Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-16-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 223 | 126-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Lakers could suffer a let down here off a big win over the Warriors in Game 6 in LA. This is Denver, probably the toughest place to play in the league. The home team won all four meetings in the regular season series. While the Lakers are coming off a high scoring series versus Golden State, and Denver is coming off a high scoring series versus Phoenix, this matchup features two teams that are ranked above average in defensive efficiency. The Nuggets ranked near the bottom of the league in pace of play. The under is 8-3 in the Nuggets last 11 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven off a double digit win. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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05-11-23 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 226.5 | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So I am going to focus on Devin Booker here. He shot 79 percent from the field in the two games in Phoenix, scoring over 80 points. Of course the total went over in both Games 3 & 4. Booker cooled off in Game 5 in Denver, shooting just 42 percent from the field. Asking him to make 4 out of every 5 shots here in Game 6 doesn't seem realistic to me. These teams went under in two of three regular season meetings, with the exception being a 128-125 overtime win for the Nuggets at Phoenix. This number appears to be inflated for an elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-07-23 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 228 | 124-129 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Suns are back in this series after Devin Booker shot out the lights in Game 3. He scored 47 points on 20-of-25 shooting. I don't like his chances of hitting almost every shot he makes here in Game 4. After the total went over in the series opener, we saw Denver hold the Suns to just 87 points in Game 2. I think we see another low scoring defensive battle here in this pivotal Game 4. The under is 9-4-2 in the Nuggets last 15 Conference Semifinals games, and they should bring the defensive intensity here tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-30-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 229.5 | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. So the first half total has gone under in five of six games, and now the bookmakers have made the adjustment. I don't think they have adjusted enough for a Game 7 though. There have been 15 Game 7s played in the NBA since 2018. The combined total fell short of 200 in 12 of those games. Only one of those 15 games went over the listed total for this game, when the Clippers beat the Mavericks 126-111 in 2021. We saw 109 points scored in the first half of Game 6, and I can't see them scoring more than that here in a Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 235 | Top | 118-99 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. So when it was announced that De'Aaron Fox was going to play despite a broken finger, the Warriors went from -4 in Game 5 to -1.5. I said that he could be a liability if he wasn't at 100 percent. He appeared to play pretty well, but his 24 points was a series low. He shot a series low 36 percent from the field and committed a series high six turnovers. I don't see it getting any better for the Kings here in Game 6. The Warriors won four series in last year's playoffs, and in their four series clinching wins the total went under in all four. The average combined total in those games was 207.5. I'll take the Dubs to win and the game to go under the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 222.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I bet the under in Game 1 of this series, and I said the following before the game: “Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games.” With Minnesota facing elimination once again, don't be surprised if Game 5 in Denver looks a lot like Game 4 in Minnesota. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves UNDER 225.5 | Top | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 18 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. I bet the under in Game 1 of this series, and I said the following before the game: “Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games.” We have since seen Game 2 and Game 3 go over the total, but with the Wolves facing elimination in Game 4, I expect to see more of a defensive battle here. The under is 12-4 in Nuggets last 16 overall, and the Timberwolves have gone under in 12 of their last 17 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-19-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 223.5 | 113-122 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I had the under in Game 1 and here is what I said prior to the game: "Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games." I expect more of the same here in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 214.5 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. I had the under in Game 1 and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Cleveland Cavs owned the #1 defense in the NBA during the regular season, and they host a New York Knickerbockers team that was also above average defensively. When these teams played in December, it was one of the lowest scoring games all year. The Knicks won 92-81 at The Garden, and I wouldn't be surprised if we see another defensive clinic here in Cleveland in Game 1. The under is 6-1 in the Knicks last seven Conference Quarterfinals games, and the Cavs have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. The under is 6-2 in the Cavaliers last eight Conference Quarterfinals games." I am expecting more of the same in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-17-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 240 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. |
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04-16-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 224.5 | 80-109 | Win | 100 | 39 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 | 130-117 | Loss | -115 | 34 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Miami Heat owned the #1 scoring defense in the NBA this season, and in their play-in game against the Knicks they allowed just 91 points in a home win over Chicago. The Bulls were held to a single point in the last 3:47 of the game. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in five straight first round playoff games, and we should expect points to be hard to come by in Game 1 in Milwaukee. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-15-23 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 217 | 101-97 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Cleveland Cavs owned the #1 defense in the NBA during the regular season, and they host a New York Knickerbockers team that was also above average defensively. When these teams played in December, it was one of the lowest scoring games all year. The Knicks won 92-81 at The Garden, and I wouldn't be surprised if we see another defensive clinic here in Cleveland in Game 1. The under is 6-1 in the Knicks last seven Conference Quarterfinals games, and the Cavs have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. The under is 6-2 in the Cavaliers last eight Conference Quarterfinals games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-14-23 | Thunder v. Wolves UNDER 229 | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. So this number opened at 227 and has since been bet up. I will fade the public here with a play on the under, and here is why: First off the Wolves have averaged well below 117 points per game in their last five overall. They only barely scored 100 in regulation and OT at LA in their last game. Minnesota won the last meeting at Oklahoma City in December by a score of 112-110. Four of the last five head to head meetings have gone under. The Thunder have failed to reach the total in four of their last five road games, and the under is 12-4 in the Wolves last 16 home games. I don't expect to see any easy buckets in an elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-11-23 | Hawks v. Heat UNDER 227 | 116-105 | Win | 100 | 29 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The last time these teams played the total went over the number in a 130-128 Miami win. This game was the second of a two game series in Miami, which is somewhat of an anomaly. The under had cashed in eight of the previous nine head to head meetings. Miami owns the 2nd best scoring defense in the NBA, one of only two teams to allow less than 110 points per game. Last year only one of six Play-in games saw more than 225 combined points. The under is 36-16 in the last 52 meetings in Miami. I will bet on the defense to be the story here in Miami. The Hawks played in seven post-season games last year, and only one of those saw more than 225 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut UNDER 132.5 | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Aztecs streak of unders ended in a 72-71 win over FAU in the Final Four. Both teams shot out the lights from beyond the arc, with the Owls hitting over 40 percent and San Diego State better than 50 percent. I won't bank on seeing that again in the Final. The under is 17-5 in the Aztecs last 22 overall, and the under is 27-9 in their last 36 neutral site games. UCONN also plays a tough defensive brand of basketball, and the under is 7-2 in the Huskies last nine overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State UNDER 132 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Aztecs will be just a slight favorite here against the Florida Atlantic Owls, and San Diego State has been dominant defensively in the tournament so far. They have held three of their four opponents to fewer than 60 points, with the exception being a 71-64 win over Alabama. The Aztecs have gone under in 12 straight overall, and we expect another defensive battle here. The Owls have escaped from some close calls, but I think their luck runs out here in the Final Four. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-23 | Lakers v. Wolves UNDER 232.5 | 123-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. This is a big game in Minnesota tonight as the Lakers and the T-Wolves battle for a play-in spot. Just a half game separates these teams, and the winner will be closer to clinching home court in the play-in while the loser will be in danger of dropping out entirely. The total of 232.5 looks a little high, as eight of the last 10 meetings have fallen short of that number. They have gone under in each of the last five meetings in Minnesota, and the under is 6-0 in the last six meetings overall. The under is 9-3-1 in the Timberwolves last 13 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-26-23 | Creighton v. San Diego State UNDER 135 | 56-57 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Scoring is up at the NCAA Tournament over the last week, but the Aztecs don't often find themselves involved in high scoring games. San Diego State has gone under the total in 10 straight overall, and the under is 26-8 in their last 34 neutral site games. These teams played in last year's NCAA Tournament, and Creighton won 72-69 in overtime. The total was set at 120.5 for that game, 15 points lower than today's total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Kansas State UNDER 144.5 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Some might be shocked to see these teams here in the Elite-8, but I actually have a pending bet on Kansas State at 10-1 to win the East Region. This was one of three longshots I gave out on my NCAA Tournament preview show on Youtube. I am a little concerned that their starting PG rolled his ankle against Michigan State, even though he played a team high 43 minutes. The Owls have been dominant defensively in the tournament, and if Nowell is not 100 percent it will be tough for the Wildcats to run up the score. The under is 20-8-1 in the Owls last 29 neutral site games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. The Wildcats have gone over in five straight NCAA Tournament games, but two of their three games at this tournament saw less than 144.5 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-23 | Xavier v. Texas UNDER 149 | Top | 71-83 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The under is still hitting at close to 70 percent in the tournament so far, and history suggests that the low scores will continue in the Sweet-16. Last year only six of the eight games reached 140 combined points. Xavier had their way with Pitt in the first half on Sunday, but the pace was slowed in the second half. I expect Texas to have more answers for the Musketeers and I don't think it's going to take them until halftime to figure it out. The under is 7-3-1 in the Musketeers last 11 NCAA Tournament games, and the Longhorns have gone under in seven straight overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-23 | Thunder v. Clippers UNDER 232.5 | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Clippers just lost 101-100 to Oklahoma City on Monday, and this is a spot where I usually look to take the team with revenge in the second game of a two game series. In this spot though I am focused on the total. LA didn't just lose the game, they lost Paul George to a knee injury that will keep him out for several weeks. Despite the 201 total points scored in the first game, and the fact that these teams haven't combined to score 230 points in any of the last 10 meetings, we see the total listed over 230. The under is 30-10 in the Clippers last 40 home games, and they have gone under in seven of their last nine home games versus the Thunder. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee UNDER 132 | Top | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 65 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Tennessee is the best defensive team in the country, ranking #1 nationally in both opponent field goal percentage as well as three-point field goal percentage. It should come as no surprise that the under is 9-4-1 in the Volunteers last 14 overall. Florida Atlantic has been solid on defense as well, and the under is 5-1 in the Owls last six neutral site games. I think FAU will score fewer than 60 points here, and the Vols are only averaging 66 points per game in their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-23 | Arkansas v. Connecticut UNDER 140.5 | 65-88 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Under. The under cashed at a rate of 27-9 in the first round of the tournament, and heading into Sunday's action the trend was at 33-11. We did see some higher scores and the over cashed in six of eight on Sunday, but those numbers had been bet down quite a bit. This number still seems a little high when you consider that Arkansas has gone under in five straight at the NCAA Tournament, and they trended under at a 58.8 percent clip during the regular season. The Huskies have failed to reach the total in five of their last six, and they have gone under in five straight off a win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-23 | Creighton v. Baylor UNDER 146.5 | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. If you check out ESPN you will see stories about Princeton and FDU. The media loves to hype up the upsets, meanwhile favorites are 29-11 straight up so far in the tournament. Lost in all the talk over underdogs and upsets is the fact that unders have been hitting at a 75 percent clip in the tournament so far. It wouldn't appear that the markets have adjusted for this, as the total for this game is over 145. There were eight games at the NCAA Tournament yesterday, and not a single one of them saw a combined 145 points. We have seen 22 of 24 games go under that number the last two days at the tournament. The under is 8-3 in the Bluejays last 11 NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-23 | Kentucky v. Kansas State UNDER 146.5 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 33 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Under. If you check out ESPN you will see stories about Princeton and FDU. The media loves to hype up the upsets, meanwhile favorites are 29-11 straight up so far in the tournament. Lost in all the talk over underdogs and upsets is the fact that unders have been hitting at a 75 percent clip in the tournament so far. It wouldn't appear that the markets have adjusted for this, as the total for this game is over 145. There were eight games at the NCAA Tournament yesterday, and not a single one of them saw a combined 145 points. We have seen 22 of 24 games go under that number the last two days at the tournament. The under is 14-5 in the Kentucky Wildcats last 19 NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-23 | Grizzlies v. Spurs OVER 231.5 | 126-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Grizzlies come into San Antonio as a road favorite, but the Spurs have been pretty competitive of late. They are 4-4 straight up in their last eight overall, and they have scored 120+ points in three of their last four overall. The Grizzlies are coming off a 138-119 loss at Miami, and they have gone over in three straight versus the Spurs. The total in this game is lower than it was in each of the last five meetings between these teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-23 | Texas A&M v. Alabama UNDER 145.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Aggies have won seven of eight overall, and prior to yesterday's win over Vanderbilt they had played seven straight games with neither team scoring 70 points. One game during that span was a 67-61 home win over Alabama in the final game of the regular season. Three of the last four head to head meetings between these teams have gone under the total, and Alabama has failed to read the total in nine of their last 11 versus a team with a winning record. The Aggies have gone under in 10 of their last 13 versus a team with a winning record. This game should look a lot like the last meeting which was played just last week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-23 | Arkansas v. Texas A&M UNDER 138.5 | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Texas A&M Aggies finished in 2nd place in the SEC, and their success comes in part because of their elite defense. They come in allowing just 62.8 points per game in their last five overall. They have won five of their last six overall, and neither team scored 70 points in ANY of those six games. They held #2 ranked Alabama to 61 points, #11 Tennessee to 63 points, and they held Arkansas to 56 points. The Aggies won their last game 67-61 at home versus Alabama, and the under is 10-4 in the Aggies last 14 games following a ATS win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-23 | Oklahoma State v. Texas UNDER 142.5 | 47-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Both BIG12 games failed to go over 140 points in the conference tournament yesterday. The Cowboys won 57-49 in their game versus Oklahoma. They lost 89-75 at Texas back in January, but each of the previous three meetings between these teams fell well short of the total. The total in each of the last four meetings had been set below 140. I am expecting another low scoring affair here at a neutral site in the conference tournament. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-23 | Raptors v. Nuggets UNDER 227.5 | 113-118 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. So the Raptors come in as winners of six of their last eight overall, and they have been getting it done with their defense. Toronto has held their last five opponents well below the NBA average in points per game (110) giving up just 107 ppg during that span. They haven't been scoring though, averaging just over 103 points per game on offense. Denver can play defense as well, and I expect these teams to play hard here tonight. The total of 227.5 is far higher than it has been in any of the last 10 head to head meetings. The last time Toronto played at Denver (March last year) the total was just 221.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-23 | BYU v. St. Mary's OVER 129.5 | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. So St. Mary's is one of the best defensive teams in the country, and they did win 57-56 at BYU back in January. BYU score 65 in the rematch at St. Mary's though, losing by just six points. The Gaels come in allowing over 63 points per game in their last five overall. BYU comes in scoring over 76 points per game in their last five overall. This number looks a little low for a neutral site game, considering the over is 146-118 in college basketball games played at Orleans Arena (prior to WCC Tournament). There has been several high scores here in this venue since the tournament started, and we have yet to see a game with less than 136 points scored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-23 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 225.5 | 113-117 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Celtics have allowed a whopping 118.8 points per game over their last five overall. That is out of character for this team though, and they still rank among the top teams in the NBA in opponents scoring average. They host the Cavs, who currently rank #1 in the NBA in points allowed (106.5PPG). These teams went over in each of the last two meetings, but both those games went to overtime. The listed total hasn't been higher than 220 in any of the previous five meetings. I expect both teams to bring it on defense here in a battle between two of the top teams in the East. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-23 | Wolves v. Clippers UNDER 233.5 | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Clippers have gone over the total in four straight games, but that is out of character for this team. For the first half of the season they ranked near the bottom of the league in scoring, and one of the top team in opponent scoring. We have a high total in tonight's home game against the Timberwolves, and I expect to see some regression to the mean. The under is 22-7 in the Clippers last 29 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games against Minnesota. The number in tonight's game is almost 10 points higher than it was in the last meeting back in January. Neither of these teams scored 100 in the last meeting in LA back in December. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-23 | Thunder v. Suns UNDER 232.5 | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Six of nine games went under the total in the first day back from the All Star break. One of those was the Thunder losing 120-119 at Utah in overtime. Both teams scored just 106 points in regulation. The Thunder play the second game of a back to back in Phoenix, and the Suns have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall. The total of 232.5 is far higher than it has been in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. None of those games saw a number as high as 225. These two teams haven't scored a combined 230 points in any of the previous four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-23 | New Mexico v. Boise State UNDER 146 | 77-82 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. New Mexico beat Boise State by a score of 81-79 in overtime earlier this season, but only 144 points were scored in regulation in that game. We see a total of 146 here in the rematch, despite the fact that the under is 5-2 in the previous seven head to head meetings. New Mexico is averaging over 81 points per game this season, but they have lost four of their last five averaging just over 75 points per game during that span. They face a Boise State team that is holding opponents to less than 60 points per game while going 12-1 at home. In their last three games at Boise, the Lobos have scored 52,53 and 61 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-23 | Providence v. Connecticut UNDER 143.5 | 69-87 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Friars won at home by a score of 73-61 over UCONN back in the beginning of January, falling well short of the total listed at 142.5. We see a similar total for tonight's rematch in Connecticut, despite the fact that these teams haven't scored a combined 140 points in any of the last five head to head meetings. The Friars have gone under in five of their last seven road games, and seven of their last 10 coming off a loss. The Huskies have failed to reach the total in five of their last six versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-23 | Indiana v. Michigan State UNDER 136 | 65-80 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Spartans are 10-2 at home, and they have allowed fewer than 60 points per game during that span. They have gone under in six straight home games, and the under is 6-0 in their last six coming off a loss. The Hoosiers have gone under in four straight overall, and five straight on the road. Both teams come in averaging well below 70 points per game in their last five overall, and I don't expect either team to score 70 here in East Lansing. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-23 | Baylor v. Kansas State UNDER 146.5 | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Wildcats are the underdog at home here versus Baylor, despite a 14-1 home record. Kansas State has held opponents to just 60 points per game at home, and they have only scored an average of 67 points per game in their last five overall. When these two teams played in Manhattan last season, the bookmakers set the total at 136. They came up short of the number in that game, and the total for tonight's game is almost 10 points higher. They under is 5-0 in the Wildcats last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-23 | Michigan State v. Michigan UNDER 134.5 | 72-84 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Wolverines only scored 53 points in a 59-53 loss at East Lansing back in January. The good news for Michigan fans is that the home team has won nine straight head to head meetings between these two teams. Michigan State is scoring just 60 points per game in their last five overall, and they have held opponents to fewer than 60 points per game during that span. The Wolverines have failed to score 70 in four of their last five versus Sparty. Expect points to be hard to come by here in this rivalry game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-23 | Oklahoma State v. TCU UNDER 141 | 75-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Horned Frogs have struggled since losing leading scorer Mike Miles. They have only scored an average of 67.4 points per game in their last five overall. They still have a solid home record going 11-3 straight up and holding opponents to just 62.1 points per game. The Oklahoma State Cowboys are strong defensively even on the road, where they have held opponents to just 66 points per game. The total has been listed below 140 in each of the last 10 head to head meetings between these teams, and this appears to be a rather inflated number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-23 | Illinois v. Indiana UNDER 144.5 | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Hoosiers beat Illinois by a score of 80-65 back in January, but they shot 62 percent from the field in that game, and I don't like their chances of repeating that performance. Illinois won at Indiana the last time they played there by a score of 74-57 last February. The total went under the number of 137 in that game, and we see a much higher total here in today's game. The Hoosiers come in scoring less than 65 points per game in their last five overall, and they have held opponents to fewer than 63 points per game at home. I am expecting a defensive battle here in this revenge game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-23 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia UNDER 146 | 78-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Red Raiders have lost six of seven on the road, and they are scoring less than 64 points per game during that span. They scored just 61 in a home loss to the Mountaineers back in January. They went under the number of 139 in that game, and the bookmakers have sent the total at 145.5 for today's game. That number is far higher than we have seen in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. In fact the total was lower than 140 in nine of those 10 contests. I expect to see another low scoring game between these two teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-23 | Youngstown State v. Cleveland State OVER 145.5 | 78-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Youngstown State Penguins lead the Horizon in scoring averaging over 83 points per game. They will play at Cleveland State, and the Vikings are a team more known for their defensive prowess. This battle of conflicting styles might still yield plenty of points here on Sunday. The last game between these teams ended with the Penguins winning 85-71. Cleveland State has averaged over 74 points per game in their last five overall. This number looks incredibly low when you consider the over is 12-4 in Vikings last 16 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-23 | Duke v. Miami-FL OVER 145.5 | 59-81 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Duke Blue Devils lost 68-66 at home to Miami earlier this season, and while this is a revenge game for Duke, I expect a higher score here in Miami. The over is 18-8 in the Hurricanes last 26 versus a team with a winning record, and they have gone over in four of their last five home games. The Canes have a 12-0 home record, and they are averaging over 82 points per game at home. They beat the Blue Devils 78-74 in Miami last January, and we should expect a similar result here this time around. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-23 | Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 232.5 | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Mavs won in Phoenix without Luka, by a score of 98-85, and we might expect another low score without their leading scorer here in Utah. The Mavericks are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games. They are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win. The under is 14-6 in the Jazz last 20 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. These teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-23 | Nets v. Bulls OVER 235 | 112-121 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Nets come into Chicago as winners of 12 straight overall. They have scored an average of 122 points in their last five games overall. The bookmakers have set the total at a high number, but I am not sure it's high enough. It's still lower than the number of 238 in the Nets last visit to Chicago, and that game went over with Brooklyn winning 138-112. The Bulls come in scoring 121 points per game in their last five overall, unfortunately for them though they have allowed opponents to average 122 points during that span. The Bulls have gone over in five of their last six overall, and six of their last eight at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-22 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 226.5 | 100-118 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Bucks come into Brooklyn averaging over 117 points per game in their last five overall, and the Nets have scored 126 points per game during that span. Neither team has been great defensively of late, each allowing 116.6 points per game in their last five. The last time the Bucks played in Brooklyn the betting total was set at 243. The opening number for tonight's game is lower than it was in each of the past five head to head meetings. I expect both teams to score plenty here in this marquee game two days before Christmas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-22 | Bucks v. Pelicans OVER 227.5 | 128-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Bucks have the best record in the NBA, and they will take on the Pelicans in New Orleans Monday. The Pelicans are just a game back of Memphis for first place in the West. You know both teams will be up for this game, and history tells us that it should be a high scoring affair. The home team has won five of the last six head to head, and the over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings. The Pelicans have gone over in four of their last five overall, and the over is 17-4 in their last 21 versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-22 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 225.5 | 121-120 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Nuggets have scored an average of 115 points per game this season, while the Blazers are averaging just 110 points per game. These teams just played two weeks ago and the Blazers won 135-110. The total went way over the number, and the over is now 8-2 in the last 10 head to head meetings. The over is 12-4 in the Nuggets last 16 games following an ATS loss, and they have gone over in 10 of their last 14 at Portland. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-22 | Michigan v. Minnesota UNDER 136 | 90-75 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have scored just 63 points per game. There are 371 teams in college basketball that score more than that. They are pretty good defensively though, holding the opposition to just 66 points per game. It's not surprising that they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games. They host a Michigan team that has scored just 69 points over it's last five games. Losing their starting PG Jaelin Llewellyn for the rest of the season won't help. I'd be surprised if either of these teams gets to 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-22 | Lakers v. Cavs UNDER 224.5 | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. So the Lakers are rolling again coming into Cleveland as winners of eight of their last 10 overall. They have averaged 130 points per game in their last five, but they will be taking on the #1 scoring defense in the NBA here in Cleveland. History suggests we could see a lower scoring battle tonight. The Cavs have gone under five straight overall, and they have held opponents to just 93 points per game during that span. The under is 5-0 in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-22 | Texas Southern v. Kansas UNDER 139.5 | 55-87 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Kansas Jayhawks are off a 64-50 upset loss to Tennessee, and they have only scored an average of 74.4 points per game so far, ranking 150th nationally. Of course their defense has been stellar, and they host a Texas Southern team that has scored less than 53 points per game in three losses to Top 25 teams. All three of those games went under. Texas Southern has gone under in six straight overall, and the under is 18-7-1 in the Tigers last 26 games following a straight up loss. The under is 9-2 in Jayhawks last 11 games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-22 | Buffalo v. George Mason UNDER 145.5 | Top | 82-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Under. George Mason lost 66-62 to Belmont at the Paradise Jam at the UVI Sports & Fitness Center in the Virgin Islands on Saturday. In fact all four games at this venue over the weekend were low scoring, falling well short of 140 combined points. Neither of these two teams have been scoring regardless of the venue, Buffalo comes in averaging 69 points per game while the Patriots are averaging just 65 points per game. The Patriots are strong defensively, which might be why they have gone under in five of their last six games. This number looks way too high. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-22 | Celtics v. Pelicans OVER 226.5 | 117-109 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Celtics have gone over the total in 10 of 16 games so far this season. That comes as no surprise to me. Here is what I said prior to their season opener: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." The over is 7-2 in the Pelicans last nine games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-22 | Pistons v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Clippers rank dead last in the NBA in scoring, and still they are a 9-point home favorite here against the Pistons. Dallas ranks first in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing 106.3 points per game. The Clippers aren't far behind allowing just 106.9 points per game. The under is 6-1 in the Clippers last seven home games, and they have gone under in seven of their last nine versus Detroit. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-22 | Nets v. Blazers UNDER 220.5 | 109-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Nets are coming off a 153-121 loss at Sacramento, after going under in six straight before that. This looks like a let down spot here in Portland, facing a Blazers team that ranks sixth in the NBA in opponent's scoring. Portland ranks in the bottom 10 in the NBA in scoring, averaging fewer than 110 points per game. Don't expect a shootout here in Portland. The under is 9-4 in the Nets last 13 games following a straight up loss, and the under is 12-4-2 in the Trail Blazers last 18 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Ball State v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 149.5 | 71-61 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Nebraska Omaha Mavericks play up to their namesake. They love to run and gun, and they may have found a suitable dance partner here with Ball State. The Cardinals come in averaging 90 points per game on 52 percent shooting. The over is 20-7 in the Mavericks last 27 overall, and they have gone over the number in 23 of their last 32 home games. I can't figure out why this number isn't 150 or higher? GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 232.5 | 126-101 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Celtics have gone over the total in 10 of 15 games so far this season. That comes as no surprise to me. Here is what I said prior to their season opener: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." The over is 9-3 in the Hawks last 12 overall. While this is a big number, I just don't think the books can set it high enough. I expect both teams to score 115+. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Iowa v. Seton Hall OVER 148.5 | 83-67 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Iowa loves to run and gun, and they come into this game averaging triple digits on better than 50 percent shooting. Seton Hall is hardly a defensive juggernaut, they are averaging 79.5 points per game so far. The over is 8-1 in the Hawkeyes last nine after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Hawkeyes won six straight non-conference games to start last season, and all of those landed on a number higher than 148.5, even at Virginia! GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Michigan v. Pittsburgh UNDER 141 | 91-60 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on under. These two teams don't play a run and gun style, so it appears that the total of 141 is a little high. Michigan isn't gonna let Pitt score 70, they held PFWU to just 56 points in their home opener. Am 88-83 win over Eastern Michigan should be the exception and not the rule. Emoni Bates dropped 30 on the Wolverines, but Pitt doesn't have a guy who's gonna go off like that. Pitt scored 56 in a home loss to West Virginia on Friday, and the under is 19-7-1 in the Panthers last 27 games following a double-digit loss at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-22 | Northwestern v. Georgetown OVER 144 | 75-63 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Hoyas came into the season riding a 21 game losing streak, but they are undefeated after winning back to back games to start the season. No thanks to their defense, as they gave up 89 points in their season opener versus Coppin State. Northwestern is also 2-0, and if you look at their schedule last season they won four straight to start the season, scoring 80+ points in all of those games. We have every reason to expect a high score here this afternoon. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-22 | Monmouth v. Illinois UNDER 140.5 | 65-103 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Illini are an enormous favorite here at home versus Monmouth, and it really looks like they just can't set this line high enough. Monmouth is coming off back to back losses by an average margin of over 40 points. They scored an average of just 46 points in those losses. They have scored an average of just 56 points per game in their last five overall. They might be hard pressed to score 50 here against an Illini defense that has held opponents to just 58 points per game in their last five overall. Illinois only averaged 68 points per game during that span. Illinois has failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and six of their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-22 | Clippers v. Rockets UNDER 220.5 | 122-106 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Clippers have already played the Rockets twice this season, and both of those games were low scoring. LA ranks dead last in the NBA in scoring, averaging just 103 points per game. The fact that they still have a decent record also indicates that they have one of the league's top defenses. The under is 14-3 in Clippers last 17 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven in Houston. This number looks a little inflated. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-22 | Stetson v. South Florida OVER 129 | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The South Florida Bulls were just 3-13 in the American Conference last year, but they are expected to be a lot better here in 2022. Senior forward Keyshawn Bryant has averaged 14.5 points per game since transferring from South Carolina. Sophomore Selton Miguel transferred from Kansas State, and senior Tyler Harris transferred from Memphis. They host a Stetson team that is coming off an 83-74 win over Florida State. The Hatters have gone over in six of their last seven road games, and they have scored over 75 points per game in their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-22 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida OVER 144.5 | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. This rivalry game features two teams that are averaging in the mid 70s in scoring, and both shooting the ball pretty well. The Gators are coming off an 88-78 win over Kennesaw State, while the Owls are coming off an 80-67 loss at Ole Miss. The over is 11-5-1 in the Owls last 17 games following an ATS loss, and they have gone over in seven of their last nine road games. The Gators beat the Owls 79-68 in the most recent head to head meeting, and a similar score is expected here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-22 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 228.5 | 101-106 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Over. The Warriors snapped a five game losing streak with a home win over the Sacramento Kings, but there remains plenty of reason for concern in Golden State. Only the San Antonio Spurs are allowing more points per game than the Warriors, who's opponents are averaging more than 120 points per game. The good news is that Steph Curry scored 47 points and shot 7-of-12 from beyond the arc in the win over the Kings. We could see another shootout here against the Cavs. The over is 18-7-1 in the Cavaliers last 26 road games, and the Warriors have gone over in four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-22 | Raptors v. Thunder OVER 220.5 | 113-132 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Over. The Raptors haven't missed Pascal Siakam, coming off a 116-109 win over Houston. Fred Van Flleet scored 32 points and shot 7-of-16 from beyond the arc. Toronto has gone over in five of their last six in Oklahoma City, and the over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings. The Thunder have gone over in four straight home games. We should both teams run and gun here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-22 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 220.5 | 93-111 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Bucks are coming off a 136-132 double overtime win over Oklahoma State. They are banged up with Giannis, Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton all out of the lineup. The backups played well, shooting over 47 percent from the field, and 47 percent from beyond the arc against the Thunder. They have a history of playing high scoring games against the Spurs. The over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings, and the total for this game is lower than it was in the last eight meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-22 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Nebraska OVER 153.5 | 61-75 | Loss | -113 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on OVER. Nebraska Omaha lost their season opener at Kansas by 25 points, but despite shooting just 38 percent from the field and 23 percent from beyond the arc they still scored 64 points. They play rivals Nebraska in their second game, and the Cornhuskers defense isn't quite the same as the Jayhawks. This game should be a bit of a track meet, with both teams running and gunning. The over is 19-7 in the Mavericks last 26 overall, and the over is 14-4 in the Cornhuskers last 18 games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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11-09-22 | Florida Gulf Coast v. San Diego UNDER 145.5 | 73-79 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Coming off a 74-61 win over USC, it's not entirely clear if that win was a result of poor shooting from the Trojans or solid defense from the Eagles. USC shot just 3-of-19 from beyond the arc, but the Eagles only shot 37.5 percent from the field. San Diego is hardly an offensive juggernaut, only averaging 63.6 points per game in their last five dating back to last season. The under is 10-4 in the Toreros last 14 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-22 | Jazz v. Mavs OVER 221 | 100-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Jazz were supposed to be in contention for a lottery pick this season, but after winning six of their first eight games the betting markets are slow to react. Utah comes into Dallas averaging 118 points per game, while the Mavs are scoring roughly the same. Utah is allowing opponents to average 114 points per game, and the Mavs are allowing opponents to average over 110 points per game. Historical trends for the Jazz point to the under, but the Rudy Gobert Era is over in Utah. These Jazz have gone over (221) in six of eight games, while the Mavs have gone over in five straight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-22 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 223 | 94-112 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Here is what I said prior to the Celtics season opener versus Philly: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." They have since gone over in four of their five games. The over is 5-0 in the Celtics last five versus a team with a winning straight up record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-22 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 218.5 | 132-123 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Here is what I said prior to the Celtics season opener versus Philly: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." They have since gone over in three of their four games. The over is 15-5-1 in Cavaliers last 21 road games, and they have gone over in 13 of their last 19 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-22 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 217 | 111-104 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season. They went well over the number in their season opener versus Philly, and this number looks a little low all things considered. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-22 | Blazers v. Kings OVER 226 | 115-108 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Blazers lost 124-121 to the Sacramento Kings in their season opener last year, and they play the Kings in their first game of the 2022 season. The Kings finished dead last in the NBA in opponent's scoring average last year, and Portland wasn't far behind. These teams have gone over in four of the last five head to head meetings, and the over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Sacramento was 4-0 in the pre-season averaging 117 points per game. We should expect a lot more offense than defense here in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-18-22 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 214.5 | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season. Joel Embiid should feast here in the season opener, and both teams should do plenty of scoring. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-21-22 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 208.5 | 109-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Celtics were dominant in the first half of Game 2, holding Miami to just 45 points. This comes after the Heat held Boston to just 45 points in the second half of Game 1. I am expecting both teams to bring their A-game on defense here in a pivotal Game 3 at the Garden. The Heat have failed to reach the total in four of their last five when coming off a loss, and the under is 9-4 in their last 13 overall. The Celtics have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games, and the under is 4-1 in their last five playoff games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-20-22 | Mavs v. Warriors OVER 213.5 | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Mavs were destined to suffer a let down after their epic Game 7 win over Phoenix, and sure enough they came out and shot just 36% from the field scoring only 87 points. They were 11-of-48 from beyond the arc, and it killed them. They will need to be more selective here in Game 2, and I would expect them to be far more competitive. The over is 8-3 in Mavericks last 11 road games, and they have gone over in 12 of their last 17 versus Golden State. The Mavs have won seven of the last 10 head to head meetings versus Golden State, scoring an average of 123 points in those games. The over is 7-3 in the Warriors last 10 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-22 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 234.5 | 116-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Spurs come into Denver as winners of six of their last seven overall, and given the high stakes with just a few games to go in the regular season this might as well be a playoff game. Denver is just a half game up on Utah in the Northwest, and the Spurs are just two games up on the Lakers for the final play-in spot. San Antonio has played solid defense during a five game stretch, allowing an average of just 107.6 points. The total for tonight's game is 10+ points higher than it was in any of the last 10 head to head meetings. The under is 19-9-2 in Spurs last 30 games as a road underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 at Denver. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-22 | North Carolina v. Duke UNDER 151.5 | 81-77 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 12 m | Show | |
8* |
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04-02-22 | Villanova v. Kansas UNDER 133 | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -105 | 126 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Both the Jayhawks and the Wildcats have been outstanding defensively in the Tournament. Kansas has held it's last five opponents to an average of just 60.8 points per game, while Villanova has allowed just 53.6 points per game over their last five. Here in the Final Four the stakes are high, so don't expect either team to waste any time cranking up the defensive intensity. The under is 8-1 in the Wildcats last nine neutral site games, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five at the NCAA Tournament. The under is 7-3 in the Jayhawks last 10 overall, and they have also failed to reach the total in four of their last five NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-26-22 | Arkansas v. Duke UNDER 147.5 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Razorbacks are coming off an upset win over Gonzaga, holding the nation's #1 offense to just 68 points. They have allowed an average of just 62 points per game in the tournament so far. The under is 7-2 in the Razorbacks last nine NCAA Tournament games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six games as an underdog at a neutral site. Arkansas will rely on their defense here as they are not equipped to match Duke offensively. They rank near the bottom of the SEC in field goal percentage as well as three-point percentage. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-22 | Houston v. Arizona UNDER 147 | Top | 72-60 | Win | 100 | 93 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. |
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03-23-22 | Washington State v. BYU OVER 142 | 77-58 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The BYU Cougars have scored 90+ points in both of their NIT games so far, and they host a Washington State Cougars team that can also score their share of points. Washington State has averaged 72.6 points per game over their last five, while BYU has scored 81.2 points per game in their last five. The over is 15-7 in the Wazzu Cougars last 22 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The BYU Cougars have gone over in five of their last seven as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-22 | Hawks v. Knicks UNDER 228 | 117-111 | Push | 0 | 22 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Hawks are currently sitting in the 10th spot in the Eastern Conference, which has them playing a play-in game to advance to the playoffs. They are only 2.5 games back of 8th place Brooklyn, and if they could move up a few spots then at least their play-in game would be in Atlanta. They will take on the Knicks in New York Tuesday, and the Knicks rank 27th in the NBA averaging just 106 points per game. The under is 5-1 in the Hawks last six road games, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight overall. The under is 5-1 in the Knicks last six games playing on 1 days rest. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-20-22 | Michigan State v. Duke OVER 144 | 76-85 | Win | 100 | 38 h 27 m | Show | |
8* |
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03-19-22 | Creighton v. Kansas UNDER 140.5 | 72-79 | Loss | -114 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Blue Jays defense has been impressive, holding Villanova to just 54 points (in a loss) in the Big East Tournament, and then winning 72-69 in OT in their first round game against the Aztecs. Kansas has also been playing great defense lately, holding Texas Tech to 65 points in the BIG12 Tourney Final, and then allowing just 56 points in their first round win over Texas Southern. Both teams have allowed an average of 61.8 points over their last four games. The under is 9-4 in the Bluejays last 13 neutral site games, and the under is 26-12 in the Jayhawks last 38 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. I think 70 points will be more than enough to win this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-22 | Colgate v. Wisconsin UNDER 139.5 | 60-67 | Win | 100 | 100 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Wisconsin lost 69-63 to Michigan State in the BIG10 Tournament, and I expect to see another low scoring game here in their first round matchup versus Colgate. Wisconsin averaged just 68 points per game in their last five overall, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five coming off a loss. The under is 7-2 in the Raiders last nine games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five neutral site games. Wisconsin ranked 11th in the BIG10 in scoring, and dead last in the conference in three point shooting. They should lean on their defense here in a matchup versus an inferior opponent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-22 | Davidson v. Michigan State OVER 140 | 73-74 | Win | 100 | 45 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Michigan State ranked second in the BIG10 with a three-point field goal percentage of .378. They also shot 74.7 percent from the charity stripe. Davidson ranked third in the A-10 in scoring averaging over 75 points per game, and their .386 three-point percentage was the best in the conference. The over is 4-1 in the Wildcats last five neutral site games, and they have gone over in five of their last six as an underdog. The Spartans have gone over the total in five of their last six overall. I expect both teams to have success shooting from beyond the arc. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-22 | Longwood v. Tennessee OVER 132.5 | 56-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Longwood Lancers will be a huge underdog in their first round matchup versus Tennessee, but you could say they have a "puncher's chance". Or more accurately a shooter's chance. Longwood ranks among the best in the country with a 38 percent three-point percentage, and they shot a solid 72.6 percent from the charity stripe. The over is 11-3 in the Volunteers last 14 neutral site games as a favorite, and the Lancers went over the total in five of their last seven overall. Longwood played Iowa and Georgetown in non-conference play, and both those games saw over 180 points combined. They lost both games, but scored 83 versus the Hoyas and 73 versus the Hawkeyes. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-22 | Indiana v. Wyoming UNDER 133 | 66-58 | Win | 100 | 33 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Wyoming Cowboys lost three of their final four games, but they played some strong defense down the stretch. The Cowboys allowed an average of just 65 points in those games. The problem is that they only scored 62.2 points per game over that span. The Hoosiers also lost three of their last five games, and prior to the loss to Iowa in the BIG10 Tournament they held four straight opponents to fewer than 70 points. They held the Illini to 63 points in the quarterfinals. The under is 7-3 in the Cowboys last 10 neutral site games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-22 | Oregon v. Utah State UNDER 144.5 | Top | 83-72 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Oregon Ducks lost six of their final eight games, and they have lost five straight road games. They really missed leading scorer Will Richardson, who also leads the team in assists and FG percentage. Their first game of the NIT Tournament won't be easy, on the road at Logan. The Aggies have held the opposition to just 56.6 points per game over their last five overall. Utah State has failed to reach the total in five of their last six games. Oregon shot just 34.3 percent from the field in a loss to Colorado in the first round of the PAC12 Tournament. The Ducks ranked near the bottom of the PAC12 with a free throw percentage of just .677, and their best free throw shooter has missed their last three games. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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03-11-22 | Quinnipiac v. St. Peter's UNDER 138 | 52-64 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. |
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03-10-22 | Quinnipiac v. Siena UNDER 140 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. |
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03-10-22 | Marquette v. Creighton UNDER 142.5 | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. |
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03-10-22 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati UNDER 137 | 63-74 | Push | 0 | 23 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. |
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03-09-22 | New Mexico v. Nevada UNDER 150.5 | 72-79 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. |
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03-08-22 | Chicago State v. Utah Valley UNDER 133 | 47-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
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03-08-22 | Quinnipiac v. Marist UNDER 141 | 77-52 | Win | 100 | 22 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The total for this game looks a little high when you consider that Marist has averaged just 64.4 points per game over their last five overall, and Quinnipiac has scored just 67.4 points per game in their last five. These teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven head to head meetings. The under is 12-2 in the Bobcats last 14 neutral site games, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five as an underdog. In a single elimination game we can expect every possession to be a battle. GL, Jesse Schule |