Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-05-22 | Fresno State v. Wyoming -4 | Top | 64-68 | Push | 0 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Wyoming. The Cowboys were in first place in the Mountain West a couple weeks ago, but after losing four of their last six overall they sit in fourth. So what happened? Well they had a tough schedule, facing Colorado State and UNLV on the road, and losing a close home game against long time Mountain West powerhouse San Diego State. They are still 15-1 at home, with the only loss coming to the Aztecs. They beat Boise State, Colorado State and Utah State at home, and tonight's game against Fresno State will be their final home game. The Bulldogs have lost five of their last seven, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-22 | Nets v. Raptors -5.5 | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The Nets might be favorites to win the Eastern Conference with a Big 3 of KD, Kyrie and Ben Simmons, but none of them will be in the lineup tonight in Toronto. The only healthy starter for the Nets will be Seth Curry, who has spent the majority of his career coming off the bench. The Nets lost at home last night to the Raptors by 36 points, and traveling north of the border 24 hours later isn't likely to yield a better result. The Raptors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-22 | Wild v. Flames -139 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Calgary. The Flames were the hottest team in the NHL until they lost 7-1 at Vancouver. They are back home tonight, looking to get that awful taste out of their mouths. The Minnesota Wild are playing their fourth game on this road trip, and they have lost four of their last five overall. The Flames are 10-1 in their last 11 home games, while the Wild have lost four of their last five on the road. The Flames have won five of the last seven head to head meetings, and they are likely to scorch the Wild here tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Flames -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CAL. The Kraken sit dead last in the Pacific Division with a record of 16-30-4, and I have been fading them since December. I noted that the bookmakers are giving them too much respect, and I hypothesized that the success of the Vegas Golden Knights as an expansion team has skewed people's idea of what should be expected from an expansion team. If you look at other last place teams in the NHL (Arizona, New Jersey, Montreal), you will notice that the odds to bet against them are far higher. The Flames have won eight straight, and they have won by 2+ goals in six straight games. Calgary ranks 1st in the NHL in goals against, and they have one of the league's top penalty killing units. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-22 | Utah State v. Boise State -4.5 | Top | 57-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Boise State. Boise State sits at the top of the Mountain West, with just a half game lead over Wyoming. They have a home game against Utah State Saturday, and I like the Broncos to win big. The Broncos have won four of the last five meetings versus the Aggies, and Utah State has struggled on the road this season. The Aggies are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Utah State has covered in just one of their last five games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-22 | Rockets +3 v. Spurs | Top | 106-131 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU. The Rockets will be an underdog in San Antonio Friday, and they catch the Spurs on the back end of a back to back. The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog, and the road team has won four of the last five meetings outright. The Spurs have failed to cover in five of their last six home games, and they have just three wins in their last 12 games overall. Three starters missed last night's game against Miami, and the Spurs are in rough shape considering Houston is as healthy as anyone right now. Christian Wood has scored 20+ points in three straight games, and alongside Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green, the Rockets are not short on young talent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-22 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary +8 | Top | 84-61 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWM. |
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01-23-22 | Rams v. Bucs -140 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -140 | 135 h 17 m | Show |
DO NOT PLAY **ERROR** |
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01-22-22 | West Ham United v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 56 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. There are only three teams in the Premier League that have scored 30 or more goals as well as conceded 30 or more goals. Two of those teams will play each other on Saturday when Manchester United hosts West Ham United. The Hammers have scored two or more goals in each of their last five matches, and they have scored 41 goals in 22 matches in the Premier League this season. These two teams are fighting for a spot in the Champions League, and we should see an exciting game with both teams scoring here at Old Trafford. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-22 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -7.5 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas Tech. The Cyclones won 51-47 at home versus Texas Tech just before Christmas, and I was fortunate that I got a good line. Many people would have pushed or lost depending on when they played that game. One of the reasons I decided to bet against Texas Tech in that spot, was that they were missing leading scorer Terrance Shannon. He played 18 minutes in a loss to Kansas State over the weekend, and he should be ready to take on more minutes here in a revenge game against the Cyclones. Texas Tech is 10-0 at home, and the Cyclones have lost two of three on the road. The Red Raiders are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they won their last home game against Iowa State by 27 points. This smells like a double digit win for the Red Raiders. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-22 | Utah v. Arizona State UNDER 138 | Top | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Sun Devils host Utah Monday, and historically these teams have been involved in high scoring games. They have gone over in five straight head to head meetings, but a dark cloud hangs over both these teams at the moment. Arizona State has struggled without Marcus Bagley, ranking 391st nationally scoring just 62.6 points per game. They come into tonight's game averaging just 59.4 points per game in their last five overall. Utah hasn't been much better, averaging 67 points per game in their last five overall. The Sun Devils have gone under in five straight overall, and the under is 10-1 in their last 11 home games. They shot just 33 percent from the field in a home loss to Colorado in their last game, and they rank last in the PAC12 with a FG percentage of .385 on the season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-22 | 49ers v. Cowboys UNDER 51 | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 63 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOY play on Under. The Cowboys have looked like Super Bowl favorites at times, but they haven't been at their best lately. Don't be fooled by their big win over the Eagles, in a game that Philly rested all their starters. Perhaps a more accurate indicator would be their home loss to Arizona a week earlier. They host a San Francisco team that poses a similar challenge. The Niners are going to try to punch the Cowboys in the mouth. What that means is, they will look to run the ball and control the clock, keeping the ball out of the hands of Dak Prescott. The Niners have failed to reach the total in five of their last six playoff games. The under is 8-3 in the Cowboys last 11 games overall, and Dallas is 1-5 ATS in their last six playoff games. The total for this contest is higher than it had been in each of the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -6 | Top | 87-101 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
10* |
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12-19-21 | Packers -2 v. Ravens | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -110 | 167 h 56 m | Show |
10* |
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12-04-21 | Georgia -6 v. Alabama | Top | 24-41 | Loss | -111 | 85 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UGA. This line opened far too low, because the bookmakers know that it's hard to talk the public into betting against Alabama. The Tide really shouldn't be expected to compete here against a Bulldogs team that has steamrolled everything in front of them. This Alabama team just barely beat LSU, Arkansas and Auburn in their last three SEC games. If you take away the name “Alabama”, and just judge them based on their resume this season, they might as well be Florida. The Bulldogs beat the Gators by 27 points. Georgia should win this game by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-21 | Montreal v. Hamilton -4.5 | Top | 12-23 | Win | 100 | 43 h 35 m | Show |
1 This is a 10* play on Hamilton. Montreal had a chance to secure home field for this game, but they lost at home to a last place team with a rookie QB, and now they will visit Hamilton. Home field could be quite significant here, as there are few places tougher to play than Steel Town. The iger-Cats are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 home games, and they have covered in five straight home playoff games. The Als most dangerous weapon on offense is RB William Stanback, but he matches up against a Ticats run defense that ranks 1st in the CFL allowing just 79.6 rushing yards per game, and a league low 4.2 yards per carry. Jeremiah Masoli finished the season strong after missing four games, and ranked second in the CFL in yards per attempt (9). The Als picked up Trevor Harris after the injury to Vernon Adams, and Harris has played well, but it's still a downgrade. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-21 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton -5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Hamilton. The Saskatchewan Roughriders have already clinched a playoff spot, so they will not have the majority of their offensive starters on the field when they visit Hamilton Saturday. The Tigercats have also clinched a playoff spot, but they still have a chance to lock up home field advantage. This should be quite a mismatch with Hamilton's starters going up against the Riders backups. The Tiger-Cats are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite, and they are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-06-21 | Newcastle United v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -101 | 35 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over 2.5. Brighton Hove Albion is coming off a pair of 2-2 games against Premier League powerhouses Liverpool and Leicester. They host Newcastle today, and they have won their last two versus Newcastle by a combined score of 6-0. Newcastle has conceded 23 goals in 10 matches so far this season, only Norwich has conceded more. The good news for Newcastle is that they have only been held scoreless in one of their last eight matches, scoring nine goals during that span. Expect a high score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-21 | Iowa +3.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 7-27 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Iowa. Just two weeks ago Iowa was #2 in the polls, and looking like the favorite to win the BIG10. After losing 24-7 at home to Purdue, they are an underdog on the road at Wisconsin two weeks later. Keep in mind that their loss to Purdue was partially explained by turnovers (4). Normally the Hawkeyes win the turnover battle, and perhaps coming off a bye week will give them a better chance to do that here in Wisconsin. The Badgers are coming off a blowout win over Purdue, again explained by turnovers (5). There is no doubt that the results of each of these team's last game is having an impact on this line, which appears to a be a classic case of recency bias. This game should probably be closer to a pickem. I'll take the points with the Hawkeyes. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-21 | Braves v. Astros -125 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -125 | 52 h 21 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Houston. The Braves take on the Astros in Game 1 of the World Series, and the series opener could be a pitcher's duel. Framber Valez will toe the slab for Houston, and he was lights out in his last start. He allowed one run on three hits while striking out five in eight innings in Game 5 versus Boston. The Braves hand the ball to Charlie Morton, who has not been perfect but he's given Atlanta a chance to win in each of his starts this post-season. He's allowed two runs in each of his three starts. The Braves are 3-11 in their last 14 interleague games versus a left-handed starter, and the under is 7-3 in the last 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-21 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary OVER 44 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. My top play last week was on the over in Calgary's win at B.C., and here is what I said about that game: "It's no secret that scoring is down in the CFL this season, and perhaps that can be explained by almost a two year layoff. The bookmakers have been offering lower numbers every week, and I think this presents an opportunity to capitalize on an over-correction. Here in this game both QBs are former league MVPs (MOP). Both teams come in averaging over 23 points per game, even though both these star QBs missed time early in the season. This is by far the lowest total in the previous 10 head to head meetings between these teams, and the average total was over 50." I expect a similar result here this week with Calgary hosting Saskatchewan. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-21 | Calgary v. BC OVER 44 | Top | 39-10 | Win | 100 | 21 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. It's no secret that scoring is down in the CFL this season, and perhaps that can be explained by almost a two year layoff. The bookmakers have been offering lower numbers every week, and I think this presents an opportunity to capitalize on an over-correction. Here in this game both QBs are former league MVPs (MOP). Both teams come in averaging over 23 points per game, even though both these star QBs missed time early in the season. This is by far the lowest total in the previous 10 head to head meetings between these teams, and the average total was over 50. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-03-21 | Cardinals v. Rams -4.5 | Top | 37-20 | Loss | -102 | 93 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Rams. The Cardinals are undefeated, and Kyler Murray has been playing like an MVP candidate. This week looks like a tough spot for both Arizona and QB Kyler Murray, on the road at the Rams who ranks 1st in scoring defense and first against the pass allowing just 190 yards per game last season. Murray has really struggled against the Rams, throwing for 4TDs and 4 INTs in four career starts against them. The Rams won all four of those games, and the Rams are 9-1 straight up and 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The under is 13-3 in Cardinals last 16 road games, and Arizona has failed to cover in five straight versus a team with a winning record. The Rams are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite, and the under is 13-3 in Rams last 16 games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-02-21 | Newcastle United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Under. The Wolverhampton Wanderers, otherwise known as "Wolves", will host Newcastle United on Saturday, and we shouldn't expect to see a high score here. Newcastle is coming off consecutive 1-1 draws, while Wolves has gone under in four of their last five matches in all competitions. Goals have been few and far between for Wolves, scoring in just three of their six matches. The good news is that they have only conceded five goals in those games. History paints a pretty clear pitcture, as the last four head to head meetings all ended with the same score (1-1 draw). GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-26-21 | Bucs v. Rams +109 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 109 | 118 h 54 m | Show |
1 This is a 7* play on LA. The Bucs are heavy favorites to repeat as Super Bowl champions, and many are talking about a possible perfect regular season. They could be a favorite in every single game they play this season, but this game here in LA is the one spot on the schedule that could give them trouble. The Rams are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss, and they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in September. If anyone is going to get Tom Brady off his game, it would be Aaron Donald and the LA defense that has three INTs in the first two weeks. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-21 | Manchester City v. Chelsea | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -105 | 60 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Chelsea. Chelsea sits in a first place tie with Liverpool, and they host fifth place Manchester City on Saturday. While City are defending champions, they failed to land a striker this summer, while rivals Chelsea and Manchester United signed the likes of Lukaku and Ronaldo. Manchester City was fortunate to come away with a draw at home versus Southampton last weekend, and they could be in trouble here at Stamford Bridge. The last time these teams played head to head was in the Champions League Final, and Chelsea won that game 1-0. Chelsea has won three straight versus City, posting a clean sheet in two of those wins. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-21 | Manchester United v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over 2.5. Two of the top teams in the Premier League will meet in London on Sunday, and I expect to see plenty of scoring when the Hammers host the Red Devils. West Ham has not lost in four Premier League matches so far, and they have scored 10 goals in those games. Manchester United has scored 11 goals in four matches, settling for three wins and a draw. Cristiano Ronaldo scored twice in a 4-1 win over Newcastle in his Red Devils debut (2nd stint), and he's sure to find the net here in London. Manchester United won 3-1 the last time they played at West Ham. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Winnipeg -6.5 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 37-22 | Win | 100 | 45 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Winnipeg. I had the Bombers in their win over the Riders last week, and here is what I said before kickoff: "The Bombers won big at Saksatchewan in the Labour Day Classic, and they look good as a pickem in the rematch just five days later. Cody Fajardo took a beating in the loss, throwing for 211 yards and three INTs on 23-of-39 passing. The Blue Bombers are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games, and they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. They have covered in six of their last seven versus Saskatchewan." They are taking on Edmonton who will miss starting QB Trevor Harris, who was the CFL's leading passer. The Elks are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Auburn v. Penn State UNDER 53 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Under. The Auburn Tigers will play on the road at Penn State in what figures to be the toughest test they have had in quite a while. The Nittany Lions are heavily favored, but I am expecting a close, low scoring game. The under is 15-6 in the Tigers last 21 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven road games. Penn State has gone under in five of their last seven versus SEC teams. The Nittany Lions defense looked sharp in a 16-10 upset win at Wisconsin in Week 1. They held the Badgers under 200 passing yards and forced a pair of INTs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-21 | Bears v. Rams UNDER 46.5 | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -103 | 68 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Rams had the NFL's #1 ranked scoring defense last season, while the Bears ranked #1 in scoring defense back in 2018. We should expect a low score here on Sunday night. The Rams brought in Matt Stafford, and he brings high expectations of an improved offense. The Rams offense has struggled since Todd Gurley left, and their current stable of running backs looks a bit lackluster with Cam Akers out and Darrell Henderson banged up. The Bears are trotting out Andy Dalton at QB in Week 1, and that looks like a recipe for disaster against this Rams pass rush. The under is 13-5 in the Bears last 18 games as a road underdog, and the under is 14-3 in the Rams last 17 home games. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-21 | Yankees v. Mets OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Yankees have split the first two games of this series versus the Mets, and both games saw double digit totals. Game 3 goes tonight, and I expect another slugfest. The Yankees send a rookie to the mound. The Yankees recalled Schmidt from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre on Sunday. The Mets hand the ball to Carlos Carrasco, who has been lit up in recent starts. He's 1-2 with a 5.55 ERA in his last five starts. The over is 6-1-1 in the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Norwich City v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 38 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over 2.5. Arsenal sits dead last in the Premier League table, and coach Mikel Arteta is on the hot seat. They host Norwich City, and these teams have a history of playing high scoring games. Both clubs are winless in the Premier League with a -9 goal differential, and both teams won by a score of 6-0 in their respective Carabao Cup matches against Championship clubs. I wouldn't fancy either of these teams to post a clean sheet, and I expect a high score here in London. The last three head to head meetings all went over the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-21 | Georgia v. Clemson -175 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -175 | 1075 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Clemson. The Georgia Bulldogs finished last season strong after making a change at QB, and they are expecting to have a big year with JT Daniels as the starter. Daniels threw for over 1200 yards, 10 TDs and just two INTs while winning the last three games of the regular season, then won a close game in the Peach Bowl versus Cincinnati. He didn't see any Top 10 ranked teams last year, and Clemson is considered by many to be the favorite heading into 2021. D.J. Uiagalelei takes over for Trevor Lawrence, and the Tigers offense didn't miss a beat in the two games he started last year. He could have an improved offensive line, and with 10 starters back on defense the Tigers have the peices in place to win another National Championship. Last year Mac Jones and Kyle Trask each lit up the Georgia secondary each throwing for over 400 yards. Uiagalelei might do the same here in Week 1, handing the Dawgs a loss in their opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-31-21 | Astros v. Mariners OVER 8 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -104 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Houston Astros rank first in the majors in batting average, and second in runs scored. We might see plenty of scoring here in Seattle in Game 2. Yusei Kikuchi will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been lit up this season when facing Houston. He's 1-2 with a 6.23 ERA in four starts versus the Astros this season. The Astros hand the ball to Lance McCullers, who is facing Seattle for the second time in 10 days. He's 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA in two previous starts versus the Mariners this season. These teams have gone over in six of the last seven head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-22-21 | Chelsea -125 v. Arsenal | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 62 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Chelsea. Chelsea finished fourth in the Premier League last season, but they won the Champions League Final versus Manchester City. They were a different team after Thomas Tuchel took over for Frank Lampard. They went on a spending spree last summer, and have since added more big names ahead of this season. The likes of Werner and Havertz should be better in their second year at the club, while Romelu Lukaka is a familiar face in the Premier League. Arsenal is a bit of a mess, and they aren't at a level that would allow them to compete with the top five clubs in the league. The Gunners haven't won in five matches, and they have only scored once in their last three matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-21-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -154 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Colorado. The Rockies have won 42 games in Colorado, tied with San Francisco for the most home wins in the National League. They are just a small favorite against Arizona tonight, despite a favorable pitching matchup. Kyle Freeland will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been sharp in recent starts. The southpaw is 3-2 with a 2.79 ERA in his last five starts. The D'Backs hand the ball to Zac Gallen, who has lost four of his last five starts. He's 0-3 with a 7.09 ERA in those games. The Diamondbacks are 12-40 in their last 52 games as a road underdog, and they have lost five straight in Colorado. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-21-21 | Winnipeg v. Toronto OVER 45 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 42 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. After eight of the first nine games in the CFL this season went under the total, the bookmakers have made adjustments. The result is low numbers that are a product of recency bias. I believe thats' the case here in Toronto, as the Argos host the defending champs. A change at quarterback could spark the Argos offense, and keep in mind that Nick Arbuckle was expected to be the starter heading into this season. The Bombers are 2-0, and their offense is already firing on all cylinders. These teams have gone over in eight of the last nine meetings, and four straight in Toronto. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-11-21 | England v. Italy | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 87 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Italy. England fans fancy their team as the favorites to win the Euro, but perhaps Graeme Souness said it best: "If I was Gareth Southgate, sitting down to write his Russia 2018 report for the FA, then top of my notepad would be the following – never allow that song, 'Football's Coming Home', to be played again during a major tournament," declared Souness. "Football's coming home, is it? So, England effectively own the sport. I don't think so. "They didn't have a monopoly on it when their teams and the FA were big players in the global power game back in the last century, and they don't now." Their win over Denmark was a result of a controversial penalty that Kane missed, but had the good fortune to score on the rebound. All the pressure is on the English here in the Final, and they are up against an Italian side that is unbeaten in their last 33 matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-10-21 | Argentina v. Brazil +116 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 39 m | Show |
10* |
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07-07-21 | Denmark v. England -138 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -138 | 93 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on England. Denmark takes on England in the Euro Semifinal, and the Danes will be playing the roll of Cinderella. Denmark is coming off a win over the Czech Republic, a match that they were favored to win, while England is coming off a 4-0 win over the Ukraine. The Three Lions still haven't conceded a goal in this tournament, and that bodes well here against the Danes. Denmark did win their last game against England 1-0 in 2020. England had two players sent off with red cards, and played the majority of that game with 10 men. The Three Lions were 3-0-1 in the previous four versus Denmark. Harry Kane got off to a slow start at the Euros, but he's found his form here in the last few games. I like England to cruise into the Finals with a decisive victory. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-21 | Rangers v. Mariners -135 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -135 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Seattle. The Mariners have won eight of their last 10 home games, and they are just a small favorite in Game 2 versus Texas. The Rangers are just 12-29 on the road this season. Marco Gonzales will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's coming off a couple solid starts. The southpaw has allowed five runs while striking out 11 batters in 11 1/3 innings in home wins over the Rays and Twins in his last two starts. The Rangers hand the ball to Jordan Lyles, who is just 1-4 with a 5.10 ERA in eight starts on the road. The Rangers are 3-9 in their last 12 games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-25-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -160 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the TB Lightning. The Lightning had a 2-0 lead in an elimination game in New York in Game 6, but the Islanders battled back to force a Game 7. Tampa hasn't lost back to back games in these playoffs, and they appear destined to prevail in Game 7, giving them a chance at repeating as Stanley Cup Champions. The Islanders are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in Tampa Bay, and the Lightning are 47-19 in their last 66 home games. The officiating has been well below average in the 2021 playoffs, and the missed call favored the home team in Game 6. Nikita Kucherov suffered a serious injury from a crosscheck that went unpunished. As much as the Bolts will miss Kucherov, they have plenty of depth on offense. If the officials are going to be biased here, I expect that it would once again favor the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-21-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Arizona has lost 17 in a row, and they rank 30th in the major leagues with a team ERA of 5.36. I expect to see plenty of scoring in Game 1 versus Milwaukee. Brett Anderson will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he hasn't has much success against Arizona. The D'Backs lineup is hitting a combined .301 over 64 at bats against him. The D'Backs hand the ball to Merrill Kelly, who has lost five straight starts. Kelly allowed five runs on six hits in six innings in a loss to the Brewers earlier this season. Milwaukee is batting a combined .395 over 39 at bats versus Kelly. Scoring is up in a big way since the new restrictions on sticky substances for pitchers. On Saturday 11 of 16 games saw combined scores in double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-19-21 | Bucks v. Nets -111 | Top | 115-111 | Loss | -111 | 30 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Brooklyn. It was almost a month ago now that I published an article titled: "Why The Nets Won't Win The Title in 2021". Here is an excerpt: "Having the best players is only an advantage if they can stay healthy, and that’s asking a lot for a group that has only managed to play eight games together this season. KD is returning from an Achilles injury, Kyrie has been injury prone the majority of his career, and Harden is dealing with a lingering hamstring issue. All three players have a reputation for creating drama in a locker room. KD had his issues with Draymond, Harden burned all his bridges in Houston on his way out the door, and there was no love lost between LeBron and Kyrie in the final days in Cleveland. The folks in Boston don’t speak highly of Kyrie either." I still don't think Brooklyn is in great shape as far as winning the championship, but KD is still the best player in this series, and James Harden has improved with each game back. Home court, and a healthier Harden might be too much for the Bucks in Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-17-21 | North Macedonia v. Ukraine -145 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 85 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Ukraine. A 3-2 loss to Netherlands in their opening match was actually quite an impressive result for Ukraine. After going down early, they battled back to draw even at 2-2. Even though they lost on a late goal, the two goals will put them in good standing to advance from the first round. Northern Macedonia lost their first match by a score of 3-1, and they are likely over their heads in this tournament. Not only is Northern Macedonia 0-1-2 in their last three matches versus Ukraine, but they didn't score a single goal in those matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-16-21 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -170 | Top | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
10* |
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06-13-21 | Croatia v. England -134 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 157 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on England. The Three Lions come into the Euros hoping to avenge a disappointing loss to Croatia in the semifinals of the 2018 World Cup. England has won five straight matches heading into the tournament, and they won their last match versus Croatia by a score of 2-1 back in 2018. Croatia hasn't look good at all in recent matches leading up to the tournament. They are 2-1-2 in their last five matches, with losses to Belgium and Slovenia, and a draw against Armenia. England on their home soil, should be able to get a win here over Croatia team that isn't on top form. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-06-21 | Jets v. Canadiens -136 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 40 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Montreal. I had the Habs in Game 2, and here is what I said before the game: "The Habs dominated Game 1 of this series, and much of the credit will go to Carey Price who stopped 27-of-30 shots. Price is the best goaltender in the world, and he did steal a few games in the series versus Toronto. A convincing win for Montreal was overshadowed by an injury to rookie Jake Evans, which resulted in a suspension for Mark Scheifele. The Jets could have a hard time replacing their leading scorer. The Jets are 0-6 in their last six playoff games as a favorite, while the Habs have won four straight as an underdog. I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored here in Game 2." GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-03-21 | Suns +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show |
10* |
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05-30-21 | Clippers -135 v. Mavs | Top | 106-81 | Win | 100 | 31 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clippers. I bet on the Clippers to win the West, so needless to say I didn't expect them to be down 0-2 in this series versus Dallas. So now I have to figure out where I went wrong? Well there are two things that stand out, one that I should have considered, and another woud have been impossible to predict. I noted that Paul George really looked like he was on top of his game heading into the playoffs, but the fact is that this isn't the first time we've seen him struggle in the post-season. He's forcing up some pretty questionable shots for a guy that currently can't hit the broadside of a barn. The Mavs three-point shooting (roughly 50 percent in the series so far) isn't something that anyone could have predicted. They can't maintain that percentage forever, and eventually those shots will stat rimming out and falling short. Paul George simply needs to be realistic about who he is, and try to be more like Ben Simmons and less like Michael Jordan. At the end of the day, I still think Kawhi is the best player in this series, and I expect LA to run the table now that they have seized the momentum. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 113-103 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clippers. The Western Conference is wide open heading into the playoffs. The defending champion LA Lakers are still the favorite, despite facing a play-in situation versus the red hot Golden State Warriors. Steph Curry has played at an MVP caliber all season long, while LeBron has been in and out of the lineup, and doesn't appear to be 100 percent healthy. The Utah Jazz finished first in the standings, and the Phoenix Suns were only one game back. Neither of those teams is getting much respect from bookmakers, who give them the third and fourth best chance to win the West. The media was buzzing when LeBron James was quoted a few weeks ago as saying: "I don't think i'll ever get back to 100% in my career." While I believe that was mostly clickbait, I do think he's already looking for an excuse if he fails to get out of the first round, or gets bounced by the Warriors in the play-in. The Clippers are guilty of tanking in their final few games, a strategic move to avoid facing the Lakers until the Western Conference Final. Kawhi Leonard has had a pretty quiet season, but he has a history of elevating his game in the playoffs. He's also been perhaps the only player in the league to get the better of LeBron James. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-08-21 | Canucks v. Oilers -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oilers -1.5. I had Edmonton on Thursday, and they were blown out in a home loss to the Canucks. This sets up a big revenge spot for the superior Oilers in a nationally televised game on Hockey Night in Canada. Here is what I had to say on Thursday: "The Canucks have been dealt a tough hand this season, even more so than the rest of the league. While it's been tough for everyone playing through a pandemic, Vancouver had to shut down when the entire team came down with Covid, and now they are forced to make up those games by playing almost every day. They will play their sixth game in eight days tonight in Edmonton, and to add insult to injury their first line center will not play while under investigation for sexual assault. Vancouver has lost six straight, and five straight by at least two goals. Edmonton is just six point out of first place in the North Division, so this looks like it could be another blowout." GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-24-21 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
5* |
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04-15-21 | Tigers v. A's -157 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Oakland. The A's lost six straight to start the season, but have since won five of six. They host the Tigers tonight, and I like Oakland in Game 1. Sean Manaea will toe the slab for Oakland, and he's coming off a solid start. Manaea (0-1, 5.06 ERA) allowed one run on six hits over six innings in a 6-2 win at Houston his last time out. The Tigers hand the ball to Tarik Skubal, who was hammered in his last start. Skubal (0-1, 7.71 ERA) allowed six runs on five hits and three walks in four innings in an 11-3 loss at Cleveland his last time out. The Tigers are 1-7 in the last eight meetings in Oakland, and they are 5-21 in the last 26 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga UNDER 159.5 | Top | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Both Gonzaga and UCLA hit over 57 percent from the field in the Final Four, but we can't expect that efficiency to continue here in the Final versus Baylor. The Bears are far better defensively than any of Gonzaga's previous opponents, and buckets will not be easy to come by. The total here is sky high, despite three of the last four head to head meetings falling below 155 points. Tonight's total is 10 points higher than in any of the previous four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-04-21 | White Sox +1.5 v. Angels | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -179 | 30 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Chisox. The Sox have lost two of three in this season opening series in LA, but I like their chances of earning a split. Shohei Ohtani will toe the slab for the Halos, and he has struggled as a pitcher so far in his MLB career. He was 0-3 with a 12.19 ERA in four appearances this spring. The Sox hand the ball to Dylan Cease, who was 5-4 with a 4.01 ERA last season. He was 2-1 with a 3.24 ERA in five home starts. The Angels are 3-13 in their last 16 Sunday games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-29-21 | Bucks v. Clippers -1 | Top | 105-129 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clippers. The Clippers have won five straight home games, and Kawhi Leonard scored 28 points in a 122-112 win over the Sixers Saturday. The Bucks are coming off back to back losses, and Giannis has been struggling with a knee injury. The "Greek Freak" had failed to score 20 points in his last two starts, and did not play in Saturday's loss to New York. The Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Los Angeles. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-21 | Aljamain Sterling v. Petr Yan -118 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -118 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Petr Yan. Yan comes in with a record of 15-1, and the one blemish on his record came by split decision back in 2016. He's since won 10 consecutive fights, five of those by KO. Aljamain Sterling has won five fights since his last loss in 2017, all of those wins coming by decision or submission. He hasn't faced anyone as accomplished as Yan, and I think he may be coming in a little overrated. With over seven months to train, Yan should be at his best, and superior striking ability should allow him to punish Sterling if he fails in take down attempts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-14-21 | Fulham v. Everton -104 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -104 | 73 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Everton. It should come as no surprise that Everton has returned to form. They got off to a hot start this season, before enduring a tough stretch of mediocrity. They come into this home match versus Fulham with points in four of their last five matches. They earned a spirited draw at Old Trafford last weekend, and then they won a thriller by a score of 5-4 over Tottenham in the FA Cup mid week. While they will miss their top goal scorer, they still have superior quality in the ranks in comparison to their opponent. "We have back Andre Gomes, James, Josh King, and in the next week we think Allan will be back, so the squad is ready for the next games," Ancelotti said. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-21 | LSU v. Alabama -8.5 | Top | 60-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Alabama. The Crimson Tide are undefeated in the SEC, and they spanked LSU by a score of 105-75 in Baton Rouge a few weeks ago. After losing by 30 points at home, you might figure this would be a revenge spot for the Tigers. They might not have a lot of fight in them though, losing their leading rebounder Darius Days to a knee injury in a loss to Texas Tech. Day played 21 minutes in Sunday's game, scoring 11 points and pulling in nine rebounds before suffering a knee injury that will keep him out for at least a month. LSU has lost three of their last four overall, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the road. The Crimson Tide are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have covered in five of their last six at home. This should be a double digit win for the Tide. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-21 | North Carolina v. Clemson +4 | Top | 50-63 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Clemson. The Tigers have lost four of their last five, but three of those losses came on the road. The other was a home loss to first place Virginia, the defending national champions. The Tar Heels on the other hand have won six of seven, but four of those wins came at home. None of those six wins came against teams with a winning record in the ACC. Historically these teams have played close games in recent seasons, and last year Clemson won 79-76 in overtime at Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels last win at Clemson came by just two points, and their previous win at Clemson (2015) came in overtime by three points. The Tigers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-21 | Canucks v. Jets -129 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -129 | 43 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Winnipeg. The Canucks head to Winnipeg off a six game home stand. They are 5-5 overall and four of their five wins came against teams with a losing record. They have lost three of four road games so far, and they are 1-10 in their last 11 games in Winnipeg. They are just 2-14 in the last 16 head to head meetings. The Jets are a strong home team, they are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a home favorite. The Jets are 16-5 in their last 21 games as a favorite. I'll take the short price on the home favorite given the history. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-21 | Ravens v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
10* |
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12-26-20 | Chelsea v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 62 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over 2.5. Arsenal has struggled of late, losing back to back games by a combined score of 6-2. They will be tested here on Boxing Day, hosting a Chelsea team that has scored 29 goals in just 14 matches. These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, with each of the last four meetings going over the total. Chelsea has the second best goal differential in the Premier League (+15). GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-24-20 | Hawaii v. Houston OVER 59.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Hawaii and Houston are each very capable of scoring points, but both teams have allowed opponents to average more than they have scored. We should expect plenty of scoring in this Christmas Eve Bowl game. The over is 9-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last 10 games on grass, and the over is 4-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last five Bowl games. The Cougars have gone over in five of their last six Bowl games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-20 | Alabama v. Florida +14.5 | Top | 52-46 | Win | 100 | 239 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Florida. After the Gators lost to LSU last week, nobody is giving them a chance here in the SEC Championship against Alabama. It was obvious that the Gators were not prepared last week, probably already looking ahead to this game. I expect them to be better this week, and I think that this is a team well designed to cause problems for Alabama. If you look at the teams that have beaten Alabama in recent seasons (Clemson, Ole Miss, Texas A&M) they all had a gunslinger at QB. The only time Alabama didn't look like they were in complete control in a game this season was when they allowed 48 points in a win over Ole Miss. As much as Nick Saban will want to win this game, his team is in the playoffs either way. I like the Gators to score enough points to keep this game relatively close. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-13-20 | Steelers v. Bills -1 | Top | 15-26 | Win | 100 | 48 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bills. The Steelers perfect record went up in smoke in last week's loss to the Redskins, and playing on the road in Buffalo this week looks like a let down spot for a Steelers team that is a little banged up. With an 11-1 record the Steelers can afford to be complacent, and they might not be able to match the intensity of a hungry Buffalo team. The Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games in December, while the Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-20 | Seattle Sounders FC v. Columbus | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -125 | 23 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Seattle. The Sounders are the defending champions, and they are coming off an impressive win in their Semi Final match versus Minnesota. After a disallowed goal, they found themselves trailing with just a minute remaining in regulation. After scoring the equalizer in the 89th minute, they got the game winner in the third minute of extra time. Columbus has had an outstanding season, but with a pair of key midfielders set to miss the Final, they are at a disadvantage. Seattle may also find an advantage in set pieces, as they ranked second in the MLS in scoring off such plays. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-20 | South Carolina v. Houston UNDER 141 | Top | 67-77 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Houston Cougars are ranked #10 overall, and they play a very strong defense. They have allowed just 52 points per game so far, and last year they were one of the top defensive teams in the AAC. The under is 21-7-1 in the Cougars last 29 home games, and the under is 21-8 in Cougars last 29 overall. The Gamecocks are 1-1, and neither of those two games saw more than 140 combined points. They are coming off a 69-58 win over Tulsa, and a similar score is expected here against Houston. The Cougars have also failed to reach the total in eight of their last nine Saturday games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-20 | Indiana +14.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 14-6 | Win | 100 | 61 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Indiana. The Hoosiers have only lost once, in a game that was decided on the final play on the road at Ohio State. Last week their starting QB Michael Penix Jr. was lost for the season with a serious injury, and that has resulted in the line for this week's game at Wisconsin swelling to a whopping 14.5 points. This game was never expected to be a shootout, with the emphasis always going to be defense and pounding away with the running game. Wisconsin scored just seven points last week in a loss to Northwestern, and QB Graham Mertz threw for 230 yards, a TD and three INTs in a losing effort. After completing 20-of-21 pass attempts in the season opener, he's failed to complete 55% of his attempts since. The Hoosiers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-20 | Nevada v. Hawaii OVER 59.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 143 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Nevada comes into Hawaii with a 5-0 record, and they are averaging over 32 points per game. They rank 4th nationally in passing, averaging 364 yards per game. They match up against a Hawaii defense that has allowed 30+ points in four straight games. Nevada quarterback Carson Strong is completing over 70 percent of his passes so far with 14 TDS and two INTs. These teams have gone under in seven straight head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in the last three meetings. The over is 6-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last seven home games, and the over is 21-8 in the Rainbow Warriors last 29 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-20 | Eagles v. Browns -2 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 202 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland has run over it's opponents this season, and last week they ran for 231 yards in a 10-7 win over Houston. The final score is a little misleading, as Cleveland never trailed in the game, and only allowed a late touchdown when the game was already out of reach. Nick Chubb wisely passed on a potential TD at the end of the game, allowing the Browns to kneel and run out the clock. The Eagles gave up over 150 yards and three rushing TDs in a loss to the Giants last week, and they have to be having second thoughts about the future of Carson Wentz. Baker Mayfield has his fair share of critics, but so far this season he has a higher QBR (71.4) than Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson and Phillip Rivers. He's within a few decimal points of Tom Brady (71.8). The recipe for success in Cleveland is less is more for Baker Mayfield. Expect that trend to continue and the Browns to run all over Philly in Week 11. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan UNDER 54.5 | Top | 49-11 | Loss | -108 | 93 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. How bad are the Wolverines, and how good are the Badgers? Well my guess is that Michigan isn't quite as bad as they have looked so far, and Wisconsin is getting way too much credit for beating up on Illinois in their only game of the season. Starting QB Graham Mertz threw for 248 yards and five TDs on 20-of-21 passing in his first college start, but before we hand him the Heisman we should consider the opposition. Since losing to Wisconsin, Illinois lost to unranked Purdue, and was blown out by Minnesota. The Purdue QB also put up huge numbers against Illinois, throwing for 371 yards on 83 percent passing with a pair of TDs. Mertz is set to be eligible to play after recovering from Covid, but he wouldn't have had any practice over the last two weeks. His backup is also recovering from Covid, which could set up a chance for the third stringer to come into play. The listed total was well below 50 in each of the last four head to head meetings, and they didn't score more than 51 points combined in any of those games. I expect another close, low scoring game between two conference rivals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame +6 | Top | 40-47 | Win | 100 | 55 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish. The Irish have had plenty of chances to prove themselves as an elite team, and time and time again they have failed. Their last appearance in the playoffs was a 30-3 loss to Clemson two years ago, and Trevor Lawrence threw for 327 yards and three TDs in that game. Ian Book didn't have a great game, throwing for just 160 yards, completing just 50 percent of his passes with an INT. Book is now a Senior, and he's having himself a solid season. Clemson almost lost to Boston College last week with Trevor Lawrence sidelined by Covid. This is a tough spot to ask the Tigers to cover points on the road, and a golden opportunity for an improved Notre Dame team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-20 | Florida +3.5 v. Georgia | Top | 44-28 | Win | 100 | 51 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Florida. The Gators will be an underdog versus Georgia in The Cocktail Party in Jacksonville. Georgia looks like a powerhouse, but their offense has held them back. Stetson Bennett has thrown more picks (5) than TDs (2) in his last two starts, and the Bulldogs scored just 38 points in those games. Florida on the other hand has been a well-oiled machine on offense, averaging 42 points per game. Kyle Trask has thrown for 18 TDs and just two INTs this season. The Bulldogs are very good defensively, but I am not sure they can overcome such a disadvantage at the quarterback position. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-20 | Houston Dynamo v. FC Dallas UNDER 3.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Both the Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas rank near the bottom of MLS in scoring, and recent head to head meetings have been low scoring. Dallas has failed to score a goal in two of it's last three versus Houston, and the Dynamo have scored just three goals in the last three head to head matches. Dallas has gone under in each of it's last five MLS matches, while Houston has gone under in six of it's last eight overall. It's tough to see these teams combining to score more than three goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-20 | Wyoming -145 v. Nevada | Top | 34-37 | Loss | -145 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Wyoming. Both these teams come into their season opener in the Mountain West with high expectations, but Nevada has been rocked by a recent scandal and a death in the family. Head coach Jay Norvell has been away from the team after the death of his father, and a star defensive tackle has been arrested for sex crimes involving children. Needless to say, Chris Green who was projected to be the starting nose tackle has been suspended from the team. The Wolfpack could use all the help they could get on a defense that allowed over 30 points per game in conference play last season. The Cowboys won 31-3 at home versus Nevada last season, and they are 4-0 ATS in the last four head to head meetings dating back to 2012. Wyoming should be in good shape coming off an eight win season and bringing back QB Sean Chambers who is 9-2 as a starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-20 | AC Milan -119 v. Celtic | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on AC Milan. Celtic will be the home team in Thursday's Europa League clash versus Italian Giants AC Milan, but there won't be any fans in attendance. Milan currently sits top of the table in Series A, while Celtic sits second in the Scottish League coming off a 2-0 loss to Rivals Rangers. Celtic will be shorthanded for this match. Scotland international James Forrest and young winger Mikey Johnston are both out with injuries. Midfielder Ryan Christie, Israel international Nir Bitton and defender Hatem Abd Elhamed all tested positive for Covid-19, and it's almost certain they won't be available to face Milan. Celtic has lost four of their last five versus Milan, and I expect history to repeat itself here on Thursday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-20 | Rays v. Dodgers OVER 8 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Dodgers powered past Tampa by a score of 8-3 in Game 1, and we continue to see balls leave the yard in Texas. The pitching matchup for Game 2 features a pair of starters who have been hit relatively hard of late. Blake Snell will toe the rubber for the Rays, and he's given up seven runs on 15 hits in 14 innings in his last three starts. The Dodgers hand they ball to Tony Gonsolin, who has allowed 11 runs on 12 hits over 12 1/3 innings in his last three appearances. These two teams have gone over in five straight meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-17-20 | Liverpool v. Everton OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Merseyside Derby has been very one-sided for decades, but this Saturday's match between Liverpool and Everton is a little different. So far it's Everton sitting top of the table in the Premier League, and they have scored 12 goals in just four matches. The defending champions have struggled on defense so far, allowing 11 goals in four matches. They haven't had any trouble scoring goals, with 11 in four matches. I am going to go out on a limb and predict an exact score of 2-2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-11-20 | Colts v. Browns +114 | Top | 23-32 | Win | 114 | 116 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Cleveland. There is a lot of talk about how good the Colts are on defense, and we will find out just how good they really are this week. Their stats are skewed afte playing teams with a combined record of 5-11. I don't think Indy has any business being a road favorite at a 3-1 Cleveland team that is 2-0 at home and has averaged 31 points per game this season. The Browns running game has been dominant, unlike any team that the Colts have faced this season. Baker Mayfield takes a lot of flack for throwing a lot of picks, but let me tell you he has a long way to go to catch up to Phillip Rivers. Rivers has thrown three INTs in four games so far, and he's struggled to protect the football his entire career. In fact, he's thrown 201 INTs in 232 career starts. He's averaged an INT per game over the last three seasons. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-20 | Yankees -120 v. Indians | Top | 10-9 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYY. The Bronx Bombers crushed the presumptive AL Cy Young winner in Game 1, and they have all the momentum heading into Game 2. Masahiro Tanaka will toe the slab for New York, and he's had a solid September. Tanaka is 3-2 with a 3,62 ERA in his last five starts. The Indians hand the ball to Carolos Carrasco, who had a losing record at home during the regular season. He was 2-3 with a 3.03 ERA in seven starts. Perhaps Carrasco was hurt by a lack of run support, but that has been a theme all year for the Indians. Cleveland's team batting average of .228 is the worst of any team in the playoffs. The Yankees are 11-3 in their last 14 playoff games as a favorite. Take NYY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-20 | Wake Forest -100 v. NC State | Top | 42-45 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Wake Forest. After losing 44-10 to Wake Forest last year, some might call this a revenge spot for the Wolfpack. I would respond by pointing out that NC State has actually lost three straight meetings dating dating back to 2016, and they have a big advantage heading into this Week 2 meeting. After spring practices were cancelled because of Covid-19, the Wolfpack had their season opener cancelled as well. Wake Forest has the benefit of playing the #1 ranked Clemson Tigers last week, and they can take several positives from that games. They appear to be solid at quarterback, with 293 passing yards with a TD and no INTs against the tough Tigers defense. The Wolfpack are 0-6 ATS in their last six conference games, and the Demon Deacons are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog. Take WAKE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 211 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Nuggets are a ratings nightmare for the NBA, denying everyone the Clippers vs Lakers Western Conference Final that we waited for all season. Not only did they come back and win three straight after trailing the Clippers 3-1 in the series, they trailed by double digits in Game 7. The Nuggets shot over 49 percent from the field in Game 7 versus the Clippers, but it's hard to imagine they won't be set up for a let down in Game 1 versus the Lakers. After defeating the Jazz in a low scoring Game 7 in the first round, they lost Game 1 of their series versus the Clippers by a score of 120-97. Other than two low scoring Game 7s, Denver has seen 10 of their 12 playoff games go over the total of 210. The Lakers are averaging over 114 points per game in these playoffs, and the over is 20-7-2 in their last 29 meetings versus Denver. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-20 | Golden Knights v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Under. The Stars lead the series 2-1, and we have seen all three games go under the total. Both goalies have recorded shutouts, and another low score is expected in Game 4. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Vegas Golden Knights and the Dallas Stars were each lighting up the scoreboard just last week, but as they have advanced to the conference finals the trend of high scores has faded. The Knights offense cooled off in a big way against Vancouver, and they could only manage 2 goals on 130 shots against Vancouver's backup goaltender Thatcher Demko over a four game span. If you take away the empty net goals they scored in Game 7, they have scored just one goal in their last three games overall. They have gone under in five of their last six Conference Finals games, and the under is 21-7-1 in the Golden Knights last 29 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation." Take Under. GL, Jesse |
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09-04-20 | Stars v. Avalanche -133 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -133 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Colorado. The Avs entered this series as roughly a 2-1 favorite, but Dallas looked like the better team winning three of the first four games. Goaltending has played a key role in this series, and after losing their starter, Colorado's second string netminder struggled. Michael Hutchison is the third string goalie, a 30 year old veteran with experience playing for Toronto and Columbus. His play has turned this series on it's head, and now the Stars are on the ropes. The top line of Tyler Seguin, Jamie Benn and Alexander Radulov have tallied just one point in the last two games. I like Colorado to complete the comeback. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-01-20 | Canucks +1.5 v. Golden Knights | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 32 h 38 m | Show |
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08-29-20 | Real Salt Lake v. Portland -109 | Top | 4-4 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Portland. Real Salt Lake may not have the luxury of focusing on football in this match, as the club is mired in controversy. Dell Loy Hansen (club owner) made the following comments about the players decision to boycott their last match: "It's taken a lot of wind out of my sails, what effort I want to put into recruiting players and building a great team," Hansen said. "It just seems that's not a very good path to take." His criticism of the players has not been well received, and he is now facing an MLS investigation into alleged racist remarks. Players are demanding he sell the team. They will be on the road at Portland, facing the champions of the MLS is Back Tournament in Portland. Take the Timbers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-29-20 | Lightning -110 v. Bruins | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TB. The Lightning fell behind by a score of 3-0 early in Game 1, and then they dominated the rest of the game. Their rally fell short, losing by a score of 3-2. History favors the Lightning, as the Bruins are 3-11 in the last 14 meetings. "When you shrink the game to 40 minutes, it's going to be tough on you," coach Jon Cooper said. "I liked a lot of the way our game progressed, but if we're not going to manage the puck the way we did for much of the Columbus series, it'll be tough for us. You can't start games the way we did. It put us on our heels and shortened the game." These teams met in the playoffs two years ago, and Boston won Game 1 of that series. The Lightning went on to win four straight winning the series in five games. Take TB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-26-20 | Avalanche v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 31 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over 5.5. Both the first two games of this series went over the total, and the Stars have gone over in four of their last five overall. Joe Pavelski (Dallas) and Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado) are tied for the playoff goal scoring lead. The Avs have gone over in each of their last five games, and losing their starting goaltender isn't going to help. Phillip Grubauer was among the league leaders with a GAA of 1.87 this post-season, and his replacement Pavel Francouz has been lit up since stepping in. The over is 9-3-1 in the Avs last 13 Conference Semifinals games, and there is every reason to expect Game 3 to look a lot like Games 1 & 2. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-23-20 | Angels v. A's UNDER 9 | Top | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under 9. After both of the first two games of this series went under, Game 3 on Sunday afternoon is shaping up to be a real pitcher's duel. Dylan Bundy will toe the slab for LA, and he's already beat Oakland twice this season. He went 13 2/3 innings, allowing one run on seven hits with 17 strikeouts in those games. The A's hand the ball to Frankie Montas, who is 1-1 with a 1.69 ERA in three home starts. One of those games was against LA, and he went only four innings, allowing a run on three hits with five strikeouts. The under is 10-4 in the Athletics last 14 games following a loss. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-23-20 | Bayern Munich +107 v. Paris Saint-Germain | Top | 1-0 | Win | 107 | 73 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Bayern Munich. I've been calling Bayern Munich the best team in Europe since the return to play back in May. They have certainly looked the part, winning their last three Champions League matches by a combined score of 15-3. Their 8-2 win over Barcelona will not soon be forgotten. Paris has taken a much different path, needing to rally with two late goals to escape what looked like a sure defeat to Atletico Madrid. Simply put, it seems that Bayern is in a class of it's own, and Paris is unlikely to match them. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-18-20 | Blazers v. Lakers -5.5 | Top | 100-93 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers. So far there have been plenty of surprises in the bubble so far, and several teams have seen their stock rise and fall. The Lakers came in as consensus favorite, but failed to impress. Portland on the other hand won six of eight games, and then won their play in game against Memphis. This has people calling them a dark horse candidate to win it all. I can't say I was all that impressed with wins over Memphis, Dallas and Philly by three, and a one point win over Brooklyn. The Nets and the Grizzlies effectively shut down Damian Lillard in the fourth quarter, and now the Blazers face a well rested Lakers team. Game 1 looks like a classic let down spot for Portland. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-07-20 | Real Madrid +1 v. Manchester City | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 391 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Real Madrid +1. I had Real Madrid in the first leg, and here is what I said prior to that match: "Manchester City will head into the first leg of this Champions League tie looking to survive with a chance to win the second leg at home at the Etihad in March. Real Madrid is undefeated at home in domestic competition, and they are also undefeated at home in the Champions League. Real Madrid has won this competition seven times, while Manchester City has suffered many disappointments. Madrid is in first place in Spain, with a +26 goal differential, while the Citizens are just the second best team in the Premier Leaague. It will be quite tough for City to come away with a win here, but a close loss with an away goal would still be a solid result." Now that City has a lead on aggregate as well as away goals, they can sit back and play for a draw. The problem is that City isn't a team designed to play defense, and that leaves them vulnerable to an upset. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-01-20 | Chelsea v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over 2.5. It was supposed to be an all Manchester Final in the FA Cup (according to the bookmakers), but Chelsea and Arsenal each recorded upsets in the semi finals. Neither of these two clubs are among the top defensive teams in England. Chelsea conceded 54 goals this season, while Arsenal conceded 48. David Luiz broke a Premier League record, conceding the most penalties in a season (5). These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over 2.5 in four of their last five matches. Three of those games saw 4+ goals combined. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-28-20 | Cincinnati v. Portland -128 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -128 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Timbers. After winning their first two games of the group stages, Portland played a 2-2 draw against an LAFC team that was by far the best in MLS last year. They face Cincinnati in this elimination game Tuesday, and Cinci bounced back with a pair of wins after getting blown out by a score of 4-0 in their opening match versus Columbus. This Cincinnati team finished last year with the worst goal differential in MLS (-44). That's twice as bad as the second worst Vancouver (-22). I am not reading too much into their wins against a shorthanded Atlanta team and a Red Bulls squad that outshot them 19-4. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-25-20 | Darren Till v. Robert Whittaker UNDER 4.5 | Top | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 89 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under 4.5. Darren Till has only fought five full rounds once in his career, when he defeated Wonderboy by decision. He's fighting a much bigger, much harder hitting Robert Whittaker here tonight. His last fight was a win by decision over Kelvin Gatselum, but he had previously lost to Jorge Masvidal and Tyronne Woodley, both of those fights ending in the secondf round. Till should know his best chance to win this fight is to finish Whittaker early, and he has a reputation as a finisher. He has 21 career fights, and only seven of those contests went the distance. Whittaker has 26 career fights, and 18 of those were decided before the final bell. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-19-20 | Chelsea v. Manchester United | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -137 | 52 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Manchester United. The hottest team in England right now is Manchester United. The come into Sunday's FA Cup Semi Final versus Chelsea undefeated in their last 19 matches in all competitions. They have had Chelsea's number winning four of the last five meetings, with one draw. Chelsea has also been moving up the table since the restart, but they have looked awfully sloppy at times. They have lost twice in their last five matches, falling 3-0 to Sheffield United, and 3-2 to West Ham. While Chelsea has a one point lead in the Premier League standings, the goal differential tells a different story. Manchester United is +28 compared to Chelsea's +15. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-12-20 | Leicester -137 v. AFC Bournemouth | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -137 | 103 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Leicester. AFC Bournemouth is facing relegation, so you would think they would have plenty of motivation. That would be true in most circumstances, but with the return to play during a global pandemic, not everyone is putting top priority on football. Given that they have just four matches remaining all against challenging opponents, their chances of avoiding relegation appear to be slim to none. They are winless in their last nine matches, and the only reason they salvaged a draw against Spurs the other day was due to a poor call from VAR. Harry Kane should have had a penalty in the first half, but for some reason VAR controversially ruled no penalty. Leicester is now just one point ahead of Manchester United for the final Champions League spot, so this is a must win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-07-20 | Norwich City v. Watford -146 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 59 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Watford. Norwich City will be relegated, there is little doubt about that. The question is who will be joining them. At the bottom of the table you have Bournemouth, Aston Villa and Watford separated by a single point. Watford is winless in their last five matches, with their last win coming by a score of 3-0 over Liverpool. They come into this match needing a win, and their opponent isn't likely to provide much resistance. Norwich has been held scoreless in five of their last six matches, and they have scored the fewest goals in the league this season. GL, Jesse Schule |