am expecting fireworks. Sam Long will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's been far from perfect in his three appearances this season. He's allowed six runs on nine hits over 11 innings in two home starts. Oakland will hand the ball to Cole Irvin, who has won his last four starts. He's given up eight runs on 16 hits over 10 2/3 innings in his last two appearances. The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in San Francisco. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-23-21 | Lightning v. Islanders OVER 5 | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over The Isles try to pick up the pieces after an 8-0 loss in a pivotal Game 5 in Tampa. This will be particularly tough for their goaltender, who was pulled after allowing three goals on 16 shots. The over is 7-3-2 in Islanders last 12 overall, and they have gone over in seven of their last nine as a home underdog. This being an elimination game, we can expect it to be a lot closer than the 8-0 blowout in Game 5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-23-21 | Rockies v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Mariners won a pitcher's duel in Game 1 versus the Rockies, but I expect more scoring in a matinee in Game 2. German Marquez will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's what I like to call a Jeckyll and Hyde pitcher. He's 5-1 with a 3.58 ERA at home, but he's 0-5 with an ERA of 5.74 on the road. The Mariners hand the ball to Justus Sheffield, who has been torched for 12 runs on 17 hits over nine innings in his last two starts. The GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-22-21 | Rockies v. Mariners OVER 8 | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Over. |
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06-21-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Arizona has lost 17 in a row, and they rank 30th in the major leagues with a team ERA of 5.36. I expect to see plenty of scoring in Game 1 versus Milwaukee. Brett Anderson will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he hasn't has much success against Arizona. The D'Backs lineup is hitting a combined .301 over 64 at bats against him. The D'Backs hand the ball to Merrill Kelly, who has lost five straight starts. Kelly allowed five runs on six hits in six innings in a loss to the Brewers earlier this season. Milwaukee is batting a combined .395 over 39 at bats versus Kelly. Scoring is up in a big way since the new restrictions on sticky substances for pitchers. On Saturday 11 of 16 games saw combined scores in double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-21-21 | Denmark v. Russia UNDER 2.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Russia is in a position to qualify for the next round, and a draw in their match versus Denmark would likely be enough. Denmark lost their leading scorer in their opening match, when Christian Eriksen collapsed on the field and was brought back to life by medical staff. Between these two teams, they have each scored just one goal in their first two matches of the group stages. They both played Finland, and the final score in each of those games was 1-0. I expect the Russians to be very careful here, and a low score is to be expected. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-21 | Rays v. Mariners OVER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Mariners have scored 17 runs while winning the first three games in this home series versus Tampa. I expect Game 4 to be another slugfest. Scoring is up in a big way since the new restrictions on sticky substances for pitchers. On saturday 11 of 16 games saw combined scores in double digits. The over is 13-2-2 in the Rays last 17 games as a road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-21 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | 9-8 | Win | 101 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Dodgers handed Arizona another loss on Saturday, winning Game 2 by a score of 9-3. With both teams turning to the back of the rotation, or really the bullpen in Game 3, we can expect another high score. The over is 10-1 in Diamondbacks last 11 home games, and the Dodgers are 20-7 in the last 27 meetings. Scoring is up in a big way since the new restrictions on sticky substances for pitchers. On saturday 11 of 16 games saw combined scores in double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-21 | Phillies v. Giants OVER 8 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Giants host the Phillies in Game 3 of a home series Sunday, and I expect to see another slugfest by the bay. Zach Eflin will toe the slab for Philly, and he's lost four of his last five starts. Eflin (2-5, 3.99 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits in five innings in a loss to the Dogers his last time out. The Giants hand the ball to Sammy Long, who is making his third start in the majors. He allowed four runs on five hits in five innings in a no-decision versus Arizona his last time out. Scoring is up in a big way since the new restrictions on sticky substances for pitchers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-19-21 | Rays v. Mariners OVER 8 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Mariners have scored 11 runs while winning both the first two games in this home series versus Tampa. I expect Game 3 to be another slugfest. Logan Gilbert will toe the slab for Seattle, and the rookie has been hit and miss. Gilbert (2-2, 4.13 ERA) is 0-2 with a 6.39 ERA in three home starts. The Rays hand the ball to Josh Fleming, who got rocked in his last appearances on the road. He gave up five runs on 10 hits over seven innings in a loss at Texas. The over is 12-2-2 in the Rays last 16 games as a road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-19-21 | Marlins v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Cubs lost 10-2 at home to Miami in Game 1, and we have every reason to expect another slugfest in Game 2. Jake Arrieta will toe the slab for Chicago, and he hasn't missed many bats lately. The veteran has allowed 16 runs on 20 hits over 15 2/3 innings while losing three of his last four starts. The Marlins hand the ball to Pablo Lopez, who has also lost three of his last four starts. He allowed 10 runs on 20 hits over 22 innings in those games. Pitchers have been struggling since MLB banned sticky substances, and scoring has gone up dramatically. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-21 | Phillies v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Giants scored 37 runs while sweeping the the D'Backs in a four game series at home this week, and I expect another slugfest in Game 1 versus Philly. Vince Velasquez will toe the slab for the Phillies, and he hasn't missed many bats lately. Velasquez (2-1, 4.25 ERA) has allowed 11 runs on 15 hits over 12 innings in his last three starts. The Giants hand the ball to Johnny Cueto, who is coming off back to back losses. Cueto (4-3, 4.00 ERA) has allowed nine runs on 15 hits over 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts. There is no question that scoring is up significantly since the ban on sticky substances for major league pitchers. GL. Jesse Schule |
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06-14-21 | Sweden v. Spain OVER 2.5 | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Spain will be a big favorite against Sweden in their opening match at the Euros, and they will play in front of a home crowd. Sweden isn't going to be an easy opponent, and I expect both these teams to score in this match. Both teams have scored in two of the last three head to head meetings, and three of the last four meetings went over the total. Sweden has won five matches in a row heading into the tournament, and they scored at least twice in three of their last four matches. I predict a 2-1 victory for Spain. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-13-21 | Marvin Vettori v. Israel Adesanya OVER 4.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Adesanya will be a big favorite coming off his first loss, but I don't expect this to be an easy fight. Vettori has gone the distance in four of his last five fights, and he should be able to use his wrestling ability to hang in there with Izzy until the later rounds. He's lost four fights in his UFC career, and all four of those losses came by decision. Don't be surprised if this fight goes the distance as well. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks OVER 234 | 83-86 | Loss | -113 | 49 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Prior to this series I had said that the Nets seemed to have no interest in playing defense. They proved me wrong by holding the NBA's highest scoring team to fewer than 100 points per game in the first two games of this series. I wouldn't be surprised to see them look a little complacent here in Game 3 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are likely to come out firing on all cylinders, and I expect them to shoot the ball a lot better at home. The Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine playoff games as an underdog, and the over is 4-1 in the Nets last five Conference Semifinals games. The Bucks won both home games versus Brooklyn during the regular season, and both of those games went over 240 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-06-21 | Astros v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Blue Jays have split the first two games of this home series versus Houston, and we could expect a slugfest in the rubber match. Stephen Matz will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's been pretty inconsistent this season. Matz (6-2, 4.22 ERA) allowed four runs on four hits over five innings in a no decision versus Cleveland his last time out. The Astros hand the ball to Luis Garcia, who has been on a bit of a roll. His split stats suggest he's far better at home (2.10 ERA) than he is on the road (4.34 ERA). The over is 9-1-1 in the Astros last 11 road games, and the over is 10-1-1 in their last 12 versus left handed starters. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-04-21 | Twins v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 5-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
The Royals have won four straight, and three of their last four versus Minnesota. They are just a slight favorite tonight, and I expect them to punish a struggling Twins pitcher. Matt Shoemaker will toe the slab for the Twins, and he hasn't missed many bats this season. Shoemaker (2-6, 5.90 ERA) has faced the Royals twice this year, going 0-2 with a 15.26 ERA in those games. The Royals hand the ball to Brad Keller, who is coming off a win at Minnesota in his last start. He was far from perfect, allowing three runs on five hits and four walks in five innings. The Royals are batting .318 over a combined 69 at bats in previous meetings versus Shoemaker. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-02-21 | Mets v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The D'Backs have lost six of eight on their current home stand, and six of those eight games went over the total. All eight games saw at least eight runs scored. Madison Bumgarner will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's had an up and down season. Bumgarner (4-5, 5.15 ERA) has allowed 14 runs on 15 hits over 10 innings in his last two appearances. The Mets hand the ball to David Peterson, who hasn't missed many bats lately. Peterson (1-4, 4.91 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits and three walks over six innings in a home loss to the Rockies his last time out. The over is 9-4 in Diamondbacks last 13 games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-29-21 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Arizona has lost 12 straight, and they rank 30th in the majors in BAA. I expect a high score as they host St. Louis tonight. Adam Wainwright will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's been hammered on the road. Wainwright (2-4, 3.95 ERA) allowed six runs on eight hits and three walks in just four innings in a loss to San Diego in his last road start. The D'Backs hand the ball to Seth Frankoff, who is making his third start of the season. He allowed seven run on 10 hits over 8 2/3 innings in his previous two starts. The over is 14-5 in the Diamondbacks last 19 after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-28-21 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Mariners host Texas in Game 2 of a home series Friday, and I expect a slugfest here. Justus Sheffield will toe the slab for Seattle, and he got roughed up in his last start versus Texas. He allowed seven runs on 10 hits over five innings in a 10-2 loss to Texas a few weeks ago. The Rangers hand the ball to Jordan Lyles, who hasn't missed many bats this season. Lyles (2-3, 5.94 ERA) is 0-2 with a 9.39 ERA in his last three starts against the Mariners. These teams have gone over in four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-27-21 | Padres v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Brewers host the Padres in a matinee at Miller Park Thursday, and I am expecting a pitcher's duel. Ryan Weathers will toe the slab for San Diego, and the rookie has been dealing in his first five starts. Weathers (2-1, 1.48 ERA) allowed one run on six hits in four innings in a home win over Seattle his last time out. The Brewers hand the ball to Adrian Houser, who has been solid this season. Houser (3-5, 4.53 ERA) allowed a pair of run on two hits in three innings in a loss to Atlanta in his last home start. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-26-21 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 229 | 95-120 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Washington Wizards went on a tear in the second half of the season to sneak into the playoffs, but strong and responsible play on defense didn't have much to do with their success. They finished the regular season ranking dead last in scoring defense, allowing over 120 points per game. They didn't look great defensively in Game 1, and they were actually quite fortunate that Philly didn't have a particularly good game shooting the ball. The Sixers made 10 three-pointers in Game 1, and I expect them to improve on that number in Game 2. The over is 6-1 in the Wizards last seven road games, and they have gone over in seven of their last 10 overall. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-26-21 | Cardinals v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The White Sox are looking to break out the brooms in Game 3 of this series versus St. Louis, and I expect a pitcher's duel this afternoon. Carlos Rodon will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's having a Cy Young worthy season so far. Rodon (5-1, 1.27 ERA) tossed six scoreless innings allowing two hits and striking out a baker's dozen his last time out. The Cardinals will hand the ball to Jon Gant, who has been very solid himself. Gant (3-3, 2.04 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits in 5 1/3 innings in a home win over the Pirates his last time out. The under is 20-6-1 in Cardinals last 27 interleague road games. GL, Jesse Schule |