Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-08-24 | Washington +5 v. Michigan | 13-34 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington plus the points over Michigan at 7:30 pm et on Monday. It shouldn't be difficult at all for the Huskies to play the 'nobody believes in us' card in Monday's National Championship showdown against Michigan. You'd be hard-pressed to find many willing to pick Washington to win this game outright, that's for sure. I simply feel it's going to be tough for Michigan to go from winning 'that' game against Alabama in last Monday's Rose Bowl, in overtime no less, to getting right back up for what many believe to be a lesser opponent in Washington. Just think about everything the Wolverines have been through this season. Yes, winning a national title would represent a storybook finish but things don't always go as planned. Washington is no pushover. This is a team that seems to have gotten stronger with each passing game, first upsetting Oregon in the Pac-12 Championship Game and then defeating Texas in a thriller in the Sugar Bowl last Monday. Note that Washington is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog. Michigan is just 10-13 ATS in its last 23 contests after three straight ATS victories as a favorite. The Wolverines are also a miserable 1-5 ATS in their last six neutral site games when priced as a favorite of between 3.5 and 7 points, as is the case here. Take Washington (8*). |
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01-08-24 | Celtics v. Pacers +4 | 131-133 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Boston at 7:10 pm et on Monday. The Celtics had little trouble disposing of the Pacers on this floor two nights ago. I expect a different story to unfold in Monday's rematch. Indiana was in a difficult spot on Saturday as it poured in 150 points in a rout of the Hawks the night previous, using up much of what it had in the tank. Boston on the other hand shifted into cruise control relatively early in a victory over the Jazz one night earlier. It's also worth noting that Saturday's affair was a revenge spot for the C's after they dropped a 122-112 decision in Indiana in early December. The shoe is on the other foot here. Note that the Pacers are 31-22 ATS in their last 53 games when seeking revenge for a double-digit loss against an opponent, as is the case here. Indiana is also 22-15 ATS in its last 37 contests as a home underdog six points or less. The Celtics on the other hand are a miserable 11-22 ATS in their last 33 games following consecutive ATS wins as favorites. They're also just 13-18 ATS in their last 31 contests after holding their last two opponents to 105 points or less, which is the situation here. Take Indiana (8*). |
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01-07-24 | Clippers v. Lakers +5 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the Lakers plus the points over the Clippers at 9:40 pm et on Sunday. These two teams appear headed in opposite directions right now with the Clippers having won five games in a row SU and four straight ATS while the Lakers have dropped four straight contests including three in a row ATS. We'll grab all the points we can get with the underdog Lakers on Sunday, however, as I see this as a favorable spot. The Lakers have been home since the turn of the New Year but have nothing to show for it, dropping back-to-back games against the Heat and Grizzlies at Crypto.com Arena. It's been quite a slide since winning the inaugural in-season tournament but there is an opportunity here to start turning things around as this is only the third game of a five-game homestand. The Clippers are probably feeling pretty good about themselves after opening their current road trip with wins in Phoenix and New Orleans. This is where things get a little tricky as they'll play against the Lakers tonight before hosting the Suns tomorrow. Note that the Clippers are a long-term 61-98 ATS when coming off consecutive ATS wins as a favorite, as is the case here. They're also 39-69 ATS when coming off four or more consecutive ATS victories. Meanwhile, the Lakers are 32-25 ATS in their last 57 games following a double-digit loss and 61-47 ATS in their last 108 contests following an ATS defeat. Take the Lakers (8*). |
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01-07-24 | Bills -2.5 v. Dolphins | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Buffalo minus the points over Miami at 8:20 pm et on Sunday. The Bills have been playing playoff football for the last month-plus as they desperately try to work their way into the postseason - a destination that was thought to be a sure thing earlier in the season. The Dolphins have already clinched a playoff spot but would certainly like to avoid tumbling down the AFC pecking order. Of course, their main focus right now is probably on avoiding any more injuries. I simply see two teams heading in opposite directions at this point. The Bills haven't been covering spreads but they haven't needed to to win games as double-digit favorites over the last two weeks. Note that those two ATS defeats do set up Buffalo well as it has gone a long-term 62-38 ATS following consecutive ATS losses. While the Dolphins may appear to be in a solid bounce-back spot off last week's drubbing in Baltimore, history says otherwise. Miami is just 13-23 ATS in its last 36 games following a loss by 21 points or more. Take Buffalo (8*). |
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01-07-24 | Seahawks -3 v. Cardinals | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
NFC West Game of the Month. My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Arizona at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. The Seahawks are of course in a must-win situation in Arizona on Sunday and while I'll rarely look to back teams on that premise alone, I do like the way this spot sets up for Seattle (which needs a victory and some help to get into the playoffs). First we'll note that Seattle has owned this series recently, going 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The road team is also a long-term 14-6-1 ATS in the last 21 matchups between these two teams. The Cardinals are in a big letdown spot here after upsetting the Eagles in Philadelphia last Sunday. Few expected them to be remotely competitive in that game. Of course, what worked last week may not work this week. The Cardinals ran wild on the Eagles. While the Seahawks haven't exactly played stout run defense, they do get back one of their best run stoppers in LB Jordyn Brooks from an ankle injury this week. Seattle is a long-term 121-100 ATS when coming off a loss and 62-45 ATS after giving up 30 points or more in their last game. The Cards are 7-11 ATS when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent and 15-19 ATS in their last 34 games after scoring 35 points or more in their previous contest. Take Seattle (10*). |
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01-07-24 | Canisius v. Rider OVER 147 | Top | 76-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Canisius and Rider at 2 pm et on Sunday. While a track meet between two struggling MAAC squads is probably the last thing on the mind of most bettors on a busy Sunday of sports action, I think we have an excellent spot to play the 'over' in this matchup. The Golden Griffins opposition has been stuffing the boxscore lately, knocking down 33, 31, 28 and 30 field goals in their last four games and Rider figures to take full advantage. The Broncs have lost three games in a row and are desperate for their first victory in conference play following another loss - by an 88-84 score - on the road against Quinnipiac on Friday. Like Canisius, Rider has been vulnerable defensively, allowing 28, 29, 27, 30 and 30 made field goals in its last five contests. Both teams are capable offensively. Rider knocked down 33 field goals in Friday's defeat while Canisius had an off shooting night but still got off a whopping 68 field goal attempts. The last time these two teams met last February they combined to score 159 points. Note that the 'over' is 17-6 in Rider's last 23 home games following three straight losses. The 'over' is also a long-term 116-84 with Canisius playing in a road underdog role. Take the over (10*). |
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01-07-24 | Vikings v. Lions OVER 46 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
NFC North Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Detroit at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Vikings defense held up better than most expected over the course of the season with Brian Flores' blitz-happy packages stemming the tide for much of the campaign. That hasn't been the case over the last three games, however. It seems that the book may be out on this incarnation of the Purple People Eaters. Minnesota has been smacked for 27, 30 and 33 points over its last three contests. The Vikes three opponents over that stretch - Cincinnati, Detroit and Green Bay - posted respective passing lines of 29-42-298, 30-40-246 and 25-34-193. According to head coach Dan Campbell, the Lions will play their starters on Sunday, despite being locked into the third spot in the NFC. Regardless who takes the field, I expect them to find success against the Vikes sagging defense. On the flip side, Minnesota will be going for it with a slim chance of reaching the postseason despite its embarrassing home loss against the Packers in primetime last Sunday. Teams haven't even bothered running against the Lions lately and the Vikings don't figure to stray from that strategy (they've run the football just 27 times over their last two games). More passing equates to more clock stoppages. I don't envision Minnesota possessing the football for long stretches on Sunday but I do think it can punch through with some big plays against this struggling Lions secondary. Take the over (10*). |
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01-06-24 | California v. UCLA -6 | 66-57 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on UCLA minus the points over California at 10 pm et on Saturday. UCLA is reeling right now having lost two straight and six of its last seven games overall. A home date against California should be just what it needs to right the ship, however. Note that the Bruins have taken 11 straight meetings against the Bears with eight of those wins coming by double-digit margins. Cal is off to an 0-3 start in Pac-12 play and has dropped the cash in five straight games overall. The Bears sit a middling 154th in KenPom's national rankings - 63 spots south of UCLA. The Bruins actually check in having held four straight opponents to 22 or fewer made field goals. I believe their offensive woes can be fixed and it's worth noting that Cal has allowed opponents to stuff boxscores, allowing four of its last six foes to knock down more than 30 field goals. The Bears are just 9-12 ATS in their last 21 games following three straight losses against conference opponents. Meanwhile, UCLA is 22-16 ATS in its last 38 contests after being held to 55 points or less. Take UCLA (8*). |
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01-06-24 | Lightning v. Bruins -155 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston over Tampa Bay at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Bruins haven't been the same nearly unbeatable force at home this season that they were in 22-23 but they're still 11-6 at TD Garden and I expect them to bounce back from Thursday's 6-5 loss right here against the Penguins. Boston didn't execute much well in that defeat at the hands of Pittsburgh. Perhaps a letdown was to be expected as it was returning home off a perfect 2-0 road trip and four straight victories overall. Nevertheless, this is a game the Bruins will undoubtedly get up for after they dropped a 5-4 decision in Tampa on November 20th. The Bruins are an incredible 23-5 in their last 28 home games when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent. Note that despite Thursday's poor defensive showing, the B's are still giving up just 2.5 goals per game on home ice this season. That's in stark contrast to the Lightning's road ledger as they've given up a whopping 3.9 goals per contest in enemy territory. Tampa Bay is coming off a 4-1 victory in Minnesota on Thursday but hasn't won consecutive games since recording three wins in a row from December 19th to 23rd. The Bolts are just 6-12 when coming off a win this season. Take Boston (8*). |
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01-06-24 | Oregon State v. Washington -12.5 | Top | 72-79 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
Pac-12 Game of the Year. My selection is on Washington minus the points over Oregon State at 6 pm et on Saturday. The Huskies are surprisingly at the bottom of the Pac-12 standings sporting an 0-3 record in early conference action. Keep in mind, this is a team that upset Gonzaga earlier this season and ranks just outside the top-50 in the country according to KenPom. Not only that but the Huskies are battle-tested having faced the 17th most difficult schedule in the country so far this season (also according to KenPom). They let Oregon off the hook two nights ago, jumping out in front by a wide margin early before settling for a halftime lead but then folding in the final 20 minutes. Of course, Oregon is no pushover. Here, Washington should benefit from facing an Oregon State squad that figures to eventually reside near the bottom of the Pac-12 standings. The Beavers currently rank 159th in KenPom's national rankings and have only faced the 146th toughest slate of opponents. The home team has gone 5-1 SU and ATS in the last six meetings in this series. Note that Oregon State is just 9-17 ATS in its last 26 games following an ATS victory, as is the case here. Meanwhile, Washington is an exceptional 18-5 ATS in its last 23 contests following a loss against a conference foe. Take Washington (10*). |
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01-06-24 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 34.5 | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
AFC North Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Baltimore at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. This is obviously a must-win game for the Steelers and they'll also need help in the form of a Dolphins win over the Bills tomorrow night to clinch a playoff spot. While Baltimore will be resting its starters, I'm not convinced it will simply roll over in this divisional revenge game after dropping a 17-10 decision in Pittsburgh earlier this season. While the Ravens won't play the majority of their starters you can be sure they would still like nothing more than to end the Steelers season here. I do think it's in both teams best interest to effectively shorten this game. For the Steelers, they'll be looking to take the crowd out of the game and make this one as boring as possible in my opinion. The last thing they want to do is awaken the sleeping giant in this case. QB Mason Rudolph has been ultra-efficient through his first two starts but regardless who he is facing on the Ravens defense on Saturday, they'll be scheming up to stop him. Note that Baltimore has forced a whopping 10 turnovers over its last three games. For the Ravens, they simply want to get through this game unscathed. Backup QB Lamar Huntley has only appeared in mop-up duty so far this season. Last year, the final scores in his five games of extended action totalled just 19, 30, 16, 26 and 29 points. While the 'over' has cashed in each of Pittsburgh's last four games, the 'under' is a long-term 149-114 when it plays away from home. The 'under' is also 12-4 in the Steelers last 16 games following a victory. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 42-22 in the Ravens last 66 contests after scoring 25 or more points in consecutive games, as is the case here. Take the under (10*). |
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01-05-24 | Heat v. Suns UNDER 229.5 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Phoenix at 9:10 pm et on Friday. The Heat are coming off a lopsided win in upset fashion over the Lakers two nights ago. In that contest, they scored 100 or more points for the 12th straight game, extending their season long streak. Note that their previous longest such streak lasted just nine games. Of course, in today's NBA perhaps that's not such an accomplishment but for a team like the Heat, which I consider to be rather limited offensively, not to mention one that doesn't play at an incredibly fast pace, it's worth noting. The Suns do figure to test the Heat offense here, noting that Phoenix has held five straight and 13 of its last 15 opponents to 44 or fewer made field goals. Also of note, the Suns have limited five of their last eight opponents to 87 or fewer field goal attempts. On the flip side, most expected the Suns to be one of the league's most explosive offensive teams with the additions of Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal. Both have dealt with injuries, however, and have been in and out of the lineup. As a result, the Suns have been lukewarm offensively. They've knocked down 42 or fewer field goals in back-to-back and 16 of their last 20 games overall. In fact, Phoenix has had a tough enough time getting shots off let alone making good on them, hoisting up 82 or fewer field goal attempts in four of its last five contests. Note that the 'under' is 7-3 in the Heat's last 10 games following a road win and 9-5 in their last 14 contests after an ATS victory. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 8-4 in the Suns last 12 games after giving up 130 or more points in their previous contest, as is the case here. The 'under' is also 42-34 in Phoenix's last 76 games following a loss. Take the under (8*). |
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01-05-24 | Niagara -1 v. Manhattan | Top | 81-67 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
MAAC Game of the Year. My selection is on Niagara minus the points over Manhattan at 7 pm et on Friday. The Purple Eagles are off to an 0-2 start in MAAC play but they draw a favorable matchup on the road against Manhattan on Friday. Note that Niagara is coming off an upset win at Buffalo last time out. It should be able to take advantage of a Jaspers squad that has seen the opposition 'fill it up' this season and particularly of late. Manhattan has given up 36, 34, 31, 25, 28, 29 and 26 made field goals over its last seven games. Even in the game where it allowed just 25 made field goals it still suffered a double-digit loss on the road against MAAC foe Marist. Niagara is 21-18 ATS in its last 39 road games as a favorite of three points or less, as is the case here at the time of writing. Meanwhile, Manhattan is just 12-15 ATS in its last 27 lined home contests. Take Niagara (10*). |
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01-04-24 | Oregon State v. Washington State -11 | 58-65 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington State minus the points over Oregon State at 11 pm et on Thursday. This is a straightforward fade of Oregon State after it stunned USC by a score of 86-70 last Saturday. Meanwhile, Washington State should come out on fire after dropping both road tilts in Pac-12 play last weekend, at Utah and Colorado. That was certainly a tough two-game road trip but the Cougars would have liked to have at least stolen one. Note that Washington State still ranks 98 spots north of Oregon State according to KenPom this season, with both teams facing almost an identical level of opposition (in terms of strength of schedule). Note that Oregon State has gone 0-7 ATS in its last seven games following a double-digit victory. Take Washington State (8*). |
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01-04-24 | Oregon v. Washington -3.5 | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington minus the points over Oregon at 9 pm et on Thursday. The Huskies will look to flip the script on the Ducks on Thursday after getting off to an 0-2 start in Pac-12 play with consecutive tight losses against two tough teams in Colorado and Utah, on the road no less, last weekend. Oregon outlasted USC and UCLA in a pair of tightly-contested matchups of its own last weekend to jump out to a perfect 2-0 start in conference play. Note that Washington still ranks five spots clear of Oregon in KenPom's national rankings. The Huskies are battle-tested to be sure having faced the 16th toughest schedule in the country so far this season. While the Ducks do have some quality wins on their resume, they've only gone up against the 110th most difficult slate of opponents. Take Washington (8*). |
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01-04-24 | Sabres -129 v. Canadiens | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Atlantic Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Buffalo over Montreal at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Sabres have had plenty of time to stew over Sunday's 5-1 defeat at the hands of the Senators in Ottawa. This would have already been a game Buffalo had circled on its calendar after dropping both previous meetings, at home no less, in this series this season. The Canadiens just played in Dallas two nights ago, wrapping up a long seven-game road stretch that started on December 18th (they did return home for a brief holiday break). While the Sabres are by no means road warriors, they haven managed to go 10-7 in their last 17 road games against Atlantic Division opponents. They're also an impressive 23-11 in their last 34 games when seeking revenge for a home loss against an opponent. Meanwhile, the Canadiens are a miserable 20-46 in their last 66 games following a win, as is the case here after Tuesday's upset victory in Dallas. Note that the road team has won five straight and six of the last seven meetings in this series. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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01-03-24 | Stanford v. UCLA -3.5 | 59-53 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on UCLA minus the points over Stanford at 9 pm et on Wednesday. UCLA returns home following an unsurprising 1-1 (2-0 ATS) trip through Oregon last weekend. Meanwhile, Stanford is in a prime letdown spot following a stunning blowout victory over Arizona last time out. The win actually snapped a two-game slide for the Cardinal, including a home loss against Arizona State in Pac-12 play. While Stanford's middling 6-6 start to the campaign is somewhat expected, UCLA can't feel good about its 6-7 mark - even if it did play well last weekend in Oregon. Of note, the Bruins have faced the 79th most difficult schedule in the country so far this season (according to KenPom) while Stanford has gone against the 107th toughest slate of opponents. I expect UCLA to use this as a springboard game before hosting another winnable game against Cal on Saturday. Take UCLA (8*). |
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01-03-24 | Northern Iowa +2.5 v. Missouri State | 64-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on Northern Iowa plus the points over Missouri State at 9 pm et on Wednesday. The Panthers have been working their way toward the return of conference play since dropping their first two Missouri Valley Conference matchups back in late November-early December. Since suffering an outright loss as a favorite at Evansville on December 2nd Northern Iowa has gone 4-1 SU and ATS. I don't expect any sort of letdown here, however. It's a different story for Missouri State, which is off to an impressive start to the campaign and most recently upset perennial NCAA Tournament team St. Mary's (CA), on the road no less, just before Christmas. Note that the road team has gone 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings in this particular series, including a 69-66 Panthers victory on this floor last February. Northern Iowa checks in a long-term 73-47 ATS when playing on the road off consecutive ATS victories and 36-15 ATS in its last 51 road contests following back-to-back wins by double-digits, as is the case here. Meanwhile, Missouri State is just 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games after winning two of its last three contests. Take Northern Iowa (8*). |
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01-03-24 | Pelicans v. Wolves UNDER 223.5 | Top | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New Orleans and Minnesota at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. This will be the fourth meeting already this season between these two teams and we're inexplicably working with the highest total of the bunch. It is worth noting the 'over' has cashed in all three previous matchups this season. I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday. The Timberwolves were already one of the slowest paced teams in the league this season but they've taken it to another level lately, hoisting up an unheard of (by today's NBA standards) 76 field goal attempts or fewer in each of their last four games. They've also held four of their last five opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals. The Pelicans have gotten off 88 or fewer field goal attempts in six of their last seven games. On the flip side they've held the opposition to just 35, 39, 36, 39 and 35 made field goals over their last five contests. Note that the 'under' is a long-term 45-28 with the Pelicans checking in as a road underdog. Meanwhile, the 'under' has gone 35-21 in the Timberwolves last 56 home games with the total set at 220 points or higher. Take the under (10*). |
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01-03-24 | Devils -156 v. Capitals | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Jersey over Washington at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The spot doesn't get much better for the Devils as they look to bounce back from a 5-2 drubbing at the hands of the Bruins in Boston this past Saturday. That loss snapped a three-game winning streak as New Jersey has certainly turned things around following a slow start to the campaign. The Devils check in 11-6 over their last 17 contests. Washington entered last night's game in Pittsburgh riding a four-game losing streak having scored a grand total of just five goals over that stretch. This is undoubtedly a game the Devils have had circled after dropping the first two meetings in this series this season (both on home ice). Note that the road team has gone 9-2 in the last 11 matchups between these two teams. Take New Jersey (8*). |
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01-02-24 | Islanders v. Avalanche -159 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Colorado over New York at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday. You have to figure Islanders head coach Lane Lambert's days behind the bench are once again numbered as New York has dropped five of its last eight games following a brief surge. Things won't get any easier as the Isles continue their road trip with a top in Denver on Tuesday. The Avalanche are 7-3 over their last 10 games and check in 15-4 on home ice this season. Speaking of home ice, the home team has dominated this particular series, going 14-3 in the last 17 meetings. The Avs did manage to skate to a 7-4 win on Long Island earlier this season but that's been the exception rather than the rule. Here, we'll note that New York is a miserable 1-10 in its last 11 road contests after scoring one goal or less in its previous game. Meanwhile, the Avs are 26-12 in their last 38 games after allowing two goals or less in consecutive games, as is the case here. Take Colorado (8*). |
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01-02-24 | Celtics v. Thunder +3 | Top | 123-127 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show |
Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Oklahoma City plus the points over Boston at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. It seems as though the Thunder still aren't being treated like an elite team in the betting marketplace. Here, they're installed as a home underdog against the Celtics, despite playing some of their best basketball of the season - a red hot 7-1 SU and ATS over their last eight games. While Oklahoma City is gaining a reputation for being an outstanding offensive team, and for good reason, I've been even more impressed by its defensive play. Note that the Thunder have allowed just three of their last seven opponents to knock down 40+ field goals. In stark contrast, the Celtics have allowed 40+ made field goals in seven straight and 13 of their last 14 contests. Both teams come in following an off day on Monday. The difference I see here is that Boston will be playing in its sixth different city since December 19th while Oklahoma City has only had to leave home for a single game (in Denver) over that same period. Finally, we'll note that the Celtics are a long-term 95-126 ATS when coming off a double-digit road win, as is the case here. Take Oklahoma City (10*). |
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01-01-24 | Mavs v. Jazz +3.5 | 90-127 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah plus the points over Dallas at 9:10 pm et on Monday. Sometimes you have to ride the streaks and right now the Jazz are on a heater having reeled off five straight ATS victories. They'll look to avoid a fourth straight defeat at the hands of the Mavericks on Monday, noting that Dallas hasn't won four consecutive matchups in this season since 2013-15. The Mavs have been wildly inconsistent this season and I can't help but feel they're in for a letdown following Saturday's upset win over the Warriors in San Francisco. Note that they're just 18-35 ATS in their last 53 games following a win. Utah rallied for a 117-109 victory over the Heat at home on Saturday. The Jazz have gone an incredible 20-5 ATS in their last 25 games as a home underdog. They're also 8-1 ATS when playing at home seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent this season. Take Utah (8*). |
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01-01-24 | Iowa +6 v. Tennessee | Top | 0-35 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
Bowl Game of the Year. My selection is on Iowa plus the points over Tennessee at 1 pm et on Monday. Talk about disrespect. Iowa enters the Citrus Bowl sporting a better record than Tennessee and is almost certainly bringing a more complete roster to the game than the Vols, yet here it is installed as a considerable underdog in a game that figures to be low-scoring (a situation that would certainly favor the Hawkeyes). Note that Iowa has reeled off four wins in its last five Bowl appearances (the lone loss came by just three points against Kentucky on this field two years ago to the day) and figures to be in a foul mood after a 26-0 drubbing at the hands of Michigan in the Big Ten Championship Game. The Hawkeyes won't have standout TE Erick All or QB Cade McNamara but we know they're not all about offense anyway. I'm confident the Iowa defense will be fired up about facing Vols highly-touted blue chip freshman QB recruit Nico Iamaleava rather than Joe Milton in this matchup. Note that Iowa is an incredible 66-33 ATS in its last 99 games after losing ATS in two of its last three contests, as is the case here. The Hawkeyes are also 9-5 ATS in their last 14 games a neutral field underdog of a touchdown or less. Meanwhile, Tennessee is a miserable 42-61 ATS in its last 103 games following a home victory by 17 points or more. Take Iowa (10*). |
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12-31-23 | Magic +5.5 v. Suns | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Phoenix at 8:10 pm et on Sunday. The Suns have delivered back-to-back blowout wins over the fast-fading Rockets and Hornets. I look for them to come back to Earth as they host the Magic on Sunday. Orlando has shaken off a recent slump to deliver three wins in its last four games SU and four in its last five ATS. Note that the underdog has gone 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings in this series. The Magic are 52-38 ATS in their last 90 games as an underdog of between 3.5 and 9.5 points. Meanwhile, the Suns are 15-28 ATS in their last 43 games off a double-digit home victory. Take Orlando (8*). |
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12-31-23 | Sabres v. Senators -150 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ottawa over Buffalo at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. The Sabres needed everything they had in the tank to rally for a 3-2 overtime win over the Blue Jackets in a big revenge spot yesterday. Now the Senators are in a revenge spot of their own as they host Buffalo on New Year's Eve. The Sabres took the only previous matchup between these two teams this season by a 6-4 score in Ottawa back in October. The Senators saw their two-game winning streak come to an end at the hands of the red hot Devils on Friday. I like the bounce back spot here at home as they check in 14-12 in their last 26 games when seeking revenge for a home loss by two goals or more against an opponent. Take Ottawa (8*). |
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12-31-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6.5 | Top | 17-25 | Win | 100 | 21 h 44 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week. My selection is on Kansas City minus the points over Cincinnati at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. This is a massive bounce-back spot for both of these teams with the Bengals coming off a stunning beatdown in Pittsburgh and the Chiefs fresh off a Christmas Day upset at home at the hands of the hated Raiders. The difference here is, Kansas City has the personnel in place to bounce back. Cincinnati, in its current form, does not. The Bengals defense has been a massive disappointment this season, unable to stop the run or the pass. Needless to say, despite its struggles against Las Vegas on Monday, Kansas City has the pieces in place to explode on offense. This is a smash spot for Chiefs TE Travis Kelce in particular. With all signs pointing to Chiefs RB Isaiah Pacheco being good to go as well, we'll give Kansas City the green light on offense on Sunday. It's a different story for the Bengals as they try to squeeze as much as they can out of QB Jake Browning. He has regressed considerably and has yet to truly riff with elite WR Ja'Marr Chase, who is expected back this week. Note that the Chiefs are a long-term 63-47 ATS in their last 110 games after losing two of their last three contests, as is the case here. The Bengals are just 8-14 ATS in their last 22 games following a loss by 21 points or more against a divisional opponent, which is the situation they're in on Sunday. Take Kansas City (10*). |
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12-31-23 | Washington State v. Colorado OVER 144.5 | 67-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Washington State and Colorado at 2 pm et on Sunday. As long as Washington State keeps playing at the pace it has, the points will come. The Cougars have hoisted up 64 or more field goals attempts in five of their last nine games and figure to be afforded plenty of scoring opportunities against Colorado on Sunday as well. The Buffaloes allowed Washington to get off 65 field goal attempts in Friday's narrow victory - the Huskies simply had an off shooting night. In that vein, the Buffaloes didn't shoot particularly well either but should rebound here. Washington State has gotten progressively worse defensively, most recently allowing Utah to connect on 29-of-61 field goal opportunities in Friday's 80-58 loss. Take the over (8*). |
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12-31-23 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 42 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 7 m | Show |
NFC South Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between New Orleans and Tampa Bay at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Saints have defied expectations from a totals perspective, at least on the road in recent weeks as the 'over' has gone 3-1 in their last four games played away from home. This is another promising spot for the Saints offense on the road against what has turned out to be a very beatable Buccaneers defense. Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay offense has thrived with Baker Mayfield at the helm. With the Saints missing CB Marshon Lattimore once again, it's all systems go for the Bucs offense again. Note that the 'under' has cashed in four straight meetings in this series. We haven't seen four straight 'unders' between these two teams previously since 2014-16. In their next matchup on that occasion they combined to score 55 points. The 'over' is a long-term 63-54 with the Saints coming off a road loss, as is the case here. The 'over' is also 46-40 in Tampa Bay's last 86 games following an upset win. Take the over (10*). |
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12-31-23 | Cardinals v. Eagles -12 | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Arizona at 1 pm et on Sunday. This is a blowup spot for the Eagles offense as they face a weary Cardinals defense that just got tagged for 72 points in its last two games against the 49ers and Bears. Philadelphia is in line to feast offensively after hanging 33 points on the board without breaking a sweat against the Giants on Christmas Day. The Eagles defense is another story entirely. Philadelphia has been vulnerable at times defensively this season but I don't believe Arizona has the personnel in place to take advantage. TE Trey McBride is a bright spot to be sure and he's likely to get his in this particular matchup. Can anyone else pick up the rest of the slack though? I'm not convinced. You would be hard-pressed to find a weaker wide receiving corps than that of the Cards. QB Kyler Murray has made a respectable return but he's going to be in tough against the Eagles pass rush here. This is a game where Philadelphia should be able to jump ahead, much like they did against New York, but successfully salt away the win and cover on this occasion. Take Philadelphia (8*). |
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12-30-23 | USC -8 v. Oregon State | 70-86 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on USC minus the points over Oregon State at 10 pm et on Saturday. It took about a half but USC did eventually wake up and start playing Trojans basketball against Oregon on Thursday. Unfortunately for them it was too little too late as they dropped an 82-74 decision. I look for the Trojans to bounce back on Saturday as they stay in the Pacific Northwest to take on Oregon State. The Beavers got off to a strong start against UCLA on Thursday but couldn't keep it up in the second half, allowing a whopping 45 points against the Bruins in the game's final 20 minutes on their way to a 69-62 loss. The loss snapped a five-game winning streak for Oregon State. Keep in mind, the Beavers hadn't really played all that tough of a schedule prior to the start of Pac-12 play, falling by margin in their only step-up games. I suspect it's going to take some time for Oregon State to settle into a rhythm and ultimately offer some line value here in Pac-12 play. Take USC (8*). |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 24 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Month. My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Detroit at 8:15 pm et on Saturday. The Cowboys are in a prime bounce-back spot as they return home following consecutive losses in Buffalo and Miami. Detroit on the other hand finds itself in a letdown spot after clinching the NFC North division with last week's win (and cover) in Minnesota. While I fully expect Dallas to crash and burn at some point in the playoffs, I do think it has plenty of upside over the next 2-3 weeks. Note that the Lions are a miserable 12-30 ATS in their last 42 road games following consecutive wins. Meanwhile, Dallas is a perfect 6-0 in its last six home games as a favorite of a touchdown or less. The Cowboys are also 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS defeat, as is the case here. Take Dallas (10*). |
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12-30-23 | Blues v. Penguins -180 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh over St. Louis at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. While the Blues were battling it out with the division rival Avalanche last night on home ice, the Penguins were home and cool following consecutive off days. The last time we saw Pittsburgh take the ice it delivered a lopsided 7-0 victory on Long Island. The Pens are playing some of their best hockey of the season right now, winners of five of their last seven games. They're allowing just 2.5 goals per game on home ice this season and this marks the start of a three-game homestand that will take them into the New Year. Note that St. Louis has struggled to find the back of the net on the road this season, averaging 2.3 goals per contest while going 7-11. Take Pittsburgh (8*). |
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12-30-23 | Toledo +3.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 15-16 | Win | 100 | 33 h 33 m | Show |
Bowl Game of the Week. My selection is on Toledo plus the points over Wyoming at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. This line has shifted considerably with the news that Toledo QB Dequan Finn has entered the transfer portal and will miss this game. I still like Toledo's chances of giving Wyoming all it can handle on Saturday afternoon. Note that the Rockets will be out to erase the memory of a disappointing loss in the MAC Championship Game against Miami-Ohio. There's no reason for the disappointment to linger as you could argue the Rockets still ended up with a higher-profile Bowl game. Wyoming closed out the regular season with consecutive blowout wins over Hawaii and Nevada. The Cowboys inability to step up in class turned out to be their downfall in the Mountain West Conference this season as they fell short against the likes of Air Force, Boise State and UNLV. I expect them to similarly have their hands full with a very capable Rockets squad here. Note that Toledo is 24-8 ATS in its last 32 games after scoring 14 points or less in its previous contest, as is the case here. Wyoming is 0-4 ATS in its last four games after posting a road victory by 28 points or more. Take Toledo (10*). |
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12-30-23 | Ole Miss +6 v. Penn State | 38-25 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ole Miss plus the points over Penn State at 12 noon et on Saturday. Ole Miss has to feel pretty good at itself for reaching the Peach Bowl with a 10-2 record this season. The Rebels only two losses came against Alabama and Georgia. I like their chances of hanging tough against Penn State here. The Nittany Lions closed out the regular season with consecutive blowout wins over Rutgers and Michigan State. Note that Ole Miss is a long-term 63-46 ATS against non-conference opponents and 11-4 ATS in its last 15 Bowl games. Penn State checks in just 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games following a shutout victory, as is the case here. On the fast track at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, I look for the Rebels offense to thrive. Take Ole Miss (8*). |
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12-29-23 | Hornets v. Suns UNDER 234.5 | 119-133 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Charlotte and Phoenix at 9:10 pm et on Friday. It sounds like Bradley Beal will take the floor for the Suns on Friday and that has given this total a bump. It generally takes two teams to topple a total this high, however, and this is a miserable spot for the road-weary Hornets. Charlotte got drummed again last night, allowing 130+ points in a game where the Lakers simply couldn't miss (they shot 52-of-97 from the field). Note that the Hornets have now been held to 43 or fewer made field goals in eight of their last nine games. Meanwhile, Phoenix has allowed 44 or fewer made field goals in an incredible 14 of its last 17 contests. On the flip side, the Suns went off two nights ago in Houston, connecting on 47-of-82 field goal attempts. While I'm not saying that performance is necessarily a one-off, I also don't think it's sustainable. Note that the 'under' is 44-32 in the Suns last 76 home games with a total set at 230 points or higher, as is the case here. The 'under' is also a long-term 47-41 in Phoenix's last 88 home games as a favorite of 12.5 points or more. Take the under (8*). |
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12-29-23 | Washington v. Colorado OVER 155 | Top | 69-73 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
Pac-12 Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Colorado at 9 pm et on Friday. You would have to go back to January of 2021 to find the last time these two teams eclipsed the total we're working with on Friday night. I think that changes here. Washington doesn't figure to pose much of a defensive threat against the high-flying Buffaloes. The Huskies have allowed opponents to hoist up an average of 64 field goal attempts per game this season with that number rising to 67 on the road. There is reason to believe Washington can keep pace to a certain extent. The Huskies didn't turn in their best performance last time out against Eastern Washington but still scored 73 points on just 23 made field goals. They're averaging 30 made field goals per contest this season. Colorado plays at a faster tempo at home, where it has yielded an average of 61 field goal attempts per game to the opposition this season. Both teams rank inside the top-90 in adjusted tempo according to KenPom. Take the over (10*). |
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12-29-23 | Avalanche -160 v. Blues | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 30 m | Show |
Central Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Colorado over St. Louis at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I'll generally look to back the Avalanche in bounce back spots at every opportunity and will certainly do so here after they blew a 4-0 lead in Arizona and fell by a 5-4 score in overtime two nights ago. While the Avs were blowing that game, the Blues were outlasting the Stars by a 2-1 score here on home ice. Note that the road team has gone 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in this series. St. Louis is riding a three-game winning streak, matching its longest such streak this season. The last time the Blues won three in a row they went on to lose 5-1 to the Sharks in their next game. St. Louis did take the most recent meeting between these two teams by an 8-2 score in Denver on November 11th. The Avs are 25-19 in their last 44 road games when seeking revenge for a loss by four or more goals against an opponent. Take Colorado (10*). |
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12-29-23 | Bucks v. Cavs +5.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Milwaukee at 7:40 pm et on Friday. The Cavaliers have gone through their ups and downs this season but have battled harder than most teams on their way to an 18-13 record. The needle is most definitely pointed up right now as they've gone 8-2-1 ATS over their last 11 games and draw a statement game at home against the Bucks on Friday. Milwaukee dismantled Brooklyn 144-122 two nights ago. We'll fade it off that win and cover as a double-digit favorite, however. Note that the Bucks are 13-26 ATS in their last 39 games after scoring 120 points or more in three straight games, as is the case here. They're also a long-term 96-102 ATS when coming off a double-digit road victory. Meanwhile, the Cavs are 15-9 ATS in their last 24 games off an upset win, which is the situation here following Wednesday's victory in Dallas. They're also a long-term 51-42 ATS when coming off consecutive road wins. The home team has dominated this particular series lately, taking six straight meetings both SU and ATS. Take Cleveland (8*). |
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12-29-23 | Notre Dame v. Oregon State +6.5 | 40-8 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oregon State plus the points over Notre Dame at 2 pm et on Friday. I can't imagine this game means a whole lot to Notre Dame as a program. This is a team that wants to be playing for national championships, not second-rate Bowl game victories. The Irish put the clamps on Wake Forest and Stanford in their final two regular season games, rolling to lopsided victories. Their roster on Friday will be a far cry from the one that delivered those knockout blows, however. Oregon State will be missing plenty of key contributors from the regular season as well. I do think the Beavers will be playing with a considerable chip on their shoulder, however, as they look to avoid a three-game losing streak to wrap up the campaign (the 31-7 loss to rival Oregon in their regular season finale certainly stung). Oregon State will be making its fourth straight Bowl appearance having gone 2-1 SU in the previous three. Note that the Beavers are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 road games played with extended rest. Take Oregon State (8*). |
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12-28-23 | Heat v. Warriors UNDER 228.5 | Top | 114-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Golden State at 10:10 pm et on Thursday. The Heat saw their most recent game on Christmas Night sneak 'over' the total as they outlasted the 76ers on their home floor. Note that Miami has still held nine of its last 10 opponents to 42 or fewer made field goals. On the flip side, you would have to go back five games to find the last time the Heat connected on more than 41 field goals. The 'under' is 17-6 in the Warriors last 23 home games when playing on two of more days' rest, as is the case here. They covered but lost 120-114 in Denver on Christmas. Golden State has held seven of its last eight opponents to 45 or fewer made field goals and its last two foes to just 38 and 40 made field goals. Take the under (10*). |
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12-28-23 | USC v. Oregon -2.5 | Top | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 32 h 3 m | Show |
Pac-12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Oregon minus the points over USC at 9 pm et on Thursday. USC snapped a three-game losing streak with a 20-point rout of Alabama State last time out but it should find the going much tougher on Thursday as it opens Pac-12 play with a showdown against Oregon in Eugene. The Ducks rebounded from a 20-point beatdown at the hands of Syracuse by defeating Kent State 84-70 prior to the break. Oregon is now 4-1 SU and ATS over its last five contests. I like the Ducks chances of going off offensively in this one as USC's opponents have been stuffing the boxscores, knocking down 24 or more field goals in nine of 11 games to date. Oregon doesn't mind pushing the pace having hoisted up 60 or more field goal attempts in eight of its 11 contests so far this season. Take Oregon (10*). |
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12-28-23 | Jazz v. Pelicans -8 | 105-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans minus the points over Utah at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. The Pelicans have dropped consecutive games but draw a favorable matchup to get back on track on Thursday against the Jazz. New Orleans recent losses haven't been for lack of trying. The Pelicans have still held eight straight opponents to 42 or fewer made field goals. In stark contrast, the Jazz have allowed their last four opponents to knock down 45, 43, 44 and 45 field goals. Note that Utah is 15-29 ATS in its last 44 games after winning three of its last four contests, as is the case here, while New Orleans checks in 21-8 ATS in its last 29 home games after losing four of five of its last six games. The home team has reeled off four consecutive SU and ATS wins in this series. Take New Orleans (8*). |
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12-28-23 | SMU v. Boston College +11 | 14-23 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston College plus the points over SMU at 11 am et on Thursday. SMU rolled to a double-digit win in the AAC Championship Game against Tulane but I expect it to have a tougher time getting up for this early start Bowl game against a 6-6 Boston College team. The Eagles will of course have the advantage of playing this game in their own backyard at Fenway Park in Boston. We'll simply fade a Mustangs squad that has reeled off nine straight wins, noting that they're 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games after winning four or more games in a row. The Eagles check in 18-12 ATS in their last 30 games after suffering consecutive losses against conference opponents. Take Boston College (8*). |
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12-27-23 | Suns v. Rockets UNDER 225.5 | Top | 129-113 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Phoenix and Houston at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Rockets were involved in a relatively high-scoring game last night but what else would you expect against the Pacers. Houston ended up hoisting up an uncharacteristic 97 field goal attempts in that game, largely due to the fact it was playing from behind much of the way. I expect a different game script to unfold against the struggling Suns on Wednesday. While Phoenix has had a tough time winning games it has continued to limit its opponents' opportunities, allowing fewer than 90 field goal attempts in five of its last six and nine of its last 14 games. On the flip side, the Suns have knocked down 42 or fewer field goals in 14 of their last 15 contests. Houston limited Indiana to only 82 field goal attempts last night but the Pacers quite simply shot the lights out, as it often does. The Rockets have been incredibly stingy at home this season, holding the opposition to an average of just 36-of-86 shooting from the field. Houston has seen the 'under' cash in 17 of its last 23 games as a home underdog of six points or less. Take the under (10*). |
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12-27-23 | Penguins v. Islanders UNDER 6 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -101 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
Metropolitan Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and New York at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. Both of these teams are coming off wild, high-scoring 5-4 affairs with the Penguins losing in Ottawa and the Islanders winning in Carolina. Keep in mind, the Pens are just one game removed from a 2-1 win over the Hurricanes and the Isles just lost 3-2 in Washington two games back. Note that the 'under' is 32-12 in Pittsburgh's last 44 road games after giving up four goals or more in its previous contest. Similarly, the 'under' is 11-3 in the Isles last 14 home games after allowing four goals or more in their previous game. We haven't seen the 'under' cash in any of the last six matchups in this series. That marks the longest 'over' streak in this series since 2003-04. Take the under (10*). |
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12-27-23 | Virginia Tech v. Tulane +10.5 | 41-20 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tulane plus the points over Virginia Tech at 2 pm et on Wednesday. Things didn't look all that promising for Virginia Tech after it got off to a 1-3 start this season. A lopsided win over Pittsburgh on the final day of September gave the Hokies some confidence and from there they scratched and clawed their way to six victories to gain Bowl eligibility. They're being favored by a considerable number of points on Wednesday as Tulane has a number of key contributors sitting out including do-it-all QB Michael Pratt. I like the spot for the Green Wave here, however, as they come in with a sour taste in their mouths after suffering a double-digit loss against SMU in the AAC Championship Game. Virginia Tech routed rival Virginia 55-17 back on November 25th. That's notable as the Hokies are a miserable 11-24 ATS in their last 35 games played away from home after a win by 21 points or more over a conference opponent, as is the case here. Tulane has reached six Bowl games since 2013, going 4-2 with the only double-digit loss coming by 11 points against Nevada in 2020. Take Tulane (8*). |
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12-26-23 | Hornets v. Clippers UNDER 228.5 | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Charlotte and Los Angeles at 10:40 pm et on Tuesday. The Clippers are coming off back-to-back dreadful defensive efforts against the Thunder and Celtics but this looks like an ideal 'get right' matchup against the Hornets on Tuesday. Note that Charlotte has made good on fewer than 40 field goals in three of its last four games. The last time these two teams squared off was just over a year ago and on that night, the Clips held the Hornets to 37-of-92 from the field. Los Angeles will look to get going again offensively against a Charlotte squad that has at least been able to slow its opponents' pace. The Hornets have allowed 88 or fewer field goal attempts in nine of their last 13 games. With the Clips averaging only 87 FG attempts per contest at home this season, I'm not convinced the pace will get this one to the posted total. Take the under (8*). |
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12-26-23 | Kansas v. UNLV +13 | 49-36 | Push | 0 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on UNLV plus the points over Kansas at 9 pm et on Tuesday. The thinking here is that UNLV isn't ready to hang with the big boys having ended the regular season with a thud in consecutive losses against San Jose State and Boise State (in the Mountain West Conference championship game). I actually think the Runnin' Rebels draw a favorable matchup here with Kansas having yet to win a Bowl game in program history (0-9). The Jayhawks aren't a good defensive team, even if they did close out the regular season with a blowout win over Cincinnati. The Rebels will certainly be comfortable playing indoors at Chase Field in Phoenix, a reasonable facsimile for their own home field at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Note that Kansas is a long-term loser at 156-197 ATS while UNLV has gone a perfect 8-0 ATS in its last eight non-conference affairs. Take UNLV (8*). |
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12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers -6 | 33-19 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco minus the points over Baltimore at 8:15 pm et on Monday. Fresh off a fourth straight win, this one coming on the road against Jacksonville in primetime last week, we'll fade the Ravens here as they face the 49ers in what is being billed as a potential Super Bowl preview. San Francisco is rolling right now. Even last week when it didn't bring its 'A' game defensively, it still laid waste to the Cardinals by 16 points. That marked the Niners sixth straight victory having gone 4-2 ATS over that stretch. San Francisco has been a terrific bet playing with positive momentum as it checks in 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games after scoring 25 points or more in consecutive games, as is the case here. The Niners are also 24-12 ATS in their last 36 games following a win. Take San Francisco (8*). |
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12-25-23 | 76ers v. Heat UNDER 226.5 | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 31 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Miami at 8:10 pm et on Monday. The Heat's four-game 'over' streak came to an end last time out against Atlanta while Philadelphia enters Monday's contest riding a two-game 'over' streak. I'm anticipating a lower-scoring affair than most in this Christmas Night matchup. Note that the 76ers remain an elite defensive team. They've held eight straight and 11 of their last 12 opponents to 42 or fewer made field goals - that's an accomplishment by today's NBA standards. Miami can also hold its own defensively having allowed 42 or fewer made field goals in four straight and eight of its last nine games. Add in the fact that the Heat have been scuffing their heels offensively, knocking down just 41, 40 and 40 field goals over their last three contests but check into this one in a near pk'em range and you can understand why I'm favoring the 'under' in Miami on Monday. Take the under (10*). |
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12-24-23 | Cardinals v. Bears OVER 43 | Top | 16-27 | Push | 0 | 18 h 28 m | Show |
NFC Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and Chicago at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. On a surprisingly pleasant Christmas Eve in Chicago weather-wise, we'll call for plenty of points in this NFC matchup. The Cardinals dropped a 45-29 decision at home against the 49ers last week and draw a similar matchup against an improved Bears defense here. With that said, Arizona has scored 24 or more points in consecutive games and it positioned quite well to thrive with the Kyle Murray-to-Trey McBride connection working wonders for the offense. Chicago has the potential to light it up as well as it looks to bounce back following last week's blown opportunity in Cleveland. The Bears didn't keep their foot on the gas against the Browns and ultimately let Cleveland off the hook. Against a reeling Cardinals defense we can anticipate Bears QB Justin Field going off in this matchup. Note that the 'over' is 17-10 in the Bears last 27 games following an ATS loss. The 'over' is also 15-11 in the Cards last 26 games after giving up 40 or more points in their previous contest. Take the over (10*). |
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12-24-23 | Lions v. Vikings +3 | Top | 30-24 | Loss | -100 | 71 h 59 m | Show |
NFC North Game of the Year. My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Detroit at 1 pm et on Sunday. Easy call for us here as we'll back the underdog Vikings at home after they dropped a hard-fought 27-24 decision in Cincinnati last Saturday while the Lions rolled to a blowout in over the Broncos. Note that the home team has gone 6-1 SU in the last seven meetings in this series. Detroit is just one game removed from a 15-point loss in Chicago and checks in a miserable 17-32 ATS in its last 49 games as a road favorite. Minnesota on the other hand is 40-24 ATS in its last 64 games as a home underdog and 6-2 ATS in its last eight contests following a loss by six points or less. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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12-24-23 | Seahawks v. Titans OVER 41.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Seattle and Tennessee at 1 pm et on Sunday. With the Seahawks low-scoring victory over the Eagles on Monday Night Football still fresh in the minds of most bettors, we're working with a relatively low total in Sunday's matchup in Tennessee. The Seahawks will turn back to Geno Smith at quarterback for this contest. There's reason to believe Seattle's offense can thrive with a run-first mindset against a Titans defense that quite simply has no answers against the run right now, allowing 158 and 148 rushing yards in their last two games. Keeping the Titans defense honest with Kenneth Walker at the ground attack should serve to open things up for a red hot D.K. Metcalf and the Seahawks passing game. Speaking of turning back to veteran quarterbacks, the Titans will go back to Ryan Tannehill under center on Sunday. Much like the Seahawks against the Titans defense, Tennessee's ground game should roll against a very beatable Seattle run defense. Tennessee also catches a break with Seattle missing standout rookie CB Devon Witherspoon. Note that the 'over' is 40-23 in the Titans last 63 home games after losing two of their last three games ATS, as is the case here. The 'over' is also 21-10 in Seattle's last 31 games following an upset win at home. Take the over (8*). |
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12-23-23 | Coastal Carolina +10 v. San Jose State | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Coastal Carolina plus the points over San Jose State at 10:30 pm et on Saturday. The Chanticleers will be missing a number of key players that are currently in the transfer portal. I think we’re seeing an overreaction from the betting markets, however. The players that will take the field for Coastal Carolina will be desperate to avoid a third straight loss to close out the season. For a winning program like CCU that’s simply unacceptable. San Jose State started the season 1-5 before going on a run. Off an upset win over UNLV on the road we’ll fade the Spartans as they shift into the role of big favorite here. Take Coastal Carolina (8*). |
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12-23-23 | Magic +1.5 v. Pacers | 117-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Indiana at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. Both of these teams are struggling right now with the Magic having lost four games in a row and the Pacers coming off five losses in their last six games. The Magic should bring confidence into this game knowing that they've already defeated Indiana by double-digits on this floor earlier this season while they've also held each of their last two opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals. In fact, they've held four of their last six foes to 40 or fewer made field goals with only the Celtics (twice) breaking through that level. Everyone scores on Indiana with the Pacers having allowed at least 43 made field goals in 12 straight contests. Note that Orlando is 30-22 ATS in its last 52 games after losing three of its last four games ATS while Indiana has gone a long-term 58-82 ATS in its last 140 contests when seeking revenge for a double-digit home loss against an opponent. Take Orlando (8*). |
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12-23-23 | Maple Leafs -190 v. Blue Jackets | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto over Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Maple Leafs undoubtedly already had this game circled on their calendar after dropping a wild 6-5 overtime decision at home against the Blue Jackets on December 14th. That was before they dropped a 9-3 loss in Buffalo two nights ago. Note that Toronto checks in 46-29 in its last 75 games after giving up five goals or more in consecutive games, as is the case here. Meanwhile, the Blue Jackets are a long-term 50-99 when coming off a one-goal loss against a divisional opponent, which is also the situation in this spot. Take Toronto (8*). |
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12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers +3 | Top | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
AFC North Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh plus the points over Cincinnati at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. These teams are quite clearly heading in opposite directions right now but I like the Steelers chances of snapping their three-game losing streak as they stare down consecutive road games in Seattle and Baltimore to close out the season. Remember, on November 26th the Steelers went into Cincinnati as road favorites and delivered a 16-10 victory. No Kenny Pickett this time around but Pittsburgh will be essentially facing the same Bengals led by QB Jake Browning but with no WR Ja'Marr Chase or nose tackle D.J. Reader. The Steelers offense has fallen on hard times and will now turn to third-stringer Mason Rudolph at quarterback. While that's not all that encouraging, I don't believe he'll be asked to do too much as the Steelers should be able to run all over the Bengals front line. Note that Pittsburgh is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games after giving up 30 or more points in its most recent contest while it is also 33-18 ATS in its last 51 home games following a double-digit loss. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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12-23-23 | Duke +7.5 v. Troy | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 75 h 14 m | Show |
Bowl Game of the Week. My selection is on Duke plus the points over Troy at 12 noon et on Saturday. It can be difficult enough to get up for a pre-Christmas Bowl game, especially in today's college football landscape. For Troy, it enters this matchup riding a 10-game winning streak, having been favored in each of its last nine contests (make it 10 straight including this one). Much of the story around this game will be who isn't playing for the Blue Devils. I'm confident we'll see Duke rise to the occasion, however, and salvage the finale of a season that started off so promising back in early September. Remember, the Blue Devils opened the campaign with four straight victories, including a thrilling opening week victory over Clemson. The wheels came off from mid-October to mid-November but Duke didn't quit, managing to split its final four games, losing by a combined five points in the two losses over that stretch. Note that Troy checks in 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games after scoring 31 or more points in four consecutive games, as is the case here. Duke is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 lined non-conference games and 6-1 ATS in its last seven December Bowl games. Take Duke (10*). |
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12-22-23 | Suns v. Kings UNDER 244.5 | Top | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Phoenix and Sacramento at 10:10 pm et on Friday. On paper, this sets up as a track meet as both teams are brimming with offensive talent. However, a closer look leads me to believe we're in for a lower-scoring affair than most are anticipating. Note that Phoenix generally plays at a fairly methodical pace (by today's NBA standards). Last time out, the Suns did hoist up 94 field goal attempts as they were trying to rally against the Blazers in an eventual defeat. Prior to that, Phoenix had gotten off 90 or fewer field goal attempts in eight straight games. On the flip side, the Suns continue to play well defensively despite having little to show for it in the win column. Phoenix has held seven of its last eight opponents to 42 or fewer made field goals. The Kings obviously pose a stiff challenge but the Suns did hold them to 114 points on 42-of-92 shooting in their most recent meeting on December 8th. Sacramento clearly got caught looking past an undermanned Celtics team that was playing the second of back-to-backs two nights ago, allowing Boston to knock down a whopping 51 field goals in the blowout loss. Prior to that, the Kings had held six straight foes to 44 or fewer made field goals. The fact that Sacramento took the first matchup between these teams this season is notable as the 'under' is 26-14 in the Suns last 40 games when seeking revenge for a loss in which their opponent scored 110 or more points. Take the under (10*). |
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12-22-23 | Bruins v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Winnipeg at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I expect goals to come at a premium as both the Bruins and Jets enter Friday's clash in Winnipeg rested. Boston hasn't played since a disappointing 4-3 loss at home against the Wild on Tuesday, marking its second straight loss. Note that the 'under' is 33-20 in the Bruins last 53 road games following an 'over' result. The Jets check in off a 5-2 win over the Red Wings on Wednesday. The 'under' has gone a perfect 7-0 in Winnipeg's last seven games following a home victory by two goals or more. This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season but last season's two matchups produced just five and three total goals. Take the under (8*). |
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12-22-23 | Flyers v. Red Wings -135 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Detroit over Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The Red Wings had to enjoy the fact that the Flyers were involved in a hard-fought affair with the Predators in Philadelphia last night. Detroit is in desperate need of a victory on Friday as it looks to snap a four-game losing streak before hitting the road again to face the Devils in Newark on Saturday. Note that the favorite has gone 5-1 in the last six meetings in this series and the Wings will be looking to avenge a 1-0 setback in Philadelphia just last week. Detroit is 21-15 in its last 36 games after losing four of its last five contests, as is the case here. Take Detroit (10*). |
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12-22-23 | Central Florida -4.5 v. Georgia Tech | 17-30 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Central Florida minus the points over Georgia Tech at 6:30 pm et on Friday. It appeared all hope of reaching a Bowl game was lost for Central Florida following a five-game losing streak that stretched from late-September through the end of October. That slide came in advance of a difficult four-game season-ending stretch that included matchups with Cincinnati, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech and Houston. Instead of folding the tent, the Golden Knights turned their season around, winning three of those four contests to gain Bowl eligibility. While an appearance in the Gasparilla Bowl may not be all that enticing to some teams, I expect the Knights to relish the opportunity to play a once-unlikely December game. It was an interesting season for Georgia Tech as it staged upset wins over Miami (whether that victory was deserving or not is up for debate) and North Carolina and gave in-state rival Georgia all it could handle in the final week of the regular season. I didn't come away overly impressed by the Yellow Jackets as a whole, however, and believe they'll have a difficult time keeping pace with the Knights offense on Friday. Note that these two teams actually met last season with UCF cruising to a 27-10 win at home. Revenge is generally a dish best served at home and in this particular rematch, the Yellow Jackets will once again travel to Florida. Take Central Florida (8*). |
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12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams -4 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 82 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over New Orleans at 8:15 pm et on Thursday. The Rams nearly let the Commanders off the hook in Sunday's 28-20 win. They did hold on for the cover - their fourth straight ATS victory. Speaking of winning streaks, the Saints enter this game 'fat and happy' off consecutive blowout home wins over the Panthers and Giants. New York inexplicably elected to abandon its ground game against New Orleans' charmin-soft run defense and ultimately paid the price. I'm confident we'll see the Rams display a more balanced offensive attack here and wear down the New Orleans defense. There's little reason to have much faith in the Saints offense. They've run for 100+ yards just twice in their last six games and have topped 250 passing yards only once over that stretch (in a nine-point loss in Atlanta). Note that the home team is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in this series with none of those eight victories coming by fewer than six points. Take Los Angeles (8*). |
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12-21-23 | Clippers v. Thunder -4.5 | Top | 115-134 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
Non-Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Oklahoma City minus the points over Los Angeles at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. Tough spot for the Clippers here as they play the second of back-to-backs after reeling off consecutive wins to open their three-game road trip. In fact, they've won nine straight games overall and five in a row ATS. They played on consecutive nights only once over that stretch and that was at home against Sacramento. The Thunder have been home and cool since Monday, when they rolled to a 19-point win over the Grizzlies. They won't take the floor again until they host the Lakers on Saturday. You could argue that no team is healthier than the Thunder right now and only the Timberwolves own a better record in the Western Conference. The Clippers could understandably be caught looking ahead to a four-game homestand that will begin on Saturday against Boston and take them all the way into the New Year. Note that the home team has gone 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in this series. While we are being asked to lay a considerable number of points with Oklahoma City on this occasion, I believe the line is warranted. Take Oklahoma City (10*). |
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12-21-23 | Maple Leafs -143 v. Sabres | 3-9 | Loss | -143 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto over Buffalo at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Leafs are coming off a 5-2 loss against the Rangers two nights ago but I look for them to bounce back as they make the short trip to Buffalo to face the reeling Sabres on Thursday. Note that the road team has won six of the last eight meetings in this series. Toronto checks in sporting a 7-6 road record this season and has gone an incredible 14-2 in its last 16 games after giving up five goals or more in its previous game over the last two seasons. Buffalo is just 6-9 on home ice this season where it has been outscored by an average margin of 0.7 goals. While you would assume this would be a rebound spot for Buffalo after it dropped a 9-4 decision against Columbus two nights ago, it has gone a woeful 7-15 in its last 22 games after a home loss by three goals or more. Take Toronto (8*). |
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12-20-23 | Jackson State v. Gonzaga -26 | 76-100 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Gonzaga minus the points over Jackson State at 9 pm et on Wednesday. Gonzaga is coming off a disappointing double-digit loss against an elite Connecticut squad last time out. As the Bulldogs return to the court on Wednesday, I can't help but feel its opponent Jackson State is in the wrong place at the wrong time. Note that as of Tuesday, Jackson State ranks 255th out of 362 teams nationally according to KenPom. Gonzaga, despite the lopsided defeat against UConn, still checks in a respectable 18th. Note that the Bulldogs are 90-61 ATS in their last 151 games after losing four or five of their last six games ATS, as is the case here. Jackson State has faced an extremely tough schedule so far this season having yet to play a home game. It has faced the 41st most difficult schedule in the country according to KenPom and while it has hung tough for the most part, I think it's in a tough spot here given Gonzaga can empty the tank knowing it won't take the floor again until December 29th. Take Gonzaga (8*). |
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12-20-23 | Knicks v. Nets +1.5 | 121-102 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brooklyn plus the points over New York at 7:40 pm et on Wednesday. The Nets didn't have a great road trip, going 1-4 SU and ATS including three straight defeats to close it out. I look for them to bounce back on Wednesday as they host the rival Knicks, who make the long trip from Los Angeles following a 1-1 split against the Clippers and Lakers. New York's defensive play has left a lot to be desired lately as it has allowed nine straight opponents to make good on at least 42 field goals. It's been a similar story for the Nets lately but now they're back home where they've held the opposition to an average of 40 made field goals per contest this season. In fact, only one of their last six foes here at home has managed to knock down more than 40 field goals. Home court certainly mattered in this series last season with the host winning all four meetings both SU and ATS. Note that the underdog is 6-4 ATS in the last 10 matchups between these two teams. Take Brooklyn (8*). |
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12-20-23 | Red Wings v. Jets OVER 6.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Winnipeg at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Red Wings got off to a slow start against the Ducks on Monday and it ultimately cost them as their rally fell just short in a 4-3 loss. Perhaps Detroit was caught looking past Anaheim as the Ducks were in a difficult back-to-back spot away from home. The Wings have held their own on the road this season, averaging 3.5 goals per game. Winnipeg is coming off a disappointing loss as well as it dropped a 3-2 overtime decision against Montreal on Monday. Note that the 'over' is a long-term 118-79 with the Jets coming off a home loss and 52-29 when that loss came by a single goal. Better still, the 'over' is 12-4 in Winnipeg's last 16 games following an overtime loss. The Jets took the first meeting between these two teams by a 4-1 score in Detroit back in late October. The Wings fired 36 shots on goal in that loss, unable to solve Jets goaltender Connor Hellebuyck. The good news is, they're expected to face Jets backup goaltender Laurent Brossoit on Wednesday. Detroit could certainly take that decision as a sign of disrespect with the Jets saving Hellebuyck for a presumably tougher matchup against Boston on Friday. Take the over (8*). |
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12-20-23 | Wolves v. 76ers -3 | Top | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
Revenge Game of the Year. My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Minnesota at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Timberwolves used up a lot of what they had in the tank rallying for Monday's come-from-behind win in Miami - their third straight victory. I look for them to come up short on Wednesday as they stay on the road to face the 76ers. Philadelphia dropped a 108-104 decision against the Bulls on Monday, falling as a double-digit favorite. The 76ers are in a revenge spot here after losing 112-99 in Minnesota back in November. That's notable as they're an impressive 29-11 ATS in their last 40 games played when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent. They're also 34-19 ATS in their last 53 games as a home favorite. Meanwhile, Minnesota checks in 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after winning five or six of its last seven games ATS, as is the case here. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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12-19-23 | Spurs v. Bucks OVER 249.5 | 119-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Antonio and Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Spurs enter this game riding a three-game 'over' streak while the 'over' has cashed in each of the Bucks last four contests. I expect more of the same on Tuesday. San Antonio had an off shooting night at home against New Orleans on Sunday, connecting on just 40-of-94 field goal attempts. It still scored 110 points. While facing the Bucks may appear to be a difficult challenge, Milwaukee hasn't exactly been an elite defensive team - far from it, in fact. The Bucks check in having allowed nine straight and 13 of their last 14 opponents to knock down at least 43 field goals. Of course, that's mattered little as the Bucks offense is on a torrid pace having connected on 44 or more field goals in 14 of their last 16 games. The Spurs have risen up defensively on occasion this season but are giving up an average of 44 made field goals per game on the road, despite the opposition attempting an average of only 88. Note that the 'over' is a long-term 210-156 with the Spurs coming off a double-digit loss, as is the case here. The Bucks have seen the 'over' go 10-1 in their last 11 December home games with those contests totalling an average of 250.3 points. Milwaukee will continue its homestand with a game against the Magic on Thursday so there's no reason to think it will keep anything in reserve here. Take the over (8*). |
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12-19-23 | Canucks v. Predators -108 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Nashville over Vancouver at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Predators are rolling right now and they're in good position to keep it going on Tuesday as they enter this matchup with the Canucks rested and at home, where they're 11-6 on the season. Nashville hasn't taken the ice since Saturday, when it skated to a 3-1 win over Washington. You can argue that the Preds have been the best team in the league over the last month, going 13-3 over their last 16 contests. The Canucks have reeled off five wins in their last six games but needed everything they had in the tank to secure a 4-3 win in Chicago on Sunday. Note that the Canucks have taken each of the first two meetings between these teams this season. The Preds are a perfect 5-0 when playing with double-revenge at home this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.6 goals in that situation. Meanwhile, the Canucks are just 8-12 in their last 20 games following a road win by a single goal. Take Nashville (10*). |
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12-18-23 | Panthers -123 v. Flames | 1-3 | Loss | -123 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida over Calgary at 9:35 pm et on Monday. We'll fade the Flames off their 4-2 win over the Lightning on Saturday. That victory snapped a four-game losing streak but only improved Calgary to an even 7-7 on home ice this season. Florida checks in 9-8 on the road where it has performed exceptionally well defensively, limiting opponents to just 2.5 goals per game. The Panthers halted their two-game slide with a convincing 5-1 win in Edmonton on Saturday. Note that Calgary is just 9-15 in its last 24 games following a home win and worse still, 4-11 in its last 15 contests after a home victory in which it produced at least four goals. Florida is 6-1 after losing two of its last three games this season. Take Florida (8*). |
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12-18-23 | Panthers v. Flames UNDER 6.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Florida and Calgary at 9:35 pm et on Monday. While the Panthers are known for their offense, it's been their defense that has really shone on the road this season. Florida enters Monday's contest in Calgary having allowed just 2.5 goals per game on the road this season. While the Cats did produce five goals in Saturday's win in Edmonton, the 'under' has cashed on five of eight occasions when they've come off a 5+ goal performance this season. The Flames snapped a four-game losing streak with a 4-2 win over the Lightning on Saturday. Note that the 'under' is a long-term 57-36 in Calgary's last 93 home games after losing six or seven of its last eight contests, as is the case here. Take the under (8*). |
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12-18-23 | Bulls v. 76ers UNDER 230 | Top | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Philadelphia at 7:10 pm et on Monday. The Bulls are coming off consecutive high-scoring games against the Heat in Miami but I look for a different story to unfold as they continue their road trip in Philadelphia on Monday. Note that Chicago still held Miami to just 83 field goal attempts last time out. The Heat quite simply shot the lights out. The Bulls have limited five straight opponents to 86 or fewer field goal attempts. The 76ers are in terrific defensive form right now having held four straight opponents to fewer than 40 made field goals. While they are currently red hot offensively, it's worth noting that Chicago had their number last season, limiting them to 40 or fewer made field goals in all four matchups. The 'under' is 13-3 in the 76ers last 16 games when coming off four straight victories by 10 points or more, as is the case here. Take the under (10*). |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys +2.5 v. Bills | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Buffalo at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. This is undoubtedly a game the Cowboys have had circled on their calendars since the start of the season - a long-awaited rematch with the Bills after dropping a 26-15 decision at home against Buffalo back in 2019. That most recent meeting between these two teams four years ago also featured the quarterback matchup of Josh Allen vs. Dak Prescott. Prescott threw for 355 yards in a losing effort on that day. He's been MVP-worthy this season and while Dallas is likely to stumble at some point, I don't see it coming here. Buffalo is fresh off a massive road win over the Chiefs last Sunday. I expect the Bills success to be short-lived, however, noting they haven't strung together consecutive wins since a three-game winning streak from September 17th to October 1st. Note that Buffalo is a long-term 57-90 ATS when coming off two ATS wins in its last three games, as is the case here. Take Dallas (8*). |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills OVER 49 | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Buffalo at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. Both of these teams delivered 'under' results last Sunday with the Bills upsetting the Chiefs on the road and the Cowboys laying waste to the Eagles at home. No offense is hotter than that of Dallas and QB Dak Prescott in particular. Ordinarily the Bills would pose a stiff defensive test but right now they're far too banged-up, missing key contributors at all three levels. Unless this game gets out of hand and the Cowboys take their foot off the gas, they should be able to get whatever they want on offense on Sunday. Buffalo's offense has been largely disappointing this season and while this is by no means a layup against a fierce Cowboys defense, I do think the Bills can find some success as they continue to build under the guidance of new coordinator Joe Brady. Brady has taken a different approach to the offense than we saw from Ken Dorsey. QB Josh Allen has been running more (effectively) and that's likely to continue against the Cowboys on Sunday. There's certainly a path for the Bills to stay competitive in this must-win game at home and that should lend itself to a high-scoring affair on Sunday afternoon. It's worth noting that the Cowboys haven't posted consecutive 'under' results all season. Take the over (8*). |
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12-17-23 | Bears +3 v. Browns | 17-20 | Push | 0 | 25 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Cleveland at 1 pm et on Sunday. I generally anticipate games getting tighter and tighter at this time of year in Cleveland, where the December weather can be unpredictable and the Browns tend to go conservative in nature on offense. The Bears are quietly one of the hottest teams in the league right now, winners of three games in a row ATS and an impressive 6-2-1 ATS over their last nine contests. That's in stark contrast to the Browns, who have dropped two of their last three games both SU and ATS and narrowly avoided coughing up a back-door cover against the Jags (in a game where Jacksonville didn't bring anything close to its 'A' game) last Sunday. Cleveland has inexplicably thrown the ball 89 times in the last two games with Joe Flacco at quarterback. I'm confident fading Flacco and the Browns offense here as the veteran QB is likely to be under duress all afternoon long against a much-improved Bears pass rush. Take Chicago (8*). |
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12-17-23 | Chiefs -8 v. Patriots | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 25 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Year. My selection is on Kansas City minus the points over New England at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Chiefs are a screaming buy right now coming off consecutive losses, both SU and ATS, especially given the nature of last Sunday's home defeat against the Bills in which QB Patrick Mahomes in particular felt his team was shafted by the officials (even though it clearly wasn't). The SU winner has gone a perfect 13-0 ATS in the Patriots previous contests this season and I look for that trend to continue here. New England does have the rest advantage having not played since a week ago Thursday in Pittsburgh, when it staged a 21-18 upset victory. That win was about as ugly as it gets as the Pats gained just north of 300 total yards of offense and made an early lead stand up against Mitchell Trubisky and the Steelers. I don't need to tell you that there's an ocean between facing Trubisky and Mahomes, even with the Chiefs offense struggling at times this season. Note that Kansas City is a long-term 55-36 ATS when playing on the road following a loss. Meanwhile, New England is just 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games as an underdog. Take Kansas City (10*). |
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12-17-23 | Giants +5.5 v. Saints | Top | 6-24 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Week. My selection is on New York plus the points over New Orleans at 1 pm et on Sunday. This spot sets up beautifully for the Giants in the sense that they have the ground game to gash the Saints and effectively shorten proceedings as a considerable road underdog. QB Tommy DeVito has grabbed plenty of headlines for his surprisingly efficient play. I don't expect him to be asked to do too much in this spot. The Saints are coming off a blowout win over the hapless Panthers but that victory had more to do with Carolina's inability to finish drives than anything else. Note that New Orleans is just 2-8 ATS as a favorite this season and 4-13 ATS in its last 17 contests following an ATS victory. Meanwhile, the Giants are a long-term 113-83 ATS on the road against NFC foes and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 contests as an underdog of between 3.5 and 9.5 points. Take New York (10*). |
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12-17-23 | Falcons v. Panthers +3 | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina plus the points over Atlanta at 1 pm et on Sunday. The underdog has gone 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series and they don't get much uglier than the 1-12 Panthers. As bad as things have gone for Carolina it has actually dropped the cash in consecutive games just once over its last seven contests. Note that the Panthers are 26-12 ATS in their last 38 games following a double-digit loss against a division opponent, as is the case here. Carolina is also 18-7 ATS in its last 25 contests after scoring six points or less in its previous game. The Falcons have won just one of five road games by more than a field goal this season. Take Carolina (8*). |
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12-16-23 | Portland +10.5 v. Grand Canyon | 63-91 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Portland plus the points over Grand Canyon at 9:30 pm et on Saturday. We‘ll simply fade Grand Canyon as it comes off consecutive outright underdog victories and now lays double-digits against Portland on Saturday. Note that the last time we saw the Antelopes favored they failed to cover the spread at home against Texas-Arlington. Portland is no pushover at 6-5 on the season and fresh off a ’get right’ road win over North Dakota. Take Portland (8*). |
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12-16-23 | California v. Texas Tech -3.5 | Top | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 57 m | Show |
Bowl Game of the Week. My selection is on Texas Tech minus the points over California at 9:15 pm et on Saturday. California closed out the regular season with about as big of a win as you can get in Berkeley, defeating rival UCLA 33-7, securing Bowl eligibility in the process. The Bears needed to use everything they had in the tank to earn a Bowl spot, winning their final three games. Of course, they were favored in two of those contests so it's not as if it was a monumental accomplishment. Here, I think Cal is in the wrong place at the wrong time as it runs into a Texas Tech squad that will be eager to make amends for an embarrassing 57-7 loss against Texas in its regular season finale. The Red Raiders picked up some nice wins this season including on the road against Baylor and Kansas and at home against TCU. There were some bad losses in the mix as well but as a whole I was more encouraged by the Red Raiders consistency than I was with the Bears. Note that the loss against Texas sets Texas Tech up well here as it has gone a perfect 8-0 ATS in its last eight games following a road loss against a conference opponent. Meanwhile, Cal is a long-term 20-25 ATS in its last 45 games following an upset victory. Take Texas Tech (10*). |
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12-16-23 | Broncos v. Lions -4.5 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 32 h 16 m | Show |
Non-Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Detroit minus the points over Denver at 8:15 pm et on Saturday. NFL teams don't often get a shot at a 'do-over' but this is about as close as it comes for the Lions as they host the Broncos in a pre-holiday primetime game after laying an egg on Thanksgiving Day against the Packers. Adding fuel to Detroit's fire is the fact that it's coming off another stunning defeat against a divisional opponent in Chicago last Sunday. Perhaps QB Jared Goff's struggles in that contest were predictable as he hasn't travelled well over the course of his career. Here, he and the Lions draw a smash spot against a Broncos team that's 'fat and happy' off a 24-7 rout of the Chargers (who lost QB Justin Herbert to injury in the game) in Los Angeles last Sunday. Denver has improved, that's for sure. The Broncos are in the playoff picture thanks to a 6-1 SU run. I think they're in the wrong place at the wrong time on Saturday, however. Note that Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following an upset win and 2-5 ATS in its last seven road contests as an underdog of a touchdown or less. Detroit on the other hand is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games following a double-digit loss. The last time we saw it in that situation it delivered a 26-14 win over the Raiders in a primetime game on October 30th. Take Detroit (10*). |
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12-16-23 | Bulls v. Heat UNDER 217 | Top | 116-118 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Miami at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. The Bulls have incredibly held 24 of their 26 opponents to 90 field goal attempts or less this season. That's quite an accomplishment by today's NBA standards. The first game of this two-game set in Miami was actually high-scoring, resulting in 240 total points. I expect a much different story to unfold on Saturday. The Bulls have been performing well offensively in Zach LaVine's absence. They knocked down 45 field goals in Thursday's win over the Heat. With that being said, they're just one game removed from connecting on only 36 field goals in Denver. The Heat have been held to exactly 37 made field goals in three of their last four contests. They're unlikely to push the pace against the Bulls, noting they've gotten off fewer than 90 field goal attempts in 19 of their last 20 games. Thursday's game snapped a streak of five straight contests in which Miami had held the opposition to 87 FG attempts or fewer. Finally, we'll note that the 'under' is 26-13 in the Bulls last 39 road games following an 'over' result. Take the under (10*). |
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12-16-23 | Avalanche v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 37 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Winnipeg at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Jets slipped four goals past the Avalanche when these teams met on December 7th in Colorado, winning that contest by a pair. I look for a lower-scoring affair this time around as Colorado heads to Winnipeg on Saturday. The Jets have allowed two goals or less in six straight games. They're giving up only 2.8 goals per game at home this season. Colorado had allowed a whopping 10 goals in its last two games before holding the Sabres to one goal last time out. Note that the 'under' is 21-7 in the Avs last 28 road games seeking revenge for a same-season loss against an opponent. The 'under' is also 39-17 in Winnipeg's last 56 home games following a victory. Take the under (10*). |
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12-16-23 | New Mexico State v. Fresno State +3.5 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 29 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Fresno State plus the points over New Mexico State at 5:45 pm et on Saturday. Perhaps home field advantage is weighing heavily on this line with New Mexico State playing in its own backyard against reeling Fresno State on Saturday. If anything, I think it's the visiting Bulldogs that have a lot more to prove after their regular season ended with a thud with three straight losses to take it out of Mountain West Conference title contention. Fresno State had everything in front of it after a home win over Boise State on November 4th but it all unravelled from there. The Bulldogs are precisely the type of team I like to back come Bowl season. As much as it's thought that teams have a tendency to quit after a disappointing finish the campaign, once the ball is kicked off, they're often the teams that find their motivation and end up coming out on top. I would lump New Mexico State in the 'happy to be here' category as the Aggies were an afterthought at the start of the season but ended up winning 10 games including an eight-game SU and ATS winning streak from October 4th to November 25th and an upset win over rival New Mexico. Note that Fresno State checks in 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games after three straight losses against conference opponents, as is the case here. New Mexico State is a long-term 32-37 ATS in its last 69 games as a favorite. Take Fresno State (8*). |
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12-15-23 | Connecticut v. Gonzaga +5.5 | Top | 76-63 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
Game of the Month. My selection is on Gonzaga plus the points over Connecticut at 10 pm et on Friday. Needless to say, Gonzaga has had this rematch circled on its calendar after falling by an 82-54 score against Connecticut last March. The Bulldogs get this game in their own backyard at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle and with an upset loss against in-state rival Washington last Saturday fresh in their minds, I look for them to make a statement here. While Connecticut does rank an impressive fourth in the country according to KenPom, it has also faced only the 321st most difficult schedule (also according to KenPom). Gonzaga ranks 11th in the country, taking a hit following last week's defeat against Washington. Note that the Bulldogs have gone up against the 86th toughest slate of opponents this season. Gonzaga is an impressive 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games following a home win but non-cover, as is the case here. UConn on the other hand is just 30-34 ATS in its last 64 contests following a victory by 30 or more points, which is also the situation on Friday. Take Gonzaga (10*). |
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12-15-23 | Rockets v. Grizzlies UNDER 212 | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Memphis at 8:10 pm et on Friday. This is a rematch of the Rockets 117-104 win at home two nights ago. Houston continues to get it done, riding a four-game SU and ATS winning streak, despite a rather limited offense that has made good on 40 or fewer field goals in five straight contests. Defensively, Houston has been on point, limiting 10 of its last 12 opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals with its last two foes knocking down only 31 and 35 field goals. Jaren Jackson picked up the offensive slack in Desmond Bane's absence in Houston, pouring in 44 points. It remains to be seen whether Bane will return on Friday but if he does, we can anticipate Johnson taking a bit of a backseat offensively so that essentially results in status-quo in terms of point production. The Grizzlies have gotten off 90 or fewer field goal attempts in nine of their last 10 games. The only time they topped that mark they hoisted up 91 FG attempts in a 116-point performance against the lowly Pistons. Defensively, Memphis has held Houston to 40 and 39 made field goals in two previous meetings this season and has limited the opposition to just 82 FG attempts per game here at home. Note that the 'under' is 18-7 in Memphis' last 25 games following consecutive losses, as is the case here. Take the under (8*). |
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12-15-23 | Magic +6 v. Celtics | 111-128 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Boston at 7:40 pm et on Friday. In an odd scheduling quirk, the Magic enter this tilt in Boston well-rested following three off days (they last played on Monday at home against Cleveland). The Celtics have played twice since then, including last night as they were forced to use up much of what they had in the tank holding off a late push from the Cavaliers. This certainly isn't a favorable matchup at the best of times for Boston as Orlando has won each of the last four meetings, including two straight matchups here in Beantown. Note that the Celtics are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 home games when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent, as is the case here after they dropped a 113-96 decision in Orlando on November 24th. Meanwhile, the Magic are 31-16 ATS in their last 47 games when priced as an underdog of between 3.5 and 9.5 points, as is the case here. Take Orlando (8*). |
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12-15-23 | Bruins v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and New York at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The Bruins are coming off an overtime loss in New Jersey two nights ago but they still held the opposition to three goals or less for a sixth straight game. Note that the 'under' is 13-3 in their last 16 road games following a loss by a single goal. The Islanders have seen two straight and seven of their last eight games go 'over' the total. I certainly don't think that's a sustainable trend. Note that the 'under' is 21-10 in New York's last 31 games after its previous two contests both totalled seven or more goals, as is the case here. The 'under' is also 28-22 in the Isles last 50 games when seeking revenge for a road defeat against an opponent, which is the situation here as well. While the last two meetings in this series have gone 'over' the total, we haven't seen three consecutive 'over' results between these two teams since 2010-11. Take the under (10*). |
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12-14-23 | Lightning v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Edmonton at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. The Oilers are coming off consecutive 'under' results but I look for a different story to unfold as they host the Lightning on Thursday. Tampa Bay should be in a foul mood after scoring just one goal in a lopsided defeat in Vancouver on Tuesday. Note that the 'over' is 21-11 in the Bolts last 32 games following consecutive road contests, as is the case here. The 'over' is also 13-2 in the Oilers last 15 home games after winning consecutive games by two goals or more, which is also the situation here. The 'over' is 22-11 in the Oilers last 33 contests after holding consecutive opponents to two goals or less as well. The last two meetings in this series have produced eight and 10 total goals. Take the over (8*). |
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12-14-23 | Wolves +2.5 v. Mavs | 119-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
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12-14-23 | Wolves v. Mavs UNDER 229.5 | Top | 119-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Dallas at 8:40 pm et on Thursday. I'll admit my first reaction was to grab the points with the Timberwolves in this game as they look to bounce back following Monday's lopsided defeat in New Orleans. After taking a deeper look, I think the better play is on the 'under' on Thursday night in Dallas. Minnesota has really clamped down defensively in recent games, holding six of its last seven opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals. In three meetings with the Mavericks last season, the T'Wolves held them to just 84, 75 and 76 field goal attempts. Dallas is no better-suited to take advantage of Minnesota here with a number of key contributors either sidelined or banged-up. I do like the fact that both teams come in rested with the T'Wolves idle since Monday and the Mavs having last played on Tuesday here at home against the Lakers. While Minnesota has been rolling, it hasn't necessarily been blowing the doors off the opposition, knocking down 44 or fewer field goals in 15 consecutive games. While the 'over' has gone 8-3 in its 11 road games this season, those contests have averaged just 226.6 total points. Take the under (10*). |
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12-14-23 | Chargers +3 v. Raiders | Top | 21-63 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
TNF Game of the Year. My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points first half over Las Vegas at 8:15 pm et on Thursday. In a battle of backup quarterbacks with both teams missing a number of key contributors on offense, I'll grab the points with the Chargers in the first half. My issue with Los Angeles for the full game is head coach Brandon Staley's track record closing out football games. That's not to mention the fact that Raiders QB Aidan O'Connell will likely be on a short leash here and his presence is one of the main reasons I'm interested in fading Las Vegas. Should Jimmy Garoppolo get another shot at running the offense, I could see the Raiders getting a spark. I do think the Raiders will need to make considerable halftime adjustments to support their offensive line, which is missing a pair of starters due to injury. The Chargers are set up well to feast on that Raiders o-line in the first half. On the flip side, we'll likely see Los Angeles lean heavily on swiss army knife RB Austin Ekeler against a Raiders run defense that has been torched for 4.4 yards per rush this season. QB Easton Stick won't have his top target on the field in WR Keenan Allen but I do like Stick's arm, not to mention his mobility, which he flashed during his years with North Dakota State. Keep in mind, Stick has been with the Chargers since 2019 and has the advantage of being familiar with the playbook, something that O'Connell has seemingly struggled to grasp in his first season as a Raider. Note that Los Angeles is 15-5 ATS in the first half in its last 20 games following a double-digit upset loss, as is the case here. Meanwhile, Las Vegas is 0-6 ATS in the first half in its last six games when seeking revenge for a loss by seven points or less against an opponent, which is also the situation here. Take Los Angeles first half (10*). |
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12-13-23 | Sabres v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Buffalo and Colorado at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. While the Avalanche did snap their two-game losing streak with a wild 6-5 win over the Flames on Monday, head coach Jared Bednar couldn't have been happy with his team's defensive play. I look for Colorado to tighten things up in that department as it hosts Buffalo on Wednesday. Note that the 'under' is 14-2 in the Avs last 16 home games after giving up three goals or more in three straight contests, as is the case here. The 'under' is also 7-1 with Colorado seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent this season, which is also the situation here after the Sabres defeated the Avs 4-0 on October 29th. Buffalo is coming off a 5-2 win over Arizona on Monday and that's notable as the 'under' is 8-2 with the Sabres following a game that totalled seven goals or more. Take the under (8*). |
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12-13-23 | Nets +2.5 v. Suns | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brooklyn plus the points over Phoenix at 9:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Nets didn't get this road trip off to the start they had hoped for, dropping a 13-point decision in Sacramento on Sunday. I look for them to get back on track on Wednesday, however, as they have a major rest advantage against a Suns squad that looked like it used everything it had in the tank in last night's thrilling win over the Warriors. Brooklyn has quietly been one of the best bets in the league this season, going 16-5-1 ATS. Few have paid much attention but the Nets check in sporting a winning record with Sunday's defeat in Sacramento marking just their second loss in their last eight contests. Note that the Nets are a long-term 70-39 ATS against Pacific Division opponents and 8-1 ATS when coming off a loss this season. Take Brooklyn (8*). |
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12-13-23 | Pacers v. Bucks -6 | Top | 126-140 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show |
Central Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Indiana at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Bucks have obviously had this game circled since dropping an ugly one against the Pacers in the in-season tournament semi-final round last week. In fact, Indiana has taken both previous matchups between these two teams this season. Neither of those games were played in Milwaukee, however. The Bucks are 11-1 at home this season while the Pacers have given up just shy of 132 points per game on the road. Note that the Bucks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games as a favorite of six points or less. Meanwhile, Indiana is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games following a victory over a division opponent, as is the case here. Milwaukee is a long-term 27-20 ATS when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent as a favorite and 24-19 ATS in its last 43 games following consecutive ATS defeats, which is also the situation here. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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12-12-23 | Nuggets v. Bulls +7.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Denver at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Bulls have quietly reeled off five straight ATS victories, including last night's near-miss in a four-point overtime loss in Milwaukee. Yes, Chicago is missing some key contributors, including Zach LaVine but others like Demar Derozan and Coby White have more than picked up the slack. This isn't a team that is going to get blown out often as it has held an incredible 20 of its last 21 opponents to 44 or fewer made field goals. While the Nuggets are an excellent defensive team in their own right, they've yielded more than 44 made field goals twice in their last six games alone. Denver did deliver a win and cover in Atlanta last night but that only served to snap a three-game SU and ATS losing streak. Note that the Nuggets are long-term losers playing the second of back-to-back nights having gone 210-258 ATS going all the way back to 1996. Denver did take the first meeting between these two teams by a 123-101 score in the Mile High City back in November. It hasn't won consecutive matchups with the Bulls since 2021, going 2-3 SU in the last five meetings. Prior to a 126-103 win in Chicago last November, Denver hadn't won a game at the United Center by more than six points since 2018. Take Chicago (10*). |
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12-12-23 | Flyers v. Predators -133 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 8 m | Show |
Non-Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Nashville over Philadelphia at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Predators got off to a disappointing start this season by all accounts but have since worked themselves back into the Western Conference playoff picture. In fact, Nashville is red hot having won 10 of its last 13 games overall. The Flyers are already off to a perfect 2-0 start on their current road trip following wins in Arizona and Colorado. Note that they're a long-term 126-153 following a road victory by two goals or more, as is the case here, and 30-41 in their last 71 contests following consecutive wins by three goals or more. The road team did take both meetings in this series last season but that hasn't been a regular occurrence. Prior to last season, the home side had won four straight matchups in the series. Take Nashville (10*). |