Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-03-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Yankees | 1-8 | Loss | -133 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
8* play Phillies runline. After starting the season 0-3, I think that Taijuan Walker can, at the very least, match his counterpart Nick Cortes Jr. inning for inning, and in a scenario like that, I feel the value swings to the desperate underdog visiting side. The Phillies are still missing key pieces in their hitting line-up. Taijuan Walker though is going to be the difference-maker in my opinion, as the veteran was 12-5 with a 3.49 ERA for the Mets last year. He faced the Yanks twice last season, going 1-0 with a 4.09 ERA over 11 innings. The Yanks are 2-1 after beating the Giants in their Opening series. Cortes Jr. went 12-4 with a 2.44 ERA last year. The 0-3 sweep won't be sitting well with anyone in Philadelphia and I expect a much more concerted effort here. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm grabbing the visitors on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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04-03-23 | Cubs -117 v. Reds | 6-7 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
8* play on the Cubs. After one series, the Cubs bullpen looks pretty good. Combined with what I believe to be the superior starter on the hill, I think the visitors offer good value here. Connor Overton was 1-0 with a 2.73 ERA in 2022 for the Reds, but he missed 110 games with injury. He was 0-2 with a 15.34 ERA over 11 2/3's innings this spring. Drew Smyly was 7-8 with a 3.47 ERA in 2022. He was 0-2 with a 6.06 ERA in five Spring starts, but note that he closed last season by conceding two or fewer runs in eight of his final nine starts to go along with a 2.28 ERA. He's also 5-0 with a 2.92 ERA in nine career appearances vs. the Reds. Look for Chicago and Smyly to step up and take advantage here; the play is the Cubs! AAA Sports |
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04-02-23 | Suns v. Thunder +5 | Top | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* Thunder (NON-DIV. GOY) One factor I always take into account is the "revenge" factor. The last time these teams played, OKC managed the 124-120 victory over Phoenix here in mid-March. However, at times the "revenge" angle can be overblown or overrated, and for me, that's the case here for sure. I'll argue that this is the most important game of the entire season for the Thunder, who have lost two of their last three, including a 121-117 setback at Indiana last time out. The Thunder are in tenth right now, about to play in the "Play In" Tournament, sitting only 1.5 games back of the Lakers for eighth spot though. Phoenix is pretty much locked in at fourth, unable to catch Sacramento, which is 4 games ahead of it right now. Phoenix has won four straight. After this it finishes with three of its final four at home, including a "cream puff" vs. the Spurs up next. I believe Phoenix gets caught a little flat-footed here, and I expect the home side to risk life and limb to try and pull off the SU upset; that may happen, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can with OKC! AAA Sports |
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04-02-23 | Phillies v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Phillies/Rangers (IL TOM) A great common sense play here. Philadelphia's starting pitching and bullpen has so far been terrible over the first two games of this series, losing 11-7 and 16-3 yesterday. The Phillies are without several of their top/key sluggers as well still for a few weeks. The Rangers line-up has exploded, but for this final IL game to start the season, I believe the value has now swung the other way as far as the total is concerned. The Phillies hand the ball to Bailey Falter, who was 6-4 with a 3.86 ERA last season. He'll be opposed by Martin Perez, who was 12-8 with a 2.89 ERA last year. Look for these quality starters to battle deep, and expect this total to stay well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
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04-02-23 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 5-9 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Orioles/Red Sox. I am rushing a bit here this morning to get my analysis done, as I am about to catch a flight. Regardless, after the first two games of this series have flown well "over" the number, I'm expecting more of a "duel" here finally in the finale. The Orioles hand the ball to Cole Irvin, who was 9-13 with a 3.98 ERA in 30 starts for the A's last year. In nine career innints vs. Boston, he has no decisions and a 2.00 ERA. The home side counters with Tanner Houck, who allowed three earned runs or fewer in 31 of his 32 outings last year, including all four starts. The value has now swung the other way as far as the total is concerned in this one, so the play is the indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-01-23 | Miami-FL +5.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 23 m | Show |
10* Miami Florida (BLOCKBUSTER) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. I think these teams are very evenly matched, and in a contest that I see coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Hurricanes are great from the line, and UConn continues to get hammered with a lot of fouls. Miami also doesn't rely on shooting the three ball, but it's still hitting 44 percent from range. The Hurricanes are also 8-3 ATS their last 11 as an underdog, with six outright victories. While I do think the outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; grab the points, the play is Miami Florida! AAA Sports |
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04-01-23 | Mavs v. Heat -115 | Top | 122-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
10* Heat (ASSASSIN) The Heat are in seventh spot in the East, two games ahead of ATL and TOR, but two games back of the Nets. Miami would love to move up, as it would currently face Boston in the first round. Dallas is in dire need of a victory, having fallen into the 11th spot in the West. The Kyrie Irving trade has not worked out. Luka Doncic looks frustrated. Miami actually plays with revenge here as well after falling 115-90 at the Mavs as two-point favorites back in January. This is a great opportunity for Eric Spolestra and the home side to take advantage of; lay the short points, the play is the Heat! AAA Sports |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. San Diego State | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 97 h 51 m | Show |
10* BLOCKBUSTER on FAU. I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. Not many brackets left right now. These two teams have consistently been under-rated and undervalued, both by their opponents and the bookmakers alike, and once again that's the case now for just one of those teams here tonight. And in my opinion, that's FAU. The Owls already proved that they can win this type of game over Tennessee (which I'll argue is better than SDSU). FAU dominates the glass, while the Aztecs are just mediocre in that department. Finally, note that FAU is a near-perfect 11-1 in games decided by five points or less. Clearly the outright win is possible, but grab the points, the play is FAU! AAA Sports |
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04-01-23 | Tigers v. Rays -167 | 2-12 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
6* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Rays. Zach Eflin gets the nod here for Tampa. He was 3-5 with a 4.04 ERA in 20 games (13 starts) for Philly last year. I just can't trust Spencer Turnbull here for Detroit, who missed all of 2022 recovering from TJ surgery. Turnbull struggled with confidence during the Spring: "Definitely a little nervous," Turnbull said after his first assignment. "I felt like a baby deer out there, but it was good to be back out there." Lay the price with confidence, the play is Tampa! AAA Sports |
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04-01-23 | White Sox v. Astros -116 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
10* Astros (BLOOD-BATH) I feel like the White Sox and Lucas Giolito are getting far too much respect here on the road, and that swings the value to Jose Urquidy and the undervalued home side. Urquidy was 13-8 with a 2.94 ERA in 29 appearances last year. He took the off-season really seriously and he's back in the rotation for now. he's 1-0 with a minuscule 1.84 ERA in two career outings vs. the ChiSox. Giolito is coming off his second-straight 11-9 season, pitching to a pedestrian 4.90 ERA last year. He lost both starts vs. the Astros last season, getting shelled for 15 runs off 15 hits over eight innings. Urquidy is the correct call here in my opinion; lay the short price, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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03-31-23 | Guardians v. Mariners -155 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -155 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
10* Mariners (ASSASSIN) Seattle could/should easily be a much bigger fav here. I don't ever usually "flip-flop" on a team, as I had a play on Shane Bieber and the Guardians yesterday, but MLB is the one sport that for sure needs to be looked at separately and on their own accord, because of the starting pitching aspect. With that in mind, I just think Seattle should in fact be a much larger fav here. Have you even heard of Hunter Gaddis? The only reason he's getting the start here is that Triston McKenzie is injured to start the season. Gaddis was 0-2 with an 18.41 ERA last year. Robbie Ray struggled with his new team to open up last year, but he finished strong with a 12-12, 3.71 ERA record. Note that he's 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in four career apperances vs. the Guradians, which includes three starts. I say Ray gets out to a fast start in 2023 in this favorable matchup; lay the price with confidence, the play is Seattle! AAA Sports |
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03-31-23 | Flames -120 v. Canucks | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
10* Flames (EXPRESS) Calgary has won three of its last four, including a qualit 2-1 victory over the Kings at home last time out. The Flames are currently sitting in ninth spot in the East, just two games back of Winnipeg. Vancouver is in 11th. It'll need a miracle to earn a playoff spot. It had its three-game win skein snapped in a tuogh 6-5 OT loss at St. Louis last time out, and I say another letdown is in order here at home, a place where it's just 17-18-0-1. Calgary is a solid 16-11-9-2 on the road, and I expect it to step up and take advantage here; lay the price, the play is indeed on Calgary! AAA Sports |
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03-31-23 | Raptors +6.5 v. 76ers | Top | 110-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ATLANTIC DIV. GOY) While I do think an outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. I think this is a great "spot" bet. The Raptors have had two nights off after a 106-92 win over the Heat. Toronto has won three straight and it's currently sitting in 9th spot in the Eastern Playoff race, in fact tied with Atlanta for eigth, and two games up on Chicago. The Raptors are playing some of their best ball of the season right now and the play with the added incentive of revenge as well after dropping the most recent matchup with Philly in a 104-101 OT setback on December 19th. Philadelphia snapped a three-game slide with a much-needed 116-108 win over the floundering Mavericks, but with a date at Milwaukee up next, it's not too hard to imagine the home side also getting caught "looking ahead" here; as stated off the top, I'm not calling for the outright upset or anything, but the official call is to grab the points with Toronto! AAA Sports |
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03-30-23 | Guardians +105 v. Mariners | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 11 m | Show |
10* Guardians (ASSASSIN) The Guardians had the youngest line-up in MLB last year, but they have huge expectations this season and will be out to show that it was no fluke. Seattle also had a bounce back campaign, and expectations are also large in the Pacific Northwest this season. Of any AL team, I think the Mariners could take a big step back though, after taking a step forward last season. I think Bieber is the correct call here in this starting matchup (had a 2.88 ERA last year with 198 K's and finished 7th in Cy Young voting.) Cleveland forced New York to a Game 5 in the ALDS, and it's small ball approach counters the Mariners. I like Bieber here; the play is Cleveland! AAA Sports |
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03-30-23 | Pelicans v. Nuggets OVER 231.5 | Top | 107-88 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
10* Pels/Nuggets OVER (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH) I think this one sets up well from a situational stand point to be a higher-scoring "over." Both teams have played to several "unders" of late, but that fact has only helped in driving this O/U line a few points lower than it normally would/should be. Denver has won four in a row, but it's seen the total go "under" in six straight. That's significant for us to take note here though, as the Nuggets have in fact still seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last nine after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. When they played New Orleans here back in late January, the Nugs pulled away for the 122-113 victory, and the total sailed well over the posted number of 227.5 in that one. I am expecting a similar final combind score here as well. The Pelicans are in a fight for positioning in the log-jammed Western Confernce cellar, and I expect them to match pace with the home side here throughout; this number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-30-23 | UAB -1.5 v. North Texas | Top | 61-68 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 14 m | Show |
10* UAB (NIT WINNER) It all comes down to this. A decent offensive team, vs. a decent defensive team. The old saying that "defense wins championships" will NOT be apt in this particular contest in my opinion though. The Blazers allow 70.3 points per game, but their defense finally catches a break here facing a UNT offense that averages only 64.4 PPG. Yes the Mean Green only allow 55.7, but the Blazers' are averaging 81.3 points per game. I say that it's UNT that finally runs out of momentum and gas here. Look for UAB to pull away down the stretch and lay the short points! AAA Sports |
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03-30-23 | Phillies v. Rangers -125 | Top | 7-11 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
10* Rangers (INTERLEAGUE GOM) Of all the teams in the National League this year, I think the Phillies have one of the biggest potentials to take a big step back this year. A lot of things went right for Philadelphia at the end of last year, and I think it'll be difficult to duplicate that success again. But the only way the Rangers can go this season is "up." Especially with Jacob DeGrom on the hill. I like Aaron Nola and he had a bounce back season last year. He was also decent away from friendly confines. But in this opening day interleague matchup, I love DeGrom at this price, no matter what team he's playing for. Look for DeGrom to be the difference here and lay the short price; the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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03-30-23 | Tigers +1.5 v. Rays | 0-4 | Loss | -114 | 27 h 6 m | Show | |
8* play Tigers runline. After an "off" year last year, Eduardo Rodriguez will be looking to bounce back after signing a big contract with the Tigers in 2021. Shane McClanahan was 12-8 with a 2.54 ERA last year, but then he got a late shoulder injury. He's 1-2 with a 2.95 ERA in three starts vs. the Tigers. Rodriguez was 5-5 with a 4.05 ERA in 17 starts last season. How long can the Rays keep maximizing their efforts with a smaller budget? I think Tampa is a bit overpriced here, but in a game that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I am going to lay the small price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is the Tigers on the run-line option! AAA Sports |
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03-30-23 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 8 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
8* play on the OVER Braves/Nationals. This pick is based primarily around the fact that I expect the Braves to smash Corbin here. Corbin was 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA in 2022 and I say he's in for a rough start here vs. Atlanta. Max Fried gets the opening night nod for the Braves, and he was 14-7 with a 2.48 ERA last year. Note though, while he's 4-1 in games at Washington, his ERA balloons to an unsightly 5.70 in those contests (meaning that his team has provided him with ample support each time.) Look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-30-23 | Giants +170 v. Yankees | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
8* play on the Giants. The Yankees are FINALLY poised to "get over the hump" this year and advance to the World Series right? Maybe. But maybe not. Everything went right for the Yanks over the first 2/3's of last year, before they started to fall off. Aaron Judge was named the Captain of the team after he signed a monster contract. Cole was 13-8 with a 3.50 ERA for the anks last year. He led the league with 257 K's, but he also had an AL-worst 33 home runs served up. He's 5-1 with a 3.15 ERA vs. the Giants. Logan Webb counters for the talented Giants though. He was 11-3 in 2021, and then 15-9 with a 2.90 ERA last season. He was 4-1 with a 2.96 ERA over his final five starts last year. Opening Day can see a lot of crazy things happen. I just think Webb has the very real potential to steal this game himself; the value here lies in the underdog in my opinion, so the play is the Giants! AAA Sports |
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03-29-23 | Islanders v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 109 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* UNDER Isles/Capitals. Washington has now seen the total go "over" the number in eight straight following a 4-3 loss to the Penguins last time out. That fact though has only helped the value swinging the other way finally here as far as the total is concerned in my opinion. Washington is on the outside of the playoff picture looking in right now. The Isles though are in seventh in the East right hnow. They're off a quality 5-1 win over New Jersey last time out, and I expect a similar defensive performance here as well. It's crunch time now with under two weeks to go in the regular season. I look for New York to control the tempo of this one and because of that, look for this total to stay well "under" the posted number once the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
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03-28-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights UNDER 7 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oilers/Knights (TOTAL ASSASSIN) Edmonton lost 4-3 in OT to Vegas just three nights ago. Last night the Oilers managed a 5-4 win at Arizona. I believe fatigue will play a factor for this Oilers' offense with their third game in four nights. Note that Edmonton has in fact also seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Vegas has been off since that OT victory. That concluded a three-game road sweep. The Knights have won four in a row. With just under two weeks left in the regular season, we can expect fatigue to be an issue here I think for both sides. I see a much more defensive affair this time around in the rematch; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-28-23 | Utah Valley v. UAB OVER 151.5 | Top | 86-88 | Win | 100 | 38 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Utah Valley/UAB (OVER). This is the semi-finals of the NIT. Utah Valley got by Cincinnati 74-68 on Wednesday to advance. Utah Valley's strength is its depth, as it has four players averaging double figures in scoring. Overall it averages 76.9 PPG. The Blazers reached this point by beating Vanderbilt. UAB plays at an even faster pace though and averages 81.4 PPG. These teams have been playing to lower-scoring games throughout the playoffs, but that fact has only helped in driving today's total a few points lower than it normally would/should be; they play is indeed on the OVER. AAA Sports |
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03-28-23 | Celtics v. Wizards +11.5 | Top | 111-130 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
10* Wizards (REVENGE BOB) Boston has won three straight, both SU and ATS. Note though that the Celtics are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after three or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. With a much more high-profile and important game at Milwaukee up next on Thursday, this also sets up as a potential "look-ahead" spot for the visitors as well. Washington does indeed play with revenge after falling 130-121 to the Celtics as a 7.5-point dog in Boston back in November. Note though that the Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. I say the hungry home side sneaks in under the radar here, catches the Celtics at a really good time here, and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to this one being a lot closer in the end than what this spread is suggesting; grab as many points as you can, the play is the Wizards! AAA Sports |
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03-27-23 | 76ers +6.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
10* 76ers (ASSASSIN) After a win at Chicago to open up this road trip, the 76ers have now lost back-to-back West coast contests, most recently falling 125-105 to a desperate Phoenix team. Yes, Philly just beat Denver 126-119 at home back in January, but I'm not reading too much into the revenge factor. For me, this particular play is a good situational one, as I feel that Philly is the much "hungrier" side here after back-to-back poor efforts. I'm expecting a battle until the final horn, so grab the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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03-27-23 | Canadiens v. Sabres -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* Sabres PUCKLINE (EAST-CONF GOW) I'm expecting a blowout here. Montreal has been trading wins and losses over its last five games, and after an 8-2 blowout home win over Columbus last time out, I'm expecting this pattern to continue in this difficult road venue. As for the Sabres, they've broken a string of poor play with back-to-back quality victories, most recently beating New Jersey 5-4, and the Islanders on the road by a score of 2-0. Look for the Sabres to keep the pedal to the metal here with just under two weeks to go in the regular season. I look for Buffalo to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; the play is the SABRES on the PUCKLINE option! AAA Sports |
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03-26-23 | Wizards +7 v. Raptors | Top | 104-114 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* Wizards (ASSASSIN) Both teams really need a win here. Washington is in 11th spot, three games back of No. 9 Toronto. After a relatively simple 118-97 win over Detroit though, I think that the Raptors will have their hands full with this revenge-minded Washington side, which fell 116-109 in OT at home as a 2.5-point favorite in early March. Note that the Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Washington snapped a four-game slide with a big 136-124 win over San Antonio last time out, and I think the Wizards throw their best shot at the Raptors today as well; grab the points, the play is Washington! AAA Sports |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Texas | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 33 h 19 m | Show |
10* Miami Florida (ELITE 8 GOY) I am going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. Both teams ahve been great. I'd argue though that Texas' path to this point has been the easier one, with wins over Colgate, Penn State and Xavier. Miami has had Drake, Indiana and Houston. Dylan Disu is a question mark in this one for Texas and if he does play, he'll be less than 100%. The Longhorns are deep, but it's still a concern. I feel that Miami has been undervalued and kind of overlooked throughout this tournament, and I believe that's once again the case here; while the outright win is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Hurricanes! AAA Sports |
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03-26-23 | Creighton v. San Diego State OVER 132.5 | Top | 56-57 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER Creighton/SDSU (TOP TOTAL) I am going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. SDSUN is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS so far in the postseason this year. With the big upset win over Alabama, the Aztecs have also seen the total go "under" in six straight. This fact though has only helped in pushing this Elite 8 total a few points lower than it should be in my opinion. Creighton exploded for an 86-75 win and cover over Princeton in its last outing, and the Bluejays have now posted 171 combined points over their last two games. I expect a faster-paced affair here finally; this number is low, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-25-23 | 76ers v. Suns +1.5 | Top | 105-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 60 m | Show |
10* Suns (ASSASSIN) The Suns were playing really well with Kevin Durant, but then the superstar got injured and now Phoenix has been struggling ever since. But I say their current slide ends here tonight in this favorable spot. Phoenix has lost six of its last seven, including three in a row. They've also lost seven straight ATS. The Suns also play with revenge here after falling 100-88 at Philly earlier in the sesaon, and note that Phoenix is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The 76ers played and lost just last night in Golden State, and I say that fatigue plays a factor in the outcome of this one as well; for all the reasons listed above, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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03-25-23 | Connecticut v. Gonzaga UNDER 154 | Top | 82-54 | Win | 100 | 32 h 44 m | Show |
10* UNDER UConn/Gonzaga (ELITE 8 TOY) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. Both teams have been playing to several high-scoring affairs, but I believe this Elite 8 game finally sets up as more of a defensive one. This is a really high total for an Elite 8 game. In fact, this is the highest total that has been attached to a UConn game since January 25th at Xavier. UConn doesn't play at a fast pace either, ranked 211st in tempo. Both teams have plenty of big men and I'm expecting plenty of "half-court sets" while on offense. When you take all of these factors into account, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic +2.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
10* FAU (ASSASSIN) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. FAU averages 79.3 PPG, while allowing only 65.7. K-State averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 68.7. The Owls have consistently been overrated, and while I think that Wildcats' guard Markquis Nowell is fantastic, this defense is much tighter than MSU's and I have a hard time seeing Kansas State duplicating its previous performance; I'm grabbing the points in this one, the play is FAU! AAA Sports |
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03-24-23 | Princeton v. Creighton -9.5 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 104 h 30 m | Show |
10* Creighton (SWEET 16 GOY) Princeton has exceeded expectations, but I say the Cinderella story comes to an end here today. The Tigers average 76 PPG, while allowing 68.6. Creighton though is battle-tested and more consistent on both ends of the court in my opinion, averaging 76.8 PPG, while allowing 67.9. The Tigers have become a popular pick with bettors, with the majority of the early bets placed on Princeton. While most go one way though, we're going to go the other; a great contrarian Sweet 16 Game of the Year on Creighton! AAA Sports |
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03-24-23 | Miami-FL v. Houston -7.5 | Top | 89-75 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
10* Houston (ASSASSIN) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. I think No. 1 seed Houston will pull away down the stretch for a comfortable win and cover vs. No. 5 Miami. Miami has an efficient offense, but this Houston defense is on an entirely different level. Houston has a rebounding advantage over Miami as well, and the Hurricanes defense is just mediocre. Houston has the advantage in every metric and we can expect that to translate into a solid cover; the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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03-24-23 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 237.5 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pacers/Celtics (EAST-CONF TOM) The last time these teams played back on February 23rd, Boston won 142-138 in OT. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a much tighter affair this time around. Boston has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, but note that the Celtics have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Boston also returns home from a six-game road trip, and I believe that'll have an affect on the final combined score as well. Indiana is just 14-33 on the road despite a rare 118-114 victory as a nine-point dog at Toronto in its last game. With Tyrese Haliburton still a question mark for Indiana, I believe we're in store for a much more defensive affair than what this O/U line is suggesting; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-24-23 | Islanders -190 v. Blue Jackets | 4-5 | Loss | -190 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
6* Islanders (DESTRUCTION) I think the Isles are well worth the price of admission in this spot. New York has won three in a row and has had two nights off after destroying the Leafs 7-2. With a game tomorrow night at home vs. Buffalo, New York won't leave anything to chance here. Columbus had lost three straight and seven of eight before a rare 7-6 OT win in the nation's capital in its latest. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! With New York fighting for a better playoff spot, let's lay the price with confidence; the play is the Islanders! AAA Sports |
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03-24-23 | San Diego State v. Alabama -7.5 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
10* ALABAMA FIRST HALF (BLOWOUT) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. San Diego has gotten this far because of its great defense, but I have a hard time seeing it slowing down this incredibly deep Alabama offense, with four players averaging double-figures. But the thing is, Alabama's defense is even better than the Aztecs is. I look for the TIDE to go up early and keep the foot on the gas going into the break; this is a play on ALABAMA in the FIRST HALF, but if you don't have a FIRST HALF line available, I still like the TIDE against-the-spread for the entire game as well! AAA Sports |
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03-23-23 | Thunder v. Clippers -148 | Top | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
10* Clippers MONEYLINE (BLOWOUT) I'm going to suggest bypassing the spread option, and just playing the home side on the moneyline. The Clippers are 5-2 in their last seven, but they're coming off a 101-100 loss here to the Thunder on Tuesday as 6.5-point favorites. Note that LA is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. But as I mentioned, we're not even looking for an ATS victory today, we just need LA to win this game. The Thunder have won four of their last five and I believe a letdown is now finally imminent, especially as the also get caught "looking ahead" to their game here tomorrow night vs. the Lakers; lay the price, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee OVER 131.5 | Top | 62-55 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER FAU/Tennessee (SWEET 16 TOY) Two really good defensive teams here that play at methodical paces, but I still think this O/U line is way too low. FAU is 33-3 this year, including 11-3 on the road. After playing to four straight post-season "unders," the Owls finally played to an "over" in their Round of 32 win over FDU by a score of 78-70. I think FAU keeps the offensive momentum rolling here. The 70 points allowed though is a concern if you're an Owls bettor though. Tennessee has seen the first two games of its tournament go "under" the number, including in its 65-52 victory over Duke last time out, but that fact has only helped in driving today's total a few points lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion. With a few days off to rest between rounds, expect these offenses to benefit; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-23-23 | Michigan State -1.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 93-98 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (ASSASSIN) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. With a spread like this, the oddsmakers feel these teams are very evenly matched. The Spartans are slightly better offensively, while the Wildcats are slightly better defensively. I like Tom Izzo's experience though and I also think MSU's shooting from range will be a difference-maker. The Spartans only hit 2 of 16 three-pointers in their win over Marquette, but still managed a nine-point victory. I don't expect them to shoot that poorly again here; lay the short points, the play is Michigan State! AAA Sports |
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03-22-23 | Blazers +4 v. Jazz | Top | 127-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
10* Blazers (ASSASSIN) A complete contrarian play here. A vast majority of the bets and money is on Utah, but that fact has helped in driving this spread a few points too high in my opinion. Utah has somehow won four of its last five SU and it's also gone 6-0 ATS in its last six. The Jazz have just beaten the Celtics and Kings at home, but with Milwaukee coming to town on Friday, this does indeed now set up as a "look ahead" spot as well for Utah. No such luxury for Portland, which enters desperate after six straight losses. I think Utah's surge comes to an end here and Portland, at the very least, takes this one right down to the wire; while the outright win isn't out of the question, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-22-23 | Pacers v. Raptors -8 | Top | 118-114 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* Raptors (EXPRESS) The Raptors are ninth in the East, so are part of the Play In Tournament at the moment. Indiana is currently 12th. Toronto plays with double revenge here as the Pacers have won both earlier meetings so far this season. Here's the perfect opportunity to get that double revenge, as the Pacers continue their four-game road trip after a loss at Charlotte on Monday. The Pacers actually had an 18-point second-quarter lead over Charlotte, but they lost 115-109 in the end. Indiana was super sloppy with the ball, turning it over 21 times. Charlotte's bench outscored Indiana's bench 45-18. Indiana was without Tyrese Haliburton for that one and he'll also be out for this one against Toronto (Haliburton is Indiana's number 1 guy, averaging 20.8 points and 10.4 assists per game.) Indiana averages 115.8 points per game and allows 118.3. Toronto averages 112.9 points per game, while allowing 112.1. Toronto has won seven in a row at home. It plays with double revenge. It catches the Pacers without their top player in the line-up. I smell a blowout here North of the border; lay the points, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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03-21-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars -152 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -152 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
10* Stars (WEST-CONF GOW) I think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this spot. The bottom line is that I still think the Kraken are getting too much respect from oddsmakers, after their surprising first half record. Especially on the road. But that mystique has worn off since the All Star game. Dallas is 17-9-6-2 at home. They just snapped a two-game slide with a 6-5 OT win at Calgary. They beat Seattle 5-2 in the last matchup a week ago, and I'm expecting a similar beatdown here as well on their own ice; lay the price with confidence, the play is the Stars! AAA Sports |
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03-21-23 | Cavs v. Nets +3 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* Nets (ASSASSIN) After three straight SU/ATS losses in a row, I like the Nets to dig deep and bounce back here. Note that Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Cleveland has won three of it slast four. It's coming off two straight home victories. This is the opener of two straight here between these clubs in Brooklyn, and I say the more desperate home side doubles down and, at the very least, takes this one right down to the wire. The Nets had a winning record before KD and Kyrie left and it'll now be a struggle to maintain that position, but I love the way this one sets up for them here at home tonight; grab the points, the play is the Nets! AAA Sports |
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03-21-23 | North Texas v. Oklahoma State -5 | Top | 65-59 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
10* Oklahoma State (NIT) Anyone who had Oklahoma State vs. Eastern Washington can't be feeling too great after the way that last game ended for the Cowboys. OKS was an 11.5-point favorite and won by 11 after the Eagles hit a meaningless 3-pointer with time winding off the clock. But where the Cowboys failed ATS last time out, I fully expect them to pull away for a comfortable cover with this more manageable spread. OKS averages 69.5 PPG, while allowing 66.8. North Texas averages 63.7 PPG, while allowing only 55.4. The problem here for UNT though is now it runs in to perhaps an even better defense than its own. The level of competition simply can't be compared between these two; I'm expecting a blowout, so lay the points with Oklahoma State! AAA Sports |
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03-20-23 | Wolves +8.5 v. Knicks | Top | 140-134 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
10* Wolves (ASSASSIN) Minnesota has lost three straight. Note that the Wolves are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. Minnesota plays with revenge after falling 120-107 at home to the Knicks as a 2.5-point favorite back in November. Note that the Wolves are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Knicks have won three straight, both SU and ATS, but note that New York is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. With an upcoming difficult two-game road trip at Miami and Orlando up next, expect the Knicks to take the foot off the gas in the second half. While an outright win is entirely possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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03-20-23 | Senators +1.5 v. Penguins | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
10* Senators PUCKLINE (GOW) Both teams are really struggling. Pittsburgh has lost three straight, while Ottawa has lost five in a row. With a two-game road trip at Colorado and Dallas up next, I say the Pens once again get caught flat-footed here and "look ahead" to those contests. Ottawa is 7-2 in its last nine after five or more straight losses in a row. The Sens also play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 4-1 to Pittsburgh back on January 20th. I expect this game to be decided late, or even in extra time, so I'm laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance; the play is Ottawa on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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03-20-23 | Rice +7 v. Southern Utah | Top | 79-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
10* Rice (CBI GOW) Rice may have stumbled down the stretch of the regular season, but it looked great in its 84-78 win over Duquesne to open this tournament. I say the Owls now build off that performance and, at the very least, give the Southern Utah Thunderbirds everything they can handle. Southern Utah has been playing well, having won four of its last five. They also looked impressive in their opening 72-50 win over Northern Alabama. These team's numbers are similar and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever has the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Rice! AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Florida Atlantic OVER 149 | Top | 70-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Fairleigh Dickinson/FAU (ULTIMATE) FAU is now 32-3, and it's a 13.5-point favorite in this one. Fairleigh Dickinson finished 21-15. Over its past ten games FAU has averaged 2.3 points more per game than its season average. Note that together these two teams combined for 156 points per game, which is at least five points higher than this total. I'm finally expecting a faster-paced game and because of that, the play is the "over"! AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Stetson -130 | Top | 87-83 | Loss | -130 | 29 h 60 m | Show |
10* Stetson MONEY LINE (CBI TOURNEY GOY) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the College basketball tournaments. This is Stetson's second-ever post-season tournament invite ever. Milwaukee is 6-7 on the road, and has an 0-1 record in neutral site games this year. Stetson is 7-8 on the road, and 1-1 in neutral site affairs. Milwaukee gave up 93 points in it last loss to Cleveland State. Stetson may have a losing SU record on the road, but it's 10-7 ATS. It's also really effective at covering the three-ball, which is the only weapon that this Milwaukee offense can lean on; all in all, lay the points and expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Michigan State v. Marquette OVER 140 | Top | 69-60 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER MSU/Marquette (ASSASSIN) I am going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the College Basketball Tournaments. Michigan State averages 70.6 PPG, while allowing 67.4. Marquette averages 81 PPG, while allowing 71.3. Expect fatigue to play a key part in breaking down the defensive play for each side, and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Nuggets v. Nets +1.5 | Top | 108-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
10* Nets (ASSASSIN) Denver has struggled since the All-Star break. I don't see it being able to muster much of an offensive attack here after falling 116-110 at the Knicks just last night. The Nuggets have now dropped five of their last six. Brooklyn had won five of six before dropping two in a row. With two nights off to prepare for this one though, I love how this one sets up for the home side. While I do think an outright victory is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Brooklyn! AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Bruins v. Sabres +1.5 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -150 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
10* Sabres PUCKLINE (DESTRUCTION) I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. I expect Boston to finally have a bit of a letdown after yesterday's come from behind 5-2 win at the Wild. The Bruins are the best team in the NHL, but with a night off before a favorable home matchup vs. the Senators, this also sets up as a look-ahead position. Buffalo is desperate to get back into the winner's circle after going just 2-8 in its last ten. Not surprisingly, it plays with revenge here after a humbling 7-1 defeat to the Bruins in Boston at the start of March. I expect Buffalo to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes today, and because of that, the play is the Sabres on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | Maryland v. Alabama OVER 143 | 51-73 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 9 m | Show | |
9* OVER Maryland/Alabama (TOTAL BAIL-OUT) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis during the NCAA Tournament. Alabama won in the first round of the tournament without its star player Brandon Miller even scoring. The Tide have a ton of momentum, having won eight of their last nine games. Maryland comes in with some momentum of its own after coming back against WVU after being down by double-digits early. The fact that these teams are playing their second game in three days is going to have a detrimental aspect to their defensive play in my opinion; this number is now a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | Wolves v. Raptors UNDER 227.5 | Top | 107-122 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wolves/Raptors. Here's a great common sense play backed by several strong O/U ATS stats. Minnesota is coming off a disappointing 139-131 OT loss in Chicago just last night. Fatigue will be a major issue. Toronto plays with revenge after falling 128-126 at Minnesota in January, and note that the Raptors have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. The Raptors have seen the total go "over" in three straight after their most recent 128-111 home win over OKC, and that's also significant to note as Toronto has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. For all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | Duke -3 v. Tennessee | Top | 52-65 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* 2ND ROUND GOY on Duke. I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. These teams are moving in opposite directions in a way right now. Duke is peaking, and Tennessee is struggling to remain elite. The Vols are still trying to adjust after star point guard Zakai Zeigler went down with a torn ACL. Santiago Vescovi is now the leading scorer at 12.6 PPG, but he struggled in the first round with just 3 points in 27 minutes. Duke's guard Jeremy Roach is playing the best basketball of his career, and so is the rest of his team; look for the Blue Devils to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish! AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | Furman v. San Diego State OVER 137.5 | Top | 52-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Furman/SDSU (2ND ROUND TOY) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis during the NCAA tournament. Furman I think rides its thrilling upset of No. 4 seed Virginia here. SDSU enters off the 63-57 win over COC. Furman's offense is ranked 88th overall and 32nd nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. The Aztecs strength is their defense (ranked 16th overall), but that fact has only helped in driving this particular total a few points lower than it normally would/should be, as note that SDSU has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in nine straight dating back to the regular season. That's just too many "unders" here, and the value has firmly swung the other way here in the second round of the NCAA Tournament; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | USC Upstate v. Indiana State UNDER 158.5 | Top | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER South Carolina Upstate/Indiana State. South Carolina Upstate is 16-15, while Indiana State is 22-12. The Sycamores average 79.4 PPG, but the Spartans are allowing just 69.6. The Spartans average only 68.9 PPG, while the Sycamores concede just 69.3. These teams are evenly matched, but I expect this contest to have a "feeling out" period at the start, and because of that, I think this O/U line is too high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. Memphis | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show |
10* FAU (BLOCKBUSTER) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis during the Tournament. FAU comes in "under the radar" in my opinion. The Owls average 79.3 PPG, and allow just 65.7. Memphis averages 79.5 PPG, while allowing 72.6. FAU has the experience, size and athleticism to win this one outright and give Purdue a serious scare in the next round; grab the points, the play is FAU! AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | Drake +2 v. Miami-FL | Top | 56-63 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
10* Drake (BLOCKBUSTER) Going to be really succinct with my analysis throughout the Tournament. I think many will discount Drake here, as I already see the majority of the money on Miami Florida. The Bulldogs are no push-overs, clearly a sentiment shared by the oddsmakers. The Bulldogs average 75.6 PPG, and allow just 64.8. Miami averages 79.6 PPG, while allowing 71.7. While the majority of the public goes one way with this wager, we're going to go the other; the play is Drake! AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | 76ers v. Hornets +10 | Top | 121-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* Hornets (ASSASSIN) Here's a great spot for the Hornets. I'm not predicting an outright win or anything, but I do think they'll be competitive until the final horn. Charlotte is coming off three straight losses, and note that the Hornets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. They also play with revenge after a 131-113 loss to Philly back in December, and note that the Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last five trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. With a game at the Pacers tomorrow night, I say Philly gets caught "looking ahead" here in the second half and takes the foot of the gas; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | Blues v. Capitals UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER Blues/Capitals (EXPRESS) These teams played to a high-scoring game against each other at the start of the season, but I'm finally expecting more of a defensive affair here. They've also both been playing to several high-scoring games of late overall, as St. Louis has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight (note though that the Blues have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row), while Washington has seen the total go "over" in three straight as well. The Capitals play with revenge after falling 5-4 in a shootout to the Blues in November, and note that Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent; this number is a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | VCU v. St. Mary's -4 | Top | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
10* Saint Mary's (BLOCKBUSTER) Saint Mary's lost in the West Coast Conference Tourney to Gonzaga, but I think the Gaels have more than enough gas left in the tank to handle VCU. The Rams beat George Washington on March 4th to take the A-10 Tourney Final. I just think the A-10 is watered down after the Top 3 teams. The Gaels have veteran leadership and a more well rounded side; lay the points, the play is Saint Mary's! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Boise State +1.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 67-75 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 19 m | Show |
10* Boise State (NCAA FIRST ROUND GOY) Boise State finished 24-9, while Northwestern was 21-11. The Broncos lost to Utah State in the Mountain Westn Conference by a score of 72-62 in the second round. Northwestern got bounced 67-65 by Penn State in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament. The bottom line here is that Boise State enters the NCAA Tournament in much better overall form in my opinion. The Broncos have scored 66 or more points in eight of their last nine outings, while Northwestern lhas scored 65 points or fewer over five straight games. Clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, but the official call will be to grab as many point as you can; the play is Boise State! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts +6.5 v. Duke | Top | 51-74 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
10* Oral Roberts (BLOCKBUSTER) Outright win? It's not entirely out of the realm of possibility, but in a contest that I see coming "right down to the wire," I'm going to grab the points. Oral Roberts finished 30-4, while Duke was 26-8. Neither team was great agains the spread. Oral Roberts though comes in off a high and I think it can keep the momentum rolling here after annihilating North Dakota State 92-58 as a ten-point favorite in the Summit Conference Tournament Championship Game, keeping the foot on the gas until the final horn. Duke won the ACC by taking down Virginia 59-49 as a 3.5-point favorite. Oral Roberts has flown under the radar all season, and that's the case again here as well in my opinion. While I do think an outright win is possible, in the end let's grab the points on this undervalued underdog; the play is Oral Roberts! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Nuggets -12.5 v. Pistons | Top | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (U OF THE U) Enough is enough! If you're a Denver fan, that's definitely the way you feel right now after four straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Have Jokic and the Nuggets suddenly forgot how to play? I'd say it's just going to be small "speed bump" in the season, and that things will return to normal shortly. In fact, I believe the time has come for a severe beating. Note that Denver plays with the added incentive of revenge after the Pistons inexplicably beat the Nuggets 110-108 on the road on November 22nd as 10.5-point underdogs. As note, the Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite against an opponent. The Pistons are downright terrible and they're simply in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one; lay the points, the play is the Nuggets! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Illinois +2 v. Arkansas | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
10* Illinois (ASSASSIN) The No. 9 Fighting Illini finished 20-12, while the No. 8 Arkansas Razorbacks were 27-12. Both teams backed their way into the tournament. Illinois lost three of its last four, while Arkansas dropped four of its previous five. The Illini average 74.7 PPG, while allowing 67, while Arkansas averages 74.4 PPG, while allowing 72.6. If history is any precedence, then Illinois has to be loving its chances here, as the Illini have won all five meetings with Arkansas (haven't played since 2004). Either way, the Illini's superior defense will prove to be the difference-maker in my opinion; grab the points the play is Illinois! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Howard +22 v. Kansas | 68-96 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
8* Howard (BLOWOUT) Howard is No. 16, finishing 22l-12 in the MEAC. Kansas is the No. 1 seed, finishing 27-7. The Bison have won five straight overall, and they're 4-2 in neutral court games this year. Kansas has lost to Texas twice in the last week and gone just 2-2 in its last four (gone 5-2 in neutral court games.) Howard has consistently been undervalued by oddsmakers this year (16-12 ATS), while Kansas has been overvalued (14-17 ATS.) That's the case again here, so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-15-23 | Warriors v. Clippers -140 | Top | 126-134 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
10* Clippers MONEYLINE (BLOOD-BATH) I like the Clippers here and the way it sets up for LA. The Clippers have really turned a corner with their performance over the last two weeks. Golden State though is in the middle of two pretty crazy streaks, as it's 8-0 straight up in its last eight at home, and 0-8 in its last eight on the road. These teams have identical overall records as they're both 36-33. Golden State is a terrible 7-26 on the road overall, while the Clippers are 18-15 at home. But as I mentioned, the Clippers have really started to build some chemistry over the last couple of weeks coming in off three straight wins, most recently beating the red hot Knicks by a score of 106-95. LA plays with the added incnetive of revenge here as well after falling 115-91 at Golden State as a 2.5-point favorite at the beginning of March. But the Clippers have responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 against the spread in their last nine in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread loss against an opponent. This is the opener of a tough five-game road trip for the Warriors and I think they're going to struggle once again out of the gate. I say bypass the spread option today and play the Clippers on the moneyline! AAA Sports |
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03-15-23 | Arizona State v. Nevada +2.5 | Top | 98-73 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
10* Nevada (FIRST FOUR GOY) Nevada finished 22-10 on the year, losing to San Jose State in the Mountain West Conference tournament. The Wolfpack did close out the regular season decently finishing 4-3 down the stretch. In their last game they had to battle back from a 31-26 first-half deficit to force overtime, but they everntually fell 81-77. Arizona State was 22-12 this year and the Sun Devils fell to Arizona in the Conference Tournament last Friday. The Sun Devils finished the regular season with two straight losses but they opened up the Conference Tournament with two straight wins, including over USC 77-72. But then they ran into a decent defense in Arizona and they lost 78-59. After looking at what each team has done coming in, I do like the Wolfpack here. Despite having lost three sraight games, Nevada has scored 67 or more points in all three. Arizona State on the other hand has scored 65 or fewer points in four of its last five. Look for Nevada's superior offense right now to be the difference-maker down the stretch; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-15-23 | Alcorn State v. North Texas -17 | Top | 53-69 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* North Texas (ASSASSIN) I like the 26-7 North Texas Mean Green to jump out to an early lead, to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish, and to pull away for a comfortable win and cover once it's all said and done. Alcorn State averages 68.3 PPG, while allowing 70.8, while UNT averages 63.7 PPG, while conceding just 55.4. Good news for UNT's offense today facing this porous defense. I have a hard time seeing the Braves putting up much of an offensive attack today vs. this aggressive Mean Green defense. And that's the difference for me, as Alcorn State will face its stiffest test of the season right here; lay the points, the play is North Texas! AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Stars v. Canucks UNDER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Canucks (BLOWOUT) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect a very defensive battle here. The Canucks are playing their best hockey of the season right now with four straight wins. They'll have their hands full with a Stars team that's won three in a row. Dallas lost 5-4 in OT to the Canucks in February, and note that the Stars have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent. Look for these two surging clubs to battle tight here, but expect it to be a very defensive battle until the final horn; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State -1.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 59-60 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 14 m | Show |
10* Mississippi State (ASSASSIN) Pittsburgh finished 22-11 and Mississippi State was 21-12. The Bulldogs took out Florida in the second round of the NCAA Tournament, but then fell to Alabama. I just think the SEC is a much tougher conference ultimately. Pittsburgh was 22-11 overall. It beat Georgia Tech in the second round of the ACC Tourney, before falling to Duke in the quarterfinals. Pittsburgh has the slightly better offense, while Mississippi State has the slightly better defense. I'm banking on the Bulldogs defense to get them through to the First Round; lay the points, the play is MISSISSIPPI STATE! AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Villanova v. Liberty -3 | Top | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
10* Liberty (BLOOD-BATH) Liberty isn't getting enough respect here. The Flames finished 26-8, while the Wildcats were 17-16. Liberty finished just a couple of points away from the NCAA Tournament, falling 67-66 to Kennesaw State in the A-Sun Tournament Championship Game. Overall the Flames average 75.2 PPG, while allowing 60.6. It got bounced by Creighton by a score of 87-74 in the conference Tourney. Overall the Wildcats average 70.3 PPG, while allowing 67.8. The Flames experience and superior offense will be the difference here. Lay the points, the play is Liberty! AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Pistons v. Wizards -11.5 | Top | 97-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
10* Wizards (TOP SIDE) This is a good "common sense" play. Detroit enters off a rare victory just last night, pulling away for a 117-97 victory at home over the Pacers. The win snapped an 11-game slide. With tough upcoming home games vs. the Nuggets and Heat, I say the visitors have an immediate letdown here in the second game of the B2B scenario. The Wizards will be huntry here to snap a three-game slide, but note that Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. The Wizards beat Detroit 119-117 on its own floor last week, and while they failed to cover the spread there, everything points to a cover of the "rocking chair" variety here at home; lay the points, the play is the Wizards! AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. SE Missouri State UNDER 154.5 | Top | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 34 h 39 m | Show |
9* UNDER SE Missouri State/Texas A&M CC (POWER TOTAL) These teams meet at the UD Arena. SE Missouri State is lucky to be here. It finished 19-16 this year. It beat Lindenwood, Tennessee State and Morehead State in the conference tourney, and then on March 4th it beat Tennessee Tech in the championship game by a score of 89-82 in OT. Can anyone say "letdown" spot? Texas A&M CC finished a more respectable 21-10 in the regular season. The Islanders secured the 75-71 win over Northwestern State in the Southland Tourney Title game. Previous to that they held McNeese State to just 63 points. I think the Redhawks come back down to Earth here in the "bright lights." Look for this game to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-13-23 | Suns v. Warriors UNDER 239.5 | Top | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Warriors (PACIFIC DIVISION TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Phoenix had won four straight, before falling 128-119 to the Kings in its latest action. KD is still sidelined with a knee injury. The Suns have seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but that's significant to note as Phoenix has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Warriors play with revenge after falling 125-113 to Phoenix as 12.5-point favorites back on January 10th. Note though that the Warriors have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional home loss vs. an opponent. The Warriors just snapped a three game slide with a tiring 125-116 OT win over the Bucks. GS has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, but note that the Warriors have seen the total go "under" in six of their last eight after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Both teams are banged up. Both teams still need a win here. I expect this one to be more of a defensive affair; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Kraken (TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm finally expecting more of a defensive affair this evening. That includes in the Stars 4-3 OT win here two nights ago! Dallas has now seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but note that the Stars have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Seattle plays with the immediate revenge factor. The Kraken have now lost two straight and they've also seen the total go "over" in three straight. Note though that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. While Saturday's contest flew "over" the number, all signs point to a lower-scoring defensive battle here in the rematch; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-13-23 | Jazz v. Heat UNDER 224.5 | Top | 115-119 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jazz/Heat (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Utah has won two straight on the road and it's seen the total go "over" in five straight. Note though that Utah has see the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Utah though plays with revenge after a high-scoring 126-123 home setback to the Heat as a 4.5-point favorite on December 31st. Note though that Utah has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Heat have been trading good performances with bad ones of late. Off a poor 126-114 OT loss to Orlando as a 2.5-point favorite, I'm expecting the home side to double down on the defensive end this evening. Look for this non-conference game to be less intense offensively and for this total to stay "under" the number once the final horn sounds! AAA Sports |
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03-12-23 | Knicks +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
10* Knicks (ASSASSIN) The Knicks have lost three straight, both SU and ATS after last night's 106-95 loss to the Clippers here. Note though that New York is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. New York also plays with revenge here after a 129-123 OT loss to the Lakers at home on January 31st as a two-point fav. That's also significant to note here for us, as the Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponet. The Lakers have some new faces and have been playing well, as they've won and covered in three straight. Note though that LA is still just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Despite having played just last night, I like the Knicks here to bounce back in this favorable spot; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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03-12-23 | Senators v. Flames -185 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
8* Calgary (BLOWOUT) I think the Flames are worth the price in this spot. Ottawa is fatigued after a 5-3 loss at Vancouver just last night. The Flames are coming off an uninspiring 3-1 loss to the lowly Ducks here at home in their last outing. They play with the added incentive of revenge here as well after a 4-3 OT loss at Ottawa in mid-February. That however is working in our favor here as well, as note that the Flames are 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge a loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Calgary! AAA Sports |
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03-12-23 | Texas A&M v. Alabama OVER 144.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER Texas A&M/Alabama (SEC TOURNEY TOY) The Aggies are coming off an 87-75 win over Vanderbilt to advance to the SEC Tournament Championship Game. Overall Texas A&M averages 73.1 PPG, while allowing 65.4. Alabama has seen the first two games of its tournament run go "under" the number, including in its most recent 72-61 victory over Missouri. The Tide gave up just 29 first half points. They average 82.8 PPG< while allowing 69.5. We have two really good defenses here, but with Alabama pushing the pace from the start, I'm expecting this faster-pace to result in a higher-scoring affair, especially if the Aggies are forced to play from behind early. Either way, I expect the Championship game to sail "over" the posted number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Heat v. Magic +2.5 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* Magic (ASSASSIN) No need to overthink this one. I base my picks on many different things, but this particular one I'm basing on "common sense." I had a play on the Heat in their 119-115 home win over the Cavs. I believe fatigue will be a major issue here for Miami though in the second game of the B2B. Orlando plays with revenge after falling 107-103 in OT to the Heat on February 11th, and that's sigificant for us to note as Orlando is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Orlando has lost three straight, so it comes in desperate here and while I do think the outright win is a possibility of course, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Orlando! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Texas v. Kansas OVER 140.5 | Top | 76-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER Texas/Kansas (BIG 12 TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, including in their Tournament games to reach this point, but that fact has only helped in driving this total a few points higher that it normally would/should be. Texas has now seen the total go "under" in five straight after wins over Oklahoma State and TCU to advance. Note though that Texas has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Texas beat Kansas 75-59 in the final regular season game of the year, and that's also important to take note of here, as the Jayhawks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponet. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Fordham v. Dayton OVER 130.5 | Top | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
10* OVER Fordham/Dayton (A-10 TOM) For a number of different reasons, I look for this one to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Fordham advanced by beating La Salle 69-61 on Thursday. The total went "under" the number in that one, but I'm expecting a shootout here. The Rams actually play with revenge after falling 82-58 to Dayton on January 10th at home as a 7.5 point underdog, and that's significant to note here, because the Rams have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. The Flyers have now seen the total go "under" the number in three straight aftre their 60-54 first round win over St. Joe's. Note though that Dayton has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The stage is set for an efficient, higher-scoring "over" in the rematch! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Cincinnati v. Houston -9.5 | Top | 48-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
10* Houston (AAC TOURNEY GOY) I am keeping my writeups very succinct today, as there is a lot going on and I need to get this information out as fast as possible. The Bearcats managed the 84-54 win over Temple yesterday to advance, and they've now covered in three straight. Note though that Cincinnati is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. Houston beat Cincinnati 75-69 on January 28th at home, but it did not cover the large 14.5-point spread. Tonight's spread is much more manageable. Houston beat ECU 60-46 to advance. It's now gone 0-4 ATS in its last four, but note that the Cougars are still 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. This is a very manageable spread to cover; look for Houston to pull away down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Cornell +6.5 v. Yale | 60-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
8* Cornell (SPECIAL) Yale did finish 10-1 at home, but this is at a neutral site. THe Bulldogs come into the Tournament having won and covered in three straight, but note that Yale is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS covers in a row. Cornell finished 17-10. It went 0-3 SU/ATS over its final three. That however is also significant for us to note, as the Big Red are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Cornell went 1-1 vs. Yale this year. It won at home and lost on the road. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Cornell! AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Raptors v. Lakers OVER 224.5 | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
8* OVER Raptors/Lakers (SUPER TOTAL) Toronto had seen the total go "over" the number in three straight before its most recent 108-100 setback here to the Clippers. This is the final game of a tough Western swing, and I'm expecting the Raptors to push the pace here to try and end on a high note, and after the lackluster performance vs. the Clippers. The Lakers play with revenge though after a 126-113 loss at Toronto on December 7th. That total flew well "over" the number of 228, and I'm expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Look for LA to also push the pace here and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Cavs v. Heat +1.5 | Top | 115-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
10* Heat (BLOOD-BATH) No need to overthink this one. I thik that the Cavs are the better team. I think the Heat have plenty of issues this year. That said Cleveland has been poor on the road, and Miami has been its best in front of the home town crowd. The Cavs are just 14-19 on the road, while the Heat are 21-13 in front of the home town crowd. These teams played just two nights ago in Cleveland and the Cavaliers won and covered by a score of 104-100. Note though that Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. A little "home cooking" is just what the doctor ordered here for Miami; grab the points, the play is the Heat! AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Ohio v. Toledo UNDER 163.5 | Top | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
10* UNDER Ohio/Toledo (MAC TOURNEY TOY) No need to overthink this one for me. I love the way this one sets up to be a bit more of a defensive affair. Ohio is coming of a 90-70 win over Ball State to advance to the second round of the MAC Tournament and while the total went "over" the number, we can expect more of a defensive affair here. Ohio does play with revenge after falling 90-75 to Toledo on January 17th, but I don't see the Bobcats getting that many points again here. Toledo crushed Miami Ohio 91-75 yesterday and its now seen the total go "over" the number in five straight. That's significant for us to take note of though, as Toledo has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Expect fatigue to also play a factor here; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Temple v. Cincinnati UNDER 141 | Top | 54-84 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER Temple/Cincinnati (AAC TOURNEY TOY) It's the opener of the AAC Tournament, and while these teams played to a higher-scoring "over" in their most recent matchup, I believe that everything points to a much more defensive affair here now that the Conference Tournament is here. Temple finished l6-15, while Cincinnati was 20-11. The Owls fell 88-83 in OT to the Bearcats as nine-point dogs on the road in February. That's significant to note here because Temple has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU conference loss vs. an opponent. Cincinnati saw eight of its final nine regular season games go "over" the number, but that fact has only helped in driving this tournament total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. With the Owls looking to slow the tempo of this one down throughout, I believe the rematch here definitely points to a more defensive battle this time around; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Rutgers v. Purdue -5.5 | Top | 65-70 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 16 m | Show |
10* Purdue (ASSASSIN) I had a play on Rutgers in its win over Michigan yesterday, and while the Scarlet Knights pulled off the impressive outright win yesterday, I say their run in this conference tournament comes to an end here vs. the revenge-minded Boilermakers. The reason I really like this play is because Purdue plays with revenge here. It's also rested. Somehow Rutgers upset Purdue 65-64 as an 8.5-point dog on January 2nd. Note though that the Boilermakers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Look for the rested and revenge-minded Boilermakers to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports |
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03-09-23 | Jazz v. Magic UNDER 232.5 | Top | 131-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jazz/Magic (ASSASSIN) When these teams played in Utah in February, the Jazz won by a score of 112-108. I'm expecting a similar final combined score here. Since then, each has been playing to several higher-scoring games. Orlando has seen the total go "over" in three of its last four. It's coming off B2B losses here at home. Note though that the Magic have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU road loss against an opponet. Utah's coming in off three straight road losses. It's now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight games. Note though that the Jazz have seen the total go "under" the number in six of its last eight after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for these bottom-feeding non-conference opponents to once again play to an uninspiring, lower-scoring "under" here in Orlando! AAA Sports |
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03-09-23 | Colorado State v. San Diego State OVER 137 | Top | 61-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER CSU/SDSU (MW TOURNEY TOY) No need to overthink this one. This is a great situational play. Colorado State is just 14-17. It's coming off a hard-fouth 67-65 win over Fresno State last night to advance here to the second round, the total went "under" the number in that one. SDSU was 24-6 in the regular season and received a first round bye. It comes in having seen the total go "under" the number in five straight. Note though that the Aztecs have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. CSU plays with revenge after a 77-58 loss to SDSU on the road in ate February and while that total went "under" the number as well, everything finally points to a more of a wide-open "shootout" here now that the conference tournament is here; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-09-23 | Rutgers +3 v. Michigan | Top | 62-50 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
10* Rutgers (BIG TEN TOURNEY GOY) While I do think Rutgers can win this game outright obviously, my official recommendation will be to grab as many points as you can. This one sets up well for Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights finished 18-13 this year, while Michigan was 17-14. Rutgers stumbled down the stretch, losing its final two games. It plays with revenge here though after a 58-45 loss to Michigan at home as a six-point favorite on February 23rd, and that's significant for us to note here, as the Scarlet Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Michigan lost its final two games of the regular season as well. It did cover the spread in five straight to end the year, but that actually works in our favor, as the Wolverines are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after five or more ATS victories in a row; grab the points, the play is Rutgers! AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Bulls +8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 117-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
10* Bulls (NON-CONF GOM) After four straight SU/ATS losses in a row, I think the Bulls come in a bit undervalued here now. I think they sneak in under the radar after two days off. They play with revenge as well after a 126-103 home loss to the Nuggets at the start of the season, and that's definitely significant to note here, as the Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponet. I say that Denver takes the foot off the gas in the second half. The Nuggets have won four straight. They have a game at the lowly Spurs up next. I say the "hungrier" team delivers in this spot; grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Minnesota v. Nebraska UNDER 136.5 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Minnesota/Nebraska (BIG TEN TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have played to several higher-scoring games to close out the regular season, but that fact has only helped in driving this Tournament total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Minnesota stumbled down the stretch, finishing 8-21 overal. It saw the total go "over" the number in seven straight games to close out the regular season. It lost both games to Nebraska this season, and each contest went "over" the number as well. Note though that the Gophers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two straight losses against a conference opponent. Nebraska finished 16-15. It won five of its last six games. It also saw the total go "over" the number in seven straight games to close out the year. With a couple days off to prepare for the conference tournament, I expect each team to focus a bit more on the defensive end this evening; this total is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Blackhawks +1.5 v. Red Wings | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
10* Hawks PUCKLINE (NON-CONF GOM) Yes, the Wings are desperate after six straight losses, but the Hawks are just as hungry for a win here today. With B2B gaes vs. Boston up next, I say that Detroit gets caught "looking ahead" here. Chicago just snapped a four-game slide with a 5-0 win over Ottawa. The bottom line here is that Detroit is way overpriced in my estimation. That brings supreme value here to the "puckline" option; grab the extra 1.5 goals of insurance here, the play is Hawks on the puckline! AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | DePaul +6.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
10* DePaul (BIG EAST TOURNEY GOY) It's tenth seeded DePaul looking to pull off an upset vs. No. 7 seed Seton Hall. The Blue Demons come in under the radar on a 12-game losing streak. They fell 84-70 to Creighton on Saturday. The Pirates closed out the year with an 82-58 road win over Providence. The Blue Demons average 70.9 PPG, while allowing 77.3. That defense catches a break here today vs. a Pirates team that averages just 68.6 PPG. Overall Seton Hall allows just 65.1. It's difficult to beat a team three times in one year, let alone beat it both SU and ATS. Seton Hall is already 2-0 SU/ATS over DePaul during the regular season, but that fact has only helped in driving this tournament spread a few points larger than it normally would be in my opinion. The Pirates may win this game, but it won't be easy; grab the points, the play is DEPAUL! AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse OVER 154 | Top | 77-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Wake/Syracuse (ACC TOURNEY TOY) These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect a more wide-open and faster-paced affair here on Wednesday afternoon, and because of that I expect this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. Wake stumbled down the stretch of the regular season, losing four of its last five. The Demon Deacons lost 72-63 at Syracuse as a one-point favorite on March 4th, the final game of the year. Wake has seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, but note that the Demon Deacons have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Deacons have also seen the total go "over" the number in six of their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponet. Syracuse broke a four-game slide in the win over Wake Forest. Previous to that the Orange had seen the total go "over" the number in four straight. While that last game went "under" between these teams, expect a more efficient, faster-paced contest here in the Conference Tournament to lead to a higher-scoring final combined score; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |