Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-22-23 | Mariners v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Mariners/Yanks (AL NON-DIV TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Seattle's lost three straight, and it's seen the total go "under" in six straight. Note though that the M's have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two or more straight road losses against an opponent. New York snapped a four-game slide with two straight wins to open this series, but the Yanks have now seen the total go "under" in four straight. We're not fans of either starting pitcher today. The Mariners turn to Bryan Woo (0-1, 7.30 ERA) out of necessity, while the home side counters with the pedestrian Domingo German (4-4, 4.30.) The overall situation, combined with the above O/U stats makes the "over" the correct call finally in this one! AAA Sports |
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06-21-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers UNDER 8 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
10* UNDER D-Backs/Brewers (ASSASSIN) Considering the quality of these starting pitchers and the red hot form in which both have started off this season, we're going with the "under" in this one. Arizona goes with Zac Gallen and he's 8-2 with a 2.96 ERA and 1.13 WHIP (so far he has a massive 100 to 19 strikeout to walk ratio.) And then for the Brewers you have the rejuvenated Julio Teheran, who is 2-2 with a 1.78 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. Milwaukee is struggling for wins right now and the play of Teheran has obviously been a huge bonus for the Brewers. Milwaukee's strength this year so far is its pitching with a collective 4.10 ERA (that's ranked 14th.) The Brewers only average 4.03 runs per game this year (which is 26h.) Arizona averages 5.18 runs per game (which ranks fifth), but I still think it'll have a difficult time plating too many runs here on Wednesday vs. the red hot Julio Terhan. It's going to be a classic 'PITCHERS DUEL' on Wednesday night between these two super competent and in form starters; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-21-23 | Orioles v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Orioles/Rays (SUPER TOTAL) This is a really interesting series, as both teams are among the best in the American League and they're both from the same division. They say that divisional matchups are always the most important and that they almost always mean more to the home side. But we're going to steer clear of the side on this one and instead focus on the total. looking at these starting pitchers and we definitely think that runs are going to be at a premium in this game on Wednesday night. Baltimore goes with Tyler Wells who is 6-2 with a 3.20 ERA (he has an 82 to 16 strikeout to walk ratio), while the home side goes with Taj Bradley, who is 4-3 with a 4.19 ERA (and 63 to 15 strikeout to walk ratio.) Recent form always plays a big part in our handicapping and these two guys come in on top form. Expect them each to battle deep, and because of that, the play is the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-20-23 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Padres/Giants (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting those trends to finally end here this evening. San Fran has won eight in a row, and it's seen the total go "over" in six straight. Despite yesterday's 7-4 extra-innings win, note that the Giants have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. SD has seen it go "over" in two straight now, but note that it's seen the total go "under" in three of its last four in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. We have two battle-tested starters going head-to-head here and we're expecting a classic "duel" tonight: Seth Lugo is 3-3 with a 4.10 ERA for the Padres, while Anthony DeSclafani is 4-6 with a 4.31 ERA for the Giants. The situation, combined with the above O/U ATS stats makes the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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06-18-23 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Giants/Dodgers. Both teams have been playing to several high-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to finally end here. San Fran has won six straight, and it's seen the total go "over" in four straight. Note though that the Dodgers have seen the the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. The Dodgers fell 15-0 yesterday, which is also signficant to note here, as LA has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last nine in trying to avenge a loss of ten or more runs vs. an opponent. Logan Webb is 5-6 with a 3.15 ERA for the Giants, while Tony Gonsolin is 4-1 with a 1.93 ERA for the Dodgers. Expect them to battle deep and for this total to ultimately stay well "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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06-17-23 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 46 | Top | 0-22 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Elks/Lions (WEST-CONF TOY) Both teams come in off low-scoring Week 1 contests, but we're anticipating a much more wide-open contest here in BC this weekend. Edmonton fell 17-13 at home to Saskatchewan as a 2.5-point favorite. Including the two pre-season games, the Elks are 0-3. BC enters off a 25-15 road win at Calgary as a 2.5-point underdog. The total stayed well "under" the number of 50.5 in that one. Note though that BC has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five off an upset road win as an underdog. Talor Cornelius wasn't horrible in a losing cause for Edmonton last week, finishing with 202 yards passing, one TD and two picks. Eugene Lewis was unstoppable though with 148 receiving yards. Last year Edmonton allowed an average of 33.3 PPG, so the Week 1 result was in fact a huge improvement, but that said, that was at home. Now on the road, we're expecting a letdown. BC looked sharp in its 25-15 road win at Calgary. We should see Vernon Adams have an even stronger performance this week, as he finished 27 of 35 for 288 yards, two TD's and an INT. We're expecting a more wide-open affair here; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-17-23 | Columbus v. New York City FC OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -118 | 48 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER NYCFC/Columbus (EAST-CONF. TOY) New York City FC comes in desparate to break its longest winless urn in MLS regular-season play since 2015. Last week the Pigeons managed a 0-0 draw with Real Salt Lake, pushing their winless run in MLB to eight games. The Columbus Crew come in on the other end of the spectrum, having won three in a row and off an impressive 2-1 win over the Chicago Fire. The Boys in Blue have picked up back-to-back domestic fixture wins and they'll now look to translate that into success here in MLS. New York has had plenty of success against Columbus in the past and in a contet that we see having a much "faster pace" than anticipated, we look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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06-16-23 | Mercury v. Mystics OVER 157.5 | Top | 69-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
10* Phoenix/Washington OVER (ASSASSIN) Washington has seem the total go "under" the number in six straight after their most recent 87-66 loss at Indiana as a 4-point favorite. Note tough that the Mystics have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite. Washington is 5-4, but Phoenix is just 2-6, most recently falling 83-69 at home to Seattle as a 6.5-point favorite. That's also signficant to note, as the Mercury have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. Two teams in dire need of a victory are going to get out and push the pace in this one from start to finish, and as a result, we expect this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-14-23 | Houston Dynamo v. Los Angeles FC UNDER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 30 h 0 m | Show |
10* UNDER Houston/LA FC (MLS TOW) LA FC is on a terrible run right now, having gone five straight matches without a win across all leagues. They also fell 4-0 to Houston on Sunday in MLS action, breaking their four-game unbeaten streak in MLS (note though that LA FC has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a shutout loss against an opponent.) LAFC was at one point unbeaten over its first eight matches in the MLS. Houston will have to be careful not to have a letdown here after a superb performance against Chicago in the US Open Cup last week to cement their spot in the Semi-Final with Real Salt Lake. Note as well that in eight away MLS matches, Houston has taken just two points. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-14-23 | Marlins v. Mariners UNDER 7 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER Marlins/Mariners (TOTAL BOB) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, including in the Mariners 9-3 win last night. Seattle has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is significant to note as the M's have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Miami has also seen the total go "over" in three straight, which is also important for us to take note, as the Fish have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. We have two red hot starters going head to head, and that's another reason this total is so low, but still not low enough in our estimation. Eury Perez is 3-1 with a 2.17 ERA for the Marlins, while Luis Castillo is 4-4 with a 2.70 ERA for the M's; all signs finally point to a lower-scoring "under" in this one! AAA Sports |
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06-13-23 | Dream v. Liberty UNDER 171 | Top | 86-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* UNDER Dream/Liberty (TOY) These teams played last week and New YOrk won at Atlanta by a score of 106-83. The total went well "over" the number of 165, but we're expecting a more defensive affair here in the rematch. Note that ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. ATL has lost three straight, and it's seen the total go "over" in three straight. Note though that the Dream have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for a much more methodical pace here; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-13-23 | Rockies v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* OVER Rockies/Red Sox (IL TOW) Everything points to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Colorado has seen the total go "under" the number in three straight now after yesterday's 4-3 win here. Note though that Colorado has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Boston has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Chase Anderson is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Rockies. Difficult spot for Anderson obviously and the sample size is just too small. Karl Crawford is 1-3 with a 3.68 ERA for the Red Sox. This is just a case of each of these guys being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" though, as the overall situation, comibned with the above relevant O/U ATS stats all do indeed point to this one flying "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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06-11-23 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
10* Red Sox/Yanks OVER (AL EAST TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Boston has seen the total go "under" in both games here in the Bronx, including yesterday's 3-1 loss. It's interesting to note though that the BoSox have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent in which they were held to one or no runs in. New York has now seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is significant to note here as well, as the Yanks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Both starting pithers have been "pedestrian" at best this year, and pedestrian won't get the job done tonight in our opinion. Brian Bello is 3-4 with a 3.97 ERA and 1.43 WHIP for the Red Sox, while Clarke Schmidt is 2-6 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.46 WHIP for the Yanks. Look for these guys to make an early exit and ultimately expect this total to fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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06-11-23 | Sun v. Dream UNDER 163.5 | Top | 89-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Connecticut/Atlanta (SUPER TOTAL) These teams have been playing to some higher-scoring games, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Connecticut is 7-2 after splitting a home two-game series with Las Vegas most recently. Both games went "over" the number. Atlanta is just 2-4 after back-to-back losses, most recently a 106-83 setback at home here to New York. That though is important for us to take note of, because ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after a home loss in which it allowed 100 or more points in. This is in fact the opener of a home and home set between these clubs, and all signs point to this first game being a tight, lower-scoring defensive one; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-10-23 | Ottawa v. Montreal OVER 43.5 | Top | 12-19 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Ottawa/Montreal (ASSASSIN) Ottawa Redblacks missed the playoffs last year with a 4-14 record. Ottawa QB Jeremiah Masoli is out with a knee injury, so we'll see a combination here of Dustin Crum, Nick Arbuckle and Tyrie Adams. The Alouettes signed QB Cody Fajardo, who finished with 16 TDs and 13 INTs for the Roughriders last year. Look for Fajardo to be given the green light here today to open things up in this new offense. Expect this total to soar "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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06-10-23 | Mets v. Pirates UNDER 9 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mets/Pirates (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been struggling, and each has been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late. These facts though have only helped in contributing to this total here on Saturday in being a bit higher than it normally would/should be in our opinion. The Mets have now lost seven straight, and they've seen the total go "over" the number in their last three, including in yesterday's 14-7 series opening loss here. Note though that New York has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Pittsburgh has also seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is also significant to note here as the Pirates have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Two really decent starters who we expect to battle deep; the Mets turn to Kodai Senga, who is 5-3 with a 3.75 ERA, while the home side counters with Johan Oviedo, who is 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA. The overall situation combined with the above listed ATS trends does indeed make the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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06-09-23 | Mercury v. Wings OVER 167.5 | Top | 77-90 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* OVER Phoenix/Dallas (TOW) These teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Mercury will be hungry to get back in to the winner's circle after starting the season just 1-4. That includes an 84-79 loss here at Dallas just two nights ago. While Phoenix did cover with the 5.5-point spread, the total went "under" the number of 167.5. Note though that the Mercury have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. Dallas is 4-3. It's seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is significant to note, as the Wings have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. We're expecting a much more efficent, and overall faster-paced affair here in the second game of the B2B scenario between these clubs; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-09-23 | Twins v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER Twins/Jays (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lwer-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to come to an explosive end here in the opener of this one North of the border. Minnesota has lost five straight, and it's seen the total go "under" in six straight. Note though that the Twins have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last ten after playing to five or more straight losses in a row. The Jays enter the weekend after playing four staright at home here to Houston, going 3-1 in the process, winning the last three in the series, with all three of those contests going "under" the number. Note though that TO has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Both pitchers have been decent, with Sonny Gray at 4-1 with 2.15 ERA for the Twins, while Yusei Kikuchi is 6-2 with a 4.40 ERA for the Jays. This, though, is just a case of each being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time," as the overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U ATS stats do indeed make the "over" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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06-08-23 | BC v. Calgary OVER 50.5 | Top | 25-15 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER Lions/Stampeders (TOTAL BLOWOUT) These teams met in the West Division semi-final last year, so blood will be boiling on each side and we expect that to translate into offensive production on the field. Note that this O/U line opened at 46.5 and has since been bet up. We're following the money on this one and expecting this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. The Lions were 6-3 on the road last year, while the Stamps were 5-4 at home. Vernon Adams Jr. and Taquan Mizzell are an effective duo for the Lions. Jake Maier is now under center in Calgary, and he'll be leaning on 1,000-yard receiver Malik Henry and running back Ka’Deem Carey. But overall here in Week 1 and on Opening Night, we can expect a faster-paced, wide-open offensive affair; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-08-23 | White Sox v. Yankees OVER 8 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
8* OVER White Sox/Yanks (TOTAL BLOWOUT) These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring affairs of late, including in the White Sox 3-2 upset victory here in yesterday's series opener, but we're expecting much more of a "slug-fest" here on Thursday afternoon in the Bronx. Note that New York has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The White Sox have now won four straight, and they've seen the total go "under" in all four of those contests as well. That fact though has only helped in driving today's number a little lower than it normally would/should be though in our opinion. Neither starter has been anything to write home about this year. Lance Lynn is 4-6 with a 6.55 ERA for the White Sox, while Luis Severino is 0-1 with a 5.28 ERA for the Yanks. This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-07-23 | Orioles v. Brewers OVER 8 | Top | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
10* OVER Orioles/Brewers (BEST OF BEST) These teams have been playing to lower-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting that to end this evening. We had a play on Milwaukee last night in the Brewers 4-3 extra-innings victory. Milwaukee is now back in 1st in the NL Central at 33-28. Milwaukee has now won four of its last five. It's seen the total go "under" in six of its last seven, including in three straight. That's important to take note of for us though, as the Brewers have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Baltimore has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four, including in the most recent loss. The Brewers get the job done most nights with the seventh ranked offense that averages 4.92 RPG. The overall ERA is middle of the road though at 4.16, ranked 15th. The overall situation, combined with the strong O/U ATS stat listed above, makes the OVER the correct call here in this one on Wednesday night! AAA Sports |
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06-06-23 | Twins v. Rays OVER 8 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
10* OVER Twins/Rays (AL TOM) Both teams come into this series having played to several lower-scoring games, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Minnesota went 2-2 at home against Cleveland this weekend, losing the final two. The final three games in the series went "under" the number, which is important to note here as the Twins have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Tampa took three of four in Boston over the weekend. The final three games went "under" the number. And that's also significant to take note of, as the Rays have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Louie Varland is 3-1 with a 3.51 ERA for Minnesota, while Zach Eflin is 7-1 with a 3.30 ERA for the Rays. We have a difficult time finding too many negative things to say about either starter, so we won't bother. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U trends though will see this one fly "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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06-05-23 | Cubs v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
10* OVER Cubs/Padres (NL TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head here in the finale of this four-game series, we think they're at the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" tonight, as we expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Chicago has now seen the total go "under" in six straight games after last night's 7-1 win here. Note though that Chicago has still seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. SD has now seen the total go "under" in three straight after yesterday's loss. Note though that Chicago has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Because this play is on the "over," it's going to be an ACTION play, meaning it doesn't matter who gets the start here. Kyle Hendricks is scheduled for the Cubs and he's 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA. The home side counters with Blake Snell, who is 1-6 with a 4.50 ERA. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U trends does indeed make the "over" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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06-05-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -120 | 32 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Panthers/Knights (TOW) We had a play on Game 1 on the "over," but we're anticipating a much more defensive affair here in Game 2. These teams both have great goaltending and defense, and note that Florida has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Expect a much more methodical pace here from each side, as each waits for the other to make the first mistake. In an environment like that, everything points to a lower-scoring defensive affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-04-23 | Yankees v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Yanks/Dodgers. These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. The Yanks have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after last night's 6-3 victory. Some would have "pushed" on that total last night, but it did close at 8.5, so so far both games here in LA have gone "over" in this series. We're expecting more of a "duel" here finally in the finale. Note that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Domingo German is battle-tested for the Yanks, now 3-3 with a 3.98 ERA and tiny 0.98 WHIP. He'll be opposed by Bobby Miller, who is 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA and even more impressive 0.91 WHIP. Look for these two "studs" to battle deep and for this total to ultimately stay "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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06-03-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 79 h 47 m | Show |
10* OVER Panthers/Knights (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH) It's going to be an exciting Stanley Cup Final. These teams are extremely similar in many regards. Las Vegas has a core group of guys that have been playing in the postseason for a few years now, while Florida's Cinderella story is looking to add one more positive chapter. We're steering clear of a side in Game 1 and instead focussing on the total. If this were a regular season game, the total would be site at either 6 or 6.5. The Playoffs have produced plenty of lower-scoring defensive affairs, but note that Florida has seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last seven when playing with three or more days of rest. In what we anticipate will be a wide-open and faster-paced affair in Game 1, we're going with the "over" for sure! AAA Sports |
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06-03-23 | Cardinals v. Pirates UNDER 9.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Cards/Pirates (PITCHERS DUEL) Both teams have been playing to higher-scoring affairs recently, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon. Pittsburgh has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five games. That includes in yesterday's series-opening 7-5 victory here over the Cards. Note though that St. Louis has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Two decent starters going head-to-head here, and we're expecting a "duel:" Jordan Montgomery is 2-6 with a 4.48 ERA for the Cards, while Luis Ortiz 1-2 with a 4.35 ERA for Pittsburgh. Note that despite just a 1-2 record vs. Pittsburgh lifetime, Montgomery does own the sharp 2.95 ERA in that span. The overall situation points to this total staying below this super high number; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-02-23 | Guardians v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Guardians/Twins (AL CENTRAL DIV. TOY) Both teams have been playing to higher-scroing games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Cleveland has now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after falling 7-6 in last night's series opener here. That's significant to note though as Cleveland has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straigth "overs" in a row. Minnesota has seen the total go "over" in three of its last four. The bottom line here though is we really like these starting pitchers and we ultimatley believe they'll be throwing deep into this one: Cleveland goes with Aaaron Civale, who is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA, while Minnesota counters with Bailey Ober, who is 3-2 with a 2.68 ERA. The overall situation combined with the above listed ATS O/U stat does indeed make the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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06-01-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 219 | Top | 93-104 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/Nuggets (BLOWOUT) Everything about this Game 1 SCREAMS "under," but in the end we're actually expecting a must faster-paced affair that most are expecting. These are two very defensive-minded clubs, but note that the Nuggets have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten when playing with three or more days of rest. The Nuggets will be out to push the pace from start to finish, and they won't take the foot off the gas at all as they look to crush the will and spirit of the Heat. Miami though has won the first game of every series so far in the Playoffs though, scoring 130 points in Game 1 vs. Milwaukee, 108 points in the Game 1 victory over New York and 123 points in Game 1 vs. Boston. Everything points to this total flying "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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05-31-23 | Yankees v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Yanks/Mariners (BLOOD-BATH) The first two games of this series have flown "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a more defensive "duel" here in the finale. Note that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Clarke Scmidt is 2-5 with a 5.58 ERA for the Yanks, while George Kirby is 5-4 with a 3.43 ERA for Seattle. We're expecting these starters to battle deep, and as a result, we look for this total to stay "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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05-31-23 | Roma v. Sevilla OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER 0.5 goal in FIRST HALF of the EUROPA LEAGUE FINAL. Yes, if Jose Mourinho and Roma are going to win this game, it'll be on the backs of their elite defensive play, but we're still expecting at least one goal in the FIRST HALF of the Europa League Final. Sevilla is in the superior form currently, and it'll be trying desperately to dictate the tempo early. If you can only play of the ENTIRE GAME, then we also like the OVER for the match as well. Regardless, we're laying the price with confidence here on the OVER in the FIRST HALF! AAA Sports |
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05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 203 | Top | 103-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/Celtics (ECF TOW) Boston has won three straight, and all three of those contests have gone "under" the number. That fact though has only helped in driving this Game 7 total a few points lower than it really should be in our opinion. Note that Boston has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Miami will be looking to avoid becoming a footnote in NBA history here, as no team in the NBA Playoffs has ever come back from an 0-3 deficit. Note though that the Heat have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent; this number is a tad low now, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-29-23 | Guardians v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
10* OVER Guardians/Orioles (ULTRA TOTAL) These AL foes need wins. Cleveland more so. The Guardians are 23-29, including just 11-14 on the road. They took two off three at home from St. Louis over the weekend. Cleveland though has seen the total go "under" in seven straight games. Baltimore is 34-19 overall and 16-10 at home. The Orioles lost two of three at home to Texas over the weekend, but bounced back in yesterday's 3-2 victory. Baltimore has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four. Tyler Wells is 3-1 with a 3.47 ERA for the Orioles, but is coming off one of the worst starts of his career, getting shelled for five runs over five innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Yanks. Logan Allen is 1-2 with a 3.31 ERA for the Guardians. He took a loss in his last outing as well, allowing four runs off seven hits vs. the White Sox on Tuesday. We expect these starters to get chased early and we then look for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-28-23 | Padres v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 105 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER Padres/Yankees (IL TOW) We have two really good starters going head-to-head here, but we feel that this is a case of each being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time." The total has gone "under" the number in the first two games of this series, but we're expecting more of a "slug-fest" finally here in the finale. The Yanks have now seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is important to note here as over thes short-term New York has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Yu Darvish is 3-3 with a 3.67 ERA this year for the Padres, while Gerrit Cole is 5-0 with a 2.53 ERA for the Yanks. Each has actually had tremendous success against his opponent today in the past, but as the old saying goes, that was then and this is now. The overall situation points to this one eclipsing the posted number as it comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-26-23 | Astros v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* OVER Astros/A's (ASSASSIN) Both of these AL sides have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Houston had won eight straight, before dropping the final two at Milwaukee, losing 6-0 and 4-0. Note though that the Astros have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a road shutout loss. The A's have lost eight straight, and they've seen the total go "under" in all eight of those setbacks. That fact though has only helped in driving this series Opening total a little lower than it normally would be in our opinion. Hunter Brown has been decent for the Astros, going 4-1 with a 3.20 ERA. His counterpart though James Kapriellian has been a complete "gas can" this year, going 0-4 with a ballooned 8.68 ERA for the A's; the overall situation, combined with the above strong/relevant O/U trends does indeed make the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-25-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Rays (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trents to end this afternoon. Toronto has seen the total go "over" in five straight after yesterday's 7-3 beatdown loss. Note though that the Jays have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Tampa Bay has also now played to five straight "overs," which is also significant for us to take note of, as the Rays have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. We call these starters a "wash," and we expect them to battle deep into this one. Alek Manoah is 1-4 with a 5.15 ERA for the Jays, while Zach Eflin is 6-1 with a 3.45 ERA for the Rays; the overall situation, combined with the above strong O/U trends make the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-23-23 | Red Sox v. Angels OVER 9.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
10* OVER Red Sox/Angels (TOW) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, including in the Angels 2-1 series opening win last night. LA has now seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, which is significant to note, as the Angels have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Boston enters hungry for a win here after seeing the total go "under" in four straight. Simply put, we have no faith in these starting pitchers: Byan Bello is 3-1 with a 4.45 ERA and 1.58 WHIP for the Red Sox, while Griffin Canning is 2-2 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.58 WHIP for the Angels. Look for these starters to get chased early and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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05-22-23 | Red Sox v. Angels OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* OVER Red Sox/Angels. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Boston has seen the total go "under" in three straight after winning two of three in San Diego over the weekend. Note though that Boston has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Angels won two of three vs. the Twins at home over the weekend, and the final two games also went "under" the number. Tanner Houck is an unimpressive 3-3 with a 5.48 ERA for the Red Sox. Jamie Barria is 1-1 with a 1.96 ERA for the home side. Houck has been a "gas can" thus far. The sample size is still too small for Barria, who we believe is in the wrong place, at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-20-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -113 | 35 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER Panthers/Hurricanes (ECF TOY) We had a play on the "over" in Game 1, and while that came up short, we're now finally expecting a much more wide-open affair here in Game 2. Carolina will be pushing the pace here now to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole before heading over to Florida. Also note that the Hurricanes have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Florida has seen the total go "under" the number in six straight games. Carolina has seen it go "under" in two straight. But now the value has finally swung the other way as far as the total is concerned in our opinion, as the overall situation, combined with the above trends and stats all point to the "over" as the correct call in our opinon! AAA Sports |
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05-19-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 35 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER Stars/Knights (BLOCKBUSTER) These were two really good defensive teams during the regular season, but they've played to many high-scoring games here in the Playoffs. Dallas saw six of its seven games with the Kraken go "over" the number, while Las Vegas saw three of its six games go "over" with the Oilers, including the final two. With a few extra days off to heal up, we're expecting these "fresh legs" on each side to help with the overall pace of this contest, which in turn we expect will drive this total "over" the number sooner, rather than later (note as well that Dallas has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten when playing with three or more days of rest.) This Game 1 total is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 31 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the Lakers in Game 1 and we came up short, because we took the line right when it came out. Some pushed in Game 1 on the spread, while others won as well against the closing line. Game 2 then we're skipping the spread and instead we're going to hammer the "under" here, as we expect another competitive battle, but a much more defensive one this time around. Note that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent. Look for LA to double-down defensively here and fr the pace of Game 2 to be much more methodical all around; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-18-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
10* OVER (BLOCKBUSTER) Two teams very familiar with each other collide in this one. All of Canada won't be tuning in for this series, but it should be a good one none-the-less. Florida's path to this point has been impressive. Carolina's less so, but each has been really good on both ends of the ice to advance. Each has had a few days off between series, and we feel this will help in contributing to a much higher-scoring game than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe (in fact note, FLA has seen the ottal go "over" the number in four of its last five when playing with three or more days of rest.) This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-18-23 | Rays v. Mets UNDER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rays/Mets (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been playing to some higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end here this afternoon. The Mets have now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight after yesterday's 8-7 victory, while the Rays have now seen the total go "over" the posted number in six straight games. Note though that Tampa has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Taj Bradley is 3-0 with a 3.52 ERA for the Rays, while Tyler Megill is 4-2 with a 4.02 ERA for the Mets. Look for these two capable starters to battle deep and expect this total to stay "under" the number before it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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05-17-23 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 209.5 | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 59 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER) Two teams that are very familiar with each other collide here in Game 1. The Heat have been the surprise team so far in the Playoffs, and they're once again huge underdogs here in this series. Of the four remaining teams left, they are ranked fourth in terms of their odds to win the entire thing. Miami though has gotten out to a quick start in each series by "stealing" the first game, and we're expecting the visiting side to really push the pace here to try and take advantage of a potentially tired Celtics team that needed seven games to get past the 76ers. All signs point to defense taking a back seat here in Game 1; this number is low, the play is the OVER. AAA Sports |
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05-16-23 | Royals v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
10* OVER Royals/Padres (ASSASSIN) We had a play on the "over" yesterday, and that unfortunately came up short in the Padres 4-0 victory. The Friars have now seen the total go "under" the number in 12 straight games. That fact though has only helped in driving today's O/U line lower than it normally would be though in our opinion. Note as well that KC has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a shutout road loss vs. an opponent. Brady Singer is just 2-4 with a ballooned 7.71 ERA for the Royals. He'll be opposed by Seth Lugo, who is 3-2 with a 3.18 ERA for the Padres. The overall situation, combined with the above strong O/U ATS stat finally make the "over" the correct call here in this Padres game! AAA Sports |
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05-15-23 | Royals v. Padres OVER 9 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER Royals/Padres (IL TOY) The Padres have played to 11 straight "unders", but we're expecting that trend to finally end here in the opener of this IL series. KC has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four. The Royals are coming off a three-game sweep at Milwaukee, but note that KC has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after three or more straight losses in a row. San Diego comes in desperate as well after five straight losses, but note that SD has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after five or more straight losses in a row. Brad Keller is 3-3 with a 4.31 ERA for the Royals, while Michael Wacha is 3-1 with a 4.82 ERA. Both have benefitted from run support in the early going, as their ERA's are pedestrian at best. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U ATS stats all add up to make the "over" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-15-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars UNDER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 35 h 46 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kraken/Stars (TOW) So far all six games in this series has flown "over" the posted number, but we're finally expecting that trend to end here in Game 7. Note that the Stars have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in 13 of their last 19 in trying to avenge a three goals or greater road loss vs. an opponent. Also note that Seattle has still also seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. With everything on the line, we're expecting both teams to tighten up and as a result, all signs do indeed finally point to a highly-defensive affair here in Game 7; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-14-23 | Pirates v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER Pirates/Orioles (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this afternoon. Pittsburgh has gone just 1-11 in its last 12 games. It's coming off the 2-0 loss yesterday. Note though that Pittsburgh has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a shutout road loss vs. an opponent (and also in four of its last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent.) Baltimore has seen the total go "under" in six straight after taking the first two in this series. That fact though has only helped in driving today's total a point or so lower than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Mitch Kller is 4-1 with a 2.72 ERA and has been a lone bright spot for the Bucs during their slide back into mediocrity over the last couple of weeks. But we expect regression here finally. The home side counters with Kyle Gibson, who is 4-2 despite a pedestrian 4.40 ERA. The overall situation, combined with the above strong O/U stats make the "over" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Kraken (BLOCKBUSTER) So far all five games in this series have flown "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a very defensive contest here in Game 6. Note that the Kraken have seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. And note that Dallas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-13-23 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 8-9 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Rays/Yanks (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon. New York has now seen the total go "over" the number in five staright after yesterday's 6-5 win. Note though that the Yanks have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Rays won the first game by a score of 8-2, but they've seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Shane McClanahan is 7-0 with a 1.76 ERA for the Rays, while Nestor Cortes Jr. is 3-2 with a 4.74 ERA for the Yanks. Look for these two quality starters to battle deep, as all signs point to this total staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
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05-12-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 32 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Oilers/Knights (BLOCKBUSTER) We are all tied up at two games apiece as we head back to Las Vegas. Game 1 flew "over" the total, but the last three have gone "under." Suffice it to say, we're expecting a much more wide-open, and ultimately higher-scoring affair here in this pivotal Game 5 matchup. Note that Las Vegas has seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Edmonton has also seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row; this number is now low, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-12-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER Panthers/Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the Leafs in Game 4, as they finally managed to score some goals and hold on for the victory. How will Florida respond here now on the road and off its first loss in a while? If Toronto has any hopes of extending this series for at least one more game, it'll have to keep the foot on the gas offensively obviously. Note, Toronto has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in six straight games now, which is significant to note, as the Leafs have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Florida has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. With the home side pushing the pace of this one like we expect, and with the Panthers forced to match, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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05-11-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars UNDER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kraken/Stars (BLOCKBUSTER) All four games in this series have flown "over" the number, but we're now finally expecting a very defensive affiar here in Game 5. Note that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a home loss as an undredog vs. an opponent. Also note that Dallas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or mroe straight "overs" in a row; this number is now, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-11-23 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 213.5 | Top | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 31 h 28 m | Show |
10* UNDER Celtics/76ers (BLOCKBUSTER) While four of the five games have gone "over" the number in thius series, including in three straight, we're finally expecting a very defensive affair here in this pivotal Game 6. The Celtics are on the ropes, but note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Boston is hampered with injuries right now, and that's had a major effect on its offense. Philadelphia has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or mroe straight "overs" in a row as well; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-11-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 109 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Devils/Canes (BLOCKBUSTER) So far all four games in this series have gone "over" the posted number of 5.5. Once again here in Game 5 we have an O/U line of 5.5 as well. This time however, finally, we're expecting a super defensive affair. And that's because for the first time in this series there's a possibility of elimination. The Devils though have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. Look for each side to "tighten-up" here in Game 5; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors OVER 226 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER Lakers/Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) This has been a great series so far. The Lakers are on the cusp of knocking off the defending champs, but clearly, the NBA would love nothing more than to see this series go the full seven games. Game 7 would land on a Sunday primetime as well. To do that though, the Warriors will have to do what they do best on the offensive side of the ball, and that's push the pace and stretch this LA defense. Finally, note that GS has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two more straight ATS/SU losses in a row vs. an opponent; this number is indeed low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-10-23 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER Rangers/Mariners (BLOOD-BATH) These two starters have been great to open the season, and the first two games of this series have gone "under" the number. But those facts have only helped in driving this particular total now a couple runs lower than it normally would be in our opinion. As previously stated, these starters have been great, but perhaps a little TOO great. Dane Dunning is an unrealistic 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA for the Rangers, while Luis Castillo is 2-0 with a 2.38 ERA for the Mariners. However, note that Texas has seen the total go "over" the number in a near-perfect five of its last six in trying to avenge a road shutout loss vs. an opponent; his number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 228.5 | Top | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 32 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Nuggets (BLOCKBUSTER) After going up 2-0, the Nuggets then lost the next two games in Phoenix. This series shifts back to Denver now all tied up at 2-2. Three of the four games in this series have gone "over" the number, but that fact we feel has only helped in driving this pivotal Game 5 total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Note as well that Denver has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row vs. an opponent. With the shift in venue, expect Game 5 to be a defensive one here in Denver; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-09-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Kraken (BLOCKBUSTER) All three games of this series have flown "over" the number, but all signs finally point to a very defensive affair here in this pivotal Game 4 here in Seattle. Note that Dallas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a five goals or greater loss against an opponent. Also note that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-09-23 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 214.5 | Top | 115-103 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER 76ers/Celtics (EAST-CONF RND 2 TOY) We're all tied up at 2-2 as the series once again shifts to Boston. With so much on the line, we're expecting nerves to be frayed, and for each side to really tighten up defensively. Note that Boston has seen the total go "under" the number as well in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. This has been a competitive back-and-forth series, but Game 5 has defensive battle written all over it; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-09-23 | Hurricanes v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hurricanes/Devils (EAST-CONF RND 2 TOY) These were two of the best defensive teams in the league, but so far all three games in this series have flown well "over" the number. Suffice it to say, we're expecting this pivotal Game 4 here in New Jersey to a be a very hard-hitting, classic lower-scoring defensive-battle. Note that Carolina has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row, hile New Jersey has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in the same position; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-08-23 | Warriors v. Lakers OVER 227 | Top | 101-104 | Loss | -111 | 34 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER Warriors/Lakers (WEST-CONF TOW) Our 10* Western Conference Round 2 TOTAL OF THE YEAR was on the "under" in the Warriors/Lakers Game 3. Congrats to everyone that tailed us on that one. Now however here in Game 4, we're expecting a much faster-paced affair, and ultimately we expect that to help in driving this total "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Additionally note as well that the Warriors have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss in which they where held to 99 or fewer points in; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers UNDER 7 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 32 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Knights/Oilers (WEST-CONF TOW) We had a play on the "under" in Game 2 and we're expecting another lower-scoring, tighter defensive-affair here in Game 3 as well. It's interesting to note as well that Las Vegas has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. As this series progresses, we're expecting these teams to tighten up things on the defensive end; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-07-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 35 m | Show |
10* play on the UNDER Stars/Kraken. We had a play on the Kraken on the puckline in Game 1 and 2. We're 1-1 in this series. This series is all tied up at 1-1 nw. Both of these games in Dallas went "over" the number, but we expect a more defensive affair here. Note that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a two goals or greater loss vs. an opponent; we're steering clear of the side here in Game 3, but feel the value in this series has now shifted to the "under" in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-07-23 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 228 | Top | 124-129 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 12 m | Show |
10* UNDER Nuggets/Suns (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the Suns in Game 3. Congrats to everyone that tailed us. For Game 4 though we're steering clear of a side and instead focusing in on the total. Two of three have gone "over" the number in this series, but note that Denver has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 off a SU/ATS road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. It's a really big game for both teams. A win here for the Suns and they're right back in this series with a best of three to go. A win here for the Nuggets and they're heading home with the 3-1 strangle-hold. We expect everything to "tighten up" here in Game 4; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-07-23 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* OVER Dodgers/Padres (NL WEST TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. LA has seen the total go "under" in the first two games of this series, falling 5-2 in the opener, before yesterday's 2-1 bounce back. SD has now seen the total go "under" in four straight. The Padres though have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to one or fewer runs in. Julio Urias is 4-3 with a 3.86 ERA for the Dodgers, while Joe Musgrove is 1-0 with a 10.80 ERA. Two decent starting pitchers here, both of who are in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today. The overall situation, coupled with the strong O/U trend listed above make the "over" the correct call and it represents our NL WEST TOTAL OF THE YEAR! AAA Sports |
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05-07-23 | Hurricanes v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | 4-8 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 36 m | Show | |
8* play on the under. We had a play on Carolina in Game 1, and then a play on the "over" in Game 2. We're expecting a much tighter affair here in Game 3 though as the series shifts to New Jersey. The first two games of this series have both flown "over" the number, but note that New Jersey has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Devils went down 2-0 to New York as well last round and then advanced in seven games. All signs point to a very defensive affair here in New Jersey; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-07-23 | Red Sox v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Red Sox/Phillies (TOP TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Red Sox have seen the total go "over" the number in six straight. Boston has also won eight straight games. Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" in five straight and the Phillies enter having lost six in a row. Note though that Philly has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Tanner Houck is 3-1 with a 5.34 ERA for Boston, while Taijuan Walker is 2-2 with a 6.91 ERA for the Phillies. Neither will be lacking motivation today. Look for these teams to play to a lower-scoring outcome here today; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 227.5 | Top | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 31 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Warriors/Lakers (WEST-CONF TOY) We're all tied up at 1-1 here after two games. The first two games of this series have flown "over" the posted number, but we're finally expecting a more defensive affair here with the shift in venue. Note as well that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent as well. We just expect the Lakers to really double-down with their perimeter defense in Game 3, while at the same time we're looking for them to run the majority of their offense through big man Anthony Davis. This Game 3 total is a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-06-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 123 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oilers/Knights (WEST-CONF TOY) Las Vegas has so far seen the total go "over" the number in all five of its playoff games this year, including in Game 1 here vs. Edmonton in its 6-4 victory. Note though that the Golden Knights have seen the total go "under" the number in ten of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Also note that Edmonton has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed six or more goals in. This Game 2 total is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-05-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 121 | 31 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Devils/Hurricanes (BLOCKBUSTER) Carolina skated away with the 5-1 victory in Game 1 and the total flew "over" the posted number of 5.5, and we're expecting these teams to AT LEAST hit that combined number of goals here again in Game 2. Note that the Devils have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a three goals or greater loss against an opponent. All signs point to a similar wide-open offensive affair here in Game 2; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-05-23 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 213.5 | Top | 114-102 | Win | 100 | 31 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER Celtics/76ers (BLOCKBUSTER) The first game in this series flew "over" the number in the 76ers' 119-115 upset victory as 10.5-point dogs. Game 2 went "under" the number in the Celtics' 121-87 win. Now with the shift in venue and all tied up, we're expecting a wide-open offensive affair here in Game 3, similar to what we saw in Game 1. Also note that Philly has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 90 or fewer points in; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-05-23 | Red Sox v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Red Sox/Phillies (TOP TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Red Sox have won six straight and they've seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six, including four straight. Note though that Boston has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Phillies have lost four straight and they'll be eager to stop the slide obviously. They've also seen the total go "over" the number in three straight. We have plenty of experience on the hill here as Boston hands the ball to Chris Sale, who is 2-2 with a 6.75 ERA, while the Phillies counter with Zach Wheeler, who is 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA. Wheeler is coming off a gem, going six scoreless and striking out seven in a win over Houston. Sale also turned the corner with his last performance, allowing one run over seven innings in a win over Cleveland. Look for these two to battle deep and as such, look for this total to indeed stay "under" the number! AAA Sports |
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05-04-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 115 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
10* UNDER Panthers/Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on Toronto in Game 1 and while we like the Leafs in Game 2 as well, we can't lay this larger juice and we're not interested in laying the 1.5 goals on the puckline, but instead we feel the best value here is on the total in Game 2. And after Game 1 stayed "under" the number of 6.5, we're expecting another really tight and lower-scoring game here in Game 2 as well. Toronto will be risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes to avoid the 0-2 hole and we expect that style of contest to help in pushing this one "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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05-04-23 | Mets v. Tigers UNDER 8 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mets/Tigers (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon with two solid starting pitchers going head-to-head in Detroit. The Mets have lost four of their last five, including the first two in this series, as they dropped both games of yesterday's double-header. Both games went "over" the number. Note that the Mets have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Detroit is 3-2 in its last five, and it's seen the total go "over" in four of those contests. Justin Verlander makes his season debut for the Mets after sitting out the first month with a minor injury. He tossed five innings of no-run ball in Double A on Friday as a tune-up. He's ready to go. He'll be opposed by Eduardo Rodriguez, who is 2-2 with a 2.21 ERA. Look for these starter to be the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-03-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 37 h 37 m | Show |
10* Oilers/Knights UNDER (BLOOD-BATH) Two teams that were expected to move onto the second round, have in this Western Conference second round series. Both the Oilers and the Knights were great on both ends of the ice this season, but we expect Game 1 to have a "feeling out" period, and because of that, we're ultimately expecting this total to sneak "under" the posted number. Note as well that the Knights have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 when playing with three or more days of rest; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-02-23 | Lakers v. Warriors OVER 227.5 | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 34 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Lakers/Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) The NBA got what it wanted, a matchup between LeBron James and Stephen Curry in the second round. The Warriors look more vulnerable than ever, and King James and company will be throwing their "best shots" at the defending champs here in Game 1. Whoever gets out of this series will likely have to face Denver in the Western Conference Final. Regardless, we're anticipating a really wide-open affair in Game 1, rather than an intense, lock-down defensive one. Both teams took a big step back defensively this year and all signs point to a classic "shootout;" this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-01-23 | Phillies v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Phillies/Dodgers (NL TOW) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Phillies come to town having their four-game win streak come to an end last night in a 4-3 setback at Houston. The Phillies are starting to play a lot better, despite having some key sluggers out still. They've seen the total go "under" in four straight though. LA has seen the total go "under" in two straight. The Dodgers lost two of three to the Pirates, before then bouncing back with a three-game home sweep of the Cardinals over the weekend. LA has seen the total go "under" in two straight. Tony Gonsolin is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Dodgers. He sprained his ankle in spring training. He worked his first 3 1/3 innings, holding the Pirates scoreless last week. Clearly a much tougher task here today though. Taijuan Walker is a big dog here on the road, he's 2-1 with a 4.97 ERA so far for the Phillies. Overall he's 3-3 with a 4.32 ERA in 11 career starts vs. LA. Regardless, we don't trust either starter to go deep. Everything finally points to a higher-scoring affair; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-01-23 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 227.5 | Top | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Nuggets. The first game in this second round Western Conference series went "over" the number, but we're expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 2. The Nuggets did a good job on both ends of the floor in Game 1, especially defensively. We expect a duplicate game-plan here from Denver in Game 2. Note though that Phoenix has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. Expect fatigue to be an issue here for each side in the second straight here in Denver; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Phillies v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER Phillies/Astros (INTERLEAGUE TOW) Both teams have played to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Philly has seen teh total go "under" in three straight. The Phillies have now won four in a row. Note though that Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Houston has now seen the total go "under" in four straight after the back-to-back losses to open this series. However, note that Houston has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses vs. an opponent. Bailey Falter is 0-4 with a 4.50 ERA for the Phillies, while Jose Urquidy is 1-2 with a 5.64 ERA for the Astros. Pretty pedestrian numbers so far. All signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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04-29-23 | Oilers v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oilers/Kings (BLOCKBUSTER) Three of the five games in this series have flown "over" the number, including the last two, but we're finally expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 6. Note that the Kings have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last nine in trying to avenge two or more losses against an opponent. With the home side setting the pace like we anticipate, all signs point do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports |
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04-29-23 | Cardinals v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 105 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cards/Dodgers (NL TOY) We're expecting a lower-scoring "duel" here in the second game of this three-game series. Last night the Dodgers won the opener by a score of 7-3. LA has now seen the total go "over" the number in seven straight. Despite still having several key injuries, LA is starting to resemble the team that won 111 games last year finally. That said, note that the Dodgers have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. We have two experienced starters going head-to-head here, and all signs point to a classic "duel" as we eluded to off the top, as the Cardinals' Jordan Montgomery is 2-3 with a 3.81 ERA, while the DOdgers' Clayton Kershaw is 4-1 with a 2.32 ERA. Everything points to this total now staying well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
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04-29-23 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 226.5 | Top | 107-125 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
10* Suns/Nuggets UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) The bottom line here is we think that the longer lay off between series here will lead to each offense coming out a bit "rusty." It's the whole "rest" leading to "rust" angle. Phoenix doesn't play wide-open transition basketball anymore. The Nuggets prefer to run their offense through Nikola Jokic. For sure the home side will be looking to control the tempo, rather than push the pace in our opinions, as that'll just play into the strength of the Suns' offensive attack. Regardless, we look for Game 1 to indeed go "under" the posted number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Bruins v. Panthers UNDER 6 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bruins/Panthers. Three of five games so far in this series have flown "over" the number, including the last two, but we're expecting a very defensive affair here in Game 6. The Bruins have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last six in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent. While the last few games have flown "over" the number, all signs point to this particular contest finally being a super-defensive affair; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Jets v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 109 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jets/Knights. The first four games in this series have had their O/U line set at 5.5, and so far all four games have gone "over" that posted total. Game 5 though sets up as much more of a defensive affair in our opinions, as we expect Winnipeg to risk life and limb to try and send this back North of the border for at least one more game. Note as well that the Jets have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent; the first four games went "over," but in this crucial contest, all signs point to the "under" as the correct call! AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 232.5 | Top | 128-120 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
10* Celtics/Hawks UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) Atlanta has forced a Game 6 after a 119-117 win at Boston as a 14-point underdog. The total went "over" the number of 230.5. We're expecting a much more defensive affair here though in ATL as Boston will look to double-down on the defensive end and end this series here and now. Note as well that the C's have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. While the last three games in this series have flown "over" the posted number, all signs point to this crucial Game 6 being a super-defensive affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Rangers v. Devils OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
10* OVER Rangers/Devils. The Rangers jumped out to a 2-0 lead, but New Jersey has now evened it up with two straight victories. The first two games went "over" the posted number, the last two have gone "under." Now here in this pivotal Game 5, we're expecting a much more wide-open affair, one which blasts past this posted number sooner, rather htan later. Note as well that the Rangers have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 102 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bolts/Leafs. So far all four games of this series have gone "over" the number. We're expecting a much more defensive affair here finally in this huge Game 5. Note that Tampa has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent. Expect Game 6 to be an all out war from the opening face-off until the final horn; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Dodgers v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
10* UNDER Dodgers/Pirates (EARLY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end here this afternoon. The Dodgers have seen the total go "over" in five straight after yesterday's 8-1 loss. Note though that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Previous to this series with the Dodgers, the surging Pirates, who have now won eight of their last nine, had seen the total go "under" in four straight. Julio Urias is 3-2 with a 3.33 ERA for LA, while Mitch Keller is 2-0 with a 3.64 ERA for Pittsburgh. Look for these competent starters to battle deep and expect this total to stay "under" the posted number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Avalanche OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Kraken/Avs (BLOCKBUSTER) This series is all tied up. Colorado has its hands full now in a best of three series. Seattle was at its best on the road and we're expecting the Kraken to throw their best shot here to try and pull off another epic upset. Note as well that Colorado has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 | Top | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 56 m | Show |
10* Heat/Bucks UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the Heat in Game 4, and now they have a huge 3-1 lead in this series. Miami accomplished what it set out to do originally, which was to split the first two games in Milwaukee. But I don't think even the most hardcore Heat fan would have predicted that they'd be leaving Miami with a 3-1 lead after Game 4. Regardless, here we are. The Playoffs for both the NBA and the NHL are about timing, about chemistry, about momentum, and it's about staying healthy. Miami has really come together at the most opportune time. This wasn't Jimmy Butler's greatest regular season, but he sure looks like a Super Star right now in this series. And now the Heat are a huge underdog on the road here in Game 5 as it's do or die for the Bucks moving forward. Milwaukee can control the paint in this series for the most part, but the Bucks have struggled to contain the outside shooting. For this Game 5 though I'm going to steer clear of the side. Instead I think the total is the sharp maneuvere here. So far all four games have gone OVER the number, but I like the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring outcome. The Bucks have actually seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread road loss against an opponent, nd clearly situationally it's all hands on deck for Milwaukee, which will have to run full and half court defensive pressure throughout on this one. The first four games of this series have gone "over" the number, but that fact has only helped in driving this Game 5 Over/Under line a few points higher than it normally would or sholud be; we're on the UNDER in this one. AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Panthers v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
10* Panthers/Bruins UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) This series has flipped-flopped from the "under" to the "over" so far throughout each of the first four games, and we're fully expecting this patten to continue here after Boston posted its second straight victory in a 6-2 win in Game 4. Note as well that Florida has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a three goals or greater home loss against an opponent; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs OVER 202.5 | Top | 106-95 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
10* OVER Knicks/Cavs (BLOCKBUSTER) So far all four games of this series have fallen "under" the numbrer, but we're expecting Game 5 to finally have a faster tempo, and as such, we look for the total to finally fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later. It's do or die for the Cavaliers, who lost both games in New York, first losing 99-79, following by a 102-93 setback. Cleveland though has seen the total go "over" the number in still eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent; this number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Kings v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kings/Oilers (BLOCKBUSTER) This has been an exciting back and forth series, as we're all tied up going into Game 5. The last two games hae gone to OT. Note though that the Kings have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. In this crucial Game 5 contest, look for each side to double down on the defensive end, as it looks for the other to make the first mistake; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 222.5 | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 36 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wolves/Nuggets (BLOCKBUSTER) Did Minnesota just delay the inevitable after its 114-108 OT home win as a 3.5-point underdog in Game 4? Of course it did. The Nuggets now return home where they'll look to close things out. The Wolves are a sizeable dog here, and we're steering clear of the side, but as far as the total is concerned, we just expect the Nuggets to clamp down defensively here, as note that Denver has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. While the last three games of this series have been higher-scoring, all signs point to this Game 5 being a slower-paced, and lower-scoring outcome; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-24-23 | Avalanche v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 12 m | Show |
10* OVER Avs/Kraken (BLOCKBUSTER) The first two games of this series went "under" the number, but Game 3 here in Seattle flew "over" the 5.5 in the Avs 6-4 win. The upstart Kraken will look to even things up here, and we do believe the shift in venue will see this series once again produce another really high-scoring affair in Game 4. Note as well that the Kraken have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-24-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers OVER 220.5 | Top | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 36 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER Grizzlies/Lakers (WEST-CONF TOW) The last two games have gone "under" the number. The Lakers got healthy right at the end of the season and that depth and talent level is now paying off. The Grizzlies are going to have to assert themselves now here in Game 4 though, and that means pushing the pace from the outset and trying to stretch LA with quick offensive sets. It's essentially a do or die situation for the Grizzlies, who would be in tough down 3-1. In what we expect to be a faster-paced affair, we expect this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-24-23 | Golden Knights v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Knights/Jets (WEST-CONF TOW) We had a play on the Knights in Game 3. We also had the Knights in Game 2. We're steering clear of a side here in this crucial Game 4 though, as Winnipeg looks to avoid the 1-3 hole. All three games have gone "over" the number. The first three games all had an Over/Under line of 5.5, and now it's bumped here to six. And now we take advantage of that over-inflation and go the other way on the total. This is a crucial game for Winnipeg, and we're expecting the home side to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes tonight. Everything finally points to more of a defensive affair in Game 4; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-24-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER Leafs/Lightning (EAST-CONF TOW) This has been an exciting series, but after the first three games of it going "over" the posted number, we absolutely believe that the value has now swung the other way as far as the total is concerned here in Game 4. It's a crucial game. Toronto has stormed back after a 7-3 loss in Game 1 to take the next two, including a 4-3 OT victory here in Tampa in Game 3. A Leafs victory almost assures TO a series victory. But a TB victory makes this likely a full seven-game series. Regardless, after the first three games going "over" the number, we're absolutely expecting Game 4 to be an all out war. TB will look to control the tempo. Also note that the Bolts have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-24-23 | Bucks v. Heat UNDER 218 | Top | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 5 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bucks/Heat (EAST-CONF TOW) So far we're 3-0 in this series. We had the Heat in Game 1, the Bucks in Game 2 and then the Heat in Game 3. For Game 4 we're steering clear of a side, and instead focussing in on the total. So far all three games in this series have flown "over" the number. Note that the Bucks have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Heat's defense looked sharp at home and we're expecting a duplicate performance here; this number is now a little bit TOO high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |