Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-18-23 | Jets v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | Top | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jets/Knights (WEST-CONF RND 1 TOY) The Knights defeated the Jets 4-1 back in the 2018 Western Conference Final. Since then Vegas has suffered two conference final losses. Winnipeg won five of six towards the end of the season to clinch a spot. Vegas took all three regular season meetigs, but two of three were decided by just one goal. Connor Hellebuyck started a league-high 64 games for the Jets this season and was one of two goalies to stop over 1,800 shots. Laurent Brossoit went 7-0-3 with a .927 save percentage down the stretch for the Knights. We're not expecting Vegas to give the Jets much room to operate; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-17-23 | Panthers v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 34 h 41 m | Show |
10* UNDER Florida/Boston (EAST-CONF RND 1 TOY) These teams faced each other four times, and they went 2-2. They're very familiar with each other. In what we expect to be a tight and competitive series, we look for each side to batten down the hatches early on the defensive end, as each waits for the other patiently to make the first mistake. Yes, all four regular season games went "over" the number between these clubs, but that fact has only added value finally here in going the other way. The regular season, and the post-season are two different animals. All signs point to a classic, hard-hitting, tons of back-checking combined with smothering defensive play as players risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes; while the majority goes one way, we're going the other as the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-17-23 | Nets v. 76ers OVER 213.5 | Top | 84-96 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER Nets/76ers (EAST-CONF RND 1 TOY) Game 1 flew well OVER the number in the 76ers' 121-101 win and cover, and I'm expecting a similar final combined score here as well in Game 2, as the Nets will look to pull off the upset and avoid the 0-2 hole. It's interesting to note though that that Brooklyn has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Philadelphia will have even more room to operate here, with the Nets forced to push the pace. Look for Game 2 to follow suit here; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-16-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets OVER 224.5 | Top | 80-109 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Wolves/Nuggets (BLOCKBUSTER) While the Wolves two "Play-In" Tournament contests both went UNDER the number, we're expecting a faster-paced and ultimately higher-scoring affair here between these Western Conference opponents on Sunday night. The season series was actually tied 2-2, so this is a matchup that does suit Minnesota fine. BOth teams are loaded with offensive talent. The last time these teams played against each other, they totaled 258 points. We're expecting another "barn-burner" here as well in Game 1; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-15-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | Top | 123-126 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 55 m | Show |
10* UNDER Warriors/Kings (TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER) Golden State had the third best home record in the league, but the fourth worst record on the road. It's difficult to imagine the Warriors repeating this season. Clearly, the last thing that the Warriors want to do is to turn this into a "track meet" for the home side, as that would play directly into Sacramento's game plan. These two teams were two of the highest scoring teams throughout the regular season, but I believe that Golden State will look to the slow the pace of this one down from the outset, and as such, I think this number is high for sure; the play is "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-12-23 | Royals v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Off three straight victories, the Rangers will look to keep things rolling here against the Royals. Texas has seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, which is significant to note as the Rangers have in fact seen the total "under" the posted number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. KC enters off three straight losses, which is also important to take note of here, as the Royals have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after three or more straight losses in a row. Brad Keller is 1-1 with a 2.61 ERA for the Royals, while Nate Eovaldi is 1-1 with a 4.22 ERA for the Rangers. Look for these competent starting hurlers to be the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-12-23 | Bulls v. Raptors OVER 215 | Top | 109-105 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 41 m | Show |
10* OVER Bulls/Raptors (PLAY-IN TOY) We have two really defensive-minded clubs here, but that fact has only helped in driving this O/U line a few points lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion. Public perception has also driven the opening number down as well. But with the majority going one way, we're going to go the other on this one. Toronto plays much better at home than on the road, as the Raptors are 27-14 North of the border. The Bulls are just 18-23 on the road, and they're going to have to match pace with the home side in this one. Of course, the other interesting factor is DeMar DeRozan playing a possible "revenge" game as well here in Toronto for the Bulls. Chicago lost both regular season games here, but in what I expect to be a faster-paced affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe, I expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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04-08-23 | Devils v. Bruins UNDER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNDER Devils/Bruins (EAST-CONF TOW) There's just a couple of games left in the NHL's regular season, and I expect an all out war here between two of the best. The Devils are 50-21-4-4, while the Bruins are 32-4-1-2. Each is gearing up for a big playoff run. New Jersey has won three of its last four and it enters off a 5-1 win over Pittsburgh. These teams played on December 28th, and Boston won by a score of 3-1. I expect a similar final combined score here as well. The Bruins are 61-12-2-3, including 32-4-1-2 at home and I'm expecting this one to have a "play-off like" atmosphere. We can then expect that pace to help in translating into a very tight and defensive affair here in Boston tonight; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-04-23 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 236 | Top | 135-133 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lakers/Jazz (BLOOD-BATH) Utah won't be in the playoffs, sitting four games back of the Lakers, who are currently in seventh. Utah has covered in three straight, but it dropped the final two games of its road trip. The Lakers have won three straight and they've seen the total go "over" the number in four straight. WIth a game "at" the Clippers tomorrow, followed by home games vs. Phoenix and then the Jazz again in their finale, I say the Lakers continue to play tough defense here on the road. With the playoffs in its sites, I look for LA to double down defensively; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-02-23 | Phillies v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Phillies/Rangers (IL TOM) A great common sense play here. Philadelphia's starting pitching and bullpen has so far been terrible over the first two games of this series, losing 11-7 and 16-3 yesterday. The Phillies are without several of their top/key sluggers as well still for a few weeks. The Rangers line-up has exploded, but for this final IL game to start the season, I believe the value has now swung the other way as far as the total is concerned. The Phillies hand the ball to Bailey Falter, who was 6-4 with a 3.86 ERA last season. He'll be opposed by Martin Perez, who was 12-8 with a 2.89 ERA last year. Look for these quality starters to battle deep, and expect this total to stay well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
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04-02-23 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 5-9 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Orioles/Red Sox. I am rushing a bit here this morning to get my analysis done, as I am about to catch a flight. Regardless, after the first two games of this series have flown well "over" the number, I'm expecting more of a "duel" here finally in the finale. The Orioles hand the ball to Cole Irvin, who was 9-13 with a 3.98 ERA in 30 starts for the A's last year. In nine career innints vs. Boston, he has no decisions and a 2.00 ERA. The home side counters with Tanner Houck, who allowed three earned runs or fewer in 31 of his 32 outings last year, including all four starts. The value has now swung the other way as far as the total is concerned in this one, so the play is the indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-30-23 | Pelicans v. Nuggets OVER 231.5 | Top | 107-88 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
10* Pels/Nuggets OVER (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH) I think this one sets up well from a situational stand point to be a higher-scoring "over." Both teams have played to several "unders" of late, but that fact has only helped in driving this O/U line a few points lower than it normally would/should be. Denver has won four in a row, but it's seen the total go "under" in six straight. That's significant for us to take note here though, as the Nuggets have in fact still seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last nine after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. When they played New Orleans here back in late January, the Nugs pulled away for the 122-113 victory, and the total sailed well over the posted number of 227.5 in that one. I am expecting a similar final combind score here as well. The Pelicans are in a fight for positioning in the log-jammed Western Confernce cellar, and I expect them to match pace with the home side here throughout; this number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-30-23 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 8 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
8* play on the OVER Braves/Nationals. This pick is based primarily around the fact that I expect the Braves to smash Corbin here. Corbin was 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA in 2022 and I say he's in for a rough start here vs. Atlanta. Max Fried gets the opening night nod for the Braves, and he was 14-7 with a 2.48 ERA last year. Note though, while he's 4-1 in games at Washington, his ERA balloons to an unsightly 5.70 in those contests (meaning that his team has provided him with ample support each time.) Look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-29-23 | Islanders v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 109 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* UNDER Isles/Capitals. Washington has now seen the total go "over" the number in eight straight following a 4-3 loss to the Penguins last time out. That fact though has only helped the value swinging the other way finally here as far as the total is concerned in my opinion. Washington is on the outside of the playoff picture looking in right now. The Isles though are in seventh in the East right hnow. They're off a quality 5-1 win over New Jersey last time out, and I expect a similar defensive performance here as well. It's crunch time now with under two weeks to go in the regular season. I look for New York to control the tempo of this one and because of that, look for this total to stay well "under" the posted number once the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
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03-28-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights UNDER 7 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oilers/Knights (TOTAL ASSASSIN) Edmonton lost 4-3 in OT to Vegas just three nights ago. Last night the Oilers managed a 5-4 win at Arizona. I believe fatigue will play a factor for this Oilers' offense with their third game in four nights. Note that Edmonton has in fact also seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Vegas has been off since that OT victory. That concluded a three-game road sweep. The Knights have won four in a row. With just under two weeks left in the regular season, we can expect fatigue to be an issue here I think for both sides. I see a much more defensive affair this time around in the rematch; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-28-23 | Utah Valley v. UAB OVER 151.5 | Top | 86-88 | Win | 100 | 38 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Utah Valley/UAB (OVER). This is the semi-finals of the NIT. Utah Valley got by Cincinnati 74-68 on Wednesday to advance. Utah Valley's strength is its depth, as it has four players averaging double figures in scoring. Overall it averages 76.9 PPG. The Blazers reached this point by beating Vanderbilt. UAB plays at an even faster pace though and averages 81.4 PPG. These teams have been playing to lower-scoring games throughout the playoffs, but that fact has only helped in driving today's total a few points lower than it normally would/should be; they play is indeed on the OVER. AAA Sports |
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03-26-23 | Creighton v. San Diego State OVER 132.5 | Top | 56-57 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER Creighton/SDSU (TOP TOTAL) I am going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. SDSUN is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS so far in the postseason this year. With the big upset win over Alabama, the Aztecs have also seen the total go "under" in six straight. This fact though has only helped in pushing this Elite 8 total a few points lower than it should be in my opinion. Creighton exploded for an 86-75 win and cover over Princeton in its last outing, and the Bluejays have now posted 171 combined points over their last two games. I expect a faster-paced affair here finally; this number is low, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-25-23 | Connecticut v. Gonzaga UNDER 154 | Top | 82-54 | Win | 100 | 32 h 44 m | Show |
10* UNDER UConn/Gonzaga (ELITE 8 TOY) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. Both teams have been playing to several high-scoring affairs, but I believe this Elite 8 game finally sets up as more of a defensive one. This is a really high total for an Elite 8 game. In fact, this is the highest total that has been attached to a UConn game since January 25th at Xavier. UConn doesn't play at a fast pace either, ranked 211st in tempo. Both teams have plenty of big men and I'm expecting plenty of "half-court sets" while on offense. When you take all of these factors into account, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-24-23 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 237.5 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pacers/Celtics (EAST-CONF TOM) The last time these teams played back on February 23rd, Boston won 142-138 in OT. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a much tighter affair this time around. Boston has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, but note that the Celtics have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Boston also returns home from a six-game road trip, and I believe that'll have an affect on the final combined score as well. Indiana is just 14-33 on the road despite a rare 118-114 victory as a nine-point dog at Toronto in its last game. With Tyrese Haliburton still a question mark for Indiana, I believe we're in store for a much more defensive affair than what this O/U line is suggesting; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee OVER 131.5 | Top | 62-55 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER FAU/Tennessee (SWEET 16 TOY) Two really good defensive teams here that play at methodical paces, but I still think this O/U line is way too low. FAU is 33-3 this year, including 11-3 on the road. After playing to four straight post-season "unders," the Owls finally played to an "over" in their Round of 32 win over FDU by a score of 78-70. I think FAU keeps the offensive momentum rolling here. The 70 points allowed though is a concern if you're an Owls bettor though. Tennessee has seen the first two games of its tournament go "under" the number, including in its 65-52 victory over Duke last time out, but that fact has only helped in driving today's total a few points lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion. With a few days off to rest between rounds, expect these offenses to benefit; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Florida Atlantic OVER 149 | Top | 70-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Fairleigh Dickinson/FAU (ULTIMATE) FAU is now 32-3, and it's a 13.5-point favorite in this one. Fairleigh Dickinson finished 21-15. Over its past ten games FAU has averaged 2.3 points more per game than its season average. Note that together these two teams combined for 156 points per game, which is at least five points higher than this total. I'm finally expecting a faster-paced game and because of that, the play is the "over"! AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Michigan State v. Marquette OVER 140 | Top | 69-60 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER MSU/Marquette (ASSASSIN) I am going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the College Basketball Tournaments. Michigan State averages 70.6 PPG, while allowing 67.4. Marquette averages 81 PPG, while allowing 71.3. Expect fatigue to play a key part in breaking down the defensive play for each side, and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | Maryland v. Alabama OVER 143 | 51-73 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 9 m | Show | |
9* OVER Maryland/Alabama (TOTAL BAIL-OUT) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis during the NCAA Tournament. Alabama won in the first round of the tournament without its star player Brandon Miller even scoring. The Tide have a ton of momentum, having won eight of their last nine games. Maryland comes in with some momentum of its own after coming back against WVU after being down by double-digits early. The fact that these teams are playing their second game in three days is going to have a detrimental aspect to their defensive play in my opinion; this number is now a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | Wolves v. Raptors UNDER 227.5 | Top | 107-122 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wolves/Raptors. Here's a great common sense play backed by several strong O/U ATS stats. Minnesota is coming off a disappointing 139-131 OT loss in Chicago just last night. Fatigue will be a major issue. Toronto plays with revenge after falling 128-126 at Minnesota in January, and note that the Raptors have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. The Raptors have seen the total go "over" in three straight after their most recent 128-111 home win over OKC, and that's also significant to note as Toronto has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. For all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | Furman v. San Diego State OVER 137.5 | Top | 52-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Furman/SDSU (2ND ROUND TOY) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis during the NCAA tournament. Furman I think rides its thrilling upset of No. 4 seed Virginia here. SDSU enters off the 63-57 win over COC. Furman's offense is ranked 88th overall and 32nd nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. The Aztecs strength is their defense (ranked 16th overall), but that fact has only helped in driving this particular total a few points lower than it normally would/should be, as note that SDSU has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in nine straight dating back to the regular season. That's just too many "unders" here, and the value has firmly swung the other way here in the second round of the NCAA Tournament; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | USC Upstate v. Indiana State UNDER 158.5 | Top | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER South Carolina Upstate/Indiana State. South Carolina Upstate is 16-15, while Indiana State is 22-12. The Sycamores average 79.4 PPG, but the Spartans are allowing just 69.6. The Spartans average only 68.9 PPG, while the Sycamores concede just 69.3. These teams are evenly matched, but I expect this contest to have a "feeling out" period at the start, and because of that, I think this O/U line is too high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | Blues v. Capitals UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER Blues/Capitals (EXPRESS) These teams played to a high-scoring game against each other at the start of the season, but I'm finally expecting more of a defensive affair here. They've also both been playing to several high-scoring games of late overall, as St. Louis has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight (note though that the Blues have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row), while Washington has seen the total go "over" in three straight as well. The Capitals play with revenge after falling 5-4 in a shootout to the Blues in November, and note that Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent; this number is a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Stars v. Canucks UNDER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Canucks (BLOWOUT) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect a very defensive battle here. The Canucks are playing their best hockey of the season right now with four straight wins. They'll have their hands full with a Stars team that's won three in a row. Dallas lost 5-4 in OT to the Canucks in February, and note that the Stars have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent. Look for these two surging clubs to battle tight here, but expect it to be a very defensive battle until the final horn; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. SE Missouri State UNDER 154.5 | Top | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 34 h 39 m | Show |
9* UNDER SE Missouri State/Texas A&M CC (POWER TOTAL) These teams meet at the UD Arena. SE Missouri State is lucky to be here. It finished 19-16 this year. It beat Lindenwood, Tennessee State and Morehead State in the conference tourney, and then on March 4th it beat Tennessee Tech in the championship game by a score of 89-82 in OT. Can anyone say "letdown" spot? Texas A&M CC finished a more respectable 21-10 in the regular season. The Islanders secured the 75-71 win over Northwestern State in the Southland Tourney Title game. Previous to that they held McNeese State to just 63 points. I think the Redhawks come back down to Earth here in the "bright lights." Look for this game to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-13-23 | Suns v. Warriors UNDER 239.5 | Top | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Warriors (PACIFIC DIVISION TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Phoenix had won four straight, before falling 128-119 to the Kings in its latest action. KD is still sidelined with a knee injury. The Suns have seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but that's significant to note as Phoenix has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Warriors play with revenge after falling 125-113 to Phoenix as 12.5-point favorites back on January 10th. Note though that the Warriors have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional home loss vs. an opponent. The Warriors just snapped a three game slide with a tiring 125-116 OT win over the Bucks. GS has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, but note that the Warriors have seen the total go "under" in six of their last eight after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Both teams are banged up. Both teams still need a win here. I expect this one to be more of a defensive affair; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Kraken (TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm finally expecting more of a defensive affair this evening. That includes in the Stars 4-3 OT win here two nights ago! Dallas has now seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but note that the Stars have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Seattle plays with the immediate revenge factor. The Kraken have now lost two straight and they've also seen the total go "over" in three straight. Note though that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. While Saturday's contest flew "over" the number, all signs point to a lower-scoring defensive battle here in the rematch; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-13-23 | Jazz v. Heat UNDER 224.5 | Top | 115-119 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jazz/Heat (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Utah has won two straight on the road and it's seen the total go "over" in five straight. Note though that Utah has see the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Utah though plays with revenge after a high-scoring 126-123 home setback to the Heat as a 4.5-point favorite on December 31st. Note though that Utah has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Heat have been trading good performances with bad ones of late. Off a poor 126-114 OT loss to Orlando as a 2.5-point favorite, I'm expecting the home side to double down on the defensive end this evening. Look for this non-conference game to be less intense offensively and for this total to stay "under" the number once the final horn sounds! AAA Sports |
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03-12-23 | Texas A&M v. Alabama OVER 144.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER Texas A&M/Alabama (SEC TOURNEY TOY) The Aggies are coming off an 87-75 win over Vanderbilt to advance to the SEC Tournament Championship Game. Overall Texas A&M averages 73.1 PPG, while allowing 65.4. Alabama has seen the first two games of its tournament run go "under" the number, including in its most recent 72-61 victory over Missouri. The Tide gave up just 29 first half points. They average 82.8 PPG< while allowing 69.5. We have two really good defenses here, but with Alabama pushing the pace from the start, I'm expecting this faster-pace to result in a higher-scoring affair, especially if the Aggies are forced to play from behind early. Either way, I expect the Championship game to sail "over" the posted number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Texas v. Kansas OVER 140.5 | Top | 76-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER Texas/Kansas (BIG 12 TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, including in their Tournament games to reach this point, but that fact has only helped in driving this total a few points higher that it normally would/should be. Texas has now seen the total go "under" in five straight after wins over Oklahoma State and TCU to advance. Note though that Texas has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Texas beat Kansas 75-59 in the final regular season game of the year, and that's also important to take note of here, as the Jayhawks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponet. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Fordham v. Dayton OVER 130.5 | Top | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
10* OVER Fordham/Dayton (A-10 TOM) For a number of different reasons, I look for this one to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Fordham advanced by beating La Salle 69-61 on Thursday. The total went "under" the number in that one, but I'm expecting a shootout here. The Rams actually play with revenge after falling 82-58 to Dayton on January 10th at home as a 7.5 point underdog, and that's significant to note here, because the Rams have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. The Flyers have now seen the total go "under" the number in three straight aftre their 60-54 first round win over St. Joe's. Note though that Dayton has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The stage is set for an efficient, higher-scoring "over" in the rematch! AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Raptors v. Lakers OVER 224.5 | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
8* OVER Raptors/Lakers (SUPER TOTAL) Toronto had seen the total go "over" the number in three straight before its most recent 108-100 setback here to the Clippers. This is the final game of a tough Western swing, and I'm expecting the Raptors to push the pace here to try and end on a high note, and after the lackluster performance vs. the Clippers. The Lakers play with revenge though after a 126-113 loss at Toronto on December 7th. That total flew well "over" the number of 228, and I'm expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Look for LA to also push the pace here and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Ohio v. Toledo UNDER 163.5 | Top | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
10* UNDER Ohio/Toledo (MAC TOURNEY TOY) No need to overthink this one for me. I love the way this one sets up to be a bit more of a defensive affair. Ohio is coming of a 90-70 win over Ball State to advance to the second round of the MAC Tournament and while the total went "over" the number, we can expect more of a defensive affair here. Ohio does play with revenge after falling 90-75 to Toledo on January 17th, but I don't see the Bobcats getting that many points again here. Toledo crushed Miami Ohio 91-75 yesterday and its now seen the total go "over" the number in five straight. That's significant for us to take note of though, as Toledo has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Expect fatigue to also play a factor here; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Temple v. Cincinnati UNDER 141 | Top | 54-84 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER Temple/Cincinnati (AAC TOURNEY TOY) It's the opener of the AAC Tournament, and while these teams played to a higher-scoring "over" in their most recent matchup, I believe that everything points to a much more defensive affair here now that the Conference Tournament is here. Temple finished l6-15, while Cincinnati was 20-11. The Owls fell 88-83 in OT to the Bearcats as nine-point dogs on the road in February. That's significant to note here because Temple has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU conference loss vs. an opponent. Cincinnati saw eight of its final nine regular season games go "over" the number, but that fact has only helped in driving this tournament total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. With the Owls looking to slow the tempo of this one down throughout, I believe the rematch here definitely points to a more defensive battle this time around; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-09-23 | Jazz v. Magic UNDER 232.5 | Top | 131-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jazz/Magic (ASSASSIN) When these teams played in Utah in February, the Jazz won by a score of 112-108. I'm expecting a similar final combined score here. Since then, each has been playing to several higher-scoring games. Orlando has seen the total go "over" in three of its last four. It's coming off B2B losses here at home. Note though that the Magic have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU road loss against an opponet. Utah's coming in off three straight road losses. It's now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight games. Note though that the Jazz have seen the total go "under" the number in six of its last eight after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for these bottom-feeding non-conference opponents to once again play to an uninspiring, lower-scoring "under" here in Orlando! AAA Sports |
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03-09-23 | Colorado State v. San Diego State OVER 137 | Top | 61-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER CSU/SDSU (MW TOURNEY TOY) No need to overthink this one. This is a great situational play. Colorado State is just 14-17. It's coming off a hard-fouth 67-65 win over Fresno State last night to advance here to the second round, the total went "under" the number in that one. SDSU was 24-6 in the regular season and received a first round bye. It comes in having seen the total go "under" the number in five straight. Note though that the Aztecs have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. CSU plays with revenge after a 77-58 loss to SDSU on the road in ate February and while that total went "under" the number as well, everything finally points to a more of a wide-open "shootout" here now that the conference tournament is here; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Minnesota v. Nebraska UNDER 136.5 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Minnesota/Nebraska (BIG TEN TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have played to several higher-scoring games to close out the regular season, but that fact has only helped in driving this Tournament total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Minnesota stumbled down the stretch, finishing 8-21 overal. It saw the total go "over" the number in seven straight games to close out the regular season. It lost both games to Nebraska this season, and each contest went "over" the number as well. Note though that the Gophers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two straight losses against a conference opponent. Nebraska finished 16-15. It won five of its last six games. It also saw the total go "over" the number in seven straight games to close out the year. With a couple days off to prepare for the conference tournament, I expect each team to focus a bit more on the defensive end this evening; this total is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse OVER 154 | Top | 77-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Wake/Syracuse (ACC TOURNEY TOY) These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect a more wide-open and faster-paced affair here on Wednesday afternoon, and because of that I expect this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. Wake stumbled down the stretch of the regular season, losing four of its last five. The Demon Deacons lost 72-63 at Syracuse as a one-point favorite on March 4th, the final game of the year. Wake has seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, but note that the Demon Deacons have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Deacons have also seen the total go "over" the number in six of their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponet. Syracuse broke a four-game slide in the win over Wake Forest. Previous to that the Orange had seen the total go "over" the number in four straight. While that last game went "under" between these teams, expect a more efficient, faster-paced contest here in the Conference Tournament to lead to a higher-scoring final combined score; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-07-23 | Marist v. Manhattan UNDER 134.5 | Top | 61-50 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
10* UNDER Marist/Manhattan (MAAC TOURNEY TOY) I love the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. Marist comes into the Tournament off B2B losses to end the year. It also saw the total go "over" the number in three straight to end the season, which is significant to note, as the Red Foxes have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after seeing the total go "over" in three or more straight contests. Manhattan though plays with revenge after an 81-58 setback to Marist at home as a four point dog on February 24th. The total in that one snuck "over" the number, but I'm expecting a much more defensive battle here, as note that the Jaspers have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Two teams that underachieved in the regular season are out for redemption in the Conference Tournament and all signs (in my opinion), point to a defensive battle; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-07-23 | Jazz v. Mavs UNDER 234.5 | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
10* Jazz/Mavericks UNDER (WEST-CONF TOM) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Utah has lost three straight, both SU and ATS, and that's important to note here as the Jazz have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Dallas has see the total go "over" the number in three straight after its most recent 130-126 loss to Phoenix. Note though that the Mavericks have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Utah plays with revenge after a 124-111 loss to Dallas at the start of February. Expect the rematch here to be a much more defensive affair; this number is a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-07-23 | Flames v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* OVER Flames/Wild (WESTERN-CONFERENCE TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Calgary just broke its five-game slide with a big 5-4 win at Dallas just last night. The Flames don't have the luxury to "take a night off," and I expect a similar style of game play here in Minnesota. Note that Calgary also plays with revenge after a 3-0 defeat to Minneosta at home just three nights ago. Despite this being Calgary's third game in four nights, note that the Flames have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a shutout home loss vs. an opponent. Minnesota has seen the total go "under" in seven straight, but all signs point to this Tuesday rematch being a wide-open "shootout" in my opinion; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-07-23 | Loyola-Chicago v. St. Joe's UNDER 144 | Top | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show |
10* Under Loyola Chicago/St. Joe's (A-10 TOURNEY TOY) These two teams ended the regular season playing to several higher-scoring games, and they also played to a high-scoring one between each other over that span, but I'm anticipating a much more defensive affair here now that the Conference Tournament is here. Loyola Chicago finished 10-20. It won its finaly game of the regular eason, 76-73 over La Salle. The Ramblers saw the total go "over" the number in three straight to end the season, and that's significant to note, as Loyola Chicago has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Ramblers play with revenge as well after falling 83-71 to ST. Joe's as a 3.5-point favorite at home on February 8th. But once again, that's important for us to note as the Ramblers have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Saint Joseph's finished 14-16. It saw the total go "over" the number in five straight to end the regular season, which is noteworthy as well, as the Hawks have seen the total go "under" in six of their last eight after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The situation and the numbers all point to the "under" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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03-06-23 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga UNDER 159.5 | Top | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
10* UNDER San Fran/Gonzaga (WEST-COAST TOURNEY TOY) Everyone is just hammering the over for the most part here, but I'm going the other way, as I see tremendous value on this being more of a lower-scoring defensive battle. San Fran has already had to get through two rounds to get to this point, beating Pacific 80-63 and then Santa Clara 93-87 in OT. The Dons play with revenge after falling 99-81 to the Bulldogs back in February. And as for Gonzaga, will rest lead to rust here after getting a "double bye?" I think it will. After having seen the total go "over" the number in eight straight games to end the season, I believe this Tournament total is now a few points higher than it normally would/should be; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Chattanooga v. Wofford UNDER 152.5 | Top | 74-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chattanooga/Wofford (SOUTHERN TOY) Chattanooga has won the first two rounds to advance here to face Wofford in the Southern Tournament. While the Mocs both won and covered in each, both of those contests went well "over" the number. Now with tthe stiff competition here, I'm expecting a much more defensive affair finally. Wofford got by UNCG 67-66 yesterday in a lower-scoring defensive battle, and that's what Im predicting here as well. While their last game against each other in the regular season went "over" the number, expect the rematch here in the conference tournament to be tighter, and ultimatley lower-scoring; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Manchester United v. Liverpool UNDER 3 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -122 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER Manchester United/Liverpool (BLOOD-BATH) Liverpool was expected to be a challenger again before the season started, while Manchester United was supposed to struggle, but the opposite is the case as we head into the final third of the campaign. Man U is in third, while Liverpool is in sixth. Now Liverpool will look to make a move in the EPL and it'll be feeling confident after a win over Newcastle last week. Man U won the reverse fixture 2-0 in August and Liverpool is going to have difficulty scoring again here in my opinion. Look for this one to be a "war of attrition" and play the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | North Dakota v. Denver UNDER 150.5 | Top | 83-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER North Dakota/Denver (SUMMIT TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late and the last time these teams got together the total flew "over" the posted number, but now finally here in the conference Tournament, I expect a more defensive battle. North Dakota comes into the Tournament at 12-19. It went 2-1 in its final three games, but it's seen the total go "over" in three straight. That's significant to note here though for us because the Fighting Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. North Dakota beat Denver by a score of 86-63 as a three-point favorite on February 9th and the total went "over" the number of 146. The Pioneers finished 15-16. Note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. Look for this neutral site contest to finally produce more of a defensive affair as well; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | AJ Auxerre v. OGC Nice UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Auxerre/Nice (ASSASSIN) Nice will be looking to go to nine unbeaten here today in Ligue 1 action. They're off a 3-0 win over Monaco, while Auxerre does come to town with some momentum of its own after a 1-0 away win over Lorient. All three of Nice's goals last time out came in the first half. Auxerre will present a much more difficult challenge on the backend today though. This one has all the feelings of a "war of attrition" this afternoon, and because of that, the play here is on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-01-23 | Magic v. Bucks OVER 225.5 | Top | 117-139 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Magic/Bucks (EAST-CONF TOY) I love the way this one sets up to be a higher-scoring affair. Orlando is 2-1 in its last three, but it's seen the total go "under" the number in three straight. Note though that the Magic have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Bucks are 3-1 in their last four. They've seen the total go "under" in two straight. The Bucks have won 15 in a row and I don't expect that streak to end here. That said, look for this contest to fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-01-23 | Wagner v. Sacred Heart OVER 128.5 | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER Wagner/Sacred Heart. These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but now that the conference tournament is here, I'm expecting each to push the pace, as I look for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. Wagner has seen the total go "under" in four straight. It's coming in off B2B victories. It plays with revenge though after a 65-56 loss to Sacred Heart on Feburay 2nd, and that's important for us to take note of here, as the Seahawks have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a conference loss against an opponent in which they were held to 59 or less points in. The Pioneers enter the tourney having seen the total go "under" in three straight, and that's significant to note here as wel, as Sacred Heart has seen the total go "over" in five of its last seven after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is now too low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-01-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER Wolverhampton/Liverpool (EPL TOY) With the total juiced to the "over," oddsmakers are expecting some offensive fireworks perhaps? I do as well. These are two of the best defensive clubs around, but that's only helped in driving this total down from were it really should be in my opinion. The Reds are off a 0-0 draw with Crystal Palace, and they'll be eager to reverse their offensive fortunes here. Liverpool is still in seventh, but with a lot of ground to make up with a nine-point gap to Tottenham. The Wolves took seven points from four fixtures in February. Wolverhampton is in 15th in the table and just three points clear of the dotted line. Each of these motivated teams pushes the pace and finally finds the back of the net in the end though; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-28-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies OVER 232 | Top | 109-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
10* OVER Lakers/Grizzlies (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to lower-scoring outcomes of late, but I expect that to change here. LA is off three staight wins, most recently coming from behind to knock off the Mavericks on the road by a score of 111-108. Over their L3 the Lakers have combined to score 355 points. I expect this offensive explosion to continue here in Memphis. When these two clubs last played, the Lakers managed the 122-121 win on January 20th as 7-point dogs. That total actually stayed "under" the sky-high total of 244 in that one. Now tonight's total is ten or more points less than that previous matchup. And now it's a little TOO low. Look for a faster-paced, wide-open affair to lead to a high-scoring "over" before it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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02-27-23 | Pistons v. Hornets OVER 238.5 | Top | 106-117 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
10* OVER Pistons/Hornets (NON-CONF TOW) Two bottom-feeding teams go head-to-head here and I'm expecting a wide-open "shootout." Detroit has lost four straight. It's off a 95-91 home loss to Toronto, which is significant to note here for us, as the Pistons have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten off a home loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. Charlotte is playing its best basketball of the season right now, 4-0 SU/ATS in its last four. It's seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Hornets have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Expect a faster-paced game, coupled with poor defensive play, to finally produce a higher-scoring "over" between these clubs! AAA Sports |
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02-26-23 | Wizards v. Bulls OVER 225.5 | Top | 82-102 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
10* OVER Wizards/Bulls (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect these trends to end this afternoon. Washington came out of the break and lost its first game, falling 115-109 at New York. It's now seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is significant for us to note, as the Wizards have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Bulls though play with revenge after a 100-97 loss to the Wizards in the Nation's capital in January. That's also important for us to take note, as Chicago has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-26-23 | Belmont v. Northern Iowa UNDER 149.5 | Top | 83-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER Belmont/Northern Iowa (MISSOURI VALLEY TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, including in one against each other earlier in the year, but I expect those trends to finally end here this evening. Belmont is 20-10, but just 6-7 on the road, while Northern Iowa is 13-16 overall, but 8-7 at home. The Bruins beat the Panthers by a score of 76-72 in mid-January, and thats significant to note here, because Northern Iowa has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent. Look for a hard-fought, but ultimately lower-scoring battle in this one; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-25-23 | Pelicans v. Knicks OVER 225.5 | Top | 106-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Pelicans/Knicks (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I predict a wide-open "shootoout" here in the Big Apple on Saturday night. The Pelicans went into the All Star break with a 120-102 loss to the Lakers, and they opened up the second half with a 115-110 loss at Toronto. Without Zion Williamson in the line-up, the Pels struggle. That said, note that New Orleans has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Knicks went into the break with three straight wins, and they opened up the second hal fwith a 115-109 victory in the Nation's capital. These are two teams in need of a victory. Look for this non-conference contest to be less intense defensively, leading to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-24-23 | Xavier v. Seton Hall OVER 140.5 | Top | 82-60 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Xavier/Seton Hall (BIG EAST TOY) I love the way this end of season matchup sets up to be more of a competitive defensive affair, rather than a high-scoring "shootout." Xavier is 20-8, but just a pedestrian 5-4 on the road, while Seton Hall is 16-12, but a much more respectable 10-4 in front of the home town crowd. The Pirates play with revenge after a 73-70 loss at Xavier as eight-point underdogs on December 20th, which is significant to note, as Seton Hall has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU road loss against an opponent. Xavier is No. 15 in the country, but it'll be desperate to turn things around before the start of the conference tournament, having lost three of its last four, including a tight 64-63 setback to Villanova as a 4.5-point favorite last time out. I have every reason to believe that this will be a faster-paced "shootout," rather than a "clamp-down" defensive affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-24-23 | Borussia Monchengladbach v. Mainz OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER Borussia/Mainz (BUNDESLIGA TOW) Each team is coming off a big win in the last round and I expect that momentum to get carried over here. They've combined for five league draws so far this season, and this is expected to be a very competitive affair between two well-matched sides. Mainz is off the 3-2 win over Bayer Leverkusen, while Borrusia Monchengladbach is off a big 3-2 win over Bayern Munich. Expect these offenses to continue to roll on Friday; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-21-23 | Real Madrid v. Liverpool UNDER 3 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -132 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Real Madrid/Liverpool (BLOCKBUSTER) This is a repeat of last year's Final. This is the first leg of their last-16 tie. Liverpool is coming off B2B victories over Everton and Newcastle United, meaning that a top-four finish is still in the cards. Liverpools unbeaten streak at Anfield has now reached seven games. Liverpool has always had a hell of a time with Real Madrid though. Real does have shaky European form on the road at times though. Liverpool is winless in six straight in this series. I'm expecting a highly competitive affair, but look for this one to be a "war of attrition." As such, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-20-23 | Mississippi Valley State v. Prairie View A&M UNDER 131 | Top | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
10* Mississippi Valley State/Prairie View A&M UNDER (SWAC TOY) The last time these teams played against each other, it ended up being a lower-scoring defensive affair, and for a number of different reasons, that's exactly what I'm expecting in the rematch in this one as well. Prairie View has now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight ater an 82-71 win over Arkansas Pine Bluff in its last outing. Note though that the Panthers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Mississippi Valley State has seen the total go "over" the number in seven straight now after its 80-62 loss at Texas Southern in its last outing. The Delta Devils also play with revenge here after the 67-60 loss to Prairie View A&M back on January 7th. However, note that the Delta Devils have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a conference home loss vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-20-23 | Cremonese v. Torino UNDER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cremonese/Torino (SERIE-A TOY) Cremonese is winless in Serie A action, and now they visit middle of the table Torino. The hosts though won't be taking anything for granted after a loss at Milan last week. The Grigiorossi will have to rely on a miracle at this point though to save them from an immediate exit back to the second tier. Despite the loss to Milan last week, Torino looked solid defensively in the 1-0 defeat. Expect the home side to control the pace of this one, as I find it difficult to see Cremonese mounting much of an attack today; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-19-23 | Predators v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
10* OVER Preds/Wild (ASSASSIN) This one sets up well to be a higher-scoring "over" in my opinion. The Wild have seen the total go "under" in nine of their last ten, including four straight. Note though that Minnesota has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 still after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Wild also play with revenge here after a tight 2-1 loss at Nashville back in November, and that's also significant and beneficial to us here, as the Wild have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a divisional loss against an opponent. Nashville is off a 7-3 win at Florida just last night, and I think it'll keep the foot on the gas here; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-19-23 | Niagara v. Marist UNDER 125 | Top | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Niagara/Marist (MAAC TOY) These teams played to a higher-scoring game earlier in the season, but I expect the rematch to be a tigher, and ultimately lower-scoring contest. Marist won by a score of 66-64 as a 4.5-point underdog back on January 15th. The total snuck "over" the number of 123.5 in that one. Note though that Niagara has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Purple Eagles only average 65 PPG, while conceding just 58. Marist averages only 62.3 PPG, while allowing 66.7. I don't expect either team to reach its seasonal offensive average in the re-match today, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-19-23 | Hertha Berlin v. Borussia Dortmund OVER 3 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER Dortmund/Hertha (BUNDESLIGA TOW) Dortmund is rolling, looking to post a sixth straight Bundesliga victory. Hertha Berlin won't be rolling over though, as its hovering on relegation, and an upset here would be huge. Hertha comes in with momentum as well off a much-needed win over Borussia Monchengladbach last weekend. Dortmund is off a 1-0 win over Chelsea in Champions League play, but we can anticipate a much more wide-open affair here; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-18-23 | Lafayette v. Army UNDER 132 | Top | 43-53 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lafayette/Army (PATRIOT LEAGUE TOY) This one checks all the boxes to be a lower-scoring "under" in the end. Lafayette and Army have already played once this year, and the Lafayette Leopards got killed 82-65 back on January 2nd as a one-point favorite. The total went "over" the number of 133.5 in that one, but note that Lafayette has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite against an opponent. Lafayette is just 9-19 overall, including only 4-13 on the road though. The Army Black Knights are coming in off back-to-back losses. They've been trading high-scoring games with lower-scoring ones over their last six outings, and I expect this pattern to continue here after a 93-86 loss at Colgate in their last outing. I look for the home side to slow this one down, and as a result, everything points to this one staying "under" the number! AAA Sports |
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02-18-23 | Florida v. Arkansas UNDER 138.5 | Top | 65-84 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 26 m | Show |
10* Florida/Arkansas UNDER (SEC TOY) The regular season is amazingly winding down. FLorida is 14-12 overall this season, including just 3-5 on the road. Arkansas is ranked No. 25 in the country at 17-9 overall and 11-2 at home. Florida only averages 71.8 PPG, while allowing just 66.9. Arkansas isn't the highest scoring team either, averaging 73.8 PPG, while alloiwng just 65.6. Arkansas is of B2B SU/ATS losses. It beat Florida 82-74 last season, but while I'm anticipating another highly competitive battle this time, I'm definitely expecting a much lower-scoring final outcome. Florida has seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, but we can expect this end of season conference battle to go well under the number; and that's the play, play on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-18-23 | Crystal Palace v. Brentford UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
10* Brentford/Crystal Palace UNDER (EPL TOM) I'm expecting a very defensive affair in this one. Brentford is unbeaten in ten games. It's off a 1-1 draw vs. Arsenal over the weekend. I foresee a similar final combined score here. Palace is winless in its last six games. They're off a 1-1 draw with Brighton, which is actually a really good result. Look for CP to play to to another "war of attrition" here with Brentford as well. Note that two of their last three vs. each other have ended goalless. The reverse fixture this season was a 1-1 tie; all signs point to this one staying "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
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02-17-23 | Rangers v. Oilers UNDER 7 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Oilers (NON-CONF TOM) All signs point (from a situational stand-point), to a lower-scoring "under" in this one. The Rangers have won six straight, and they've seen the total go "over" in five straight. Note though that New York has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. With a tough game at Calgary tomorrow, I say the Rangers could very easily be caught looking ahead to that contest, and reserve some fuel here for that one. Edmonton has seen the total go "over" in three straight. It's coming off back-to-back disappointing high-scoring losses. Also note, New York plays with revenge after a 4-3 home loss to the Oilers back at the start of the season. In my opinion, we're going to see a highly competitive game, but one that is a defensive affair, rather than a "shootout;" the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-17-23 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State OVER 147 | Top | 54-81 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
10* OVER EMU/Kent (MAC TOW) This one sets up really well to be higher-scoring game from a few different situational stand points. Eastern Michigan is just 6-20, including l2-10 on the road. It has no chance here whatsoever. The Eagles actually average a healthy 73.5 points per game, but they've been downright terrible on the defensive end in conceding 81.7 PPG. Kent averages 75.2 and I look for the 21-5 Golden Flashes to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one. Kent only allows 63.9 points per game, but in what I expect to be a really wide-open and faster-paced affair, I am or sure looking for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. And that's how I envision this game unfolding. Look for Kent to have zero mercy here as it runs up the score, taking advantage of home court as the season starts to wind down; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-16-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Middle Tennessee UNDER 146 | Top | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
10* FAU/MTSU UNDER (CONF. USA TOY) I base my picks on many different things, but I don't follow any single handicapping methodology and ultimately I feel that being flexible with my approach is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid and long-term. With that in mind, this particular play really sets up well from two different angles, from a situtational angle, but it also has some key ATS trends backing it. FAU is 24-2 and rolling towards the conference tournament. The Owls average 78 PPG, while allowing just 65.5. MTSU has now seen the total go "over" the number in six straight, and that's important to note here, as the Blue Raiders have seen the total go "under" the number in ten of their last 13 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. MTSU also plays with revenge here after an 85-67 loss at FAU in January, which is also important to note, as the Blue Raiders have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. Expect MTSU to keep the pressure on FAU, but for that to ultimately translate into a lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-16-23 | Wichita State v. Temple UNDER 137.5 | Top | 79-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wichita State/Temple (AAC TOM) This one sets up well to be a lower-scoring defensive battle from a situational stand point. These are two teams in dire need of a victory here. Wichita State is 13-12, including 5-3 on the road, while Temple is 14-12, including 7-6 at home. The Shockers have played to ten straight "overs," and I believe that fact has now pushed tonight's Over/Under line a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Off a tight 91-89 OT win over SMU, I'm expecting a much slower-pace finally here from the Shockers. Temple has seen the total go "over" in five straight, while also losing three in a row, but SU and ATS. Note though that the Owls have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 afte rplaying to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Each team has taken a step back this year, but look for this highly competitive affair to finally produce a lower-scoring "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-15-23 | Cal-Irvine v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 137.5 | Top | 70-59 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
10* UNDER UC Irvine/UC Santa Barbara (BIG WEST TOM) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. When these teams played in January, the total also went "over" the number in the Gauchos 73-65 victory at the Anteaters. Note though that UC Irvine has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite to an opponent. UC Santa Barbara has now seen the total go "over" the number in six straight games, but that's also significant for us to note, as the Gauchos have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. UC Irvine has actually been trading high-scoring games with low-scoring ones over its last six games, and coming off an 83-64 win over UC Riverside, I expect this pattern to continue here. Two really good teams, but expect this competitive atmosphere to produce a very tight, and ultimately lower-scoring "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-15-23 | Bulls v. Pacers OVER 230.5 | Top | 113-117 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* OVER Bulls/Pacers (CENTRAL DIVISION TOW) Both teams have been involved in some defensive affairs of late, and the last time they played against each other the total also went "under" the number. However, I believe those low-scoring trends come to an end tonight between two division rivals in need of a victory. Desperation breeds motivation, and I expect this competitive affair to translate into production on the court. Chicago is desperate to break out of its current funk having lost four straight SU and five straight ATS. The Bulls most recently lost 97-89 at Cleveland, before then falling 100-91 to Orlando. Note though that Chicago has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Also in four of its last five after a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 95 or less points in. The Bulls also play with revenge after falling 116-110 to the Pacers back in January. Indiana has lost five straight, which is also significant to note here, as the Pacers have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after five or more SU losses in a row. Look for these two hungry sides to push the pace and fight tooth and nail until the final horn; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-14-23 | Wizards v. Blazers UNDER 235.5 | Top | 126-101 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wizards/Blazers (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. This is a great "common sense" play, which is supported by some strong O/U ATS stats. Portland has now seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last ten, including three straight. Note that the Blazers have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row though. One of those games came two weeks ago in the nation's capital in a 124-116 win as a 4.5-point underdog. Note that Washignton has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Both teams played just last night as well, so fatigue is now a major factor in the second game of the B2B scenario; considering all of the above info, I'm definitely going with the "under" in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-14-23 | Southern Illinois v. Valparaiso UNDER 132.5 | Top | 66-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER SIU/Valpo (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. SIU has seen the total go "over" in three straight (note though that the Salukis have seen the total go "under" in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) iThe last was an 82-59 loss at Drake. SIU is 19-8, but it only averages 66.4 PPG, ranked among the best on the defensive end in many statistical categories. SIU beat Valpo 77-55 at home back on January 30th and the total went "over" the number of 123.5 in that one. However, today's total is much higher, and it's now a little too high in my opinion. Valpo has also seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-14-23 | Bayern Munich v. Paris Saint-Germain OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -116 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER Bayern/PSG (Champions League TOY) It's the champions of France and Germany colliding here on Tuesday afternoon, and in my opinion everything points to some offensive fireworks. PSG hopes to end its long wait to be named league Champions, while the Germans have aspirations for a seventh crown. PSG won't be lacking motivation after a 3-1 defeat to Monaco on Saturday. The Parisians still have a five-point lead at the top of the Ligue, but a two-game losing streak to face Bayern is obviously not what the doctor ordered. PSG plays much better at home though, having won 12 and drawn three of their 15 home games. Bayern has won three straight across all competitions, and it's been its surging offense that's been responsible. Look for this faster-paced affair to produce plenty of goals; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-13-23 | Red Wings v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wings/Canucks (TOW) No need to overthink this one. Vancouver is just 1-3 in its last four. It's coming off four straight "overs" in a row. It is coming off a 5-2 loss at Detroit. Note that the Canucks have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss of three or more goals against an opponent. I look for Vancouver to double down defensively here as it tries to avenge that road setback vs. the Wings. Detroit has won two in a row. It's been trading high-scoring games with lower-scoring ones over its last seven outings, and we can expect that pattern to continue here; all signs point to a much more defensive affair here on the West Coast, so the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-13-23 | West Virginia v. Baylor UNDER 148.5 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
10* UNDER WVU/Baylor (TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end here in what I anticpate will be a competitive, but ultimlately lower-scoring defensive battle. WVU is just 2-6 on the road. It's coming off a 94-60 loss at Texas. I think the Mountaineers will struggle to score here on the road as well in this difficult venue. Note as well that WVU has seen the total to "over" the number in five straight, which is indeed signifciant to note, as the Mountaineers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Baylor is 12-2 a thome. It comes in off three straight SU/ATS victories in a row. They're coming off a 72-68 win at TCU and I expect another strong defensive performance here as well at home; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-13-23 | Pelicans v. Thunder UNDER 237 | Top | 103-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pels/Thunder (TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games, but I believe those trends come to an end here tonight. New Orleans just saw its three-game win streak come to an end in its 118-107 home loss to Cleveland. It's seen the total go OVER in four of its last five. The Pels did beat OKC 128-125 in OT back in December, but note that the Thunder have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five when trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite against an opponent. The Thunder are coming off back-to-back high-scoring road victories as underdogs. They've seen the total go OVER in four straight. All of these facts though have only helped in driving tonight's total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Expect a more defensive affair this time around; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 50 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 316 h 5 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chiefs/Eagles (TOM) I think this Philadelphia defensive line has a chance to go down as one of the best in history. Especially if the Eagles win this game. The first thing you think about when you think about these two teams is the two men under center. Most would think that with Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts as QB's, that we'd be in store for a high-scoring "shootout," but that's simply not going to be the case in my opinion. Both Hurts and Mahomes have been injured in the Playoffs. They do get two weeks off to prepare, but I believe these underrated defenses will benefit the most with the extra time. Each offense will be committed to the run, as it'll be the only way to keep these aggressive pass rushing units honest. Another big factor here sees two of the league's best "rushing QB's" going head-to-head. When you add it all up, I say this O/U line is a few points higher than it should be; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-12-23 | Alexander Volkanovski v. Islam Makhachev OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 36 h 5 m | Show |
10* OVER (UFC TOY) Two gritty, tough fighters. I don't see this one ending any time soon. If one of these two fighters gets a "KO" or submission, it'll be similar to what we saw with Leon Edwards and Kamaru Usman, right near the end of the fight. Otherwise, the skill and experience each brings to the table is unmatched. Keeping this one simple, as I believe these key factors will indeed see this match go the distance; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-11-23 | Washington v. Washington State UNDER 136.5 | Top | 51-56 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Washington/Washington State (PAC 12 TOY) This one sets up really well to be a very defensive affair. Washington is 13-12 overall this year, but just 1-7 on the road. Washington State is only 10-15 this season, but it's 7-3 at home. An interesting matchup, but one that screams defensive battle to me. Washington has lost three straight, and that's important to note here, because the Huskies have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after three or more straight losses in a row. Washington State has lost two straight on the road. It's seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, and that's also significant for us to note here, as the Cougars have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Washington State averages 67.4 PPG, while Washington averages only 69.7. Expect a tight, lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-10-23 | Hornets v. Celtics OVER 229.5 | Top | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER Hornets/Celtics (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring contests of late, but I believe those trends will end this evening. Charlotte comes in off five straight ATS/SU losses. That's significant to note here though as the Hornets have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after five or more straight losses in a row. The Hornets have also seen the total go "under" in five straight games, and that's important to note as well, as Charlotte has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. The Hornets also play with revenge after falling 130-118 at home to Boston in January. Note as well that Charlotte has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponet. Boston averages 117.4 PPG, ranked fourth overall. It's seen the total go "under" in three straight. This O/U line is now a few points lower than it normally would/should be; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-10-23 | Kent State v. Buffalo UNDER 151 | Top | 72-65 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kent/Buffalo (MAC TOM) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end here on Friday. Kent is 19-5, but is just 6-5 on the road. Buffalo is only 12-12, but it's a much more respectable 9-3 at home. Kent averages 75.1 PPG, while Buffalo averages 80.2. The last time these teams played though, Kent controlled the action in the 74-68 victory in late January, the total staying well "under" the posted number of 151.5. Expect a similar, lower-scoring defensive battle here as well; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-10-23 | VfL Wolfsburg v. Schalke 04 OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -119 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
10* OVER Wolfsburg/Schalke (Bundesliga TOY) Both teams come in highly motivated for a victory here, and I believe this sense of extreme competition will result in plenty of balls finding the back of the net. Schalke is out to snap a run of five straight winless league matches. The Wolves can empahthize, as they've lost three straight across all competitions. Schalke will finally have an opportunity get some shots on net vs. Wolfsburg after recent 0-0 draws vs. FC Koln and Borussia Monchengladbach. All signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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02-08-23 | Wild v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Wild/Stars (CENTRAL TOY) Everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Minnesota has seen the total go "under" the number in four strraight. It's off a listless 3-2 loss at Arizona as a -233 favorite. I expect a bounce-back performance here in this difficult road venue. The Stars have seen the total go "under" the number in six straight after their 3-2 shootout win over the Ducks to open up the second half. Note though that Dallas has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Most nights these teams play a very trapping, defensive style of hockey, but all signs point to a very wide-open "shootout" here between these divisional foes on Wednesday in my opinion; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-08-23 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State UNDER 135 | Top | 68-71 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* UNDER Texas Tech/Oklahoma State. I like the way this one sets up to be a defensive battle. Texas Tech is 2-1 in its last three, but it's coming off an 89-62 loss at Baylor. The Red Raiders have seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, but note that they've seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Oklahoma State has won three straight, but SU and ATS. Most recently it was a 79-73 victory over TCU. The Cowboys have now seen the total go "over" in four straight. This is the first meeting of the year between these schools, but last March when they faced off, Oklahoma State won by a score of 52-51. The overall situation, combined with the above listed trends make the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-08-23 | Pistons v. Cavs OVER 222 | Top | 85-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* OVER Pistons/Cavs (Central TOY) This one sets up realy well to be more of a wide-open "shootout," rather than a slower-paced defensive affair in my opinion. Detroit is just 2-8 in its last ten. It's coming off back-to-back losses. Most recently it was a 111-99 setback to the Celtics. Note though that Detroit has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 99 or less points in. The Pistons also play with revenge after falling 102-94 to the Cavs back in November (however, note that Detroit has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less point in as well.) Cleveland enters off three straight quality wins. I say it keeps the momentum rolling here. It's off a 114-91 win over Washington, but note that the Cavs have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS victory in which they held their opponent to 95 or less points in. The situation, combined with these strong trends all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-07-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 235.5 | Top | 112-146 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wolves/Nuggets (BLOOD-BATH) These teams just played against each other and the Wolves won by a score of 128-98. That total "pushed" on that one, but I expect more of a defensive affair here. Note that Denver has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in. Minnesota has now been trading wins/losses over its last five games. I expect a much more defensive battle in the immediate rematch here; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-05-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves UNDER 230.5 | Top | 98-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
10* UNDER Nuggets/Wolves (ASSASSIN) Denver is coming off three straight wins, including a 128-108 victory over ATL just last night. It's seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, but note that the Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten still after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for Denver to try and slow the pace down throughout here. Minnesota is off the 127-120 home loss as a favorite to Orlando, but note that the Wolves have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-05-23 | Reims v. AJ Auxerre UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stade Reims/Auxerre (Ligue 1 TOY) Reims is in form while Auxerre is struggling right now. I look for Reims to sit back and wait for Auxerre to make the first mistake, and because of that, I'm expecting a lower-scoring "under" in this one. Reims is currently on a 13-game unbeaten streak. Last weekend Will Still led his team to a 1-1 tie with Paris Saint-Germain. Auxerre has lost seven straight. Auxerre plays better at home than on the road, but it hasn't found the back of the net in its last two in front of the home town crowd. I think it'll struggle again as well here; this one has "under" written all over it! AAA Sports |
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02-04-23 | West Ham United v. Newcastle United UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER Westham/Newcastle (EPL TOW) Both teams really need a win here, for entirely different reasons. Because of that though, I'm expecting a "war of attrition" here, where each sits back and waits for the other to make the first mistake. Newcastle United is looking to strengthen its spot in the Top 4, while the Hammers are out to win B2B games for just the second time this season. The Magpies are off a 2-1 win at St. Mary's. They've been fantastic defensively, posting a league-high 12 clean sheets, while also not conceding a goal in their last six top-flight matches. Westham beat Everton 2-0 last week, and then also beat Derby County at the FA Cup on Monday night. Expect the Hammers to carry over their recent up-tick in defensive play as well. All things considered, I think this total is high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-03-23 | Magic v. Wolves OVER 231 | Top | 127-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER Magic/Wolves (ASSASSIN) Orlando went 1-1 at Philadelphia earlier in the week, and the total went "under" the number in each. Minnesota has won four of its last five, and it's seen the total go "under" in five straight. But that's important for us to note here, as the Wolves have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Look for this non-conference game to be less intense defensively and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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02-02-23 | James Madison v. Old Dominion OVER 138 | Top | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
10* OVER JMU/ODU (SUN BELT TOM) James Madison is 15-8, while ODU is 13-9. These are two teams in need of a victory here, and I expect this competitive like atmosphere to produce a much higher final combined score than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. James Madison actually averages 82.9 PPG, and it has seven players averaging between 7.9 and 13 PPG. ODU averages 67.5, but after playing to seven straight "unders," I feel this O/U line is now just a bit too low for the home side, as note that the Monarchs have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-01-23 | Hawks v. Suns UNDER 230.5 | Top | 132-100 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hawks/Suns (NON-CONF. TOM) I feel there are enough situational factors that point to this being more of a defensive affair, than a wide-open "shootout" to pull the trigger on a big play on the "under" in this one. The Hawks have now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after their most recent 129-125 road loss at Portland. That's significant for us to note though, as Atlanta has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Phoenix has seen the total go "over" in two straight. It hits the road for five straight on the East Coast starting in Boston on Friday and I say the home side gets caught "looking ahead." Look for this non-conference game to be less intense offensively; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-01-23 | Illinois-Chicago v. Illinois State UNDER 136.5 | Top | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER Illinois Chicago/Illinois State. A couple of 9-14 bottom feeders collide here in the Missouri Valley Conference on Wednesday night and in my opinion, I expect points to be at a premium. Each side has played to several higher-scoring games of late, but we can expect those trends to end here. The Flames only average 67 PPG, while allowing 70.7. They catch a break here today on the defensive end facing Illinois State, which averages just 66.2 PPG, while allowing 68.6. When these teams faced off back on December 28th, it was UIC which came away with the 55-51 win as a one-point favorite. Look for these hungry and evenly matched teams to play to a similar, lower-scoring "under" here as well! AAA Sports |
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01-31-23 | Northwestern v. Iowa UNDER 150 | Top | 70-86 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Northwestern/Iowa (BIG TEN TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm expecting a much more defensive affair this evening. Both teams have done decently to this point. Northwestern is 15-5, while Iowa is 13-8. The Wildcats enter on a three-game win skein. Most recently they beat Minnesota by a score of 81-61. I'm expecting a similar final combined score here as well, as Northwestern only averages 69.8 PPG, but makes up for it on the defensive end, holding opponents to an effective field goal percentage of 46.8 percent, ranked 45th. So expect the visitors to slow this one down at all costs. Iowa averages 81.3 PPG, but it's been trading high-scoring "overs" with low-scoring "unders" over its last six games, and off a 93-82 home win over Rutgers last time out, all signs point to this pattern continuing. Expect a more methodical pace here; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |