Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-22-23 | New Mexico v. Boise State UNDER 146 | 77-82 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. New Mexico beat Boise State by a score of 81-79 in overtime earlier this season, but only 144 points were scored in regulation in that game. We see a total of 146 here in the rematch, despite the fact that the under is 5-2 in the previous seven head to head meetings. New Mexico is averaging over 81 points per game this season, but they have lost four of their last five averaging just over 75 points per game during that span. They face a Boise State team that is holding opponents to less than 60 points per game while going 12-1 at home. In their last three games at Boise, the Lobos have scored 52,53 and 61 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-23 | Fordham -132 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Fordham. The Rams are just 2.5 games out of first place in the A-10, and they come into Loyola as winners of eight of their last 10. During that span they have road wins at Duquesne, La Salle, Davidson and St. Bonaventure. They are a small favorite here on the road versus the last place team in the conference, and Loyola has lost it's last two home games by double digits. The Ramblers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, and have failed to cover in 19 of their last 27 overall. The Rams are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games versus a team with a losing home record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-23 | Vanderbilt -132 v. LSU | Top | 77-84 | Loss | -132 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Vanderbilt. Vandy comes in red hot, winning their last five games. They are now in a position to possibly make the NCAA Tournament, but they likely need to run the table. It starts tonight at LSU, a team that has lost 13 straight games. Vandy has won back to back road games at Florida and South Carolina, and they are 37-17-1 ATS in their last 55 road games. The Tigers are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 home games and they have failed to cover in 16 of their last 21 overall. Two teams trending in opposite directions, I know who I'll put my money on. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-23 | Providence v. Connecticut UNDER 143.5 | 69-87 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Friars won at home by a score of 73-61 over UCONN back in the beginning of January, falling well short of the total listed at 142.5. We see a similar total for tonight's rematch in Connecticut, despite the fact that these teams haven't scored a combined 140 points in any of the last five head to head meetings. The Friars have gone under in five of their last seven road games, and seven of their last 10 coming off a loss. The Huskies have failed to reach the total in five of their last six versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-23 | Indiana v. Michigan State UNDER 136 | 65-80 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Spartans are 10-2 at home, and they have allowed fewer than 60 points per game during that span. They have gone under in six straight home games, and the under is 6-0 in their last six coming off a loss. The Hoosiers have gone under in four straight overall, and five straight on the road. Both teams come in averaging well below 70 points per game in their last five overall, and I don't expect either team to score 70 here in East Lansing. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-23 | Baylor v. Kansas State UNDER 146.5 | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Wildcats are the underdog at home here versus Baylor, despite a 14-1 home record. Kansas State has held opponents to just 60 points per game at home, and they have only scored an average of 67 points per game in their last five overall. When these two teams played in Manhattan last season, the bookmakers set the total at 136. They came up short of the number in that game, and the total for tonight's game is almost 10 points higher. They under is 5-0 in the Wildcats last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-23 | Iowa v. Northwestern +1.5 | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NW. The Wildcats sit above Iowa in the BIG10 standings, and they are 12-4 overall at home. Their last two home games were outright wins over Purdue and Indiana, and yet unranked Iowa comes in as a favorite. It might have something to do with the fact that Iowa has won nine straight meetings between the two teams dating back to 2017. That's something not likely lost by the Wildcats who look like they should be the favorite in this game. The Hawkeyes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Iowa is just 3-5 SU on the road. Wrong team favored! GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-23 | Ohio State v. Purdue -12 | 55-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Purdue. Ohio State is reeling! They have lost 12 of their last 13 overall and they are 1-8 SU on the road. They aren't just losing, they are getting blown out. The Buckeyes have covered the spread just once in their last 12 games, and they have failed to cover in seven straight on the road. Asking the Boilermakers to win by double digits here doesn't seem unreasonable at all. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-23 | North Carolina v. NC State -130 | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NCST. The Tar Heels are just 2-6 on the road while NC State is 13-1 at home. The Wolfpack are outscoring opponents by an average margin of 17 point per game at home. The home team is 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. The Tar Heels are likely getting too much respect for past performance, as this year's squad doesn't justify being a near pickem on the road here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-23 | Michigan State v. Michigan UNDER 134.5 | 72-84 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Wolverines only scored 53 points in a 59-53 loss at East Lansing back in January. The good news for Michigan fans is that the home team has won nine straight head to head meetings between these two teams. Michigan State is scoring just 60 points per game in their last five overall, and they have held opponents to fewer than 60 points per game during that span. The Wolverines have failed to score 70 in four of their last five versus Sparty. Expect points to be hard to come by here in this rivalry game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-23 | Oklahoma State v. TCU UNDER 141 | 75-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Horned Frogs have struggled since losing leading scorer Mike Miles. They have only scored an average of 67.4 points per game in their last five overall. They still have a solid home record going 11-3 straight up and holding opponents to just 62.1 points per game. The Oklahoma State Cowboys are strong defensively even on the road, where they have held opponents to just 66 points per game. The total has been listed below 140 in each of the last 10 head to head meetings between these teams, and this appears to be a rather inflated number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-23 | Iowa State v. Kansas State -160 | Top | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on K-State. The Wildcats have lost four of their five, but three of those losses came on the road. They host Iowa State, and the Cyclones have lost five in a row on the road. Kansas State is 13-1 SU at home, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 15 points per game. They are allowing just 60 points per game at home, while the Cyclones are scoring less than 65 points per game on the road. The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, while the Cyclones have failed to cover in six of their last eight overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-23 | Illinois v. Indiana UNDER 144.5 | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Hoosiers beat Illinois by a score of 80-65 back in January, but they shot 62 percent from the field in that game, and I don't like their chances of repeating that performance. Illinois won at Indiana the last time they played there by a score of 74-57 last February. The total went under the number of 137 in that game, and we see a much higher total here in today's game. The Hoosiers come in scoring less than 65 points per game in their last five overall, and they have held opponents to fewer than 63 points per game at home. I am expecting a defensive battle here in this revenge game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-23 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia UNDER 146 | 78-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Red Raiders have lost six of seven on the road, and they are scoring less than 64 points per game during that span. They scored just 61 in a home loss to the Mountaineers back in January. They went under the number of 139 in that game, and the bookmakers have sent the total at 145.5 for today's game. That number is far higher than we have seen in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. In fact the total was lower than 140 in nine of those 10 contests. I expect to see another low scoring game between these two teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-23 | Quinnipiac v. Siena -165 | 66-63 | Loss | -165 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Sienna. |
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02-16-23 | Ohio State v. Iowa -8 | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on IOWA. The Buckeyes are now 1-11 in their last 12 games overall. They are coming off a 21-point home loss to Michigan State, and now they are playing on the road at Iowa Thursday. This is a revenge game for the Hawkeyes who lost 93-77 at Ohio State in January. Ohio State has struggled to score, averaging just 60 points per game in their last five overall. That's 20 points [er game less than Iowa has scored during that same span. The Hawkeyes are 12-2 SU at home, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 15 points in those games. The Buckeyes have failed to cover in six straight road games, and they are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 losses. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-23 | TCU v. Iowa State -175 | 59-70 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ISU. The Horned Frogs have lost four of five games since leading scorer Mike Miles went down with a knee injury. They are in a tough spot here on the road at Iowa State, who is 12-1 SU at home this season. The Cyclones are outscoring opponents by almost 20 points per game at home, and they are holding teams to just 54 points per game on their home floor. The Horned Frogs lost their last road game by 21 points at Kansas State. I'll take the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-23 | Indiana v. Northwestern +1.5 | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on NW. So I had Michigan on Saturday, and they lost 62-61 at home to Indiana. The Wolverines failed to score in the final five minutes of that game. I want to go against the Hoosiers again here as they are the favorite on the road at Northwestern. The Wildcats are 11-4 at home, while Indiana has a losing record on the road. These two teams have the exact same record overall and in conference. Northwestern is 3-1 straight up in the last four versus Indiana, and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. I think this is a situation where the wrong team is favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-23 | St Bonaventure v. Fordham -190 | 63-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Fordham. The Rams are the favorite here in a home game against St. Bonaventure, and prior to this season the Bonnies had won and covered in eight straight meetings between these teams. The Bonnies have been a powerhouse in the A10 for years, but this isn't the same team we have seen in recent seasons. This year's squad has lost 8-of-10 on the road, and they are just 13-13 overall. Fordham on the other hand is 15-2 at home and 20-5 overall. One of their wins came at St. Bonnies by a score of 79-68. The Rams are 7-1 ATS in their last eight overall, and they are 24-7-1 ATS in their last 32 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-14-23 | LSU v. Georgia -175 | Top | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 16 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UGA. The Georgia Bulldogs are 12-2 at home, and they host an LSU team that is 0-6 on the road. Georgia is coming off a home win over Kentucky, and some might say that sets them up for a let down here. I think at this point in the season a home game against a team with a 1-11 conference record is more of an opportunity than a spot we would see a let down. The Tigers are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall, and they are coming off a 74-62 home loss to Texas A&M. They are 0-7 ATS in their last seven coming off a double digit home loss. The home team has covered in four of the last five head to head meetings. |
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02-13-23 | Pelicans v. Thunder -125 | 103-100 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on OKC. The Pelicans got some bad news on Zion Williamson recently, and now CJ McCollum is listed as questionable for Monday's game at OKC. The Thunder have been ultra competitive lately, winning three of their last four. They are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall. They have covered in six of their last eight home games, and they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a losing road record. The Pelicans have failed to cover in five of their last six road games, and they are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 road games against a team with a winning home record. I'll take the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-13-23 | Miami-FL v. North Carolina -175 | 80-72 | Loss | -175 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on UNC. There is no doubt that this isn't most mighty of UNC Tar Heel teams, but they are still 11-1 at home in Chapel Hill. They are a short favorite in tonight's home game against Miami, and we've been waiting a while for this Hurricanes team to suffer a let down. This is a perfect spot to face a Miami team that is a little inflated right now. They have lost four of their last five at Chapel Hill, and the Tar Heels have outscored the opposition by an average margin of 14 points per game at home. I'll take the unranked home favorite versus the ranked underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-23 | Youngstown State v. Cleveland State OVER 145.5 | 78-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Youngstown State Penguins lead the Horizon in scoring averaging over 83 points per game. They will play at Cleveland State, and the Vikings are a team more known for their defensive prowess. This battle of conflicting styles might still yield plenty of points here on Sunday. The last game between these teams ended with the Penguins winning 85-71. Cleveland State has averaged over 74 points per game in their last five overall. This number looks incredibly low when you consider the over is 12-4 in Vikings last 16 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-23 | Pacers v. Wizards -185 | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on WASH. The Wizards have won seven of their last 10 overall, and they host an Indiana team that has lost seven of their last eight overall. This will be the second game of a back to back for the Pacers, who are coming off a home loss to Phoenix. The Pacers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight road games. Washington has covered in four of their last five home games against the Pacers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-23 | Indiana v. Michigan -145 | 62-61 | Loss | -145 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Michigan. Michigan and Indiana are in a four way tie for second place in the BIG10. The Wolverines have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games, and they host a Hoosiers team that is 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. The Hoosiers beat Michigan last March, but the Wolverines had won the previous nine meetings outright. Michigan averages almost 75 points per game at home, while the Hoosiers have scored just 67.8 points per game on the road. This should be a good game, but I'll take the home team to come away with the victory. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-23 | Cavs v. Pelicans +2.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on N.O. The Pelicans are 20-9 at home, and they are coming off three straight home wins over LA, Atlanta and Sacramento. Sure Zion is on the shelf with an injury, but you would think they would be used to that by now. The good news is that Brandon Ingram is back, and he's averaged over 30 points in his last three starts. He struggled in his first three games back from injury, but he appears to be firing on all cylinders now. The Cavs are mediocre on the road (12-16) and they are 0-4 SU in their last four at New Orleans. The Cavs are coming off a home win over Detroit, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win. This looks like the wrong team is favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-23 | Fairfield v. Rider -195 | 57-58 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Rider. They Rider Broncs are eyeing the NCAA Tournament, and they have a home game tonight against Fairfield. The Broncs have won seven straight, moving into first place in the Metro Atlantic. One of those wins came at Fairfield, and that was a close game. It might bot be as close here as the Broncs are 6-2 at home and they have won their home games by an average margin of 11 points. The Stags have lost seven of 10 on the road, and they bring a three game losing streak into tonight's game. The Stags are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-23 | Suns v. Hawks -175 | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ATL. The Suns dealt Cam Johnson, Jae Crowder and Mikal Bridges to Brooklyn for KD, but Durant won't be available for this game at Atlanta. That leaves Phoenix with a thin lineup after two of their top roll players were sent to the Nets. The Hawks on the other hand are at full strength, and they have historically owned the Suns in Atlanta. The Hawks have won and covered in four straight home games in this series. I'll fade the shorthanded Suns in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-23 | Mavs v. Clippers -185 | 110-104 | Loss | -185 | 21 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Clippers. So no Luka for the Mavs, maybe Kyrie makes his debut. Don't expect Kyrie to come out and lead a shorthanded Mavs team to an upset of the Clippers in LA. Since Kawhi and Paul George have returned to full strength, LA has looked like one of the top teams in the NBA. This should be a double digit win for the Clippers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-23 | Wisconsin v. Penn State -185 | 79-74 | Loss | -185 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PSU. The Badgers won 63-60 at home versus Penn State back in January, but they lost their last game at Penn State by double digits. I like the Nittany Lions to blow the doors off here in this revenge spot at home. Penn State comes in with an 11-1 home record, and they have outscored opponents by an average margin of 14 points in those games. Their last home game was a blowout win over Michigan, and they scored 49 points in the first half of that contest. The Badgers have failed to cover in 11 of their last 12 overall and nine of their last 10 coming off a loss. THe Nittany Lions are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games. I love Penn State in this revenge spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-23 | Iowa State v. West Virginia -155 | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on WVU. The Cyclones won at home versus West Virginia last February, but the Mountaineers had won six straight in this series before that. Playing at Morgantown is a tough task, and I like the home favorite here in this BIG12 rivalry game. Iowa State has lost five of seven road games this season, scoring just 63.6 points per contest. That surely wont be good enough against a West Virginia team that is 10-3 at home, averaging over 79 points per game on their home floor and outscoring opponents by an average margin of a dozen points in those games. Iowa State lost here last February by a score of 79-63 (matching the exact home away splits for each team). GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-23 | Tennessee v. Vanderbilt +10.5 | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Vanderbilt. |
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02-07-23 | TCU v. Kansas State -4.5 | 61-82 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on K-State. |
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02-07-23 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest +1.5 | 85-92 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WAKE. The Tar Heels come in as Blue Blood road favorites here, despite their 2-5 road record. They have lost back to back games at Wake in 2022 and 2020. The home team is 5-0 straight up in the last five meetings in this series, and I expect that trend to continue here. The Tar Heels are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 road games, and they have failed to cover in four straight on the road versus a team with a winning home record. The Demon Deacons are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall, and this appears to be a case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-23 | Marquette v. Connecticut -181 | 72-87 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on UCONN. |
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02-06-23 | Clippers -6 v. Nets | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. The Clippers are rolling, coming into Brooklyn as winners of seven of their last nine. When both Kawhi and Paul George are healthy, this is still one of the most formidable teams in the NBA. The Nets are moving on from Kyrie Irving, and that will shake up the lineup here tonight. While we aren't sure if Spencer Dinwiddie or Dorian Finley Smith will play, we are sure that Durant, Curry and Simmons will not. The Nets are 17-40-2 ATS in their last 59 home games, and they are likely to struggle to keep up to the Clippers with a bunch of backups. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-23 | Duke v. Miami-FL OVER 145.5 | 59-81 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Duke Blue Devils lost 68-66 at home to Miami earlier this season, and while this is a revenge game for Duke, I expect a higher score here in Miami. The over is 18-8 in the Hurricanes last 26 versus a team with a winning record, and they have gone over in four of their last five home games. The Canes have a 12-0 home record, and they are averaging over 82 points per game at home. They beat the Blue Devils 78-74 in Miami last January, and we should expect a similar result here this time around. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-23 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin -150 | 54-52 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Wisconsin. The Badgers lost 66-63 at Northwestern on January 22, and this sets up a nice revenge angle for Wisconsin here at home Sunday. Wisconsin has owned the Wildcats in recent meetings, winning seven straight head to head prior to the last meeting. Wisconsin is 7-3 at home this season, holding opponents to just 61.3 points per game. It's possibly worth noting that all the Badgers other conference losses have come against teams that are ahead of Northwestern in the BIG10 standings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-23 | Raptors +5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR. The Grizzlies are struggling, and they come into tonight's home game versus the Raptors with two starters out, and two more questionable. Toronto has been horrible this season, dealing with their own injuries. The Raptors are 3-3 SU on their current road trip, and one of those losses was a game decided by three points in Utah. History favors the Raptors here in Memphis, where they have covered in five straight. They are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings overall. A shorthanded Grizzlies team has no business being asked to cover a number like this here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-23 | Ohio State v. Michigan -175 | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MICH. The Wolverines are in the middle of the pack in the BIG10, and they will host an Ohio State team that appears to be in a downward spiral. The Buckeyes have lost eight of their last nine overall and five straight on the road. They also failed to cover in every single one of those losses. They come in with a 1-6 road record, averaging just 67.4 points in those games. Michigan has an 8-3 home record, and they have outscored opponents by an average margin of eight points in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-23 | Hawks v. Nuggets -6.5 | Top | 108-128 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN. The Hawks are on a roll, coming off back to back wins over the Suns and the Jazz. They take on the Denver Nuggets tonight, and playing the second game of a back to back at altitude is a tough spot. Denver is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games, 24-4 overall at home, and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 overall. Nikola Jokic will likely not play both games in an upcoming back to back, but it makes more sense to rest him on the back end in Minnesota on Sunday. The Hawks might want to rest some of their starters here in Denver. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-23 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -135 | 78-74 | Loss | -135 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Clemson. The Tigers are in first place in the ACC, and they are 12-0 at home. They are just a slight favorite in Saturday's home game against Miami, and the Hurricanes are 4-4 on the road. Clemson has covered in five of their last six home games, and they are outscoring opponents by an average margin of 13 points per game on their home court. The home team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-23 | Illinois v. Iowa -150 | 79-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IOWA. Illinois sits second in the BIG10, but they are in a tough spot on the road at Iowa. The Hawkeyes are 11-2 at home, and the home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine head to head meetings in this series. Iowa has covered the spread in seven of their last eight overall, and the Hawkeyes are 45-20-3 ATS in their last 68 home games. They average almost 90 points per game at home, and they have outscored opponents by an average margin of 17 points in their home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-23 | TCU v. Oklahoma State -170 | 73-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on OKST. The Cowboys are just a short favorite at home versus TCU, and the home team is 9-1 SU in the last 10 meetings in this series. Oklahoma State owns a 9-2 home record, going 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games. The Horned Frogs won't have leading scorer Mike Miles Jr. who is sidelined with a knee injury. The junior guard averages over 18 points per game, and logged a team high 30 minutes per game. It's a big loss for TCU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-23 | Hornets v. Pistons -125 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 17 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. The Pistons aren't favored to win many games, but catching the Hornets on the second game of a back to back is as good a spot as you can get. Detroit has been quite competitive lately, losing by six at Dallas, losing by three versus Houston and winning outright at Brooklyn. The Pistons won at Charlotte in OT earlier this season, and Kelly Oubre Jr. was the Hornets leading scorer in that game. Oubre Jr. is out with a torn ligament in his hand, and Charlotte might be resting or limiting the minutes of some starters for tonight's game. LaMelo Ball was ejected in the 4th quarter last night in Chicago, and he's battled injuries all season long. It might be a good idea to rest him here in Detroit, or at least limit his minutes. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-23 | Stanford v. Utah -6.5 | 78-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on UTAH. The Utes are just a game out of first place in the PAC12, and they host bottom feeders Stanford tonight. I have to believe Utah is at least 7-points better than Stanford. They beat the Cardinal by a score of 71-66 at Stanford earlier this season. Stanford comes in off four straight home wins, most recently against last place California. The Cardinal are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. The Utes have outscored opponents by an average margin of 17 points while going 10-3 at home. The home team is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-23 | Hawks v. Suns -125 | Top | 132-100 | Loss | -125 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHX. Despite all the injuries and a poor start to the season, the Suns have won six of their last seven, and they are 19-8 at home this season. Both DeAndre Ayton and Chris Paul are back in the lineup, and Ayton is coming off a double-double with 22 points and 13 boards in a win over the Raptors. They host the Atlanta Hawks, and the home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings in this series. The Hawks are 1-5-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Phoenix. Tre Young is expected to return after missing the last game with sore ankle, but it might not be enough to get a win over a team that has won 51 of it's last 69 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-23 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma -170 | Top | 71-61 | Loss | -170 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Oklahoma. Some might suggest that the Sooners are primed for a let down after upsetting Alabama in a 24-point blowout win at home in their last game. I will push back on that, as it's a rivalry game in a revenge spot after they got blown out in Stillwater earlier in the year. The home team has won straight up in eight of the last 10 meetings, and the Cowboys are 2-5 straight up on the road. The home team is 21-8-1 in the last 30 head to head meetings. Oklahoma State struggles to score on the road (averaging 67.3 points per game) and I don't think they can score enough to keep up to the Sooners here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-23 | Clippers -145 v. Bulls | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. The Clippers come into Chicago as short favorites, and they lost their last game 122-99 at Cleveland. Paul George and Kawhi Leonard were out due to load management, but we are expecting both stars to return tonight in Chicago. The Clippers have won five straight when both their stars play, and they were 32-11 when both played during the 2020-2021 season. The Clippers are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Chicago. The Bulls have a rather pedestrian home record, and I don't think they are good enough to beat a team with two Top 10 players going at full speed. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-23 | Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL -175 | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on MIA. The Canes are 11-0 at home, while the Hokies are 0-6 on the road. This has all the signs of a close game but given the home away splits I gotta back the home team as a short favorite. The Hokies have scored an average of 67.5 points per game on the road, 13.5 points fewer than the Canes are scoring at home. The Hokies are 10-26-1 ATS in their last 37 road games, and just 2-7 ATS in their last nine overall. It's asking too much for them to get the upset here IMO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-23 | Wizards -4.5 v. Spurs | 127-106 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on WAS. The Wizards have won five straight, and they are 11-5 in their last 16 overall. They are in San Antonio tonight, and the Spurs have lost five straight and 10 of their last 11. Their last game was a 128-118 OT loss at home versus Phoenix. The Spurs have failed to cover in four straight, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five when coming off a loss. The Wizards have covered in four straight road games, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a losing record. The conclusion is that these two teams are trending in opposite directions, giving us value backing the road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-23 | Michigan v. Penn State -3 | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PSU. The Wolverines are 1-3 SU on the road, and they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six game overall. They are at Penn State, and the Nittany Lions are 10-1 SU at home, and have covered in 18 of their last 24 home games. Penn State is coming off a blowout loss at Rutgers, and the Nittany Lions are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Michigan has failed to cover in four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-23 | Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 232.5 | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Mavs won in Phoenix without Luka, by a score of 98-85, and we might expect another low score without their leading scorer here in Utah. The Mavericks are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games. They are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win. The under is 14-6 in the Jazz last 20 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. These teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-23 | Wizards v. Pelicans -180 | 113-103 | Loss | -180 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the PELICANS. A few weeks back the Pelicans were the best team in the Western Conference, but injuries have taken their toll. They come into this game looking to snap a six game losing streak, and Brandon Ingram is back. He played 26 minutes in a loss to Minnesota, and we should expect him to be more effective here tonight. The Wizards are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings in New Orleans, and they have struggled on the road this year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-23 | Suns -6 v. Spurs | 128-118 | Win | 100 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the SUNS. I had Phoenix in their last game, and it was a disappointing loss to the Mavs. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Suns have been decimated by injuries, but that hasn't prevented them from winning 18 of 25 home games. They host the Dallas Mavericks tonight, and Dallas has lost 15 of 23 road games. The home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine head to head meetings. Chris Paul is back, and he had 11 assists in a blowout win over Charlotte on Tuesday. The Mavs will not have 2nd leading scorer and 2nd leading rebounder Christian Wood. The Suns are expecting their big man back on Thursday. DeAndre Ayton leads the Suns in scoring and rebounding." The Suns are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in San Antonio. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-23 | NC State v. Wake Forest -170 | 79-77 | Loss | -170 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Wake. The Wolfpack are coming off an 85-82 home win over Notre Dame, and they are just 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win. They are Wolfpack are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games. Wake is strong at home, with a 10-1 record this season. They are coming off an 81-79 loss at Pittsburgh, and they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-23 | Mavs v. Suns -120 | Top | 99-95 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Phoenix. The Suns have been decimated by injuries, but that hasn't prevented them from winning 18 of 25 home games. They host the Dallas Mavericks tonight, and Dallas has lost 15 of 23 road games. The home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine head to head meetings. Chris Paul is back, and he had 11 assists in a blowout win over Charlotte on Tuesday. The Mavs will not have 2nd leading scorer and 2nd leading rebounder Christian Wood. The Suns are expecting their big man back on Thursday. DeAndre Ayton leads the Suns in scoring and rebounding. The Mavericks are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games, and they are 17-35-2 ATS in their last 54 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-23 | Iowa v. Michigan State -140 | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Michigan State. The Spartans have lost three of their last four, but two of those losses came on the road, and a home loss to BIG10 leaders Purdue by a single point. They host Iowa tonight, and this looks like a great spot for the home team to get back on track. The Hawkeyes are a far better team on their home court, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven road games. The Spartans are also stronger at home, and they have covered in five straight on their home court. Their most recent home game was a double digit win over Rutgers. Michigan State is 20-5 straight up in their last 25 games in East Lansing. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-23 | Pacers v. Magic -4.5 | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ORL. The Magic are coming off a blowout win over the Celtics, and they are .500 at home. They host a Pacers team playing the second game of a back to back without their leading scorer. Indiana is 8-16 SU on the road this season, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. They Pacers haven't covered any of their games since losing Tyrese Haliburton to a knee injury. The Magic are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games, and they have won three of their last four home games by more than four points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-23 | St. Joe's v. George Washington -4 | 91-92 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GW. The Colonials will be a short home favorite versus St. Joe's on Wednesday, and some might think this looks like a let down spot coming off a win over Dayton. It might be a bigger let down for the Red Hawks who have won three straight versus conference bottom feeders UMass, LaSalle and Loyola Chicago. The Hawks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they have lost three of their last four at George Washington. The home team has covered in five of the last six head to head meetings, and this looks like a short line. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-23 | Hornets v. Suns -6.5 | 97-128 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHX. The Suns are still dealing with more than their share of injuries, but CP3 returned and scored 22 points in a home win over Memphis over the weekend. The Suns are still 17-7 at home, and they have won their last two games versus Charlotte by a combined 65 points. The Hornets are coming off an 18 point loss at Utah, and they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. The Hornets are just 8-19 SU on the road, and they should be looking at another double digit loss here in Arizona. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-23 | Ohio State v. Illinois -3.5 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Illinois. The Buckeyes have lost five of eight games in the BIG10, and they have lost four of five on the road. They might not have leading rebounder Zed Key for tonight's game in Illinois, as his status is questionable with a lower body injury. They are coming off a home win over Iowa, and they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Illinois is 9-2 straight up at home, and they have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 home games. This looks like a short line. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-23 | Pelicans v. Heat -7 | 96-100 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. So I bet against the Pelicans in their last game, and here is what I said before their loss at Orlando: "The Pelicans are coming off back to back losses, and they have lost five of their last seven overall. They have three starters out of the lineup, including two of their top three scorers. Their last game was a 26 point home loss to the Miami Heat." Now they are on the road in Miami just a few days later, and two of their three top scorers remain sidelined. The Heat are at full strength, despite dealing with a ton of injuries all year. The Heat are 8-1 straight up in their last nine versus New Orleans. The Pelicans have failed to cover in four straight at Miami and they are 5-18 ATS in the last 23 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-23 | Magic v. Wizards -5.5 | 118-138 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on WAS. I had Orlando last night, and they won easily over a shorthanded New Orleans team at home. Now the Magic play on the road in the second game of a back to back in Washington. The Wizards have won six straight in this series, and five of those six wins came by 6+ points. The Magic are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Magic are 6-16 straight up on the road, and this looks like a tough spot on no rest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-23 | Texas Tech +5 v. Kansas State | 58-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Texas Tech. Kansas State is coming off an 83-82 home win over Kansas, setting them up for a let down here against Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are still looking for their first conference win, but they are healthier now than they have been over the last few weeks. Their last road game was a 72-70 loss at Texas. The Red Raiders are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings, and three of those wins came at Manhattan. The underdog has covered in five straight in this series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-23 | Rutgers v. Michigan State -145 | 57-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MSU. The Spartans have lost back to back games, but they covered against Purdue, and they gave Illinois a run for their money in Champaign. A home game against Rutgers is expected to be another close game, but ultimately home court should be enough to allow the Spartans to get back into the winner's circle. The Scarlet Knights have lost five straight at East Lansing, and they are just 2-8 straight up in the last 10 meetings. The Spartans have covered in four straight home games, and five of their last six overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-23 | Pacers v. Thunder -170 | 106-126 | Win | 100 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on OKC. The Thunder have won five of their last six overall, and they are just two games under .500. They have a winning record at home, and this looks like a good spot to back them as a home favorite. The Pacers are 8-13 on the road, and they have lost four straight. Their leading scorer Tyrese Haliburton is on the shelf with an elbow injury. The Thunder are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 2 days rest, and they have covered in four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-23 | Florida v. Texas A&M -3.5 | Top | 52-54 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas A&M. The Aggies are undefeated in the SEC, and they are 8-1 at home. They have already beat the Gators in Florida this season, and they won both meetings versus Florida last season. The Gators are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Aggies are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus Florida. The Aggies have outscored opponents by an average margin of 19 points at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-23 | Montana v. Eastern Washington -165 | Top | 57-64 | Win | 100 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on EWU. The Eagles are undefeated in conference play, and they look good as just a small home favorite here tonight. The Eagles are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they have covered the spread in five of their last six home games. The Grizzlies are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games, and they are just 3-3 in the Big Sky. One of their losses came on the road at Northern Arizona, a team with a 5-14 record. The Eagles are averaging 92 points per game at home this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-23 | Suns v. Grizzlies -9.5 | 106-136 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MEM. The Grizzlies host the Suns Monday, and it's unclear if Ja Morant will suit up and play. The Suns though will certainly be fielding a lineup of second and third string players. Chris Paul, Devin Booker, Cam Johnson, Cam Payne and Jay Crowder are all ruled out. This is a Suns team that is just 7-16 on the road, and they have lost eight of their last nine overall. The Grizzlies are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 home games. Desmond Bane should get his share of points here. He had a game high 25 points against the Pacers on Friday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-23 | Warriors -140 v. Bulls | 118-132 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on GSW. The Warriors have one of the worst road records in the NBA, but Curry is back and they are finally healthy. They scored 144 points in a win at San Antonio on Friday, and they catch the Bulls at the right time. Chicago has lost three straight, and their last game was a 14-point home loss to Oklahoma City. Golden State is 10-0 straight up in the last 10 meetings, and they have covered the spread in four straight versus Chicago. The Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-23 | Ohio State v. Rutgers -168 | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights have won 52 of their last 62 home games, and they host a struggling Buckeyes team on Sunday. Ohio State has lost three straight, and they have just one win in three road games. The Scarlet Knights are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. The home team is 7-1 straight up in the last eight head to head meetings. Rutgers has held opponents to just 52 points per game at home this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-23 | Hawks v. Raptors -5.5 | 114-103 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Raptors have been underachieving, but they come into Saturday's home game against Atlanta as winners of three straight. They have also won three straight home games versus the Hawks, all by a double digit margin. The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Atlanta, and the Hawks have failed to cover in five of their last six north of the border. Playing the second game of a back to back in Canada is a tough spot for the visitors. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-23 | Colorado State v. UNLV -5.5 | 82-81 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UNLV. The Rebels host the Rams in a matchup between two teams sitting at the bottom of the standings in the Mountain West. While both teams have just one conference win, the Rebels losses have come against Mountain West powerhouses San Diego State, Boise State and on the road at San Jose State. The Rams on the other hand are coming off a double digit home loss to Air Force. The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they have failed to cover in five straight versus teams with a winning record. The Rebels are coming off a home loss to Boise State, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-23 | Duke v. Clemson -132 | Top | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Clemson. The Tigers are sitting in first place in the ACC, and they are undefeated at home (9-0). The home team is 8-2 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and this year's Blue Devils team is not your typical Duke squad we saw under Coach K. Duke has lost two of three road games so far, failing to cover in all three. They lost at Wake Forest by double digits, and Clemson beat that same Demon Deacons team by 20 points. Starting PG Jeremy Roach, who leads the Blue Devils in assists is expected to miss this game with a foot injury. I'll take the Tigers to get the "W" at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-23 | Kent State -150 v. Ohio | Top | 70-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on KENT. The Golden Flashes have won 19 of their last 23 conference games, and they are undefeated in the MAC so far this season. They have three seniors in their starting five, including their two leading scorers Sincere Carry and Malique Jacobs. This is the best team in the MAC, and I wouldn't be expecting them to lose many games this season whether at home or on the road. The Golden Flashes are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The Bobcats are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-23 | San Francisco -132 v. Portland | 87-92 | Loss | -132 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on San Francisco. The Dons are 21-8 straight up at home the last two years, and they are coming off a two-point home loss to Gonzaga, followed up with a two-point win on the road at Loyola. The Dons are 4-1 straight up in their last five versus Portland, and they won both meetings at Portland during that span. The Dons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games, while the Pilots are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall. The Pilots are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points, and they are coming off an 85-43 loss at St. Mary's. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-23 | Gonzaga v. BYU +7 | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BYU. This will be the third consecutive road game for Gonzaga, after beating San Francisco by two points, and winning 81-76 at Santa Clara. Despite being 5-18-3 ATS in their last 26 games overall, they are asked to cover another big number on the road at BYU. I don't think the markets have yet caught up to the fact that this Gonzaga team is no longer in the elite class it has been in recent seasons. The Bulldogs are 3-15-3 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win, and they have failed to cover in four straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-23 | Creighton v. Xavier -140 | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on XAV. The Musketeers are 8-1 at home, 13-3 overall and 5-0 in the Big East. They host Creighton and they are just a slight favorite tonight. Creighton has lost all three true road games, and history favors the home team in previous head to head meetings. Xavier won both meetings last season, winning 80-73 at home. The Musketeers are 4-1 straight up in their last five home games versus Creighton. This line should probably be a bit higher. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-23 | Texas Tech +7 v. Iowa State | Top | 50-84 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEXAS TECH. The Red Raiders will be shorthanded here at Iowa State, and they are already 0-3 in conference play. History suggests that this game will be close, and I think the bookmakers are overreacting to a few injuries here. Daniel Batcho and Pop Isaacs didn't play in an overtime loss to Oklahoma, but the Cyclones leading rebounder Aljaz Kunc has also missed the last three weeks. Texas Tech has won eight of the last 10 in this series, and both losses came in games decided by four points. The Cyclones are 3-0 in the BIG12, but two of those wins came in games decided by three points or less. I'll take the points! GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-23 | Nets -165 v. Heat | 102-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on BKN. The Nets have won 13 of their last 14 overall, and they are just a small favorite on the road at Miami Sunday. The Heat are returning from a five game road trip, and they are banged up at the moment. They have nine players coming into Sunday's game with an injury designation. Some of these guys will play, but certainly depth will be an issue for Miami. The Nets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall and they are 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings in Miami. The Heat are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-23 | Niagara -150 v. Manhattan | 59-64 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Niagra. The Manhattan Jaspers have only won four games so far this season, and they host the Niagara Purple Eagles on Sunday. Niagara won 72-63 at Manhattan last year, and the Jaspers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. The Purple Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Niagara already has won convincingly on the road at Quinnipiac and Farfield, while Manhattan is coming off back to back home losses to Canisius and Quinnipiac. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-06-23 | St. Peter's v. Siena -7.5 | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Siena. The Saints are undefeated in the MAAC, and they host St. Peters on Friday. This isn't the same Peacocks team that made noise in the NCAA Tournament last year. The Peacocks are 2-3 in the MAAC, and their wins have come against Manhattan and Quinnipiac, two of the worst teams in the country. St. Peters has failed to cover in eight straight road games, and the home team is 15-5 ATS in the last 20 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-23 | Indiana v. Iowa -1 | Top | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes are reeling after losing three straight, but a home game against BIG10 rivals Indiana looks like a good spot to get back on track. The home team is 5-1 straight up in the last six meetings between these teams. The Hoosiers have failed to cover in four straight overall, and four of five on the road. They have been playing without two starters, leading scorer Trayce-Jackson-Davis and PG Xavier Johnson. The Hawkeyes are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-23 | Connecticut v. Providence +5 | 61-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Providence. The Huskies are no longer invincible, coming off their first loss of the season on the road at #22 ranked Xavier. They will be asked to cover a sizable number here on the road at unranked Providence. History favors the Friars, who are unbeaten at home, and unbeaten in the Big East. They have won four of their last five home games versus Connecticut, and the one loss came by a score of 82-79. The Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss, and the home team has covered in eight of the last 10 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-23 | Nets v. Bulls OVER 235 | 112-121 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Nets come into Chicago as winners of 12 straight overall. They have scored an average of 122 points in their last five games overall. The bookmakers have set the total at a high number, but I am not sure it's high enough. It's still lower than the number of 238 in the Nets last visit to Chicago, and that game went over with Brooklyn winning 138-112. The Bulls come in scoring 121 points per game in their last five overall, unfortunately for them though they have allowed opponents to average 122 points during that span. The Bulls have gone over in five of their last six overall, and six of their last eight at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-23 | Wizards v. Bucks -8 | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIL. This is a revenge game for the Bucks after losing at home to Washington on New Years Day. They were shorthanded in that game, without Giannis, Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday. We are expecting both Holiday and The Greek Freak to play here on Tuesday. The status of Bradley Beal is still questionable. The Wizards have failed to cover in 15 of their last 20 road games against a team with a winning record. The Bucks are 4-1 SU in their last five home games against Washington, and three of those four wins came by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-23 | Hawks v. Warriors -1.5 | 141-143 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. Despite the injuries to Andrew Wiggins and Steph Curry, the Warriors have won four straight. Their home record of 16-2 is the best in the NBA. The Hawks are a team that is struggling so badly that their head coach is considering resignation. The Hawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they also have a pair of starters battling injury (Hunter and Capella). The Warriors are 51-23-3 ATS in their last 77 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-22 | Baylor -1 v. Iowa State | 62-77 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BAY. The Cyclones will be a short home dog against undefeated Baylor, and some will think they look like a sharp play today. Iowa State has covered the spread in four straight meetings, but they have lost six straight and nine of the last 10 in this series. I have this line at -5.5 based on my numbers, and getting the Bears at a pickem is too goo to pass on. Baylor has a starting PG listed as questionable with a concussion, but the Cyclones leading rebounder Aljaz Kunc is out with a finger injury. The Bears are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-22 | Alabama -130 v. Mississippi State | 78-67 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Crimson Tide. Alabama has already beat two #1 ranked teams this season, one of those wins coming on the road at Houston. A road game in the SEC is never easy, but they should be the better team here in Starkville. The Bulldogs lost two of their top three scorers from last season to graduation, and they didn't really bring anyone in to replace last season's leading scorer Iverson Molinar. An 11-1 record has Mississippi State ranked in the Top 25, but don't expect them to remain ranked. They haven't played anybody, and they are coming off a 58-52 loss to Drake. They have failed to cover in seven of their last eight overall, and they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-22 | Clippers v. Raptors -5.5 | 124-113 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Toronto. So coming into the second game of a back to back, two days after Christmas and having won in overtime in Detroit, this is a tough spot for the Clippers. It wouldn't be a surprise to see LA either rest some starters or cut back on their minutes. Toronto is coming off back to back big road wins at Cleveland and New York, and they have had a few days off over Christmas. The Clippers are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Toronto. There is no doubt this is a let down spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-22 | Suns v. Nuggets -160 | 125-128 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a free pick on DEN. So the line indicates that Devin Booker will play, although his status is still in question. Assuming he plays it remains to be seen how effective he might be. Even with Booker the Suns aren't great on the road (5-9). The Suns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. The Nuggets have the best record in the Western Conference, and they are 11-3 at home. The Joker is gunning for another MVP, and the Suns are soft. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-22 | Grizzlies -175 v. Warriors | 109-123 | Loss | -175 | 54 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Grizz. I bet this game early and got a good line, but I really think the bookmakers can't set this line high enough. Without Steph, Wiggins and Klay, the Warriors have been embarrassed. They have been blown out in five of their last six games. Klay should play on Christmas day, but Draymond is questionable with foot soreness. They face Ja Morant and the Grizzlies, who might be motivated by the fact that the Dubs eliminated them in last year's playoffs. The Grizzlies have the best record in the Western Conference, and Ja Morant looks like an MVP candidate. The Grizzlies are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -160 | 118-139 | Win | 100 | 40 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Boston. The Celtics snapped a three game losing skid with a win over Minnesota on Thursday, and that win puts them back in first place overall in the NBA. They host the second place Milwaukee Bucks on Christmas Day, and both teams are sure to bring it! This looks like a tough ask for the Bucks, with this being their fourth straight road game. They are just a game over .500 on the road, and they have lost three of their last four road games. The Bucks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games. They haven't been a great bet in recent meetings versus Boston, going 3-13-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-22 | Lakers v. Mavs -175 | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 118 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Dallas. The Lakers are in a tough spot here on Christmas day in Dallas, without Anthony Davis and perhaps a few other role players. The Mavericks are 12-5 straight up at home, and they have won four of the last five head to head meetings. The Lakers have lost five of their last six road games by double digits. This is a chance for Luka Doncic to showcase himself in a home game against LeBron, and I expect him to make the most of it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-22 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 226.5 | 100-118 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Bucks come into Brooklyn averaging over 117 points per game in their last five overall, and the Nets have scored 126 points per game during that span. Neither team has been great defensively of late, each allowing 116.6 points per game in their last five. The last time the Bucks played in Brooklyn the betting total was set at 243. The opening number for tonight's game is lower than it was in each of the past five head to head meetings. I expect both teams to score plenty here in this marquee game two days before Christmas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-22 | Illinois -6.5 v. Missouri | 71-93 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ILL. The Missouri Tigers look pretty good with a 10-1 record, until you examine who they beat (10 unranked teams), and how they lost (by 28 points to Kansas). Illinois has played a much tougher schedule, with wins over #2 Texas and #8 UCLA. Mizzouri lost by 26 points in this exact game at this exact venue exactly one year ago (to the day). Illinois has lost five straight versus ranked teams, and four of those losses came by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-22 | Kent State -170 v. New Mexico State | 73-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Kent State. The Golden Flashes are 8-3, with two of their three losses coming against Top 25 teams. In fact one of those losses was a 49-44 loss at Houston. That's an impressive result when you consider Houston was shortly after ranked #1 nationally. I think Kent State is more than four points better than New Mexico State on a neutral court. The Golden Flashes are 22-5-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall, and they have played plenty of tough teams during that stretch. The Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games, but strength of schedule is a concern. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-22 | Virginia -140 v. Miami-FL | 64-66 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on UVA. The Virginia Cavaliers are coming off their first loss of the season to Houston. It was a close game, but the Cougars ended up taking a 69-61 road victory. The Cavs try to get back on track on the road in Miami today, and at first glance the Canes look like a formidable opponent. Miami is 11-1 overall and 8-0 at home. That sounds great until you check their schedule and see that they haven't really played anyone. Their first game against a ranked team will come against a Cavs team that has had their number in recent seasons. Virginia is 6-0 straight up in the last six meetings, so I like them to get the W here off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-22 | Bucks v. Pelicans OVER 227.5 | 128-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Bucks have the best record in the NBA, and they will take on the Pelicans in New Orleans Monday. The Pelicans are just a game back of Memphis for first place in the West. You know both teams will be up for this game, and history tells us that it should be a high scoring affair. The home team has won five of the last six head to head, and the over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings. The Pelicans have gone over in four of their last five overall, and the over is 17-4 in their last 21 versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |