Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-29-23 | 49ers +130 v. Eagles | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -100 | 78 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SF. The Niners have the #1 ranked defense in the NFL, and they completely shut down Dallas last week. They are trying to become the first team in history to send a rookie QB to the Super Bowl. Mr Irrelevant looked pretty pedestrian against an elite Dallas defense. He threw for 219 yards on 19-of-29 passing, with no TDs or picks. While everyone is talking about the Niners rookie, the fact is that Jalen Hurts hasn't proved sh#t in big games. Remember it was Tua that walked off as a champion for Alabama, not Hurts. I'll take the best defense in football getting points in this spot all day. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-23 | Blackhawks v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Oilers had won six straight before dropping a home game to Columbus, and they host the Blackhawks off an upset win in Calgary. Edmonton has the best power play in the league, and they should have plenty of success against this Hawks penalty killing unit. The over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings, and the Hawks have gone over in five of their last six at Edmonton. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-23 | Arsenal v. Manchester City OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -124 | 86 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OVER. These are the top two scoring teams in the Premier League, and while in some cases a Cup match might not be as significant as a league game, in this case it's an opportunity for both these teams to make a statement. Arsenal sits five points clear of City in the Premier League standings, and a win here at the Etihad might be soul crushing for Pep Guardiola's side. It won't be easy, as Man City has scored a whopping 38 goals in 11 home matches. Arsenal though has the best away record in the Premier League, and they have scored 20 goals in 10 away matches. I like both teams to score here, and we should see a high score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-23 | Mavs v. Suns -120 | Top | 99-95 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Phoenix. The Suns have been decimated by injuries, but that hasn't prevented them from winning 18 of 25 home games. They host the Dallas Mavericks tonight, and Dallas has lost 15 of 23 road games. The home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine head to head meetings. Chris Paul is back, and he had 11 assists in a blowout win over Charlotte on Tuesday. The Mavs will not have 2nd leading scorer and 2nd leading rebounder Christian Wood. The Suns are expecting their big man back on Thursday. DeAndre Ayton leads the Suns in scoring and rebounding. The Mavericks are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games, and they are 17-35-2 ATS in their last 54 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-23 | Florida v. Texas A&M -3.5 | Top | 52-54 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas A&M. The Aggies are undefeated in the SEC, and they are 8-1 at home. They have already beat the Gators in Florida this season, and they won both meetings versus Florida last season. The Gators are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Aggies are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus Florida. The Aggies have outscored opponents by an average margin of 19 points at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Release The Kraken! Ladies and gentlemen the hottest team in the NHL hails from The Emerald City, and Seattle had won eight in a row, prior to losing to Tampa last night. They scored a whopping 36 goals in those wins. Seattle has a potent power play, but they face the Oilers who have the best power play in the NHL. These teams have gone over in all five head to head meetings. The over is 19-7-2 in the Oilers last 28 overall, and they have scored 17 goals in their last three games. The Kraken have gone over in five of their last six versus Pacific Division opponents. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-23 | Montana v. Eastern Washington -165 | Top | 57-64 | Win | 100 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on EWU. The Eagles are undefeated in conference play, and they look good as just a small home favorite here tonight. The Eagles are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they have covered the spread in five of their last six home games. The Grizzlies are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games, and they are just 3-3 in the Big Sky. One of their losses came on the road at Northern Arizona, a team with a 5-14 record. The Eagles are averaging 92 points per game at home this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-23 | Duke v. Clemson -132 | Top | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Clemson. The Tigers are sitting in first place in the ACC, and they are undefeated at home (9-0). The home team is 8-2 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and this year's Blue Devils team is not your typical Duke squad we saw under Coach K. Duke has lost two of three road games so far, failing to cover in all three. They lost at Wake Forest by double digits, and Clemson beat that same Demon Deacons team by 20 points. Starting PG Jeremy Roach, who leads the Blue Devils in assists is expected to miss this game with a foot injury. I'll take the Tigers to get the "W" at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-23 | Manchester City v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 50 | 119 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. The Manchester Derby will feature two of the Premier League's highest scoring teams. Manchester City has scored a Premier League best 45 goals in 17 matches, while Manchester United has scored 15 times in their last six matches in all competitions. Eric Ten Hag finally has this team playing the attacking style we are familiar with from his time at Ajax. The last two meetings between these teams were high scoring. City winning both matches by a combined 10-4 margin. With injuries to their top two defenders, Manchester United may have an opportunity to avenge those losses. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-23 | Kent State -150 v. Ohio | Top | 70-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on KENT. The Golden Flashes have won 19 of their last 23 conference games, and they are undefeated in the MAC so far this season. They have three seniors in their starting five, including their two leading scorers Sincere Carry and Malique Jacobs. This is the best team in the MAC, and I wouldn't be expecting them to lose many games this season whether at home or on the road. The Golden Flashes are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The Bobcats are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-23 | Texas Tech +7 v. Iowa State | Top | 50-84 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEXAS TECH. The Red Raiders will be shorthanded here at Iowa State, and they are already 0-3 in conference play. History suggests that this game will be close, and I think the bookmakers are overreacting to a few injuries here. Daniel Batcho and Pop Isaacs didn't play in an overtime loss to Oklahoma, but the Cyclones leading rebounder Aljaz Kunc has also missed the last three weeks. Texas Tech has won eight of the last 10 in this series, and both losses came in games decided by four points. The Cyclones are 3-0 in the BIG12, but two of those wins came in games decided by three points or less. I'll take the points! GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-23 | Indiana v. Iowa -1 | Top | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes are reeling after losing three straight, but a home game against BIG10 rivals Indiana looks like a good spot to get back on track. The home team is 5-1 straight up in the last six meetings between these teams. The Hoosiers have failed to cover in four straight overall, and four of five on the road. They have been playing without two starters, leading scorer Trayce-Jackson-Davis and PG Xavier Johnson. The Hawkeyes are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-23 | Colts v. Giants -160 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 138 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NYG. The Indianapolis Colts rank 27th in the NFL in rushing TDs allowed, and they play on the road in New York Sunday. It's a must win game for the Giants, and we are sure to see plenty of Saquon Barkley. Nick Foles was definitely not the answer for the Colts, throwing for 143 yards and three INTs in a loss to the Chargers last week. The Colts are playing on a short week, and they have nothing to play for. The Giants lost at Minnesota last week, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-22 | Ohio State v. Georgia -6.5 | Top | 41-42 | Loss | -110 | 375 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UGA. I am sure the Buckeyes can play better than they did against Michigan, but I am not sure that it's going to be good enough to hang with the Georgia Bulldogs. We've seen that C.J. Stroud has a high upside, but he often buckles under pressure, makes mistakes in big games. Stetson Bennett is an experienced veteran with a steady hand, who really doesn't have to do anything fancy. He played his best football in last year's playoffs, beating Michigan and Alabama. The Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 bowl games. They have the edge in the trenches and the championship pedigree. This line is currently less than a TD, and I think it should probably be closer to double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-22 | Bucs -7.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Tampa. As bad as things appear to be in Tampa Bay, the Bucs are still the favorite to win the NFC South. This team still has plenty to play for, while it looks like the Arizona Cardinals will be waiving a white flag here this week. Arizona officially eliminated from the post-season, and down to their third string QB. Trace McSorley has thrown for 166 yards and three INTs on just over 50 percent passing in limited action this year. Given the QB situation, it's hard to see the rest of the team being too invested in this meaningless game. Expecting the Cardinals offense to struggle to move the chains, that should lead to more possessions for Brady and company. Despite the loss, Brady threw for 312 yards and three TDs last week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-22 | Packers v. Dolphins -4.5 | Top | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 2* play on MIA. |
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12-22-22 | Seattle Kraken -110 v. Canucks | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SEA. The Vancouver Canucks have won all five head to head meetings versus division rivals Seattle, but I am going to fade that 100% trend here tonight. These two teams are obviously trending in opposite directions, as Vancouver is coming off back to back 5-1 home losses, and the Canucks are rumored to be shopping team captain Bo Horvat and star defenseman Quinn Hughes. The Kraken are coming off back to back home wins, but they actually have a better road record than they do at home. The Kraken are 7-3 in their last 10 road games, and they are 11-3 in their last 14 games following a win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-22 | France v. Argentina OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 79 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Lionel Messi is tied for the tournament lead with five goals, and three of those have come via penalty. Argentina has been awarded four penalties so far, tying the record. With one game to play, you have to think there is a good chance Messi gets another opportunity from the penalty spot. Argentina has scored two or more goals in five straight matches, while France has scored two or more in four of their last five. I don't think either team is going to post a clean sheet here, and 2-1 seems like the most likely final score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-22 | Pelicans -120 v. Jazz | Top | 129-132 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Pelicans. The Pelicans are tied for first place in the Western Conference, and they are in a revenge spot in the second game of a two game series in Utah. The Pelicans are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss. The Jazz are just 6-11 in their last 17 overall, and they were playing over their heads at the beginning of the year. Zion only played 26 minutes in the first game in Utah, expect him to play more minutes and be a more dominant force here in the rematch. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-22 | 49ers -170 v. Seahawks | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 62 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on SF. The 49ERS will look to clinch the NFC West with a win in Seattle on Thursday. They have won back to back games since Jimmy G went down, scoring 68 points in those contests. SF has plenty of weapons, but without Deebo Samuel they might lean a little more on Christian McCaffrey. He faces a Seattle defense that ranks 30th in the NFL in rushing touchdowns allowed. McCaffrey scored a pair of TDs last week, and if you exclude his 49ers debut where he only played a limited role, he's found the endzone six times in six games since arriving in San Francisco. The 49ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 6-0 in their last six versus the NFC West. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-22 | Arizona v. Indiana | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Arizona. The Wildcats are 7-1, with a pair of wins over ranked teams. They beat San Diego State and Creighton before losing their first true road game at Utah. They host the #14 ranked Indiana Hoosiers in a neutral site game tonight, but Las Vegas might feel like a second home to the Wildcats. This Arizona team was 11-1 in non-conference games last year, beating #4 Michigan right here in Las Vegas. Indiana might struggle to match the scoring prowess of a Wildcats team that is averaging 91.5 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-22 | Argentina v. Netherlands +265 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -100 | 102 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Netherlands. Lionel Messi has scored three goals in four games at this World Cup, and at the age of 35 some consider him the G.O.A.T. He did miss a penalty against Poland, and overall he's seen more than his share of disappointment at the World Cup throughout his career. Argentina will be a huge favorite against Netherlands, despite the fact that the Dutch are undefeated in 11 World Cups matches under manager Louis Van Gaal. Netherlands 3-1 win over USA was far more impressive than Argentina's 2-1 win over Australia. The Dutch have perhaps the best defense of any squad at the World Cup, with Virgin Van Djik widely considered the best in the world. I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored here, Holland has a younger, more talented group of stars and a superior coach GL,
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12-05-22 | Celtics v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 116-110 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Raptors. Everyone in the NBA knows it's not easy to win in Toronto, and yet the Celtics come into Monday's game as favorites. This is a tough spot for Boston, playing the second game of a back to back off a big win in Brooklyn. Jalen Brown played 40 minutes last night, and Jason Tatum logged 37 minutes. Marcus Smart is out with an injury, and the Raptors are back to full strength. Toronto should get the W here in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-22 | Wichita State v. Kansas State -6.5 | Top | 50-55 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on K-State. The Wildcats are coming off their first loss of the season, on the road at Butler. A home game against Wichita State looks like a good spot to get back on track. Wichita State had three players score in double digits last season, and all three are gone. One went to the NBA (Tyson Ettienne) and two transfered. The Wildcats have three senior starters averaging in double digits, and this gives them a huge edge in experience. Kansas State has won both their home games by double digits, and the Shockers are likely to be overmatched here in Manhattan. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 45 | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 152 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Under. The last game played at Gillette Stadium saw the Patriots score just three points up until the final five seconds of regulation. They were quite fortunate that they held the Jets to just three points on just 103 yards of offense. They were even luckier to return a punt for a touchdown to walk the game off for the win. They host the Buffalo Bills on Thursday night, and both these teams boast Top 5 scoring defenses each allowing just 18 points per game. The weatherman says it's going to be cold with rain and wind (if you can trust the forecast several days out). The Pats have held opponents to three points or less in three of their last four games. I think 21 points will be enough to win this game GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-22 | Mexico -147 v. Saudi Arabia | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 173 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 2* play on Mexico. The last time that Mexico failed to advance from the Group Stages at the World Cup it was 1978, They have made the Round of 16 in eight consecutive tournaments, and they face a must win here against Saudi Arabia if they intend to keep that streak alive. Saudi Arabia suffered a let down after their upset win over Argentina, losing their second match 2-0 to Poland. If Argentina defeats Poland and Mexico defeats Saudi Arabia, then goal differential comes into play. A win for Poland would put Mexico in control of it's own destiny. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-22 | Iowa State v. Connecticut -5 | Top | 53-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UCONN. The #20 Huskies are 7-0, and they beat #18 Alabama by 15 points on Friday at the Phil Knight Invitational. They face an unranked Iowa State team that just upset #1 North Carolina, and this could be a let down spot for the Cyclones. Iowa State made 9-of-20 three-point attempts in the upset win over the Tar Heels. I don't like their chances of hitting 45 percent from beyond the arc here in this game. The Huskies have the experience, the shooters, and the coaching to take down this scrappy Cyclones team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-22 | Butler v. NC State +1 | Top | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NCSTATE. The Butler Bulldogs didn't get a lot of returning talent from last year, and they did not look good in their first game against a ranked team. They scored 45 points on 32 percent shooting in a loss to Tennessee a few days ago. The Wolfpack have more experience, and that may be what allowed them to hang with #3 ranked Kansas. NC State comes in averaging over 80 points per game, while the Bulldogs average just slightly above the national average (71.5). The Wolfpack currently rank 1st in the ACC in scoring, and near the top in FG percentage, FT percentage and three-point shooting. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-22 | Tulane +110 v. Cincinnati | Top | 27-24 | Win | 110 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Tulane. Can you believe that the defending conference champs are getting almost no respect from bookmakers here against Tulane? Well there is a good reason for that. The Bearcats lost a ton of talent from last year's historic Playoff team. They rank near the bottom of the AAC in rushing, only Temple averages fewer yards per game. That could hurt them here in a huge game against the #1 defense in the conference. That's especially true because there is some uncertainty at the QB position. The Green Wave are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-22 | Buffalo v. George Mason UNDER 145.5 | Top | 82-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Under. George Mason lost 66-62 to Belmont at the Paradise Jam at the UVI Sports & Fitness Center in the Virgin Islands on Saturday. In fact all four games at this venue over the weekend were low scoring, falling well short of 140 combined points. Neither of these two teams have been scoring regardless of the venue, Buffalo comes in averaging 69 points per game while the Patriots are averaging just 65 points per game. The Patriots are strong defensively, which might be why they have gone under in five of their last six games. This number looks way too high. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | TCU v. Baylor UNDER 58 | Top | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 43 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. So TCU scored just 17 points on 289 total yards in a win at Texas last week. Their defense was impressive, holding Texas to 10 points on 199 total yards. The question is, did Texas give Dave Aranda the blueprint for slowing down the Horned Frogs offense? I think Baylor has to try to replicate what Texas did, slowing down this game and limiting the possessions. Blake Shapen threw for 203 yards and two INTs on 22-38 passing last week, so don't expect him to be slinging it around the yard this week. I expect to see both teams favor the run in bad weather, resulting in time coming off the clock. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-22 | Baylor -4.5 v. Virginia | Top | 79-86 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Baylor. The Cavs had four games against Top 25 teams last year, and they lost three of those four games by double digits. They do not match up well with a #5 ranked Baylor team that has the edge in experience, returning production and overall talent. The Bears are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games. The Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site games, and they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State UNDER 60.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Traditionally midweek MAC games have been high scoring. I am betting against that trend continuing here on Wednesday night. The weatherman says to expect rain, snow and wind. The wind is the most significant factor. High winds make kicking field goals a tricky proposition, prompting more fourth down attempts, eventually leading to empty drives. When the passing game is off the table, the clock keeps ticking with every running play. The Golden Flashes have gone under in six of their last seven MAC games, and the under is 6-2 in their last eight versus Eastern Michigan. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-22 | Montreal +3.5 v. Toronto | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Montreal. The Argos finished first in the East, but Montreal was the hottest team in the CFL in the second half of the season. Trevor Harris finished third in the CFL in passing, and he completed 80 percent of his passes in a win over Hamilton in the East Semi Final. William Stanback missed the majority of the regular season, but the leading rusher in the CFL in 2021 is healthy for the playoffs. He ran for 66 yards on 10 carries in the win over the Tiger Cats. Montreal has won six of the last 10 meetings between these teams, and the four games they lost were decided by an average margin of fewer than three points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | TCU v. Texas -7 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Texas. The Horned Frogs are 9-0 and currently eyeing a spot in the College Football Playoffs. I've been waiting for a spot to go against them for weeks now, as they have been getting it done with smoke and mirrors. Wins over Oklahoma, Kansas, Kansas State and Oklahoma State all came against opponents with an injured starting quarterback. They overcame double digit deficits versus the Cowboys and the Wildcats, and they figure to be down early here in Texas. I guess all the sharps are seeing the same thing here, and TCU is shaping up to be one of this season's biggest "square dogs". The line of -7 has 70% of the public backing TCU, but the big money is on Texas. This is reminiscent of UCLA vs Oregon, Penn State vs Michigan and Tennessee vs Georgia. I like Texas to win in a rout here, but taking the Horns for the first half might be the best way to attack this line. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-06-22 | Hamilton v. Montreal -125 | Top | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 48 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MTL. The Allouettes are the hottest team in the CFL heading into the Eastern Conference Semi Final, and they host Hamilton. The Ticats have failed to cover in four of their last five versus Eastern Conference teams. The home team has won four straight head to head meetings. William Stanback has recently returned to the lineup, and he should play a big role here versus Hamilton. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-22 | Houston +3.5 v. SMU | Top | 63-77 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Houston. Say what you want about Houston. I would be the first to admit that they have been disappointing this season. Yeah their defense has been bad, really effing bad. That said they come into this game riding a three game winning streak, and they are still in play for the conference title. The Mustangs defense ranks even worse than Houston, allowing 424 yards per game. Clayton Tune is starting to heat up, throwing for over 1,000 yards with 12 TDs and just one INT in his last three starts. I'll take the points in a game that I expect to be a shootout, and give me the better QB, better program and more high end talent up and down the lineup. ALL DAY! GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz +5.5 | Top | 123-124 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Utah. I think we have one of the more overrated teams (Memphis) playing one of the more underrated teams here in Utah. The Jazz are gonna suck without Donovan Mitchell? Well maybe not. They are off to a 4-2 start and they are undefeated at home. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Ja Morant scored 22 points in a win at Sacramento Thursday, but he's listed as doubtful for Saturday's game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-22 | Kentucky +12 v. Tennessee | Top | 6-44 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Kentucky. The Wildcats are 5-2 and the average margin of defeat in their two losses was 6.5 points. The will be a double digit dog here at Tennesse, after last season's meeting went down to the wire with the Vols winning 45-42. Will Levis threw for 372 yards and three TDs on 31-of-49 passing in that game, and Chris Rodriguez ran for 109 yards on 22 carries. Levis didn't play in the loss to the Gamecocks, but coming off a bye week the Wildcats should be ready to go to battle with their rivals Tennessee. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams, and the road team has covered in six of the last seven. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-22 | Kansas State +3.5 v. TCU | Top | 28-38 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on K-State. The Horned Frogs upset Oklahoma, dropping 55 points on the Sooners three weeks ago. They have climbed into the Top 10 in the polls after winning back to back games since. Wins over Oklahoma State and Kansas were close, and they came back after trailing by a double digit margin at home last week against the Cowboys. It looks like just a matter of time before the bubble bursts for this undefeated TCU team, and this week's game against K-State looks like a challenging spot. The Wildcats are coming off a bye, and they have all the tools required to cause problems for the Horned Frogs. Weather could be a factor with high winds expected, and that favors the Wildcats with the power running game of Deuce Vaughn and Adrian Martinez. I'll take the points with a K-State team that has won three straight head to head, and has covered in six of their last seven versus TCU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-22 | Bills -130 v. Chiefs | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 157 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on BUF. So ever since the Chiefs won the coin flip and marched down the field to score a walk off TD in last year's playoff win over the Bills, we've all been waiting for this rematch. Tyreek Hill had 11 catches for 150 yards and a TD in that game, and he's not going to be there for Patrick Mahomes this time around. The Bills are 4-1, and in their only loss (versus Miami) they had a 497-212 edge in total yards, 31-15 edge in first downs. Buffalo comes in with the league's #1 ranked offense, and the #1 ranked defense. Josh Allen leads the league in passing yards, and QBR. I don't bet on games just because revenge is a factor, but I truly believe that the Bills have improved and the Chiefs have regressed. The added motivation certainly doesn't hurt. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-22 | Manchester City v. Liverpool +0.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* on Liverpool. So Manchester City looks like an unstoppable force this season, while Liverpool has had a poor start in the Premier League. This has the Citizens pegged as heavy favorites heading to Anfield on Saturday, in a game where a draw would probably suit them just fine. In fact the last two times these teams met in the Premier League the result was a draw. Liverpool also knocked City out of the FA Cup and won the Community Shield versus City. While Pep Guardiola may have the superior squad this season, playing at Anfield is a daunting task. It's been five and a half years since Liverpool lost at home in front of their fans in a Premier League match. Manchester City hasn't won at Anfield since 2003, and that is their only win in 20 visits to Liverpool all time (modern era). GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-10-22 | Raiders +7 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on LV. |
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10-08-22 | BYU +4 v. Notre Dame | Top | 20-28 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on BYU. So the 4-1 Cougars ranked #16 in the country are actually an underdog in a neutral site game against unranked 2-2 Notre Dame. So clearly Vegas is telling us that the Irish are the better team? Better where exactly? Drew Pyne looked great against North Carolina last week, but he hasn't proved anything against any top defenses. Jaren Hall comes in with 1,438 yards a dozen TDs and just one INT, and he's faced two ranked opponents. The knock on BYU is that they lost by 20 on the road at Oregon, a week after they beat a Top 10 ranked Baylor team at home in double overtime. The Cougars have been without their top two WR Puka Nacua and Gunner Romney for most of the season, but both should be good to go for Saturday's game. In my mind this is a matchup between one of the most underrated teams of the past decade (BYU) and one of the most overrated teams of the past decade (Notre Dame). The most impressive thing I've seen from Notre Dame this season is losing to Ohio State by just 11. I expect the Cougars to win this game outright, but I certainly don't see them losing by more than a FG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-22 | Arkansas +2.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 87 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARK. So I had the Aggies last week, and they won and covered at home versus Miami. So Texas A&M is back right? You know what Lee Corso would say... Not so fast my friends. Jimbo Fisher still has plenty of problems with this offense, and last week they got quite lucky against the Hurricanes. Miami had a 392-264 edge in total yards, and a 27-16 edge in first downs. Max Johnson stepped in at QB for the Aggies and threw for 140 yards and a TD on just 10-of-20 passing. That just won't cut it against an Arkansas team that can put points on the board. The Razobacks come in averaging 38 points per game, and it's not like they haven't played anybody. They impressed in wins over Cincinnati and South Carolina. KJ Jefferson has thrown for 770 yards, six TDs and one INT, and he's ran for 169 yards and three TDs. If the Aggies play the way they did against Miami, they will likely lose this game by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-22 | Vikings +2.5 v. Eagles | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Minny. Turn on the TV and all the analysts will tell you how bad Kirk Cousins is in Monday Night Football games. i honesty think that's a ridiculous thing to believe, that he is significantly worse on Monday than he is on Sunday afternoon. While he's 2-9 straight up in Monday night games, his QBR in those games is actually pretty good. His chemistry with Justin Jefferson and new head coach Kevin O'connell looked pretty good last week. The defense looked equally as impressive, holding Aaron Rodgers to 195 yards and an INT, and sacking him twice. The Eagles don't look bad either, but at the end of the day they beat the lions and still gave up a ton of points. Jalen Hurts was flirting with an intentional grounding penalty all day. My read here is that the Vikes are getting points, and they have the better QB, RB, WRs, coaching is a wash, hard to say who's got the better defense. I'll take the dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-22 | Bengals v. Cowboys UNDER 52.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 160 h 30 m | Show |
This is play on Under. |
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09-13-22 | Barcelona FC v. Bayern Munich -120 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Bayern. Robert Lewandowski left Bayern in the off-season to join Barcelona, and returns to face his former club in a Champions League match in Munich on Tuesday. While he's off and running with his new club, his replacements at Bayern are also making their mark. Jamal Musiala leads the team in scoring with four goals in five matches, while Sadio Mane has scored three times in six matches. These teams have played three times over the last seven years, Bayern has won all three of those matches by a combined score of 14-2. As good as Barcelona looks, this is a tough spot and they will do well just to keep the game close. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-22 | Sun +6.5 v. Aces | Top | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Sun. The Suns have been a very good road team during the regular season and the playoffs. They are 3-1 straight up on the road in these Playoffs, losing 85-77 at Chicago in the one loss. They won 97-90 at Las Vegas this season, and these teams have a history of playing close games. The Aces are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games. The Sun are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-22 | Baylor v. BYU -160 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 116 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BYU. The Cougars return almost all the talent they had last year when they won 10 games, including a pair of wins over ranked teams. They only lost twice during the regular season, and one of those losses came by a score of 38-24 at Baylor. That sets up a revenge match here in Provo, and the Bears lost plenty of their talent off last year's roster. The Cougars are tough at home, winning 16 of their last 17 home games straight up. I think Baylor is due to take a major step back this season after overachieving in 2021. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-03-22 | Houston -180 v. UTSA | Top | 37-35 | Win | 100 | 157 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Houston. UTSA won 11 straight games to start last season, and they beat Western Kentucky 49-41 in the C-USA Championship Game. They didn't face a ranked team until they played #24 ranked San Diego State in the Frisco Bowl. They open the season at home versus #24 ranked Houston, and this Cougars team appears to be undervalued. Clayton Tune is back for his senior year after throwing for 3,546 yards, 30 TDs and 10 INTs last year. His top target WR Nathaniel Dell is also coming back in 2022. The Cougars opened as a -6.5 point favorite, and this line has come down a few points. This allows us to make a play on the favorite to win straight up, and I can't see UTSA stopping a legit Heisman contender QB with an experienced offensive line and a stud WR. Dana Holgorsen's team has a real shot at being this season's version of the Cincinnati Bearcats, and I don't think they will allow their season to be derailed in Week 1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-28-22 | Giants v. Jets OVER 38 | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 85 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. We wrap up the pre-season on Sunday with the Giants vs Jets. Two undefeated teams, each with solid depth at the QB position. Mike White and Chris Streveler have been great for the Jets, while Tyrod Taylor and Davis Webb have been solid for the GMEN. Last season the Jets final pre-season game was a 31-31 tie, and the Giants also played their highest scoring pre-season game in Week 3. The Giants have averaged 24 points per game in the first two weeks, while the Jets have scored exactly 24 points in both of their games so far. The total here should likely be a few points higher. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-27-22 | San Jose v. Sporting KC -112 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 68 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on KC. Kansas City sits dead last in the MLS standings, but after picking up William Agada and Erick Thommy in the mid season transfer market, they are not the same squad. They have scored 11 goals in their last three matches, winning two of those games. They host San Jose Saturday, and this appears to be a let down spot for the Earthquakes. San Jose is coming off a 2-1 home win over LAFC, but the Earthquakes have just one win in 13 away matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-25-22 | Blue Jays -162 v. Red Sox | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on TOR. The Jays are 5-1 on this current road trip, and they have a favorable matchup here in Game 3 at Fenway. Kevin Gausman will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's 6-3 with a 1.56 ERA in 11 road starts. He's also 3-0 with a 1.38 ERA in four starts against Boston. The Sox hand the ball to Kutter Crawford who is 1-2 with a 6.15 ERA in his last five starts. The Red Sox are 5-13 in their last 18 versus the American League East, and injuries to Pham, Bogaerts, Hosmer, Story and Arroyo are going to make it difficult to dig out of this hole. The Blue Jays are 16-5 in the last 21 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-22-22 | Falcons v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the J E T S .. JETS! JETS! JETS! Robert Saleh can't make up his mind if he's going to play his starters, but I am not bothered either way. Mike White got the majority of the snaps in the Jets win over Philly, and if it's him and Chris Streveler at QB that's plenty good enough in a home game with a head coach who has never lost a pre-season game. All Streveler did is toss a pair of TD passes on 6-of-9 passing for 69 yards against the Eagles. Oh, by the way he's Grey Cup champion, which puts him in good company with the likes of Doug Flutie, Jeff Garcia and Warren Moon. Desmond Ridder and Feleipe Franks have never experienced a real NFL game. I am gonna take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-21-22 | Mystics v. Storm OVER 160 | Top | 84-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Storm won Game 1 by a score of 86-83, but the total for Game 2 sits at 160. That's nine points fewer than these teams combined to score in the series opener. Why such a low number? Perhaps because both of these teams held opponents under 80PPG in the regular season? But scoring is up for both these teams lately. Seattle has score an average of 95 points per game in their last five overall, while Washington has averaged 84 points per game during that span. These teams have gone over in four straight in Seattle, and the over is 4-1 in the last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-18-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -135 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -135 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NYY. The Bronx Bombers ended a three game skid with an emotional come from behind win over Tampa in the series finale Wednesday. As much as the Yankees have struggled, the Blue Jays haven't been able to gain much ground. Jose Berrios will toe the slab for Toronto, and this looks like a tough spot for him. He's 2-4 with a 7.50 ERA in 11 road starts, and he's 0-1 with a 6.97 ERA in two starts versus the Yankees. The Bronx Bombers will hand the ball to Frankie Montas, who has been solid. The Yankees have only won three of their last 14 games, and one of those came in Frankie Montas last start. He allowed a pair of runs on five hits in five innings in a 3-2 win over Boston. The Yankees are 38-14 in their last 52 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-13-22 | Diamondbacks -137 v. Rockies | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Arizona. The D'Backs won two of three in a home series versus Colorado last week, but they lost Game 1 at Coors last night. Game 2 will feature a favorable pitching matchup for the visitors. Zac Gallen will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 3-0 with a 1.72 ERA in his last five starts. The Rockies hand the ball to Jose Urena, who has been far worse than his numbers indicate. He's been rocked for 21 runs over 18 1/3 innings in his last four starts. Not surprisingly Colorado lost all four of those games. Gallen is 1-0 with a 3.50 ERA in three starts versus Colorado in 2022. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-30-22 | Austin v. Sporting KC | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Austin. Only four teams have a positive goal differential on the road, and one of those teams is Austin FC. There are only three teams in Major League Soccer with a negative goal differential at home, and one of those is Sporting KC. Ranked dead last in the Western Conference, Sporting KC also has the worst home record in the league. Austin FC leads MLS in scoring with 45 goals in 22 matches, while Sporting KC ranks dead last in the league with just 19 goals in 23 matches. Home field may not make a difference here in tonight's match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-29-22 | BC -125 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 32-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on BC. The Riders are coming off a home loss to Toronto on Sunday, in a game that was rescheduled due to a Covid outbreak. They still have some injury concerns, and playing the BC Lions on a short week isn't ideal. Their biggest problem is that quarterback Cody Fajardo has been playing on one leg. The Lions are 4-1, and they boast the CFL's #1 ranked offense. The Lions are well rested coming off a home win over Hamilton last Thursday. Saskatchewan comes into this game with 36 players on the injury report. Many of those players are probable, but there is no question that the Riders are going to be short-handed. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-25-22 | Rangers v. Mariners -135 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Seattle. The Mariners went into the All Star break as the hottest team in the major leagues, but they ran into a buzz saw in a home series against Houston over the weekend. Coming off three straight losses, they host Texas in Game 1 in Seattle tonight. Chris Flexen will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's 3-0 with a 2.01 ERA in his last four starts. The Rangers are 4-9 in their last 13 games versus a right-handed starter. Texas is 16-35 in the last 51 meetings in Seattle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-21-22 | Hamilton v. BC -7.5 | Top | 12-17 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the B.C. Lions. Hamilton is coming off it's first win of the season at home over Ottawa, but now they play on short rest on the other side of the country in Vancouver. The Lions own the league's highest scoring offense, averaging 40 points per game. Nathan Rourke has completed 80 percent of his passes this season, with 12 TDs and 4 INTs in four starts. Coming off a bye week, we should expect BC to be at it's best. The Tiger-Cats are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall, and they are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games in July. The Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a bye week. Hamilton has failed to cover in five of their last six visits to Vancouver. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-09-22 | Sporting KC v. CF Montreal -130 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -130 | 88 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Montreal. Just last week Montreal was sitting in first place in the Eastern Conference, but after losing on the road at LA they have slipped to third. A home game against the last place team in MLS appears to be a great spot to get back on track. Sporting KC is just 1-2-7 with an MLS worst -16 goal differential in 10 games on the road. Montreal has a fairly average home record with five wins in eight matches, but they did score 16 goals in those games. All three of their home losses came against teams versus a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-25-22 | Toronto v. BC -178 | Top | 3-44 | Win | 100 | 116 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BC. The Lions didn't just win their home opener, they dropped a whopping 59 points on the sad sacked Edmonton Elks. Nathan Rourke threw for 282 yards and three TDs on 26-of-29 passing. James Butler scored four TDs and ran for over 100 yards. The defense was just as impressive, forcing four turnovers and allowing just 15 points. The Argos won their home opener, but it was far less impressive. They just barely edged out Montreal by a score of 20-19. The Argos last visit to BC ended in a blowout loss by a score of 55-8, and the home team has won four of the last five head to head meetings. An extra week to prepare will also be an advantage for the home team here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-23-22 | Mariners -125 v. A's | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SEA. The Mariners have outscored Oakland 17-2 in the first two games of this series, and with their ace going on Thursday in Game 3, it could be more of the same. Robbie Ray will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's coming off his best start of the season. He allowed one run on three hits, striking out 10 in seven innings in a home win over the Angels. The A's hand the ball to Frankie Montas, who is coming off one of his worst performances of the season. He allowed five runs on a season high 10 hits over five innings in a home loss to Kansas City. The Mariners are 20-7 in the last 27 head to head meetings, and they have won eight straight at Oakland. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning -106 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TB. The two time defending champions are on the ropes, but with the series back in Tampa and the Lightning coming off a 7-0 loss in Game 2, we should expect some push back. Keep in mind that Tampa was down 0-2 to the Rangers in the East Finals, and went on to win four straight. Andrei Vasilevskij allowed just three goals in the final three games of that series. The Lightning are 8-3 in their last 11 Stanley Cup Finals games, and they are 40-15 in their last 55 home games. Colorado is due to suffer a let down in Game 3. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-22 | Saskatchewan -6.5 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 120 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Saskatchewan. The Riders won 30-13 at home versus Hamilton in Week 1, and they head out on the road to face the Elks in Edmonton in Week 2. Edmonton looks like the worst team in the CFL after giving up 59 points in a loss to BC in their season opener. Home field might not help, as the Elks were 0-7 in Edmonton last year. Starting QB Nick Arbuckle threw for 254 yards on 20-of-29 passing, with no TDs and three INTs in the loss to BC. The Elks are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games, and they are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss. The Roughriders are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games, and they have won five straight head to head versus Edmonton. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-15-22 | Lightning v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 74 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Andrei Vasilevskij has been dominant in these playoffs, but he's shown some rust when coming off a layoff. He allowed five goals on 32 shots in Game 1 versus the Leafs in the first round, and in the Eastern Conference Finals he was torched for six goals on 34 shots in Game 1 in New York. Pavel Francouz allowed five goals on 35 shots in Game 4 versus the Oilers, and it's unclear if the Avs will go back to Darcy Keumper now that he's healthy. The Avs come in averaging 4.64 goals per game in the playoffs, while allowing 2.86 goals per game. The over is 7-2-3 in Colorado's last 12 games playing on 3 or more days rest. I expect both teams to light the lamp early and often in Game 1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-09-22 | Orioles v. Royals +1.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on KC. |
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06-03-22 | Lightning -122 v. Rangers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -122 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
10* |
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06-01-22 | Lightning v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -103 | 29 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Eastern Conference Finals might be the polar opposite of the West Finals, which produced 14 goals in Game 1. The Rangers netminder Igor Shesterkin was the best in the NHL in the regular season, while nobody has been better than Andrei Vaselevskiy in the post-season. The Lightning have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 11 Conference Finals games, and they have gone under in five straight. The under is 7-2-1 in the Rangers last 10 playoff games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-30-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -130 | 34 h 13 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Under. The first five games of this series went under the total, but a few bad goals allowed by Antti Raanta early in Game 6 resulted in the first over. Raanta has allowed just one goal on 38 shots in the Canes last two home games, so expect him to be back between the pipes in Game 7 after getting the hook in Game 6. Igor Shesterkin was the best goaltender in the NHL this season, and he's having a solid playoffs. The under is 7-1 in the Rangers last eight games as a road underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in four straight at Carolina. With a trip to the Conference Finals on the line, expect a cautious approach from both teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-29-22 | Cubs v. White Sox -157 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Chisox. |
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05-28-22 | Real Madrid +250 v. Liverpool | Top | 1-0 | Win | 250 | 98 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Madrid. Here is what I said about Madrid prior to their win over Manchester City in the Semifinal: " Karim Benzema scored twice for Real Madrid, and he leads all scorers in Champions League play with 14 goals in 10 matches. He's the best player in the world at the moment, so it's expected that he will score at home in the second leg." Madrid scored three goals in five minutes to come back from the dead and eliminate City. Liverpool comes into the Final off a let down on the final day of the Premier League. They appeared to have passed Manchester City on points, but the Citizens staged a late comeback of their own to hold on and win another title. Liverpool has played two draws, and won by a single goal twice in their last five matches. Madrid is 4-0-1 in their last five matches versus Liverpool, and I wouldn't be surprised if this game goes to extra time to decide a winner. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-15-22 | Manchester City v. West Ham United OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 54 h 40 m | Show |
10* |
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05-14-22 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks -150 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Arizona. The Cubs lost Game 1 at Arizona last night, and they are now 3-10 in their last 13 overall. Things won't be any easier in Game 2 in the desert tonight. Kyle Hendricks will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's struggled on the road. Hendricks (2-3, 4.38 ERA) is 1-2 with a 6.48 ERA in three starts away from Wrigley. The D'Backs hand the ball to Zack Gallen, who has been dealing so far this season. He's allowed just two runs while winning his last three starts. The Cubs are 25-63 in their last 88 games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-12-22 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -115 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 42 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TB. I said this prior to Game 4: "The Leafs looked like the best team in the NHL in Game 3, but I am not ready to discount two decades of playoff futility after just 60 minutes of hockey. The Lightning are defending champions two years running, with a Vezina winner and Conn Smythe winner in goal. It would be naive not to expect some push back from the Lightning in Game 4." Tampa went on to win Game 4 by a score of 7-3. Tampa appeared to be in the driver's seat in Game 5 in Toronto, leading 2-0 after the first period. The Leafs pulled on out of the fire, but I think that sets them up for a let down here in Tampa in Game 6. This series is destined to go seven games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +4.5 | Top | 95-134 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Grizz. Call me a conspiracy theorist, but it's no secret that it's in the best interest of the NBA to extend a series when one team is facing elimination. That's particularly true when the game is officiated by Scott Foster. Teams facing elimination are 20-5 in such games that he's called in his career. As of now (Tuesday night), there is no guarantee Foster will be the crew chief for this game. Regardless, expect the Grizzlies to get the benefit of the doubt, and a few favorable calls. When it was announced that Ja Morant will not play Game 5, the line moved 2.5 points. Of course Morant didn't play Game 4 in Golden State and that game went right down to the wire. Memphis is now 20-6 straight up in games without Morant this season. The Warriors are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings in Memphis, and the Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-11-22 | Rockies +1.5 v. Giants | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Colorado. The Giants have won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 17-7, but the pitching matchup in Game 3 favors the Rockies. Chad Kuhl will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been dealing in 2022. Kuhl (3-0, 1.82 ERA) allowed one run on three hits, fanning five in six innings in no decision at Arizona his last time out. The Giants hand the ball to Alex Cobb, who hasn't missed many bats lately. Cobb (1-1, 4,80 ERA) has allowed seven runs on seven hits in six innings in his last two starts. The Rockies lead the major leagues in team batting average. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-08-22 | Justin Gaethje v. Charles Oliveira -165 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 49 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Oliveira. Charles Oliveira has won 10 straight fights, and impressive fashion. His last three wins came against Poirier, Chandler and Ferguson. He finished nine of his last 10 opponents, with only Ferguson going the distance. I liked Oliveira before the weigh in, and after he missed weight the money has been flowing in steady on Gaethje. I did a little digging, and since the UFC introduced its early weigh-in procedures in June 2016, betting favorites who missed weight went on to win at a rate of 76.2%. Oliveira didn't look any worse for wear at the weigh in, so I don't expect it to impact the fight a great deal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-22 | Manchester City v. Real Madrid OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 65 h 39 m | Show |
10* |
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05-02-22 | Blues v. Wild -135 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -135 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Minnesota. The Wild come into the post-season as perhaps the hottest team in the NHL. They won 19 of their last 26 regular season games. They made some big moves at the trade deadline, adding a veteran netminder with three Stanley Cup rings and a Vezina Trophy. Fleury is 9-2 with a 2.74 GAA since joining the Wild. While Minnesota has a proven playoff performer, the Blues turn to Ville Husso, who had an outstanding regular season. The 27 year old lacks Playoff experience. The Blues are 0-6 in their last six playoff games as an underdog, and the Wild are 51-16 in their last 67 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-26-22 | Real Madrid +1.25 v. Manchester City | Top | 3-4 | Win | 50 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Real Madrid +1.5. Manchester City has no business being such a big favorite here in the first leg of this Champions League tie. While City is under heavy pressure in a heated Premier League battle with Liverpool, Madrid is on the verge of clinching another La Liga title. Karim Benzema looks like the best player in the world at the moment, with a dozen goals in nine matches in Champions League play. Manchester City has injury concerns that might cause Gabriel Jesus to play out of position at right back. We expect a cautious approach from both teams, and a draw seems like a likely result. Only once in the last five head to head meetings has either of these teams won by more than one goal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-19-22 | Rangers v. Mariners -139 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Seattle. The Mariners took two of three in a home series versus Houton, and they look good with their ace on the mound in Game 1 of a home series versus Texas. Robbie Ray (1-1, 4,73 ERA) allowed one run on three hits, striking out five in seven innings in a win at Minnesota in his season debut. The Rangers lineup has hit a combined .082 over 76 at bats versus Ray. Texas will hand the ball to Jon Gray, who allowed three runs on three hits and a pair of walks in four innings in his season debut in Toronto. The Rangers are 7-23 in the last 30 meetings in Seattle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-12-22 | Astros -130 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Houston. The Astros are off to a hot start, winning three of four in LA. They will be a favorite in Game 1 in Arizona, but I think the price should be far higher. Madison Bumgarner will toe the slab for the D'Backs, and he didn't look sharp in his season debut. He only went three innings, allowing one run on a hit and four walks in a no decision versus San Diego. The Astros hand the ball to Luis Garcia, who was stellar in his rookie season. He was 11-8 with a 3.30 ERA in 30 starts last year. He looked sharp in the Spring, tossing 5 2/3 scoreless innings and striking out six in his only start. The Diamondbacks are 5-14 in their last 19 home games, and they are 18-40 in their last 58 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-09-22 | Sharks v. Canucks -136 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
10* |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Kansas | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 34 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC. Here is what I said prior to the Tar Heels Final Four win: "Duke will be the favorite in their Final Four matchup versus North Carolina, and the question is how much better than the Tar Heels is this team. They finished with one more win in the ACC, and they both got eliminated by Virginia Tech in the ACC Tournament. The Tar Heels upset Duke in Coach K's final home game at Cameron Indoor Stadium, and they have been lighting it up in the NCAA Tournament. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%." As good as Kansas is, they aren't unbeatable. They had their hands full with Creighton and Providence in the tournament, and it seems like a big ask to cover and handful of points here in the Final. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-22 | Villanova v. Kansas UNDER 133 | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -105 | 126 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Both the Jayhawks and the Wildcats have been outstanding defensively in the Tournament. Kansas has held it's last five opponents to an average of just 60.8 points per game, while Villanova has allowed just 53.6 points per game over their last five. Here in the Final Four the stakes are high, so don't expect either team to waste any time cranking up the defensive intensity. The under is 8-1 in the Wildcats last nine neutral site games, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five at the NCAA Tournament. The under is 7-3 in the Jayhawks last 10 overall, and they have also failed to reach the total in four of their last five NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-25-22 | Iowa State v. Miami-FL -115 | Top | 56-70 | Win | 100 | 118 h 29 m | Show |
10* |
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03-24-22 | Houston v. Arizona UNDER 147 | Top | 72-60 | Win | 100 | 93 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. |
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03-19-22 | Richmond v. Providence -150 | Top | 51-79 | Win | 100 | 39 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Providence. The Friars finished first in the Big East this season with a 14-3 record, half a game ahead of Villanova. The Wildcats are favored by 15 in their first round matchup versus a 15 seed. The Friars are just a slight favorite here against 12 seed Richmond. The Spiders weren't even in the top five in the A-10 this season, but they got hot at the right time and won a close game versus Davidson in the Conference Tournament Final. As well as the Spiders are playing, I believe this line is a product of recency bias. Richmond ranked dead last in the A-10 in rebounds per game, and they weren't a particularly good shooting team. They can muddy it up and play strong defense all they want, but that's not going to be anything new for a Providence team that plays Villanova twice a year. Richmond is the Cinderella, but the clock might strike midnight here and the carriage could turn into a pumpkin. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-22 | Oregon v. Utah State UNDER 144.5 | Top | 83-72 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Oregon Ducks lost six of their final eight games, and they have lost five straight road games. They really missed leading scorer Will Richardson, who also leads the team in assists and FG percentage. Their first game of the NIT Tournament won't be easy, on the road at Logan. The Aggies have held the opposition to just 56.6 points per game over their last five overall. Utah State has failed to reach the total in five of their last six games. Oregon shot just 34.3 percent from the field in a loss to Colorado in the first round of the PAC12 Tournament. The Ducks ranked near the bottom of the PAC12 with a free throw percentage of just .677, and their best free throw shooter has missed their last three games. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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03-12-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Canadiens -114 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -114 | 31 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MTL. A coaching change can completely turn around a hockey club. It was just three years ago that the St. Louis Blues replaced head coach Mike Yeo, and went from last place to first place and on to win the Stanley Cup. We've seen Bruce Boudreau inspire the Vancouver Canucks to a record of 20-8-4, putting them back in the hunt for the playoffs. Montreal has also turned things around with seven wins in their last nine games under new head coach Martin St. Louis. The Kraken have lost 10 of their last 11 overall, and they are looking forward to a lottery pick in the draft. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-22 | Fresno State v. Wyoming -4 | Top | 64-68 | Push | 0 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Wyoming. The Cowboys were in first place in the Mountain West a couple weeks ago, but after losing four of their last six overall they sit in fourth. So what happened? Well they had a tough schedule, facing Colorado State and UNLV on the road, and losing a close home game against long time Mountain West powerhouse San Diego State. They are still 15-1 at home, with the only loss coming to the Aztecs. They beat Boise State, Colorado State and Utah State at home, and tonight's game against Fresno State will be their final home game. The Bulldogs have lost five of their last seven, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-22 | Nets v. Raptors -5.5 | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The Nets might be favorites to win the Eastern Conference with a Big 3 of KD, Kyrie and Ben Simmons, but none of them will be in the lineup tonight in Toronto. The only healthy starter for the Nets will be Seth Curry, who has spent the majority of his career coming off the bench. The Nets lost at home last night to the Raptors by 36 points, and traveling north of the border 24 hours later isn't likely to yield a better result. The Raptors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-22 | Wild v. Flames -139 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Calgary. The Flames were the hottest team in the NHL until they lost 7-1 at Vancouver. They are back home tonight, looking to get that awful taste out of their mouths. The Minnesota Wild are playing their fourth game on this road trip, and they have lost four of their last five overall. The Flames are 10-1 in their last 11 home games, while the Wild have lost four of their last five on the road. The Flames have won five of the last seven head to head meetings, and they are likely to scorch the Wild here tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Flames -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CAL. The Kraken sit dead last in the Pacific Division with a record of 16-30-4, and I have been fading them since December. I noted that the bookmakers are giving them too much respect, and I hypothesized that the success of the Vegas Golden Knights as an expansion team has skewed people's idea of what should be expected from an expansion team. If you look at other last place teams in the NHL (Arizona, New Jersey, Montreal), you will notice that the odds to bet against them are far higher. The Flames have won eight straight, and they have won by 2+ goals in six straight games. Calgary ranks 1st in the NHL in goals against, and they have one of the league's top penalty killing units. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-22 | Utah State v. Boise State -4.5 | Top | 57-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Boise State. Boise State sits at the top of the Mountain West, with just a half game lead over Wyoming. They have a home game against Utah State Saturday, and I like the Broncos to win big. The Broncos have won four of the last five meetings versus the Aggies, and Utah State has struggled on the road this season. The Aggies are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Utah State has covered in just one of their last five games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-22 | Rockets +3 v. Spurs | Top | 106-131 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU. The Rockets will be an underdog in San Antonio Friday, and they catch the Spurs on the back end of a back to back. The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog, and the road team has won four of the last five meetings outright. The Spurs have failed to cover in five of their last six home games, and they have just three wins in their last 12 games overall. Three starters missed last night's game against Miami, and the Spurs are in rough shape considering Houston is as healthy as anyone right now. Christian Wood has scored 20+ points in three straight games, and alongside Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green, the Rockets are not short on young talent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-22 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary +8 | Top | 84-61 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWM. |