Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-16-23 | Rangers +1.5 v. Astros | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TEX. The Astros were shutout in Game 1, and the matchup in Game 2 doesn't look good for Houston. Framber Valdez will toe the slab for the Astros, and he's allowed a dozen runs on 11 hits and six walks in 9 2/3 innings in his last two home starts. In two home starts versus Texas this season, he gave up 10 runs on 13 hits and four walks in 9 2/3 innings in a pair of blowout losses. The Rangers hand the ball to Nate Eovaldi, who has allowed just a pair of runs while striking out 15 batters over 13 2/3 innings in two post-season starts. Houston we have a problem! GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-23 | Rangers v. Astros -130 | 2-0 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. The Astros have owned Texas, winning eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. Justin Verlander has been unhittable in the post-season. Verlander tossed six scoreless innings, allowing four hits and striking out six in a win over Minnesota in Game 1 of the division series. He's only allowed on run in his last three starts, and in his only start against Texas this season he allowed just one earned run. Jordan Montgomery was lit up for five runs on nine hits in four innings against Baltimore in his last start. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-23 | Lions v. Bucs +3.5 | 20-6 | Loss | -116 | 157 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TB. The Bucs are 3-1, in first place in the NFC South, and their only loss came against the defending NFC champs Philadelphia. As good as they have looked, they are still getting points as a home dog against the Detroit Lions. The Lions are 4-1, and they have looked good so far. I still think it's a bit much to have them coming in as a road favorite against a 1st place team. Jared Goff is off to a good start after having a solid season last year. One thing that has carried over, is that his home/away splits remain dramatic. Last year he had 23 TDs and home and just six on the road, this year he has 6 TDs at home and two on the road. The Bucs boast a Top 10 defense, and they should be in this game from start to finish. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-23 | Colts +5.5 v. Jaguars | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 161 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on INDY. The Colts are tied for first place in the NFC South, but the winner of this week's game at Jacksonville will take sole possession of the top spot in the division. Rookie QB Anthony Richardson is on the IR, leaving Minshew Mania to run the offense. I think Indy is in better shape with Minshew, who is a more proven commodity in the NFL. So far this season the Colts are 3-0 in games that Minshew has played the majority of the snaps, and 0-2 in the games with Richardson at the helm. The Jags are in a let down spot coming off back to back wins in London. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-23 | Panthers v. Dolphins -13.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 154 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. The Dolphins lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 36 points per game. They host the winless Carolina Panthers, and Carolina ranks 28th in scoring defense allowing 29 points per game. Bryce Young is perhaps biting off more than he can chew as a rookie starter on a poor team. The last time the Dolphins played Carolina they won by a score of 31-10, and there's no reason to expect a competitive game here in Miami this week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | NC State v. Duke UNDER 48.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 145 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Blue Devils have had a week off to recover from their heartbreaking loss to Notre Dame, and now they host NC State without starting QB Riley Leonard. We are likely to see freshman Henry Belin IV at QB, and that should mean a conservative game plan relying heavily on the running game and the defense. Duke ranks 4th nationally in scoring defense, and the Wolfpack are starting a backup quarterback who threw three INTs in his debut against Marshall last week. I expect MJ Morris to struggle against this Duke defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | UCLA v. Oregon State -4 | 24-36 | Win | 100 | 145 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Oregon State. The Bruins couldn't get anything going on offense when they played on the road at Utah, and a trip to Corvallis might just be a recurring nightmare for UCLA. That same Utah team that UCLA had so much trouble with, was held to seven points in a crushing 21-7 loss at Corvallis a week later. Far more significant than the results versus a common opponent, are the similarities in playing in such a hostile environment. The Beavers are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | UAB v. UTSA -9 | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 124 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTSA. I had UTSA last week and I said this prior to their game at Temple: "I was one of many who were high on UTSA heading into the season, but they struggled losing three of their first four games. Put the blame on poor play from starting QB Frank Harris, who has missed the last two games due to injury. The Roadrunners come out of the bye week looking to flip the switch. They couldn't ask for a better spot for a get right game, and Harris is expected to return." Harris threw for 338 yards and three TDs on 25-of-33 passing in the win at Temple, and he should be primed for a big game at home versus UAB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | UCLA v. Oregon State UNDER 54.5 | 24-36 | Loss | -115 | 57 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Bruins couldn't get anything going on offense when they played on the road at Utah, and a trip to Corvallis might just be a recurring nightmare for UCLA. That same Utah team that UCLA had so much trouble with, was held to seven points in a crushing 21-7 loss at Corvallis a week later. Far more significant than the results versus a common opponent, are the similarities in playing in such a hostile environment. The Beavers are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games, and they have held opponents to single digits in all three of their home games this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | Montreal v. Edmonton Elks +120 | 35-21 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the ELKS. So the Elks played last Friday, losing on the road at 1st place Toronto. The Als on the other hand played on Monday, setting up a game on short rest on the road. Montreal clinched 2nd place in the East with Hamilton losing to BC last night. This might prevent them from taking this game seriously, and it looks like a good spot to rest starters for the playoffs. The Elks are playing for a roster spot next year. “I really don’t care how they approach it,” he said, after letting the media know he was unhappy with the Elks’ concentration level at practice Thursday afternoon. “Ours is just come out and try to hit them in the mouth and be more physical than they are. If we don’t, it’s going to be real tough on us.” - said Chris Jones. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | Kansas -155 v. Oklahoma State | 32-39 | Loss | -155 | 119 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Kansas. The Jayhawks are 5-1 with the only loss coming on the road at Texas. They are coming off a blowout win over UCF, and backup quarterback Jason Bean only attempted a dozen passes throwing for 91 yards and a TD on 8-of-12 passing. They ran all over UCF, rushing for 399 yards and 5 TDs. The Jayhawks ran for 351 yards and 2 TDs in a 37-16 win over Oklahoma State last season. The Cowboys quarterback situation is still in disarray, with Allan Bowman completing just over 50 percent of his passes for 743 yards, 2 TDs and 3 INTs. With or without Jalon Daniels I like Kansas to get the win here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee UNDER 55.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 52 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Vols ran for 238 yards and three TDs in a win over South Carolina two weeks ago, but they face a much tougher Aggies defense this week. Texas A&M held Alabama to just 23 rushing yards last week, but Jalen Milroe and Jermaine Burton lit them up. Joe Milton hasn't been lighting anybody up this season, and he won't have his top WR Bru McCoy for the rest of the season. This game should be a defensive battle, and we should expect a low score. Both these teams have held opponents to fewer than 20 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-23 | BC v. Hamilton +3.5 | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on HAM. The BC Lions might be the better team here, but this is a tough spot. While a heartbreaking home loss to Winnipeg last week hasn't officially ended their quest to finish first in the West, it's likely only a matter of time. The Bombers only need to win one of their two remaining games, and they will be heavily favored in both of those contests. BC would need to win out, and hope for a miracle. I think they will still be reeling from last week's loss. Hamilton has been banged up all year, but they are coming off back to back wins over West Division opponents, and they have all their QBs back now after a long stretch with their 3rd stringer Taylor Powell. Matthew Shiltz threw for 271 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT on 16-of-18 passing in a 38-13 win at Saskatchewan last week. The Ticats look good as a home dog here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-23 | Braves v. Phillies +1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHI. The Braves will send their ace to the mound as they look to avoid elimination in Philly tonight. Their bats have cooled off in the post-season, scoring just five runs through the first two games. Strider pitched well in Game 1, but didn't get any run support. He allowed a pair of runs on five hits and two walks in seven innings. Rangers Suarez only went 3 2/3 innings in Game 1, but with help from the bullpen the Phillies shutout the Braves. The Phillies won this series 3-1 last season, and we will not be surprised if history repeats itself here in 2023. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-23 | Red Wings v. Devils OVER 6.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. We don't want to overreact to the pre-season, but the Devils did score an NHL best 30 goals in just seven games. The Red Wings weren't far off, tallying 29 in eight games. The Devils offense should pick up where it did last season, leading the Metropolitan Division in scoring. Neither of these teams have great goaltending, and the defense should be a bit sloppy early in the season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-11-23 | Braves v. Phillies -121 | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHI. The story of the post-season is that regular season records aren't worth a damn. The Braves lost to Philly in the Division Series last year, and they are on upset alert again here. Aaron Nola will toe the slab for Philly, and he was sharp in his last start against the Braves. He allowed a pair of runs on six hits, striking out eight in six innings in an extra-innings win for Philly at the end of September. The Braves pitching staff has been decimated by injury, and they haven't named a starter. History repeats itself. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-10-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 1-4 | Loss | -165 | 32 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on SEA +1.5. The Vegas Golden Knights will raise the Stanley Cup banner in their home opener tonight, and we might see a "Stanley Cup Hangover" in effect. The Golden Knights finished first in the Western Conference last year with 111 points, while Seattle finished 11 points back in the standings. Perhaps it is notable that the Kranen had a better road record (26 wins) than Vegas had at home (25 wins). I like Seattle to pull off the upset here in Sin City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-10-23 | Orioles v. Rangers -133 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Texas. So the Orioles finished 11 games ahead of the Rangers in the American League during the regular season, but not one of those wins count here in the playoffs. Texas comes home with all the momentum off back to back wins in Baltimore. Nate Eovaldi will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he has experience in the post-season. In 2018 he appeared in six games for the Red Sox, going 2-1 with a 1.61 ERA and won the World Series. The Orioles hand the ball to Dean Kremer, who has never pitched in the post season. He is winless in three career starts versus Texas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-23 | Packers +2.5 v. Raiders | 13-17 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GB. The Packers will be on the road at Las Vegas, and they are the underdog in this matchup. Green Bay has the advantage of coming off a long week with extra time to prepare, and should be a lot healthier than they were when the lost to the Lions in Week 4, that isn't the only advantage. The Packers are in good shape with Jordan Love at QB, he's thrown for 901 yards, 8 TDs and 3 INTs while Jimmy G has thrown more picks (6) than TDs (5). Playing his first game back coming off a concussion looks like a tough spot for Jimmy G and the Raiders. The books have the wrong team favored here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHI. The Phillies won the Division Series versus Atlanta last year 3-1, and we could see history repeat itself here in 2023. Zack Wheeler will toe the slab for Philly tonight, and he was dominant against the Braves in the regular season. In his two starts in Atlanta, he allowed just two runs on six hits while striking out 18 and winning both games. The Braves hand the ball to Max Fried, who has struggled against Philly. The Phillies lineup is batting a combined .299 over 194 at bats versus Fried. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-23 | Ottawa v. Montreal -6 | 3-29 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MTL. The Als crushed the Redblacks in Ottawa last week, winning by a score of 32-15. Now they play at home versus Ottawa on Thanksgiving, and this is a big game for Montreal. Currently tied with Hamilton for second place in the East, the ALs will move ahead of the Ticats with a win over Ottawa. The Redblacks defense has allowed 27.4 points per game this season, only Saskatchewan has allowed more. Ottawa has lost six of seven road games, and they are 3-7 straight up in their last 10 versus Montreal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-23 | Twins +1.5 v. Astros | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN +1.5. The Twins are desperate to draw even with Houston after losing Game 1, and they draw a favorable matchup in Game 2. Pablo Lopez will toe the slab for the Twins, and his numbers are better on the road than they were in Minnesota this season. Lopez allowed one run on five hits in a 3-1 win in Game 1 of the Wild Card series versus Toronto. The Astros hand the ball to Framber Valdez, who also has better numbers away from home. His last two home starts were ugly losses to the two worst teams in the AL (Kansas City and Oakland). GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-23 | Jets +3 v. Broncos | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 159 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYJ. The Broncos shouldn't be a favorite against anybody.The Bears were up big in the 4th quarter last week, but they handed Denver the game. They gave up a fumble recovery for a TD, turned the ball over on downs in field goal range and Justin Fields threw an interception on the Bears final possession. Not even Zach Wilson could eff up a game that bad! At least the Jets can play defense. An ugly and undeserving win over the Bears doesn't in any way convince me that the players are buying into what Sean Payton is selling in Denver. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-23 | Giants v. Dolphins -9 | 16-31 | Win | 100 | 157 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. The Dolphins scored 70 in their last home game, and then got humbled in a blowout loss at Buffalo. This is a good bounce back spot for The Fish back home against a banged up Giants team on short rest. No way Vanilla Vick and the GMEM are gonna be able to keep up to Tua, Tyreek and the Dolphins #1 ranked offense. Bet this game quick because the number will likely get bet up before Sunday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-23 | Saints v. Patriots -122 | 34-0 | Loss | -122 | 156 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the PATS. So both these teams were embarrassed last week, but the Patriots were on the road at Dallas while the Saints were a home favorite versus Tampa. Baker Mayfield looked like Tom Brady, and Derek Carr did his best Ryan Leaf impression. I gotta back Bill and the Pats back home off an ugly loss. Both teams have their issues at QB, but Mac Jones has been better at home, and Derek Carr ranks 23rd in the NFL in passing, just ahead of Desmond Ridder. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-23 | Newcastle United v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 43 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. There are only four teams in the Premier League that have both scored 10 or more goals and conceded 10 or more goals through their first seven matches. One of those teams is West Ham, and they host a Newcastle side that ranks second in the Premier League in scoring with 18 goals. Both teams have scored in each of the last five head to head meetings between these teams. The most recent meeting was a 5-1 away win for Newcastle in April of 2023. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-23 | Oregon State v. California UNDER 52 | 52-40 | Loss | -117 | 66 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Oregon State Beavers offense is heavily reliant on their running game, ranking 16th nationally averaging 206 yards per game. California ranks even higher, averaging 212 yards per game. Both teams are pretty solid on defense, so we should expect this game to be rock fight. The Golden Bears have gone under in all three of their home games so far, and with both teams looking to establish the run we could see a low score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-23 | Central Florida v. Kansas -1 | 22-51 | Win | 100 | 60 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on KAN. Even if starting QB Jalon Daniels can't play, I think Kansas has enough weapons to blow past UCF at home. Central Florida was outscored 26-0 in the fourth quarter of a home loss to Baylor last week. Timmy McClain struggled at quarterback for UCF, completing just 13-of-25 passes for 234 yards, 2 TDs and an INT. Jason Bean has seven starts dating back to last season, and he threw for 17 TDs and just four INTs in those games. He also ran for four TDs in five starts last year. If Daniels plays, it will be a bonus getting the Jayhawks at this number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-23 | Rangers v. Orioles -137 | 3-2 | Loss | -137 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAL. The Orioles host Texas in Game 1 of the ALDS Saturday, and this is a matchup between Baltimore's ace versus the Rangers 5th starter. Andrew Heany has struggled versus the Orioles this season, going 1-1 with a 7.45 ERA in two starts. The Orioles hand the ball to Kyle Bradish, who pitched well against Texas. He allowed one run on five hits in two starts, posting an ERA of 1.08 in those games. The Orioles have won seven of the last 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-23 | UTSA -13 v. Temple | 49-34 | Win | 100 | 95 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTSA. I was one of many who were high on UTSA heading into the season, but they struggled losing three of their first four games. Put the blame on poor play from starting QB Frank Harris, who has missed the last two games due to injury. The Roadrunners come out of the bye week looking to flip the switch. They couldn't ask for a better spot for a get right game, and Harris is expected to return. Temple ranks 11th in the American Athletic Conference in scoring defense allowing 31 points per game. They allowed 48 points and 533 yards of total offense in a loss to Tulsa last week. Harris and the Roadrunners offense should pick this team apart. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-23 | Oklahoma v. Texas -6 | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Texas. So the Longhorns won the Red River Rivalry game in a 49-0 blowout last year. Some might say that this sets up a revenge spot here in this game. The Sooners are 5-0, however they have yet to face a ranked team. Texas won by double digits at #3 ranked Alabama in Week 2, and then last week they steamrolled #24 Kansas at home. Quinn Ewers has thrown for 1,358 yards, 10 TDs and 1 INT while playing a challenging schedule. I think it's asking too much of Oklahoma to compete in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-23 | Sheffield United v. Fulham -165 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Fulham. Sheffield United has been shockingly poor defensively, losing three straight matches in the Premier League. They are winless in seven matches overall this season, and they have been outscored by a combined 12-1 in their last three matches. The home side is 3-1-1 in the last four head to head meetings. Fulham looks good to earn full poi9nts here in this favorable matchup. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-23 | Winnipeg v. BC OVER 50.5 | Top | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Over. These two teams rank 2nd and 3rd in scoring in the CFL, and we should see plenty of scoring in an indoor game in BC tonight. The lions have gone over in four straight, and Winnipeg has gone over in eight of their last 10. The BC defense has looked suspect, allowing 29.4 points per game in their last five overall. Winnipeg QB Zach Collaros leads the CFL with 30 TD passes so far, while BC QB Vernon Adams Jr. leads the league in passing averaging 308 yards per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-04-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The D'Backs won 6-3 in Game 1, and it was the only game that went over on yesterday's card. It looks like Game 2 could be a potential pitcher's duel. Zach Gallen will toe the slab for Arizona, and he owns the Brewers. He's 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA in two starts versus the Brew Crew this season, and the Brewers lineup is hitting .171 over a combined 70 at bats against him. The Brewers hand the ball to Freddy Peralta, and he's allowed just two runs on four hits, striking out 19 over 12 1/3 innings in his last two home starts. The Brewers went under in five of their final six home games during the regular season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-04-23 | Paris Saint-Germain v. Newcastle United | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Newcastle. Newcastle is undefeated in their last five matches in all competitions, and they have posted five consecutive clean sheets. They have outscored the opposition 12-0 in those games. PSG is coming off a draw against the last place team in League 1. Paris sits just 5th in the table in the French league, and still bettors have them pegged as a favorite here against one of the top teams in the Premier League. PSG will be lucky to come away with a point here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-03-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers -179 | 6-3 | Loss | -179 | 29 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Brew Crew. Arizona comes in on a four game losing streak, and they turn to the back end of their rotation while the Brewers send their ace to the hill. Brandon Pfaadt will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA this season. The Brewers hand the ball to Corbin Burnes who is 1-1 with a 2.52 ERA in his last five starts. Milwaukee has won four of their last five games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-02-23 | Chelsea v. Fulham +0.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Fulham. Chelsea is a disaster, sitting just a few points clear of the relegation zone after six game in the Premier League. They lost to Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, and played to a draw against Bournemouth. They play at Fulham, who have earned points in four of their last five matches. The only defeat during that span came at Manchester City. The last time these London rivals played in the Premier League, the result was a scoreless draw. A draw wouldn't be a bad result for both teams here, but the way Chelsea has been playing it would be no surprise if they find a way to lose. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-01-23 | Raiders v. Chargers -3.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 154 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on LAC. The 1-2 Chargers are a small home favorite against the 1-2 Raiders. Clearly the Chargers have a huge edge at QB with Justin Herbert versus Jimmy G. The Chargers have been more effective running the ball, and we should see Austin Ekeler back this week. Neither team has been great defensively but it's tough to see the Raiders keeping up in a shootout. LV was just 2-7 on the road last season, including a 24-19 loss at LA. Keep in mind the Raiders only win came by just 1-point against an 0-3 team that gave up 70 points last week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-01-23 | Padres -155 v. White Sox | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Padres. A strong finish will be too little, too late for the Padres, but they look to wrap up with a win in Chicago in their final game of the season. They come in as winners of 13 of their last 15 overall. Jose Urena will toe the slab for Chicago, and he hasn't pitched in a win this season. Urena is 0-3 with a 5.31 ERA in his time with Chicago, and his team has lost in every one of his 13 appearances this season. The Padres hand the ball to 26 year old Pedro Avila, who is 2-2 with a 3.57 ERA in 13 appearances. The Friars bats have been hot at the end of the year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-01-23 | Ravens v. Browns -140 | 28-3 | Loss | -140 | 151 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CLE. The Browns are 2-1, and they probably should have beaten Pittsburgh on Monday Night Football in Week 2. The loss of Nick Chubb is going to hurt, but Kareem Hunt looked good in last week's win over Tennessee. He should play a bigger role moving forward. The defense has held opponents to just six points in two home games. Baltimore comes in with several key injuries on offense, and the Ravens lost 13-3 at Cleveland last December. We expect a similar outcome here in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-01-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -140 | 20-48 | Win | 100 | 151 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BUF. The Dolphins scored 70 in a home win over Denver last Sunday, but that might set them up for a let down here on the road at Buffalo. Remember it was a game against Buffalo last season that when Tua took a hit that sent the team in a downward spiral for the rest of the season. That will give him something to think about. The Fish have lost six straight at Buffalo, and nine of their last 10 versus the Bills. Josh Allen threw for 304 yards and 4 TDs on 25-of-40 passing in a home win over Miami last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-23 | Washington v. Arizona OVER 68.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Huskies are the #1 passing offense in the country, and they are averaging over 49 points per game. The Huskies beat Arizona by a score of 49-39 last year, and the total for that game was 71.5. A lower number here, but I don't see how Washington scores less than 50. Both these teams want to play fast and air it out, and another high score should be expected. Last week the Bears scored 32 against Washington, I think we can count on Arizona scoring 20-30 here at home. Looking at 55-24 Huskies ... GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-23 | Alabama v. Mississippi State UNDER 49 | 40-17 | Loss | -110 | 142 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Alabama is coming off a dominant effort on defense, holding Ole Miss to just 10 points in a 24-10 home win. Nick Saban came in with a plan, and he executed with precision. He utilized the skill set of Jalen Milroe as a dual threat, as he ran the ball almost as much as he threw it. Overall Alabama ran 21 passing plays and 45 running plays. They head to Starkeville this week, and they beat the Bulldogs by a score of 30-6 last year. That was with Bryce Young at QB for Alabama, and Will Rogers in the Air Raid. The Bulldogs have abandoned the Air Raid, leaning more on their run game. These teams have gone under in five straight head to head meetings, and I expect that trend to continue here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-23 | South Carolina v. Tennessee -11.5 | Top | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 47 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEN. This is a huge revenge game for the Vols after they got lit up for over 60 points in a loss to the Gamecocks last year. This is also a spot where we can buy low on the Vols, as people are still down on them after they lost at Florida, and it's a sell high spot on South Carolina after they played Georgia tough and Spencer Rattler completed 90% of his passes in a win over Mississippi State last week. Rattler has been playing well so far, but history tells us that when the going gets tough he can be "rattled". This looks like a tough spot for the Gamecocks, and we aren't going to be surprised if Rattler gets rattled. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-23 | South Florida v. Navy UNDER 53.5 | 44-30 | Loss | -110 | 136 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The new rules in college football season don't seem to have had a significant effect on totals for most teams, but the exception might be the likes of service academies and the likes of Iowa, Nebrasksa. This total sits at 53.5, and Navy has yet to play a game that has seen that much scoring. Early weather forecasts are calling for wind and rain in Anapolis on Saturday. Perfect conditions for a traditional ground and pound game with long slow drives that chew up the clock and result in a low scoring battle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-23 | Luton Town v. Everton -160 | 2-1 | Loss | -160 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Everton. It took a miracle to avoid relegation, but Everton is back in the Premier League and they come into this weekend's match with a record of 3-1-1 in their last five matches in all competitions. They host Luton Town, who have struggled since being promoted. Luton has scored just three goals in their first five Premier League matches. Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored in Everton's win over Aston Villa last week. He is only 26 years old, and despite struggling the last two seasons he did score 29 goals in 2019-2021. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-29-23 | Toronto v. Winnipeg -7 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 65 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WPG. The Argos have already clinched 1st place in the EAST, so they are coming into Friday's game at Winnipeg with a plan to rest their starters. Starting QB Chad Kelly won't play, and it seem pretty clear that Toronto doesn't have any interest in winning this game. It is a big game for Winnipeg, who sit tied for first place with the BC Lions. Winnipeg leads the CFL in scoring, and they rank first scoring defense allowing 21 points per game. Zach Collaros has thrown a CFL best 29 TD passes, and he ranks 1st in the league with a QBR of 115. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-29-23 | Rays v. Blue Jays -140 | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. Tampa has clinched a playoff spot, and unless they sweep the Jays and Boston sweeps the Orioles they will finish second in the AL East. The Jays on the other hand face a must win game at home as they are in a dog fight for a Wild Card spot. Aaron Civale will toe the slab for Tampa, and he missed his last start due to illness. He has struggled over his last four starts, going 0-1 with a 7.85 ERA. The Jays hand the ball to Yusei Kickuchi, who struck out seven in a win over Tampa in his last start. Toronto's lineup is batting a combined .353 versus Civale. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-28-23 | Diamondbacks -157 v. White Sox | 1-3 | Loss | -157 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arizona. The D'Backs have won the first two games in this series in Chicago, and they look good in Game 3. Bryce Jarvis will toe the slab for Arizona, and the rookie hasn't allowed a run in his last five appearances. The Sox hand the ball to ToukiToussaint, who owns a 5.70 ERA in his last five appearances. The D'Backs are still looking to clinch a Wild Card spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-27-23 | Vancouver Whitecaps v. Colorado Rapids | 2-2 | Push | 0 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VAN. The Colorado Rapids don't have a lot to play for at the end of the season. They sit dead last in the Western Conference standings, and they have the worst home record in MLS. Vancouver has a solid points total in away matches (5th most in the West). They also have a solid track record in recent visits to Colorado, earning points in six of their last seven trips to Denver. Colorado has conceded the first goal in seven of their last eight matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-26-23 | Diamondbacks v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 15-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Arizona will play Game 1 at Chicago Tuesday, and this should be a slugfest. Zach Davies will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 1-1 with an 8.10 ERA in five road starts. The White Sox hand the ball to Jose Urena, who is 0-3 with an 8.68 ERA in four home starts. Tim Anderson is swinging a hot bat, hitting .368 over the last two weeks. He's 2-for-2 with a home run lifetime versus Davies. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-23 | Astros v. Mariners -120 | 5-1 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Mariners came up just short in Texas on Sunday, losing by a score of 9-8. They are still in the hunt in the AL West, half a game behind Houston and three games back of Texas. Luis Castillo will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's 8-3 with a 2.52 ERA at home this season. The Astros hand the ball to Justin Verlander, who is 0-1 with a 5.54 ERA in his last two starts. Ty France is batting .435 lifetime versus Verlander (23 AB). GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-23 | Panthers v. Seahawks -4.5 | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 143 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. This looks like a short line for a team playing on the road on a short week with a rookie QB. Geno Smith has plenty of weapons, and he threw for 328 yards and a pair of TDs on 32-of-41 passing in a road win at Detroit last week. Bryce Young hasn't impressed, throwing for as many INTs (2) as TDs so far. He's only averaging 4.2 yards per attempt, and he ranks 31st in the league in passing. I'll fade the rookie on the road here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-23 | Rockies v. Cubs -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -124 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Cubs RL. So Chicago is in a battle for the final Wild Card spot in the NL, within half a game of Arizona and Miami. It's a must win against a Rockies team that has nothing to play for. Ty Blach will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's 0-2 with a 5.79 ERA in seven starts on the road. The Cubs hand the ball to Jordan Wicks, who is 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA in five appearances this season. The Rockies pitching staff ranks dead last in WHIP and batting average against. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-23 | Broncos v. Dolphins -6.5 | 20-70 | Win | 100 | 145 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. A new coach, but the same old problems persist in Denver. The 0-2 Broncos have blown leads late in back to back home losses, and now they play their first road game at Miami. The Dolphins offense is firing on all cylinders, ranking #1 in the NFL in passing and #3 in scoring. I am not ready to buy into all the hype surrounding Tua and Miami, but asking them to beat a bad team by just a TD in their home opener seems like a bargain. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-23 | Colts +8 v. Ravens | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 139 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Ravens. While the Colts rookie QB is questionable with a concussion (as of Tuesday), but there is an argument that they are better off with the more experienced Gardner Minshew running the offense. Minshew came in and threw for 171 yards and a TD on 19-of-23 passing in last week's loss to Houston The Ravens injury concerns might be more significant. Baltimore has already lost a pair of starters on the offensive line, and safety Marcus Williams and corner Marlon Humphrey are listed as out. The last time the Colts played at Baltimore they lost in overtime, covering as a 7.5 point underdog. The Colts are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Arsenal -148 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -148 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Gunners. It's no surprise to see Arsenal undefeated after five matches in the Premier League. Arsenal was a favorite to win the league coming into this season, while expectations were far lower for Spurs after losing Harry Kane. So an unexpected 4-0-1 start for Tottenham might not be all it's cracked up to be. Three of their wins came against teams that are currently winless and early favorites to face relegation. This away match at Arsenal will be their first versus a team with a winning record. The step up in competition is likely to be trouble for Tottenham. I have Arsenal winning by a score of 3-1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-23 | Ohio State v. Notre Dame +3.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ND. This is a tough one, and I did go back and forth a bit. Neither of these two teams have faced anyone this season, so we have to look deeper than that. They played a close game at the beginning of last season, and here we have what looks like a downgrade at QB for Ohio State, and a massive upgrade for the Irish. I'll take the home dog plus the points here as a late add. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-23 | UCLA v. Utah -4.5 | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 120 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Utah. The UCLA Bruins look like a pretty good team so far. We saw in Week Zero what happens when "pretty good teams" play at Rice Eccles. The Florida Gators lost 24-11 at Utah and everyone wrote them off. We saw last week in their win over Tennessee, that they aren't nearly as bad as people thought they might be. The Bruins have played three games at Utah since 2017, and they lost all three games by 20+ points. Utah is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and losing 42-32 at UCLA last year sets up a revenge spot. Cam Rising has missed the first three weeks recovering from a knee injury, but he's expected to start here in the PAC12 opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-23 | Ole Miss v. Alabama UNDER 57 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 111 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Crimson Tide have plenty of problems, but the defense isn't one one of them. Ole Miss comes in with a 3-0 record, but I think it's important have a closer look at those wins. Surely wins over Mercer and Georgia Tech can't be considered an indication that this team can upset Alabama. There is a double digit win over Tulane that you might think they can hang their hat on, but the Green Wave didn't have their starting QB in that game. The Rebels held a 27-20 lead with two minutes remaining in that game, however a comedy of errors saw them score 10 unanswered points in the final 1:53 seconds. I still think Alabama will win this game, but in order to do so they are going to need to slow the game down, play conservative, run the ball and lean on their defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-23 | Rockies v. Cubs -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CHC. The Cubs won Game 1 by a score of 6-0, and we should expect more of the same in Game 2 Saturday. Marcus Stroman will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's just coming back from the DL. He hasn't allowed an earned run in two brief appearances since his return. The Rockies hand the ball to Chris Flexen, who is 1-3 with a 9.45 ERA in a dozen appearances on the road. The Rockies have nothing to play for while the Cubs are battling for a playoff spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-23 | Florida State -125 v. Clemson | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 115 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on FSU. The Seminoles may have been caught looking ahead last week in an alarming 31-29 win over Boston College. They face a far tougher test travelling to Death Valley to take on Clemson. The Tigers have home field advantage, but I am uncertain that will be enough to overcome the huge disparity at the quarterback position. Senior Jordan Travis has plenty of experience playing in and winning big games. Kade Klubnik has only stated five games for Clemson, and he was on the wrong side of blowout losses to Tennessee and Duke. The Seminoles have superior talent and more returning production on both sides of the ball. This to me appears to be a mismatch, and I expect Florida State to win decisively. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-22-23 | BC v. Edmonton Elks OVER 50 | 37-29 | Win | 100 | 58 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Over. The Lions QB Vernon Adams Jr. leads the CFL in passing yards per game by a wide margin, and he ranks second in the league with 23 TDs in 11 starts. The Edmonton Elks are clearly not the same team with Trey Ford at QB. They are coming off a 36-27 road win at Saskatchewan, and they have scored 30+ in two of their last three games. The longest home losing streak in North American professional sports is now over, and Edmonton has won three of their last four games. Both teams should do plenty of scoring here, pushing the total over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-21-23 | Georgia State +6.5 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on G-State. The Chanticleers won 41-24 at Georgia State last season, but a lot has changed since then. Grayson McCall is back at QB, but the offensive line lost some key starters and head coach Jamie Chadwell went to Liberty. The Panthers are 3-0, and senior QB Danny Grainger has completed over 70 percent of his passes for 803 yards, eight touchdowns and no picks. He threw for 198 yards and two touchdowns in a 42-40 win in his last start at Coastal Carolina in 2021. The home team has lost six straight meetings between these teams. This looks like another shootout that could go either way, and I'll gladly take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-21-23 | Orioles -130 v. Guardians | 2-5 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAL. The Orioles are close to clinching the AL East, and they come into Cleveland as winners of four of five. The Tribe just lost three straight at Kansas City. Grayson Rodriguez will toe the slab for Baltimore, and he's 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA in his last five starts. Cleveland ranks 27th in the majors in runs scored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-20-23 | Pirates v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | 13-7 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Cubs are in the middle of a heated battle for a Wild Card spot in the National League, and we can expect a pitcher's duel here tonight at Wrigley. Mitch Keller will toe the slab for the Pirates, and he's 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in his last four starts. The Cubs hand the ball to Justin Steele, who is 12-2 with a 2.18 ERA in 17 home starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-23 | White Sox v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. We aren't exactly expecting a pitcher's duel here in Washington tonight. Jose Urena will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's 0-6 with an 8.48 ERA in seven starts. He got torched for six runs on seven hits in 6 1/3 innings in a loss to the Twins his last time out. The Nats hand the ball to rookie Jackson Rutledge, who is making his second major league start. He allowed seven runs on 10 hits in 3 1/3 innings in his debut last week. This game has slugdest written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-23 | Browns -115 v. Steelers | Top | 22-26 | Loss | -115 | 187 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on CLE. Any decent bettor should know not to overreact to results in Week 1, and the Browns looked like World Beaters while the Steelers looked like trash. Sure we may see regression to the mean, but lets be real about who these teams are. The Browns have one of the highest ranked offensive lines, and maybe the most dominant running back in the NFL. Deshaun Watson is just a few years removed from being a Top 5 QB in the league, and he looked a lot more like that guy in Week 1 than he did last year. Kenny Pickett is still wet behind the ears, and I am not sure Najee Harris is a legit RB1. The Niners averaged 5.5 yards per carry at Pittsburgh last week, and the Steelers are going to have their hands full trying to contain Chubb. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-23 | Twins v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. So the Twins will win the Central, so at this point this team is just going through the motions. You wouldn't expect them to want their starters going deep into games at this point in the season. Joe Ryan will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's only logged more than five innings in one of his last five starts. The Reds hand the ball to rookie right-hander Connor Phillips. He's allowed eight runs on 10 hits over 8 2/3 innings in two starts in the major leagues. Warm air and wind blowing out in Cincinnati is bad news for pitchers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-23 | Cubs -112 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHC. The Cubs have lost four straight, but they look good to avoid a sweep at Arizona tonight. Jordan Wicks will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's 3-0 with a 1.99 ERA in his last four starts. The D'Backs hand the ball to Ryne Nelson who owns an 8.59 ERA in 11 home starts. Only the Atlanta Braves have a better record since the All Star break than the Cubs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-23 | Jets v. Cowboys UNDER 44.5 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 137 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So the Cowboys defense shut out the Giants in New York in Week 1, and the Jets made Josh Allen look like Ryan Leaf. With Zach Wilson taking over at QB for the Jets, we expect them to be quite conservative on offense. The Cowboys are looking to ride Tony Pollard and their defense, so we could see a low scoring defensive battle here in this one. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-23 | Giants -5.5 v. Cardinals | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYG. The Giants were supposed to be trending in the right direction, but Daniel Jones got picked off twice and was sacked seven times in a 40-0 home loss to the Cowboys in Week 1. The Giants lost the turnover battle 3-0, and bad weather and bad breaks played a roll in the result. Arizona on the other hand actually looked competitive in a 20-16 loss to Washington. Josh Dobbs threw for 132 yards on 21-of-30 passing with no TDs and no INTs. Dobbs is not a QB1 in the league, unless of course your franchise is tanking (hint hint). I am giving the Giants a pass for their poor showing in Week 1, and we do expect them to bounce back here in Week 2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-23 | TCU v. Houston UNDER 64.5 | 36-13 | Win | 100 | 104 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. We saw the total go over in TCU's Week 1 loss to Colorado, and we saw Houston play a defensive battle versus UTSA in Week 1. The 1st half under hit in the Horned Frogs season opener, and I think the rule changes are leading to lower scores across the board in the first half of games. The public is betting the over in this game, but keep in mind TCU lost OC Garrett Riley and Max Duggan. Donovan Smith hasn't looked particular good replacing Clayton Tune at QB for Houston. This number appears to be a wee bit inflated. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-23 | Syracuse v. Purdue UNDER 57.5 | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 73 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. The Orange have allowed just seven point in their first two games, but they face a far tougher test here at Purdue. Both these teams lean heavily on the run, which should result in a lot of clock killing drives. This number appears to be a bit inflated. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-23 | Tennessee v. Florida UNDER 59 | Top | 16-29 | Win | 100 | 103 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. We saw the total go over in last year's game at Tennessee, the Vols winning 38-33. The rules aren't the only thing that has changed since then, as both teams have a downgrade at QB this season. So far we have seen both teams running the ball, and this game could see plenty of ground and pound. This number appears to be a bit inflated. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-23 | Ottawa v. BC -9.5 | 37-41 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BC. The Lions come out of the bye week to take on the Ottawa Redblacks, and we should expect a blowout here. The Lions are 4-1 at home, while Ottawa is 1-5 on the road. Lions QB Vernon Adams Jr. leads the CFL in passing yards per game (296), while Ottawa QB Dustin Crumm has thrown more picks (6) than he has TDs (5). The Lions have won seven straight head to head meetings, and they have won all four home games during that span by a double digit margin. This game has blowout written all over it! GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-23 | Minnesota v. North Carolina UNDER 50 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. We saw the total go under in both the Gophers first two games, allowing a combined 16 points in wins over Nebraska and Eastern Michigan. Tar Heels QB faces his toughest test yet, and he's struggled throwing for as many picks (2) as TDs (2). Minnesota will pound the rock, kill the clock and this game will be over before there is enough time to put up a combined 50 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-23 | Brentford v. Newcastle United -180 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 109 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Newcastle. There was plenty of excitement for Newcastle fans heading into this season after they finished 4th in the Premier League last year and clinched a spot in the Champions League. Some might ask what has gone wrong, after Newcastle lost three of their first four games. I will point out that before you overreact, note that losses came against Liverpool, Manchester City and Brighton. The only home loss to Liverpool saw them dominate play, lead until the dying minutes and concede a pair of late goals. Facing Brentford is an opportunity for the Magpies to get back on track. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Saskatchewan OVER 46 | 36-27 | Win | 100 | 67 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Edmonton Elks are a different team since Tre Ford took over at QB. Edmonton has won three of their last four games, averaging over 27 points per game during that span. The Riders have had some success at home, upsetting the BC Lions and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in their last two home games. Saskatchewan ranks dead last in the CFL in scoring defense, and the Elks aren't far behind. Expect both teams to put points on the board here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-23 | Rangers -118 v. Guardians | 3-12 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on TEX. A six game winning streak has Texas sitting just a half game out of first place in the AL West, and they look good to keep rolling in Game 1 at Cleveland. Lucas Giolito will toe the slab for The Tribe, and he's 0-4 with a 7.89 ERA in his last four starts. The Rangers hand the ball to Jon Gray, who has better numbers on the road than he does at home. Cleveland ranks 28th in the major leagues in runs scored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-14-23 | Twins -176 v. White Sox | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. So the White Sox are 3-9 in their last 12, but what is most significant about those losses is that they all came against the Royals and the Tigers, and half of those games were at home. Jose Urena will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's had now answer for major league hitters the past two seasons. He's spent the majority of this season in the minors, but has a record of 0-5 with an 8.46 ERA in six starts in the majors. The Twins hand the ball to Kenta Maeda, who owns a solid 3.42 ERA in 10 starts on the road. Tim Anderson is 1-for-17 lifetime versus Maeda. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-13-23 | Diamondbacks -140 v. Mets | 1-7 | Loss | -140 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. Arizona is in a Wild Card spot, but Cincinnati is hot on their heels only a game back. Zach Gallen will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 3-2 with a 3.66 ERA in his last five starts. The D'Backs hand the ball to Joey Lucchesi, who has pitched just once in the past three months. The Mets have hit a combined .148 over 54 at bats versus Gallen in past meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-23 | Cardinals v. Orioles -182 | 5-2 | Loss | -182 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAL. The Orioles have won eight of nine, and they crushed the Cardinals in Game 1 by a score of 11-5. Adam Wainwright will toe the slab for St. Louis in Game 2, and he's 0-4 with a 6.45 ERA in his last four starts. The Orioles hand the ball to John Means, who's career numbers aren't bad (20-24, 3,81 ERA). The Cardinals rank 29th in the majors in BAA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-23 | Cardinals v. Orioles -156 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 15 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles had a seven game win streak snapped on Sunday, losing 7-3 to Boston. They should get back on track today with a home game against St. Louis. Dean Kremer will toe the slab for Baltimore, and he's 1-1 with a 1.59 ERA in his last four starts. The Cardinals hand the ball to Daniel Hudson, who owns an ERA of 6.23 in half a dozen starts on the road. The St. Louis pitching staff has struggled, as evidenced by the fact that they rank 29th in the majors in BAA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-23 | Dolphins v. Chargers -160 | 36-34 | Loss | -160 | 128 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. So LA won 10 games last season despite Justin Herbert playing with broken ribs for almost the entire season. Herbert continued to be productive throwing for 47,390 yards and 25 TDs. It's even more impressive when you consider all the injuries to the receiving corps. Tua Tagovailoa is back at QB for the Dolphins, but his future is still very much in doubt. He appears to be one hit away from a career ending injury, and many believe he should have called it a career after his last concussion. He was limited to 145 yards and a TD on 10-of-28 passing in a 23-17 loss at LA last year. Starting the season on the road at LA is going to be no picnic for Tua and the Dolphins. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-23 | White Sox v. Tigers -125 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on DET. The Tigers have won six of nine, while the White Sox have lost six of eight. Despite a rookie pitcher going for the Tigers today, I like the home team in the rubber match of this series. Sawyer Gipson-Long will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's posted solid numbers in the minors. The Sox hand the ball to Jesse Scholtens, who is 0-3 with a 7.13 ERA in his last five starts. Chicago ranks last in the major leagues in on base percentage. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-23 | Bengals v. Browns +2.5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 1487 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE. So the Bengals lost at Cleveland last year, which is nothing new. They have lost five straight at Cleveland, and the Browns are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings. The bookmakers have the Bengals favored here, despite the fact that the underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. The Browns still have the #2 ranked offensive line in the NFL according to PFF, and their QB situation should be better in 2023. Joe Burrow was sacked five times in last years loss at Cleveland, throwing for 232 yards with two TDs and an INT. The offensive line is still a concern for Cincinnati, and this figures to be a difficult matchup. I think the wrong team is favored here and I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-23 | 49ers v. Steelers +3 | 30-7 | Loss | -125 | 36 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PIT. The 49ers have question marks at the quarterback position. They played quarterback roulette last season, and when the wheel stopped spinning it was Brock Purdy who took over running the offense. Purdy played in nine games last year, throwing for 1,374 yards, 13 TDs and 4 INTs. Purdy has a tough matchup in Week 1 on the road at Pittsburgh. The Steelers were 9-7-1 last season, extending Mike Tomlin's NFL record to 16 consecutive seasons without a losing record. They were 8-2 in games that TJ Watt played, and they were 6-2-1 at home. It's easy to look at what San Francisco did last year and assume they are the better team. I think it would be a mistake to do so, as this is a new season and everybody starts with a clean slate. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-23 | Texas +7.5 v. Alabama | Top | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 124 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas. Nick Saban's Crimson Tide have been the most dominant team in college football for over a decade, but the air of invincibility might be fading a little. Last year the Tide lost at Tennessee and LSU, and they really should have lost at Texas as well. Aided by a handful of blown calls by the officials, Alabama kicked a game winning field goal to win 20-19 in the final seconds. Texas returns nine starters on offense including QB Quinn Ewers. The Longhorns defense ranked 1st nationally in QB pressures last season, and they face Jalen Milroe who is making just his third start. His only start last year was a 24-20 home win over Texas A&M. Texas has the more experienced QB, and they should have the athletes on both sides of the ball to push Alabama to the brink just like they did last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-23 | Texas v. Alabama UNDER 54.5 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Nick Saban's Crimson Tide have been the most dominant team in college football for over a decade, but the air of invincibility might be fading a little. Last year the Tide lost at Tennessee and LSU, and they really should have lost at Texas as well. Aided by a handful of blown calls by the officials, Alabama kicked a game winning field goal to win 20-19 in the final seconds. Texas returns nine starters on offense including QB Quinn Ewers. The Longhorns defense ranked 1st nationally in QB pressures last season, and they face Jalen Milroe who is making just his third start. His only start last year was a 24-20 home win over Texas A&M. Texas has the more experienced QB, and they should have the athletes on both sides of the ball to push Alabama to the brink just like they did last year. We should expect another low scorer here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-23 | White Sox v. Tigers -135 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. The Tigers swept the White Sox in Chicago last week, but the Sox won Game 1 in Detroit Friday. Expect the Tigers to get revenge here in Game 2 Saturday. Jose Urena will toe the slab for the Sox, and after struggling early in the season he's been bouncing around the minors. The Tigers hand the ball to Tarik Skubal, who 2-1 with a 1.78 ERA in a half dozen starts in Detroit. Skubal tossed seven solid innings, striking out seven and allowing a pair of runs on five hits in a win at Chicago in his last start. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-23 | Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg OVER 47.5 | 6-51 | Win | 100 | 71 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Here is what I said about these two teams last week: The injury report includes a handful of linebackers, defensive backs and defensive linemen for both teams. That isn't great for a Riders team that ranks dead last in the CFL in scoring defense allowing 27.2 points per game. The Riders though come off a bye week, and their last game was an upset win at home versus BC by a score of 34-29. The Lions had the top scoring defense in the CFL in the first two months of the season, but rookie QB Jake Dolegala lit them up for 239 yards and three TDs. The Bombers come in with the league's top scoring offense, averaging over 30 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-23 | Texas A&M v. Miami-FL UNDER 52 | 33-48 | Loss | -114 | 96 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. These teams played last season at College Station, and the Aggies won by a score of 17-9. With a new QB and Bobby Petrino coming in as offensive coordinator, Texas A&M might be a lot better on offense. Playing on the road at Miami doesn't figure to be a picnic though. The Canes were dominant in a win over Miami-Oh in Week 1. While the new rules regarding clock stoppages didn't really result in any clear under trend after the first week of college football, it did seem to effect some teams more than others. Neither of these two teams play particularly fast, so we could see a lot of time coming off the clock during extended drives. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-23 | Utah -5.5 v. Baylor | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 126 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Utah. You don't want to overreact to Week 1 results. Utah won convincingly at home over the Florida Gators and Baylor got lit up in a 42-31 home loss to Texas State. Utah won without Cam Rising, and Bryson Barnes was solid throwing for 159 yards and a TD on 12-of-18 passing. Nate Johnson came in at QB and ran for 45 yards and a TD on six carries. Baylor struggled on defense last season, and it looks like that has carried over into 2023. The Bears were 0-5 versus Top 25 teams, and the average margin of victory in those games was 11 points. The Bears lost starting QB Blake Shapen in Week 1, and Sawyer Robertson threw for 113 yards and an INT on 6-of-12 passing against Texas State. With or without Cam Rising the Utes have mismatches all over the field. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-23 | Utah v. Baylor UNDER 47 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 71 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. You don't want to overreact to Week 1 results. Utah won convincingly at home over the Florida Gators and Baylor got lit up in a 42-31 home loss to Texas State. Utah won without Cam Rising, and Bryson Barnes was solid throwing for 159 yards and a TD on 12-of-18 passing. Nate Johnson came in at QB and ran for 45 yards and a TD on six carries. Baylor struggled on defense last season, and it looks like that has carried over into 2023. The Bears were 0-5 versus Top 25 teams, and the average margin of victory in those games was 11 points. The Bears lost starting QB Blake Shapen in Week 1, and Sawyer Robertson threw for 113 yards and an INT on 6-of-12 passing against Texas State. With or without Cam Rising the Utes have mismatches all over the field. The total in the Utes Week 1 game against FLA got bet down to 43.5. Should expect another low score here as both teams likely using backup QBs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-23 | Hamilton +4 v. Ottawa | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Hamilton. The Ottawa Redblacks have played 11 games, and have only one win by more than three points. That came against the Edmonton Elks, who they lost to by double digits in their last game. Hamilton has won nine straight head to head against Ottawa. The Ticats have been playing a bit better of late, winning their last road game at BC. James Butler has been playing a bigger role in the offense, and Taylor Powell seems to have settled in at QB. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-07-23 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -169 | 6-2 | Loss | -169 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CHC. The Cubs come into Game 1 versus Arizona as winners of seven of nine, and they are just 1.5 games back of the first place Brewers in the NL Central. Javier Assad will toe the slab for the Cubs, and he's 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA in his last five starts. The D'Backs hand the ball to Ryne Nelson who was rocked for six runs on seven hits in just three innings in his only appearance over the last 30 days. Only the Braves have a better record than the Cubs since he All Star break. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-06-23 | Blue Jays -165 v. A's | 2-5 | Loss | -165 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. Toronto has won five of six and they are now a half game up on Texas for the final Wild Card spot in the AL. The Oakland A's have the worst home record in baseball. Hyun-Jin Ryu will toe the slab for Toronto, and the Jays have won five straight when he starts. He's 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA in those games. The A's hand the ball to JP Sears, who hasn't been too bad but it rarely translates into wins. He's 1-3 with a 7.20 ERA in his last five starts. Sears has just one win in a dozen home starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-05-23 | Giants v. Cubs -135 | 8-11 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CHC. The Giants have lost four straight, and they are just 8-17 in their last 25 overall. The Cubs are still one of the hottest teams in the majors and they are sitting 2.5 games out of first place in the Central. Kyle Hendricks will toe the slab for Chicago, and he tossed a near no-hitter against the Giants earlier this season. He's 6-2 with a 2.03 ERA in 11 career starts versus the Giants. San Francisco will hand the ball to Ryan Walker, who is used primarily as an opener. He hasn't gone more than three innings in any game this season. Seiya Suzuki is batting .333 with four home runs and 11 RBIs in his last 18 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-23 | Edmonton Elks +4 v. Calgary | 31-35 | Push | 0 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Elks. Edmonton is coming off it's first home win since 2019, snapping the longest home losing streak in North American sports history. Since the arrival of Tre Ford at QB, the Elks have won two of three and covered in all three games. The Stamps are struggling, with just three wins on the season, and QB Jake Maier leads the CFL with 12 INTs in 11 games. Only the Saskatchewan Roughriders have allowed more points this season than Calgary. The Stamps defense has been decimated by injuries, and seven defensive players are listed as "out" for today's game. I'll take the hot team plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule |