College Football Free Picks - Winning College Football Picks Against the Spread

Jesse Schule NCAA-F Totals Picks

Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
01-13-20	Clemson v. LSU UNDER 70.5	Top	25-42	Win	100	261 h 50 m	Show
This is a 10* play on Under. After being held scoreless in the first 20+ minutes in the Fiesta Bowl, the Tigers scored a pair of TDs in the final three minutes of the first half. They held the Buckeyes to just seven points in the second half, and ended up winning 29-23. They will no doubt have to play better here against LSU, but I really don't see anybody stopping Joe Burrows. LSU scored 49 first half points against the Sooners in the Peach Bowl, and they held Oklahoma to just 28 points. LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and they have covered the spread in four of their last five bowl games. The under is 13-6 in Clemson's last 19 bowl games. The total for this game is higher than in any of Clemson's last 10 games. I like LSU to win, holding Clemson under 30 points. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
01-04-20	Tulane v. Southern Miss OVER 56		30-13	Loss	-110	15 h 9 m	Show
8*
12-31-19	Florida State v. Arizona State OVER 53.5	Top	14-20	Loss	-108	168 h 27 m	Show
This is a 7* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. Arizona State comes into the Sun Bowl with a 7-5 record, but when you really look at where they got their wins, it's more impressive than one might think. This is a team that was 3-1 against Top 25 teams. The Seminoles on the other hand don't have a lot to hang their hat on, they finished with a 6-6 record, and none of those six wins were at all impressive. FSU will not have new head coach Mike Norvell for this bowl game, instead interim head coach Odell Haggins will be filling in. Leading rusher Cam Akers is sitting out, and his backup will miss the game due to injury. That leaves FSU without any running backs with any experience. James Blackman will have to carry the team if FSU is going to compete here, and he's shown little signs that he's up to the task. Take ASU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-28-19	Oklahoma v. LSU UNDER 76.5		28-63	Loss	-110	4 h 29 m	Show
The Sooners scored plenty of points in the BIG12 this season, but they will be a big underdog against the #1 ranked SEC champions LSU. The Tigers allowed a combined 17 points in wins over Georgia and Texas A&M at the end of the season. The Tigers are a double digit favorite, so this game isn't necessarily expected to be close. It's going to be hard to reach such a high total if LSU wins in commanding fashion (as expected). The under is 18-3-1 in the Sooners last 22 games in December, and they have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus SEC teams. GL, Jesse Schule
12-24-19	BYU v. Hawaii OVER 64	Top	34-38	Win	100	12 h 34 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Rainbow Warriors host rivals BYU in the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve, and history suggests that we should see plenty of scoring in this game. Hawaii comes in with a 9-5 overall record, winning four of their final five games and ranking 6th nationally in passing. The Cougars won five of their last six games, and they scored 30+ points in four of those five wins. The last time these teams met, the Cougars won by a score of 49-23 last October. The over is 11-4 in the Rainbow Warriors last 15 games as an underdog, and they have gone over in 14 of their last 20 in the month of December. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
12-14-19	Army v. Navy UNDER 41		7-31	Win	100	24 h 24 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. Few things are sure in life. There is death, taxes and a low scoring Army vs Navy game. At least that's been the case for the last decade, with each of the last 10 head to head meetings going under. Last year Army led 7-0 at halftime, and went on to win 17-10. Both the midshipmen and the Black Knights are coming off high scoring games. Navy won 56-41 at Houston, while Army lost 52-31 at Hawaii. The weather will be a problem for both these offenses today though, with plenty of wind and rain in the forecast in Philly. The under is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
12-07-19	Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 57		21-34	Win	100	78 h 48 m	Show
8*
11-30-19	Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 69.5		34-16	Win	100	11 h 56 m	Show
This is a 2-team teaser with Cowboys + Under. Historically when you think of bedlam you think about all the high scores these teams have posted over the years. They have score more than 80 combined points in three of the last four head to head meetings, but both of these teams are a lot better defensively than they have been in past seasons. The Cowboys are riding a four game win streak, with not one of those games seeing a combined 70 points. The Sooners have failed to cover in four straight road games, and they are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games in November. The under is 5-1 in Oklahoma's last six road games. GL, Jesse Schule
11-09-19	LSU v. Alabama UNDER 65	Top	46-41	Loss	-110	121 h 18 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] under 65. The Alabama Crimson Tide haven't been tested yet, but they also haven't played anybody currently ranked in the Top 25. LSU on the other hand comes in battle tested, with a pair of wins over Top 10 teams (Florida and Auburn). The Tigers will be looking to avenge a 29-0 loss to Alabama last year, and they do have history on their side. The Tigers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Alabama, and the Crimson Tide are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record. The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-26-19	Penn State v. Michigan State UNDER 43.5		28-7	Win	100	12 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Spartans are coming off a bye week, after getting throttled in a 38-0 loss to Wisconsin. They should be ready to go to war in this home game against Penn State, and both teams have been very comfortable playing low scoring smashmouth football games. The Nittany Lions have won a pair of games already that they failed to score 20 points in, 17-12 at Iowa and 17-10 at home versus Pittsburgh. The Spartans offense rarely scores 20, but their defense at home in games like this has risen to the challenge. I think if either of these teams scores 20 points in this game it will be enough to win. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-18-19	Ohio State v. Northwestern UNDER 50		52-3	Loss	-100	14 h 8 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Wildcats are 1-4, but they might be a lot better off if they could score any points. Their defense has kept them in a lot of games, but their offense simply hasn't been able to get any points on the board. They are a huge underdog at home versus Ohio State on Friday, but they are coming off their bye week and they have covered the spread in back to back games. They held Wisconsin and Nebraska to a combined 37 points, and both games fell well short of the total. The under is 42-14-1 in Wildcats last 57 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine conference games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-12-19	Florida v. LSU UNDER 55	Top	28-42	Loss	-110	126 h 5 m	Show
10*
10-11-19	Virginia v. Miami-FL OVER 42.5		9-17	Loss	-115	14 h 8 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Hurricanes were lit up for 21 points in first quarter at home versus Virginia Tech last week. Quarterback Jarren Williams was just 4-of-7 for 47 yards and three INTs before getting pulled. His backup N'Kosi Perry stepped right in and threw for 422 yards and four TDS on 28-of-47 passing, tying the game with three minutes left to play. The Canes defense couldn't hold and the Hokies ran in the game winning TD with a minute left on the clock. The Cavs bring a 4-1 record into tonight's game, and their quarterback has played well, even in their loss to Notre Dame. Bryce Perkins threw for 334 yards and two scores on 30-of-43 passing in a 35-20 loss at South Bend. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in this pivotal ACC game Friday night. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
10-05-19	Washington v. Stanford UNDER 52		13-23	Win	100	18 h 19 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. Stanford has been brutal this season, and they are a double digit home dog this week against Washington. Historically these teams have played close low scoring gamses, and the total has been under 50 in each of the last five meetings. The Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last five at Stanford, and the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. Stanford's last home game was a 26-6 loss to Oregon, and I can't see the Huskies doing much better here than the Ducks. Take Under. GL. Jesse Schule
10-05-19	Michigan State v. Ohio State OVER 49		10-34	Loss	-109	15 h 18 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Spartans have lost by 20+ points to Ohio State in each of the last two seasons, but historically they have not been an easy opponent for the Buckeyes. Michigan State has won outright in 2015, 2013 and in 2011. The last time they were getting 20+ points in this matchup was in 2016, and they lost that game by a score of 17-16. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings, and the road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. This year's Spartans team should be a lot better than the team that lost 26-6 to Ohio State last year. That game was also a lot closer than the final score would suggest, and the Spartans trailed by just three points at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Brian Lewerke finished the 2018 season with eight TD passes and 11 INTs in 11 starts. So far after four games this season he has 10 TD passes and just one INT. The over is 8-2 in the Buckeyes last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The total for this game is lower than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-28-19	Virginia v. Notre Dame UNDER 50.5		20-35	Loss	-110	97 h 56 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Irish played admirably in a 23-17 loss at Georgia last week, and they don't have any time to feel sorry for themselves. They host a 4-0 Virginia Team this Saturday, and the Cavs appear to be for real. Two of their four wins come within conference, beating Pittsburgh and Florida State. They held Pitt to just 14 points, and they have allowed an average of just 18 points per game. The trends suggest a low scoring game here, as the Irish have gone under in five of their last seven when coming off a loss. The under is 5-1 in their last six non-conference games, and they have gone under in four of their last five versus ACC teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-21-19	Notre Dame v. Georgia UNDER 56.5		17-23	Win	100	96 h 40 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. These teams last met in 2017, and Georgia won by a score of 20-19 in a nationally televised game at South Bend. I remember the game well, as I had a premium play on the under, and a free play on Georgia +5.5. The free play was met with some healthy (if no obnoxious) criticism on FB and Twitter. In the end The Iceman had the last laugh. The Irish were embarrassed in a 30-3 loss to Clemson in the College Football Playoffs last year, and they will be a double digit dog here in this game. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 games in the month of December, and the under is 22-9-2 in the Bulldogs last 33 home games. I exect Georgia to be in full control in the second half, and focused on running out the clock. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-14-19	UNLV v. Northwestern UNDER 54		14-30	Win	100	61 h 48 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Northwestern. The Wildcats lost 17-7 at Stanford in Week 1, but they went to The Farm and held the Cardinals to 132 yards and no TDs on 39 carries. Now they come off a bye week to play the UNLV Rebels at home. This is a Rebels team that relies heavily on the run, and I think UNLV is running right into a brick wall here. Northwestern is expected to win this game by three scores, even though they don't have a very explosive offense. We don't see a lot of high scoring games at Evanston, as evidences by the fact that the under is 41-13-1 in the Wildcats last 55 home games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-14-19	Stanford v. Central Florida UNDER 62.5		27-45	Loss	-110	42 h 14 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Stanford Cardinal held Northwestern to just seven points in Week 1, but they were blown out in Week 2 at USC. They should have their starting QB back this week at Central Florida, but he should face a ton of pressure from a Knights defense that has recorded seven sacks in two games. UCF allowed just 14 points in a win at FAU last week, after pitching a shutout in their season opener. The under is 4-1 in the Cardinal's last five non-conference games, and the total for this game appears to be a little inflated. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-07-19	Syracuse v. Maryland UNDER 58		20-63	Loss	-108	51 h 48 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Orange looked great on defense in a 24-0 win over Liberty in Week 1, but the offense wasn't very impressive. Tommy Devito threw for 176 yards and two INTs on 17-of-25 passing. Now he heads out on the road to face a BIG10 team in non conference play, and it isn't likely to be an easy game for the Orange. Their defense should keep them in it though, and I like the under with the total on the high side of 50. The under is 8-3 in Syracuse's last 11 road games, and the Terps have gone under in five straight versus ACC teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-07-19	Cincinnati v. Ohio State OVER 52		0-42	Loss	-105	3 h 13 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Bearcats beat UCLA 24-14 in Week 1, but I think that game might say more about UCLA than it does about Cinci. A week later they are in Columbus, and they face a far better Ohio State team. I expect the Buckeyes to get their points here this afternoon, and I think the total looks a little too low. It opened at 55 and has since been bet down to 52, and I think that presents value in taking the over. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
08-31-19	Georgia v. Vanderbilt UNDER 58		30-6	Win	100	55 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. Georgia won 41-13 in last year's meeting, and these teams have gone under in three of the last four annual meetings. The total for this year's game is even higher than it was a year ago, in fact it's higher than it has been in any of the last five meetings. You know the Commodores are going to look to slow this game down, and pound away with their running game. The Bulldogs don't mind muddying things up, and this should be another down and dirty SEC game. The under is 4-1 in the Commodores last five conference games. Vanderbilt has gone under in nine of their last 13 overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
08-31-19	Missouri v. Wyoming UNDER 55.5	Top	31-37	Loss	-117	31 h 20 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. These teams met for the first time last season, and Missouri won by a score of 40-13 at home. The Tigers offense should have a different look this season, with Kelly Bryant stepping in to replace Drew Lock. Bryant isn't going to light up defenses the way Lock did, and we should see the Tigers lean more on their running game. The Cowboys are solid on defense, but they lack talent on the other side of the ball. The under is 11-5 in the Cowboys last 16 home games, and the under is 8-3-1 in Cowboys last 12 non-conference games. Wyoming has gone under in four straight versus the SEC. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
01-07-19	Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 61	Top	16-44	Win	100	212 h 58 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. There's no doubt that Clemson's 30-3 win over Notre Dame was impressive, and this defense should be able to hold it's own against Alabama. This isn't the same team that scored just 24 points against the Tigers in last year's playoffs. This time around both these teams have improved at the quarterback position. For that reason the total for this game is set 10 points higher than it was in the previous playoff matchups over the last three seasons. I don't think it's realistic though to ask Trevor Lawrence to do what Deshaun Watson did in 2016, when the Tigers won in a massive upset. They say "defense wins championships", and they aren't kidding. Clemson has held opponents to just 13.7 points per game, just slightly less than the 14.8 points per game that Alabama has allowed. I expect this year's National Championship Game to be closer to last year's game than the high scoring games in 2016 and 2017. Weather could also be a factor, as the last game played at Levi's Stadium was a 7-6 score with Oregon and Michigan State struggling to throw the ball on a windy day. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
01-01-19	LSU v. Central Florida OVER 54.5	Top	40-32	Win	100	666 h 46 m	Show
This is a GOY play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Central Florida Knights are gunning for a second consecutive perfect season, and if LSU doesn't stop them we'll have to put up with another mock Championship Celebration. This should provide plenty of motivation for the Tigers, who have no interest in allowing the Knights to proclaim themselves national champs as they did after beating Auburn last year. The Knights scored 34 points in that game against Auburn, and I expect them score their share here against LSU. Darriel Mack Jr. stepped in to replace the injured McKenzie Milton, and he had a big game against Memphis throwing for 348 yards and two TDs, and running for 59 yards and four more. The outlook for the Knights defense isn't as positive, as they gave up over 400 rushing yards in that game versus Memphis. Just imagine what kind of damage a well rested SEC team will do on the ground. LSU scored a total of 114 points in it's last two games, while Central Florida has averaged 50 points in their last three games. I'll take the over here as I believe the total is far lower than it should be. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-28-18	Syracuse v. West Virginia OVER 65.5	Top	34-18	Loss	-109	43 h 59 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The West Virginia Mountaineers were hoping to compete for a playoff spot this season, and Will Grier was one of the favorites to win the Heisman. Finishing the season with back to back heartbreaking losses leaves a cloud hanging around Morgantown heading into Bowl Season. When first asked about the Camping World Bowl, Will Grier said: “I have no thoughts or decisions,” Grier said. “I was planning on playing [in the Big 12 championship]. Just kind of taking it all in, my last game in Morgantown. Wish we would have came out on top, but we left it all out there for the fans.” The Orange are coming into this game with a chance to reach 10 wins, which would be considered a huge success for Dino Babers and company. The last time I bet on the Orange, they lost their starting quarterback early in the first quarter and ended up getting blown out by Notre Dame. Here is what I said prior to that game: "This a team that has already proved it can hang with the big boys, last year they handed Clemson it's only regular season loss. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has been lighting it up with his arm and his legs. He's got a dozen rushing TDs and 690 rushing yards so far this season. The Orange have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record. While the Mountaineers will miss Grier, this high flying offense still has plenty of weapons. The Orange will be shorthanded on defense with three starters missing the game for personal reasons. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in Orlando. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-24-18	Auburn v. Alabama UNDER 53	Top	21-52	Loss	-115	71 h 12 m	Show
10*
11-23-18	Washington v. Washington State OVER 48.5		28-15	Loss	-110	52 h 15 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over. The Huskies have lost their last two road games at Oregon and at California. They face a Washington State team that comes in as winners of seven straight. During that run they have beat some of the PAC12's best teams: (Utah, Oregon and Stanford). Gardner Minshew leads the nation in passing, with almost 500 yards more than Jordan Ta'amu who sits in second. With over 800 yards, nine TDs and no INTs the last two weeks, it's fair to say that he's in a groove. The Cougars are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home game, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven against a team with a winning record. Washington has failed to cover in seven of their last eight road games, and they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven versus PAC12 teams. I like Washington State to stay hot here at home, out-lasting the Huskies in a shootout. The total here is below 50 for the first time since 2008, and the Cougars have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-17-18	USC v. UCLA OVER 55	Top	27-34	Win	100	108 h 20 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. Chip Kelly has had limited success in his first year at UCLA, but the Bruins have improved since Wilton Speight took over at quarterback. He threw for 335 yards and two TDs in a 31-28 loss at Arizona State last week, and I think he's going to put up big numbers against at home against USC. He's going to have to if the Bruins want to have any chance of winning this game, because their defense can't seem to stop anybody. UCLA ranks 111th in the country allowing opponents to average 215 rushing yards per game. When these teams met last year, the bookmakers set the total at 70.5, more than two TDs higher than the total for this game. History seems to favor the under, as each of the last four meetings between the two teams have fallen short of the total. That being said, three of the last six meetings saw more than 55 combined points. I think this game will be a shootout, with UCLA digging deep into their bag of tricks. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-15-18	Toledo v. Kent State UNDER 59.5		56-34	Loss	-110	18 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The last two meetings between Toledo and Kent State each fell short of 50 points, and the previous two meetings fell short of 60 points. The total for tonight's game is higher than it had been in any of those four meetings. The Under is 4-1 in the Rockets last 5 games overall, and the Under is 4-1 in the Golden Flashes last 5 games overall. Kent State ranks 137th in the country in scoring, and they have given up a ton of points as well. The Golden Flashes have been far more competitive at home though, allowing just 21 points per game. A difficult schedule may have resulted in some skewed numbers for this Kent State team. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-14-18	Miami-OH v. Northern Illinois OVER 48		13-7	Loss	-114	9 h 28 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. I bet on the under in last week's game in Dekalb, and the Huskies beat Toledo 38-15, just barely falling short of the number. Tonight's total is much lower, meaning a similar score would result in an over. The Redhawks are coming off a 30-28 win over Ohio, and the previous week they scored 42 points in a loss at Buffalo. Gus Ragland has thrown for 512 yards, two TDs and 1 INT on 40-of-67 passing the last two weeks. That's pretty impressive considering the opposition. I think Ragland and the RedHawks will score enough points to push this total over what appears to be quite a low number. The last three head to head meetings between these teams all saw a total over 50. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
11-07-18	Toledo v. Northern Illinois UNDER 56		15-38	Win	100	9 h 46 m	Show
8*
11-06-18	Kent State v. Buffalo OVER 43		14-48	Win	100	18 h 43 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. This line has been bet down quite a bit since it opened, and despite possible weather concerns, I just don't think the Golden Flashes will be able to slow down this potent Bulls offense. The Bulls come in averaging 35 points per game, but they dropped 51 on Miami-Oh in their last home game. Buffalo has gone over in six straight against teams with a losing record, and that's a trend that I expect to continue tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-03-18	Alabama v. LSU OVER 53	Top	29-0	Loss	-115	97 h 3 m	Show
This is a 10* GOY play on [email protected] to go Over the total. In previous meetings between Alabama and LSU, my go to move has been to take the under. That has been the right call in eight of the last nine head to head meetings, including last year's 24-10 win for Alabama in Tuscaloosa. Things have changed though, as this isn't the Alabama offense with Jalen Hurts, Jake Coker or A.J. McCarron. Since the arrival of Tua Tagovailoa, the Tide have been an offensive juggernaut. LSU has also improved on offense, coming in averaging over 30 points per game. Alabama leads the country averaging over 54 points per game, but they have only played one ranked team. That was a 45-23 win over Texas A&M. I expect them to drop at least 40 on the Tigers, and LSU is likely to get a few licks in as well. My prediction is a 42-24 win for the visitors. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-03-18	Utah v. Arizona State UNDER 56		20-38	Loss	-109	94 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Utes ran all over the UCLA Bruins in a 41-10 home win last week, but they face a much toughest test here at Arizona State. Herm Edwards already has a handful of impressive results against top tier teams this year. Arizona State upset Michigan State at home, won on the road at UCLA and covered in a 27-20 loss to the Huskies in Washington. Arizona State has won three of four home games, and have allowed opponents to average just 16 points per game at home this season. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, and only one of the last nine head to head meetings have seen more than 55 combined points. Utah has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six when coming off a win, while the under is 4-1 in the Sun Devils last five games in November. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-01-18	Temple v. Central Florida UNDER 59		40-52	Loss	-105	4 h 7 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Central Florida Knights own the longest winning streak in the country (20 games). They have proclaimed themselves to be national champions, but they narrowly avoided defeat in a 31-30 win at Memphis a few weeks ago. While they won that battle, they might lose the war if McKenzie Milton misses any more time. The star QB was injured in that game, and didn't play in a 37-10 win at ECU last week. Even if he does return to action tonight, he likely isn't going to push it by running the ball as he normally does. Temple is a strong opponent with a solid defense, and the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated. The last time Temple played at UCF, they lost 26-25. Three of the last four meetings between these teams saw less than 52 combined points. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-20-18	Arizona v. UCLA UNDER 56	Top	30-31	Loss	-109	83 h 1 m	Show
This is an 10* play on [email protected] to go Under. Arizona comes into tonight's game with a 2-2 conference record, but they will be a double digit underdog without their starting quarterback. Khalil Tate left early in last week's loss to Utah with an ankle injury, and was replaced by the son of former Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez. The sophomore wasn't too bad, throwing for 226 yards and a TD on 20-of-38 passing. He likely won't have to be great to keep the Wildcats in the game against UCLA, as the Bruins are ranked 119th nationally averaging just over 20 points per game. Freshman quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has failed to throw for 200 yards in four of his six starts, and last week against Cal he threw for just 141 yards on 13-of-15 passing. The Bruins ran the ball 55 times in that game, and given that they snapped a five game losing skid, you might expect them to lean on the run here at home against Arizona. The public seems pretty keen to back the Bruins here with the news that Tate won't play, but I am focused on the total. Arizona has failed to reach the total in four straight, and six straight within conference. We could see both teams pound away with the run given that neither team has a lot of talent at quarterback at the moment. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-20-18	Oregon v. Washington State OVER 66	Top	20-34	Loss	-115	90 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Ducks are moving up in the rankings after an upset win over the Washington Huskies on Saturday. The Huskies were in position to win the game in the fourth quarter, but Peyton Henry missed a 37 yard (chip shot) field goal in the dying seconds. That allowed Oregon to come back and win in overtime. The Ducks are flying high as they head into Pullman for a date with the Cougars, but this game has all the signs of a classic let down spot for the visitors. Washington State is coming off a bye week, and they are still undefeated at home. One of their three home wins came against a very strong Utah team. The Ducks have lost three straight to Washington State, and their last game at Pullman was a 51-33 loss in 2016. The over is 11-4 in the last 15 meeting between these teams, and the Cougars have gone over in five straight against PAC12 teams. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
10-18-18	Stanford v. Arizona State UNDER 57.5		20-13	Win	100	20 h 28 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Stanford Cardinal will be a road favorite tonight at Arizonta State, but we should expect a competitive game between two PAC12 rivals. Previous meetings between the two teams have been pretty hard fought defensive battles, with the under cashing in five of the last six meetings. The Sun Devils are 3-0 at home, and they have held opponents to an average of less than 15 points in those games. Their 16-13 win over Michigan State was particularly impressive. Four of Stanford's last five visits to Arizona State have gone under the total, and the under is 44-20 in Cardinal last 64 games in October. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-13-18	Texas A&M v. South Carolina UNDER 53.5		26-23	Win	100	114 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. Jake Bentley didn't play in last week's home win over Missouri, after suffering an injury in a 24-10 loss to Kentucky a week earlier. He only threw for 138 yards with a TD and 3 INTs on 13-of-28 passing in that game. He will face a stingy Aggies defense that held Kentucky to just 178 total yards last week. The 4-2 Aggies have losses against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the country. Texas A&M has failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 conference games, and eight straight in the month of October. The Gamecocks have also trended toward low scoring games, going under in 16 of their last 22 SEC games, and 17 of their last 21 when coming off a win. Another defensive battle should be expected at Williams Brice Stadium. GL, Jesse Schule
10-06-18	Kentucky v. Texas A&M UNDER 51		14-20	Win	100	34 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Texas A&M Aggies are 3-2, but their two losses came against #2 ranked Clemson and #1 ranked Alabama. They host the 5-0 Kentucky Wildcats tonight, and both these teams have been very impressive defensively. The Wildcats are coming off a 24-10 win over South Carolina, and they have allowed a combined 33 points in wins over SEC opponents (Gamecocks, Gators, Bulldogs). Kentucky has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games, and the Aggies have gone under in five straight in October. Texas A&M is coming off a pedestrian performance in a 24-17 win over Arkansas. The Aggies offense could struggle here against a very good Wildcats defense. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-04-18	Tulsa v. Houston UNDER 70.5		26-41	Win	100	7 h 29 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Houston Cougars rank 2nd nationally averaging over 50 points per game, and their high flying offense has them heavily favored against division rivals Tulsa tonight. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings, and they have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings. Not one of those seven contests yielded as much as 70 combined points. Tulsa will rely on it's running game, looking to control the clock and keep the Cougars offense off the field. The Hurricane don't have the offensive weapons to engage in a shootout, their quarterback Luke Skipper has thrown more INTs (6) than TD passes (4). Tulsa has gone under in five straight road games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-29-18	Oregon v. California OVER 58	Top	42-24	Win	100	121 h 44 m	Show
10*
09-22-18	Georgia v. Missouri OVER 64.5		43-29	Win	100	9 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. Georgia has picked up right where it left off last year, coming into today's game at Missouri ranked 2nd nationally and averaging 45 points per game. They beat the Tigers by a score of 53-28 at home last season, and I expect another shootout here in Missouri. The Tigers have won nine consecutive regular season games, scoring at least 40 points in all of those contests. They scored 28 points in Athens last year, and they should be able to at least match that number here at home. The defense is still a concern though, coming off a 40-37 win at Purdue. If they gave up 37 points to the Boilermakers, it wouldn't be any surprise to see Georgia hang 50 on them. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
09-21-18	Washington State v. USC OVER 50		36-39	Win	100	21 h 46 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over. The Trojans offense hasn't been able to score points in road losses at Stanford and Texas, but they return home for a pivotal PAC12 clash versus Washington State. This is a revenge game after Sam Darnold's Trojans lost at Pullman last year by a score of 30-27. Another close game should be expected here tonight, and I expect both teams to score their fair share of points. The total looks a little low, in fact it is significantly lower than it was in any of the last seven head to head meetings between these teams. Six of the last seven meetings have seen a total of 55 or higher, and the total for last year's game closed at 59. Washington State has been impressive on both sides of the ball, and they come in to tonight's game ranked second in the country in passing yards. That being said, they have yet to face a Power Five team. JT Daniels has made his fair share of mistakes, but the freshman has been able to move the ball. He's thrown for over 800 yards in three starts, threw for 322 yards on 30-of-48 passing in last week's loss to Texas. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
09-20-18	Tulsa v. Temple UNDER 55		17-31	Win	100	9 h 51 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER. The Temple Owls made some changes last week, focusing on stopping the run ahead of their game at Maryland. They executed the game plan perfectly, winning outright as a double digit dog by a score of 35-14. The Terrapins only gained a total of 195 yards, and turned the ball over twice. Temple will look to ride that momentum here at home against a Tulsa team that likes to run the ball. Golden Hurricanes quarterback Luke Skipper hasn't thrown for 200 yards in any of his three starts this season, and he's thrown 3 INTs to go along with his 4 TD passes. Tulsa has trended under at a rate of 7-2 in their last nine overall, and Temple has failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. The under is 6-1 in the Owls last seven games in the month of September, and that's a trend that I expect to hold true tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-15-18	USC v. Texas UNDER 48		14-37	Loss	-105	81 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Trojans scored just three points on the road at Stanford last week, but their defense looked solid holding the Cardinal under 20 points. Freshman quarterback JT Daniels threw for 215 yards and two INTs on 16-of-34 passing in the loss. It won't get any easier this week, playing on the road at Texas. These two teams have quite the history, and the last head to head meeting was an epic double OT win for USC. Sam Ehlinger threw for 298 yards with two TDs and two INTs. Ehlinger was picked off twice in a loss to Maryland in Week 1, completing just 53 percent of his passes. Texas has long trended toward the under, failing to reach the total in 42 of their last 60 overall, and 38 of their last 56 home games. The last meeting was tied 17-17 at the end of regulation, and I expect a similar pace to this game. Barring overtime, the under looks like the best bet. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-15-18	Florida State v. Syracuse OVER 68		7-30	Loss	-107	73 h 53 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Willie Taggart era is off to a brutal start, as Florida State narrowly avoided falling to 0-2 on the season by losing to Samford at home last week. The Seminoles had trailed the whole game, and rallied to score twice in the final four minutes to come from behind and win 36-26. Deandre Francois threw for 320 yards and three TDs on 31-of-46 passing last week. He should be primed to have a big game against a Syracuse defense that allowed 42 points in their Week 1 win over Western Michigan. Both these coaches want to play fast, and that should result in a shootout here on Saturday. The total looks quite high, and trends show a lean toward the under. Keep in mind that those trends aren't reflecting a coaching matchup of Dino Babers vs Willie Taggart. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-01-18	Washington v. Auburn UNDER 48.5		16-21	Win	100	24 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. If you happened to catch my longshot pick for the Heisman Trophy, you probably already know I am big on the Huskies. Here are some of the things I said about Washington: "Two years ago Jake Browning led all Power 5 quarterbacks with 43 TD passes. He’s coming into his senior year surrounded by the most talented group in the Chris Peterson era. The Huskies are ranked 6th overall, the favorites to win the PAC12." Auburn is ranked 9th overall, and yet the Tigers will be a favorite at a neutral site game in Atlanta in Week 1. The knee jerk reaction is to think that because Auburn beat Alabama last season, and went on to play Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, that they are the better team here. Once you get past the SEC bias, you see that Washington actually ranked first nationally against the run in 2017, allowing just 2.6 yards per attempt. These teams match up pretty close in every category, except for the quarterback position. Jarrett Stidham struggled against top defenses last season. He threw for just 79 yards in a loss to Clemson, 145 yards in a loss to Georgia, and 165 yards in a loss to LSU. The Tigers have gone under in 14 of their last 17 non-conference games, and I expect another defensive battle here in Week 1 versus Washington. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-01-18	Northern Illinois v. Iowa UNDER 48		7-33	Win	100	23 h 27 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Hawkeyes won three straight non-conference games at the beginning of last season, and both games at home fell well short of the total. In five home games versus unranked opponents last season they failed to reach the total in four of those contests. They allowed an average of just 13 points in those games. Iowa has 24 players returning on a defense that allowed fewer than 20 points per game in 2017. These teams have failed to combine for 40 points in four of the last five head to head meetings, and Northern Illinois is going to struggle offensively here at Kinnick Stadium. The under is 5-2 in Hawkeyes last 7 non-conference games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
08-30-18	New Mexico State v. Minnesota UNDER 47		10-48	Loss	-110	14 h 29 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under. It was no surprise to see the Aggies struggle on offense against Wyoming in their home opener. They lost their starting quarterback, leading rusher and leading receiver from last season. They were literally going backwards in the 1st half, and finished the game with just 135 total yards. When you consider their failures on offense, their defense held it's own conceding just 29 points to a Wyoming offense that held the ball for the majority of the game. They forced the Cowboys to punt seven times, and limited them to 137 yards on 13-of-22 passing. We should see a similar story here in Minnesota, with the Gophers pounding away with their running game. Minnesota ranked 122nd in the country in passing last season, averaging just 126 yards per game. They will have an inexperienced starter here in 2018, and I think it's likely they don't ask him to do too much here in a game that they should have little trouble winning. Minnesota ranked 11th nationally against the pass last season, and they should make life very difficult for this struggling Aggies offense. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-30-17	Iowa State v. Memphis OVER 66	Top	21-20	Loss	-110	602 h 60 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Memphis Tigers ranked 2nd in the country in scoring during the regular season, averaging over 47 points per game. Skeptics might say they played a soft schedule, but I would point out that they scored over 100 combined points in their two games against Top 25 teams. They beat UCLA by a score of 48-45, and lost to UCF in overtime by a score of 62-55. Riley Ferguson threw for a combined 868 yards with 10 TDs and just one INT in those games. They will play Iowa State in the Liberty Bowl, and the Cyclones were surprisingly competitive in the BIG12 this season. Their fortunes took a turn for the better when they made a change at quarterback in Week 5 against Oklahoma. Senior Kyle Kempt led them to a 38-31 upset win over Oklahoma, and he finished the season with 1,473 yards, 13 TDs and just 3 INTs while playing in just six full games. While Memphis was impressive on offense, the Tigers ranked 103rd nationally in scoring defense, and they face a Power 5 team that can score with the best of them. We should expect a lot of big plays, a lot of broken tackles, and the points should pile up quick in the Liberty Bowl. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-26-17	Utah v. West Virginia UNDER 56.5		30-14	Win	100	10 h 38 m	Show
This is a 9* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. Utah has one of the best offensive lines in the PAC12, and they are a team that really likes to lean on the run. They run the ball roughly 40 times per game, and Dana Holgorsen knows what to expect. "Their O-line is huge," Holgorsen said. "Evidently, they are focused on recruiting the bigger guys up front." The Mountaineers will start backup quarterback Chris Chugunov, who completed just over 50 percent of his passes in back to back losses since the injury to Will Grier. West Virginia ran the ball 50 times and attempted just 20 passes in their season finale versus Oklahoma. With both these teams looking to establish the run, we could seem them burn up a lot of clock in a low scoring game. In addition to the loss of their starting quarterback, the Mountaineers will also be without their leading rusher. Justin Crawford has decided to sit out the bowl game in preparation for the NFL Draft. The Mountaineers have failed to cover in four straight bowl games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-23-17	Texas Tech v. South Florida OVER 65.5		34-38	Win	100	12 h 27 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The South Florida Bulls will be the favorite against Texas Tech in the Birmingham Bowl. South Florida won their first seven games of the season, but then suffered losses to Houston and Central Florida finishing at 9-2 overall. In their season finale at Central Florida, they lost in a thriller by a score of 49-42. We could see another high scoring game here against Texas Tech, the Red Raiders can really put points on the board. Texas Tech lost by a score of 56-27 to LSU in the Texas Bowl in 2015. The over is 7-1 in the Red Raiders last eight bowl games. They have also gone over in 14 of their last 17 neutral site games, and the over is 19-9 in their last 28 non conference games. The Bulls have also been involved in more than their fair share of high scoring games, going over in seven of their last 10 non-conference games. Both these teams can put points on the board in a hurry, and neither team has shown any ability to play defense. Expect an entertaining game here in Alabama. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-22-17	Central Michigan v. Wyoming OVER 45	Top	14-37	Win	100	12 h 43 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The most intriguing story for this year's Famous Idaho Potato Bowl will be the showcase of one of the country's top ranked quarterbacks. Josh Allen is expected to be a first round pick in the upcoming NFL Draft, and this game will give him a chance to improve his draft stock. Allen missed the last two games of the regular season, and Wyoming lost those two games scoring a combined 24 points. The Cowboys were a different teams when Allen was healthy, winning six of seven games against Group of Five teams. He threw for 13 TDs and four INTs in those games. Central Michigan finished the season riding a five game win streak, and starting quarterback Shane Morris lit up the scoreboard during that span. Morris threw 1,141 yards with 14 TDs and just two INTs. All five of those games saw 55 or more combined points. The Cowboys have gone over the total in five of their last six against teams from the MAC, and their last game against Central Michigan was a 32-20 loss. I expect to see both teams score 20+ points her in this bowl game, and with an extraordinarily low total, the value lies with a play on the over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-16-17	Oregon v. Boise State OVER 59.5	Top	28-38	Win	100	75 h 29 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Oregon Ducks will face the Boise State Broncos in the Las Vegas Bowl this Saturday, and I expect to see plenty of scoring. The Ducks are in great shape with starting quarterback Justin Herbert, who was 6-1 in his seven starts this season. He threw for 1,750 yards with 13 TDs and 3 INTs in those games, completing 66.5% of his passes. All seven of those games saw more than 60 combined points. The Ducks should have little trouble lighting up the scoreboard against a Boise State team that gave up 45 points to Washington State, 52 points to Colorado State, and 42 points to Virginia. The Broncos are expected to be without their #1 running back Alex Mattison, which could result in a more pass heavy offensive approach. The Ducks lost their last bowl game in overtime by a score of 47-41 to TCU in the 2016 Alamo Bowl. We should see a similar high scoring affair here in Sin City. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-09-17	Army v. Navy OVER 45	Top	14-13	Loss	-110	9 h 12 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. Last year's Army vs Navy game saw the Black Knights end a 14-game losing streak in the annual event. This season I expect another long standing trend to come to an end. These two teams have failed to reach the total in 10 straight meetings, and that has bookmakers coming with an ultra low number here this year. The total of 45 is lower than it has been in any of Navy's games this season, and only three of 11 of Navy's games saw less than 45 combined points. Army also hasn't seen a total lower than this so far in 2017, and they have seen at least 45 combined points in seven of their 11 games. Their last game was a 52-49 loss to North Texas, and they ran for a whopping 534 yards and seven TDs in that contest. The Midshipmen are coming off a pair of losses to Houston and Notre Dame. Their last win came against SMU, and they ran for 559 yards and six TDs in the victory. While Navy is the favorite once again this year, this game is expected to be closer than it has in recent years. Both these teams should put some points on the board, and a competitive game could easily lead to enough points to push this number over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	Notre Dame v. Stanford UNDER 56	Top	20-38	Loss	-110	117 h 17 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Stanford Cardinal might be scoreboard watching on Saturday night, as the final score between Washington State and Washington is far more important than the result of their game against the Irish. Both Notre Dame and Stanford are coming off low scoring games, with Stanford beating Cal 17-14, and Notre Dame beating Army by a score of 24-17. The Cardinal have struggled to score since Bryce Love injured his ankle, and the last thing they want to do is give him a heavy workload here against Notre Dame. With a probable meeting against USC in the PAC12 Championship game looming large, it's likely that Love is used sparingly here this week. These teams have a history of playing close, low scoring games, with the under cashing in six of the last seven meetings. Stanford has been playing far better defense in recent weeks, and the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall. They were impressive in a home win over Washington, holding the Huskies to just 135 rushing yards. Notre Dame has been involved in some high scoring games this season, but the Irish have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 when playing on grass. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	West Virginia v. Oklahoma OVER 67		31-59	Win	100	10 h 11 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Sooners have scored an averaged of 46.4 points in their last five overall, and they should light up the scoreboard today at home against West Virginia. The Mountaineers haven't got much to play for here, and they will start a freshman at quarterback. Chris Chugunov didn't look too bad against Texas, throwing for 189 yards and a TD on 14-of-26 passing. Baker Mayfield will start this game on the bench, but he's not going to be watching for long. Oklahoma still needs to win this game to keep it's playoff hopes on track. The Mountaineers have struggled against elite quarterbacks this season, giving up 50 points in a home loss to Oklahoma State and Mason Rudolph, and Texas Tech quarterback Nick Shimonek threw for 323 yards and four TDs in a losing effort in Morgantown. The Red Raiders scored 28 points in the first half of that game, but West Virginia rallied to win 46-35. I expect a similar score here against the Sooners in Norman. Oklahoma has out-scored the Mountaineers 100-52 while winning the last two meetings between the two teams. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	Alabama v. Auburn OVER 47.5		14-26	Loss	-110	105 h 53 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Alabama Crimson Tide are still undefeated, but they appear to be about as vulnerable as they have ever been. Two weeks ago against Mississippi State they needed to rally late in a game that they were losing in the fourth quarter. They have been hit hard by injuries to several key defensive players. Not only did they lose a pair of linebackers in the win over LSU a few weeks ago, but they had already lost two star linebackers in Week 1 against Florida State. Minkah Fitzpatrick is hoping to play with a sore hamstring, but he's nowhere near 100 percent. They face an Auburn team that has scored 40+ points in all four games during a four game win streak. That includes a 40-17 home win over #1 ranked Georgia. They gained 488 total yards on the Bulldogs defense, and I like their chances of doing the same thing here against Alabama. The Crimson Tide have been extremely fortunate so far, padding their stats against weak opponents. Their most impressive win was at home to LSU, in a game where they were out-gained 306-299 in total yards. I expect both teams to score their fair share of points in the Iron Bowl. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	Ohio State v. Michigan UNDER 50.5		31-20	Loss	-110	96 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Buckeyes are a big favorite on the road at Michigan, but this has never been an easy game for Ohio State. We've already seen a few double-digit dogs win outright here in rivalry week (Mississippi and Pittsburgh), and I wouldn't be surprised if this game is a lot closer than some people expect. Last year the Buckeyes won at home in overtime by a score of 30-27. I had the under in that game, and while there were only 34 points scored in regulation, it went over for the fourth consecutive time in this series. This Michigan team doesn't have the same offensive firepower it had a year ago, and the Wolverines were held to just 234 total yards while scoring 10 points in a loss to Wisconsin last week. Backup quarterback John O'Korn threw for just 19 yards on 2-of-8 passing, and he comes into this weeks game completing just over 50 percent of his passes this season with one TD and five INTs in seven appearances (four starts). The Wolverines have only played one game all year that has seen more than 50 combined points scored. The total for today's game is far higher than it was in each of the last two head to head meetings between these teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-24-17	Missouri v. Arkansas OVER 70		48-45	Win	100	13 h 13 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. I bet on Missouri last week in their blowout win over Vanderbilt, and here is what I said before that game: "The Tigers have struggled against the top teams in the SEC, but playing the bottom tier teams has been a cakewalk so far. Missouri is coming off four straight wins, averaging over 50 points per game during that span. They dropped 50 on Tennessee at home last week, and they beat Florida by a whopping 29 points at home a week earlier." They led 35-0 at the half last week, and held on to win 45-17. The Tigers might face a much tougher test here at Arkansas, as the home team has covered in five straight meetings between the two teams. The Razorbacks have gone over in four of their last five home games, and I like their chances of scoring their fair share of points here in their final game of the season. Starting quarterback Austin Allen missed four games due to injury, but he's been solid when healthy. He's thrown for seven TDs and just three INTs in five home starts. As well as Missouri has been playing lately, I still think their defense is vulnerable. Arkansas should be able to score enough points to keep this game interesting. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-23-17	Ole Miss v. Mississippi State UNDER 62.5		31-28	Win	100	69 h 30 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. How good is Mississippi State? Well if you look at their 8-3 record, you see three losses. Those losses came against three teams in the Top 10, who are all currently in the hunt for a playoff spot. They rank 20th nationally in scoring defense, holding opponents to under 20 points per game. The Bulldogs are a big favorite here in the Egg Bowl versus rivals Mississippi, and they are expected to win by three scores. The Rebels have scored plenty of points this season, but not on the road against ranked teams. They scored a total of 26 points in losses at Alabama and Auburn, and they are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 11 of the last 15 meetings. Only one of the Bulldogs games this season saw more than a combined 60 points, and that was a blowout win over LA-Tech. Rebels quarterback Jordan Ta'amu threw for just 189 yards on 19-of-34 passing in a home loss to Texas A&M last week. I don't expect him to be any more successful here at Starkville. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	NC State v. Wake Forest UNDER 63.5		24-30	Win	100	102 h 18 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Wolfpack suffered their first loss in conference play at the hands of defending champions Clemson two weeks ago, and responded with a dominant 14-7 win at Boston College last week. Their defense has been impressive, holding opponents to just over 15 points per game in seven games versus unranked teams. Wake Forest has been involved in some high scoring games lately, going over the total against Notre Dame, Louisville and Syracuse. When playing teams with more of a pro style, they have seen lower scores. In fact they didn't see a combined 60 points in any of their first seven games this season. They failed to score 20 points in losses to Georgia Tech and Florida State, and the Wolfpack's defense is statistically better than both those teams. These two teams have gone over in each of the last three head to head meetings, but not one of those games saw a combined 60 points. This inflated total is higher than it was in any of the past 10 meetings between the two teams. My money is on the under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	Arizona University v. Oregon OVER 74	Top	28-48	Win	100	85 h 0 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Ducks have been hit hard by injuries this season, especially at quarterback. Starter Justin Herbert was lost for the season, and his backup Taylor Alie has missed the last three games. The senior is hoping to be cleared in time to play here in the Ducks home game against Arizona. Third string quarterback Braxton Burmeister got the start in Oregon's last home game, and he was only asked to attempt a dozen passes. He was 9-of-12 for 47 yards and a TD, leading the Ducks to a 41-20 win over Utah. Royce Freeman and Tony Brooks-James each ran for over 100 yards in the win. The Ducks should be able to put points on the board against this 114th ranked Arizona defense. The Wildcats have played three road games versus PAC12 teams, and they have allowed more than 40 points in all three of those games. They have also scored more than their fair share of points, winning five of their last six and scoring an average of 48.8 points in those wins. Both these teams have a history of playing high scoring games, Oregon has gone over in 51 of it's last 69 home games. The Wildcats have gone over in 26 of their last 36 overall. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 57		44-56	Loss	-135	88 h 29 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Nittany Lions got off to a slow start in last week's 35-6 home win over Rutgers, and I am expecting another low scoring game here this week against Nebraska. These two teams haven't met since Nebraska won at Penn State by a score of 23-20 in 2013. The Huskers have won all three meetings since 2011, and two of those three games went under the total. The one game that went over the number still saw less than 55 combined points. The total for this game is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. All of those games were played in November, so weather may have been a factor. The weather is likely to play a role in this game, as heavy winds and rain are in the forecast. In fact, if you look at Penn State's last 10 games, only two of those combined for as many points as the total for this week's game. One of those games was the loss at Ohio State. This number appears to be a bit inflated. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	Kansas State v. Oklahoma State OVER 65		45-40	Win	100	88 h 55 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Oklahoma State Cowboys rank second nationally scoring over 45 points per game, but they have struggled on defense. They lost their last home game by a score of 62-52 to Oklahoma, and they have up 42 points in last week's come from behind win at Iowa State. The Wildcats aren't known as a particularly high scoring team, but they have shown that they can take advantage of weak defenses. Kansas State scored 30+ points in wins over Baylor, Kansas and Texas Tech. That likely won't be enough to hang with the Cowboys in Stillwater though. History tells us we should see plenty of scoring here, as these two teams have gone over in six straight meetings. Last year the Cowboys won by a score of 43-37. The Cowboys have gone over in nine of their last 10 games in November, and four of their last five overall. The over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between KSU and Oklahoma State, yet the total for this game is lower than it was in each of the Cowboy's last five home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-17	Arizona State v. UCLA OVER 67		37-44	Win	100	21 h 6 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. With over 2700 passing yards, 20 TDs and 8 INTs, Josh Rosen is still one of the top quarterbacks in the country. The "Rosen" one was sidelined by a concussion against Utah last week, but he's expected back to face the Sun Devils at home. Arizona State's defense ranks 105th nationally against the pass, so Rosen and the UCLA offense could have a field day here at home. Unfortunately for the Bruins, their defense hasn't been able to stop anybody. UCLA ranks 121st nationally in total defense, allowing opponents to average almost 500 yards per game. The Bruins have gone over in seven of their last nine overall, and these two teams have gone over in five of the last seven head to head meetings. I expect another shootout here in LA, and the total looks a little to low given how poorly these two teams have played on defense. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-17	Notre Dame v. Miami-FL UNDER 57.5	Top	8-41	Win	100	107 h 37 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Miami Hurricanes are 8-0, but there are still plenty of experts questioning if this team is truly a contender. We will find out this Saturday when they host Notre Dame, in what will be the biggest game of the week. The winner will have a clear path to the College Football Playoffs, while the loser will effectively be eliminated from playoff contention. With two great teams playing for such high stakes, we should see a great battle between two of the country's best defenses. The Canes held Virginia Tech to just 10 points, and 299 total yards in a 28-10 win last week. The Irish have played ranked teams just twice this season, and both of those games went under the total. They lost 20-19 at home to Georgia, and beat NC State 35-14 at home. Their win at Michigan State came before the Spartans were ranked in the Top 25. While that game went over the total (38-18), the combined points still fall short of the listed number for this game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in two of the last three head to head meetings, and none of those games saw a combined total higher than 57 points. The Hurricanes have gone under in five of their last six home games, while the Irish have failed to reach the total in 25 of their last 37 versus ACC teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-17	Alabama v. Mississippi State OVER 51		31-24	Win	100	102 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Bulldogs have won four straight, but last week's 34-23 home win over Massachusetts was far from impressive. We've already seen the top teams in the SEC (Georgia and Auburn) run all over the Bulldogs, and I think Alabama is going to pile on the points here in Starkville. Last year the Bulldogs were crushed in a 51-3 loss at Alabama, and Jalen Hurts threw for 347 yards and four TDs in that game. Here at home I expect the Bulldogs to score a little more, but I don't think they'll have any more success slowing down the Alabama offense. Last week's win over LSU proved to be costly for Alabama, losing several key defensive players to injury. With the defense a little banged up, they might feel as though they need to score more points. The over is 6-2 in Alabama's last eight road games against teams with a winning record. This total looks a little too low. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-09-17	North Carolina v. Pittsburgh UNDER 49		34-31	Loss	-104	13 h 35 m	Show
This is a 9* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Pittsburgh Panthers have been dominant on defense in back to back wins over Virginia and Duke. They have failed to reach the total in six straight overall, and the under is 3-1 in North Carolina's last four at Pittsburgh. The Tar Heels are 1-8 overall, and 0-6 within the conference. They are coming off an inspired performance in a home loss to Miami, coming up just short losing by a score of 24-19. Pittsburgh is doing the bulk of it's scoring with a heavy ground game, opting to run twice as often as they pass. In the win over the Cavs, they attempted just 18 passes while running the ball 40 times for 176 yards and two TDs. Sophomore quarterback Ben Dinucci has done an admirable job replacing starter Max Browne, but he's completed a pedestrian 54.9 percent of his passes with 4 TDs and 4 INTs in seven starts. Those numbers look great compared to Nate Elliot's 38 percent completion percentage, and 3 INTs with just one TD. It looks like the third stringer might be starting for the Tar Heels again tonight. North Carolina has failed to reach the total in five of their last six games played on a grass surface. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-07-17	Bowling Green v. Buffalo UNDER 60.5		28-38	Loss	-110	13 h 49 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Bowling Green Falcons won big at Kent State last week, and they got off to a good start, out-scoring the Golden Flashes 17-0 in the first quarter. Backup quarterback Jarret Doege threw for just 174 yards and two TDs on 14-of-18 passing. Their leading rusher Josh Cleveland suffered an ankle injury, but freshman Andrew Clair had 111 yards and a TD on just eight carries. He's averaging eight yards per attempt, and has run for over 100 yards in four straight weeks. Buffalo has lost four straight, and their starting quarterback was lost for the season in a 71-68 loss to Western Michigan. Drew Anderson threw for 597 yards and seven TDs in that game, which was decided after seven overtime periods. The Bulls have scored an average of just 15.6 points per game, losing three straight since. It seems a bit odd that the total for this game is so high, given the Bulls offensive struggles. History tells us that points could be hard to come by, as these teams have gone under in each of the last five head to head meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-04-17	Oregon v. Washington UNDER 51.5		3-38	Win	100	114 h 3 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Ducks ended a three game losing streak with a home win over Utah, powered by a solid effort from running back Royce Freeman. He ran for 139 yards on 20 carries, and the Ducks totaled 347 yards rushing. They only attempted 13 passes, while running the ball a whopping 49 times. This one-dimensional offensive game plan won't likely be very successful on the road at Washington. The Huskies are ranked 2nd nationally in rushing yards allowed, right behind Alabama. They are holding opponents to just 2.2 yards per attempt (1st in the country), and have surrendered just three rushing TDs all year. The weather in Washington this time of year isn't all that pleasant, and while the snow storm might not start until Sunday, cold and wet weather is expected during tonight's game. Washington is coming off a high scoring win over UCLA, but had previously played four straight games with fewer than 50 combined points scored. I expect a low scoring affair here against the Ducks. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-04-17	LSU v. Alabama UNDER 51.5		10-24	Win	100	127 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Crimson Tide are favored by three touchdowns in this Saturday's home game versus LSU, but with both teams coming off a bye week, we could still see a battle. LSU doesn't have the offense to keep up with Alabama, but they might be able to hang around in a defensive struggle that has been so common in previous meetings between the two teams. Last year the Tide won by a score of 10-0 in Baton Rouge, and they didn't score a TD until late in the second half. Six of the last seven meetings between these teams have gone under the total, and the Tigers failed to score 20 points in all seven of those games. The total for this year's game is higher than it was in each of the last three meetings. The Tigers have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 11 when coming off a bye. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-04-17	Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State OVER 74		62-52	Win	100	123 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. We know the Sooners rivalry with the Cowboys is commonly known as "Bedlam". Recent games between these two teams have certainly lived up to that moniker. The Cowboys are coming off a 50-39 road win over West Virginia, but I wasn't impressed with their defense in that game. The Mountaineers turned the ball over five times, and Will Grier threw four INTs. Despite those five turnovers, the Cowboys still gave up 39 points. The Sooners have also looked vulnerable on defense, and they gave up 35 points on the road at Kansas State two weeks ago. Both these teams are averaging over 40 points per game, but I expect the winner of this game to score 50+ points. The Cowboys have gone over the total in 14 of their last 20 conference games, and the over is 3-1-1 in their last five games against the Sooners. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-04-17	Clemson v. NC State UNDER 51		38-31	Loss	-110	108 h 42 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. Clemson is still the team to beat in the ACC, but the Tigers offense has dropped off a lot since last season. Kelly Bryant has played well at times, but he's thrown for just 1582 yards with six TDs and four INTs, and he hasn't scored a rushing TD since winning 34-7 over Boston College on September 23. He was knocked out of the game against Wake Forest on October 7th, and since then Dabo Swinney seems to be reluctant to have him put his body on the line. NC State is still undefeated in conference play, and whoever wins this game will be the favorite to win the division. These two teams have gone under the total in three of the last four head to head meetings, and the Wolfpack has failed to reach the total in five straight overall. Last year the Tigers beat the Wolfpack by a score of 24-17 at home, and I expect a similar score here at NCState this week. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-31-17	Bowling Green v. Kent State UNDER 50.5		44-16	Loss	-110	19 h 37 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Golden Flashes host Bowling Green in a Tuesday night MAC Conference game, and both these teams have had their struggles on offense this season. The Falcons come in averaging just over 20 points per game, ranking 116th nationally in scoring. It doesn't get much worse than that... or does it? Kent State is averaging just over 11 points per game this season. The Golden Flashes have failed to score 20 points in six straight games, and they've scored three points or less in four of their last six games. The good news is that their defense hasn't been too bad, as they've allowed just 41 points in two home games against MAC opponents, going 1-1 in those games. These two teams have played three times since 2013, and not one of those three games saw a combined 50 points scored. We should expect another low scoring game here tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-28-17	NC State v. Notre Dame UNDER 60.5		14-35	Win	100	110 h 56 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. After a blowout win over USC last Saturday, the Irish are now a huge favorite at home versus NC State. This is an obvious let down spot for Notre Dame, and this isn't a great matchup. The Irish are a one-dimensional team that leans heavily on the run, and the Wolfpack have one of the most experienced, and most dominant defensive lines in the country. They come in well rested off a bye week, riding a six game win streak. Their resume includes wins at Florida State, at home to Louisville and Syracuse. These teams played last season, and the Irish were completely shut down in a 10-3 loss. The Wolfpack held Notre Dame to just 113 total yards, and 59 rushing yards on 38 attempts. In this strength versus strength matchup, we should expect points to be hard to come by. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-28-17	Louisville v. Wake Forest UNDER 62		32-42	Loss	-110	107 h 35 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. Louisville was gifted a victory at Florida State last week. The Seminoles looked like they would score on a game winning drive in the final minutes, but freshman quarterback James Blackmon fumbled the ball. That allowed Louisville to drive down the field and score the game winning field goal. Louisville played far better defensively against the Seminoles, after giving up 45 points in a loss to Boston College a week earlier. When these teams played last year, Wake Forest led 12-10 in the fourth quarter, before the Cardinal scored 34 unanswered points. The Deacons get a chance to avenge that loss here at home, where their defense has held opponents to an average of just over 14 points per game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four meetings, and the number in this game is far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. Wake Forest has gone under in 17 of it's last 22 games in the month of October. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-27-17	Florida State v. Boston College UNDER 47		3-35	Win	100	9 h 15 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Seminoles are coming off a terrible home loss to Louisville, putting them at 2-4 on the season. They had the ball late in the game, and appeared to be in position to run down the clock and kick the game winning field goal. Jimbo Fisher tried to get cute, calling a play that had failed to work on several occasions earlier in the game. The result was a fumble by quarterback James Blackman, leading to a Louisville field goal for the win. Since replacing the injured DeAndre Francios, he's thrown for 1047 yards with seven TDs and six INTs. Jimbo Fisher has been a little more conservative with the play calling on the road, and Blackman has attempted just 21 passes in each of his starts away from Tallahassee. The Seminoles won both of those games (26-19 at Wake Forest and 17-10 at Duke). The Eagles have scored 40+ points in back to back road wins at Virginia and Louisville, but their last two home games have each been low scoring. They beat Central Michigan 28-8 and lost 23-10 to Virginia Tech. Boston College has failed to score 20 points in each of it's last three games against Florida State, and two of those three games went under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-26-17	South Alabama v. Georgia State UNDER 49		13-21	Win	100	34 h 5 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The South Alabama Jaguars will play at Georgia State Thursday, in a battle between Sun Belt Conference rivals. Georgia State is coming off a 34-10 home loss to Troy, and I think we can expect another low scoring game here against the Jaguars. These teams haven't gone over the total in any of the last four head to head meetings, and last year the Jags won by a score of 13-10. The Jaguars are coming off a high scoring win over ULM, but they had failed to reach the total in five straight prior to that. Georgia State has gone under in five of it's last seven overall. Playing on a short week, we should see both teams have a conservative approach, looking to establish their run game. Georgia State has gone under in 12 of it's last 16 conference games, 10 of it's last 13 home games, and 20 of it's last 27 games overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-21-17	Fresno State v. San Diego State UNDER 51.5		27-3	Win	100	19 h 22 m	Show
8*
10-21-17	USC v. Notre Dame UNDER 60	Top	14-49	Loss	-115	126 h 41 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go under the total. The USC Trojans face a daunting task on the road at Notre Dame this week. The winner of this game will emerge as a playoff contender, while the loser will be eliminated from contention. The Irish haven't allowed more than 20 points in any of their games this season, and that includes a 20-19 home loss to #3 ranked Georgia. Sam Darnold was the favorite to win the Heisman before the season started, but he's failed to live up to expectations. He's thrown 15 TD passes this season, but 13 of those came at home. On the road he's struggled, throwing for 387 yards with a pair of TDs and two INTs on 41-of-67 passing. Both of those games fell well short of the total, and the Trojans have gone under in four of their last five overall. The one game that did go over saw fewer than 60 total points (28-27 win over Utah last week). The Irish might find success pounding the rock against a soft USC defensive line, the Trojans have struggled to defend the run. The Irish have gone under in four straight in the month of October, and the under is 17-5-1 in their last 23 when coming off a bye week. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-21-17	Iowa v. Northwestern UNDER 48.5		10-17	Win	100	119 h 36 m	Show
8*
10-21-17	Louisville v. Florida State UNDER 59		31-28	Push	0	10 h 0 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Florida State Seminoles are just 2-3 on the season, but those losses came to Alabama, Miami-Fl and N.C. State. All three of those games were close, and all three of those teams are currently ranked in the Top 25. The loss of their starting quarterback has certainly hurt the Seminoles, but they still have an elite defense and plenty of talent up and down the roster. Louisville hasn't been able to stop anybody on defense, and while they've scored their fair share of point, they were held to seven points in the first half at home versus Clemson, and the scored just 10 first half points in a loss at N.C. State. Both the Tigers and the Wolfpack were able to run up the score late in those games, but FSU is perhaps more likely to pound away with the run. Florida State has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and the total for this game is almost 10 points higher than any of those previous games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-19-17	Memphis v. Houston UNDER 59		42-38	Loss	-105	18 h 46 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Memphis Tigers have scored plenty of points this season, and they are coming off a 30-27 upset win over #25 ranked Navy last week. This could set them up for a bit of a let down on the road at Houston. The Cougars aren't the playoff contender that they were this time last year, mostly because of their struggles offensively. They remain solid on defense though, allowing just 21 points per game. They have failed to reach the total in seven straight, and nine of their last 10 overall. That includes home games against offensive juggernauts Texas Tech and SMU. While these two teams have scored a ton of points in recent head to head meetings, the under is 4-0 in the last four at Houston. The Cougars have failed to reach the total in six straight home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-14-17	Purdue v. Wisconsin UNDER 51.5		9-17	Win	100	108 h 9 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. Wisconsin hasn't been tested, and the Badgers are a big favorite at home versus Purdue this weekend. The Boilermakers will face one of the nation's top defenses, as Wisconsin is allowing opponents to average less than 15 points per game. Purdue has averaged less than 10 points in it's last four games at Wisconsin dating back to 2009. The weather forecast calls for cold temperatures and rain in Madison Saturday afternoon. Purdue is quietly having a solid season so far, coming in with a 3-2 record and a defense that has allowed just over 20 points per game. The Badgers have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 games in the month of October, and a lot of that might have to do with the fall weather in Madison. I expect both teams to keep it conservative here, and we should see another low scoring game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-14-17	Texas Tech v. West Virginia UNDER 80		35-46	Loss	-110	83 h 44 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The West Virginia Mountaineers aren't getting a lot of respect here at home versus Texas Tech. After all this is a team that they trounced by a score of 48-17 last year, and that game was at Lubbock. With the Red Raiders coming to Morgantown, I see no reason why the result will be any different. Sure Texas Tech has improved defensively, but they still lost 41-34 at home to Oklahoma State two weeks ago. Their offense doesn't appear to be quite as prolific as it was with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. Nic Shimonek threw for 330 yards with 1 TD and an INT on 29-of-46 passing in the loss to the Cowboys. That was a home game, and now he's playing on the road against a far better defense in West Virginia. The Red Raiders lost 31-26 in their last game at Morgantown (back in 2015). Texas Tech might look like a sexy pick as a dog, but keep in mind that the Red Raiders have lost 16 straight versus Top 25 teams. The under is 12-2 in West Virginia's last 14 games in October. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-14-17	NC State v. Pittsburgh UNDER 54		35-17	Win	100	6 h 58 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. Pittsburgh's Homecoming game against the Wolfpack looks tough. The Panthers lost starting quarterback Max Browne for the season, and backup Ben Dincucci hasn't looked great at all. The sophomore has completed just 55 percent of his passes for 422 yards with two TDs and two INTs. He's going up against one of the top defensive lines in the country, and adding insult to injury, their leading rusher is also suspended indefinitely. This looks like it could be a defensive battle, as the Wolfpack have gone under in eight straight against ACC teams, and Pittsburgh has failed to reach the total in six of it's last seven overall. The Panthers have lost to Syracuse, Georgia Tech and Penn State, but none of those games saw enough combined points to reach the total listed for this week's game against the Wolfpack. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-11-17	South Alabama v. Troy UNDER 50		19-8	Win	100	14 h 51 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Troy Trojans are coming off a shocking 24-21 upset win over LSU. They will have to try to avoid a let down here at home against a tough conference rival Wednesday. These teams have played some close games over the years, and four of their last five head to head meetings have failed to reach a combined 50 points. Both teams favor the ground game over an air attack, and we should see a gritty, low scoring battle in Alabama. Troy has a great defense, ranking 24th nationally allowing just 18.6 points per game. The under is 15-5-1 in the Trojans last 21 games overall. Even more telling is the fact that they have only gone over in one of their last 12 versus conference rivals. The Jaguars are trending in the same direction, coming off four straight games that failed to reach the total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-07-17	Arizona v. Colorado UNDER 59		45-42	Loss	-110	21 h 35 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total 1/H. The Colorado Buffaloes went to the PAC12 Championship Game last seasons, but they are coming off back to back losses to UCLA and Washington. Unlike last year, they don't seem to have the offensive firepower to keep up with the top tier teams in the PAC12. They have averaged fewer than 20 points while losing two of three games in conference play. The same issue has plagued Arizona, as the Wildcats are coming off a 30-24 home loss to Utah. Their other loss came by a score of 19-16 at home versus Houston. Neither of these teams have been lighting it up with their passing game, and it's expected that this game will be a battle of ground and pound. With both teams focused on running the ball, the time will likely come off the clock before they can tally too many points. Colorado has gone under in seven of it's last eight overall, and 13 of it's last 16 in conference play. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-05-17	Louisville v. NC State UNDER 67		25-39	Win	100	38 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Wolfpack were crushed in a 54-14 loss at Louisville last year, and they will have a chance to avenge that loss here at home on Thursday night. Louisville averaged over 60 points per game in their first four games of last season, but their offense hasn't been nearly as explosive so far this year. They have failed to score 30 points in their last three games at Raleigh. Two of those three games went under the total, and not one of those games saw more than a combined 55 points. The total for tonight's game has been bet up several points since opening at 63, and I think that's a pretty high number when you consider that NC. State is vastly improved on defense. The Wolfpack have gone under in seven straight versus conference rivals, and the under is 16-1-1 in their last 18 games on a Thursday. Last week NC State ran the ball for 256 yards and three TDs, and they should find plenty of room to run here in this game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
09-30-17	Clemson v. Virginia Tech UNDER 52	Top	31-17	Win	100	117 h 47 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Clemson Tigers are a heavy favorite on the road at Virginia Tech this week, and I expect this to be a low scoring battle between two solid defensive teams. Clemson's defense has been impressive, ranking 3rd nationally, allowing opponents to average just over nine points per game. Virginia Tech ranks 6th nationally, allowing just over 10 points per game. The Hokies have outscored opponents 65-0 in two home games so far. Clemson quarterback Kelly Bryant hasn't played poorly, but his stats aren't all that impressive. He's thrown for 873 yards and has completed 68 percent of his passes, but has just two TDs and three picks in four games. Freshman Josh Jackson has put up far more impressive numbers for the Hokies, but hasn't yet faced an opponent like Clemson. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, with six of the last eight meetings going under the total. The Hokies have only scored an average of 16.25 point in their last four games against Clemson, and I doubt they manage much better than that here this week. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
09-30-17	Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech UNDER 84.5		41-34	Win	100	17 h 32 m	Show
8*
09-30-17	Arizona State v. Stanford OVER 63		24-34	Loss	-110	84 h 16 m	Show
8*
09-30-17	Syracuse v. NC State UNDER 65.5		25-33	Win	100	72 h 58 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Wolfpack might be in a let down spot here coming off a huge road win at Florida State. The bookmakers are expecting a shootout, setting the total in the mid sixties. While the Orange run a pass happy offense that often results in high scoring games, I don't think it's going to be very effective against this stout Wolfpack defensive line. NC State has gone under in six straight versus ACC teams, while the Orange have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven in conference play. Four of the last five head to head meetings have gone under, and the total for this game is far higher than it was in any of those five previous matchups. Syracuse scored just three first half points on the road at LSU last week. I think this number is simply way too high. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
09-23-17	Notre Dame v. Michigan State UNDER 54	Top	38-18	Loss	-110	120 h 37 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Irish will be looking for revenge when they travel to East Lansing this Saturday. The Spartans won at South Bend last year by a score of 36-28. That was an uncharacteristically high scoring tilt between these two teams, going way over the listed total of 50. Four of the previous six games between these teams have gone under, and the total for this year's game is higher than it has been in any of the eight meetings over the last 10 years. Last season's Notre Dame squad was brutal defensively, but this year they've looked much better, allowing just over 18 points per game so far. They came up just short in a 20-19 home loss to Georgia, and I expect this game to yield a similar low score. Neither team does anything flashy on offense, and both teams are capable of grinding out wins with their defense. Sparty has failed to reach the total in six of it's last seven non-conference games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
09-23-17	Michigan v. Purdue UNDER 52		28-10	Win	100	103 h 5 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Wolverines have been impressive on defense during their 3-0 start, but poor quarterback play and a below average offense has prevented them from blowing out inferior opponents. They have averaged just 33 points per game, despite playing two of three games at home against unranked opponents (Cincinnati and Air Force). Playing Purdue on the road could prove to be a challenge for Michigan, and some experts even have them on upset alert. Purdue is off to a great start, and their defense has been impressive. The Boilermakers pushed Louisville to the brink in a 35-28 Week 1 loss, and then went on to win back to back games by 20+ points. These teams have played three times since 2010, and two of those three games failed to reach the total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
09-23-17	TCU v. Oklahoma State UNDER 71.5		44-31	Loss	-110	61 h 42 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] UNDER. There has been a lot of line movement in this game between BIG12 rivals TCU and Oklahoma State. The public is betting heavy on the Cowboys and the over, and I think this presents value with a contrarian play. TCU looks like a team that has improved a lot since losing by a score of 31-6 at home to the Cowboys last year. These teams have met every year since 2012, and four of those five games failed to reach the total. Not one of the last 10 meetings between these two teams has seen a combined 70 points. Mason Rudolph has been putting up video game numbers so far, but the last time he faced TCU he threw for just 207 yards and a TD on 17-of-34 passing. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
09-23-17	NC State v. Florida State UNDER 51		27-21	Win	100	99 h 53 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total. The Wolfpack out-gained South Carolina 504-246 total yards in Week 1, but found a way to lose that game. They have been solid defending the run, allowing just 2.8 yards per carry and 1 TD in three games. Florida State will want to lean on it's running game here, as they will be starting a true freshman at quarterback. James Blackman will take over for the injured DeAndre Fancois. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings. The Seminoles beat the Wolfpack last year by a score of 24-20 at Raleigh, and they won by a score of 34-17 at home in 2015. The Wolfpack have gone under in five straight against ACC teams, while FSU has failed to reach the total in seven of it's last 10 overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule

More Content