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Sean Murphy WNBA Sides Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
06-17-25 Sun +18 v. Fever 71-88 Win 100 11 h 40 m Show

My selection is on Connecticut plus the points over Indiana at 7 pm et on Tuesday.

This is a tricky spot for the Fever as they come off a big revenge-fuelled 'upset' win at home against the Liberty on Saturday - in a game where they welcomed Caitlin Clark and Sophia Cunningham back to the lineup - and look ahead to a three-game road trip out west that begins on Thursday at Golden State. Connecticut is coming off an 'upset' defeat at home against Chicago on Sunday. The Sun had been playing better prior to their current two-game slide as they were 2-1 SU and ATS in their three previous contests including an outright win here in Indiana as double-digit underdogs on May 30th. Of note, while Indiana got a major boost offensively with the return of Clark on Saturday, the Fever have actually struggled defensively in recent games, allowing five of their last six opponents to knock down 30+ field goals. That opens the door for a closer-than-expected affair on Tuesday. Take Connecticut (8*).

06-17-25 Dream v. Liberty -8.5 81-86 Loss -108 9 h 7 m Show

My selection is on New York minus the points over Atlanta at 7 pm et on Tuesday.

The Liberty got caught flat-footed in the second half against the Fever on Saturday and paid the price in a 102-88 'upset' loss. We'll call for the defending champions to bounce back as they return home to host the red hot Dream on Tuesday. Atlanta has reeled off three straight wins both SU and ATS but those came at home against an Indiana team without Caitlin Clark, the lowly Chicago Sky and on the road against a reeling Mystics squad. Here, Atlanta makes the trip to New York for a 'measuring stick' game against one of, if not the league's best team. Despite the loss on Saturday, New York continues to perform well offensively, connecting on 30+ field goals in three of its last four games. Note that the Liberty had held six straight and eight of nine opponents this season to fewer than 30 made field goals before yielding 37 in Saturday's setback. Take New York (8*).

06-14-25 Liberty v. Fever +4.5 88-102 Win 100 6 h 58 m Show

My selection is on Indiana plus the points over New York at 3 pm et on Saturday.

Indiana is expected to get a major boost with the return of both Caitlin Clark and Sophie Cunningham on Saturday. The Fever turned in one of their worst performances of the season last time out as they were blown out in Atlanta. That snapped a two-game SU and ATS winning streak. They'll play with revenge on Saturday after dropping a narrow two-point decision at home against New York back on May 24th. The Liberty are still undefeated on the season and check in off an easy 85-66 win at home against the lowly Sky earlier this week. Look for the Fever to give the Liberty all they can handle on Saturday afternoon. Take Indiana (8*).

06-13-25 Sky +9.5 v. Dream 70-88 Loss -108 34 h 40 m Show

My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Atlanta at 7:30 pm et on Friday.

We won with the Dream on Tuesday as they pulled away for a 19-point win over the Fever. We'll go the other way and fade Atlanta on Friday as it stays at home to host Chicago. The Sky check in off consecutive losses both SU and ATS. Their most recent defeat came against arguably the league's best team in New York on Tuesday. I look for them to rebound here as they catch the Dream glancing ahead at a two-game road trip that will take them to Washington and New York on Sunday and Tuesday. After allowing five straight opponents to connect on more than 30 field goals to open the campaign, the Sky have held two of their last three foes to exactly 27 made field goals. Meanwhile, the Dream have allowed three of their last four and seven of their nine opponents this season to knock down 30+ field goals. Take Chicago (8*).

06-11-25 Sparks +10.5 v. Aces 97-89 Win 100 13 h 3 m Show

My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Las Vegas at 10 pm et on Wednesday.

We'll grab all the points we can get with the reeling Sparks as they look to put the Aces on 'upset alert' on Wednesday night. Los Angeles has lost four of its last five games and checks in off an 'upset' defeat at home against Golden State on Monday. Oddly enough, Las Vegas is also off an 'upset' loss against the upstart Valkyries. While the Aces are a respectable 4-3 on the campaign, I'm concerned by the fact that their offense has yet to get rolling, knocking down fewer than 30 field goals in all but one of their games (that did come against the Sparks in an Aces win Los Angeles will look to avenge on Wednesday). On the flip side, Las Vegas has allowed its last four opponents to make good on 42, 31, 28 and 34 field goals. The Sparks are capable of hanging tough with an offense that has connected on 30 or more field goals in four of their last six games. Take Los Angeles (8*).

06-10-25 Fever v. Dream -2 58-77 Win 100 31 h 1 m Show

My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Indiana at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday.

The Fever are coming off back-to-back wins and covers including a 79-52 dismantling of the Sky in Chicago on Saturday. I still think Indiana is limited in what it can do offensively in the absence of Caitlin Clark. Note that the Fever have gotten off exactly 59 field goal attempts in three straight games. They've been fortunate to shoot exceptionally well in all three of those contests. While Atlanta has struggled defensively this season, I see this as a 'get right' spot at home off Friday's stunning 84-76 upset defeat in Connecticut. Prior to that loss the Dream had won four games in a row both SU and ATS. Of note, the straight-up winner has covered the spread in each of Atlanta's eight games to date this season. While Indiana has had to make the most of limited shot volume without Clark, Atlanta has hoisted up 68 or more field goal attempts in seven of eight games this season with a low-water mark of 64 (in a game it scored 88 points and won and covered in Los Angeles). Look for the Dream to overwhelm the Fever offensively and improve to 2-1 in this series this season on Tuesday. Take Atlanta (8*).

06-08-25 Sun v. Mystics -7 67-104 Win 100 6 h 43 m Show

My selection is on Washington minus the points over Connecticut at 3 pm et on Sunday.

The Mystics have faced an absolutely brutal schedule this season and a result they check in 3-6 on the campaign. The schedule does star to ease up beginning with Sunday's matchup with 2-6 Connecticut. The Sun check in off a big upset win at home against Atlanta but that came on the heels of a 100-52 beatdown in New York. Note that the Sun shot a blistering 33-for-66 from the field last time out, a performance they're unlikely to duplicate here. Washington has yet to allow an opponent knock down more than 30 field goals in a game this season (only two of its nine opponents have connected on exactly 30). Off an ATS cover but eight-point loss at home against New York three nights ago, we'll call for the Mystics to bounce back in a big way on Sunday. Take Washington (8*).

06-06-25 Sparks -1.5 v. Wings Top 93-79 Win 100 13 h 8 m Show

Western Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Dallas at 9:30 pm et on Friday.

The Sparks have really struggled out of the gate so far this season, going 2-6 and currently ride a three-game SU and ATS losing streak. They had an excellent opportunity to stop their slide at home against Phoenix last Sunday but they simply couldn't make good on their scoring opportunities in a narrow defeat. In that game, the Sparks got off 71 field goal attempts compared to the Mercury's 64 but could only connect on 26 of them. Keep in mind, prior to that contest, Los Angeles had knocked down 30+ field goals in three straight games so we know its offense is capable. Dallas is just 1-7 on the season but does come off an ATS victory in Seattle earlier this week. This will mark Dallas' seventh games in as many cities going back to May 21st. You could argue that the Wings have faced the league's toughest schedule to this point travel-wise and I don't think it serves them well as they return home for this date with the rested Sparks on Friday. Note that the Wings are 0-3 SU and ATS at home this season, losing all three of those games by at least eight points. Take Los Angeles (10*).

06-05-25 Valkyries v. Mercury -5.5 77-86 Win 100 13 h 4 m Show

My selection is on Phoenix minus the points over Golden State at 10 pm et on Thursday.

We successfully faded the Mercury in their 88-65 loss in Minnesota two nights ago but we'll go the other way and back Phoenix as it returns home to host reeling Golden State on Thursday. The expansion Valkyries have lost three games in a row following a surprising 2-1 start to the campaign. They're playing with very little margin for error as they've made good on fewer than 30 field goals in all six games to date this season. With their defense suddenly sagging (they've allowed two of their last three foes to knock down 30+ field goals), I look for them to fall well short against the Mercury on Thursday. Take Phoenix (8*).

06-03-25 Mercury v. Lynx -11.5 65-88 Win 100 12 h 34 m Show

My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Phoenix at 8 pm et on Tuesday.

We'll lay the points with the Lynx and fade the Mercury in this spot as Phoenix comes off its second win in as many tries against the Sparks on Sunday. Phoenix is off to a 5-2 start to the campaign and checks in off consecutive ATS victories but is actually just 2-3-1 ATS over its last six contests. The Lynx remain undefeated at 7-0 on the season. They're a miserable 0-4-1 ATS over their last five games but I'm anticipating a big performance here ahead of a four-day layoff that leads into a two-game road trip. The Mercury figure to have one eye on a return home to begin a three-game homestand on Thursday. Phoenix did cover the spread in a 74-71 loss in the first meeting between these teams this season. As we know, revenge is a dish best served at home but the Mercury won't have the benefit of hosting the Lynx here. Minnesota rolls. Take Minnesota (8*).

05-29-25 Valkyries +18.5 v. Liberty 77-82 Win 100 11 h 4 m Show

My selection is on Golden State plus the points over New York at 7 pm et on Thursday.

The Valkyries get a quick revenge spot against the Liberty on Thursday after they were drilled by 28 points two nights ago. While Golden State projects as one of the league's worst teams in its inaugural season, we have seen some positive flashes in the early going. For the Liberty, this is a fairly obvious flat spot before they head to Washington for a difficult back-to-back situation against the Mystics tomorrow night. Expect New York to save a little in reserve and for this game to ultimately be closer than most anticipate. Take Golden State (8*).

05-25-25 Aces -3.5 v. Storm 82-102 Loss -115 10 h 38 m Show

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Seattle at 6 pm et on Sunday.

Seattle opened the season with an ugly 22-point loss in Phoenix but has since rebounded with consecutive wins both SU and ATS, including most recently a successful revenge date with the Mercury. We'll call for a letdown from the Storm on Sunday as they host a Las Vegas team that has yet to play to its potential despite its 2-1 record. The Aces are just 1-2 ATS and check in off a scare at home against an upstart Mystics team on Friday. While the Storm will head on the road for a date with Minnesota on Tuesday, the Aces will be idle until they host the Sparks on Saturday. We'll lay the points with Las Vegas. Take Las Vegas (8*).

05-23-25 Valkyries v. Sparks -11 82-73 Loss -105 15 h 1 m Show

My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Golden State at 10 pm et on Friday.

The Valkyries are coming off their first-ever WNBA victory as they defeated the Mystics in upset fashion at home two nights ago. Keep in mind, they dropped their season-opener by 17 points against the same Sparks squad they'll face on Friday. Los Angeles figures to be in a foul mood coming off consecutive losses. The Sparks couldn't keep up with a red hot Mercury squad two nights ago as Phoenix improved to 2-0 with an 89-86 win at home. Los Angeles should find the going much easier against a Valkyries team that has knocked down just 36% and 32% of its field goal attempts over its first two contests. Take Los Angeles (8*).

05-22-25 Fever -3.5 v. Dream Top 81-76 Win 100 35 h 1 m Show

Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Atlanta at 7:30 pm et on Thursday.

The Dream stunned the Fever 91-90 two nights ago at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indiana. We'll call for the Fever to return the favor as the scene shifts to Atlanta for a quick rematch between these Eastern Conference foes on Thursday. Atlanta played a perfect road game on Tuesday, jumping ahead early and forcing Indiana to expend a ton of energy trying to make the comeback in the second half. While the Fever ultimately fell short, the fact that they were even able to stay in the game and ultimately take it down to the wire was commendable. While Indiana is bubbling with potential this season, there are going to be flat spots on the schedule, and Tuesday's contest proved to be one of those after posting a runaway win over Chicago in its season-opener on the weekend. The Dream made plenty of offseason changes and early returns have been mixed (prior to Tuesday's upset win they dropped a 94-90 decision in their season-opener in Washington). I don't believe these two teams are on the same level, despite what we saw two nights ago. Take Indiana (10*).

05-18-25 Mystics v. Sun +4 90-85 Loss -108 4 h 8 m Show

My selection is on Connecticut plus the points over Washington at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The Mystics pulled off an 'upset' win at home against Atlanta to open its campaign on Friday. Washington shot a blistering 31-for-61 in that game. The Dream actually got off a whopping 74 field goal attempts but could only connect on 30 and that proved to be the difference in a narrow 94-90 Mystics win.

While expectations are extremely low for the rebuilding Sun this season, I do look for them to bring their 'A' game in their home opener, ahead of a more difficult matchup against Las Vegas on Tuesday. We'll grab all the points we can get. Take Connecticut (8*).

05-16-25 Lynx -7 v. Wings 99-84 Win 100 34 h 35 m Show

My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Dallas at 7:30 pm ET on Friday.

All eyes will be on the much-anticipated debut of top overall pick Paige Bueckers, but the reality is that her presence doesn’t patch up Dallas’ long-standing defensive shortcomings. The Wings were one of the worst defensive teams in the WNBA last season, and there's little to suggest that a rookie—no matter how talented—will transform them overnight. Dallas gave up 112 points in their only preseason game against Las Vegas, and that came with A’ja Wilson playing just 21 minutes and shooting a modest 7-for-17 from the floor. That poor showing underlines the lack of defensive cohesion that continues to plague this team.

Meanwhile, Minnesota comes into this season motivated, after pushing the Liberty to the brink in last year’s WNBA Finals. The Lynx return with a strong core and a well-balanced attack that should immediately take advantage of Dallas’ defensive lapses. This is a veteran group that thrives on execution and should expose the Wings' inexperience and issues on the defensive end from the opening tip. While the media hype might be centered on Bueckers, the on-court reality heavily favors the Lynx.

Take Minnesota.

10-20-24 Lynx v. Liberty -5.5 62-67 Loss -105 12 h 13 m Show

My selection is on New York minus the points over Minnesota at 8 pm et on Sunday.

A convincing win is certainly well within the realm of possibility for the Liberty after we saw them deliver just that the last time they hosted the Lynx in Game 2 of this series. In that situation, New York was coming off a close loss, which is the case here as well. While these two teams have been involved in their share of tightly-contested battles all season with Minnesota gaining the upper hand at times, I still believe New York has the considerable talent edge and with home court on its side in this winner-take-all game, I'm willing to lay the points. Take New York (8*).

10-04-24 Liberty +2.5 v. Aces 81-95 Loss -105 36 h 14 m Show

My selection is on New York plus the points over Las Vegas at 9:30 pm et on Friday.

New York has quite simply outclassed Las Vegas at every turn this season and certainly in the first two games of this series. Note that New York is 16-5 SU and 15-6 ATS on the road this season so there's no reason to expect any sort of let up on Friday. The Aces have taken plenty of money in the betting marketplace since this line opened and as a result we've afforded ourselves another point with the Liberty. I'm not sure that we'll need it as I look for New York to go on the road and take a commanding 3-0 series lead on Friday. Of note, the Aces are just 4-6 ATS at home against winning opponents this season. Take New York (8*).

10-01-24 Aces +4.5 v. Liberty Top 84-88 Win 100 34 h 28 m Show

Playoff Game of the Year. My selection is on Las Vegas plus the points over New York at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday.

The Aces are now 0-3 against the Liberty this season after Sunday's 10-point loss in New York. The opener of this series fizzled as New York extended a double-digit halftime lead and never looked back. I look for Las Vegas to answer back on Tuesday.

There's plenty of room for improvement from the Aces. They actually got off a whopping 67 field goal attempts including 25 from beyond the arc but shot poorly and didn't do a good enough job on the boards. Keep in mind, prior to that contest, the Aces had reeled off seven straight wins with 11 victories in their last 12 contests. I don't expect them to get rattled by Sunday's setback.

The Liberty aren't likely to shoot the lights out again the way they did on Sunday (30-for-60). Nor do I anticipate them having as decisive of an edge in terms of trips to the free throw line. We'll grab all the points we can get with Las Vegas but hopefully won't need them. Take Las Vegas (10*).

09-24-24 Storm +8.5 v. Aces 76-83 Win 100 12 h 0 m Show

My selection is on Seattle plus the points over Las Vegas at 10:30 pm et on Tuesday.

The Storm let the Aces off the hook in the opener of this series on Sunday. They appeared poised to grab a 1-0 series lead entering the fourth quarter. That's when it all fell apart for Seattle as it scored just two, yes two, fourth quarter points in an eventual 11-point defeat. Now it will be up to the Storm to make the necessary adjustments prior to Game 2, noting that they allowed Las Vegas to shoot 44% from the field including 38% from three-point range in the series-opener. I liked the fact that Seattle was right there in terms of scoring opportunities in Game 1 and I'm expect it to be more efficient in Game 2 (it shot 37% from the field an a miserable 25% from three-point range on Sunday). The Aces have now won six games in a row but they've yet to notch seven consecutive victories this season (the last time they tried they were upset 98-93 by the Sparks on July 5th). Take Seattle (8*).

09-10-24 Sun v. Sparks +9.5 86-66 Loss -107 25 h 11 m Show

My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Connecticut at 10 pm et on Tuesday.

The Sparks are having a miserable season, posting just seven wins in 35 games. They enter Tuesday's rematch with the Sun (Connecticut won by 12 on Sunday) on the heels of four straight losses. We'll back Los Angeles in this spot, however, as I feel they're catching too many points against a Connecticut team that has won by double-digits just twice in its last 10 contests. Take Los Angeles (8*).

08-30-24 Dream v. Aces -10.5 72-83 Win 100 14 h 36 m Show

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Atlanta at 10 pm et on Friday.

This was already going to be an important return home for the Aces having sputtered since the Olympic break. It takes on added significance after they crumbled late in a loss in Dallas last time out.

At 10-20 overall including a 4-10 mark on the road, the Dream are a team that the Aces can and should take care of. I like the way the spot sets up for Las Vegas noting that Atlanta will be playing its third game in three different cities since Monday. While Atlanta has been playing competitive basketball lately, it still enters riding a three-game slide and I don't see this as the spot for it to rebound against an Aces squad that will surely be in an unforgiving mood. Take Las Vegas (8*).

08-27-24 Aces -9 v. Wings Top 90-93 Loss -108 11 h 37 m Show

Western Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Dallas at 8 pm et on Tuesday.

The Aces have fallen on hard times from a poinstpread perspective. At least they managed to snap their two-game slide with a buzzer-beating win in Chicago on Sunday. That did their backers no favors as they let a late double-digit lead slip away in that contest. They enter Tuesday's contest in Dallas riding a three-game ATS losing skid.

I like the way this game sets up for Las Vegas. After being frustrated most of the game against a steadily-improving Sky defense, the Aces should be able to get loose against an awful Wings defense on Tuesday. Dallas needed a 40-point fourth quarter eruption to outlast a bad Sparks squad by a 113-110 score on Sunday. That wasn't enough to earn the cover.

This hasn't been a good matchup for Dallas this season as Las Vegas has taken the first two meetings by 14 and 19 points. This is a key spot for the Aces as they look to secure a winning road trip before returning home to host Atlanta on Friday. When Las Vegas puts it all together it is one of the league's best teams - we simply haven't seen it much lately. I did like what I saw from the Aces in the fourth quarter in Chicago on Sunday - at least until the final three minutes. Look for Las Vegas to make a point to leave little doubt on Tuesday in Dallas. Take Las Vegas (10*).

08-26-24 Liberty -4.5 v. Mercury 84-70 Win 100 26 h 49 m Show

My selection is on New York minus the points over Phoenix at 10 pm et on Monday.

The Liberty turned in one of their worst performances of the season in a 72-64 home loss against Connecticut on Saturday. I look for them to bounce back on Monday as they head out on the road to take on the Mercury in Phoenix.

Phoenix has been all over the map since returning from the Olympic break. The Mercury have played in four different cities and return home following a hard-fought split in a two-game set in Atlanta. Phoenix has managed to win three of five games since the break but those three victories came against two of the Eastern Conference's weaker teams in Chicago and Atlanta. The Mercury will face a much stiffer challenge against an elite Liberty squad coming off a loss.

This will be the rubber match in this series after the home side won each of the first two matchups. I like the advantage the Liberty have here as they travel for the first time in over a week. Take New York (8*).

08-25-24 Aces -8.5 v. Sky 77-75 Loss -108 4 h 8 m Show

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Chicago at 12 noon et on Sunday.

The Aces ran into the league's hottest team - the Lynx - over the last two games and enter Sunday's matinee affair in Chicago in the midst of a rare losing streak.

Chicago checks in having gone 1-3 since returning from the Olympic break.

The Sky actually upset the Aces in Las Vegas in the final game prior to the break so you can be sure this is a game Las Vegas has had circled on its calendar. Keep in mind, the Aces won the previous matchup here in Chicago by double-digits back in June. Take Las Vegas (8*).

08-23-24 Aces -1.5 v. Lynx 74-87 Loss -110 13 h 21 m Show

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Minnesota at 9:30 pm et on Friday.

The Aces dropped their second straight meeting with the Lynx two nights ago in Las Vegas. The road team is now 3-0 in this series this season. I look for that trend to continue on Friday night in Minnesota.

Las Vegas has come out of the Olympic break misfiring but it remains in the thick of the Western Conference race, just 2.5 games behind the first-place Lynx. Note that the Aces have actually played better on the road compared to at home this season, going 8-3 in the visitors role but just 9-7 at home.

While the Aces have an off day on Saturday before continuing their road trip in Chicago on Sunday, the Lynx will be right back on the floor on Saturday, hosting Caitlin Clark and the Fever. I simply feel Las Vegas will want this one a little more. Take Las Vegas (8*).

08-22-24 Wings +13.5 v. Liberty 71-79 Win 100 11 h 13 m Show

My selection is on Dallas plus the points over New York at 7 pm et on Thursday.

New York has reeled off seven straight wins including a 94-74 rout of Dallas two nights ago. That game was essentially decided on a pair of Liberty runs, 16-5 in the first quarter and 14-0 in the fourth. There's obviously a wide talent gap between these two teams but that's being reflected in the line. I believe the Wings are catching too many points in this quick revenge spot.

For the Liberty, this game offers an opportunity to perhaps ease off the gas a little (and still earn a win) before a much tougher contest awaits on Saturday (home game against Connecticut). Meanwhile, the Wings will be looking to salvage something from their two-game stop in Brooklyn.

On a positive note for Dallas, it welcomed Satou Sabally to the lineup for the first time this season following the Olympic break and she hasn't disappointed, pouring in 44 points while adding 13 rebounds and 11 assists in two games. Look for the Wings to make a game of it on Thursday. Take Dallas (8*).

08-21-24 Lynx v. Aces -5.5 Top 98-87 Loss -110 14 h 34 m Show

Western Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Minnesota at 9:30 pm et on Wednesday.

The Aces certainly haven't forgotten a 100-86 beatdown they suffered at the hands of the Lynx on this floor back in early June. Las Vegas has only managed to earn a split on its current homestand, upping the importance of this showdown with first-place Minnesota. The Lynx check in off consecutive wins coming out of the Olympic break but both of those victories came against the lowly Mystics.

Keep in mind, we know the Aces are capable of handling the Lynx. Las Vegas secured an 80-66 victory in the Twin Cities in the first meeting between these two teams this season. This will serve as the front-end of a home-and-home series.

I'm not sure I'm buying the Lynx as the best team in the West, especially when you consider how things have gone since the beginning of July. Minnesota is riding a three-game winning streak but just 5-4 SU over its last nine games. It seems that the Lynx have been getting tripped up every time they've stepped up in class lately, including losses to the Liberty, Sun and Storm. Yes, the Lynx did win the Commissioner's Cup earlier in the season thanks to an impressive Championship Game win over New York. All that's done is serve to put a bullseye on their back, however.

This will be one of only three home games for the Aces between now and September 13th. Look for them to make the most of the opportunity. Take Las Vegas (10*).

08-20-24 Storm -6 v. Mystics 83-77 Push 0 10 h 23 m Show

My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Washington at 7 pm et on Tuesday.

Off consecutive losses coming out of the Olympic break, this figures to be a 'leave it all on the floor' type of game for the Storm as they won't play again until next Monday (back at home against the same Mystics).

Washington has dropped four straight and eight of its last 10 games overall. The Mystics are going nowhere with a 6-21 record on the season. Home court advantage has been non-existent as they check in on a five-game losing streak as hosts, with their last four defeats coming by 16, 9, 12 and 11 points.

The most recent matchup between these two teams this season was no contest as Seattle rolled to a 101-69 victory in the Pacific Northwest. Of note, Karlie Samuelson led the Mystics in scoring on that night but she won't play on Tuesday after injuring her knee on Sunday. Take Seattle (8*).

08-18-24 Sun -7 v. Dream 70-82 Loss -110 6 h 36 m Show

My selection is on Connecticut minus the points over Atlanta at 3 pm et on Sunday.

Connecticut came storming out of the gates following the Olympic break, scoring 109 points in a rout of Dallas on Friday night. I look for the Sun to keep it rolling on Sunday as they draw another favorable road matchup against Atlanta on Sunday.

The Dream did stage an 83-81 upset win over Seattle two nights ago. Still, Atlanta is just 8-17 this season, including a 4-8 mark at home. While the Sun are one of the league's best defensive teams, the Dream rank 12th in the league in points per game. Look for Connecticut to roll. Take Connecticut (8*).

07-17-24 Fever v. Wings +4 93-101 Win 100 12 h 38 m Show

My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Indiana at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday.

Dallas let Los Angeles off the hook on Sunday as it blew a fourth quarter lead in an eventual 87-81 loss. If any team is in desperate need of a win prior to the Olympic break, it's the Wings as they're off to a miserable 5-19 start to the season.

Indiana checks in off consecutive wins but is still just 5-9 on the road this season. While the Fever have certainly been playing much better since getting off to a miserable 1-8 start this season, I'm not convinced they should be laying this many points on the road, especially in a clear letdown spot off Sunday's road win over the Lynx. Take Dallas (8*).

07-16-24 Mercury v. Mystics +5 96-87 Loss -109 4 h 33 m Show

My selection is on Washington plus the points over Phoenix at 11:30 am et on Tuesday.

The Mystics have gone 6-6 over their last 12 games despite facing an absolutely brutal schedule. Their last seven contests have come at home against Connecticut and Las Vegas, on the road against Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Minnesota and Indiana in succession and then back at home against Las Vegas. The fact that they've hung in there (only one loss over that stretch was a true blowout) is a testament to their character.

Here, Washington has the opportunity to head into the Olympic break on a high note. Phoenix is coming off a 27-point rout at the hands of Connecticut on Sunday - its second straight loss to open this road trip. The Mercury are just 4-5 over their last nine games and those four wins came against two struggling opponents in the Wings and Sparks (two wins against each).

The last time these two teams met, Phoenix eked out a three-point victory at home back on May 23rd. We'll back the Mystics to gain an ounce of revenge in this early start matchup on Tuesday. Take Washington (8*).

07-14-24 Mercury v. Sun -10 69-96 Win 100 5 h 35 m Show

My selection is on Connecticut minus the points over Phoenix at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The Mercury are limping toward the Olympic break with Diana Taurasi and Britney Griner among those dealing with injuries. Regardless who is able to play on Sunday, I look for Connecticut to continue its dominance over Phoenix.

The Sun have taken both previous meetings between these two teams this season and neither game was particularly close.

Connecticut has been idle since Wednesday, when it dropped a hard-fought 71-68 decision at home against New York. That loss snapped a three-game winning streak. With this game, followed by a rematch with the Liberty on deck in Brooklyn on Tuesday to wrap up pre-Olympic break action, I look for the Sun to put their best foot forward on Sunday afternoon. Take Connecticut (8*).

07-11-24 Sky v. Liberty -10.5 76-91 Win 100 22 h 45 m Show

My selection is on New York minus the points over Chicago at 7 pm et on Thursday.

Both of these teams came away victorious yesterday afternoon. I like New York's chances of keeping it rolling as it returns home to host Chicago on Thursday.

Angel Reese kept her double-double streak alive thanks to a foul in the closing seconds of yesterday's contest. She's been the story for the Sky so far this season and while they've been playing better lately, they're still just 9-12 overall.

New York has played with a chip on its shoulder all season long and certainly since losing the Commissioner's Cup against Minnesota back on June 25th. The Liberty are 10-1 at home this season, although Thursday's game will be played at Barclay's Center in Brooklyn. Regardless, I expect New York to improve to 13-2 against Eastern Conference foes with a decisive victory. Take New York (8*).

07-09-24 Lynx v. Sparks +5.5 82-67 Loss -109 14 h 20 m Show

My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Minnesota at 10 pm et on Tuesday.

The Sparks will be looking to avenge a pair of earlier losses to the Lynx on Tuesday. I like their chances of staying inside the number against a Minnesota squad that has been sputtering since winning the Commissioner's Cup on June 25th.

The Lynx are 2-3 straight-up since that victory over the Liberty. They survived against the Mystics on Saturday, snapping a two-game skid in the process. Note that they're likely to be without Napheesa Collier - their best offensive player - for a second straight game on Tuesday. The last time they faced the Sparks on June 14th (at home) they won by five points on the strength of a 30-point performance from Collier.

Los Angeles dropped a six-point decision at home against Phoenix on Sunday. This is a big spot for the Sparks as they won't take the floor again until Saturday when they head to Dallas to face the Wings. In Sunday's defeat, Sparks guard Aari McDonald shot 1-for-10 from the field. Inconsistency has plagued her over the course of her WNBA career. Keep in mind, she poured in 23 points in a 98-93 upset win over Las Vegas just two games back. Take Los Angeles (8*).

07-07-24 Sky v. Storm -8.5 Top 71-84 Win 100 10 h 15 m Show

Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Chicago at 6 pm et on Sunday.

The Sky took the opener of this two-game set in Seattle on Friday as rookie Angel Reese extended her double-double streak to 12 games. The win served as successful revenge for Chicago after it dropped an earlier matchup at home against the Storm.

For Seattle, the loss snapped a four-game winning streak (with all four of those wins coming by double-digits). I look for the Storm to answer back on Sunday, noting that Chicago was never really able to pull away on Friday despite Seattle clearly having an off night. This is a key spot for the Storm as their schedule will only get tougher with visits from Las Vegas and Minnesota on deck this coming week. Chicago on the other hand will have an eye on a return home, already feeling pretty good about itself after winning the first two games (both in upset fashion) of this road trip. Take Seattle (10*).

07-04-24 Mystics v. Aces -16 77-98 Win 100 24 h 6 m Show

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Washington at 10 pm et on Thursday.

We won with the Aces laying the points two nights ago against the Fever and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play as they stay home to host the Mystics on Thursday.

Las Vegas is rolling right now having won five straight games but it still has its work cut out for it as it sits in third place in the West sporting an 11-6 record. We've seen that poise and focus we expected from the Aces earlier in the campaign in recent weeks and I don't expect them to take Thursday's matchup with the Mystics for granted keeping in mind these two teams were involved in what was perhaps a closer-than-expected 88-77 affair in favor of Las Vegas in Washington last Saturday.

The Mystics secured a narrow 82-80 win in Los Angeles two nights ago. Washington has been punching above its class lately but I don't like the spot here as it looks to builds on that rare road victory. Take Las Vegas (8*).

07-02-24 Fever v. Aces -13.5 69-88 Win 100 24 h 17 m Show

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Indiana at 9:30 pm et on Tuesday.

The Fever are coming off an upset win in Phoenix on Sunday afternoon as Caitlin Clark's captivating rookie campaign continued. Let's pump the brakes a little on Indiana's fortunes moving forward, however. That victory on Sunday only served to snap a two-game slide. It will be making its second stop in Las Vegas this season with its previous matchup on this floor resulting in a 19-point loss back in late-May. I like the Aces chances of delivering a similar result here.

Las Vegas has and extra day of rest advantage having not played since Saturday's 88-77 win over Washington. The Aces have reeled off four straight wins, all coming by double-digit margins. While the first meeting between these two teams this season was played at Michelob Ultra Arena, this one will be on a bigger stage at T-Mobile Arena. I expect the big game feel to serve as extra motivation for the hometown Aces as they look to upstage Clark and the Fever for a second time this season. Take Las Vegas (8*).

06-27-24 Lynx v. Wings +9.5 88-94 Win 100 5 h 2 m Show

My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Minnesota at 1 pm et on Thursday.

If consecutive losses in Washington doesn't represent rock-bottom for the reeling Wings, I'm not sure what will.

Dallas has now dropped 11 straight games and finds itself as a considerable home underdog in a double-revenge spot against Minnesota on Thursday afternoon. I do like the way this situation sets up for the Wings as the Lynx left it all on the floor in a hard-fought, high-scoring win over the Liberty in Tuesday's Commissioner's Cup Championship Game.

Note that the Wings are 2-1 in three home games against the Lynx going back to the start of the 2022 season, with the lone loss coming by nine points.

I have this game projected to be slower-paced than most WNBA affairs and that also favors the home underdog catching so many points on Thursday afternoon. Take Dallas (8*).

06-22-24 Wings v. Mystics +2.5 Top 69-97 Win 100 8 h 39 m Show

Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Washington plus the points over Dallas at 3 pm et on Saturday.

Washington is a team on the rise right now having gone 4-1 ATS in its last four games with the lone pointspread defeat coming earlier this week in Indiana (in a game the Mystics were competitive in right down to the wire).

There's no such glimmer of hope for the Wings right now as they're mired in a nine-game losing streak including seven ATS losses in their last eight contests.

Dallas has allowed eight straight and 12 of its last 13 opponents to connect on at least 30 field goals. That should be music to the ears of the Mystics, who have cooled off over the last couple of games, making good on just 28 and 29 field goals.

Washington has settled into a nice identity at the defensive end of the floor, where it has held five straight opponents to 67 or fewer field goal attempts and 14 of 15 foes to 68 or less. Take Washington (10*).

06-19-24 Storm v. Aces -6 83-94 Win 100 13 h 15 m Show

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Seattle at 10 pm et on Wednesday.

This is a prime bounce back spot for the Aces at home and seeking revenge for an earlier loss to Seattle.

Las Vegas has hit a speedbump lately, losing four of its last five games (five in a row ATS). With another difficult game on deck against Connecticut, the Aces desperately need to turn things around here and I like their chances of doing so.

Seattle has only managed to split its last four games with the two victory's coming against two of the West's weaker teams in Los Angeles and Dallas.

The Storm are playing incredibly fast right now but that plays right into the hands of the Aces, who continue to thrive offensively having knocked down 28 or more field goals in four straight and 10 of 12 games this season. Take Las Vegas (8*).

06-13-24 Aces -6.5 v. Mercury 103-99 Loss -110 25 h 38 m Show

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Phoenix at 10 pm et on Thursday.

The Aces appeared well-positioned to snap their two-game slide at home against Minnesota two nights ago but fell flat in a double-digit loss. Now riding a three-game losing streak, I look for the Aces to take out their frustrations on the Mercury in Phoenix on Thursday.

The Mercury are coming off a 97-90 double-overtime win in Dallas on Sunday. The Wings had every opportunity to win that game but simply couldn't knock down their shots (or take care of the basketball). I expect Phoenix to face a far more difficult test here as Las Vegas figures to bring laser focus into this one, noting that its schedule will only get tougher from here, facing the Liberty, Storm and Sun in succession next.

This serves as a 'revenge game' for the Aces as well after they suffered a double-digit home loss as 14.5-point favorites against the Mercury earlier this season. Take Las Vegas (8*).

06-11-24 Sparks v. Storm -10.5 79-95 Win 100 15 h 9 m Show

My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Los Angeles at 10 pm et on Tuesday.

The Storm had their six-game winning streak snapped at the hands of the Lynx on the road on Sunday but I look for them to get right back on track as they host the Sparks on Monday.

Los Angeles is coming off consecutive upset victories including a stunner as a 10.5-point underdog against Las Vegas on Sunday. Wins like that have been few and far between for the Sparks this season, though, certainly on the road where they've won just once - that coming against the rebuilding Fever.

These two teams are on completely different planes defensively as the Storm have held seven of their last nine opponents to 27 or fewer made field goals while the Sparks have been lit up for 28 or more field goals in five straight and seven of their last eight contests. Take Seattle (8*).

06-09-24 Mercury v. Wings +1.5 97-90 Loss -110 8 h 4 m Show

My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Phoenix at 4 pm et on Sunday.

I can't help but feel we're seeing an overreaction to recent results in this contest as Dallas checks in off four straight losses (three in a row ATS) and Phoenix comes off an upset win over Minnesota.

The majority of Phoenix's success has come at home this season as it has gone 1-5 on the road, albeit against mostly tough competition.

For Dallas, this is a key matchup as it needs to stem the tide before the schedule gets even tougher (Seattle, Connecticut and Minnesota are up next). The Wings fell short two nights ago in Los Angeles but I'm confident we'll see them regroup here.

The Mercury were involved in a fairly taxing affair against Minnesota on Friday, rallying to win by a single point after trailing by six at the end of the third quarter.

Keep in mind, these two teams faced each other earlier this season and Dallas prevailed by a 107-92 score in Phoenix. You know what they say, revenge is a dish best served at home. I expect the Mercury to fall short once again on Sunday. Take Dallas (8*).

06-07-24 Wings -3 v. Sparks 72-81 Loss -110 15 h 11 m Show

My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Los Angeles at 10 pm et on Friday.

You could make a case for the Sparks being the worst team in the WNBA right now, yes, even worse than the lowly Mystics.

Los Angeles continue to employ a matador-like defense, allowing the opposition to knock down at least 28 field goals in seven of nine games to date. Offensively, things have gone from bad to worse as the Sparks have connected on 25 or fewer field goals in four straight games and just 20 in their most recent contest against Minnesota - a game they lost by 24 points here at home.

Dallas won't be short on motivation for this one after dropping three straight games including a 14-point defeat at the hands of the mighty Aces two nights ago. The Wings continue to be a handful offensively, knocking down 28 or more field goals in six straight contests. It's their defense that has let them down but they've also faced three of the league's best teams in succession in Connecticut, Minnesota and Las Vegas.

Over the last three seasons, the Wings have gone a perfect 4-0 ATS when coming off three straight losses. Take Dallas (8*).

06-06-24 Sky -4.5 v. Mystics 79-71 Win 100 11 h 8 m Show

My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Washington at 7 pm et on Thursday.

The Washington Mystics have offered little hope of a turnaround following an 0-9 start to the season, most recently knocking down a pitiful 20 field goals in a 17-point loss in Connecticut two nights ago.

While Chicago is by no means an elite WNBA team, it has grabbed plenty of headlines thanks to outspoken rookie Angel Reese. The Sky are certainly a class above the Mystics, noting they've earned a pair of impressive road wins in Dallas and New York already this season and also took Connecticut down to the wire in a loss (but cover) at home.

Here, the Sky will look to snap a brief two-game losing streak and I'm confident they'll do just that, noting they're a long-term 36-26 ATS as a road favorite of six points or less and the Mystics check in 33-40 ATS in their last 73 contests following consecutive double-digit losses, as is the case here. Take Chicago (8*).

06-05-24 Aces -8 v. Wings Top 95-81 Win 100 12 h 34 m Show

Game of the Month. My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Dallas at 8 pm et on Wednesday.

The Las Vegas Aces are coming off an upset loss at the hands of the Atlanta Dream last time out, spoiling a two-game winning streak. I'm confident we'll see them bounce back in a big way on Wednesday as they travel to Dallas to face a Wings squad that checks in off back-to-back losses and plays matador-like defense having allowed all seven opponents they've faced this season to knock down at least 29 field goals. In stark contrast, Las Vegas has held its last two opponents to just 24 and 22 made field goals. This will be the Aces first game since last Friday while the Wings played Sunday in Minnesota. Expect Las Vegas to roll. Take Las Vegas (10*).

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