Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-12-22 | Utah State v. Colorado State -4.5 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on CSU. The Colorado State Rams are coming off their first loss of the season against San Diego State, but they look to bounce back in a home game versus Utah State. The Aggies have failed to cover in four of their last five road games, and they scored an average of just over 75 points in those games. That might not be enough against a Rams team that averages over 86 points per game at home. The Rams have won 17 of their last 18 home games dating back to the beginning of last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-22 | Hornets v. 76ers -5 | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Philly. The Hornets are coming off back to back home wins over Milwaukee, and they could be due for a let down on the road at Philly. The Sixers have won seven straight, and Joel Embiid has scored 30+ points in all of those games. The 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win, and they are 10-0 straight up in their last 10 versus the Hornets. Their last three home wins over Charlotte came by an average margin of 13 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-22 | New Mexico v. UNLV UNDER 151.5 | 56-85 | Win | 100 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Rebels host the last place New Mexico Lobos, who are coming off back to back losses to Utah State and Nevada. The Lobos have lost six straight head to head meetings versus UNLV, and they have failed to cover in seven of the last eight meetings. Four of the last five head to head meetings went under the total. The total for tonight's game is more than 10 points higher than it was in both meetings in 2021. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies OVER 218.5 | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. While the Warriors defense has been stellar this season, they will be without their best defensive player (Draymond Green) when they play at Memphis tonight. This will be the second game back for Klay Thompson, and a showcase of Steph Curry versus Ja Morant. These teams have gone under the total in seven of the last nine head to head meetings, but tonight's total is significantly lower than it was in eight of the last nine meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-22 | Cavs v. Warriors -9.5 | 82-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
5* |
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01-08-22 | Knicks v. Celtics -7 | 75-99 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Celtics. The Celtics are coming off a 108-105 loss at MSG, blowing an 18 point lead in the second half. Evan Fornier went off for 41 points on 15-of-25 shooting, and this sets up a huge let down spot for Fornier and the Knicks. The Celtics look good here in a revenge spot with the majority of their squad intact. The Knicks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight as an underdog. The home team has won five straight meetings in this series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-22 | Ball State v. Eastern Michigan -120 | 78-72 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Eastern Michigan. The Eastern Michigan Eagles are just 6-6, and three of those wins came against Illinois State, Western Illinois and Fliorida International. What is the significance of three non-conference games when they are playing at home against a team from the Mac? Well all three of those teams are common opponents with Ball State, and the Cardinals went 0-3 versus those teams. The Cardinals are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games, and they are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, and they have covered in six straight as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-22 | Texas -155 v. Oklahoma State | 51-64 | Loss | -155 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Texas. The Longhorns are 12-2 overall, and they rank 1st in the nation allowing just 52.3 points per game. They will be a favorite on the road here in Stillwater, facing a Cowboys team that has lost four of their last five overall. They are just 4-4 at home, and they have only scored an average of 68.8 points in their last five games. Texas has held it's last five opponents to an average of just 50 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-22 | Syracuse v. Wake Forest -175 | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Wake Forest. Wake Forest is off to a strong start, with a 12-3 overall record and coming off a home win over Florida State. The Deacons are 9-0 at home, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite. The home team has won five of the last six meetings between these teams, and the Favorite has covered in five of the last six meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-22 | Jazz v. Raptors +3.5 | 108-122 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The NBA pushed the pause button shortly after Rudy Gobert tested positive for Covid back in 2020, and now two years later he's again tested positive. With the Jazz playing in Toronto Friday, they could be without their entire starting lineup. In fact it will be a miracle if this game is even played. Toronto on the other hand is playing it's best ball of the season, riding a four game win streak. The Jazz are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Toronto. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-22 | Cornell v. Pennsylvania -3.5 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Penn. The Quakers are 4-10, and they have lost six of their last seven games. They have played a tough schedule, and their last three losses came in games decided by single digits. They are the favorite in a home game against Cornell tonight, and the Big Red are coming off a 79-71 win over Dartmouth. Penn is 9-1 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Quakers have covered in five straight as a favorite, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-06-22 | Iowa v. Wisconsin UNDER 147 | 78-87 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Badgers are coming off an upset win at Purdue, holding the Boilermakers under 70 points on their home court. Wisconsin has allowed just 63.3 points per game while winning six of seven at home. They host the Iowa Hawkeyes who have only averaged 66 points per game on the road. The Hawkeyes last road game was a 73-53 loss at Iowa State. The under is 9-1 in the Hawkeyes last 10 road games. The under is 5-1 in the last six head to head meetings, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-22 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State -160 | 47-51 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Iowa State. The Cyclones won 12 straight before suffering their first loss of the season at the hands of #1 ranked Baylor. It was a close game, with the Bears winning 77-72. Iowa State looks to get back on track with a home game against Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four coming off a win. The Cyclones have been a defensive powerhouse, only allowing 57.7 points per game this season. They have held opponents to just 56 points per game at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-22 | Providence -2 v. Marquette | 56-88 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Providence. The Friars are in first place in the Big East, and they play on the road at last place Marquette. The Golden Eagles are coming off a double overtime loss at home to Creighton, and they should be overmatched here. The Friars have some big road wins already this season, winning at Wisconsin, UCONN and DePaul. Marquette has lost some big games at home, losing to UCLA, UCONN and Marquette. The Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games, and the Friars are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-21 | Utah v. Oregon State UNDER 140.5 | 76-88 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Oregon State Beavers are 2-10 overall, and 0-2 in the Pac12. They have really struggled on offense, scoring just 67 points per game. They have been pretty average on defense, allowing 72 points per game, very close to the national average. Utah comes in with an 8-4 record overall and they are 1-1 in the Pac12. The under is 2-2 in the last four head to head meetings, but tonight's total is far higher than it was in those previous four games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -6 | Top | 87-101 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
10* |
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12-23-21 | Wolves v. Jazz -10.5 | 116-128 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Utah. The Jazz are one of a few teams that have yet to be decimated by Covid and injuries, and that's likely part of the reason why they have won nine of their last 11 games. Minnesota comes limping into Salt Lake City without Anthony Edwards, Patrick Beverly and Jarred Vanderbilt and several others. The Jazz are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days rest, and seven of their last nine wins have come by 10 or more points. The Jazz lead the NBA averaging 115.4 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-21 | Arizona v. Tennessee UNDER 149.5 | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Wildcats are still undefeated coming into Knoxville with an 11-0 record. Playing on the road at Tennessee will be the toughest test they've faced so far, as the Vols have allowed just 54 points per game at home. The Vols are 6-0 at home, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall. This will be the second time Arizona will play a ranked team, and their win over Michigan saw a combined 142 points, well under the listed total here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-21 | Xavier v. Villanova UNDER 137.5 | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Villanova Wilcats have lost back to back games, scoring an average of just 47.5 points. They shot just 22 percent from the field against Baylor, and just 33 percent from the field against Creighton. They are 3-0 at home and they have allowed fewer than 50 points per game in those wins. The Wildcats have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and they have gone under in three of their last four versus Xavier. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-21 | Utah State v. Iowa -5 | 75-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes have lost three straight, but two of those losses came against ranked teams on the road. They also lost at home to an Illinois team that is tied for first place in the BIG10. I like their chances of snapping this losing skid against Utah State. The Aggies have only faced one ranked opponent this season, and they lost by double digits at BYU. They have lost four of their last five versus ranked teams, by an average margin of over 10 points. The Hawkeyes held their own in a 77-70 loss at #2 ranked Purdue. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-21 | 76ers +105 v. Nets | 105-114 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHI. The Nets will once again be shorthanded due to Covid protocols, but their B-team is coming off an overtime win over the Toronto Raptors on Tuesday. Another win here at home versus Philly might be too much to ask. The Nets are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games, and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-21 | Arizona State v. Creighton -6.5 | 58-57 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Creighton. Arizona State has failed to impress, losing six of their first eight games. They come into Nebraska as winners of back to back games over Oregon and Grand Canyon, but they appear to be over-matched versus the Blue Jays. Creighton has won four of five home games, and they are coming off a double digit win over a ranked BYU team. The Sun Devils are 4-13-2 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog, and they are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Sun Devils have really missed starting forward Marcus Bagley, who has not played since mid November. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-21 | Iowa v. Iowa State +4.5 | 53-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Iowa State. The Cyclones are 8-0, and they have a pair of wins over ranked teams and a road win at Creighnton. They host the Hawkeyes tonight, and Iowa has lost back to back games. The Hawkeyes are averaging over 90 points per game, but they rank at the bottom of the BIG10 allowing over 70 points per game. The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings straight up, and the Cyclones are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. They underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-21 | Bucks -6.5 v. Heat | 104-113 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Milwaukee. The Heat have lost four of their last five, and the average margin of defeat in those games was more than 10 points. The Bucks have won 10 of their last 11 overall. Miami has struggled with Jimmy Butler battling an injury, and he's out for Wednesday's game against the Bucks. The Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite, and they have covered in four of their last five versus the Heat. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-21 | Hornets v. Hawks -4 | 130-127 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-05-21 | Northwestern v. Maryland -4.5 | 67-61 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-03-21 | 76ers v. Hawks -119 | 98-96 | Loss | -119 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Atlanta. The Sixers have just three wins in their last 12 games overall, and they have been dealing with injuries. Joel Embiid missed time with Covid, and since his return he has complained about his lack of fitness. The Hawks are on a roll, coming into this home game as winners of eight of their last nine. The 76ers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall, and they are 10-25-2 ATS in their last 37 games as a road underdog. The Hawks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-21 | Washington State v. Arizona State +1.5 | 51-29 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. |
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12-01-21 | Hawks v. Pacers -1 | 114-111 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Indiana. It's normal for teams to have a better record at home, but these two teams each have dramatic home away splits. The Pacers are 6-4 at home, and the Hawks are 3-8 on the road. The Hawks are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games, and they are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. The Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. The Hawks are 0-4 straight up in their last four at Indiana. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-21 | Pacers v. Wolves -3 | 98-100 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-27-21 | Heat v. Bulls UNDER 212 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Miami Heat rank 1st in the Eastern Conference in opponent's scoring average, and the Bulls aren't far behind. For that reason the total is pretty low here, but it is still higher than the number in three of the last four head to head meetings between these teams. The under is 6-1 in the Bulls last seven games as a home underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 16 as a dog. The under is 20-6 in the Bulls last 26 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-21 | Alabama v. Iona OVER 147.5 | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Two 4-0 teams will meet on Thanksgiving Day in California when the Crimson Tide take on the Iona Gaels. Both these teams come in scoring plenty of points, Alabama averaging over 89 points per game while the Gaels are averaging over 74 points per game. The Crimson Tide can play defense if they need to, but they are also content to run and gun if it suits them. That was the case when they beat South Dakota State 104-88 in their second game of the season. This game has the potential to be a similar style, with another high score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-21 | Ohio State v. Seton Hall +1 | 79-76 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Seton Hall. The Pirates are off to a 3-0 start despite losing their leading scorer from last season to the NBA draft. They still have three seniors in the starting lineup, and that experience has been paying dividends early in the season. They come off an upset win at #4 ranked Michigan, and they are the underdog here in a neutral site game against #19 ranked Ohio State. The Buckeyes are coming off a 71-65 loss to Xavier, in a game that they trailed from start to finish. This came after they narrowly avoided losing their season opener to Akron by hitting a game winning shot at the buzzer. The Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss, and the Pirates are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-21 | Hornets v. Hawks -6 | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Hawks. Atlanta didn't start the season off well after an inspired run in last year's playoffs, but they come into Saturday's home game against Charlotte as winners of three in a row. The Hornets are playing on the back end of a back to back, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. The Hawks are 24-4 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite, and they are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-21 | Clippers v. Grizzlies UNDER 221.5 | 108-120 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. I bet the under in the Clippers last game, a 106-92 win over the Spurs. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The LA Clippers have quietly been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season. They come into tonight's home game against the Spurs ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 103.3 points per game. That would be good enough to rank 1st in the NBA last season. The under is 6-1-1 in Spurs last eight road games, and they have gone under in five of their last six when coming off a loss. The Clippers scored just 90 points in a home loss to Chicago in their last game, and the under is 4-1 in their last five when coming off a loss." The Clippers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five versus Memphis. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-21 | Kings v. Wolves UNDER 223.5 | 97-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. After losing 99-96 at home to Phoenix in their last game, it seems rather optimistic to have the total set over 220 for a home game against the Sacramento Kings. The under is 11-4-1 in Kings last 16 road games, and the Kings have failed to reach the total in 35 of their last 51 overall. The under is 7-1 in the Timberwolves last eight home games, and they have failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 18 overall. Minnesota is only averaging 103 points per game this season (23rd). GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-21 | Toledo v. Oakland UNDER 147 | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Oakland Grizzlies will be a small favorite at home versus Toledo tonight, and the total for this matchup appears a little inflated. The Grizzlies have held their first two opponents to 56 points or fewer, going 1-1 versus West Virginia and Oklahoma State. The Grizzlies scored just 53 points in a loss to Toledo in 2020, and 63 points against the Rockets in a loss in 2019. Tonight's total is much higher than it was in those two games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-21 | Spurs v. Clippers UNDER 220 | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The LA Clippers have quietly been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season. They come into tonight's home game against the Spurs ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 103.3 points per game. That would be good enough to rank 1st in the NBA last season. The under is 6-1-1 in Spurs last eight road games, and they have gone under in five of their last six when coming off a loss. The Clippers scored just 90 points in a home loss to Chicago in their last game, and the under is 4-1 in their last five when coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-21 | BYU v. Oregon OVER 141.5 | 81-49 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Ducks scored 80+ points in both their first two games, and they shot 51.6 percent from the field in an 86-63 win over SMU in their last game. They hit 9-of-20 (45%) from beyond the arc in that game. Oregon has been playing a ton of high scoring games, with some pretty heavy over trends. The over is 8-0 in the Ducks last eight games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. They have also gone over in 10 of their last 11 neutral site games. The over is 10-2 in the Ducks last 12 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-21 | Pacers v. Knicks UNDER 217 | 84-92 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-14-21 | Warriors v. Hornets OVER 224.5 | 102-106 | Loss | -104 | 23 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Charlotte Hornets have won back to back games, but they rank dead last in the NBA allowing 116 points per game this season. Golden State ranks first in the NBA in scoring, averaging over 116 points per game. The Warriors come in as winners of seven straight, with an overall record of 11-1. The over is 4-1 in Hornets last five home games, and the over is 3-1 in the Warriors last four overall. Don't be surprised to see a high score in a game between two of the highest scoring teams in the NBA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-21 | Georgia v. Cincinnati UNDER 138.5 | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Bearcats gave up just 43 points in their season opener against Evansville, and they are a big favorite Saturday in a home game against Georgia. The Bulldogs scored just 58 points in a win over FIU in their first game of the season. Georgia shot just 35 percent from the field, going 3-of-15 (20%) from beyond the arc despite facing an inferior opponent. A road game against a notorious defensive powerhouse like Cincinnati spells trouble for the Bulldogs. Expect a low score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-21 | Villanova +4.5 v. UCLA | 77-86 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-11-21 | Heat v. Clippers -2.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAC. |
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11-10-21 | Hornets v. Grizzlies OVER 228.5 | 118-108 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. This game features the highest total on tonight's NBA card, but there is a good reason for that. Memphis and Charlotte rank 29th and 30th respectively in opponents scoring, and both these teams can score more than their share of points. In fact Charlotte ranks 2nd in the NBA averaging over 114 points per game. The Hornets have gone over in five of their last six overall, and the over is 4-0 in their last five games at Memphis. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-21 | Buffalo +16 v. Michigan | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Buffalo. The #6 ranked Wolverines will open their season as a double digit favorite against an unranked team from the MAC, but don't for a second think this game will be easy. Buffalo finished second in the MAC last season, and they are bringing back their leading scorer, their leading rebounder, and their assist leader. The Bulls are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, and they have covered in six straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-21 | Kentucky +1.5 v. Duke | 71-79 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on UK. Kentucky comes in ranked #10, and Duke #9, with the line close to a pickem for the season opener. There isn't much recent history between these teams, with Duke winning the last meeting 118-84 back in 2018. Things change fast for college basketball blue bloods like Duke and Kentucky, with freshmen phenoms arriving year after year, and departing shortly then after. It's the talent that is left behind that should favor Kentucky here this early in the season. Leading scorer Davion Mintz returns with junior Kion Brooks and Oscar Tshiebwe coming over from West Virginia. The Wildcats are 13-3-2 ATS in their last 18 neutral site games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-21 | Spurs v. Magic OVER 211.5 | 102-89 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The one take away from the early season NBA games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The Spurs and the Magic are doing their part to keep scoring up, by refusing to play defense. They are both allowing roughly 110 points per game, well above the league average. These two teams have gone over in six of the last seven meetings, and the over is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings in Orlando. The over is 9-2 in the Magic last 11 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-21 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 214 | 95-78 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Two teams that haven't had any problems scoring are Miami (2nd in the NBA averaging 115.6 points per game) and Boston (4th in the NBA averaging 113.9 points per game). These teams have gone over in six of the last seven head to head meetings, and the over is 12-5 in Miami's last 17 games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-21 | Hawks v. Nets UNDER 221 | 108-117 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Nobody has been hit harder by the rule changes than James Harden, who is only averaging 18.6 points per game so far this season. The Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games, and the under is 10-4 in the Hawks last 14 road games. The under is 8-2 in the Hawks last 10 games as an underdog. Brooklyn has failed to reach the total in five straight at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-21 | Kings v. Jazz UNDER 220 | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The Jazz are one of five teams allowing less than 100 points per game, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. The under is 19-6-1 in the Kings last 26 road games, and the under is 9-1 in the Kings last 10 games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-21 | Blazers +2 v. 76ers | 103-113 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Blazers. The Blazers are an underdog on the road at Philly, and they have dominated the Sixers in recent seasons. Portland is 6-1 straight up in the last seven head to head meetings, and the one loss came in a game decided by one point. Joel Embiid will sit out this game, making it a tough ask for the Sixers to snap this trend. Philly is 1-4 ATS in their last five when coming off a win, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-21 | Jazz v. Bucks UNDER 224.5 | 107-95 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. I had the under in last night's game when the Jazz lost to Chicago. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Both the Utah Jazz and the Chicago Bulls rank near the top of the NBA in points allowed so far. History suggests that these teams trend toward low scoring games, and the under is 20-7-1 in the last 28 meetings. The under is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Chicago." With another big total in tonight's game in Milwaukee, I'll take the under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-21 | Jazz v. Bulls UNDER 217.5 | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-29-21 | Hornets v. Heat UNDER 222.5 | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Heat are off to a great start, winning three of their first four games. They host Charlotte tonight, and the Hornets are also playing well. Miami is getting it done on defense, ranking 1st in the NBA in opponent's scoring allowing just 95 points per game. Charlotte is on the opposite end ranking 1st in the NBA in scoring. Scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The under is 10-3 in the Hornets last 13 games as a road underdog. The total in the last seven head to head meetings has never been higher than 216.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -5 | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. The Warriors are off to a helluva start to the season, undefeated with a 4-0 record (9-0 if you include the pre-season). They host the Grizzlies who are coming off a 20 point loss at Portland last night. The Grizz are in a tough spot with another road game in the second game of a back to back. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to cover in four straight versus a team with a winning record. They are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Golden State. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and they have covered in eight of their last 10 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-21 | 76ers v. Knicks UNDER 217 | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The New York Knicks finished #1 overall in scoring defense last season, and Philly wasn't far behind. Both these teams appear to have picked up right where they left off, and if history is any indication then we could be in for another low scoring game. Three of four meetings last season went under the total, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in three of the four meetings last season. The under is 17-8 in the 76ers last 25 road games, and the under is 7-3 in the Knicks last 10 games as a home favorite. The Knicks have failed to reach the total in four straight home games versus Philly. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-25-21 | Magic v. Heat -13 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. The Orlando Magic are not going to win many games this year, and it's not a surprise to see them as a double digit underdog in Miami tonight. Both of their losses so far have come by 20+ points. The Heat are coming off a loss at Indiana, but they beat defending champions Milwaukee by 40+ in their home opener. The Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a win, and the Heat are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite. The Heat will win this game by as many points as they "feel like". GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-21 | Heat -165 v. Pacers | 91-102 | Loss | -165 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. The Heat crushed Milwaukee in their season opener, and they catch the Indiana Pacers on the back end of a back to back tonight. The Pacers lost in overtime in the nation's capital last night. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Indiana, and they are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. The Heat are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. This is a tough spot for the Pacers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-21 | Clippers v. Warriors -155 | 113-115 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on GSW. The Warriors are coming off an undefeated pre-season, and they beat the Lakers in LA in their season opener. They host the LA Clippers in their home opener, and I see no reason why we shouldn't continue to ride the hot hand. The Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games. Steph Curry had a triple-double in the win over the Lakers, and he scored a total of 71 points in his final two games of the pre-season. It's fair to say that he's already in mid-season form. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-21 | Wizards v. Raptors -137 | 98-83 | Loss | -137 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The Wizards open the season north of the border in Toronto, and this looks like a tough matchup for the visitors. The Raptors are a much younger team, with veterans Kyle Lowry, Serge Ibaka, Marc Gasol, and Norm Powell all moved on. Fred Van Fleet, Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby sre still in the starting lineup, along with veteran Goran Drajic who came over from Miami. The Wizards were winless in the pre-season, including a loss to Toronto. The interesting thing about the Raptors win over Washington was that the Raptors starters did not play against Bradley Beal, KCP, Kyle Kuzma and Spencer Dinwiddie. Toronto is 9-1 straight up in their last 10 versus the Wizards, and this is a big game in a home opener after they played last season's home games in Tampa. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-21 | Nets v. Bucks -114 | 104-127 | Win | 100 | 17 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks are defending champions, and they host the Brooklyn Nets in their season opener. These teams last played in double overtime in Game 7 od the Eastern Conference Semi Final. The Nets have failed to cover in four of their last five at Milwaukee, and they are 15-32-1 ATS in the last 48 head to head meetings. The Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. Milwaukee was 26-10 straight up at home last year and they were 30-5 straight up at home in 2019. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-20-21 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 222.5 | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. It's fair to say that Game 5 was an outlier. It was the first time in this series that the road team won, and it was also the first time in this series that the total went over in the first half. The Phoenix Suns scored 119 points, shot better than 55 percent from the field and hit over 68 percent of thier three-point attempts. Those numbers are good enough to win 99 percent of the time, but in Game 5 the Bucks somehow shot 57.5 percent from the field and hung on for a stunning victory. So what happens in Game 6? I am going to go out on a limb and say Milwaukee won't be able to pull that off again. Looking back at Game 4 in Milwaukee, Phoenix dominated that game for the first three quarters, and fell apart in the final three minutes. With no margin for error, I expect the Suns to be at their best here in this elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-20-21 | Suns +180 v. Bucks | 98-105 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHX. It's fair to say that Game 5 was an outlier. It was the first time in this series that the road team won, and it was also the first time in this series that the total went over in the first half. The Phoenix Suns scored 119 points, shot better than 55 percent from the field and hit over 68 percent of thier three-point attempts. Those numbers are good enough to win 99 percent of the time, but in Game 5 the Bucks somehow shot 57.5 percent from the field and hung on for a stunning victory. So what happens in Game 6? I am going to go out on a limb and say Milwaukee won't be able to pull that off again. Looking back at Game 4 in Milwaukee, Phoenix dominated that game for the first three quarters, and fell apart in the final three minutes. With no margin for error, I expect the Suns to be at their best here in this elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns -175 | 123-119 | Loss | -175 | 68 h 27 m | Show | |
8* |
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07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns UNDER 219 | 123-119 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. I bet the under for the first half of Game 2, and here is what I said before tipoff: “The Bucks scored just 49 points in the first half of Game 1, and Giannis once again struggled at the free throw line. The total for Game 2 is a little higher than it was in the previous game, and I expect both the team to turn up the heat on defense. The Suns should continue to send Giannis to the line every chance they get, and the Bucks may have to make a few adjustments to slow down Chris Paul. The under is 8-1 in the Bucks last nine games following a straight up loss, and the under is 9-4 in the Bucks last 13 games as an underdog.” Despite going under in the first half in each of the first four games, the total for Game 5 is still quite high. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-14-21 | Suns v. Bucks -178 | 103-109 | Win | 100 | 57 h 34 m | Show | |
5* |
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07-11-21 | Suns v. Bucks -164 | 100-120 | Win | 100 | 68 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Milwaukee. The Bucks are facing a must win situation in Game 3, as no team has ever come back from a 3-0 deficit in the NBA Finals. They came on strong in the first quarter of Game 2, leading 29-26 heading into the 2nd quarter. The Suns had no answer for Giannis, who scored 42 points and pulled in a dozen rebounds. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a ATS loss, and they are 7-1 straight up at home in these playoffs. The Suns might just get caught flat footed here as the series heads back to Milwaukee. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-08-21 | Bucks +5.5 v. Suns | 108-118 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bucks. I bet Phoenix in Game 1, and I have Phoenix winning the series and Chris Paul to win MVP. That being said, Game 1 wasn't as one-sided as the final score would indicate, and I expect Milwaukee to be better in Game 2. Devin Booker was just 8-of-21 from the field, scoring the majority of his points at the free throw line. A lot has been made about the disparity in free throw opportunities, and the Bucks have been lobbying for more calls in Game 2. The Bucks are 4-0 ATS when coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-08-21 | Bucks v. Suns UNDER 221 | 108-118 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under 1H. The Bucks scored just 49 points in the first half of Game 1, and Giannis once again struggled at the free throw line. The total for Game 2 is a little higher than it was in the previous game, and I expect both the team to turn up the heat on defense. The Suns should continue to send Giannis to the line every chance they get, and the Bucks may have to make a few adjustments to slow down Chris Paul. The under is 8-1 in the Bucks last nine games following a straight up loss, and the under is 9-4 in the Bucks last 13 games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns -5.5 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 57 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Phoenix to win the Finals. The Milwaukee Bucks finished with the best record in the Eastern Conference in both 2019 & 2020, but each of those seasons ended with post-season disappointment. Are they really any better this year than they were the last two years... or have they just been fortunate that James Harden, Kyrie Irving and Tre Young all got hit by injuries? Their luck may have run out here in the Finals, facing a healthy Phoenix team that finished with the second best record in the NBA this season. Giannis might play, but it's highly unlikely that he will be anywhere near 100 percent. Even when healthy, he's had plenty of struggles, especially at the free throw line. The Suns have won five of their last six versus Milwaukee, and they have covered in six of their last seven versus the Bucks. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks | 118-107 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. This series has been all over the map, with injuries playing such a key role. The Bucks proved that they can win without Giannis in Game 5 at home, but they sure didn't rise to the challenge back in Game 4 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as an underdog, and the Hawks are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games. I expect Atlanta to make the necessary adjustments, and Game 6 should look a lot like Game 4. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 217.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. This series has been all over the map, with injuries playing such a key role. The Bucks proved that they can win without Giannis in Game 5 at home, but they sure didn't rise to the challenge back in Game 4 in Atlanta. Both games in Atlanta were low scoring, and the under is 5-0 in the Bucks last five at Atlanta. The under is 8-3-1 in Bucks last 12 overall, and they have gone under in nine of their last 12 as an underdog. I expect points to be hard to come by in this elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-01-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -132 | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Milwaukee. The Bucks are reeling after losing Giannis to a knee injury in Game 4, but after seeing the Hawks dominate from start to finish with Trae Young on the bench, it's up to the Bucks to respond in similar fashion. Mike Budenholzer didn't have the troops prepared for Game 4, but I expect him to get his house in order for a must win game at home. Remember the last game in Milwaukee was a blowout, with the Bucks winning by 34 points. Jrue Holiday scored 22 points on 9-of-14 shooting, and the Bucks shot over 52 percent from the field. They will miss Giannis, but if everyone else does their job... they can do this. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-30-21 | Suns -103 v. Clippers | 130-103 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHX. The Clippers caught a break in Game 5, in fact they caught quite a few breaks. Paul George scored 41 points on 15-of-20 shooting, Reggie Jackson and Markus Morris also scored 20+, both shooting for an extremely high percentage. The Suns came out flat, with low energy and Chris Paul was 0-of-6 from beyond the arc. So can LA count on all those things going right in Game 6? I seriously doubt it ... The Suns should come out with a killer instinct here, and prove they are still the better team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-28-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5.5 | 116-102 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Suns. The Clippers have had an impressive run since Kawhi Leonard went down, but it could all be over in Phoenix tonight. Chris Paul told reporters after Game 4 that he isn't taking anything for granted with a 3-1 series lead. He's seen how quickly a series can turn around, and he's focused on punching his ticket to the finals right here and now. The Suns are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. They opened up a nine point lead in the first quarter of Game 4, and extended the lead to 14 by halftime. We should expect another fast start for the home team in Game 5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-27-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +4.5 | 113-102 | Loss | -101 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Hawks were downright awful in Game 2 in Milwaukee, but I expect to see a different team at home in Atlanta tonight. The Bucks might be liking their own smell after they blew the doors off in Game 2, and they could get caught flat footed early on the road here. The Bucks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six Conference Finals games. The Hawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games, and they have covered in four of their last five coming off an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-26-21 | Suns -113 v. Clippers | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Phoenix. The Suns came into Game 3, flying high with a 2-0 series lead. Chris Paul was back, and they were selling "Suns in Four" T-shirts in Phoenix. Well after shooting just 38.8 percent from the field, and 10-of-32 from three-point range, they are in danger of heading home with the series tied at 2-2. Paul George put up big numbers in Game 3, and he even made a half-court shot. He didn't shoot that well though, hitting just 3-of-11 from three-point range. In fact if he didn't miss a pair of free throws in the dying seconds of Game 2, the Clippers might be leading this series. Chances are that we will see a better performance from Chris Paul and Devin Booker in Game 4, but it's tough to ask for more from Paul George. The Suns are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7.5 | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Milwaukee. |
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06-24-21 | Suns v. Clippers +101 | 92-106 | Win | 101 | 26 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Clippers. So the Clippers are down 0-2 heading in to Game 3 in LA, exactly the same situation they faced against Utah and Dallas. They actually looked better in the first two games in Phoenix than they did in the first two game of their previous series. Paul George scored 34 points on 10-of-26 shooting and was 7-of-15 from beyond the arc in Game 1. History favors the home team as the Suns are 1-9 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles, and they are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings. I like LA to come out like gangbusters in Game 3. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-23-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7 | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Milwaukee. The Bucks host the Hawks in the East Finals, and I expect this to be a short series. Atlanta found a way to get past a banged up Sixers team that had it's fair share of problems. The Bucks are whole different animal. This is a team that has been favorites to come out of the East for a few years now, and it looks like they may have exercised their demons in Game 7 versus Brooklyn. The Hawks have lost four straight at Milwaukee, and they were a double digit underdog in all four of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-22-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5.5 | 103-104 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHX. The Clippers pushed Phoenix to the brink in Game 1, and Paul George played out of his mind. Playoff P scored 34 points on 10-of-26 shooting, and he was 7-of-15 from beyond the arc. So does that mean they are in good shape moving forward? I don't think so! They had a chance to take advantage of a team coming off a long layoff, and they couldn't get it done. They can't count on Paul George to deliver night in, night out. I expect Game 2 to be a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-21 | Hawks +7.5 v. 76ers | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 43 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Atlanta. I had Atlanta in the last game, and they came up short. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Sixers are the better team, there's no doubt about that. They just can't seem to finish a game though, and after blowing a big lead in each of the last two games in this series, it could be all over here in Atlanta. The 76ers are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Atlanta." Philly hasn't played well enough to justify a big point spread here in an elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-19-21 | Bucks v. Nets -111 | Top | 115-111 | Loss | -111 | 30 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Brooklyn. It was almost a month ago now that I published an article titled: "Why The Nets Won't Win The Title in 2021". Here is an excerpt: "Having the best players is only an advantage if they can stay healthy, and that’s asking a lot for a group that has only managed to play eight games together this season. KD is returning from an Achilles injury, Kyrie has been injury prone the majority of his career, and Harden is dealing with a lingering hamstring issue. All three players have a reputation for creating drama in a locker room. KD had his issues with Draymond, Harden burned all his bridges in Houston on his way out the door, and there was no love lost between LeBron and Kyrie in the final days in Cleveland. The folks in Boston don’t speak highly of Kyrie either." I still don't think Brooklyn is in great shape as far as winning the championship, but KD is still the best player in this series, and James Harden has improved with each game back. Home court, and a healthier Harden might be too much for the Bucks in Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-21 | Jazz v. Clippers +111 | 119-131 | Win | 111 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LA. I had Utah in Game 5, and here is what I said before tipoff:"This series has been dominated by the home team, and there's no reason to expect that to change here in Game 5. The Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five as a road underdog. The Jazz had the best record in the NBA during the regular season, and they were 31-5 in Utah. The Jazz are 6-0 ATS in their last six playoff games as a favorite. The Clippers are 8-22-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Utah." After coming up short in a must win game, I have no faith in Utah, and I'll go with the Clippers in LA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +135 | 104-99 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Sixers are the better team, there's no doubt about that. They just can't seem to finish a game though, and after blowing a big lead in each of the last two games in this series, it could be all over here in Atlanta. The 76ers are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Atlanta. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz -136 | 119-111 | Loss | -136 | 36 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Jazz. This series has been dominated by the home team, and there's no reason to expect that to change here in Game 5. The Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five as a road underdog. The Jazz had the best record in the NBA during the regular season, and they were 31-5 in Utah. The azz are 6-0 ATS in their last six playoff games as a favorite. The Clippers are 8-22-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Utah. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-15-21 | Bucks -147 v. Nets | 108-114 | Loss | -147 | 28 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bucks. It was almost a month ago now that I published an article titled: "Why The Nets Won't Win The Title in 2021". Here is an excerpt: "Having the best players is only an advantage if they can stay healthy, and that’s asking a lot for a group that has only managed to play eight games together this season. KD is returning from an Achilles injury, Kyrie has been injury prone the majority of his career, and Harden is dealing with a lingering hamstring issue. All three players have a reputation for creating drama in a locker room. KD had his issues with Draymond, Harden burned all his bridges in Houston on his way out the door, and there was no love lost between LeBron and Kyrie in the final days in Cleveland. The folks in Boston don’t speak highly of Kyrie either." There is still no guarantee that Brooklyn won't pull off a miracle, but at this point that's what it's going to take. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-14-21 | Jazz v. Clippers -195 | 104-118 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Clippers. |
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06-13-21 | Nets v. Bucks +2.5 | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Bucks. Prior to this series I had said that the Nets seemed to have no interest in playing defense. They proved me wrong by holding the NBA's highest scoring team to fewer than 100 points per game in the first two games of this series. I wouldn't be surprised to see them look a little complacent here in Game 3 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are likely to come out firing on all cylinders, and I expect them to shoot the ball a lot better at home. The Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine playoff games as an underdog, and the over is 4-1 in the Nets last five Conference Semifinals games. The Bucks won both home games versus Brooklyn during the regular season, and both of those games went over 240 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-12-21 | Jazz v. Clippers -184 | 106-132 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Clippers. This isn't the first time the Clippers have been down 2-0 in a series in these playoffs, and I think they still believe they can beat Utah. With the series shifting to LA for Game 3, we should see a better performance from the favorites. The Jazz are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last five playoff games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-11-21 | Suns v. Nuggets -118 | 116-102 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Denver. The Nuggets are coming off a brutal loss in Game 2 in Phoenix, losing by 25 points. Denver's head coach Mike Malone told the media that his team quit, and that's not going to sit well in the locker room. The Nuggets are desperate to get back into this series, and I expect them to get off to a much better start in Game 3 as the series shifts to Denver. The Suns are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Denver, and the Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite. Denver appears to be undervalued in this revenge spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +111 | 127-111 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Hawks jumped all over the Sixers in Game 1 in Philly, and I expect them to get off to a good start in Game 3 as the series shifts to Atlanta. The 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win, and they are 0-6 ATS in the last six meetings in Atlanta. The Hawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games, and they are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 meetings versus Philly. The 76ers are 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 road games versus a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks OVER 234 | 83-86 | Loss | -113 | 49 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Prior to this series I had said that the Nets seemed to have no interest in playing defense. They proved me wrong by holding the NBA's highest scoring team to fewer than 100 points per game in the first two games of this series. I wouldn't be surprised to see them look a little complacent here in Game 3 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are likely to come out firing on all cylinders, and I expect them to shoot the ball a lot better at home. The Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine playoff games as an underdog, and the over is 4-1 in the Nets last five Conference Semifinals games. The Bucks won both home games versus Brooklyn during the regular season, and both of those games went over 240 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-08-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 31 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Philly. |
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06-06-21 | Hawks +2.5 v. 76ers | 128-124 | Win | 100 | 58 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Atlanta. The Sixers managed to get past Washington in five games, even as Joel Embiid sat on the bench in Game 5. Embiid is officially listed as day to day, but a torn meniscus is expected to keep him out of Game 1. Philly won 77 percent of their games with Joel Embiid in the lineup this season, but had a losing record (10-11) in games that he missed. The Hawks won their first rounds series versus New York in five games, winning twice on the road. They closed out the series with a 103-89 win at The Garden in Game 5. The Hawks are 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall. Without Embiid there is no doubt that Tre Young is going to be the best player on the floor in Game 1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-03-21 | Suns +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show |
10* |
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06-01-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets -115 | 140-147 | Win | 100 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Denver. The Nuggets were brutal in Game 4, losing 115-95 despite Damian Lillard only shooting 1-of-10 from the field. Norm Powell picked up the slack, scoring a game high 29 points. Depending on Powell to do that again in Game 5 might not be a winning formula for the Blazers. I expect Denver to be much better at home here than they were in Portland in Game 4. The Nuggets are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight Conference Quarterfinals games. The Trail Blazers are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Joker is the MVP, and I expect him to play like it tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-30-21 | Clippers -135 v. Mavs | Top | 106-81 | Win | 100 | 31 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clippers. I bet on the Clippers to win the West, so needless to say I didn't expect them to be down 0-2 in this series versus Dallas. So now I have to figure out where I went wrong? Well there are two things that stand out, one that I should have considered, and another woud have been impossible to predict. I noted that Paul George really looked like he was on top of his game heading into the playoffs, but the fact is that this isn't the first time we've seen him struggle in the post-season. He's forcing up some pretty questionable shots for a guy that currently can't hit the broadside of a barn. The Mavs three-point shooting (roughly 50 percent in the series so far) isn't something that anyone could have predicted. They can't maintain that percentage forever, and eventually those shots will stat rimming out and falling short. Paul George simply needs to be realistic about who he is, and try to be more like Ben Simmons and less like Michael Jordan. At the end of the day, I still think Kawhi is the best player in this series, and I expect LA to run the table now that they have seized the momentum. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-29-21 | Nuggets +4 v. Blazers | 95-115 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Denver. I had Denver in Game 2, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Blazers won big in Game 1 of this series, and we have to decide if that's a preview of what to expect moving forward in this series, or if it was an outlier. I am inclined to say it's likely the later. Portland made 19-of-40 three-point shots in Game 1, and they made 18-of-19 at the free throw line. Denver only made eight free thrown attempts in Game 1, and we should not expect such a disparity here moving forward. The Joker scored a solid 34 points on 14-of-27 shooting in Game 1, and he is likely to have an even better performance in Game 2." The Nuggets come rolling into Portland as an underdog, but they have all the momentum. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |